Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahendra Raj Author-X-Name-First: Mahendra Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Title: Pricing options on short-term interest rates using discrete arbitrage-free models Abstract: On June 23 1989, the Chicago Board of Options Exchange introduced a new option on short-term interest rate. These options were unique in that, unlike other interest rate dependent options, there were no assets like bonds underlying them. So, when these options are exercized, settlement delivery is in cash. These options opened new avenues for investors interested in hedging and speculating on interest rate movements. In the present study these short-term interest rate option markets are analysed utilizing recent developments on discrete interest rate stochastic processes. Of the various models developed to price interest contingent claims, Ho and Lee (1986) is especially important since these researchers use the entire term structure to derive relatively simple arbitrage based models. In this study these newly introduced options on interest rates are priced and empirically tested using the modified version of a Ho and Lee term structure model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Ming Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Victor Tremblay Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Tremblay Title: Duopsony models with consistent conjectural variations Abstract: In this note we develop a consistent conjectural variation model that generalizes Bresnahan's (1981) results to a duopoly-duopsony setting. This is the first duopsony model in which firms are constrained to have consistent conjectural variations, and two interesting results emerge. First, Bertrand conjectures occur when inputs are homogeneous and when input demand functions are horizontal. Second, the consistent conjectures equilibrium approaches Cournot when input demand functions are vertical or when the firm is a monopolist-monopsonist. This implies that firms will behave more competitively in a duopsony setting as inputs and outputs become more homogeneous and as input demand functions become relatively more elastic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 8-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:8-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Capital punishment and deterrence: a comment on Cloninger's paper Abstract: Cloninger (1992) applied the portfolio approach to criminal behaviour and illustrated the deterrent effect of capital punishment by use of data from 1983-1988 across the states of America and the District of Columbia. This comment suggests two possible flaws in Cloninger's analyses, which, if taken into account, may shed more light on the effect which he purports to demonstrate and it suggests that application of the analyses to an earlier historical period may be necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:12-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Consistency under exponential forecasting Abstract: We study the consistency property in the exchange rate expectation formation process, which all rational forecasts have, but which itself does not require rationality. An alternative test procedure recommended by Pesaran (1989) is applied. Survey data helps avoid the risk premium issue altogether. The exponential forecasting framework provides evidence of bandwagon effects in the expectation formation process. Consistency is upheld at the shorter forecast horizon, but breaks down conclusively for the longer forecast periods. These results are supported by Froot and Ito (1989). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 14-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:14-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: George Matysiak Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Matysiak Title: How do UK regional commercial rents move? Abstract: An investigation of UK rent movements and adjustment mechanisms shows London as unique in contrast with other regions in the country and distinguishes retail from office and industrial property markets. Two kinds of Granger causality of long run equilibrium and short term dynamics have been scrutinized to establish the evidence for our statement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:1:p:19-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Du Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Price instability and inflation: empirical evidence from the People's Republic of China Abstract: The relationship between price instability and inflation is re-examined using the data for the People's Republic of China over the period 1953-91. The empirical results indicate that Friedman's conjecture of positive relationship between price instability and inflation is valid in China, where the economic system is quite different from those in market-oriented economy countries. Such a validation implies that higher inflation in China is unfavourable as it causes higher price instability that will reduce the efficiency of price system in allocating resource, hinder economic growth and could even result in economic disorder. This also suggests that a consistent and stable anti-inflation policy that reduces price instability would be preferable in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-28 Issue: 2 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:2:p:25-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miles Finney Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Finney Title: Property tax effects on intrametropolitan firm location: further evidence Abstract: This paper estimates the determinants of manufacturing firm location in an urban area, concentrating on the impact property taxes have on firm location. This note, which estimates location probabilities, provides further evidence under an alternative methodology on the role local taxes play in determining intrametropolitan location. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-31 Issue: 2 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:2:p:29-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Bring Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Bring Title: How not to find the relationship between foreign aid and economic growth Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 32-33 Issue: 2 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:2:p:32-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharmila Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Sharmila Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Title: Government wage differentials for women: do city dwellers earn more? Abstract: Previous research has shown that female workers, unlike other minorities, continue to earn a wage premium in the US public sector. We examine the nature of government wage differentials for female workers separately for city dwellers and non-city dwellers. A bivariate selectivity approach is used which recognizes the endogeneity of the government worker status variable and the union choice variable in the wage formation process. The public sector wage premium is found to be higher for city dwellers than non-city dwellers, pointing to the role of political influence in the government wage setting process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: Structural change and unit root testing: British industrial production 1700-1913 Abstract: This paper considers unit root tests of the index of British industrial production 1700-1913. For the full sample the data are found to be I(1). However, three distinct phases are identified with alternating stationarity properties. One period, 1780-1851, is identified as the British Industrial Revolution. The results support the findings of Perron (1989) and Reichlin (1989) on the dangers of unit root testing in models with structural change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-40 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:39-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Testing nonlinearities in purchasing power parity Abstract: This note presents some empirical evidence on the presence of nonlinear adjustment in the PPP relationship. Nonlinearities are shown to be captured by a polynomial in the error correction term. It is also shown that there is some evidence for PPP when the hypothesis is tested over the period of the recent floating using the Yen/DM exchange rate. Using the residual of the cointegrating regression as an error correction term, two error correction models are estimated, and non-nested model selection testing reveals that nonlinear adjustment is predominant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-43 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:41-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: An empirical investigation of the export growth-economic growth relationship Abstract: The export growth-economic growth cointegration structure is investigated for a large sample of low/middle/high income countries, including the newly industrialized ones. Previous Granger causality studies in this area are fundamentally flawed due to the absence of any form of pretesting for cointegration, hence we forward our study. Extensive stationarity tests are conducted including the KPSS procedure. In sequence we conduct cointegration tests based on the Phillips-Hansen fully modified OLS method and then run the Phillips-Ouliaris tests of non-stationarity on the residuals. For the majority of the countries in our sample, export growth and economic growth are cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 44-48 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:44-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salim Darbar Author-X-Name-First: Salim Author-X-Name-Last: Darbar Title: The unbiasedness of the forward exchange rate: evidence from the 1920s Abstract: The relationship between the spot and forward exchange rates during the 1920s is reexamined for five major currencies with daily data. Johansen's (1988, 1991) methodology is used to test for cointegration between spot and forward exchange rates. The results show that the spot and forward exchange rates are cointegrated with a cointegrating vector of one, providing evidence in support of the unbiasedness of the forward exchange rate and market efficiency. Johansen's method provides stronger evidence in favour of the unbiasedness hypothesis compared to the residual based single equation OLS approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 3 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:3:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Mukum Mbaku Author-X-Name-First: John Mukum Author-X-Name-Last: Mbaku Title: Foreign aid and economic growth in Cameroon: a reply Abstract: Johan Bring (1994), in his criticism of my paper on Cameroon (Mbaku, 1993), raises several issues related to the definition of aid, the time span used in the study, and the methodology adopted. In this reply, I shall address these issues and outline what I believe to be the key contributions and shortcomings of Bring's comments. I conclude that several of the issues raised by Bring were covered effectively in my original study, the methodology employed is based on one that has been made explicit in the literature, and I stand by the results and conclusions of my study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-57 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:55-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Factors determining the income velocity of money in a developing economy Abstract: This paper investigates the influence of different factors on income velocity of money in 23 developing countries for the 1955-88 period. The results show that inflationary expectation raises income velocity in an agricultural developing economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 58-62 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:58-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Yijuan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Chaotic volatility in market portfolios Abstract: Empirical estimates of the Lorenz model of chaos are reported here for the conditional variances of returns of selected mutual funds over the period September 1988 to April 1993. These estimates show that chaotic instability may occur with a positive probability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-65 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:63-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Easton Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Easton Title: Takeover activity and share returns in Australia: a note Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 66-68 Issue: 4 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:4:p:66-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuddalore Sundar Author-X-Name-First: Cuddalore Author-X-Name-Last: Sundar Title: Impact of trade on purchasing power parity in black market and official exchange rates Abstract: In this study, the impact of trade on purchasing power parity was tested for a sample of Asian currencies using official and black market exchange rates. Cross exchange rates were used in order to directly compare prices between countries. The efficient markets version of PPP cannot be rejected for most trading country pairs using official exchange rates. For nontrading country pairs, PPP cannot be rejected using black market exchange rates. An implication of these results for future research is that the choice of exchange rates in PPP studies should be determined by trade or lack thereof between any two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-73 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:69-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The investment-output ratio in growth regressions Abstract: The investment-output ratio is often used as a regressor in empirical studies of economic growth, although Scott (1991) is the only serious proponent of its being theoretically appropriate to do so. Evidence is here adduced that when capital stock data are available they ought to be used in preference to investment data. In addition, many growth studies employ population data to proxy, rather poorly, a labour force variable, although no one has ever suggested that this is more than a pis aller. Evidence is presented here that this is an unsatisfactory procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 74-76 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:74-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Cross country evidence on nonlinearity in industrial production between the wars Abstract: We use the BDS statistic to test for unmodelled structure in the linearly filtered industrial production figures for Canada, France, Japan and the USA between 1919 and 1930. The i.i.d. null is rejected for France and Japan though there is other evidence for nonlinearity in the remaining series. In particular, we are able to fit self-exciting threshold autoregression (SETAR) models to each series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahendra Raj Author-X-Name-First: Mahendra Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Author-Name: David Thurston Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: January or April? Tests of the turn-of-the-year effect in the New Zealand stock market Abstract: Turn-of-the-year effect has been observed in many markets throughout the world and various explanations have been suggested for this anomaly in the markets. The 'tax-loss selling' hypothesis is one such explanation that has received some support. The present study examines the validity of this hypothesis in the New Zealand context. Since the financial year in New Zealand ends in March there should be an April effect if the tax-loss selling theory is to hold. The study finds that there is neither a January effect nor an April effect in New Zealand. The small size and the poor liquidity of the market may be factors influencing this observation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-83 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:81-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Canopy Roychoudhury Author-X-Name-First: Canopy Author-X-Name-Last: Roychoudhury Title: A comparative analysis of the causes of discrimination between rental and owner-occupied housing units Abstract: Using fair housing audits, previous research has shown that black renters, unlike their white counterparts, continue to receive unfavourable treatment in the rental housing market. We extend the analysis to owner-occupied housing units for the Detroit Metropolitan area. Although racial discrimination appears to be declining in the rental market over time, our results show no sign of any change in the owner-occupied housing market. Probing the causes of discrimination, we find that significant differences and similarities exist in the hypotheses explaining discrimination between the two types of housing units. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-87 Issue: 5 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:5:p:84-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Title: Balance of payments determined growth in Germany Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob Brochner Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Brochner Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Title: Forecasts of inflation with price expectations Abstract: This paper embeds survey price expectations of manufacturing into a mark-up model of price determination. The model, which is employed to forecast (changes in) growth in consumer and producer prices one quarter ahead, is estimated for seven EEC countries. The predictive performance, in terms of the mean forecast error, of the model is compared with an ARIMA forecast of inflation. The results suggest that the predictive performance of the price-expectational-augmented price model is superior to the ARIMA model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 92-95 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:92-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: A diffusion model of right-to-work law history in the United States Abstract: This study offers a new approach to measure the adoption practices of right-to-work legislation by states over time. By allowing the dependent variable to represent the number of years a state has had the RTW legislation (with 1989 as the terminal year), the intensity of adoption can be modelled. This technique allows the cross-section to represent the year of adoption rather than a single year, and represents an effort to compare states in like circumstances (a measure of diffusion). Interestingly, the result fails to support the theory that unionization rates are significantly negatively related to the adoption practices, although the degree of a state's labour force engaged in both construction and manufacturing are important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 96-98 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:96-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Everton Dockery Author-X-Name-First: Everton Author-X-Name-Last: Dockery Author-Name: Yannis Georgellis Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Georgellis Title: Long-run purchasing power parity: the case of Greece 1980-1992 Abstract: In this paper we use cointegration techniques to test the long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for nine Drachma exchange rates within the European currency area. The results support the long-run PPP hypothesis only in the cases of Portugal, Spain and the UK, as these countries were not seriously constrained by the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-101 Issue: 6 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:6:p:99-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hynds Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hynds Author-Name: Ian Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: The demand for test match cricket Abstract: Within an allocation of time framework, a demand function for test match cricket in Britain is estimated using 248 observations of daily attendances drawn from 52 matches over the period 1984 to 1992. We find that the time intensity of international cricket does have a mild deterrence effect on attendance as earnings rise. Consistent with other studies in the economics of sport, there is evidence that uncertainty of outcome augments demand. However, it is cricket, demographic and day specific, rather than economic, variables which account for most of the demand variation. The introduction in 1991 of test match cricket on Sundays added over 4000 spectators to total attendances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Investment data and the empirical relationship between exporters, government and economic growth Abstract: The effect of using gross investment data and utilized net capital stock data respectively to construct the investment-output ratio in growth equations modelling the effects of exporters and the government is demonstrated. Almost all such models in the literature use the former data, and yet, as discussed by Alexander (1994a), the latter data are theoretically superior. For a group of G7 countries evidence is produced that suggests the possibility that other researchers findings reflect the data they use to construct their investment-output ratio rather than a true relationship between exporters and the government respectively and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Kuznets's inverted-U hypothesis revisited Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Author-Name: Syed Ali Raza Mehdi Author-X-Name-First: Syed Ali Raza Author-X-Name-Last: Mehdi Title: The effect of unemployment insurance on unemployment rate and average duration: evidence from pooled cross-sectional time-series data Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the impact of the unemployment insurance system upon the insured unemployment rate and the average duration of unemployment. It employs a simultaneous equation framework because of possible feedback effects between the insured unemployment rate and the average duration of unemployment. Based on a pooled crosssectional time-series model (covering all the 50 states in the USA for the years 1967-88) that corrects for heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation, and the results show some support for the hypothesis that the unemployment insurance system, by providing workers with a safety net, increases both the insured unemployment rate and the duration period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 114-118 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:114-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: A model of dynamic efficiency measurement Abstract: Methods of measuring dynamic efficiency of a set of units and comparing it with static efficiency are presented here through a linear programming model and illustrated by an empirical application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-121 Issue: 7 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:7:p:119-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maryann Brady Author-X-Name-First: Maryann Author-X-Name-Last: Brady Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: Lewis Karstensson Author-X-Name-First: Lewis Author-X-Name-Last: Karstensson Title: Cost structure in college and university student health centres Abstract: This study examines cost structure for the provision of health care in college and university student health centres. Empirical estimates of a translog cost function for 81 American College Health Association member institutions show economies of scale in the production of student health care. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-126 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:123-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Greene Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Emily Hoffnar Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffnar Title: Residential location and the earnings of white and Hispanic men Abstract: Much has been written on the impact of residential location on the earnings of males and whether the effect of residential location is different for African-American than white males. Unfortunately, very few researchers have devoted systematic attention to the impact of residential location on the earnings of Hispanics. Using data from the 1990 Current Population Survey, the authors estimate and compare the effect of residential location on the annual earnings of white and Hispanic males. Three principal findings emerge. First, the authors find that both central city and suburban Hispanics earn significantly less than white male residents of the suburbs. Secondly, the results reported here suggest that while central city residence lowers the earnings of both white and Hispanic men, the impact is more pronounced on the latter than the former. Third, this study finds no evidence that suburban earn more than central city Hispanics. This result stands in stark contrast to comparisons between suburban and central city whites, leading the authors to conclude that 'race rather than space' may play a more important role in contributing to the white-Hispanic male earnings differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-131 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:127-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Segmented trends and the stochastic properties of UK output Abstract: This letter confirms that annual UK output suffers a break in trend in 1918 as suggested by Duck (1992). It then goes on to show that a segmented trend model with two breaks, in 1918 and 1921, with trend growth of approximately 2% and 2.25% per annum before and after these breaks, and with a cyclical component having a period of approximately 8 years, provides an excellent fit to the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 132-133 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:132-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: The elasticity of scale in large New York Stock Exchange companies and corporations, 1975-92 Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 134-137 Issue: 8 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:8:p:134-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuno Crato Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Crato Author-Name: Philip Rothman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Rothman Title: A reappraisal of parity reversion for UK real exchange rates Abstract: We apply a new approach to test the long-run purchasing power parity theory of real exchange rate movements for the UK. The question of whether real exchange rates have a unit root or are mean reverting is set in the more general framework of fractionally differenced time-series models. Our results suggest that in the current period of floating rates, UK real exchange rates return to parity in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-141 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:139-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: Measurement error and the returns to excess schooling Abstract: This paper considers the degree of measurement error in estimates of required schooling for jobs and the bias created by errors when estimating the returns to overeducation. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, it finds substantial differences between estimates of required schooling. Thus errors in measurement may seriously bias previous results examining the wage effects of overeducation. This paper uses instrumental variable techniques to correct for measurement error and finds no significant returns for surplus schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 142-144 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:142-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis McCornac Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: McCornac Title: Velocity and money growth variability: evidence from Japan Abstract: This paper investigates the robustness of the Friedman hypothesis that states the volatility of money growth influences the velocity of money. Using data for Japan the Granger-causality method is implemented to test for the effect of the variability of the Japanese monetary aggregate M2+CDs on velocity. The regression estimates support the Friedman hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razzaque Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: Razzaque Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: A new approach to testing ex ante purchasing power parity Abstract: Conventional PPP neglects the role of uncertainty and expectations in the determination of exchange rates. In the presence of uncertainty and expectations about the future, as postulated by ex ante PPP, the exchange rate is determined not only by current relative prices but also by the expected real exchange rate, implying that the omission of the latter makes the PPP model misspecified. Results of empirical testing indicate the importance of the role played by the expected real exchange rate in determining the current nominal exchange rate. These results support the ex ante PPP model against the conventional model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-151 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:148-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Stuart McDougall Author-X-Name-First: R. Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: McDougall Title: The stability of velocity: a test for seasonal cointegration Abstract: This paper applies seasonal integration and cointegration tests to assess the non-stationary characteristics of velocity using 25 years of quarterly unadjusted New Zealand money and income data. Velocity is clearly non-stationary on the basis of the seasonal unit root tests and there is some evidence of a changing seasonal pattern. The non-stationarity of velocity is confirmed by the acceptance of the hypothesis of non-cointegration between money and income at both the zero and biannual frequency. On balance, the cointegration results indicate no long-run relationship between money and income. While not addressing the issue of direction of causation, these results could be interpreted as questioning the monetarist view that the stable relationship between money and income can be exploited so that important macroeconomic variables can be influenced by manipulating the money supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-157 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:152-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Timothy Dewhurst Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Dewhurst Title: Hysteresis in the earnings function: an analysis by occupation Abstract: The theory of hysteresis in the earnings function is tested by investigating its existence across a variety of occupations. Hysteresis signals are detected for professionals and executives, but not for manual construction workers or for the self-employed, so lending support to the theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 158-160 Issue: 9 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594358023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594358023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:9:p:158-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasudeva Murthy Author-X-Name-First: Vasudeva Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Author-Name: Victor Ukpolo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Ukpolo Author-Name: John Mbaku Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mbaku Title: Foreign aid and economic growth in Cameroon: evidence from cointegration tests Abstract: Mbaku (1993, 1994) presents empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that in Cameroon, during 1971-90, foreign aid had no impact on economic growth. In this note, we apply the recent technique of unit-root testing and Johansen's maximum likelihood procedure to show, on the contrary, that foreign aid had a positive contribution to economic growth in Cameroon during the period under study. We attribute the differences in the results to the differences in methodology, and the implied optimal lag structure in our study. We contend that cointegration tests are warranted in studies of this nature, before any structural analysis and policy implications of the model, are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-163 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:161-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. H. J. Hassink Author-X-Name-First: W. H. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hassink Author-Name: R. D. Huigen Author-X-Name-First: R. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Huigen Author-Name: Z. Zeelenberg Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Zeelenberg Title: Sampling errors and the substitution between white-collar and blue-collar workers Abstract: The consequences of sampling errors in estimating a simple labour demand model, using panel data of firms is discussed. It is found that the sampling errors of the variables at the firm-level due to the sampling process at the employee-level, have a substantial influence on the estimates of the elasticity of substitution between white-collar and blue-collar workers. It is shown that because of the large noise-to-signal ratio of the explanatory variable no evidence of substitution can be found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 164-166 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:164-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cooper Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cooper Title: Purchasing power parity: a cointegration analysis of the Australian, New Zealand and Singaporean currencies Abstract: This paper provides a brief overview of tests for stationarity and cointegration and applies them in an attempt to establish the validity of purchasing power parity theory for the Australian, New Zealand and Singaporean currencies using quarterly time series for the period 1973 to 1992. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Stern Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Title: Accuracy of the translog function Abstract: There has been some discussion of the accuracy of the translog approximation. Various simulation studies have generated different assessments. It is shown that when data are generated using known elasticities but no explicit production or cost function, the translog estimates of own price and cross-price elasticities prove reasonably accurate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 172-174 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:172-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Thomas Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Suyono Salamun Author-X-Name-First: Suyono Author-X-Name-Last: Salamun Author-Name: Thomas Willett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: The effects of inflation on economic growth in industrial and developing countries: is there a difference? Abstract: Using panel estimation for a large sample of industrial and developing countries we find significant negative effects of inflation on economic growth. The magnitude of these effects is, however, much larger for the industrial countries than for the developing countries Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-177 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:175-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: Motivations that underlie the subscription prices in common stocks rights offerings: industrial firms Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the subscription price decision in a common stock rights offering. The competing prediction of the Heinkel and Schwartz model, in which a higher subscription price signals a higher quality firm, and the Myers and Majluf model in which the firm sets a low subscription price in order to secure the financing for a positive NPV project from the firm's existing stockholders are examined. For a sample of 69 industrial firms, the two-day offering period cumulative abnormal return is estimated using standard event study methodology. The relative subscription price is defined as the ratio of the subscription price to the mean of closing prices of the five trading days immediately preceding the two-day offering period. The sample was divided into two subsamples according to high and low relative subscription prices. The results indicate that industrial firms conform to the theoretical predictions of the Heinkel and Schwartz model. Higher quality firms use the subscription price in a rights offering as a signalling mechanism to distinguish themselves from lower quality firms. Relative subscription price is positively and significantly associated with the CAR. Apparently for industrials, securing the financing of a project is not a primary consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 178-181 Issue: 10 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:10:p:178-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Athanasios Noulas Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Noulas Title: Portfolio mix and net charge offs at large United States commercial banks Abstract: The United States banking industry experienced a period of poor performance in the late 1980s. Significant problems with loans as reflected in loan loss provisions and net charge offs hampered bank profitability. We examine the effect of portfolio composition on net charge offs at large commercial banks in the late 1980s. Among the various conclusions, one stands out: large banks that hold a higher share of total assets in loans also experience lower net charge offs to total loans, other things being constant. That is, the larger the exposure a bank has in loans relative to other assets, the better its experience with ultimate loan defaults. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ermisch Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ermisch Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: Interpretation of negative sample selection effects in wage offer equations Abstract: The finding of negative sample selection effects in estimated wage offer equations is often viewed as being 'problematic', resulting from misspecification of the wage and selection processes. This note shows that negative sample selection effects are plausible in the context of Heckman's reservation wage model of labour supply. Therefore, such findings need not necessarily be cause for concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-189 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357844 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357844&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:187-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Swidler Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Swidler Author-Name: P. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Wealth transfers and the initial pricing of PERCS Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine the initial pricing of a form of convertible preferred stock, PERCS (preferred equity redemption cumulative stock). The analysis shows that investors may pay more for the PERCS than the value of the individual components of the financially engineered security. The empirical results suggest that PERCS may be a cheaper way for firms to issue equity causing wealth transfers from holders of PERCS to common stock shareholders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 190-193 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:190-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Judith Giles Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Another look at the evidence on foreign aid led economic growth Abstract: We apply recent time series techniques to Mbaku's Cameroon data to investigate the effects of foreign aid on economic growth. In contrast to Mbaku, we find some evidence to support the foreign aid led growth hypotheses in Cameroon. Our results illustrate the importance of testing hypotheses in an appropriate time series framework and the difficulties of time-series modelling with an insufficient span of data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 194-199 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357862 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357862&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:194-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Jones Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Richard Marriott Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Marriott Title: Determinants of the level and methods of charitable giving in the 1990 Family Expenditure Survey Abstract: The purpose of this note is to use the 1990 FES to update Jones and Posnett's analysis of the determinants of household giving to charity in the 1984 survey. Our analysis extends the earlier work by analysing the interaction between the level of giving and the method of payment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 200-203 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:200-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Hondroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Hondroyiannis Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: Cointegration, causality and the government budget-inflation relationship in Greece Abstract: This paper considers the relationship between cointegration and causality and uses tests of cointegration as pre-test for Granger tests of causality. The analysis is employed in analysing the government budget-inflation relationship in Greece. Empirical evidence suggest that there is a long-run relationship between government budget and price level and support the hypothesis of a bidirectional causality between the two variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 204-206 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:204-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Atukeren Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Atukeren Title: A note on the tests of Granger-causality between exports and economic growth Abstract: This paper demonstrates that the Granger-causality tests are not affected by an accounting identity relationship. In the context of exports and economic growth relationship, this amounts to saying that if a Granger-causal relationship from exports to output is detected, this cannot be due to a built-in accounting identity relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-209 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:207-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Goering Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Goering Author-Name: Michael Pippenger Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pippenger Title: A note regarding ARCH and threshold processes: results from a Monte Carlo study Abstract: Many economic relationships are non-linear. Hence, when analysing economic data it is important to identify any non-linearity. The primary type of non-linearity examined by economists is the ARCH-class model. However, other types of non-linear processes may be expected in economic and financial data. One of these is the threshold-class autoregressive process. This paper finds that the power of standard ARCH pre-test procedures for detecting threshold type non-linearity is very poor under certain parameter specifications; and that ARCH may be 'detected' in a significant number of cases even though the true process is of the threshold class. Thus care should be taken when interpreting ARCH pre-tests in economic series that are likely to contain threshold boundaries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 210-213 Issue: 11 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:11:p:210-213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Raymond Sfeir Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sfeir Title: Market volatility and skewness persistence Abstract: Skewness persistence and its impact on market volatility are examined here empirically over recent NYSE stock market data. The empirical results do not show any skewness persistence, although the skewness factor affects market volatility to a significant degree. This suggests the need to modify the volatility tests based on ARCH models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-218 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:215-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: The behaviour of closed-end country fund prices in the Asian NIEs Abstract: This paper tests the impact of international investment restrictions on closed-end country funds in four Asian countries - Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. The results show that the relationship between the premiums or discounts on closed-end country funds and announcements of changes in investment restrictions is sensitive to how individual countries respond to foreign innovations. A strong relationship exists in countries with large restrictions on investment - Korea and Taiwan. However, the relationship seems to break down in countries where there are virtually no restrictions on investment - Hong Kong and Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-222 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:219-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: The social impact of unemployment Abstract: Although it has been argued that unemployment results in an increased suicide rate in a society, this association was found in the present study in only a minority of a sample of nations with data available for the period 1950-85. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Cointegration analysis of agriculture and non-agricultural sectors in the Chinese economy 1952-92 Abstract: A vector autoregression (VAR) model is employed to investigate the cointegration relationship between agriculture and non-agricultural sectors in the Chinese economy during 1952-92. Three cointegration vectors are identified among agriculture, industry, construction, transport and services. Agriculture is found to be weakly exogenous to the economic system, suggesting that it was a main driving force for all the other sectors; but the converse is untrue. Government policies biased against agriculture are main reasons for agriculture's weak exogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-229 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:227-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phillip Lawler Author-X-Name-First: Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Lawler Author-Name: Neil Manning Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Title: Purchasing power parity and market frictions: a neutral band analysis Abstract: The paper employs a simple threshold model of US bilateral real exchange rate dynamics. The econometric results appear consistent with the existence of a 'neutral band'. Real exchange rates seem to revert to purchasing power parity (PPP) levels only outside the neutral band. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 230-232 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:230-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Clive Collis Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Collis Title: A duration analysis approach to the examination of the lengths of periods of price stability in the UK retail petrol industry Abstract: This article applies duration analysis to pricing behaviour in an oligopolistic industry, namely the UK Retail Petrol Industry, for the period January 1983 to October 1989. The findings of the analysis are that: a period of rising or falling prices will reduce the lengths of price stability and that periods of price stability ending in March or April lasted longer than those ending in other months as firms awaited changes in the excise rate in the Budget. There was no evidence that the leading firm, Esso, exhibited longer periods of price stability, a result consistent with the hypothesis of conscious parallelism in pricing behaviour in an industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-235 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:233-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Kirikos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kirikos Title: Cointegration, risk aversion and real asset prices Abstract: In this letter a vector autoregressive framework is used in order to assess the empirical and economic relevance of the present value model of stock prices with varying discount factors, using data from the New York Stock Exchange over the period 1974-90. The time-series properties of the variables involved are determined by means of formal statistical tests and the relationship between risk aversion and stock price volatility is studied. The model performs poorly for all admissible values of the Arrow-Pratt measure of relative risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 236-240 Issue: 12 Volume: 1 Year: 1994 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048594357826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048594357826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:1:y:1994:i:12:p:236-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin-Wong Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Menzie David Chinn Author-X-Name-First: Menzie David Author-X-Name-Last: Chinn Author-Name: Tuan Tran Author-X-Name-First: Tuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: How sensitive are trends to data definitions? Results for East Asian and G5 countries Abstract: This paper examines whether test results characterizing per capita output as either trend or difference stationary are sensitive to whether output is valued in domestic currency terms, or in some international numeraire, such as the Summers-Heston international dollar. Using the conventional ADF test, and the Kwiatkowsi et al. test with a trend stationary null, we find that for economies such as those of the East Asian countries, the best description of the persistence of the data does depend upon the valuation of output. No such discrepancy is found for the output series of the G5 countries. We conclude that researchers should be extremely cautious about making generalizations regarding the time-series properties of output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Scale and technical efficiency in the production of economic research Abstract: Data envelopment analysis is applied to the research assessment exercise data collected by the Higher Education Funding Councils in 1992, to study the relative performance of UK university departments of economics. The analysis throws light on returns to scale and on the characteristics deemed desirable by the peer review panel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:7-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Gardiner Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Gardiner Author-Name: John Henneberry Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Henneberry Title: Analysing the property-gilts yield differential Abstract: Forecast rather than actual values of variables are used in an analysis of the property-gilts yield gap to mimic more closely the investor's decision-making environment. The estimated equations combine parsimony with a high level of explanatory power. The yield gap is found to vary simultaneously in all regions. This is attributed to the dominance of an aspatial influence: inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 12-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:12-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Title: Preliminary findings on the economic effects of Greek military expenditure Abstract: Greece has regularly been ranked as the country with the highest defence burden in NATO and the European Union. This study, using an error-correction approach, is a preliminary empirical investigation into the economic effects of military spending in Greece during the period 1963-90. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 16-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:16-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oluwole Owoye Author-X-Name-First: Oluwole Author-X-Name-Last: Owoye Title: The causal relationship between taxes and expenditures in the G7 countries: cointegration and error-correction models Abstract: The paper examines the causal relationship between tax revenues and expenditures in the G7 countries using cointegration and error-correction methodology. This statistical technique provides additional channels through which causality could emerge. The empirical results show that bidirectional causality exists between government taxes and expenditures in all countries except in Japan and Italy. For Japan and Italy, causality runs from government taxes to expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:19-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Externality effect of the USA total, federal and state government expenditures on private investment, 1960-91 Abstract: The main objective of this short paper is to measure the impact of increases in total, federal and state government expenditures on private investment in the USA. For this purpose a framework based on a variable elasticity approach is used and tested. The results obtained conclusively support the 'accelerator principle' and 'crowding out' hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-25 Issue: 1 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:1:p:23-25 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenmin Fang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenmin Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Richard Yan-Ki Ho Author-X-Name-First: Richard Yan-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Asset reallocation with interest rate swaps Abstract: A bond portfolio model with interest rate swaps is developed to carry out the mean-variance analysis. It is found that interest rate swaps can be used to reallocate non-marketable bonds in the portfolio by swapping out the non-traded fixed-rate bonds into LIBOR-based floating rate notes. The optimal allocation of bond portfolios can be achieved from the implicit reallocation of non-marketable bonds in the portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-30 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:27-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: The second J-curve and trade account dynamics Abstract: A second and an independent J-curve effect emerges where import expenditures depend on wealth and where current account imbalance feeds back on itself through its effect on asset accumulation. The combination of the two J-curves in conjunction gives rise to a wide range of dynamic possibilities for the trade account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-33 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:31-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Author-Name: Patricia McKee Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: McKee Author-Name: Michael Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: A decomposition method for analysing inter-group income differences with an application to Catholics and Protestants in Northern Ireland Abstract: This paper argues that inter-group disparities in economic welfare are best measured by intercommunity income differences and it proceeds to analyse the structure of such income differences through the decomposition of the ratio of the respective group incomes. Simulation experiments then attempt to uncover the relationship between changes in unemployment rates and (consequent) changes in the Catholic-Protestant income ratio in Northern Ireland. The results of these experiments show that reductions in the overall unemployment rate - if unaccompanied by improvements in the unemployment position of Catholics relative to that of Protestants - would have the least effect on the relative income of Catholics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 34-37 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:34-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: Donald Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: Money, output and prices in Turkey Abstract: The determination of aggregate output and the price level in Turkey is examined. Empirical results indicate that the Turkish economy behaves consistent with predictions of a simple real business cycle model. Output follows an autoregressive structure with trend. Monetary policy is neutral and the results point to unitary elasticity between money and prices. The findings are generally robust to estimations in levels or first differences, and hold for either the narrow or broad money stock. The results suggest a modelling and policy strategy which may be relevant for other semi-industrialized countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 38-41 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:38-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Michael Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Michael Author-Name: A. R. Nobay Author-X-Name-First: A. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Nobay Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: A test for rational expectations when some variables are I(2) Abstract: This paper exploits the result that in the case of I(2) processes the precise dating of variables is crucial when empirically testing for cointegration. The data for the latter part of the German hyperinflation episode exhibit I(2) behaviour. We utilize these data to discriminate between alternative expectations hypotheses in the demand for money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 42-44 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:42-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Nikitas Pittis Author-X-Name-First: Nikitas Author-X-Name-Last: Pittis Title: Interest rate linkages within the European Monetary System: an alternative interpretation Abstract: In this note the empirical evidence presented by Karfakis and Moschos (1990) and Katsimbris and Miller (1993) on interest rate linkages in the EMS is reinterpreted and their finding of non-stationarity of interest rate differentials in the EMS is rationalized. It is argued that their results are not counterintuitive if it is taken into account that the integration of financial markets in the EMS has been a gradual process, which has implied slow convergence of interest rates to German levels. Such a dynamic process accounts for the non-stationarity of interest rate differentials. However, the argument that standard parity conditions require pairwise cointegration of interest rates is a valid one once convergence has been achieved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-47 Issue: 2 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:2:p:45-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lloyd Blenman Author-X-Name-First: Lloyd Author-X-Name-Last: Blenman Title: Tests of covered interest parity: a comment Abstract: Tests for the existence of covered interest arbitrage opportunity are complicated by the existence of market incompleteness and the lack of synchronous trading data in foreign exchange markets. The acquisition and use of synchronous data resolves some problems but does not address the issue of heterogeneity. Typically customers face different opportunity sets and tests which purport to find no arbitrage opportunities must take this fact into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-50 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:49-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Minh Dao Author-X-Name-First: Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Dao Author-Name: Abu Wahid Author-X-Name-First: Abu Author-X-Name-Last: Wahid Title: Monetary policy, output and inflation in Bangladesh: a dynamic analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between money, prices, output, and the exchange rate in Bangladesh during the 1974-92 period. Several interesting conclusions can be derived from the paper. First, the inflationary process in Bangladesh cannot be explained exclusively by the monetarist or the structuralist explanation of inflation. Second, regardless of the monetary aggregate employed, monetary policy exerts a significant unidirectional impact on real output. Third, monetary policy and inflation together account for a significant portion of fluctuations in the exchange rate. Finally, it is noted that monetary shocks have a strong, but relatively short-run, impact on inflation. In light of these findings, it can be concluded that monetary policy in Bangladesh should be carried out with extreme caution. While tight money may put a short-term halt to inflation and help stabilize the foreign trade sector, it may also cause a slowdown in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-55 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:51-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Ex ante hedge ratios and the hedging effectiveness of the FTSE-100 stock index futures contract Abstract: This paper examines the hedging effectiveness of the FTSE-100 stock index futures contract over the period 1984-92. Previous studies have examined this issue using ex post hedge ratios, resulting in an overestimation of hedging performance. This study utilizes ex ante hedge ratios which are determined on the basis of historical information. It is shown that while hedge ratios vary through time, nonetheless it is possible to use this futures contract to achieve very substantial risk reduction as compared to an unhedged position. Hedge ratios estimated over longer periods are shown to provide greater risk reduction when applied in subsequent periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 56-59 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:56-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: The impact of international trade on the 'in-house' transaction sector: evidence from the United States, 1985-89 Abstract: This study investigates the impact of international trade on the 'in-house' transaction sector of US manufacturing industries over the period 1985-89. Higher import (export) intensity is found to have a strongly (weakly) negative effect on the relative size of the sector. The need for organizational restructuring seems especially urgent for 'high-tech' industries, which tend to have relatively large private bureaucracies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 60-63 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:60-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. C. Lee Author-X-Name-First: B. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: John Powell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: A behavioural approach to sovereign debt reschedulings Abstract: An early-warning model which predicts the extent of sovereign debt reschedulings is developedusing the behavioural assumption thatindividuals (and governments) develop minimum consumption requirements. Sharp and unexpected falls in income and consumption can threaten these minimum requirements, thus foreshadowing the magnitude of sovereign debt reschedulings as government decision-makers choose to suspend full sovereign debt servicing in order to avoid extreme marginal utility losses. This implication is empirically analysed using data for 88 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 64-66 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:64-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bwo-Nung Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bwo-Nung Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The fractal structure in multinational stock returns Abstract: The essence of fractal analysis is seeking for a pattern that is independent of scale. This paper examines the existence of long-term memory in nine Asian stock markets together with US and UK indices using the modified rescaled-ranged (R/S) statistic. The modified R/S statistic is robust not only with respect to the normality assumption,but also to short-term autocorrelation. The data in the sample range from 1 January 1988 to 30 June 1992 and are arranged in daily, weekly and monthly returns. In most cases, the phenomenon of long-term memory is not found; hence the random walk hypothesis cannot be rejected.The UK market, however, exhibits some long-term memory for various data frequencies and lags. The result of this paper provides directions for future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javed Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: The effect of race on earnings in the United States Abstract: Most studies that have examined the effect of race on earnings in the United States have used aggregated data. This often obscures as much as it reveals.This article computes white-black earnings differentials for a number of relatively narrow groups, and finds that the earnings gap varies considerably across them. By using recent data from 1987, the study also updates earlier estimates of racial differentials. The use of Cotton and Neumark's modified version of the widely used Oaxaca technique, and Heckman's corrections for selectivity bias strengthen the methodological underpinnings of the model, and constitute improvement over previous work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-75 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:72-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Blackburn Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Blackburn Author-Name: Felipe Orduna Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Orduna Author-Name: Martin Sola Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Sola Title: Exponential smoothing and spurious correlation: a note Abstract: Exponential smoothing can introduce spurious auto-correlation in detrended data. The extent of this depends on the length of lag, the value of the smoothing parameter and the nature of the input process. The most widely-used version of exponential smoothing is the Hodrick-Prescott low-frequency filter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 76-79 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:76-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Sheen Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Sheen Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: An analysis of the structural change in the exchange market pressure: Korea, 1980-89 Abstract: This paper tests the stability of the exchange market pressure model in the case of Korea under a managed floating exchange rate. Using the cusum of squares test, we show that the structural stability was broken in about mid-1986. This is plausible given that there was a sudden surplus in the balance of payments in Korea in late 1985. Estimation results show that the exchange market pressure model works very well where there is a surplus in balance of payments; however, its explanatory power is poor in periods of deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-82 Issue: 3 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:80-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bellak Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bellak Title: Foreign direct investments bias the net external asset position Abstract: The bias of the net external asset position (NEAP) which arises from the revaluation of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is examined. The bias is defined as the difference between the historical value and the market value of the balance of inward and outward FDI. Possible effects of the revaluation of FDI on the NEAP are discussed theoretically and empirical evidence is given on the magnitude of the bias. It is concluded that the use of NEAP data with FDI at historic cost - as frequently found to test hypotheses in growth theory and finance theory - leads to positively or negatively biased results in countries with a large net-FDI position compared to their NEA Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-85 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1987 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1987:i:4:p:83-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Estimating efficiency by cost frontiers: a comparison of parametric and nonparametric methods Abstract: Two methods of estimating efficiency by cost frontiers are analysed here by way of generalizing Farrell's convex hull method and illustrated by an empirical application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 86-90 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:86-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Title: An explanation of the slowdown in US economic growth Abstract: This paper provides a Keynesian account of the slowdown in the United States economic growth as suggested by the growth model of Thirlwall. According to Thirlwall's model, economic growth is determined by the dynamic Harrod foreign trade multiplier. This multiplier relation indicates that the fall in the rate of economic growth has been brought about mainly by an increase in the income elasticity of demand for imports Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Arestis Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Arestis Author-Name: I. Biefang-Frisancho Mariscal Author-X-Name-First: I. Biefang-Frisancho Author-X-Name-Last: Mariscal Author-Name: P. G. A. Howells Author-X-Name-First: P. G. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Howells Author-Name: H. -M. Trautwein Author-X-Name-First: H. -M. Author-X-Name-Last: Trautwein Title: The demand for broad money in the United Kingdom and in West Germany: a comparative dynamic short-run study Abstract: This paper examines the short-run adjustment process in the demand for money in the UK and in Germany with a view, particularly, to exploring the consequences of the different experiences of financial innovation in the two countries. Our hypothesis was that interest rate relativities might play a larger role in the UK where a major innovation of the last twenty years has been the rise in the proportion of deposits paying market-sensitive interest rates. The estimations of the short-run dynamic equations, which are satisfactory for both countries, confirmed our view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529810 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529810&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Jan Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Is it real? The relationship between real deficits and real growth: new evidence using long-run data Abstract: Long-run data for the USA is used to examine whether the inflation adjustment of the government budget deficit as proposed by Eisner and Pieper makes a difference in assessing the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth. Using Vector Autoregressions (VAR) it is found that both the inflation adjusted and the unadjusted deficit exert a negative influence on real growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 98-102 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:98-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A note on board directors Abstract: Additional evidence on the importance of independent board directors is provided. A positive and statistically significant link between the shareholder wealth effects of acquisition decisions and the percentage of outside board directors is found. This result is controlled for the possible effects of manager-shareholder interest alignment and synergetic gains. Moreover, the positive wealth effect diminishes as the square of the percentage of outside directors increases, suggesting a critical percentage for outside directors. Also there is evidence that the benefits of outside director monitoring is weakened without a certain level of managerial ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529812 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529812&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jim Millington Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Millington Title: Age and inter-county net migration in Great Britain Abstract: The net migration patterns of four age groups are analysed using National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) inter-county migration data for the periods 1987/88 and 1990/91. Age is shown to have an important bearing upon the relative importance of various determinants of migration. The effect of the movement from national boom to deep recession is also commented upon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-109 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529813 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529813&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:107-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Brookfield Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Brookfield Title: New evidence regarding the statistical properties of the FTA500 UK stock market index Abstract: A well-known fact regarding the distributional properties of stock market returns is that they are fat-tailed. Evidence is provided in this paper of further interesting properties relating to a simple decomposition of returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 110-112 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:110-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: IGARCH and variance change in the US long-run interest rate Abstract: It is shown that a one-time variance change in the US long-run interest rate spuriously suggests that it can be described with an IGARCH(1,1) process. The variance change is detected using a simple statistical test, and it corresponds to a change in monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-114 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529815 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529815&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:113-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Sandra Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Economies of scale in state lotteries: an update and statistical test Abstract: Until 1985, research in the economics literature on state lotteries was based on the simplifying assumption that administrative costs were constant. DeBoer (1985) provided empirical evidence supporting the idea that average administrative costs are not constant, but decline with output. In other words, DeBoer found evidence for the presence of economies of scale in the provision of state lotteries. The purpose of this study is to update and improve upon DeBoer's estimation of the lottery cost function. Unlike DeBoer, we statistically test for the presence of economies of scale in the administration of state lottery games. This study suggests that large scale lottery operations by larger states have lower per-unit costs than lotteries on smaller scales. Our study firmly establishes the presence of statistically significant economies of scale in the provision of state lotteries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-117 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:115-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Yingqui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yingqui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Is money more productive in a developing economy? Abstract: This paper tests the frequently cited hypothesis that money is more productive in a developing economy relative to a developed economy. Output elasticity of money is estimated for 20 countries over the 1977-92 sample period. These countries represent various stages of economic development. Two important conclusions can be derived from the results. First, irrespective of the monetary aggregate employed, the output elasticity of money is extremely low for all 20 countries. Second, the elasticity figure is sensitive neither to the stage of economic development in a particular country nor the period of time under consideration. Consequently, it can be argued that money does not play a more productive role in a developing economy relative to a developed economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 118-121 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:118-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. M. Nelissen Author-X-Name-First: J. H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nelissen Title: Lifetime income distribution: households versus individuals Abstract: Equivalent lifetime income is more equally distributed than individual (non-equivalent) lifetime income. The assumption that lifetime income inequality is smaller than the annual income inequality is confirmed by our results. However, the difference between both appears to be rather small, in particular with respect to the older generations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 122-125 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529818 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529818&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:122-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Does profit-sharing work in a centrally-planned economy? Evidence from the Chinese state industries Abstract: Many studies indicate that profit-sharing is an effective incentive to boost productivity of firms in the western economies such as USA, UK and Germany. Whether a similar incentive scheme can work in a centrally-planned economy like China has not been well researched. China introduced a profit-sharing and bonus-payment scheme in the state-owned enterprises (SOEs) from 1979 in an attempt to reform the state industries. Using a modified CES production function in a non-linear simultaneous system, this study aims to estimate the impact of such a scheme on enterprise performance. It reveals that both labour quality and bonus incentive played an important role in raising SOEs' productivity Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 126-129 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:126-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asraul Hoque Author-X-Name-First: Asraul Author-X-Name-Last: Hoque Title: Co-integrating relationship between terms of trade and current account deficit: the Australian evidence Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between terms of trade and current account deficit (CAD) in Australia using the co-integration approach. The period covered is 1965:I to 1992:IV. Assuming that different exchange rate regimes will have different impacts on the relationship, the study considers three different exchange rate regimes for the period covered. The empirical results indicate that terms of trade along with domestic income and foreign income has a significant long-term relationship with the trade balance during the fixed exchange rate regime (1965:I to 1974:III), but not during the flexible exchange rate period. In other words, terms of trade did not have significant impact on Australia's current account deficit in the flexible exchange rate regime under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 130-133 Issue: 4 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:4:p:130-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Garratt Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Garratt Author-Name: Stephen Hall Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: A proposed framework for monetary policy Abstract: A proposal is outlined for reconciling the use of many indicators or instruments in setting monetary policy, with the need for clarity and openness. The proposal draws on the literature of unobserved component models (Stock and Watson, 1991), constructing the unobserved component using the Kalman Filter, from a set of unobservable series. The technique used allows for cointegration between variables and for the appropriate specification of stochastic trends (Garratt, Hall and Henry, 1992). In the empirical application a single measure of the tightness of monetary policy is derived from a range of observable indicators based on monthly UK data for the period 1978-92. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-138 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:135-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Title: Day of the week effects: new evidence from an emerging stock market Abstract: The primary objective is to investigate day of the week effects in an emerging stock market of a developing country, namely Turkey. Empirical results verify that although day of the week effects are present in Istanbul Securities Exchange Composite Index (ISECI) return data for the period January 1988 to August 1994, these effects change in direction and magnitude through time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-143 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:139-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salim Darbar Author-X-Name-First: Salim Author-X-Name-Last: Darbar Author-Name: Partha Deb Author-X-Name-First: Partha Author-X-Name-Last: Deb Title: Does trading volume have a unit root? Abstract: Time series properties of daily trading volume are examined for 22 New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) firms. Previous studies have found that trading volume of certain financial assets have a unit root. The Phillips-Perron approach, which is robust to heteroskedasticity and non-normality, isused to test the hypothesis of a unit root. There is strong evidence that daily volume is stationary around a linear trend. Also, for many stocks the deterministic trend is statistically significant. This result indicates the importance of appropriate detrending of trading volume before incorporating it in an economic model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 144-147 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:144-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunfeng Song Author-X-Name-First: Shunfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Does generalizing density functions better explain urban commuting? Some evidence from the Los Angeles region Abstract: The assumption thaturban workers economize on commuting is implicit in urban economic theory. Yet it has been challenged by some recent studies. This study estimates commute flows implied by three urban density functions: monocentric, polycentric, and dispersive. A polycentric density function generalizes the standard monocentric model by assuming that employment and worker residences are distributed in a pattern consistent with several employment centres, not just one. A dispersive density function further generalizes the polycentric model by assuming that urban residents not only value access to employment centres but also value access to the overall job opportunities in their location choices. It is found that an urban density function better predicting the actual spatial patterns also better explains the actual commuting behaviour. This finding helps to preserve the assumption that urban workers make attempts to economize on commuting in their location choices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 148-150 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:148-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Billy Mak Author-X-Name-First: Billy Author-X-Name-Last: Mak Title: A note on market integration before and after the stock crash in October 1987 Abstract: Potential gains from international diversification depend upon the degree of market integration. This paper compares the degree of market integration before and after the stock crash in October 1987 and tests whether the results differ across different investment horizons. Empirical results show that the potential gains from diversification are greatly reduced to an increase in the correlation between stock markets after the stock crash. Our results are robust over different investment horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Brailsford Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Brailsford Title: An empirical test of the effect of the return interval on conditional volatility Abstract: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effects have been hypothesized to be caused by variations in the rate of information flow. Further, Nelson (1990, 1992) argues that ARCH effects and persistence in conditional variances should vary across sampling frequencies. However, these claims have not been subject to empirical tests on stock market data when the return interval is measured using intraday data. This paper presents such a test. The results support Nelson's claim that mis-specification in the conditional mean has only a small influence on the estimated conditional variance. Thus, mis-specified ARCH class models can be a consistent 'filter' if high frequency data are employed. At the microstructure level, the results are consistent with the view that ARCH effects are generated by variability in the rate of information arrival. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 156-158 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:156-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Lester Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Property crime and unemployment: a new perspective Abstract: Vanagunas (1984) found a significant association between the unemployment rate of minority males and both motor vehicle theft and the commercial robbery rate. However, he presented no theoretical framework with which to explain these results. This paper attempts to provide a microeconomic foundation for the link between property crime and unemployment. The model is based on a cost-benefit analysis. It is unique in that the behaviour is viewed from the perspective of criminals rather than non-criminals. The empirical findings supported the hypothesis with some qualifications. Only the association between the unemployment rate and the larceny rate was positive and significant for the property crimes of the USA for the period of 1960-90. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Misspecification of the market model: the implications for event studies Abstract: Event studies are increasingly found in the applied finance literature. They are employed to analyse the market reaction to events and thus to investigate market efficiency. The paper is concerned with misspecification testing of the single-index market model which is conventionally employed to generate returns within the event-study method. Weekly data from the constituents of the FT-SE 100 are used in order to subject the single-index market model to rigorous misspecification tests. It is concluded that misspecification is endemic in the market model and that this is likely to lead to incorrect estimation of abnormal returns, and therefore erroneous conclusions concerning the market impact of the event in question. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-165 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:163-165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: The human development index and per capita GDP Abstract: Using cross-section data in regression analysis, this paper examines the relationship between per capita real GDP and the human development index in high, medium and low human development countries. The sensitivity of the human development index to changes in per capita GDP is found to be highest in low human development countries. An 'inverted U' type relationship between per capita GDP and the human development index appears to be valid for medium human development countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 166-167 Issue: 5 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:5:p:166-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anastasios Xepapadeas Author-X-Name-First: Anastasios Author-X-Name-Last: Xepapadeas Author-Name: Hassini Habib Author-X-Name-First: Hassini Author-X-Name-Last: Habib Title: An almost ideal demand system with autoregressive disturbances for dairy products in Greece Abstract: An almost ideal demand system (AIDS) is used to estimate Greek milk, cheese and butter demand from 1960-91. The model is estimated with a correction for serially correlated errors which is proved justified. Elasticities obtained from the Rotterdam and Linear Expenditure models are compared to those obtained from AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-173 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:169-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: An option pricing theory explanation of the increase in the divorce rate Abstract: This paper develops an analogy between a financial call option and a child born within wedlock. Outside marriage an unemancipated child represents a real call option to the parent who gains custody. Present value of court ordered monthly child support payment is the market price of the underlying asset. Exercise price is equal to present value of the costs of raising the child. Life of the option stretches from the date on which the divorce decree is issued to the date of emancipation for the child. Variability can be proxied by the standard deviation of the income of the noncustodial parent. A major policy implication evolves from the analogy. The perverse economic incentive of a parent (custodial) to seek custody of the child to exact economic gains out of the other parent (noncustodial) can be mitigated by reducing the value of the call option feature of the child. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 174-176 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:174-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Kabir Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Export-led growth hypothesis: some empirical testing Abstract: The hypothesis of export-led growth is tested using annual time series data for Australia. The analysis reveals that both exports and the GDP series in log levels have unit roots but they do not cointegrate. However, there is evidence of Granger causality running from exports to GDP growth implying that expansion of exports promotes economic growth in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Title: Resource prices, supply shocks and output fluctuations Abstract: Following King and Plosser's (1984) suggestion, we use the growth of four real natural resource prices to proxy post-war supply shocks and assess their importance in a VAR which controls for aggregate demand influences on real output. We find that these supply shock proxies are able to account for a sizable portion of US post-war output fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-183 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:180-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Changes in the extent of financial integration within the European Community between the 1970s and 1980s Abstract: This study investigates the co-variability of changes in nominal interest rates for the main EC countries between April 1974 and January 1992, using principal components analysis. We find that there is evidence of increased monetary interdependence and greater capital market integration, but this is not a universal or even experience across all countries. EC capital markets also seem to have become more highly integrated than the money markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 184-187 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:184-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Title: Optimal lag length in estimating Dickey-Fuller statistics: an empirical note Abstract: The purpose of this note is to empirically demonstrate that the choice of summary statistic used in specifying the Dickey-Fuller test equation can determine the outcome of a test for stationarity. A reasonable empirical practice would be to evaluate stationarity over different lagged specifications of the Dickey-Fuller test equation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 188-190 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:188-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umit Erol Author-X-Name-First: Umit Author-X-Name-Last: Erol Author-Name: Erol Balkan Author-X-Name-First: Erol Author-X-Name-Last: Balkan Title: A choice-theoretic and information-oriented approach to the short-run characteristics of real and nominal interest rates Abstract: The paper adopts a choice-theoretic, information-oriented approach to the issue of stationarity of real interest rates. It is shown that a constant real rate of interest, even for short run and within the context of a simple two-market framework, requires overly demanding assumptions which are unlikely to be satisfied if efficient market hypothesis is explicitly considered. Such a model which indirectly supports the short-run variability of real interest rates in response to random information signals is tested empirically by utilizing multiple time series models for the 1959-87 observation period. The empirical results suggest a favourable interpretation of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Ukpolo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Ukpolo Title: Exchange rate market efficiency: further evidence from cointegration tests Abstract: This paper examines the hypothesis that foreign exchange market is efficient. Several empirical results from earlier studies have been based on the implicit assumption that time-series data are stationary. But we use cointegration techniques, which imply that time-series data are non-stationary, to test for market efficiency, using Japanese data drawn from the Wall Street Journal. Our results suggest that the Japanese foreign exchange market is inconsistent with the efficiency hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 196-198 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:196-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Title: Long-run and short-run money demand: which price deflator to use? Some evidence using New Zealand data Abstract: When institutional and financial changes are great, findings about the influence of income and opportunity cost variables on money demand, and the stability of any such relationship, may be influenced by how prices are measured. This paper considers the case of New Zealand, which has experienced several large regime shifts in the space of a decade. Using the cointegration/error correction framework, it is found that consumer prices excluding interest costs provide the most meaningful measure of money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 6 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:6:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Linden Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Linden Title: The sizes and powers of some proposed I(1) and I(0) tests for a typical macro-economic time series Abstract: Four alternative tests for nonstationarity and stationarity are analysed in detail for a typical macro-economic time series. The analysed tests (ADF, LMSP, KPSS and G(p, q) tests) are asymptotical tests for the type of process considered. The small sample simulations reveal that the empirical sizes differ from the nominal sizes and the new proposed alternatives to the ADF test do not have bigger powers than these often used test statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Keasey Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Keasey Author-Name: Robert Watson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: The pricing of small firm bank finance: evidence from the UK Abstract: The results indicate that although interest rate premia reflect a number of small firm risk characteristics, they do not seem to have significantly benefited from the increased bank competition of the late 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 208-210 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:208-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudolf Winter-Ebmer Author-X-Name-First: Rudolf Author-X-Name-Last: Winter-Ebmer Title: Does layoff risk explain the firm-size wage differential? Abstract: If less stable (and also less able) workers select themselves into small, unstable and lowpaying firms, predicted layoff risk of workers can be used as a proxy for heterogeneity of workers and should therefore be included in wage regressions. Doing this, one third of the size earnings premium can be explained. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Bilinear quadratic ARCH and volatility spillovers in inter-war exchange rates Abstract: We investigate the properties of floating exchange rates in the inter-war period by estimating a bilinear quadratic ARCH model that allows for non-linearity in both mean and variance. Our analysis suggests that, with one exception, spot rates exhibited non-linearity in either of, or both, mean and variance. Apart from the intrinsic interest of this result it has implications for other work on, for instance, time varying risk premia which are assumed to depend on the conditional variance of forecast errors (ARCH-M models). Our analysis of the inter-war period suggests that such models are misspecified, which may explain the failure to find evidence of significant risk premia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-219 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:215-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Title: English league transfer prices: is there a racial dimension? Abstract: Carmichael and Thomas (1993) recently examined the transfer market for association football within a Nash bargaining framework, and explored empirically some of the determinants of association football transfer prices for the 1990-91 English league season. The purpose of this paper is to examine the role exerted by race in the determination of association football transfer prices. Using data from the 1991-92 English league season, transfer price equations are estimated to establish if black players encounter unequal treatment in the transfer market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 220-222 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:220-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Factor price equalization: revisited Abstract: Although theoretical discussion of Factor Price Equalization (FPE) theorem has been quite prolific in the international economics literature, empirical tests of the FPE theorem have been very limited and inadequately performed. In this paper, we use Johansen's multivariate cointegration testing procedure to test statistically the FPE theorem among seven EC countries for 1960-91. The results show that the FPE theorem is strongly supported for the period considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Cormack Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Cormack Title: A comment on some recent estimates of economies of scale in higher education Abstract: A simulation of the response of teaching labour inputs to a variety of course characteristics results in scale elasticities which are greater than one in the ceteris paribus case, but which are sensitive to course characteristics. Support is given to Nelson and Hevert (1992) who argue that cost functions omitting class size are mis-specified, but the argument is extended to other characteristics. For both Nelson and Hevert, and Lloyd, Morgan and Williams (1993) it is suggested that estimated scale elasticities may be distorted by departmental or institutional decisions to 'spend' some of their cost savings from increased scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-230 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:227-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Liu Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Evan Tanner Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Tanner Title: Intertemporal solvency and breaks in the US deficit process: a maximum-likelihood cointegration approach Abstract: Previous research has shown that the intertemporal solvency condition is equivalent to the cointegration of either (1) the interest-inclusive government spendings and tax revenue or (2) the interest-exclusive government spendings, tax revenue and government outstanding debt. This note examines the intertemporal solvency condition using a maximum likelihood cointegration test. Results show that the solvency condition for the US government is satisfied only if a break is included in the process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-235 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:231-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: Interpreting adjustment cost effects under asymmetry: a note Abstract: This paper examines the Pfann and Verspagen specification for asymmetric adjustment cost. We show that under asymmetry, the coefficient for the linear-quadratic term understates the symmetric part of adjustment cost. The analysis reveals that a positive value for this parameter is sufficient but not necessary for a well-behaved adjustment cost function. The specification satisfies all the requirements when the linear-quadratic coefficient equals zero. We also derive a condition for a well-behaved adjustment cost function within a feasible region when the parameter has negative sign. Since our study expands the range of permissible parameter values, it increases the empirical applicability of the asymmetric adjustment cost function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 236-238 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:236-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. R. Oliver Author-X-Name-First: F. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Author-Name: K. L. Q. Read Author-X-Name-First: K. L. Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Read Title: Measuring inter-national differences in income: a distributional approach Abstract: Statistics of per capita Gross Domestic Product for 178 countries for each of the years between 1970 and 1989 are analysed in order to measure inter-national inequalities and to assess the success of aid from the world's richer economies in reducing them. Conventional statistics of inequality, whether based on moments or on quantiles, show unsatisfactory irregularities. However, two statistical distributions are found which describe the data closely and enable convenient and relatively stable measures of inequality to be obtained. The results show that so far from decreasing, these measures of inter-national inequality approximately trebled during the period 1970-89. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-243 Issue: 7 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:7:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mike Ingham Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Ingham Title: Union joining: an empirical test of the social custom model Abstract: A recent theoretical literature explores why individuals join unions which provide only public goods. This paper finds supportive empirical evidence for one such theory. However, the continued significance of certain personal characteristics in the unionization decision suggests that unions also provide attractive, privately appropriable services to their members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-247 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:245-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Expectations-augmented Phillips curve: further evidence from state economies Abstract: This paper tests the expectations-augmented Phillips-curve hypothesis for the 50 states in the US. Unlike previous work both adaptive and rational expectations are incorporated in the modeling of the Phillips-curve relationship. Second, the role of relative regional wages are taken into account. Third, the wage-price controls of 1971-72 and 1972-73 are included in the modeling efforts. The empirical results suggest that the expectations-augmented Phillips-curve model based on adaptive expectations provides better results across the 50 states than the Phillips-curve model based on rational expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 248-254 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:248-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Estimating the returns to college: a longitudinal analysis Abstract: This study estimates returns to college from longitudinal data for the United States labour market. A combination of actual and projected earnings levels yields rates of return between 12 and 15% for white males who completed four years of college during the early 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-257 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:255-257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Alternative transformations in a class of limited dependent variable models: alcohol consumption by US women Abstract: This study investigates alcohol consumption by women in the United States,using alternative specifications of the double-hurdle models which accommodate non-normal errors. The IHS double-hurdle model performs marginally better than the Box-Cox double-hurdle model but both models suggest very similar elasticities. The profile of a drinker includes white, black, smoker, homeowner, and residing in urban areas. Women who are older, pregnant or lactating, on special diet, and those with higher weight-height ratio are less likely to consume alcohol than others. Seasonal and regional variations are apparent. Smokers are more likely to consume alcohol and also consume more, while older women are less likely to drink and also drink less than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 258-262 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:258-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The implications of cointegration in financial markets Abstract: The associations between cointegration and the measurement of volatility and risk in traditional financial analysis literature are investigated and conferred empirical meanings under various market circumstances via the Granger representation theorem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-265 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:263-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Yonghao Pu Author-X-Name-First: Yonghao Author-X-Name-Last: Pu Title: Unions and the rise in wage inequality in Britain Abstract: This paper lends support to the political explanation for the observed rising wage inequality in Britain in the 1980s and early 1990s. The decline of collective bargaining and other changes in pay arrangements during this time have been to the disadvantage of the low paid. We seek support using a cointegration framework, focusing on union density and strike variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 266-270 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:266-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panayiotis Diamandis Author-X-Name-First: Panayiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Diamandis Author-Name: Georgios Kouretas Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Kouretas Title: Cointegration and market efficiency: a time series analysis of the Greek drachma Abstract: We use multivariate cointegration techniques to examine market efficiency with respect to five bilateral exchange rates of the Greek drachma. The conclusion is that the five exchange rates possess one long-run relationship and that the existence of the cointegration relation is not affected by temporal instability. The market efficiency hypothesis is therefore rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-277 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:271-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Suicide, homicide and unemployment Abstract: The strong association between unemployment and suicide was found in an examination of annual changes in both of these rates in the USA. However, the association between unemployment and suicide appears to be strong in the United States, but weak or non-existent in other nations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 278-279 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:278-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Robert Prince Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Prince Title: The winner/loser hypothesis: some preliminary Australian evidence on the impact of changing risk Abstract: The extent of the winner-loser anomaly on the Austalian equities market for the period 1974-91 is examined. Documentation of the contrarian strategy is argued as being invalid unless compensation is made for changing risk premiums through time. The evidence shows a slight reversal for the winner portfolio based on raw returns, but risk adjusted winners continue to be winners and losers persist as losers although the behaviour is not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 280-283 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:280-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Jen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Test of variable output and scale elasticities for 20 US manufacturing industries Abstract: The production function is examined and tests are made to determine whether or not output and scale elasticities vary across individual industries based on a new CES or the Box-Cox production function and a pooled data set of 20 US manufacturing industries during 1987-91. This approach differs from the conventional method of using long time-series data to estimate output or scale elasticities for each of the 20 manufacturing industries. This new CES function has the advantages of including the Cobb-Douglas and linear functions as special cases, less multicollinearity problems, and more flexibility of output and scale elasticities. Empirical work shows that the new CES function yields better results. Both the Cobb-Douglas (double-log) and linear functions can be rejected at the 1% level. Output-labour elasticities varied from a low of 0.18 for tobacco to a high of 0.70 for apparel. Output-capital elasticities also ranged from 0.31 for apparel to 0.88 for petroleum. Total output or scale elasticities ranged from 0.51 for tobacco to 1.24 for primary metal. Thus, individual industries exhibit different output and scale elasticities. Although many industries show constant returns to scale, there are a number of industries that display decreasing or increasing returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 284-287 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:284-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Abhyankar Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Abhyankar Author-Name: L. S. Copeland Author-X-Name-First: L. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Copeland Author-Name: W. Wong Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Moment condition failure in high frequency financial data: evidence from the S&P 500 Abstract: Loretan-Phillips maximal moment exponent estimators are used to investigate the distribution of S&P 500 stock returns at a range of different frequencies. In all cases, the variance is found to be finite, but the existence of higher-order moments is in some doubt. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 288-290 Issue: 8 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:8:p:288-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Chappell Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chappell Author-Name: Joanne Padmore Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Padmore Title: Changes in volatility of the sterling-Deutschmark exchange rate: the effect of ERM membership Abstract: The behaviour of the sterling-Deutschmark exchange rate is examined over a period from November 1988 to May 1994. At the beginning of this time period sterling did not belong to the ERM, it entered in October 1990 and was withdrawn in September 1992. In this study the effect of operating within the ERM on the volatility of the exchange rate is examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-294 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:291-294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carol Horton Tremblay Author-X-Name-First: Carol Horton Author-X-Name-Last: Tremblay Author-Name: Victor Tremblay Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Tremblay Title: Children and the economics of Christmas gift-giving Abstract: In spite of its importance to the retail sector, there has been relatively little research on the economics of Christmas Season gift-giving. The one exception is Waldfogel (1993), The Deadweight loss of Christmas, American Economic Review, 83, 1328-1336, who found a substantial amount of deadweight loss associated with Christmas gift-giving. Here it is shown that the Waldfogel study is incomplete and alternative models of consumer choice theory which better explain Christmas gift-giving are identified. Although the standard neoclassical and altruistic models predict no relationship between the population of children and per capita Christmas spending, a model is developed that includes non-pecuniary externalities and predicts that children have a positive impact on Christmas gift-giving. This prediction is supported by empirical evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-297 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:295-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Greene Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Emily Hoffnar Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffnar Title: Political empowerment: earnings in the presence of African-American mayors Abstract: A full interactive earnings model measures the earnings premium enjoyed by African-American men in cities headed by African-American mayors. After controlling for selection into the labour force, African-American men in such cities are found to enjoy a 7.9% earnings premium, which derives mainly from a higher return to high-school education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 298-301 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:298-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Kaldor's technical progress function revisited Abstract: Here, Kaldor's technical function is re-examined and a model that can be used to test the shape of the function is introduced and tested. The results obtained conclusively refute the hypothesis that suggests the technical progress function is linear and confirm Kaldor's original hypothesis that suggests it is “convex upwards”. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 302-304 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:302-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Author-Name: Susan Washburn Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Susan Washburn Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Structural change in the relationship between presidential popularity and inflation and unemployment: the Nixon and Ford presidencies Abstract: A quadratic presidential popularity function for the Nixon and Ford presidencies is estimated. Using monthly data it is found that there is a structural change in the relationship between presidential popularity and inflation and unemployment between the two presidencies. This result strengthens the authors' earlier finding that one must be wary of using a single social preference function between inflation and unemployment that is time invariant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-307 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:305-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Fachin Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Fachin Title: The Finnish demand for money revisited: an application of Box-Tiao cointegration analysis and bootstrap tests Abstract: The Johansen and Juselius (1990) data on the money demand in Finland are re-examined through the Box-Tiao (1977) canonical correlation procedure, and the existence of stationary cointegrating vectors tested through the bootstrap. The conclusions reached are that (1) the Johansen and Juselius results are remarkably confirmed, and (2) the bootstrap proves to be a valuable tool, enabling robust and simple cointegration tests to be carried out as non-stationarity tests on the estimated cointegrating relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 308-310 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:308-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis revisited Abstract: The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis is revisited using the modern Phillips-Hansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least squares (FM-OLS) procedure. It corrects for both endogeneity in the data and asymptotic bias in the coefficient estimates. The volatile decade of the 1980s is the chosen sample. The necessary and sufficient condition for market efficiency/unbiasedness is tested by sequentially conducting the Phillips-Ouliaris non-stationarity test on the residuals and the FM-WALD test for the required parameter values. Across the board evidence is found supporting cointegration between future spot rates and forward rates, i.e. the necessary condition is satisfied. But both the necessary and sufficient condition is supported for two out of four currencies, presumably due to the presence of the risk premium and/or market imperfections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Purchasing power parity doctrine: weak and strong form tests Abstract: The purchasing power parity hypothesis is investigated within a highly economically integrated set of nations, namely the European Monetary System (EMS). The modern Phillips-Hansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) procedure is used, which for the first time allows for an unrestricted cointegration test of the PPP doctrine. It corrects for both endogeneity in the data and asymptotic bias in the coefficient estimates. The entire floating exchange rate period is studied. The weak form (necessary condition) and strong form (necessary and sufficient condition) of PPP are sequentially tested for. The Phillips-Ouliaris non-stationarity test on the exchange rate-price ratio series residuals and the FM-WALD test for the required parameter values are conducted. Across the board evidence is found supporting co-integration between exchange rate and prices, i.e. the necessary condition (weak form PPP) is satisfied, with the sole exception of the Belgian Franc. But the necessary and sufficient condition (strong form PPP) is not supported for any of the currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 316-320 Issue: 9 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:9:p:316-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Pasqual Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Pasqual Author-Name: Jose Antonio Tarrio Author-X-Name-First: Jose Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Tarrio Title: Optimal time-phasing of investment: a consolidated spurious model Abstract: Previous studies have presented a model to determine the profitability of delaying a project for a period. In the model it is implicitly assumed that no change affects the project during the period in question. This assumption is opposed to those usually made in dynamic models. Analysing the model, we see that the condition for the postponement of the project to be optimal is indistinguishable from the general profitability condition (net present value > 0): it is worth deferring unprofitable projects and not deferring the profitable ones. The problem these authors considered is thus non-existent, unless the model is modified to incorporate ad hoc assumptions Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-322 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518979 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518979&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:321-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Paul Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Title: Autocorrelations, returns and Australian financial futures Abstract: This paper explores whether predictable autocorrelation structures exist in returns data on Australian financial futures. We explore the data using power transformations and find that for the bank accepted bills market there are potential gains from this strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-326 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:323-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Joelle Miffre Author-X-Name-First: Joelle Author-X-Name-Last: Miffre Title: A note on forecasting the CAC 40 and DAX stock index futures Abstract: In this paper we extend the research on the predictability of stock and bond markets to futures markets. By using stock and bond market forecasting variables we build ex ante models of the MATIF CAC 40 and DFB DAX stock index futures contracts. Since it is possible to construct a practical trading rule from the out-of-sample forecasts from these models, we use these models as a valid test of the efficient market hypothesis. We find that while we can develop a profitable trading rule for the French contract, a similar profitable trading rule for the German contract cannot be developed. Our results appear to suggest that the stock index futures market in France appears to be weakly inefficient, while the German model may only represent spurious correlations between the forecasting variables and the DFB DAX contract. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-330 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:327-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Title: Returns and firm size: A note on the UK experience 1970-1991 Abstract: Examining UK companies traded on the London Stock Exchange, the evidence reported in this note implies that prior to mid-1989 smaller companies consistently outperformed the market portfolio. Since then, however, the 'size effect' has disappeared. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518982 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518982&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brockman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brockman Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Title: Information shares in Canadian agricultural cash and futures markets Abstract: This paper examines the information shares in four pairs of Canadian agricultural cash and futures markets by exploring their cointegrating relationships. Using error correction models (ECMs) and Hasbrouck's econometric method of estimating information shares, the results show that the price discovery process is most pronounced in the futures market. The identification and quantification of the dominant market of price discovery is of great interest to both hedgers and speculators. The advantage of Hasbrouck's technique is that it facilitates the quantification of the concept of price discovery and market dominance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518983 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518983&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: A time-varying parameter consumption model for the UK Abstract: This paper uses a time varying parameter (TVP) approach to model and forecast the aggregate consumers' expenditure on non-durables and services in the UK. The results suggest that the TVP method is particularly useful in forecasting when the structure of the consumption model is unstable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-342 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518984 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:339-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Peter Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Satellite broadcasting and match attendance: the case of rugby league Abstract: A recent development in the UK television industry has been the emergence of satellite and cable broadcasting. We examine the entrance of the BSkyB satellite network into the coverage of the first division of the rugby football league over the 1993-94 season. This paper extends the familiar model of sport attendance to incorporate the live television transmission of games which is found to exert a negative influence on attendance. Our result suggests considerable scope for future research in this neglected aspect of the factors affecting sport attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-346 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518985 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518985&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:343-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Malliaropulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Malliaropulos Title: Testing long-run neutrality of money: evidence from the UK Abstract: The paper presents empirical evidence on the long-run neutrality of monetary policy in the UK based on the methodology developed by Fisher and Seater. Money is found to be long-run neutral with respect to real GDP and real equity prices. However, in the short to medium term permanent positive shocks to money supply seem to be positively correlated with real GDP and negatively correlated with real equity prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518986 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518986&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Ade Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Ade Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: A note on benefit differentials of black and white female workers Abstract: Large national micro-data bases (such as Current Population Survey and Survey of Income and Programme Participation) lack information on employer outlays for the fringe benefits paid workers. Therefore, this paper motivates research on intra-firm black-white differences in non-wage fringe benefits using data on female office workers of a large public university. Empirical results indicate that racial differences exist among the fringes (pension, health and life insurance, sick leave, longevity pay, vacation) and also vary across department sizes. The differentials tend to disappear, however, when combined benefits or total compensation is used as a modelling framework. These results suggest potential sensitivity of regression model estimates, of black-white benefit gaps to the degree of aggregation in the data being modelled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518987 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518987&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Capacity utilization in the USA and inflation: testing for cointegration and Granger causality Abstract: This paper investigates the long-run and short-run dynamics between capacity utilization and inflation in the USA by using cointegration and error-correction models. It employs monthly data from January 1984 to December 1994. Although each variable in level is found non-stationary by unit root tests, ADF tests and error-correction models fail to confirm any long-run association between capacity utilization and inflation. Despite a lack of cointegration, error-correction models have been utilized to identify Granger causality that has been found to run from total industrial capacity utilization to inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Title: Measuring the effects of regulation: an event study of the English and Welsh water industry Abstract: An event study methodology is used to identify and analyse the key regulatory initiatives taken by the economic regulator of the English and Welsh water industry during the period 1989-1994. By analysing movements in water company share returns relative to the stock market as a whole it is possible to see whether regulatory interventions had any effect on investor expectations. The results are consistent with the rejection of the hypothesis of regulatory capture, and with the view that the economic regulator sought to balance the demands of companies and customers through various policy initiatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Dynamic Farrell efficiency: a time series application Abstract: Dynamic versions of Farrell efficiency are formulated here and empirically applied to airlines data to estimate productivity growth and technical efficiency changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-366 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518990 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518990&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:363-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saud Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Saud Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: Derek Hum Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Hum Title: Graduated work incentives and how they affect marital stability: the Canadian evidence Abstract: This paper examines how NIT payments might destabilize marriages by enhancing the economic quality of alternatives to married life. Data from Canada's MINCOME experiment indicates that the various levels of GAI support did have a stabilizing influence on its participants' marriages. This suggests that the nature of a support programme may influence the stability of low-income households, thereby making a much needed dent in the cycle of marital dissolution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518991 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518991&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Madden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Omitted variables, dynamic specification and tests for homogeneity Abstract: This note examines the sensitivity of tests for homogeneity in demand systems to such factors as omitted variables and dynamic and stochastic specification. It estimates demand systems for Ireland using time-series data for different unconditional demand systems with differing dynamic and stochastic specification and also estimates a conditional demand system, thus attempting to reconcile disparate results from previous work in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 372-374 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:372-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suzhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Suzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Paul Ellinger Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Ellinger Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: The choice of functional form and estimation of banking inefficiency Abstract: The effects of alternative functional forms on parametric estimation of a multi-product cost function are examined using a sample of rural US banks. Functional forms considered for possible choice are three versions of second-order Taylor-series expansions (or locally-flexible functional forms-translog, normalized quadratic, and generalized Leontief. The generalized quadratic Box-Cox transformation and the likelihood dominance criterion are used as vehicles for conducting nested and non-nested tests. Although all three forms are rejected by the nested test, the likelihood dominance criterion indicates that the translog is clearly preferred over the other two as the functional form of choice. Using either of the other functional forms would substantially alter conclusions about both scale elasticities and inefficiencies, including the impact of bank size on these measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-379 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518993 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518993&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:375-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Karathanassis Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Karathanassis Author-Name: C. Patsos Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patsos Title: Heteroscedasticity and other misspecification issues in the market model Abstract: In this paper the authors attempt to analyse the validity of the traditional market model in the complex environment of emerging and bullish markets where heteroscedasticity and other misspecification issues are detected through application of a wide range of appropriate empirical tests and tools. The issue which the authors investigate is generally related to excess volatility caused either by market over-reaction or by changes in the market regime accompanied by changes in the systematic risk (beta) or by short-period non-informational 'noise' accompanied by violations of the classical assumptions on the residuals of the market model. The results of this work highlight and reveal several sides of relatively unknown and empirically confused areas regarding market efficiency and appropriateness and adequacy of the market model, as well as certain unusual features of investor behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 380-382 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518994 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518994&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:380-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Rand Ressler Author-X-Name-First: Rand Author-X-Name-Last: Ressler Title: An empirical note on the impact of college athletics on tuition revenues Abstract: The economics and sociology literature has given much attention to the proper role of athletics in the mission of institutions of higher education. This discussion has turned into a debate; one argument holds that athletics fit nicely into the mission of most colleges. However, it has also been argued that athletics impede the students and faculty from achieving their academic potential. We argue that college athletics can increase the demand to attend the institution and lower the price elasticity of demand of non-resident students. This, in turn, increases the level of financial resources available to the institution. We model the percentage of out-of-state students as being dependent upon athletic success (among other variables) and find a positive and significant relationship between the two. In addition, potential net revenue gains from athletic success are provided for specific institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-387 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518995 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518995&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:383-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Title: Differentiating use and non-use values with the properties of the variation function Abstract: A technique for measuring the use and non-use components of the total value of a quality change is proposed. The technique is illustrated using data from a study of the Pamlico Sound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 388-390 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:388-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Ostermark Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Ostermark Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Author-Name: Jaana Aaltonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaana Author-X-Name-Last: Aaltonen Title: The predictability of Finnish stock index futures and cash returns by derivatives volume Abstract: The predictability of Finnish stock index futures and cash returns by the volume of stock index options and futures is investigated. Relying on Granger causality tests and vector autoregression, the results support the hypothesis that derivatives trading volume cannot be used to predict returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-393 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518997 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518997&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:391-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Evidence on volatility spillovers in the interwar floating exchange rate period based on high/low prices Abstract: Evidence of volatility spillovers between four foreign exchange rates is examined in the interwar floating exchange rate period using daily high and low prices rather than closing prices. It is found that volatility is highly persistent and that spillovers occur. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 394-396 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:394-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Unit roots cointegration and the demand for money in India Abstract: It is shown that the variables in the demand for money in India are unit root variables. Therefore the long- and short-run money demand functions are estimated using cointegration methods and error correction formulation. It is found that the long-run income and interest rate elasticities are about 1.5 and -0.42 respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-399 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:397-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Ulf-G Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: Ulf-G Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Title: A pilot test of using the veil of ignorance approach to estimate a social welfare function for income Abstract: The veil of ignorance approach is tested as a basis for empirically determining the shape of the social welfare function for income. An experiment is carried out where the participants choose between different societies that differ with respect to per capita income and the distribution of income. The answers are analysed using logistic regression analysis. According to the results the respondents are willing to give up Swedish Crowns (SEK) 1 in the group with more income to gain SEK 0.35 in the group with less income, but this trade-off is independent of the size of the difference in income between the groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 400-402 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519000 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519000&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:400-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cunningham Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cunningham Author-Name: J. Vilasuso Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Vilasuso Title: Time aggregation and causality tests: results from a monte carlo experiment Abstract: This paper examines the importance of time aggregation in causality testing. We find that temporal aggregates are between two and ten times more unlikely to detect a true causal relationship than are systematic sampled aggregates over short aggregation spans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-405 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519001 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519001&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:403-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Newton Lowry Author-X-Name-First: Mark Newton Author-X-Name-Last: Lowry Author-Name: Lawrence Kaufmann Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Kaufmann Title: The treatment of Z factors in price cap plans Abstract: Z factors are a commonly misunderstood but important component of price cap regulation. A typical concern is that they result in a double counting of special business conditions in the price cap index. This letter explains the mathematical logic for Z factors and shows that they need not result in double counting. Implementation issues are briefly discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 406-408 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519002 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519002&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:406-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Steeley Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: The use of spline functions for forecasting in the presence of structural changes: a cautionary tale Abstract: A number of methods have been suggested to improve forecasts for data sets subject to structural breaks. This article explains why one such procedure, the spline function technique, may not be a natural candidate. An example is given where data that appeared to be well forecast using spline functions performed poorly beyond a very short forecasting horizon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-411 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:409-411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Sachinides Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Sachinides Title: Seigniorage versus inflation tax: a comment Abstract: This paper is a comment on an article by de Haan et al. (1993) on seigniorage in developing countries. It is argued that de Haan et al. conflate the concepts of seigniorage and inflation tax, although it is now established that these two concepts are distinct. Furthermore, the measures they employ to calculate inflation tax and seigniorage are questioned. Examples suggest that they systematically overestimate seigniorage and miscalculate the inflation tax. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 412-414 Issue: 10 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/758519004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758519004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:10:p:412-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Asymmetry in the variance of economic activity: evidence for long-run UK GDP Abstract: The purpose is to document the significance of non-linearity in the conditional mean and variance of the long-run annual UK GDP growth rate. In particular, an examination is made of asymmetry in conditional variance with respect to past shocks which implies that the conditional variance is greater, and the conditional variance function steeper, following negative shocks to output growth. Simulations of the estimated model also suggest the potential for complex dynamics including substantial amplitude changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. R. Vasudeva Murthy Author-X-Name-First: N. R. Vasudeva Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Author-Name: Victor Ukpolo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Ukpolo Title: Aggregate health care expenditure in the United States: new results Abstract: This research note, upon rectifying some inadvertently transposed entries in the observation matrix which was used in the authors' original article (Murthy and Ukpolo, 1994), using the maximum likelihood technique investigates whether in the United States during the period 1960-87, real per capita health care expenditure is related to real per capita income, the age structure of the population, number of practicing physicians, the relative price of health care and the ratio of public health care expenditure to total health care expenditure. While new results reveal the presence of two cointegrating vectors, the basic findings are consistent with the empirical evidence reported in the original paper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-421 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:419-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Author-Name: Domenico Mignacca Author-X-Name-First: Domenico Author-X-Name-Last: Mignacca Title: Nonlinearities in business cycle: SETAR models and G7 industrial production data Abstract: In this paper we enquire if nonlinear or linear models produce iid residuals using the BDS test for the G7 industrial production series. We found that nonlinear models produce iid residual for the USA, and evidence of NL are also detected for Canada and Germany, while Japanese data does not reject the alternatives, and the L model is rejected for Italy, France and the UK. On this evidence, 'white chaos' data generation processes cannot be rejected. We evaluate the linear and nonlinear impulse response functions finding that: long-run multipliers are smaller for European countries; long-run asymmetries are evident for the USA, Canada and West Germany. Differently from previous research, our results show that the non-linear hypothesis has to be taken seriously, but with some caution because of not entirely satisfactory forecast performance and asymmetries (this is especially true for the US series). On the other hand, the hypothesis of linearity can be rejected with greater confidence, since it almost always fails to encompass the alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 422-427 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:422-427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: A measure of persistence in daily pound exchange rates Abstract: An alternative procedure to that of Lo is proposed for assessing whether there is significant evidence of persistence in time series. The technique estimates the Hurst exponent itself, and significance testing is based on an application of bootstrapping using surrogate data. The method is applied to a set of 10 daily pound exchange rates. A general lack of long-term memory is found to characterize all the series tested, in sympathy with the findings of a number of other recent papers which have used Lo's techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 428-431 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:428-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kofi Amoateng Author-X-Name-First: Kofi Author-X-Name-Last: Amoateng Title: The relationship between real long-short interest spread differentials and real exchange rates Abstract: This paper opens up an empirical investigation of the nature of the link between real long-short interest spread differentials and real exchange rates for the integrated financial markets in the industrialized world from the 1980s and the early 1990s. The consistent evidence is that there is a long-run relationship between real exchange rates and real long-short interest spread differentials and vice versa for the UK/US markets. Also, the coefficient of the error-correction term significantly estimates feedback from the real long-short interest spread differentials to real exchange rates and vice versa in the UK/US markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-436 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:432-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Title: Are devaluations effective in inducing real depreciations in sub-Saharan Africa? Abstract: The analysis of this paper, with pooled data for 20 countries in sub-Saharan Africa during 1971-1991, indicates that nominal devaluations are effective in inducing permanent depreciations in the real exchange rate (RER). A 10% nominal devaluation of the domestic currency (expressed in units per US dollar) translates into a real depreciation of 8.8 and 7.7% in the short and long run, respectively. It is also established that the RER appreciates with an increase in inflation tax. A policy implication of these results is that nominal devaluations are effective in keeping the RER close to a level that maintains external competitiveness, if accompanied by appropriate restrictive monetary and fiscal policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-439 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:437-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuejun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xuejun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Equilibrium models of asset pricing with progressive taxation and tax evasion Abstract: This note examines the effect of tax evasion on the excess rate of return. With a simple assumption about tax evasion, we find that a small successful tax evasion will lower the excess rate of return at an increasing rate under progressive taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-443 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:440-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerald Lynch Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Lynch Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Velocity and the variability of anticipated and unanticipated money growth: a cross-country comparison Abstract: This paper uses a Granger causality test to determine if increased instability in the money supply of a country leads to a decline in velocity in that country. This research adds two new dimensions to the literature in this area. First, monetary growth is decomposed into anticipated and unanticipated components. Second, we extend the study to all of the G-7 countries. Our empirical results support the existence of a relationship between monetary instability and velocity growth in the G-7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 444-448 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:444-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Wong Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Market reactions to several popular trend-chasing technical signals Abstract: This is a study of abnormal patterns of returns associated with several trend-chasing technical signals commonly found in newspapers, finance magazines and technical analysts' reports in the Hong Kong stock market. With event-study methodology, it finds significantly positive (or negative) nominal and excess returns in the period after the signals change to provide bullish (or bearish) signals. Furthermore, it shows that the price tends to be more volatile in the period before the signal changes. These results support the conjecture that trend-chasing signals constitute important information in the market and they have an impact on stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-456 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:449-456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Tan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Tan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Relative price dispersion and inflation: evidence from Taiwan's hyperinflation Abstract: Evidence is presented that a positive association existed between inflation and relative prices for Taiwan during a period of hyperinflation (1946-1949). The empirical result is consistent with most of the findings in the literature. Intramarket price dispersion is positively related to the average market rate of price change, but the strength of this relationship differs across the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-459 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:457-459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kiseok Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kiseok Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Shawn Ni Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Title: Inflation uncertainty and real economic activities Abstract: Inflation uncertainty is shown to have highly significant negative correlations with real activities if the uncertainty is measured by a state-dependent conditional variance model. The results are consistent with those obtained from survey data and cross-country data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 460-462 Issue: 11 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595357069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595357069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:11:p:460-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaume Puig Junoy Author-X-Name-First: Jaume Puig Author-X-Name-Last: Junoy Author-Name: Angel Lopez Nicoĺs Author-X-Name-First: Angel Lopez Author-X-Name-Last: Nicoĺs Title: Assessing health care infrastructure at the regional level: a statistical approach Abstract: In this paper we construct a set of infrastructure and health-need synthetic indices for the Spanish Autonomous Communities out of a wide range of representative variables by means of the statistical technique of principal components. The combination of both infrastructure and need indices yields a final index of relative coverage which proxies the access to publicly insured health care conditions of Spanish citizens in different regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Hietala Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Hietala Author-Name: Matti Keloharju Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Keloharju Title: The ex-dividend day behaviour of Finnish restricted and unrestricted shares Abstract: We analyse the ex-dividend day behaviour of two classes of shares whose trading is potentially dominated by investors under different tax regimes because of foreign ownership restrictions. Our results provide evidence in favour of the hypothesis that long-term investors are the marginal investors that determine the stock prices around the ex-dividend day, and against the hypothesis that short-term trading is the driving force behind equilibrium ex-dividend ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-468 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:467-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Academic staff salaries: equity and exploitation Abstract: Utilizing existing survey data and calculated salary means for academic staff, an examination of two aspects of remuneration is undertaken. First, salary differentials between academic staff and second, the value of work undertaken outside office hours. Findings indicate that only a small proportion of existing salary differentials can be attributed to the number of hours worked. Second, a measure of exploitation by universities is calculated indicating that approximately one-third of salaries are 'earned' outside normal working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Maxwell Alchin Author-X-Name-First: Terry Maxwell Author-X-Name-Last: Alchin Title: A note on tobacco product prices in the Australian CPI Abstract: This paper analyses the continuation of tobacco product prices within the Consumer Price Index (CPI) compiled by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) in Australia. There are important areas concerning packet sizes, nicotine content and tar content that make the continued inclusion of such prices inconsistent between periods. This is also important when one considers the changing patterns of tobacco consumption and the need to incorporate such changes in any Australian CPI. The paper concludes with a recommendation that tobacco be removed from the CPI so that smokers whose income is linked to the CPI are not 'cushioned' from tobacco price rises which result from increased tobacco product taxation. Recent increases in the Australian CPI are used to illustrate how the cyclical nature of increased tobacco prices in the Australian CPI raise the excise tax rates and the continued inclusion of tobacco prices in the Australian CPI raises government benefits as a result. This means that the important sumptuary tax role of tobacco tax could be reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-477 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razzaque Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: Razzaque Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: An alternative approach to testing uncovered interest parity Abstract: This paper presents some evidence on the uncovered interest parity (UIP) hypothesis using an alternative model specification and quarterly data on three-month treasury bill rates denominated in eleven currencies vis-a-vis the dollar. Results of cointegration and coefficient restriction tests are strongly supportive of UIP in all cases. These results suggest that capital and foreign exchange markets have become highly integrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 478-481 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:478-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The supply side effects of inflation in the United States: evidence from multifactor productivity Abstract: The hypothesis that inflation has reduced the rate of growth in the United States is tested using time series data for multifactor productivity. The negative effects of inflation on growth are significant and substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 482-483 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:482-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Bernd Jan Sikken Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Sikken Author-Name: Andrew Hilder Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hilder Title: On the relationship between the debt ratio and debt maturity Abstract: The relationship between government debt and the maturity of government debt is analysed for eight OECD countries. It is found that the negative relationship between debt and effective maturity as reported by Missale and Blanchard (1994) for Ireland and Italy can also be found for some other countries with lower debt ratios. Furthermore, this negative relationship occurs only in periods when debt ratios rise. For Canada and the US, on the other hand, a positive relationship is found between debt and debt maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 484-486 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:484-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Eagle Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Eagle Author-Name: Dale Domian Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Domian Title: Quasi-real bonds: inflation-indexing that retains the government's hedge against aggregate-supply shocks Abstract: Inflation-indexed bonds, such as the UK's indexed-linked gilts and Canada's real return bonds, are hailed by economists for reducing inflation risk to both borrowers and lenders. However, we find that fixed-rate bonds have an advantage over inflation-indexed bonds by providing borrowers with a hedge against aggregate-supply shocks. National governments would benefit from this in the event of a major catastrophe that substantially reduces aggregate supply. To retain this hedge and still provide indexing for aggregate-demand-caused inflation, we propose a financial innovation called quasi-real bonds which are indexed to nominal GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-490 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:487-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Kumiko Okamura Author-X-Name-First: Kumiko Author-X-Name-Last: Okamura Title: History versus expectations: test of new growth theory Abstract: Which of the two forces, past history or future expectations, plays a more dominant role in economic growth? This hypothesis is econometrically tested here for Japan over the period 1965-90 and the evidence suggests a more dominant role for the forward looking expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-494 Issue: 12 Volume: 2 Year: 1995 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048595356952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048595356952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:12:p:491-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. M. Burton Author-X-Name-First: B. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: A. A. Lonie Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lonie Author-Name: D. M. Power Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: Corporate growth and the equity-debt choice Abstract: In this paper we extend the analysis of earlier investigations into the relationship between patterns of corporate growth and the announcement of new financing (see for example, Pilotte 1992; Burton et al., 1993) by examining the growth in turnover and earnings achieved by equity and debt-issuing firms. We study the performance of UK firms which made new financing announcements between 1989 and 1991 and find (i) that corporate growth generally declined in the years which followed the announcement date and (ii) that equity-issuing firms exhibited higher pre-announcement growth in sales turnover and in earnings than their debt-issuing counterparts - significantly higher growth in the case of the expansion in the value of sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Szulc Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Szulc Title: Purchasing power parities and consumer theory Abstract: Purchasing power parities are calculated using the index number defined as a ratio of cost functions in two price situations. The definition does not require similarity of preference across countries. Necessary parameters are estimated using translogarithmic Hicksian budget shares. The results may be useful in comparisons of consumption because of the relevance to the consumer theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:5-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rungsun Hataiseree Author-X-Name-First: Rungsun Author-X-Name-Last: Hataiseree Author-Name: Anthony Phipps Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Phipps Title: The degree of capital mobility in Thailand: some estimates using a cointegration approach Abstract: An empirical estimate of the degree of international capital mobility in Thailand is given. A model of interest rate determination which allows for imperfectly mobile capital and the impact of both domestic and international influences on the domestic rate is developed and estimated using cointegration techniques. The results indicate that domestic interest rates have been influenced significantly by foreign interest rates. However, despite several reductions in capital control in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the degree of capital mobility appears not to be as high as previously reported nor to have increased significantly. The finding of a moderately high degree of capital mobility coupled with a reasonable EC-type, short-run dynamic adjustment equation for the domestic interest rate implies that there is still some scope for the Thai authorities to conduct an independent monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:9-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rita Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: Hany Shawky Author-X-Name-First: Hany Author-X-Name-Last: Shawky Title: The impact of political shocks on cointegrated exchange rate series Abstract: This study applies cointegration tests with time-dependent dummies to assess the impact of the Gulf War on the relationship between the forward exchange rate and the spot exchange rate using the British pound and the Japanese yen in terms of the US dollar. Cointegration of the spot and forward rate series cannot be supported for each of the exchange rates for a sample period around the Gulf War unless a five-week dummy is introduced starting in the Invasion week. The evidence is consistent with the existing literature in that it indirectly supports the long-run relationship between the spot and forward rates and confirms that short-run disruptions could occur and are consistent with the long-run relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Chambers Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Chambers Title: Speed of adjustment and estimation of the partial adjustment model Abstract: The effect which the speed of adjustment parameter has on the statistical properties of the partial adjustment model, and estimates of its parameters, is investigated. It is shown that in the case of very rapid adjustment, the model approaches a classical (static) regression model, but in the case of very slow adjustment, the dependent (or state) variable displays near random walk behaviour. The finite sample performance of the nonlinear least squares estimator is investigated in a simulation study, and it is found that substantial bias and mean squared error can be a feature of the estimates in the model with very slow adjustment. This suggests that extreme caution should be exercised in situations where the estimated speed of adjustment parameter is found to be small. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525509 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525509&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vernon Gayle Author-X-Name-First: Vernon Author-X-Name-Last: Gayle Title: The determinants of student loan take-up in the United Kingdom: another gaze Abstract: This paper makes a comparison and contrast with the work of Johnes (1994). A similar set of survey results are employed to identify the variables which influence undergraduates' decision to take out student loans. In general income factors are not found to be significant. There is evidence that being in debt is influential. This concurs with Johnes' findings, although in this research credit card debts are also found to be a significant influence. The results suggest that marital status has a significant effect on taking out a loan, but the direction of the effect opposes Johnes results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:25-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: An investigation of cointegration and causality between fertility and female labour force participation Abstract: Applying Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method, this paper examines the causality between fertility and female labour participation using transformed US data for the period 1948-93. The PP tests reveal that the original series are not stationary; therefore, a first differencing is performed. This study finds that there is a undirectional causality running from BR to FR with no feedback. The results confirm the hypothesis that the presence of small children discourages a woman from seeking employment outside the house, yet employment does not affect women's decision to have children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:29-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahendra Raj Author-X-Name-First: Mahendra Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Author-Name: David Thurston Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: Effectiveness of simple technical trading rules in the Hong Kong futures markets Abstract: Weak-form market efficiency states that past information cannot be used to consistently generate excess returns. So, technical analysis which uses past information on securities should not help generate abnormal profits consistently in a weak-form efficient market. In the present study, two simple technical trading strategies - Moving-Average-Oscillator and Trading Range Break-Out - are implemented to test whether they result in excess returns. The study is performed on the Hang Seng Futures Index, traded at the Hong Kong Futures Exchange. It is found that the moving average strategy does not produce significant excess returns, but four out of the six Trading Range Break-Out rules resulted in significant positive returns for the buy signal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-36 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:33-36 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan King Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Aggregate health care expenditure in the United States: evidence from cointegration tests: a comment Abstract: Murthy and Ukpolo (1994) recently estimated a model of aggregate health care expenditure for the United States using cointegration techniques. Their choice of dependent variable, however, introduced the possibility of simultaneity bias in the error-correction model they presented. Their results were also affected by errors in their database. In an effort to confirm or invalidate their findings, a slightly modified version of their model was estimated using a corrected database. The results obtained suggested that Murthy and Ukpolo's basic approach to modelling the market for health care may have been under-specified or alternatively should have incorporated separate demand and supply equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ky-Hyang Yuhn Author-X-Name-First: Ky-Hyang Author-X-Name-Last: Yuhn Title: Is the Fisher effect robust? Further evidence Abstract: New international evidence exists on the Fisher effect in the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, Germany and Canada over the modern (post-March 1973) floating exchange rate experience. Some puzzling data has been observed which suggests that the Fisher effect appears to be strong only for particular sample periods. It has also been reported in the literature that the Fisher effect is more likely in the long run, and that it is not common across economic regimes. This study sheds some light on these controversial issues taking advantage of more powerful tests for unit roots and cointegration. The findings for the Fisher effect contrast with previous results, especially those of Mishkin. The empirical results appear to accord with historical observations on interest rate movements in the five countries. Some important results are as follows: (1) the Fisher effect is not robust to policy changes; (2) there is strong evidence of a long-run Fisher effect for the United States, Germany, and Japan, but little evidence for the United Kingdom and Canada; (3) the short-run Fisher effect is only detected in Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. M. C. de Boer Author-X-Name-First: P. M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: de Boer Author-Name: R. Harkema Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Harkema Author-Name: A. J. Soede Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Soede Title: Maximum likelihood estimation of market share models with large numbers of shares Abstract: Maximum likelihood procedures for estimating market share models break down or produce very unstable estimates when the number of brands is large as compared with the number of observations. The reason behind this phenomenon is that the estimate of the contemporaneous covariance matrix of the error terms of the model becomes singular or almost singular. This problem may be resolved by imposing restrictions on the contemporaneous covariance matrix. The resulting estimation procedure suggests that the model may contain a large number of shares, while the variance of each share may be estimated freely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: A note on unemployment rates and the paper-bill spread Abstract: This paper reports a significant causal relationship from the paper-bill spread to the civilian unemployment rate even after accounting for the importance of output growth in explaining the unemployment rate. However, this relationship apparently vanished in the 1970s. Adding the paper-bill spread to the unemployment rate autoregression causes three key nominal variables, money growth, inflation, and a detrended interest rate to become jointly insignificant in all samples which include the 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:49-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Persistence of economic growth and its determinants: some evidence for South Korea and India Abstract: This paper examines time-series properties of economic growth and its key determinants for South Korea and India. The paper adopts a non-parametric method suggested by Cochrane (1988) and used by Campbell and Mankiw (1987) and Romer (1991), among others, to measure the persistence of economic growth and its determinants. The empirical evidence suggests that the rate has been more persistent in South Korea than in India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:53-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Finite sample behaviour of GNR tests for serial correlation Abstract: The Gauss-Newton regression (GNR) tests for autoregressive (AR) processes are based on the asymptotic theory. Consequently, their finite sample properties are not known. The objective of this paper is to remedy this by undertaking a Monte Carlo study. It is hoped that the results reported will shed some light on the small sample properties of the type of GNR tests discussed here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525518 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525518&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:55-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uri Benzion Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Author-Name: Alon Granot Author-X-Name-First: Alon Author-X-Name-Last: Granot Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: An experimental investigation of direct subjective discount rates Abstract: Employing implicit discount rates (derived from subjects' cash-flow responses) previous experimental studies find that the order of magnitude of the implicit rates is higher than actual capital-market rates, and that the impact of time (t) and (S) of the cash-flow on discount rates (R) is negative. To circumvent the problem of possible misvaluation of the exponential function documented in the literature, this experimental study uses direct rather than implicit rates. The results demonstrate that the effect of t and S on R is positive. It is therefore suggested that in addition to implicit discount rates, direct rates too should be used in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:59-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Spot price volatility, information and futures trading: evidence from a thinly traded market Abstract: The impact of futures trading on spot volatility is examined for a thinly traded contract, the FTSE Eurotrack. Futures trading increases the rate at which information is impounded into prices and reduces persistence. These benefits cease after the suspension of trading. The results suggest that even in a thinly traded market the existence of futures has a beneficial impact on price discovery in the underlying spot market. The paper highlights the need to determine not only whether spot price volatility changes after the introduction of futures trading, but also, if it does, why it does, before drawing policy conclusions about the regulation of futures markets. Failure to address the latter issue may lead to inappropriate policy conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758525520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758525520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:1:p:63-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Yerger Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Yerger Title: Used car markets: reliability does matter, but do Consumer Reports? Abstract: In work previously published in Applied Economics, Pratt and Hoffer (1990) did not find a significant effect upon US domestic vehicle resale prices from differences in reliability (maintenance expense) across models. This study, however, utilizes an alternative measure of reliability differences and finds that reliability differences do impact US resale car prices in the manner expected. The finding reinforces the view that used vehicle markets are efficient. In addition, the results suggest that Consumer Reports annual evaluation of used vehicles is not new information which affects resale prices. Instead, resale prices appear to reflect the information in the Consumer Reports evaluations in advance of the announcement's release. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-70 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:67-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henri Theil Author-X-Name-First: Henri Author-X-Name-Last: Theil Author-Name: Dongling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Dongling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Janet Galvez Author-X-Name-First: Janet Author-X-Name-Last: Galvez Title: The spatial correlation of the per capita income of Florida's counties, 1970-1990 Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:71-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Surprises in the consumption function: a comparative study Abstract: The 'surprise' consumption function is estimated for selected industrial countries (France, Germany, Japan, and the USA) and four high-growth East Asian countries (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan). The main objective of the paper is to test Hall's (1978) hypothesis that the rate of change in comsumption is determined by the innovation in the income-generating process. The main findings are that compared to the selected industrial countries, (a) consumption is more volatile in East Asian countries and (b) the 'surprise' coefficient is higher for the East Asian countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:73-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barkoulas Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barkoulas Author-Name: Alpay Filizetkin Author-X-Name-First: Alpay Author-X-Name-Last: Filizetkin Author-Name: Robert Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Time series evidence on the saving-investment relationship Abstract: The long-run saving-investment correlation for the 24 OECD countries is re-examined using the Johansen procedure. It is found that saving and investment rates are not correlated in the long run for the majority of OECD countries. In the countries where cointegration is found, the Gonzalo-Granger common factor analysis suggests that saving is the driving force of the cointegrated system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gan Wee-Beng Author-X-Name-First: Gan Author-X-Name-Last: Wee-Beng Author-Name: Soone Le Ying Author-X-Name-First: Soone Le Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: Stock price and expected dividends: evidence from Singapore Abstract: The Campbell-Shiller 'dividend-ratio' model is used to determine the extent to which the level and volatility of aggregate stock prices in Singapore deviate from their fundamental values. The results find support for the hypothesis that the past dividend-price ratio provides additional information in predicting future changes in dividend and the actual dividend-price ratio tracks its theoretical values as well. However volatility is larger than implied by the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:81-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Rogers Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Author-Name: Michael Greene Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Emily Hoffnar Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffnar Title: Does welfare cause increases in female-headed households? Abstract: Public discourse in the United States has become increasingly dominated by debates over the impact of welfare expenditures on specific demographic groups. Of particular concern is the potential impact of welfare expenditures on the formation of female-headed households. Applying Granger causality to time series data on expenditures on Aid To Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and the proportion of families headed by females, the authors examine whether increases in AFDC expenditures causes a rise in the number of female-headed households. Evidence provided is inconsistent with the hypothesis that rising welfare expenditures generates an increase in the number of female-headed households. More generally, the results suggest that public policies which attempt to reduce the numbers of female-headed households via a reduction in AFDC benefits or a tightening of eligibility requirements are unlikely to be successful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanassia Xenaki Author-X-Name-First: Athanassia Author-X-Name-Last: Xenaki Title: The determinants of Greek manufacturing investment: a comment Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:89-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Systematic measures of dynamic Farrell efficiency Abstract: A method of measuring the systematic component of dynamic efficiency characterized by Farrell's nonparametric method is developed and empirically applied over airlines data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. D. Owen Author-X-Name-First: A. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: K. Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: J. R. R. Garrido Author-X-Name-First: J. R. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Garrido Title: A market share model for vegetable and tropical oils Abstract: This paper is concerned with specification and estimation of a model explaining market shares for the world's major vegetable and tropical oils. Market shares are explained by relative prices and an attribute variable designed to reflect increased consumer preference for polyunsaturated fats and oils. A general autoregressive distributed lag model is specified, with data acceptable reduction of the unrestricted model yielding a more parsimonius representation of the data generation process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:95-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Majid Taghavi Author-X-Name-First: Majid Author-X-Name-Last: Taghavi Title: Money, output, price and causality in mainland China Abstract: This paper re-examines the relationship between money and other macroeconomic variables in mainland China. The results of a four-variable VAR analysis are indicative of a bi-directional causality between narrow money supply and real income. However, contrary to most research work in this area, the findings support a uni-directional causality from broad money to real income, making the former a good intermediate target variable. Moreover, these results cast serious doubts about the relevance of the quantity theory of money for price determination in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:101-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antony Dnes Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Dnes Title: Resale price maintenance and antitrust policy Abstract: Blair and Fesmire (Southern Economic Journal, June 1994, pp. 1043-1046) argue for the treatment of resale price maintenance (RPM) with a rule-of-reason approach, based on a welfare comparison in which changes in consumer surplus may outweigh gains in producer surplus from RPM. The welfare analysis of RPM is extended by recognizing limitations on the incentive for expenditure on service provision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:107-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Raymond O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Stephen Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Global macroeconomic shocks, time-varying covariances and tests of the international CAPM Abstract: The mean variance efficiency (MVE) of a portfolio of international bonds and equities is tested using a CAPM model of excess returns. The conditional variances and covariances of the portfolio returns are allowed to time-vary according to shocks in up to three global macro-economic variables simultaneously. Athough the hypothesis of MVE is easily rejected within a static version of the CAPM this is not the case at conventional significance levels in the CAPM with macro-economic shocks. Results suggest that there exists a dominant role for US macroeconomic disturbances for international capital markets. Integrating macro-economic disturbances more fully into the CAPM may provide theory-consistent models which do not rely solely upon time-series representations of time-varying return variances and covariances such as ARCH. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:109-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Jirui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jirui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Decomposition of Gini coefficients by class: a new approach Abstract: When Gini coefficients are decomposed by class (e.g. occupation, sex, region, and so on, it is possible to examine how income inequality can be measured by its class components: intra-class, inter-class and overlapped. In the literature, there have been many studies on the decomposition methodology but most methods are either inflexible or too onerous for empirical analysis. This paper develops a new approach to overcome the shortcomings of existing studies. An example using the most recent Chinese rural income data is provided to demonstrate how this method can be applied to study regional income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:115-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dockery Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dockery Author-Name: M. G. Kavussanos Author-X-Name-First: M. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Kavussanos Title: Testing the efficient market hypothesis using panel data, with application to the Athens stock market Abstract: This paper performs unit root tests using panel data to investigate empirically stock price efficiency of the Athens stock market. Our Wald test statistics reject the random walk hypothesis for stock prices, which is a necessary condition for market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:121-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: The irrelevance of adjustment costs for investment determination Abstract: The seasonal pattern of investment, and its relation with output, rule out convex adjustment costs as an explanation of the distributed lag in response of investment to its determinants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:125-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: K. Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: M. R. M. Abeyratne Author-X-Name-First: M. R. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Abeyratne Title: Cyclical unemployment: sectoral shifts or aggregate disturbances? A vector autoregression approach Abstract: Using a multivariate vector autoregression (VAR) model, this paper investigates if sectoral shifts, inflation uncertainty, or demand shocks are the primary cause of unemployment fluctuations in the postwar US economy. A sectoral shifts variable (cross-section volatility), an ARCH measure of inflation uncertainty, and three demand shocks variables (monetary base growth rate, interest rates and inflation rates) are incorporated in a VAR model. Our major findings are: cross-section volatility Granger causes unemployment; the sectoral shifts variable and inflation uncertainty explain a small amount, while demand shocks variables explain a substantial amount of the variation in unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Hack Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Hack Author-Name: Ashish Vaidya Author-X-Name-First: Ashish Author-X-Name-Last: Vaidya Title: State economic growth and international export orientation Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the degree of state international export orientation and US state industrial growth rates. Both export orientation variables as well as domestic factors were used to analyse the extent of their effect on state industrial growth from 1977 to 1987. The results indicate that state export promotion expenditures were not significant in influencing domestic employment growth, while the variable was negatively correlated with export employment growth. However, a high proportion of exports to total shipments in the initial year, was significant in explaining state industrial growth rates. An important result was that states exporting to growing regions experienced higher growth rates, indicating that world demand influences state economic growth. Furthermore, the domestic market potential had a strong positive influence on all measures of growth including the export sector, providing support for the notion that US economic growth is largely driven by the domestic market. A surprising result was that relative capital endowment was not significantly correlated with growth in the export sector, while it was negatively correlated with domestic and total employment growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Author-Name: Len Perry Author-X-Name-First: Len Author-X-Name-Last: Perry Title: Share price movements: a study of four OECD countries Abstract: This paper examines the responses of share prices in Belgium, Britain, France and Germany to the influences of major international share markets, domestic output and interest rates. The empirical results of the study indicate positive and significant responses of share prices to movements of foreign share prices and a negative and significant responses to changes in domestic interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-137 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:135-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Conceptualizing suicide in economic models Abstract: This review illustrates how a variety of economic models can be applied to suicidal behaviour, including a cost-benefit analysis, a demand-supply model, a labour force participation analogy, signalling game theory, investment under uncertainty, and economic definitions of irrationality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-143 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:139-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Bittlingmayer Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Bittlingmayer Title: Merger and the returns to labour and investment Abstract: Manufacturing industries with high merger intensities have higher value-added of about 10% after taking into account the number of employees and the amount of new investment. Merger-intensive industries are also more investment-intensive, and they have higher value-added per employee. These findings support the view that mergers in manufacturing serve to transfer intangible capital and to allow low-cost solutions to the problem of developing and ultimately deploying assets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-148 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:145-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Unemployment as a constraint on labour supply and goods demand in Spain Abstract: In this paper the implications of unemployment on labour supply and goods demand functions in Spain are analysed during the period 1964-91. To this end, the labour supply and goods demand is jointly modelled using a dynamic linear expenditure system under the condition that labour supply has been rationed due to the increasing number of unemployed in the last three decades. After proof that the model exhibits neither autocorrelation nor dynamic heteroscedasticity problems, it is found that food, beverages and tobacco, gross rent, fuel and power and miscellaneous goods are necessities, while other goods are luxuries. Labour has an expenditure effect below zero. The own-price Marshallian and Hicksian elasticities are negative for consumption goods and positive for labour, and indicate that all consumption goods are price inelastic. Finally, the cross-price values indicate that the goods are complementary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Extended critical values for a simple test of cointegration Abstract: Leybourne and McCabe have extended the Kwiatkowski et al. stationarity test to examine the null hypothesis of cointegration. The purpose of this note is to provide an extended set of critical values for use in applied research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:155-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rasha Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Rasha Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Is equality really growth-promoting? Abstract: It has been shown that the more uneven the initial distribution of income, the less an economy is expected to grow. Employing so-called Extreme Bounds Analysis (EBA), it is found that the direct effect of income distribution on growth is fragile. This applies to both democracies and dictatorships. It has also been suggested that income distribution will have different effects when applied to developing as opposed to developed economies. However, the results show that income distribution has the same effect in both developed and developing countries. Nonetheless, this relationship is also fragile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:159-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Title: The allocative efficiency of the formal versus the informal financial sector Abstract: An important reason for the disappointing effects of the financial reform programmes, as part of the structural adjustment programmes in sub-Saharan Africa, stems from the strong focus of the adjustment programmes on the formal banking sector. A financial reform programme which does not explicitly employ the knowledge of the informal financial sector may lead to a sub-optimal allocation of resources and hence may not improve the quality of investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-165 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:163-165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Disaggregate inventory-sales ratios over time: the case of US companies and corporations, 1976-92 Abstract: The results reported here show that the aggregate figures used in the literature are not adequate to analyse the behaviour of inventories over time. Researchers can obtain more reliable and useful results if they investigate the inventories-sales behaviour at disaggregate level. The disaggregate results reported here give support to those who believe that the increased use of computerized inventory control has been reducing the inventories kept by most firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:167-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Anthony Patrinos Author-X-Name-First: Harry Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Patrinos Title: Non-linearities in the returns to education: sheepskin effects or threshold levels of human capital? Abstract: Recent findings of non-linearities in the returns to education are cited as evidence of sheepskin effects, but evidence from Guatemala suggests otherwise. While non-linearities in the returns to education exist, it is argued that they are associated with 'threshold' levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-173 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:171-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Coto Millan Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Coto Author-X-Name-Last: Millan Author-Name: Jose Banos Pino Author-X-Name-First: Jose Banos Author-X-Name-Last: Pino Title: Derived demands for 'General Cargo' shipping in Spain, 1975-1992, an economic approach Abstract: The behaviour of 'General Cargo' shipping transport in Spain is analysed.Derived demands for the period 1975-1992 are estimated. Cointegration techniques are used to obtain long-run and short-run equations, both estimated separately in two steps, and jointly in one step. Price and output elasticities agree with previous findings and could be used for analyzing the revenue effects of changes in freights and medium-term forecasting of traffic and revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-178 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:175-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Denslow Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Denslow Title: Consumer attitudes toward trade liberalization Abstract: This paper fills an existing gap in the international trade literature by empirically modelling consumer attitudes regarding trade liberalization efforts. Data are taken from the policy response section of a monthly consumer confidence survey, with estimation accomplished using a trinomial logit methodology. Results indicate that uncertainty, import competition risk, cyclical, educational, and demographic factors play significant roles in determining consumer beliefs with respect to trade policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Manning Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Title: Logit regressions with continuous dependent variables measured with error Abstract: The logit regression model is generally used as a method for estimating relationships in which the dependent variable is binary in nature, though it is also useful for estimation when the dependent variable is continuous but bounded on the unit intervals. Logit parameter estimates in this case are obtained by ordinary least squares regression on a simple transformation on the dependent variable. In such applications, however, measurement error in the dependent variable, rather than being relatively benign as in ordinary linear regressions, is a source of heteroscedasticity, calling into question the efficiency of the OLS estimator in such cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:183-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan King Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Robert Alexander Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The slowdown in US economic growth: a comment Abstract: In a recent paper in this journal, Atesoglu argued that the reduction in the rate of economic growth in the United States since 1973 was largely due to an increase in the income elasticity of demand for imports, following Thirlwall's law. The purpose of this paper is to show that the evidence presented in support of this conclusion is subject to a serious flaw. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:185-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ciaran Driver Author-X-Name-First: Ciaran Author-X-Name-Last: Driver Author-Name: Chit-Wei Saw Author-X-Name-First: Chit-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Saw Title: Performance of structural change indices: analysis using real and simulated data Abstract: This note reports the results of a computer simulation exercise with two commonly used indices of structural change: the Michaely/Stoikov index and the Lilien index. The performance of the indicators in measuring structural change is compared. The base data used in the simulations are employment numbers in 23 UK industries 1948-85 The effects of different levels of aggregation and different differencing periods are noted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-188 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:187-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Impact of cholesterol information on US egg consumption: evidence from consumer survey data Abstract: Impact of cholesterol information and demographic variables on egg consumption is examined using data from a consumer survey conducted by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Estimation results of a double-hurdle model suggest that information and health concerns about cholesterol represented by three variables are significant factors affecting consumer decisions about whether to consume eggs and how much to consume. Demographic variables with significant effect on the participation and/or consumption decisions include region, employment status, age, body mass index, sex, race and education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:189-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanasios Episcopos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Episcopos Title: Testing the (S,s) model of inventory investment with Canadian wholesale trade data Abstract: The (S,s) model of inventories is a robust alternative to production smoothing theories. Despite the apparent usefulness of the model, exhaustive testing has been lacking in the literature. This note employs a recently published econometric methodology to test the (S,s) model and provide additional evidence from Canadian wholesale trade. The empirical findings favour (S,s) against the quadratic cost model for all the product categories investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:193-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Dante Mossi Author-X-Name-First: Dante Author-X-Name-Last: Mossi Title: On improvements of Phillips-Perron unit root tests using optimal bandwidth estimates Abstract: The performance of the Phillips and Perron unit root tests is examined using the optimal bandwidth selection procedure of Andrews and the pre-whitening procedure of Andrews and Monahan. It has been shown that they do not make significant improvements over the tests using fixed truncation lags. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: Motivations that underlie the subscription prices in common stocks rights offerings: public utilities Abstract: The objective of this letter is to test the competing predictions of the Heinkel and Schwartz model, in which a higher subscription in a Common Stock Rights Offering price signals a higher quality firm, and the Myers and Majluf model in which the firm sets a low subscription price in order to secure the financing for a positive NPV project from the firm's existing stockholders. For a sample of 105 public utilities, the two-day offering period cumulative abnormal return, the dependent variable, is estimated using standard event study methodology. The independent variable is the relative subscription price, defined as the ratio of the subscription price to the mean of closing prices of the five trading days immediately preceding the two-day offering period. The results indicate that there are public utilities whose financing decision complies with the predictions of the Heinkel and Schwartz model and others whose financing activity acts according to the predictions of the Myers and Majluf model. Finally, the explanatory power of either model is generally minimal pointing towards the presence of other factors, in addition to securing the financing of a project and signalling the quality of the firm, that determine the subscription price in a common stock rights offering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 3 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:3:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Married female labour force participation: an analysis of probit model with a natural non-participation rate Abstract: Of the probit analysis with a natural no-response rate is applied to empirically examine the determinants of the labour force participation of married women using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics in the 1989 interviewing year. The model features simultaneous determination of labour force participation status and the natural non-participation rate of of married women. A natural 2.6% non-participation rate was found among married women. The natural non-participation rate is also significant by the likelihood ratio test. The standard probit model underestimates the probability of non-participation of married women as well as the marginal effect of a particular explanatory variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-207 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520864 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520864&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:205-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Title: Estimating the degree of dominance in a bilateral oligopoly Abstract: An empirical bilateral oligopoly model is constructed to estimate the degree of dominance by the upstream and downstream industry. The model is applied to the beef slaughter and retail industries. The hypothesis of equal dominance is not rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-211 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:209-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Germano Mwabu Author-X-Name-First: Germano Author-X-Name-Last: Mwabu Author-Name: Joseph Wang'ombe Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Wang'ombe Title: Black market trade: an example from a rural hospital in Kenya Abstract: Provision of mortuary services free of charge in a government hospital in rural Kenya is found to have led to a black market trade in these services. The principal participants in the market were the mortuary attendants and bereaved families. A method is developed for determining black market expenditures on mortuary services at a government hospital. On average, a bereaved family spent about US $2.30 on mortuary services. Burial expenses were also substantial, amounting to some US $75 per bereaved family. It is shown that free provision of mortuary services in government hospitals has a hidden cost, that could exceed the fee that users can be expected to pay openly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520866 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520866&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:213-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannis Georgellis Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Georgellis Title: Duration of first marriage: does pre-marital cohabition matter? Abstract: Based on UK data, this study uses parametric and non-parametric hazard models to assess the significance of pre-marital cohabitation in affecting patterns of first marriage durations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-219 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:217-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Mergers and market power in the US steel industry Abstract: Studies of the relationship between market structure and market power continue to account for a large segment of the literature. The traditional structure-conduct-performance approach of analysing this issue has been criticized because of its lack of attention to industry-specific characteristic. Adopting an approach which focuses on a single industry, we use data on the US steel industry to analyse the effects of several mergers on the steel market power. Although our results show that market power in the steel industry has been falling in recent years, it does appear that two recent mergers did boost market power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-223 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:221-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hendrik Van den Berg Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Van den Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: Does simultaneity exaggerate empirical tests of the trade-growth relationship? Abstract: Simultaneity between the volume of trade and national output may have biased past empirical tests of the export-growth relationship. To judge the extent of such bias, this paper compares results of single- and simultaneous- equation regression models of trade and growth that closely resemble the specifications of previous studies. In order to enhance the analysis, a number of other alleged shortcomings of previous statistical studies of trade and growth are addressed: omitted variable bias and non-stationarity are dealt with by using modern time-series regression procedures, measurement error is reduced by using more accurate measures of capital and labour available for six Latin American countries over the period 1960-1990, and both imports and exports are used to proxy trade. The results shown that simultaneity bias causes single equation results to understate, not over state, the trade-growth relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-231 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520869 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520869&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:225-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Title: The risk premium on the Australian dollar in the 30-day forward market Abstract: A GARCH (1,1)-M model of the 30-day forward rate error reveals the following: a constant, but not time varying risk premium; evidence of market inefficiencies; a well determined GARCH (1,1) effect, but no I-GARCH process. The daily time series extended from 2 January 1985 to 13 May 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-235 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:233-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Is Spanish consumer behaviour consistent with the utility maximization? A non-parametric response Abstract: The objective of this paper is to check Spanish data on consumption expenditures and leisure for consistency with maximization of a non-satiated, continuous, concave, monotonic utility function. To this end, we apply the non-parametric approach using annual time-series covering the period 1964 to 1992. The results indicate that Spanish data are consistent with the weak and generalized axioms of the revealed preference theory, that is to say, the sample national data are consistent with the neoclassical theory of consumer behaviour or, in other words, the hypothesis of stability of individual preferences is accepted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:237-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Financial deepening and economic growth in developing economics Abstract: Granger-causality tests on data for 22 Asian, Latin American and Caribbean developing economies suggest that financial deepening does not make much difference to economic growth: for eight countries no lead-lag relationship was detected and in six more economic growth led financial deepening. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Thornton Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: P. Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Title: Unanticipated income and consumption in ASEAN countries Abstract: This note tests the rational expectations-permanent income hypothesis for the six ASEAN countries using the methodology developed by Hall and Flavin. The statistical evidence rejects the hypothesis for each country except Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:247-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicos Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicos Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis Abstract: Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) techniques are used to identify the sources of fluctuations in nominal and real exchange rates of the Greek drachma. The results indicate that, in most cases, supply shocks are the dominant sources of exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The adjustment of nominal interest rates in Mexico: a study of the Fisher effect Abstract: Evidence is presented in favour of a Fisher effect between treasury bill interest rates and inflation in Mexico between 1978-94. The two series appear to be cointegrated and a unit proportional relationship between them would appear to exist such that treasury bills rates respond fully to inflationary shocks over a period of about 12 months. As such, monetary policy in Mexico is unlikely to have much impact on real rates of interest over the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-257 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520875 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520875&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:255-257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Kumiko Okamura Author-X-Name-First: Kumiko Author-X-Name-Last: Okamura Title: Convergence to steady state growth: a model for Japan (1965-90) Abstract: A model of convergence to steady-stage growth is specified here in terms of deviations from a steady-state demand for inputs and estimated for Japan for the period 1965-90. The estimated results show a dominant role of capital in the convergence process and also the forward looking view of input demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:259-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Author-Name: Paul Dormaar Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dormaar Title: Testing for deterministic nonlinear dependence in the australian dollar-US dollar exchange rate series Abstract: Tests are made for (deterministic) chaos on weekly data (from 01/13/87 to 06/02/93) for the spot-month futures exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar. The Nychka, Ellner, Gallant and McCaffrey nonparametric test for positivity of the maximum Lyapunov exponent is used and successful detection of chaos is claimed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:267-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xeni Dassiou Author-X-Name-First: Xeni Author-X-Name-Last: Dassiou Author-Name: Peter Holl Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Holl Title: Merger failure and merger profitability: an alternative to the Hviid and Prendergast model Abstract: In this paper the effect of failed mergers on the profitability of the bidder and the target is investigated. It is demonstrated that when firms produce differentiated products in Bertrand competition, the post-rejection expected profitability of both firms is adversely affected by the information revealed through the rejection. This is a reversal of the Hviid and Prendergast finding that the post-offer increase in the profitability of the target firms is further boosted by the information made available through the rejection. This reversal is the direct result of using upward sloping reaction curves, which are usually found in price-setting games. The prediction for the bidder firm remains unchanged; this will experience a fall in its profits in the case of merger failure, the degree of which will be even more extensive if the failed bid was hostile because of the information transmission involved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-273 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520878 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520878&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:271-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Mulligan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Mulligan Title: Export-import endogeneity in the context of the Thirlwall- Hussain model: an application of the Durbin-Wu-Hausman test incorporating a Monte Carlo experiment Abstract: The Thirlwall-Hussain model (in which output growth depends on export growth) and an ad hoc alternative (in which growth depends on imports) are estimated and compared for the USA. The Durbin-Wu-Hausman test is used to determine the endogeneity or exogeneity of exports and imports with respect to output. A Monte Carlo study reveals the small-sample behaviour of the test statistics, which partly overturns the asymptotic results. Four sets of Monte Carlo simulations are performed. The first three assume the Thirlwall-Hussain model is correct and add: 1. standard normal, 2. log-normal, and 3. chi-square error terms. The fourth simulation uses the bootstrap method relying on the empirical distribution of the original data, and makes no assumption about the underlying data generating process. US exports and imports are both endogenous with respect to output, a major difficulty for the Thirlwall-Hussain model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-279 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520879 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520879&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:275-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasanthakumar Bhat Author-X-Name-First: Vasanthakumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhat Title: The determinants of technological protectionism Abstract: The relationship between the macroeconomic variables and pressures for technological protectionism in the United States is analysed. A number of complaints under Section 337 of the Tariff Act 1930 are used as a measure of pressures for protectionism. The analysis, based on nonparametric tests and Poisson regression analysis, indicates a close relationship between the macroeconomic variables and the number of complaints under Section 337. The multilateral trade-weighted value of the US dollar adjusted by changes in consumer prices, import to export ratio, gross domestic products, consumer price indexes, unemployment rates, and inventory to sales ratios are some of the macroeconomic factors that affect Section 337 complaints. The complaints in each industry are found to be proportional to the size of shipments in the USA. The countrywise analysis of complaints indicates a strong relationship between the number of complaints and the proportion of patents a country has received in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758520880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758520880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:4:p:281-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Lu Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: On the high correlation between unemployment and the dispersion of industrial unemployment Abstract: The high correlation between aggregate unemployment and the dispersion of industrial unemployment can be explained by both aggregate disturbances and sectoral shifts. This paper separates the effects of these two shocks by decomposing each industry's unemployment into aggregate and idiosyncratic components, so that the two new unemployment dispersions constructed by only the aggregate and idiosyncratic components measure respectively the influence of aggregate disturbances and sectoral shifts. It is found that this high correlation is almost entirely attributed to aggregate disturbances and that sectoral shifts are not important in explaining unemployment fluctuations in the U.S. for the period 1948-1990. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chutima Suraratdecha Author-X-Name-First: Chutima Author-X-Name-Last: Suraratdecha Title: A model of state-level prescription drug expenditures in the USA Abstract: Research is scanty on pharmaceutical care expenditures of developed nations. This paper models the determinants of state-level prescription drug expenditures for the USA, based on pooled data for 1980, 1982, 1984, 1988 and 1990. The GLS regression results indicate that older adults age 65 or more, Medicaid recipients and realincome are strongly significant determinants. With the growing proportion of the elderly and the increasing poverty rates among Medicare and Medicaid recipients, pharmaceutical care reform proposals need to focus on preventive care, rather than expensive treatments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Daniel Gropper Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gropper Author-Name: Tracy Stephens Author-X-Name-First: Tracy Author-X-Name-Last: Stephens Title: The effect of charter status on savings and loan resolution costs Abstract: Beginning in 1933, with the establishment of the first federally chartered savings and loan, the thrift industry has functioned under a dual regulatory system. This paper addresses the question of whether this moral hazard, created by regulatory competition, increased the resolution costs of state chartered institutions relative to the federally chartered thrifts. Resolution costs are those expended by the Resolution Trust Company (RTC) to handle a defunct thrift. This study shows, using a variety of methods and statistical tests, that the charter orientation of a defunct savings and loan had a significant effect on the resolution costs associated with the handling of the thrift by the RTC. Therefore, it can be stated that this dual regulation of the savings and loan industry created a moral hazard in which there were incentives for regulators to provide broader investment powers and less strict regulation to attract thrifts. Because state regulators tended to provide less strict regulations, the resolution costs for defunct state chartered savings and loans were larger than for their federally chartered counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:293-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: B. S. Shin Author-X-Name-First: B. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: In Chung Author-X-Name-First: In Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Causality between advertising and sales: new evidence from cointegration Abstract: It is puzzling that previous studies have found causality only in one direction from sales to advertising, but not the reverse. Employing the sequential causality tests of Toda Phillips (1993), the casual relationship between advertising and sales appears to run in both directions. This finding provides evidence that conventional causality tests can be misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:299-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: The distribution of futures prices: diffusion-jump versus generalized beta-2 Abstract: Which of two distributions, the diffusion-jump process or the generalized beta-2 distribution, is superior in approximating the actual distribution of futures prices? The parameters of the distributions were estimated using the futures prices of four highly diverse commodities: British pound, corn, gold, and live cattle. The results suggest that the generalized beta-2 distribution is superior to the diffusion-jump. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-305 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:303-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Can factor proportions explain vertical intra-industry trade? Abstract: Two questions in particular will be addressed. First, can earlier results for specific industries that suggest a positive relation between quality and capital-labour ratios of exporting countries be generalized to other industries? Second, what type of capital, physical or human, is most important in affecting the quality of vertically differentiated products? The results suggest that the relation between factor endowments and the quality of exported products is not just restricted to the product groups in previous analyses and that it is primarily human and not physical capital that determines the quality of production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:307-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: Assortative mating and ethnicity in the low wage population: an examination of spouses' earnings Abstract: Social scientists have long maintained an interest in the socioeconomic underpinnings of marital formation. Considerable research has focused on patterns of spouse selection which tend to pair individuals of like characteristics. One area which invites more research involves assortative mating of labour market characteristics such as hours worked and hourly wages. This study examines correlations among husband-wife pairs in the low-income population. Based on a special data extract from the Seattle-Denver income maintenance experiments, regression models of wages and hours worked are estimated separately for husbands and wives. Residuals from these models are used to estimate husband-wife correlations in unmeasured labour market traits. Results indicate evidence to support the hypothesis that spouse-selection patterns are not consistent across race groups and point to the need for further research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: IGARCH effect on autoregressive lag length selection and causality tests Abstract: Using Monte Carlo experiments, we show how information criteria determine, in the presence of GARCH errors, an optimal lag length in univariate time series and causality tests. We illustrate the simulations by testing the presence of serial correlation in exchange rates as well as Granger-causality between interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:317-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Bank credit in the ERM: an investigation of the role of Germany Abstract: This letter examines the role of Germany in the determination of bank credit in the EU. For a sample of ERM members, the Johansen procedure is employed to test for bivariate cointegrating relationships with Germany. Causality is investigated using the error correction methodology advocated by Engle and Granger. Long-run equilibrium relationships with Germany are identified in all cases. However, the results lend limited support to the German dominance hypothesis since credit provision appears to be more interactive in nature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Latif Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Latif Title: Can an increase in national saving reduce the level of unemployment in Australia? Abstract: The savings to GDP ratio is considerably lower in Australia than the OECD average. The lower level of savings does not only result in a current account deficit but also has a negative relationship with the unemployment rate. In order to overcome this problem, the Australian government has recently adopted policies which are designed to increase the level of savings in the economy. An examination of the impact of these policies on unemployment shows that an increase in the level of savings would not be sufficient to reduce unemployment rates in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Thomas Bernard Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Author-Name: Eric Genest-Laplante Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Genest-Laplante Title: Transfer pricing by the Canadian oil industry: a company analysis Abstract: The Canadian oil industry has been the subject of several debates with respect to charges of transfer pricing. On the basis of a large data set, which includes all oil shipments into the US and Canada from 1974-84, the first direct test of manipulative transfer pricing, based on actual company behaviour, is performed. Particular attention is paid to the multicollinearity problem which arises in this context. Through regression analysis it emerges that the six largest Canadian affiliates of multinational corporations paid crude-oil import prices which were generally equal to or lower than prices of third-party transactions for a country in a given year. This is a fairly robust result which highlights the existence of manipulative transfer pricing. In the present case, the practice was beneficial to Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:333-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jang Jin Author-X-Name-First: Jang Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Eden Yu Author-X-Name-First: Eden Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Export-led growth and the US economy: another look Abstract: The hypothesis of export-led growth for the US economy is tested. A six-variable vector autoregressive (VAR) model is constructed to balance various possible offsetting impacts on exports and output. Based on the VAR techniques, no significant causal impacts are found between exports and output. This suggests that export expansion is neutral with respect to the growth of the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-344 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:341-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kok Chew Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kok Chew Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Dividends with no taxes: evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: Litzenberger and Ramaswamy's (1979) model is used to test whether expected dividend yield is priced for Hong Kong stocks. Unlike the case in the United States, there are no taxes on dividend income nor on capital gains in Hong Kong. It is found that expected dividend yield has no effect on stock returns. The results are consistent with the prediction of Litzenberger and Ramaswamy's (1979) model in a market where dividend income and capital gains are not taxed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-348 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:345-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranko Bon Author-X-Name-First: Ranko Author-X-Name-Last: Bon Author-Name: Tomonari Yashiro Author-X-Name-First: Tomonari Author-X-Name-Last: Yashiro Title: Comparative stability analysis of demand-side and supply-side input-output models: the case of Japan, 1960-90 Abstract: The results of comparative stability analysis of demand- and supply-side input-output models using the Japanese data are presented, together with the results of the comparison between the comparative stability analysis of the two models using the Japanese, UK and US data. The results of comparative stability analysis of the two models using the US data were reported elsewhere (Bon, 1986), and the results of the analysisusing the UK data were presented in this journal (Bon and Xu Bing, 1993). The forecasts of sectoral and total output of the two models are generated with known final demand and value added figures from subsequent tables, and are compared with known output figures for benchmark years. The results of the three studies are similar in part. The demand-side model performs somewhat better in terms of total output forecasts, but the supply-side performs somewhat better for a larger number of sectors. Also, in all three countries the supply-side model provides markedly superior forecasts for 'mature' sectors, such as agriculture and mining. However, there are some notable differences between Japan, on the one hand, and the UK and USA, on the other. In particular, the construction sector's performance is predicted better by the demand-side model in Japan, whereas the supply-side model produces better construction forecasts in the case of the UK and USA. Some other differences regarding several other sectors may be due to different aggregation scheme. Both models should be used to determine the extent to which an economy or a sector are demand- or supply-driven. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-354 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:349-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: The form of the production function for the Chinese regional economy Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with estimating appropriate production functions for the Chinese economy using provincial data, 1973-89. It is hoped that the results obtained would help to assess the variabilities in the scale elasticity, elasticity of substitution as technical progress over time. It is hoped also that the results obtained would help to assess the roles of economies of scale, elasticity of substitution and technical progress in Chinese economic growth. The outline ofthe paper is as follows:in Section IIthe basic model used for estimation purposes is discussed. Section III discusses the estimation procedures used, results obtained and assesses their technical and economic implications. Finally, Section IV summarizes the main conclusions to be drawn from the paper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammed Islam Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Instability in trade flows as a cause of economic stagnation in Africa: an error-correction test Abstract: This paper identifies export instability as an additional cause of changes in GDP. Instability is measured by deviations of exports from their trend values. A multivariate error-correction model that incorporates export instability is tested on individual time series data (1967-1990) for twenty-one African countries. The results indicate reduction in export-earnings but not any significant decline in GDP growth due to instability. Half of these countries experienced export-to-growth causality, with a reverse causality in three-fourths of them. The results are sensitive to both the omission of variables and the test procedure used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 5 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:5:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammed Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Eldon Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Eldon Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Title: US budget deficits, inflation and exchange rate: a cointegration approach Abstract: This paper applies the well-known cointegration approach to explore a possible long-run pairwise relationship between (i) US real budget deficits and real exchange rates, and (ii) US inflation rates and real exchange rates. The unit root test shows that each of the above time series is non-stationary in levels. It is also verified that stationarity can be induced in each series by the first differencing of the level data. The ADF test results indicate a lack of cointegration between the US real budget deficits and the real exchange rates at 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance. The same is also true for US inflation rates and real exchange rates. But these findings have been contradicted by those from the associated error-correction models at 5 and 10% levels of significance. The estimates of the error-correction models offer evidences to long-run/short-run unidirectional Granger causality from the real budget deficits to the real exchange rates, and from the real exchange rates to the inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadeem Burney Author-X-Name-First: Nadeem Author-X-Name-Last: Burney Title: Exports and economic growth: evidence from cross-country analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between exports growth and economic growth by estimating an augmented GDP-growth equation on the basis of cross-country data, and using OLS and random coefficient (RC) methods. The latter method yields both mean response coefficients, as in the case of OLS method, as well as country-specific coefficients. The relationship has been estimated for two separate periods, i.e. 1965-80 and 1980-90. The estimates obtained using a RC method indicates that while there exists a positive link between exports and economic growth, the relationship is significant only for the period 1980-90. This suggests that the results obtained in the earlier studies using OLS method could be spurious. The evidence further indicates that the change in the coefficients between the two periods consists of both structural as well as behavioural shifts. Finally, the estimated country-specific coefficients show that the role of exports in GDP growth vary with the level of development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:369-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Title: Do fiscal variables affect private consumption? Evidence from Australia and the United States Abstract: This study examines the effect of fiscal measures on real private consumption using an error correction model. On balance, the empirical results of the study provided some evidence against the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis. In particular, responses to real government consumption and taxes in the United States and responses to real government debt and transfer payments in Australia were significant with their dynamic paths moving opposite to Ricardian proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-378 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:375-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Torben Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Author-Name: Niels Lynggard Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Niels Lynggard Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Do prices move counter-cyclically? Abstract: The cyclical properties of producer and consumer prices are analysed on quarterly data for the period 1961:1 to 1990:4 for 15 OECD countries. It is found that the cyclical properties of prices vary substantially over time and across countries. All countries have periods with pro- and counter-cyclical prices and thus both demand and supply shocks are important in accounting for business cycle fluctuations. Considering the lead and lag structure, it is generally found that price increases lead output decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-383 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:379-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Fielding Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Title: Consumer expenditure in South Africa: a time-series model Abstract: A time-series model of private consumption in South Africa is presented. Consumer expenditure is found to be sensitive not only to income, but also to the source of income, interest rates and measures of political and economic uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-389 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:385-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Attendance demand: an investigation of repeat fixtures Abstract: Using fixed betting odds for football match outcomes this paper improves on previous versions of outcome uncertainty models of attendance demand by utilizing data on 'repeat' fixtures between two teams. This provides some control over the variation in match characteristics which influence demand. The analysis of 'repeat' fixtures also enables an improved treatment of the 'core support' element of attendances. The contribution of fixed betting odds in explaining attendance demand is confirmed as is the 'U'-shaped relationship between attendance and home team probability of success. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-394 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:391-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atrayee Ghoshroy-Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atrayee Author-X-Name-Last: Ghoshroy-Saha Author-Name: Hendrik Vann De Berg Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Vann Author-X-Name-Last: De Berg Title: Mexico's futile attempt to defy purchasing power parity Abstract: Many empirical studies have suggested that purchasing power parity (PPP) does not hold in the short run, and some conclude that PPP is not observed even in the long run. The recent collapse of the Mexican peso suggests otherwise, however. This study examines whether PPP has bound the nominal peso/dollar exchange rate and the Mexican and US price levels between 1920 and 1994. Given the long sample period,unit root tests were conducted taking structural breaks into account, but the variables were still found to contain unit roots. Cointegration tests confirm a relationship between the exchange rate and price levels, and an error correction model verifies that it has indeed been the PPP relationship that linked the variables. Deviations from PPP were corrected, on average, within four years. The confirmation of PPP during the period 1920-94 underscores the futility of Mexican policies that defied PPP in the early 1990s, after trade and capital flows were liberalized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-399 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:395-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: On the characteristics of tariff rates: permanent or temporary shocks? Abstract: The characteristics of tariff rates in the United States and five major European countries are revealed, based on the unit root tests acknowledging structural breaks. Finding structural breakpoints endogenously, it is shown that the crash type tariff rate level breaks can be found in the tariff history of Denmark, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States. In case of acknowledging structural breaks, tariff rates of France, Switzerland and the United States are characterized by temporary shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-403 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:401-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Dewachter Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Dewachter Title: Charts as signals in Markov switching world Abstract: This note evaluates the signal performance of charts under the maintained assumption that the DGP is a standard Markov switching model. It is found that, within this framework, charts contain valuable information with respect to the current state of the latent process. Hence, this note provides a (statistical) rationale for the reported profitability of chartists rules in terms of an underlying Markov switching model as the DGP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-407 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:405-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derick Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Derick Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Title: The impact of exchange rate adjustment on output: Jamaica 1960-90 Abstract: Recent articles have argued that devaluations can have a short-term contractionary impact followed by an expansionary phase that may or may not result in net expansion in the long term. This paper extends recent work on this issue by developing a specification that obviates the problems of spurious and inconsistent parameter estimation that may result in the absence of stationarity and cointegrating relationships. The findings suggest that exchange devaluations have had a neutral impact on Jamaican output. It also examines the implicit assumption that within the real exchange rate relationship the nominal exchange rate and the relative price effects are of equal weight, and finds this not to be the case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-411 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:409-411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott McDonald Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Misspecification and cross-country growth regressions Abstract: Cross-country growth studies are commonly used to empirically investigate the neoclassical convergence hypothesis, the determinants of growth and the impact of policies on growth performance. While questions have been raised concerning the reliability of data and the specification of the explanatory variables, little attention has been paid to the derivation of growth rates. The standard method employs time series regressions to estimate average annual growth rates, which are then used as the dependent variable in the cross-section analysis. This procedure is only valid if the growth rate equations are well specified and the growth rates are stable over the time period in question. Using data for 75 countries for the period 1950 to 1992, we present much evidence to show that neither of the above propositions is supported; growth rate regressions are commonly misspecified and suffer from parameter instability. These results cast doubts on the validity of cross-country growth studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Gensler Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Gensler Title: The effects of welfare guarantee levels and tax rates on male labour supply Abstract: The effect of welfare on labour supply is theoretically ambiguous. The effect of implicit welfare tax rates has not been precisely determined in previous studies. The effective welfare guarantee levels and tax rates estimated for each state from 1979 to 1990. Employing these newly estimated welfare descriptive statistics, the labour supply impacts of both welfare guarantee levels and tax rates are determined with high statistical precision for married males with children. A standard labour supply model is estimated by means of a tobit procedure over a multiyear cross-sectional pooled data set derived from the US Census Bureau's Current Population Survey for the period 1979 to 1990. Increases in the welfare guarantee level slightly increase labour supply for married males. An elasticity of 0.04 is computed. Increases in the welfare tax rate on earned income slightly decreases labour supply. An elasticity of -0.07 is computed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-422 Issue: 6 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:6:p:417-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Simona Andreano Author-X-Name-First: Maria Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Andreano Author-Name: Giovanni Savio Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Savio Title: Common trends and common cycles under alternative exchange rate regimes Abstract: This paper investigates the dynamic interrelationships of economic activity in major economies under the pre- and post-Bretton Woods eras of fixed and flexible exchange rates. A recently developed multivariate method called common trends and common cycles is used to detect the presence of both short- and long-term comovements in monthly industrial production indices of the G7 countries during the period from 1963 to 1993. The empirical results indicate the existence of an international business cycle under both regimes. Further, we show that the comovements in levels and in growth rates of the series have been more important in the pre- 1973 period of fixed rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540798 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540798&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dikaios Tserkezos Author-X-Name-First: Dikaios Author-X-Name-Last: Tserkezos Title: The dynamics of OECD forecasts for Greece Abstract: This paper considers the dynamics of the OECD macroeconomic forecasts for Greece. A Geometric Distributed Lags model is used to study the dynamic responses between the actual data and the forecasts supplied by OECD the last 15 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:427-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Sapsford Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sapsford Author-Name: Peter Turnbull Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Turnbull Title: A new method for investigating the relationship between strikes and absenteeism Abstract: This paper presents a new method for evaluating the relationship which exists between strikes and absenteeism, as alternative forms of industrial conflict. The proposed method is outlined and its use illustrated in an analysis of the British dock labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540800 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540800&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Couton Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Couton Author-Name: F. Gardes Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gardes Author-Name: Y. Thepaut Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Thepaut Title: Hedonic prices for environmental and safety characteristics and the Akerlof effect in the French car market Abstract: In this paper, the computation of hedonic prices on individual panel data shows the positive valuation of environmental and safety characteristics by the market and gives some evidence of an Akerlof effect between perceived quality and the part of the market price which is not explained by car characteristics and pure inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-440 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:435-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Impacts of government policies, economic conditions, and past migration on net migration in the USA: 1992-93 Abstract: The determinants of net migration rates including government taxes and welfare spending for 48 contiguous states and the District of Columbia during 1992-93 are examined. The weighted least squares (WLS) method is employed assuming dependent variable heteroscedasticity. Major findings indicate that net migration rates vary positively with employment growth, hourly earnings, percentage of possible sunshine, and past net migration, and they are negatively correlated with state and local tax burdens, welfare spending, violent crime, and percentage of population in the age groups of 18-24 and 24-34. Thus, Sir John Hicks's theory that migration was mainly caused by net economic advantages is confirmed. These results may have policy implications in the area of job creation, tax policy, welfare reform, the allocation of limited budget to different programmes and law enforcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Owain Ap Gwilym Author-X-Name-First: Owain Ap Author-X-Name-Last: Gwilym Author-Name: Mike Buckle Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Buckle Title: An analysis of bid-ask spreads on American-and European-style index options Abstract: The UK option market is unique in trading both American-style and European-style contracts on the same underlying stock index. We use high-frequency quote data to examine the magnitude and distribution of the bid-ask spreads on these contracts, which are found to be at least partly determined by relative trading volume. We also present comparisons with the limited previous evidence on the level of option bid-ask spreads in the UK and USA. We find that increased trading volumes in the UK index options in recent years have not clearly reduced spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-449 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540803 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540803&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:445-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Reinert Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Reinert Author-Name: Gina Scorza Author-X-Name-First: Gina Author-X-Name-Last: Scorza Title: The effects of a North American free trade agreement on the US glassware market Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540804 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540804&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brockman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brockman Title: The role of reputation capital in the investment banking industry Abstract: Based on the information-related view of financial intermediation and the role of reputation capital, this study contributes to the extant literature by designing an empirically testable hypothesis related to the existence and use of reputation capital. It is hypothesized that one of the consequences of a breach of trust between investment banks and their clients is a deterioration in the banks' market value. For at least one of the event study methods used herein (i.e., the Sign test), evidence is found at the 1% level of significance in support of the hypothesized market reaction to reputation-damaging events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540805 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540805&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Kohn Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Kohn Title: An additive tax and subsidy for controlling automobile pollution Abstract: It is well known that a unit tax on the emissions of polluting firms and an equal unit subsidy for emissions abated are not symmetrical instruments. However, when no entry-exit conditions are at stake, as in the case of polluting households, the tax and subsidy are equivalent. Moreover, any combination of the two, summing to marginal pollution damage, is also efficient. This strong result is applied to the case of an economy in which each household owns an automobile. It also extends to the case in which some households rely on mass-transit or car-pooling, provided that such households also receive the subsidy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McMaster Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McMaster Title: A non-parametric approach to identifying the sources of cost savings arising from competitive tendering Abstract: The estimation of the factors contributing to the reduction in the costs of service delivery arising from the tendering of specified health and local authority activities presents difficulties for conventional parametric techniques, because of an absence in cardinal measurability. This implies that the debate over whether reductions in costs are primarily due to improvements in productivity or deteriorations in the conditions of incumbent workforces remains highly polemic. Attempts are made to measure the principal sources of cost savings using a non-parametric procedure. In this way a more generalized picture may be presented than has been the case to date. It is found that productivity improvements are the highest ranked source of cost reductions, but reductions in employee conditions and earnings are also highly ranked. It is emphasized that those sources are not independent, and that more research into the primary contributors to increases in productivity is needed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melika Ben Salem Author-X-Name-First: Melika Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Salem Author-Name: Jean-Francois Jacques Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Jacques Title: About the stability of the inventory-sales ratio: an empirical study with US sectoral data Abstract: The behaviour of one of the most important inventory indicators is highlighted. The investigation concerns US sectoral post-war data. It appears that a decline in the ratio for manufacturing, when observed, is partially offset by an increasing inventory-sales ratio in the trade sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-469 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:467-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Wagstaff Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Wagstaff Author-Name: Guillem Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Guillem Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Hospital costs in Catalonia: a stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: A multiproduct stochastic hospital cost frontier is estimated on panel data for 43 Catalan hospitals over the period 1988-91 on the assumption that inefficiency remains constant over time. In addition to reporting estimates of inefficiency, the paper reports estimates of economies of scope and economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-474 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:471-474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Ka-Yiu Fung Author-X-Name-First: Michael Ka-Yiu Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Author-Name: Ken Kai-Hong Wan Author-X-Name-First: Ken Kai-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Ownership and efficiency differentials in chinese industry: further evidence from data envelopment analysis Abstract: The objective of our study is to analyse the difference in economic efficiency between the state and collective sectors of Chinese industry, with the help of a data set containing firm-level data of 7273 enterprises across 35 industrial branches in Hubei Province in 1990. Data envelopment analysis which evaluates the enterprises' performance in terms of both output and profit is applied as an alternative to the conventional TFP approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-482 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540810 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540810&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:475-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: What opportunity cost of holding real balances? The case of Greece 1978-1993 Abstract: In this paper cointegration techniques have been applied to identify the role of opportunity cost in the demand for real balances in the Greek case and covering the period 1978-93. The results reveal that it is the simultaneous presence of nominal interest rates, the expected inflation and the expected depreciation variables that must be used as proxies for the opportunity cost. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-485 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:483-485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Are the Greek budget deficits too large? Abstract: We use a residual-based cointegration test suggested by Gregory and Hansen that allows for the determination of a structural break in the cointegration vector to test for the sustainability of Greek fiscal deficits over the 1958-92 period. This relatively recent test leads to a different result from that derived from standard Engle-Granger cointegration tests. The use of the conventional Engle-Granger test implies no cointegration between tax revenues and interest-inclusive government expenditures. On the other hand, using the Gregory-Hansen test we conclude that tax revenues and interest-inclusive government expenditures are cointegrated and a structural break in the cointegrating vector took place in either 1981 or 1983. Our result of cointegration with a structural break is consistent with a strict interpretation of the government's intertemporal budget constraint since it implies a zero discounted value of the public debt. However, since the cointegration-regression slope parameter is significantly less than one (when tax revenues are regressed on expenditure), the undiscounted value of the public debt is different from zero. This means that the government has incentives to default on its debt and, therefore, Greek budget deficit policy is not sustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-490 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540812 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540812&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:487-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Author-Name: Yilma Mulugeta Author-X-Name-First: Yilma Author-X-Name-Last: Mulugeta Title: Technical efficiency of the Ugandan matoke farms Abstract: The issues of measurement of technical efficiency in the production of matoke in Uganda are investigated. A Cobb-Douglas functional form is used to represent the underlying production technology and corrected least squares procedure to estimate the model and the farm-specific measures of technical efficiency. The data consists of a crossection of 288 matoke-producing family farms during the crop year 1990-1991. The productive performance of farms are compared according to the size of land. The impact of various production characteristics on the production structure of the farms is also tested. The empirical results from a comparison of different farm sizes show very small variations in mean efficiency between the different size classes. Some variations in the distribution of farms within each size-class are observed. The mean technical efficiency is found to be 65%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-494 Issue: 7 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540813 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540813&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:7:p:491-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: On the single and multiple time trends representation of technical change Abstract: This paper is concerned with the estimation of production functions and measurement of the rate of technical change. Multiple time trends are introduced as an alternative to the single time trend representation of technical change. The underlying technology is represented by Cobb-Douglas and translog functional forms. Random effects models with homoscedastic variances is assumed. The models are estimated using the generalized least squares method. The data used are a large rotating panel data set from Swedish crop producer farms over the period 1976-1988. The empirical results show that a single or multiple time trends representation yield different time behaviour of technical change. The latter is found to perform much better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-499 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:495-499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshiko Kuwahara Author-X-Name-First: Yoshiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kuwahara Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: An alternative estimation method for the OCE model Abstract: We provide an alternative estimation method which can be used to estimate the coefficient of intertemporal substitution and risk aversion separately, without assuming log-normal distribution or using a social market portfolio. We find the two parameters are significantly positive. This finding is the first case in this field. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-503 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:501-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. H. Brown Author-X-Name-First: K. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: M. Yousefi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Yousefi Title: Deficits, inflation and central banks' independence: evidence from developing nations Abstract: Deficits should Granger-cause inflation in developing countries since the central banks are not autonomous. Nevertheless, our empirical results refute the causality between government deficits and inflation in a study of ten developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-509 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:505-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Sloane Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Author-Name: H. Battu Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Battu Author-Name: P. T. Seaman Author-X-Name-First: P. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Seaman Title: Overeducation and the formal education/experience and training trade-off Abstract: For the first time the issue of overeducation is addressed for the UK. Substantial amounts of over and undereducation are found. The evidence supports the view that formal education and other components of human capital are substitutes for the over- and undereducated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Razzaque Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: Razzaque Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Title: Does Europe have an integrated capital market? Evidence from real interest parity tests Abstract: Empirical evidence on capital market integration in Europe is presented by testing for mean reversion in the real interest differentials of seven European countries vis-a-vis Germany. The tests overwhelmingly reject the null hypothesis of random walk in the real interest rate differentials, implying that capital and goods markets have become integrated in the countries considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashworth Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashworth Author-Name: Peter Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Cheryl Conway Author-X-Name-First: Cheryl Author-X-Name-Last: Conway Title: How small firms forecast short-term employment: some survey evidence Abstract: The way in which small firms formulate their short-term employment forecasts is examined. Survey evidence based on the experience of some recently formed small businesses located in the North of England is used to test two models of forecast formation. The empirical results suggest that small firms use a linear adaptive model when forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Chao-Shun Hung Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Shun Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Neela Manage Author-X-Name-First: Neela Author-X-Name-Last: Manage Title: Ricardian equivalence, budget deficits, and saving in the United States, 1955:1-1991:4 Abstract: The Ricardian equivalent theory is examined by dichotemizing the total US federal budget deficit into its structural (exogeneous) and cyclical (endogeneous) components. The former is hypothesized to be the expected, planned deficit, whereas the latter is viewed as the unpredictable, unplanned, unexpected deficit. Instrumental variables estimates for the periods 1955-1991 and 1973-1991 find that structural deficits elicit increased saving but cyclical deficits do not. Thus, the findings indicate support for a partially Ricardian equivalent world: saving only partially offsets budget deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Consumption growth and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution: some evidence from income quintile groups in Japan Abstract: This research empirically analysed the relations between the difference in consumer's preference and the consumption growth rate in Japan. As a result, the close relationship between the two is revealed. This study has clarified the fact that as the income bracket becomes higher, the value of intertemporal elasticity of substitution becomes smaller. This is consistent with the gap in the consumption growth rate between the income brackets, i.e. the difference in the consumer's preference parameter has played a significant role in correcting the consumption gap in the period of high economic growth in post-war Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-532 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:529-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Nelissen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Nelissen Title: Annualized versus non-annualized lifetime income redistribution Abstract: This paper concerns the impact of the lifespan on the redistributive effect of the social security system when considering lifetime income. It is shown that with the exception of the old age pensions, the impact is very small. It is also doubted whether annualization has to be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-536 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:533-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Mustafa Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Information noise and stock return volatility: evidence from Germany Abstract: Using data from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, this paper investigates the impact of an increase in trading hours (from two to three on 15 January 1990) on the variance of stock returns. The results confirm those of most earlier studies that report that trading time volatility is significantly larger than non-trading time volatility. In addition, the results are consistent with the private and public information hypotheses with regard to stock return volatility, but they do not support the noise trading hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-540 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:537-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: On the determinants of households' consumption inequality: an empirical analysis for Japanese workers' households Abstract: From the theoretical point of view, households consumption inequality represents the inequality of the expected utilities through their lifecycles if each family optimizes its lifetime utility. We investigate its empirical validity, applying a regression analysis. The result of the regression analysis shows its empirical advantages as a measure for economic inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Mumford Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Mumford Title: Strikes and profits: considering an asymmetric information model Abstract: The Hayes asymmetric information model of strike activity predicts a negative relationship between actual firm profits and strike frequency, and a positive relationship between the trade union's expectations of firm profitability and the duration of strikes. Results from the application of the model presented in this paper provide only limited support: the relationship between strike behaviour and profits is found to be more complex than the model allows for and exploring other variables which are expected to influence strike activity leads to more satisfactory results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: On the relationship between money and inflation in the United States: additional evidence Abstract: The causality between money and inflation is re-examined by applying Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method to US data for the period 1959-94. The Phillips-Perron unit roots tests are performed and the series of M1 and M2 become stationary after first differencing, while the series of CPI, PPI, GDP deflator, and M3 become stationary after second differencing. It is revealed that money (measured in M1 or M2) does not cause inflation, yet if the M3 measure of money is used, then it is found that money causes inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-552 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:549-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taufiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taufiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: The Fisher effect and the gold standard: evidence from the USA Abstract: This paper investigates the long run relationship between nominal interest rate and the inflation rate (Fisher effect) in the USA during the gold standard era (1879-1913). Using Johansen cointegration tests, results show that there exists a Fisher effect on both the nominal short- and long-term interest rates during the stated period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-555 Issue: 8 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:8:p:553-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Multi-product cost functions and the funding of tuition in UK universities Abstract: A quadratic multi-product cost function is estimated for UK universities prior to the abolition of the binary divide. The arguments of the function include linear and interaction terms in undergraduate tuition, postgraduate tuition and research, and in each case these are separately identified for the (broadly defined) arts and sciences. The preferred specification is used to evaluate ray economies of scale, product-specific economies of scale and economies of scope. Estimates of average incremental costs are also provided. Results from OLS and stochastic frontier methods are compared. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lance Fisher Author-X-Name-First: Lance Author-X-Name-Last: Fisher Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: Sources of fluctuations in Australian imports Abstract: Dynamic interactions among the real exchange rate, income and imports are modelled for Australia. Evidence of one cointegrating relationship is found among these series and base structural inferences on long-run identifying restrictions of the type proposed for vector-error correction models by King, Plosser, Stock and Watson (1991). Under the identifying restriction that a domestic supply shock has no effect on the real exchange rate in the long run, this shock explains most of the forecast-error variance of imports at all horizons except for one quarter. At this horizon, the domestic demand shock is most important. The foreign supply shock becomes more important as the forecast horizon increases and explains almost half of the forecast-error variance of imports in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anoma Abhayaratne Author-X-Name-First: Anoma Author-X-Name-Last: Abhayaratne Title: Foreign trade and economic growth evidence from Sri Lanka, 1960-1992. Abstract: The relationship between export and economic growth in Sri Lanka, 1960-1992 is examined using the techniques of causality and cointegration. The hypothesis that foreign trade stimulates economic growth was rejected by the findings of the study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Babak Eftekhari Author-X-Name-First: Babak Author-X-Name-Last: Eftekhari Author-Name: Stephen Satchell Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Satchell Title: Some problems with modelling asset returns using the elliptical class Abstract: The suitability of the elliptical distribution to model asset returns in applied work is examined. Two frameworks are identified: the first framework allows for normality testing but fails to capture the GARCH effect present in the data; the second framework captures the GARCH effect but has the disadvantage that all commonly used tests for normality have minimum power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-572 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:571-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baban Hasnat Author-X-Name-First: Baban Author-X-Name-Last: Hasnat Title: Child Labour in American Imports Abstract: Child labour has been the focus of research since the Industrial Revolution, but few provide an econometric examination of the relationship between imports and child labour. This paper fills this gap by presenting a probit model and testing for American imports in 1990 from a broad group of 92 countries. Regression results of various versions of our basic model reveal that the equations are all highly significant and predict at least 80% of the observations correctly, that the signs are generally as expected, and the variables are significant at the accepted level in most cases. We fail to find support for the perception that US imports significantly increase the likelihood of a child labour problem abroad. The paper also recommends directions for future research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sue Kilpatrick Author-X-Name-First: Sue Author-X-Name-Last: Kilpatrick Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Title: Labour mobility in Australian industry Abstract: Two Australian mobility surveys are analysed (February 1989 and February 1992) to identify the explanation of labour mobility in Australian industry. An informal analysis reveals that labour turnover is higher in boom as opposed to recessed conditions. A formal legit study reveals that industry unemployment rates have a significant impact on male turnover, but not on female mobility. The age of workers and their tenure in the job reduce the odds of a job change, generally, while the tendency towards part time work is encouraging mobility. Occupational status is significant, especially among male workers, and for plant operators and labourers in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Parantap Basu Author-X-Name-First: Parantap Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Title: Velocity instability in the USA: a monetary or real phenomenon? Abstract: Using a vector autoregressive framework, this paper examines the role of real and monetary factors in explaining velocity instability in the sample periods 1973:1-1993:2 and 1979:4-1993:2. The VAR model includes money growth variability, velocity, the interest rate and real output. On the basis of variance decompositions for both sample periods, there is little support for Friedman's monetary uncertainty hypothesis. Movements in velocity are governed more by interest rate and real output changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Tzanidakis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Tzanidakis Author-Name: Theo Kirizidis Author-X-Name-First: Theo Author-X-Name-Last: Kirizidis Title: A test of a modern version of the Solow model Abstract: This paper suggests a test of an upgraded version of the Solow model which was suggested by Mankiw, Romer and Weil (MRW). MRW upgrade the Solow exogenous growth theory by including human capital. Human capital has been a major variable suggested mainly by endogenous growth models in order to eliminate diminishing returns, the heart of any exogenous growth theory. The MRW exogenous growth theory yields an estimable specification for the determinants of the steady state per capita level of income. The same theory suggests that the growth rate of per capita income depends on savings, human capital and population growth rates as well as the starting per capita income. In this paper we derive a transformation of their model which implies that all that matters for the growth rate is the starting period growth rate. This implied hypothesis is tested but it does not find support by the data. In this context, the rejection of the restriction may be interpreted as evidence against the MRW exogenous growth theory. This paper is part of our wider research on exogenous versus endogenous growth models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-590 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:587-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melvin Borland Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Title: Teacher-associated expenditures and student achievement Abstract: Inconsistent evidence exists within the economics of education research literature with respect to the relationship between teacher salary and student performance. This paper shows that such inconsistency of results could be attributed to simultaneous equation bias and model misspecification. Using alternative model specifications, alternative implications are suggested. Where additional relevant variables such as a measure of cognitive skills and a measure of the degree of market competition are included and where the statistical model reflects relevant theoretical considerations, evidence of a positive and significant relationship between teacher-associated expenditures and student academic achievement does not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-593 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:591-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Economic freedom, per capita income and economic growth Abstract: Based on cross-section data, this paper explores the relationship between economic freedom and the economic performance of low, middle and high income countries. The regression results show that there is a direct relationship between the economic freedom index and per capita income in low income countries and all countries as a whole. The evidence also indicates that there is a direct relationship between the economic freedom index and the growth rate of per capita income in high income countries and all countries as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-597 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:595-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Katsimbris Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Katsimbris Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The new Keynesian economics and the output-inflation trade-off Abstract: This letter reconsiders the empirical tests of the new Keynesian and new classical models performed by Ball Mankiw and Romer and Akerlof, Rose and Yellen. The original tests conform basically to cross-section analysis; we develop both time-series and pooled cross-section, time-series tests of these issues, using the methodology and results of Katsimbris. Our tests find at best weak support for either the new Keynesian or the new classical hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-602 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:599-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Easton Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Easton Author-Name: Sean Pinder Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pinder Title: Australian government sector initial public offerings Abstract: The paper examines the initial pricing of all Australian government sector initial public offerings (IPOs) that have been made over the last six years. A statistically significant first-day average abnormal return of approximately 8% is found. Contrary to overseas findings, there is no evidence that these government sector IPOs were more underpriced than Australian private sector IPOs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-605 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:603-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Author-Name: James West Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: West Title: Functional form in regression models of Okun's law Abstract: The Box-Cox transformation is used to determine the functional form for Okun's relationship between the output gap and the unemployment rate. Results from two different data sets strongly fail to reject his double log specification, and the MLE results are quantitatively very similar to a double log model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-609 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:607-609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ravi Ratnayake Author-X-Name-First: Ravi Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnayake Title: Industry concentration-profitability relationship and competition policy: is there a critical concentration level? Abstract: The critical concentration hypothesis that there exists a threshold level of concentration which separates industries into two regimes in terms of profits has been tested empirically using the single-equation approach, ignoring the simultaneity involved in the determination of profits across industries. The majority of previous studies found supportive evidence for the hypothesis. This paper employs a simultaneous equation model to examine the concentration-profitability relationship and casts serious doubt on the existence of any such critical threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Federico Perali Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Perali Author-Name: Thomas Cox Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Cox Title: On the identification of the Barten-Gorman model: an example within the AIDS framework Abstract: This note provides the proof for the identifying conditions necessary to estimate the demographic parameters of the Barten-Gorman model. They are normalizations derived from the homogeneity property of the cost function that do not alter its theoretical admissibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Using panel data to estimate Engel functions: food consumption in China Abstract: The conventional specification of the Engel function is modified to take full advantage of the characteristics of panel data, which are usually used to fit Engel curves. Empirical results based on Chinese data demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-624 Issue: 9 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596356096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596356096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:9:p:621-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dikaios Tserkezos Author-X-Name-First: Dikaios Author-X-Name-Last: Tserkezos Title: A turning-point diagnostics analysis on the accuracy of the OECD forecasts for Turkey Abstract: The accuracy of forecasts by OECD for Turkey is examined, for nine macroeconomic variables over the period 1980-1993. Using turning-point diagnostics analysis it is concluded that the OECD should re-examine its potentials in order to improve its forecasting ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-627 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:625-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Param Silvapulle Author-X-Name-First: Param Author-X-Name-Last: Silvapulle Title: Testing for a unit root in a time series with mean shifts Abstract: The study considers the ADF and KPSS tests for unit root testing in a time series characterized by a number of structural changes in its mean. Using the Monte Carlo simulation method the percentage points of the tests distributions are estimated. These two tests are biased towards non-rejection of the unit root. The bias of these tests appears to increase as the number of breaks in the series increases. The overall results in the study indicate that when a time series is subjected to a number of changes, provided the appropriate critical values are used, the unit root tests can erroneously reject the hypothesis of unit root. The tabulated critical values can be used in hypothesis testing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-635 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:629-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Mergers and acquisitions in the UK: a disaggregated analysis Abstract: The time series properties of mergers and acquisitions are investigated in the UK at sectoral level for the period 1971:1-1989:4. Two main sets of results emerge: (1) 1971:1-1989:4 the degree of persistence to shocks is uniformly low across sectors; (2) shocks are predominately aggregate. These two sets of results indicate that further analysis relying on aggregate data and short-term explanatory factors may be relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Title: Public expenditure and Private investment: a study of the UK and the USA Abstract: The effect of fiscal measures on private investment is examined using variance decompositions derived from the error correction model. The empirical results of the study provide little support for the importance of fiscal measures in explaining variations of private investment. Output and profitability were the only two important variables in explaining forecast error variance of private investment in either country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355844 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355844&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Author-Name: Vesa Puttonen Author-X-Name-First: Vesa Author-X-Name-Last: Puttonen Title: Call-put signal predicts Finnish stock returns Abstract: The paper investigates the predictability of Finnish stock and stock index futures returns by the volume of index options. Absolute stock market returns are predictable by options volume while returns per se are not. However, call and put volume offer useful information on the future behaviour of stock and futures markets. Profitable trading strategies based on the so called call-put signal are created. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keshab Shrestha Author-X-Name-First: Keshab Author-X-Name-Last: Shrestha Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Wage discrimination: a statistical test Abstract: Measurements of wage discrimination, based on gender, age, race or religion, are important for empirical economists. Traditional approaches to the measurement of wage discrimination do not set up the question of discrimination as a hypothesis that can be statistically tested. Furthermore, they face the so called 'index number problem'. In this paper, an alternative approach is presented where wage discrimination can be tested as a statistical hypothesis. Furthermore, the proposed method eliminates the index number problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-651 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355862 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355862&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:649-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Richard Priestley Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Priestley Title: Estimating the cost of capital of the UK's newly privatized utilities Abstract: In this paper the cost of capital of the UK's newly privatized utilities is estimated using both the CAPM and the APT. It is found that the APT provides a better description of excess security returns than the CAPM. However, neither model can explain the crosssection of excess returns on the sample of UK utilities. The failure of the factor models is traced to the existence of considerable idiosyncratic risk inherent in the utility stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Prior Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: The gloomy mists of the 1960s: pricing of investment trust shares without data on net asset value Abstract: The paper considers the pricing of investment trust shares in the 1960s when data on net asset value were not available on a real time basis, but viewable only infrequently on the basis of annual company reports, and when the industry itself was in rapid transition from an old fashioned industry to the modern industry of today. A significant relationship is found between changes in both investment trust yields and retention ratios and subsequent changes in the ex-post observable discount. The suggestion is that as yields rise the fixed management charge erodes a smaller proportion of the trust's income. The more than proportionate rise in the share's price then shows up as a smaller discount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-661 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:659-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Fawson Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Fawson Author-Name: Terry Glover Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Glover Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The weak-form efficiency of the Taiwan share market Abstract: This paper evaluates monthly stock index price from the Taiwan stock market for evidence of weak form market efficiency. Four empirical methodologies are employed: the Ljung-Box Q test, the binomial distribution test, the runs test and the unit root test of stationarity in stock prices. Empirical evidence suggests that the monthly stock price for the Taiwan stock market exhibits weak-form efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Consumer demand for poultry at home and away from home: a discrete choice analysis Abstract: US consumption of poultry products has increased steadily, over the past several years. This study identifies how socio-economic and demographic factors affect the probability of consuming poultry at home and away from home, using the Nationwide Food Consumption Survey of the US Department of Agriculture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-672 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:669-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sequira Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sequira Title: Time series analysis of settlement prices for individual currency futures in Singapore Abstract: This paper investigates the efficiency of the currency futures market in the Singapore International Monetary Exchange. The weak sense of market efficiency is tested, with the random walk model being used as the benchmark for comparing univariate models fitted to the three major currency futures, namely deutschmark. Japanese yen and British pound. In weak-form tests of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), security prices reflect fully all available information based on past values of price data. This means that the weak form tests whether all information contained in the historical prices is fully reflected in current prices. A restrictive version of the weak form of the EMH is the random walk model, which assumes that successive returns are independent and identically distributed over time. Thus, evidence supporting the random walk model is evidence supporting the weak form efficiency of the EMH. Univariate modelling of the data involves fitting several moving average, autoregressive and autoregressive moving average specifications. Using the mean absolute error (MAE), the performances of the estimated models are compared against the random walk model. The three currency futures models consistently outperform the random walk model on the strength of the MAE, which challenges the EMH in the currency futures market in Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-676 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:673-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: A modified human development index and international comparison Abstract: The paper proposes a modified human development index (HDI) which complies with the view of the Sen and others that an increase in the value of a physical indicator at a higher level represents a greater achievement than an equal increase in its value at the lower level. It also includes an infant survival rate, which is another important key indicator of development. The relative ranking of countries based on the modified index is significantly different from that based on the traditional HDI. This indicates the empirical usefulness of the proposed index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-682 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:677-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: A note on fractional cointegration Abstract: In this note I point to a typographical error in a recent paper by Baillie and Bollerslev (1994), and I provide a test - with simulated critical values - for fractional cointegration among seven daily currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-685 Issue: 10 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:10:p:683-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Non-convex cost and the behaviour of inventories: some disaggregate results Abstract: The disaggregate results reported here show that the marginal costs are increasing over time and, therefore, the main foundation of the law of supply is still valid. This implies that some other explanation has to be found to explain why firms bunch rather than smooth production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Edgerton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Edgerton Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: Some questions concerning dynamic almost ideal demand systems Abstract: A paper by Xepanadeas and Habib, that estimates dynamic demand models, is shown to contain some serious errors. Careful consideration of the adding-up condition is shown to be necessary when using demand systems with autoregressive disturbances. Misspecification testing should be used in all empirical work. These points are illustrated using a dynamic almost ideal demand system applied to Swedish dairy data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azali Mohamed Author-X-Name-First: Azali Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamed Title: Velocity and the variability of anticipated and unanticipated money growth in Malaysia Abstract: This paper investigates the causal linkages between velocity of money and both anticipated and unanticipated components of money supply growth, and its variability as measured on the Malaysian annual data (1973-94). The motivation is to provide evidence in a developing country context about whether the authorities should pay attention to signals from anticipated or unanticipated or both components of money supply aggregate. The empirical findings from the VAR model support the hypothesis not only that the components of money supply growth Granger-cause the growth of money velocity but also in its variability measures offer an additional evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355682 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355682&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Lux Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lux Title: Long-term stochastic dependence in financial prices: evidence from the German stock market Abstract: A number of authors have argued that financial prices may exhibit hidden long-term dependence. We consider this claim analysing German stock market data. Applying three different concepts for the identification of long memory effects, virtually no evidence of such behaviour is found for stock market returns. Another recent assertion says that long term memory may not be pertinent to stock returns but rather to the conditional volatility of financial market prices. As it turns out, this claim is very much supported by our investigation of German stock market data. Furthermore, the long memory property is more pronounced in absolute values of returns than in the squares of returns (both used as proxies for volatility). The methods employed are: the time-honoured procedure of estimating the Hurst exponent for the scaling behaviour of the range of cumulative departures from the mean of a time series, the modified range analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-706 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:701-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Korres Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Korres Title: Sources of structural change: an input-output decomposition analysis for Greece Abstract: Technical change greatly contributes to the explanation of economic structural changes. The aim of this paper is to measure the extension and the direction of structural and technological change. The impact of structural and technological changes on sectoral gross output was computed by breaking down the total change into the part due to changes in input-output coefficients (technological change) and the part due to changes and composition of final demand. The decomposition of structural change is based on the following questions. What were the engines of growth? What was the role and impact of technological change and which economies experienced the most and least structural change? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harold Brumm Author-X-Name-First: Harold Author-X-Name-Last: Brumm Title: The human capital augmented Solow model revisited Abstract: A maintained hypothesis of the present paper is that a necessary condition for model verification is the robust empirical confirmation of the model's implied restrictions. In particular, the results of a statistical test of any such restrictions should be favourable and invariant across samples. A recent influential paper presented evidence in support of the principal restriction implied by the human capital augmented Solow model of economic growth. The present paper makes use of samples different from those examined in the prior paper. The conclusion reached here, unlike that reached in the prior paper, is that the augmented Solow model is not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hardwick Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Hardwick Author-Name: Michael Adams Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Adams Title: Claims' estimation in multiproduct life insurance firms: preliminary United Kingdom results Abstract: In the insurance industry, claims tend to constitute the major proportion of the total annual outgoings across almost all product lines. This preliminary study develops a cost function of insurance claims and applies the model to 1988-93 data from the UK life insurance industry. In general, the results support the hypothesis that larger life insurance firms on average face bigger claims-to-premium ratios than smaller firms. There is also evidence of a positive relationship between claims and the degree of specialization in the provision of life insurance products. Finally, there is clear support for the view that stock firms have a less severe claims experience than mutuals. We conclude that the model provides intuitive insights into the determinants of insurance claims which could help to stimulate and direct further research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355727 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355727&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stein Ostbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Ostbye Title: Another note on Oswald's 'The Economic Theory of Trade Unions' Abstract: The purpose of this note is to emphasize that the qualitative effect of a labour subsidy on the union's desired wage rate, is highly sensitive to the design of the policy instrument. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-720 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355736 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355736&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:719-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ghiath Shabsigh Author-X-Name-First: Ghiath Author-X-Name-Last: Shabsigh Title: On the effects of money on the terms of trade: an empirical investigation Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-724 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355745 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355745&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:721-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Naughton Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Naughton Title: A factor analysis of equity market relationships in Asia Abstract: The equity markets of the Asian region have become a focus of attention for academic researchers interested in identifying return relationships and potential diversification benefits for international investors. In this paper, equity-return relationships are investigated for selected Asian and developed country markets. The traditional equity return correlation matrix is extended to a factor analysis to identify relationships in terms of groupings. The results indicate the existence of a developed market group that includes Hong Kong, but excludes Japan. Other results include the identification of the Philippines and Taiwan as segmented markets and a grouping of Japan and Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355754 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355754&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Kaldor's technical progress function: a comment Abstract: The shape of Kaldor's technical progress function is retested using time-series data for a selection of OECD countries. In contrast to Bairam's study, which is criticized for its restrictions on several of the key variables, it appears that the function can be specified as a linear equation. This is in contradiction to Kaldor's original hypothesis that the function is concave and supports his subsequent simplifying assumption of linearity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-731 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:729-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Davies Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Davies Author-Name: P. Downward Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Downward Title: The applicability of industrial organization theory to the services sector: initial tests from the UK hotel industry Abstract: Despite the growth of literature on industrial organization and the growth of the services sector in many economies, little work has been undertaken on the former in relation to the latter, especially using econometric techniques. Whilst a set of nested hypotheses are represented by the industrial organization framework the specific competing issues involved cannot be examined in the context of services until the general applicability and relevance of the framework have been established. This paper attempts to address these issues via the medium of the UK hotel industry. The Schmalensee approach is adopted, whereby a general model is constructed and tested to generate a subsequent parsimonious representation of it. Pooled data is used for 65 hotel companies over a 5 year time period. It was found that a dynamic formulation of the hypothesis worked best and the results take on the mantle of 'stylized facts'. The implication is that the industrial organization hypothesis and framework do have legitimacy for future analyses of, for example, the tourism industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:733-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Suicide and business cycles: Finnish evidence Abstract: The relationship between suicide and business cycles is analysed using long Finnish time series for the period 1878-1994. The results clearly show that suicide increases along with age and is related to both GDP growth (inversely), bankruptcies and unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-738 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:737-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darlene Chisholm Author-X-Name-First: Darlene Author-X-Name-Last: Chisholm Title: Continuous Degrees of Residual Claimancy: Some Contractual Evidence Abstract: A data set on share contracts between motion-pictures actors and producers in the United States is used to identify determinants of share size in revenue- and profit-sharing contracts. The evidence suggests that share size balances moral hazard and risk-sharing tradeoffs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-741 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:739-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Hofler Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hofler Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: How close to their offensive potential do national football league teams play? Abstract: This paper presents preliminary results about how close to their offensive potential teams in the National Football League (NFL) play. Our study extends the work of previous researchers in several ways. First, we are the first to investigate the efficiency of professional football teams. Secondly, we utilize a panel data set covering the seasons 1989 to 1993 for all 28 NFL teams. Thirdly we estimate a frontir for the offensive teams. By estimating a stochastic production frontier model on a panel data set of NFL teams we find that many teams have played very close to their offensive potentials. For example, teams could have scored around one point more in each game than they actually did. This shows that these NFL teams are excellent, on average, at exploiting their talent - which seems reasonable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-747 Issue: 11 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:11:p:743-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Stuart McDougall Author-X-Name-First: R. Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: McDougall Title: Seasonal unit root characteristics of disaggregated output Abstract: Tests for unit roots and cointegration have been extended to enable tests for seasonal units and more importantly tests for seasonal cointegration between series with common seasonals. To this end seasonal unit root tests are applied to unadjusted New Zealand GDP data and its disaggregated components. These, tests reveal that while aggregate GDP clearly exhibits a constant seasonal pattern a majority of its component series exhibit a changing seasonal pattern implying that stochastic innovations are occurring at the seasonal frequency. Furthermore, seasonal cointegration tests reveal that these changing seasonal patterns, observed in the component series, cancel out yielding a deterministic seasonal pattern on aggregation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Russell McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Learning to rent-seek: collective action and in-kind benefits in the public sector Abstract: The present provides alternative specifications for public choice models that analyse the determinants of a variety of in-kind efforts to obtain monopoly rights (or rent-seek). A variable relating to the age of states in the USA provides suggestive empirical evidence of the importance of societal stability in forming interest-group coalitions, as suggested by the work of Mancur Olson. In fact, when previous models are respecified to include 'age since statehood', political determinants of elegant restaurant dining, golfing excursions and limo services - all in-kind rent-seeking perquisites - become more evident and important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-757 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355538 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355538&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:755-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Testing the intertemporal model of the current account: some evidence from Greece Abstract: This paper examines the lifecycle model of the current account determination in Greece. Bivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis indicates that the past history of the current account has information content for future changes in national cash flow. The formal strong restrictions implied by the present-value model are rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355547 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355547&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Author-Name: Xiaoyi Yan Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Canadian-Japanese R&D spillovers and productivity growth Abstract: R&D spillovers contribute to total factor productivity (TFP) growth. This paper examines the contribution of intranational and international R&D spillovers between Canada and Japan to industrial TFP growth. TFP growth is measured and decomposed for 10 Canadian and Japanese manufacturing industries. Generally, spillovers contribute to productivity gains. We find that domestic spillovers contribute more than international spillovers. Moreover, in industries where marginal propensities to spend on R&D are relatively lower, domestic spillovers reduce TFP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-767 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:763-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mamadou Wane Author-X-Name-First: Mamadou Author-X-Name-Last: Wane Author-Name: Paul Burkett Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Burkett Author-Name: Robert Guell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Guell Title: Economic growth and monetary union in sub-Saharan Africa: new evidence on the effects of CFA-zone membership. Abstract: Estimation of a structural economic growth equation using data for 26 sub-Saharan African countries over the years 1974-92 reveals positive growth effects of membership in the French African Community (CFA) zone stemming from an enhanced productivity of investment. However, these effects appear to be limited to the pre-1980 period, despite the CFA's superior inflation performance relative to non-CFA countries thereafter. The results also support the importance of distinguishing between expected and unexpected inflation in analysing the growth effects of inflation and of CFA membership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355565 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355565&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Velocity and interest rate variability in Italy: a further test of the Friedman hypothesis Abstract: This paper examines whether interest rate variability leads to a decrease in the velocity of money in Italy. The hypothesis is tested using the Johansen cointegration technique and error-correction modelling. The empirical findings lend support to the Friedman hypothesis and help reconcile the mixed results of others regarding the hypothesis in Italy. The error-correction model results are consistent with risk-averse households holding more money, and thus reducing velocity, when faced with the uncertainty associated with interest rate variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355574 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355574&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Chiao Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chiao Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Religion, culture, economic and sociological correlates of suicide rates: a cross-national analysis Abstract: Enormous variations exist in suicide rates across countries. This paper demonstrates that a significant proportion of the cross-country variations in suicide rates can be explained by a combination of religion, culture, economic and sociological variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-782 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:779-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Author-Name: Kelly Busche Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Busche Title: Betting volume and market efficiency in Hong Kong race track betting Abstract: The Harville formula provides an analytical basis for the arbitrage pricing relationship between the odds on 'win' bets and the odds on 'quinella' bets in parimutuel betting markets. This study employs this relationship and high frequency time series data on the evolution of the betting odds from Hong Kong race tracks to test the hypothesis of betting market efficiency and to examine the role of the volume of belting. The non-stationary odds data are analysed using Johansen's maximum likelihood cointegration techniques to test the condition for market efficiency. The volume of betting is found to be a significant determinant of the degree of market efficiency across races but not within races. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-787 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:783-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Strawczynski Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Strawczynski Author-Name: Momi Dahan Author-X-Name-First: Momi Author-X-Name-Last: Dahan Title: Government finance and endogenous growth Abstract: A crucial assumption for the solution of the endogenous growth model with government intervention is a balanced budget along the perpetual steady state. This assumption is unreal once we are interested to test the model using government data, given that in most countries the budget is not balanced. In this letter we adopt the well-known rule of 'tax smoothing' in order to make this assumption a realistic one. According to our approach the relevant variable for the implementation of a balanced budget is permanent government expenses. The empirical performance of the model is characterized using Israeli data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:789-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: The role of divorce in the consumption function: an EC study Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-795 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:793-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zainudin Arsad Author-X-Name-First: Zainudin Author-X-Name-Last: Arsad Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: The weekend effect, good news, bad news and the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index: 1935-94 Abstract: In recent years much evidence has been documented of the existence of regularities in stock price returns, and consequently the notion of market efficiency has been questioned. The primary objective of this paper is to investigate the 'weekend' effect for a large sample of daily returns from the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index (FT 30). Empirical results lead us to tentatively suggest that a weekend effect has existed for the FT 30, but that this regularity has not been persistent. We then partition the Monday returns into positive and negative returns, and find that whilst the weekend effect holds for the Mondays, with negative returns, it fails to hold for Mondays which exhibit positive returns. These results support the results of earlier research. Finally we conclude that these results do not contest the notion of market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-801 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:797-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Vilasuso Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Vilasuso Title: Changes in the duration of economic expansions and contractions in the United States Abstract: This paper employs nonparametric change-point tests to business cycle duration data in the United States. The findings are consistent with recent studies citing longer expansions and shorter contractions since World War II. However, it is found that these shifts occurred much earlier. There is evidence of a single abrupt change-point to longer expansions that occurred in 1929. The shift towards shorter contractions was gradual: the transition began in 1918 and was completed in 1938. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-806 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:803-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Title: The dancing of the real exchange rate of US dollar and the US real trade balance Abstract: The current study seeks to re-examine a possible long-run dynamic relationship between the trade-weighted real exchange rate of US dollar and US real trade balance by using the well-known cointegration methodology. The sample period includes observations from the second quarter of 1973 through the second quarter of 1992. The unit root test reveals that the trade-weighted real exchange value of dollar and the US real trade balance are individually nonstationary in levels. The ADF test concludes that there is no systematic long-run association between these two variables even under the flexible exchange rate system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355646 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355646&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:807-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olugbenga Onafowora Author-X-Name-First: Olugbenga Author-X-Name-Last: Onafowora Title: Inflation in developing countries Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-814 Issue: 12 Volume: 3 Year: 1996 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048596355655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048596355655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:3:y:1996:i:12:p:809-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Why workers queue for local government jobs: the US evidence Abstract: Following the technique of bivariate probit with partial observability, I find the evidence that one reason US workers queue for local government jobs is to obtain union status. The average desire probability for local government union jobs is found to be twice as large as the desire probability for local-non-union employment. Estimated from the same sample, the length of the local-union queue, which is almost twice the size of the queue for local-non-union jobs, suggests the importance of the desire for union status in the worker's decision to enter the local government job queue Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Sheng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The size anomaly on the Taiwan Stock Exchange Abstract: This paper examines the size anomaly on the Taiwan Stock Exchange over the period 1971-93. Using a sample of all listed stocks, this research finds that the smallest size quintile earns a significantly higher abnormal return than other four size portfolios over the whole sample period. Moreover, the size anomaly cannot be attributed to the January effect. The smallest size quintile performs better than the average of the other four size quintiles in almost every month. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-12 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:7-12 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Buckley Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Buckley Author-Name: Jane Frecknall Hughes Author-X-Name-First: Jane Frecknall Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Title: Japanese transfer pricing policy: a note Abstract: This paper examines the issue of transfer pricing with particular reference to Japanese multinational companies against the background of recent press reports alleging the misuse of this pricing mechanism to locate artificially group profits in countries where a tax advantage may be obtained. The chief allegation seems to be that companies set out deliberately to engineer a pricing structure which results in a sales/purchase price which is artificially low/high for goods which, typically, are traded across one or more national boundaries. This is in practice difficult to prove, and tax authorities normally seek to make adjustments based on attempts to establish a 'fair' or 'arm's length' price for goods for which an independent market seldom exists. The assumption generally made is that multinationals operate similarly in respect of transfer pricing, namely to the disadvantage of host countries in which they operate. It is the contention of this paper that this blanket assumption does not hold true, especially in the instance of Japanese multinationals, and it is argued that this can be demonstrated clearly if the pricing structures operated by a typical Japanese firm are examined in the light of the differing costing principles obtaining and the different business culture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-17 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:13-17 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juha-Pekka Kallunki Author-X-Name-First: Juha-Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Kallunki Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: Financial market liberalization and the relationship between stock returns and financial leverage in Finland Abstract: The results of this note indicate that the return-leverage relation turned from negative to positive in Finland in the late 1980s. This finding is explained by the liberalization of Finnish financial markets and the decrease in the degree of financial leverage of Finnish listed firms. The results highlight the remarkable effect of the financial market liberalization on the financial management of Finnish firms and the empirical results on the Finnish financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-21 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:19-21 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdelhak Senhadji Author-X-Name-First: Abdelhak Author-X-Name-Last: Senhadji Title: Two common problems related to the use of the Armington aggregator in computable general equilibrium models Abstract: This note highlights two common problems with the application of the population CES aggregator introduced by Armington. Both are related to the dependence of the input shares on the elasticity of substitution even when relative prices are held constant. A modified CES aggregator is proposed which avoids these problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-25 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:23-25 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Decomposition of Gini coefficients by income factors: a new approach and application Abstract: When total income consists of a number of factors, the Gini coefficient measuring income inequality can be decomposed into factor components. Some traditional decomposition methods rely on calculating the covariances between incomes and their ranks. Such methods have obvious limitations in empirical studies. This paper develops a simple decomposition approach applicable for any type of data with an example to demonstrate how income inequality in rural China in 1992 can be decomposed into agricultural and non-agricultural components. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521827 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521827&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:27-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karolina Ekholm Author-X-Name-First: Karolina Author-X-Name-Last: Ekholm Author-Name: Johan Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Author-Name: Rasha Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Rasha Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Comparative advantage in the Middle East and North Africa Abstract: This paper asks whether net trade in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) can be explained by differences in comparative costs and in the exploitation of scale economies. Based on a sample of six countries, it is shown that factor proportions do not significantly affect net trade. In an analysis based on a sample of three countries, we are also able to incorporate technical differences and differences in scale economies. We find no support of these variables significantly affecting net trade either. Therefore, we are fairly confident in drawing the conclusion that for our country sample, net trade does not seem to be explained by comparative costs, technical differences, or scale economies. This leads us to conclude that measures undertaken to increase trade between MENA countries without simultaneously removing domestic distortions may not be welfare improving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521828 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521828&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:33-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: A simple method for controlling for compositional effects in the measurement of poverty Abstract: This paper outlines a method for controlling for compositional factors in the measurement of poverty. The method is based in shift-share analysis and direct standarization, the later technique popular in the field of demography. The method is consistent with Sen's influential axiomatic approach to poverty measurement and employs the popular poverty index proposed by Foster et al. This index is one of the few summary poverty measures that can be directly standardized and also meets Sen's criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521829 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521829&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Football league transfers: a comparison of negotiated fees with arbitration settlements Abstract: This paper investigates the differences between negotiated and arbitrated settlements in the footballers transfer market utilizing a data set containing FLAC decisions covering the period 1978-9 to 1991-2. Our analysis suggests that arbitrated settlements deflate transfer fees compared with negotiated transfers. We also identify a tendency towards greater risk aversion amongst buying clubs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Author-Name: Glenn Graham Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Title: Access to health care and current health status: do physicians matter? Abstract: A number of studies examine the link between access to medical care and health status. Previous studies find little or no relationship between the availability of health care and health status. We examine the issue separately for metropolitan and rural areas. We find that the number of physicians in a county has a positive influence on the health status of individuals in rural areas. Also, older people benefit more from the presence of physicians than younger people. Consistent with previous studies, no clear relationship is found in metropolitan areas. These results support several United States government programmes that encourage physicians to locate in rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Public perceptions of the relative seriousness of inflation and unemployment in the United States Abstract: We analyse the determinants of the public's relative concerns about inflation and unemployment using responses to the Gallup Poll question on the relative seriousness of inflation and unemployment. We then estimate the rate of inflation that politicians will choose to impose on the US economy given the natural rate of unemployment. We find that this rate of inflation, which we call 'the natural rate of inflation', is in the region of 5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Per-Olov Johansson Author-X-Name-First: Per-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson Title: The value of life extension and the marginal rate of time preference: a pilot study Abstract: The aim of this paper is to introduce and test a new approach for the measurement of the marginal rate of time preference for life-years gained based on contingent valuation techniques. A simple binary willingness to pay question is administered in a general public sample of two age groups (34-5 years and 64-5 years). In this pilot study, the estimated marginal rate of time preference is 1.3%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521833 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521833&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:53-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Movie admissions and rental income: the case of James Bond Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of optimal movie design with respect to a single series of feature films, the James Bond movies. This is in contrast to previous studies where analysis has been primarily confined to samples of record box office earning movies. With respect to US admissions and rental income four separate models are estimated examining economic factors, the Bond actors, film quality and intertemporal indicators. Findings indicate non-monotonic relationship with respect to price and an inverse one with respect to total movie attendance. A positive influence is recorded by the first three Bond actors although audience loyalty declines after four appearances and a debutante brings significant additional returns. Quality is also an important component with the attainment or nomination of Academy Awards being particularly lucrative. The relative success of the series is, however, on a declining trajectory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:57-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Causality between the measured and underground economies in New Zealand Abstract: We investigate some characteristics of the underground economy in New Zealand by testing for Granger causality between measured and 'hidden' real GDP in that country. We find clear evidence of causality from measured to hidden economic activity, but only weak evidence of causality in the reverse direction. This poses a dilemma for policy makers who wish to stimulate economic growth and also minimize the size of the 'tax gap'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Title: Explaining stationary variables with non-stationary regressors Abstract: When variables included in an OLS regression are stationary, conventional statistical measures such as t-statistics and R2's - in addition to a priori information from economic theory - are the standard indicators used to assess the performance of the hypothesized model. However, if the variables under consideration are non-stationary, such conventional measures no longer have the usual interpretation. With recent developments in time-series analysis, namely cointegration, researchers are able to deal with models containing non-stationary variables effectively. A standard cointegration model, however, requires all variables included in the regression to be of the same order of integration. In this paper we consider a regression in which the dependent variable is integrated of order zero, I(0), while the explanatory variables are integrated of order one, I(1). Conventional statistical measures are inapplicable because the regressors are not stationary. On the other hand, cointegration statistics are inapplicable because the variables are not of the same order of integration. This letter proposes a methodology on how to evaluate the performance of such a model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521836 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521836&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:1:p:69-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: A note on beta forecasting Abstract: The issue of beta forecasting is explored using Australian stock returns data. A simple market model is fitted to individual stock data over the period 1983 to 1987 and the beta estimated from this sample is used to forecast the market model beta over the period 1988 to 1992. It is found that a simple transformation of the initial period beta produces a forecast error which is remarkably close to the transformation which produces the minimum least squares forecast error. This suggests that the more complex forecasting techniques proposed in the literature may not be worth the additional computational effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-78 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526698 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526698&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:77-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Philip Whyman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Whyman Title: Demand for religion in the British Isles Abstract: This paper analyses, for the first time, consumer preferences for religion within the British Isles. We examine the characteristics of the leading denominations on a cross-sectional basis for 1994 in relation to their membership. It is found that significant factors determining religious membership include the geographical location and period of foundation, specialized regional and ethnic indicators, attributes of ministers, whether 'established' or 'disestablished' and supply-side factors. These findings have repercussions on the future marketing of religion in an increasingly secular and multi-cultural society, together with the debate on the future of the established, or state, churches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526699 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526699&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Margin requirements and stock market volatility in Thailand Abstract: The use of margin requirements as a potential policy tool for controlling sudden stock price changes and market volatility has attracted considerable attention in the developed stock markets. However, no consensus has emerged regarding the significance of the impact of changes in margin requirement of the stock market. The existing analyses are extended to test the impact of changes in margin requirements on stock prices in an emerging stock market. Using recent data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand, margin requirements are demonstrated to have an important impact on the behaviour of stock prices. Increases (decreases) in margin requirements usually lead to a downward (upward) trend in stock prices. An interesting aspect of the result is the apparently asymmetric nature of the response of stock prices to changes in margin requirements. The market appears to respond immediately and forcefully to a decrease in the margin requirements; whereas the response to an increase in margin requirements is much slower and weaker. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-87 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:83-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Title: Dynamic linkages and Granger causality between short-term US corporate bond and stock markets Abstract: It is sought to investigate a possible long-run association and Granger causality between US stock and short-term corporate bond markets by applying the well-known cointegration and error-correction methodology. The unit root tests reveal that the rates of return from S&P 500 and short-term US corporate bond yields are non-stationary in levels. The ADF test finds them cointegrated at 1, 5 and 10% levels of significance. The estimated error-correction model confirms a long-run relationship between these two markets. The short-term US corporate bond market appears to Granger-cause the US stock market in the long run. Furthermore, there appears to be a two-way short-run Granger causality and reversible feedback between these two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526701 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526701&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Author-Name: Linda Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Title: Efficiency in gambling markets involving spread: a corrected and simplified test Abstract: A correction is proposed for a test of market efficiency that is commonly applied to sports betting markets. Markets offering spread and totals wagers, such as football and basketball, typically employ the 'eleven for ten' betting rule. The previously established test statistic for profitability is positively biased, so it could lead researchers to a false rejection of the efficient markets hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526702 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526702&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:93-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Rougier Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Rougier Title: A simple necessary condition for negativity in the almost ideal demand system with the Stone price index Abstract: A necessary condition is derived for negativity in the almost ideal demand system (AIDS) when used with the Stone price index. This condition is very simple and can be examined by a t-test on a single equation within the framework of ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:97-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Mudambi Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Mudambi Title: A complete information index for measuring the proportionality of electoral systems Abstract: A crucial property of an electoral system is the manner in which it translates a vote distribution into a pattern of representation. Measures of this property are important in assessing the relative merits of differing electoral systems. Galeotti proposes one useful index (Galeotti, G., 1994, On proportional non-representation, Public Choice, 80, 359-70). However, it is argued that this index is informationally incomplete. A complete information index is proposed and shown to perform better in an illustration using data from Sicilian provincial elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526704 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526704&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Title: Stock returns in emerging markets: a common trend analysis Abstract: An empirical investigation is offered of the number of common trends in stock returns in seven Asian emerging markets. There is evidence of a single common trend. Following Kasa (Kasa, K., 1992, Common stochastic trends in international stock markets, Journal of Monetary Economics, 29, 95-124) a measure is obtained of common trend and graphic evidence is provided in favour of market interdependence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Kursat Kunter Author-X-Name-First: Kursat Author-X-Name-Last: Kunter Title: A note on the efficiency of financial markets in a developing country Abstract: Semi-strong efficiency in the stock market, the foreign exchange market and the interbank money market in Turkey is investigated by using the direct Granger causality tests. Significant deviations are reported from the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) with respect to changes in market liquidity in all these markets for the period of January 1989 to July 1995. It is also found that these markets are pairwise interdependent. However, market liquidity cannot be predicted by using developments in the financial market. Possible implications for domestic and foreign investors and for monetary policy makers are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526706 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526706&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:109-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Robert Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Qiyu Chu Author-X-Name-First: Qiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: The causality between fertility and female labour force participation in Japan Abstract: Applying Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method, an examination is carried out into the causality between fertility (BR) and female labour (FR) participation for Japan over the period 1950-1993. A unidirectional causality appears to run from BR to FR without feedback. The F-statistics show that fertility negatively affects female labour force participation but not vice versa. It appears that women's employment does not hinder the probability of having more children, but having small children at home strongly discourages them from seeking outside employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526707 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526707&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Phil Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Measuring discrimination by decomposing earnings functions Abstract: An unrecognized problem is examined in a frequently used method for decomposing earnings functions in the measurement of discrimination. The conventional method decomposes changes in the log of the geometric mean of the distribution, as opposed to the correct quantity, which is the change in the log of the arithmetic mean. Using the log of the geometric mean involves decomposing both changes in the mean and the spread of the distribution. But the mean and the spread of many earnings functions are subject to change, so it is not quite clear what this decomposition achieves. Two examples illustrate timewise and cross-sectional comparisons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Grammy Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Grammy Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: New Evidence on the effect of human capital on economic growth Abstract: We improve results of the Mankiw, Romer and Weil (1992) augmented neoclassical growth model by considering broader measures of human capital. Compared with the MRW results, our approach increases the explanatory power of the model and the speed of conditional income convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Stochastic efficiency measurement: a new approach Abstract: A new method of measuring productive efficiency is proposed and empirically applied here, when the input output data are subject to random variations. This method is useful in applications of Farrell efficiency and data envelopment analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526710 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526710&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Finite sample performance of Schmidt-Philips unit root tests Abstract: The finite sample performance is investigated for two versions of the Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root tests. It is found that the correct size of the augmented tests is obtained at the expense of the power, while the reasonable power of the transformed tests reflects the size distortions under the null hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526711 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526711&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ather Akbari Author-X-Name-First: Ather Author-X-Name-Last: Akbari Author-Name: Tomson Ogwang Author-X-Name-First: Tomson Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwang Title: The Canadian earnings functions under test Abstract: Many Canadian studies continue to use Mincer's basic post-schooling earnings function to analyse labour market earnings of individuals. Several policy recommendations are based on these analyses. The underlying assumptions in these studies are that the Mincer's specification of earnings model is correct and that the error terms of these models are normally distributed and homoscedastic. By performing several tests on four cross-sectional Canadian data sets ranging from 1981 to 1991, the present study confirms previous suggestions in literature that the standard Mincer specification of earnings model should not be adopted without testing. The hypotheses of a correctly specified functional form, and of the normality and homoscedasticity of errors, are rejected for all the data sets used in this study. These results question the validity of past policy recommendations based on Mincer type earnings functions in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758526712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758526712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:2:p:133-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: The implications of cointegration in financial markets: a comment Abstract: In this short paper, I show that the characterization of the efficient securities market in Wang (1995) is inconsistent with financial economic theory, and offer a theoretically consistent alternative. By contrast, under this alternative definition of an efficient market, the component securities cannot be cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-143 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:141-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ram Pillarisetti Author-X-Name-First: J. Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Pillarisetti Title: An empirical note on inequality in the world development indicators Abstract: A broad range of inequality measures is used to examine inter-country inequality in two highly correlated indicators of development, the per capita real income (Y) and the Human Development Index (HDI). The difference in the degree of inequality in Y and the HDI is found to be highly sensitive to the inequality index. Wolfson's index reflected high inter-country inequality in both Y and the HDI. Several other indexes also measured high inequality in Y and the HDI at varying levels. The entropy class of measures exhibited a high inequality in Y but negligible inequality in the HDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Bengt Liljas Author-X-Name-First: Bengt Author-X-Name-Last: Liljas Author-Name: Richard O'Conor Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: O'Conor Title: Hypothetical versus real willingness to pay: some experimental results Abstract: The aim of this study was to compare hypothetical and real willingness to pay (WTP) in an experimental setting by eliciting WTP for a private good, a box of chocolates. The experimental subjects were randomly divided into two groups. One group received an open-ended hypothetical WTP question and another group participated in a second-price auction with real payments. The mean WTP was SEK 89.50 (STD 75.37) in the hypothetical payment group and SEK 87.40 (STD 39.47) in the real payment group. The null hypothesis of no difference in the mean WTP between the groups could not be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:149-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stein Ostbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Ostbye Title: A real options approach to investment in factor demand models Abstract: A real options approach to investment is used to derive a new full static equilibrium condition for capital within the framework of a restricted variable cost function. Empirical evidence suggests that the use of the traditional equilibrium condition may be grossly misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kavous Ardalan Author-X-Name-First: Kavous Author-X-Name-Last: Ardalan Title: The no-arbitrage condition and financial markets with heterogeneous and costly information Abstract: The explosion of the rational expectations equilibrium models in the finance literature has occurred when the perfect market assumption of homogeneous information is relaxed and prices play the role of aggregating and transmitting information in the financial market. This paper shows that the no-arbitrage condition in a financial market with heterogeneous and costly information is equivalent to the existence of a pricing operator. It is further shown that equilibrium prices in financial markets with heterogeneous and costly information are, in fact, equilibrium prices in a perfect market plus a certain factor. This paper then shows the functional relation between this certain factor and the form of the information-cost function. In this way, the results of Ross (1978), Gaman and Ohlson (1981), and Dermody and Prisman (1993) are extended to financial markets with heterogeneous and costly information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:159-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Joao Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Currency substitution and indexed money Abstract: The paper tests the hypothesis that the presence of indexed money may rule out a process of currency substitution in contexts of persistent high inflation. Estimates for the case of Brazil using monthly data for the period 1985 to 1993 and cointegration techniques offer support for that. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Nonneman Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Nonneman Author-Name: Isabelle Cortens Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Cortens Title: A note on the rate of return to investment in education in Belgium Abstract: Internal rates on return to investment in higher secondary, university and non-university higher education in Belgium (1992) are presented. Private, social and fiscal returns are distinguished. Private and social returns are low for secondary education, but substantially higher than long-run returns of investment in physical capital. Returns for females are systematically higher than those for males. A remarkable finding is that social returns are higher than private returns, indicating a net-tax on educational investment rather than a net-subsidy. Fiscal returns are particularly high for tertiary education implying no reverse redistributive effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Waddoups Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Waddoups Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: Duration and mobility of young male workers in a segmented labour market Abstract: This study analyses the notion that the length of spells in secondary segment employment inhibits mobility to primary segment employment. Findings for young male workers aged 20-25 detect the existence of such an effect with secondary segment hazard rates exhibiting negative duration dependence after three years of duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Title: Which level of schooling has the greatest economic impact on output? Abstract: An assessment is made of whether primary, secondary or tertiary education has the greatest impact on national income. An aggregate production function is estimated for a cross-section of 77 countries which disaggregates the labour force on the basis of the highest level of schooling attained. The results imply that for both high-income and less developed countries the marginal product of labour increases with each successive level of schooling. Tertiary education has the greatest economic impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-180 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:177-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanu Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atanu Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: Oral Capps Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Capps Author-Name: Patrick Byrne Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Title: Calculating marginal effects in dichotomous - continuous models Abstract: In many economic settings, individual decisions can be viewed as a sequential process where a dichotomous choice is followed by a continuous choice. These processes are frequently encountered in consumption demand studies, where the decision of whether or not to consume a particular commodity is followed by the choice of how much to consume. The Heckman two-step approach has been extensively used in estimating these models. Expressions are derived for calculating marginal effects of regressors in dichotomous-continuous models. It is proposed that the marginal effect expressions are incomplete in almost all consumption demand studies that use the Heckman approach. In dichotomous-continuous models, a change in an explanatory variable that is common to both stages of the decision process has two effects: (1) it affects the likelihood of whether the commodity will be consumed; and (2) if the commodity is consumed, it affects the expenditure on that commodity. The first effect has so far been omitted from applied demand studies. The correct marginal effect expressions are derived for single-commodity and multiple-commodity demand models. An application to consumption survey data on 12 food commodities shows that erroneous marginal effect expressions can introduce substantial bias in demand elasticity estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:181-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Normandin Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Normandin Title: Precautionary saving and the Deaton paradox Abstract: The Deaton paradox implies that the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) under certainty equivalence is rejected because observed consumption is excessively smooth. It is shown how several reasonable parametrization of the PIH under precautionary saving imply that consumption is smoother than labour income and that the relative smoothness matches that found in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Tobit analysis with a natural non-response rate Abstract: A Tobit model is considered with a natural non-response rate. The model features simultaneous determination of the standard Tobit model and a natural non-response rate. An example on the determinants of extramarital affairs is used to illustrate the method. The natural non-response rate is shown to be statistically significant in this example. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob Brochner Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Brochner Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Title: Tests of the Lucas supply curve with price expectational data Abstract: The Lucas supply curve is tested using EEC price expectational data. The tests failed to find any evidence of a positively sloped aggregate supply curve due to worker and producer misperception. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:195-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourens Broersma Author-X-Name-First: Lourens Author-X-Name-Last: Broersma Title: Competition between employed and unemployed job searchers: is there a difference between the UK and The Netherlands? Abstract: In this paper We investigate whether there is a difference between competition between unemployed and employed job searchers in flexible and rigid labour markets. Comparing the results for the more or less flexible labour market in the UK with the rigid labour market in The Netherlands, we find remarkably similar results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-203 Issue: 3 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:3:p:199-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hart Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Hart Author-Name: Nicholas Oulton Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Oulton Title: Zipf and the size distribution of firms Abstract: Based on a sample of 50441 independent UK companies of all sizes covering all sectors of the UK economy, the size distribution of companies is close to lognormal, even though the hypothesis of lognormality can be rejected statistically. A Zipf plot shows that the Pareto distribution is a poor fit to the upper 5% tail. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-206 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:205-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Leger Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Leger Title: UK investment trusts: performance, timing and selectivity Abstract: GLS estimation with correction for autocorrelation is used to examine the performance of 72 UK Investment Trusts in four non-overlapping five-year samples, 1974 to 1993, using measures of 'timing', and 'selectivity'. Abnormal performance on both indicators is found to be weak, with very little persistence. Patterns of significant selectivity and timing are found to reverse after the first period. Negative timing performance is found for around one third of trusts in the last three sample periods, and strong negative correlations are observed between timing and selectivity for all periods. Various interpretations of these findings are given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-210 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:207-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ananda Weliwita Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Weliwita Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Title: Determinants of farmland prices in the north-eastern United States: a cointegration analysis Abstract: We examine the determinants of land prices in the north-eastern United States by applying Johansen and Juselius maximum-likelihood cointegration procedure to two recent land price models. The results suggest that there is an equilibrium relationship between real land price and real gross farm income, inflation rate, interest rate, and land area. We found that both real and nominal interest rates are cointegrated with land prices. These findings support recent suggestions that interest rate plays a more significant role in determining land prices than previously thought. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: A modified matrix for policy analysis on production diversification for Thai agriculture Abstract: A modified policy analysis matrix is developed to study the costs and benefits of crop production in Thailand. Government intervention in production diversification is assessed with alternative indicators of comparative advantages. It suggests that intervention may be socially undesirable but there are exceptional cases, especially when economic externality exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-218 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518497 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518497&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:215-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Title: A test of wage leadership hypothesis in Turkish manufacturing industry Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-223 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:219-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Seļuk Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Seļuk Title: GMM estimation of currency substitution in a high-inflation economy: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This paper shows that currency substitution is a first-order importance in a high inflation economy like Turkey. A money-in-the-utility function model is estimated and tested using Hansen's Generalized Method of Moments procedure. The results show that elasticity of substitution between the Turkish Lira and the US dollar is high and statistically significant. The estimate of the share of foreign balances in producing domestic money services is considerably large and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-227 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:225-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Obesity and heart disease awareness: a note on the impact of consumer characteristics using qualitative choice analysis Abstract: This note examines the impact of socio-economic and demographic factors on the likelihood that an individual is aware of the link between being overweight and heart disease. Results indicate that nonwhites, lower educated individuals, and those with lower income are less likely to be aware of the link between being overweight and heart disease. Considering the extent of the obesity problem in the United States, these results should be used as a guide in the design of food policy and health education campaigns about obesity and heart disease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-231 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:229-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Lammertsma Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Lammertsma Author-Name: Kees Koedijk Author-X-Name-First: Kees Author-X-Name-Last: Koedijk Author-Name: Clemens Kool Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Kool Title: The evidence on international output-inflation trade-off: an evaluation Abstract: Combining and processing the information in ten previously published studies, we analyse the Lucas variability hypotheses. When adequate account is taken of structural differences between developing and developed countries, the prediction of the Lucas model that higher nominal demand variability leads to a lower inflation-output trade-off must be rejected for the group of developed countries. This does not imply that developed countries can use active demand policies without deteriorating their short-run inflation-output trade-off. More realistically, the result suggests that nominal demand variability is an inadequate indicator of demand shocks for the group of developed countries. This may be due to relatively low inflation levels and variability in the developed countries. For the developing countries where nominal (inflationary) shocks dominate, this may be less of a problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-236 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:233-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Ian Lincoln Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Lincoln Title: Tax then spend or spend then tax? Experience in the UK, 1961-93 Abstract: Using a hybrid of cointegration theory and Granger-Akaike's synthesis of modelling strategy, we have reexamined the causal relationship between tax revenue and government spending in the UK in a cointegrated VAR model. The results are indicative of a bi-directional causality between revenue and spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-239 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:237-239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Are there asymmetries in UK consumption? A closer look Abstract: This letter reappraises some recently reported tests for asymmetries in UK consumers' expenditure relative to trend. In particular, we consider the disaggregation of consumers' expenditure into broad categories of durable and non-durable goods and services, and according to 13 specific consumption categories. We also consider the sensitivity of test results to alternative detrending methods; namely Hodrick-Prescott filtering and structural time series modelling. We find that previous consideration of total consumers expenditure alone masks an important difference in the properties of expenditure across the durable/non-durable distinction, durables exhibiting significant asymmetric 'steepness' which is robust to the method of detrending, while non-durables exhibit significant 'deepness' under Hodrick-Prescott detrending but not structural time series trend modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. A. Salisu Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Salisu Author-Name: V. N. Balasubramanyam Author-X-Name-First: V. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Balasubramanyam Title: Income and price elasticities of demand for alcoholic drinks Abstract: This paper provides estimates of income and price elasticities of demand for beer, wine and spirits in the UK and utilizes these elasticities to estimate the impact of the increase in tax rates, announced by the Chancellor in his revised November 1994 budget, on total tax revenues. The estimates of additional tax revenues based on our model are lower than those expected by the Chancellor. The results reported in this paper suggest that if the Chancellor were to realize the revenues he expects from taxation of alcoholic drinks he would have to increase the tax rates on wine and lower those on beer and spirits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-251 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:247-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Gianluigi Pelloni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Pelloni Author-Name: Athina Zervoyianni Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Zervoyianni Title: Unemployment Fluctuations in the UK: 1958-92 Abstract: This paper presents estimates of a reduced-form unemployment equation for the UK using annual data from 1958 to 1992. It extends previous work by using modern time series econometrics, by focusing on variables that bring about fluctuations around the natural rate as well as variables that determine it, and by using a measure of sectoral reallocation purged of demand influences. The resulting equation has stable parameters which are readily interpretable in terms of the underlying theories of unemployment fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-255 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:253-255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taijfiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taijfiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: Cointegration analysis of the inverted Fisher effect: evidence from Belgium, France and Germany Abstract: This paper investigates the inverted Fisher effect in Belgium, France and Germany during 1955-94 using the cointegration method. Cointegration tests of two different null hypotheses, cointegration and no cointegration, are applied. Little support is found for the inverted Fisher effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-260 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:257-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. W. Mui Author-X-Name-First: H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Mui Author-Name: M. M. Ali Author-X-Name-First: M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Title: Economic analysis of crime and punishment: an Asian case Abstract: In this paper, we have investigated the deterrent effects of sanctions and severity of punishment on crime rates based on the experience of Hong Kong. The effects of socio-economic variables such as unemployment rate, poverty, number of illegal immigrants, and total population on crime rates are also studied. Criminal behaviour is analysed using a utility theoretic framework and criminals are viewed as rational economic agents. Annual data of all categories of crimes committed in Hong Kong from 1972 to 1992 are used to estimate the parameters. In contrast to societies with a European culture, we have found that the crime rates experienced in an Asian city are quite different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:261-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amresh Hanchate Author-X-Name-First: Amresh Author-X-Name-Last: Hanchate Author-Name: K. V. Ramaswamy Author-X-Name-First: K. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramaswamy Title: New agricultural technology, timeliness and wages for labour: a longitudinal study of rural wages in India Abstract: While there is widespread agreement that the spread of new technology crops in India since the mid-1960s has affected rural wages, there is considerable disagreement over the nature of this effect. The existing literature has posed this problem in a demand-supply framework - with a rise in agricultural wages ascribed to increased labour demand caused by this technology change, and stagnant or falling wages attributed to labour supply growth outstripping labour demand. In this paper we reconsider this issue in a modified framework. Within a competitive demand-supply framework we add another aspect of production technology that is idiosyncratic to agriculture, namely, sensitivity of yields to timing of farm operations (say, planting date). It is common knowledge that mistiming can cause substantial yield loss. In a competitive labour market this causes greater impatience on the farmers' part. They are willing to pay a higher wage rather than risk loss of yield. As newer technology crops tend to be more time sensitive, this puts an upward pressure on wages. In this paper we test this hypothesis using annual state-level data from India for the period 1970-85. Delineating the demand-supply effect of new technology on wages from that of the timeliness effect, we indeed find supportive evidence for the above hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758518508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758518508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:4:p:267-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasser Daneshvary Author-X-Name-First: Nasser Author-X-Name-Last: Daneshvary Author-Name: William Luksetich Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Luksetich Title: Income sources and declared charitable tax deductions Abstract: Within the framework of traditional economic theory a charitable contribution is considered a consumption good. As such, the demand for giving is affected by changes in the price of giving and current income. Moreover, changes in wealth, expected future income, and 'habits' may affect giving. Previous empirical studies of giving have not considered the possibility of the impact that donor's wealth might have on giving. One way of accounting for such possible effect is to include various sources of donor's income in the demand function. Using the Internal Revenue Service Individual Tax Model Files and a dynamic econometric model of charitable giving, we estimate demand for giving for various income groups and examine impacts of various income sources on giving. The findings indicate that the higher the share of wages and dividends in disposable income, the higher the amount of giving. The amount of giving is lower when the share of interest, capital gain, or pension income is higher. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Paul Leigh Author-X-Name-First: J. Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Author-Name: Deborah Lubeck Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Lubeck Author-Name: Paul Farnham Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Farnham Author-Name: James Fries Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Fries Title: Absenteeism and HIV infection Abstract: We sought to determine whether employed patients with HIV infection reported more days unable to work than similar patients without HIV infection. We did not consider whether HIV infection resulted in job loss. Cross-sectional data on 884 employed patients from five physician-sites in California were drawn from the AIDS Time-Oriented Health Outcome Study (ATHOS). An econometric 2-part model with a number of covariates including age, race, education, and an instrumental variable reflecting the probability of any employment was constructed to provide a comparison between three categories of patients, HIV -negative; HIV positive but not yet AIDS; and AIDS. The results suggested no statistically significant difference between the comparison patients (HIV -negative) and the patients with HIV but not AIDS for days unable to work. Employed patients with AIDS, however, reported roughly 5.1 (one week) more days unable to work out of the prior three months than either the comparison patients or the patients with HIV infection but not AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-280 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:275-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: The hidden economy and tax-evasion prosecutions in New Zealand Abstract: We consider non-stationary time-series data for the size of the hidden economy and for tax-related prosecutions in New Zealand. The two series are found to be cointegrated, and there is strong evidence of Granger causality from prosecutions to hidden activity. There is no significant evidence of reverse causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-285 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:281-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Increasing returns to information: evidence from the Hong Kong movie market Abstract: We examine a sample of 300 movies that appeared on the top-10 charts in Hong Kong. We apply an empirical test proposed by Ijiri and Simon (1974) and find that movie revenues in the territory of Hong Kong are consistent with the hypothesis of increasing returns to information. This empirical result confirms the results of De Vany and Walls (1996) who found evidence of increasing returns to information in their analysis of movie data from the US Top-50 charts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532594 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532594&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:287-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pingsun Leung Author-X-Name-First: Pingsun Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Walter Miklius Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Miklius Title: Demand for nutrition vs. demand for tastes Abstract: This paper extends the analyses by Silberberg (1985) of the relationship between the expenditures for food to satisfy nutritional requirements and the expenditures to satisfy the desire for tastes using alternative estimates of the minimum cost or technically efficient diet. The hypothesis originally tested by Silberberg is retested by following his procedure for estimating the minimum cost diet but using data supplied by the 1977-78 Food Consumption Survey in Hawaii. The results are roughly consistent with the hypothesis, i.e., if the lowest income group is excluded, the ratio of actual food expenditures to the minimum cost diet rises with increase in household incomes. However, an argument could be made that the procedure used by Silberberg in estimating the minimum cost or technically efficient diets did not satisfactorily separate the expenditures for nutrition from the expenditures to satisfy the demand for tastes. We, therefore, re-estimated the hypothesis with the minimum cost diet which satisfies Recommended Daily Allowances (RDAs). We find that the results again are consistent with the hypothesis but the effect of changes in income on food expenditures to satisfy tastes is relatively small. It is argued elsewhere that the technology (as embodied in available recipes) is not available to convert all nutrients contained in a typical minimum cost diet into palatable meals. Therefore, the minimum cost diet estimated by optimizing over the raw foods is not feasible and, therefore, is not an appropriate measure of how cheaply the demand for nutrition could be satisfied. We retested the Silberberg's hypothesis using the 'feasible' minimum cost diet estimated by optimizing over those bundles of foods that represent reasonably popular meal recipes. Using this procedure, it is estimated that about 60% of the food expenditures were to satisfy the demand for tastes versus about 70% obtained using Silberberg's procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-295 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:291-295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zainudin Arsad Author-X-Name-First: Zainudin Author-X-Name-Last: Arsad Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: The trading month anomaly in the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index: 1935-1994 Abstract: In this paper we employ a large sample of daily returns from the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index to investigate the existence of the 'trading month' effect or the 'turn-of-the-month' effect. We tentatively conclude that a trading month effect is present, but that this effect exists for a much shorter period than has been documented by previous studies both for the US and the UK. Finally, we also document evidence which lends support to the information release hypothesis of French (1980). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-299 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532596 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532596&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:297-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Does the Chinese official CPI underestimate inflation? Abstract: This paper examines the behaviour of the Chinese official CPI relative to a market-based index. The empirical results indicate that the official index underestimates the actual inflation rate and that the bias is time-varying. The biasedness of the official index is attributed to covert price rises induced by the presence of price controls and quantity rationing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532597 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532597&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kon Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kon Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: On the disparate evidence on trend stationarity in inflation rates: a reappraisal Abstract: Conflicting findings on stationarity in inflation have been reported in different economic literatures. This study attempts to reconcile the disparate findings and provides alternative international evidence on stationarity in inflation. Empirical results show that when a new, powerful unit-root test is applied, strong and consistent evidence of stationarity can be found in monthly inflation rates. The results further show that the use of different data frequencies and different price indices to measure inflation, as in prior studies, may also affect test results and lead to disparities in findings on stationarity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532598 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532598&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Hylan Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Hylan Author-Name: Maureen Lage Author-X-Name-First: Maureen Author-X-Name-Last: Lage Author-Name: Michael Treglia Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Treglia Title: Institutional change and invariance of behaviour in Major League Baseball Abstract: The invariance interpretation of the Coase Theorem is examined using the mobility behaviour of all offensive players (hitters) in Major League Baseball (MLB) who played from 1949 to 1992. Results indicate that while the institution of the rookie draft did not affect the mobility of players, the mobility of players was altered under free agency. In addition, the period of free agency witnessed mobility behaviours of veteran players which was unlike that mobility under the guidance of owners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532599 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532599&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: International R&D spillovers amongst OECD economies Abstract: Theories of endogenous growth have recently explored the role of international R&D spillovers. This study extends Coe and Helpman's model (Coe, D. T. and Helpman, E., 1995, International R&D spillovers, European Economic Review, 39, 859-87) allowing for country-specific spillover effects using interactive dummy variables, by netting out the impact of productivity catch-up, and by including a business cycle variable. The empirical results suggest a diverse picture. For some countries, e.g. the USA, Canada and West Germany, recent spillovers seem to have a negative impact on TFP. Hypotheses are suggested to explain the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-319 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:315-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: Effects of devaluation on income distribution Abstract: Few studies in the literature have argued that inflationary effects of devaluation redistribute income from workers to producers. By using cross-sectional data from 24 countries, this paper provides an empirical support for the theoretical arguements that indeed, devaluations have unequalizing effects on income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:321-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Owain Ap Gwilym Author-X-Name-First: Owain Ap Author-X-Name-Last: Gwilym Author-Name: Mike Buckle Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Buckle Title: Forward/forward volatilities and the term structure of implied volatility Abstract: Forward/forward volatility derived from options' implied volatilities is a measure of the market's expectation of future volatility. We examine the factors affecting forward/forward volatility and present evidence of its predictive performance based on FTSE100 index options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis In Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: In Author-Name: Chris Doucouliagos Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Doucouliagos Title: Human capital formation and US economic growth: a causality analysis Abstract: In this paper, Granger causality tests are applied to a new data set on human capital formation and US private sector GDP. The study is the first to test for causality between human capital formation and economic growth. It employs an error correction mechanism and is estimated through canonical cointegration regression. The results show strong evidence of casuality from human capital formation to private sector GDP and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:329-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cameron Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: Marital instability and business start-up rates Abstract: Inspired by the work of Becker, economists have produced a voluminous literature on divorce. This is almost completely devoid of any reference to macroeconomic effects. The bulk of it examines the determinants of separation. This paper explores one such macroeconomic effect; the impact of divorce on small business start-ups. The route through which it exerts this influence is the housing market. Housing is an important component of wealth for the majority of households. Divorce can have a dramatic impact on the value of investment in housing available to an individual (see Davis et al., 1992); for example, an individual may be nominally the owner of a house yet be forced, by the courts, to relinquish it for a former partner. This is a sharp change in wealth holdings which must surely influence major capital commitments. Given recent work on consumer durables and housing (Carruth and Henley, 1992) one might expect divorce to impact on durable spending, but this important aspect to aggregate demand has not been investigated. Nor has the influence on aggregate supply through its effect on the formation of new firms been examined. There is thus considerable scope for analysis of the impact of divorce on aggregate demand and supply. This paper focuses exclusively on the latter. It adapts some models from the emerging literature on the formation of new firms and applies these to data at county level for England and Wales. The estimated equations indicate that divorce has a negative and significant impact on the rate of small business start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532604 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532604&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:333-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Kelley Pace Author-X-Name-First: R. Kelley Author-X-Name-Last: Pace Author-Name: Ronald Barry Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Barry Title: Fast spatial estimation Abstract: Spatial estimators usually provide lower prediction errors than their aspatial counterparts. However, most of the standard techniques require a large number of operations. Fortunately, for a given observation only a relatively small number of nearby observations typically exhibit correlated errors. This means that most of the elements of the n by n spatial matrices are zero. The use of sparse matrix techniques can dramatically lower storage requirements and reduce execution times. In addition, adopting a first differencing model allows the use of GLS which avoids the necessity of evaluating an n by n determinant. This also greatly reduces computational costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 5 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758532605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758532605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:5:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Author-Name: Dharmendra Dhakal Author-X-Name-First: Dharmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Dhakal Title: Devaluation and the trade balance: estimating the long run effect Abstract: This study tests the effectiveness of devaluation on the trade balance in eight developing countries from Asia, Europe, Africa and Latin America. A unique and new methodology is used to estimate the long run effect of devaluation on the trade balance. The estimated results suggest that devaluation, in general, does not improve the trade balance in the long run. In some cases it even had a perverse effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-345 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:343-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Cellini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Cellini Title: Growth empirics: evidence from a panel of annual data Abstract: The paper shows that the use of annual data pooled into a panel of several countries can be a good choice for analysing the properties of long-term economic growth. Of course, an appropriate regression specification must be considered, to account for the short-run components of such high frequency data. The results point out that conditional convergence is important, as well as physical capital accumulation, in growth process; the human capital accumulation, on the contrary, appears to be no longer significant when country fixed-effects are accounted for. More importantly, the estimates are consistent with very plausible values of the input shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-351 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:347-351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuliana Parodi Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Parodi Title: Trade Union Congress Policy towards union mergers: a statistical analysis, 1960-83 Abstract: This letter extends Elgar and Simpson's (1994) analysis on the working of the Bridlington Principles to the analysis of the working of TUC voluntary policy with respect to mergers among affiliated unions over the period 1960-83. Univariate analysis is applied to microdata to investigate the effectiveness of voluntary policy on mergers with respect both to the implementation and to the achievement of the underlying objectives of the policy. The results of the tests clearly show the achievement of the implementation of the policy in terms of when and how mergers occurred and the achievement of the policy objective of rationalizing the structure of affiliated unions; the results of the tests about the achievement of the policy objective of reducing competition for membership among affiliated unions are less conclusive. The results of our analysis on mergers broadly confirm Edgar and Simpson's results about the effectiveness of TUC voluntary policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-358 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:353-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Author-Name: Andrea Keil Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Keil Title: Applying the RESET test in allocation models: a cautionary note Abstract: Some of the issues which arise if the RESET test is used to validate the functional form of the equations in an allocation model are discussed. The simple application of this test, equation, by equation, is inappropriate on various grounds. The appropriate formulation of the RESET test in a full systems context requires care. This is discussed and illustrated with Engel curves for expenditure on alcoholic beverages in Australia. The same principles apply to other 'variable addition tests' used in econometrics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-363 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:359-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung-Joo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mary Lee Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Generalized method of moment estimation of truncated or censored regression Abstract: This paper proposes the generalized method of moment estimation of truncated or censored regression model, and applies this procedure to the recreational demand model estimation. In a typical limited dependent variable regression, the conditional mean of error distribution is no longer zero. However, by symmetric trimming of error distribution, we can obtain zero conditional mean, and the orthogonality conditions for GMM estimation. Travel cost model (TOM) is estimated using the symmetrically trimmed GMM estimation. Bootstrap is used to simulate the finite sample distribution of GMM estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: Financing divided governments Abstract: This paper finds that when the Congress and Presidency are controlled by the different political parties in the USA the creation of the seigniorage revenue to finance spending is not higher than when those two branches are controlled by the same party. However, the hypothesis that the creation of seigniorage revenue was lower during the period when the country had a fixed exchange rate regime was partially supported. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Philip Whyman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Whyman Title: Institutional macroeconomic forecasting performance of the UK economy Abstract: The accuracy of short-run macroeconomic forecasts for the UK economy is analysed by examining institutional, human capital and model-based factors. It is found that members of the Chancellor's panel of independent forecasters have a superior performance than other institutions, whilst the higher education sector and research/consultancy organizations have detrimental records. Additionally, non-monotonic relationships are found for the number of economists contributing to the forecast and the number of equations within the model. Moreover, with respect to the mean number of these factors currently employed by organizations in the sample, economies of scale exist in forecast accuracy. However, the attainment of a doctorate and the number of variables utilized reduce forecast accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: A counter evidence for the Lazear-Moore findings: an empirical study of incentive part in the wage structure in Japan Abstract: This paper examines whether there is an incentive in the wage structure of employees compared with the wage structure of self-employed workers using the most comprehensive survey of workers in Japan. While the estimation results of the whole sample of 35 092 indicate that there is an incentive, albeit insignificant, when the analysis is concentrated on petty and small-sized firms, which include most self-employed workers, no significant incentive is found. Therefore, the Lazear-Moore findings may be contaminated by the effect of firm scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-379 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:377-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: The tax-spend debate: the case of Canada Abstract: The time series relationship between revenues, expenditures, and GDP in the case of Canada is examined. Utilizing the Johansen-Juselius multivariate cointegration procedure and error correction modelling we find that revenues follow a time path independent of expenditures and GDP. On the other hand, expenditures respond to budgetary disequilibrium in that budget imbalances would be corrected by expenditure changes. Moreover, evidence suggests that expenditures also respond to GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:381-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constantinos Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: Constantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Title: Spending and revenues in Greece: new evidence from error correction modelling Abstract: This paper attempts to re-evaluate the long-run relationship between government spending and revenues in Greece. The analysis is carried out for the period 1974 to 1991 by means of Johansen's multivariate cointegration technique and error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) modelling. The results provide evidence of a feedback effect between the examined series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Robert Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Human capital and economic growth in Japan: an application of time series analysis Abstract: The cointegration and causality between human capital and economic growth in Japan is examined by applying Johansen's test of cointegration and Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method to the Japanese data for the period 1952-93. The Phillips-Perron (PP) tests reveal that the original series of GDP is not stationary; therefore, a first differencing is performed. It is found that there is a bidirectional causality between human capital and economic growth. The results basically confirm the hypothesis that an increase in human capital stock exerts positive effects on economic growth and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:6:p:393-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Efstratios Loizou Author-X-Name-First: Efstratios Author-X-Name-Last: Loizou Author-Name: Kostandinos Mattas Author-X-Name-First: Kostandinos Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Author-Name: Angelos Pagoulatos Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Pagoulatos Title: Macro-monetary effects on agricultural prices: the case of Greek agriculture Abstract: The macroeconomic effects on agricultural prices in the Greek economy and, in particular, differences in prices paid and received by farmers (cost-price squeeze) are examined employing integration and cointegration analysis. A Johansen cointegration test between prices paid and prices received by farmers supports the presence of cost-price squeeze, since non-cointegration between the two price indices cannot be rejected. In other words, prices paid by farmers respond more than prices received by farmers during inflationary periods and hence affect their parity ratio. Multivariate cointegration tests indicated that forces outside agriculture can explain the non-cointegration between farm input and output prices. These forces are monetary macro variables through the country's macroeconomic policy, such as money supply, the general price level and the domestic product. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: Are Greek smokers rational addicts? Abstract: Greek cigarette comsumption is examined by combining work by Zanias (1987) and Becker et al. (1994). Application of Becker et al.'s lead consumption term to the Zanias model yields results that do not strongly support the rational addiction model and show price and income as insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-402 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:401-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marybeth Charters Author-X-Name-First: Marybeth Author-X-Name-Last: Charters Author-Name: Paul Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Title: Technology and librarianship: a test of the human capital model of occupational segregation Abstract: An empirical test of the human capital model of occupational segregation is undertaken by analysing the gender ratio of new entrants into a traditional female occupation over a period of time characterized by significant technological change. Specifically, the relative number of females receiving the terminal professional degree in librarianship is examined over the 1968-92 period using regression analysis. The results indicate that a statistically significant decline in the relative number of new female entrants occurred over this period, ceteris paribus. Thus, the human capital model cannot be rejected in this case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-406 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:403-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cameron Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: K. U. Zaman Author-X-Name-First: K. U. Author-X-Name-Last: Zaman Title: Festive versus seasonal effects in consumption: a note Abstract: The standard approach to seasonality uses quarterly data and shift dummies to allow for intercept variation. The model presented here includes a distinct festive dummy and is thus more precise Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-408 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:407-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: On testing Kuznets' economic growth hypothesis Abstract: Kuznets (1955) hypothesizes that during economic growth, per capita income inequality first increases, reaches a peak and then declines. We test this relationship for 36 less developed countries (LDCs) using a regression model, with quadratic functional form, relating income inequality to income. Estimation using robust errors to correct for heteroscedasticity yields results which support Kuznets's hypothesis. Inequality is greatest at about a level of real GDP (1980 international prices) of US$2000/head. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-410 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:409-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: The quality of life: an international comparison based on ordinal measures Abstract: This paper presents an international comparison of the quality of life based on two ordinal measures, namely, the Borda and Copeland scores. The data on 11 indicators/attributes of well-being available for 109 countries are used to compute these measures. The study reveals that both the measures provide very similar world ranking of the quality of life. The OECD block is seen of the top and the Sub-Saharan African countries at the bottom of the world ranking. Most of the East European and Latin American countries are in the second and third quintiles, some Asian countries such as Singapore, Korea and Malaysia are in the second quintile and most Mother Asian countries are in the fourth and fifth quintiles of world ranking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Sharpe Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sharpe Title: Economic forecasts by industry type: comparisons and statistical tests Abstract: In this article we group together and compare economic forecasts by industry type. That is, corporate forecasts of GDP and CPI are compiled by industry for the following: financial institutions, economic consultants, auto manufacturers, business associations, universities, and insurance companies. Error statistics, such as the MAE and RMSE, are calculated over the 1992 to 1995 forecasting range. Observing the rankings of industry forecasts based on error statistics might lead one to conclude that some industries are more proficient at forecasting the economy than others. Indeed, we might infer that intentional bias may be a component of the forecasts provided by some industries. This work, however, provides a number of statistical tests to determine whether there are real differences in forecasts by industry type, or whether the differences are merely matters of chance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Guell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Guell Author-Name: Marvin Fischbaum Author-X-Name-First: Marvin Author-X-Name-Last: Fischbaum Title: Estimating allocative inefficiency in the prescription drug industry Abstract: The economic organization of the pharmaceutical industry is profoundly affected by the patent system, which provides a temporary monopoly as an incentive for innovation. The consensus of industry observers has been that potential benefits from stimulating pharmaceutical innovation are large and very difficult to estimate, while the costs of monopoly power are relatively modest. We argue that the use of accounting profits to estimate social costs of monopoly has led to serious underestimates of those social costs. In this paper we use sales estimates for individual drugs from survey data published by IMS America Ltd to estimate dead weight loss (DWL) per dollar of sales for several prescription drugs. We estimate that for the drugs we study there is $5 billion of DWL on the $8 billion of sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajen Mookerjee Author-X-Name-First: Rajen Author-X-Name-Last: Mookerjee Title: Export volume, exchange rates and global economic growth: the Indian experience Abstract: Analysis of the nexus of India's export volume, real effective exchange rates and measures of global economic growth is performed using time series techniques of cointegration and causality. The results suggest that India would benefit from a policy of export growth that is managed, rather than stimulated by exchange rate depreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. P. Caselli Author-X-Name-First: G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Author-Name: S. Curatolo Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Curatolo Title: Do estimable relations exist between size and efficiency of institutions and productivity growth? An exercise in the spirit of D. C. North Abstract: This paper, seeks to test the Fuess and van den Berg (1992) hypothesis on the influence of transactions costs on the productivity growth rate for the Italian economy in the period 1951-89, taking into account the increasing size of the transactions sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: The paper-bill spread and Blanchard's version of Okun's law Abstract: Blanchard (1989) interprets Okun's Law as a relationship between VAR innovations in output and the unemployment rate. Adding the paper-bill spread to a bivariate VAR in output growth and the unemployment rate and even ordering it ahead of the unemployment rate when estimating the structural disturbances does not alter Blanchard's finding that Okun's coefficient for output and unemployment rate innovations rate is around -0.18. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-440 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:437-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Julian Author-X-Name-First: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-Last: Julian Title: Combining information in exchange rate forecasting: evidence from the EMS Abstract: In this paper we propose a multivariate local predictor, inspired in the literature on deterministic chaos, and apply it to nine EMS currencies, using daily data for the January 1973-December 1994 period. Our local predictors perform marginally better than a random walk in forecasting the nominal exchange rate, clearly outperforming the random walk directional forecast. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Michael Kurth Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kurth Title: Integration and causality in US mortgage and T-bond markets Abstract: This paper re-examines the issues of integration and causality in US mortgage and T-bond markets by using the well-known cointegration and error correction methodology. It employs monthly data from January 1980 through June 1993. The unit root test reveals nonstationarity in 30-year nominal mortgage rates and 30-year nominal T-bond yields. The DF tests affirm cointegration between these two variables. The estimates of the associated error correction model depict unidirectional long-run as well as short-run Granger causality that runs from the 30-year T-bond market to the 30-year mortgage market. Reversible short-run feedbacks are also observed between the two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:445-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Quiros-Romero Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Quiros-Romero Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Do short-term interest rates influence long-term interest rates? Empirical evidence from some EMS countries Abstract: This paper attempts to evaluate the possible influence of short-term interest rates on the determination of long-term interest rates for some EMS countries. In particular, we discuss a way of reconciling the widely dominant term-structure approach to interest rates with the conditions imposed by the market practice of financing high proportions of securities portfolios at money market rates. To that end, we apply the cointegration analysis to daily data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-451 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:449-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. Arize Author-X-Name-First: A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Arize Author-Name: J. Malindretos Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Malindretos Title: Effects of exchange-rate variability on inflation variability: some additional evidence Abstract: This study re-examines the hypothesis that exchange-rate variability is another factor contributing to inflation variability. The analysis uses cross-country data for 41 countries over the current floating exchange-rate era. It employs the instrumental variable estimator, Emery's (1993) specification suggestions, centering of data technique and a longer and more recent sample period (1973Q1-1990Q4). The empirical evidence supports the above hypothesis and strengthens the case for stable exchange-rate policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darlene Chisholm Author-X-Name-First: Darlene Author-X-Name-Last: Chisholm Title: Erratum Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 458-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:7:p:458-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Mcguinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Mcguinness Title: Inter-day return behaviour for stocks quoted 'back-to-back' in Hong Kong and London Abstract: The effect of extended trading hours in Hong Kong stocks, resulting from the development of the SEAQ International London market in such stocks, is considered here. This market, which opens shortly after the close of the Hong Kong market, appears to have produced some modulation in the mean and volatility levels of day-of-the-week returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-464 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:459-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Partridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Partridge Author-Name: Dan Rickman Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Rickman Title: Long-term unemployment and US State wages Abstract: During the 1980s, rising European unemployment without rapidly subsiding wage pressure challenged conventional labour market theories. One explanation is that a greater proportion of unemployment that is long-term unemployment (LTU) reduces downward wage pressure. Empirical evidence regarding this proposition is mixed, where it is possible the relationship varies across countries. Hence, this study examines the LTU-wage relationship for the US using 1976-91 state-level data. The results suggest that a greater LTU proportion is positively related to wages, but the result should be interpreted cautiously. Thus, US labour markets may be 'tighter' than previously suspected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Title: Cointegration, error correction and Granger causality: an application with Latin American stock markets Abstract: This paper offers an empirical investigation of the presence of a long run relationship in stock prices in six Latin Emerging Markets. We find evidence of a long run relationship among all of these countries in a bivariate framework. Results indicate the presence of bidirectional rather than unidirectional causality suggesting the absence of weak exogeneity among their stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-471 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:469-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacquelynne Mclellan Author-X-Name-First: Jacquelynne Author-X-Name-Last: Mclellan Author-Name: Debasish Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Debasish Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Another look at long-run purchasing power parity using Sims tests for unit roots Abstract: This paper tests for long-run PPP using two types of unit root tests, standard Dickey-Fuller (DF) or Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) tests and Bayesian Sims tests. A problem with DF and ADF tests has been the low power of the tests; that is, such tests have difficulty in rejecting the random-walk hypothesis for real exchange rates. Sims tests, in contrast, do not give undue weight to the unit root. Instead Sims tests use a Bayesian posterior odds ratio which spreads the probability uniformly on the [0,1] interval. Monthly data for several industrialized and less-developed countries are used. Results indicate that real exchange rates do not appear to follow a random walk. While short-run deviations from PPP do occur, they fade in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: A simple method to test the Fisher effect Abstract: This alternative method of analysis applies the generalized method of moments developed by Hansen to the conditional restrictions implied by the Fisher effect. This approach has some advantages, i.e. it is robust to the non-normality of the error term, it is unnecessary to formulate the expected inflation rate explicitly, and the returns of multiple assets can be analysed simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-479 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536629 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536629&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:477-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Bender Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Bender Title: Specification issues in the modelling of union status determination Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between econometric and variable specification in a model of union status determination. In a departure from the union membership literature, it is hypothesized that the industrial characteristics should not affect union status determination directly, but rather through bargained wages. A data set which combines personal and industrial characteristics is used to examine these issues. It is found that if sample selection into union jobs is controlled for, the industrial variables add no explanatory power to the union status equations, although they are important in the wage equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-485 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:481-485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. H. Jones Author-X-Name-First: J. C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: L. Laudadio Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Laudadio Title: Non-wage labour costs and employment: a note on some Canadian evidence from the 1970s Abstract: This note considers the relationship between quasi-fixed labour costs (paid absences, employee pension plans, etc.) and overtime hours worked. Specifically, it reports the results of testing the hypothesis that, the larger the ratio of quasi-fixed costs to overtime wage rates, the greater the incentive for employers to schedule overtime hours for the current work force and pay overtime rates rather than expand the work force and pay standard rates. The results fail to reject the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-491 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536631 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536631&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:487-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Hondroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Hondroyiannis Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: Are budget deficits inflationary? A cointegration approach Abstract: This paper investigates the direct and indirect effects of budget deficit on inflation in Greece for the period 1957-93. The empirical analysis employs tests of cointegration, as suggested by Johansen and Juselius, as pretests for Granger tests of causality. The empirical evidence suggests that the indirect effects of budget deficits on inflation exist while the direct effects are not present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-496 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536632 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536632&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:493-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: The roles of diffusion of advance technology and capital deepening in economic growth: a cross-country study Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with measuring absolute and relative roles of diffusion of advanced technology and capital deepening in economic growth. The results obtained suggest an inverse U-shape relationship between productivity growth rates and levels of economic development. These results also suggest that the role of capital deepening is very modest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-501 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536633 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536633&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:497-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Muhtaseb Author-X-Name-First: Majed Author-X-Name-Last: Muhtaseb Title: Determinants of global portfolio composition Abstract: The efficient set is derived using unhedged returns of stock market indices of 'Group of Seven' countries. It is found that total risk is far more important than return in determining whether or not a stock market index is included in an optimal portfolio on the efficient set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-505 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536634 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536634&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:503-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Joao Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Causality between the minimum wage and other wages Abstract: The paper analyzes the effects of the minimum wage over the other wages in Brazil using a bargaining framework. The key result is that the minimum wage precedes the market wage in the period 1980-85 while there is simultaneous determination in the period 1986-93. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-510 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:507-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Peter Romilly Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Romilly Title: Are Chinese stock markets efficient? A cointegration and causality analysis Abstract: Established in December 1990 and July 1991 respectively, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges are the only two official stock markets in China. This paper aims to test for randomness in each stock exchange share price index, and to examine the relationship between the two share price indexes. Statistical evidence shows that both the Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes can be best characterized as random walk processes and therefore the markets are efficient individually. However, the Engle-Granger two-stage cointegration analysis and the Johansen procedure suggest a long-run equilibrium relationship between the two stock prices, while the Granger causality test indicates a feedback relationship between the returns of the Shenzhen and Shanghai shares. These results imply that the stock markets are collectively inefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Ang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Ang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The trade balance and the real exchange rate: the US evidence from 1973: 3 to 1994: 9 Abstract: Based upon the trade balance determination models developed by Razin (1984), Greenwood (1984), and Hill (1990), there exists bidirectional causality between the trade balance and the real exchange rate. By applying Geweke's linear feedback measures for the US from 1973:3 to 1994:9, the results indicate that the magnitude of feedback from the real exchange rate to the trade balance is very close to that from the reverse direction and confirm that causality between them is indeed bidirectional. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ila Patnaik Author-X-Name-First: Ila Author-X-Name-Last: Patnaik Title: Poverty, excess sensitivity and the permanent income hypothesis: evidence from a developing country Abstract: In this paper we develop a very simple test to measure 'poverty' in a developing country. From evidence on aggregate consumption we obtain an estimate of the proportion of labour income received by consumers who own no physical or financial assets or have access to credit. Evidence from a developing country - India - indicates a role for current income in explaining consumption over and above that predicted by the permanent income hypothesis. This may be attributed to 'poverty', the inability to save or borrow. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536638 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536638&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. M. Leung Author-X-Name-First: H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Total factor productivity growth in Singapore's manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper contributes to the debate concerning the sources of growth of newly industrializing East Asian economies, of which Singapore is an example. We first of all measure Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth from industry level data for Singapore over a time series, and then regress the estimates to a list of variables. The TFP growth is estimated to be around 2-3% per annum over the last ten years, somewhat higher than previous estimates but remains a small fraction of the actual GDP growth. The variables found to have significant influence on TFP growth include foreign ownership, export orientation, and remuneration per employee. The result also suggests that Singapore has not gained much from learning-by-doing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Neoclassical and collective rationality in household labour supply Abstract: The Neoclassical treatment of household labour supply assumes household members possess identical preferences. Models have emerged which assume separate utility functions for household members where the solution to resource allocation is derived from non-cooperative or bargaining games. It can be argued that bargaining implies Pareto efficient resources allocation and that non-cooperation is inefficient in the same sense that if individuals cooperated at least one member could become better off without making anyone else worse off. In this paper a revealed preference non-parametric test, first envisaged by Chiappori (1988), is explained, generalized and implemented. This test determines whether data support the hypothesis that householders bargain to a Pareto efficient outcome or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:529-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Title: Some further experimental results on hypothetical versus real willingness to pay Abstract: In a previous experiment the null hypothesis of no difference between real and hypothetical willingness to pay for a box of chocolate could not be rejected. In this study we carry out a second experiment to see if we can confirm that finding. The experimental subjects are randomly divided into two groups. One group receives an open-ended hypothetical willingness to pay question and another group participates in a second-price auction with real payments. The mean willingness to pay is SEK 133.33 (STD 78.78) in the hypothetical payment group and SEK 81.62 (STD 62.99) in the real payment group, and the hypothesis of no difference in the mean willingness to pay between the groups can be rejected on the 10% level. In contrast to the first experiment the study thus gives some support for the notion that hypothetical willingness to pay questions overestimates real willingness to pay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-536 Issue: 8 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758536641 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758536641&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:535-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: A microstructural analysis of the exchange rate expectation formation process Abstract: In this letter we examine the consistency property of the exchange rate expectation formation process, a precondition to rational expectations and efficient markets. Two major survey data sets over multiple forecast horizons are examined using the recently available null of cointegration test. Experts expectations are consistent (inconsistent) over the short (long) forecast horizon. These results are supported by the current literature and upholds the theory of bandwagon effects in expectation formation. As an aside, this also indirectly supports the concept of long run convergence towards fundamentals determined equilibrium exchange rates, i.e., it supports Dornbusch's overshooting hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-539 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597354970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597354970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:537-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Philip Whyman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Whyman Author-Name: Claire Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Title: Trade union membership density: the case of the AUT Abstract: This paper analyses trade union membership with respect to the Association of University Teachers representing academic and related staff in the 'old' UK higher education sector. It therefore negates the difficulties encountered with prior cross-sectional research concerning unionized and non-unionized workplaces and their homogeneity. Two models are estimated at the local association, or university, level where the hypothesized variables encompass age and career related determinants, staff gender divisions and a series of university-specific characteristics together with locational and political indicators. We find significant influences upon union density include career grade, mean staff age, male staff numbers together with the institution's classification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-545 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597354989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597354989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:541-545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Raymond Sfeir Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sfeir Title: Exchange rate instability: some empirical tests of temporal dynamics Abstract: Volatility in real exchange rates is empirically estimated here over monthly data for the period February 1988 through August 1995. Tests show the persistence of an oscillatory behaviour, where random walk prevails. Chaotic instability also cannot be ruled out in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-550 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597354998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597354998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:547-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kofi Amoateng Author-X-Name-First: Kofi Author-X-Name-Last: Amoateng Title: How stable is relationship between US petroleum imports and economic growth? Abstract: In this paper, we empirically examine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the US gross national product and petroleum imports for the last three decades. We find evidence of a long-run relationship between gross domestic national product and petroleum imports, but only a fragile one. Similarly there is a significant feedback (long-term) effect from petroleum imports to gross national product and vice versa. This feedback is fairly significant. However, the short-term effect is highly significant, but there is a relatively slow response from the values of gross national product to petroleum imports. Therefore, the link between US gross national product and petroleum imports is fragile in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Match attendance at Euro 96: was the crowd waving or drowning? Abstract: This paper examines, for the first time, match attendance for football within the context of an international tournament, the European Championship staged in England in 1996. It develops the familiar demand function of economic, demographic, spatial, uncertainty of outcome determinants and exogenous match-specific factors with respect to an international championship rather than a domestic league situation. Significant determinants include match quality and sequence, distance between each participant and the host country, probability of tournament success, derby games, indigenous support together with the presence of either home team in a match. Given the importance of such international competitions for the financial probity and as showcases for the professional sport, the analysis of their key constituent features is important in maintaining their viability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-558 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:555-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Clare Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Clare Author-Name: Richard Priestley Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Priestley Author-Name: Stephen Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Is Beta dead? The role of alternative estimation methods Abstract: In this paper we test the robustness of the CAPM to two alternative estimation procedures: the Fama and MacBeth (1973) two-step methodology; and the one-step methodology due to Burmeister and McElroy (1988). For the UK stock market we find that we can clearly reject the CAPM when the two-step procedure is used, but find overwhelming support for the CAPM when we use the one-step estimator. Since, in their influential paper, Fama and French (1992) reject the CAPM for the US stock market using a variant of the two-step estimator, we believe that our results for the UK may have important implications for the 'Is Beta dead?' debate Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Thomas Josev Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Josev Title: Beta stability and monthly seasonal effects: evidence from the Australian capital market Abstract: A number of studies exist across a range of equity markets showing that a significant proportion of stocks in those markets have betas that vary over time. A research challenge posed by this body of evidence is to identify the factors that explain this time variation in individual stock betas. There is also an extensive literature reporting the existence of strong monthly seasonal patterns in equity returns from many markets and across extraordinarily lengthy time periods. Accordingly, using monthly Australian equity returns data, this paper investigates whether seasonal regularities such as the January effect can provide an explanation of beta variation. A key finding of this paper is that taking account of the January monthly seasonal and other monthly seasonals has no effect on the beta stability characteristics of individual stocks. Hence, based on our analysis, seasonal effects does not provide an explanation of beta instability. A subsiduary finding is that stocks with significant monthly seasonal effects tend to have a smaller average market capitalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Handicaps, outcome uncertainty and attendance demand Abstract: Using data on 'spread' betting odds for rugby league football this study shows that handicap odds are unbiased and efficient predictors of match results and that, as a proxy for match uncertainty of outcomes, the handicap value is a significant determinant of attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Hondroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Hondroyiannis Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: Cigarette consumption in Greece: empirical evidence from cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of cigarette consumption in Greece using the recent Johansen cointegration procedure for the period 1960-1990. Income and price elasticities for the long-run and short-run period are estimated. In addition the findings suggest that health warnings in consumption are more effective in reducing smoking than an increase in the price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-574 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:571-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. L. Chou Author-X-Name-First: W. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Y. C. Shih Author-X-Name-First: Y. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Shih Title: Long-run purchasing power parity and long-term memory: evidence from Asian newly industrialized countries Abstract: Fractional cointegration in a trivariate model is used to test the long-run purchasing power parity hypothesis in four Asian newly industrialized economies. Critical values for the Geweke-Porter-Hudak tests based on Monte Carlo simulations are provided. Evidence of fractional cointegration arises when a linear trend is included. Subperiod analysis indicates that a shift in the exchange rate regime is likely to affect the results of cointegration tests Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-578 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:575-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. C. Berger Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Author-Name: P. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: P. Jeon Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Title: The changing gender wage gap in Korea Abstract: We examine how females have fared relative to males in the rapidly growing Korean economy. Similar to the US, the average wage of Korean females has increased relative to males. Unlike the US, the increase appears to be due mainly to improvements in productive characteristics such as schooling and experience and not reductions in wage discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-582 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:579-582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bishwanath Goldari Author-X-Name-First: Bishwanath Author-X-Name-Last: Goldari Author-Name: Hasheem Saleem Author-X-Name-First: Hasheem Author-X-Name-Last: Saleem Title: Incidence of tariff: the case of India, 1982-93 Abstract: In this paper, the effect of tariff is analysed at a broad sectoral level using a simple general equilibrium model. The sectors of the Indian economy have been classified on the basis of trade. Commodities have been identified as importables or exportables based on whether India is a major importer or exporter of a particular product. We have used an indirect approach to estimate the shift parameter employing time-series regression of changes in the relative price of non-tradeables to exportables and that of importables to exportables. The series were tested for stationarity and they were found to be stationary in the first differences. We used a dynamic specification to allow for lags in the adjustment of relative prices of non-tradeables to exportables due to changes in the relative price of importables to exportables. The estimate of the long-run shift parameter is found to be 0.74% and the estimate of the short-run shift parameter is 0.58%. Our results show that a 100% rate of customs duty results in 'true' protection of importable only to the extent of 14.9% in the long-run and a bias against exports to the extent of 42.5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-586 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:583-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oystein Thogersen Author-X-Name-First: Oystein Author-X-Name-Last: Thogersen Title: International diversification and oil price risk Abstract: The effects of oil price risk on international risk sharing are studied. Both petroleum importing and exporting countries within OECD-Europe are considered. The empirical analysis indicates that uninsured idiosyncratic oil price risk accounts for parts of the observed low consumption correlations between these countries. This suggests that both petroleum exporters and importers could benefit from innovations in the markets for claims to unextracted oil and natural gas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-590 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:587-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Occupational differences and the relative wages of married and single young men Abstract: This study investigates differences in the occupational structures of married and single young men to determine if single men face unequal prospects for occupational attainment. A second objective is to determine if occupational differences by marital status help to explain the well-known marriage wage premium. The estimated qualitative response model reveals that single and married men face different prospects for occupational attainment after controlling for differences in personal characteristics. However, the wage premium for married men does not appear to result from the segregation of single men into lower-paying occupations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 9 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048597355104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048597355104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:9:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juha-Pekka Kallunki Author-X-Name-First: Juha-Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Kallunki Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: Trading patterns of small and large traders: implications for the weekend effect in Finland Abstract: This note investigates the behaviour of small and large traders on different days of the week in the Finnish stock market. The results suggest that small traders increase their sell orders after the weekend. This suggests that the selling pressure of small individual investors in the beginning of the trading week is at least a partial explanation of the weekend effect in Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-597 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:595-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ketil Hviding Author-X-Name-First: Ketil Author-X-Name-Last: Hviding Title: Some international evidence on the 'equity premium' Abstract: This note presents results from tests on the proposition that a 'surprise' in inflation is positively related to the equity premium using data from four financial markets: the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom and Germany. The results appear to confirm previous work by Blanchard indicating a positive relationship in the United States. This result does, however, not seem to be applicable to other markets; there is no evidence of such a relationship in Japan, Germany, or in the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-602 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533281 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533281&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:599-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Testing for business cycle asymmetry: some international evidence Abstract: This letter applies tests for asymmetric 'deepness' and 'steepness' to the monthly industrial production indices of 16 OECD economics and the OECD aggregate. We report evidence of statistically significant deepness for Germany, and both deepness and steepness for Japan, Sweden and, more marginally, the US. For Sweden, these asymmetries are consistent with sharp falls in production during recession, and gradual increases to high levels during recovery. For Japan and the US, these asymmetries are consistent with sharp falls in industrial production to low levels during recession and more gradual and moderate increases in production during recovery. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-606 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533282 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533282&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:603-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Gensler Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Gensler Title: Welfare and the family size decision of low-income, two-parent families Abstract: The effect of welfare on family size is estimated by means of an ordered probit analysis on low-income, two-parent families. A multiyear cross-sectional pooled data set derived from the US Census Bureau's Current Population Survey over the period 1979-1990 is analysed. Behavioural impacts from a range of economic variables are consistent in sign with theoretical predictions and are reasonable in magnitude. A $1000 increase in the amount of welfare per child can be expected to increase the number of children by 2.2% for such families. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pippenger Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pippenger Author-Name: John Geppert Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Geppert Title: Testing purchasing power parity in the presence of transaction costs Abstract: This paper examines long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) using a new formulation of PPP in the presence of transaction costs. Our results strongly support the proposition that PPP holds as a long-run equilibrium condition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533284 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533284&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leighton Vaughan Williams Author-X-Name-First: Leighton Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Title: Does information efficiency require a perception of information inefficiency? Abstract: This paper examines the existence of significant differences in the expected returns to bets placed about identical outcomes in different sectors of a betting market. In an informationally efficient market, such differences should be arbitraged away. Evidence is presented here which suggests that this process actually occurs only in those situations where bettors are provided with a clear signal of some form of information efficiency in the market. The signal takes the form of a marked movement in bookmakers' odds. Where these signals are not present, unexploited opportunities for arbitrage persist. We suggest that actual information efficiency (in the sense of an absence of unexploited opportunities for arbitrage) requires a clear perception by market players of the existence of some form of information inefficiency in the market under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-617 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:615-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Catherine Halbrendt Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Halbrendt Author-Name: Jane Kolodinsky Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Kolodinsky Author-Name: Fred Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Fred Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Willingness to pay for rBST-free milk: a two-limit Tobit model analysis Abstract: The labelling of dairy products containing milk from rBST-treated cows has rapidly emerged as an important issue in the US due to the controversy between state and federal legislation and between consumer and industrial groups. This paper evaluates consumer willingness to pay (WTP) for rBST-free milk using data collected from a consumer survey. Estimation results of a two-limit Tobit model suggest that a majority of consumers are willing to pay a premium for rBST-free milk and the WTP is affected by several sociodemographic factors such as income and attitudes toward the use of rBST. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-621 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:619-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: Cost structure in college and university student health centres: comment Abstract: Brady, Assane and Karstensson in their earlier paper (1994) in this journal estimated a translog cost model of college and university health centres. They reported economies of scale estimates, as well as mean value elasticity estimates for factor demands and substitutions. In this comment, we: (1) correct their implied assumption that the pairwise, cross-price elasticities of factor substitutions are symmetrical, and (2) use their factor cost shares and regression parameter estimates to compute asymptotic standard errors for the various elasticities in order to test their statistical significance. Extended implications from our findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-625 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:623-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dockery Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dockery Author-Name: F. Vergari Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Vergari Title: Testing the random walk hypothesis: evidence for the Budapest stock exchange Abstract: Variance ratio tests with both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic error variances are used to examine the random walk hypothesis for the Budapest stock exchange. Our empirical findings show that the Budapest stock exchange is a random walk market, which is quite different from those described in the literature on both developed, smaller and emerging capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-629 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:627-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Nonlinear dependence in British pound exchange rates Abstract: The Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman (1987) method is used to test for nonlinear dependence in daily rates of change of the exchange rate of the British pound relative to seven most heavily traded currencies against the pound during the period 2 January 1993 to 7 October 1996. The currencies are the US dollar, the Deutsche mark, the French franc, the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar, the Japanese yen and the Italian lira. The results suggest that nonlinear dependence exists in all seven British pound exchange rates. Except for the US dollar, nonlinear dependence is due to nonlinearity in the variance and is captured by a GARCH(l,l)-t model. For the US dollar, nonlinear dependence is due to nonlinearity both in the mean and the variance and is captured by a GARCH-in-mean (GARCH-M) model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-633 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533289 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533289&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:631-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allen Atkins Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Atkins Author-Name: James Sundali Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Sundali Title: Portfolio managers versus the darts: evidence from the Wall Street Journal's Dartboard Column Abstract: The possibility that professional stock analysts could be outperformed by throwing darts at the stock listing page has intrigued stock market enthusiasts for years. In this study, we examine the results from the Wall Street Journal's Investment Dartboard Columns and find that the experts outperform the darts by a wide margin and outperform five different market indices by a positive but statistically insignificant amount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-637 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533290 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533290&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:635-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Nauenberg Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Nauenberg Author-Name: Kisalaya Basu Author-X-Name-First: Kisalaya Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Author-Name: Harish Chand Author-X-Name-First: Harish Author-X-Name-Last: Chand Title: Hirschman-Herfindahl index determination under incomplete information Abstract: This paper utilizes techniques from combinatorics to derive a closed form solution for an estimator of that portion of a Hirschman-Herfindahl index which measures concentration for that segment of the market with unattributed market share. This index makes more complete use of sample information than other more conventional measures of limited-information market concentration like the C4 and C8 indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-642 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:639-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Testing for boy-girl discrimination with household expenditure data: results for Papua New Guinea Abstract: Discrimination in the allocation of goods between boys and girls is tested for, using expenditure data from households in Papua New Guinea. Deaton's (1989) method of identifying demographic effects on adult goods expenditure is used to indicate gender bias. Valid adult goods are found to be adult clothing, alcohol, gambling, meals eaten away from home, and tobacco. Adding a young boy to a household reduces expenditure on adult goods by as much as would a one-third reduction in total outlay per member, but young girls have no effect on adult goods expenditure. The difference in these point estimates is estimated imprecisely, and falls just outside conventional levels of statistical significance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-646 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533292 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533292&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:643-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. F. Omran Author-X-Name-First: M. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Omran Title: Nonlinear dependence and conditional heteroscedasticity in stock returns: UK evidence Abstract: The BDS test is used to investigate whether stock returns for five companies and the FTALL index exhibit nonlinear dependence. It is found that conditional heteroscedasticity account for most of the nonlinearity of stock returns in the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-650 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:647-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Antonakis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Antonakis Title: Defence spending and growth in Greece: a comment and further empirical evidence Abstract: This note critically evaluates the theoretical framework and empirical results of Chletsos and Kollias (1995) on the relationship between defence expenditure and economic growth in Greece, and re-examines the issue on the basis of an alternative model. It is argued that the reviewed paper does not provide a formal rationalization for the incorporation of military spending in a sources of growth equation, and it does not make use of the entire set of available data, leading thus to questionable and inconclusive empirical results. The specification of an alternative model within the neoclassical production-function framework and its estimation over the period 1958-91 shows that military expenditure has been detrimental to economic growth in Greece, contrary to Chletsos and Kollias' findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-655 Issue: 10 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758533294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758533294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:10:p:651-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lily Choong Author-X-Name-First: Lily Author-X-Name-Last: Choong Title: Capital requirements on over the counter options Abstract: Over the counter (OTC) options involve both market and counterparty risk. Capital requirements are imposed on options to cover these risks and prevent systemic failures that may arise as a result of widespread defaults. This paper demonstrates that the default risk attached to these instruments can be modelled as a contingent claim instrument, that is, as a default premium, and, as such, capital requirement imposed on OTC options should be based on the objective of covering this premium. The capital requirements, as suggested by this paper, can be applied to either or both the writer and buyer of the option such that the possibility of default is negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Triantis Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Triantis Title: Life cycle theory and the impact of the rate of economic growth on saving Abstract: The life cycle explanation of the positive impact of a country's rate of economic growth on its saving ratio appears questionable: its two premises, that the retirees' share of total income declines and that, consequently, income shifts from dissavers to savers, are found wanting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-663 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:661-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Population and economic growth: a cointegration analysis of lesser developed countries Abstract: This paper examines the temporal relationship between population growth and economic growth for a sample of less developed countries. Unlike prior research efforts, Granger causality tests are conducted in the context of error correction models when cointegration is present. Of the thirteen countries examined cointegration was present in only three countries. Although ten countries did not exhibit properties of cointegration, it is noted that researchers undertaking time series studies of the relationship between population growth and economic growth utilizing differenced data should evaluate the possible long-run relationship. Capturing both the short-run and long-run behaviour of the respective time series may provide the researcher with a more robust test of Granger-casuality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Energy consumption and economic growth in Brazil, Mexico and Venezuela: a time series analysis Abstract: Applying recently developed techniques of cointegration and Hsiao's version of Granger causality to three Latin countries (Brazil, Mexico, and Venezuela), this study finds no causal linkages between energy consumption and economic growth for both Mexico and Venezuela using the trivariate models. However, capital is found to negatively, though weakly, cause economic growth for both Mexico and Venezuela. Additionally, energy is found to cause economic growth for Brazil. In sum, we detect no consistent causal patterns between energy and economic growth based on the causality tests from the three Latin countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-674 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530646 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530646&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:671-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of lawyer advertising on the image of lawyers in the United States Abstract: The US Supreme Court in 1977 declared that most bans on lawyer advertising were unconstitutional. Since that decision, the volume of lawyer advertising has grown very rapidly. In addition, since the mid-1980s, Gallup polls indicate that the public's image of the law profession has declined substantially. Many members of the law profession casually conjecture that this decline is due to lawyer advertising. By contrast, this study offers a hypothesis that lawyer advertising should enhance the image of lawyers. In an effort to test this hypothesis, this study empirically investigates the impact of lawyer advertising on the image of the law profession. OLS results reveal that lawyer advertising may in fact elevate the image of lawyers in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-678 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530647 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530647&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:675-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Ozcicek Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Ozcicek Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Productivity shocks and business fixed investment Abstract: Business fixed investment is shown to be related to productivity shocks more than profitability and q variable. The multifactor productivity index is used as a proxy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-681 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:679-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: Evidence from lesser developed countries on the Fisher hypothesis: a cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper examines the Fisher hypothesis for a sample of less developed countries. Recognizing the possibility of spurious regression results, tests of the Fisher hypothesis are undertaken utilizing the Johansen-Juselius cointegration procedure. Of the nine countries studied, only Malaysia, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka provide evidence to support the full Fisher effect in which a unit proportional relationship exists between nominal interest rates and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530649 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530649&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Fox Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Fox Title: White noise and other experiments on augmented Dickey-Fuller tests Abstract: Various methods for choosing the appropriate degree of 'augmentation' for augmented Dickey-Fuller tests are compared using Monte Carlo experiments. A commonly used method is found to result in very low power It is interesting that Humans try to find Meaningful Patterns in things that are essentially random. (Commander Data, Star Trek, 1992) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-694 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:689-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Funke Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Funke Title: Yield spreads as predictors of recessions in a core European economic area Abstract: The estimation of probabilities of recessions/weak economic activity based on probit analyses indicates that the development of the German yield spread as well as the development of a weighted average of European yield spreads have been useful predictors for periods of sluggish economic development in core Europe with a lead time of around three quarters.* Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-697 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530651 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530651&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:695-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaddour Hadri Author-X-Name-First: Kaddour Author-X-Name-Last: Hadri Title: A frontier approach to disequilibrium models Abstract: Due to aggregation (Muellbauer, 1978), market frictions (Benassy, 1982) and stochastic manipulable perceived rationing (Weinrich, 1984) it is very likely that the quantity transacted is less than the short side of a market affected by quantity rationing. This is we might observe in a given market simultaneously excess demand and excess supply. In this paper we suggest a frontier approach to specify these inefficiencies in disequilibrium models. This is done essentially by adding a truncated disturbance term to the traditional symmetric error. The new specification allows us to test for the presence of any type of inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-701 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530652 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530652&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:699-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Clemens Siermann Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Siermann Author-Name: Erna Van Lubek Author-X-Name-First: Erna Author-X-Name-Last: Van Lubek Title: Political instability and country risk: new evidence Abstract: This note presents new estimates of a probit model for the debt rescheduling, using a sample of 65 countries over the period 1984-93. Apart from economic variables, a whole range of indicators for political instability are included in the model as explanatory variables. It turns out, that none is significant with the 'correct' sign. Apparently, a detoriation of the political situation is already reflected in economic aggregates, which suggest that the influence of political factors is discounted in macroeconomic variables as included in the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530653 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530653&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:703-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Armando Barrientos Author-X-Name-First: Armando Author-X-Name-Last: Barrientos Author-Name: Luis Firinguetti Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Firinguetti Title: Predicting wages from transformed wage equations Abstract: The log-linear specification of wage equations is commonly used in the applied economics literature. Predictions of the retransformed wage are not straightforward as the standard approach (naive estimator) produces biased predictions. Duan (1983) proposes a smearing estimator which overcomes this problem, and is easy to implement. In the paper we predict wages using these two estimators and highlight the difference in the predictions they generate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:709-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: A Note on the impact of the United States federal budget deficit on the intermediate-term interest rate, 1960-94 Abstract: There is an extensive literature investigating the impact of federal budget deficits in the US on interest rate yields. This literature focuses almost entirely on short-term rates (under one year to maturity) and long-term rates (ten years or more to maturity). However, almost no attention has been directed at intermediate-term interest rate yields, that is yields on bonds maturing more than one year and less than ten years in the future. Also, this literature essentially ignores the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this note empirically investigates the impact of budget deficits in the US on the interest rate yield on three-year US Treasury notes for the period 1960 through the end of 1994. Based on OLS and IV estimates, two of which include net international capital inflows, it is found that budget deficits do raise intermediate-term rates, which may strengthen arguments that budget deficits lead to crowding out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nurhan Davutyan Author-X-Name-First: Nurhan Author-X-Name-Last: Davutyan Title: The bid-ask spread for dollars in Kuwait: a brief note Abstract: This paper uses the Demsetz-Bagehot theory of dealer services and bid-ask spreads to analyse the determinants of the bid and ask spread in the Kuwaiti foreign exchange market for dollars. The explanatory variables predicted by the theory are found to be significant. Idiosyncrasies arising from the country and period under analysis are highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-717 Issue: 11 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758530656 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758530656&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:11:p:715-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjiv Ranjan Das Author-X-Name-First: Sanjiv Ranjan Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Macroeconomic implications of search theory for the labour market Abstract: 'While the usual job search problem is a microeconomic one, this paper applies labour market data to a standard search model to extract macroeconomic implications. A theoretical relationship between the minimum wage, subsistence wage and reservation wage is posited and found to be violated in the data. The paper raises several issues of public policy. It finds that the minimum wage offered is low. It provides a measure of the 'quality' of the labour market, and discusses how it may be improved, by increasing the minimum wage, reducing bargaining between the supply and demand sides of the labour market, and curbing wage volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528714 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528714&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Rayton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Rayton Title: Rent-sharing or incentives? Estimating the residual claim of average employees Abstract: The rent-sharing literature and the agency literature both predict a link between pay and performance. The rent-sharing literature relies on short-term market power to explain this link, while the agency literature bases its prediction on the importance of incentives in principal-agent relationships. Annual data from an unbalanced panel of US manufacturing firms indicate that the performance-elasticity of average employee pay is approximately 0.127271 in small firms while it not significantly different from zero in large firms. The relative lack of incentive pay in the group of large firms demonstrates that the pay-performance link evident in US manufacturing firms is inconsistent with the exclusive truth of the rent-sharing hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528715 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528715&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shane Bonetti Author-X-Name-First: Shane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonetti Title: A test of the public choice theory of economic sanctions Abstract: Models of the form of sanctions are constructed to test Kaempfer and Lowenbergs' public choice theory of economic sanctions using the Hufbauer, et al. dataset. The key explanatory variable is presanction trade linkage between sender and target. If sanctions are primarily coercive, trade linkage and the propensity to choose trade sanctions should be positively related. If public choice considerations are dominant the propensity to choose trade sanctions should vary inversely with trade linkage. The results presented are consistent with the public choice interpretation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-732 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528716 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528716&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:729-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahdy Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Mahdy Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Miles Finney Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Finney Title: Evidence on the effect of young adults' wages on their college attendance decisions Abstract: Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, this note demonstrates that the college attendance decision of employed young adults depends partly on their wage. We further find that the wage quadratically impacts the decision to attend college. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-735 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:733-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. W. Faff Author-X-Name-First: R. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: P. F. Howard Author-X-Name-First: P. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Howard Title: Bank exposures to interest-rate risk: the case of the Australian banking industry Abstract: This paper provides evidence of the changing nature of interest-rate sensitivity of a banking and finance portfolio in Australia over the period 1978-1992. Specifically, the potential sensitivity to short- and long-term interest rate movements is examined in each of three subperiods (1978-1982, 1983-1987 and 1988-1992). Consistent with previous US evidence, our major finding is that the banking portfolio exhibits sensitivity only to long-term interest rates. However, this sensitivity is significant only during the middle subperiod - a time when Australian financial markets experienced dramatic deregulatory changes including the floating of the domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-739 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:737-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Donohue Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Donohue Title: The pattern of non-union wage supplements: a switching regression approach Abstract: This paper estimates whether non-union wage supplements associated with unionization are larger for low wage workers. Switching regression estimates determine low and high wage samples and demonstrate larger supplements for most low wage workers. The pattern varies by occupational group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-743 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528719 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528719&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:741-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ludo Peeters Author-X-Name-First: Ludo Author-X-Name-Last: Peeters Author-Name: Yves Surry Author-X-Name-First: Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Surry Author-Name: Anja Cielen Author-X-Name-First: Anja Author-X-Name-Last: Cielen Title: Testing alternative dynamic specifications: an application to meat demand in Belgium Abstract: This letter examines alternative specifications of dynamic adjustment in the context of a linear approximate AIDS model of the demand for meat in Belgium. The model also incorporates demographic variables to account for structural changes in consumer preferences. Using a general first-order ECM specification as a unifying analytical framework, several tests are performed in an attempt to validate the preferred dynamic model specification. The results indicate that the widely-used dynamic model with one adjustment parameter (diagonal adjustment matrix) as well as the autoregressive and static models are strongly rejected by the data. The proposed symmetric specification of dynamic adjustment presents a viable alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-749 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528720 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528720&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:745-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Modelling the Spanish imports of vehicles using a source differentiated demand system Abstract: This paper models the Spanish imports of vehicles, differentiated both by goods and by origins, during the period 1963-1992, using a source differentiated Almost Ideal Demand System. We consider three vehicle goods, namely trucks, cars and tractors, which are imported from six different origins, Germany, the USA, France, the UK, Italy and other countries. Having first shown that the estimated model does not exhibit autocorrelation problems, the results are presented using the expenditure and price estimated elasticities. French trucks and tractors and US cars are the most luxurious imported vehicles. The Marshallian own-price elasticities reflect that Italian trucks, German cars and US tractors had the most insentitive demands to own-price changes. Finally, cross-price elasticities show weak effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-755 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:751-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Title: Growths in US housing starts, real consumer debt, real GDP and the long-term real interest rate: a vector cointegration analysis Abstract: The primary purpose of this paper is to explore the long-run association among growths in US housing starts, real consumer debt, real GDP and the long-term real interest rate. To carry out this exploratory work, Johansen and Juselius (1990) vector cointegration procedure is applied. Monthly data from January 1960 through April 1993 are employed. The empirical results suggest that each time series in levels is non-stationary. Also, a general conclusion emerges which suggests that all these macroeconomic variables possess a long-run interactive inter-relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-759 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528722 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528722&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:757-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Teresa Aparicio Author-X-Name-First: M. Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Aparicio Author-Name: Inmaculada Villanua Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Villanua Title: Measures of probability changes in binary choice models: a comparative study Abstract: A measure of probability changes in probit and logit dichotomous models is proposed based of the efficient use of sampling information, specifically using the average of the derivatives, as opposed to the traditional practice of calculating the derivative at the mean value. The two strategies are compared using a simulation exercise which reveals their respective robustness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528723 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528723&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung-Hee Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: A non-nested test of GARCH vs. EGARCH models Abstract: This study uses a Cox-type non-nested test. The test is obtained using Monte Carlo hypothesis tests with the log likelihood ratio as the test statistic. Monte Carlo methods are used to obtain the probability of a larger value of the test statistic under the null hypothesis. The approach used does not rely upon asymptotic normality. Using the maximum likelihood estimation technique, two competing time series models, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models of daily spot prices of Deutsche mark are estimated. Using Monte Carlo hypothesis tests, then, p-values for GARCH vs. EGARCH models are calculated. The EGARCH model cannot be rejected, while the GARCH model is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikiforos Laopodis Author-X-Name-First: Nikiforos Author-X-Name-Last: Laopodis Title: Distributional properties and weekly return patterns of the Athens stock exchange Abstract: The study examines the distributional properties of the Athens stock exchange and tests for persistence effects or anomalies found in the weekly redistributions of the market. The results indicate significant first- and second-order dependencies in the series as well as pronounced departures from normality. Further, employing the method of stochastic dominance, to determine which week's returns is dominant, it was found that the first week of the month offers a good risk-return relationship to investors. Finally, no evidence for presence of the January effect was found in the Athens stock exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528725 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528725&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:769-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: International evidence on the sustainability of budget deficits Abstract: The sustainability of budget deficits of the G-7 countries is examined in this paper. Following the approach taken by Hakkio and Rush it is found that in the case of Germany it appears for each dollar increase in expenditures, revenues increase by an equal amount. For France, Japan, and Italy (real per GDP measure) the budget deficits of these countries may not be sustainable due to the lack of cointegration. In the cases of Canada, Italy (real levels and real per capita measures), United Kingdom, and the United States (real levels and real per capita) cointegration is present between revenues and expenditures. However, the estimated coefficients on expenditures for these countries are significantly less than one which suggests that government spending is growing faster than government revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-779 Issue: 12 Volume: 4 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/758528726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758528726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:12:p:775-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrance Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Lawrance Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Author-Name: Mary Myers Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Title: Tobin's q and overinvestment Abstract: The objective of the research reported in this paper is to examine the claim that, for purposes of identifying overinvesting firms, an average q of less than unity is a valid proxy for a marginal q of less than unity. The empirical evidence provided supports, although does not prove, this claim. Hence, studies which utilize an average q of less than unity to identify overinvesting firms appear to operating on solid ground. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: Public capital spending in The Netherlands: developments and explanations Abstract: As in many other OECD countries, government investment expressed as share of GDP has decreased in The Netherlands. Using the concept of Granger causality, we test in a bivariate vector autoregression framework various hypothesis that have been put forward to explain this decline. It is concluded that private investment and output are related to public investment. Demographic variables also influence public investment. The number of future civil servants affects investment in buildings. Our results do not support the view that higher interest burdens crowded out public investment. Finally, no confirmation is found for the idea that additional infrastructure triggers growth of the number of vehicles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:5-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunfeng Song Author-X-Name-First: Shunfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Home buyers' characteristics and selling prices Abstract: This study examines the relationship between home buyers' characteristics and selling prices. Using survey on home buyers and the 1990 Multiple Listing Service data on single-family housing transactions in the Reno-Sparks area in Nevada, this study finds that home buyers play a significant role on housing price determination. For a given type of house, higher income home buyers would pay higher prices than lower income home buyers and first-time home buyers would pay lower prices than repeat home buyers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540118 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540118&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fraser Dorward Author-X-Name-First: Fraser Author-X-Name-Last: Dorward Author-Name: Akintola Akintoye Author-X-Name-First: Akintola Author-X-Name-Last: Akintoye Author-Name: Cliff Hardcastle Author-X-Name-First: Cliff Author-X-Name-Last: Hardcastle Title: The causal relationship between construction workload and construction price Abstract: Based on the Engle-Granger (1987) methodology for cointegration and error correction mechanism models the paper examines causal relationships between the UK construction workload and price. The model tests the intuitive belief that the construction price (tender price index) is a long run determinant of construction workload (new orders) and that the relationship is constantly correcting itself back on to this long run path. The results suggest that there is a relationship between the variables but a very weak one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540119 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540119&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Chappel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chappel Author-Name: Joanne Padmore Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Padmore Author-Name: Julia Pidgeon Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Pidgeon Title: A note on ERM membership and the efficiency of the London Stock Exchange Abstract: The behaviour of the FTSE 30 share index is examined over a period from November 1988 to May 1994. We examine whether the index exhibits different time series behaviour during the time that Sterling belonged to the ERM to that observed in the pre- and post-ERM period. We show that the random walk behaviour, which would be expected under the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH), occurs during the period when Sterling belonged to the ERM but for pre- and post-ERM membership period the index does not appear to follow a random walk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:19-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bengt Assarsson Author-X-Name-First: Bengt Author-X-Name-Last: Assarsson Author-Name: Per Jansson Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Jansson Title: Unemployment persistence: the case of Sweden Abstract: An unobserved components time-series model is used to examine the persistence in Swedish unemployment. Three sources of unemployment persistence are identified: natural rate shocks; hysteresis; and persistent cycles. Hysteresis effects are modelled by allowing cyclical unemployment to have a lagged effect on the natural rate. The evidence suggests that the course of unemployment in Sweden has mainly been determined by natural rate shocks. This is especially the case for the large increase during the early 1990s, but also for the smaller changes between 1970 and the late 1980s. Hysteresis effects are also present but they are less important because of the relatively small cyclical changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540121 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540121&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Money, exchange rates and international business cycle between Japan and the United States Abstract: This paper focuses on the international business cycle repercussions between Japan and the United States based on the vector error correction model. The results of the analysis are as follows: first, the effect of economic fluctuations between Japan and the United States is asymmetric; whereas fluctuations in the United States economy exert a great influence on Japan, the converse is not true. Secondly, it should be noted that there is a great difference between the two nations with regard to fluctuations in money supply; whereas they exhibit strong exogeneity in the United States, they react to exchange rates to a great extent in Japan. This may reflect differences in the policy reaction functions of the two nations' financial policy authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Paul Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: Using panel data to estimate the determinants of medical malpractice insurance premiums Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to incorporate state-level heterogeneity into an examination of the effects of tort reforms and other factors on medical malpractice insurance premiums; a random effects model is used to account for this heterogeneity. The results of the present study show that individual, state-level effects are important determinants of medical malpractice insurance premiums and that tort reforms had no effects on malpractice insurance premium levels. The results of previous studies that used ordinary least squares had indicated that some tort reforms were significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:37-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Forecasting with structural change: why is the random walk model so damned difficult to beat? Abstract: This paper demonstrates that a naive forecast of no change can produce lower mean square forecast errors than those from true models when structural change exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540124 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540124&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:41-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Testing for technical change: a nonparametric application Abstract: A method of evaluating the impact of technical change on productivity in a Farrell-type model is developed here and empirically applied over international airlines data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Determinants of the inflation rate of the health care CPI in the US Abstract: A key issue in health care reform in the United States is the need to contain the inflation rate of the consumer price index (CPI) for health care services (IRCPIHC). Although previous literature has provided a variety of arguments regarding the causes of the rising IRCPIHC, relatively little has been done of a formal empirical nature to test these various arguments. We estimate a reduced-form equation for the US that indicates the IRCPIHC is an increasing function of general inflation, the population percentage over age 65, real malpractice insurance premiums, the population percentage covered by Medicare, increased usage of technological innovations in medicine, and real GDP growth and a decreasing function of the number of physicians per 100 000 population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540126 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540126&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:47-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Hasan Kazdagli Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Kazdagli Title: Re-examine the long-run purchasing power parity hypothesis for a high inflation country: the case of Turkey 1980-93 Abstract: This paper examines the hypothesis of long-run purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using cointegration techniques for Turkey that experiences high inflation and structural changes coupled with high growth rates simultaneously. The results do not support any long-run bilateral exchange rate-price relationship between Turkey and each of the following countries considered to be the major trading partners of Turkey: France, Germany, the UK, and the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540127 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540127&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:51-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman Sedgley Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Sedgley Title: Technology gaps, economic growth and convergence across US states Abstract: This paper re-examines the empirical regularity of convergence in gross state product (GSP) per capita across US states. Patent data for the 48 continental United States and the District of Columbia, from the US Patent and Trademark Office, is used to account for innovation and technology differences across states. It is found that patents are an important variable in explaining state to state differences in growth. This implies technology gaps exist across states. Knowledge and technology appear to display some characteristics of private goods. Furthermore, the estimated time it takes for convergence to occur is reduced by 25% when differences in innovative activity are accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758540128 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758540128&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal Upadhayaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhayaya Title: Does federal electoral redistricting induce congressional quits? An empirical note Abstract: The present paper used national data to examine the outcome of political redistricting (in the United States), from the 1982 amendments to the Voting Rights Act of 1965, on congressional quits (retirements) in the U.S. House of Representatives. Our results suggest that the redistricting efforts created by these 1982 amendments have led to significantly lower retirement rates within the U.S. House. In fact, upon performing various unit root tests for variable stationarity and developing first-difference statistical equations, our results suggest that retirement rates after the passage of the 1982 amendments are approximately 10.5 to 15 percent lower. Such results contradict much of the previous work in the political science field, yet confirm many of the results beiung put forth by public choice scholars. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-63 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:61-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Coleman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: Do women earn higher returns to tenure than men? Evidence from the new earnings survey Abstract: This paper examines the effect of tenure on the earnings of men and women in the UK labour market. Most comparisons of male and female earnings have concentrated on examining spot differentials, which give no information on earnings movements over tenure. Simple human capital theory would suggest that the effect of tenure would be less pronounced for women, as their shorter average attachments to the labour market allow less opportunity for human capital accumulation. Contrary to this prediction, the results show a higher return to tenure for women. Several explanations are provided as to why this is the case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-68 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:65-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. J. Florkowski Author-X-Name-First: W. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Florkowski Author-Name: A. H. Elnagheeb Author-X-Name-First: A. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Elnagheeb Author-Name: C. L. Huang Author-X-Name-First: C. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Risk perception and new food production technologies Abstract: In this study, survey data were used to develop a model to measure the relationship between a set of socio-economic characteristics of consumers and their risk perception of feed additives and growth hormones use in livestock production. Perceptions were measured indirectly by constructs based on responses to multiple questions. Factor analysis was used to identify the perception measures. Next, two econometric approaches were applied to estimate the relationships between the explanatory variables and risk perceptions. Estimation results gave both the direct and total effects of each explanatory variable on the three constructs: risk perception due to the use of feed additives and antibiotics in livestock and poultry, risk perception due to the use of bioengineering in food production or its specific example - the porcine somatotropin (pST) - the pig growth hormone, and support of pST use in pig production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-73 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:69-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Engsted Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Engsted Title: Do farmland prices reflect rationally expected future rents? Abstract: In recent years the Present Value (PV) model has been used extensively to interpret the behaviour of farmland prices. In this paper the rational expectations version of the PV-model used by Tegene and Kuchler (1993) to test for bubbles is examined using long time-series data for land prices and rents in three US agricultural regions. The tests are based on a VAR methodology that takes into account that land prices and rents are integrated of order one and cointegrated. The results indicate that the underlying equilibrium model used by Tegene and Kuchler to reject bubbles is seriously at odds with the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Personal introduction agencies in the United Kingdom: estimates of an average cost function Abstract: Economists have hitherto neglected the behaviour of the personal introduction agency sector. This paper presents estimates of the average cost function. It is found to have a U-shaped pattern. Average costs are also shown to be higher when the agency guarantees a minimum number of dates and turns away potential clients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:81-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Human capital versus sorting: new data and a new test Abstract: A new test is proposed for discriminating between human capital and sorting explanations of the wage differential between groups of variously educated workers. International data from the ISSP are used to illustrate the operation of the test and of other, more conventional methods used to discriminate between the competing theories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-87 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523509 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523509&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:85-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Senee Suwandee Author-X-Name-First: Senee Author-X-Name-Last: Suwandee Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: Estimates of net capital stock for agricultural and industrial sectors for Japan, Korea and Taiwan Abstract: In this paper, we estimate the net capital stock of the agricultural and industrial sectors for Japan, Korea and Taiwan in their national currencies. Based on the availability of the investment data, the net capital stocks for Japan for the two sectors are estimated from 1905 to 1940 (prewar), and from 1953 to 1979 (postwar). No investment series, broken down by sector, are available after 1979. For Korea and Taiwan the agricultural and industrial net capital stocks are obtained from 1955 to 1992. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Davila Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Davila Author-Name: Josee Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Josee Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Title: On the regional variability of minority/non-minority wage differentials Abstract: This paper assesses whether regional variability in the minority/non-minority wage gap exists and if it depends on state-specific factors such as political conservatism, anti-discriminatory policies, and the 'visibility' of minorities. We find an extreme variability in the minority/non-minority wage differential across states and that this gap narrows as minorities achieve a 'threshold' level which allows them to exert political and economic pressures on majority employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:93-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoffrey Pugh Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Pugh Title: The profit elasticity of investment in West Germany and the investment diversion effects of unification Abstract: This paper estimates investment equations for pre-unification West Germany in which changes in profitability have strong explanatory power with respect to changes in real investment. Accordingly, post-unification decline in profitability suggests that investment by west German firms in eastern Germany entailed investment diversion. In addition, we explain how we calculate t-statistics for long-run coefficients arising from Almon lag and partial adjustment models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:97-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai Yung Kam Author-X-Name-First: Tai Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Kam Author-Name: Jwu-Rong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jwu-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Taiwan's trade imbalance against Japan: an econometric analysis Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the Granger 'causal' dynamic relationship between Taiwan-Japan trade balance (T), and four macrovariables: output (Y), exchange rate (E), money supply (M), and price index (P). The ADF Unit Root Test results show that the variables are all integrated of order I(1). The Johansen (Trace, λmax) result indicates that there is no evidence of cointegration between T and the four variables. The Final Prediction Error results indicate that there is evidence of a unidirectional causal relationship between T and M, a bidirectional relationship between T and Y only. Variance Decomposition analysis show that the exogeneity ordering of the variables is (ΔM, ΔT, ΔY, ΔP, ΔE). The impulse response analysis show that the impacts of M and Y to T are higher than the impacts of E both in short-term and medium-term. In long-term, impacts front both policies are weak and tend to be insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Goss Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goss Author-Name: S. Gulay Avsar Author-X-Name-First: S. Gulay Author-X-Name-Last: Avsar Title: Increasing returns to liquidity in futures markets Abstract: A simple model, based on the binomial theorem, is employed to predict that the probability of matching buyers and sellers increases with the number of transactions. The ask-bid spread, interpreted as a measure of liquidity, is assumed to vary negatively with the probability of matching buyers and sellers. The hypothesis addressed in this paper is that the ask-bid spread varies negatively with volume. This hypothesis is investigated for six contracts traded on the Sydney Futures Exchange from 1980 to 1991. The results support the hypothesis for the majority of contracts studied. The implication of these results is that futures trading can be expected to become concentrated geographically in a few key locations, and within exchanges in a few key contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sugata Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sugata Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Can higher debt lead to higher welfare? A theoretical and numerical analysis Abstract: This paper demonstrates, for a two-good, two-country model with finitely-lived agents, the possibility of using national debt as a policy instrument to improve welfare via an improvement in the terms of trade. The latter is large enough to outweigh the negative effect of crowding out of capital that results from higher debt. It is shown that without retaliatory behaviour, a welfare-maximizing level of debt is theoretically obtainable for values less than half the elasticity of substitution in consumption. For a substitution elasticity equal to half zero debt is the optimum. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:111-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhaskar Das Author-X-Name-First: Bhaskar Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Price smoothing and inventory adjustments Abstract: The empirical results in this paper show a negative and statistically significant relationship between inventory variability and price variability, thereby lending support to the contention that inventory adjustments help to smooth price. The implication is that inventories assist in coordination of oligopolistic agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:117-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Title: Cross-sectional evidence for the job-matching model Abstract: Using the PSID and 2SLS estimation, this paper provides cross-sectional empirical evidence for the job-matching model. The empirical model which specifies wages as a function of expected tenure (rather than merely current tenure) more accurately describes the observed data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Bloor Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Bloor Author-Name: Alan Maynard Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Maynard Title: Labour markets in the UK National Health Service: incentives, contracts and health care teams Abstract: The 1991 UK National Health Service reforms introduced explicit market mechanisms into the purchasing and provision of health care. The clinical labour market has however remained relatively unchanged, despite progressive encouragement to shift towards local pay determination. This letter explores the possibilities of applying simple concepts derived from labour economic theory to the operation of clinical labour markets, and generates hypotheses of how incentives in the labour market could perhaps be used to affect the efficiency of health care teams. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758523518 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758523518&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:2:p:127-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoungsoo Zang Author-X-Name-First: Hyoungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Zang Title: The stability of the Kuznets curve: some further evidence Abstract: This paper examines the stability of the (cross-sectional) Kuznets curve with focus on the international comparability of both income distribution and income data. If the Kuznets curve changes its slope, or if the relationship between income and income inequality is not stable over time, then, the validity of using the cross-sectional Kuznets curve to test the Kuznets hypothesis is considerably weakened, and consequently the results from a cross-section of countries may not be used to predict the secular development of a country. For reasonable international comparability, household income distribution data and per capita GDP data based on purchasing power parity are employed in this paper. We show that, contrary to a previous finding, the (cross-sectional) Kuznets curve is stable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-133 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:131-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barkoulas Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barkoulas Author-Name: Christopher Baum Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Baum Author-Name: Gurkan Oguz Author-X-Name-First: Gurkan Author-X-Name-Last: Oguz Title: Stochastic long memory in traded goods prices Abstract: Using spectral regression and exact maximum likelihood methods, we test for long memory dynamics in the traded goods prices for the G7 countries, as measured in their import and export price indices. Significant and robust evidence of fractional dynamics with long memory features is found in both import and export price inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-138 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:135-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: Raymond Sfeir Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sfeir Title: Past trend versus future expectation: test of exchange rate volatility Abstract: Which of the two forces, past trends or future expectations plays a more dominant role in exchange market volatility? This hypothesis is econometrically tested here for four advised industrial countries, France, UK, Japan and Germany over the period 1985-95. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521369 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521369&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:139-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gishan Dissanaike Author-X-Name-First: Gishan Author-X-Name-Last: Dissanaike Title: Do stockmarket 'losers' win more than 'winners' lose? Abstract: One of the controversial issues in the stockmarket overreaction literature is the claim that price reversals for losers are more pronounced than for winners. We present new results for the UK which suggest that the opposite conclusion is true. Our results are particularly interesting because some recent studies have chosen to devote more attention to losers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-146 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521370 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521370&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:143-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. L. Ford Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Sudip Ghose Author-X-Name-First: Sudip Author-X-Name-Last: Ghose Title: Ellsberg's urns, ambiguity, measures of uncertainty and non-additivity: some experimental evidence Abstract: The principal objective of the experiment reported on in this paper was to ascertain what measures of uncertainty the subjects deemed to be relevant in situations of ambiguity regarding outcomes. This permitted an assessment of non-additivity of probabilities and subjects' choices were then analysed in terms of expected utility theory and the decision theories of Shackle and Ford. In addition, a comparison of the findings on the choices of gamble that the subjects made could be effected with those made in Ellsberg's pioneering inquiry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521371 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521371&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Alonso Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso Author-Name: Miguel-Angel Galindo Author-X-Name-First: Miguel-Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Galindo Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Convergence in social protection benefits across EU countries Abstract: This paper studies the degree of convergence in per capita social protection benefits registered in the European Union during the 1966-92 period. To that end, we use data supplied by Eurostat and compute the two indicators more widely used in convergence analysis: σ-convergence and β-convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-155 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521372 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521372&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:153-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The long-run demand for currency and broad money in Italy, 1861-1980 Abstract: This letter presents estimates of a stable long-run money demand function in Italy over the period 1861-1980. Results using the Johansen procedure of cointegration indicate a unique, long-run demand function for currency and the broad money supply. In each case, the real income and interest rate elasticities accord reasonably well with expectations from monetary theory in terms of size and sign and are in line with results reported in several studies for the United States and the United Kingdom. It appears that both currency and the money supply broadly defined are suitable aggregates with which to consider the long-run economic impacts of changes in monetary policy in Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-159 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521373 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521373&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:157-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Outcome uncertainty in sporting competition: the Olympic Games 1896-1996 Abstract: This paper examines uncertainty of outcome within the context of international sporting competition through analysing the ratio of medal winning to participating nations for the history of the Summer Olympics. A deficiency within the economics of professional team sports literature concerns the investigation into the determinants of uncertainty per se, although it has prominently featured as an explanatory factor in demand studies. Additionally, previous research on the Olympics has primarily focused upon ';success' in terms of medals won or event placings. An analysis of outcome uncertainty is poignant to the Olympics given the degree of national prestige frequently placed upon success together with the policy debate in relation to their increasing scope. The relationship examined between Olympic uncertainty and a series of hypothesized factors indicates that significant determinants include the level of participation in each Olympiad, Communist-let boycotts and their overall trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521374 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521374&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Exchange rate regimes and international output co-movement Abstract: Utlizing Johansen's (1988) multivariate cointegration testing procedure, we find a cointegrating vector between the outputs of five major industrialized nations for the fixed exchange rate period. However, this relationship breaks down for the flexible exchange rate era. We argue that the breakdown of monetary policy coordination caused by the abandonment of the fixed exchange rates explains the weakening of the international character of business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-168 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:165-168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Gabrielle Berman Author-X-Name-First: Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Title: The nature and extent of revisions to Australian macroeconomic data Abstract: This paper explores the nature and extent of revisions to Australian macroeconomic data. Specifically, we analyse quarterly GDP and monthly balance on current account data. We find some impact of revisions. In addition, we also find that indirect measures of data quality, such as, statistical discrepancy in the case of GDP and the balancing item in the case of the balance on current account are still large after the revisions are completed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:169-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Vergin Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Vergin Title: The NFL pointspread market revisited: anomaly or statistical aberration? Abstract: An earlier paper by Lacey (1990) examined the National Football League betting market, using data from the 1984-1986 seasons. He tested 13 technical rules for betting and found several that had winning proportions significantly greater than 0.5 and were also profitable after transaction costs. That represented a violation of the weak form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis. This paper provides an independent test of those same rules over the 1987-1995 NFL seasons. None of the strategies were profitable or had winning proportions significantly different than 0.5. Lacey's results were apparently just a statistical aberration rather than an exploitable anomaly. The results herein suggest the Efficient Markets Hypothesis was not violated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521377 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521377&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Linear estimation of the nonlinear almost ideal demand system: a Monte Carlo study Abstract: Most applied economists use the almost ideal demand system or AIDS to model demand without knowing the consequences of alternative estimation procedures. In this paper, Monte Carlo experiments are undertaken to evaluate the performance of several estimation methods of AIDS. Based on the measures of trace mean squared error and aggregate bias, the iterative procedure proposed by Deaton and Muellbauer (1980) is found to dominate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:181-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Frederick Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Frederick Author-Name: William Kaempfer Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Kaempfer Author-Name: Martin Ross Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Ross Author-Name: Richard Wobbekind Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Wobbekind Title: Arbitration versus negotiation: the risk aversion of players Abstract: This paper explores the effects that skill and experience have on a baseball player's decision about whether to negotiate with his team or to enter into arbitration. The action taken by players who are eligible to file depends on their perceived trade-off between various types of risk such as the possibility of injury and the risks inherent in the arbitration process. Experience increases the chance that a player will go through arbitration, a high skill level decreases that chance, and a large spread between offered and desired salaries makes a negotiated solution more likely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eskil Heinesen Author-X-Name-First: Eskil Author-X-Name-Last: Heinesen Title: The tax wedge and repair and maintenance of houses Abstract: We estimate relations for consumers' demand for repair and maintenance of houses. Repair and maintenance services have close substitutes in the black economy and via do-it-yourself production. The tax wedge is included as an explanatory variable, since it is a measure of the price of paid and taxed services relative to services produced by black market or do-it-yourself activities. On Danish macroeconomic time series data large elasticities with respect to prices and the tax wedge are estimated. We estimate simple level equations and error correction models and test for cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-196 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521380 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521380&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:191-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Yves Pitarakis Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Pitarakis Author-Name: George Tridimas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Tridimas Title: The allocation of public consumption expenditure in the UK Abstract: Using the Almost Ideal Demand System specification we analyse whether UK public consumption expenditure decisions are compatible with traditional utility maximization postulates. Our empirical findings tend to support the validity of the constraints of homogeneity and symmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758521381 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758521381&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Three empirical models for the entry mode choice in foreign direct investment Abstract: Three empirical models for the choice of entry mode in foreign direct investment are compared. In contrast to the models used in earlier studies where the entry decision is taken to be predetermined, the alternative to refrain from investment altogether is here taken into account. Furthermore, the fact that greenfields increase capacity is also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brockman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brockman Author-Name: David Michayluk Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Michayluk Title: The persistent holiday effect: additional evidence Abstract: The holiday effect is one of the most perplexing of all seasonal anomalies. Based on evidence using pre-1987 equity returns, this anomaly has been shown to be responsible for somewhere between 30 to 50% of the total return on the market while exhibiting below average variances (Lakonishok and Smidt, 1988; Ariel, 1990). The purpose of this paper is to investigate and document the persistence of the holiday effect (or lack thereof) beyond the 1987 period for equities traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ exchanges. Has the holiday effect continued into the 1990s, or have efficient trading rules exploited the anomaly to the point where it no longer exists? The results provide additional evidence into the nature and potential causes of seasonal market anomalies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-209 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:205-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Academic and private sector salaries: chalk and cheese? Abstract: This paper utilizes evidence from the Association of University Teachers advanced to support the 1996 claim for increased remuneration for their members in the UK higher education sector. The study specifically focuses upon the determinants of pay for academic staff and a comparative series of private sector professions within a human capital theory framework. Following the estimation of an earnings function with respect to education and training, examination of the actual and estimated salary levels indicates that the degree of incomparability between academics and the nominated private sector occupations is not of the magnitude suggested by the AUT. These findings have implications for strategies, such as a pay review body, which have been proposed to alleviate supposed pay discrepancies relating to academic staff in British universities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Product survival at the cinema: evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: The lifetime of a motion picture is the margin through which supply adjusts to market demand due to demand-invariant admission prices and fixed seating capacity. The lifetimes of a sample of 493 motion pictures that were exhibited at cinemas in Hong Kong during 1994-1996 are examined. It is found that the hazard rate is an increasing function of time, and that the type of movie and the initial box office revenue are economically and statistically significant determinants of a movie's life length. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-219 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:215-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bernard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Author-Name: Lois Schertz Willett Author-X-Name-First: Lois Schertz Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: Broiler price transmission results and data periodicity Abstract: This letter examines, by example, variations in results of typical empirical tests when data sets of different periodicity are compared. The example involves an investigation of the price transmission process in the US broiler industry utilizing separate monthly and weekly data sets. Differing test conclusions were reached dependent on the data set. The bulk of this letter analyses and attempts to reconcile these conflicting conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-224 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:221-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis In Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: In Author-Name: Pasquale Sgro Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Sgro Title: Export growth and its determinants: some evidence for South Korea and Singapore Abstract: This paper examines the time-series properties of export growth and its key determinants for South Korea and Singapore. Using the framework of cointegration and error correction modelling, it is found that, in the case of Singapore, income effects, competitiveness (relative-price effects) and exchange rate effects are the dominant sources of exports growth while in Korea' case, these same variables are less significant in explaining export growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-230 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:225-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashraf Nakibullah Author-X-Name-First: Ashraf Author-X-Name-Last: Nakibullah Title: Population growth and development: the case of Bangladesh Abstract: This paper raises the question whether population growth is exogenous or endogenous with respect to the development process of Bangladesh during the last three decades. The results of an unrestricted vector autoregression model indicate that population growth does not Granger cause real GDP per capita. On the contrary, the results clearly indicate that real GDP per capita Granger causes population growth. Based on the results one may conclude that population growth is endogenous in the development process of Bangladesh. This is reflected both in the Granger causality tests and the decompositions of variances of detrended real GDP per capita and population growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-234 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:231-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: An investigation into the cyclical behaviour of output, money, stock prices and interest rates Abstract: This paper examines the cyclical behaviour of output, money, stock prices and interest rates using annual US data covering the period 1900-91. The cyclical components are extracted from a seemingly unrelated time series equations model. The cyclical relationships are subsequently assessed by examining the contemporaneous and lagged correlations. The results reveal that the cyclical relationships weakened in the post-war period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Bleaney Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Bleaney Title: Purchasing power parity in the 1920s: evidence for the Swiss franc Abstract: Tests of purchasing power parity (PPP) are applied to bilateral rates against the Swiss franc for the period of floating exchange rates in the 1920s. The results confirm that the exchange rates of high-inflation currencies tended to move in line with PPP. For low-inflation currencies, however, there tended to be underadjustment of nominal exchange rates to relative price movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:239-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos Van Ommeren Author-X-Name-First: Jos Author-X-Name-Last: Van Ommeren Title: A test for randomly sampling using duration observations Abstract: We introduce a test for randomly sampling of individuals, with as alternative that the data is not randomly sampled due to moving behaviour of individuals, based on duration observations. Furthermore, we apply this test to a particular data set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Askar Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Askar Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Author-Name: Simon Power Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: A simplified GLS estimator for autoregressive moving-average models Abstract: Koreisha and Pukkila (1990a) have recently proposed a fast and efficient GLS estimator for the univariate ARMA time series model which appears to be far more robust than maximum likelihood methods and of comparable accuracy. The one drawback to this new estimator is that it requires use of the Cholesky decomposition. The purpose of this paper is to suggest an alternative simplified GLS estimator, which can be implemented with just repeated applications of an OLS subroutine. A limited Monte Carlo study establishes that this new estimator is just as efficient as that of Koreisha and Pukkila. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Paul Burkett Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Burkett Title: Economic history and econometrics: a cautionary note from the hyperinflation front Abstract: We seek to add a cautionary note to the growing appetite for quantitative economic history. Our lightning rod is the money demand estimation undertaken by Michael, Nobay and Peel (MNP) (1994) over the last months of Germany's hyperinflation. MNP apply to less than eighteen months of data an econometric technique designed for long-run time series and use a questionably-defined real wage series as an inappropriate proxy for real income. Given the popularity of applying modern time-series methods to hyperinflations, MNPs work provides a timely reminder that there is no substitute for knowing the historical setting and knowing the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaume Puig-Junoy Author-X-Name-First: Jaume Author-X-Name-Last: Puig-Junoy Title: Measuring health production performance in the OECD Abstract: This paper contributes to the estimation of the best practice frontier in health production in the OECD countries at the aggregate level, in the tradition of the concept of health production function originally developed by Grossman. Estimates of technical efficiency for the OECD countries, decomposed into their components of pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency, using a nonparametric method (Data Envelopment Analysis) are presented. In a two-stage approach, differences in efficiency scores are attributed to environmental factors using a stochastic censored regression model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziye Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Author-Name: W. David Mccausland Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Mccausland Title: Multiple economic growth equilibria Abstract: This paper extends the previous literature on multiple growth equilibria by constructing a multisectoral open economy small macro model. We consider the dynamics of international debt, physical capital accumulation and competitiveness, and show that there exist two distinct stable equilibria, one is a high growth equilibrium, corresponding to high investment and net international credit, the other is a low growth equilibrium corresponding to low investment and net international debt. We highlight the important link between economic growth (a flow variable) and net international debt/credit (a stock variable). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:261-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Author-Name: Alan Clarke Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Author-Name: Nigel Fielding Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Title: Crime, earnings inequality and unemployment in England and Wales Abstract: Masih and Masih (1996) recently presented an analysis of crime in a temporal Granger-causal framework, and explored empirically some of the determinants of crime in Australia using annual data over the period 1963-90. The purpose of this paper is to examine the role exerted by earnings inequality and unemployment in the determination of crime. Using a panel of annual regional data from 1979 to 1993 for England and Wales, we find that the growth in earnings inequality and unemployment impact positively on five types of criminal activity examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-267 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354951 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354951&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:265-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haluk Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Author-Name: Guzin Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Guzin Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Some methodological comments on 'Sources of fluctuations in exchange rates: a structural VAR analysis' by N. Apergis and C. Karfakis Abstract: In this comment we note that the methodology used by Apergis and Karfakis (1996) (a) leads to restricting the contemporaneous impact matrix not the long-run impact matrix in identifying their SVAR model, contrary to to their stated objective, and (b) that the Bernanke-Sims procedure of identification and the conventional Cholesky-decomposition based analysis of a VAR lead exactly to the same results as long as the impact matrix is restricted to be lower triangle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354960 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354960&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:4:p:269-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Author-Name: David Yerger Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Yerger Title: Inflation and multifactor productivity growth: a response to Smyth Abstract: Previous research by Smyth on the relationship between inflation and productivity growth, reported in this journal, concluded that 'The negative effects of inflation on growth are significant and substantial' (Smyth, 1995). We find that standard causality tests call into question the direction of causality between inflation and productivity growth. Furthermore, using vector autoregressions, including output and monetary policy variables, we conclude that the correlation between inflation and productivity growth is largely an artifact of comovements with cyclical variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524399 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524399&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Bonanni Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bonanni Author-Name: J. Dermine Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dermine Author-Name: L. -H. Roller Author-X-Name-First: L. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Roller Title: Some evidence on customer 'lock-in' in the French mutual funds industry Abstract: We build on earlier work in the literature on economies of scale and scope in the financial services industry by using a unique French data set covering 162 financial institutions. In the institutional context of the French mutual funds industry, it has been argued that consumers incur significant costs in switching from one bank to another bank. Switching costs could create 'lock-in' that could be used by an institution to extract more rent over time. This paper attempts to differentiate empirically between dynamic pricing strategies (such as customer lock-in) and cost based explanations such as scale and scope economies in the context of the French mutual funds industry. Our results indicate support for the customer 'lock-in' hypothesis for the dominant segment of the French SICAV industry, namely the money market funds. For other funds, however, we find no such systematic evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-279 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524400 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524400&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:275-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tarzwell Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tarzwell Title: Decentralization and public sector growth Abstract: This paper uses a pooled Canadian data set to test for the causes of government growth. Unlike previous studies, these causes are tested simultaneously to avoid misspecification problems. The decentralization of government activities is found to lower the relative size of the public sector when power moves from the federal to the provincial or local governments but raises it when the power shifts from provincial to local governments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-285 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:281-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Stochastic data envelopment analysis: a new approach Abstract: Pre- and post-optimality analysis of input-output data is developed here as a practical method of Farrell-type efficiency measurement. Filtering of noise and specifying the optimal output distributions provide the basic tools which are applied to the time series data for international airlines. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:287-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Richards Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Richards Author-Name: Robert Guell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Guell Title: Baseball success and the structure of salaries Abstract: The purpose of this research is to examine some competing assumptions regarding the hiring behaviour of major league baseball clubs. One hypothesis is that owners and general managers of teams enter the free agent market with a view to attracting the best talent available in order to win games. We might refer to this as the 'win games' strategy. A potentially alternative view is that they compete in this market for marquee players who will attract paying customers to the ball park. We can refer to this as the 'fannies-in-the-seats', or revenue, strategy. While these hypotheses are not necessarily inconsistent, we can imagine that for some teams, at some times, they are alternative approaches to hiring behaviour. A team committed to the 'win games' strategy may attempt to spread its resources in order to hire as many good players as possible without necessarily hiring elite players. A team committed to the revenue strategy may be content to surround a superstar with second rate talent. In order to test these hypotheses we intend to specify estimable models that relate, alternatively, team attendance, winning percentage and division, pennant and world championships to, among other relevant explanatory variables, its salary structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:291-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Delroy Hunter Author-X-Name-First: Delroy Author-X-Name-Last: Hunter Title: The performance of filter rules on the Jamaican Stock Exchange Abstract: A filter test of the daily returns over the period 1989 to 1994 is employed to determine the efficiency of the market. The main result is that the naive 'buy and hold' investment strategy generally outperformed the more active trading strategies. This is surprising in light of previous test which indicated that the market is inefficient. Generally the larger filters generated greater terminal wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-300 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524404 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524404&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:297-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Donal Bredin Author-X-Name-First: Donal Author-X-Name-Last: Bredin Title: Exchange rate volatility and exports: the case of Ireland Abstract: We use the techniques of cointegration and error correction models to estimate long-run and short-run export demand functions for Ireland using quarterly data for the 1979-93 period. We consider three determinants of exports: foreign income, relative prices, and exchange rate volatility. Our results indicate that exports depend significantly on foreign income and relative prices, in particular in the long run. Exchange rate uncertainty proxied by exchange rate volatility appears to depress export volume only in the short run according to our estimated error correction model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524405 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524405&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Pi-Anguita Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Pi-Anguita Title: Real exchange rate, interest rate and capital movements: evidence for France Abstract: This paper measures capital mobility in France by analysing the direction of causality between the real exchange rate and the interest rate. Cointegration and Granger causality tests show that the direction of causality between the two variables reverses in 1987, the date at which capital controls started to be lifted in France. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-307 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524406 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524406&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:305-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bob Welch Author-X-Name-First: Bob Author-X-Name-Last: Welch Author-Name: J. R. Hanrahan Author-X-Name-First: J. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanrahan Author-Name: Tom Barnes Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Barnes Title: The cost of capital and its component parts with corporate and personal tax Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to calculate the cost of capital, the cost of equity and the cost of debt in a world with corporate and personal taxes. We do this in a manner that is consistent with the calculation when there is no tax and when there is corporate tax only. Our results differ from most finance textbooks which either ignore the calculation or assume that the entire burden of personal tax is borne by the stockholders regardless of the level of tax on debt income. Specifically, in these texts the market value of debt remains constant and hence the decline in the value of the firm due to the imposition of personal tax on debt is paid by a matching reduction in shareholders equity. In addition, the approach in these texts can lead to a negative value of the firm and a decreasing cost of capital even when the personal tax on debt income exceeds the personal tax on stock income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524407 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524407&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:309-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Hanrahan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hanrahan Author-Name: Joseph Kushner Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kushner Author-Name: Isidore Masse Author-X-Name-First: Isidore Author-X-Name-Last: Masse Title: Are stock market event studies affected by the price range of shares? The Canadian experience Abstract: This study uses event date methodology to examine whether low priced and high priced shares respond differently to market events. Our results indicate that in response to takeover announcements, low priced shares are more price volatile and unlike higher priced shares decline after the event date. Recognition of share prices should therefore be considered in event studies and in particular when comparing the results of different studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-315 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524408 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524408&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:313-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafiz Akhand Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Akhand Title: On income tax functions: an application of robust, regression-based diagnostics to models of conditional means Abstract: This paper implements a variety of robust, regression-based diagnostics to nonlinear models of effective federal individual income tax. Estimates of effective marginal tax rates obtained from these tax models are frequently used in the empirical growth and real business cycle literature to quantify the macroeconomic effects of distortionary taxation. Based on a battery of conditional mean tests, the paper concludes that none of the tax models used in the empirical growth and real business cycle literature provides a good basis for obtaining reliable estimates of the effective marginal tax rates. Therefore, conclusions based on such tax estimates must be treated with caution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524409 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524409&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:317-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Greene Knapp Author-X-Name-First: Laura Greene Author-X-Name-Last: Knapp Author-Name: Terry Seaks Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Seaks Title: A Hausman test for a dummy variable in probit Abstract: A new Hausman test is presented for the exogeneity of a dummy variable in a probit model. It is very easy to implement because of the equivalence of the log likelihood functions for bivariate probit and recursive probit. The procedure is applied to a model of student loan default due to Knapp and Seaks (1992). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:321-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Alyousha Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Alyousha Author-Name: Christopher Tsoukis Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Tsoukis Title: Ricardian causal ordering and the relation between house and land prices: evidence from England Abstract: This letter tests the relevance of the Ricardian interpretation of the causal relationship between rent and corn price for the English housing market, by testing for strong exogeneity between house and land prices. The results are mixed. On the one hand they support the weak exogeneity of house prices, while they fail to accept that land prices are Granger-caused by house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serdar Sayan Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Sayan Author-Name: Nazmi Demir Author-X-Name-First: Nazmi Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Title: Measuring the degree of block interdependence between agricultural and non-agricultural sectors in Turkey Abstract: Based on the similarity of productive activities carried out by sectors, national input-output (IO) matrices may be divided into sub-matrices each representing a broader group of sectors called blocks. The strength of linkages among sectors that belong to different blocks would then show the degree of block interdependence. The measurement of this degree is useful in many areas including structural change analysis, evaluation of various support policy alternatives or for deciding whether a general or a partial equilibrium framework should be used to investigate the effects of an exogenous shock to a particular sector or a block. This paper introduces a technique that can be used to gauge the degree of block interdependence based on simulation results from demand and supply-side IO models. The application of the technique is illustrated for the case of interdependence between agricultural and non-agricultural blocks in Turkey which recently signed a Customs Union Agreement with the EU. The results indicate that, although Turkey's Agreement covers trade relations in non-agricultural sectors alone, the agricultural sectors must face indirect effects the magnitude of which depend, to a great extent, on the degree of interdependence between blocks considered here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524412 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524412&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Author-Name: Leighton Vaughan Williams Author-X-Name-First: Leighton Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Do betting costs explain betting biases? Abstract: This paper investigates the reason why expected returns to identical bets placed at different odds vary significantly and systematically from one another. It is hypothesized that the cause is the existence for bettors of positive transactions costs. Two different arenas, fixed odds and spread betting markets, distinguished by different levels of transactions costs, are identified which offer competing bets about similar outcomes. The bias is examined in each arena and compared. Our results lend support to the hypothesis that the incidence of transactions costs on the bettor is at least a contributory factor in explaining the bias observed against bets placed at higher odds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758524413 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758524413&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:5:p:333-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Author-Name: David Lovatt Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lovatt Title: Modelling real capital gains in the UK stock market Abstract: The purpose of this study is to establish the determinants of stock market returns for the UK market and to forecast the real capital gain for the Financial Times All-share index using monthly data for the period 1980-1994. Three models are used: (a) a model based on Fama's approach including expectations' variables for the growth of GDP and inflation; (b) a model where short-run and long-run impacts are separately treated and (c) an ARCH model where volatility in returns is modelled using conditional variance. One-period ahead forecasts from the general autoregressive-distributed lag model and ARCH model are compared with actuals for the post-sample period (December 1992 to November 1993) and we find that the latter model has a higher predictive power than the former. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-342 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:337-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minna Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Minna Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: The information content of losses around earnings announcements in the Finnish stock market Abstract: Stock price reaction to the announcements of accounting earnings is investigated using event study approach in the Finnish stock market. The main finding of this study is that the permanent and temporary losses cause different price reactions in Finland. The temporary losses, i.e. the loss cases that do not continue to cause any statistically significant price reaction when earnings announcements are classified to positive or negative surprises. On the other hand, negative surprises in the permanent losses (losses which continue in the future) cause significant reductions in stock prices, i.e. the permanent losses have a significant information content. These results suggest that investors do not value temporary components of losses because they believe that the temporary components are not reflected in future cash flows. Consistent with earlier evidence, news in profits lead to significant price reaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-346 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:343-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mitch Kunce Author-X-Name-First: Mitch Author-X-Name-Last: Kunce Author-Name: John List Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: List Title: Industry chasing and the tax effect: a question of approach Abstract: This paper employs a sample selection model to analyse the effects of a location's tax climate on manufacturing activity from 1974-1994. Results reveal the 'tax effect' varies substantially across industry and is significant in half of the industries analysed-chemical and allieds and food and kindreds. These results reinforce the lack of a robust consensus regarding this issue and highlight the importance of disaggregating industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Cigarette consumption in Turkey: Tansel's spurious regression Abstract: Estimates of the demand for cigarettes in Turkey uncovered significant effects from prices, incomes, education and health scares. The previous study did not pre-test for the presence of unit roots. This note reports the undertaking of this task, and the results of cointegrating regression analysis on previous data, which invalidates the earlier results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-353 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:351-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Talan Iscan Author-X-Name-First: Talan Author-X-Name-Last: Iscan Title: Exports and capital accumulation: some empirical evidence from the Mexican manufacturing industry Abstract: New growth-trade theories have emphasized the contribution of international trade to economic growth through its effect on capital accumulation. This paper tests the hypothesis that export oriented sectors attain higher rates of investment using panel data techniques and sectoral data from the Mexican manufacturing industry between 1970 and 1990. Despite the substantial variations in export shares across sectors and over time, the study can find no evidence supportive of the hypothesis that exports lead to capital accumulation. There is evidence that common determinants, such as the real exchange rate, may be behind the correlations between exports and investment rates found in cross-country studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-360 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:355-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Effect of government capital expenditure on GDP in the Iranian economy using superexogeneity testing Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of real government capital expenditure on GDP in the Iranian economy using annual time series data for the period 1959-1992 employing superexogeneity test. It is found that government capital expenditure has an important positive effect on GDP irrespective of structural and regime shifts in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Empirical note on the impact of federal government budget deficits on bank mortgage rates in the US, 1963-1995 Abstract: This study examines, for the period 1963-1995, the impact of federal budget deficits in the US on mortgage interest rates at commercial banks. Interest rates at banks have been largely neglected in the deficit/interest rate literature for the US. Moreover, the deficit/interest rate literature for the US has largely ignored the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this study investigates the impact of federal budget deficits on the mortgage rate charged by commercial banks, while providing current/updated information on this important policy issue. The estimates find this mortgage rate to be an increasing function of the budget deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-367 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:365-367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Mcwilliams Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Mcwilliams Author-Name: Yacov Tsur Author-X-Name-First: Yacov Author-X-Name-Last: Tsur Author-Name: Eithan Hochman Author-X-Name-First: Eithan Author-X-Name-Last: Hochman Author-Name: David Zilberman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Zilberman Title: Count-data regression models of the time to adopt new technologies Abstract: This paper presents a framework for interpreting and using the count-data model for estimating the time of technology adoption. The Bernoulli trials of the negative binomial model are interpreted as the stages involved in a potential adopter learning and updating information relevant to a new technology. Empirically, the paper estimates the Poisson, the generalized negative binomial, and the geometric models in order to identify the determinants of computer adoption on farms in California. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:369-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Mcmillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mcmillan Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Asymmetric volatility in industrial production: some international evidence Abstract: This letter reports details of tests for the presence of conditional variance asymmetries in the growth rates of monthly international industrial production series using exponential-GARCH and threshold-GARCH generalizations. We find evidence of asymmetries of EGARCH form for US industrial production, TGARCH asymmetries for German, Japanese, and US industrial production, and such that the variance of output is always greater following negative shocks to production than following positive shocks of the same magnitude. However, residual diagnostics for estimated models indicate unmodelled structure in several cases. Notable exceptions are provided by a TGARCH specification for Japan and an EGARCH model for the US, the latter confirming previous results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-381 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:375-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Hefeker Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hefeker Title: Achievement or burden? Labour standards in a monetary union Abstract: This paper examines the argument that monetary union requires an equalization of labour standards in member countries. It is shown that labour standards have an influence on national rates of unemployment, but that it is independent from monetary union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muzafar Shah Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: Muzafar Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Title: Divisia money and income in Indonesia: some results from error-correction models, 1981:1-1994:4 Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to provide alternatives to the monetary aggregates currently defined and published by Bank of Indonesia. The alternative monetary aggregate proposed is the Divisia aggregate which is an appropriate measurement for the monetary services of a country. In this paper we investigate the long-run relationship between income and Divisia aggregate together with its counterpart-the conventional simple-sum aggregate for the period 1981:1 to 1994:4. Using the cointegration and error-correction framework, our results indicate that there is potential role for the Divisia monetary aggregate as a useful intermediate indicator in the conduct of monetary policy in Indonesia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Title: Empirical models for secondary market debt prices Abstract: This paper extends earlier research regarding predictability of secondary market prices for sovereign debt certificates issued by developing countries. Due to the existence of a thinly traded market subject to potential outliers, parameter estimation is accomplished by means of a least absolute deviations methodology. Simulation results are compared with previously published forecasts where model coefficients were generated via threestage least squares. Both methodologies appear to be useful and combined forecasts may prove helpful in situations where neither technique dominates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:393-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Felipe Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Felipe Title: On the interpretation of coefficients in multiplicative-logarithmic functions: a reconsideration Abstract: This paper shows that previous arguments about the problems in interpreting the coefficients in multiplicative-logarithmic functions, derived from an arbitrary rebasing of the series, are incorrect. In the specific case of the translog production function, the tests for the CES, Cobb-Douglas and constant returns to scale restrictions are shown to be invariant to any rescaling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gustav Kristensen Author-X-Name-First: Gustav Author-X-Name-Last: Kristensen Author-Name: Jie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The Linder effect in trade blocks Abstract: Linder's theory, which states that industrialized countries import the same kinds of goods as they export, has been tested with different degrees of success. In this article its performance is investigated within the context of the formation of the EEC trade block. The formation of trade blocks involves trade diversion effects. Here these effects are combined with the ones implied by Linder's theory. Our results show that the trade diversion effects are strongest for the (European) countries with per capita incomes close to the European average. Non-EEC countries with per capita incomes close to the European average income face the highest negative trade diversion effects, while the EEC countries with an average income face the highest positive trade diversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:6:p:401-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Testing for a unit root in ERM exchange rates in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from the bootstrap Abstract: This paper explores the extent to which accounting for structural breaks in ERM exchange rates affects inferences on the presence of a unit root in these exchange rates. Four ERM exchange rates, found by previous empirical studies to be nonstationary, are examined. In contrast to previous empirical studies, multiple structural breaks are allowed for to account for multiple realignments in the central parities of these exchange rates. Bootstrapped critical values, personalized to the pattern of breaks of each exchange rate, are used for statistical inference. Consistent with the theoretical conclusion by Froot and Obstfeld (1991), the results suggest that all four ERM exchange rates are stationary. Therefore, accounting for breaks in ERM exchange rates does affect inferences on the presence of a unit root in these exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: The random walk of stock prices: evidence from a panel of G-7 countries Abstract: It seems that the random-walk property of stock prices is well established. However, some studies argue that the mean reversion of the stock prices has its theoretical and empirical support and the conventional unit-root tests have weak power against stationary alternatives. This paper uses unit-root tests in panel data to re-examine the time-series properties of the stock prices as it is claimed that the method can increase the power of the tests substantially even with a small number of cross sections. The test result suggests that we cannot reject the random-walk hypothesis for G-7 country stock-price indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-413 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:411-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Empirical note on the impact of US Federal Government budget deficits on bank interest rates Abstract: This study examines, for the period 1963-1995, the impact of federal budget deficits in the US on interest rates at commercial banks. Interest rates at banks have been largely neglected in the deficit/interest rate literature for the US. Moreover, the deficit/interest rate literature for the US has effectively ignored the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this study empirically investigates the impact of federal budget deficits on the cost of deposits to banks and prime rate of interest charged by banks, while providing current/updated information on this important policy issue of the interest-rate impact of budget deficits. The estimates find the cost of deposits at banks to be an increasing function of the budget deficit but the prime rate to be unaffected by the budget deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: The causality between budget deficit and interest rates in Japan: an application of time series analysis Abstract: Applying the Engle-Granger two-step procedure, this study finds that neither budget deficits, short-term interest rates and prices in one model nor budget deficits and longterm interest rates in the other model are cointegrated in Japan. Moreover, this study finds no causality between budget deficits and long-term interest rates but detects feedback causality between budget deficits and short-term interest rates in Japan using Hsiao's version of the Granger causality method with the aid of cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-422 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:419-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Fiona Sun Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Export-led growth hypothesis for Australia: an empirical re-investigation Abstract: The export-led growth hypothesis is tested using quarterly time series data for Australia by constructing a vector autoregression (VAR) model. The Granger no-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225-50, 1995) was applied to test the causality link between real export growth and real manufacturing output growth. Three distinct features in this paper stand out compared to earlier studies on the case of Australia: first, we have gone beyond the traditional two-variable relationship by building a five-variable VAR model in the production function context to avoid the possible specification bias; second, we follow Riezman, Whiteman and Summers (Empirical Economics, 21, 77-110, 1996) to test the hypothesis while controlling for the growth of imports to avoid producing a spurious causality result; and finally, the methodology by Toda and Yamamoto is expected to improve the standard F -statistics in the causality test process. Two principle results emerge from our research. First, no evidence was found for the export-led growth hypothesis in Australia; second, when applying a longer lag structure, we found evidence of a one-way Granger causality running from manufacturing growth to exports growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-428 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:423-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Levin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: How large is the tax clientele bias in the term structure of UK interest rates? Abstract: This paper briefly explains why there may be a 'tax clientele' induced bias in the observed yield curve and attempts to estimate the size of this tax clientele bias in the term structure of UK interest rates. A method is based on the econometric technique developed by Nelson and Siegel (Journal of Business, 60, 473-89, 1987) is used to estimate yield curves, which permits observation of the magnitude of tax clientele bias. Estimates based on this method are presented using bond price information on 100 market days. The main finding is that the tax clientele effect is empirically small and therefore may not bias judgements based on the slope of the yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-432 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:429-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Nonparametric measurement of preference changes: the case of food demand in rural China Abstract: Taste changes in the demand for seven food items and 28 regions in rural China are identified. The results indicate a strong shift in consumers' preference against (towards) rice and tobaccos (wheat and alcohol). Considerable efforts are made in this paper to discuss possible causes of these shifts and more importantly to explore relevant policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-436 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:433-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugene Kouassi Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Kouassi Author-Name: Bernard Decaluwe Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Decaluwe Author-Name: Dale Colyer Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Colyer Title: Is it real? The long-run relation between terms of trade and current account deficits: the Ivory evidence Abstract: The long-run relationship between current account deficits, domestic income, foreign income and foreign interest rates are estimated based on Ivorian time series data. The empirical results suggest that terms of trade along with domestic income, French income, and foreign real interest rates have significant long-term relationships with the current account deficit. The methodology is based on the co-integration technique. In addition, using the bootstrap technique for unit roots and regression respectively indicates the long-run relationship and the regression equation appear robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-440 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:437-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: A test of the P-Star model Abstract: This paper presents a test of the P-Star model using US quarterly data over the period 1951:1-1991:4. The basic formulation of the P-Star model, which is derived from the quantity theory of money, is manipulated to obtain an equation for the price level in terms of a stochastic trend and the actual levels of output and velocity. The maximum likelihood estimation results verify the validity of the model and the importance of the stochastic trend. The dynamic relationship between the inflation rate and the price gap is also estimated, producing a large and significant value for the coefficient of adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-443 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:441-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Short-term interest rate and inflation in the long run: a study of the US and UK from 1803 to 1990 Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence concerning the long-run properties of expected real interest rate and nominal interest rate as a predictor of inflation using US and UK data from 1803 to 1990. It is found that we can reject the null hypothesis of constancy of ex ante real interest rate for the US, but we cannot reject it for the case of the UK. Evidence also suggests that over the long time period, nominal interest rate does not seem to be a good predictor of inflation, especially for the case of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-448 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:445-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Filson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Filson Title: Price indexes for personal computers (1976-88) Abstract: This paper estimates quality-adjusted price indexes for personal computers for the years 1976-88 using the method proposed by Berndt, Griliches, and Rappaport (1995). Indexes for the 1976-82 period may be combined with indexes provided by previous authors to obtain quality-adjusted price indexes for the entire history of the personal computer industry. In the early years, the number of observations is small, and quality and cost improvements, which are often embodied in new models, occur rapidly. It is suggested that in this type of environment, adjacent-year regressions may be more useful for obtaining constant-quality price indexes than alternative methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Nievas Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Nievas Title: The 'Fisher effect' versus 'German effect' in European countries. An empirical study Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of the rate of inflation and German short-term interest rates over the short-term interest rates of a number of European Union Member States. The study has been carried out by considering two subperiods, namely from 1980 to 1988 and from 1989 to 1996, with these representing the periods before and after the initiation of European Monetary Union. The results obtained indicate that there is one group of countries, comprising France and Italy, which has substituted the 'inflation effect' in the first period for the 'German effect' in the second. Another group, made up of Spain, Greece, Holland and Portugal, does not present evidence of the inflation effect prior to Monetary Union, but does present evidence of the 'German effect' after it. Finally, a number of other countries, such as the United Kingdom, Belgium and Denmark, are not seen to be influenced by changes in the German interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:453-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shady Kholdy Author-X-Name-First: Shady Author-X-Name-Last: Kholdy Author-Name: Ahmad Sohrabian Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Sohrabian Title: Economic fundamentals and housing market Abstract: This paper examines the causes of housing cycles during 1986-1994 in California using vector autoregressive (VAR) and variance decomposition technique. The paper tries to compare the effect of speculative behavour of landlords with economic fundamentals in boosting the housing demand. The empirical results suggest that economic fundamentals affected the housing market slightly during the housing boom of 1986-1990. Speculative behaviour and expectation of capital gain played a stronger role in stimulating the housing demand than economic fundamentals. The model, however, cannot explain the housing bust of 1990-1994. The results suggest that the main reason behind sluggish demand in 1990-1994 lies outside the economic fundamentals and poor expectation of capital gain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-461 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:459-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: The term structure of Australian interest rates: tests of the expectation hypothesis Abstract: This paper studies the expectation hypothesis relating to the term structure of Australian interest rates. We use monthly data on 90-day bank accepted bills and the 10-year Treasury bond over the period 1969-94. The test equation follows the approach in Campbell and Shiller (1987, 1988) and we pay careful attention to ARCH effects and problems poised by overlapping data. Our results indicate that the restrictions of the interest rate expectational hypothesis are not rejected by the dataset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-467 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:463-467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Askar Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Askar Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Author-Name: Simon Power Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: The consequences of a potential pitfall in approximate GLS estimation of the regression model with ARMA(p, q) disturbances Abstract: This paper investigates the phenomenon of covariance matrix underestimation leading to possibly misleading inference which can arise from a potential pitfall in approximate GLS estimation of the regression model with ARMA disturbances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Ruling-out non-stationary stochastic rational expectations bubbles when agents are non-risk-neutral Abstract: The property of an independent forward-solution in the general solution to linear dynamic RE models is lost where a bubble component has non-zero higher-order moments and where the implicit agents of the model are not risk-neutral. If the conditional higher-order moments are nonstationary, the forward solution becomes process-inconsistent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-475 Issue: 7 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:7:p:473-475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cobham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cobham Author-Name: Steve Williams Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Hysteresis, the Phillips curve and the costs of monetary union Abstract: If actual unemployment affects the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) through a hysteresis effect, the disinflation involved in reducing a country's inflation rate to that of its future partners in a monetary union could produce a long term cost to monetary union in the form of a lasting rise in the NAIRU. This note sets out a framework for analysing the likelihood of such an eventuality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-480 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:477-480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of US structural budget deficits on thrift institution interest rates, 1964-1995 Abstract: This study examines, for the period 1964-95, the impact of structural federal budget deficits in the US on interest rates at savings and loan institutions (S&Ls). Interest rates at S&Ls have largely been neglected in the deficit/interest rate literature. Moreover, the deficit/interest rate literature for the US has largely ignored the second half of the 1980s and the 1990s. Accordingly, this study (1) empirically investigates the impact of structural budget deficits on the cost of deposits to S&Ls and the mortgage interest rate charged by S&Ls and (2) provides current/updated information through 1995 on this important issue of the interest-rate impact of budget deficits. The empirical estimates find the S&L cost of deposits and mortgage rate to be increasing functions of the structural deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Io Segoura Author-X-Name-First: Io Author-X-Name-Last: Segoura Title: Return to scale and external economies: empirical evidence from Greek two-digit manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper applies the methodology developed by Caballero and Lyons (1989), in order to estimate jointly the degree of internal returns to scale and the extent of external economies in Greek two-digit manufacturing industries during the period 1963-90. Overall, we find that only two industries show evidence of internal increasing returns: food products, and transport equipment. On the other hand, we cannot reject the presence of external economies. According to our estimates if an industry increases its inputs in isolation by 10% its output rises by 6%. However, if all industries act in concern its output rises by 10%, implying social constant returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-490 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:485-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. J. Erenburg Author-X-Name-First: S. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Erenburg Title: Productivity, private and public capital, and real wage in the US Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between real wages and productivity in the United States from 1948-90, by including in the measure of productivity the impact of public capital as well as private capital. The results confirm recent studies that have indicated that when the private and public capital stock is controlled for, real wage is countercyclical, and validate diminishing returns to labour, positive returns to public capital and a procyclical effect of capacity utilization on real wage. Further, the issue of spurious regression bias that arises when variables are nonstationary was addressed, and long run relationships were then estimated. Results establish a long-run relationship between productivity, real wage, the employment to capital ratio, and public to private capital ratio. Using the statistical estimates herein, if the public capital stock had remained at the historical 1948-65 ratio, rather than declining, productivity would have been between 2.4 and 2.9 percentage points higher and real wages would have been between 2 to 2.8 percentage points higher, ceteris paribus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-495 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:491-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Wolters Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Wolters Title: Cointegration and German bond yields Abstract: The expectations hypothesis of the term structure implies that interest rates of different maturities are driven by one common stochastic trend. Using the Johansen multivariate cointegration analysis one finds that for seven German bond yields at least two common stochastic trends exist. These trends may be interpreted as capturing a level and a slope effect. The results are equivalent to the fact that six spreads contain five independent cointegration vectors. For this situation an error correction model is quite well supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-502 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:497-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kimiyoshi Kamada Author-X-Name-First: Kimiyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Kamada Author-Name: Nobuhiro Okuno Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Okuno Author-Name: Ritsuko Futagami Author-X-Name-First: Ritsuko Author-X-Name-Last: Futagami Title: Decisions on regional allocation of public investment: the case of Japan Abstract: In this paper, the basic economic factors underlying government decisions on regional allocation of public investment will be examined in relation to the stages of economic development of Japan. We will show that the improvement of dualism in regional income inequality has been the most significant factor for decisions made since the 1950s, while the growth-oriented economic policy explains the regional allocation of public investment for the period from the late 1950s to the mid-1960s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-506 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:503-506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dollar Case Author-X-Name-First: Dollar Author-X-Name-Last: Case Title: Testing the long-run validity of the monetary approach to the exchange rate: the won-US Abstract: This paper examines via cointegration techniques the empirical validity of the monetary model of exchange rate determination as a long-run equilibrium condition for the Korean won-U.S. dollar rate over the recent period of economic liberalization in Korea. Using monthly data from 1980 to 1995, it is found that the unrestricted version of the monetary model provides a valid framework for analysing long-run movements in the exchange Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:507-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Barry Oliver Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Title: Consumption versus market betas of Australian industry portfolios Abstract: This paper provides an empirical comparison of consumption and market betas for to 23 Australian industry portfolios, using quarterly Australian data. The results reveal that there is very little sensitivity of returns to consumption growth where consumption growth is measured contemporaneously. However, when a lagged relationship is examined, the consumption sensitivities become much stronger. Nevertheless the consumption betas remain considerably less significant than their market beta counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. H. Schnader Author-X-Name-First: M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Schnader Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Title: Sources of turning point forecast errors Abstract: Little attention has been devoted to explaining the failure to predict the turning points at the beginning of recessions. This note builds on a model that showed that a turning point might not be predicted if forecasters' prior probabilities of a recession were low. Costs associated with various types of errors might also produce this result. A model is developed and then applied to a particular US business cycle indicator. The results show that costs as well as priors may contribute to this type of forecasting error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-521 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:519-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Title: Is the inequality of lifetime wealth a random walk? Abstract: A simple model is presented which predicts that the inequality of lifetime wealth is a bounded random walk process. Empirical support for the model is found using UK data for 1970-94. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Dan Ellingworth Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Ellingworth Title: Exploring the relationship between unemployment and property crime Abstract: Existing economic studies have revealed conflicting evidence regarding the relationship between unemployment and crime. In this paper we argue that the conflicting evidence that has appeared in previous studies reflects inadequate statistical analysis. Specifically, we argue that insufficient attention has been devoted to questions of functional form. Employing the Box-Cox flexible functional form approach we report evidence to suggest that once the correct functional form of the variables is utilized, a significant positive relationship between male unemployment and property crime is identified, this having fundamental implications for government policy in the fight against crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-530 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:527-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Lambert Schoonbeek Author-X-Name-First: Lambert Author-X-Name-Last: Schoonbeek Title: Adding up constraints and gross substitution in portfolio models Abstract: We consider a static portfolio system that satisfies adding-up constraints and Tobin's gross substitution theorem. We show the relationship of the two conditions to the weak dominant diagonal property of the matrix of interest rate elasticities. This enables us to investigate effects of arbitrary simultaneous changes in interest rates on the asset demands. Finally, we show that all asset demands are invariant under a certain nonnegative, but nonzero, change of the interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:531-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Title: Empirical estimates of the rate of depreciation of education Abstract: In this paper we develop a method to estimate the rate of depreciation of human capital. The model is estimated on data for Great Britain and the Netherlands. It is found that the rate of depreciation of education is 11-17% per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-538 Issue: 8 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:8:p:535-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerard Antioch Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Antioch Title: Fiscal policy dynamics in Australia and New Zealand Abstract: This paper uses cointegration and error correction modelling to investigate how Governments across the Tasman have corrected fiscal imbalances. Australian Governments have used revenue and expenditure adjustments to correct long term fiscal imbalance. In the short term, however, taxes constrain spending in Australia. In New Zealand, expenditure adjustments are relied upon to correct long term fiscal imbalance. Thus, in neither country it could be said that spending priorities predominately drive decisions to raise taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-541 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:539-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Felipe Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Felipe Title: Does the aggregate production function imply anything about the laws of production? A comment Abstract: This paper discusses McCombie's (1987) empirical evidence on the Simon-Shaikh critique. It is argued that while the theoretical argument is correct, the evidence presented depends on the adjustment of the stock of capital for capacity utilization. Probably factor shares are not sufficiently constant in this data set for the Cobb-Douglas form to provide a good approximation to the accounting identity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-547 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:543-547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Theodossiou Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Theodossiou Author-Name: A. Yannopoulos Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Yannopoulos Title: Labour market segmentation and unemployment duration Abstract: This paper analyses the factors affecting the duration of an unemployment spell for primary and secondary workers. It evaluates the pattern of hazard rates for exit from unemployment after taking into account the effects of person-specific heterogeneity and shows that workers employed in the lower-tier sector have longer unemployment spells than the remainder. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529497 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529497&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: Songqing Jin Author-X-Name-First: Songqing Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Fresh sweet corn acreage response in the selected states of the USA Abstract: Seemingly Unrelated Regression models were used to examine the factors that influence the corn acreage in selected states in the US. Planted acre was modelled as a function of lagged planted acres, lagged production, and lagged price for states California, Florida, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, and the US. States such as New Jersey and New York which have a short growing season compared to California and Florida. Also there is a notion that the small acreage in New Jersey is affected by production from other states such as California, Florida, New York, and Pennsylvania. The results indicate that lagged planted acreage significantly contributes toward current planted acres of sweet corn in all the five states and in the US. Production lag significantly contributes toward planted acres only in New York. Finally, the price lag significantly contributes toward planted acres in New York and Pennsylvania. The sign of the significant variable indicates that the current planted acre is positively influenced by the lagged planted acres, production lag and the price lag. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-557 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:555-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uma Kambhampati Author-X-Name-First: Uma Author-X-Name-Last: Kambhampati Title: Duration of industry leadership Abstract: Firms strive to become industry leaders for a number of reasons including the market power that such a position endows upon them, the prestige relating to it as well as the increase in profits that it often results in. In this paper, we concentrate on the duration of survival of leaders and on the factors that influence it. To facilitate our investigation, we use duration analysis to estimate a survival function, both with and without time varying covariates. Our results indicate that, on average, in India, a firm maintains its leadership position for approximately five years (though this is significantly higher in the 'high concentration ratio industries'). Its survival fits a logistic distribution best, implying that the hazard of failure is nonlinearly related to time. On the one hand, the size of the firm itself, its previous experience in leading the industry and economies of scale in the industry all extend the duration of leadership. On the other hand, the larger the size of the firm's rivals and the larger its profits relative to the industry average, the shorter its duration of survival at the top. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: The choice of appropriate monetary aggregates in the United Kingdom Abstract: This paper re-examines the relationship between alternative monetary aggregates (M0 and M4) and other macroeconomic variables in the United Kingdom. The results of a five-variable VAR analysis are indicative of bidirectional causality between each of the monetary aggregates and real output. Our findings of a feedback relationship between M0-real income, and M4-real income makes each of the monetary aggregates a poor intermediate target variable. Moreover, contrary to most research work in this area, we find a feedback relationship between M0 and prices which appears to support the monetary accomodation hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-568 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:563-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Duarte Neves Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Neves Title: Female labour supply over the life-cycle Abstract: This note describes two alternative approaches to identify the parameters that characterize intertemporal female labour supply, allowing for uncertainty, nonparticipation and nonseparability. Econometric results indicate that the choice of functional forms is one of the most important issues in the empirical analysis of labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Purchasing power parity revisited: null of cointegration approach Abstract: This paper undertakes a study of the Purchasing Power Parity doctrine as a long run equilibrium condition among a highly economically integrated set of nations, namely members of the European Monetary System (EMS). Here we examine the bivariate cointegration properties of the intra-EMS spot exchange rate series and their price ratios, using the modern null of cointegration approach. Our results support the parity hypothesis within the union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-575 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:573-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: Unit roots in the presence of moving average errors: tests of consumer price inflation Abstract: The issue of stationarity is a critical one in time series modelling. Tests designed to detect unit roots are sensitive, however, to model specification. While it has previously been shown that the presence of moving average errors may adversely affect the size of Dickey-Fuller type tests for stationarity in finite samples, this paper demonstrates that the order of the moving average process is also important. Critical values of unit root tests for MA(2) processes are shown to be larger than comparable values for MA(1) processes, which are in turn larger than Dickey-Fuller values. Consumer Price Inflation is estimated as an MA(2) process and is tested for stationarity using the computed critical values for time series with MA(2) errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eddy Waller Author-X-Name-First: Eddy Author-X-Name-Last: Waller Title: A quantitative analysis of the health care resource allocations: the private versus the public route in the United Kingdom Abstract: With public spending subject to increasing security, the private sector has grown in influence in providing welfare. The public and private mix of welfare has been theorized in many academic disciplines but has not received full quantitative application. This letter attempts an estimation of the average costs of in-patient stay in each sector and finds that the public sector offers the greater efficiency using this measure. It goes on to calculate the number of treatments that would be possible if all health resources were allocated to the public sphere. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:583-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blanca Sanchez-Robles Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Robles Title: Macroeconomic stability and economic growth: the case of Spain Abstract: Recent contributions have pointed out to a beneficial effect of macroeconomic stability and market liberalization on economic growth. This paper analyses this issue empirically by means of cointegration techniques, using annual data from the Spanish economy, 1962-95. Some proxies of macroeconomic instability - such as inflation, public deficit and various types of public expenditure as a share of GDP - and market distortions are included in the equations as regressors. The results show a negative correlation of these proxies and economic growth. Therefore, the Spanish experience suggests that macroeconomic stability and market liberalization are prerequisites for economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Mainland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mainland Title: Econometrics or neural networks? - a study of marketing margins in the UK meat industry Abstract: In the UK there is a widening gap between the farm-gate and retail prices for red meat and pork products. This study attempts to discover the reasons behind this increase by analysing the determinants that are responsible for the increasing margins. Monthly data from January 1982 to March 1996 are used as beyond this period the data are seriously distorted by the BSE scare. The predictive ability of econometrics and neural network models are compared. Although the results from econometrics were overall better it is argued that a combination of the two methods would be the ideal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-597 Issue: 9 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/758529506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/758529506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:9:p:593-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ira Saltz Author-X-Name-First: Ira Author-X-Name-Last: Saltz Title: State income tax policy and geographic labour force mobility in the United States Abstract: This study empirically investigates the impact of state income tax policy on US interstate migration for the period 1985-89. It finds that people vote with their feet and prefer to move so as to minimize their state income tax liabilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-601 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:599-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. F. Omran Author-X-Name-First: M. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Omran Title: An investigation of the maximal moments of exchange rates Abstract: We examine the issue of maximal moments of four exchange rates of US, Japan, Germany and France measured relative to the British Pound. It is found that the second moment of exchange rate returns is finite, and therefore, the infinite variance stable distribution is ruled out as a candidate for modelling exchange rates. In line with US evidence, there is some doubt about the existence of the fourth moment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-606 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:603-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Arnon Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Arnon Author-Name: J. Weinblatt Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Weinblatt Title: Linder's hypothesis revisited: income similarity effects for low income countries Abstract: In this paper we test whether a Linder effect exists in international trade generally, and in trade among, and between, developed and less developed countries in particular. We provide empirical evidence that, contrary to accepted views, the Linder effect can be found for both developed and less developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-611 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:607-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tser-Yieth Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tser-Yieth Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A study of bank efficiency and ownership in Taiwan Abstract: This paper uses a data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach to create a benchmark measure for the relative operating efficiency of the publicly operated banks as well as their private counterparts in Taiwan. From the estimated results, we find that there are significant differences in efficiency between privately-owned banks and publicly-owned banks. It shows that the efficiency gains from privatization may be substantial. By analysing the sources of inefficiency, we can also indicate the remedy for the specific publicly-owned banks, and affirm the validity of the privatization policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-616 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:613-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dwight Steward Author-X-Name-First: Dwight Author-X-Name-Last: Steward Title: A note: Bootstrap standard errors and confidence intervals for weak axiom of cost minimization (WACM) based bank managerial efficiency estimates Abstract: Although the nonparametric nature of Varian (Microeconomic Theory, Norton, New York, 1984) Weak Axiom of Cost Minimization (WACM) methodology offers a number of advantages in the estimation of bank managerial efficiency, this approach possesses a potentially critical problem: measurement error and other stochastic influences are not explicitly accounted for in the calculation of managerial efficiency estimates. The failure to account for these factors could significantly effect the validity of WACM based efficiency estimates. The principal objective of this paper is to provide bootstrap based test statistics for the WACM managerial efficiency estimates that explicitly account for these stochastic factors. The managerial efficiency measurement methodology utilized in this paper also provides new estimates of banking industry managerial efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-621 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:617-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Do network news agencies play their dominant strategies? Empirical evidence from lead news stories Abstract: Do network news agencies (ABC, CBS, and NBC) play their dominant strategies in selecting the lead news story (cover story) for nightly newscasts? The present paper seeks an answer to this question by employing elementary game-theory analysis and simple logit/ordered logit regression models to examine the choice the network agencies make in selecting a nightly lead news story. While economic theory predicts lead stories based on company projections of events likely to be judged as 'important' to consumer-viewers (the dominant strategy), statistical evidence presented here suggests that deciphering the dominant strategies is quite difficult. This ultimate result is likely due to demander preferences that often drive liberal and sensationalism biases in the media. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-629 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:623-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clark Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: Stephen Drinkwater Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Drinkwater Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Title: Ethnicity and self-employment earnings in Britain 1973-95 Abstract: Using data from the General Household Survey 1973-95, it is shown that there were substantial differences between the earnings of whites and nonwhites in the self-employment sector of the British labour market over the period. Fitting a model of earnings determination which takes account of sample selectivity allows these differences to be decomposed into characteristics and coefficients effects. It turns out that both are important. Further decomposition reveals a crucial role for differences in the amount of schooling received by whites and nonwhites and in the returns to age, gender, marital status and qualifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-634 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:631-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of select variables on thrift institution profit rates, 1965-1991 Abstract: Using semi-annual data, this study empirically finds that, over the 1965-91 period, the rate of return on thrift (S&L) assets is an increasing function of the S&L mortgage rate, the tangible capital/asset ratio, and energy prices, whereas it is a decreasing function of the cost of deposits and Tax Reform Act of 1986 provisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-638 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:635-638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Analysing the effects of price changes on the cost of living of consumers using true indices Abstract: In this paper we analyse the effects of price changes on consumers' cost of living, using true indices for Germany, France, the UK, Spain and Sweden. We define these indices for a PIGLOG cost function and a dynamic specification of the LAIDS allows us to estimate them using aggregated time-series from 1964 to 1993. The calculated index numbers show that: (i) Spain presents the highest values for all groups, whereas the lowest appear in Germany and the UK, (ii) the highest values were in both oil crisis years, 1973 and 1979, whereas the lowest were generally in 1966 and in 1993, and (iii) the mean values reveal that Spain and France display the highest true cost-of-living indices, whereas Germany and the UK show the lowest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:639-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Gabrielle Berman Author-X-Name-First: Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Author-Name: Ting-Yean Tan Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Yean Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Is there a common response in Australian bilateral exchange rates following current account announcements? Abstract: A growing literature exists analysing the impact of balance on current account announcements on bilateral exchange rates. This literature typically considers and reports results for a number of bilateral exchange rates. This paper investigates whether there are distinct effects across the range of bilateral exchange rates, or alternately whether a common response carries across all the bilateral exchange rates. Our results favour a common response. JEL classification: F30. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Title: The impact of federal budget deficits on movements in the stock market: evidence from Australia and France Abstract: This article examines whether or not federal budget deficits impact the stock markets of Australia and France. According to the stock market efficiency hypothesis, current stock market performance fully incorporates all past policy actions and implies that there should be an insignificant effect of past deficit on current stock prices. We present evidence that fiscal policy actions, as measured by the size of past federal budget deficits, exert a significant influence upon movements in stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-651 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:649-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus Mcguinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: Mcguinness Author-Name: Maura Sheehan Author-X-Name-First: Maura Author-X-Name-Last: Sheehan Title: Regional convergence in the UK, 1970-1995 Abstract: This paper tests for the existence of long run inter-regional equilibrium relationships in income per capita within the UK over the period 1971-95. We examine both the cross-sectional and time-series evidence of inter-regional convergence. The time series approach allows us to investigate whether there are long-run regional equilibrium trends, whereas the cross-sectional analysis allows us to investigate whether the dispersion in per capita incomes between regions has narrowed. While it was found that some of the regions converged over time, there were no obvious explanations for why these regions converged and others did not. Moreover, with the exception of Northern Ireland and Scotland, regional policy appears to have had little impact on the relative positions of assisted regions in terms of their share of UK GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:653-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Long-run benefits from international equity diversification: a note on the Canadian evidence Abstract: This note provides evidence that there exist long-run benefits for a Canadian investor from diversifying in the equity markets of the US, Japan, and the six largest European markets namely those of the UK, Germany, France, Switzerland, Italy and the Netherlands. This evidence is based on tests for pairwise cointegration between the Canadian national equity index and the equity index for each of the other markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Human capital versus sorting: new data and a new test Abstract: A new test is proposed for discriminating between human capital and sorting explanations of the wage differential between groups of variously educated workers. International data from the ISSP are used to illustrate the operation of the test and of other, more conventional methods used to discriminate between the competing theories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:10:p:665-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: A. E. H. Speight Author-X-Name-First: A. E. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: The variance of economic activity over the business cycle: some further evidence Abstract: This letter tests for the presence of non-linearities in UK and US industrial and sectoral production growth rates using a joint model of bilinearity inconditional mean and generalized-autoregressive-conditional heteroscedasticity, the latter augmented by lagged production growth rates so as to allow consideration of variance asymmetry with respect to the phase of the business cycle. We find bilinearity inconditional mean to be present in US industrial production and manufacturing, and significant conditional variance asymmetries in the majority of series considered such that conditional variance is higher during recessions and stronger in the more cyclically sensitive durable consumer goods sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-673 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:669-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Stancanelli Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Stancanelli Title: Unemployment compensation schemes and unemployment duration Abstract: This paper compares unemployment durations of persons on different unemployment compensation schemes from the start of the unemployment spell. It focuses on the probability of leaving unemployment to take up a full-time job. Data on actual benefit receipts are used for the analysis. The sample considered includes unemployed men on unemployment insurance or unemployment assistance from the start of the unemployment spell. Estimation of binary probability models indicates that observed characteristics explain well the probability of being on a given unemployment benefit scheme. The empirical findings signal that the unemployed on different benefit schemes cannot be treated as an homogeneous group, as has normally been done in previous UK studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Monadjemi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Monadjemi Title: Are real interest rates cointegrated? A study of three OECD countries Abstract: Real interest rates are influenced by internal economic policies and also by movements of real rates in larger economies. The latter has become more influential as a result of the integration of global financial markets in the 1980s and 1990s. The empirical results of this study show that the US real rate of interest is an important factor in explaining variations of real rates in Britain and the Netherlands but not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-683 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:681-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Author-Name: W. Norton Grey Author-X-Name-First: W. Norton Author-X-Name-Last: Grey Title: A general equilibrium (GE) model of the term structure applied to Australian securities Abstract: The Double Square Root (DSR) GE model of the term structure is fitted to Australian security yield data over the period 2 January 1984 to 15 December 1995 - a data set of 3041 yields on four securities: 30 and 90-day BAB: and 5 and 10-year bonds. Applying both the OLS and GMM estimators we find a nonlinear, reduced form relationship between these yields and the risk free rate. So we conclude that GE models explain a diverse range of Australian yield curve shapes and that Australian bond prices are not necessarily inversely related to interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-687 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:685-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Testing allocative efficiency by data envelopment analysis Abstract: An allocative efficiency model based on data envelopment analysis is empirically tested here for evaluating the operational performance of international airlines for the period 1988-90. Results show some robustness of these efficiency measures in terms of stochastic dominance criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-692 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:689-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laszlo Matyas Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Matyas Author-Name: Laszlo Konya Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Konya Author-Name: Lachlan MaCquarie Author-X-Name-First: Lachlan Author-X-Name-Last: MaCquarie Title: The Kuznets U-curve hypothesis: some panel data evidence Abstract: In this paper Kuznet's U-curve hypothesis is tested on two unbalanced panel data sets of 47 and 62 countries, for the period 1970-93, using two-way fixed and random effects models. Several competing model specifications are estimated and the one best fitting the data is selected by appropriate model selection procedures. It is shown that there is no hard empirical evidence to support the usual econometric model formulations and the U-curve hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bagala Biswal Author-X-Name-First: Bagala Author-X-Name-Last: Biswal Author-Name: Urvashi Dhawan Author-X-Name-First: Urvashi Author-X-Name-Last: Dhawan Title: Export-led growth hypothesis: cointegration and causality analysis for Taiwan Abstract: The hypothesis of export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis is tested for Taiwan using Engle and Granger's (1987) cointegration and error correction model approaches. This study shows that total exports and GDP, as well as exports of manufactured goods and GDP are cointegrated during the post-reform period, 1960-90. This study also finds evidence of bidirectional causality, and thus concludes that, in the case of Taiwan, exports and growth mutually reinforce each other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-701 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:699-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Author-Name: Donn Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Donn Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: An empirical investigation of wage discrimination in professional basketball Abstract: Previous research has shown that wage discrimination may exist in National Basketball Association (NBA) player salaries. These studies have shown that African-Americans earned from nine to twenty per cent less than whites when on-court performance is held constant. The authors could find no substantial research that has been done in this area since 1991. The present study re-examines this issue. Using salary data from the 1996-97 season and performance statistics from the 1995-96 season, a log-linear wage equation was estimated, and a Chow Test was performed. Holding all other factors constant, African-American players do not earn less than white players. The most important factors affecting an NBA player's salary are on-court performance, free agency, experience, and the draft status of the player. These results are important since they indicate that wage discrimination based on race appears to have been eliminated from the NBA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-705 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:703-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Coleman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: The effect of tenure on earnings for males: a public/private analysis Abstract: This paper examines the effect of tenure on the earnings of males in the UK public and private sectors. The earnings-tenure effect is important in that it provides helpful information for individuals who are about to enter the labour market. Given the distinct labour markets associated with the public and private sectors, a disaggregation of this type also provides information on the different earnings structures in the two sectors. The results show that in general, the relationship between tenure and earnings is more pronounced in the public than in the private sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: A composite leading indicator of Australian inflation Abstract: This paper investigates the possibility of constructing a composite leading indicator of Australian inflation. Five variables are considered and found to have both short-run and long-run causal linkages with consumer prices. A composite leading indicator is constructed on the basis of the coefficients of the cointegrating vector and smoothed by calculating a four-quarter moving average. This indicator is shown to have led the annual inflation rate in six troughs and five peaks between 1972 and 1992. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:711-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Gregory Koutmos Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Koutmos Title: Interaction of volatility and autocorrelation in foreign stock returns Abstract: In this paper we model six major foreign stock index returns as conditionally heteroscedastic processes with time dependent autocorrelation. The findings point to a significant inverse relationship between volatility and autocorrelation. This is in agreement with previous findings for the US stock market, suggesting that stock return dynamics are similar across markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-717 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:715-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: Episodic nonstationarity in exchange rates Abstract: We examine a method recently proposed by Hinich and Patterson (mimeo, University of Texas at Austin, 1995) for testing the validity of specifying a GARCH error structure for financial time series data in the context of a set of ten daily Sterling exchange rates. The results demonstrate that there are statistical structures present in the data that cannot be captured by a GARCH model, or any of its variants. This result has important implications for the interpretation of the recent voluminous literature which attempts to model financial asset returns using this family of models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-722 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:719-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Gumbau Albert Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Gumbau Author-X-Name-Last: Albert Title: Regional technical efficiency: a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the (in)efficiency of the Spanish regions over the period 1986-91, using a stochastic frontier approach. Different distributional assumptions are used to estimate each region's (in)efficiency as well as the influence of the inputs on the productivity gains: half-normal, truncated-normal and exponential models. The results show that, on average, the inefficiency varies between the 15% and 19%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Arghyrou Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Arghyrou Title: Causal relationships between public expenditure, public receipts and gross domestic product: Greece 1965-95 Abstract: This paper applies the well-known Granger causality approach to investigate the causal relationships between (a) Greek public expenditure and Gross Domestic Product and (b) Greek public expenditure and public receipts. The results suggest that an increase in public expenditure does not lead to an increase in GDP; and that an increase in public expenditure does lead to an increase in public receipts. These results imply that in terms of output growth, the fiscal policy applied in the late 1970s and the 1980s was rather ineffective; and the correction of the existing fiscal imbalances is conditional upon a reduction in public expenditure rather than an increase in public receipts. From that point of view, the effectiveness of the currently applied fiscal strategy is questionable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-731 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:727-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dikaios Tserkezos Author-X-Name-First: Dikaios Author-X-Name-Last: Tserkezos Title: GNP quarterly disaggregation of selected OECD countries using a related time series approach Abstract: In this article we propose a model-based approach to disaggregate data not available in the appropriate time span and apply it to obtain quarterly observations of the annual basis available real gross national product of four countries. These countries are USA, Canada, Germany and Italy. The model adopted is the gamma distributed lag model. The related variables are the industrial production index, the retail sales index and total employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-736 Issue: 11 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:733-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Title: Technical change in the UK retail banking sector: 1984-1995 Abstract: The paper empirically quantifies technical change for the UK retail banking sector between 1984 and 1995. A time trend model is used to measure average technical change. Bank production is represented with 'intermediation' and 'production' models. Translog cost models are estimated using a SUR estimator on pooled time series and cross sectional data. Distinct results for differing model specifications are evident. This change appears to vary in magnitude within the sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-740 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:737-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. A. MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: G. A. Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: Critical values for unit root and cointegration test statistics - the use of response surface equations Abstract: This note considers the value of surface response equations which can be used to calculate critical values for a range of unit root and cointegration tests popular in applied economic research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Bias and inefficiency of an ordinary least squares estimator for logit regressions with continuous dependent variables measured with error Abstract: In a recent paper in this journal, Manning showed that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator of regression coefficients in a logit model with continuous and bounded dependent variable measured with error is unbiased but inefficient. This note shows that, contrary to the author's claim, the OLS estimator is biased in general. Manning's form of heteroscedasticity is also shown to be incorrect. It is shown that Manning's assumptions on the distribution of measurement error are inadequate for determining the form of heteroscedasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-746 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:745-746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azmat Gani Author-X-Name-First: Azmat Author-X-Name-Last: Gani Title: Macroeconomic determinants of growth in the South Pacific island economies Abstract: The macroeconomic determinants of growth in island countries of the South Pacific region is examined using cross-country data for the 1980-92 period. Capital, labour, inflation, money and exports are found to be significant positive contributors to economic growth while budget deficit is found to exert a significant negative effect on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-749 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:747-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung-Joo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Lawrence Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Title: Nested logit analysis of missing response observations Abstract: A new estimation technique is proposed to deal with missing response variables in the context of a nested multinomial logit model. Survey data often have a significant number of incomplete or missing responses. If such data are systematically missing (i.e. not missing at random) and if such observations are deleted from the analysis, biased sample selection results. The new method is applied to the empirical analysis of determining job loss status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-755 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:751-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Effect of property taxes on the cost of living in the USA: case study of Florida counties Abstract: The impact of property taxes on the cost of livings are examined. Using county data for the state of Florida, the instrumental variable (IV) heteroscedasticity-corrected results indicate that the per capita property tax exercises a positive and significant impact on the cost of living. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:757-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Ehlgen Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Ehlgen Title: Computing the moments of the filtered variables in a state-space system Abstract: The business cycle implications of 'real business cycle' models are typically summarized by reporting the moments of the filtered model variables. In this letter a procedure to compute the exact moments of the filtered variables is described. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-760 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:759-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pingo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Pingo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Alok Bohara Author-X-Name-First: Alok Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Author-Name: Kishore Gawande Author-X-Name-First: Kishore Author-X-Name-Last: Gawande Title: A risk-based environmental Kuznets curve for US hazardous waste sites Abstract: The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis is investigated for US hazardous waste sites. Where past studies have typically focused on cross-country analyses of conventional air and water pollutants, here, US county level data and assessed risk is used as the measure of environmental degradation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Exchange market pressure in Korea: dynamic specifications Abstract: The paper re-examines the performance of the monetary model of the exchange market pressure for Korea. Regression results allowing for dynamics show that all the hypothesized effects on the exchange market pressure are confirmed unlike previous research which adopted non-dynamic specification. Tests also suggest that the dynamic specification of the Korean exchange market pressure equation is well specified and the residuals pass the typical diagnostic checking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Title: The saving-investment correlation revisited: the case of Spain, 1964-1994 Abstract: In this note the saving-investment correlation is examined in terms of an error correction model, in order to gain some insight into the degree of capital mobility, using Spanish data for the period 1964-1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-772 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598353998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598353998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:769-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Torben Drewes Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Drewes Title: Biases in the allocation of Canadian official development assistance Abstract: A strong inverse relationship between per capita assistance and population of aid-receiving countries is found in an examination of Canadian bilateral foreign aid to 33 countries over the period 1982-92. However, the middle-income bias present in aid allocation of some other countries is not found in the case of Canada. Instead, there is a bias associated with the recipient's membership to the Commonwealth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-775 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:773-775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. C. A. Curtis Author-X-Name-First: D. C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Curtis Author-Name: K. S. R. Murthy Author-X-Name-First: K. S. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Murthy Title: Economic growth and restructuring: a test of unbalanced growth models - 1977-1992 Abstract: A model adapted from Baumol (American Economic Review, 57, 1967, 415-426) is used to establish the determinants of growth in per capita commercial service sector output and this service sector's share of employment, based on the experience of Canada, the US, France and Germany. Parameter estimates obtained from the OECD data, for the period 1977-92, are used within the model framework to predict the output and employment dimensions of economic restructuring and growth. A comparison of model predictions with observations suggests the model can explain most of the observed service sector output growth, but it has less success explaining growth in employment shares. These results illustrate the difficulties of confronting the performance of simple models with empirical evidence and the challenge that remains in discovering additional explanations of economic restructuring. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Linden Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Linden Title: Firm's pricing policy and efficiency wages Abstract: The basic efficiency wage model is analysed with real wages and cost pricing firm. The Solow condition implies that the effort wage output price elasticity is zero. Some empirical evidence from the US crude petroleum and natural gas industry and a sample of Finnish manufacturing industries does not reject this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: On innovative activity over the business cycle: a note Abstract: In a recent article, Geroski and Walters (Economic Journal, 105, 1995, 916-928) suggest that changes in demand Granger cause changes in innovative activity but not vice versa. This note shows that inappropriate modelling methods can lead to such conclusions which exclude the possibility of two-way causality between production and innovation. It suggests that applied economists must test data validity before any meaningful econometric analyses are conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jac Heckelman Author-X-Name-First: Jac Author-X-Name-Last: Heckelman Title: Financing divided and unified partisan governments Abstract: By modifying Berument's divided government-optimum financing model to include partisan interests, it is found that when the Democratic party controls both the Congress and Presidency, real monetary base grows at a higher rate than when the Republican party controls both branches. In addition, it is found that monetary base grows at the slowest rate when neither party controls both branches, supporting a gridlock version of divided government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:789-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: John Italia Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Italia Title: Predicting consumer risk perceptions towards pesticide residue: a logistic analysis Abstract: The growing anxiety over residues in fresh produce could result in increased demand for low input agriculture with reduced pesticide residues or decreased demand for conventional fresh produce. The objective of this study was to empirically evaluate consumer concern about pesticide residues and analyse the effect of sociodemographic factors on pesticide residue concern. The results indicate that females, households with more children, and individuals over 35 years old are more likely to have high levels of risk aversion. The result also indicated that households with higher levels of income and education exhibited lower risk aversions towards pesticide residues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-796 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:793-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafiz Akhand Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Akhand Title: Marginal tax rate and the optimal collection of seigniorage Abstract: Since Threhan and Walsh (Journal of Monetary Economics, 25, 1990, 97-112) and Evans and Amey (Journal of Macroeconomics, 18, 1996, 111-125), the mixed evidence on the revenue-smoothing hypothesis is now well understood; and there is now a consistent body of empirical evidence, at least for the industrialized countries, confirming that the principles of optimal seigniorage and taxation are not being used to raise revenue. Previous empirical tests of the revenue-smoothing hypothesis have used a crude tax rate, measured as a ratio of the central government revenue to GNP. The distortionary costs associated with raising revenue, however, depend on the marginal tax rate. This paper tests the robustness of the empirical evidence on the revenue-smoothing hypothesis to using marginal tax rates in place of the crude tax rates employed in the existing literature. Both annual Canadian data for the period 1948 to 1991 and annual United States data for the period 1948 to 1983 reject the revenue-smoothing hypothesis. Revenue-smoothing considerations were therefore not central in determining the behaviour of seigniorage in Canada and the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:797-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Esposto Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Esposto Title: Price, quality, and smoke signals Abstract: Using data of the market for cigars in the US, this study investigates whether relative prices provide signals of qualitative differences even under circumstances of dramatic market changes. The results indicate that, though the link may be weakened, it remains intact under such pressure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Westley Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Westley Title: Government regulation and income inequality in the United States, 1970-1990 Abstract: While many studies of income inequality in the United States focus of the significance of declining marginal tax rates in the 1980s, very little research to date has considered the effect of government regulations which have increased dramatically during the time of marked increases in the Gini coefficient. This paper presents a simple Ordinary Least Squares regression suggesting a relationship between government regulation and income inequality. It is suggested that increases in the regulatory burden in the US labour market increases the cost of low skilled labour relative to high skilled labour, contributing to increases in income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 5 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048598354087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048598354087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:12:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Pollard Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Pollard Title: Foreign exchange market pressure and transmission of international disturbances: the case of Barbados, Guyana, Jamaica, and Trinidad & Tobago Abstract: The Girton-Roper model of foreign exchange market pressure is applied to Barbados (1968-1993), Guyana (1964-1985), Jamaica (1964-1993), and Trinidad & Tobago (1967-1993) (years actually used in analysis in parentheses). Several versions of this model are estimated, tested and analysed so that either the monetarist or Keynesian model as well as the types of transmission of international disturbances can be identified. Contrary to some previous studies of these countries, strong support is found for a monetarist model of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate movements in each country. In particular, the growth of US money supply effects exchange market pressure in Barbados and Guyana, while changes in US interest rates and the US inflation rate strongly influence exchange market pressure in Jamaica and Trinidad & Tobago. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arphaphan Chavaltanpipat Author-X-Name-First: Arphaphan Author-X-Name-Last: Chavaltanpipat Author-Name: Shady Kholdy Author-X-Name-First: Shady Author-X-Name-Last: Kholdy Author-Name: Ahmad Sohrabian Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Sohrabian Title: The wealth effects of bank acquisitions Abstract: The purpose of the study is to investigate whether trends in banking mergers between January 1994 and October 1995 are different from previous periods. Specifically, the study focused on greatly increased acquisition prices and interstate consolidations. Abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal returns for a sample of 30 mergers were determined for each situation. The results of the study showed negative effects for shareholders of acquiring banks around the announcement period. Medium-to-small acquisitions, under $1 billion, caused insignificant negative abnormal returns, but large acquisitions, over $1 billion, caused significant negative abnormal returns. At the same time, shareholders in acquired banks of both sizes earned significant positive abnormal returns. The most dramatic discovery was that the larger acquisition price, the higher the target returns. The analysis of interstate mergers showed similar results. The analysis documented significant positive abnormal returns for target banks and insignificant negative abnormal returns for acquiring banks during the announcement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:5-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahram Adrangi Author-X-Name-First: Bahram Author-X-Name-Last: Adrangi Author-Name: Kambiz Raffiee Author-X-Name-First: Kambiz Author-X-Name-Last: Raffiee Title: Functional form bias in goodness-of-fit optimizing models Abstract: Following the weak axiom of revealed preference (WARP), developed by Varian, a money-metric expenditure function is derived for a CES utility function in this paper. Using the US aggregate data on consumption used by Varian, the money-metric expenditure function is estimated to calculate an efficiency index measuring the magnitude of departure from the optimum expenditures. The results are then compared to those reported by Varian for a Cobb-Douglas utility function. The findings point to a sizeable bias in the calculated efficiency index in the near-optimization analysis as determined by the choice of the functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:13-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kul Luintel Author-X-Name-First: Kul Author-X-Name-Last: Luintel Title: Non-causality due to irrelevant lag polynomials Abstract: This letter illustrates that Granger causality tests tend to be sensitive to irrelevant lag polynomials and could lead to wrong inference of non-causality. In view of the little insight one gets from economic theory about short-run dynamics, it suggests exclusion restrictions prior to causality testing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Canton Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Canton Title: Learning during recessions Abstract: A simple two-sector model of endogenous growth is constructed and it is shown that contrary to opportunity cost theory, less human capital is created during economic downturns for plausible values of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Kul Luintel Author-X-Name-First: Kul Author-X-Name-Last: Luintel Title: The ERM and fiscal integration in the EU Abstract: The extent to which EU fiscal policies have converged during the ERM period is investigated. Using tests for cointegration and weak exogeneity, it is found that the degree of commitment towards ERM membership influences the degree of fiscal integration in the EU. It is also found that the German fiscal stance does not dominate that of the rest of the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:25-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. I. D. Harris Author-X-Name-First: R. I. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: A. Liu Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Verdoorn's law and increasing returns to scale: country estimates based on the cointegration approach Abstract: The Johansen approach to estimating long-run cointegration vectors is used with the Penn World Tables data to estimate returns to scale. Thus, this approach has the advantages of including a measure of capital, it overcomes the simultaneity problems associated with the single-equation Verdoorn law, and it involves estimating a correctly specified dynamic model in which is embedded the long-run solution(s). The results indicate that there is substantial evidence that increasing returns are the norm for the majority of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: Friday the thirteenth and the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index 1935-94 Abstract: In recent years much evidence has been documented of the existence of regularities in security price returns. However, one of the least investigated anomalies concerns the socalled 'Friday the 13th' effect, where returns on Fridays which fall on the 13th of the month display significantly lower returns than other Fridays. Employing daily logarithmic returns from the Financial Times Industrial Ordinary Shares Index (FT 30) for the period July 1935 through December 1994, we find no evidence of a Friday the 13th effect. Indeed, if anything, we find returns are higher on Friday the 13th than on other Fridays. We then partition the sample into six subsamples each of ten years, again concluding that there is no evidence of a Friday the 13th effect, and that once again returns on Friday the 13th tend to be higher than on other Fridays. Finally, we conclude that our results support the extremely limited evidence documented for the UK market concerning the Friday the 13th effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:35-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. A. Asseery Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Asseery Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: N. Perdikis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Perdikis Title: Wagner's Law and public expenditure in Iraq: a test using disaggregated data Abstract: Recent developments in time series analysis have encouraged economists to re-examine the validity of Wagner's Law. Recent econometric tests have shown mixed results with some upholding the hypothesis while others contradict it. Carrying out econometric work with aggregated data could account for this. This study using disaggregated data measured in both real and nominal terms also leads to contradictory results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:39-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: New evidence on determinants of bank failures in the US Abstract: This study examines determinants of bank failures in the US over the 1963-91 period. The results indicate that the bank failure rate is an increasing function of the degree of federal deposit insurance coverage, increased competition in financial services, and the real cost of deposits, and a decreasing function of the capital/asset ratio, the real interest rate yield on three-year Treasury notes, and real GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:45-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: A note on the long-run benefits from international equity diversification for a UK investor diversifying in the US equity market Abstract: This note provides evidence that there were long long-run benefits for a UK investor from diversifying in the equity markets of the US during the pre-October 1987 crash period. For the post-crash period, these benefits are reduced. These results are based on two distinct cointegration tests, and national indices from Morgan Stanley Capital International, which have several advantages over standard indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Woodward Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Woodward Author-Name: J. Ram Pillarisetti Author-X-Name-First: J. Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Pillarisetti Title: Empirical evidence on alternative theories of inflation and unemployment: a re-evaluation for the Scandinavian countries Abstract: The paper re-evaluates some inflation and unemployment models for the Scandinavian countries, utilizing a general to specific methodology. Two nested models are considered to represent a spectrum of unemployment and inflation models in order to examine the monetarist versus new classical unemployment debate, and the Keynesian versus monetarist inflation debate. Using an improved methodology and larger data set different results from those of Akkina and Varamini are obtained. In particular, for unemployment unequivocal support is found for the new classical model, but for inflation, the empirical results support the Keynesian model for Sweden, and reflect mixed results for Denmark, Finland and Norway. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:55-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Title: More evidence concerning the relationship between high and variable inflation: a more general approach Abstract: This study, employs an extended EGARCH-M model and finds further support for the hypothesis that both inflation and deflation increase uncertainty about price movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:1:p:59-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Estimates of a bargaining model of wages for the UK economy 1870-1995 Abstract: This paper presents estimates of an error correction model for the real wage rate using annual data over the period 1870-1995. We find strong evidence for the existence of a cointegrating relationship between real wages, unemployment and the ratio of unemployment benefits to wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-66 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:63-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Saba Arbache Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Saba Author-X-Name-Last: Arbache Title: A comparison of different estimates of interindustry wage differentials: the case of Brazil Abstract: This paper compares the results from two procedures for estimating wage differentials. Using Brazilian data, the standard procedure of Krueger and Summers (Econometrica, 56, 259-193, 1988) is shown to provide an overestimation of standard errors and a biased estimation of the measure of wage dispersion, in comparison to the methodology proposed by Haisken-DeNew and Schmidt (Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming, 1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Gaussian versus count-data hurdle models: cigarette consumption by women in the US Abstract: Cigarette consumption by US women is investigated. The dependent variable is discrete and censored at zero. The Gaussian hurdle model and negative binomial hurdle model are used to accommodate zero observations in the sample. Elasticities derived from the two models are extremely close. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-76 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:73-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Di Iorio Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Di Author-X-Name-Last: Iorio Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: An international market model and exchange rate risk: Australian evidence Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the sensitivity of Australian stock returns to US market returns, via an international market model. Our study investigates the relative sensitivity to (1) the US return denominated in Australian dollars and (2) the US market return decomposed into its two component factors (the US market return expressed in US dollars and the AUDUSD exchange rate return). Our results suggest that Australian industries are differentially sensitive to changes in the US market and to exchange rate movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari Vainiomaki Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Vainiomaki Author-Name: Seppo Laaksonen Author-X-Name-First: Seppo Author-X-Name-Last: Laaksonen Title: Technology, job creation and job destruction in Finnish manufacturing Abstract: Job creation, destruction and reallocation rates is examined using data on Finnish manufacturing establishments for the period 1987-93, focusing on differences in these rates across the technology levels, and on the effects of the 1990s recession on the rates. The results indicate that the high technology sector has higher job creation and destruction rates, and it has responded to the recession somewhat differently than other sectors. It is also found that the high and low technology sectors are contributing differently to job reallocation: high technology is more important (compared to its employment share) in job creation, entry, and gross reallocation, while low technology is more important in job destruction, exit, and net job decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:81-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: An empirical examination of exchange market efficiency Abstract: The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis is empirically examined for three major currencies, over the volatile 1980s. The recently available null of cointegration procedure is applied to test for the stationarity of the series under consideration and also for the cointegration status between series, the market efficiency determinant. The strength of this methodology is its ability to distinguish between unit and near unit roots. These results are then compared with our previous study where we applied the PhillipsHansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) procedure, which can separate between strong and weak form efficiency. In both cases, the market efficiency hypothesis is rejected for one out of three currencies, possibly due to the presence of the risk premium and/or market imperfections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-91 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:89-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Asseery Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Asseery Title: The statistical skeleton of the demand for real money balances during the German hyperinflation episode January 1921-November 1923 Abstract: The aim of this study is to re-examine the common belief that the existence of the demand for real money balances during the German hyperinflation episode 1921:01-1923:11 is conditioned on truncating the data on June/July 1923 or on the omission of the first 18 months. It is demonstrated in this study that a stable relation can be found for the period 1921:03-1923:11 through taking into account the nonlinear functional relationship amongst the variables of the cointegrating regression. Using a variant of Phillips-Loretan ECM it is shown that, while the equilibrium error is forecastable on the basis of lagged change of real wage and the variability of inflation alone, the adjustment of actual to desired real money balances is, indeed, instantaneous as predicted by Cagan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-96 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:93-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donggyu Sul Author-X-Name-First: Donggyu Author-X-Name-Last: Sul Title: Does Ex post uncovered interest differential reflect the degrees of capital mobility? Abstract: This paper examines whether ex post uncovered interest differential between the US and the UK reflects the degrees of capital mobility over the time period 1973-92 by using GMM, GARCH and Kalman filter methods. The empirical results, however, do not support the hypothesis that the magnitude of the absolute deviation from UIP or the conditional variance of the deviation becomes smaller as the degrees of capital mobility increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-102 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:97-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Author-Name: Martin Boyle Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Boyle Author-Name: Deirdre Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Deirdre Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: A comparison of methods for trend estimation Abstract: This paper analyses a number of methods for trend estimation focusing on their ability to pick up turning points quickly at the end of a series. An application to the Bank of England flows M4 series is provided which shows that some of the proposed methods may be more reliable than others for this task. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:103-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Igbekele Ajibefun Author-X-Name-First: Igbekele Author-X-Name-Last: Ajibefun Author-Name: Abdullahi Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Title: An investigation of technical inefficiency of production of farmers under the National Directorate of Employment in Ondo State, Nigeria Abstract: This study was carried out to investigate technical inefficiency of production among the food crop farmers of the National Directorate of Employment in Ondo state of Nigeria. The study considers translog stochastic frontier production functions in which the technical inefficiency effects are defined by three different sub models. Given the specifications of the stochastic frontier production function, the null hypothesis, that the frontier is adequately represented by the Cobb-Douglas function, is accepted, but the null hypothesis that the farmers are fully technically efficient, which implies that inefficiency effects are absent from the model, is rejected. Further, the null hypothesis of half-normal distribution for the inefficiency effects is rejected. Predicted technical efficiencies vary widely across farms, ranging between 21.7% anal 87.8% and a mean technical efficiency of 67%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-114 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:111-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodor Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Theodor Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: Jayen Patel Author-X-Name-First: Jayen Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: A new time-of-the-month anomaly in stock index returns Abstract: This paper documents a new 'time-of-the-month' pattern in the daily returns of the Standard & Poor's and the NASDAQ indices. Splitting a month into three time segments, the results show that the returns are highest during the 'first third', experience a drop during the 'second third', and are lowest, and in most cases negative, during the 'last third' of a month. This pattern remained remarkably consistent for the two indices examined. It also held up well over business cycles and many different subperiods tested. Thus, the results of this study provide convincing evidence of a new monthly anomaly which displays a remarkable degree of robustness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:115-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwong Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Kwong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: The January effect and monthly seasonality in the Hang Seng index: 1985-97 Abstract: In this paper we employ a data set of logarithmic nondividend adjusted daily returns from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng Index, over a thirteen and a half year period to investigate the presence of the January effect, or other monthly seasonalities. Further, we partition our data set into two subsamples, which allows us to test for persistence of any monthly seasonality we uncover. However, our results are somewhat surprising, we can find no evidence of a January effect or any other monthly seasonality. Indeed, we note that for two of our data sets, the mean return for December is less than that for January. We conclude that these results are peculiar to the Hang Seng Index, as the overwhelming majority of previous studies of other Stock Indices, generally detect some form of monthly seasonality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:121-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Muller Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Muller Title: The impact of the production composition on the nutrition status of agricultural households in Rwanda Abstract: In a context of perfect markets, the impact of production decisions of peasants on their nutritional status is conveyed through an income effect and the structure of the output does not matter. Because of the imperfect and missing markets in LDCs, the levels of their agricultural outputs may directly affect the nutritional status of agricultural households. We estimate a production function for the nutritional status of agricultural households in Rwanda, that depends on sociodemographic characteristics and on past levels of agricultural outputs. The most beneficial outputs are tubers and an aggregate good composed of food products of high quality, while the traditional beers output and the nonfood products have a negative impact on the nutrition indicators. The sociodemographic characteristics of the household are influential, but they do not seriously modify the effects of the agricultural outputs. The results suggest that the nutrition policy in Rwanda could use incentives so as to modify the composition of the agricultural output of peasants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-131 Issue: 2 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:2:p:125-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hilde Christiane Bjørnland Author-X-Name-First: Hilde Christiane Author-X-Name-Last: Bjørnland Title: Structural breaks and stochastic trends in macroeconomic variables in Norway Abstract: This paper analyses the dynamic properties of several macroeconomic variables in Norway, using different unit root tests and measures of persistence. For none of the variables can we reject the hypothesis of a unit root in favour of a deterministic linear trend alternative. However, when allowing for a structural break in the trend alternative, we can reject the hypothesis of a unit root for unemployment, government consumption, investment and real wage. Most of the Norwegian time series display little persistence. However, for those series that show a high degree of persistence, adjusting for the break in the trend, persistence falls considerably. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-138 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:133-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mike Rosser Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Rosser Title: Determinants of graduates' demand for housing Abstract: During the early 1990s the number of UK graduates increased substantially while the number of young first time home buyers was diminishing and student loans began to replace maintenance grants. In the light of these changes, this paper examines the influences on home ownership based on a sample of 1991-95 Coventry University graduates. Significant explanatory variables are years of work since leaving university, household income, living with a partner, children and a lump sum inheritance or gift. Student loans, age, gender, house prices and relative buy/rent costs do not significantly affect the probability of home ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:139-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chongwoo Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Modelling addictive consumption: some theoretical and econometric issues Abstract: This note addresses some theoretical and econometric aspects of modelling addictive consumption. We show that the solution to the optimization problem leads to a specification of the reduced form equation which is different from what has been estimated in the literature. We also demonstrate that it is valid to apply OLS to estimate this reduced form equation and those used in the literature although the underlying variables are integrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-146 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:143-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doganlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doganlar Title: Testing long-run validity of purchasing power parity for Asian countries Abstract: This study presents an empirical analysis of purchasing power parity for five developing Asian countries, namely India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines and Turkey. This is done by using cointegration technique. Time series properties of nominal exchange rate and price series show that they are nonstationary. The exchange rate and relative price series do not appear to be cointegrated for most of the countries. We reject the validity of purchasing power parity for India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines, but we can accept it for Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nigel Driffield Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Driffield Title: Determinants of entry and exit in the foreign owned sector of UK manufacturing Abstract: This paper examines the extent to which foreign entry and exit in the UK is related to domestic industry characteristics. The units of analysis are firm numbers, and thus entry and exit at the industry level are treated as being generated by Poisson processes. This therefore uses quasimaximum likelihood estimation, to estimate entry and exit functions simultaneously. The results demonstrate that foreign entry is attracted by industry level profitability and performance, but that firm specific 'ownership' advantages are also impor2 tant. The results also demonstrate that inward investors that are motivated by the desire to exploit firm-specific assets, are unlikely to be more transient than domestic firms. This however, cannot be said of those foreign entrants who are attracted to the UK by location advantage or investment incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-156 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:153-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Title: A Nordic convergence club? Abstract: Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis, or the tendency for per capita income levels to narrow over time, have generally utilized cross-sectional data from a wide range of disparate coun7 tries and resulted in conflicting evidence. Using modern time series tests we find evidence of a Nordic Convergence Club comprising Sweden, Denmark and Finland. It excludes Norway which overtakes Sweden in the 1970s showing no tendency to reversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-160 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:157-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: W. Charles Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: W. Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Author-Name: Richard Sprinkle Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Sprinkle Title: Openness and industrialization in developing countries Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between trade policy orientation and industrialization. Growth rates of manufacturing value added, rather than output growth rates, are related to index of real exchange rate distortion to establish the superiority of outward-oriented strategies in fostering industrial development. Results suggest developing countries will industrialize faster by adopting outward-oriented trade strategies than by using import substitution industrialization policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: Real exchange rates and hysteresis: does nominal exchange rate volatility matter? Abstract: Many of the empirical studies on purchasing power parity (PPP) have relied on unit root tests of the real exchange rate. With stationarity of the real exchange rate as a necessary condition for PPP, failure to reject the unit root null is taken as evidence against the PPP hypothesis. Finding a unit root in real exchange rates is consistent with a class of theoretical models with nominal price rigidities such as menu costs. These models suggest that a hysteresis effect should be found in real exchange rates. The failure to reject the unit root null is often interpreted as evidence of hysteresis. This study asks whether nominal exchange rate volatility is a contributing factor for the observed hysteresis effect. Using data from EU countries we do not find nominal exchange rate volatility as a significant determinant of hysteresis in real exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-167 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:165-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Fiona Sun Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Export-led growth and the US economy: some further testing Abstract: The export-led growth hypothesis is tested using quarterly time series data for the US economy using the Granger no-causality procedure, developed by Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Economics, 66, 1995), in a six-variable vector autoregression (VAR) model. Moreover, we follow Riezman, Whiteman and Summers (Empirical Economics, 21, 1996) to test the export-led growth hypothesis while controlling for the growth of imports to avoid producing a spurious causality result; and finally, the empirical results are tested for the robustness using different lag structures. The findings in the paper indicate a two-way Granger causality between output and exports, a result from earlier export-growth studies on the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:169-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Efficiency of the black market for foreign exchange and PPP: the case of the Dominican Republic Abstract: Efficiency of the black market for foreign exchange in a developing country can be assessed by testing whether that market complies with the 'relative' version of the purchasing power parity hypothesis. This paper applies nonstationarity and cointegration to investigate this hypothesis for the Dominican Republic. Both the Engle-Granger and Johansen techniques support cointegration, so the black market for foreign exchange in the Dominican Republic is efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Title: Investment strategy evaluation with cointegration Abstract: This paper discusses a simple testing procedure based on cointegration that can be used to assess and compare the historical performance of trading systems and investment strategies. The proposed procedure, coined the 'cointegration cumulative profit' test, is applied in evaluating technical analysis-based trading systems on the daily Dow Jones Industrial Average and FT30 indexes, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Lutz Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Lutz Title: Unit roots versus segmented trends in developing country output series Abstract: This paper examines the null hypothesis that output series contain a unit root against the alternative of a segmented trend in a representative sample of 31 developing countries. Nearly two-thirds of the countries reject the unit root hypothesis at least once in favour of a segmented trend representation. A large majority of endogenously determined structural breaks occur around the time of the first or the second oil price shock, and are of negative sign. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: The rise and fall of the New Zealand underground economy: are the responses symmetric? Abstract: Earlier research by the author indicates a causal relationship from measured real output in New Zealand, to output in the real underground economy. We investigate the possibility of asymmetries in this relationship, and test to see if the response of the underground economy to downturns in real GDP differs from the response to such upturns. No such evidence is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-189 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:185-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Cain Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: David Law Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Estimates of the degree of insider trading in two disparate betting markets Abstract: Conditional on the Shin (Economic Journal, 103, 1993) model, the incidence of insider trading is estimated in two different British betting markets: those for horse-racing and the 1997 general election. Formal testing confirms that insider trading is significantly lower in handicap than non-handicap races. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:191-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Title: Alternative approach to measuring oligopoly power: a wheat market example Abstract: A new approach for estimating oligopoly power coefficients is proposed. The methodology used sidesteps the difficulties of obtaining cost data and obtaining coefficients which do not satisfy the theoretical properties of the cost function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:195-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Mark Yanochik Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Yanochik Title: Budget deficits and the term structure of interest rates in Italy Abstract: This paper tests the hypothesis that changes in the federal budget deficit impact the term structure of interest rates in Italy. The results suggest that budget deficits increase the yield spread between long term government bonds and the three month Treasury bill. The implication is that budget deficits may hinder long-term economic growth in Italy, via a crowding out effect, by increasing long-term interest rates relative to short-term interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:3:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Morelli Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Morelli Title: Tests of structural change using factor analysis in equity returns Abstract: Ever since the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) was developed by Ross, it has been empirically tested in many countries in studying the behaviour of Stock Market returns. The statistical technique of factor analysis is used in the testing of the APT. The objective of this paper is to determine how the hypothesis of structural change in Stock Market returns can be investigated within the context of factor analysis. A total of 257 monthly security returns listed on the London Stock Exchange covering the period January 1976 to December 1993 are used. The data period incorporates the Stock Market Crash of October 1987. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Modelling the risk premium in the black-market zloty-dollar exchange rate Abstract: This paper tests for the presence of nonlinear dependence in the black-market Polish zloty-dollar exchange rate. Using the GARCH-M model, we illustrate use of the Marquardt (Journal of the Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 2, 1963) alternative to the Berndt (Annals of Economical Social Measurement, 4, 1974) iterative nonlinear algorithm for the estimation of such models, and discrimination between estimated models on the basis of the Brock and Potter (Handbook of Statistics, 11, 1993) test for so conditional variance misspecification. We find evidence of a time-varying risk premium such that foreign speculators are compensated for increased exchange rate risk by appreciation which increases the dollar value of zloty holdings, and which is able to account for all of the apparent nonlinearity in the zloty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:209-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Road fatalities, modal split and Smeed's Law Abstract: The international variation in road death rates is investigated using cross-sectional data for 19 countries. It is proposed that road fatality rates are influenced by modal substitution between relatively vulnerable trips by foot and bicycle, and motorized journeys which have a smaller exposure to risk of fatal injury. Although available data do not permit a direct test of this hypothesis, regression results suggest that motor vehicle use is inversely associated with death on the roads across OECD countries all else equal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-217 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:215-217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: On convergence accounting Abstract: This paper analyses a simple and direct way to break down the convergence for labour productivity into contributions from different sources by running separate convergence regressions of the contribution to growth of each factor on the initial labour productivity level. This is because the total convergence parameter is simply the sum of parameters of convergence in such separate regressions. An application for OECD countries over the period 1965-90 shows that TFP growth is the main factor in explaining OECD labour productivity convergence. Physical investment was an important source of convergence, but only until 1980. Finally human capital accumulation had little effect throughout the period, with a minor positive effect in the last years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:219-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Heil Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Heil Author-Name: Thomas Selden Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Selden Title: Panel stationarity with structural breaks: carbon emissions and GDP Abstract: This paper uses panel data methods to test for unit roots in data series for carbon dioxide emissions and gross domestic product. By allowing for a structural break in 1973, we reject the unit root hypothesis for both series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-225 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:223-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenhui Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhui Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The exchange rate and long-run price movements in the US and Japan Abstract: The close economic relationship between the US and Japan raises an interesting question about the effect of price movements in the US and Japan on the bilateral exchange rate. This paper investigates the long-run purchasing power parity between the US dollar and the Japanese yen. While earlier empirical studies often rejected the PPP hypothesis for the US and Japan, our results show that allowing measurement errors in price indices, the long-run PPP between the two countries is supported based on both the Engle-Granger and the Johansen cointegration tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-230 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:227-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aying Liu Author-X-Name-First: Aying Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: On the measurement of spatial differentials in economic growth: an application of a shift-share method for China in 1985-94 Abstract: Spatial differentials in economic growth has become an important economic, social and political issue in China in her rapid industrialization drive over the last two decades. Measuring such differentials and quantifying their relevant components are important for policy making on regional development. This paper shows how a traditional shift-share method can be used for these purposes by use of provincial level panel data on GDP growth in China for the period 1985-94. The results provide some essential information on the diversity and complexity of the Chinese economy under transition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-234 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:231-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Henriette Maassen Van Den Brink Author-X-Name-First: Henriette Maassen Van Den Author-X-Name-Last: Brink Title: Overpayment and earnings satisfaction: an application of an ordered response Tobit Model Abstract: In this paper an ordered response Tobit model is specified to determine the effects of absolute wages and relative overpayment on satisfaction with earnings. The joint estimations of wages and satisfaction with earnings allows us to disentangle the effects of relative and absolute wages on satisfaction with earnings. The model is estimated on two different data sets. All estimations show that satisfaction with earnings is determined by relative wages rather than by absolute wage levels. The results may have implications for pay policies of firms Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Eisenhauer Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Eisenhauer Author-Name: Martin Halek Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Halek Title: Prudence, risk aversion, and the demand for life insurance Abstract: We estimate the effect of household wealth on the demand for life insurance using survey data from a broad cross-section of the USA. This procedure allows us to test the Pratt-Arrow hypothesis of decreasing absolute risk aversion (DARA). Additionally, we estimate the relative magnitude of prudence, the propensity to take precautions when faced with risk. We find that life insurance purchases increase with wealth, and that on average American households exhibit about 94 per cent as much prudence as risk aversion. On the basis of this evidence, we reject the DARA hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. C. Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: E. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Title: Testing for long run relationship between infrastructure and private capital productivity: a time series analysis for the Greek industry Abstract: This paper addresses the question of whether there is a long run relationship between infrastructure and private capital productivity of Greek industry. Causality issues are also discussed. The results provide evidence in favour of productivity enhanced by public capital stock, and of no feedback from the former to the later. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Some additional Australian evidence on the day-of-the-week effect Abstract: This paper re-investigates the day-of-the-week effect in Australia. This issue has been previously investigated using an Australian dataset over the period 1974-95 by Easton and Faff (Applied Financial Economics, 4, 1994). They find that the robust techniques suggested by Connolly (Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24, 1989) do not alter results of standard OLS techniques. This paper shows that the day of the week effect has disappeared in recent years and that given an adjustment, for large sample size may not have been evident in the data over the period 1983-96. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:247-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: The determination of bank-small business loan premia in the UK Abstract: The results indicate that the closeness of the small firm-bank relationship tends to result in lower bank premia, notwithstanding the predicted firm-size effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:251-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Roed Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Roed Title: A note on the macroeconomic modelling of unemployment hysteresis Abstract: In macroeconomics, unemployment hysteresis typically arises as a special case of an otherwise stationary model. Imposing hysteresis is often equivalent to imposing a random walk, i.e. a situation in which the permanent fraction of a shock is equal to unity. This paper develops a more general linear model of unemployment hysteresis in which permanency is viewed as a continuous, rather than a discrete, phenomenon. Stationarity arises as a special case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muzafar Shah Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: Muzafar Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Liquidity constraints and financial liberalization: the case for Asian developing countries Abstract: The Euler equation model is used to determine the fraction of consumers who are liquidity constrained in ten Asian developing countries. Our estimates of the fraction of liquidity constrained consumers range between 0.5 and 0.9. We further investigate whether financial liberalization has resulted in the reduction of liquidity constraints in these countries. However the results find support for this only in the case of South Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-262 Issue: 4 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:4:p:259-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaakko Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Title: Unemployment and home-ownership Abstract: Oswald (mimeo, University of Warwick, 1996) theorizes that a secular rise in homeownership constitutes a possible explanation for the observed rise in unemployment in Europe. Our results provide support for this notion. In particular, the results based on the regional data on Finnish labour districts imply that a 10% difference in the owneroccupation rate is associated with a 1 percentage point difference in the unemployment rate. The results are tentative, since the regressions are based on a small number of observations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-265 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:263-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helen Neill Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Neill Title: Hypothetical versus real willingness to pay: comment Abstract: The purpose of this comment is to examine the experimental design and empirical results presented by Johannesson, M., Liljas, B. and Peterson, G. (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997). Their paper attempts to confirm the Neill, H. R., Cummings, R. G., Ganderton, P., Harrison, G. W. and McGuckin, T. (Land Economics, 70, 1994) results. Their results are noteworthy since they find no statistical difference between real and hypothetical willingness-to-pay responses between groups. Their results also differ from earlier studies where hypothetical willingness to pay exceeds actual willingness to pay. This comment will examine important differences between the two studies. These differences make any substantive comparison of results difficult, if not impossible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-269 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:267-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammed Zakir Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Zakir Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Title: Factors affecting infant mortality rates: evidence from cross-sectional data Abstract: This paper empirically tests for factors affecting infant mortality rates. Based on a crosssectional model (covering 117 countries for the year 1993) that corrects for heteroscedasticity, the results show that fertility rates, female participation in the labour force, per capita GNP, and female literacy rates significantly affect infant mortality rates. Surprisingly, government expenditure on health-care, as a percentage of GNP, does not play a major role in determining infant mortality rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-273 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:271-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: Richard Tiffin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Tiffin Title: Is there a long-run relationship between ODA and GDP? The case of India Abstract: The existence of a long-run relationship between ODA and per capita GDP in India is examined, using annual data for 1961-92. A necessary condition for such a relationship is that the two series are integrated of the same order. Unit root tests indicate that ODA is I (0) while GDP is I (1), hence no long-run relationship exists. Thus, at the macroeconomic level, aid neither stimulates economic development nor detracts from it. A corollary is that aid is not responsive to changes in India's income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-277 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:275-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Riese Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Riese Title: An illfare approach to the measurement of unemployment: comment on Paul (1992) Abstract: It is shown, that the unemployment index proposed by Paul (Applied Economics, 24, 1992) implies unwarranted results as to the disparity of unemployment duration. This is due to the usage of the concept of 'interrupted spell length of the stock' as the duration measure. Replacing this concept by the 'complete spell length in a cohort' allows to construct a consistent and superior index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-281 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:279-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Linear versus nonlinear technical progress: theory and some evidence Abstract: In this paper the theory of technical progress functions is briefly examined and its appropriate shape is tested. The main conclusion reached is that linearity is not supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:283-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Vandenbroucke Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenbroucke Title: General trigger values of optimal investment Abstract: We consider a general real option model which allows finite values for all parameters influencing the value of waiting in case of uncertain and irreversible investment. We show that the traditional net present value rule and the commonly known Dixit-Pindyck approach are nested in the same general real option model and hence produce optimal investment decisions only in their specific scenario. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:287-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: The incidence of loan collateralization in small business lending contracts: evidence from the UK Abstract: The results indicate that age of firm and closeness of the small firm-bank relationship tend to reduce the incidence of loan collateralization, which implies that relationship banking can yield tangible benefits to small businesses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-293 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:291-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Renuka Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Renuka Author-Name: K. P. Kalirajan Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalirajan Title: On measuring total factor productivity growth in Singapore's manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper concerns the recently published article on Singapore's manufacturing industries' total factor productivity growth (TFPG) by Leung (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997). While agreeing with his overall results, the issues discussed in this paper are about the limitations in the method of his analysis and explanation. The stochastic production frontier approach is also suggested as an alternative method to study TFPG. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-298 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:295-298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norbert Funke Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Funke Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The demand for money in Italy, 1861-1988 Abstract: We report estimates of long-run and short-run money demand functions in Italy over the period 1861-1980 which are robust in terms of passing a range of diagnostic tests and exhibit a fairly high degree of parameter stability. The results are comparable to those of previous analysis of long-run data for the United States and the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:299-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Whak Roh Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Whak Author-X-Name-Last: Roh Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Occupant death: a study with directed graphs Abstract: We apply directed graphs to an empirical analysis of traffic occupant fatalities based on a model by Crandall. In this paper, we use Crandall's data on US traffic fatalities for the period 1947-81 and extend the sample to include 1982-93. Based on the 1947-81 annual data, directed graph algorithms reveal that occupant traffic deaths are directly caused by income, vehicle miles, and safety devices. Vehicle mileage is caused by income and rural driving. Estimation is conducted using three stage least squares regression. Results show a difference between the traditional regression methodology and causal graphical analysis. We also find that forecasts from the directed graph model outperform forecasts from the regression-based models, in terms of mean squared forecasts error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Title: The effects of advertising restrictions on cigarette prices: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of cigarette advertising restrictions on the price of cigarettes in OECD countries. Using data from 1964 through 1990, we find that outright proscription of advertising does not influence the price of cigarettes. On the other hand, restrictions placed on advertising actually reduce the price of cigarettes. The results reinforce those of Stewart (International Journal of Advertising, 12, 1993) and suggest that public policy directed at cigarette advertising may not be a good vehicle to dissuade cigarette consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:307-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. H. Blackaby Author-X-Name-First: D. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Blackaby Author-Name: P. D. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: P. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: N. C. O'Leary Author-X-Name-First: N. C. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Leary Title: Graduate earnings in Great Britain: a matter of degree? Abstract: In this paper we show that whilst there appear to be substantial private earnings gains to be had from a university education, these are greater for women than they are for men. Due to substantial asymmetries in post-graduation earnings performance, choice of subject is more important for men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-315 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:311-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Breda Lally Author-X-Name-First: Breda Author-X-Name-Last: Lally Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The relationship between inflation and wage growth in the Irish economy Abstract: This paper tests for the long-run and short-run relationship between prices and wages in the Irish economy over the 1975-92 period. Using recent econometric techniques in the analysis of time series, we conclude that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between prices, wages and an excess demand variable in agreement with the expectations augmented Phillips curve theory of inflation. Making use of error-correction equations in order to study the short-run dynamics, we find that the long-run relationship between prices and wages is due to Granger causality running from wage inflation to price inflation. In addition, the predictive ability of excess demand is weak with respect to wage inflation but very strong with respect to price inflation. These results imply (a) relatively strong evidence in favour of a mark-up price equation consistent with the expectations augmented Phillips curve theory of inflation, and (b), very weak evidence for the predictive power of past inflation and the output gap for wages, i.e., a wage-type Phillips curve effect. In other words, the results provide strong support for the claim that inflation in Ireland has cost-push elements and very weak support for the existence of demand-pull elements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-321 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:317-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Robio Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-Last: Robio Title: Forecast intervals in ARCH models: bootstrap versus parametric methods Abstract: This paper proposes an alternative bootstrap method for constructing prediction intervals for an ARMA process, when its innovations are represented by a linear GARCH model. The potential of this bootstrap method is assessed through a study which compares the proposed technique with a standard one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-327 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:323-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naoko Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Stability of the money demand function in Germany Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the stability of the money demand function in Germany. Important results may be summarized as follows. There was a stable relationship between money supply and real economic activity, and the money demand function was stable prior to German re-unification. The stability of money demand tends to be rejected, however, when the sample period is extended to cover German re-unification. When the stability of parameters was checked to confirm the occurrence of a structural change, it is evident that such a change did occur around 1990. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Excess US bank reserves and the short-term interest rate differentials: evidence from bivariate cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper seeks to explore the possible long-run causal connection between the excess US bank reserves and the short-term interest rate differentials (differences between the federal funds rates and discount rates) within the well-known bivariate cointegration framework. It uses monthly data from February 1984 through March 1992. Each time series is nonstationary and reveals I (1) behaviour. There is evidence of a long-run equilibrium relation between the two variables. The estimates of the error-correction models reveal a unidirectional long-run causality flowing from the short-term interest rate differentials to the excess US bank reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rainer Winkelmann Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Winkelmann Title: Wages, firm size and absenteeism Abstract: This paper examines two competing explanations for workers' absenteeism, the shirking hypothesis and the adjustment-to-equilibrium hypothesis. Data on German workers for 1985-88 from the German SocioEconomic Panel are used in order to estimate the determinants of workers' absenteeism. The results indicate that firm size matters after wage effects are controlled for. This evidence supports the shirking hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. E. Boyle Author-X-Name-First: G. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Boyle Author-Name: T. G. McCARTHY Author-X-Name-First: T. G. Author-X-Name-Last: McCARTHY Title: Simple measures of convergence in per capita GDP: a note on some further international evidence Abstract: We apply simple measures of convergence in per capita GDP, namely, the trends in the coefficient of variation (σ-convergence) and rank concordance (γ-convergence), for the period 1960-92 to a wide group of countries which are classified using the World Bank typology. The findings indicate sigma-convergence, albeit at a slow rate, for 'High Income' and 'Upper Middle Income' countries, very slow to negligible convergence for 'Lower Middle Income' countries and divergence for 'Low Income' countries. Our results also suggest several periods for all country categories when σ-convergence is constant. However, since we do not find γ-convergence during these episodes, we conclude that β-convergence is not demonstrated. The rank concordance measure emerges as significant only from about the late 1980s, save in the case of 'Low Income' countries where 'leap frogging' is observed from about 1981. The implications of these results for the neoclassical growth model are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Author-Name: Jesus Clemente Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Clemente Title: Real exchange rates and structural breaks: evidence for the Spanish peseta Abstract: This paper analyses the fulfilment of the long-run PPP hypothesis between the Spanish Peseta and the currencies of the most important trade partners of the Spanish Economy. We show that the bilateral real exchange rate of the Spanish Peseta can be characterized as being stationary around a mean which exhibits some changes in its evolution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Cornelius Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Cornelius Author-Name: Andreas Gottschling Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Gottschling Title: The monetary impulse measure as an explanation for Fed policy Abstract: In response to the perceived instability of the relations between traditional monetary aggregates and nominal aggregate demand a number of nonstandard indicator variables have been developed to enable monetary policy to respond to, and counteract, incipient inflationary pressures before much inflation has developed. While the Federal Reserve Board is believed to pay increasing attention to such indicator variables, it is unclear which ones are perceived as particularly important. In this note, we present a variation of the monetary impulse measure (MIM), which was recently developed by McCallum and Hargraves (Staff studies for the World Economic Outlook, 1995). Modifying the original specification of the measure, we show that the new MIM's performance in explaining actual Fed decisions is clearly superior to other indicator variables, which are widely believed to guide US monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-358 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:353-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Lenten Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Lenten Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Some evidence on the countercyclicality of the trade balance Abstract: The cyclical behaviour of the trade balance is examined using quarterly data for eight countries covering the period 1960:1-1995:3. Two methods are employed: the calculation of the correlation coefficient between the HP-filtered series and the estimation of a structural time series model. Both methods produce results which are supportive of the hypothesis of countercyclicality of the trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-360 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:359-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Author-Name: Su Yin Thong Author-X-Name-First: Su Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Thong Title: Technology, investment and trade: empirical evidence for five Asia-Pacific countries Abstract: Traditional models of international trade flows find that prices explain significant growth in export market shares. In the new international trade theory nonprice factors are seen to be of great importance for the explanation of trade. Following Magnier and Toujas-Bernate (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv., 130, 1994), this study introduces nonprice factors, namely gross fixed investment and technology (number of patents accepted), into the export market share equation. Empirical estimation is carried out on five Asia-Pacific countries for the period 1978 to 1993. Results are similar to those of Magnier and Toujas-Bernate (1994) for the OECD, which show that nonprice factors have played an important role in determining export market share during the last decade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-363 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:361-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Author-Name: D. K. Srivastava Author-X-Name-First: D. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Srivastava Title: Dearth of private capital flows in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This paper offers an empirical investigation of dearth of private capital flows to Sub-Saharan Africa in a context where there is a surge in private capital flows to the rest of the developing countries. Using panel data on thirty Sub-Saharan African countries over the time period from 1986 to 1993, we find that the domestic fundamentals play a crucial role in explaining this phenomenon. Our findings also imply that these countries may begin to receive private inflows if they implement structural policy reforms which will strengthen domestic fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Title: Productivity effects of enterprise-related training Abstract: In this paper we use data on individual productivity ratings to analyse the productivity and wage effects of enterprise-related training. The average productivity growth of training is 16%, while the average productivity difference between trained and nontrained workers is 8%. The average wage growth is less than a quarter of the average productivity growth. Further, a sizeable fraction of the workers contributes to the costs of training but receives none of its benefits, while another fraction of the trained workers shares in the benefits of training without having contributed to it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-371 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:369-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Leon-Ledesma Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Leon-Ledesma Title: Verdoorn's Law and increasing returns: an empirical analysis of the Spanish regions Abstract: The aim of this paper is to test for the presence of increasing returns in the Spanish regions through the estimation of the Verdoorn Law. Alternative specifications of the Law will be tested using panel data techniques. The results strongly support the hypotheses of increasing returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Gradual switching regression estimates of alcohol demand elasticities Abstract: Given that alcohol remains a heavily taxed good, studies of the demand for alcohol are numerous in the literature. This paper uses annual data from 1964-92 to estimate key elasticities of the US demand for distilled spirits. Unlike previous studies, which typically assume elasticities are constant over time, we allow elasticities to vary over time by estimating a gradual switching regression model. The results indicate that the demand for distilled spirits today differs substantially from the 1960s, suggesting that the efficacy of proposed policies is dependent on knowledge of this change in demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-379 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:377-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Looks unimportant? A demand function for male attractiveness by female personal advertisers Abstract: Data from 119 placements of 'personal' advertisments in a national English newspaper were analysed, using logit estimation, to estimate a demand equation for male looks. The results indicate that the women's declaration of wealth offered and divorced status had positive effects on the demand for male looks. The age of the woman had a negative effect on the demand for male looks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-384 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:381-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Prior Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: A profitable trading rule using mean reverting investment trusts discounts Abstract: This paper makes use of the finding that discounts of individual investment trust shares are mean reverting to their sector mean. This suggests limits to the degree to which individual shares in a sector can vary in price behaviour before competitive pressures bring individual shares back into line. Hence a buy low-sell high strategy can be constructed and its performance compared to an market index based on an equal weight portfolio of all shares in a sector. Such a stratagy outperforms the market index for the two main, conventional investment trust sectors for the sample period 1976-1995. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-388 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:385-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Author-Name: Jose Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Author-Name: Lorenzo Seranno Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Seranno Title: Economic integration, efficiency and economic growth: the European Union experience Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the effect of the process of progressive economic integration among the countries of Europe on their economic evolution, paying special attention to gains in efficiency and productivity. We use a nonparametric frontier technique together with the construction of Malmquist indices to permit analysis of the contribution of efficiency to gains in productivity. For this purpose we study the evolution of the countries of the European Union and the impact on efficiency and productivity of the successive expansions during the period 1965-90. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-392 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:389-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Author-Name: Kajal Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Title: Discrete Poisson kernel density estimation-with an application to wildcat coal strikes Abstract: This paper proposes a nonparametric Poisson kernel density estimation technique for discrete distributions. Economists have been using continuous kernels to approximate discrete distributions. This work introduces a discrete kernel as more appropriate for approximating discrete distributions. Simulation results are presented to compare with standard parametric approaches. We apply our discrete Poisson kernel estimator to approximate the distribution of coal mine wildcat strikes in the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:393-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Toshifumi Tokunaga Author-X-Name-First: Toshifumi Author-X-Name-Last: Tokunaga Title: Habit formation and durability and consumption: some evidence from income quintile groups in Japan Abstract: The present study analysed Japan's stock market by modelling habit formation and durable effects in consumption, based on data from income quintile groups. The sample period for the empirical research was January 1971 through December 1993. Results of this analysis revealed that durable effects were more influential than habit formation effects for all income quintile groups. This fact leads to wider fluctuations in consumption in Japan, and results in good performance with this type of modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-402 Issue: 6 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:6:p:397-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Approximating the term structure of interest rates in Japan Abstract: This paper uses B-spline functions to approximate the term structure of interest rates implied in Japanese government bonds. The results indicate that the estimated short rate curve exhibits a slight dip in the long end of the curve. This may be attributed to an excess demand for long-term bonds in general and specifically on the run bonds in the Japanese market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-407 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:403-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Estimation of the probit model with autocorrelated errors via the MCECM algorithm Abstract: Estimation of the probit model with autocorrelated errors often involves the calculation of a multiple integral which is usually intractable. A stochastic version of the EM algorithm is proposed to solve the problem. The approach implements the E-step by retrieving the latent values via a Monte Carlo method (MCE-step) and replaces the M-step by a sequence of conditional maximizations (CM-step). The practicality of this MCECM algorithm is illustrated by estimating the reaction function of the monetary policy in Taiwan by a probit model with first-order serial correlation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-412 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:409-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Cointegration, causality and Wagner's Law in 19th century Europe Abstract: The long-run tendency for government expenditure to grow relative to GNP, Wagner's law, is tested for six European countries using data from around the mid-19th century to 1913. With few exceptions the results suggest that: nominal and real GNP, nominal and real government expenditure, and population were nonstationary in their levels but stationary in first differences; either nominal GNP and nominal government expenditure and/or real GNP and real government expenditure were cointegrated in five of the six countries, and that these variables were cointegrated with population in the remaining country; and Granger-causality was mainly unidirectional from income to government expenditure. Thus, there is considerable support for Wagner's law in 19th century Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joanne Copp Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Copp Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Variance ratio testing of the Australian forward foreign exchange market Abstract: This paper explores variance ratio testing of the Australian forward foreign exchange market. Our results support autocorrelation in our first sample period (July 1985 to January 1990) but an absence of autocorrelation in our second sample period (February 1990 to September 1995). This is consistent with greater efficiency in the forward foreign exchange market post 1990. This is consistent with the 'peso' problem associated with Australia's foreign debt disappearing with the acceptance of the arguments of Pitchford (Economic Papers, 8, 1989) and Corden (Economic Papers, 10, 1991) that the foreign debt does not matter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-419 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:417-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Stephen Wheatley Price Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Wheatley Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: Ethnic differences in British employer-funded on and off-the-job training Abstract: This paper highlights the lower incidence of employer-funded on and off-the-job training received by full-time ethnic minority employees in Britain. Estimates of the determinants of on and off-the-job training, obtained using trinomial logistic models, are remarkably consistent across white and ethnic minority male and female workers. At least 67% of the male ethnic training disadvantage, and over 94% of that experienced by females, cannot be explained by differences in average group characteristics. These findings raise serious questions about the effectiveness of existing equal opportunities provisions in the area of work-related training and may have adverse implications for the future occupational attainment and wages of ethnic minority employees in Britain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:421-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugenia Kazamaki Ottersten Author-X-Name-First: Eugenia Kazamaki Author-X-Name-Last: Ottersten Author-Name: Thomas Lindh Mellander Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Lindh Author-X-Name-Last: Mellander Title: Evaluating firm training, effects on performance and labour demand Abstract: A quality-adjusted measure of labour is developed, where labour efficiency depends on firm training. This specification is integrated into a flexible neoclassical cost function, representing the firm's production technology. Unlike traditional production functions, the cost function does not constrain all inputs to be substitutes and it allows capital to be fixed in the short run. These features are found to be important in the evaluation of the indirect effects of training. Short-run indirect effects arise through the relative price mechanism; an increase in labour efficiency decreases the quality-adjusted price of labour. Long-run indirect effects stem from the equilibrium adjustment of the quasi-fixed capital stock. The methodology is illustrated by means of a small firm panel data set. The results show that previous analyses have been overly restrictive in assuming all inputs to be substitutes. E.g., labour and capital are found to be long-run complements, implying that training increases long run labour demand, although the short-run effect is negative. The training outcomes are imprecisely estimated, but indicate that cost savings and productivity gains can be substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-437 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:431-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: A dynamic and stochastic analysis of decision making in arranged marriages Abstract: In a recent paper, Batabyal (Theory and Decision, 1997) has analysed the decision making process in arranged marriages. In particular, Batabyal shows that a marrying agent's optimal policy depends only on the nature of the current marriage proposal, independent of whether there is recall of previous marriage proposals. In this paper, this line of enquiry is continued by focusing on the decision problem faced by a marrying agent who wishes to maximize the probability of getting married to the best possible person. Inter alia, it is shown that this agent's optimal policy calls for waiting a while, and saying yes to the first candidate thereafter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Nonparticipation and corner solution: extramarital affairs reconsidered Abstract: A nonparticipation-censored model is estimated to re-examine the determinants of extramarital affairs considered by Fair (Journal of Political Economy, 86, 1978) and Wang (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997). Derived from a mixed utility maximization framework, the proposed model features a probit mechanism to accommodate nonparticipation and a Tobit mechanism for additional censoring among potential adulterers. The model allows interaction between the two latent equations, includes the Tobit and Tobit with natural nonresponse (Wang, Applied Economics Letters, 4, 1997) as special cases, and offers a more interesting behavioural explanation. Results from the same sample suggest the proposed model outperforms the two restricted specifications and produces different effects of explanatory variables from those reported in the earlier studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-445 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:443-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Murchison Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Murchison Author-Name: Pierre Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Title: A suggestion for a simple cross-country empirical proxy for trend unemployment Abstract: We propose a proxy for trend unemployment derived from the cointegration property between unemployment rates and world oil prices. Evidence from a sample of OECD countries is presented in support of the hypothesis. We argue that our empirical proxy is superior from an economic perspective to at least one popular empirical alternative and may be especially useful in cross-country type studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-451 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:447-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Lekakis Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Lekakis Author-Name: Christos Pantzios Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pantzios Title: Agricultural liberalization and the environment in Southern Europe: the role of the supply side Abstract: The argument advanced by free market optimists that liberalized agricultural policies will lead to conservation, through reductions in outputs and environmentally damaging inputs, leaves many more things to be decided. Critics have pointed out that lower prices may induce farmers either to abandon land with loss of biodiversity and rural landscape ecology as a result, to increase production and pollution in order to sustain current revenues, or to switch to more environmentally damaging crops. This article follows a different route. It proposes that overall reductions in the total volume of agricultural output or the total amount of agro-chemicals used does not guarantee environmental enhancement. Environmental problems are usually location specific and crop specific. The cultivation of industrial crops is responsible for serious ecosystem offences in areas around the World. Thus, to actually have some measure of which way a lower price regime would be going in terms of conservation, we need to study the effects of either technology shifts or production shifts. Looking at cotton, maize and sugar beet supply response in two Southern EU countries, under given production technologies, it concludes that price reductions will lead to minimal if any reductions in the supply of these crops. Thus, conservation efforts will need to assume explicit forms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:453-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Burton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: A. Alasdair Lonie Author-X-Name-First: A. Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Lonie Author-Name: David Power Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: Does the issue method influence the market reaction to seasoned equity offer announcements? Abstract: The evidence in this note indicates that the average stock market reaction to news of ordinary equity issues by quoted companies may depend on the share issue method employed. Using a sample of announcements made in the UK between 1989 and 1991 we find that the market response is significantly negative when the disclosure relates to a rights issue, but that there are no significant share price changes when announcements about equity placings and open offers take place. This result appears to be inconsistent with the theoretical analysis contained in Myers and Majluf (Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 1984). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Blackaby Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Blackaby Author-Name: Stephen Drinkwater Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Drinkwater Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Philip Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Ethnic differences in labour market transitions: an exploration using the British household panel survey Abstract: The paper uses the first five waves of the British Household Panel Survey to explore the dynamics of the labour market experience of Britain's ethnic minorities relative to the white majority. The issue to be explored is labour market transitions. Ethnic minorities are shown to exhibit greater volatility. Only panel data can reveal this important labour market effect. Overall, the British Household Panel Survey should be seen as a useful addition to increasing our knowledge of Britain's ethnic minorities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Nonsymmetric error correction revisited Abstract: Granger and Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, 1989) contains seminal research on nonsymmetric error correction, where the familiar error correction term is partitioned into positive and negative elements. Cook et al. (Applied Economics, 1998) have recently argued that for this no symmetric representation to be valid, the coefficients on these partitioned terms must be both significant and significantly different from each other. As Cook et al. note, these conditions have rarely been satisfied in subsequent applications of the Granger-Lee method. As these issues were not considered by Granger and Lee they are formally tested here using their data. The results derived show this problem to be apparent, but unconsidered, in the seminal study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-470 Issue: 7 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599353014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599353014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:7:p:467-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Author-Name: Ben Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Author-Name: Sarah Keast Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Keast Author-Name: Nick Wiseman Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Wiseman Title: Differences in household income per head over the UK trade cycle; a comment Abstract: In a recent short paper Dewhurst (1998) demonstrated that, from 1984-93, there was convergence in GB regional and household incomes per head during slumps and divergence during booms. This paper suggests that these findings are the result of two main influences. The first is the fact that the cycle is damped in more peripheral and lower mean household income per head areas and the second that there is a time in the cycle lag between an upturn or downturn in Greater London / the rest of the South East and the same effect in more distant locations. Various suggestions are put forward for these results. There is also discussion of the usefulness of these results for forecasting purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-476 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352754 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352754&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:471-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keun-Yeob Oh Author-X-Name-First: Keun-Yeob Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Bong-Han Kim Author-X-Name-First: Bong-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hong-Kee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Byung-Chul Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Savings-investment cointegration in panel data Abstract: Existing cointegration tests for the savings-investment model are limited because of low testing power. In this paper the savings-investment correlation is re-examined using a panel cointegration test by which the power seems to be improved greatly. A cointegration relationship is obtained between the two variables with panel data, and the savings retention coefficient is far from zero. This seems to be consistent with results based on traditional regression methods. Thus, it is concluded that cointegration techniques do not provide the solution to the savings-investment puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-480 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:477-480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Marc Berk Author-X-Name-First: Jan Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Berk Title: Did markets expect Italy to join EMU? Evidence from options markets Abstract: This note quantifies the movements in the distribution of future short-term market interest rates in reaction to the selection of countries that were to participate in stage three of Economic and Monetary Union as of 1 January 1999. We conclude that, before the various national central banks and the European Monetary Institute published their convergence reports, financial markets were already convinced that Italy would participate. They furthermore interpreted these reports, when published, as an indication that Italy would indeed participate. The official decision in May 1998 therefore came as no surprise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Weixian Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Weixian Title: An empirical study of the foreign trade balance in China Abstract: The objective of this letter is to investigate the dynamic relationship between China's trade balance (T) and macroeconomic variables: domestic and foreign output (Y and Y*), real exchange rate (E), domestic and foreign money supply (M and M*). The ADF unit root results show that the variables are all integrated of order I(1). The trade balance in China is not cointegrated with a number of variables, including the exchange rate. Absorption, elasticity, and monetary models are compared, and the elastic model performs better. There has been J-curve in China, and the devaluations have had significant effect on the trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-490 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:485-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdaus Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Ferdaus Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Economic reform and inequality: evidence from Lithuania Abstract: Economic reforms in former socialist societies caused massive reallocation of resources, rapid increases in prices and severe erosion in real income and wages with potentially important distributional consequences. Using the Lithuanian Household Budget Survey, this study estimates an expenditure-based inequality index to evaluate the effects of price liberalization policy on inequality. Empirical results suggest that during the early years of reforms, inequality within society showed very little sign of increase. However, since 1994 inequality has increased rapidly: further, inequality has increased at a faster rate among households without children than those with children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 491-495 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:491-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact critical values of unit root tests when there is a constant term and a time trend Abstract: Using a method proposed by Imhof in 1961 the exact distribution of the test statistics for the unit root when the AR(1) process has a constant term and a time trend is evaluated numerically. Detailed tables of the exact critical values are presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. D. Rossiter Author-X-Name-First: R. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Rossiter Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Sufficient cointegration and Wald tests of the monetary transmission mechanism Abstract: This letter re-examines the role of commercial loans versus demand deposits in the monetary transmission mechanism using short-run and long-run sequential causality testing procedures designed by Toda and Phillips. Empirical results support the credit view that bank loans are as good a predictor of income as demand deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-503 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:501-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Farrell-type efficiency under demand and price fluctuations Abstract: Nonparametric measurement of productive efficiency is generalized with respect to the impact of market demand and price fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-507 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:505-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xing-Qiu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xing-Qiu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Stock prices, inflation and output: evidence from China Abstract: This study documents some unique statistical properties in the relationships among inflation, output and stock prices in the Chinese economy. The relationship between stock returns and unexpected output growth is significantly positive, but that between stock returns and expected output growth is significantly negative. The relationship between stock prices and inflation is significantly negative, and the inverse relationship disappears after controlling for the effects of output growth. This result is consistent with Fama's conjecture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:509-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Campolieti Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Campolieti Title: Workers' compensation benefits and claim duration: some Canadian evidence Abstract: This paper explores the effect of workers' compensation benefits on the duration of workers' compensation claims from Ontario, Canada. The models estimated in this paper also investigate the robustness of the results to a nonparametric specification of the unobserved heterogeneity distribution. The results indicate that, with Canadian data, changes in the expected duration of workers' compensation claims, in response to a change in workers' compensation benefits, is at the lower range of the existing evidence for the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352844 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352844&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Univariate analysis of asymmetry in the DHSY model Abstract: Cook and co-workers recently uncovered evidence of asymmetric adjustment in the data used by Davidson et al. An economic interpretation was provided in terms of more rapid adjustment of consumers' expenditure during recessionary periods. In the present letter this hypothesis, derived indirectly at a structural level by Cook et al., is tested directly via univariate analysis. The results presented support the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pak-Wai Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pak-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Junsen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junsen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Assortative mating versus the cross-productivity effect Abstract: This paper shows how the allowance for unobserved ability and assortative mating will change the interpretation of the coefficient on own education in a log wage equation. Using data from Taiwan it is found that the coefficient on own education is almost zero but that on spouse's education is around 10%. The cross-productivity hypothesis cannot plausibly explain this puzzling result, but the model presented in this paper can. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352862 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352862&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Fuj Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Fuj Author-Name: Makoto Ohta Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Ohta Title: Stochastic cost frontier and cost inefficiency of Japanese hospitals: a panel data analysis Abstract: This letter considers the following two questions: How much are the estimates of the parameters of stochastic cost frontier and cost inefficiency of Japanese hospitals affected (1) by the utilization of the panel structure of data in estimation; and (2) by considering a hospital-specific intercept in the cost frontier? Three models are estimated: a stochastic cost frontier model with a hospital-specific intercept treated as a random variable for panel data; a stochastic cost frontier model without a hospital-specific intercept for panel data; and the conventional stochastic frontier model that treats the data as if they were cross-sectional. The main findings are: (1) the introduction of panel structure into the frontier estimation changes the cost inefficiency estimate significantly compared with the estimate based on cross-sectionally treated data; (2) the intercept of the cost frontier is significantly different among hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-532 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:527-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Title: Swiss residential demand for electricity Abstract: A residential demand for electricity is estimated using aggregate data at a city level for 40 Swiss cities over the period 1987 to 1990. For this purpose, a log linear stochastic equation for electricity consumption was estimated. The empirical analysis has highlighted some of the characteristics of the Swiss residential electricity market. The price elasticity was estimated to be -0.30, which shows a moderate responsiveness of electricity consumption to changes in prices. This result indicates a price-inelastic demand for electricity with a lower price elasticity than those reported in previous studies. From an energy policy point of view this result implies that there is little room for discouraging residential electricity consumption using price increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-538 Issue: 8 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:8:p:533-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manabu Asai Author-X-Name-First: Manabu Author-X-Name-Last: Asai Title: Time series evidence on a new Keynesian theory of the output-inflation trade-off Abstract: This letter reconsiders the empirical tests of the new Keynesian and new classical models performed by Ball, Mankiw, and Romer (Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 1988) and Akerlof, Rose and Yellen (Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 1988). The original tests confirm basically to cross-section analysis. We propose time-series testing procedure of these issues. Our tests find supports for the new Keynesian hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-541 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:539-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Regional variation in the cyclical asymmetry of UK unemployment Abstract: In this letter regional variation in the asymmetric behaviour of the cyclical element of UK unemployment is examined. Strong evidence of asymmetry in the level of the cyclical element of unemployment is found for both the UK as a whole and all of the regions considered. Strong evidence of asymmetry in the rate of growth of this cyclical element is also found for the aggregate series. However a similar consensus for this form of asymmetry is not found in the individual regions, with some disagreeing over its extent while others fail to detect its presence at all. The results for the aggregate series therefore mask some interesting variation at a regional level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-546 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352565 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352565&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:543-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reinaldo Arellano-Valle Author-X-Name-First: Reinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Arellano-Valle Author-Name: Silvia Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Author-Name: Francisco Cribari-Neto Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Cribari-Neto Title: Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections for testing linear restrictions Abstract: This letter shows how to extend a number of published results on Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections to likelihood ratio and score test for the test of linear restrictions in regression models. A few applications and simulation results are also presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-549 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352574 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352574&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:547-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Kazumi Asako Author-X-Name-First: Kazumi Author-X-Name-Last: Asako Title: Government consumption and fiscal policy: some evidence from Japan Abstract: Japanese data from 1971 and 1995 are used to estimate the marginal rate of substitution between private consumption and government consumption, and to empirically analyse the validity of the Ricardian equivalence theorem. The marginal rate of substitution between government expenditure and private consumption is found to be higher in Japan than in studies using US data. In other words, these two types of consumption are closer substitutes in Japan than in the US. The data negate the Ricardian equivalence theorem. However, it should be noted that the perceived wealth effect is small and has a value between 0.0087 and 0.019. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-555 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:551-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Farhang Niroomand Author-X-Name-First: Farhang Author-X-Name-Last: Niroomand Title: Openness and economic growth: an empirical investigation Abstract: Unlike previous research that investigated the relation between exports and output, in this paper we assess the long-run relation between the degree of openness and economic growth. For the many countries considered here, we find a positive long-run relation between openness and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Levin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: Why does the bid-ask spread vary over the day? Abstract: This paper shows that the findings of Chan, Christie and Schultz (Journal of Business, 68, 1995) of no intraday variation in the average bid-ask spread is not general to all competitive markets, and in particular does not apply to the London Stock Exchange during the mandatory quote period. This is important because it revives the possibility of explanations of intraday variation in the bid-ask spread which involve individual market-makers widening their individual spreads for example in response to informed trading, inelastic demand or the need to discover prices at the start of the day. However there is no evidence of individual market makers widening their bid-ask quote spreads during the warm up and cool down periods at the start and the end of the trading day outwith the mandatory quote period. The only single explanation which might explain the whole day variation observed in the inside and the average bid-ask spreads both inside and outside of the mandatory quote is inventory control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-567 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:563-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Piscitelli Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Piscitelli Author-Name: Michael Grinfeld Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Grinfeld Author-Name: Harbir Lamba Author-X-Name-First: Harbir Author-X-Name-Last: Lamba Author-Name: Rod Cross Author-X-Name-First: Rod Author-X-Name-Last: Cross Title: On entry and exit in response to aggregate shocks Abstract: This note extends the Dixit-Pindyck analysis of investment, in the form of market entry and exit under sunk costs, to the case of heterogeneous sunk costs. The implication is that the market displays full hysteresis, in the form of remanence and dependence on the nondominated extremum values of the aggregate shocks experienced. These implications are illustrated by numerical simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: Are the adjustment of actual to desired international reserves in nominal or real terms? Abstract: In this note we employ two procedures to determine whether the adjustment of international reserves is in real or nominal terms. Using panel data from 17 DCs and 16 LDCs, we show that adjustment of actual reserves to their desired level is indeed in nominal terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-575 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:573-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Klug Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Klug Author-Name: Carmel Nadav Author-X-Name-First: Carmel Author-X-Name-Last: Nadav Title: On the predictive power of the term structure during the 1930s Abstract: This paper investigates the predictive power of the interest rates during the period 1929-1940 in the United States. Our empirical evidence finds no support for the one-to-one relationship between the term structure of short-term interest rates and inflation for forecasting horizons of six months less or greater than one year. The hypothesis is not rejected for a 3 to 12 month horizon or for the 12 to 24 month horizon with a structural break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:577-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alpana Trivedi Author-X-Name-First: Alpana Author-X-Name-Last: Trivedi Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Autocorrelations, returns and Australian stock indices Abstract: This paper explores whether predictable autocorrelation structures exist in returns data on Australian stock indices. We explore the data using the power transformations of Ding, Granger and Engle (1993) and Hentschel (1995). We find that for a large number of different market indices there exists an autocorrelation structure in power transformations of returns that could be exploited in forecasting. To illustrate the forecasting potential we conduct a limited forecasting comparison using the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index. Our results show some gain in forecasting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352646 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352646&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: Exchange market pressure during the current managed float Abstract: Due to intervention in the foreign exchange market, any pressure on the external account of a country could be absorbed either by a change in reserves or by a change in the exchange rate. In this paper we employ Girton and Roper's EMPM model to investigate the experience of G7 countries. The results show that most of the pressure in G7 countries is absorbed by a change in reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-588 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:585-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Willenbockel Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Willenbockel Title: On apparent problems with the use of the Armington aggregator in computable general equilibrium models Abstract: This letter points out that the problems Senhadji (Applied Economics Letters, 4, 23-5, 1997) attributes to the use of the Armington aggregator in CGE models do not arise, provided that applied modellers employ the calibration procedure for CES function parameters frequently described in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:589-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Lambert Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert Title: Scale and the Malmquist productivity index Abstract: The Malmquist index has gained acceptability in empirical analyses of productivity in recent years. Some question has been raised concerning the index's ability to accurately portray productivity change in the presence of nonconstant returns to scale. This letter demonstrates that the index does accurately measure productivity change under an appropriate characterization of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guano Hua Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guano Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: An empirical assessment on alternative functional forms of the Lorenz curve Abstract: Different parametric Lorenz curves are estimated and evaluated using household survey data from rural China. None of them, however, is found to yield an adequate description of income distributions. Thus, new and better functional forms are called for, despite the fact that many already exist in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-599 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352682 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352682&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:597-599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandeep Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Paul Sommers Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Sommers Title: A simple cross-section model of economic growth stands the test of time Abstract: The simple three-equation Sommers-Suits model of economic growth published in 1971 was one of the first that used a cross-section approach to study the effects of endogenous population growth rates on economic development. Re-estimation (following the same functional form as in the Sommers-Suits model) suggests that the model has stood the test of time reasonably well. There is evidence of convergence over time (as before), but the re-estimated model indicates the presence of a 'poverty trap'- a threshold GNP per capita below which countries fail to grow. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-603 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:601-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Forecasting unemployment Abstract: Results are reported of a forecasting competition between linear autoregressive, GARCH, threshold autoregressive and neural network models of the UK monthly unemployment rate series. Evidence is uncovered suggesting the existence of nonlinearities in the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-607 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:605-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Atkins Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Atkins Title: Macroeconomic time series and the monetary aggregates approach to estimating the underground economy Abstract: This paper examines the monetary aggregates approach to estimating the size of the underground economy. It is shown that estimates of the size of the underground economy using Canadian data may not be robust, as the time series properties of these aggregates are often inconsistent with simple ordinary least squares regression. Correcting for the problem, usually by first differencing the data, may yield overstated or inappropriate estimates of the size of the underground economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-611 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:609-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khosrow Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: Khosrow Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Roy Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Title: Testing the law of one price under the fixed and flexible exchange rate systems Abstract: This paper examines if the law of one price holds under different exchange rate regimes and if a simultaneous relationship exists among prices of different countries. The findings show that prices in industrial countries are related, as suggested by the monetary approach. Confirming the law of one price, our results show relative price movements play a negligible role in removing a disequilibrium in the balance of payments. These findings provide supportive evidence for the purchasing power parity (PPP) doctrine under the floating exchange rate system but not under the fixed exchange rate system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-616 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352727 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352727&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:613-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: Rational addiction and the demand for cinema Abstract: This paper estimates Becker's rational addiction model using a demand for cinema equation. The results do not seem to be strongly supportive of the rational addiction model. As in Becker, Murphy, Grossman we find a significant coefficient on the lead consumption term and a quite plausible discount rate in OLS estimation with significant price effects. However the IV estimates preferred by Becker et al. fails to give support for any elements of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-620 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352736 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352736&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:617-620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkin Bairam Author-X-Name-First: Erkin Author-X-Name-Last: Bairam Title: Domestic versus foreign capital and returns to scale in China's provincial industries Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with estimating an appropriate production function for the Chinese industry using provincial data. The estimated equations suggest that the appropriate production function is a Cobb-Douglas which reveals statistically significant economies of scale. The results reported also reveal that the marginal product of foreign capital is significantly higher than that of domestic capital used in the production process in all but one province. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-624 Issue: 9 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352745 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352745&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:9:p:621-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Edward Wei-Te Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Edward Wei-Te Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Welfare implications of Pigovian taxation of a durable goods monopolist Abstract: This paper examines the effectiveness of Pigovian taxation in checking the behaviour of a durable goods monopolist who generates some externality in the production process. The durable good lasts two periods. It is found that while the effect of an increase in the tax is to lower the first period output, the second period output decreases only under certain conditions. The overall welfare effect of a Pigovian tax can either be positive or negative depending on the relative magnitudes of the price-cost margins, the extent of the negative externality, the extent of longevity (durability) of the first period output and the underproduction relative to social optima. Public policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-627 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:625-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Efficiency measurements with R&D inputs and learning by doing Abstract: Two characteristics of R&D inputs, learning by doing and knowledge diffusion, are explored here for generalizing the nonparametric methods of efficiency measurement known as data envelopment analysis Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Brown Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Inside information and public news: R 2 and beyond Abstract: This paper finds that the majority of stock price movements remain unexplained after controlling for both public and private information. This suggests that economists' inability to explain asset price movements is the result of either noise or naive asset pricing models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Long-run neutrality of money in the Mexican economy Abstract: The long-run neutrality of money on real output is tested for Mexico using a model developed by Fisher and Seater. The empirical evidence supports the neutrality hypothesis. The results are robust for both M1 and M2 and an alternative model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-639 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:637-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: The causal nexus of government spending and revenue in Finland: a bootstrap approach Abstract: Applying VAR(5), a bootstrap simulation approach and a multivariate Rao's F-test indicate that government revenue Granger-causes spending in Finland. This does not agree with Barr's tax smoothing hypothesis. This explanation of this is due to the institutional factors that are specific for Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Author-Name: Tan Khay Boon Author-X-Name-First: Tan Khay Author-X-Name-Last: Boon Title: Small sample estimation of a cointegrating vector: an empirical evaluation of six estimation techniques Abstract: A large number of techniques are now available for estimating a cointegrating regression. Although many of these techniques provide asymptotically equivalent estimators, their small-sample properties are known only with respect to a limited number of Monte Carlo studies. In light of the growing controversy over the nature of non-stationarity of economic time series, a comprehensive evaluation of these techniques within an applied framework can shed more light on the relative merits of these techniques. An estimation of long-run demand elasticities by six such techniques based on annual data from Canada, China and Singapore show rather disconcerting results. In small samples OLS may still be the best choice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352420 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352420&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marjon Vanr De Pol Author-X-Name-First: Marjon Vanr Author-X-Name-Last: De Pol Author-Name: John Cairns Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cairns Title: Individual time preferences for own health: an application of a dichotomous choice question with follow-up Abstract: This paper explores the use of the dichotomous choice question with follow-up to examine intertemporal preferences for non-fatal changes in own health. Maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression is used to analyse the data collected from the general public. The results show that the average estimated implied discount rate is equal to 0.073 for the full sample and 0.106 for respondents who have positive implied discount rates in the open-ended questions which were also contained in the questionnaire. The implied discount rates vary from 0.024 to 0.166 depending onthe age of the respondent andthe periodof delay offered(5 or 13 years). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-654 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352439 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352439&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:649-654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunnyeong Heo Author-X-Name-First: Eunnyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Heo Author-Name: Seong-Yun Shin Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Estimating learning effects on nuclear power plants: A count data model with a varying time interval as a duration variable Abstract: This paper analyses learning effects in nuclear power plant operation, which are reflected on the reliability growth and operating cycle decision. To consider two aspects of learning, a count data model with a varying time interval as a duration variable is suggested. A possibly complicated model canbe estimatedrelatively easily by a Gibbs sampling technique. The estimates are then used to investigate the effects of three types of operating experiences on the plant operation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:655-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Uncertainty in the Central Bank's weight on output: some new results Abstract: The purpose in this letter is to demonstrate the implications of uncertainty in the weight the Central Bank attaches to output for expected inflation, linear inflation contracts and inflation targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-662 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:659-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenny Diggle Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Diggle Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: John Shannon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Shannon Title: International diversification of the funds management industry Abstract: One of the main benefits that has flowed from increasing capital markets liberalization has been the opportunities that this has provided to facilitate international diversification. This paper aims to determine the benefits of the asset allocation process undertaken by fund managers in 15 countries. The benefits analysed are whether the fund managers have added value to their portfolios by generating higher risk adjusted returns. In addition, the minimum risk portfolios are determined for the international markets represented by the 15 countries and a minimum risk benchmark is constructed. The analysis was conducted using data from 1983 to 1993 and the data were provided by the Union Bank of Switzerland Asset Management Group (UBSAM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan Bakhshi Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Bakhshi Title: Is the demand for retirement consumption linear? Abstract: When estimating the welfare gains from moving from 2% inflation to price stability, Feldstein assumes that the compensated demand curve for retirement consumption is linear. Lucas has argued, in the shoe leather costs literature, that money demand functions are best specified as log-linear rather than linear. And the implications for the welfare costs of inflation are consequently very large. This note argues that linearity of the demand curve for retirement consumption is a good approximation for plausible parameter values and for the changes in inflation that Feldstein is considering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-671 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352475 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352475&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:669-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yutaka Kurihara Author-X-Name-First: Yutaka Author-X-Name-Last: Kurihara Title: Speculative attacks or fundamentals? Empirical evidence from some European currencies Abstract: The European Monetary System experienced pressure on exchange rates, which led toa devaluation or a subsequent widening of bands of EMS currencies. In this paper the source(s) of pressure on the exchange rate are identified. Currency crises were caused by fundamentals in 1992; however, they were caused by speculation in 1993. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-675 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352484 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352484&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:673-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwei-Lin Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Hwei-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Title: Estimating the determinants of the unemployment duration for college graduates in Taiwan Abstract: This paper incorporates unmeasured heterogeneity into the econometric specification to estimate the determinants of the unemployment duration for college graduates in Taiwan. Empirical results indicate that personal characteristics and job search variables are significant determinants while family background variables show little effect. The insignificance of the financial constraint variable suggests that the scheduled unemployment compensation programme may not have any impact on the search unemployment duration for college graduates in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352493 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352493&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman Thurston Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: On the decline of employment-based health insurance in the US Abstract: Many recent papers have documented that there has been a steady decline in the fraction of workers in the US who receive health insurance through their employer. This paper presents an economic model of the labour market that is consistent with observed trends. The primary finding is that the trend is explained by a change in optimal compensation structures for workers due to the increase in the relative price of health care. The paper concludes with an application to the analysis of the increased prevalence of capitated contracts among employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Clemente Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Clemente Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Author-Name: Montserrat Ponz Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Ponz Title: Are the consumption/output and investment/output ratios stationary? An international analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the integration order of the consumption/output and investment/output ratios for a group of the most important OECD countries. Results show that these ratios can exhibit some structural breaks. Thus, the use of those statistics which do not take into account the presence of breaks leads to the acceptance of the unit root null hypothesis. A clear increase in the number of rejections of the unit root null hypothesis is found when these structural breaks are included in the model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Amsler Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Amsler Title: Size and power: lower tail KPSS tests and anti-persistent alternatives Abstract: Evidence is presented on the size and power of the lower tail Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin stationarity test for testing the null hypothesis of short memory against the alternative hypothesis of anti-persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Author-Name: Sam Hak Kan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Sam Hak Kan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Technical change and total factor productivity growth: a study of Singapore's manufacturing industries Abstract: The paper focuses onthe difference between the dual rate of technical change and the total factor productivity growth (TFPG). It estimates directly the dual rate of technical change from an integrated model that describes the cost structure and equilibrium condition of Singapore's manufacturing industries. It then calculates TFPG using the conventional productivity accounting approach. By showing the difference between the two measures, it is demonstrated that the non-parametric calculated TFPG cannot be interpreted wholly as a cost saving technical change since the preconditions required in the calculation of TFPG are not met. It is found that the majority of Singapore's manufacturing industries exhibit, on the one hand, substantial increasing returns to scale and, on the other hand, no significant technical change. However, the largest and fastest growing industries such as Electronic Products and Components show both significant cost-saving technical progress and decreasing returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-701 Issue: 10 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352538 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352538&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:10:p:697-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuyoshi Yamori Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamori Title: Contagion effects of bank liquidation in Japan Abstract: The letter discusses the contagion effect of the first bank liquidation in Japan. Performing the traditional t-test and Corrado's non-parametric rank test, it is found that the effects of the liquidation were concentrated only on banks that resembled the failing bank. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-705 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:703-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: Bootstrapping the Malmquist productivity index - a simulation study Abstract: This paper presents a Monte Carlo simulation study of the bootstrap algorithm proposed by Lothgren and Tambour for calculation of bootstrap confidence intervals for the firm-specific Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Malmquist productivity index. The simulation results indicate that the coverage accuracy of bootstrap confidence intervals are near the nominal confidence level for small to moderate sized samples. For larger sample sizes, a clear convergence of empirical to nominal level is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Fitzroy Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Fitzroy Author-Name: Melanie Ward Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: Discrimination, segregation and firm effects: some UK microevidence Abstract: In samples of employees from two firms, women are segregated in low-pay occupations and therefore receive lower returns on their (similar) educational qualifications than men. In the primary-sector, capital-intensive, unionized firm, all wages are much higher. In the secondary-sector firm, rewarding qualifications and experience at the rates found in the primary firm would increase earnings (including fringe benefits) by about 80%, much more than the usual firm-size or industry differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-715 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Title: Exchange rate volatility in the EMS before and after the fall Abstract: The paper presents the results of applying an indicator of local (daily) volatility, based on the literature on forecasting in nonlinear systems to six EMS currencies, using data for the period January 1974-April 1995. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Perraton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Perraton Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Estimates of industrial country export and import demand functions: implications for 'Thirlwall's Law' Abstract: The paper presents estimates of export and import demand functions for fifteen industrial countries. To allow for common shocks use is made of the Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimator (SURE). These estimates are then used to construct predictions of the growth rate consistent with balance of payments equilibrium along the lines of the Thirlwall hypothesis. Regressions of actual growth rates on the predicted values indicate that the hypothesis performs better when the observations are weighted by relative GDP. It is concluded that 'Thirlwall's Law' is more useful for understanding the overall growth rate of the aggregate of industrial countries than cross-country growth performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-727 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:723-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guiseppe Cavaliere Author-X-Name-First: Guiseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Cavaliere Author-Name: Michele Costa Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Title: Firm size and the Italian Stock Exchange Abstract: The presence of a relation between firm size and asset returns is investigated by referring to the Italian Stock Exchange. In order to explain asset return variability, the excess return on a market portfolio as well as the difference between the return on a portfolio of small stocks and the return on a portfolio of large stocks are considered. The resultant two-factor model seems to improve the explanation of the returns of the portfolios formed on size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-734 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:729-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashworth Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashworth Author-Name: Barry Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Patterns of seasonality in employment in tourism in the UK Abstract: Tourism employment has grown rapidly (a fact which has been of interest to policymakers concerned with job generation) but it has a marked seasonal character. Several attempts have been made by the industry to lessen seasonality in tourism demand (and hence in tourism employment) by fillng troughs. This paper uses recent advances in econometric work to investigate whether seasonality has lessened as a result of these policies, and if so, the nature of the changes in seasonality. A quarterly UK data series from 1982:1 to 1996:4 is examined. The distinction between stochastic and deterministic trend is made, and it is found that seasonality has in fact lessened and is best modelled as a break in deterministic seasonality. There has been approximately a 30% fall in the summer (second quarter) effect and approximately a 24% fall in the winter (fourth quarter) effect: thus the seasonal smoothing comes from lower hiring at the start of the peak season and lower firing at the end of the season. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-739 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:735-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Tuckman Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Tuckman Author-Name: Cyril Chang Author-X-Name-First: Cyril Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Albert Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Title: A transform-both-sides modulus power model: an application in health care Abstract: The Box-Cox transformation is suitable for stabilizing variance of the response variable and for inducing functional form flexibility in single-equation regression models. However, it becomes incapacitated if the data contain zero or negative values. This paper, using profitability data for US psychiatric hospitals, illustrates the capability of modulus power transformations to symmetrize the response variable distribution. Compared with the untransformed data model, the ML estimates of the modulus power model are found to be superior. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Cater Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Cater Author-Name: J. Barry Smith Author-X-Name-First: J. Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Inferring disability from post-injury employment duration Abstract: The paper examines the extent to which occupational-injury-induced permanent impairment translates into work-related disability. While most permanently impaired workers return to their time-of-accident employer, job and wage, these workers then experience high initial rates of turnover. This turnover can be seen as a manifestation of the dynamics of information, as the time-of-accident employer re-employs the impaired worker, then 'tests' his/her post-injury productivity in order to resolve initial uncertainty regarding the impairment's impact. These turnover patterns can, accordingly, be utilized as a source of disability inference. A statistical model based on the notion of sequential testing is derived and confronted with data reflecting the post-injury labour market experiences of permanently impaired workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352330 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352330&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Cherry Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Cherry Title: Unobserved heterogeneity bias when estimating the economic model of crime Abstract: Using unique and unpublished panel data from selected US cities, the paper investigates the consequences of ignoring unobserved heterogeneity in the unit of observation when estimating the economic model of crime. Results confirm that neglecting to control for unobserved heterogeneity overstates the ability of sanctions to deter criminal activity. Further, this upward bias is found to vary significantly across crime types. Interestingly, heterogeneity is insignificant in the tightly reported crimes of murder and auto-theft while being significant in assault, robbery, burglary and larceny where individuals and police have greater discretion in reporting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-757 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:753-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick McEwan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McEwan Title: Private costs and the rate of return to primary education Abstract: The paper suggests that typical estimates of returns to primary education are over-estimated, because import costs to individuals are excluded. In calculations with Honduran data, private returns are found to drop significantly when private costs are included. It is suggested that lower private rates of return are consistent with low educational attainment in many developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-760 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352358 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352358&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:759-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berta Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Berta Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Author-Name: Luis Currais Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Currais Title: Economic growth and health: direct impact or reverse causation? Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to identify the role of health status in productivity. In order to check the existence of reverse causation suggested by previous studies the Hausman test was carried out and different sets of instruments were used as exogenous determinants of health expenditure. Variables related to health expenditure were used to estimate the elasticity and these produced accepted results. Evidence was obtained to support the positive effect of health on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-764 Issue: 11 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:11:p:761-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Matteo Stanca Author-X-Name-First: Luca Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Stanca Title: Are business cycles all alike? Evidence from long-run international data Abstract: Most recent empirical analyses of aggregate economic fluctuations rely on the implicit assumption that business cycles are all alike. This paper investigates this assumption for the long-run international data set of Backus and Kehoe and presents the results of statistical tests of the 'representative cycle' hypothesis. Findings show that there is substantial heterogeneity across individual cycles and phases in terms of duration, amplitude, and co-movements between variables, and that such heterogeneity is generally statistically significant. These results underline, at an empirical level, the limitations of measuring business cycles in terms of sample second moments, and, at a theoretical level, the difficulties of developing theories providing a unified explanation of the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-769 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:765-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Juha-Pekka Kallunki Author-X-Name-First: Juha-Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Kallunki Author-Name: Teppo Martikainen Author-X-Name-First: Teppo Author-X-Name-Last: Martikainen Title: Earnings news and the behaviour of large and small traders in the Finnish stock market Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of earnings news on the trading behaviour of different types of traders in Finland. The results indicate that small and large traders behave differently around the earnings announcements, small traders increasing their sell orders after negative earnings surprises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:771-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Empirical evidence for export promotion strategies Abstract: The paper examines the validity of export promotion strategies using a structural vector autoregressive model. Empirical results based on Korean monthly data indicate that: (i) export specific shocks have permanent effects on output; and (ii) the effects are not small. These results provide some support for export promotion strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352141 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352141&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Rhoads Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhoads Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Title: On Coasean bargaining with transaction costs Abstract: The letter explores how transaction costs affect the efficiency and rationality of Coasian bargaining. Efficiency remained relatively robust with low transaction costs, but was significantly reduced with high transaction costs. A cheap talk protocol increased efficiency. Rationality was dominated by constrained self-interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Laband Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Laband Author-Name: Bernard Lentz Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Lentz Title: The impact of having a mentor on earnings and promotion: evidence from a panel study of lawyers Abstract: Based on our analysis of longitudinal data from the American Bar Association's National Survey of Career Satisfaction/Dissatisfaction, we report on the economic consequences of having a mentor. Specifically, we find that individuals who reported having a mentor in 1984 were more likely (in 1990) to have achieved partner status. However, we find no evidence of any statistically significant link between protegeship in 1984 and earnings in 1990. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-787 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:785-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Title: Place returns between the tote and bookmakers: empirical evidence of a market anomaly Abstract: This letter examines the relationship between returns to win and place betting between the tote and bookmakers when explicit allowance is made for the degree of insider trading employing the Shin measure. The results are not readily reconcilable with market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-792 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:789-792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Monetary policy design and the buffer-stock hypothesis: further evidence from European Union countries Abstract: The buffer-stock hypothesis is examined through a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model across European Union (EU) countries. Variance decompositions do not provide uniform evidence in favour of the buffer-stock hypothesis in all case studies. The results are very important for the design of monetary policy within EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-796 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:793-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Author-Name: Janet Millington Author-X-Name-First: Janet Author-X-Name-Last: Millington Author-Name: Roberts Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Roberts Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Elasticity of demand for Rugby League attendance and the impact of BskyB Abstract: This note adds to the literature on price elasticity of demand for attendance at sports league fixtures using a cross-section study of English Rugby League for 1994/95. A price elasticity of demand of -0.57 we found. Impacts on attendance of live televising of matches by BSkyB are identified and uncertainty of outcome effects is shown. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:797-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Title: Market movers and tote and bookmakers returns: further empirical evidence on a market anomaly Abstract: This letter provides empiricial evidence on the impact of market movements in odds between opening and closing prices on relative tote and bookmaker returns when explicit allowence is made for insider trading. The results support an asymetric impact and are not readily reconcilable with market effciency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-804 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:801-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin Isaacs Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Isaacs Author-Name: David Laband Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Laband Title: Within-group homogeneity and exit in religious clubs Abstract: We investigate empirically the influence of homogeneity of populations in fixed geographic jurisdictions on the structure of religious clubs in these same jurisdictions. Using county-level data, we find that variation in the number of religous clubs is influenced strongly by measured heterogeneity in each county's population. Our findings support Tiebout's voting-with-the-feet model of competition in the supply of public goods, in a club context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Regional poverty lines, poverty profiles, and targeting Abstract: The most labour-intensive task in building a poverty profile consists in the estimation of the poverty lines. Does it matter whether poverty lines are estimated for the urban and rural sectors as a whole or by geographical area within each sector? Using a decomposition of the Gini index of inequality in poverty measures, it is shown that it does, but not too much in Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Title: A note on generality of the Cagan model for money demand Abstract: The generality of the Cagan model for money demand is questioned. Some high inflationary economies are hit by external shocks that may have a non-transitory effect on macroeconomic variables including consumer prices, high-powered money, or narrow money which are usually used in these studies. When a structural break exists, standard unit-root tests such as the augmented Dickey-Fuller test or Phillips-Perron test are biased in favour of accepting the hypothesis of non-stationarity. An alternative Perron's testing procedure, which includes dummy variables that recognize the possibility of exogenous changes in level or trend, was applied on high inflation plagued Yugoslavia and Mexico. Consumer price and money variables are in both cases stationary around a deterministic breaking trend function. Therefore, no cointegration between the variables exists and the Cagan model cannot explain the nature of inflationary processes in these countries. Alternative specifications are necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-815 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:813-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Koutmos Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Koutmos Title: Asymmetric index stock returns: evidence from the G-7 Abstract: There is able empirical evidence that the conditional volatility of stock returns is asymmetric in the sense that negative innovations increase volatility more than positive innovations of an equal magnitude. Less attention, however, has been paid to possible asymmetries in the conditional mean. This paper uses time-varying asymmetric distributions to model index stock returns of the Group of Seven (G-7) industrialized nations. In agreement with the extant literature, all index stock returns exhibit asymmetric volatility. More importantly however, the conditional mean is also an asymmetric function of past innovations, in most cases. Interestingly, the asymmetry in the conditional mean case is the reverse of that observed in the conditional variance, that is, positive innovations have a greater impact than negative innovations of an equal sign. Equivalently, positive innovations (up markets) are more persistent than negative innovations (down markets). Overall, the evidence suggests that taking into account both size as well as the sign of past innovations can improve forecasts of the conditional first and second moments of stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-820 Issue: 12 Volume: 6 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048599352240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048599352240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:6:y:1999:i:12:p:817-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raghbendra Jha Author-X-Name-First: Raghbendra Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: Puneet Chitkara Author-X-Name-First: Puneet Author-X-Name-Last: Chitkara Author-Name: Santanu Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Santanu Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Productivity, technical and allocative efficiency and farm size in wheat farming in India: a DEA approach Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is used to estimate allocative and technical inefficiency in the cultivation of wheat on 300 farms in the Indian Punjab for the periods 1981-82 and 1982-83. These measures of efficiency as well as farm yield are related to farm size. The paper appears to be the first to measure technical and allocative efficiency in agriculture jointly. It is discovered that, on the whole, large farms are technically and allocatively more efficient than small farms for both years. At the disaggregated level a broadly similar result obtains. Policy implications, particularly for land reforms, are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351997 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351997&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Author-Name: Eric Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Title: Common trends and cycles in G-7 countries exchange rates and stock prices Abstract: In this paper we investigate the nature of the relationship between stock prices and spot exchange rates using recent developments in time series modelling. We are able to explain why traditional econometric techniques show little correlation between bilateral exchange rates and stock prices. The reason is that stock prices and exchange rates do not exhibit common trends, but do exhibit common cycles. Common cycle tests are used in this paper to show this result for the G-7 countries exchange rates and relative stock market prices indices using monthly data over the period from 1982 to 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David King Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Yue Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Decentralization and macroeconomic performance Abstract: The paper examines the relationship between some key measures of macroeconomic performance and fiscal decentralization in OECD countries, and the impact on this relationship of increased policy co-ordination among countries since 1985. It is shown that prior to 1985 there was a significant relationship between decentralization and macroeconomic performance on all of these measures, with decentralized performing better. By 1996, however, the relationships had all ceased to be significant. This suggests that, as a result of harmonization, the tendency for decentralized economies to have more effective economic policies has weakened. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: To what degree do central banks sterilize the effects of capital flows on domestic money supply? Abstract: Under the current system of managed float exchange rates, large countries are able to absorb changes in their balance-of-payments by either manipulating international reserves to sterilize capital flows or by accepting changes in their exchange rates. In this system, the monetary authorities of the G7 countries have found it beneficial to sterilize capital flows thereby stabilizing their exchange rates and gaining greater control of their domestic money supply. Previous empirical work on the effects of sterilization were conducted using shortrun models on fixed exchange rates. Using the monetary approach to the balance-of-payments which emphasizes the money market from which balance-of-payments imbalances are derived, this article combines the current managed float system of exchange rates with cointegration techniques in considering the long-run relationship that has developed between the monetary base and money demand of the G7 countries from sterilized capital flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ursicino Carrascal Author-X-Name-First: Ursicino Author-X-Name-Last: Carrascal Title: AIDS extended by means of family composition Abstract: The aim of this paper is to put forward an alternative to the model previously presented in this journal, an alternative that implies no additional restrictions, satisfying the requisites of Economic Theory. Furthermore, this model is seen to behave well in practice, especially when working with very large samples, and its integrability has been proven. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Hofer Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Hofer Author-Name: Gerhard Runstler Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Runstler Author-Name: Thomas Url Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Url Title: The dynamic effects of aggregate supply and demand disturbances: further evidence Abstract: For the decomposition of GDP into its trend and cyclical components, Blanchard and Quah (1989) proposed to extract the cycle by imposing a long-run restriction on the moving average polynomial of a bivariate autoregressive process for GDP and a cyclical indicator. We investigate the robustness of this decomposition with respect to the specification of the process and the choice of the cyclical indicator. We find that low order VARMA processes are sufficient for capturing the joint dynamics of the bivariate process. The decomposition seems rather stable, however, there are differences in the impulse response functions associated with permanent shocks. Moreover, the inflation rate, though used in several studies, seems not suitable for the usage as a cyclical indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:25-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Measuring effectiveness of fiscal policy in OECD countries Abstract: The paper discusses the measurement of fiscal policy effects in the OECD/EU countries. The analysis is based on a simple VAR model for output growth, inflation and a fiscal indicator. Empirical analyses with data from 21 OECD countries for 1960-1996 show that fiscal policy effects differ considerably between EU countries. The core EMU countries do not seem to include France and Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:29-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Anstine Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Anstine Title: Consumers' willingness to pay for recycled content in plastic kitchen garbage bags: a hedonic price approach Abstract: Consumers' willingness to pay for recycled content in their purchase of 13 gallon kitchen garbage bags is examined. Products made from recycled material are perceived to be less detrimental to the environment by some consumers than products made from virgin material only. It is possible that some consumers might be willing to pay more for goods made with recycled material in an attempt to improve environmental quality. Overall, environmental quality would improve slightly, but the improvements would not necessarily be perceived by the individual purchasing the product. Perhaps due to this public good aspect of others receiving the benefits of the individual's decision, it is found that consumers are not willing to pay more for kitchen garbage bags made from recycled plastic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352068 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352068&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joao Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: The demand for currency in the presence of indexed money: the case of Brazil Abstract: The presence of indexed money modifies the demand for currency equation. An optimal demand for currency is derived from a transaction cost model, which includes indexed money. This money demand considers inflation an argument along with output and nominal interest rate. The estimation for the Brazilian case shows that inflation and nominal interest rates are found negatively and output positively related to the demand for narrow money. The parameter stability tests show that the disequilibrium error should not reflect the impact of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-43 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352077 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352077&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:41-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolter Hassink Author-X-Name-First: Wolter Author-X-Name-Last: Hassink Title: Job destruction through quits or layoffs? Abstract: It is demonstrated that for existing firms quits are important in the destruction of jobs. Although layoffs are relatively more used than quits, it is found that in absolute terms a substantial part of the destruction is accomplished through quits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352086 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352086&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:45-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Title: Macroeconomic forecasts: an empirical test of rationality and parameter stability Abstract: The consistency property of a select group of macroeconomic variables, representing both the real and the financial sector of the economy, is re-examined. Consistency is a precondition to rationality in the expectation formation process. The theoretical foundations are similar to those used to study exchange rate expectations. A very reliable and continuous data set, the ASA-NBER survey, is used, which has forecasts over multiple horizons. The Hansen test, which has the dual advantage of being a test of parameter stability over time and also examines the cointegration properties of the actual and forecast series using the modern null of cointegration approach, was applied. This is able to distinguish between unit root and near unit root processes, which is of vital interest in cases of near stationarity. Results show that experts' predictions are inconsistent over all time horizons in the data set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: On the consistency of the DEA-based average efficiency bootstrap Abstract: It is shown that the bootstrap method should be applied with care for the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) estimator of average technical efficiency if the production frontier is stochastic. A stochastic production frontier leads to an inconsistency of the DEA estimator, which in turn leads to inconsistent and potentially highly misleading bootstrap confidence intervals. A Monte Carlo simulation study reveals that the empirical coverage accuracy of the bootstrap confidence intervals approaches zero as the sample size increases, even for small contributions of frontier variance to total frontier and efficiency variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:53-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Fox Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Fox Title: Information-rich expressions for model selection criteria Abstract: While many model selection criteria have been suggested over the last thirty years, applied researchers still rely on R2 and R -2 to a surprising degree. It is suggested that this is mainly due to the extra informational content of these criteria compared to other alternatives. Expressions for other (superior) criteria are derived which allow the same dimensions of information to be conveyed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500352112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500352112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Title: Identifying the mechanism: is there a bank lending channel of monetary transmission in the Netherlands? Abstract: The paper investigates the role of bank lending in the monetary transmission process in the Netherlands. The Johansen approach is used to identify supply and demand relationships in the credit market, and it is concluded from the short-run dynamics that this market is demand-determined. In this way, an important identification problem of studies based on aggregate data is explicitly addressed. Results are consistent with earlier fundings that banks hold a buffer stock of securities which they use to offset monetary shocks. The main implication of the study is that a bank lending channel is not an important monetary transmission mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Kauffman Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Kauffman Title: Economic factors in the choice of an early form of capital: draught animals in early twentieth century South Africa Abstract: The most important capital choice decision in a pre-mechanized agricultural economy was that of which type of draught animal to use. This paper provides an economic explanation for the varied use of draught animals in early twentieth century South Africa. It is argued that the abuse-resistant mule was used primarily on large white-owned farms by the hired workers to mitigate the inherent principalagent problem. This suggests that at least the allocation of draught animals in South African agriculture was efficient similar to what has been found for the US and Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-71 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:69-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Author-Name: Donn Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Donn Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Race and compensation in professional football Abstract: Although there have been numerous studies on the effect of race on the compensation of National Basketball Association and Major League Baseball players, there have been only three prior studies that investigated the effect of race on the compensation of National Football League (NFL) players. Two found no evidence of racial discrimination in NFL player compensation, while one found that, at most, whites earn on average 4% more than African-Americans. Using salary data for 938 NFL players from the 1996 season and player and market characteristic data from the 1995 season, a log-linear wage equation was estimated, and a Chow Test was performed. The results indicate that white players earned 10% less than African-American players. Other important factors affecting an NFL player's salary were experience, position, percentage of games started, and the draft status of the player. These results indicate that reverse wage discrimination based on race may exist in the NFL. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:73-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Nicolaas Groenewold Author-X-Name-First: Nicolaas Author-X-Name-Last: Groenewold Title: The effect of exchange rate shocks on the volatility of Australian sector excess returns: a note Abstract: The study uses GARCH-M methodology to examine the effect of exchange rate shocks on the volatility of excess returns for the nineteen sectors of the Australian stock market. The data covers the period December 1979 through April 1994. The evidence suggests that news on exchange rates can improve the volatility forecasts of certain Australian stock market sector excess returns. The findings have implications for the professional investor looking to diversify risk and, in addition, give some support to asset pricing models that place information on the state of the economy as central to the process determining equity returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-81 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:77-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Author-Name: Moise Sidir Opoulos Author-X-Name-First: Moise Sidir Author-X-Name-Last: Opoulos Title: On the stability of the long-run money demand in Greece Abstract: The paper examines the existence and the stability of the long-run demand for narrow money balances (M1) in Greece over the deregulated period 1986:Q1-1995:Q4 using time series techniques. Cointegration tests have revealed the existence of a systematic long-run relationship between real money balances, real income, and the interest rate. An interesting aspect of the stability analysis is the evidence that the long-run money demand equation is stable over the sample period, implying that the narrow money aggregate could have been used as an intermediate target of monetary policy in Greece. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samih Antoine Azar Author-X-Name-First: Samih Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Another look at the rationality of the stock market Abstract: A model due to Lucas is estimated between the real stock market returns and real dividends on the market index. The sample spans the period from 1872 to 1987 on an annual basis. The results are close to theoretical expectations: the coefficient of relative risk aversion, which minimizes the sum of square residual, is estimated to be around 0.89, and the discount rate around 8%. This means that a relatively simple valuation model is capable of describing the stock market, lending support to the rationality of this market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-89 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:87-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuddalore Sundar Author-X-Name-First: Cuddalore Author-X-Name-Last: Sundar Author-Name: John Hill Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Author-Name: John Lajaunie Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lajaunie Title: Tax incentives and individual investor behaviour Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gan Wee Author-X-Name-First: Gan Author-X-Name-Last: Wee Author-Name: Soone Le Ying Author-X-Name-First: Soone Le Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: Exchange rate and interest rate differential: the case of the Malaysian Ringgit/US Dollar Abstract: The paper tests for the systematic empirical relationship between the Malaysian Ringgit/US Dollar real exchange rate and the real interest rate differential between Malaysia and the US using the Johansen maximum likelihood cointegration procedure. The results indicate the existence of a fairly robust long-run relationship between the real exchange rate and the real interest rate differential. The estimated error correction models also indicate the existence of stable adjustment dynamics when either the real exchange rate or the real exchange rate differential deviates from their long-run equilibrium position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Lettau Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Lettau Title: Cross-variable restrictions in Euler equations and risk premia Abstract: The paper argues that all restrictions beween variables in Euler equations should be taken into account when estimating them. If this is not done, the volatility of the marginal rate of substitution is overstated. This is shown in context of two models in which it is crucial to use restriction between consumption and wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:99-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Inflation expectations: are they rational? An empirical examination Abstract: The rationality of the inflation expectation formation process is examined using the NBER-ASA survey's annual inflation forecasts. The non-stationarity of the relevant series, i.e. the actual (future spot) and the corresponding forecast inflation series allows for the application of cointegration techniques. The rationality hypothesis is separated into weak form (error stationarity) and strong form (parameter restriction) models, and sequentially tested. The powerful and robust null of cointegration technique is implemented, which also examines model stability over time. Inflation forecasts are weak (not strong) form rational. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Title: The incentive for rural to urban migration: a re-examination of the Harris-Todaro model Abstract: An attempt is made to provide a more accurate measure of the incentive for rural to urban migration in developing countries. The study uses data from Kenya to estimate the urban to rural wage gap and then decomposes the gap into the portion due to differences in explained characteristics of rural non-migrant workers and migrant urban workers, and the portion due to returns to observed attributes. The results suggest that the returns to observable attributes constitute the largest portion of the wage gap, and may offer a more accurate measure of the incentive for rural to urban migration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Jean Lloyd-Williams Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Lloyd-Williams Title: Have VAT rates reached their limit?: an empirical note Abstract: Value-added taxes (VAT) have increased in a number of developed economies in recent years. The shift towards consumption taxes in general and VAT in particular has made it a politically sensitive tax. While it is generally accepted that an expenditure tax such as VAT is less distortionary and more efficient to collect than an income tax, there is increasing concern that VAT rates have reached or are close to their revenue maximizing limit. Empirical evidence is produced to support this view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:111-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Cecilio Tamarit Author-X-Name-First: Cecilio Author-X-Name-Last: Tamarit Title: Convergence in fiscal pressure across EU countries Abstract: The degree of convergence in fiscal pressure registered in the European Union during the 1967-94 period is studied. To that end, OECD data is used and both the traditional cross-sectional convergence indicators and the time series analysis of the longrun properties of the data set are examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:117-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Seyf Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Seyf Title: Can more FDI solve the problem of unemployment in the EU? A short note Abstract: This letter, using regression analysis, attempts to quantify the relationship between foreign direct invetment (FDI) and jobs in the European Union. A sample of 401 Japanese firms in four EU member states has been chosen. It is shown that despite the clear enthusiasm of governments in these countries to attract FDI, its impact on job creation is not substantial, and hence, as a policy to reduce unemployment in the EU, this option may have to be seriously re-examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351951 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351951&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Grace Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Grace Title: Black-Scholes option pricing via genetic algorithms Abstract: Investors use the Black-Scholes option pricing model to find theoretically correct option prices. These prices are then compared to market prices to discover mispriced options. However, a difficulty arises in the use of the model, because one variable in the model must be estimated: the instantaneous variance of the underlying security's returns. This is usually proxied by the implied volatility of the security's returns. The more accurately investors are able to estimate this value, the more accurate their estimates of theoretical option values will be. It is argued that investors can find more precise theoretical values of options by using genetic algorithms than by using traditional calculus-based search techniques to find estimates of the implied volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351960 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351960&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Kirikos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kirikos Title: Forecasting exchange rates out of sample: random walk vs Markov switching regimes Abstract: A random walk is compared with a Markov switching regimes process in forecasting exchange rates out of sample, using quarterly data on three currencies relative to the US dollar over the period 1973:3-1997:3. The results show that the relative performance of the models varies with the length of the post-sample period suggesting that the availability of more past information may be useful in forecasting future exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351979 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351979&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lonnie Hamm Author-X-Name-First: Lonnie Author-X-Name-Last: Hamm Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Trading futures markets based on signals from a neural network Abstract: A neural network trading model is developed for hard red winter wheat and Deutsche Mark futures markets. The inputs to the neural network are lagged prices. The results are generally unfavourable. The neural network does not produce statistically significant profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:2:p:137-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Thomas Willett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: Is the negative correlation between inflation and growth real? An analysis of the effects of the oil supply shocks Abstract: This paper investigates the view that the often-documented negative relationship between inflation and economic growth is largely spurious, resulting primarily from supply shocks which raise inflation and hurt growth. Evidence from tests of structural breaks is consistent with this hypothesis, but more detailed examination finds that while incorporation of supply-shock considerations does lower some of the estimates of the effects of inflation on growth for the industrial countries, these remain quite substantial. Little influence is found on the much lower estimates for developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:141-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Laszlo Matyas Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Matyas Title: Performance of the operational Wansbeek-Bekker estimator for dynamic panel data models Abstract: Wansbeek and Bekker considered a new estimator for simple dynamic panel data models (where there are no exogenous variables) which involved a complex weighting matrix. An operational variant of this estimator is proposed which is applicable to the more realistic case where there are exogenous variables. Also proposed is an easy-to-compute approximation to the weighting matrix. The performance of this (these) new estimator(s) is examined, revealing very desirable small sample properties in a wide range of situations that the applied researcher is likely to encounter, especially in moderate time series length panels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ina Levitzky Author-X-Name-First: Ina Author-X-Name-Last: Levitzky Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: William Robinson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Determinants of gaming revenue: extent of changing attitudes in the gaming industry Abstract: Analysis of monthly gaming activities in Clark County, Nevada from 1988:1 to 1995:6 reveals that the County's gaming revenue is positively associated with the amount of playable slot machines and visitors, and negatively to the nation's travel price index. The analysis also reveals the negative effect of playable table games on gaming revenue, hence signalling changing attitudes toward gaming in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Monetary shocks, inflation and the asymmetric adjustment of UK industrial output Abstract: There is evidence that real output responds asymmetrically to monetary shocks. Models advanced by Tsiddon and Ball and Mankiw argue that the degree of asymmetry to demand shocks is sensitive to inflation. Using data on manufacturing, services, construction, energy and agricultural output, this study tests whether this is the case for UK industry. Maximum likelihood estimation offers confirmation for manufacturing and construction output but evidence is much weaker in the cases of service, energy and agricultural sector output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-163 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:159-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Soo Chua Author-X-Name-First: Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Chua Title: ASEAN: economic integration and intra-regional trade Abstract: The study shed some light on the economic integration and intra-regional trade in the ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Towards this goal, a gravity model is estimated for each of the five ASEAN countries based on the data from 1980 to 1995. Analysis reveals that the trade in ASEAN countries increases with the size of the economy. The ASEAN integration scheme did not increase intra-ASEAN trade, but an increase in trade occurred with members of a wider APEC group. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:165-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-Steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-Steeley Author-Name: James Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: Portfolio diversification and filter rule profits Abstract: Previously, it has been shown that the profits from a simple market timing trading rule applied to a portfolio of shares can be affected by the inter-relationships between the returns of the component securities. In this short letter, the results from applying a more sophisticated 'filter' rule to the same data are reported. Unlike the simple trading rule, the filter rule does produce some evidence of economic profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-175 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351735 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351735&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:171-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of budget deficits on ex post real long-term interest rates Abstract: The study investigates the impact of budget deficits on ex post real long-term interest rates over the 1973-1995 period, thereby addressing an interest rate measure and time period, i.e. beyond the mid-to late-1980s, that have received only limited attention in the literature. The instrumented variables (IV) estimate provides strong evidence that budget deficits do raise the long-term real ex post rate of interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Tai-Yoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Dealing with zero response data from contingent valuation surveys: application of least absolute deviations estimator Abstract: Data on willingness-to-pay (WTP) collected from contingent valuation surveys are usuallycensoredat zero. Insuch cases, ordinary least squares estimationof the WTP equation produces inconsistent parameter estimates. The maximum likelihood estimation of the Tobit model, which is widely used in this case, is not robust to heteroscedasticity and non-normal error structure. A least absolute deviations estimator allows for the censored data structure and is robust to these problems. In addition, the technique is useful in the case of small amounts of data. It is applied to household survey data in which the contingent valuation question involved the benefit of greenhouse gases reduction policy in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351753 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351753&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinglou Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jinglou Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: An optimal quality cost model Abstract: A model is developed for the quality cost of a product as the product perfection rate varies and the minimum quality cost model is discussed. The sample data from STMT Inc. for the years 1994 and 1995 is used to show how to establish the model using the linear regression model method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-188 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351762 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351762&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:185-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: Mark-ups, industry structure and the business cycle Abstract: Information on the primal and dual productivity measure is used to estimate industry mark-ups for 4-digit US manufacturing industries. Investigating the relationship between these estimates and various industry characteristics as well as their cyclical movements, it is found that mark-ups are significantly higher in concentrated and capital-intensive industries with high growth rates and advertising-to-sales ratios. In contrast to previous research, significant differences inmark-ups over the business cycle are not found. It is argued that the procyclicality of margins reported in earlier studies might be caused by the (false) assumption of identical average and marginal costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:189-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Fang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Decades of daily data versus one week data with ultra-high frequency: a note on estimating expected rate of return and volatility Abstract: Are twodecades of daily observations more plausible thana set of hourly data of the same size? Is it true that the more data there is the better the estimate? To answer those questions, an understanding of two types of consistency associated with estimates of return andvolatility is fundamental. The first consistency depends critically upon the total length of observation period and reciprocates with estimation of return; while the second emphasizes the role of sampling frequency and is more relevant when dealing with estimation of volatility. This letter addresses certain important issues from estimating return and volatility with focuses on the nature and the distinction of these two consistencies as well as their respective empirical implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alistair Bruce Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: Bruce Author-Name: Johnnie Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Johnnie Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Market efficiency analysis requires a sensitivity to market characteristics: some observations on a recent study of betting market efficiency Abstract: This short paper offers a critical appraisal of a recent contribution to the debate on efficiency in the particular context of horserace betting markets. A number of specific criticisms are detailed. These include the failure of the authors to capture inefficiency signals which relate to non-winning horses and the weakness of the rule developed to identify inefficiency signals, in terms especially of its arbitrary nature and the fact that it captures a wide range of non-equivalent changes in underlying subjective probability. The nature of the inefficiency signals identified by the rule also arouses suspicions of sample bias. Further concerns relate to the operational limitations of a rule for identifying inefficiency which is only observable at the close of the trading period and the lack of acknowledgement of the highly limited arbitrage opportunities which exist between the parallel bookmaker and parimutuel betting markets which operate in the UK. In general, it is argued that the main limitation of the earlier paper lies in the fact that its methodology, analysis and interpretation of results fail to address the idiosyncrasies of structure and process which characterize betting markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Youn Kim Author-X-Name-First: H. Youn Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Alternative specifications of consumer intertemporal budget constraint and measures of wealth and saving Abstract: This note examines several alternative specifications of the consumer's intertemporal budget constraint and shows that while different specifications give the same first-order conditions, they produce different results with respect to measures of wealth and saving and hence consumption when interest is paid on money balances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:203-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Author-Name: Gokce Soydemir Author-X-Name-First: Gokce Author-X-Name-Last: Soydemir Title: On the linkages between equity markets in Latin America Abstract: This paper utilizes a VAR model to analyse the extent of interdependency of equity markets in Latin America. The results from estimating impulse response functions suggest that there are strong linkages between the equity markets of Mexico and the US, and weaker but significant linkages between the stock markets of Argentina, Brazil and Chile. These cross-country differences in transmission patterns may result from country-specific differences in both the financial market structure as well as economic fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:3:p:207-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Title: Some evidence on the export-led growth hypothesis for Ireland Abstract: The paper tests the export-led growth hypothesis in Ireland over the last 40 years using the modern econometric analysis of nonstationary time series. It is found that over the 1950-1990 period there is no long-run relationship between real GDP and export volume and no evidence for the export-led growth hypothesis either. The analysis of the more recent 1981-1994 period provides strong evidence in favour of a long-run relationship between industrial production and export volume and Granger-causality from exports to output. These results support the export-led growth hypothesis over the last fifteen years and highlight the importance of export-promoting policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-214 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:211-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: A. Abu-Bakar Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Abu-Bakar Author-Name: P. Wylie Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Wylie Title: A yen bloc in Pacific Asia: natural economic symbiosis or overblown rhetorics? Abstract: Unlike earlier studies, this paper argues that the relevant determinants of East Asian integration ought to be gravity (proximity and size of the regional economics). Using a gravity model of 1975-95 merchandise trade flows, strong evidence was found by East Asian economies integrating and interacting like never before. Interestingly, the most recent evidence also suggests that Japan is in danger of losing its place at the centre of this potentially self-sustaining economic system. In other words, the East Asian situation is still unfolding as the regional economies experience a dynamic process of changing comparative advantage which is enhancing their competitiveness against one another, as well as against other developed economies, including Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-218 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:215-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziy Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saziy Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Author-Name: W. David McCausland Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: McCausland Title: The dynamics of bond versus treasury bill deficit financing Abstract: Many governments have a long-run target of lowering budget deficits in the future through current deficit spending, relying on economic growth to deliver their policy objective. This paper shows that this is unattainable under bond finance, since there exists no stable equilibrium. However, it is shown that a sustainable growth equilibrium is possible, but only if the deficit is treasury bill financed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-223 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:219-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: On the substitution effect of the minimum wage increase: new evidence Abstract: The impact of the minimum wage increase on the part-time/full-time employment ratio (PTFT) is re-examined. Contrary to some previous findings, strong evidence is found of the substitution effect that if the relative wage (the ratio of the minimum wage to the average hourly earning in the private sector) rises, PTFT decreases. The linear and logarithmic forms can be rejected. The partial adjustment process describes the lag response better. Real GDP growth is found to be insignificant and may be proxied by the unemployment rate for experienced workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:225-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Yamada Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: M2 demand relation and effective exchange rate in Japan: a cointegration analysis Abstract: The paper examines whether M2 demand in Japan does not form a cointegrated system unless the effective exchange rate is included. We focus on testing statistical significance of the coefficient for the effective exchange rate in the long-run equilibrium M2 demand relation. Empirical results indicate that it is significant, which suggests that the effective exchange rate is necessary for Japanese M2 demand cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-232 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:229-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangyong Joo Author-X-Name-First: Sangyong Author-X-Name-Last: Joo Title: Stock returns and inflation: a covariance decomposition Abstract: The paper introduces the concept of covariance decomposition in a vector autoregression system. It is applied to the negative relationship between real stock returns and inflation in the postwar United States, and examine whether monetary policy accounts for the negative covariance. When the Federal funds rate is used to identify changes in monetary policy, for the 1959-1990 sample, about 30% of the observed negative covariance is attributable to monetary shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margarita Katsimi Author-X-Name-First: Margarita Author-X-Name-Last: Katsimi Title: Stochastic shifts in the natural rate of unemployment: evidence from Greece Abstract: The paper aims at estimating the natural rate of unemployment in Greece. The methodology adopted follows that of Hamilton. It is assumed that the rate of unemployment follows a stochastic process with periodic shifts in the mean and variance. The natural rate is then estimated using a Markov switching process. Empirical evidence is found that the Greek economy switches over time between two regimes: a regime in which the natural rate and the variance of the rate of unemployment are low (the 1970s); and a regime in which both the natural rate and the variance of the rate of unemployment are high (the 1960s, 1980s and 1990s). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Cromwell Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Cromwell Author-Name: Walton Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Walton Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: James Yoder Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Yoder Title: Diversification across mutual funds in a three-moment world Abstract: The standard deviation and skewness of returns of mutual fund portfolios is examined as the number of funds in the portfolio increases. Diversifying across mutual funds substantially reduces portfolio dispersion but also causes an undesirable increase in negative return skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-245 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:243-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Nonparametric measurement of cost competitiveness and productivity Abstract: A nonparametric method of measuring cost competitiveness is empirically applied over international airlines data and a comparison made of the two subsets: competitively efficient and the nonefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satish Chand Author-X-Name-First: Satish Author-X-Name-Last: Chand Author-Name: Kunal Sen Author-X-Name-First: Kunal Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: The business cycle, market structure and mark-ups: an Indian case study Abstract: The new industrial organization theories as applied to macroeconomics predict that the relationship between the business cycle and profit mark-up is mediated by market structure. This prediction is tested using panel data on Indian manufacturing and evidence is found to support the above proposition. In particular, it is found that mark-ups are more counter-cyclical in concentrated industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Herce Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Herce Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Juan Jose de Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Jose Author-X-Name-Last: de Lucio Title: Social protection benefits and growth: evidence from the European Union Abstract: Using a harmonized data set for the European Union and panel data techniques, and following a production function approach, we find a positive growth effect of total social protection expenditure on growth. When evaluating the effects of different programmes, the results are mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Cointegration and disaggregation: evidence from UK consumers' expenditure Abstract: Recent work has shown the components of consumers' expenditure to exhibit differing temporal properties. Evidence from univariate tests of asymmetric behaviour and time deformation models have found durable consumption to possess excessive cyclicality and display a greater degree of asymmetric behaviour than other components of aggregate consumption. In light of this, and the work of Gonzalo (mimeo, University of California, San Diego, 1988) and Granger (Long Run Economic Relationships (Eds) R. F. Engle and C. W. J. Granger, OUP, Oxford, 1991) on the relationship between aggregation and cointegration, the extent of cointegration between income and the components of consumers' expenditure is examined. The findings of the above studies suggest that durable goods are more likely to be cointegrated with income than other components of consumption. The results of this letter support this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-262 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:259-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Reluctant respondents and contingent valuation surveys Abstract: Using an innovative telephone survey design, this study investigates the possibility that 'reluctant' respondents may give significantly different willingness to pay (WTP) responses in contingent valuation surveys. Two different measures of respondent reluctance are evaluated (interviewer assessed and respondent assessed). Evidence of a reluctant respondent effect is present in an open-ended elicitation format but not in a dichotomous choice elicitation format. Implications for survey design and WTP modelling are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guido Luchters Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Luchters Author-Name: Lukas Menkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Menkhoff Title: Chaotic signals from HDI measurement Abstract: The Human Development Index (HDI) is designed to provide a development measure competing with GDP, and it has been reformed several times to this end. The 1996 and 1997 reports, however, reveal a severe new flaw in the HDI: the transformation of GDP changes into the index of human development is completely misleading, as higher real per capita GDP often causes lower HDI values, and vice-versa. This transformation is generally highly sensitive to the initial GDP, resulting in chaotic transformation patterns. Relatively marginal modifications to the measurement of HDI could solve this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:267-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Hertel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Hertel Author-Name: Kyle Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Title: Managerial heterogeneity and the compositional effect Abstract: Standard microeconomic theory has long recognized firm-level substitution and output effects in explaining aggregate responses to taxation of an input such as nitrogen fertilizer. However, in the presence of managerial heterogeneity, a nitrogen tax will also affect the composition of the industry, with profligate users of nitrogen shrinking in relative importance, and low-nitrogen users expanding. In this paper, we assert that a substantial share of the reduction in nitrogen normally attributed to firm-level substitution may in fact owe its origin to this type of industry-wide compositional effect. We also demonstrate that, while such a tax will have only a minor effect on industry average net returns, its impact on individual corn producers will be quite significant in some cases, with nitrogen-intensive producers losing while those farmers with low rates of commercial nitrogen usage stand to gain from the tax. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro Gaviria Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Gaviria Title: Is soccer dying? A time series approach Abstract: A Markov switching regime model is used to investigate structural breaks in the average goals per game in the premier soccer leagues of England, Italy and Spain. The analysis reveals a structural break around 1965 in the three countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-278 Issue: 4 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351672 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351672&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:4:p:275-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Spurious regression problems in the determinants of health care expenditure: a comment on Hitiris (1997) Abstract: In a recent article in this journal Hitiris used panel data for ten EC countries to analyse the determinants of aggregate health care expenditure. This comment shows that the model was plagued by a spurious regression problem. The data are reexamined using standard unit root and cointegration testing procedures, as well as new tests for unit roots in panels and for long-run relationships when the orders of integration of the underlying regressors are not known. There is overwhelming evidence for non-stationarity of the variables, and no conclusive evidence regarding the existence of equilibrium relationships. The apparent significance of the dependency rate and the rate of inflation in the Hitiris model were simply due to the influence of common stochastic trends. New results confirm the overriding importance of income in determining aggregate health care spending, but suggest a shortrun income elasticity significantly less than one. The results also uncover a number of problems in modelling the determinants of health care expenditure and warn against drawing firm conclusions from aggregate level models in an area where theory provides little guidance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351393 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351393&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucio Sarno Author-X-Name-First: Lucio Author-X-Name-Last: Sarno Title: Real exchange rate behaviour in high inflation countries: empirical evidence from Turkey, 1980-1997 Abstract: The long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis is re-examined using data for Turkey and its major trading partners during the period 1980-97, extending recent work by Telatar and Kazdagli. The empirical analysis suggests that, while conventional unit root tests do not enable the detection of mean reversion in real exchange rates and hence imply rejection of long-run PPP over the sample, using recently developed nonlinear modelling techniques, strong support is provided for the validity of long-run PPP as well as for theoretical models which predict nonlinear adjustment in real exchange rates. Results are in accord with previous evidence that PPP holds more closely on data for countries which have experienced unusually high inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-291 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351401 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351401&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:285-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samy Ben Naceur Author-X-Name-First: Samy Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Naceur Title: An examination of the Tunisian IPO pricing in the short and long run: 1992-1997 Abstract: The new issue process in Tunisia is examined and evidence for underpricing and aftermarket performance of Initial Public Offerings are presented. Substantial positive abnormal returns are obtained in the short run and this finding is similar to that reported in other nations. A positive aftermarket return of 11.04% is found confirming underpricing but contrasting with all previous studies except that of Dawson. Solutions are proposed to reduce underpricing dealing with mechanisms by which companies initially offer shares of common stock to institutional and individual investors and the allocation procedures of new issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: Cyclical behaviour of productivity growth and price-cost margins: asymmetry and market power effects Abstract: A cross-sectional analysis was performed on the NBER Manufacturing Productivity database (450 four-digit industries) to investigate the behaviour of total factor productivity growth rates (PROD) and price-marginal cost ratios (PMC) in US manufacturing industries. This analysis allows for asymmetric behaviour and determines the effects of imperfect competition on cyclicality. Results indicate that PROD is procyclical, more so in contractions, and that market power is associated with an even greater increase in PROD during expansions; this suggests that variable input utilization (e.g. labour hoarding) is responsible for productivity growth fluctuations, and that firms in less competitive industries have more slack and can thus use inputs more intensively during booms. PMC decreases in both expansions and contractions, and the contractionary decrease is smaller in monopolistic industries; this can be attributed to capacity constraints in expansions and price cutting in contractions, with monopolistic industries less likely to engage in price competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-300 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:297-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali El-Agraa Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: El-Agraa Author-Name: Anthony Jones Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: On 'CU can dominate UTR' Abstract: For a decade and a half, Cooper and Massell's (1965) conclusion that a policy of unilateral tariff reduction (UTR) is superior to the formation of a customs union (CU) remained unchallenged. However Wonnacott and Wonnacott (1981) using a more realistic model, claimed to show that UTR need not dominate a CU. Here, we point out that the Wonnacott and Wonnacott model is incomplete since their CU does not have a common external tariff, and demonstrate that the incorporation of such a tariff in their analysis restores the validity of the Cooper and Massell proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Sotiris Tsola Cos Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Tsola Author-X-Name-Last: Cos Title: Does orthogonalization really purge equitybased property valuations of their general stock market influences? Abstract: This paper uses a recently developed nonlinear Granger causality test to determine whether linear orthogonalization really does remove general stock market influences on real estate returns to leave pure industry effects in the latter. The results suggest that there is no nonlinear relationship between the US equity-based property index returns and returns on a general stock market index, although there is evidence of nonlinear causality for the corresponding UK series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Feve Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Feve Author-Name: Y. Le Pen Author-X-Name-First: Y. Le Author-X-Name-Last: Pen Title: On modelling convergence clubs Abstract: A switching regression approach with imperfect sample separation information is used to determine convergence clubs. Regime classification allows one to determine which countries belong to the related convergence clubs. Initial per capita GDP does not provide a perfect sample separation information, but the regimes classification obtained from an endogenous switching model provides unusual results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Bruce Cater Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Cater Author-Name: Saud Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Saud Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Title: A causality analysis of untied foreign assistance and export performance: the case of Germany Abstract: Three questions regarding the relationship between untied assistance and donor country exports are investigated. First, do untied aid flows cause donor country exports to increase, reflecting the goodwill of the recipient towards the donor? Second, does strong export performance financially enable or politically encourage the donor country to increase its level of untied aid to the recipient? Third, does causality proceed in both directions simultaneously? Using German data for the period 1973-1995, results vary across subsamples defined according to the recipient countries' region, income and ties to Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-319 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:315-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Broome Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Broome Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Long-run and short-run linkages between stock prices and interest rates in the G-7 Abstract: The paper investigates the nature of the relationship between stock prices and interest rates, using the cointegration and co-dependence techniques. Using data for the G-7 economies, the evidence suggests that in general stock prices and interest rates do not exhibit a long-run common trend, but rather follow a short-run cyclical pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:321-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Papahristodoulou Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Papahristodoulou Title: The Dayton division of Bosnia and other core allocations Abstract: The paper evaluates the Dayton Peace Agreement division of Bosnia. Based on Census data from 1991 and under plausible assumptions on all territories (pure ethnic and mixed as well), cooperative core allocations are applied to divide the country into its three parts. The highest share, which is received by the Serbs (the nucleolus solution), is 459 square km less than the respective Dayton share. Serbs, however, benefit from the goal programming implementation of that solution, since less of them are forced to leave their homes, compared to the Dayton division In general, the redrawn nucleolus map of Bosnia, is approximately 93% identical to the Dayton Peace Agreement map. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-336 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:325-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Kidd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kidd Author-Name: Todd Goninon Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Goninon Title: Female concentration and the gender wage differential in the United Kingdom Abstract: The paper utilizes the methodology proposed by Johnson and Solon (American Economic Review, 76 (5), 1117-1125, 1986) to examine the impact of job segregation on the gender wage gap in the UK in 1991. The results suggest that despite implementation of the UK 1983 Equal Pay Amendment there remains clear evidence that male/female workers in female dominated jobs continue to earn less for work of 'similar worth' than their counterparts in male dominated jobs within the same firm. This conclusion is insensitive to whether one adopts an occupation or firm based measure of gender concentration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351492 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351492&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:337-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-Steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-Steeley Title: Interdependence of international equity market volatility Abstract: This paper investigates whether equity market volatility in one major market is related to volatility elsewhere. This paper models the daily conditional volatility of equity market wide returns as a GARCH-(1,1) process. Such a model will capture the changing nature of the conditional variance through time. It is found that the correlation between the conditional variances of major equity markets has increased substantially over the last two decades. This supports work which has been undertaken on conditional mean returns which indicates there has been an increase in equity market integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-345 Issue: 5 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:5:p:341-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The alternative asymmetric behaviour of Australian consumers' expenditure Abstract: In this letter tests for asymmetric dynamic behaviour are applied to Australian consumers expenditure. In contrast to recent findings for the UK provided by the seminal work of Holly and Stannett (1995), where asymmetric behaviour is found in the form of heightened levels during booms, Australian consumers expenditure exhibits asymmetry in the form of rapid falls in recessionary periods. These results are indicative of differing expectations and/or attitudes towards risk between the two sets of consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshiaki Watana Author-X-Name-First: Toshiaki Author-X-Name-Last: Watana Title: Excess kurtosis of conditional distribution for daily stock returns: the case of Japan Abstract: Not only the unconditional distribution but also the conditional distribution of daily asset returns are known to be leptokurtic. Thus, some authors have suggested using ARCH-type models with leptokurtic distributions such as the t-distribution and the generalized error distribution (GED) for the conditional distribution. The purpose of this paper examines what distribution is fit for the conditional distribution of daily Japanese stock returns. In particular, we estimate an exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model developed by Nelson (1991) jointly with the generalized t-distribution, which nests both the Student's t-distribution and the generalized error distribution (GED) employed by other researchers. It is shown that the Student's t-distribution is suited for capturing the excess kurtosis of conditional distribution for daily Japanese stock returns, which does not depend on sample period and is consistent with what Bollerslev et al. (1994) have found by fitting a similar model to daily US stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-355 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:353-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abu Wahid Author-X-Name-First: Abu Author-X-Name-Last: Wahid Title: Stagflation and stability of the Keynesian consumption function: an empricial analysis Abstract: In macroeconomics, consumption functions supposedly demonstrate stable relationships between consumption and disposable income. This letter constructs a simple consumption function of Keynesian type. It also estimates the function and tests if any structural change had taken place in this function in 1974 following the beginning of the stagflationary era caused by the great oil-crunch of the early 1970s. The estimation and testing follow standard statistical procedures and use annual time series data for Canada (1947-78). The findings suggest that the Keynesian function for Canada had not undergone any significant structural change in 1974. The function was found quite stable in terms of intercept as well as slope parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 357-359 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351276 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351276&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:357-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Peters Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: On the use of the RESET test in microeconometric models Abstract: The letter notes that a generalized RESET test can be employed as a test for misspecification in a variety of parametric and semi-parametric micro-econometric models. The test's performance is illustrated using three models commonly used in labour supply studies: the linear, censored (Tobit), and duration (Weibull) regression models. All are estimated by fully parametric (maximum likelihood) and semiparametric methods. Comments are provided on the finite sample performance of the test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-365 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:361-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Crompton Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Crompton Title: Extending the stochastic approach to index numbers Abstract: The variance of the inflation rate estimator in the stochastic approach of Clements and Izan will be biased in most applications due to stringent restrictions on the variance of the OLS error term. To overcome this weakness, the stochastic methodology is reformulated and extended by deriving a variance estimator which is robust to unknown forms of heteroscedasticity. Under this new approach the exact nature of the error variance is of no concern, and can remain unidentified. A major innovation of this work is the derivation of a scalar representation for the variance estimator which has considerable intuitive appeal since it uses consumer expenditure shares to weight the relative price movements used in the calculation of the inflation rate variances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351294 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351294&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of state regulations on boating accidents and fatalities Abstract: Various federal and state regulations on recreational boating were enacted with the intention of reducing recreational boating accidents and fatalities. Based on multivariate analysis of state regulations on recreational boating and boating statistics from 1990 to 1994, this study indicates that laws and educational programmes focusing on youths are effective in reducing boating accidents and fatalities. The empirical results suggest that the minimum age requirement for boat operators is a significant factor in reducing boating accidents and fatalities. Furthermore, states which offer boating safety classes as part of their public school curriculum have significantly less boating accidents than states which do not. On the other hand implied consent laws and mandatory education for boat operators are not statistically significant factors in reducing boating accidents and fatalities. Mandatory wearing of personal floating devices may have offsetting effects on boating by inducing more 'driving' intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-378 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351302 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351302&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:373-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Efficiency analysis by stochastic data envelopment analysis Abstract: The nonparametric approach of efficiency analysis is generalized here in the stochastic case, when the input prices and capital adjustment costs vary. An empirical application illustrates the economic implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-383 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:379-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Erotokritos Varelas Author-X-Name-First: Erotokritos Author-X-Name-Last: Varelas Author-Name: Kostas Velentzas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Velentzas Title: Money supply, consumption and deregulation: the case of Greece Abstract: This paper investigates empirically the impact of monetary deregulation that occurred in 1988 on the relationship betwen consumption and money supply in Greece. The results provide evidence that the deregulation has significantly affected the behaviour of consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Title: Intergenerational mobility and occupational status in Britain Abstract: This paper examines the link between parents occupational attainment and that of their children. The existence of such a link implies dependence on inherited conditions and the stronger the link the less the potential for intergenerational mobility. The degree to which occupational mobility is influenced by parental achievements is investigated using data from the British Household Panel Survey. The evidence obtained suggests that individual attainment is strongly influenced by parental status. In particular, the occupational attainment of sons is found to depend significantly on the socioeconomic status of their fathers. The implication is that occupational mobility in 1990s Britain was still to some extent constrained by the achievements of the previous generation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Herce Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Herce Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Juan Jose De Lucio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Jose Author-X-Name-Last: De Lucio Title: Social protection benefits and growth: evidence from the European Union Abstract: Using a harmonized data set for the European Union and panel data techniques, and following a production function approach, we find a positive growth effect of total social protection expenditure on growth. When evaluating the effects of different programmes, the results are mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garey Durden Author-X-Name-First: Garey Author-X-Name-Last: Durden Author-Name: Patricia Gaynor Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Gaynor Title: Relative changes in gender and race-based earnings costs, 1970-1995 Abstract: The major purpose of this paper is to determine absolute and relative changes in gender and race based, inflation-adjusted earnings costs over the period 1970-1995. Yearly estimated earnings comparisons of white males with white females, African-American males and females suggest that total earnings gaps have narrowed considerably. For African-American males, remaining costs are mostly associated with labour market and other measurable differences. For white and African-American females, however, the unexplained, possibly discriminatory portion of the earnings gap has increased in absolute (as compared to white males) and relative terms (as compared to African-American males). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helena Skyt Nielsen Author-X-Name-First: Helena Skyt Author-X-Name-Last: Nielsen Title: Wage discrimination in Zambia: an extension of the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition Abstract: Recently, there has been growing interest in reducing gender and race discrimination. Hence, interest in exploring what causes the discriminatory wage gap has also grown. An often applied tool for this type of analysis is the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition technique. However, it turns out that this technique is inadequate when it comes to calculation of separate contributions to discrimination for indicator variables. This is because the contributions are not robust against a change of reference group. In this paper the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition is extended to handle this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting-Wong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Kuo-Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chih-Chiang Weng Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: Economies of scale and scope in Taiwan's CPA service industry Abstract: Based on the 1994 survey data of certified public accountant (CPA) firms in Taiwan, and by applying the iterative seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) technique to a simultaneous system of a translog multi-product cost function and its corresponding factor share equations, an attempt is made to investigate the extents of economies of scale and scope in Taiwan's CPA service industry. The empirical results show that product-specific scale economies exist for auditing, tax and management advisory services. Ray scale economies are significantly present. Significant economies of scope exist in providing tax and management advisory services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:409-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Title: Implied continuous time lag distributions: further evidence for the UK Abstract: This paper presents implied continuous time lag distributions of the main UK economic variables obtained from recent estimates by Nowman of the Bergstrom, Nowman and Wymer continuous time dynamic macroeconometric model of the UK economy. The lag distributions provide further evidence of the richer dynamic specification allowed for in second-order continuous time macroeconomic models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 6 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:6:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandros Milionis Author-X-Name-First: Alexandros Author-X-Name-Last: Milionis Author-Name: Demetrios Moschos Author-X-Name-First: Demetrios Author-X-Name-Last: Moschos Title: On the validity of the weak-form efficient markets hypothesis applied to the London stock exchange: comment Abstract: The empirical work and interpretation of the results of Al-Loughani and Chappell (1997) is commented upon. On the basis of the reported results, and contrary to the authors' conclusion, it is argued that although the random walk hypothesis is rejected, the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis (WFME), for the London stock exchange cannot be rejected. Some further comments on WFME in the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity are made. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-421 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:419-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: A note on the computation of time series model roots Abstract: The roots of time series models are important for analysing model dynamics and have a special importance in the unit root and co-integration literature. In this paper known results about the equivalence of state space and auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) models are exploited to give better calculations of VAR and ARMA model roots. The improved computational accuracy is illustrated with an especially difficult example. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-424 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:423-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Kamuran Malatyali Author-X-Name-First: Kamuran Author-X-Name-Last: Malatyali Title: The implicit reaction function of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Abstract: Reviewing the implicit reaction function estimation under different specifications, it appears that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) responds to the lagged inflation rate rather than the forward one, M2Y growth is targeted on an annual basis and a serious output targeting policy was implemented while neither real nor nominal depreciation of the foreign currency basket was taken into consideration during the period 1989:07-1997:03. Also, we conclude that the CBRT does not target currency issued, M2, net domestic assets or net foreign assets nor does it take any of the budget deficit measures into account while determining its monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-430 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:425-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panos Fousekis Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Fousekis Author-Name: Christos Pantzios Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Pantzios Title: Meat demand in Greece with quality decomposition Abstract: This paper investigates the demand for major types of meat in Greece for the 1976-1995. The findings indicate that beef and veal has the highest income and price elasticities compared to the rest of meats (mutton, poultry and pork). A quality decomposition reveals the importance of different factors for the quality change in meat consumption in Greece over the same period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Loomis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loomis Author-Name: Cynthia Pierce Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Pierce Author-Name: Mike Manfredo Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Manfredo Title: Using the demand for hunting licences to evaluate contingent valuation estimates of willingness to pay Abstract: Taking advantage of differences in inflation adjusted licence prices over time, the demand for hunting licences is estimated. This introduces a different type of validity test which compares willingness to pay derived from actual licence demand to estimates of hunting benefits derived by the contingent valuation method. Willingness to pay estimates for deer and elk hunting derived from contingent valuation are statistically less than corresponding estimates from the actual licence sale demand analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-438 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:435-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Butterworth Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Butterworth Title: The impact of futures trading on underlying stock index volatility: the case of the FTSE Mid 250 contract Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of futures trading in the FTSE Mid 250 index on the underlying spot market using symmetric and asymmetric GARCH methods. Tests for the presence of asymmetries suggest a symmetric model adequately captures the response of volatility to news. Results indicate that following the onset of futures trading the quantity of information flowing into the market increased. However, the rate at which news is impounded into prices fell, with an associated rise in the persistence of information. These findings are consistent with the institutional characteristics and trading history of the FTSE Mid 250 market in the period following the onset of futures trading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomson Ogwang Author-X-Name-First: Tomson Author-X-Name-Last: Ogwang Title: Inter-country inequality in human development indicators Abstract: This paper compares the degree of inter-country inequality in three measures of human development (the Human Development Index (HDI), the Gender-Related Development Index (GDI) and the Gender Empowerment Measure (GEM)) to those in real income as measured by real GDP per capita in PPP$ (RY) and adjusted real GDP per capita in PPP$ (ARY). To this end, three inequality measures with convenient decomposition properties are used. The results show that inter-country inequalities in RY and ARY are greater than those in all the three human development indicators, irrespective of the inequality measure used. Furthermore, GDI and GEM both exhibit higher degrees of inter-country inequality than does HDI. In addition, GEM exhibits the highest level of inter-country inequality among the three human development indicators, irrespective of the inequality measure used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:443-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Lon Carlson Author-X-Name-First: J. Lon Author-X-Name-Last: Carlson Title: Hypothetical surveys versus real commitments: further evidence Abstract: The contingent valuation method is frequently used to estimate willingness to pay for environmental services. However, numerous studies have raised serious questions about the validity and reliability of such estimates. The study reported here extends the analysis of hypothetical versus real commitments by considering the effects of alternative indicators of WTP in the hypothetical setting. While part of the results confirm the findings of previous studies-CV methods can result in an overestimate of actual mean WTP-evidence is also produced that a carefully designed CV instrument can produce an estimate of mean WTP that is much closer to actual mean WTP than previous studies would suggest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Bratsiotis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Bratsiotis Title: Political parties and inflation in Greece: the metamorphosis of the Socialist Party on the way to EMU Abstract: This paper examines the inflationary consequences of elected political parties in Greece before and after its commitment to the Single European Act (SEA). It is shown that prior to the SEA there is evidence of an inflation bias following elected Socialist governments in Greece, whereas after the SEA this bias is shown to move the opposite direction. Political wins to conservative governments are shown to have insignificant effects on inflation. With no change in the inflationary effects following conservative wins, the change of Socialists from inflationary to anti-inflationary is shown to have overturned the political partisan cycle in Greece since the SEA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Title: Cost efficiency in the UK water and sewerage industry Abstract: The paper quantifies the relative efficiency of the ten privatized water and sewerage companies between 1987 and 1997. A one-component fixed-effects panel data model is used to estimate a cost function from which distribution-free firm-specific estimates of operational cost efficiency are derived. The study differs from previous studies through the use of differing econometric techniques and by considering the water and sewerage companies as integrated firms. Overall, a moderate level of dispersion in operational cost efficiency is recorded. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Asymmetry and non-linearity in UK output Abstract: The diagnostic tests of time deformation presented by Stock are applied to UK output. In contrast to previous findings, significant evidence of time deformation is detected. It is shown that the success of this analysis is due to closely following the approach outlined in the seminal work of Stock for stochastically trending variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-461 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:459-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact and bootstrap distributions of a unit root test Abstract: Using Imhof's method, the exact distribution of a unit root test is evaluated and detailed critical values are given of the unit root test when the sample size is small and moderate. Then, the bootstrap critical values are generated by Monte Carlo experiments, and compared with the exact ones. The Monte Carlo results show that the bootstrap critical values are reasonably precise. It is also shown that the parametric bootstrap tends to yield more precise estimates of the percentiles than the nonparametric bootstrap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: James Wilkinson Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Wilkinson Title: Is rent-seeking immoral? Examining the behaviour of religion-based political action committees and coalitions Abstract: Tullock recently offered six possible explanations for the observed size disparity between the rent-seeking industry in the major democracies and the value of the actual rent to be derived. One of these is the possibility that rent-seeking is considered immoral by large segments of society, who therefore are unwilling to engage in the activity. The purpose of this study is to provide an empirical response to this possible explanation provided by Tullock. The statistical evidence presented here suggests the lack of an ethical or moral basis against rent-seeking. Therefore, attempts to explain the disparity noted by Tullock should, perhaps, proceed down other avenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-473 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:467-473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuhiro Hosoe Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoe Title: Dependency of simulation results on the choice of numeraire Abstract: There have recently been a growing number of computable general equilibrium (CGE) analyses for developing economies. These analyses often employ so-called structuralist CGE models equipped with fixed wage rates and unemployment (or an unlimited supply of labour). However, the assumption of fixed prices can cause a problem: simulation results can be dependent on the choice of numeraire. This problem is numerically examined with a simple structuralist CGE model. By analysing numerical examples, it was found that simulation results with structuralist CGE models can crucially depend on the choice of numeraire. The simulation results are different qualitatively as well as quantitatively by cases. The results suggest that the numeraire must be chosen carefully and simulation results should be evaluated in light of the chosen numeraire when we assume fixed prices in CGE models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-477 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:475-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Author-Name: Antonio Aznar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar Title: Power in non-nested models: a comparative study Abstract: The main objective of this letter is to compare two concepts of the power of a test developed in the literature on non-nested hypotheses. Using Monte Carlo techniques it is shown that both definitions of power are asymptotically equivalent, but for small samples they differ in some cases very dramatically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-486 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:483-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability Abstract: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability is studied. Results show that the first period optimal R&D and output with durability exceed the respective levels without durability. The second period R&D and output are identical to the no durability case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-488 Issue: 7 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500351249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500351249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:7:p:487-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Author-Name: Mohamed Sheikh Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Sheikh Title: The January effect and monthly seasonality in the All Gold Index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange 1987-1997 Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of the January effect and monthly seasonality in the All Gold Index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange over an 11 year period, 5 January 1987 through 15 May 1997, and for three subsamples of equal length. The results are in severe contrast to the international evidence documented for the stock markets of many other countries, be they developed or emerging markets; there appears to be no January effect or monthly seasonality present in the All Gold Index over the sample period. Although this is perfectly consistent with the notion of market efficiency, it is suggested that the lack of any detectable monthly seasonality, may, in part, be due to the particular market microstructure or operational procedures of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, consequently it is suggested that further research is required in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033229 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033229&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Gokcekus Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Gokcekus Title: How do university students value economics courses? A hedonic approach Abstract: This paper adopts a hedonic approach and uses a multinomial logit model to assess students' valuation of courses based on their characteristics, e.g. presentation, organization, knowledge, accessibility, responsiveness, enthusiasm of the instructor (i.e. instructor), student's amount and type of thinking (i.e. intellectual stimulation), and how demanding a course is (i.e. demand level). Students applied the same quality standards consistently across courses regardless of the class size and the title, degree and position of the instructor. However, elective courses valued more favourably. The most important course attribute is the instructor, intellectual stimulation is the close second, and demand level has a negative impact on the value of a course. Yet, having found that intellectual stimulation's positive contribution is much bigger than the negative impact of demand level, the following emerges as an important yard stick for increasing the value of a course: as long as intellectual stimulation level gets higher, students are willing to put more time into a course. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-496 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033238 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033238&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:493-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Luis Borge Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Borge Title: Inequality and growth: inverted and uninverted U-shapes Abstract: Inequality follows different patterns along a high-income sector enlargement growth. Even under Kuznets' basic assumptions inequality may show a convex shape at the end of the process. Moreover, when some of the basic assumptions are removed, the inequality path may be convex along the whole process or display a reversal from inverted to uninverted U-shapes along the same process. That is why empirical studies should specify which process and which phase within it they are dealing with on testing Kuznets' hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Jones Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Joses Kirigia Author-X-Name-First: Joses Author-X-Name-Last: Kirigia Title: The determinants of the use of alternative methods of contraception among South African women Abstract: The objectives of this study are: (a) to estimate the impact of women's socioeconomic and access characteristics on the choice of specific contraceptive methods; and (b) to identify the wider determinants of family planning behaviour that warrant attention in the policy-making process. A multinominal logit model is estimated using crosssectional data from the South African National Household Survey of Health Inequalities in 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-504 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033256 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033256&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:501-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Aggregate advertising, sales volume and relative prices in the long run Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between advertising expenditures, sales and the cost of advertising using annual UK data over the period 1967-1997. Strong evidence is found for the existence of a cointegrating relationship between real advertising expenditures, sales volumes, goods prices and the cost of advertising messages. Error correction models fit the data well although the estimated price elasticities are not consistent with the equilibrium relationship derived from the Dorfman-Steiner equilibrium condition with a Cobb-Douglas demand function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033265 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033265&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dodo Thampapillai Author-X-Name-First: Dodo Author-X-Name-Last: Thampapillai Title: Willingness to pay and willingness to accept: a simple conceptual exposition Abstract: A simple explanation within the theory of indifference curves is offered for the experimental observations concerning the disparity between willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to accept (WTA). Following Morrison's evidence, this explanation rests largely on the endowment effect. Two demand curves which are distinguished in terms of WTP and WTA are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033274 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033274&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:509-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability Abstract: Socially optimal cost-reducing R&D with product durability is studied. Results show that the first period optimal R&D and output with durability exceed the respective levels without durability. The second period R&D and output are identical to the no durability case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:513-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Flavia Terr Ibile Author-X-Name-First: Flavia Terr Author-X-Name-Last: Ibile Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The endogeneity of tariffs in Italy, 1890-1969 Abstract: The theory of tariff endogeneity suggests that tariffs are influenced by macroeconomic disturbances. The paper tests a simple endogenous tariff model for Italy applying cointegration techniques to time-series data for the period 1890-1969. It is found that the average tariff level is cointegrated with industrial production, consumer prices, the terms of trade and the foreign trade balance (as a percentage of GNP) and that tariff setting has responded to disturbances in these variables. In particular, tariffs appear to have been raised in response to low output growth, increases in the terms of trade and a deteriorating foreign trade balance, and reduced in response to higher inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033292 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033292&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Comparing dynamic efficiency using a two-stage model Abstract: Dynamic efficiency of firms involves both optimal investments over time and optimal operating costs in the short run. These two stages are separately but sequentially analysed to compare different firms in an industry using a Pareto optimality criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-523 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033300 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033300&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:521-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teresa Garin-Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Garin-Munoz Author-Name: Teodosio Perez Amaral Author-X-Name-First: Teodosio Perez Author-X-Name-Last: Amaral Title: An econometric model for international tourism flows to Spain Abstract: The reported study measures the impact of the economic determinants of the international demand for tourist services in Spain. A panel data set of seventeen countries over the period 1985-1995 is used. By using appropriate panel data techniques the effects of real per capita income, exchange rates and real prices on the demand for Spanish tourist services. The estimated elasticities are +1.40, +0.50, and -0.30, respectively. The negative effect of the Gulf War is also detected, with a coefficient of -0.15. These results are comparable to previous empirical studies for other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-529 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:525-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iris Yeung Author-X-Name-First: Iris Author-X-Name-Last: Yeung Author-Name: Nelson Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Nelson Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: An outlier analysis of the Hong Kong stock market index Abstract: The joint estimation procedure of Chen and Liu was applied to the 1997 daily Hong Kong stock market index data for outlier detection and model estimation. The results indicate that the handover of Hong Kong's sovereignty to China on 30 June 1997 seems to have had no effect on the index. The 14 outliers found during the period 2 January to 5 December 1997 are all related to economic events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-534 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033328 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033328&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:531-534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Owyong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Owyong Title: Measuring the trickle-down effect: a case study on Singapore Abstract: The present paper examines the 'trickle-down' effect, which is the diffusion of economic gains from the rich to the poor when the economy expands. While many studies in the literature attempt to measure the extent of trickling-down in different countries, the speed of this trickle-down effect has largely been ignored. This paper proposes a method to measure both the extent and the speed of the trickle-down process in a dynamic framework. This methodology is then applied to data on Singapore, which serves as a good candidate to examine trickle-down effects because it has experienced steady economic growth during the last three decades. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-539 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:535-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: The impact of growth and distribution on poverty in Papua New Guinea Abstract: Changes in poverty in Papua New Guinea during the 1990s adjustment programme are analysed. Data from urban household surveys in 1986 and 1996 are used to calculate the change in the incidence, depth and severity of poverty. The change in poverty rates is decomposed into distribution and growth components, using a methodology proposed by Datt and Ravallion. There was a rise in both the depth and severity of poverty in the 1990s, with the major contributor being the growth in inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Testing PPP for Asian economies during the recent floating period Abstract: The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) is examined between seven Asian countries and the US during the flexible exchange rate period, in the framework of the Johansen cointegration approach with and without restrictions of the PPP parameters. It is found that a long-run comovement exists between the nominal exchange rate and the prices, but the PPP vector does not exist in the cointegration space and the nominal exchange rate and domestic and foreign prices do not move one by one as implied by the theoretical PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033355 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033355&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Seasonal adjustment and cointegrating relationships: consumption and income Abstract: The cointegrated nature of UK consumption and income is examined using 'official' seasonally adjusted data and data which have been seasonally adjusted using an alternative well-established method. It is found that the presence of cointegrating relationship is dependent upon the method of adjustment used, a result reflecting the warnings of Wallis (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63, 18-31, 1974). This result has major implications given the plethora of cointegration studies conducted using seasonally adjusted data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-551 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033364 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033364&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:549-551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Cynthia Lay Harter Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Lay Author-X-Name-Last: Harter Title: Co-movements of Alaska North Slope and UK Brent crude oil prices Abstract: In order to study the inter-relationships of international crude oil markets, empirical analyses are used to investigate univariate and multivariate relationships between Alaska North Slope and UK Brent oil prices. Using monthly data from the period 1974-1996, the results show that both price series follow a random walk and that these oil markets share a long-run common trend. The empirical results suggest that the two markets are 'unified'. That is, they are competitive, and there is price convergence in the markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-558 Issue: 8 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050033373 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050033373&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:8:p:553-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahim Al-Marhubi Author-X-Name-First: Fahim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Marhubi Title: Export diversification and growth: an empirical investigation Abstract: Using recent theories of growth, this paper presents empirical evidence that export diversification promotes economic growth. This result is robust to different specifications of the growth equations and different measures of export diversification. In developing countries, export diversification is associated also with higher investment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:559-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. F. Darrat Author-X-Name-First: A. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Author-Name: M. K. Hsu Author-X-Name-First: M. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: M. Zhong Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: Testing export exogeneity in Taiwan: further evidence Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-567 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:563-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uma Kambhampati Author-X-Name-First: Uma Author-X-Name-Last: Kambhampati Title: Industry competitiveness: leadership identity and market shares Abstract: Industry competitiveness is analysed by considering the stability of leadership positions across industries over time. Unlike earlier studies of competition which have concentrated solely on market shares the paper begins by establishing the significance of both the changes in market shares and the identity of market leaders in reflecting industry competitiveness. To do this, the identity, and market shares, of industry leaders is mapped out, across 11 years and 32 industries in India. It was found that market leaders are very stable in 12 industries but are relatively less stable in 20 industries. When they are stable, market shares are an adequate reflection of competitiveness but when they are not, leadership identity also becomes significant. A dummy variable of proxy for leadership stability is then constructed. Modelling leadership stability using this proxy, it was found that industry profitability, economies of scale and industry growth are all significant determinants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-573 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:569-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Business failure of new software firms Abstract: This paper investigates business failure of newly-established software firms. Using a proportional hazards model, we estimate the determinants of business failure among software firms in Japan founded during 1986-1995. The main findings of this paper are as follows. First, software firms with sufficient size or paid-up capital are less likely to fail. Secondly, vertical integration increases the probability of failure. Thirdly, manager's attributes, such as age, affect the probability of failure. Finally, local agglomeration increases the probability of failure, while macroeconomic growth decreases the probability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:575-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mudit Kulshreshtha Author-X-Name-First: Mudit Author-X-Name-Last: Kulshreshtha Author-Name: Barnali Nag Author-X-Name-First: Barnali Author-X-Name-Last: Nag Title: Some methodological comments on 'Public investment and private capital formation in a vector error-correction model of growth' by K. H. Ghali Abstract: The note comments on the application of Granger non-causality tests of short-run vector error correction models as attempted by Ghali. It is noted that when the dimension of VAR is greater than two, block Granger causality needs to be performed, and that checking variable to variable causality has little meaning in multivariate context as the covariance matrix is positive definite. It is also noted that identification of cointegrating relationships does not provide information on short-run structural relationships, which requires modelling of contemporaneous innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-583 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:581-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sam Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Andy Thorpe Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Thorpe Title: Human capital investment in agricultural communities: lessons from Honduras Abstract: A recent paper by Bedi and Gaston, in estimating the returns to endogenous education in Honduras, examined the determinants of educational attainment through the use of official government statistics. This letter seeks to corroborate their findings using independently collected data and a wider selection of explanatory variables. A binary logit function is estimated using a sample of 424 rural-based individuals who have completed secondary schooling. Results, which indicate the predominance of economic factors (income and wealth) over social factors (gender, household structure, relationship with, or membership of, rural-based organizations) in the educational investment decision, offer some qualified support to the findings of Bedi and Gaston. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-589 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:585-589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Akira Tokihisa Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Tokihisa Title: Seasonal integration and Japanese aggregate data Abstract: The presence of seasonal integration in Japanese macro data is tested. The targeted variables are real values and deflators for GDP, consumption, investment, government expenditure, exports, and imports. First, with respect to seasonality, an entirely different conclusion is obtained for the real values and the deflators of the data series examined. Second, it is clear that there is a difference between the analytical results obtained when a structural break is considered and those obtained when a structural break is not considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James MacGee Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: MacGee Author-Name: Weiqiu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Weiqiu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: The behaviour of productivity growth rates and composition bias in the labour input Abstract: The conventionally calculated Solow residual has been used as a measure of exogenous productivity shocks that contribute to the business cycle. However, recently this residual has been shown to be endogenous and has led to the conclusion that the aggregate economy is characterized by increasing returns to scale and imperfect competition. Another hypothesis is that the Solow residual may fail to be exogenous due to measurement errors in labour and capital. Using an efficiency hours series corrected for the composition bias in the labour force and a capital series adjusted for capacity utilization for Canada, it was found that adjusting the Solow residual for cyclical variations in labour and capital inputs over the business cycle re-establishes exogeneity of productivity shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-598 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:595-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Konstantinos Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Author-Name: Nicholas Tabakis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Tabakis Title: Current account deficit sustainability: The case of Greece Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the sustainability of the current account deficit in Greece over the 1960-1994 period. The empirical analysis makes use of various unit root and cointegration tests which allow for structural breaks. The results provide evidence in favour of the sustainability of the current account deficit and against a required (and unnecessary) devaluation of the drachma. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-603 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:599-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: The impact of growth and distribution on poverty in Papua New Guinea Abstract: Changes in poverty in Papua New Guinea during the 1990s adjustment programme are analysed. Data from urban household surveys in 1986 and 1996 are used to calculate the change in the incidence, depth and severity of poverty. The change in poverty rates is decomposed into distribution and growth components, using a methodology proposed by Datt and Ravallion. There was a rise in both the depth and severity of poverty in the 1990s, with the major contributor being the growth in inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-607 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:605-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Hamid Beladi Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Beladi Title: On the extinction of species in jointly determined stochastic systems Abstract: The sizeable literature on extinction in economics has paid scant attention to the problem of constructing measures of species extinction. Moreover, this literature has not studied the question of species extinction in stochastic systems that are jointly determined. Consequently, the objective of this paper is to use probability theory to construct a measure of species extinction in jointly determined ecological-economic systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-612 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:609-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Yuriko Imamura Author-X-Name-First: Yuriko Author-X-Name-Last: Imamura Title: International transmission of stock prices among G7 countries: LA-VAR approach Abstract: The reported study analysed interdependence among stock prices in G7 countries using the LA-VAR method. Monthly data for the period from December 1969 to May 1995 were used and stock prices were analysed not only in local currencies but also in US dollars. The study revealed that the causal relationship between US stock prices and those in the rest of the world is significant. This may be due to the dominant influence of the US economy on the world market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-618 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:613-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Regime-switching investment-saving correlation and international capital mobility Abstract: International capital mobility in Taiwan is tested by estimating the regime-switching investment-saving correlation. A Markov-switching model is applied which allows the samples to be drawn from two different regimes; high mobility and low mobility. Empirical results are investigated and specifications tests are performed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-622 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:619-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piyash Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Piyash Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Title: Mortgage termination due to prepayments in India Abstract: Mortgage termination due to prepayment is an important issue in the pricing of mortgage and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) due to its stochastic nature. In developing countries where MBS is not yet fully developed, mortgage termination affects the flow of funds to the lenders. Recent literature has used option price models (OPM) to analyse prepayments. Prepayment is a 'call option' whose price is dependent on fluctuation in market interest rates. However, the termination of mortgage in housing is not as 'ruthless' as OPM theory would suggest, primarily because households are not financiers in a 'strict sense'. Recent literature has used the Cox proportional hazard model to model mortgage termination. The idea is that other household-related variables besides option price of the instrument jointly determine the mortgage termination. The Cox proportional hazard model is used to analyse prepayment of mortgage behaviour in India. The results indicate that financial concerns (like option price, loan to value ratio and monthly principal and interest to income ratio) are important determinants besides household characteristics. Self- employed or low educated or single borrowers have less probability of prepaying the loan. An important variable inducing prepayment is irregular repayment behaviour of borrower. If loan repayment is in arrears for some months, borrowers often terminate their liability by prepaying. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-628 Issue: 9 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850050059131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850050059131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:9:p:623-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. V. Bhanoji Rao Author-X-Name-First: V. V. Bhanoji Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Shandre Mugan Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Mugan Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Title: Do poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries? Abstract: The observation by Barro that cross-country evidence is inconsistent with the hypothesis that poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries is examined. The overall sample of countries employed in the Barro studies is adjusted by excluding those with small sample sizes (less than 15 observations) and/or those with not statistically significant trend growth rates. It is found that, in general, poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries. However, this observation holds especially strongly for 17 countries with real per capita product above $1000. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Darrat Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Title: Are budget deficits inflationary? A reconsideration of the evidence Abstract: This paper returns to the issue of whether high budget deficits have had any inflationary consequences in Greece. In a recent paper, Hondroyiannis and Papapetrou (1997) report results denying any direct impact of the deficit on inflation. It is shown here that their evidence lacks weight owing to several modelling and estimation problems. Upon rectifying these problems, the results consistently suggest that, besides money growth, budget deficits have also played a significant and direct role in the Greek inflationary process. Thus, efforts to curtail budget deficits in Greece as required by the EMU should also prove useful in mitigating inflationary pressures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415914 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415914&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Anomalous daily seasonality in Ireland? Abstract: Substantial evidence exists to indicate that a negative Monday, or in some case Tuesday, mean return is achieved by stock market indices. In contrast to these and to previous Irish studies, this paper finds that there is no negative Monday or Tuesday return, there being a persistent and positive Wednesday return. This is seen across two indices and over a number of sub-periods. It is also seen, using a GARCH-M specification, that this 'Wednesday effect' cannot be attributed to systemic daily variation in risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pippenger Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pippenger Author-Name: Gregory Goering Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Goering Title: Additional results on the power of unit root and cointegration tests under threshold processes Abstract: Recently researchers have begun to develop methods to detect stationarity or cointegration when the underlying error correction process follows a threshold model. In the context of one type of threshold model, Pippenger and Goering found that the power of unit root or cointegration tests decay substantially under many economically relevant parameterization. However, in a recent article Balke and Fomby conclude that linear tests work 'reasonably well when threshold cointegration is present' and based on these findings propose a modelling methodology under threshold cointegration. This study examines the threshold processes they analysed under a wide range of parameterizations and finds that linear unit root and cointegration tests display relatively low power even under large sample sizes. Hence, contrary to Balke and Fomby linear cointegration tests appear to be an inappropriate test under threshold cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415932 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415932&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Testing the hypothesis of Phillips curve trade-off: a regime switching approach Abstract: The hypothesis of Phillips curve trade-off is tested by applying a two-state first-order Markov switching model to estimate a simple expectation-augmented Phillips curve, which allows for the possibility that samples are drawn from two normal distributions. Evidence from the UK shows that, two Phillips-curve regimes are identified, and the regime with ineffective trade-off dominates the other over time, which verifies the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-647 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415941 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415941&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:645-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Seasonal adjustment and the univariate testing of asymmetry Abstract: Following Holly and Stannett, a standard approach has emerged in the implementation of Sichel's tests of business cycle asymmetry, whereby seasonally adjusted data is detrended via Hodrick-Prescott filtering. While Speight and MacMillan have considered the impact of alternative methods of detrending upon these tests, the role of seasonal adjustment has yet to be examined. In this letter the impact of seasonal adjustment is examined by means of an application to durable, non-durable and aggregate UK consumers' expenditure. Whereas alternative means of detrending most noticeably effect the deepness test and its significance, alternative methods of seasonal adjustment are shown to primarily effect the steepness statistic and its size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: Performance related pay in Belgium and The Netherlands Abstract: Individual worker data is used to identify which types of workers and firms choose PRP in Belgium and The Netherlands. The results show that there are significant differences across these neighbouring countries in terms of the workers who choose PRP systems and the firms who adopt them. Results support the previously identified and positive relationship between firm size and use of PRP. In addition, interesting differences are found concerning the natue of industrial relations and the use of PRP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415969 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415969&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziggy MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Ziggy Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: The impact of under-reporting on the relationship between unemployment and property crime Abstract: There is considerable debate in the literature about the relationship between the economic cycle and property crime. Much of the debate centres on the statistical methods used to explore the importance of various economics factors in determining crime. This study argues that more attention should be paid to the process that generates the data used in this work. Findings indicate that the reporting rate for property crime is sensitive to economic conditions, but in the opposite direction to the sensitivity of crime itself. This suggests a disparity between the true rate of crime and the measured crime rate, which increases during periods of economic downturn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415978 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415978&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Frykblom Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Frykblom Title: Willingness to pay and the choice of question format: experimental results Abstract: This study revisits the issue of hypothetical and actual willingness to pay. In two recent letters the validity of the contingent valuation method has been questioned. The studies include comparisons of hypothetical and actual economic commitments that were elicited through two different question formats. However, in order to attribute a difference in responses to a hypothetical bias, it must first be shown that the question formats generate equal responses under the same conditions. This letter not only contains the same comparison as the two recent letters, subsequent comparisons to investigate the question formats are also conducted. The rejection of equality between the two question formats raises questions concerning previous results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-667 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415987 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415987&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:665-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: An empirical note on the monetary exchange rate model Abstract: The validity of the monetary approach as a model of long-run exchange rate determination is examined under both fixed and flexible rate regimes. The powerful KPSS and JJ multivariate cointegration procedures are sequentially applied to test the order of integration and common trends in the monetary model under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-671 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500415996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500415996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:669-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nabeel Al-Loughani Author-X-Name-First: Nabeel Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Loughani Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Covered interest parity and the relative effectiveness of forward and money market hedging Abstract: In this paper it is shown that obtaining equally effective forward hedging and money market hedging implies and is implied by the validity of covered interest parity. This proposition is demonstrated by constructing combined positions consisting of long exposures on five currencies and short exposures on the hedging instruments. An indirect test of CIP would then boil down to testing the difference between the variances of the rates of return on the combined positions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-675 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:673-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Estimation of the Cobb-Douglas with zero input levels: bootstrapping and substitution Abstract: New informational technologies have led to a rebirth of interest in primal production functions. This study revisits the vexing question of the estimation of the Cobb-Douglas production function given zero input levels for some observations. A resampling technique is proposed that produces a sample with nonzero input levels. The results of the resampling technique are then compared with the substitution results using informational measures of the implied cost shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-679 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:677-679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Lukacs Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Lukacs Title: A decomposition of price-cost margins in UK manufacturing Abstract: The paper follows a methodology developed by Schmalensee to decompose the time varying behaviour of price-cost margins into an intra-industry and an inter-industry component. By doing so light can be shed on whether cyclical movements in industry price-cost margins reflect industry effects such as concentration or collusion or firm effects such as the performance of large versus small firms. Findings for the UK confirm Schmalensee's for the US in attributing most of the variance over time to size effects rather than industry effects but contrary to Schmalensee the size effect is positive in the sample not negative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-686 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416021 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416021&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:681-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bertrand Candelon Author-X-Name-First: Bertrand Author-X-Name-Last: Candelon Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: Stability of activity-unemployment relationship in a codependent system Abstract: A recursive codependence analysis is proposed for investigating the stability of the activity-unemployment relationship. Besides some noticeable statistical advantages, this new method provides a more accurate evaluation of conjunctural employment policies. It appears that for most countries, the delay necessary to absorb a shock is low, indicating that conjunctural stabilization mechanisms and/or employment policies serve their purpose. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-693 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416030 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416030&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:687-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Employment news and exchange rates: policy implications for the European Union Abstract: The relationship between employment news and exchange rates in five European Union (EU) countries is investigated over the period 1980 to 1996. The empirical evidence reveals that employment news has a negative impact on bilateral exchange rates with respect to the Deutschmark (DM) in all cases as a result of larger actual than expected employment figures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 10 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500416049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500416049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:10:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. P. Caselli Author-X-Name-First: G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Author-Name: M. Battini Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Battini Title: The changing distribution of earnings in Poland from 1989 to 1996 Abstract: In this paper the changing earnings distribution in Poland from 1989 to 1996 is investigated using Gini coefficients, other economic inequality indicators and Generalized Lorenz Curves Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-702 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:699-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nan-Ting Chou Author-X-Name-First: Nan-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Ramon Degennaro Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Degennaro Author-Name: Raymond Sauer Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sauer Title: The efficiency of the price system: evidence from an alternative market Abstract: Most economists take it for granted that a price mechanism is usually the most effective means of resource allocation. This paper compares two methods of allocating resources in the thoroughbred racing market: a price mechanism and bureaucratic restrictions. It is shown that a simple price mechanism does a superior job of allocating racing ability than a myriad of conditions and restrictions set by even a highly informed expert. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-706 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:703-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuhin Das Author-X-Name-First: Tuhin Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Rajyasri Neogy Author-X-Name-First: Rajyasri Author-X-Name-Last: Neogy Author-Name: Debesh Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Debesh Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Sustainability of marine fishing: a case study of West Bengal Abstract: The marine fishery sector in India is important not only for domestic demand for protein food requirements but also from the imperatives of exports. An increased investment in this sector has taken place during the last few years and the fishing fleet has expanded at a very rapid rate. Presently, however, marine fishers are facing difficulties in fish capture in spite of exerting the same and sometimes more effort. Thus the question of the sustainability of marine fishing arises. The sustainability of marine fishing in the Digha-Shankarpur coastal region has been studied through estimation of the maximum sustainable yield based on a simple bioeconomic model. WLS estimation has been done to remove heteroscedastic disturbances. Estimated results show that actual yields of all varieties are still below maximum sustainable yield (MSY) except prawn, which has reached near optimal levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421313 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421313&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Author-Name: Barry Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Title: The Gibson paradox and the Gold Standard: evidence from the United Kingdom, 1821-1913 Abstract: The paper uses cointegration techniques and a variety of different price-level and interest-rate proxies to investigate the presence of the Gibson paradox in UK data for the period 1821-1913. Qualified evidence is found in favour of the paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421322 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421322&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:711-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: Do state appropriations influence cost efficiency in public higher education? Abstract: The note has two primary purposes. The first is to extend the literature examining costs in higher education to a frontier cost function framework. The second goal is to determine whether the source of funds in public higher education influences the degree of efficiency Results show that larger university systems are more efficient than smaller university systems. Also, the source of funds is important as states with the lowest and highest share of total expenditures provided by state appropriations are less efficient than states in the middle of the expenditure distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-719 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:715-719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Further results on the detection of asymmetric adjustment in macroeconomic time series Abstract: Cook recently revisited the seminal study of Granger and Lee on asymmetric error correction. Formal criteria found asymmetry to be detected less frequently than was initially suggested by informal inspection. Further results on the detection of asymmetry using the original author's data are provided here via the application of Sichel's univariate techniques. The increased detection of asymmetry using these alternative methods emphasizes previous results on the poor performance of the asymmetric error correction model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-724 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421340 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421340&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:721-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Learning-by-doing through knowledge capital: the case of South Korea (1971-1994) Abstract: Diffusion of knowledge capital and its impact on economic growth are discussed empirically for the case of South Korea (1971-1994). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421359 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421359&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marius Brulhart Author-X-Name-First: Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Brulhart Author-Name: Michael Thorpe Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Thorpe Title: Intra-industry trade and adjustment in Malaysia: puzzling evidence Abstract: The structure of Malysia's trade expansion over the high-growth period 1970-1994 and its implications for labour-market adjustment is examined. An econometric analysis of trade and employment data suggests that intra-industry trade is related with relatively large inter-industry payroll changes. Results therefore cast doubt over the widely held smooth-adjustment hypothesis of intra-industry trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-733 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:729-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Elena Condon Author-X-Name-First: Maria Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Condon Author-Name: Carmen Marcuello Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Marcuello Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Title: Are health care functions stable? An application to the Canadian and US economies Abstract: The paper examines the stability of the long-run health care expenditure function for the Canadian and US economies. The use of Hansen, and Gregory and Hansen statistics leads to rejection of the stability of both functions. When the instability problems are solved through the inclusion of some dummy variables, it is found that the estimation of income elasticity significantly diminishes, especially for the Canadian economy, in such a way that one can no longer accept health care spending to be a luxury good in this economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-738 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421377 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421377&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:735-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Price-cap regulation and uncertain technical change Abstract: The paper studies the effect of price-cap regulation on the research behaviour of a regulated firm and an external developer who are pursuing an uncertain innovation. Contributions of this work include incorporating innovation uncertainty and imperfect appropriability of innovation rewards into the analysis. In contrast to existing literature, it is found that a tighter price-cap diminishes the incentives for cost-reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-742 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:739-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Roder Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Roder Author-Name: Roland Herrmann Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Herrmann Author-Name: John Connor Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Connor Title: Determinants of new product introductions in the US food industry: a panel-model approach Abstract: Economic theory suggests that market structure variables influence technical change, growth and new product introductions. Based on a broad data set for new product introductions in various food industries, it is elaborated in this article how market structure variables affect innovative activities in the US food sector. It is different from earlier studies in the way that cross-sectional and time-series data are combined and panel data models are used in the econometric analysis. A major result is that new product introductions are driven by market structure variables and industry-specific characteristics, i.e. fixed effects. A significant determinant of new food product introductions is the concentration ratio which affects the number of innovations in a nonlinear form. The fixed-effects estimates reveal a U-type effect of concentration on innovations. Furthermore, the number of firms, the degree of existing product differentiation and the size of a market show a positive influence on the number of innovations. From a methodological point of view, plain OLS models yield biased results on the concentration-innovation linkage and on the relationship between the size of a market and innovations. Therefore, it is very important to include sector-specific characteristics as is done in the fixed-effects models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-748 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421395 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421395&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:743-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rand Ressler Author-X-Name-First: Rand Author-X-Name-Last: Ressler Title: Is offering a degree in law an effective strategy for increasing state educational appropriations? Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between universities which house law schools and appropriations per student. Specifically, it is hypothesized that universities with law schools will have higher state appropriations, other things the same, because these universities are likely to have more alumni in the state legislature. This argument is supported by both Ordinary Least Squares and Two Stage Least Squares analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 11 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500421403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500421403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:11:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Del Rio Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Del Author-X-Name-Last: Rio Author-Name: Rafael Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: Empirical regularities for the currencies of European monetary system during the 1976-1993 period Abstract: Empirical evidence about the behaviour of the exchange rates in terms of the US Dollar (USD) has shown different regularities (autocorrelation, daily seasonality, heteroscedasticicity, long memory). In this sense, we are interested in analysing the regularities that can be found in the behaviour of the European currencies in terms of Deutsche Mark (DEM) specifically those related to the mean because they could lead to the design of potentially exploitable strategies. The hypothesis is that the existence of a monetary system, which operates with bands around the bilateral central rate, can have an important influence on the behaviour of the exchange rates. Thus daily prices of four foreign currencies (French Franc (FRF), British Pound (GBP), Italian Lira (ITL) and Spanish Peseta (ESP)) are analysed over the period from 1 January 1976 to 31 December 1993. The results have confirmed a previous hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-764 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444750 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444750&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:755-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Madden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Towards a broader explanation of male-female wage differences Abstract: Most analyses of wage discrimination have followed the traditional Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition of wage differences into endowment and discrimination components. This approach has neglected the possibility of wage discrimination at point of entry to the labour market and also the issue of selectivity bias. Using some recently developed techniques of Neumann and Oaxaca this paper decomposes male-female wage differences taking account of discrimination in terms of access to the labour market and also selectivity bias. It finds considerable evidence of discrimination at point of entry but that discrimination owing to selectivity bias is minimal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-770 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444769 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444769&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:765-770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Uncertain central bankers' preferences: some implications of multiplicative versus additive uncertainty Abstract: In this note the implications of modelling uncertainty in the parameters of the central banks loss function are examined in a multiplicative rather than additive manner. The implications for expected inflation, linear inflation contracts and targets are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:771-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Low income energy assistance and disconnection in France Abstract: Electricite de France, the French monopoly provider of electricity, has been testing a number of new policy instruments to avoid disconnection among its low income customers. This paper uses decentralization, a common feature of social programmes, to identify the impact of Electricite de France's energy assistance programmes on the probability of disconnection for households with difficulties of payment. Naive estimates of programme impact are shown to be seriously biased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-779 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444787 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444787&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:775-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabrielle Berman Author-X-Name-First: Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Sinclair Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Sinclair Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Title: The Sydney Olympic Games announcement and Australian stock market reaction Abstract: On 23 September 1993 the International Olympic Committee announced that Sydney would host the 2000 Olympic Games. Given the keen competition between rival cities bidding for the Olympics it could be argued that the winning city anticipates economic benefits to accrue from hosting the games. To the extent that this is valid, some stock market reaction may be found to the Olympic announcement. Testing the hypothesis for Australia the following results are found. First no overall impact on the stock market is found. Second, only a limited number of industries portfolios show a significant positive impact to the Olympic games announcement. Specifically the industry portfolios are: building materials, developers and contracts, engineering and miscellaneous services. This is consistent with the economic boost for the Olympics being in infrastructure and development and thus in the general building and construction sector. Third the results clearly demonstrate that for the industries where there was a significant positive stock market reaction to the Olympic Games announcement, that significant positive stock market reaction is confined to stocks based in the state which will host the games, New South Wales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444796 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444796&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: Are entrepreneurs different across countries? Abstract: Results show that there are significant differences across countries in terms of who becomes an entrepreneur. In particular age, gender and education were found to be key variables, although the nature and strength of the relationship varies considerably across countries. It was concluded that entrepreneurs are not a homogenous group in the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-789 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444804 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444804&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:785-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: The monetary approach to the exchange rate: empirical observations from Korea Abstract: This note re-examines the flexible-price monetary approach to the exchange rate between the Korean won and the three key currencies: the US dollar, the German mark and the Japanese yen. The note reports the important findings. First, at least one cointegrating vector exists, which indicates that an unrestricted flexible-price monetary model is a valid framework for analysing the long run exchange rate. Second, it is found that some popular monetary restrictions on this model are valid for the Korean won-German mark rate and the Korean won-Japanese yen rate: especially all variables in the model are correctly signed and mostly statistically significant for the Korean won-German mark rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-794 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444813 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444813&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:791-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Butterworth Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Butterworth Author-Name: Phil Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Mispricing in stock index futures contracts: evidence for the FTSE 100 and FTSE mid 250 contracts Abstract: This paper investigates the pricing efficiency of the FTSE 100 and FTSE mid 250 index futures contracts traded in the UK. The results show that while there are many deviations from fair value, these are generally quite small in magnitude with both contracts tending to be efficiently priced. Although mispricings are larger and more persistent for the mid 250 contract than for the FTSE 100 contract, this is consistent with the larger transactions costs and difficulties associated with trading the illiquid constituents of the mid 250 index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-801 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:795-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Darrat Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Title: Monetary stability and interest-free banking revisited Abstract: This paper revisits the issue of the efficiency of the Islamic interest-free banking system. Recently, Yousefi et al. (1997) used a testing methodology proposed in Darrat (1988) and claimed that the evidence does not support interest-free banking in the case of Iran. However, by their own admission, the empirical results they report are consistent with the superiority of interest-free over interest-based banking system in Iran, in three out of the four operational criteria used. Only over one criterion, the monetary aggregate/price link, do Yousefi et al.'s results appear in conflict with the efficiency of the Islamic banking system. On this score too, it is shown that their 'evidence' is in doubt due to the possibility of significant specification errors. Once these errors are corrected, the results seem unanimous in their support of the efficiency of interest-free banking system in Iran. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-806 Issue: 12 Volume: 7 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500444831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500444831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:7:y:2000:i:12:p:803-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Hua Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Decomposing changes in the Gini index by factor components Abstract: Changes in inequality as measured by the Gini index are decomposed into structural effects, real inequality effects and interactive effects. In light of such a decomposition, a refined version of the Kuznets hypothesis is proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Ex-day effects for rights issues in Hong Kong Abstract: In a fair/efficient market, the ex-adjustment in a rights offering should ensure that trading strategies around this date yield zero returns on average (after netting out market movements and transaction costs). This adjustment is assessed in this paper for one particular market - Hong Kong - which, a priori, offers a clearer picture of ex-adjustments given the general absence of market frictions (notably income and capital gains on locally-consummated share transactions). The analysis generally confirms an efficient adjustment process and also shows that perturbations from this correlate positively with the proportionate increase in the nominal share capital of the issuer, stemming from the rights issue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:5-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Carey Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Carey Title: Inflation pressure and European unemployment Abstract: While the recent failure of unemployment to fall in many OECD economies is often attributed to labour market rigidities, there is a strong cross-sectional correlation between changes in unemployment since the last recession and changes in inflation over the same period (1993-1997). Furthermore, this linkage is dominated by the influence of initial (i.e. 1993) inflation. This can be interpreted in terms of two effects: countries with higher 1993 inflation had less scope for relaxation of monetary policy, and may have experienced larger increases in expected inflation. These inflation pressure effects in turn are related to the EMU inflation convergence criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:9-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis: panel data evidence from 96 countries Abstract: Regression results from a panel data set of high-quality comparable data on Gini coefficients, income quintiles and real GDP per capita in 96 countries over the postwar period, suggest that the relation between income inequality and development corresponds to an inverted-U, as hypothesized by Kuznets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-16 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:15-16 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Uncertain central bankers preferences: some implications of multiplicative versus additive uncertainty Abstract: In this note the implications of modelling uncertainty in the parameters of the central banks loss function in a multiplicative rather than additive manner are examined. The implications for expected inflation, linear inflation contracts and targets are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Competition in Major League Baseball: the impact expansion Abstract: Numerous empirical studies of competition within Major League Baseball (MLB) have highlighted the recent rise in competitive balance. While most explanations for the increased competitiveness have revolved around the establishment of the amateur draft or the introduction of free agency, the present paper maintains that the movement towards increased competition occurred much earlier. In particular, it is an outgrowth of the move to expand beyond the original 16 teams. The results from estimating the time-series behaviour of competitive balance within the two leagues suggests that the movement toward greater competitive balance occurred quickly after the two leagues began expanding. Finally, rather than use the conventional standard deviation measure for competitive balance, the present paper incorporates a more traditional measure of inequity, the Gini coefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:21-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Bergman Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Bergman Title: Testing government solvency and the No Ponzi Game condition Abstract: The paper derives new conditions for government solvency. It is shown that the No Ponzi Game condition is satisfied when government debt is integrated of any finite order but not when government debt is an explosive process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:27-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Murali Jagannathan Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Jagannathan Title: The incidence and determinants of multiple corporate directorships Abstract: Contrary to the concerns of the Council of Institutional Investors and other shareholder activists, it is reported that the incidence of multiple board memberships appointments by corporate directors is low, with only 4% of the sample holding three or more seats. It is found that directors in regulated industries hold fewer board memberships than those in unregulated businesses. Firm size, board size, firm performance and corporate growth opportunities positively influence the number of directorships held by individual directors. It is further discovered that increased equity ownership of the firm by the board is associated with fewer external appointments by the board members. It is concluded that proposals to limit the number of directorships held by an individual may be ill-advised. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Bargaining versus non-cooperation; transaction costs within marriage Abstract: Household labour supply models, which assume separate utility functions for the two principle household members, can be categorized as either non-cooperative or Pareto efficient bargaining games. In this paper a revealed preference non-parametric test is applied to UK family expenditure data to determine why some data observations are consistent with a Pareto efficient outcome. The empirical findings support the view that there are costs of bargaining within marriage and that they are typically related to the cost of female time. The implication being that as the cost of female time increases so do the transaction costs associated with a bargaining outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:37-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Title: Economies of scale in the Swiss nursing home industry Abstract: The paper examines costs in the Swiss nursing home industry, an issue of concern to Swiss policy makers because of the explosion of elderly care costs and the ageing of the population. The paper considers estimation of a translog cost function employing panel data for a sample of 36 nonprofit nursing homes operating in Ticino, a canton of Switzerland, over the period 1993-1995. Using a set of dummy variables quality differences are considered. The results of this analysis indicate the existence of economies of scale for most output levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Abbott Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Author-Name: Adrian Darnell Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Darnell Author-Name: Lynne Evans Author-X-Name-First: Lynne Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: The influence of exchange rate variability on UK exports Abstract: This paper examines the influence of exchange rate variability on UK exports in the period of 'floating' sterling 1973Q2-1990Q3. Using the most recently developed bounds tests (appropriate when the cointegrating vector incorporates both I(1) or I(0) variables) the long-run demand for UK exports invariant to exchange rate variability is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:47-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: Beer and the business cycle Abstract: The beer industry has traditionally been viewed as 'recession-proof': drinkers will have their beer notwithstanding the ecomomy's ups and downs. Few empirical studies have examined the veracity of the claim of beer's non-cyclicality and none have used monthly data. This paper uses an error-correction specification to test the sensitivity o mfonthly beer consumption to cyclical macro-economic variables over the period January 1955-December 1994. Strong support was found for the traditional view: beer is mostly immune to economic cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: A robust estimation of hedonic price models: least absolute deviations estimation Abstract: Conventional parametric estimation of the hedonic price models is not robust to heteroscedastic and/or non-normal error structure. This paper applies least absolute deviations (LAD) estimation as a robust approach to estimating the hedonic price models, using the Korea housing markets data. The paper finds that LAD estimation produces more reasonable results and that it proves robust in a situation where other estimation results based on various functional form models produce inaccurate or misleading results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:55-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Angela Bate Author-X-Name-First: Angela Author-X-Name-Last: Bate Title: Testing the assumptions of rationality, continuity and symmetry when applying discrete choice experiments in health care Abstract: In the absence of revealed preference behaviour, economists use experimental techniques to estimate welfare changes. Such an approach relies on a number of assumptions concerning individual behaviour. This paper uses a discrete choice experiment to test three of these assumptions - rationality, continuity and symmetry. The experiment was carried out with users of a rheumatology clinic in the Grampian area of Scotland and was concerned with preferences for a specialist-nurse-led clinic. Two tests of 'rationality' were included in the experiment. Tests were carried out to see if respondents always chose on the basis of their preferred staffing, suggesting discontinuities in the utility function. The axiom of symmetry was tested using a split sample design, with respondents divided into two groups. Each group received a different questionnaire that varied with respect to the order of the choices. Over 30% of respondents provided at least one 'irrational' response. Such respondents did not differ significantly in their characteristics from 'rational' responses, suggesting that utility estimates would not be biased if this group were excluded from the analysis. Seventeen per cent of respondents showed signs of having non-compensatory utility functions. Evidence was found to support the axiom of symmetry. Future work should explore the axioms of rationality and continuity in more detail. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:59-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Habib Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Habib Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Pami Dua Author-X-Name-First: Pami Author-X-Name-Last: Dua Title: Effects of monetary variables on real output: sensitivity analysis Abstract: This paper uses Leamer's sensitivity test in a VAR framework and examines the robustness of the relationship between different monetary and output variables. Output variables at the aggregated level include GDP, consumption, and gross private investment. Disaggregated variables comprise components of consumption (durables, non-durables and services) and investment (business inventories, fixed residential, and fixed nonresidential). All aggregated variables are robustly Granger caused by M2, the federal funds rate and the federal funds 3-months treasury rate spread. At the disaggregated level, only consumption of durables is Granger caused by these variables. Consumption of services, business inventories, and non-residential fixed investment are only Granger caused by money supply variables, while consumption of non-durable goods and residential investment are Granger caused by interest rates and/or interest rate spreads only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750041321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750041321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:1:p:65-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Pozo Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Pozo Author-Name: Lucia Amboj Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Amboj Title: Noise reduction methods and the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm. A simulation study Abstract: The behaviour of the Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm is analysed when applied to noisy data and the possibility of improving its performance by pre-filtering the series with some of the noise reduction methods proposed in the literature. The results, obtained from series simulated from well known chaotic systems with different levels of noise added, allow us to conclude: (1) that the distortion caused by noise is unequal, and (2) that the best result is obtained when the series are pre-processed by means of the 'singular value decomposition' method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:71-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Mushinski Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mushinski Title: Using non-parametrics to inform parametric tests of Kuznets' hypothesis Abstract: Simon Kuznets hypothesized that inequality in a country's distribution of income worsens in the early stages of its economic development and that the inequality improves as the country reaches higher stages of development (the 'inverted U hypothesis'). Empirical support for the inverted U hypothesis has been mixed. In testing Kuznets hypothesis, analysts have specified a variety of parametric forms for the relationship between inequality and development, including a quadratic form (a second-degree polynomial). Using data on income distributions on Native American reservations in the USA, the present analysis indicates that non-parametric estimates of the relationship can inform a parametric analysis. Specifically, while a regression with a second-degree polynomial finds mixed support for the hypothesis, the non-parametric analysis suggests the presence of such an inverse relationship. Indeed, the non-parametric form suggests that a polynomial of greater degree might better capture the relationship between economic development and income inequality. Hypothesis testing supports estimating a fourth-degree polynomial rather than a second-degree polynomial. All terms in the fourth-degree polynomial are statistically significant and the estimated coefficients support the Kuznets hypothesis. These regression results counsel caution in testing the inverted U hypothesis by estimating only parametric forms which produce strictly concave functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:77-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: A model of Schumpeterian dynamics Abstract: Two key element of Schumpeterian dynamics - new innovations in technology and creative destruction - are used here to develop a growth model, which is then applied empirically for two economies: Japan and Korea in their rapid phases of growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-84 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:81-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Purnendu Nath Author-X-Name-First: Purnendu Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Title: Estimates of the continuous time Cox-Ingersoll-Ross term structure model: further results for the UK gilt-edged market Abstract: Estimates are made of multi-factor versions of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model of the term structure of interest rates using the Kalman filter. Estimates are obtained using weekly UK Gilt-edged market data over the period 1982-1997. Empirical results support the need for a multi-factor model and support recent findings of Babbs and Nowman for this market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serdar Sayan Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Sayan Author-Name: Arzdar Kiraci Author-X-Name-First: Arzdar Author-X-Name-Last: Kiraci Title: Identification of parametric policy options for rehabilitating a pay-as-you-go based pension system: an optimization analysis for Turkey Abstract: Publicly managed pension systems operating on the basis of pay-as-you-go (PAYG) schemes face financial difficulties worldwide. The expenditure-revenue balances of such a system are determined jointly by the selected configuration of system parameters, and interrelated developments in the labour market and demographic structure. In a country where pension coverage is compulsory, these developments occur completely beyond the control of pension system administrators implying that any imbalances that may arise over time can be corrected only by adjusting the existing configuration of contribution and replacement rates, and minimum retirement ages. It can be shown, however, that there are infinitely many configurations of these system parameters that could be used to maintain a selected intertemporal balance between the amounts of contributions collected from workers and pensions paid to the retirees. This paper describes an algorithm developed to identify all possible configurations compatible with this goal and illustrates its use with reference to the pension reform debate in Turkey, a country whose PAYG-based pension system already faces a severe financial crisis despite a relatively young workforce/population. The results indicate that for contribution and replacement rates to remain around their current values, the minimum retirement age must be increased substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-93 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:89-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadequl Islam Author-X-Name-First: Sadequl Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Concentration of international trade in high-technology products Abstract: International trade in high-technology products has been increasing at a rate faster than overall trade and world output. This paper examines whether trade in high-technology products has been associated with increased concentration of trade among a few countries. The paper explores market shares of leading exporters of high-technology products and concentration of trade in these products, measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. The main finding is that trade concentration in high-technology products has declined during the 1980-1996 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-97 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:95-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Title: Estimating the contribution of public capital with times series production functions: a case of unreliable inference Abstract: This paper assesses the magnitude of bias in reported estimates of the productive contribution of public capital stock to private factors productivity and growth. The standard approach is taken, based on a production function, in order to estimate structural parameters on simulated pseudo samples generated from a stochastic general equilibrium model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-103 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:99-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Denning Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Denning Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Robert Lawless Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lawless Title: Serial bankruptcy: plan infeasibility or just bad luck? Abstract: Through a comparison of serial and once bankrupt firms over the period 1970-1996, those factors that lead to a successful reorganization are examined. It is found that serial bankrupt firms generally fail to restructure their top management around the time of their initial reorganization while over 70% of the sample of once bankrupt firms replace their senior executives. Serial bankrupt firms increase their level of fixed payments, are less able to lower their debt coupon rate and issue more equity than their once-bankrupt matches. It is further found that firm growth, performance, liquidity and size are associated with a greater likelihood of a successful reorganization. Firm risk as measured by financial leverage increases the probability of a subsequent bankruptcy. These results are useful to both bankruptcy courts and corporate managers seeking to discriminate between feasible and unrealistic reorganization plans following bankruptcy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Brown Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: John Sessions Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sessions Title: Actual and optimal labour supply Abstract: The implications of assuming a coincidence of actual and desired work hours for labour supply estimates are investigated. Results suggest significant differences in the wage elasticities of British male employees reporting that their work hours have been constrained vis-a-vis those reporting satisfaction with actual hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Ranking economics departments in the US South Abstract: A ranking is provided of Southern economics departments and Southern economists using research output data indexed by the Journal of Economic Literature's EconLit database from 1982-1997. Ranking results from a smaller 'core' of each Southern institution's American Economic Association members (the top five) is compared with a ranking which employs scholarly production from all of a department's AEA members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204174 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204174&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:115-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Terregrossa Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Terregrossa Title: Robust informational tests on the CAPM Abstract: The paper demonstrates the existence of an independent informational content in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) that financial analysts are not fully utilizing in their forecast-generating mechanism. This existence is discovered by regressing actual values of five-year firm earnings growth against financial analysts ex-ante forecasts and simulated ex-ante forecasts generated by the CAPM. Regressions are run over a cross-section of firms for each of four adjacent five-year horizons: January 1982-1987; 1983-1988; 1984-1989; 1985-1990. In three out of four test periods, the coefficient of the CAPM forecasts is significantly positive. This is essentially the same experiment with the same results as obtained previously, with one exception: a diagnostic analysis and corrective procedures are performed and results are generated that are heteroscedasticity-robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204183 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204183&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Jesus Miguel Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Miguel Title: Testing heteroscedasticity: are parametric ARCH models appropriate? Abstract: Many researchers have used parametric ARCH models to specify the conditional variance of financial series. However, the usual tests do not provide any information on the form of the conditional variance. The objective of this paper is to present a test for heteroscedasticity, i.e. to decide whether the use of the parametric model can be justified. The test statistic is based on the distance between a non-parametric and a parametric estimator for the conditional variance. The critical values are calculated using a bootstrap method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204192 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204192&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:125-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Author-Name: Peter Hans Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Peter Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Paul Sommers Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Sommers Title: Net interstate migration revisited Abstract: The paper revisits the work of Sommers and Suits on net interstate migration in the USA. Adopting the same framework, consideration is given to the effects of differences in income, welfare expenditures, employment opportunities and 'regional preferences' on the behaviour of migrants in the mid-1990s. The question is asked whether variations in health insurance coverage have produced interstate 'job lock'. The robustness of the model is also evaluated in some detail. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barron Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barron Author-Name: Beck Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Beck Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: John Umbeck Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Umbeck Title: New evidence on price discrimination and retail configuration Abstract: In a frequently cited paper in the industrial organization literature, Shepard examines the extent to which gasoline stations can price discriminate by offering both selfand full-service gasoline rather than offering only a single service choice. Given the idiosyncratic nature of the data used in Shepard's original study and the recommendations of the author, this issue is re-examined using a larger and richer data set with a more typical smaller proportion of full-service-only stations. Using a panel of station-level data from the Los Angeles retail gasoline market from 1992'1995, Shepard's original findings are confirmed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150204219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150204219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:2:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Author-Name: Ananda Weliwita Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Weliwita Title: Testing for relative economic efficiency without imposing arbitrary farm size Abstract: Past test of differences in economic efficiency between small and large farms in developing countries used arbitrary criteria to divide samples of farms into the two size groups. Given the inferential danger from such arbitrary groupings, this paper presents a method for conducting the efficiency tests where the cut-off point between small and large farms is determined statistically. The test is applied to dryland food grain farming in Morocco. The estimated cut-off point was significantly different from the conventional one, but the efficiency test results were similar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-144 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:141-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nilss Olekalns Author-X-Name-First: Nilss Author-X-Name-Last: Olekalns Title: Cyclical asymmetries in Australian macroeconomic data Abstract: The concepts of steepness and deepness are used to investigate the existence of asymmetries at the business cycle frequencies in a number of Australian macroeconomic time series. The results suggest that Australian macroeconomic variables do not display any detectable asymmetries at the business cycle frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-148 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:145-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Borland Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Joe Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: Jenny Lye Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: Data reduction of discrete responses: an application of cluster analysis Abstract: One form of data reduction is cluster analysis which is used to separate detailed data into constituent groups. This paper illustrates a useful application of cluster analysis to the data reduction of detailed discrete responses of a type that are often found in large surveys. This method is illustrated using the ABS Training and Education Experience Survey 1993a (TEES). This survey provides a detailed range of information on individuals' computer skills. The information given in the survey is simplified by using a form of cluster analysis to combine categories of computer ability and skills. Wage equations are estimated using different assumptions on the degree of clustering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Gita Persand Author-X-Name-First: Gita Author-X-Name-Last: Persand Title: Seasonality in Southeast Asian stock markets: some new evidence on day-of-the-week effects Abstract: This paper examines the evidence for a day-of-the-week effect in five Southeast Asian stock markets: South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand. Findings indicate significant seasonality for three of the five markets. Market risk, proxied by the return on the FTA World Price Index, is not sufficient to explain this calendar anomaly. Although an extension of the risk-return equation to incorporate interactive seasonal dummy variables can explain some significant day-of-the-week effects, market risk alone appears insufficient to characterize this phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Mei-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Measuring scale and scope economies in multiproduct banking? A stochastic frontier cost function approach Abstract: Most studies on the economies of scale and scope in the banking industry assume no x-inefficiencies. That is, banks are assumed to be always on their efficient frontier, which can in empirical studies confound scale and scope efficiencies with x-efficiencies. The current paper employs a stochastic frontier cost function incorporating technical and allocative inefficiencies, as well as a system of share equations, to estimate scale and scope efficiencies. Using data from Taiwan's banking industry, evidence is found that both scale and scope economies exist, and that the assumption of no x-inefficiencies results in underestimating such economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Jeffrey Waddoups Author-X-Name-First: C. Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Waddoups Title: Unionism and poverty-level wages in the service sector: the case of Nevada's hotel-casino industry Abstract: A significant union presence in Las Vegas's hotel-casino industry juxtaposed to the near absence of union representation in Reno provides a unique setting to assess the impact of unions on the incidence poverty-level wages among workers in a highprofile, expanding service sector industry. Results of the analysis show a significantly higher incidence of poverty-level wages among hotel-casino workers in Reno compared to workers in the identical occupations in Las Vegas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-167 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:163-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Lekakis Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Lekakis Author-Name: Maria Kousis Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Kousis Title: Demand for and supply of environmental quality in the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis Abstract: Demand for and supply of environmental quality, which constitute the underlying forces that lead to turning points of Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKCs), are only implicitly referred to in the fast growing literature. Unlike conventional approaches to EKCs, which look at indices of single pollutants per capita as per capita incomes rise, this paper estimates the impact of GDP per capita on all actions per capita seeking environmental quality in Greece, Spain and Portugal during the period 1974-1994. The findings indicate that rising GDP per capita leads to higher environmental actions per capita, implying either that we are on the rising segment of an EKC or that EKCs do not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:169-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Torben Drewes Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Drewes Title: Are there biases in German bilateral aid allocations Abstract: This paper presents new evidence on the nature of German bilateral foreign aid allocations. In particular, the paper focuses on the question of whether there are population and middle-income biases present in the disbursement of German assistance. Using data on German bilateral aid to 85 countries from 1973 to 1995 evidence supporting existence of a population bias is found, but no evidence is found of a middle-income bias. A bias, however, associated with a recipient's coverage under the Lome Convention is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-177 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504540 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504540&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:173-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Sachsida Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Sachsida Author-Name: Roberto Ellery Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ellery Author-Name: Joanilio Rodolpho Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Joanilio Rodolpho Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: Uncovered interest parity and the peso problem: the Brazilian case Abstract: The uncovered interest parity (UIP) test for Brazil is presented from the standpoint of rational expectations hypothesis. The period is January 1984 to October 1998. The econometric tests validate the UIP just for the sub-period January 1990 to June 1994. The result suggests fail with the UIP in the Real Plan, validating the theoretical point proposed by Krasker. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-181 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:179-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang-Wu Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shang-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Index futures trading and spot price volatility Abstract: A modified Levene statistic and a switching GARCH(1,1)-MA(1) model are employed to examine the impact of index futures contracts on the volatility of the spot market. The findings suggest that, following the introduction of index futures, the volatility of stock returns in the USA, France, Japan and Australia, rose significantly, while no significant changes in the volatility were found in the UK and Hong Kong. The different results might be attributed to macroeconomic factors and the structure of the various markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504568 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504568&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rene Teboul Author-X-Name-First: Rene Author-X-Name-Last: Teboul Author-Name: Emmanuelle Moustier Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuelle Author-X-Name-Last: Moustier Title: Foreign aid and economic growth: the case of the countries south of the Mediterranean Abstract: Mediterranean countries provide a test case for examining the effectiveness of foreign capital in promoting economic growth. Focusing on the supply side of the economy, the econometric model answers two questions, using available panel data from 1960 to 1996: does foreign aid have a positive impact on growth of per capita income? does aid substitute or complete domestic savings? Three significant results are found: aid efficiency is indirect, it is dependent on the way it will be transmitted to other exogenous variables, specially to savings and to FDI and thus, on the efforts of the Mediterranean countries to change in-depth their productive structure; aid must be differentiated, in its contents as well as in its objectives depending on the development model of the beneficiary country; aid must be more regular. Aid allocation south of the Mediterranean is often chaotic and caused by geopolitical logic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504577 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504577&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Identifying the external effects of human capital: a two-stage approach Abstract: In this study microdata from the Guatemala household Survey are analysed using a testable model of endogenous growth in order to detect any external effects of education. In the first stage of the analysis, a wage equation is estimated and the internal effects of education are filtered out. In the second stage, the resulting industry wage premiums are regressed on average human capital as well as industry-specific characteristics to account for external effects. While stronger conclusions cannot be drawn, the hypothesis that external effects may be present cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Albala-Bertrand Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Albala-Bertrand Author-Name: E. C. Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: E. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Title: Is public infrastructure productive? Evidence from Chile Abstract: This study assesses the extent to which public infrastructures have contributed to output in the Chilean economy over the period 1960-1995. For the long-run, it uses a vector error correction model for cointegration tests, while for the short-run, it resorts to the use of impulse response functions and variance decompositions. The results appear to show that public infrastructures in Chile have been significantly productive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:195-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Cecchini Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Cecchini Title: A logit analysis of the car market Abstract: The model presented associates demands for differentiated products, defined by a nested multinomial logit model, to an oligopolistic supply offered by multiproduct firms. An application is performed on the French car market. The characteristics of the vehicles and of the individuals that have an influence on the choices and the producer margins are defined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: E. Antony Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Australia and the three little dragons: are their equity markets interdependent? Abstract: This paper analyses price linkages between the equity market of Australia and those of Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan using cointegration, Granger-causality, variance decomposition and impulse response analyses based on MSCI database covering the period 1975-1995. The results show that the Australian market is not significantly linked with any of these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504612 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504612&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gun Sundberg Author-X-Name-First: Gun Author-X-Name-Last: Sundberg Title: A note to Jaume Puig Junoy and Angel Lopez Nicolas, Assessing health care infrastructure at the regional level: a statistical approach. Applied Economics Letters, 1995, 2, 463-6 Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-209 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504621 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504621&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:209-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Ex-day effects for rights issues in Hong Kong Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 210-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850150504630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850150504630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:3:p:210-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Julian Escario Author-X-Name-First: Jose Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Escario Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Testing for the rational addiction hypothesis in Spanish tobacco consumption Abstract: This paper tests whether tobacco consumption generates addiction in Spanish people and, if so, then whether such addiction can be explained in the context of rational addiction theory. To that end, time-series data of per-capita consumption and prices of tobacco during the period 1964 to 1995 are employed. The results show the addictive and rational character of Spanish tobacco consumption, which implies that smokers fall into addiction after a maximization process of the utility that was obtained during their total lifetime, taking into account the future consequences of current decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103854 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103854&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:211-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Swati Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Swati Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: W. Jos Jansen Author-X-Name-First: W. Jos Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Title: Has the emergence of China hurt Asian exports? Abstract: It is investigated as to whether the exports of manufactured products by the South Asian and South East Asian countries have been negatively affected by the rise of China. Using a panel data approach, it is found that increases in world market shares of China are statistically correlated with declines in world market shares for some Asian countries since 1994, but not before 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theo Hitiris Author-X-Name-First: Theo Author-X-Name-Last: Hitiris Author-Name: John Nixon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Nixon Title: Convergence of health care expenditure in the EU countries Abstract: The European Union's common policies for market integration have also had an impact on the health care sectors. A panel of EU member states' data reveals that their health care expenditures exhibit β-convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:223-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Egger Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Egger Author-Name: Michael Pfaffermayr Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaffermayr Title: A note on labour productivity and foreign inward direct investment Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) is not only a transfer of capital, but a complex bundle of capital and firm-specific assets. In particular, the transfer of production know-how improves overall productivity of FDI-receiving firms and to some extent also that of the other firms due to spillovers. The present note uses a small panel of Austrian manufacturing sectors and investigates this hypothesis empirically. In a flexible CES-framework, general and labour-augmenting productivity improving effects of inward FDI are found. Thus, the job creation potential of FDI highlighted in previous studies is likely to be overestimated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-232 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103917 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103917&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:229-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Andreou Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Andreou Author-Name: Rita Desiano Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Desiano Author-Name: Marianne Sensier Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Sensier Title: The behaviour of stock returns and interest rates over the business cycle in the US and UK Abstract: The paper studies the dynamic behaviour of the conditional mean and volatility of weekly financial variables in relation to the business cycle for the USA and UK economies. The mean US S&P stock returns steadily increases before a recession, then declines approximately six weeks prior to the trough date. Volatility reaches a local maximum 6 weeks prior to the recession, then peaks with the business cycle peak, but falls prior to the trough where the minimum is reached three weeks before. In the UK the FTSE volatility also falls before a recession but reaches its maximum 10 weeks after the peak date and has its minimum after the trough. Similarly, US interest rates are falling before a recession but there is no clear effect in the UK. The volatility of UK interest rates increases before and after the recession date. Overall more leading indicator information is provided by US stock returns and short interest rates whereas the respective UK variables seem to lag the business cycle phases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103935 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103935&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:233-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moon-Kee Kong Author-X-Name-First: Moon-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Hoe-Kyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hoe-Kyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Income-related inequalities in health: some evidence from Korean panel data Abstract: Using individual-level Korean panel data, it is shown that inequalities in health favour higher income groups. A close relationship is also found between health inequality and income inequality across time, supporting previous studies which used cross-sectional data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103953 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103953&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacek Cukrowski Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Cukrowski Author-Name: Emil Stavrev Author-X-Name-First: Emil Author-X-Name-Last: Stavrev Title: Central bank seigniorage in the Czech Republic Abstract: The concept of total gross seigniorage is used to analyse sources and uses of central bank seigniorage in the Czech Republic during the period 1993-1997. A comprehensive framework for measuring total seigniorage and its main components is presented and estimates of seigniorage revenues (sources and uses) are computed and analysed. The study explains why the concept of monetary seigniorage should not be used as an estimate of government gains from money creation and shows that seigniorage revenues have never been extensively used as a tool for financing expenditures of the Czech government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-247 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:243-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Author-Name: T. Zohar Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Zohar Title: Nonparametric analysis of portfolio efficiency Abstract: A nonparametric method is empirically applied here to test the efficiency in performance of mutual fund portfolios. It provides a more flexible and robust alternative to the traditional mean variance theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-252 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750103999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750103999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:249-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chor-Yiu Sin Author-X-Name-First: Chor-Yiu Author-X-Name-Last: Sin Author-Name: Wing-Fai Leung Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Fai Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Impacts of FDI liberalization on investment inflows Abstract: Developing economies often impose restrictions on foreign direct investment (FDI). In recent years many developing economies liberalize external trade as well as FDI inflows. The economists have neglected the importance of government policies on economic performance until recently. This paper makes use of the panel data from different economies in order to provide a clearer picture on the FDI inflows. The results confirm that the governments are successful in absorbing foreign capital inflows through more liberal policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-256 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104015 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104015&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:253-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Enders Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Enders Title: Improved critical values for the Enders-Granger unit-root test Abstract: Enders and Granger provide critical values to test the null hypothesis of a unit-root against the alternative of threshold adjustment. However, in obtaining their critical values, Enders and Granger did not use a consistent estimate of the threshold nor did they use a lag-augmented data generating process. This note remedies both of these problems. The power of the test statistics using the consistent estimate of the threshold are compared to those of Enders-Granger and of Dickey-Fuller. Surprisingly, the original Enders-Granger statistic often has the highest power. As such, the Enders-Granger statistic using a lag-augmented data generating process is calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-261 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104033 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104033&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:257-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Asli Bayar Author-X-Name-First: Asli Author-X-Name-Last: Bayar Author-Name: Ozgur Berk Kan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Berk Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Title: Stock returns, seasonality and asymmetric conditional volatility in world equity markets Abstract: The paper tests four hypotheses at the same time using an autoregressive return-generating process and an asymmetric conditional variance specification, both also including deterministic day of the week dummies. The daily stock index returns from 19 countries are employed to test: (H1) predictable time variation in conditional volatility; (H2) asymmetry in volatility and leverage effect; (H3) effects of estimated volatility on returns; and (H4) day of the week effects on both returns and their volatility. Evidence is provided for predictable time varying daily volatility in all markets among which eight also exhibit a significant leverage effect. There is a significantly positive relationship between returns and their conditional volatility in only three countries. The nature of the day of the week effects on returns and their conditional volatility differs greatly among countries and across days. Thirteen countries exhibit seasonality in either mean returns (seven countries) or volatility (eight countries) or both (two countries). Each day is at least once reported to exhibit significant positive and negative effects in both mean and volatility with the exception that there is no negative effect on mean returns and no positive effect in volatility on Wednesdays. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-268 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104051 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104051&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:263-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Shackleton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Shackleton Author-Name: Rafal Wojakowski Author-X-Name-First: Rafal Author-X-Name-Last: Wojakowski Title: On the expected payoff and true probability of exercise of European options Abstract: The continuous-time formula for expected payoff to holding an option, which nests several major pricing tools, is derived. It is shown also that under current market conditions the true exercise probability, N (d4), lies halfway between the two more familiar terms: N (d1) and N (d2). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-271 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104079 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104079&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:269-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio del Rosal Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio del Author-X-Name-Last: Rosal Author-Name: Alberto Fonseca Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Fonseca Title: Rent-seeking measurement by means of labour unrest in trade-related adjustment processes. A note Abstract: The purpose of this work is to discuss an empirical method to estimate the social costs originated by the rent-seeking behaviour in declining industries. Due to competition from imports, the factors of one particular industry undergo losses in real income, and have incentives to seek protection. In the case of declining industries, workers play a central role and the losses in output due to strikes are used to quantify the social cost of rent-seeking. This approach is applied to the case of Spanish coal mining. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-277 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Ken Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Causality between trade and tourism: empirical evidence from China Abstract: Current literature concerning tourism forecasting points out the role played by international trade in affecting international tourism flows. This study investigates the nature of causal relationship, if any, between international tourism and international trade flows using the case of China. The study applies the Granger no-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto in a vector autoregresion (VAR) model, and attempts to improve previous tourism forecasting studies, in the context of tourist demand function, by identifying the direction of the endogeniety between tourist travel and international trade. Findings indicate a two-way Granger causality between international travel and international trade and hence imply that trade flows do link with tourism in the case of China. Thus, previous tourism forecasting studies using a single equation approach may lead to biased estimates since they fail to consider possible feedbacks between international trade and international tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104114 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104114&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhiqiang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The effects of economic reforms on wage inequality: some evidence from China Abstract: The effects of economic reforms on wage inequality in China are investigated. The results, based on a sample of workers who joined the labour force during the reform period, show that economic reforms have increased wage inequality and over 90 percent of the wage differential is attributable to the rise in returns to human capital as a result of economic reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 4 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750104132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750104132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:4:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antony Dnes Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Dnes Title: Commitment in licensing contracts: an application of hostage analysis Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-290 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:289-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Toolsema Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Toolsema Title: Reserve requirements and double Bertrand competition among banks Abstract: The paper considers a model of double Bertrand competition among banks, in which banks compete for deposits as well as loans. It is shown that the introduction of reserve requirements can have an effect on the existence and efficiency properties of Nash equilibria of this model. This provides a new rationale for imposing reserve requirements on banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-293 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157404 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157404&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:291-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loren Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Title: Input aggregation and computed technical efficiency Abstract: Using data simulated from a random production function it is shown that technical efficiency estimates computed by Data Envelopment Analysis are biased even if the exact aggregator function is used to aggregate inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157422 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157422&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:295-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramon Tremosa-Balcells Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Tremosa-Balcells Author-Name: Jordi Pons-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-Novell Title: Measuring monetary policy shocks in the European Monetary Union Abstract: The paper tries to estimate whether a unique and centralized European monetary policy would have had similar or different effects across countries in the European Union. By estimating a vector auto-regression (VAR model), it is revealed that there are two different groups of countries with considerable differences in the response to changes in the monetary policy. Germany and the North-Central European countries would be less sensitive to these changes, whereas the Mediterranean countries (and Belgium) would be noticeably more sensitive to the mentioned variations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-303 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157440 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157440&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:299-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Akira Tokihisa Author-X-Name-First: Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Tokihisa Title: Seasonal cointegration and the money demand function: some evidence from Japan Abstract: The stability of the Japanese money demand function is empirically analysed employing the notion of seasonal cointegration. It is found that money balances, interest rates, and real GDP have unit roots in different cycles. The seasonal cointegration tests reveals that seasonal cointegration is rejected in every case. This fact indicates that no stable relationship exists between money supply and the real economy during the period under analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157468 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157468&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:305-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Title: Linkages among agricultural commodity futures prices: evidence from Tokyo Abstract: This paper investigates alternative explanations of long-term comovements among the prices of agricultural commodity futures contracts. A long-term interdependency of these prices can exist because of common economic fundamentals or herd behaviour by market participants. An analysis of Tokyo Grain Exchange futures prices supports the common economic fundamentals hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-313 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:311-313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Public pension and wealth inequality in Canada Abstract: A methodology for estimating public pension wealth is presented and employed to cross-sectional data of Canadian households. Public pension wealth is measured as the present value of the future stream of benefits from public retirement savings plans in Canada. These plans include the Canada/Quebec pension plan, old age security and guaranteed income supplements. The results show that public pension wealth constituted 47% of household entitlement wealth and that the provision of public pension benefits significantly reduced wealth inequality in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:315-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Copeland Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Copeland Author-Name: Sally-Anne Jones Author-X-Name-First: Sally-Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Default probabilities of European sovereign debt: market-based estimates Abstract: For a number of EMU member Governments, prices of their (mainly) DM-denominated debt are compared with otherwise identical debt issued by the German Government, so as to extract implied risk-neutral default probabilities. In most cases, the probabilities are small, though in the case of Italy they average over 4% even under the most conservative assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157521 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157521&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:321-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shengxiu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Shengxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: Testing models of growth - a two-sector model of the USA Abstract: The paper makes two contributions to the literature on economic growth. Firstly, a two-sector growth model is extended to consider m -types of capital. Conditions are identified which aid classification of models as either exogenous or endogenous. Secondly, a preliminary empirical application based upon US annual data 1959-1990 finds in favour of 'observational equivalence' of exogenous and endogenous explanations of growth, whereas a 'second-round' of testing suggests weak evidence in favour of an exogenous explanation of growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-329 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:325-329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Heer Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Heer Title: On the welfare gain from stabilizing cyclical fluctuations Abstract: Welfare gains of optimal cyclical fiscal policies as computed from previous dynamic general equilibrium models seem to be small and generally do not exceed 1% of total consumption if preferences are described by a standard isoelastic utility function. It is demonstrated that the assumption of certainty equivalence and the negligence of binding constraints results in the underestimation of the magnitude of potential welfare effects from stabilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N'zue Fofana Author-X-Name-First: N'zue Author-X-Name-Last: Fofana Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: GARCH option pricing with implied volatility Abstract: Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) option pricing models (OPM) with historical volatility have proven superior to the log-normality assumption of the Black option pricing model with historical volatility. This paper estimates implied volatilities from GARCH OPM. The estimated implied volatilities are used to forecast option premia. The GARCH OPM with implied volatility provided more accurate estimates of option premia than the Black option pricing model with implied volatility for options ranging from six to sixteen days to maturity. For options ranging from 21 to 50 days to maturity the Black OPM with implied volatility was more accurate than the GARCH OPM with implied volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-340 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:335-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Author-Name: Helen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Modelling commodity prices using continuous time models Abstract: Nine continuous time models applied to metal prices are applied, following a recent study of these models on Eurocurrency interest rate data by Nowman (1998). In particular models for copper, gold, nickel, silver and tin are estimated and it is found that the volatility of prices is highly dependent on the level of prices for these metals and is larger than usually assumed in these models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-345 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:341-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Benrud Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Benrud Title: The negative relationship between the average and dispersion of stock analysts' buy/hold/sell opinions Abstract: This paper measures the relationship between the level of stock analysts opinions and the dispersion of those opinions. The proposed theory is that analysts notice when there is less agreement and tend to lower their reported opinions in such cases. Hence, the thesis of the paper is that a negative relationship exists between the level of analysts opinions of a given stock and the dispersion of those opinions. Using a sample selection process that controls for outliers and the effect that the varying number-of-analysts per stock might introduce, this paper analyses the opinions of 245 stocks from the Standard and Poor's 500. With respect to the main thesis, all the test statistics have the correct sign; however, some statistics are not significant or are only marginally significant. One innovative random variable used in the tests involves assigning to a stock the cumulative distribution function value associated with the standard deviation of the opinions conditional on the average and number of those opinions. This procedure rescales the data so that comparisons can be made between stocks with different average opinions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157620 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157620&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akbar Marvasti Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Marvasti Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The impact of trend and cyclical behaviour of inventories and inflation on barter Abstract: This paper extends analyses of the determinants of the level of transactions among barter exchanges in the US economy by separating the trend elements of the explanatory variables from their cyclical elements. The results suggest that the level of barter is positively influenced by the expected inflation as well as by the rising unexpected business inventories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-353 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:351-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Convergence of labour's factor reward between regions of the EU Abstract: This note reports research undertaken to establish whether the factor price for labour has converged across regions of the European Union between 1980 and 1994. A Markov chain is employed to examine relative average regional pay for a cross-section of 57 EU regions. Results suggest average regional pay converged over the whole period. This finding supports the hypothesis that economically integrating economies face a progressively similar level of factor rewards. However, the process slowed around 1992 and the reason for this warrants investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-357 Issue: 5 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750157666 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750157666&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:5:p:355-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Joshy Easaw Author-X-Name-First: Joshy Author-X-Name-Last: Easaw Title: Unemployment hysteresis and the NAIRU: a ratchet model Abstract: In the 1970s and 1980s the USA and European economies experienced unemployment rates that persistently drifted upwards. The present paper captures this phenomenon by a simple extension of the hysteresis approach to the natural rate hypothesis of unemployment using a ratchet model. The impact of peak unemployment levels on unemployment hysteresis is incorporated using a traditional ratchet model. The model is estimated for the USA economy for the period 1948 to 1998. The results indicate that the relationship approximates a full hysteresis effect for peak-to-peak unemployment levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Temporal aggregation and time deformation Abstract: Building upon the results of Rossana and Seater (1995) the impact of temporal aggregation on Stock's (1987) tests of time deformation is examined. Using disaggregated UK consumption data the effect of temporal aggregation is found to be substantial, masking the non-linearity present in higher frequency data Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-365 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237784 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237784&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:363-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: C. Coskun Kucukozmen Author-X-Name-First: C. Coskun Author-X-Name-Last: Kucukozmen Title: The empirical distribution of stock returns: evidence from an emerging European market Abstract: There is now substantial evidence that daily equity returns are not normally distributed, but instead display significant leptokurtosis and, in many cases, skewness. Considerable effort has been made in order to capture these empirical characteristics using a range of statistical distributions. However, the evidence to date is confined entirely to the returns of developed stock markets, and in particular to the USA. In this paper, the daily returns of a large emerging European stock market, Turkey, are modelled. Two very flexible families of distributions that have recently been introduced are employed: the exponential generalized beta (EGB) and the skewed generalized t (SGT). These distributions permit very diverse levels of skewness and kurtosis and, between them, nest most of the distribution previously considered in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237793 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237793&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Real per capita GNP of USA: examination of the presence of a unit root via overdifferencing Abstract: This letter examines the first difference of the logarithm of real per capita GNP of the USA (approximately growth rate) to see whether it possesses a moving average unit root (overdifferencing). The presence of such a moving average unit root implies that the logarithm of real per capita GNP of the USA has no unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-375 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010001084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010001084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:373-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mark Strazicich Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Strazicich Title: Testing the null of stationarity in the presence of a structural break Abstract: A test for stationarity in the presence of a structural break is proposed. An unknown break point is endogenously determined at the value minimizing the test statistic. The break point can be estimated reasonably well under the null hypothesis of stationarity, especially when the magnitude of the break is large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237810 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237810&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:377-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Author-Name: Jose Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Title: Cost and profit efficiency in banking: an international comparison of Europe, Japan and the USA Abstract: This study analyses the cost and profit efficiency of a sample of 14 countries of the European Union, as well as Japan and the USA. The results obtained show that since the start of the 1990s increasing competition has led to gains in profit efficiency in the USA and Europe but not so in the Japanese banking system. The results also show that the inequalities of profitability between countries would be considerably reduced if inefficiency were eliminated, efficiency gains thus being a very important source of improvement in profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-387 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237829 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237829&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:383-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shafiq Alvi Author-X-Name-First: Shafiq Author-X-Name-Last: Alvi Title: The impact of strikes on Canadian trade balance Abstract: Studies abound which systematically analyse the economic impact of work stoppages on the two protagonists as well as on specific industries. The results of such micro studies are a mixed bag. The findings of the first macro study, involving Canada were published in 1975. Employing input-output analysis, it measured the impact of strike losses on the Canadian economy as a whole, and found the strike impact statistically insignificant. This study is flawed on two counts: (a) it depends on an arbitrarily chosen sample, and (b) it covers a period of only one year. The current study measures the impact of strikes on the Canadian economy, which heavily depends for its growth on external trade, via their impact on its merchandise trade. Using a simultaneous approach towards export and import functions, it covers a period from 1971 to 1993. The results indicate that strikes seem to exert some impact on those categories of trade which constitute a small percentage of total Canadian external trade. Major trade sectors experience a statistically insignificant impact. Put together, therefore, there is little evidence of a negative strike impact on merchandise trade and, hence, on the national economy as a whole over a significant period of time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237838 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237838&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:389-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: A model of Schumpeterian innovations Abstract: Two key elements of Schumpeterian dynamics: new innovations and creative destruction are developed here in a stochastic framework to develop a model of stochastic growth. This model explores the diffucion process and the existence of nonlinearities in technological progress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-401 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237847 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237847&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:397-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Duro Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Duro Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Title: Cross-country inequalities in aggregate welfare: some evidence Abstract: International inequality in aggregate welfare levels has been estimated with the help of Sen and Theil indexes. Results reveal that welfare inequalities have reduced recently and that mean income differences explain most of these inequalities, and its reduction. These findings imply that, at least from the perspective of the Sen Index, no significant information is lost if per capita incomes inequalities are used as a proxy of welfare levels differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237856 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237856&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:403-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwong-C. Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Kwong-C. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: J. Andrew Coutts Author-X-Name-First: J. Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Coutts Title: A note on weak form market efficiency in security prices: evidence from the Hong Kong stock exchange Abstract: This paper employs variance ratio tests with both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic error variances to examine the random walk hypothesis for the Hang Seng Index on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The empirical investigation leads us to suggest that the Hang Seng follows a random walk model and consequently that the index is weak form efficient. This conclusion offers both confirmatory and conflicting support for the conclusions of previous research, which has investigated the presence of random walks in the indices of both developed and emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Bolton Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Bolton Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: The differing consequences of low and high rates of inflation Abstract: Economic theory is inconclusive on the linkage between inflation and economic growth. Most existing evidence points to negative effects of inflation on growth emerging only at quite high levels of inflation. Making use of the spline regression technique, levels of inflation below 3% are found to be positively associated with growth while higher levels of inflation are negatively associated with growth. This sample consists of all countries with data of quality C or better and the data is fiveyearly averaged, with inflation being captured by a geometric average. The underlying model is the Mankiw et al. (1992) adaptation of the Solow-Swan model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amanda Hollenbacher Author-X-Name-First: Amanda Author-X-Name-Last: Hollenbacher Author-Name: David Yerger Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Yerger Title: Third party evaluations and resale prices in the US used vehicle market Abstract: This paper examines the impact upon used vehicle resale prices in the USA from the annual reliability evaluations done by Consumer Reports magazine. In contrast to prior work finding no announcement effects upon prices from the evaluations, this study finds significant announcement effects. Vehicles in the subcompact/compact category experience an increase in their annual rate of depreciation relative to comparable vehicles following a negative evaluation by Consumer Reports. These results are consistent with the behaviour of rational consumers operating in a market with asymmetric information problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237883 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237883&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Hand Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Hand Title: Increasing returns to information: further evidence from the UK film market Abstract: A sample of 153 films from the UK top 15 chart is examined to test the hypothesis of increasing returns to information. The results are consistent with those presented by De Vany and Walls, suggesting that increasing returns to information is a general feature of the film market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-421 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:419-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Chong Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Title: On the lags between submission and acceptance: are all referees created equal? Abstract: This short note links days and delays in refereeing with some basic characteristics of the reviewers. An altruistic approach is used, and 1994 data from Hamermesh is augmented and it is found that (i) long articles, (ii) referees outside the USA and Canada, (iii) lack of academic experience, (iv) relatively less requested referees, and (v) lower income, are linked with possible delays in response of the referees. There are no differences in gender, type of journal (general or specialized) or prestige of referees. Academic experience is not non-monotonic. 'Networking' effects are not present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-425 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:423-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity, a weakly stationary unit-root process and a useful diagnostic test Abstract: A specific form of deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity is examined. A non-trivial unit root process which has exponentially heteroskedastic innovation and as a consequence, a variance that vanishes asymptotically is detailed. Such a unit root stochastic process, with exponential heteroskedasticity, may be perceived as weakly stationary by the usual unit root tests. In view of the importance of deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity, a new general diagnostic test for detecting the presence of deterministic exponential heteroskedasticity is developed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 6 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750237919 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750237919&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:6:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Author-Name: Paul Bloxham Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bloxham Title: Asian and OECD international R&D spillovers Abstract: Previous studies have demonstrated an empirical relationship between accumulated R&D expenditures and total factor productivity (TFP), and have shown that the benefits of R&D can spill across countries through trade. This paper extends these analyses to a sample of 15 OECD countries and six Asian countries, Chinese Taipei, India, Indonesia, Korea, Singapore and Thailand. An empirical model is estimated which relates TFP to domestic and foreign R&D activity, TFP catch-up and business cycle variables. Model estimates show that TFP and domestic R&D capital are positively related, and that domestic R&D has a relatively large impact on TFP growth in the NICs and LICs. Country-specific international R&D spillover elasticities are of mixed sign, and no apparent pattern by country group is evident. While this result does not change the earlier qualitative conclusions, it suggests that estimates of sample average R&D spillover elasticities should be cautiously interpreted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750267097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750267097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: The efficacy of job-sharing policy Abstract: The paper examines whether the form of job-sharing strategy adopted in Nordic countries is theoretically effective. This strategy converts workers approaching the age of retirement to part-timers by giving them partial pensions, which thereby creates job openings for younger unemployed workers. This job-sharing results in a Pareto-improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-439 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048501750267105 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048501750267105&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:437-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Are there any long-run benefits from international equity diversification for Taiwan investors diversifying in the equity markets of its major trading partners, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the USA Abstract: This note provides evidence that there exist long-run benefits for Taiwan investors from diversifying in the equity markets of the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the USA over the period of 6 January 1997 to 30 December 1998. The evidence is based on tests for pairwise cointegration between the Taiwan national stock price index and the stock price indexes for the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the US markets, using three cointegrating tests, namely the Multivariate Trace statistic P z, Harris-Inder approach, and the Johansen method. The results from these three tests are robust and consistent in suggesting that the Taiwan stock market is not pairwise cointegrated with the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the US stock markets. These findings could be valuable to Taiwan individual investors and financial institutions holding long-un investment portfolios in the Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and the US equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010001921 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010001921&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:441-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Spyros Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Title: Stock returns and inflation: evidence from an emerging market Abstract: Theory suggests that equities are a good hedge against inflation. However, most of the empirical evidence suggests that the relationship between stock returns and inflation is negative. One explanation is the negative correlation between inflation and real output growth. In this paper the relationship between inflation and stock returns is examined for the emerging economy of Greece, during the 1990s. To anticipate the results, the relationship seems to be negative and significant, but only for the period until 1995. Since then, the relationship is not statistically significant, and it is argued that this may be due to the increased role of monetary fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-450 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010003280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010003280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:447-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesca Lotti Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Lotti Author-Name: Enrico Santarelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Santarelli Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: The relationship between size and growth: the case of Italian newborn firms Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between size and growth for a group of Italian newborn firms in the instruments industry. The main finding is that Gibrat's Law of Proportionate Effect exhibits a behaviour dependent on the firm's life cycle. In particular, even if in the years immediately following start-up the law could be rejected, since smaller firms have to rush in order to survive in the market, in subsequent years growth rates seem to converge towards a Gibrat-like pattern. This result is confirmed by the separate analyses carried out for micro-firms and larger firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-454 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010003299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010003299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:451-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: F-tests for lag length selection in augmented Dickey-Fuller regressions: some Monte Carlo evidence Abstract: This paper investigates the empirical performance of sequential f-tests as a criterion for selecting the lag length in Augmented Dickey-Fuller regressions. This criterion performs approximately as well as the AIC and a criterion based on eliminating residual autocorrelation. However, no single criterion is clearly superior to the other two. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010004027 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010004027&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Marc Berk Author-X-Name-First: Jan Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Berk Author-Name: Klaas Knot Author-X-Name-First: Klaas Author-X-Name-Last: Knot Title: The term structure of UIP: evidence from survey data Abstract: This note focuses on uncovered interest parity (UIP) in the short and medium run using survey-based exchange rate expectations. Analysing the major world currencies over the period 1985-1998 the paper finds that the validity of the UIP relation increases with the term of the investment, thereby supporting the theoretical notions developed by literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-462 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010004036 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010004036&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:459-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gad Saad Author-X-Name-First: Gad Author-X-Name-Last: Saad Author-Name: Tripat Gill Author-X-Name-First: Tripat Author-X-Name-Last: Gill Title: The effects of a recipient's gender in a modified dictator game Abstract: In the two-person dictator game, player A (allocator) chooses how to split a given sum of money with player B (recipient). Player B has no power in terms of either accepting or rejecting payer A's offer. This paper investigates the gender dynamics within the four possible dyads in a modified Dictator game. Both men and women gave more money to women. In other words, contrary to other studies that have investigated dictator game behaviour, the current study finds a main effect for the recipient's gender (rather than for the allocator's gender). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: On the M2 demand relationship Abstract: Recently numerous studies have maintained that post-1990 data no longer supports a long-run M2 demand relationship. Suggestive of the failure, several authors have shown that the errors associated with forecasting real income fluctuations increase once the M2 demand vector error-correction information is introduced. However, the present study finds that these results are an outgrowth of the Gulf War and that once the sample is extended the cointegrating information significantly improves the income forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-469 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:467-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azmat Gani Author-X-Name-First: Azmat Author-X-Name-Last: Gani Author-Name: Peter Van Diermen Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Van Diermen Title: Some determinants of small firm 'presence' in Indonesia's manufacturing sector Abstract: The determinants of small firm 'presence' in the Indonesian manufacturing sector are investigated using data for eight small industries over eight time periods. Vertical integration, higher productivity and a robust economic environment are factors that determine small firm presence in the Indonesian manufacturing sector. It was also found that economies of scale in management do not have an important role in determining small firm presence and that the activities of cottage firms do not deter the presence of small firms and vice+versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-474 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005800 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005800&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:471-474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Seabra Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Seabra Title: A cointegration analysis between Mercosur and international stock markets Abstract: This paper deals with an empirical investigation on the existence of long-run relationships among the two most important Mercosur stock market indexes (the Argentine Merval and the Brazilian Ibovespa) and two major international stock price indexes (the Japanese Nikkei and the US Dow Jones) and also with the estimation of short-run responses of those two emerging stock markets. Bivariate and multivariate cointegration tests indicate that there is no common trend linking the Argentine and the Brazilian stock price indexes. This result can be seen as a drawback to a proposal of stock market integration in Mercosur. On the other hand, cointegration between the two Latin American stock markets and the Dow Jones cannot be rejected. Based on an error correction mechanism, the estimated short-run elasticities show that the Ibovespa index is more responsive to changes in the Dow Jones than the Merval index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-478 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:475-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panos Fousekis Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Fousekis Author-Name: Giannis Karagiannis Author-X-Name-First: Giannis Author-X-Name-Last: Karagiannis Title: Wholesale level demand for fish grades in Greece Abstract: Differential inverse systems are used in this paper to investigate the structure of wholesale level demand for fish grades in Greece. Model selection tests suggest that the inverse CBS performs better that the competing differential systems. Homo-theticity and separability tests indicate that the underlying distance function is homothetically separable in the medium- and the low-value species. The own-quantity flexibilties suggest that the response of prices to own-quantity changes are inelastic while the cross-quantity flexibilities indicate that the substitution possibilities among fish grades are rather limited. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-482 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:479-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Selcuk Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Selcuk Author-Name: Erinc Yeldan Author-X-Name-First: Erinc Author-X-Name-Last: Yeldan Title: On the macroeconomic impact of the August 1999 earthquake in Turkey: a first assessment Abstract: The devastating earthquake that struck the most densely populated and industrialized area of Turkey on 17 August, 1999 was one of the most damaging natural disasters during this century. This paper is a first attempt to estimate the transition path of the Turkish economy to its new equilibrium after the earthquake. An applied general equilibrium model is utilized to provide an initial assessment and to obtain the second best policy options to mitigate the negative effects of the earthquake. The analytical foundations of the model rest upon intertemporal dynamics as laid out in neoclassical growth theory. Simulation results suggest that the initial impact of the earthquake on GDP may range from -4.5% to + 0.8% of GDP, conditional upon policies followed by the government and international donors. The policy implication of the paper is that best outcomes might be reaped via a negative indirect tax (a subsidy financed by foreign aid) to individual sectors to recover their capital losses. On the other hand, an indirect tax to finance the extra fiscal spending would result in an output loss, further deepening the impact of the earthquake on the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-488 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010007501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010007501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:483-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Investors preferences and dividend payouts Abstract: A compelling motivation for dividends remains elusive in the face of double taxation, yet firms continue to pay dividends. This note identifies two previously unrecognized benefits of dividends. First, positive dividends can finance investors preferred consumption streams under some conditions, but the associated payout policy is not unique. Moreover, a specific form of dividend smoothing can facilitate dynamic portfolio insurance when risk-free securities exist. It is not claimed that these benefits solve the riddle of dividends, since both outcomes can be replicated by equity sales, but they do extend the known spectrum of such benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-491 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010009905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010009905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:489-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Do innovative start-ups really wish to go public? Evidence from Japanese electrical manufacturing companies Abstract: This paper examines whether innovative start-ups have the intention to go public. Using a sample of electrical manufacturing firms in Japan, it is found that firms investing heavily in research and development (R&D) are more likely to have the intention to go public. From the viewpoint of entrepreneurs, the result may support the trend toward the creation of new stock markets for innovative start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-497 Issue: 7 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010009914 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010009914&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:7:p:493-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Unit roots in the CAPM? Abstract: Excess returns calculated using nonstationary risk-free interest rates will also be nonstationary and this may cause an unbalanced regression problem in the estimation of Capital Asset Pricing Models (CAPM). Under such circumstances, beta coefficients could be both biased and inconsistent. The implications of these issues are investigated through a simulation study and an empirical application using data on the FTA index and the 91-day UK Treasury Bill (T-Bill) rates. Although the simulation results are alarming, the empirical analysis suggests that the problem of unbalanced regression is not likely to cause significant problems in estimating the CAPM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-502 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010017690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010017690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:499-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonia Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Munoz Title: Monetary targeting in the EMU: lessons from Australia Abstract: Following Arnold (1997), this paper examines demand-for-money functions in Australia and its states. The results suggest that the stability and fit of demand-for-money exercises carried out on an artificially constructed pre-EMU European monetary aggregate may not survive the regime change to the Euro. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-508 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010014035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010014035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:503-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Wagner's law revisited: cointegration and exogeneity tests for the USA Abstract: This paper re-examines Wagner's hypothesis of an expanding government sector with progress of the economy using advanced econometric techniques such as cointegration and exogeneity tests not used in previous empirical studies. This study also uses much longer time series data for the USA than previously utilized. The empirical results based on cointegration and exogeneity tests provide strong support for the hypothesis for the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010018743 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010018743&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:509-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabelle Cadoret Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Cadoret Title: The saving investment relation: a panel data approach Abstract: Numerous studies have confirmed the initial 1980 finding of Feldstein and Horioka of a high positive correlation between saving and investment, a result that is difficult to reconcile with the increasing integration of financial markets. This current study re-examines the correlation between saving and investment with a panel data approach. The empirical analysis concerns 19 OECD countries over the period 1970-1998. Stability tests have led to the identification three periods: 1970-1980, 19817ndash;1990 and 1991-1998 and estimated results show that, when a country-specific effect is introduced, there is no correlation between private saving and national investment and that there is high correlation between public saving and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010023107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010023107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Lyhagen Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyhagen Author-Name: Lars Forsberg Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Forsberg Title: Starting values in estimation of cointegrating vectors with restrictions Abstract: In cointegration analysis, when considering a hypothesis of the kind β = (H <1 ϕ 1,..., H n ϕ n) the estimation technique is a simple switching method that requires starting values. Using additional restrictions, the solution of an eigenvector problem may be used as starting values. Using a real world data set the proposed starting values seem to be better than the old, and sometimes they are much better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010022658 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010022658&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Testing for the specification of the wage equation: double selection approach or single selection approach Abstract: The wage that a worker receives is observed only when he/she is employed. The employment of the worker, however, depends on two sequential decisions: the worker's decision to work and the employer's decision to hire. The wage sample, thus, is obtained through a double selection process. Estimation of the wage equation ignoring the roles of both selection decisions may result in omitted variable misspecification, leading to biased estimates. This study rejects the wage specification that allows only one selection decision, and shows that the wage equation with double selection specification cannot be rejected at any conventional level of significance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-529 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500011957 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500011957&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:525-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gad Saad Author-X-Name-First: Gad Author-X-Name-Last: Saad Author-Name: Tripat Gill Author-X-Name-First: Tripat Author-X-Name-Last: Gill Title: Gender differences when choosing between salary allocation options Abstract: Individuals chose between two 'salary increase' options: (1) an increase of $500 for themselves and $500 for a colleague; or (2) an increase of $600 for themselves and $800 for a colleague. The gender of the colleague was manipulated, hence permitting the investigation of four possible gender dyads (male-male, male-female, female-male, female-female). A main effect was found for the subjects' gender, namely a majority of women preferred option 1 while the majority of men preferred option 2. No interaction was found between the gender of the subjects and those of the colleagues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005251 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005251&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:531-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Ekelund Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Ekelund Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Mark Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The measurement of merger delay in regulated and restructuring industries Abstract: Delay due to multiple merger reviews in regulated industries is analysed empirically. Tests on a sample of over 500 mergers between 1990 and 1998 reveal that delay is 80% longer in regulated industries than unregulated industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-537 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010005828 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010005828&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:535-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vangelis Tzouvelekas Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouvelekas Author-Name: Stratos Loizou Author-X-Name-First: Stratos Author-X-Name-Last: Loizou Author-Name: Konstantinos Giannakas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakas Author-Name: Konstantinos Mattas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Title: Co-integration and error-correction modelling of olive oil consumption in Greece Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of olive oil consumption in Greece for the period 1969-1998 using co-integration analysis. The estimated long and short-run elasticities suggest that prices of olive oil and other seed oils are more significant determinants of olive oil consumption than disposable income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485001320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485001320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilia Mazur Author-X-Name-First: Emilia Author-X-Name-Last: Mazur Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: Financial sector development and economic growth in New Zealand Abstract: Most of the empirical evidence on how development of the financial sector impacts on economic growth is in a cross-country context. This paper considers the evidence from one country, New Zealand, which has in recent times been subject to substantial economic reforms, not least in the financial sector. Some valid long-run relationships are found between indicators of both banking and stock market development and private savings, but rather more mixed results when considering either real GDP per capita or its growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-549 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010012974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010012974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:545-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho Yeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ho Yeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effects of regulations on land transactions: The case of Korea Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between government regulations and land transactions using Korean data for 1994. The results indicate that a heavy burden put on land ownership does not affect the frequency and amount of land transacted, nor does it accelerate the urbanization process. However, regulations of the sale and acquisition of land are important influences on the decisions of market players. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-553 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010014477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010014477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:551-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Basudeb Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Basudeb Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: E. Bruce Godfrey Author-X-Name-First: E. Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Godfrey Title: The stocking rate versus time in range management: a review of recent theoretical developments Abstract: A long-standing question in range management concerns the relative importance of the stocking rate versus the length of time during which animals graze a particular rangeland. Recently, Batabyal and co-workers provided a theoretical answer to this question. Given the importance of this question for practical range management, this paper has two objectives. First, it provides a non-technical discussion of the methodology employed and the analysis conducted by Batabyal and co-workers. Second, it points out and discusses the significance of two range management questions that are suggested by the previous analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-559 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010014486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010014486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:555-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Devlin Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Devlin Author-Name: Paul Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: Health care spending and economic output: Granger causality Abstract: Granger causality is tested for to examine the exogeneity of GDP which is assumed in previous research on the determinants of aggregate health care spending. In theory, the causal relationship between these variables could be in either or both directions. For some of the 20 OECD countries tested it appears that health care expenditure Granger causes GDP, and vice versa for others. Therefore care must be taken when specifying health care expenditure and growth equations respectively in defining the appropriate 'independent' (and exogenous) and 'dependent' variables. In particular, these results suggest that standard models of aggregate health care expenditure may be misspecified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-564 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010017357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010017357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:561-564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Islam Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Structural break, unit root, and the causality between government expenditures and revenues Abstract: Government expenditures and revenues are shown to be trend stationary with a break in the deterministic trend. This is in contrast to the claim that these two series are non-stationary and integrated of order 1. It is therefore inappropriate to first difference data to achieve stationarity. Instead, data is appropriately de-trended using endogenously determined break dates. Tests using the de-trended data show that causality is unidirectional, with expenditures causing revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-567 Issue: 8 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010018266 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010018266&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:8:p:565-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Regime switching and the forecasting bias of asymmetric error correction models Abstract: The potential forecasting bias of asymmetric error correction models is examined via an application of the Granger and Lee and Escribano and Pfann specifications to the earlier data of Davidson et al. Cook's results concerning sample space regularities are extended, with partitioning of the error correction term shown to induce regularities in the forecasting space in the form of forecasting bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-571 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:569-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Seasonal long memory in the US monthly monetary aggregate Abstract: The seasonal structure of the US monthly M1 monetary aggregate is investigated in this article by means of seasonal long memory processes. Using a version of the tests proposed by Robinson in 1994, the results show that the orders of integration are higher when seasonal monthly differences are used rather than quarterly or first differences. Thus, the dependence between observations seems to be stronger when seasonal monthly roots are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-575 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010026078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010026078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:573-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Friday the 13th: international evidence Abstract: The Friday the 13th anomaly discussed by Kolb and Rodriguez in 1987 is revisited in an international context. Using the FTSE world indices over the period 1988-2000, for 19 countries, it is found that there is some evidence that returns on Friday the 13th are statistically different from, and generally greater than, returns on other Fridays. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lennart Flood Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Flood Author-Name: Urban Gråsjo Author-X-Name-First: Urban Author-X-Name-Last: Gråsjo Title: A Monte Carlo simulation study of Tobit models Abstract: This study focuses on a comparison of different kinds of Tobit models. According to the findings, a simple Tobit I method can produce results that are similar to and in some cases better than much more sophisticated methods. This is especially true if the participation or index equation is incorrectly specified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010027581 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010027581&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaushik Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Kaushik Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Himanshu Joshi Author-X-Name-First: Himanshu Author-X-Name-Last: Joshi Title: Modelling currency in circulation in India Abstract: In the literature, currency in circulation is typically estimated either by specifying a standard currency demand equation based on the theory of transaction or portfolio demand for money or by a univariate time series model. The paper argues that while these approaches work well for low frequency data, their scopes become limited for high frequency series. Using the weekly data of currency in circulation from the year 1992-1993 to 1999-2000, the paper proposes an alternative approach of modelling the growth of currency in circulation by incorporating the 'day of the month' effect. The estimated equation behaves very well in and out of sample and the prediction performance achieved from the model has been good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-592 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010020146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010020146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:585-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Michael Haigh Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Haigh Author-Name: David Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Agricultural liberalization policy and commodity price volatility: a GARCH application Abstract: This study examines the effect of the recent radical agricultural liberalization policy, i.e. the 1996 FAIR Act, on agricultural commodity price volatility using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. Results of the study indicate that the agricultural liberalization policy has caused an increase in the price volatility for three major grain commodities (corn, soybeans and wheat) and little change for oats, but a decrease for cotton. These findings stand in sharp contrast to Crain and Lee's observations in 1996 based on wheat markets that market-oriented measures in government farm policies tend to reduce agricultural price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-598 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010018734 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010018734&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:593-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferenc Szidarovszky Author-X-Name-First: Ferenc Author-X-Name-Last: Szidarovszky Title: The area monotonic solution in dynamic negotiations Abstract: The area monotonic solution is examined, when the utilities of the players as well as the Pareto frontier change in time. A divert method is introduced to characterize the change in the solution of the conflict which is based on deriving a special ordinary differential equation such that its trajectory follows the solution in time. This method can be used to determine the optimal timing of agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-600 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010021145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010021145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:599-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Busche Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Busche Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Breakage and betting market efficiency: evidence from the horse track Abstract: In this research the effect of breakage—the rounding down of payoffs to winning bets—on the measured efficiency of racetrack betting markets is examined empirically. Over twenty thousand horse races are analysed and it is demonstrated that evidence of betting market inefficiency is systematically related to the expected breakage. These empirical results suggest that failure to control for breakage may bias statistical tests towards rejection of the efficiency hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-604 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010021154 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010021154&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:601-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Common stochastic volatility trend in European exchange rates Abstract: This paper examines the nature of stochastic volatility in the deutschemark/dollar and French franc/dollar exchange rates. In particular using a multivariate random walk stochastic volatility model the study examined whether volatility in each series can be ascribed to a single common trend. Results for univariate stochastic volatility models show very high persistence in the autoregressive component of volatility supporting the model specification where volatility follows a random walk. Estimation of the multivariate model reveals a very high correlation between the volatility innovations, and suggests that they follow a common trend, in essence the volatilities are cointegrated. A multivariate model with a single volatility trend is then estimated. Finally, support for this specification is further received when estimation of a stochastic volatility model for the ratio of the two series reveals no stochastic volatility present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010023099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010023099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. H. Suryanarayana Author-X-Name-First: M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Suryanarayana Title: Livestock service sector reform in India: efficiency versus equity Abstract: This paper examines the potential scope for efficiency and equity with reference to the recent public policy decision to commercialize the livestock service sector in India. The livestock service is provided free by the veterinary clinic in the public sector which operates virtually as a monopolist in Indian villages. The paper, using the discriminatory monopoly framework, shows that the government would succeed in its efforts to recover the cost of livestock service; the burden of cost recovery would fall on both the poor and rich beneficiary farm households. As regards to the effective cost of utilization of livestock service, the poor would end up bearing proportionately less than the rich. In the process, the market size for livestock service would decline in the short run but not output from animal husbandry. In the long run, there will be both growth and equity in the livestock sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-611 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:609-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying-Foon Chow Author-X-Name-First: Ying-Foon Author-X-Name-Last: Chow Author-Name: Jinli Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Jinli Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Foreign capital in a neoclassical model of growth Abstract: The impact of foreign capital inflows on the growth of developing countries remains controversial. Utilizing the neoclassical growth model, this paper shows that foreign capital inflows have a positive effect on the capital stock and consumption in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-615 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010025691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010025691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:613-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Bayesian analysis of the SUR Tobit model Abstract: This paper develops a practical sampling scheme for Bayesian analysis of correlated censored data using the seemingly unrelated Tobit regressions model. Posterior inference is performed via the Gibbs sampler with data augmentation algorithm. In particular, the relevant full conditional distributions needed in the use of Gibbs sampler are derived. The method is then applied to a real data set on the determination of the payments of cash and stock dividends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-622 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010026069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010026069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:617-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Azeez Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Azeez Title: Utilization of optimal capacity in Indian manufacturing, 1974-1996 Abstract: This paper attempts to estimate a consistent series for the economic capacity utilization of the Indian non-electrical machinery manufacturing sector. The economic or optimum capacity is defined as the output where the short-run average total cost is minimized. Using an iterative version of Zellner's seemingly unrelated regression estimation technique, a translog short-run cost function is estimated, imposing the conditions for economic optimizing behaviour of firms to calculate the optimal output. Such a measure assumes that variations in capacity utilization (CU), defined as the ratio of actual to optimal output, are the systematic results of rational optimization procedures, depending on price and cost conditions of firms. A comparison of the new series with the conventional engineering measures of CU shows that the widely used 'installed CU' figures clearly underestimate the true economic utilization levels, mainly due to definitional problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-628 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010027572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010027572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:623-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Title: Team and player effects on NHL player salaries: a hierarchical linear model approach Abstract: This paper employs a hierarchical linear model (HLM) to assess the importance of both player- and team-level attributes in determining National Hockey League (NHL) player salaries. Empirical results show that there are significant differences in mean salaries and rewards to performance across teams and that these differences can be partially explained by differences in team revenues. Implications for research in other industries are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-632 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010028607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010028607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:629-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Title: A normality test for the mean estimator Abstract: This note proposes a tool to investigate and demonstrate the adequacy of the central limit theorem in small samples. The suggested procedure tests if the mean estimator is approximately normally distributed, given data and sample size at hand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-634 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010028616 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010028616&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:633-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Denny Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Denny Author-Name: Colm Harmon Author-X-Name-First: Colm Author-X-Name-Last: Harmon Title: Testing for sheepskin effects in earnings equations: evidence for five countries Abstract: Using a dataset that allows consistent cross-country comparisons the non-linearity in a conventional earnings equation is tested with respect to schooling. The findings suggest that the assumption of linearity is not robust and that there are well-determined positive returns to the completion of educational levels. However, inferences are sensitive to the choice of functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-637 Issue: 9 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010028625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010028625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:9:p:635-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lata Gangadharan Author-X-Name-First: Lata Author-X-Name-Last: Gangadharan Title: Compliance in environmental markets Abstract: One of the reasons given for compliance with environmental programmes is that firms want to project an environmentally friendly image, as this would have a positive effect on their sales and eventually on their market share. This paper tries to test the effect of environmental friendliness on compliance behaviour using data from a tradable emissions programme currently running in Los Angeles. A large fraction of the firms comply with the environmental regulations. To study the reasons for this compliance behaviour, variables are created that represent the environmentally friendly characteristics of the firms. These variables are: how close the firm is to the final consumer and whether the firm has employed a manager to look after its environmental policies. Of all the firm characteristics, the capital level of the firm is seen to be significant in explaining non-compliance. Contrary to expectations, the environmental friendliness variables do not have significant explanatory power. Environmental consciousness as an explanatory variable for compliance therefore needs to be reconsidered in this kind of a pollution prevention programme. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029192 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029192&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Author-Name: Antonio Aznar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar Title: Size and power of non-nested hypothesis tests and their bootstrap versions Abstract: In this paper the behaviour of various non-nested hypothesis testing procedures are studied, namely the J and JA tests and the same bootstrap-adjusted tests, using graphical methods. These methods are the P value plot, the P value discrepancy plot and the size-power graph. The size and power of the four tests are compared for all the possible nominal sizes and not only for 1% or 5%. It is found that the best test is the bootstrap-adjusted J test, given that its size is close to the nominal, independently of the nominal size, whilst it has a higher power than the JA test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-653 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:649-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen Den Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen Den Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Evaluation of the long memory relationship between gross national product and saving in Taiwan Abstract: To enhance precise analysis of the relationship between GNP (gross national product) and Saving (gross national saving), a long memory relationship function is applied. From experience, it is known that assuring the variables are always cointegrated or fractionally cointegrated is not easy, so this letter develops a measure function to estimate the long memory relationship between two variables. The empirical study shows that GNP and saving have the long memory relationship d= 0.1449. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-657 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029228 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029228&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:655-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josea. Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Josea. Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Author-Name: Sukhjit Sethi Author-X-Name-First: Sukhjit Author-X-Name-Last: Sethi Author-Name: Gokce Soydemir Author-X-Name-First: Gokce Author-X-Name-Last: Soydemir Title: The impact of promotion/advertising expenditures on citrus sales Abstract: This study analyses the impact of advertising expenditures on citrus sales from the Texas Rio Grande Valley. A bivariate vector autoregressive model is estimated using weekly data on the dollar value of advertising expenditures and carton equivalent shipments for the 1993-1999 growing seasons. The estimated impulse response functions show that a one-time increase in advertising expenditures leads to increases in orange sales with a one-month lag. However, the impact of advertising on grapefruit sales is more immediate and relatively large. Carton shipments remain high for about three weeks after a one-time advertising shock. There is also no evidence of causality from sales to advertising. The results suggest that Federal Marketing Order regulations that facilitate funds for the promotion and advertising of citrus are effective in increasing the domestic consumption of oranges and grapefruit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bwo-Nung Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bwo-Nung Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chin-Wei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The impact of settlement time on the volatility of stock market revisited: an application of the iterated cumulative sums of squares detection method for changes of variance Abstract: Volatility changes before and after a major event cannot be effectively modelled without considering the impact of other events during the sample period. This paper reexamines the impact of settlement time changes on the volatility change in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange by Li et al. (1997) via the iterated cumulative sums squares (ICSS) method developed by Inclan and Tiao. This study detected three other events during the sample period (two before and one after the structural break). After removing these factors, it is found that change in settlement time does not impact the volatility of the stock returns in a noticeable way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-668 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:665-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Usha Nair-Reichert Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Nair-Reichert Title: R&D investment and import competition in unionized industries Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of unionization on the flow of research and development (R&D) investment and import competition in US manufacturing industries. If the unions adopt a myopic strategy, they may attempt to maximize current rents, even if it reduces strategic R&D necessary to compete against imports. However, if unions are employment oriented and realize that R&D is essential to compete effectively against imports and reduce job losses for their members, they may favour a more co-operative strategy. This issue is empirically investigated at the industry level using data from 1975-1984. One of the main contributions of this study is the attempt to distinguish between strategic and non-strategic R&D. The results of this analysis indicate that depending on the extent of unionization, there is a significant amount of variation in the magnitude and direction of the impact of strategic R&D on import penetration. Supporting evidence also indicates that the union rent-seeking behaviour related to strategic R&D investments varies between import and export-competing industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-674 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:669-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Finnie Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Finnie Author-Name: Ronald Meng Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Cognitive skills and the youth labour market Abstract: With the use of test score data it is found that literacy, numeracy and education strongly influence the probability of being employed, unemployed, having a wage-paying job and obtaining government transfer payments in addition to incomes, weeks worked and weeks unemployed for a sample of 16 to 24-year-olds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-679 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110037877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110037877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:675-679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacint Balaguer Author-X-Name-First: Jacint Author-X-Name-Last: Balaguer Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jorda Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jorda Title: Examining the export-led growth hypothesis for Spain in the last century Abstract: The relationship between real income and real exports is examined for the Spanish economy in the last century (1901-1999) using annual data. The significant changes of the Spanish economy during this period have made of the analysis a mixed one. The export-led growth hypothesis is supported during the economic liberalization period whereas for the protectionist and autarkic period neither a long-run nor a short-run relationship between those two variables are found. When the century as a whole is considered, then, a unidirectional causality running from income to exports is exhibited. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-685 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010038687 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010038687&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:681-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yir-Hueih Luh Author-X-Name-First: Yir-Hueih Author-X-Name-Last: Luh Author-Name: Ziau-Ning Liao Author-X-Name-First: Ziau-Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: An econometric assessment of the productivity consequences of low-input farming Abstract: This study examines the possible impacts of low-input farming on the growth of productivity. Specifically, emphasis is placed upon disentangling the effect of overusing chemical inputs and that of the market determinants. Taking into account both production and price uncertainty, the expected utility maximization criterion explicitly incorporating damage control function of pesticides is used to determine farmers' rational demand of chemical inputs. The actual use of chemical inputs and the theoretical use consistent with expected utility maximization are used to establish an overusing index, which later is incorporated into the dual cost function to examine the productivity consequences of overusing chemicals. Simulation analyses of various policy scenarios suggest the positive impact of low-input farming. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-692 Issue: 10 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110061681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110061681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:10:p:687-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Bernard Bollen Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Bollen Title: Is there a maturity effect in the price of the S&P 500 futures contract? Abstract: The maturity effect is re-examined using the S&P 500 futures contract. A model is estimated in which daily volatility, measured on the basis on intraday data, is determined by its previous value and the number of days remaining to maturity. The estimation results do not support the maturity effect. This finding is in line with existing evidence that indicates the absence of the maturity effect in financial futures prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036355 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036355&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: R&D effects of incomplete procurement contracts Abstract: This paper examines auctions of incentive contracts, where the principal (a government agency) contracts with a private vendor to supply a given quantity. The contract is incomplete as the agent's research behaviour is unobservable and is not in the principal's objective function. The agent, however, has an incentive to engage in research. Therefore, the principal's actions inadvertently affect research spending. It is shown that the agent's optimal research spending responds to changes in contractual design. In general, the agent's research response is dependent upon the size of the bid and the probability of product innovation. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-699 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:697-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joe Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: Jenny Lye Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: The interpretation of multiple dummy variable coefficients: an application to industry effects in wage equations Abstract: The traditional textbook approach to avoiding the dummy trap problem is to delete a category from each qualitative variable. This paper illustrates an alternative constraint which can be used to transform conventional dummy variable coefficients. This constraint serves to simplify their interpretation when the regression equation contains several qualitative variables and allows the computation of a coefficient for the deleted class. Using this constraint the intercept term can be written as the mean Y macron and the coefficients for the dummy variables are now interpreted as differences from the mean of the dependent variable rather than the deleted class. Computation of a standard error for the estimated coefficient of the deleted class is also discussed. An application to examine the importance of industry wage affiliation in explaining relative wages is presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110042187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110042187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:701-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: A slowing of national income convergence Abstract: Shocks to the international economy that occurred around 1973 may have altered the rate of convergence of national income across countries. Markov chains are used to examine whether the rate of convergence of national income was different pre- to post-1973 for a cross-section of 104 countries between 1960 and 1990. Results suggest that real GDP per worker did converge continuously, and the rate of convergence was faster before rather than after 1973. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-711 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045715 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045715&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:709-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A model for ex ante real interest rates Abstract: This paper proposes a new model for estimating economic agents' anticipation of the real rate of interest. It decomposes the nominal short-term interest rate into an ex ante real interest rate and an expected inflation rate, according to Fisher's equation. Assume the ex ante real interest rate follows an autoregressive structure and inflation follows an IMA(1, 1) process. Using the information in the nominal short-term interest rate and the inflation series, the ex ante real interest rate is estimated by maximum likelihood using the Kalman filter to calculate the likelihood function. The results show that the time series of estimates of the ex ante real interest rate extracted from the model rejects the random-walk hypothesis at the 1% significance level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-718 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010017681 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010017681&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:713-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Holger Gorg Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Gorg Author-Name: Eric Strobl Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Strobl Title: Capital structure and labour demand: further evidence Abstract: This paper provides further evidence on the relationship between a firm's capital structure and its labour demand. This study estimates dynamic labour demand equations using firm-level panel data for firms in the electronics sector in Ireland for the period 1982 to 1995. These results suggest that labour demand is not affected by a firm's capital structure, proxied by its debt-to-asset ratio. This may give statistical support to the Modigliani-Miller theorem, which conjectures that the market value of a firm is not influenced by its capital structure, implying that a firm's labour demand decision is independent of capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010029480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010029480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bwo-Nung Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bwo-Nung Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Robert Fok Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Fok Title: Stock market integration - an application of the stochastic permanent breaks model Abstract: Using the Stochastic Permanent Breaks (STOPBREAK) model, this study examines the relationships of the US stock market with the Japanese and eight European stock markets. The evidence indicates that the US stock market is temporally cointegrated with the markets in Japan, Germany, Netherlands and Switzerland. However, cointegration relationship exists only between the US and Netherlands market when the Johansen cointegration test is used. In other words, some sort of cointegrating relationships may exist between two markets even if the standard cointegration test indicates that the two markets are not cointegrated. According to the STOPBREAK model, when two markets are temporally cointegrated, the movement of the two markets does not follow a random walk and market inefficiency is implied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-729 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048500110036337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048500110036337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:725-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aparna Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Effects of physical attributes on the wages of males and females Abstract: Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (1993), this study analyses the effects of physical attributes, namely, height and weight, on the wages of males and females in professional and blue-collar occupations. A parallel theme of analysis is whether physical attributes have any impact on the wages of workers with high mathematics and computational skills. The results of this study show that among professionals and blue-collar workers, physical attributes significantly affect the wages of women and have no impact on the wages of men. Taller women enjoy wage premiums, while overweight women experience significant wage penalties. Another important finding is that among women with above average quantitative skills, the effects of physical attributes on wages are insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110047605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110047605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: A note on the relationship between medical care resources and mortality Abstract: This paper reconsiders how the availability of physicians affects mortality rates within geographic areas. Studies typically find that mortality rates are lower in areas with greater medical care resources. While currently available care is important, this paper shows that young adult mortality rates are influenced by physician availability during childhood as well. Studies that examine that link between medical care resources and mortality should consider the availability of care over the lifetime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-739 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110036328 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110036328&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:737-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. A. Shields Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: S. Wheatley Price Author-X-Name-First: S. Wheatley Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: Language fluency and immigrant employment prospects: evidence from Britain's ethnic minorities Abstract: Using data from the Fourth National Survey of Ethnic Minorities, the determinants of location-specific language capital and its impact upon the employment prospects of male and female ethnic minority immigrants in Britain are investigated. It is found that lack of English language fluency reduces average predicted employment probabilities by 20-25 percentage points. Increasing the provision of English language training directly or indirectly, by requiring immigrants to obtain UK qualifications, would go a long way to eliminating the 10% employment gap between Britain's white and ethnic minority communities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850010038678 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850010038678&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari Parviainen Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Parviainen Author-Name: Hannu Schadewitz Author-X-Name-First: Hannu Author-X-Name-Last: Schadewitz Author-Name: Dallas Blevins Author-X-Name-First: Dallas Author-X-Name-Last: Blevins Title: On the non-linear relationship between disclosure and its determinants Abstract: A linear relationship exists between interim disclosures submitted to the Helsinki Exchanges and their determinants over the period 1985-1993. A non-linear model better explains the relationship. This finding has implications for the design of other disclosure index studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-750 Issue: 11 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110043771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110043771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:11:p:747-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: On flood occurrence and the provision of safe drinking water in developing countries Abstract: Developing countries in South Asia and elsewhere are frequently ravaged by floods. An important part of most flood management programmes is the provision of safe drinking water (SDW) to prevent the spread of diseases. How should a government agency that is interested in distributing SDW to flood victims, go about its task? Further, how might this agency maximize the net social benefit from the provision of SDW? Finally, given that SDW is a particularly scarce commodity in a flood situation, how likely is it that this agency will be unable to meet the stochastic demand for SDW? In this paper, we use queuing theory to shed light on these three questions regarding the disbursement of SDW to flood victims. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-754 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:751-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Cointegration and predictability in prereform east European black-market exchange rates Abstract: This paper examines the time series properties of the monthly black-market dollar exchange rates of the Bulgarian lev, Czech koruna, East German mark, Hungarian forint, Polish zloty, Rumanian lei and Soviet ruble over the period 1955-1990. All series other than the mark exhibit a unit root in logarithms, and there is evidence of at least two cointegrating vectors linking the remaining rates. Weak exogeneity is rejected for the lev, forint and lei, but strong exogeneity cannot be rejected for the koruna, zloty and ruble, implying causality running from the latter group to the former group, which may be interpreted as reflecting channels of policy interdependence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-759 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:755-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Measuring unemployment persistence in terms of I(d) statistical models Abstract: In the paper the unemployment rate series of nineteen countries are examined by means of fractionally integrated techniques. The results show that unemployment series are more persistent in some countries, such as Finland, Belgium or Spain, than in others, like the USA, Japan, Austria, Italy or Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110044220 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110044220&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose J. Sempere Monerris Author-X-Name-First: Jose J. Sempere Author-X-Name-Last: Monerris Author-Name: Vincent Vannetelbosch Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vannetelbosch Title: The patent holder's bargaining power and the licensing of an innovation Abstract: A bargaining licensing game is developed to study how the patent holder's bargaining power affects his licensing policy as well as the social welfare. Indeed, a modification in the patent's holder bargaining power is not innocuous for the economy. Therefore, a social agency that is concerned with a social welfare measure may raise the question of who should hold the bargaining power in order to increase the welfare of the economy. Consumers and the world economy are better off with the complete diffusion of the technology. This is only possible if the patent holder is attributed greater bargaining power than the one attributed to the potential licensees and the size of the innovation is small enough. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-769 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:765-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Black Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Black Author-Name: Michael Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Author-Name: Kristen Keith Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Keith Title: The inflation/growth relationship: evidence from state panel data Abstract: Employing US state data, a positive correlation is found between inflation and growth during the 1980s, accompanied by a downward trend in inflation. During the 1960s and 1970s, a negative correlation was accompanied by an upward trend in inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110044202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110044202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:771-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Author-Name: Guillermo Benavides Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Benavides Title: The demand for money and inflation in Mexico 1980-1999: implications for stability and real seigniorage revenues Abstract: This paper presents estimates of the demand for money function and the Phillips curve using quarterly data for the Mexican economy over the period 1980--1999. These estimates are used to test restrictions on the dynamic process of the errors and cross-equation parameter restrictions suggested by economic theory. The parameter estimates obtained are used to investigate the stability of the inflation process and the extent to which real seigniorage revenues have been exploited within the Mexican economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110044211 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110044211&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gazi Shbikat Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shbikat Title: The liquidity effect and the transmission mechanism of money Abstract: The positive relationship between money and interest rates and the procyclical behaviour of interest rates found by empirical studies contradict predictions of macroeconomic theories. This paper incorporates disaggregated measures of investment (residential and nonresidential investment) along with disaggregated measures of money (outside and inside money) into the analysis of the impact of money on economic activity. The Vector Error Correction model is employed to deal with the issues of stationarity and cointegration in the data. Disaggregating money and output produces the expected liquidity effect of money on interest rates and helps to detect the transmission mechanism by which interest rates affect real economic activity. Further, the evidence presented in this paper underscores the importance of Residential Fixed Investment as a major player in explaining the money-output relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-785 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045139 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045139&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:779-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Author-Name: Melanie Ward Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: Cohort effects and job satisfaction of academics Abstract: Previous studies of job satisfaction in the labour force as a whole have found that women generally express themselves as more satisfied at work than men. This paper examines the relationship between age and individual job satisfaction using a uniquely detailed dataset on Scottish academics. The insignificant gender effect on job satisfaction for the whole sample of academics is found to be made up of two offsetting effects. Male academics under the age of 36 are found to have significantly higher job satisfaction than the female under 36 cohort. Men over 36 however have a significantly lower satisfaction than their female academic equivalents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110045733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110045733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:787-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Paul Newbold Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Newbold Title: Unit root tests based on inequality-restricted estimators Abstract: This study considers the possibility of estimating a Dickey-Fuller regression, constraining the autoregressive parameter to be at most one, and imposing prior knowledge of the sign of the drift parameter. In spite of apparently encouraging asymptotic results, it emerges that no feasible test of the unit root null hypothesis with superior finite sample properties follows from such inequality-restricted estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-797 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046039 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046039&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:793-797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Honohan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Honohan Title: Does PPP-adjusted data exaggerate the relative size of poor economies? Abstract: Though excellent for comparing living standards, conventional PPP-adjusted real income measures may be a poor basis for ranking economies by total size. They assign a far larger share of World output to poor countries than would a more relevant alternative based on valuing output using the equilibrium prices of an hypothetical world of full economic integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-802 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:799-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: A macroeconomic analysis of the impact of union wage increases on nonunion wages Abstract: Based on the augmented Phillips curve and the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model, the author finds that the growth of nonunion wages are positively associated with expected inflation, productivity growth, and the growth of union wages and are negatively correlated with the unemployment rate. The partial adjustment process is confirmed. Error variance can best be modelled by the ARCH(2) process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-806 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:803-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Fujii Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Fujii Title: Determinants and probability distribution of inefficiency in the stochastic cost frontier of Japanese hospitals Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to estimate the cost inefficiency of Japanese municipal hospitals using the stochastic cost frontier approach. It is assumed that hospital cost inefficiency has a truncated normal distribution in order to avoid the restrictive feature of the half-normal distribution. A model of hospital cost inefficiency in which the inefficiency is a function of some explanatory variables was defined. The stochastic cost frontier and the inefficiency model were estimated simultaneously. The results indicate that the half-normal distribution is not appropriate for the inefficiency distribution of municipal hospitals in Japan. It is also found (i) that the level of cost inefficiency is related to the government subsidy and the geographical location of the hospital; and (ii) that, when compared to the truncated normal cost inefficiency model, the half-normal model underestimates the marginal costs while it overestimates the cost inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-812 Issue: 12 Volume: 8 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:8:y:2001:i:12:p:807-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Schich Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Schich Author-Name: Florian Pelgrin Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Pelgrin Title: Financial development and investment: panel data evidence for OECD countries from 1970 to 1997 Abstract: Applying a panel error correction approach to data for 19 OECD countries from 1970 to 1997, the paper provides evidence that financial development is significantly related to investment levels. Different indicators of financial development are used. The results appear to be strongest for stock market capitalization, although the contribution of private credit issued by deposit money banks is also significant. The results go beyond previous work on the topic, which has found a significant link for low and middle-income economies, but not for those with relatively high income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:1-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Author-Name: Thitima Puttitanun Author-X-Name-First: Thitima Author-X-Name-Last: Puttitanun Title: New unit root tests of the Nelson-Plosser data Abstract: Weighted symmetric and GLS tests for unit roots are applied to the fourteen time series tested by Nelson and Plosser in 1982. Due to the greater power of these two tests, unit roots are rejected for three to five of the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:9-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umberto Triacca Author-X-Name-First: Umberto Author-X-Name-Last: Triacca Title: The partial autocorrelation function of a first order non-invertible moving average process Abstract: In this paper an expression is obtained for the determinant of a particular patterned matrix. The result is then used to derive the partial autocorrelation function of a first order non-invertible moving average process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050665 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050665&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:13-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laszlo Goerke Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Goerke Title: Statutory and economic incidence of labour taxes Abstract: A revenue-neutral substitution of a payroll tax for an income tax reduces unemployment in a general efficiency wage model in which firms are characterized by a constant returns to scale technology. This employment variation is the reverse of the change which arises in collective wage bargaining models. Hence, empirical work on the determinants of unemployment should always allow for the possibility of differential effects of taxes levied on workers and firms. The positive employment effect in the efficiency wage economy occurs since the income tax, in contrast to the payroll tax, is characterized by a positive level of tax exemption. Therefore, a revenueneutral substitution requires a less pronounced increase in the payroll tax than it allows for a fall in the income tax. Profits rise and an employment expansion is needed to reduce the workers' effort and, subsequently, the firms' profits to their equilibrium level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048497 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048497&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lambert Schoonbeek Author-X-Name-First: Lambert Author-X-Name-Last: Schoonbeek Title: A delegated agent in a winner-takes-all contest Abstract: A standard winner-takes-all rent-seeking contest with a principal-agent relationship is extended. One of the two players offers a contract to an agent to act as a delegate on his behalf. The wage offered to the agent is deliberately chosen. The equilibrium of the extended contest is characterized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049333 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049333&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:21-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Title: Net entry and exit patterns of Bangladesh manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper provides an empirical analysis of net entry and net exit patterns of manufacturing industries in Bangladesh. The analysis is based on a panel data set consisting of five census years' three-digit level data from the Bangladesh Census of Manufacturing Industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:25-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gangadhar Darbha Author-X-Name-First: Gangadhar Author-X-Name-Last: Darbha Title: Testing for long-run stability - an application to money multiplier in India Abstract: In testing for a stable long-run relation between monetary aggregates and reserve money most previous studies have used the conventional tests for cointegration. Using the recently developped residual-based cointegration tests of Gregory and Hansen that explicitly allow for regime shifts, the present paper, contrary to the findings of previous studies, finds that there exists a stable, but time-varying, longrun relation between measures of money stock and reserve money in the Indian context. It also finds that the observed variation in cointegrating relations is better characterized by a discrete one-time shift, rather than a gradually evolving random walk process, attributable, probably, to discrete changes in monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110047155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110047155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:33-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petri Bockerman Author-X-Name-First: Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Bockerman Author-Name: Jaakko Kiander Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Kiander Title: Has work-sharing worked in Finland? Abstract: This study is about the effects of work-sharing on employment in Finland. The results reveal that a reduction in average hours seems to deliver an increase in employment on the condition that output does not deteriorate as a result of shorter working time. However, the maintenance of output level in the case of shorter average working hours is a challenging exercise. In addition, the conduct of worksharing as a policy scheme is limited by the Lucas critique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:39-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Obben Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Obben Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Author-Name: V. Wesley Thompson Author-X-Name-First: V. Wesley Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: A logit model of the incidence of long-term unemployment Abstract: A logit model of the incidence of long-term unemployment is estimated using a random sample of completed unemployment spells in New Zealand over the period 1988-97. The regressions results are sensible, but the predictive power of the model seems to depend on the share of long-term unemployed in total unemployment. In particular, if one-third or less of annual observations are made up of long-term unemployment spells, the model is incapable of predicting any such spells, unless it is constrained to do so. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:43-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Author-Name: Phillip Frese Author-X-Name-First: Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Frese Title: The impact of state personal and corporate tax rates on firm location Abstract: The present study attempts to determine the effect of state personal and corporate tax rates on firm location at the 2-digit SIC level. Using a random effects model on a data set of 14000 observations, the present study finds that a state's personal tax rate has a negative effect on firm location but that a state's corporate tax rate has no statistically-significant effect on firm location. These results suggest that the locational decision of a firm is affected more by the impact that high personal taxes will have on the manager's and/or owner's income than by the negative impact of high corporate tax rates on firm profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110046859 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110046859&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:47-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Amaza Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Amaza Author-Name: J. K. Olayemi Author-X-Name-First: J. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Olayemi Title: Analysis of technical inefficiency in food crop production in Gombe State, Nigeria Abstract: This study investigated technical inefficiency in food crop production among farmers in Gombe State, Nigeria. A stochastic frontier production function, which incorporates technical inefficiency effects, using the Maximum-Likelihood Estimation (MLE), was used as the analytical technique. Given the specification of the stochastic frontier production function, the first null hypothesis, which specifies that the technical inefficiency effects are not stochastic is rejected. The second null hypothesis, which specifies that the explanatory variables in the model for technical inefficiency factors have zero coefficients, is also rejected. This implies that the explanatory variables in the inefficiency effects contribute significantly to the explanation of inefficiency in food crop production in Gombe State, Nigeria. Predicted technical efficiencies vary widely among farms, ranging between 13% and 89%, and a mean technical efficiency of 69%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110048523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110048523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Matsubayashi Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Matsubayashi Title: The terms of trade and private savings: empirical evidence with a structural approach Abstract: This paper proposes a structural approach to investigate the relationship between the terms of trade and private savings in Japan and the US. A small open economy model is developed in which an infinitely-living representative agent consumes both tradable and non-tradable goods and a stochastic Euler equation is derived. Then, the GMM estimation method developed by Hansen (1982) is applied to estimate structural parameters and test model specifications. The main result is that the estimate for the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution is more than one for both countries. It may therefore be concluded that an improvement in the future terms of trade can decrease the private savings in Japan and the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049342 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049342&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bang Nam Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Bang Nam Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Author-Name: Euiseong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Euiseong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Foreign exchange market efficiency, cointegration, and policy coordination Abstract: This paper examines market efficiency of the major foreign exchange markets during the post-Bretton Woods era by applying the bivariate and multivariate cointegration estimations to the weekly data of seven major foreign exchange rates. In particular, this study investigates whether the major foreign exchange policy coordinations, such as the Plaza Agreement (1985) and the Louvre Accord (1987), affected the long-run relations of the bilateral spot-forward and multivariate exchange rates. The findings of this study are: first, empirical evidence based on the bivariate and multivariate cointegrations is mostly consistent with the efficient market hypothesis in the major foreign exchange markets during the post-Bretton Woods era; second, the international policy coordinations during the late 1980s have affected acrosscountry market efficiency by introducing common stochastic trends in the system of the seven major foreign exchange markets during the period of the policy implementation, but the market inefficiency did not last long; and third, within-country market efficiency appears to have become stronger in the post-Plaza agreement period than before, evidenced by exhibiting more cointegrating vectors, and have not been affected by the major foreign exchange policy coordinations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049351 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049351&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:1:p:61-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Branko Milanovic Author-X-Name-First: Branko Author-X-Name-Last: Milanovic Title: Do we tend to overestimate poverty gaps? The impact of equivalency scales on the calculation of the poverty gap Abstract: The standard formulae used to calculate poverty gaps are incorrect when the poverty analysis is conducted in terms of equivalent units (rather than in per capita terms). An exact calculation requires access to individual level data. If this is unavailable, the paper proposes an approximation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049397 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049397&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:69-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: A jackknife maximum likelihood estimator for the probit model Abstract: The maximum likelihood estimator for the Probit model can be substantially biased in small samples.This paper proposes a bias-corrected jackknife maximum likelihood estimator (JMLE) for the Probit model which corrects bias up to O(1/n-squared) unlike the ordinary MLE which corrects bias up to O(1/n). An application of the JMLE to Spector and Mazzeo (1980) data for analysing the effectiveness of a new method of teaching economics is also presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-74 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050683 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050683&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:73-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Jiang Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: What could potentially aggravate implicit volatility 'smile' and 'asymmetry'? - a note Abstract: This research note shows that the implied Black-Scholes volatility calculated using the bisection algorithm can have significant biases, which are more severe for in-themoney (ITM) options than for out-of-the-money (OTM) options. The biases are shown to have important implications as they could potentially aggravate the well-documented smile or smirk and asymmetry of implied Black-Scholes volatility for equity options. The findings caution the use of bisection algorithm for the calculation of Black-Scholes implied volatility. This research note also shows that the biases can be eliminated using the optimization algorithm which uses at least the first derivative of the objective function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:75-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaakov Lavi Author-X-Name-First: Yaakov Author-X-Name-Last: Lavi Author-Name: Michel Strawczynski Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Strawczynski Title: Policy variables and growth: evidence from Israel Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of policy variables on the per-capita Business Sector GDP in Israel in the framework of an extended neo-classical model. The methodology assesses the impact of policy variables on the components of the production function: factors of production (capital and labour) and total factor productivity. Using the cointegration approach, both long-run and short term specifications are tested. It is shown that: i) in the long-run the reduction of taxes, public sector deficit and inflation enhance growth mainly through an increase in total factor productivity; ii) in the short-run transitory changes in taxes do not affect business sector GDP, while persistent changes in taxes do affect it. It is also shown that persistent mass immigration waves to Israel enhanced production through a 'scale effect', since they implied an increase in the market size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Krishna Mazumdar Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Mazumdar Title: A note on cross-country divergence in standard of living Abstract: Convergence in 'standards of living' across countries is an important phenomenon that drew attraction of the researchers in economics during the last two decades. These studies take into account the growth of per capita gross domestic product or labour productivity as a measure of standard of living. The present study attempts to measure the standard of living in terms of the human development index which reflect the human well-being better than income or productivity and examines whether standards of living converge across economies over a fairly long period of time, such as 35 years (1960-1995). The convergence test has been attempted for the full sample as well as for three levels of human development. The study uses the convergence test introduced by Baumol. The tests indicate that in almost for all the cases divergence has been observed. Divergence is also observed for per capita real gross domestic product for all types of sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049388 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049388&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Connock Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Connock Title: Is arbitrage possible in the housing market? Abstract: It is widely accepted that no obvious serial correlation exists, nor can exist in a perfect market, in the pattern of changes away from the trend in equity share prices; for, if it did, arbitrageurs would step in and make money by buying when positive changes were anticipated, and vice versa. Yet in the UK at least, such correlation does appear to exist in the prices of another, arguably equally important set of assets, namely housing. This note shows, on the basis of the leading UK house price indices, the evidence that this is so, and discusses how this pattern can continue without being arbitraged away. The tentative conclusion is that there are likely to be some individuals and firms who will be able to profit from the situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-93 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:91-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Jose Angelo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Angelo Author-Name: C. A. Divino Author-X-Name-First: C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Divino Author-Name: Carlos Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Title: Revisiting the Fisher hypothesis for the cases of Argentina, Brazil and Mexico Abstract: This paper investigates the validity of the Fisher effect hypothesis that it is the interest rate that moves to adjust to anticipated changes in the rate of inflation. The analysis is carried out with monthly data for the period 1980-1997 for three countries that have a recent history of chronic high inflation: Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. A cointegration analysis provided evidence of a stable long-run equilibrium relationship between nominal interest rates and the inflation rate for the cases of Argentina and Brazil only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-98 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049405 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049405&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:95-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Non-market insurance and intrafamily transfers Abstract: This paper investigates the possibility that transfers of money between household members arise because a family member wishes to pay another an insurance premium in exchange for the right to collect an insurance coverage if a loss is suffered. The motive for the transfers is known as non-market insurance, and it is compared with altruism, bequests, and child-services-for-money (ABC). Some empirical evidence for non-market insurance is found based upon the panel study of income dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-102 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049414 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049414&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:99-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: He-Ling Shi Author-X-Name-First: He-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Ownership reform and total factor productivity growth in Chinese industry Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature on total factor productivity (TFP) in Chinese industry. First, an adjusted TFP index is calculated through deflating raw data on TFP in Chinese industry using indexes on technological innovation in Japan and the United States. Second, the TFP index is regessed on the percentage of gross industrial output produced by non-state firms for the period 1980 to 1995. The results suggest that ownership reform was an important determinant of growth in industrial TFP over the period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corredor Pilar Author-X-Name-First: Corredor Author-X-Name-Last: Pilar Author-Name: Santamaria Rafael Author-X-Name-First: Santamaria Author-X-Name-Last: Rafael Title: Does derivatives trading destabilize the underlying assets? Evidence from the Spanish stock market Abstract: This paper analyses the effect of the introduction of derivatives (futures and options) in the Spanish market on the volatility and on the trading volume of the underlying index. The period analysed covers from October 1990 to December 1994. To study this effect, a GJR model is used. It is found, that although the asymmetry coefficient has increased, the conditional volatility of the underlying index declines after derivative markets are introduced. The trading volume of Ibex-35 increases significantly. Consequently, the introduction of the derivative contracts in Spain confirms a decrease in uncertainty in the underlying market and an increase in liquidity, which possibly enhances their efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Willem Verschoor Author-X-Name-First: Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Verschoor Author-Name: Christian Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Scandinavian exchange rate expectations Abstract: This paper extends the analyses of Frankel and Froot (1987b), Cavaglia et al. (1993a), and others, to a new data set of exchange rate expectations on Scandinavian exchange rates. It corroborates the earlier finding that exchange rate forecasts are not rational, and that agents do not use all available information in an efficient manner. The evidence suggests that Scandinavian exchange rate expectations were stabilizing and that an unexpected depreciation was typically followed by an expected appreciation of smaller magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110049757 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110049757&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:111-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjetil Haugen Author-X-Name-First: Kjetil Author-X-Name-Last: Haugen Author-Name: Arild Hervik Author-X-Name-First: Arild Author-X-Name-Last: Hervik Title: Estimating the value of the Premier League or the worlds most profitable investment project Abstract: This paper shows that market values for UK football (soccer) teams may be described by a remarkably simple regression model. This model is used to estimate the value of the Premier league. A tentative estimate of the Norwegian club Rosenborg Ballklubb is also established. As Rosenborg Ballklub is a 'membership club' - meaning that a small entrance fee (independent of the clubs performance) is the real price of 'a share' in the club - the return of an investment in the club is shown to be 'unbelievable'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050674 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050674&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Decomposing ethnic differences in the incidence of employer-provided training in New Zealand Abstract: Minority workers in New Zealand are significantly less likely to receive employer-provided training. The contribution of differences in average characteristics and differences in the returns to those characteristics across ethnic groups are highlighted in this paper. The decomposition used deals with the index problem that results from the choice of a base group whose coefficients are used to predict the probability of training. The results show that the gap in training probabilities, and the part of this gap due to differences in the returns to characteristics, differs widely between specific minority groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:121-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. M. Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: X. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: D. Miles Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Statistical precision of DEA: a bootstrap application to Spanish public services Abstract: The aim of this paper is to discuss how the efficiency conclusions obtained from DEA are affected when they are complemented with bootstrap confidence intervals. Bootstrap approximations to DEA estimator distribution functions have not been practically used in empirical analysis, despite being an important statistical tool to discuss the sensitivity of the efficiency point estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050719 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050719&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:127-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ming Kuan Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Kuan Author-Name: Mai-Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Mai-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Response surfaces of MOSUM critical values Abstract: The response surfaces of MOSUM critical values are computed, from which the finite sample and asymptotic critical values for different moving window bandwidths can easily be calculated. Results also show that the finite-sample critical values originally suggested by Bauer and Hackl and the asymptotic critical values are much too large in finite samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110050728 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110050728&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact critical values of unit root tests with drift and trend Abstract: This paper, using the Imhof method, evaluates the numerically exact critical values of unit root tests based on the OLS estimator when there are drift and trend. The somewhat detailed tables of the exact critical values are presented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-145 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:137-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Competition in the US lemon market Abstract: This paper investigates the nature of competition in the US market for fresh lemons. Empirical results indicate that market dominance on the part of Sunkist Growers, Inc. enhanced supra-competitive prices, while a change in the scheme of orderly lemon marketing did not influence competition in a noticeable manner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-149 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053284 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053284&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:147-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lance Bachmeier Author-X-Name-First: Lance Author-X-Name-Last: Bachmeier Title: Is the term structure nonlinear? A semiparametric investigation Abstract: A semiparametric error correction model (ECM) is estimated using US term structure data. We use 5 and 10 year interest rates to predict short-term (1 month to 12 month) interest rates. It is found that the semiparametric ECM model predicts better than the popular linear ECM. These results provide further evidence of nonlinearity in the term structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053275 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:151-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Panel data evidence on inflation convergence in the European Union Abstract: This letter investigates the extent of long-run inflation convergence among the major EU economies using panel data unit root and cointegration tests. Potentially, these methods have key advantages over time-series methods which, in the light of limited data, can suffer from power deficiency with a tendency to accept the null of nonstationarity or noncointegration. Using monthly inflation data over the period 1972-99, this study finds that inflation convergence was strongest during 1983-90 whereas the turbulence experienced within in the ERM in the early 1990s conferred some degree of macroeconomic independence among EU members. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054940 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054940&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:155-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Intergenerational dependence in education and income Abstract: This paper takes up Goldberger's suggestion to investigate the links across generations using nonmonetary measures of status. It is found that the links in educational attainment are somewhat stronger than, and statistically significant from, those in income even if the income data are adjusted for measurement errors. This result accords well with the theoretical work of Galor and Zeira and others which emphasizes the role of market imperfections in human capital accumulation persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110052988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110052988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Forecasting stock market volatility with non-linear GARCH models: a case for China Abstract: This paper studies the performance of the GARCH model and two of its non-linear modifications to forecast China's weekly stock market volatility. The models are the Quadratic GARCH and the Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle models which have been proposed to describe the often observed negative skewness in stock market indices. It is found that the QGARCH model is best when the estimation sample does not contain extreme observations such as the stock market crash, and that the GJR model cannot be recommended for forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053266 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053266&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Perez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Maria Dolores Prada Author-X-Name-First: Maria Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Prada Author-Name: Mercedes Prieto Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto Title: Explaining inequality in Spanish income. A multifactor ANOVA model Abstract: To explain inequality, a multifactor ANOVA model is applied to the logarithm of income. Three definitions of income are analysed to see how they influence the results. Regardless the definition used, education and activity of the household head turn out to be the most significant factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-170 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110053293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110053293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:167-170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwang Soo Cheong Author-X-Name-First: Kwang Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Cheong Title: An empirical comparison of alternative functional forms for the Lorenz curve Abstract: Using US income data, several functional forms for the Lorenz curve are evaluated. On the basis of the goodness of fit, estimated income shares and Gini coefficients, the form proposed by Kakwani (Electrometrica, 48, 437-46, 1980) is found to be overall superior to the other forms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:171-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aslihan Altay-Salih Author-X-Name-First: Aslihan Author-X-Name-Last: Altay-Salih Author-Name: Gulnur Muradoglu Author-X-Name-First: Gulnur Author-X-Name-Last: Muradoglu Author-Name: Muhammet Mercan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammet Author-X-Name-Last: Mercan Title: Performance of the efficient frontier in an emerging market setting Abstract: This study applies the Markowitz analysis to the Istanbul Stock Exchange and empirically investigates the performance of this tool in an emerging market setting. The results show that during the early years of establishment of an emerging stock exchange, an active strategy of mean variance portfolio, investing with monthly balancing, outperforms the passive strategies. However, at later stages the capital market liberalization changes market participants. Together, with the increase in foreign participation and integration of the market with the rest of the world, the performance of means variance efficient portfolios detoriate. The study also reports that the strategy is not effective during financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-183 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:177-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao-Yen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: To-Far Wang Author-X-Name-First: To-Far Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Social incidence and economic costs of carbon limits: a computable general equilibrium analysis for Taiwan Abstract: In this paper, a computable general equilibrium model is constructed and is applied to analyse the economic costs of carbon emissions limits on the Taiwanese economy. The counterfactual simulation technique is applied to investigate the economic effects of mitigating carbon emissions via a carbon tax with a compensation policy. Empirical results basing on the Taiwan's data show that both compensation policies, i.e. income tax rate decrease and carbon tax revenues transfer, can reduce the costs of carbon emissions limits and possibly offset welfare reductions due to implementation of a carbon tax. These results also show that, with respect to allocation and distributional effects, the carbon tax revenues transfer is better than the income tax rate decrease for the selection in compensation policy. From the acceptability of national greenhouse policy, this finding reveals that the economic costs of limiting carbon emissions via a carbon tax can be reduced, if carbon emissions limits are accompanied by redistributing carbon tax revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-189 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054076 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054076&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:185-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Interest rate spread and real activity: evidence for the UK Abstract: Results of recent studies for the USA, Canada and Australia have suggested that the term structure of interest rates contains predictive power for real GDP growth, and that this result is robust to the inclusion of additional variables, such as stock market indicators and lagged growth rates. Using a k-quarter growth rate model this paper attempts to ascertain whether similar results are obtained for the UK. In short, the results suggested here state that although the interest rate spread between the 10-year governemt bond and the 3-month T-bill contains some predictive power for UK output growth, it is less than reported for other countries. Finally, this result is robust to the inclusion of lagged growth and the FT-ALL index return, the latter leading to a marginal improvement in predictive power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054922 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054922&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: The effects of currency depreciation on stock returns: evidence from five East Asian economies Abstract: By using stock daily data for Thailand and the four Asian Tigers, this paper provides clear evidence that currency depreciation affects adversely stock returns and/or increases market volatility over the period of the Asian crisis 1997-1999. The implication is that international investors and fund managers who plan to invest in the East Asian newly emerging stock markets have to evaluate the stability of the foreign exchange markets before taking action. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-199 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tser-Yieth Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tser-Yieth Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Measuring firm performance with DEA and prior information in Taiwan's banks Abstract: This paper combines data envelopment analysis (DEA) measurements and manager prior opinion measurements to generate a posterior measurement for an overall measurement of the technical efficiency of banks in Taiwan. The involvement of mutual participation of bank managers in the evaluation process provides refined evaluation results and explicit corporation atmosphere among bank's evaluation operations. The empirical results indicate that the posterior measurement differs from the original DEA efficiency scores and/or financial ratios, which in turn indicates that bank efficiency can be measured by applying the methodology of Bayesian concept. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 3 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057947 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057947&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:3:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Alessandro Goglio Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Goglio Title: Regional bias and intra-regional trade in southeast Asia Abstract: Southeast Asia exhibits a bias towards intra-regional trade but not one that is out of line with the size, growth rates and geographical proximity of these countries; there is more trade bias than exhibited by the EU but less than that of NAFTA and, unlike in the EU and NAFTA, southeast Asian trade bias has not increased in recent years. Tests using a gravity model of trade confirm the importance of economic size, geographic distance and common language in intra-region bilateral trade and also show that re-exports and membership of ASEAN have been important factors promoting intra-regional trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110058955 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110058955&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Inter-regional wage differentials in Spain Abstract: The paper analyses the wage differentials among different Spanish regions. Hedonic wage equations are first formulated for those regions and then the wage decomposition method is applied, which allows separation of the effects due to characteristics from those due to returns. The results show that in the Centre and South, half of the wage differential corresponds to each concept, whereas in the North and East the difference is due more to the different remuneration than to the different characteristics. The variables that exert greatest influence on the characteristic differences are seniority, possessing a university degree, the command of a second language, the sector of activity, the supervisory tasks undertaken and the occupation. With respect to the different returns, the largest differences correspond to remuneration for seniority, a second language, the sector of activity, the working hours and discrimination by gender. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:209-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Author-Name: David Nickerson Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Nickerson Title: Crime and residential mortgage default: an empirical analysis Abstract: This paper is the first to quantify the effect of crime rates on rates of default of residential mortgages. Based on a model of default in which crime rates can affect the liquidity of mortgageholders as well as their default option through property values, regression analysis is used to analyse default rates over a pooled sample of residential mortgages for all US states during 1981-1994. This study finds that crime, possibly acting as a proxy for more general economic conditions, significantly affects both the rate and timing of mortgage default. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-220 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110058504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110058504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:217-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung Yi Tse Author-X-Name-First: Chung Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Author-Name: Charles Ka Yui Leung Author-X-Name-First: Charles Ka Yui Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Weslie Yuk Fai Chan Author-X-Name-First: Weslie Yuk Fai Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Unemployment and vacancy in the Hong Kong labour market Abstract: This paper combines unemployment and vacancy data to analyse the efficiency of the Hong Kong labour market for the period 1976 to 1997. It is confirmed that the negative relationship between unemployment and vacancy, commonly known as the Beveridge curve, applies to the Hong Kong labour market. There was an inward shift of the Beveridge curve around 1982, which implies falling match frictions since then. Systematic evidence is also found that Hong Kong has been close to full employment, for on average, around 80% of unemployment in the period was due to structural and frictional unemployment with only 20% attributable to cyclical unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110054959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110054959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:221-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Title: Endogeneity of tenure in the determination of quit behaviour of young workers Abstract: This paper finds that ignoring the endogeneity of wage and tenure in the determination of quit behaviour biases their measured effects on quit propensity of young workers toward zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:231-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariam Camarero Author-X-Name-First: Mariam Author-X-Name-Last: Camarero Title: The IMF fiscal impulses and the determination of the real exchange rate of the Spanish peseta Abstract: In this paper a Keynesian model is applied for real exchange rate determination based on the concept of fiscal impulses. This model was proposed by Obstfeld (1985) and studies the effect of relative demand shocks on the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-240 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110057965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110057965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:235-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jow-Ran Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jow-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Intertemporal hedge for inflation risk Abstract: An asset pricing model is developed in which price of consumption good is unknown and investors have a general time and state nonseparable preference. It is shown that the expected return on an asset is determined by a weighted average of market risk, inflation risk and consumption risk. The sum of these weights is equal to one. Moreover, a log-linear approximation proposed by Campbell (1993) to budget constraint is used to substitute out consumption to obtain an asset pricing model with inflation hedging risk. In this setup, expected asset return can be rewritten as a weighted average of market risk, market hedging risk, inflation risk and inflation hedging risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-243 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110058522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110058522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:241-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Papageorgiou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Papageorgiou Title: On scale effects: further evidence Abstract: One of the main issues associated with recent R&D-based growth models is their prediction concerning 'scale effects'. That is, these models ask the question as to whether economic growth is a function of the level or the growth rate of human capital at steady state. This note presents some cross-country and historical time series evidence that supports scale effects in the early stages of development and non scale effects in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110060367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110060367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Hoskins Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Hoskins Title: Aggregation, technological change and the skill structure of the British Economy 1951-1991 Abstract: This paper presents quantitative estimates of the effects of technological and sectoral change on skill composition in the United Kingdom, in each decade 1951-1991 and assesses the effect of sectoral aggregation on these effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110060376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110060376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafiz Akhand Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Akhand Author-Name: Haoming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haoming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Income inequality in the United States: what the individual tax files say Abstract: Recent studies find the response error in the CPS is systematically related to income and gender. How such systematic misreporting of earnings can affect income inequality estimates is shown. Income inequality in the US can be more acute than is thought. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110060998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110060998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randal Verbrugge Author-X-Name-First: Randal Author-X-Name-Last: Verbrugge Title: Longitudinal inflation asymmetry Abstract: Using an assymetry test which has high power and is not dominated by outliers, a longitudinal asymmetry is detected in most of the disaggregated price series investigated. This finding is intriguing, as neither money nor output growth is asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-264 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110062013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110062013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:261-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: M. Troy Gibson Author-X-Name-First: M. Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Title: Simultaneous estimation of complementary political economic models: an application to concealed-carry handgun legislation Abstract: The present note provides an extension of the Mixon and Gibson (2001) study of the retention of various types of concealed gun laws across the 50 states of the US by developing a simultaneous system of demand (interest group) and supply (legislative) equations as a 'market for laws'. This construct follows theoretical foundations laid in the public choice literature by Crain (1979) and Benson and Engin (1988). Full information maximum likelihood results presented here suggest the importance of the property rights and the Second Amendment (of the US constitution) movement on the demand side and legislator characteristics on the supply side as determinants of the prescence of unrestricted right-to-carry laws across states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110062022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110062022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:265-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Millimet Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Millimet Author-Name: Daniel Slottje Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Slottje Title: An environmental Paglin-Gini Abstract: The concept of an environmental Gini coefficient has been used recently by several researchers. In line with Paglin's historical critique of the income Gini coefficient, an environmental Paglin-Gini is proposed and estimated, more carefully considering the notion of 'perfect environmental inequality.' Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110062031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110062031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Sean Holly Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Holly Title: A statistical analysis of regime switching under asymmetric error correction Abstract: A novel approach is presented for the analysis of regime switching behaviour based upon the use of Geary's runs test. The proposed method is used to examine recent evidence presented concerning the application of alternative models of asymmetric error correction. The results derived show the runs test to detect a significant difference in regime switching behaviour under the rival models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-278 Issue: 4 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:4:p:275-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Weill Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Weill Title: Does restructuring improve banking efficiency in a transition economy? Abstract: This paper analyses the comparative evolution of the cost efficiency of banks in Poland and the Czech Republic during the nineties. Using the stochastic frontier approach, it finds mixed evidence in favour of the restructuring programmeme implemented in Poland. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-281 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:279-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons Author-Name: Daniel Tirado Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Tirado Author-Name: Elisenda Paluzie Author-X-Name-First: Elisenda Author-X-Name-Last: Paluzie Title: Integration of markets and industrial concentration: evidence from Spain, 1856-1907 Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the phenomena of trade liberalization and market integration in 19th century Spain and their effect on the geographical concentration of industrial activity. This empirical analysis confirms the existence of positive relationships between the degree of scale economies and industrial concentration and also between the degree of centrality and industrial concentration. The empirical data on trade policy show that protectionist policies did not foster a geographical concentration of industry in the 19th century Spanish economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-287 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110066109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110066109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:283-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Balle Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Balle Author-Name: Ashish Vaidya Author-X-Name-First: Ashish Author-X-Name-Last: Vaidya Title: A regional analysis of openness and government size Abstract: The effects of international trade have been studied primarily from the perspective of a nation, often overlooking the more direct effects that occur on a regional or state level. Studies have illustrated the relationship between international trade and openness to the size of a nation's government as well as to specific categories of government spending. Because the United States retains strong state governments it is important to correlate openness with government size at the state level. The purpose of this paper is to ascertain whether increased state openness has resulted in state governments responding to the increased international trade activity by offering greater social protection. It is found that both public welfare and health services expenditures are positively correlated with the level of a state's openness. This suggests that US states have had to respond to the adverse effects of increased international trade activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067450 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067450&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Mahendhiran Nair Author-X-Name-First: Mahendhiran Author-X-Name-Last: Nair Title: A cointegration analysis of Malaysian import demand function: reassessment from the bounds test Abstract: This paper presents an empirical analysis of the aggregated import demand behaviour for Malaysia. The study involved a small sample of annual data from 1970 to 1998. To estimate the long-term relationship between import demand, and its determinants, namely income and relative prices, a robust estimation method known as the Unrestricted Error Correction Model - Bounds Test Analysis was used. The results show that import volume, income and relative prices are cointegrated. The estimated long-run elasticites of import demand with respect to income and relative prices are 1.5 and -1.3 respectively. This implies that monetary, fiscal and exchange rate policies can be used as instruments to maintain favourable trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110073471 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110073471&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duncan McVicar Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: McVicar Title: Spillovers and foreign direct investment in UK manufacturing Abstract: Evidence is presented for the existence of negative spillovers through both foreign direct investment (FDI) and goods imports for UK manufacturing sectors. Support is given to the argument that FDI and imports have a market-stealing effect on domestic firms and can therefore reduce productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-300 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:297-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hyland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hyland Author-Name: Steve Swidler Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Swidler Title: Trading behaviour of stocks added to New Zealand's NZSE40 index Abstract: This paper looks at the addition of stocks to New Zealand's NZSE40 index and investigates whether price and volume effects support the price pressure hypothesis or the informational efficiencies described by Merton's attention hypothesis. Unlike the US experience, a description of trading on the New Zealand Stock Exchange includes: (1) mechanical index listing rules; (2) few index arbitrage opportunities; and (3) less liquid markets. The empirical results support the attention hypothesis and suggest informational efficiencies that lower a firm's cost of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimation of discrete/continuous choice model: application of Bayesian approach using Gibbs sampling Abstract: The paper suggests a different model for estimating a discrete/continuous choice framework using Gibbs sampling. The basic idea of using Gibbs sampling for the multinomial probit model is extended to the case of a discrete/continuous framework. To check the applicability of this method, it was applied to estimate the parameters of a 'vehicle ownership and use' model in Seoul, Korea. Also estimated was the price elasticity of gasoline demand, calculated to be -0.7601. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-309 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:305-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Brown Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Using a multiple imputation technique to merge data sets Abstract: Surprisingly, despite the fact that the information needed to address a research question is often spread across separate surveys, there is not a well established method for merging data sets prior to analysis. This letter presents a relatively straightforward method for merging information from separate surveys of representative samples drawn from the same population. It uses a multiple imputation technique that was originally developed to correct for missing values on items from survey data. The advantage of the process is that it accounts for the variance related to merging separate data sets, as well as the sample variance present in any sample survey. This provides more accurate estimates of the precision of the coefficients of interest than ad hoc alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110069980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110069980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Extending dichotomous choice contingent valuation methods to pre-test-market evaluation: the case of a cable television service Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to introduce and test an extension of dichotomous choice contingent valuation methods to pre-test-market evaluation using the specific case of a cable television service. On the whole, respondents accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount, on average. This willingness varies according to individual characteristics and concerns about the service. It is concluded that the methods are potentially a useful tool for decision-makers in considering the provision of the service. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110070005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110070005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelos Kanas Author-X-Name-First: Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Mean and variance spillovers among size-sorted UK equity portfolios Abstract: The paper extends Lo and MacKinlay's 1990 findings by testing for mean and variance spillovers among size-sorted portfolios for the UK stock market. The London Business School Share Price Database, which contains the returns of approximately 6000 companies, is used to construct two sets of size-sorted portfolios using two alternative weighting schemes. Evidence is found of mean and variance spillovers from large- to small-firm portfolios, but not vice versa. This result holds for both weighting schemes. The existence of such spillovers suggests that profitable mean- and variance-based trading strategies exist in the UK stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110065858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110065858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Chang Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Joseph Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Inflation and relative price variability: a revisit Abstract: Bomberger and Makinen reported in 1993 that the significant positive relationship between relative price variability and the rate of inflation, documented by Parks in 1978 and by others, disappears when the oil-shock years 1974 and 1980 are excluded from the sample. Using a sample of yearly and monthly observations of both a 12- category group and a 202-category group of personal consumption expenditures, evidence is found that Bomberger and Makinen's finding is sensitive to the level of commodity aggregation and to sampling intervals. Specifically, Parks' results are reinstated when the supply shock years of 1974, 1980 and 1990 are eliminated from the annual and monthly samples. Allowing for asymmetrical responses of relative price variability to positive and negative inflation further strengthens the relation between relative price and inflation. The overall evidence renders strong support for the classic findings by Parks and is consistent with the hypothesis of downward price rigidity of some sectors in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-330 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:325-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subal Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: Productivity measurement: a profit function approach Abstract: This article provides an analytical framework to measure and decompose total factor productivity growth into technical change and economies of scale, using a profit function approach. Both single and multiple output cases are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-334 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:331-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshitsugu Kitazawa Author-X-Name-First: Yoshitsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Kitazawa Author-Name: Makoto Ohta Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Ohta Title: Testing the shirking version of the efficiency wage model in Japanese electric-machinery firms: a panel data approach Abstract: This paper investigates whether electric-machinery firms in Japan paid the efficiency wage to their employees after the Plaza Accord. The estimations are implemented using a dynamic formulation of the shirking version in the efficiency wage model. This formulation is developed by Machin and Manning (1992). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110067478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110067478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatith Ozatay Author-X-Name-First: Fatith Author-X-Name-Last: Ozatay Title: Effects of contemporaneous aggregation on the predictive power of information variables Abstract: Obtaining reliable forecasts of the future path of inflation is crucial for inflation targeting. The importance of information variable approach in forecasting inflation is widely stated. Studies that explore the information content of money basically rely upon the Granger-causality tests and use contemporaneously aggregated time series. For a potential information variable such as a monetary variable, failing to find predictive power for a contemporaneously aggregated series such as the inflation level does not necessarily imply that the potential information variable lacks predictive power. This letter shows that, provided that such a causal relationship is valid for, at least, one of the components of the aggregate, then it is possible to obtain better forecasts of the aggregate using a disaggregated model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-342 Issue: 5 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068855 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068855&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:5:p:339-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Unemployment and input prices: a fractional cointegration approach Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, fractional integration/cointegration techniques are used which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, it is found that all three variables are I(1). But only cointegration is found in the presence of autocorrelated disturbances, which means that the relationship between these variables also has a dynamic component. Furthermore, there is evidence of fractional (as opposed to classical) cointegration, which implies long memory and slow reversion to equilibrium. This suggests that an equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-351 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086044 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086044&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:347-351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Bagliano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Bagliano Author-Name: Roberto Golinelli Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Golinelli Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Core inflation in the Euro area Abstract: Using a common trends model, a forward-looking 'core' inflation measure is estimated for the Euro area based on long-run relations among major macroeconomic variables, bearing the interpretation of long-run inflation forecast. The proposed measure may be particularly suitable for the 'two-pillar' monetary policy strategy of the ECB which focuses on medium-term inflation prospects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Non-linear dependence in inter-war exchange rates: some further evidence Abstract: This paper reconsiders the time-series properties of inter-war pound-franc and pound-dollar exchange rate returns in the context of a smooth transition variant of the threshold autoregressive model. It is found that autoregressive structure in returns is largely confined to values in proximity with thresholds which are possibly associated with market intervention points or market sentiment. Under joint estimation in conjunction with GARCH models of time-varying conditional volatility, these models satisfactorily capture all non-linearity in the data, and in the case of pound-dollar returns provide out-of-sample forecasts superior to alternative linear and non-linear models previously considered in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086017 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086017&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Stiegert Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Stiegert Title: The producer, the baker, and a test of the mill price-taker Abstract: The purpose of the research in this paper was to test for upstream and downstream market power in the US hard wheat milling industry. This is an industry with very high and increasing levels of processing concentration, and one of the industry's largest firms (Archer Daniels Midland) was implicated in price-fixing in US lysine markets. The principal finding is that the hypothesis of competition could not be rejected in both the upstream and downstream markets. No evidence was found of market power in US hard wheat milling and social concerns about the conduct of incumbent firms seem unwarranted at this time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068846 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068846&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Hun Park Author-X-Name-First: Hun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Kwangwoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Kwangwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Volatility, open interest, volume, and arbitrage: evidence from the S&P 500 futures market Abstract: Using a vector autoregressive (VAR) approach, the dynamic interactions and causal relationships among volatility, open interest, trading volume and arbitrage opportunities in the S&P 500 index futures market is examined. It is found that increased volatility lowers pricing error. This implies that as market volatility increases, investors sell off their equity and futures positions with relatively larger drops in futures prices. Pricing error plays a critical role in linking implied volatility and the level of open interest. Open interest rises for a few days in response to a pricing error shock, but pricing error declines over the next day after an initial rise in response to an innovation in open interest. This suggests that the level of open interest is a good proxy for examining the capital flows into and out of the nearest S&P 500 index futures contract. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110074155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110074155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Nilson Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Nilson Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: Permanent structural changes in the Brazilian economy and long memory: a stock market perspective Abstract: The paper assesses long memory patterns in the Brazilian stock market index (Ibovespa) for sub-periods before and after the Real Stabilization Plan. Evidence favours the existence of short memory for both periods despite the so-called reforms the Brazilian economy went through in the 1990s and, in particular, after the Real Plan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-375 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110073480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110073480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:373-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Harms Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Harms Title: Political risk and equity investment in developing countries Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of a measure of political risk on equity investment flows to developing countries. Using a panel data set that includes a larger number of low-income countries than previous studies, it is found that political risk is an important determinant of the sum of foreign direct investment and portfolio equity investment per capita. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-380 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110084064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110084064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:377-380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Hsien Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Cheng-Yu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of futures trading on spot index volatility: evidence for Taiwan index futures Abstract: This paper investigates the influences of inception of Taiwan Index futures trading on the spot price volatility on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE). The macroeconomic effects are controlled and the asymmetric response behaviour is studied. The empirical evidence shows that the trading of TAIEX futures has major impacts on spot price volatility mechanism while the trading of MSCI Taiwan futures does not. In addition, the trading of both index futures has altered the asymmetric response behaviour of spot price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-385 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110068837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110068837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:381-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Jha Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: H. K. Nagarajan Author-X-Name-First: H. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nagarajan Title: Wholesale spreads and the dynamics of retail price volatility in Indian rice markets Abstract: A general model is proposed of asymmetric price transmission to examine the volatility of retail spreads in vertical markets, with endogenous overshooting of the wholesale spreads. The model is tested with Indian data and significant asymmetries are discovered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086026 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086026&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:387-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: On the GARCH estimates of exchange rate volatility in India Abstract: The study estimates the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model for a comprehensive set of both weighted (export and trade) as well as unweighted (official and black market) real exchange rate series in India. The study finds the evidence of dimensionally weak and statistically insignificant autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) effects as compared to GARCH effects in almost all the exchange rate series. The estimates of GARCH model are sensitive to the measure of exchange rate used. Besides, the GARCH effects remain invariant to the choice of sample period, and this evidence points towards the regime neutrality of exchange rate volatility in India. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-395 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:391-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Epstein Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Epstein Author-Name: P. Tillack Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Tillack Title: Classification of agricultural enterprises by their financial standing Abstract: Since 1994 the majority of Russian agricultural enterprises have been unprofitable, and have accumulated large liabilities. Their reorganization and liability restructuring is necessary. However, the differences in the financial standing of enterprises should be identified and taken into consideration. Here arises an important methodological task: to choose relevant studies, i.e. criteria for enterprise selection and classification by qualitatively different groups depending upon their financial and economic standing. This is a complex and still unsolved task. This article offers to evaluate the financial standing of an unprofitable enterprise by means of the ratio of the sufficiency coefficient to cover factor costs (K1). Factor costs are determined as a sum of labour costs, depreciation deductions and land costs. K1 enables one to evaluate the ability to preserve basic factors of production. K2 and K3 ratios, which make it possible to account for enterprise ability to survive by means of minimization of depreciation deductions and accumulation of accounts payable, are composed similarly. The ratios between enterprise liability levels and different asset components are also offered, and these make it possible to classify the enterprises by their liability level. Experimental confirmation of the developed scheme were performed with the figures of agricultural enterprises of the Leningrad Region (Oblast) for 1998. These enterprises were classified into five groups. Different approaches to their reorganization were offered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-406 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086071 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086071&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:397-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Confidence intervals for fractionally integrated hypotheses in the real output across Europe Abstract: Confidence intervals for the fractional differencing parameter are established in this article for the real output in several European countries. They are based on a testing procedure due to Robinson (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 1420-37, 1994) and the results indicate that these confidence intervals are relatively wide, the unit root null hypothesis being rejected in practically all cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-409 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086783 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086783&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:407-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiu-Yun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kenneth Lin Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Pitfalls in using Granger causality tests to find an engine of growth Abstract: This paper discusses the reliability of using a Granger causality test to find an engine of growth. The paper first focuses on growth models' cointegration implications since causality must exist in an error-correction model. As a complementary, Monte Carlo experiments with independently generated I(1) variables also indicate a significant probability for rejecting the Granger non-causality null. Given the persistency and cointegration of variables in growth models, rejecting the non-causality null may reflect a spurious causal relationship, rather than confirm a theoretical causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-414 Issue: 6 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110088132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110088132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:411-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Author-Name: Tatyana Zabotina Author-X-Name-First: Tatyana Author-X-Name-Last: Zabotina Title: Smooth transition in aggregate consumption Abstract: The STAR model is used to characterize the time series of aggregate consumption. It makes smooth transition from one optimal level to another, as heterogeneous individuals reach their optimal revision points over time. These results suggest that consumption adjustment costs and heterogeneity among investors are responsible for the empirical failure of the consumption-based CAPM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-418 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110094478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110094478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:415-418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Title: Endogenous organizational change and the expected demand for different skill groups Abstract: Between 1993 and 1995, the majority of German firms in services introduced new organizational practices (OC), in particular total quality management systems, certified ISO 9000, lean administration, flatter hierarchies, delegation of authority and ICT-enabled organizational changes. This paper analyzes the impact of organizational change on employment expectations. A system of probit equations will be estimated by simulated MLE. To account for endogeneity of organizational change in the labour demand equations a selection equation explaining organizational change is added to the system of equations. The empirical results suggest that organizational change has a positive impact on expected employment for all skill groups except for unskilled labour. Employment effects are robust to endogeneity of organizational change. New ICT and the share of training expenditures are primary forces behind OC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110088141 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110088141&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Arango Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Arango Author-Name: Carlos Posada Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Posada Title: Unemployment rate and the real wage behaviour: a neoclassical hint for the Colombian labour market adjustment Abstract: The Colombian urban unemployment rate has grown dramatically over the last six years. At the same time the real wage also had a sharp increase. The empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that an exogenous increase in the real wage was a cause of the unemployment growth. The long-run elasticity suggests a 1% increase of the real wage index increases unemployment rate something between 0.7% and 1.0%. Therefore it seems necessary that the real wage goes back to its equilibrium path for the reduction of the unemployment rate to the natural level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110096142 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110096142&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: Robert Moore Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Changes in the welfare of two-earner families across the income distribution, 1983-1993 Abstract: This paper illustrates that even during periods of sustained economic growth, gains in family welfare may not be spread evenly across income classes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-431 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110096133 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110096133&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:429-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Is the Government's intertemporal budget constraint fulfilled in Sweden? An application of the Kalman filter Abstract: This paper deals with the issue of whether the Government complies with its budget constraint for the case of Sweden during the period 1963-2000 using quarterly data. It is found that government spending and government revenue are nonstationary (integrated) but cointegrated. A random coefficient model against a fixed coefficient model is also tested for. The results show that the random coefficient model, which is nonlinear, is preferred to the linear fixed parameter model. This model, which takes into account the Lucas critique, is estimated by the Kalman filter and it provides further empirical evidence that the government follows its intertemporal budget restriction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-439 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086792 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086792&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:433-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ada Ho Author-X-Name-First: Ada Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Alan Wan Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Testing for covariance stationarity of stock returns in the presence of structural breaks: an intervention analysis Abstract: This paper investigates whether the stock return series of Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore and the US are covariance stationary using Omran and McKenzie's (The Statistician, 48, 361-69, 1999) testing procedure which comprises the Loretan and Phillips (1994) test and an intervention analysis. The main objective of the procedure is to ascertain the role of structural breaks on the stochastic properties of the stock return series. It is found that the intervention due to the 1997 Asian financial crisis is significant in the case of Hong Kong and Singapore, for which the hypothesis of covariance stationarity cannot be rejected after the effects of the financial crisis have been properly filtered. On the other hand, the evidence suggests that neither the Asian crisis nor the 1998 currency crisis of Russia and Latin America has any significant impact on the stock return series of Australia and the US, which are found to be covariance stationary and covariance nonstationary, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110090210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110090210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:441-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chang-Yang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A simple model of R&D: An extension of the Dorfman-Steiner theorem Abstract: This paper extends the seminal Dorfman-Steiner (American Economic Review, 44, 826-36, 1954) theorem by putting underlying structures on the determination of market share and on the production of quality or technology. The model developed in this paper yields a demand-pull, technology-push theory of R&D, where the profit-maximizing R&D intensity (i.e., the ratio of R&D expenditure to sales) is determined jointly by consumer characteristics, represented by the elasticities of consumer value with respect to price and quality, and firm-specific technological competence or simply R&D productivity, measured as the R&D elasticity of quality or technological output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110091787 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110091787&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Baltas Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Author-Name: Ourania Korka Author-X-Name-First: Ourania Author-X-Name-Last: Korka Title: Modelling farmers' land use decisions Abstract: This paper aims at analysing and predicting farmers' land use decisions. For this purpose, farmers' decision processes are described by a nested discrete choice model. At all levels of estimation, the values of the dependent variable indicate the proportion of land allocated to each agricultural activity. Then, the share of land assigned to each activity is estimated by employing the random utility model of the logit specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110091886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110091886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei-Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Testing stationarity against unit roots and structural changes Abstract: In this paper, performance of the KPSS tests of Kwiatkowski et al. (Journal of Economics, 54, 159-78, 1992) and the generalized fluctuation tests (GFL) of Kuan and Hornik (Economic Reviews, 14, 135-61, 1995) and Kuan (Journal of Econometrics, 84, 75-91, 1998) are investigated for the null of stationarity against alternatives of unit root and structural changed individually. Simulation results show that both the KPSS and the GFL tests have similar size and power performance under different DGPs considered. The number of truncation lags used in estimating the long-run variance plays a crucial role in test performance. Under the null of stationarity, the GFL tests have less size distortion than the KPSS tests given the same number of truncation lags. On the other hand, the KPSS tests have better powers for detecting structural changes occurring at the beginning and the end of a sample. This finding suggests that a more robust inference for the null of stationarity can be obtained by combining both information from the KPSS and the GFL tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-464 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110091895 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110091895&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:459-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baban Hasnat Author-X-Name-First: Baban Author-X-Name-Last: Hasnat Author-Name: Charles Callahan Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Callahan Title: A political economic analysis of Congressional voting on permanent normal trade relations of China Abstract: The paper provides an empirical examination of the determinants of support for Permanent Normal Trade Relations Status (PNTR) for China in the United States Congress. A logistic regression model and control is estimated for both economic and political influences. It is found that business political action committee (PAC) contributions to lawmakers and the skill level of the constituency had a significant positive influence on lawmakers' voting in favour of PNTR. Political affiliation, import-competing industries in the constituency, labour PAC contributions, and lawmakers' political ideology had a significant negative influence on the PNTR vote. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110095792 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110095792&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Røed Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Røed Author-Name: Tao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A note on the Weibull distribution and time aggregation bias Abstract: The application of continuous time Weibull models on discrete unemployment duration data may result in severely biased baseline estimates. The bias can be substantial even for weekly duration data, and it is seriously aggravated if the Weibull model is erroneously mixed with a Gamma distribution for unobserved heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110096340 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110096340&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. P. Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: J. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Author-Name: L. M. Levin Author-X-Name-First: L. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Title: Calculation of returns to job tenure revisited Abstract: This study considers the robustness of the effects on wages of job tenure and work experience among white adult men in the United States. The Survey of Income and Programme Participation data is used from 1983-1992 and the same methodology is also used to generate results to compare to earlier findings for Panel Study of Income Dynamics data from 1968-1983. Results are remarkably consistent across data sets and time periods in finding significant returns to job tenure, although a slightly flatter wage growth profile is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-477 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110097385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110097385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrilyn Billger Author-X-Name-First: Sherrilyn Author-X-Name-Last: Billger Title: Admitting men into a women's college: A natural experiment Abstract: This study explores the effects of attending a women's college on college major, degree attainment, and occupation. Previous work on the effects of such attendance is quite limited, focusing primarily on role-model effects at coeducational institutions. To explore this issue in a new way, alumnae data from a college that was chartered as a women's college and later became coeducational was cold. This study finds that, after the admission of men into the college, the alumnae were less likely to pursue many traditionally male-dominated majors and occupations, but were not less likely to attain advanced degrees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-483 Issue: 7 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110095440 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110095440&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:7:p:479-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Le Bihan Author-X-Name-First: Herve Le Author-X-Name-Last: Bihan Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: Implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy in a simple Euro area model Abstract: The 'Brainard conservatism principle' states that the optimal monetary policy rule should be less aggressive when uncertainty about parameters is taken into account. However, this principle is not fully general and may be reversed in some cases. This paper examines the implications of parameter uncertainty for monetary policy using a simple empirical model of the Euro area. The Brainard principle is found to be empirically relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Spurious rejection using Dickey-Fuller tests Abstract: In recent research Leybourne and co-workers examined the behaviour of the Dickey-Fuller τ test in the presence of structural breaks under the null. It was found that breaks in either level or drift occurring early in the sample period resulted in severe size distortion, with the unit root hypothesis spuriously rejected. Using Monte Carlo methods, the present letter analyses the finite-sample properties of the Dickey-Fuller K and τ tests. The results obtained show that in comparison to the τ test, the K test suffers far less size distortion in the presence of structural breaks under the null, dramatically so in the case of breaks in drift. The empirical analysis of Leybourne and co-workers is also revisited to further illustrate the contrasting behaviour of the two tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-562 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108094 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108094&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:557-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Richard Tiffin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Tiffin Title: Bootstrap testing of the expectations hypothesis with the term structure of interest rates Abstract: The Expectations Hypothesis (EH) for the term structure of UK monthly interest rates is tested using Johansen's procedure. Differing results are found depending on the method of lag length selection. The application of the stationary bootstrap reconciles these results, lending support to the Expectations Hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108076 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108076&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toru Konno Author-X-Name-First: Toru Author-X-Name-Last: Konno Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: The Canada-United States bilateral import demand functions: gradual switching in long-run relationships Abstract: By estimating long-run relationships in bilateral import functions, the effects of the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement is analysed. We also incorporate the gradual switching model into the import function to capture the phased tariff reductions. The result shows that the free trade agreement made both countries sensitive to domestic and foreign prices and insensitive to the domestic income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-570 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111216 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111216&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:567-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. M. M. Jamal Author-X-Name-First: A. M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jamal Title: The term structure of interest rates and the demand for money Abstract: This paper investigates the money demand behaviour when the entire term structure of interest rates is taken into account. The results show that the interest elasticity of money demand does not vary with the level of the term structure of interest rates. It is also found that the quantity of money demanded varies directly with the tilt of the term structure. Both these findings have useful implications for macroeconomic policy and analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-573 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108085 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108085&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:571-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petri Rouvinen Author-X-Name-First: Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Rouvinen Title: Characteristics of product and process innovators: some evidence from the Finnish innovation survey Abstract: The characteristics of product and process innovators among Finnish manufacturing firms with Community Innovation Survey (CIS) data are studied. Results of bivariate probit estimations suggest that, while the product and process innovations are related, they are largely driven by different factors. The ability to benefit from inward spillovers is the only variable having a symmetric effect onboth types of innovation. Cooperation with non-academic outside partners is the only other variable that becomes significant in both equations. Process innovations benefit from capital embodied technology, whereas product innovations require disembodied forms of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre-Guillaume Meon Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Meon Title: Distributive consequences of a monetary union: what can we learn from a referendum? Abstract: A logit model is used to study the approval rate during the referendum on the Maastricht Treaty held in France in 1992. Results show a remarkable correlation between the approval rate in French departments and their economic characteristics as defined by the theory of optimum currency areas. They support the view that individual agents' opinions towards EMU depended on its impact on their welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111180 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111180&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Dominguez Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Dominguez Author-Name: Alfonso Novales Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Novales Title: A factor model of term structure slopes in Eurocurrency markets Abstract: Recent empirical work has documented the existence of specific information in the slope of the term structure which is relevant to forecast future changes in economic activity. A good forecasting model of term structure slopes could therefore be helpful to anticipate changes in economic activity with an even longer anticipation. Firstly, it is analysed whether a good forecasting model can be found for term structure slopes in different currencies. After that, a factor model is constructed of term structure slopes, and the quality of slope forecasts obtained from factor models are compared to those obtained from univariate models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-593 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:585-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Campolieti Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Campolieti Title: The recurrence of occupational injuries: estimates from a zero inflated count model Abstract: The recurrence of workers' compensation injuries is studied using data from the unemployment histories of permanently disabled workers from Ontario, Canada. Estimates are obtained with a zero inflated Poisson regression model and it is found that employer accommodations can reduce the number of subsequent work absences workers experience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-600 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:595-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Linder hypothesis revisited Abstract: Linder posed a hypothesis in 1961 that the closer the preference structure between two countries is, the bigger the trade volume becomes. The empirical results using pooled trade data from 63 countries for 1970, 1980, 1990, and 1992 are in support of the Linder hypothesis. It is also found that the Linder hypothesis gained strength in the 1990s. Recent globalization may have strengthened the Linder hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111234 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111234&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. R. Shanmugam Author-X-Name-First: K. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Shanmugam Author-Name: Saumitra Bhaduri Author-X-Name-First: Saumitra Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaduri Title: Size, age and firm growth in the Indian manufacturing sector Abstract: The conventional wisdom on the relationship of firm growth with its size and age is typically based on the studies in developed economies. In contrast, this study analyses the firm growth patterns for an emerging economy, namely India. It uses a balanced panel of 392 manufacturing firms over the years 1989-1990 to 1992-1993 to explore unobserved heterogeneity among firms. Results indicate that age positively influences growth, which is the opposite of the result obtained in previous studies. The current size negatively impacts growth as in earlier studies. Results also indicate that smaller and older firms grow faster than their counterparts. Size effect is larger in food industry while the age effect is larger in non-metal industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-613 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:607-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Author-Name: Sanjay Ramchander Author-X-Name-First: Sanjay Author-X-Name-Last: Ramchander Title: Is differential sentiment a cause of closed-end country fund premia? An empirical examination of the Australian case Abstract: One of the most puzzling empirical irregularities in finance is the persistence of discounts and premia on the net asset values (NAV) of closed-end country funds. Unlike previous papers, the present study adopts a novel approach to directly test the hypothesis that such premia are a reflection of differences in foreign and domestic investors' sentiments. The study employs Australian and US consumer survey data to illustrate how divergent consumer sentiments are useful in explaining the time varying pattern of discounts and premia on the First Australian Fund. While controlling for foreign and domestic market returns, as well as exchange rate changes, it is found that the more optimistic US consumers are over Australian consumers, the greater the premium on the fund, and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali El-Agraa Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: El-Agraa Title: The UTR versus CU Formation Analysis and Article XXIV Abstract: In 1965, Cooper and Massell (Economic Journal 75: 742-7) showed that a policy of unilateral tariff reduction (UTR) was superior to the formation of a customs union (CU). Although their model was concerned with only static resource reallocation effects, many analysts treated the Cooper/Massell 'criticism' as if it applied to the entire CU formation issue. This was incomprehensible, especially when they themselves almost simultaneously developed a different model to demonstrate that two countries together can do more than each acting alone. Wonnacott and Wonnacott (1981,American Economic Review 71: 704-14) tried to revive the issue by claiming that the use of a three-country general equilibrium model with transportation costs and tariffs by the rest of the world could show that UTR need not dominate CU formation, but El-Agraa and Jones (2000,Applied Economics Letters 7: 301-4; Journal of Economic Integration 15: 239-59) have demonstrated that their claim is unwarranted, due to inadequacies in their model. This paper shows that the incorporation of WTO/GATT rules (Article XXIV) into an appropriately adjusted orthodox framework leads to the Wonnacott's conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-624 Issue: 9 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111225 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111225&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:9:p:621-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Prieger Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Prieger Title: A model for regulated product innovation and introduction with application to telecommunications Abstract: This empirical examination compares product innovation under price caps and Rate of return regulation (RoRR) in US telecommunications. The econometric model comprises a count process (for product innovation) followed by a duration process (for regulatory delay). More services were created under price caps than under RoRR. The model may also be useful for other regulatory settings and issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-629 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110118146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110118146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:625-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunbae Chun Author-X-Name-First: Hyunbae Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Jeungil Oh Author-X-Name-First: Jeungil Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: An instrumental variable estimate of the effect of fertility on the labour force participation of married women Abstract: This study estimates the effect of fertility on the labour force participation of married women in Korea. Since Korean households prefer sons to daughters, there is exogenous variation in the number of children among households, depending on their first child's sex. Using this exogenous variation as an instrumental variable for fertility, it is found that having children reduces the labour force participation of married Korean women by 27.5%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-634 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110117850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110117850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:631-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Input aggregation and technical efficiency Abstract: This paper defines the notion of unbiased aggregation of inputs and provides a necessary and sufficient condition for this to apply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110118165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110118165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:635-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: US Social Security rules in the 1990s: a natural experiment in myopic and farsighted behaviour Abstract: During the 1990s changes in the earnings test threshold and the delayed retirement credit had the potential to impact the labour supply of 65 to 69-year-olds. These changes in Social Security rules are used to examine whether labour supply behaviour of elderly men and women is 'myopic' or 'farsighted'. Men are found to be more farsighted than previously realized, perhaps due to increases in life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-640 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110118174 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110118174&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:637-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Troyer Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Troyer Title: Decomposing the effect of marital status on migration Abstract: An econometric technique is developed to decompose the difference in the predicted migration probability of married and unmarried individuals into three parts. This technique allows one to examine the degree to which personal characteristics influence differences in migration between the two groups. The decomposition reveals that differences in human capital characteristics explain only 15.5% of the migration probability gap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210124202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210124202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: Economic growth and EMU: a note on UK membership Abstract: One of the arguments against monetary union is that it can impose growth costs on fast growing countries following the loss of their exchange rate policy. Thus, differential growth rates among potential members can be seen as an obstacle to forming a monetary union. This letter shows that as a member of EMU, the UK will be able to maintain its current growth rate without facing serious balance of payments problems. Thus, the 'differential growth rates' argument against EMU cannot be considered an obstacle to UK membership. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-647 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110115131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110115131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:645-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Deborah Cobb-Clark Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Cobb-Clark Title: Old-age labour supply in the developing world Abstract: Rapid population ageing is becoming an increasingly important policy issue in many developing countries. Without broad-based pension schemes, the elderly are left to rely on their own current and accumulated earnings and support from children as their primary means of old-age support. This is the first study of which one is aware that jointly estimates the determinants financial transfers from children and elderly labour supply in a developing country context. It is found that many Indonesians continue to work well into old age and there is little evidence that financial transfers are a substitute for the income generated by elderly parents' own labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110115140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110115140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Author-Name: Soumya Srinivasan Author-X-Name-First: Soumya Author-X-Name-Last: Srinivasan Title: Structure-pricing linkages among singlemarket banks, controlling for credit quality Abstract: Structure-pricing linkages are estimated for single-market banks, to measure structure and pricing more accurately. Loan loss ratios are controlled for predicted to be important by information-theoretic models of lending. A strong structure-pricing linkage is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110115159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110115159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Market direction and moment seasonality: evidence from Irish equities Abstract: The first four moments of four indices of equity returns produced by the Irish Stock Exchange are examined across different market directions. Using standard F, Kruskal-Wallis and Levene tests daily seasonality is confirmed in all, although in a pattern different to that found elsewhere. In particular, there appears to be a Wednesday effect in mean returns and, counter to evidence elsewhere, daily seasonality appears stronger in rising than falling markets. In addition, this note applies a method introduced by Tang (Journal of Economics and Business, 21(1), 1997) in finding a daily seasonal in skewness and kurtosis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-664 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110117841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110117841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:657-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Pitfall of unit autoregressive root testing Abstract: This paper examines whether the usually tested unit autoregressive (AR) root null hypothesis can be informative about the presence of a unit AR root (integration). This is considered null in generic models when the underlying time series is mean or linear trend stationary. It is concluded that non rejection of the unit AR root null hypothesis is not sufficient for integration of a time series. For sufficiency, absence of a unit MA root from the MA representation of the first difference is required. Hence, the analysis here is in line with the general statistical argument that non rejection of a null should not be taken as acceptance of the null; a false practice which is widespread in the unit root and (especially) cointegration literature. An empirical example, involving real quarterly UK GDP, is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210124563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210124563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Smith Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Tests of the random walk hypothesis for London gold prices Abstract: The hypothesis that London gold prices follow a random walk is tested for three prices, those determined at the morning and afternoon fixings and the closing price, using the multiple variance ratio test. For the prices set in the twice-daily fixings, the random walk hypothesis is rejected because of autocorrelation in returns. However, the closing price, which is determined by additional information and involves many more participants in the market, follows a random walk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-674 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485021012458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485021012458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:671-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Pita Barros Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Pita Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Convergence and information technologies - the experience of Greece, Portugal and Spain Abstract: The paper attempts to shed some light on the role of information and communication technologies (ICT) in industry convergence in the European Union. In particular, whether it has improved the convergence process of the less developed countries within the European Union. While ICTs may play a significant role in the US recent growth record, it is found that the contribution of more traditional industries is at least as significant for the convergence process within the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210125517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210125517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluigi Giorgioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Giorgioni Author-Name: John Thompson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Which volatility? The case of the exports of wheat Abstract: In the paper it is suggested that the level of demand for exports and its variability are more important than the variability of the exchange rate for a commodity whose storage costs are not negligible. Evidence in favour of this hypothesis is provided by panel data analysis for the USA exports of wheat for the period 1980-1996. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-684 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:681-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Hakan Tasci Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Tasci Title: Monetary policy, income and prices: a stability assessment Abstract: This paper assesses the stability of the money-income relationship for seven OECD countries. When the sample was split into two subsamples: pre- and post-1980, the empirical evidence presented in this paper shows that even if the inferences gathered across countries are not always parallel, the inferences gathered from the VAR specification across the samples for each country are mostly parallel. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-694 Issue: 10 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:10:p:685-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Seung Jick Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung Jick Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: The steady state distribution of animals in short duration grazing Abstract: This note addresses the following hitherto unstudied question in rangeland management: What is the steady state distribution of livestock animals for rangelands that are managed using short duration grazing? This paper uses the theory of alternating renewal processes to answer this question and this answer has two desirable features. First, this paper does not assume a specific functional form for the cumulative distribution function of the amount of time that the animals spend in the various paddocks. Second, this paper permits the amount of time spent by the animals in distinct paddocks to be represented by dissimilar cumulative distribution functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112558 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112558&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michiel Van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Van Leuvensteijn Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Title: How different are the determinants of population versus labour migration in Germany? Abstract: This paper studies whether population migration data can be used to answer questions on labour mobility between regions. Using regional data of the Statistisches Bundesamt for population and labour migration, panel data estimations are conducted for the period 1993-1995, as the high average migratory flows of the earlier period, 1989-1992, had settled down. The conclusion emerges that if normalized population and labour migration data are used, the discrepancy in the results is small and this study's results on elasticity coefficients for identical models in each of the cases by and large produce similar results. The major difference emerges with the elasticity coefficient of the housing variable. In general, one may conclude that population migration may be used to examine labour migration issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-703 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110111243 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110111243&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:699-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Reform in China's 'B' share markets and the shrinking A/B share price differential Abstract: The use of capital controls in mainland China has meant that shares in listed PRC state enterprises - traded in either Shenzhen or Shanghai - have been broadly separated into 'A' and 'B' share categories. 'A' shares are traded in Chinese RenMinBi and are restricted to trades between indigenous investor concerns, whilst 'B' shares trade in US$ in Shanghai and HK$ in Shenzhen and have, until recently, been the legal preserve of investors emanating from outside the PRC mainland. Reforms, instituted with effect from 28 February 2001, have altered this picture, however, with certain parties from the PRC mainland now able to participate in the 'B' markets. The opening of the 'B' market has resulted in a rapid increase in 'B' prices. The effects are analysed in this paper for 40 companies with concurrent 'A' and 'B' share listings in Shanghai. Prior to the reforms, the 'A' shares traded at prices that were, on average, over four times the level on corresponding 'B' shares. By the middle of June 2001, this multiple had been squeezed substantially. This short paper examines the relative changes to the 'A'/'B' share price differential and finds that 'B' price movement are related to the absolute price levels in 'A' and 'B' share prices prior to the reforms. The results are consistent with a retail market in which a 'trading range' obtains for prices in the two market sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210124572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210124572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Sean Holly Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Holly Title: Threshold specification for asymmetric error correction models Abstract: The consistent threshold estimation method is used to improve the threshold specification of the Granger-Lee asymmetric error correction model. Although only previously considered in the context of univariate analysis, the approach is found to uncover asymmetry undetected under the typical mean-based partitioning scheme of the Granger-Lee method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110108111 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110108111&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:711-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Title: Ranking Production Subsidies and Import Tariffs under Different Scenarios Abstract: Both a tariff and a production subsidy can be used to protect the import competing industry. Yeh (1971) has shown that if the country is large, a tariff will be superior to a production subsidy, assuming that the level of support required for the import competing industry is not greater than the one needed when the optimum tariff is in operation. Maintaining the hypothesis that exporters do not react to importing country policies, the paper shows that tariffs and subsidies can always be ordered. Tariffs will remain superior to subsidies even if the support guaranteed to domestic producers exceeds that achieved under the optimum tariff. A tariff though is inferior to production subsidy only when the country wishes to produce a quantity significantly in excess of the optimum tariff production. However, this ranking is sensitive to the behaviour of trade partners. In fact, when foreign suppliers fix their export quantity at the free-trade equilibrium through whatever means, production subsidy is shown to be always superior to tariff. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-720 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110112576 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110112576&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:715-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Demand for M3 and expenditure components in Malaysia: assessment from bounds testing approach Abstract: This study examines the effects of various demand components of real income on money demand, M3 for a small open developing Asian economy. The disaggregated components of real income are final consumption goods, expenditure on investment goods, and exports. Other determinants are domestic interest rate and exchange rate. Using Malaysian annual data over the period 1973-1998, the results of the 'bound' test based on Unrestricted Error-Correction Model estimation (Pesaran et al., 2001), indicates a long run equilibrium relationship between demand of real M3 and its determinants. The results also highlight that different domestic demand components yields different effects on money demand behaviour. The results have important policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-725 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:721-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Boileau Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Boileau Author-Name: Michel Normandin Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Normandin Title: General equilibrium macroeconomic models and superior information Abstract: This paper presents and assessess a procedure to evaluate dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium macroeconomic models when agents in the economy use an information set superior to that used by researchers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Epaminondas Panas Author-X-Name-First: Epaminondas Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Author-Name: George Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: Further evidence on the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Abstract: The Export-Led Growth Hypothesis (ELGH) is an interesting subject of research in the field of applied economics. This paper investigates the causal links between exports and output growth in the empirical framework of the Greek economy, using error-correction modelling and multivariate Granger causality. A sensitivity analysis based on impulse responses is implemented to check the robustness of the results. The estimation procedure generates robust results, indicating that the ELGH is not valid in the case of Greece. Furthermore, the empirical findings suggest a strong and consistent causation from output growth to export performance in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: An illfare approach to the measurement of unemployment: a reply Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-738 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210126859 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210126859&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:737-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ross McCown Author-X-Name-First: James Ross Author-X-Name-Last: McCown Title: Real interest rates in the early 1980s Abstract: This paper examines the causes behind the high ex post real interest rates experienced in the United States during the early 1980s. This paper shows that expected long-term inflation rates were very high during the period, resulting in ex ante long-term real interest rates that were much lower than the ex post rates. Ex ante real rates in the high-deficit early 1980s were not much higher than those experienced during 2000, a year that had a large budget surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-743 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210127245 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210127245&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:739-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Morana Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: IGARCH effects: an interpretation Abstract: This article shows how IGARCH effects can arise as an artifact of unaccounted structural change. Using daily returns for the DM/US$ and Yen/US$ exchange rates, the finding is shown to have empirical relevance. GARCH models appear to be useful approximations, for short-term forecasting, to a data generating process that shows time varying conditional variance due to switching heteroscedasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210127254 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210127254&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Dulce Contreras Author-X-Name-First: Dulce Author-X-Name-Last: Contreras Title: Higher-order residual analysis for AR-ARCH models with the TR test Abstract: Ramsey and Rothman (1996) design a statistical device to test for time reversibility (TR test). They claim that their procedure is not powerful against ARCH-type alternatives, which also allows Rothman (1998) to propose a strategy based on the TR test to detect bilinear and threshold autoregressive (TAR) models. However, this work shows through Monte Carlo analysis that the size of the TR test may be seriously distorted by this class of uncorrelated non-i.i.d. processes, and not necessarily time irreversible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-752 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210127263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210127263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:749-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. D. Stanley Author-X-Name-First: T. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Stanley Title: When all are NAIRU: hysteresis and behavioural inertia Abstract: Smyh and Easaw (2001) use a fully flexible ratchet model to estimate the US NAIRU. However, such flexible notions of NAIRU cleanse the natural rate hypothesis of all policy and theoretical relevance. Six successive years of unemployment rates below these estimated NAIRUs produce declining inflation, not the accelerating inflation promised by the natural rate hypothesis. An alternative model of inflation dynamics, the behavioural inertia hypothesis, is offered and shown to fit the US inflation-unemployment relation quite well. This behavioural inertia model is consistent with the recent US experience of low and falling unemployment accompanied by low and falling rates of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-757 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128785 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128785&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:753-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esin Cakan Author-X-Name-First: Esin Author-X-Name-Last: Cakan Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Policy regime change and structural break in the velocity of money: the Turkish evidence Abstract: The integration properties of Turkish velocity series are investigated by employing recently developed procedures (Zivot and Andrews (1992) and Perron (Journal of Econometrics, 80, 355-85, 1997)) which allows stationarity around an endogenously estimated structural break point under the alternative hypothesis. The evidence suggests that real currency balances and currency velocity are stationary around a broken trend. The estimated break point coincides with a major policy regime change in Turkey. Broad money velocity and real broad money balances are found to be nonstationary even after allowance for a broken mean and trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 11 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128794 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128794&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:11:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Bird Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Title: Advertise or die: advertising and market share dynamics revisited Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of advertising expenditure on market shares of the seven leading firms in the Indonesian cigarette industry using recent advances in time series analysis, namely the error correction model. Own and rival's advertising elasticities for the short run and long run are estimated. In addition, the 'durability' of advertising effects is estimated. Empirical results show that the effect of advertising on market shares is relatively short-lived, appearing to be substantially depreciated within one year for all firms. It is also found that advertising is less effective for foreign firms in the Indonesian market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-767 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850110086053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850110086053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:763-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Author-Name: Valerie Dickie Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Dickie Title: National Lottery participation and expenditure: preliminary results using a two stage modelling approach Abstract: Using data from the Family Expenditure Survey, this paper analyses participation in, and expenditure on, the UK National Lottery by individuals for the period 1995/1996 to 1999/2000. Probit and truncated Tobit models are employed in a two part estimation. The results highlight the importance of gender, age, education, marital status and occupation in individual participation and expenditure decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210129441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210129441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Curtis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Curtis Title: Estimates of fishermen's personal discount rate Abstract: Most empirical research on personal discount rates (PDRs) relates to individuals purchasing household appliances and inter-temporal choices on monetary transactions. No estimates of PDRs associated with natural resource exploitation were found in the literature and the purpose of this letter is to present estimates of commercial fishermen's PDRs implicit in choices on a hypothetical fish-stock recovery programme. Knowledge of such PDRs are necessary for the design of effective voluntary programmes for fish stock conservation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Restricted EM algorithm with application to probit models Abstract: The EM algorithm is a widely used technique for finding maximum likelihood (ML) estimates when the data are not fully observed. Despite its popularity for computing ML estimates in unrestricted problems and the need for simplified computations for problems with equality and inequality restrictions, there have been few applications of the algorithm to restricted ML estimation. The EM algorithm is presented for restricted ML estimation and provides its applications to the probit model under equality and inequality restrictions using two small data sets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-781 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:779-781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Breunig Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Breunig Title: Bias correction for inequality measures: an application to China and Kenya Abstract: An analytical bias correction technique for inequality measures is applied to income data from China and Kenya. The coefficient of variation squared is used and it is illustrated how the bias is downward for positively skewed distributions. The analytical bias correction technique is then compared to a jackknife estimator in a simulation exercise. The bias will be important, even for moderately large sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-786 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165856 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165856&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:783-786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Real exchange rates: evidence from black markets using fractionally integrated semiparametric techniques Abstract: The behaviour of the real exchange rates (relative to the US dollar) is examined in this article using monthly data obtained from the black markets for foreign exchange of eight Asian developing countries. Using the quasi maximum likelihood estimation procedure of Robinson (Annals of Statistics, 23, 1630-61, 1995), the results indicate that the order of integration of all currencies except the Indian and the Pakistani rupees are close but below 1, implying that mean reversion occurs in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165883 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165883&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Orn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Orn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Author-Name: Shawn Pettman Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Pettman Title: Racial wage discrimination in major league baseball: do free agency and league size matter? Abstract: Does competition suppress racial wage discrimination? Previous research in this area is quite limited and generally inconclusive. This paper tests for the effects of reduced monopsony power on racial wage discrimination against nonwhite Major League pitchers during the 1992 and 1993 seasons. Major League Baseball during this period is a good test case because: (1) older players' salaries are competitively determined, whereas younger players' salaries are not; and (2) more teams entered the league in the later season. We found discrimination in the form of lower incremental rewards to nonwhites for improving performance, as well as reverse discrimination against older white pitchers prior to league expansion. League expansion and free agency eligibility did bring relief from discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-796 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135714 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135714&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:791-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Christopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Christopoulos Author-Name: Efthymios Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Efthymios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: Unemployment and government size: Is there any credible causality? Abstract: This paper investigates the Abrams curve, that is the relationship between government size and unemployment, for 10 European countries over the period 1961-1999. This paper uses credible causality inferences that do not depend on the stationarity or cointegration properties of the data. The results support the idea that there is an Abrams curve but the relation between government size and the unemployment rate is not likely to be simple. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210129432 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210129432&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:797-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregg Frasco Author-X-Name-First: Gregg Author-X-Name-Last: Frasco Title: The expansion path for industry employment under perfect competition in long-run equilibrium Abstract: Beginning from long-run equilibrium under perfect competition, an increase in the wage due to an upward shift in labour supply generates negative profits. In order for long-run equilibrium to be restored, the price of output must increase. This causes the marginal revenue product curve for labour to shift upward. Consequently, even though the wage is higher, it is possible for the firm to end up employing a larger quantity of labour. This raises the following question. After the wage increases due to an upward shift in labour supply, is it possible, in long-run equilibrium, for industry employment of labour to increase? The concavity of the long-run equilibrium input demand functions is used to prove that industry employment will indeed decrease. Hence conventional analysis is proved to be correct. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Freire-Seren Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Freire-Seren Title: On the relationship between human capital accumulation and economic growth Abstract: The central concern of this article is to give new empirical conclusions on the relationship between human capital and economic growth. With this aim, it runs an estimation that allows us to analyse not only the contribution of human capital to output growth, but also the effect of the level of income on human capital accumulation. In particular, it uses Spanish economic data to jointly estimate the equations of the dynamic system that describes the behaviour of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. G. Mein Author-X-Name-First: D. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mein Title: Research productivity and career status Abstract: Measurement of the productivity of economists, economics departments at universities and economics institutes has a tradition, which dates back to the 1950s. This study attempts to show that such measurement can be used to explain long-run changes in the overall productivity of university departments and institutes involved in research. The underlying notion in this study is that the productivity of departments and institutes in terms of total output (publications) decreases when the productivity of research staff members and their position (career status) in their departments or institutes do not correlate well. The empirical data used by this study relates to an economics research institute and cover a period of 30 years. The hypothesis that a mismatch between productivity and position leads to a decline in the overall productivity of departments and institutes could not be refuted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-815 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210141708 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210141708&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:809-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghassan Omet Author-X-Name-First: Ghassan Author-X-Name-Last: Omet Author-Name: Mohammad Khasawneh Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Khasawneh Author-Name: Jamal Khasawneh Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Khasawneh Title: Efficiency tests and volatility effects: evidence from the Jordanian stock market Abstract: This paper examines the efficiency of the Jordanian stock exchange and the relationship between returns and conditional volatility. An AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-M model is estimated for five daily indices. The empirical results indicate significant departures from the efficient market hypothesis; in only two cases there is a significant relationship between risk and return, and returns tend to exhibit high persistent volatility clustering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-821 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:817-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Resende Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: L. O. Facanha Author-X-Name-First: L. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Facanha Title: Privatization and efficiency in Brazilian telecommunications: an empirical study Abstract: This article evaluates the technical efficiency in Brazilian telecommunications after privatization by comparing the relative efficiency scores for July 1998 and December 1999, obtained by means of Data Envelopment Analysis methodology. The main result indicated that no differential levels of efficiency could be detected across the two periods. Moreover there was evidence of a decreasing returns to scale pattern in 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-826 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210128811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210128811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:823-826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Julian Andrada-Felix Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Andrada-Felix Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Title: Further evidence on technical trade profitability and foreign exchange intervention Abstract: New evidence is presented on the positive correlation between returns from technical trading rules and periods of central bank intervention. To that end, the profitability of a trading strategy based on nearest-neighbour (nonlinear) predictors is evaluated, which may be viewed as a generalization of graphical methods widely used in financial markets. Daily data on the US dollar/Deutschmark and US dollar/Japanese Yen covering the 1 February 1982-31 December 1996 period are used. The results suggest that the exclusion of days of US intervention implies a substantial reduction in all profitability indicators (net returns, ideal profit measure, Sharpe ratio and directional forecast), being the reduction grater in the US dollar-Deutschmark case than in the US dollar-Japanese yen case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-832 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210137802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210137802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:827-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Zongyi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zongyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Economic growth and diverging clubs: a case study of the Chinese regions Abstract: A production model is proposed to explain why economic growth may lead to regional inequality and club divergence. Economic growth starts from a few centres and spills over to other regions. The spillover effect diminishes as distance rises, causing club formation with a clear geographical pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-836 Issue: 12 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161940 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161940&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:12:p:833-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: An econometric analysis of household donations in the USA Abstract: This study investigates philanthropy, an American tradition. A censored system of donation equations is estimated by full-information maximum likelihood, using data from the 1995 Consumer Expenditure Survey. Results suggest that the censored system estimates are more appropriate than the single-equation estimates attempted in much of the donation literature. Income, age, and education are contributing factors of donation, regardless of whether it is to charity, religious organizations, or other organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-841 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:837-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vassilis Monastiriotis Author-X-Name-First: Vassilis Author-X-Name-Last: Monastiriotis Title: Human capital and wages: evidence for external effects from the UK regions Abstract: A large panel of regional UK data is used to provide detailed estimates of the direct and external effects of education and labour market experience on wages. The results offer strong evidence in support of the predictions of the endogenous growth theory (Lucas, 1988), where the - spatial or sectoral - concentration of human capital is expected to generate increasing returns in the production process. The findings are stronger for labour market experience, while no supportive evidence is found for the case of years of schooling. Possibly, better data on the quality of educational qualifications could offer a better measurement of the external education effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-846 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:843-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Darity Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Darity Author-Name: Darrick Hamilton Author-X-Name-First: Darrick Author-X-Name-Last: Hamilton Author-Name: Jason Dietrich Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Dietrich Title: Passing on blackness: Latinos, race, and earnings in the USA Abstract: One strategy to address the charge that previous statistical measures overestimate the degree of antiblack discrimination in the US labour market because cultural factors have been omitted, has been to control for culture and vary colour. The procedure is to examine labour market outcomes for all persons self-reporting their ancestry as Hispanic (or Latino) while comparing outcomes among them based upon their self-reported race. The results demonstrate that black Latinos, especially males, suffer substantial discriminatory losses in wages. However, there are two problems: (1) a very small proportion of Latinos self-report themselves as black and (2) controlling for culture by combining all persons with Latino ancestry, regardless of specific national origin, into the gross category of Hispanic is potentially unsatisfactory. In this paper, the Hispanic population is disaggregated by nationality using the 5% Public Use Micro Sample from the 1980 and 1990 censuses to compare outcomes by self-reported race. It is still found that male Latino blacks, regardless of their specific national subgroups, were subjected to significant wage discrimination. The paper also reports on studies that have used the Latino National Political Survey that demonstrates that Hispanics tend to self-identify as black at rates inconsistent with the ascriptive profile of the Latino population. It is explained why this suggests that Latinos who choose to self-report their race as black in the US censuses genuinely are likely to 'look black' by American norms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-853 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210149133 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210149133&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:847-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cem Baslevent Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Baslevent Title: Preference of the unemployed between full-time and part-time jobs Abstract: This paper examines the factors that determine the preference of the unemployed between the employment states of part-time, full-time, and either kind of job. Evidence is sought in support of an ordering between the three choices and find that the ordering which places the 'either' category in the middle is the most sensible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-857 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:855-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Title: Estimating the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports: evidence from Asian countries Abstract: The paper examines the impact of exchange rate volatility on the exports of five Asian countries. The countries are Turkey, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia and Pakistan. The impact of a volatility term on exports is examined by using an Engle-Granger residual-based cointegrating technique. The results indicate that the exchange rate volatility reduced real exports for these countries. This might mean that producers in these countries are risk-averse. The producers will prefer to sell in domestic markets rather than foreign markets if the exchange rate volatility increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-863 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:859-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuo Nakanishi Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nakanishi Title: Employment and IT capital in Japan Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the relation of employment and IT capital. In particular, it examines whether employment increases or decreases as IT capital increases. The elasticity of substitution between IT capital and labour has drastically increased in the latter part of the measuring period. An increase in capital and IT capital was associated with a reduction of labour. Recently, the impact of IT capital on labour demand has increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-867 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:865-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Financial development and economic growth in Mainland China: a note on testing demand-following or supply-leading hypothesis Abstract: In this note two competing hypotheses are empirically tested, namely those of the demand-following and supply-leading, using multivariate VAR models for Mainland China over the period 1987Q1 to 1999Q4. Johansen cointegration results indicate that there exists one cointegrating vector among GDP, financial development and the degree of openness of three variables. The results from Granger causality tests based on multivariate error-correction models (ECM) suggest independence between financial development and economic growth. This empirical result supports neither the demand-following nor the supply-leading hypothesis for Mainland China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-873 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:869-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Andoh Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Andoh Author-Name: David Chappell Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chappell Title: Stability of the money demand function: evidence from Ghana Abstract: This paper estimates the demand for money (M2) in Ghana for the period 1960 to 1996. The hypothesis is that the different macroeconomic adjustment policies (privatization, removal of foreign exchange controls etc.) which began in the mid 1980s would alter the demand for money function. The results of the study clearly show a structural break in the demand for money function in 1983. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-878 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:875-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoming Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jian Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: A note on New Zealand Stock Market efficiency Abstract: This paper studies the efficient market hypothesis using four New Zealand Stock Exchange indexes (NZSE 10, NZSE 30, NZSE 40, and NZSE SC) within the random walk, cointegration and Granger causality test framework. The test results have shown that the small-firm stock market is semistrong form efficient to a certain degree. However, results concerning large firms are sensitive to the choice of index. The share market of the top ten companies only is not even weak-form efficient, while the share markets covering the top 30 and 40 large companies are weak-form efficient but not semistrong form efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-883 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:879-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miles Cahill Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Cahill Title: Diminishing returns to GDP and the Human Development Index Abstract: This paper investigates the assumption of the human development index (HDI) that per capita GDP has diminishing returns to development. Alternative returns to scale assumptions for per capita GDP are evaluated using correlation and principal components analyses conducted on four separate samples of countries. Specifically, the correlation between various transformations of GDP and the other elements of the HDI are examined, and the principal components method of factor analysis is used to construct HDI-like indexes with the alternative transformations of GDP. Results generally support the diminishing returns assumption employed by the HDI, as a concave transformation of GDP is most highly correlated with the other variables, and the corresponding principal components HDI construction explains the largest amount of the variance of the original variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-887 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:885-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Yung Kam Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Kam Author-Name: Jwu-Rong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jwu-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The effects of the pollution cost internalization on Taiwan's hog industry Abstract: Duality theory is utilized to develop a translog profit function (TPF) which includes one output (hog), three variable inputs (labour, fodder, and piglet), four fixed inputs (capital, farm size, location, and pollution cost). Based on the trade theory for small country, the factors of corn and soybean imports are introduced into the TPF model to examine the effects of pollution cost internalization on Taiwan's hog supply, input demand, and cereal imports, respectively. Through the analysis of output supply and input demand elasticities, the empirical results show that hog supply decreases 1.60%. The demands for labour, fodder, and piglets decrease 4.18%, 1.44%, and 1.3Percnt;, respectively. The decrease in fodder demanded leads the importation of corn and soybean to decrease 1.58% and 1.43%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 889-892 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210159006 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210159006&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:889-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Hamid Beladi Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Beladi Title: Arranged or love marriage? That is the question Abstract: Although arranged and love marriages have been around for a long time there seems to be no comparative analyses in the economics literature of the relative merits of one or the other kind of marriage. As such, the purpose of this note is to conduct a theoretical inquiry into the desirability of arranged versus love marriages. A simple model of decision making in a dynamic and stochastic setting is analysed and it is shown that the decision to have an arranged or a love marriage depends on a comparison of the expected amount of time it takes the agent's well-wishers to find a spouse with the expected total time it takes this agent to find a spouse by himself or herself. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Mun Oz Author-X-Name-First: Laura Mun Author-X-Name-Last: Oz Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Manuel Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Title: Variations in returns/volatility and persistence in variance. An application to the Spanish stock market Abstract: A methodology is proposed to select the information set in ARMA-GARCH models in order to forecast the future evolution of an univariate heteroscedastic time series when it is suspected that the DGP is time changing. Using this methodology the stability of the DGP in the Spanish Stock Market is analysed. In this case it is shown that the DGP is time-varying and, in particular, the persistence in variance is over-valued using classical methods. Furthermore, the predictive intervals obtained have better coverage properties, by more adequately reflecting the uncertainty associated to the evolution of the time series being analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-905 Issue: 13 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165847 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165847&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:13:p:899-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sam Green Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Green Author-Name: Andrew Melnyk Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Melnyk Author-Name: Dennis Powers Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Powers Title: Is economic freedom necessary for technology diffusion? Abstract: Benhabib and Spiegel (1996) argue that human capital increases technological diffusion and, as a result, has a positive effect on economic growth. When human capital is accounted for in this way they find that other institutional variables do not affect growth. Their finding are re-examined by considering the effects of economic freedom on technology spillovers, hence on growth, and it is found that the greater the economic freedom in a country, the greater the amount of technological diffusion. More generally, this research suggests that institutional variables which are captured by economic freedom do indeed have an impact on growth, but only through technological diffusion. However, after accounting for the effects of economic freedom on technological diffusion, there is only weak evidence that human capital has a positive effect on technological diffusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-910 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210135705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210135705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:907-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Miles Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Small sample behaviour of quantile estimators Abstract: The Koenker and D'Orey (Econometrica, 46, pp. 43-61, 1987) algorithm is compared with the Minimum Distance estimator proposed by Buchinsky (Econometrica, 62, pp. 405-58, 1994) to estimate the parameters of conditional quantiles specified as linear models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-913 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210137794 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210137794&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:911-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Chevalier Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Chevalier Author-Name: T. K. Viitanen Author-X-Name-First: T. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Viitanen Title: The causality between female labour force participation and the availability of childcare Abstract: It is typically found that the labour force participation of women is negatively affected by the presence of young children. This paper focuses on the causality, in the sense of Granger's definition, between the participation of mothers of young children and childcare provision. It is found that childcare Granger causes participation without feedback, which supports the claim that women could be constrained in their participation by the lack of childcare facilities. The absence of a feedback mechanism raises the issue of childcare supply not reacting to market mechanisms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-918 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:915-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. -H. Chung Author-X-Name-First: J. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: An empirical analysis on government capital controls and international capital flows in Korea Abstract: The present paper analyses government controls of international capital flows using Korean data. First, indexes of liberalizations are constructed on controls of capital inflows and outflows based on documented policy changes made by the Korean government. Second, VAR models are estimated that include the constructed capital liberalization indexes, capital flows, and other macroeconomic variables. It is found that capital inflows increase persistently after shocks to liberalization policy while capital outflows increase temporally. It is also found that shocks to liberalization of capital outflows attract capital inflows, a result explicable by two competing theories - that liberalization of capital outflows: (1) removes investment irreversibility; and (2) signals more friendly government policy in the future. Examination of the effects of separate capital liberalization measures concerning only Korean residents and those concerning only nonresidents confirms the importance of the 'signal effect'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-923 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:919-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Milas Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Milas Author-Name: Jesus Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: Smooth transition vector error correction models for the spot prices of coffee Abstract: The nonlinear behaviour of four coffee price series is examined, that is, unwashed Arabicas (i.e. coffee from Brazil), Colombian Mild Arabicas (i.e. coffee from Colombia), other Mild Arabicas (i.e. coffee from other Latin American countries), and Robusta coffee (i.e. coffee from Africa and Southeast Asia). First is identified the cointegrating relationships and then that these enter the error correction equations in a nonlinear way is shown. The estimates suggest a rather common pattern of nonlinear adjustment for the same variety Arabica coffees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Using a spike model to deal with zero response data from double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys Abstract: Modelling public behaviour with the data from double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys is often complicated by zero willingness to pay (WTP) responses in the sample. To deal with the zero response data to obtain an appropriate welfare measure such as the mean and median WTP, the spike model suggested by Kristrom (American Journal Agricultural Economics, 79, 1013-23, 1997) is used. The overall results indicate that the spike model outperforms the conventional model significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210139378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210139378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Prazmowski Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Prazmowski Title: Endogenous credibility and stabilization programmes: evidence from the Dominican Republic Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of policy misalignments and structural reform policies on credibility and the long-term success of an exchange rate based (ERB) stabilization programme to reduce inflationary inertia. A controlled signal state-space model is used to test this hypothesis for the Dominican Republic, a country that introduced an ERB programme in the early 1990s. The results indicate that fiscal and monetary malpractice will deteriorate credibility whereas structural reform policies, when perceived as beneficial, will enhance credibility, contributing to economic stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210139387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210139387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Houston Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: Dennis Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Income, leisure and proficiency: an economic study of football performance Abstract: The influence of income, across countries, on the proficiency of leisure, as measure by international football achievement is addressed. It is widely concluded that leisure is a normal good, however; little research has been conducted on the influences of efforts to become proficient at a specific leisure activity. While the law of diminishing marginal productivity indicates that leisure proficiency will increase at a decreasing rate with increases in time allocated toward the leisure activity, the second-order effect of income on neither leisure nor leisure proficiency can theoretically be determined. To estimate these effects, an empirical examination of FIFA's World Rankings has been conducted. The results indicate that leisure proficiency on an aggregate level is positively associated with income and increases at a decreasing rate. This subsequently provides evidence that the consumption of leisure on an aggregate level also increases at a decreasing rate with increases in income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-943 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210140150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210140150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:939-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hans Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Peter Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Ivan Kandilov Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Kandilov Author-Name: Bradford Maxwell Author-X-Name-First: Bradford Author-X-Name-Last: Maxwell Title: Interstate differences in insured unemployment: some recent evidence Abstract: Recent panel data is used to reconsider the determinants of interstate differences in the ratio of insured to total unemployment. It is concluded that previous research on the influence of replacement rates, duration of jobless spells and female labour force participation is robust, but it is found that political affiliations and attitudes could be more important, and unionization rates less important, than once believed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210141726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210141726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: A 'hybrid' monetary policy model: evidence from the Euro area Abstract: The New IS and Phillips curves state that output and inflation are purely forward-looking but this theory is conflicting with the empirical results. This note analyses how some augmented version of those curves, called hybrid IS and Phillips curves are more consistent with the data properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-955 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210146686 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210146686&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:949-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Title: The co-movement between output and prices in the EU15 countries: an empirical investigation Abstract: The paper studies the co-movement between output and prices in the EU15 countries. Following Den Haan, the correlations of VAR forecast errors at different horizons are used to analyse the dynamics in the output-price relationship. The empirical results show that ten countries display a significant negative co-movement between output and prices in the 'long run' whereas this is positive in the 'short run' only for three countries. Finally, four countries do not exhibit any significant co-movement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-966 Issue: 14 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210146695 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210146695&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:14:p:957-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Davila Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Davila Author-Name: Erika Mendez Author-X-Name-First: Erika Author-X-Name-Last: Mendez Title: Mortgage lending and the entrepreneur Abstract: While existing literature assumes that financial institutions penalize entrepreneurs because of this group's perceived higher income risk, this paper contends the opposite, owing to, for example, potentially profitable customer relationships that financial institutions might have with entrepreneurs and the stylized fact that these institutions provide more flexible guidelines to the home mortgage applications of entrepreneurs. The 1995 National Microdata file of the American Housing Survey is employed to empirically address and provide support for this contention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-970 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210146703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210146703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:967-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Author-Name: Randy Moffett Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Moffett Author-Name: Michael Margolis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Margolis Title: Coasean bargaining with nonconvexities Abstract: It is found that nonconvexities do not reduce the overall efficiency of Coasean bargaining in the laboratory. Also, it is observed that most bargainers act in their own constrained self-interest when bargaining over an efficient corner solution relative to the standard baseline case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-977 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:971-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zijun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zijun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Victoria Salin Author-X-Name-First: Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Salin Author-Name: Neal Hooker Author-X-Name-First: Neal Author-X-Name-Last: Hooker Author-Name: David Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Stock market reaction to food recalls: a GARCH application Abstract: How food recalls due to bacterial contamination affect the stock prices of two companies are examined using a version of the financial market model that accounts for Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) effects. GARCH methodology was necessary to uncover the time-varying volatility in the series and it contributed to more efficient econometric results. The initial food recall undertaken by the company is associated with reduced mean returns and higher volatility of the companies studied. Repeated recalls by the same company are not associated with strong reactions. Volatility spillovers across firms suggest potential industry-wide repercussions from bacterial contamination incidents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-987 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:979-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingbin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Guanming Shi Author-X-Name-First: Guanming Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yi Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Changes in income inequality and welfare under economic transition: evidence from urban China Abstract: The paper examines the changes in income inequality and welfare in urban China from 1981 to 1999. While the Lorenz curves estimated using Kakwani's interpolation method indicate that the level of income inequality in urban China has increased significantly since 1981, welfare comparisons based on generalized Lorenz curves suggest that the rise in real average income has more than compensated for the increase in inequality and has therefore brought about continuous improvement in welfare since 1981, except in 1988 and 1989 due to high inflation rates. Nevertheless, it is becoming very critical for China to develop welfare programmes and a social security system to provide a guaranteed living standard for low-income households. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-991 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148134 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148134&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:989-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anabela Botelho Author-X-Name-First: Anabela Author-X-Name-Last: Botelho Author-Name: Ligia Costa Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Ligia Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Pinto Title: Hypothetical, real, and predicted real willingness to pay in open-ended surveys: experimental results Abstract: This study reports the results of experiments designed to elicit, within a controlled laboratory environment, hypothetical and real willingness to pay for an environmental educational programme using the open-ended question format. By maintaining both the good and the question format constant across the treatments, the experiments overcome the shortcomings of recently reported experimental results, providing a clean test for hypothetical bias in open-ended valuations. Having found a statistically significant difference between the hypothetical and real values, the question of whether hypothetical valuations may nonetheless provide useful statistical information concerning individuals' real valuations is turned to. This question, which is perhaps the key question in the current state of the debate surrounding the contingent valuation method, is answered affirmatively in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-996 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148143 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148143&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:993-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Jacques Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Jacques Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Relationship between types of school district expenditures and student performance Abstract: An educational production function is estimated using achievement test scores to proxy school output, with socio-economic characteristics and expenditures in various categories as inputs. The data are school district level expenditures. Unlike most past research, a correction is made for the heteroscedasticity created by differences in school district size. Correcting for heteroscedasticity leads to statistical tests with greater power. Test scores were positively related to expenditures on instruction and instructional support, and are negatively related to expenditures on student support, such as counselling and school administration. The negative effect of counselling and administration could be due to counsellors taking up classroom time or administrators using classroom time with announcements or assemblies. Alternatively, the causality could go the other way. It could be that schools with problems hire more administrators and counsellors. The socioeconomic variables included may not fully capture the problems that a school faces. The results show that spending is useful when targeted towards instruction. The effect, although statistically significant, is not large. But, the research still finds that money matters if it is spent on instruction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1002 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:997-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Biewen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Biewen Title: Measuring inequality in the presence of intra-household correlation Abstract: This note develops a method for computing confidence intervals for estimates of decomposable inequality indices when the sample is characterized by contemporaneous dependence across members of the same household. This is particularly relevant in the context of measuring inequality among wage earners. An application to the German wage distribution shows that the error made by not taking into account intra-household correlation is probably small in practical applications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1003-1006 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148170 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148170&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1003-1006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: The impact of globalization on income distribution: the Korean experience Abstract: The paper examines the impact of changes in trade values and FDI inflows on the Gini coefficients for Korea. The empirical evidence shows that the concerned variables can, in general, be assumed to be integrated of order one. Johansen-Juselius cointegration tests reveal that the Gini coefficients tend to increase with trade liberalization measures and FDI inflows. That is, the progress of globalization tends to deteriorate the situation of income inequalities in Korea, which supports the Feenstra-Hanson (1997) hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1009 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210149124 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210149124&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1007-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Marijn Verhoeven Author-X-Name-First: Marijn Author-X-Name-Last: Verhoeven Author-Name: Erwin Tiongson Author-X-Name-First: Erwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tiongson Title: Decomposing social indicators using ecological inference Abstract: Cross-country data on the distribution of health indicators by income classes are rare. Several methods for estimating disaggregated data have been proposed. The method of decomposing average health indicators for the population as a whole into averages for the poor and nonpoor using a random coefficients model can lead to difficulties, including out-of-bounds country-level estimates. An alternative methodology from ecological inference is proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1015 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158269 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158269&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1011-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Mahadevan Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Mahadevan Title: Productivity growth in Australian manufacturing sector: some new evidence Abstract: This article examines the productivity performance of Australia's manufacturing sector by decomposing its output growth into input growth, technological progress and gains in technical efficiency. This three-way decomposition is done with an improved version of the stochastic frontier model using eight, two-digit industry level data from 1968/9 to 1994/5. Empirical evidence shows that input growth fueled output growth from 1968/9 to 1973/4, but since then, total factor productivity (TFP) growth has been the main contributor of output growth. While the trend of TFP growth was found to be promising for most industries with positive and increasing technological progress, the negative gains from technical efficiency over time is however cause for concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1023 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165829 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165829&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1017-1023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: D. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: Skewness as an explanation of gambling by locally risk averse agents Abstract: Within the expected utility framework skewness of return has been suggested as a rationale for why risk averse gamblers might choose to gamble when expected returns are negative. The argument is that risk-averse agents desire positive skewness, ceteris paribus, and are prepared to trade off a lower mean return for more skewness. This article demonstrates with a counter example that this argument is, in general, erroneous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1028 Issue: 15 Volume: 9 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161913 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161913&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:15:p:1025-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Hisamatsu Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Hisamatsu Title: Does foreign demand affect corruption? Abstract: This article examines the impact of foreign demand on corruption. It creates an index that represents foreign demand for corrupt acts and regress it on corruption perception index. The result is positive and statistically significant relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-2 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165838 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165838&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:1-2 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Dalamagas Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Dalamagas Title: Tax rate changes and fiscal deficits: an empirical investigation Abstract: This paper shows that changes in effective tax rates on capital income, labour income and consumption affect the incentives that individuals have to work and to accumulate capital, depending on the tax structure of each country. These incentive effects can induce large differences in the time paths of output and government deficits, thus (in)validating the dynamic Laffer curve proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 3-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:3-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Author-Name: Jean-Charles Le Vallee Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Charles Le Author-X-Name-Last: Vallee Title: Unit roots versus trend stationarity in growth rate estimation Abstract: This paper estimates growth rates of quantity and trade variables of 32 primary commodities for the periods 1970-1980, 1980-1990, and 1990-1999 through log-linear trend regressions. The properties of the models were assessed through conventional and stationarity statistics. Based on Monte Carlo experiments, of the 105 regressions examined, in only 35 cases the error term was found to be stationary at the 5% level of significance, implying that in many cases the stochastic component is far more important in explaining the behaviour of the series under consideration, in turn implying that the validity of growth rates should be interpreted with some degree of caution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210165874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210165874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:9-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. -Y. Ho Author-X-Name-First: K. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Long-run stock price performance after IPOs: what do tests for stochastic dominance tell us? Abstract: Traditional studies of long-run stock price abnormal performance after corporate events compare the mean returns of an event firm portfolio and a benchmark firm portfolio or index. However, it is well known that long-run abnormal returns are non-normal leading to problems with statistical inference on abnormal performance. Instead in this paper, the entire return distributions of event firms and the benchmark index using non-parametric tests of stochastic dominance are compared. Tests are applied for first and second order stochastic dominance to Ritter's (1991) IPO data. It is found, contrary to results that compare only mean returns, that IPO firms do not underperform a benchmark index. The results are robust to extreme values of buy-and-hold return of IPO firms and underline the fact that long-run abnormal performance measurement is sensitive to the methodology used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210167197A File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210167197A&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frida Lie Author-X-Name-First: Frida Author-X-Name-Last: Lie Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Global industry betas Abstract: The stability of global industry betas is analysed over the twenty-year period 1975 to 1994. In addition, the impact of the October 1987 international stock market crash on these betas is investigated. Generally, a considerable variation in betas is found. In terms of the effect of the 1987 stock market crash on beta risk, it is found that the magnitude of the effect of the crash varied markedly across industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210167197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210167197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:21-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Onno Lint Author-X-Name-First: Onno Author-X-Name-Last: Lint Author-Name: Enrico Pennings Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Pennings Title: The V-shaped value evolution of R&D projects Abstract: On average the expected value at the moment of commercialization of an R&D project should remain constant during the different stages of new product development. Contrary to this intuition however, a systematic, non-constant pattern is found in the average expected value of an R&D project. First, the value declines after the initial screening, then rises after the first market analysis, but on average does not reach the initial level at the final stage of development when resources for market introduction are approved. Moreover, uncertainty about the project value declines over time. The findings suggest a V-shaped value function of R&D projects. The study seems to be the first attempt to make direct measurements of valuing R&D projects through time in a real managerial setting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000016067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000016067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:27-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Long memory in the Spanish GDP using fractional integration with Bloomfield disturbances Abstract: The persistence of output in the Spanish economy is examined by means of looking at its order of integration. The procedure used is due to Robinson (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89 1420-1437, 1994) that permits us to test I(d) statistical models. However, instead of assuming a fully parametric model, the case where the underlying I(0) disturbances follow the Bloomfield's (Biometrika, 60, 27-226, 1973) model is considered. In doing so, the potential loss of power of the tests is eliminated in the case of autoregressive disturbances. Also, this method permits determination of the degree of dependence of the series even in the presence of weakly autocorrelated disturbances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210139396 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210139396&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:33-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Rossini Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Rossini Author-Name: P. Zanghieri Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Zanghieri Title: A simple test of the role of foreign direct investment in the Feldstein- Horioka puzzle Abstract: The purpose of this article is to test the dependency of domestic investment on domestic saving in the Feldstein-Horioka spirit. Its innovation is to use a definition of investment that does not include foreign direct investment. It does so since FDI should not be considered in the intertemporal budget constraint of a recipient country and therefore should not be related to domestic saving in a meaningful way. Once it adopts, as the dependent variable, pure domestic investment the result is a weakened relationship between internal saving and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161869 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161869&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:39-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Li Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: J. L. Tobias Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Tobias Title: A semiparametric investigation of the school quality-gs relationship Abstract: This article estimates a partially linear model that permits non-linearities of unspecified form in the school quality-earnings relationship. It examines the joint effect of teacher education and pupil-teacher ratios on 1990 earnings using NLSY data. It finds some evidence of non-linearities in this relationship, and that teacher education has a positive effect on log wages at some points in the pupil-teacher ratio support. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161887 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161887&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:43-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Byers Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Another example of a non-linear time series with misleading linear properties Abstract: Granger and Terasvirta provided an abstract example of a non-linear model that can generate data with the misleading linear property of long memory. They suggested that other non-linear models with this property are worth searching for. The empirical results of this article indicate that data generated from an exponential smooth transition autoregressive model can exhibit the long memory property whether in raw or temporally aggregated form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161904 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161904&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:47-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Cain Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Some analysis of the properties of the Harville place formulae when allowance is made for the favourite-long shot bias employing Shin Win probabilities Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161922 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161922&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:53-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miriam Chau RodrIGuez Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Chau Author-X-Name-Last: RodrIGuez Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Currency substitution and the demand for money in Mexico Abstract: Demand functions for broad money and foreign currency deposits are estimated using quarterly Mexican data for the period 1978:1 to 2000:4. Significant evidence is found for currency substitution in the broad money equation. While the demand function for foreign currency deposits is harder to interpret, significant evidence of substitution between domestic money balances and US$ deposits is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000035868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000035868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Kandogan Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Kandogan Title: Reconsidering the adjustment costs of the Europe agreements Abstract: The paper argues that vertical intra-industry trade (IIT) should be separated from horizontal IIT to have a better judgement about adjustment costs of a trade liberalization, contrary to the assumption in the literature that all IIT changes are costless. A simple method to decompose IIT is presented. Using this method, it is seen that, contrary to expectations, after the Europe Agreements, share of vertical IIT has not increased much between Germany and Central and Eastern European countries. However, when adjustment costs are analysed, it is seen that the resulting labour displacement has been substantial, explaining partly the EU's reluctant approach in these agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-68 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:63-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Charemza Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Charemza Author-Name: Zbigniew Kominek Author-X-Name-First: Zbigniew Author-X-Name-Last: Kominek Title: Speculative processes and stable distributions: some simulation results Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between parameters of stable distributions and characteristics of speculative processes. An empirically feasible estimation method of parameters of speculative processes through a conversion from stable distribution parameters is suggested. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210141717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210141717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:69-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: Measurement error in schooling data: the OECD case Abstract: The effect of human capital is difficult to estimate in cross-country analysis due to measurement errors in schooling data. Using data for OECD countries over the period 1960-1990, the reliability of the widely used Barro and Lee's data set and also the new De la Fuente and Domenech's data set is analysed. Results show that both suffer from measurement errors, but the latter seems to reflect the rate of growth of schooling more accurately, especially when taking long differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-75 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:73-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. T. Valev Author-X-Name-First: N. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Valev Author-Name: J. A. Carlson Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carlson Title: Sources of dispersion in consumer inflation forecasts Abstract: Cross-section dispersion of expected inflation is often explained by differences in information sets across agents, but there is little empirical evidence attesting to that. This paper uses unique survey data from Bulgaria to show that consumers' perceptions of past movements and expectations of future movements in the general price level are influenced by their direct observations of the price dynamics of particular products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-81 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210148152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:77-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Costa Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Title: The factor structure of financial markets: a simulation study of the Italian case Abstract: This article develops a new information criterion for the analysis of the factor structure of financial markets. The new proposal is obtained by resorting to a Monte Carlo experiment, which allows one to evaluate the behaviour of different information criteria by a priori knowing the true number of unobservable factors. The financial markets factor structure is found to be different from those suggested by traditional factor analysis methods, and for the Italian stock market in particular, only two or three factors are signalled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210150924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210150924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalia Aldaz Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Aldaz Author-Name: JoaquIn MillAN Author-X-Name-First: JoaquIn Author-X-Name-Last: MillAN Title: Regional productivity of Spanish agriculture in a panel DEA framework Abstract: A new procedure for the measurement of efficiency and technical change is presented, using DEA with full panel data. Under the assumption of non-regressive technical change, upper and lower bounds for efficiency and technical change are obtained. The results for Spanish regional agriculture are compared with those in Millan and Aldaz (1998). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Testing Purchasing Power Parity: results from a new foreign exchange market Abstract: This study examines whether the Purchasing Power Parity hypothesis holds in the foreign exchange market of Armenia, following the initiation of an independent foreign exchange market, after the country seceded from the Soviet Union and the rouble zone in 1993. OLS and highly efficient unit root tests provide results suggesting that PPP fails to hold both in the short-run and in the long-run, respectively. In addition, variance decompositions justify - in terms of the Balassa-Samuelson effect - why in the long-run the PPP is rejected by identifying real shocks as the main determinant of the Dram real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000029306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000029306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:91-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basil Dalamagas Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Dalamagas Title: The effects of tax rate changes on output and government deficits Abstract: In this paper, it is shown that changes in effective tax rates on capital income, labour income and consumption affect the incentives that individuals have to work and to accumulate capital, depending on the tax structure of each country. These incentive effects can induce large differences in the time paths of output and government deficits, thus (in)validating the dynamic Laffer curve proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-101 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000035877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000035877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:97-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: L. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Confidence intervals for the seasonal fractional differencing parameter in the US monetary aggregate Abstract: Confidence intervals for the seasonal fractional differencing parameter are established in this article for several measures of the US monetary aggregate. They are based on a testing procedure following Robinson and the results indicate that these confidence intervals are in all cases below 1, the seasonal unit roots being rejected in favour of smaller degrees of integration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000038540 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000038540&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:103-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Bautista Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Bautista Title: Interest rate-exchange rate dynamics in the Philippines: a DCC analysis Abstract: This article examines interest rate-exchange rate interaction using dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) analysis, a multivariate GARCH method. Weekly Philippine data from 1988 to 2000 are used in the study. The results show that the correlation between these variables is far from constant. Structural changes in the correlation structure are largely seen to be the effects of policies or policy responses to exogenous events. The shift in the direction of correlation, observed after the liberalization of the capital markets in 1993, is shown as evidence. Strong positive correlations observed during the two crisis episodes covered by the study present evidence of ineffective interest rate defense of the currency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000040970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000040970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:107-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Convergence clubs among 15 OECD countries Abstract: This study investigates the question of convergence among 15 OECD countries, where convergence is defined in several ways, for example as joint stationarity of differences of log per capita real output. No convergence is found for the entire set of OECD countries, so a clustering algorithm is used to identify sets of countries for which convergence occurs. The sensitivity of these 'convergence clubs' is investigated to the definition of convergence, the data used, and various details of the econometric procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000040989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000040989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:113-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Li Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: A model-combined estimator of elasticity of scale Abstract: Zellner and Ryu examined several popular specifications of elasticity of scale that characterizes production functions. This note goes further by combining these functional forms and proposing a model-averaged estimator of elasticity of scale. The methodology used in Bayesin Model Averaging, and the procedure is illustrated by an empirical example. Results show that the data clearly prefer some models over the others, but it can be difficult to select a model that overwhelmingly dominates the rest. This model-combined estimator of elasticity of scale is free of choosing a single specification from many competing ones. Moreover, this approach is readily applicable to comparable issues regarding production functions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-122 Issue: 2 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:2:p:119-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Millimet Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Millimet Author-Name: Daniel Slottje Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Slottje Title: Industrial and environmental specialization Abstract: The presence of threshold effects or convex damage functions implies that the composition of pollutants may be as important in the determination of health outcomes as the level of pollution. As such, greater specialization in particular environmental hazards may suggest increasing costs from pollution even if overall pollution levels are declining. Using panel data from the US, it is verified that 'environmental specialization' is important, and likely to increase in the future due to greater industrial specialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-128 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:123-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicent AragO-Manzana Author-X-Name-First: Vicent Author-X-Name-Last: AragO-Manzana Author-Name: M Angeles Fernandezizquierdo Author-X-Name-First: M Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandezizquierdo Title: Monthly seasonality of the returns and volatility of the IBEX-35 index and its futures contract Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-133 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:129-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: A new method to choose optimal lag order in stable and unstable VAR models Abstract: A crucial aspect of empirical research based on the vector autoregressive (VAR) model is the choice of the lag order, since all inference in the VAR model is based on the chosen lag order. Here, a new information criterion is introduced for this purpose. The conducted Monte Carlo simulation experiments show that this new information criterion performs well in picking the true lag order in stable as well as unstable VAR models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-137 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:135-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank A. G. Den Butter Author-X-Name-First: Frank A. G. Den Author-X-Name-Last: Butter Author-Name: Florian Eppink Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Eppink Title: The influence of labour flows on wage drift: an empirical analysis for The Netherlands Abstract: The wage level in The Netherlands is, by a large part, determined in collective labour agreements. However, the result of the processes of job destruction, job creation and job-to-job mobility is that workers move from less productive to more productive jobs. The empirical analysis shows that the resulting productivity gains are reflected in the wage drift, i.e. wage increases which are not part of the collective agreements. Yet, the size of the effects appears to be rather modest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-142 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041069 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041069&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:139-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ege Yazgan Author-X-Name-First: M. Ege Author-X-Name-Last: Yazgan Title: The purchasing power parity hypothesis for a high inflation country: a re-examination of the case of Turkey Abstract: The long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis is re-examined for Turkey and strong evidence on long-run PPP is provided by using standard multivariate cointegration techniques. It is argued that the refutation of PPP by Telatar and Kazdagli does not necessarily imply the failure of taking the non-linearity in real exchange rate adjustment into account, as proposed by Sarno, but it may be due to the use of univariate framework for testing PPP chosen by Telatar and Kazdagli. By using persistence profiles, half-life deviations from PPP are estimated as low as one and a half years. Since these estimates are substantially lower than those previously obtained in the literature, the analysis suggests that high inflation environment does not constitute a case for the PPP puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:143-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Guest Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Guest Author-Name: Ian Mcdonald Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Mcdonald Title: Vintage versus homogeneous capital in simulations of population ageing: does it matter? Abstract: The vintage and homogeneous capital forms of the aggregate production function can be calibrated to generate the same output level from a given data set in steady state. However, it is shown show that this equivalence breaks down during the adjustment process to an employment shock, such as that caused by an ageing population. Simulations are conducted illustrating the magnitude of the difference in optimal labour productivity growth under the two models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-153 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000043995 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000043995&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:149-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Food price volatility and macroeconomic factor volatility: 'heat waves' or 'meteor showers'? Abstract: This paper investigates volatility spillover effects between relative food prices and explicit macroeconomic fundamentals, i.e. exchange rates, money balances, inflation, and the deficit to income ratio, through the methodology of GARCH models. The findings showed that significant and positive macroeconomic volatility effects influence the volatility of relative food prices. Moreover, the volatility of relative food prices exerts a positive and statistically significant impact on its own volatility. The results imply that the participation of Greece in EMU will diminish the volatility of those macroeconomic factors, implying lower volatility in food prices and thus higher benefits for both producers and consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-160 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044011 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044011&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:155-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Gottschalk Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gottschalk Title: Testing for breaks in inertia: an alternative approach Abstract: This paper tests for breaks in inflation inertia. It proposes an alternative method that can be relied upon when inflation follows a stationary process that fluctuates around a segmented deterministic trend. This method is then applied to the Brazilian case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-163 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044048 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044048&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:161-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Bende-Nabende Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bende-Nabende Author-Name: J. L. Ford Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: B. Santoso Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Santoso Author-Name: S. Sen Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: The interaction between FDI, output and the spillover variables: co-integration and VAR analyses for APEC, 1965-1999 Abstract: In this empirical study, it is considered whether FDI has directly induced long-run effects on output in a selection of East Asian countries or whether such an influence, if any, has been transmitted indirectly through spillover effects. The Johansen cointegration methodology and resultant VECs are employed, and the use of that methodology within a panel framework tested. Equal evidence of negative and positive direct significant long-run relationship between FDI and output in the countries is found in the sample. In addition, indirect spillovers effects are found, which are positive for some country variables and negative for others. There is also an indication that the statistically significant positive spillovers occur in the economically less developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-172 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:165-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Cunado Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cunado Author-Name: L. A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: L. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: F. PErez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: F. PErez Author-X-Name-Last: de Gracia Title: Empirical evidence on real convergence in some OECD countries Abstract: The real convergence hypothesis in Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK is examined. For this purpose, the order of integration of the real GDP per capita series in these countries is examined as well as their differences with respect to the US which is used as a benchmark country. Both parametric and semiparametric methods are used and the results show that convergence is achieved in all countries, especially for the cases of Australia and Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044066 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044066&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: Herding in ranch operations: an analysis of a search problem Abstract: Herding is an integral part of ranch operations in contemporary times. An aspect of herding that has received scant attention in the literature concerns the pros and cons of searching for livestock animals that have wandered away from a pasture and are hence missing from this pasture. Under what circumstances should a rancher search for these missing animals? This paper provides the first theoretical analysis of this question. Specifically, a formal model is constructed and examined that provides conditions under which it makes sense to search for these missing animals and conditions under which it does not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-179 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:177-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Application of a mixture model to approximate bottled water consumption distribution Abstract: Approximating bottled water consumption (BWC) distribution is complicated by zero observations in the sample. To deal with the zero observations, a mixture model of BWC distributions is considered to allow a point mass at zero. The model is empirically verified for household BWC survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhenquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Stress testing analysis of the effects of Japanese yen's depreciation on Chinese exports Abstract: The effects of Japanese yen's depreciation on Chinese exports in 2002 (only considering the exports of the Mainland of China) are analysed. An AR(2) valuation function for the Chinese exports is constructed. The results on sensitivity tests show that the depreciation of Japanese yen would not bring severe effects on the Chinese exports in 2002, though the increasing trend of Chinese exports would become slower. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:185-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Osamu Kamoike Author-X-Name-First: Osamu Author-X-Name-Last: Kamoike Title: Designs of pension management with the rapid ageing Abstract: The rapid ageing of the population and the strong desires for working by the retired old has become a serious issue on the Japanese pension management. This paper suggests a partial solution for the issue in an overlapping generation framework. It is shown that providing the old with jobs rather than pensions can result in a Pareto improvement at a steady state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiichi Tomiura Author-X-Name-First: Eiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tomiura Title: Capacity constraint and seasonal productivity variations at plant level Abstract: The paper examines seasonal productivity variations by using monthly plant-level physical output and capacity data. The regression results confirm that seasonal output elasticity is substantially larger than non-seasonal elasticity not only at the industry level, but also at the plant level. The productivity becomes low in the demand-peak season particularly at plants where capacity is highly utilized, consistent with the capacity constraint interpretation. The effect of capacity constraint on productivity fluctuations, however, is modest compared with that of seasonal demand variations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 3 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044174 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044174&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Unemployment and real oil prices in Australia: a fractionally cointegrated approach Abstract: The article examines the relationship between unemployment and real oil prices in Australia using fractionally cointegrated techniques. Using a two-step procedure based on the univariate tests of Robinson, the results show that both variables are fractionally cointegrated, with the long-run equilibrium errors being nonstationary but mean reverting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Veld Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Veld Title: Analysis of a practical formula for the valuation of employee stock options Abstract: In The Netherlands employee stock options are taxed when they are rewarded. The Dutch tax authorities have developed a formula for the valuation of these options. This formula is analysed and it is shown how it can be used for tax and accounting purposes in The Netherlands and in other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161878 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161878&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sikandar Siddiqui Author-X-Name-First: Sikandar Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiqui Title: Can interest rate changes help predict future stock price movements? Evidence from the German market Abstract: By applying a linear regression model to monthly time series data from the German equity and money markets, this paper challenges the conventional viewpoint that historical data do not possess any explanatory power for future stock market returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-211 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066859 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/0003684032000066859&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:209-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Extending the stochastic approach to index numbers: a comment on Crompton Abstract: Stochastic approach has received renewed attention in recent years (e.g. Clements and Izan, and Selvanathan and Rao). However, there was some criticism about the form of the error variance used in the new stochastic approach (see work by Diewert). In a recent paper in Applied Economics Letters, Crompton provided a solution to this problem. This article presents some comments and corrections on Crompton's work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-215 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350435022000043986 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350435022000043986&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:213-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Burak Doan Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Doan Title: Openness and the effectiveness of monetary policy: empirical evidence from Turkey Abstract: The empirical evidence suggests that openness decreases the effect of monetary policy on output, however the effect on prices is not statistically significant. In this study these predictions are tested over the open economy of Turkey for quarterly data from 1987:1 to 2001:1. This study assesses how the openness affects the effectiveness of monetary policy on output and prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000015842 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000015842&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. -S. Chen Author-X-Name-First: A. -S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: P. -F. Shen Author-X-Name-First: P. -F. Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Computational complexity analysis of least-squares Monte Carlo (LSM) for pricing US derivatives Abstract: One of the most important problems in option pricing theory is the valuation and optimal exercise of derivatives with American-style exercise features. These types of derivatives are found in all major financial markets. Simulation is a promising alternative to traditional numerical methods and has many advantages as a framework for valuing American options. Recently, Longstaff and Schwartz presented a simple, yet powerful, least-squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm to approximating the value of US options by simulation. This article provides computational complexity analysis of the LSM algorithm. Essentially, the technique of computational complexity analysis is to break down a computational algorithm into logical modules and analyze the effect on the algorithm of adding or deleting logical modules. Computational complexity analysis is important in algorithm design because of structural differences in computer and human logic. Algorithms that seem perfectly natural and logical from the human perspective may sometime be found to contain unnecessary complexity when analysed from the computer's perspective. The results showed that a new algorithm constructed by removing the least-squares module altogether from the LSM algorithm improves not only the computational speed, but also produces results that are more accurate than the LSM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044039 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044039&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:223-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Zhou Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Evidence on the stationarity of ERM exchange rates Abstract: This article applies standard unit root tests to the spot and forward exchange rates of four core members of the European Monetary System participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). In contrast to the findings of most previous studies, the results show strong evidence of stationarity for the ERM rates, for the period when there were no significant realignments in the rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:231-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Terai Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Terai Title: Electoral alliance and implemented redistribution: an interpretation on non-competitive politics of Japan Abstract: This article shows that a pre-election alliance between the ruling coalition parties with different ideological motivations may result in bias toward the large size of government. In equilibrium, the reelected coalition government implements a redistributive policy that is greater than the median voter's preference. The results can explain why the Japanese coalition government, which colludes for winning elections, has frequently implemented more diffuse fiscal policies than the previous single-party government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Author-Name: Su San Leong Author-X-Name-First: Su San Author-X-Name-Last: Leong Title: The stationarity of Australian real interest rates with and without structural breaks Abstract: The Australian cash rate is generally unstable, while surveyed expected inflation and the 90 day bank bill rate are stationary subject to breaks. Real bond rates (2, 5, 10 years) are stationary in levels. Policy and market implications are drawn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-241 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:239-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Piga Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Piga Author-Name: M. Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Sample selection in estimating the determinants of cooperative R&D Abstract: This article treats the selectivity issue in the analysis of cooperative R&D and also presents some new results, e.g. that a firm's organization, vertical relationships and innovation strategy are important drivers of a decision to engage in R&D both independently and with external partners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Non-linear modelling of daily exchange rate returns, volatility, and 'news' in a small developing economy Abstract: This paper models daily returns, volatility, and 'news' in the parallel foreign exchange market of a small developing economy, namely the Dominican Republic, during the period 1989-2001. The research adopts a non-linear specification that encompasses several members of the GARCH family. A leftward tilted news impact reveals that positive shocks (depreciations) have a higher impact than negative ones (appreciations) on the volatility of exchange rate returns. This result has significant implications for policymakers. For instance, it could help in the assessment of the potential effect of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange rate market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000050635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000050635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Bisaglia Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Bisaglia Author-Name: Silvano Bordignon Author-X-Name-First: Silvano Author-X-Name-Last: Bordignon Author-Name: Francesco Lisi Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Lisi Title: k -Factor GARMA models for intraday volatility forecasting Abstract: This paper studies the ability of the k -factor GARMA processes to model and forecast the volatility of an intraday financial time series. Forecasting results from the k -factor GARMA model are obtained and compared with those produced by a conventional SARIMA model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000050653 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000050653&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Gao Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Multinational activity and country characteristics in OECD countries Abstract: This article uses data on multinational activity in OECD countries to test three alternative models of multinational production: the vertical multinational firm model the horizontal multinational firm model and the knowledge capital model. Unlike the evidence from US data in Markusen and Maskus' work, the results in this article show that the knowledge capital model performs significantly better than the horizontal model. The article presents the empirical evidence and concludes with a discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of the OECD and US data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210138496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210138496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalie Stoeckl Author-X-Name-First: Natalie Author-X-Name-Last: Stoeckl Title: Measurement error and functional form: implications for welfare estimates Abstract: This paper describes a series of Monte Carlo simulations which investigate the accuracy of final estimates generated from the travel cost model (TCM). The results are of interest to all applied researchers who: (a) cannot select functional form on theoretical grounds; and (b) wish to use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimates for further calculations. This is because the simulations indicate that certain types of measurement error decrease the probability that researchers will be able to determine the correct functional form of the estimating equation on the basis of goodness of fit statistics. While this does not necessarily mean that slope (partial coefficient) estimates will be biased, it can cause substantial and unpredictable bias in welfare estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-270 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485031000112673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485031000112673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:259-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria L. Loureiro Author-X-Name-First: Maria L. Author-X-Name-Last: Loureiro Author-Name: Wendy J. Umberger Author-X-Name-First: Wendy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Umberger Author-Name: Susan Hine Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Hine Title: Testing the initial endowment effect in experimental auctions Abstract: In experimental auctions, participants are usually given an initial endowment or cash compensation that will cover the costs associated with their bids in the experiment as well as their participation time. This study analyses participants' bids in a randomly binding second-price auction to test the effect of the initial endowment on participants' willingness-to-pay estimates. Three different endowments: $2, $4, and $6 are used to compensate participants in an experimental auction. It is found that participants receiving $4 or $6 as an initial endowment, bid statistically higher than those receiving only $2. Thus, willingness-to-pay estimates are sensitive to the initial endowment. Based on the results obtained in this experiment, it is concluded that endowments that are closer to the value of the auctioned good may be a more appropriate way to compensate auction participants in order to reveal their true willingness to pay for a private good, and to reduce overbidding. Additionally, the findings illustrate that an initial compensation closer to the participants' value of time may inflate their bids, and consequently may not be a correct compensation mechanism to elicit true willingness-to-pay for private goods. New ways of compensating participants in experimental auctions should be investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-275 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485032000056855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:271-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John D. Bone Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bone Author-Name: John D. Hey Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: John R. Suckling Author-X-Name-First: John R. Author-X-Name-Last: Suckling Title: Do people plan ahead? Abstract: A crucial basic assumption of economic theories of dynamic behaviour is that people plan ahead. This paper reports on an extremely simple experimental test of this fundamental principle. Indeed the experiment is so simple and so straightforward that it is difficult to believe that anyone would not plan ahead. However subjects are found who do not. What are they doing? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-280 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485032000056882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:277-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Lemke Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lemke Author-Name: Isaac C. Rischall Author-X-Name-First: Isaac C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rischall Title: Skill, parental income, and IV estimation of the returns to schooling Abstract: Recently, attention has moved away from using parental background variables, such as parental education, in favour of using institutional features of the education system as instruments when estimating the return to schooling. In this paper, these possible instruments are revisited. Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, several specifications of the wage equation are estimated and three types of instruments used - parental education, quarter of birth, and college proximity. It is shown that under some specifications - in particular, by including parental income and individual skill in the wage equation - parental education appears to be a valid and useful instrument. On the other hand, when using the institutional instruments, the weak correlation between the instruments and years of schooling produces imprecise and likely biased estimates of the return to schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850320000078653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850320000078653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:281-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masayo Sato Author-X-Name-First: Masayo Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: The relationship between smoking initiation and time discount factor, risk aversion and information Abstract: The paper is the first to discuss the relationship between smoking initiation and gender, time discount factor, risk aversion, and information about diseases due to smoking. The estimated results show that gender and time discount rate significantly affect smoking initiation but risk aversion and information do not. Since information does not discourage smoking initiation, public policies aimed at educating young people about the harmful effects of smoking may not be effective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-289 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485032000056909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:287-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subal C. Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: Factor productivity and technical change Abstract: This paper deals with (i) decomposing total factor productivity growth into input-specific components, (ii) measuring input-specific productivity/efficiency growth, and (iii) testing several neutrality hypotheses in technical change. These issues are addressed in a general framework without assuming any functional form on the underlying production technology, and without imposing any structure on the behaviour of input productivity/efficiency growth. Using NBER panel data on 450 U.S. manufacturing industries for the period 1959--1992, it is found that technical change can be characterized by neither Hicks, Harrod, nor Solow neutral form. It is also found that productivity of capital has increased, on average by 6.5%, whereas those of labour and material declined by 5.10% and 0.4%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 291-297 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485031000077349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1350485031000077349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:291-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Lima De Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Charles Lima De Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Author-Name: Marco Aur�LIO Peres Author-X-Name-First: Marco Aur�LIO Author-X-Name-Last: Peres Author-Name: Geraldo Da Silva E Souza Author-X-Name-First: Geraldo Da Silva E Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Optimal monetary rules: the case of Brazil Abstract: Within a dynamic programming approach, an optimal rule for the central bank to attain its inflation targeting goals is derived. The short-run nominal interest rate is used as an instrument to achieve monetary objectives. The model is tested for the Brazilian economy and compared with results found for other countries. Evidence for the estimated feedback interest rule for the Central Bank suggests that the cost of reducing inflation in an open economy is lower than that of a closed economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-302 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0003684032000066804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:299-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: MAHMOUD A. M. BUSHEHRI Author-X-Name-First: MAHMOUD A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: BUSHEHRI Title: Dynamic generalization of the Rotterdam model Abstract: Demand systems that are normally used in the empirical demand literature are static, in the sense that consumers are assumed to adjust instantly to the new equilibrium following changes in expenditure or prices. In reality this assumption may be incorrect because in many cases consumers' reaction to change in price or expenditure may be gradual, there may be a partial adjustment. In this paper a dynamic Rotterdam model is developed; extending the existing static version. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2003.10800382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2003.10800382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herbert Y. T. Lam Author-X-Name-First: Herbert Y. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Author-Name: Spyros I. Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros I. Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Title: Fundamental variables and the cross-section of expected stock returns: the case of Hong Kong Abstract: Recent empirical evidence indicates that size and book-to-market ratios explain adequately a large part of average stock returns. This paper examines the association of a number of fundamental variables with the cross section of stock returns in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The results suggest that, during the 1990s, the small-firm effect has actually gone into reverse and that size and book-to-market equity have a statistically significant relationship with average returns. Beta has little or no role as an explanatory variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0003684032000066840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: David Walls Author-Name: Kelly Busche Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Busche Title: Broken odds and the favourite-longshot bias in parimutuel betting: a direct test Abstract: This research examines empirically the effect using broken odds - the rounded off odds reported by horse track operators - on statistical tests of market efficiency in parimutuel gambling. It finds that using rounded-off odds to test for market efficiency, instead of using the exact values, introduces a downward bias in the test statistics for favourite horses. Previous studies, because they relied on the rounded-off odds data, may have overstated the extent of the favourite-longshot bias in parimutuel wagering markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210147162 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850210147162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. C. Bautista Author-X-Name-First: C. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bautista Title: Stock market volatility in the Philippines Abstract: Regime-switching-ARCH regression was used on weekly aggregate Philippine stock return data from February 1987 to October 2000 to estimate its conditional variance. The estimated volatility was then related to major political/economic events and to fluctuations in economic activity as measured by real GDP growth. Four high volatility episodes were observed for the period under study. It was seen that high stock return volatility preceded a bust cycle, defined as a sequence of low growth periods. The study showed the sensitivity of the Philippine stock market to drastic changes in the political environment as well. This was observed twice during the late 1980s when a series of military coup attempts led to large fluctuations in the stock price index. In the 1990s, high return volatility was also observed twice. The lifting of the remaining foreign exchange and capital account restrictions in 1993 led to the third high volatility episode. In 1997, the start of the fourth volatility episode preceded the onset of the Asian financial crisis by a few months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210148107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850210148107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:5:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Alvarez-Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Diaz Author-Name: Alberto Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez Title: Forecasting exchange rates using genetic algorithms Abstract: A novel approach is employed to investigate the predictability of weekly data on the euro/dollar, British pound/dollar, Deutsche mark/dollar, Japanese yen/dollar, French franc/dollar and Canadian dollar/dollar exchange rates. A functional search procedure based on the Darwinian theories of natural evolution and survival, called genetic algorithms (hereinafter GA), was used to find an analytical function that best approximates the time variability of the studied exchange rates. In all cases, the mathematical models found by the GA predict slightly better than the random walk model. The models are heavily dominated by a linear relationship with the most recent past value, while contributions from nonlinear terms to the total forecasting performance are rather small. In consequence, the results agree with previous works establishing explicitly that nonlinear nature of exchange rates cannot be exploited to substantially improve forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-322 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210158250 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210158250&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:319-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Morgan Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Author-Name: D. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: The optimal output target and degree of banker conservativeness in a model with a non-linear Phillips curve Abstract: The purpose in this article is to investigate the implications of a non-linear supply curve for the standard discretionary inflation outcome obtained when the central bank has quadratic preferences. Some implications for the optimal output target and degree of conservativeness of the central banker are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-330 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850210161896 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850210161896&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:323-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Ashiya Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ashiya Title: The directional accuracy of 15-months-ahead forecasts made by the IMF Abstract: A considerable number of studies have investigated the directional accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts, and have obtained mixed results for long-term forecasts. This paper re-examines this issue using the IMF forecasts for the G7 countries, and find that combining the long-term and the short-term forecasts significantly improves the directional accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-333 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000040998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000040998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:331-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Katranidis Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Katranidis Author-Name: Gregory Kordas Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Kordas Author-Name: Kostas Velentzas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Velentzas Title: Welfare analysis and bootstrapping Abstract: This paper examines the effects of the entry and the 1992 CAP reform on maize producers' welfare and on economic efficiency. This welfare analysis used a bootstrap resampling technique that provided standard errors and confidence intervals for the estimates. These empirical analysis has shown that the price-policy induced changes in farmers' economic welfare were significant at commonly used levels of statistical significance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Man-Joe Leung Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Man-Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Title: An empirical comparison of moving average envelopes and Bollinger Bands Abstract: This paper endeavors to compare the profitability of Moving Average Envelopes and Bollinger Bands. Despite the fact that Bollinger Bands can capture sudden price fluctuations which Moving Average Envelopes cannot, our study reveals that Bollinger Bands do not outperform the Moving Average Envelopes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-341 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000041032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000041032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:339-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wen-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Panel unit root tests of firm size and its growth Abstract: This paper investigates Gibrat's law by using a panel unit root test, as a panel unit root can increase power in contrast to a conventional individual ADF test. At first this paper uses the panel unit root test to testify Gibrat's law under independent and identical distribution, with the test results rejecting the null hypothesis of Gibrat's law. Independent and identical distributions are not reasonable in a real situation. Any firm in a given industry may have some correlation with other firms. Moreover, the limiting distribution of Im, Pesaran, and Shin (IPS) statistic is invalid and will produce a large distortion. This paper applies the Taylor and Sarno (1998) MADF test to deal with a cross-sectional correlation problem and study the issue. This paper finds that the conclusion is not the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-345 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044075 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044075&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:343-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Mayer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Mayer Title: The macroeconomic Loss Function: a Critical Note Abstract: The standard loss function counts both positive and negative deviations from the output and inflation targets as losses. But if the sample period is long enough, then output growth in excess of the target, and often also inflation rates that are below target, should be counted as gains instead of losses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-349 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056891 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000056891&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:347-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Uk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Long-run growth and government consumption Abstract: This paper tests the null hypothesis implied by exogenous growth that the share of government consumption in output affects the level of output but not its growth rate against the alternative hypothesis implied by endogenous growth that the growth rate is also affected. The results provide evidence that cross-country differences in income per capita result from differences in their public policies, but no evidence that differences in trend growth rates result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/0003684032000066831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Cole Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Cole Author-Name: Eric Neumayer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Neumayer Title: The pitfalls of convergence analysis: is the income gap really widening? Abstract: A number of studies have tested whether, globally, per capita incomes are converging over time. To date, the majority of studies find no evidence of absolute convergence, but many find evidence of conditional convergence, i.e. convergence having controlled for differences in technological and behavioural parameters. The lack of evidence of absolute convergence has led to claims that global income inequality is deteriorating. This is believed to be untrue. Most convergence studies are aimed at proving or disproving the neoclassical growth model and hence take the 'country' as the unit of measurement. However, if inferences are being made about world income distribution the focus should be on 'people' rather than 'countries' to prevent China and Luxembourg, for example, receiving equal weighting in the analysis. The β-convergence method and two different measures of per capita income are used and it is shown that there is indeed evidence of income divergence between countries. However, crucially, convincing evidence is found of income convergence if the regressions are weighted by population. Thus, it is found that poor peoples' incomes are growing faster than rich peoples' incomes, suggesting that global income inequality is in fact improving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-357 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000072361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000072361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:355-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maryann Keating Author-X-Name-First: Maryann Author-X-Name-Last: Keating Author-Name: Barry Keating Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Keating Title: Measuring the sustainability of Latin American external debt Abstract: This article, based on a theoretical model of external debt sustainability, compares Latin American GDP growth with the debt service to total debt ratio. A country-by-country forecast of external debt composition is presented and discussed. External Debt Forecasting is accomplished using yearly data from Global Development Finance 1999. Data for the years 1970 to 1999 are used for a Latin American composite and cross-country comparisons between Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Panama, Peru and Venezuela. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000079120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000079120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin Kholodilin Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilin Title: US composite economic indicator with nonlinear dynamics and the data subject to structural breaks Abstract: Composite economic indicator is a very useful tool designed to trace and predict the business cycle conditions. This paper studies possible extensions of this approach intended to cope with the potential data problems caused by various structural breaks affecting both level and volatility of the component series. The structural shifts are introduced in the composite economic indicator model via deterministic dummies capturing breaks in the observed variables' intercepts and in the residual variances of the specific factors. As an illustration the Post-Second World War US monthly macroeconomic series are utilized for which different specifications of the single-factor linear and regime-switching model are evaluated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000079139 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000079139&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:363-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Ribba Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Ribba Title: Short-run and long-run interaction between inflation and unemployment in the USA Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate both the short-run and long-run relationship between inflation and unemployment characterizing the US economy in the last 30 years. To this end a cointegrated structural VAR vs built. Since unemployment does not cause inflation at frequency zero a recursive structure, with inflation ordered first, allows the identification of a permanent and a transitory shock (cf. Ribba, Economics Letters 56, pp. 253-6, 1997). The main conclusions of the investigation are that: (i) in the short run, the existence of a tradeoff induced by the transitory shock is confirmed; (ii) in the long run, the two variables move one-for-one in the same direction driven by a permanent supply shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081983 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081983&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar Parai Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Title: Foreign capital inflow and economic growth in LDCs Abstract: The implications of foreign capital inflow are re-examined in a neoclassical model of economic growth (a la Chow-Zeng, Applied Economics Letters, 8, pp. 613-15, 2001). By following the definition of the steady state stock of aggregate capital, it is shown that under normal depreciation of foreign capital and the natural rate of growth of labour force, an inflow of foreign capital may or may not increase the per capita domestic capital and consumption of the host nation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-379 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082036 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082036&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:377-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Mean and volatility spillover effects in Greek producer-consumer meat prices Abstract: This study investigates causality, price transmission and volatility spillover effects between producer and consumer prices in lamb, beef, pork and poultry markets in Greece, using the methodology of the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) approach. The empirical findings indicate significant price effects in the markets under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-384 Issue: 6 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:6:p:381-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaj Malchow-Møller Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaj Author-X-Name-Last: Malchow-Møller Author-Name: Michael Svarer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Svarer Title: Estimation of the multinomial logit model with random effects Abstract: In the present paper, it is shown how to perform estimation of the random effects multinomial logit model in the SAS program. Inference in the random effects multinomial logit model is complicated because it requires evaluation of multi-dimensional integrals. Presumably for this reason, no statistical software packages allow for direct estimation of the model. It is shown how modifications of the likelihood function enable the applied researcher to make inference using SAS. While the procedure works well for small samples/models, estimation time might become considerable for larger samples/models. A possible explanation for this is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-392 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082018 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082018&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:389-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Therese Grijalva Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Grijalva Author-Name: Alok Bohara Author-X-Name-First: Alok Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: A seemingly unrelated Poisson model for revealed and stated preference data Abstract: A seemingly unrelated Poisson regression model is proposed as an alternative to single equation Poisson models for joint estimation of revealed preference (RP) and contingent behaviour (CB) trip demand. Findings indicate that RP and CB data should be estimated jointly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082018B File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082018B&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:443-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cademartori Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cademartori Author-Name: Cecilia Romo Author-X-Name-First: Cecilia Author-X-Name-Last: Romo Author-Name: Ricardo Campos Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Author-Name: Manuel Galea Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Galea Title: Robust estimation of systematic risk using the t distribution in the chilean stock markets Abstract: This article deals with the estimate of the systematic risk of a share, assuming that returns follow an independent t distribution. In order to analyse the sensibility to possible outliers and/or atypical returns of the maximum likelihood estimator of the systematic risk, the local influence method was implemented. The results are illustrated by using a set of shares of companies belonging to the Chilean stock market. The main conclusion is that the t model with small degrees of freedom is able to incorporate possible outliers and influential returns in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-453 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082018A File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082018A&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:447-453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The nonstationarity of the consumption-income ratio: Evidence from more powerful Dickey-Fuller tests Abstract: In this letter the question of whether the consumption-income ratio is mean reverting is revisited. To address known problems of low power associated with previous studies, more powerful modifications of the Dickey-Fuller (DF) test are applied. The results of weighted symmetric and recursively mean-adjusted DF tests provide strong evidence of the UK consumption-income ratio being nonstationary. This finding is further supported by reduced bias estimation of the autoregressive parameter, the estimated value of ρ derived being much closer to unity than that obtained under a conventional DF test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-395 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:393-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Teresa Rubio Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Rubio Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Juan Vicente Perdiz Author-X-Name-First: Juan Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Perdiz Title: SAM multipliers and inequality measurement Abstract: Atkinson and Bourguignon (2000) 'lack research that integrates distribution centrally into the examination of how the economics works'. To fill in such lack this study put in touch recent developments from Inequality Measurement and National Accounting literatures. This paper presents a reduced and rearranged Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) taking forward chapter 20 of SNA93 and after showing the limits of Jacobi multipliers to analyse inequality, this study proposes the calculation of border norms when distributive judgements are not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000029324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000029324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Kanas Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kanas Title: Non-linear cointegration between stock prices and dividends Abstract: This article uses the ACE algorithm to non-linearly transform stock prices and dividends for the USA for the period 1871-1999. It finds strong evidence of cointegration between the transformed variables, which can be characterized as non-linear cointegration. It concludes that departures from the linear present value model may be explained by misspecification of the model, which is attributed to the absence of appropriate nonlinear transformations of the variables. Our findings are in line with models that introduce nonlinearities in the relation between stock prices and dividends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-405 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485022000044020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:401-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Cristina Ubach Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Ubach Title: Testing for an experience endowment effect in health care Abstract: Preferences have been shown to be influenced by initial endowments of wealth in the valuation literature. This paper tested for the influence of initial endowments of experience on preferences, using a discrete choice experiment. The experiment was carried out within the context of a randomized controlled trial evaluating the introduction of a new repeat prescribing system. The 'intervention group' experienced the proposed new system and the 'control group' the existing system. Evidence of an experience endowment effect was found, with only the 'intervention group' valuing attributes of the new repeat prescribing system. The implications of these results for economic evaluations alongside randomized controlled trials are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-410 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056864 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000056864&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:407-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Author-Name: Susan Charles Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Title: Benefit payments, informal care and female labour supply Abstract: This article examines the impact of informal care responsibilities on female earnings and labour supply. It extends previous work on the labour market costs of informal care by examining who, among the full set of carers has access to the two most relevant existing social security benefits (Attendance Allowance and Invalid Care Allowance) and to what effect. Results from previous work using an earlier data set are compared with those obtained here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000056873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000056873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Levy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Author-Name: Hashem Dezhbakhsh Author-X-Name-First: Hashem Author-X-Name-Last: Dezhbakhsh Title: On the typical spectral shape of an economic variable Abstract: In a classic article, Granger (Econometrica 34, 1966) asserted that most economic time series measured in level have spectra that exhibit a smooth declining shape with considerable power at very low frequencies. There has been no systematic attempt to examine Granger's assertion with international data. Output level spectra are estimated for 58 countries, divided into developed, high-income developing, and low-income developing groups. The shapes of the estimated spectra are found to be strikingly similar to Granger's typical shape, particularly for the developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000102187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000102187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:417-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guyonne Kalb Author-X-Name-First: Guyonne Author-X-Name-Last: Kalb Author-Name: Jenny Williams Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Delinquency and gender Abstract: The determinants of juvenile delinquency for males and females using the Delinquency in a Birth Cohort II Study are investigated. Ordered probit models for juvenile arrest are estimated separately for males and females. The results indicate that juvenile arrests for both males and females are more likely for non-whites and for those who leave education early. Males and females behave differently, in that males are more likely to be repeat offenders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/0003684032000066822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Funda Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Funda Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Title: The relationship between inflation and different sources of inflation uncertainty in Turkey Abstract: The relationship between inflation and different sources of inflation uncertainty is investigated in Turkey during the period of 1995:3-2000:12. A time-varying parameter model of inflation with heteroscedastic disturbances is used to generate different sources of inflation uncertainty and then Granger methods are employed to test for causality between inflation and different sources of inflation uncertainty. The findings show that there is a causative influence of inflation on its uncertainty arising due to time-varying parameters of the inflation model. No evidence is found on the correlation between inflation and inflation uncertainty arising due to heteroscedasticity in the disturbance terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000066868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000066868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Burton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Title: Evidence on the extent of relationships among investment opportunity set proxies Abstract: A number of recent empirical studies have examined the extent to which growth indicators (or 'proxies') affect the market reaction to major corporate announcements. Although the method employed in these studies is broadly similar, the results to date have varied quite markedly. One key difference amongst the previous studies relates to the nature of the proxy measures used; although each one is intended to measure a firm's investment opportunity set, more than 100 different variables have now been examined and this proliferation may represent part of the explanation for the inconsistency in overall conclusions. The present paper provides some preliminary evidence about the extent of any correlation among growth measures using UK data for 83 of the most commonly employed variables. The study reports that the various measures are generally correlated with each other in a manner which suggests that they provide a coherent signal about firms' growth prospects, and that inconsistency in the measures used may not provide the underlying reason for heterogeneity in the earlier findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-441 Issue: 7 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:7:p:437-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jussi Tolvi Author-X-Name-First: Jussi Author-X-Name-Last: Tolvi Title: Unemployment persistence of different labour force groups in Finland Abstract: Fractional integration long memory models are used to estimate the unemployment persistence of different labour force groups. The data comes from Finland, and has youth and total labour force unemployment rates for both males and females. It is found that unemployment is less persistent for females and young people than for males and the whole labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000089886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000089886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Using prior bias to improve forecast accuracy Abstract: The study tests whether removing bias can improve out-of-sample forecast accuracy in two series of interest rates. The samples are larger than previously studied in this context, and the test is cleaner since reported interest rates are never revised. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-461 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:459-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: A note on the interregional movement of new companies Abstract: This note presents some new data on the extent and nature of the interregional movement of new companies in England and Wales. It shows that Wales is by far the largest gross exporter of new companies, followed by Greater London and Eastern England. Eastern England and the East Midlands have the highest rates of inward migration. Greater London and the North West have the lowest inward migration rates. Wales, Greater London and the North East all have negative net migration rates. Survey work is now required to identify any differences in the characteristics and performance of 'stayers' and movers and the factors behind regional differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-465 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090767 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090767&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:463-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Vernon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Vernon Title: The relationship between price regulation and pharmaceutical profit margins Abstract: In the USA, prescription drug prices are largely unregulated. In most other countries, however, drug prices are regulated. This is typically accomplished directly through price controls (e.g. France and Italy), indirectly through limits on reimbursement under social insurance schemes (e.g. Germany and Japan), or indirectly through profit controls (e.g. the United Kingdom). Using current data on firm pre-tax pharmaceutical profit margins and the proportion of firm pharmaceutical sales subjected to price regulation (i.e., non-US pharmaceutical sales), it is demonstrated that price regulation may be exerting a substantially negative influence on pharmaceutical price-cost margins. The analysis finds that pharmaceutical price-cost margins in the USA are, on average, approximately four times higher than non-US pharmaceutical price-cost margins. While price regulation may not be the only factor responsible for this striking difference in price-cost margins, it is likely to be a prominent factor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-470 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090776 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090776&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:467-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Export intensity in UK firms Abstract: The determination of export intensity for a panel of 1623 UK firms from 1988 to 2001 was investigated. The results support most theories of export intensity, and in particular the role of firm size, product differentiation, governance and technological factors. By exploiting the heterogeneity of firm financial calendars a unique Sterling-Dollar exchange rate is calculated for each firm which is found to have a significant effect on export intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-477 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090785 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090785&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:471-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Medoff Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Medoff Title: Article placement and market signalling Abstract: Does article placement by journal editors influence the number of citations an article receives? Articles that appear in eight top economics journals in 1990 are examined. Holding constant author quality, article length, journal quality and subject area, the empirical results show that being a lead article or the article placement position number in a journal issue have a statistically insignificant effect on the number of citations an article receives. The impact of favourable article placement on citations is initially positive, but diminishes over time. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that journal editors use favourable article placement as non-monetary compensation to authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-482 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:479-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Gugler Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Gugler Author-Name: Jurgen Weigand Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Weigand Title: Is ownership really endogenous? Abstract: For a large panel of US firms it is found that managerial ownership is (econometrically) endogenous as Himmelberg et al. (Journal of Financial Economics, 53, 353-384, 1999) found. The largest shareholder, however, affects performance exogenously. This also holds for German firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-486 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:483-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Asset storability and hedging effectiveness in commodity futures markets Abstract: This paper examines risk minimization hedging effectiveness for major storable and nonstorable agricultural commodity futures markets. Based on the error correction model - bivariate GARCH frameworks, some evidence is found that the hedging effectiveness is stronger for storable commodities than nonstorable commodities under consideration. The finding illustrates an important difference between storable and nonstorable commodities with regard to their hedging function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-491 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:487-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Mark Leung Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Option straddle trading: Financial performance and economic significance of direct profit forecast and conventional strategies Abstract: The present study focuses on the trading of at-the-money straddles using options on foreign currency futures, namely British Pound, Canadian Dollar, and Japanese Yen. The financial performance and economic significance of a direct profit forecast trading strategy are examined. This strategy uses a linear projection to directly forecast the profit (net of transaction costs) of engaging in a straddle. The straddle is purchased when the forecast is positive and sold when negative. This differs from the conventional option trading strategy of basing trading decisions on a two-step procedure of first generating a volatility forecast and then inputting the volatility forecast into an appropriate option pricing model to price the straddle. The direct profit forecast trading strategy removes volatility forecasting and option pricing models from the straddle trading decision process altogether. This method has only one source of model risk, compared to the conventional two step method which has two sources of model risk. It is possible that the direct forecast trading strategy with only one source of model risk may outperform the conventional method of trading straddles. The experimental investigation confirms this notion and the out-of-sample results indicate that, for each of the currencies analysed, the direct forecasting strategy is more profitable than the conventional two-step method. Furthermore, the results are robust with respect to different transaction cost assumptions. Finally, tests of economic significance indicate consistent market timing value for the direct forecast method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-498 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000095375 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000095375&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:493-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Shively Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Shively Title: International evidence of temporary and permanent stock-price innovations: a multivariate approach Abstract: The existence, size, and dynamic effect of temporary and permanent stock-price innovations has been a prominent issue in financial economics. Previous univariate and multivariate studies find that temporary innovations exist, but they do not yield a consensus regarding the size and dynamic effect of the temporary and permanent stock-price innovations. Real interest rates are intrinsically related to real stock prices through standard present-value models. This note applies Blanchard and Quah's (American Economic Review, 79, 665-673, 1989) bivariate, structural VAR model to monthly real stock returns and real interest rates from six major international financial markets including the US. Using 12 monthly VAR lags in order to capture annual variation in stock prices, this model finds a dramatic range in the size and dynamic effect of temporary and permanent stock-price innovations across the six international financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000116263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000116263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esmaiel Abounoori Author-X-Name-First: Esmaiel Author-X-Name-Last: Abounoori Author-Name: Patrick McCloughan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McCloughan Title: A simple way to calculate the Gini Coefficient for grouped as well as ungrouped data Abstract: Numerous methods have been proposed for calculating the Gini coefficient, the most widely used statistical measure of income inequality. The Milanovic (Bulletin of Economic Research, 46, 81-90, 1994) measure is simple, accurate and has attractive decomposition properties. However its use is confined to ungrouped data. This paper derives and applies the analogue of the Milanovic 94 measure for the case of grouped data. Both the grouped and ungrouped formulae offer a useful toolkit for inequality measurement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-509 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:505-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlie Cai Author-X-Name-First: Charlie Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Robert Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Kevin Keasey Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Keasey Title: Trading frequency and the compass rose Abstract: The paper uses market microdata to examine how the frequency with which share trading takes place affects the appearance of the compass rose. The results show that, for a share traded with a given frequency, there will be an optimum frequency of observation to produce the best compass rose. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-517 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:511-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annabelle Mourougane Author-X-Name-First: Annabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Mourougane Author-Name: Moreno Roma Author-X-Name-First: Moreno Author-X-Name-Last: Roma Title: Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth? Abstract: We investigate the usefulness of the European Commission confidence indicators for forecasting real GDP growth rates in the short run is investigated in selected euro area countries (Belgium, Spain, Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands) which account for almost 90% of the euro area. A linear relationship between real GDP and confidence indicators is estimated and the forecasting performance of the estimated models compared with a benchmark ARIMA model. It is generally found that confidence indicators can be useful for forecasting real GDP growth rates in the short-run in most of the above-mentioned countries. Notwithstanding some signs of instability in the relation between confidence indicators and real GDP, improvements with the use of time-varying parameter models appear to be fairly limited but confirm the findings obtained with constant parameter techniques. The results obtained are robust to a wide range of variant tests implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100305 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100305&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Happich Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Happich Author-Name: Kurt Geppert Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Geppert Title: A note on regional convergence within the EU Abstract: A recently published article suggested that factor prices within the EU converged between 1980 and 1992 but diverged between 1992 and 1994. However, these findings largely reflect inflation differentials and exchange rate adjustments. Markov chain analysis on the basis of an alternative income aggregate, GDP per capita measured in Purchasing Power Standards, leads to different results: Convergence was close to non-existent from 1980 to 1994 but resumed significantly thereafter. This is likely to be attributable to the establishment of the Single Market and subsequent integration steps. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 8 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100314 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100314&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:8:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: J. Yang Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: D. A. Bessler Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Financial crisis and African stock market integration Abstract: This article examines long-run relationships and short-run dynamic causal linkages among the five largest emerging African stock markets and the US market, with particular attention to the 1997-1998 global emerging market crisis. In general, interdependence between the African markets and the influence of the US on these markets was limited during 1996-2002. There is evidence that both long-run relationships and short-run causal linkages between these markets were substantially weakened after the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-533 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:527-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannis Ioannides Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Ioannides Title: Empirical nonlinearities and neighbourhood effects in the intergenerational transmission of human capital Abstract: This letter reports an empirical analysis of individuals' education as a function of their parents' education and of education in the census tract of their upbringing. The analysis is conducted with data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, including confidential geocoded data that links individuals to contextual data from the 1980 and 1990 US Census. The results validate those of Kremer's on the role of neighbourhood effects, but also confirm, using both parametric and nonparametric methods, that parents' education and neighbours' education have nonlinear effects that are broadly consistent with theoretical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-539 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000146017 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000146017&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:535-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. K. Sapra Author-X-Name-First: S. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Pre-test estimation in Poisson regression model Abstract: Pre-test estimation has been studied extensively for linear regression and simultaneous equation models. Recently attention has turned to pre-test estimation in non-linear models. This article studies pre-test maximum likelihood estimation in Poisson regression model. It presents its risk characteristics and compare them with those of restricted and unrestricted maximum likelihood estimators based on squared error loss function in a Monte Carlo experiment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-543 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:541-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. M. Dobbs Author-X-Name-First: I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbs Title: Demand, cost elasticities and pricing benchmarks in the hypothetical monopoly test: the consequences of a simple SSNIP Abstract: The hypothetical monopoly test for market power is translated into an operational 'formula' involving cost and demand elasticities. The importance of the choice of the pricing benchmark is emphasized - and of why it is important to incorporate an assessment of cost structure when conducting such tests. Recent work in the EU and the UK (notably in Telecoms) has ignored cost structures when making assessments of market power. It is shown in this article that ignoring cost structure leads to bias in that market power will often be found when in fact none is present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100242 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100242&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Molina Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: R. Ortega Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Effects of employee training on the performance of North-American firms Abstract: This article analyses the impact of employee training on the performance, measured in terms of Tobin's Q and total returns to shareholders, of North-American firms, by using a survey of senior executives in human capital management carried out in 2000. The results indicate that higher training can have a positive effect on firm performance through factors such as employee satisfaction and customer loyalty. Overall, it is found that higher levels of training are associated with significant benefits which can increase firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-552 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100297 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100297&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:549-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. J. G. Gisbert Author-X-Name-First: F. J. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gisbert Title: Further convergence accounting Abstract: This article extends the convergence accounting framework established by Serrano and proposes a simple way to statistically test for the significance of different factors of production affecting labour productivity convergence. The result comes from expressing the log of labour productivity as a sum of different factors in a Cobb-Douglas production function. The end result is that a similar accounting exercise to that in Serrano can be done using the different factors driving convergence. Its application to OECD countries over the period 1965-1990 illustrates the approach and shows that, in agreement with most of the literature, total factor productivity is the factor that has contributed most to labour convergence and that physical investment in non-residential capital is the second most important one. Human capital accumulation, on the other hand, has had little effect throughout the period, but has taken on an increasing importance in recent years. However, from the point of view of the convergence of each factor considered individually, all factors have converged, human capital having done so the most quickly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100233 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100233&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: B. El Murr Author-X-Name-First: B. El Author-X-Name-Last: Murr Title: A model of glutting: human capital and labour markets in the long-run Abstract: For over a century and a half, there have been cyclical phases of saturation and shortage in the numbers of students enrolled at German and Prussian universities. Starting from this observations, this article constructs a neoclassical glutting theory. A twofold hypothesis is put forward. First, the behaviour of students in their choice of curriculum depends on the expected rewards. Indeed, the allocation of students to the various faculties depends on the comparative yields of the latter in terms of expected earnings and job availability in the corresponding professional sectors. Thus, the rewards expected by a student are represented by the earnings on the labour market at a given moment and that he or she considers to be sustainable in time. Second, an attraction phenomenon may appear for certain curricula when a shortage occurs in different professional sectors. Once the shortage has been made up, the demand effect continues as a result of delay in the perception of the situation by young people. This may gradually lead to comparative over-production of qualified university leavers. This unbalanced situation diverts new cohorts of students to other sectors of education and may cause a new shortage, finally resulting in a cyclical movement modulated according to job availability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-560 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100251 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100251&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:557-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Apergis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: A. Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Housing prices and macroeconomic factors in Greece: prospects within the EMU Abstract: This article analyses the dynamic effects of specific macroeconomic variables, for example housing loan rates, inflation, employment and money supply, on the price of new houses sold in Greece. An error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) model is used in modelling the impact of the above macroeconomic variables on housing price. The results obtained through impulse response functions suggest that housing prices respond to all macroeconomic variables under consideration. Variance decompositions show that the housing loan rate is the variable with the highest explanatory power over the variation of housing price, followed by inflation and employment, while money supply does not seem to show any substantial impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-565 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:561-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. -W. Hung Author-X-Name-First: M. -W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: C. -F. Lee Author-X-Name-First: C. -F. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: L. -C. So Author-X-Name-First: L. -C. Author-X-Name-Last: So Title: Impact of foreign-listed single stock futures on the domestic underlying stock markets Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate whether foreign-listed single stock futures (SSFs) would have any impact on their domestic underlying stock markets. GARCH (1,1) and GJR-GARCH (1,1) are used to analyse the data from the London International Financial Future and Options Exchange (LIFFE) in this research. Results show that the introduction of the foreign listed SSF contracts seems to have more explanatory power with respect to the higher volatility of their domestic spot markets than the announcement of the SSF contracts. Also, for two of the nine securities, the daily activity shocks of the foreign-listed SSFs are responsible for the higher conditional volatility of their home underlying stocks, while the activity that is forecastable but highly variable across days diminishes the conditional volatility of the underlying stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-574 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100206 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100206&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:567-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Sussmuth Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Sussmuth Title: Are procyclical lumpiness and asymmetry in capital adjustment dateless phenomena? the case of firms in German industrialization: 1880-1913 Abstract: Based on a descriptive, non-parametric methodology, this article examines lumpiness and investment episodes in the capital formation process of firms in German industrialization. The findings are, not as necessarily expected, remarkably concordant with recent findings for contemporary plant-level data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-579 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100224 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100224&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:575-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Managi Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Title: Luenberger and Malmquist productivity indices in Japan, 1955-1995 Abstract: The Luenberger productivity index can simultaneously contract inputs and expand outputs, and is dual to profit maximization. The index is a generalization of the Malmquist productivity index, which is commonly used in productivity studies. Both the Luenberger and Malmquist productivity indices are applied to the prefectural level data in Japan over 1955-1995. If profit maximization assumption is more appropriate than revenue maximization, Malmquist productivity index overestimates productivity changes, since it provides nearly twice growth rate compared to the rate given by the Luenberger productivity index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100170 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100170&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. J. Smyth Author-X-Name-First: D. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: S. W. Taylor Author-X-Name-First: S. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Presidential popularity: what matters most, macroeconomics or scandals? Abstract: What accounts for the widely divergent impact of political scandal on the Nixon and Clinton administrations? This article argues that the extent to which an administration suffers in the public's eye from a scandal depends on the economic conditions prevailing at the time. Using Gallup poll data, it estimates a quadratic social preference function for each administration and finds that the impact of Watergate on Nixon's decline in the polls has been over-emphasized and that the Lewinsky affair had no impact on Clinton's popularity. The role of the economy contributed more to political success or failure in both cases than did scandal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-588 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000100189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000100189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:585-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Loizides Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loizides Author-Name: George Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: Do interest rates predict real economic activity? Abstract: This paper employs a structural VAR procedure to test some fundamental propositions of the business cycle using a developing economy framework. The focus of the paper is on KBC, MBC and RBC theories as well as on the alternative view, which has been propagated mainly by Sims. The empirical analysis intends to report extensive evidence on the dynamics between money, output, interest rates and prices. The results suggest that the effects of system shocks conform to the alternative view supporting the central role of interest rates. Interest rate shocks explain a majority of the variation in money, output and prices. The results are generally robust across different orderings, alternative interest rate measures and various sample periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-595 Issue: 9 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000090749 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000090749&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:9:p:589-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Prieger Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Prieger Title: Bootstrapping the conditional moment test for parametric duration models Abstract: The performance of auxiliary regression-based specification tests for parametric duration models estimated with censored data is evaluated. The test using asymptotic critical values has poor size. Bootstrapping corrects the size problem but results in a biased power curve. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-600 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:597-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. H. Medoff Author-X-Name-First: M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Medoff Title: Article placement and market signalling Abstract: Does article placement by journal editors influence the number of citations an article receives? Articles that appeared in eight top economics journals in 1990 were examined. Holding constant author quality, article length, journal quality and subject area, the empirical results show that the article placement position in a journal issue has a statistically insignificant effect on the number of citations an article receives. The impact of favourable article placement on citations is initially positive, but diminishes over time. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that journal editors use favourable article placement as non-monetary compensation to authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-604 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000125218 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000125218&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:601-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. C. Kwan Author-X-Name-First: A. C. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Title: Sample partial autocorrelations and portmanteau tests for randomness Abstract: This article proposes a new portmanteau test based on sample partial autocorrelations. The test statistic is asymptotically χ2 under the null hypothesis of randomness. Simulation results indicate that the proposed test, which utilizes Anderson's mean and variance formulae of sample partial autocorrelations, outperforms the Ljung-Box test in terms of controlling test size and minimizing dispersion bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-609 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000125245 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000125245&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:605-609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: A sensitivity analysis of threshold determination for asymmetric error correction models Abstract: The properties of the Granger-Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, S145-59, 1989) asymmetric error correction model under consistent-threshold estimation are considered, with the relationship between the threshold range and rejection of the symmetry hypothesis examined. The results of Monte Carlo experimentation show rejection of symmetry to depend positively upon the size of the threshold range employed. However, even if consistent-threshold estimation is employed with a relatively small threshold range, the resulting test exhibits a substantial increase in power relative to the use of the Granger-Lee test is its original form using an imposed deterministic threshold. This increase in power and its dependence upon the size of the threshold range are further illustrated by application to the data of the seminal study of Granger and Lee. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-616 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:611-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Acharya Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: M. Daly Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Title: Tariffs in the 'Quad': some unfinished business for WTO negotiations Abstract: Despite low average rates, the tariff remains an important instrument of trade policy in the 'Quad'. This article presents some summary tariff indicators, highlighting the main features of these tariffs that warrant attention in the current round multilateral trade negotiations at the WTO. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-622 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000154559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000154559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:617-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Desli Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Desli Author-Name: Subhash Ray Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Author-Name: Subal Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: A dynamic stochastic frontier production model with time-varying efficiency Abstract: In this paper technical efficiency is introduced via the intercept that evolve over time as a AR(1) process in a stochastic frontier (SF) framework in a panel data framework. Following are the distinguishing features of the model. First, the model is dynamic in nature. Second, it can separate technical inefficiency from fixed firm-specific effects which are not part of inefficiency. Third, the model allows estimation of technical change separate from change in technical efficiency. It is proposed that the ML method be used estimate the parameters of the model. Finally, expressions are derived to calculate/predict technical inefficiency (efficiency). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: The time series behaviour of Brazilian inflation rate: new evidence from unit root tests with good size and power Abstract: Various unit roots tests are suggested over the years. However, many of them suffer severe size problems as well as low power. Recently, Ng and Perron (Econometrica, 69, 1519-1554, 2001) propose new modelling strategy that yields good power and reliable size. This letter applies their testing method to the Brazilian inflation rate, which is contaminated by various government interventions to bring hyperinflation under control and for which standard unit root tests produce unintuitive results. The new method is found to yield reliable results for the current data and a possible explanation is also provided for its performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-631 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:627-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Aissa Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Title: Structural breaks in the US inflation process Abstract: The empirical evidence of the instability based on some selection procedures is explored. The focus is on the problem of choosing the number of structural breaks and their locations for the US inflation series. The obtained results give reason for thinking that they are very significant since they coincide with important facts and economic events. They show in particular that the evolution curve of inflation in the USA was flattened during the last 20 years since it is noted that this reduction in extent of inflation is stable and durable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: On the power of the multivariate KPSS test of stationarity against fractionally integrated alternatives Abstract: It shown that the multivariate version of KPSS test of Nyblom and Harvey (Econometric Theory, 16, 176-199, 2000) is consistent for the null of I(0) against the I(d) alternative. Simulation evidence is given to show the gain in power that is obtained from the multivariate approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-641 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133336 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133336&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:637-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Author-Name: Burak Saltoglu Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Saltoglu Title: An empirical comparison of interest rates using an interest rate model and nonparametric methods Abstract: A continuous time interest rate model is estimated using Gaussian estimation methods of Nowman (Journal of Finance, 52, 1695-706, 1997; Asia Pacific Financial Markets, 8, 23-34, 2001) and compare forecasts of interest rates with nonparametric methods on a range of currencies. Generally it is found that the continuous time model and local linear regression perform the best. The results give further evidence to the empirical results in Saltoglu (Applied Financial Economics, 13, 169-176, 2003). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-645 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133318 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133318&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:643-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Montagnoli Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Montagnoli Author-Name: O. Napolitano Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Napolitano Title: Dynamics of inflation in Turkey during the 1990s Abstract: This article assesses the credibility of disinflation programmes in Turkey during the nineties, where several programmes of reform took place. The empirical results show that there was a sharp loss of credibility at the end of the 1991 and at the beginning of the 1994 and during the Asian crisis. The programme that the Central Bank implemented after the crisis was able to increase the level of credibility of the CBRT policies. Loss of credibility is registered during the end of the 1995, while various political events took place and during the 1997 following the world economic conditions and the outflow of capitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-650 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000125209 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000125209&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:647-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco de Castro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: de Castro Title: Non-Keynesian effects of public expenditure in Spain Abstract: Evidence is provided of non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy in Spain within a VAR framework. Shocks to government expenditure expand activity, although moderately, in the short term, with output multipliers slightly above one. In the medium term, however, the response of output becomes significantly negative. The two main explanations proposed in the literature seem to apply here, namely higher real interest rates as a result of higher risk premia on the demand side and higher equilibrium wage reducing entrepreneurial profits and investment accordingly on the supply side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-655 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136397 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136397&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:651-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gonzalo Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Title: The effect of a constant or a declining discount rate on optimal investment timing Abstract: This paper shows that exponential discounting may have an advancing effect on the timing of investment, not captured by sensitivity analysis carried out for the complete range of instantaneous discount rates implicit in declining discounting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-659 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129106 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129106&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:657-659 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phu Nguyen Van Author-X-Name-First: Phu Nguyen Author-X-Name-Last: Van Title: A semiparametric analysis of determinants of a protected area Abstract: A semiparametric additive model is used to study the relationship between protected area, income, trade, population, education, and political institutions in a sample of 89 countries. The results show the nonexistence of an environmental Kuznets curve in the data sample. The study also points out the existence of nonlinearity in the relationship between protected area and the ratio of net secondary school enrolment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-665 Issue: 10 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:10:p:661-665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiko Tsukuda Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Tsukuda Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: An alternative method for predicting technical inefficiency in stochastic frontier models Abstract: The median is proposed as an alternative to the expectation of the conditional distribution in order to predict the technical inefficiency in stochastic frontier production models with panel data. Numerical comparison reveals that the two predictors can take different values when the distribution is skewed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-670 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136388 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136388&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:667-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Shocks to macroeconomic state variables and the risk premium of REITs Abstract: Following the work of Chen, Roll, and Ross (Journal of Business, 59, 383-403, 1986), there has been considerable work examining the influence of macroeconomic state variables on the excess returns of REITs. While most of the previous research has focused on the examination of equity REITs, this paper examines the three broad classification of REITs: equity, mortgage, and hybrid. This exploratory study identifies the response of REIT excess returns to unexpected changes in the broader stock market, real output growth, inflation, term structure of interest rates, default risk, and the federal funds rate using the generalized impulse response analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-677 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133345 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133345&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:671-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Does information technology contribute to economic growth in developing countries? a cross-country analysis Abstract: This paper explores the impacts of information technology (IT) investment on economic growth using a cross-country analysis based on data from 56 developing countries for the years 1970-1998. The results show that IT investment significantly contributes to economic growth in the developing world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-682 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:679-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Mark Rogers Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Author-Name: Anthony Siouclis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Siouclis Title: Modelling firm innovation using panel probit estimators Abstract: Firm-level innovation is investigated using three probit panel estimators, which control for unobserved heterogeneity, and a standard probit estimator. Results indicate the standard probit model is misspecified and that inter-firm networks are important for innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Testing Lazear's jack-of-all-trades view of entrepreneurship with German micro data Abstract: This article tests the theory recently put forward by Edward Lazear that individuals with competence in many skills should have a higher probability of being self-employed than others. The empirical results for Germany support this jack-of-all-trades view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-689 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133273 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133273&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:687-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Author-Name: A. A. Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Gender differences in job satisfaction in Great Britain, 1991-2000: permanent or transitory? Abstract: This article analyses job-satisfaction differences between men and women in Great Britain for the years 1991-2000 using data from the first 10 waves of the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS). The results show that women's job satisfaction has declined substantially in the past decade, whereas men's job satisfaction has remained fairly constant. The positive job-satisfaction differential in women's favour has been halved in the past decade, implying that this paradoxical situation is most likely transitory. This result supports Clark's expectations interpretation of the gender differences in job satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 691-694 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133264 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133264&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:691-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tarzwell Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tarzwell Title: The impact of diverse preferences on government expenditures Abstract: This article analyses the importance of cultural diversity on Canadian government growth. The argument for analysing culture centres on: the belief that agreement on provision levels of government goods and services will be difficult when citizens are different from one another; the belief that individuals would rather see transfers directed to people who are like themselves; and, the importance of maintaining cultural diversity as a societal goal. This article finds that mother tongue diversity is relevant in determining government expenditure levels in Canada while religious diversity is not. These findings represent a unique approach to the determination of government expenditure in Canada and point out consequences for immigration policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138953 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138953&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Smyth Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: M. Nandha Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nandha Title: Bivariate causality between exchange rates and stock prices in South Asia Abstract: This article examines the relationship between exchange rates and stock prices in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka using daily data over a six-year period from 1995 to 2001. Both the Engle-Granger two-step and Johansen cointegration methods suggest that there is no long-run equilibrium relationship between these two financial variables in any of the four countries. Granger causality tests find that there is uni-directional causality running from exchange rates to stock prices in India and Sri Lanka, but in Bangladesh and Pakistan exchange rates and stock prices are independent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-704 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133282 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133282&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:699-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Author-Name: F. G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: F. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Merger activity and unemployment in the USA Abstract: This article presents estimates of the effect of merger activity on the unemployment rate in the US economy using time-series data from 1895 to 1992. Utilizing the methodology suggested by Wickens and Breusch (Economic Journal, Supplement, 189-205, 1988), both the short-run and long-run impacts are estimated. The estimated results suggest that merger activity had a significant negative effect on the unemployment rate in the long run. Even in the short run, merger activity, at the margin, has helped to reduce the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136342 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136342&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:705-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: San-Lin Chung Author-X-Name-First: San-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Mark Shackleton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Shackleton Title: The simplest American and Real Option approximations: Geske-Johnson interpolation in maturity and yield Abstract: The American early exercise feature of the Real Option to invest in a new project is important in capital budgeting and project valuation. Closed form solutions for American, and therefore Real, Options are known for two special cases; an infinite horizon generates the Merton (Bell Journal of Economics, 4, 141-83, 1973) solution while a zero dividend yield on the project generates Black-Scholes (Journal of Political Economy, 81, 637-59, 1973) prices since early exercise is never optimal. Geske-Johnson (Journal of Finance, 39, 1511-24, 1984) approximation is extended to a bivariate case by assuming various forms of separability for option prices as a function of time to maturity and yield to produce fully explicit and asymptotically correct approximations. These methods are compared with another simple approximation method due to Barone-Adesi and Whaley (Journal of Finance, 42, 301-20, 1987) and MacMillan (Advances in Futures Options and Research, 2, 117-42, 1987) and the estimated error these expressions contain compared to an accurate numerical benchmark technique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-716 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:709-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raja Kali Author-X-Name-First: Raja Author-X-Name-Last: Kali Title: The city as a giant component: a random graph approach to Zipf's law Abstract: The emergence of a 'city' out of a set of locations in space can be considered akin to the evolution of a random graph. Interaction between individuals who are connected to each other is at the source of the benefits associated with a city. If the interaction probability rises, a threshold is eventually crossed at which point most of the graph becomes connected, giving rise to a grand component. It is at this point that a viable 'city' emerges. This view suggests an interpretation of Zipf's law, which we test using US Census data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-720 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000139006 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000139006&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:717-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. K. Narayan Author-X-Name-First: P. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Macroeconomic impact of natural disasters on a small island economy: evidence from a CGE model Abstract: Natural disasters are common in the Pacific Island countries. Fiji has been affected by many of these disasters. The most recent cyclone exerted substantial damage to infrastructure, agricultural and industrial activity in Fiji. The aim of this article is to incorporate these damages into Fiji's computable general equilibrium model and examine the short-run macroeconomic impact. Among the key results, it is found that cyclones negatively impact private income, consumption, savings, real GDP and real national welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-723 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133372 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133372&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:721-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt Brannas Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Brannas Author-Name: Niklas Nordman Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Nordman Title: Conditional skewness modelling for stock returns Abstract: Two approaches to modelling conditional skewness in a nonlinear model for stock returns are studied. It is found that a normal distribution can be rejected. A log-generalized gamma distribution with one time-varying density parameter, and a Pearson IV specification with three parameters are better supported by data. While the log-generalized gamma indicates that time-varying skewness is an important feature of the daily composite returns of NYSE, the Pearson IV model suggests that excess kurtosis rather than skewness should be accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000139015 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000139015&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. H. Smith Author-X-Name-First: F. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Historical evidence on the monocentric urban model: a case study of Cleveland, 1915-1980 Abstract: Much of the empirical work in urban economics focuses on Chicago because of the land value data gathered by Hoyt and Olcott. This article presents new land value data for Cleveland, Ohio and I uses it to show that while the urban form of Cleveland evolved much as Chicago's did, the timing of the changes was quite different. These results suggest that urban economists must be careful about inferring too much about the evolution of urban form from the work that has been done on Chicago. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-731 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133363 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133363&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:729-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Author-Name: P. Smith Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Use of ratios in data envelopment analysis Abstract: It is often necessary to use ratios rather than absolute numbers as inputs and outputs in data envelopment analysis. This may be necessary in order to reflect accurately the underlying production function, or because of the nature of the data available. This note explains why the Banker, Charnes and Cooper formulation of DEA must be used when a ratio model is deployed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-735 Issue: 11 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133381 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133381&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:11:p:733-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. R. Bhatia Author-X-Name-First: M. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatia Author-Name: J. A. Fox-Rushby Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fox-Rushby Title: Validity of Willingness to Pay: hypothetical versus actual payment Abstract: Questions concerning the criterion validity of contingent valuation studies have been raised for years. However, the few examples that exist concentrate on willingness to pay (WTP) for goods like chocolate bars, where a market exists. This article examines the criterion validity of WTP for treated mosquito nets (TMNs) in Gujarat, India. Three hundred households, in 20 villages, were interviewed twice within one month. The first interview ascertained maximum hypothetical WTP for one TMN using a bidding format with an open-ended final question, along with questions about the socio-economic and health factors that were likely to influence demand. The second interview reminded the respondents about TMNs and asked whether they would be willing to buy one for Rs75 (the modal value). If so, they were invited to buy as many TMNs as desired for their household. Analysis is based on a 2 × 2 contingency table with estimates of the sensitivity and specificity of the hypothetical WTP. At an aggregate level, there is no discrepancy between hypothetical and observed WTP, although there was considerable variation amongst individuals. Sensitivity was 62% and specificity 67%. It is concluded that these WTP estimates are robust at the population level but less so at the individual level. Further research is required to examine the determinants of change in household behaviour between hypothetical and actual WTP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-740 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129575 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129575&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:737-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. B. Cadsby Author-X-Name-First: C. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Cadsby Author-Name: V. Torbey Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Torbey Title: Time-of-month anomaly: reality or mirage? Abstract: This article asks two questions concerning the robustness of Kohers and Patel's (1999) time-of-month pattern. First, does it appear in other countries, or is it unique to US markets? Second, is it independent of the well-known turn-of-the-month anomaly, or merely a reflection of it? It finds that the time-of-month pattern is largely a mirage in the post-1980 period. For the USA, it disappears when turn-of-month days are removed from the sample. For three out of nine other countries in the sample, some elements of the time-of-month pattern remain once turn-of-month days are removed. However, two other countries exhibit significant effects in the opposite direction. Overall, these patterns do not add up to a consistent and robust international anomaly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Gelan Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Author-Name: G. N. Price Author-X-Name-First: G. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: African economies and the Kuznets curve: an exploratory investigation Abstract: This article examines the relationship between income inequality and economic development in a cross-section of countries. It estimates, on a small exploratory sample, an explicit Kuznets-type inequality relationship where inequality between skilled and unskilled labour is a function of the determinants of growth implied by a standard neoclassical growth model. Parameter estimates suggest that sub-Saharan African Economies are dualistic and are situated on the segment of the Kuznets' curve where inequality increases with respect to development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000133255 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000133255&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Maguire Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Maguire Author-Name: Laura Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Shiferaw Gurmu Author-X-Name-First: Shiferaw Author-X-Name-Last: Gurmu Title: Do students behave like adults? Evidence from valuation experiments Abstract: The use of convenience samples in experimental economics has long been the standard practice. However, little evidence exists regarding behavioural differences between students and adults in contingent valuation experiments using a payment mechanism other than a referendum vote. Evidence is provided that students do in fact behave in a manner similar to adults using an open-ended willingness to pay payment question. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-756 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138395 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138395&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:753-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: A robust approach to dealing with zero expenditures on mobile communications Abstract: Conventional parametric approach to dealing with zero expenditures is not robust to heteroscedastic and/or non-normal error structure. This paper applies symmetrically censored least squares estimation as a robust approach to dealing with zero expenditures on mobile communications in Seoul, Korea. The result of specification test indicates the robust approach outperforms the parametric approach significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-760 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:757-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Empirical evidence on the robustness of the weighted symmetric unit root test Abstract: Recent research has shown the Dickey-Fuller (Econometrica, 49, pp. 1057-72, 1979) test to suffer severe size distortion in the presence of structural breaks under the unit root null hypothesis. In contrast, further theoretical results have suggested the weighted symmetric Dickey-Fuller test to be robust to such breaks. In this study, the empirical results of the seminal study of Leybourne et al. (Journal of Econometrics, 87, pp. 191-203, 1998) are revisited to provide an empirical illustration of the robustness of the weighted symmetric Dickey-Fuller test to structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-763 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000082009 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000082009&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:761-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Nikitas Pittis Author-X-Name-First: Nikitas Author-X-Name-Last: Pittis Author-Name: Nicola Spagnolo Author-X-Name-First: Nicola Author-X-Name-Last: Spagnolo Title: IGARCH models and structural breaks Abstract: Using Monte Carlo simulations, it is shown that fitting a mis-specified GARCH model to a true MS-GARCH process tends to produce IGARCH parameter estimates. In other words, the presence of structural breaks can result in spuriously high estimates of the degree of persistence of shocks to the conditional variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Khadaroo Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Khadaroo Title: A smooth transition regression equation of the demand for UK M0 Abstract: The econometric analysis of UK M0 has, so far, been confined to linear models. Using quarterly data over the period 1970:4-1997:2 in a single-equation money demand system, this article shows that a linear error-correction equation of the demand for UK M0 contains significant non-linearity and parameter non-constancy of smooth transition regression (STR) type. A constant-parameter exponential STR (ESTR) equation is then estimated, suggesting that interest rate changes have been an important factor in explaining fluctuations in the demand for UK M0. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000136351 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000136351&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Matallin-Saez Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin-Saez Title: Asymmetric relation in omitted benchmarks and market timing in mutual funds Abstract: Within portfolio management evaluation the aim of this study is to show the effect of omitting benchmarks with asymmetric correlation when measuring market timing ability. The results show the extent of this effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126695 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126695&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Emrouznejad Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Emrouznejad Title: An alternative DEA measure: a case of OECD countries Abstract: Analysis of the production efficiency of industrialized countries, questioning whether certain countries perform better than others in producing more output with the same or less inputs, is an example of the importance of estimating production relationships. In order to estimate efficiency one needs an appropriate model for the two major inputs into production activity, namely labour and capital. A physical asset once installed is capable of contributing several years of output. This implies that investments made in previous years must be taken into account in order to produce a measure of the efficiency and productivity for any given year. The purpose of this article is to introduce a dynamic efficiency model and compare the results with previous work on the analysis of efficiency and productivity of OECD countries. The article proposes that dynamic models capture efficiency better than static models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-782 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:779-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. K. Ashton Author-X-Name-First: J. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Author-Name: B. Gerrard Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerrard Author-Name: R. Hudson Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: Economic impact of national sporting success: evidence from the London stock exchange Abstract: In this article strong association is reported between the performance of the England football team and subsequent daily changes in the FTSE 100 index, representing the price of shares in the 100 largest companies traded on the London stock exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 783-785 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:783-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Fjell Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Fjell Title: Elasticity based pricing rules: a cautionary note Abstract: The inverse elasticity rule is all too often described in a way that implies a myopic application, sometimes with a numerical example with input values for price elasticity of demand and marginal cost thus determining profit maximizing price. Conversely, the rule's shortcomings are not given deserved attention. This is unfortunate, as the rule may be adopted at face value, which will lead to erroneous pricing. If marginal cost and price elasticity depend on price, as is usually the case, a myopic application of the rule will, in most cases, lead to a bypassing of optimal price; if the initial price were too low, then the prescribed price would be too high, and vice versa. Continued myopic use may even lead to divergence from the profit maximizing price. Only if both price elasticity of demand and marginal cost are constant, which is rarely the case, will the rule return the optimal price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-791 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126749 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126749&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:787-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Di Author-X-Name-Last: Pietro Author-Name: Peter Urwin Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Urwin Title: Intergenerational mobility and occupational status in Italy Abstract: This study examines the intergenerational transmission of socio-economic status, using data from the 2000 wave of the Bank of Italy's Survey on Household Income and Wealth: specifically, analysing the relationship between the occupational status of parents and their children. Reducing the extent to which an individual's economic or social success is shaped by the economic or social position of their parents has been on the agenda of the Italian government for a long time and is at the root of the Italian centralized and egalitarian system of education. However, our empirical results suggest that the achievements of children continue to be highly dependent on the social status of their parents, especially their fathers. Whilst Italy's egalitarian education system may have removed some of the inequities in human capital accumulation arising from capital market imperfections, it would seem that additional measures are required to further facilitate intergenerational social mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-797 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000081965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000081965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:793-797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Apergis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: A. Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Housing prices and macroeconomic factors in Greece: prospects within the EMU Abstract: This study analyses the dynamic effects of specific macroeconomic variables, i.e. housing loan rates, inflation, employment, and money supply, on the price of new houses sold in Greece. An error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) model is used in modelling the impact of the above macroeconomic variables on housing price. The results obtained through impulse response functions suggest that housing prices respond to all macroeconomic variables under consideration. Variance decompositions show that the housing loan rate is the variable with the highest explanatory power over the variation of housing price, followed by inflation and employment, while money supply does not seem to show any substantial impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-804 Issue: 12 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000126758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000126758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:12:p:799-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Youth smoking prevalence in developing countries: effect of advertising bans Abstract: This paper examines the effect of tobacco advertising bans on youth smoking prevalence in developing countries. Despite little direct empirical analysis of this issue, public health professionals frequently propose advertising bans as a first step in dealing with youth smoking. Using a Bayesian learning model, the paper first develops a plausible mechanism for an effect of advertising bans on youth smoking. Advertising is hypothesized to alter youth perceptions of the ubiquity of smoking and the risks associated with this behavior. Using survey-based data, a cross-country linear probability model of youth smoking prevalence is estimated, including gender results, pooled results, and results by frequency of smoking (30-day, ever-smoked). Explanatory variables are included for income, demographics, advertising bans, and several other important policy variables (health warnings, prohibition of sales to minors, school classes, antismoking messages, access in retail stores). The empirical results indicate that advertising bans have no effect on youth smoking prevalence in developing countries. This result holds for complete bans as well as partial bans. Some of the results suggest that school classes and other education efforts would be effective as a means to alter or affect youth perceptions of the risks associated with smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-811 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:805-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: R. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: M. A. Nelson Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Use or abuse of highway tax revenues? An economic analysis of highway spending Abstract: This article develops a theoretical model and employs recent state-level data on highway finance to assess the consequences of using highway levies for non-highway purposes. It examines whether states that divert some of their highway-related levies to fund general government services spend systematically less on highway services than jurisdictions that do not; the 'displacement effect' of revenue diversion. The results show that states that use highway related levies to fund general government services do systematically spend less on highways than states that do not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-819 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000129566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000129566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:813-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. A. Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: A. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: D. M. Lee Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Aspects of land use in slash and burn agriculture Abstract: This article first constructs a theoretical model of land use by swidden cultivators when these cultivators can choose whether to grow a cash crop or a food/subsistence crop. Second, it studies the land quality accumulation decision faced by shifting cultivators and, in the process, it shows how to compute the optimal length of time during which cleared land is to be left fallow. Finally, it investigates the implications that the optimal land quality accumulation decision has for the relative price of the food crop in particular and slash and burn agriculture in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-824 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:821-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: G. Gupta Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: O. Johansson-Stenman Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson-Stenman Title: Choosing from behind a veil of ignorance in India Abstract: Social inequality aversion is measured through a veil-of-ignorance experiment with Indian students. The median relative risk aversion is found to be quite high, about 3, and independent caste. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 825-827 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:825-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Yuhong Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Yuhong Author-Name: G. Johnes Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Influence of expected wages on occupational choice: new evidence from Inner Mongolia Abstract: Occupational choice is modelled as a function of expected wages in each of a number of occupational regimes, using data from a region of Inner Mongolia whose economy is relatively undeveloped and which remains heavily dominated by state activity. The results share much in common with similar studies conducted using data for developed Western economies, but in contrast to the latter there is evidence of labour market segmentation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-832 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000137477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000137477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:829-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Financial development and growth in economies in transition Abstract: The hypothesis that financial development promotes economic growth is largely supported by empirical studies. This hypothesis is tested for 13 Central and East European Countries (CEECs) during transition using panel data. Results show that financial development, as measured by liquid liabilities as a proportion of gross domestic product, has an insignificant effect on economic growth: economic growth in CEECs is not constrained by underdeveloped financial sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-836 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000154243 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000154243&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:833-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. -P. Chung Author-X-Name-First: T. -P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Returns to education: updates for Malaysia Abstract: This article provides updated returns to education estimates for Malaysia. Current returns as presented in international updates are 32.6 and 34.5 for the secondary and higher education levels. New estimates were obtained using data from the Malaysian Household Income Survey 1997, a nationally represented survey. The findings show that returns to education remain high and positive, in particular, the returns to the higher educational level, encompassing the pre-university qualification and higher education qualifications. Results also display marginal gross returns of 14.1 for those completing the upper secondary education level and 16.4 for those completing the higher education level for the overall sample. By gender, the marginal gross returns for males are 12.0 at the upper secondary level and 18.1 at the higher education level and for females, 15.7 and 16.4 respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-841 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000138926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000138926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:837-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Pirotte Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pirotte Title: Convergence of the static estimation toward the long-run effects of dynamic panel data models: a labour demand illustration Abstract: This article focuses on the estimation of long-run effects on panel data. Pirotte showed that the probability limit of the between estimator of a static relation - whereas the true specification is a dynamic error components model - converges to the long-run effects. This article illustrates this theoretical result by an empirical study to labour demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-847 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000137486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000137486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:843-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Cook Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: C. Thomas Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: An alternative approach to examining the ripple effect in UK house prices Abstract: This article examines the possibility of a ripple effect being present in the UK housing market using a previously unconsidered two-stage procedure. According to Drake, the ripple effect hypothesises that changes in house prices occurs earlier and more extensively in the South East of England than in other regions of the UK. Via application of non-parametric testing and business cycle dating techniques, evidence in favour of a ripple effect is derived. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-851 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000143119 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000143119&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:849-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Konishi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Konishi Author-Name: Y. Yasuda Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Yasuda Title: Evidence on a cause of Japan's prolonged banking crisis Abstract: This article shows that during the 1990s bank relationships tightened liquidity constraints when firms had good prospects, and relaxed the constraints when firms had poor prospects. These results suggest that both under- and over-investment problems were more prevalent for firms that had close ties to banks, providing an additional reason for the delay in solving the bad loan problem in Japan. Furthermore, the results cast doubt on the conventional view that main banks are efficient at restructuring financially distressed firms, at least during the 1990s when bank health was severely damaged by the bad loans problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-855 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:853-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Hedonic prices for crude oil Abstract: This article presents a hedonic analysis of crude oil, the price and quality of which varies considerably from one stream to another. Different from common hedonic applications in the literature, the estimated implicit prices for the physical characteristics of crude oil have a clear interpretation: it reflects the market's valuation, but not the production cost of the characteristics, for crude oil characteristics are determined by nature. Crude oil hedonic price equations are found to be non-linear in the major physical characteristics, indicating that a refiner's valuation of crude quality depends on its refining technology. The estimation results yield insights into the current pricing system of the world crude oil market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000148231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000148231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hang Keun Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Hang Keun Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Choice of representation system for economic analysis Abstract: Many well-known economic assumptions and desired restrictions can be readily established with the proper choice of a coordinate representation system. For example, the homotheticity assumption can be readily established with the polar coordinate system, the concavity restriction with the Muntz-Sartz series, the convexity restriction with the polynomial series, the orthogonality of regression functions with the orthonormal bases expansion, and the covariance stationary process with the Fourier series expansion. To describe a backward-bending curve, the radial regression can be defined and utilized. Thus, many economic assumptions and desired properties have their own corresponding coordinate representation systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-866 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000160417 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000160417&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:863-866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stanislav Anatolyev Author-X-Name-First: Stanislav Author-X-Name-Last: Anatolyev Author-Name: Sergey Korepanov Author-X-Name-First: Sergey Author-X-Name-Last: Korepanov Title: The term structure of Russian interest rates Abstract: Using the series of Moscow Interbank Offer Rates, this paper estimates a flexible parametrization of the diffusion process following the approach of Ait-Sahalia (1996) of matching parametric and nonparametric estimates of the marginal density. On the basis of the estimated model, the implied term structure using simulations is computed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 867-870 Issue: 13 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:13:p:867-870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: Abbas Grammy Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Grammy Title: An assessment of the growth and inequality causality relationship Abstract: Applying multivariate cointegration analysis to US data, we find growth unidirectionally and significantly Granger causes inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-873 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850310001635249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850310001635249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:871-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: High-breakdown point estimation of some regression models Abstract: Common econometric estimators such as least squares, least absolute deviations (LAD), instrumental variables, maximum likelihood, and semiparametric estimators are non-robust against data contamination. Despite the known superiority of high-breakdown point (HBP) estimators in such situations, the HBP estimators have rarely been used in economics. This article presents some applications of an HBP estimator called the S-estimator (Rousseeuw and Yohai, Robust and Nonlinear Time Series Analysis (Eds) W.H. Franke and R.D. Martin, Springer-Verlag, NY, pp. 256-72, 1984) to the estimation of a linear regression model and compares the results with those obtained by ordinary least squares (OLS) and LAD methods. It is found that significance of variables as well as signs of coefficient estimates can be quite different under HBP estimation than under OLS and LAD estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-878 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000162820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000162820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:875-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Choosing a regulatory regime Abstract: Privately owned gas undertakings were subject to three different price regulation regimes during the inter-war years and were free to choose which regime applied to them. This paper investigates the determinants which caused undertakings to switch from one regime to another. Since the historical record gives us few clues about this, the plentiful statistical data is used in a probit analysis. The results suggest that larger, more efficient firms were more likely to switch regimes and that distribution costs were an important factor in the decision to switch. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-881 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:879-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Laboratory markets in counterfeit goods: Hong Kong versus Las Vegas Abstract: “Black markets” represent an extreme challenge to empirical researchers due to the almost insurmountable obstacle of obtaining high-quality data. The dearth of high-precision data precludes not only empirical analysis—including the quantification of various elasticities—but also the informed policy analysis that results from the integration of empirical results with government, market, and social institutions. We propose and conduct a controlled laboratory market in counterfeit goods on several groups of subjects in Hong Kong and Las Vegas. The data generated in the experiments are used to estimate a random-effects model of individual choice behavior. The main empirical findings are that subjects in Hong Kong are more likely to purchase the counterfeit good than are subjects in Las Vegas; the price and penalty elasticities are substantially larger (in absolute value) in Las Vegas than in Hong Kong; and that in both locations the price effects of legitimate and counterfeit goods are asymmetrical in the monetary price and expected penalty cost. An equal increase in the price of an authentic good and the expected penalty cost of a counterfeit good increases the probability that a consumer will purchase the authentic good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-887 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000155431 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000155431&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:883-887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: Robust European monetary policy rules Abstract: This note applies H∞ methods to an estimated hybrid monetary policy model and derives standard and robust optimal interest rate rules. We find that the 'robust' central banker responds more aggressively than it does without concerns for robustness and that the responses of the state variables in this case are not necessarily always stronger than the standard ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 889-894 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850310001635212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850310001635212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:889-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Maria Iregui Author-X-Name-First: Ana Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Iregui Author-Name: Jesus Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: On the dynamics of unemployment in a developing economy: Colombia Abstract: This paper estimates an asymmetric error correction model to analyse the dynamic behaviour of the Colombian unemployment rate. It is found that wages above their long-run equilibrium level do increase unemployment, but wages below this level do not reduce it. This finding provides evidence of the existence of hysteresis in the Colombian unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-898 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000162811 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000162811&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:895-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Desimone Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Desimone Author-Name: Sara Markowitz Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Markowitz Title: The effect of price on counselling sessions attended by depression patients Abstract: We estimate the price elasticity of counselling sessions attended by outpatient depression treatment recipients. Instrumental variable regression indicates a significant negative price elasticity ranging between -0.26 and -0.35 that is not apparent from ordinary least squares regression. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-903 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:899-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Cointegration analysis for Japanese import demand: revisited Abstract: Using Xu's (2002) import demand equation, the present study re-investigates the presence of a cointegrating relation of Japan's aggregate import demand. The sample period covers quarterly data from 1973 to 2000. The results of various cointegration techniques confirm that the volume of import, domestic real activity variable, and relative prices term are not cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164026 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164026&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. B. Connelly Author-X-Name-First: L. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Title: The paternity of the price-quality 'value map' Abstract: In the literature on firm strategy and product differentiation, consumer price-quality trade-offs are sometimes represented using consumer 'value maps'. These involve the geometric representation of indifferent price and quality combinations as points along curves that are concave to the 'quality' axis. In this paper, it is shown that the value map for price-quality tradeoffs may be derived from a Hicksian compensated demand curve for product quality. The paper provides the theoretical link between analytical methods employed in the existing literature on firm strategy and competitive advantage with the broader body of economic analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-912 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:909-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nesri-super-˙n Okay Author-X-Name-First: Nesri-super-˙n Author-X-Name-Last: Okay Author-Name: Uğur Akman Author-X-Name-First: Uğur Author-X-Name-Last: Akman Title: Index tracking with constraint aggregation Abstract: A generic index tracking (IT) problem is formulated and solved using a constraint aggregation (CA) technique for the first time. This technique makes the number of constraints independent of the cardinal of the universe of assets and enables the handling of large IT problems with one constraint only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-916 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:913-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ka-Fu Wong Author-X-Name-First: Ka-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Hai-Jun Wu Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Testing Fisher hypothesis in long horizons for G7 and eight Asian countries.1 Abstract: Using monthly data from G7 and eight Asian countries, support is found for the Fisher hypothesis, as well as a positive relation between long-horizon nominal stock returns and expected inflation but not between long-horizon nominal stock returns and contemporaneous inflation. These empirical results complement and strengthen those of Boudoukh and Richardson. 1 The MATLAB program and data to compute the results in this paper are available from http://kafuwong.econ.hku.hk/research/fisher/. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 917-923 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000158645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000158645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:917-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Uk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Economic growth and returns to scale for reproducible factors Abstract: A regression equation nesting a variant of Rebelo's (Journal of Political Economy, 99, 500-21, 1991) AK model with Solow's (1956) neoclassical model is developed. The null hypothesis implied by endogenous growth tests that individual countries face constant returns to the accumulation of reproducible capital and per capita incomes of these countries diverge against the alternative hypothesis implied by exogenous growth that individual countries face diminishing returns to the reproducible capital. These empirical results are more consistent with endogenous growth than exogenous growth when the regression model is examined with a large sample of countries including OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000159031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000159031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rakesh Bali Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Title: Seasonality in ex dividend day returns Abstract: It is documented that for both high- and low-yield stocks, ex day raw returns are systematically higher in January than for the other months of the year. Although such patterns are not predicted by any known tax-clienteles model, they are consistent with the price discreteness and spread models in the spirit of Bali and Hite (Journal of Financial Economics, 47, 127-59, 1998) and Bali (Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 190-210, 2003). For high-yield stocks in January, the returns are about one-fourth those for low-yield stocks, and for the remaining months they are significantly negative. The rents that arbitrageurs earn for supplying liquidity are higher for low-yield stocks and are significantly higher in January. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000159022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000159022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Jones Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Jo Danbolt Author-X-Name-First: Jo Author-X-Name-Last: Danbolt Title: R&D project announcements and the impact of ownership structure Abstract: This paper examines the stock market reaction to research and development (R&D) announcements made by listed UK companies. R&D projects on average are found to be associated with significant positive abnormal returns. However, the level of these abnormal returns varies significantly with the ownership structure of the firm. In particular, it is found that the level of abnormal returns are significantly lower for companies with large institutional investors. This negative relationship may be associated with short-term pressures on the performance of institutional investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-936 Issue: 14 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164017 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164017&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:14:p:933-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sirimon Treepongkaruna Author-X-Name-First: Sirimon Author-X-Name-Last: Treepongkaruna Title: Quasi-maximum likelihood estimates of Kiwi short-term interest rate Abstract: This paper examines various short-term interest rate models in New Zealand. We estimate ten stochastic models of short-term interest rates using Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimation. All models examined allow the conditional mean (drift) and conditional variance (diffusion) to be functions of the current short rate. We find no evidence of mean reversion but strong evidence of the need for the volatility of interest rate changes to be highly sensitive to the level of the Kiwi short rate. Specifically, we find the conditional volatility of the Kiwi short rate is monotonically increasing with a convex shape. We also find that the dependence of the conditional volatility of the Kiwi short rate on the level of the interest rate is significantly higher than is generally assumed by the traditional models. Finally, we find that the AS model outperforms all remaining nine models, the CKLS beats seven models, except for the CEV model, whereas the CEV beats the GBM, Dothan, and the CIR VR. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-942 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:937-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ambrose Leung Author-X-Name-First: Ambrose Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Delinquency, schooling, and work: time allocation decision of youth Abstract: This paper examines the possible factors that affect the time allocation decision of youth between delinquency, schooling, and work. Based on a joint-decision model, evidence from Montreal shows that influences from different social institutions such as family, church, school, peers, and the workplace are important determinants of how young people decide to spend their time on various activities. The findings provided here take into account the joint-decision nature of the problem and therefore provide more precise estimates than those of the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-949 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164369 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164369&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:943-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Million Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Million Title: The Fisher Effect revisited through an efficient non linear unit root testing procedure Abstract: As the Fisher Effect is either rejected or accepted without a real consensus in empirical studies, it is interesting to test for a unit root in a local-to-unity framework. Moreover, given the inflation expectation behaviour before and after 1979, we shall let a shift occur at a significant time break of our sample, so as to deal with potential non stationarity in the real interest rates series, instead of using Markov switching regimes models. The main innovation is to rely on structural breaks in the deterministic part while combining this method with an efficient unit root test. Empirical results reject a stochastic trend for the US short-term real interest rate from 1951 to 2000. This is consistent with an ex ante real rate constant over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: C. J. McDermott Author-X-Name-First: C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: McDermott Title: Testing for asymmetric price stickiness using NZ business opinion data: a bootstrap approach Abstract: The analysis of business opinion data price expectations data in NZ is re-evaluated. Biases induced by inaccurate measurement of population proportions are accounted for using simulations and bootstrapping. While substantial biases in the parameters are identified, prices are found to be relatively upwardly rigid before and after bias correction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-958 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:955-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Financial integration: some evidence from Australia Abstract: This paper seeks to examine the efficiency of the Australian foreign exchange market by using the methods of seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) and spectral analysis. Uncovered interest rate differentials for five countries, namely the U.S., U.K., Japan, Malaysia and Singapore, are examined with Australia as the 'home' country. The data covers the post-float period, 1984.1-2000.12. The empirical results indicate that the restrictions of the hypothesis of uncovered interest parity are rejected. The spectral densities for the interest rate differentials suggest the absence of systematic cyclical fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-966 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164396 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164396&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:959-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Galip Altinay Author-X-Name-First: Galip Author-X-Name-Last: Altinay Title: Estimating growth rate in the presence of serially correlated errors Abstract: The aim of this study is to address the difficulties frequently encountered in estimating average growth rates by a log-linear time trend in the presence of serially correlated errors. There are a few studies in the literature that provide some guidance on choosing the appropriate method depending on the degree of first order serial correlation. However, the higher order serial correlation case is generally ignored. This study proposes the Nelder-Mead simplex method as a general solution to estimating linear trend in the presence of serial correlation of any order. The proposed method and the conventional methods are applied to the real GDP per capita series of 27 OECD countries. Twelve series seem to be better modelled by a log-linear trend with AR(2) residuals, and five of them yield remarkably different growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-970 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165485 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165485&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:967-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece Abstract: This paper investigates whether the Greek data actually support the monetarist hypotheses as argued by Karfakis. The results based on both ARDL and Johansen procedures consistently suggest that money and nominal income (prices) are endogenous for the parameters of the long-run evolution of velocity (real money balances). Thus, the basic postulation of monetarism, the exogeneity of money, appears not to be supported by the Greek data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-974 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164044 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164044&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:971-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo Heon Park Author-X-Name-First: Joo Heon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: A test of the answering mechanisms of the double-bounded contingent valuation method Abstract: The double-bounded contingent valuation method (DBCVM) has long been criticized as an inappropriate estimation method because of respondents' inconsistent behavior during a course of DBCVM survey. Many experimental studies have reported that two subsequent answers are not made independently, but the second answer depends upon the first. There are many kinds of hypotheses, each of which contends a different pattern of dependence of the answers. In this study, it will be tested which hypothesis is more appropriate in explaining the dependence of the answers. For the test, the DBCVM under uncertainty is newly developed here in which some uncertainties associated with the CVM are recognized and the risk premium plays a criterion for respondents to answer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-984 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:975-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Jouini Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Author-Name: M. Boutahar Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Boutahar Title: Structural breaks in the U.S. inflation process: a further investigation Abstract: The selection procedure of Bai and Perron (Econometrica, 1998, 66, 47-78), based on a sequence of tests for multiple structural changes, is used to explore the empirical evidence of the instability by selecting the number of breaks and their locations for the post-war monthly U.S. inflation rate. The obtained results indicate that the U.S. inflation process is unstable after June 1982 as there is a break at the beginning of the 1990s. This conclusion contradicts that of Ben Aissa and Jouini (Applied Economics Letters, 2003, 10, 633-6), who show that using some information criteria, the evolution curve of U.S. inflation was flattened during the last 20 years, making the process stable. Hence this points to the fact that the procedure used is more powerful than the information criteria in detecting changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 985-988 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000164387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000164387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:985-988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Galrao Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Galrao Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Jorge Saba Arbache Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Saba Author-X-Name-Last: Arbache Title: Assessing the impacts of trade on poverty and inequality Abstract: This paper uses a computable general equilibrium model to simulate different trade liberalization policy scenarios and counterfactual microsimulations to assess the impacts of greater trade openness on household income distribution and poverty ratios. Our conclusion is that trade liberalization alone may not be sufficient to significantly reduce poverty and inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-994 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165421 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165421&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:989-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Gurtler Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Gurtler Author-Name: Matthias Krakel Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Krakel Title: Who is declared dead lives longer Abstract: We consider a contest between a small and a large team. On the one hand, the large team has the advantage of more people exerting effort (quantity effect). On the other hand, the large team suffers from more free riding (free-riding effect). The results show that - depending on the convexity of the cost function - the small team will have a higher probability of winning the contest, if the free-rider effect dominates the quantity effect. Moreover, even if the large team has a higher winning probability, an individual player prefers to belong to the small team. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-997 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165430 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165430&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:995-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaesun Noh Author-X-Name-First: Jaesun Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Behaviour of cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks in variance Abstract: In this paper, we show that spurious cointegration can occur when there are breaks in the variances of the innovation errors of time series, especially when the breaks occur early in the sample period. An empirical example is provided to demonstrate the case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1002 Issue: 15 Volume: 10 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000165449 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485032000165449&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:15:p:999-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Cole Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Cole Title: Economic growth and water use Abstract: In recent years the issue of global water scarcity has attracted increasing attention within academia, non-governmental organizations and the media. The aim of this short note is to ascertain whether there is a systematic relationship between water use and income, and particularly whether an inverted U-shaped relationship exists, as has been found for other resources and pollutants. Using a new data set of water use, evidence of such a relationship is provided, suggesting that water use may benefit from composition and technique effects. While this finding appears optimistic, regional forecasts are made that suggest that levels of water use in developing regions will continue to increase for many years to come. The implications of these findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187435 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187435&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emre Unlu Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Unlu Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Gregory Noronha Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Noronha Title: IPO underpricing over time: evidence from the UK Abstract: The changing nature of initial public offering (IPO) underpricing is examined using a sample of 513 IPOs launched in the UK from 1993 to 2001. It is found that the mean UK underpricing is initially less than that in the USA, reverses itself in the mid-1990s, returns to a lower level during the bubble period, but exceeds US underpricing for the last years of the sample. A growing amount of money left-on-the-table by UK underwriters is also observed. The analysis of IPO characteristics shows the simultaneous presence of changing composition and incentive realignment effects in the UK IPO market. These effects are most evident during the technology/internet equity bubble, which spans the last two subperiods of this study. It is concluded that although the market frenzy of the technology/internet bubble was present in the UK IPO market, its influence appears more limited than that documented for the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187426 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187426&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:5-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Author-Name: Willem Verschoor Author-X-Name-First: Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Verschoor Title: A note on transition stock return behaviour Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between expected stock returns and size, and market-to-book ratio in four transition emerging markets, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Russia. Overall, we find a premium for large firms and growth stocks; factors that drive cross-sectional differences in expected transition stock returns are qualitatively different to those documented for many other emerging and developed equity markets. As our finding applies to the post-1996 period, we confirm the assertion of Black (Journal of Portfolio Management, 20, 8-18, 1993) and MacKinlay (Journal of Financial Economics, 38, 3-28, 1995) that 'the value premium is sample-specific'. Thus, the higher average return on value stocks that has been documented for developed and emerging equity markets may not be considered as a local manifestation of a global phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:11-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: South Koreans' willingness to pay for Korean unification Abstract: This paper analyses the willingness to pay (WTP) of South Koreans for Korean unification. To deal with zero WTP responses given by a large number of people, a mixture model is used. The mean annual WTP for Korean unification is 5765 Korean won (GBP 2.88) per person. The aggregate value to South Koreans would then be 194.62 billion Korean won (GBP 97.31 million) annually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187408 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187408&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Growth of new start-up firms: evidence from the Japanese manufacturing industry Abstract: This paper investigates firm growth as the post-entry performance of new start-up firms. Using data on Japanese manufacturing firms founded during 1992-1996, the determinants of growth among new start-up firms are identified. The effect not only of firm-specific characteristics, but also of entrepreneur-specific, industry-specific and local characteristics on firm growth are examined. It is found that younger and small-sized firms are more likely to grow among the start-ups. It is also found that entrepreneur's age and educational background affect the growth of start-ups. It is not shown, however, that industry specialization induces the growth of start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187417 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187417&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:21-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Title: Earnings biases and convergence in the UK: a county level analysis Abstract: Cameron and Muellbauer (Economic Journal, 110, pp. 412-19, 2000) have convincingly argued that problems in the methods used to compile UK Regional Accounts data have resulted in a misleading picture of regional differentials and σ convergence. This short paper extends their analysis to a wider range of measures of convergence and adopts a more disaggregated approach by analysing data at the county level. The results provide general support for their hypothesis and indicate that different measures of income can result in different conclusions concerning convergence. Thus, it is essential that future studies of convergence investigate the implications of using different measures of income where possible, rather than relying upon a single data source. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 33-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187444 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187444&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:33-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Salvador Gil-Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Pareja Title: Price convergence in the European Union Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between market integration and price convergence in international markets. Using a panel data set of consumer price indices (general and by groups and classes), it examines how European market integration has affected cross-country dispersion in the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187453 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187453&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:39-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Gyeong Rok Kim Author-X-Name-First: Gyeong Rok Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Mincheol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Mincheol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Stock market volatility and trading activities in the KOSPI 200 derivatives markets Abstract: The relationship between the trading activities of the Korea Stock Price Index 200 derivatives contracts and their underlying stock market volatility is examined. A positive contemporaneous relationship between the stock market volatility and the derivatives volume is found while the relationship is negative between the volatility and open interest. For the cash volatility and derivatives volume two-way causality is found for both futures and options contracts, but for the cash volatility and open interest two-way causality is found only in options markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187462 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187462&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xulia Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Xulia Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Consuelo Pazo Author-X-Name-First: Consuelo Author-X-Name-Last: Pazo Title: Firms' R&D dilemma: to undertake or not to undertake R&D Abstract: It is well known that in most industries a significant proportion of firms do not perform innovative activities. Although empirical studies on the determinants of R&D often have taken this fact into account by considering the dependent variable as a censured one, there is not an explicit theoretical model to explain the zeros. The concern of this letter is to discuss a simple theoretical model where firms simultaneously decide whether to undertake or not R&D activities jointly with the level of the R&D investment. It is shown that a firm performs R&D activities only when its optimal level of R&D expenditure is higher than a threshold. Additionally, it is shown that both the probability of undertaking R&D activities and the R&D expenditure increase with market power, with the elasticity of demand with respect to quality and with the elasticity of quality with respect to R&D. Finally, from this simple theoretical framework we discuss a suitable econometric model that threats these decisions simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187471 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187471&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:55-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Capelle-Blancard Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Capelle-Blancard Author-Name: H. Raymond Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Raymond Title: Empirical evidence on periodically collapsing stock price bubbles Abstract: According to the dividend discount model (DDM), a long run relationship should exist between stock prices and dividends. In this study, in order to test the validity of the DDM on the French, German, Japanese, UK and US stock markets from 1973 to 2002, cointegration tests corrected for skewness and excess kurtosis are implemented. As dividends distribution may be affected by stock repurchases strategies, the test is adjusted by taking earnings into account. It is found that the speculative bubble hypothesis cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000187480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000187480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:1:p:61-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Author-Name: Inchul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Inchul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: A Monte Carlo comparison of parametric and nonparametric quantile regressions Abstract: This study compares parametric and nonparametric quantile regression methods using Monte Carlo simulations. Simulation results indicate that the nonparametric quantile regression approach is more appropriate, particularly when the underlying model is nonlinear or the error term follows a non-normal distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaurav Datt Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Datt Author-Name: Thomas Walker Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Recent evolution of inequality in East Asia Abstract: This study uses a decomposition of the Theil inequality index across eight countries to examine the recent evolution of inequality in East Asia. It is found that inequality in the region rose between 1990 and 1997, but that the increase was driven by higher inequality within countries, rather than between them. The most significant contribution to the overall rise in regional inequality came from urban China, where inequality doubled between 1990 and 1997. Our analysis suggests that policies to tackle inequality should be aimed at national and sub-national levels, and particularly at addressing growing rural-urban disparities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200141 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200141&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cal Muckley Author-X-Name-First: Cal Author-X-Name-Last: Muckley Title: Empirical asset return distributions: is chaos the culprit? Abstract: This study employs Rescaled-range analysis; the Correlation Dimension test, and the BDS test, to analyse lengthy daily time series of financial data. Two equity and two commodity indices are examined. The results reject the hypothesis that the series are purely random, independent and identically distributed. Rather, they suggest consistency with the Pareto-Levy family of processes. Motivated by the capacity of certain chaotic models to generate data consistent with these processes, evidence is accumulated consistent with a strange attractor, a long-term memory effect, and a-periodic motion. The evidence is consistent with insights derived from the theory of non-linear dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brigitte Granville Author-X-Name-First: Brigitte Author-X-Name-Last: Granville Author-Name: Sushanta Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Sushanta Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Title: Fisher hypothesis: UK evidence over a century Abstract: Using annual data over a long time horizon from 1900 to 2000 for the UK, this study finds the existence of a Fisher relation via Johansen cointegration tests. The cointegrating relationship between the two variables suggests a significant long-run equilibrium with a positive coefficient of more than one during the stated period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Ilmakunnas Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Ilmakunnas Author-Name: Mika Maliranta Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Maliranta Title: Hiring from unemployment and separation to unemployment Abstract: Linked employer-employee data from Finland are used for studying plant-level worker flows, to unemployment and from unemployment. The flow rates are explained by various characteristics of the plants and their employees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:91-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. A. Depken Author-X-Name-First: C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Author-Name: L. C. Simmons Author-X-Name-First: L. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Social construct and the propensity for software piracy Abstract: This study offers evidence that cross-country variation in software piracy is a combination of both traditional economic influences and institutional social mores. Software piracy rates are related to various economic variables and two measures of social construct. The study includes an individualism score, which measures horizontal social relationships, and a measure of power distance, measuring vertical social relationships. It is found that economic variables do play a role in the decision to pirate software and that increased power-distance, or the further individuals feel from their superiors, for example law enforcement officials, the greater the propensity to pirate software. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:97-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Fiaschi Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiaschi Author-Name: Andrea Mario Lavezzi Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Lavezzi Title: Nonlinear growth in a long-run perspective Abstract: This study analyses the pattern of long-run growth of a cross-section of countries, adopting the distribution dynamics approach. The relationship between growth rates and income levels appears first increasing and then decreasing, indicating the existence of different growth regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: Budget and trade deficits in Lebanon Abstract: This study addresses one of the main problems facing the Lebanese economy during its recovery from many years of war: the relationship between budget and trade deficits. The results suggest that measures aimed at reducing the budget deficit may also lead to a reduction of the Lebanese trade deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Aissa Author-Name: Mohamed Boutahar Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Boutahar Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Title: Bai and Perron's and spectral density methods for structural change detection in the US inflation process Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of estimating the number of breaks and their locations in the monthly US inflation series using two different approaches to testing for structural changes. The first approach considers Bai and Perron's selection procedure based on a sequence of tests. This approach focuses on the instability problem in time. The second method uses a test similar to the one based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics applied to the evolutionary spectrum. The results obtained are similar and economically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:109-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Th. Fiotakis Author-X-Name-First: Th. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiotakis Author-Name: N. Philippas Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Philippas Title: Chasing trend and losing money: open end mutual fund investors' trading behaviour in Greece Abstract: This study examines the trading behaviour of mutual fund investors, its medium-term profitability and its impact on the performance of individual funds. An important yet thinly investigated subject is examined under the prism of a small emerging stock market growing to maturity, during both a strong bull and a violent bear market. The findings of this study are insightful: Mutual fund investors do not chase past returns. The empirical evidence also suggests that they do not hunt past superior performance. However, they do seem to employ a current-performance momentum screen to pick their funds, while their trading behaviour doesn't seem to affect the concurrent performance of the fund. Finally, it is claimed that mutual fund investors are perverse fund pickers. The suggested conclusion can only be that money is inefficiently invested in mutual funds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Allan Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Allan Title: Satellite television and football attendance: the not so super effect Abstract: Previous studies of football attendance in England have produced contradictory results as to the effects of live satellite television coverage of football matches on the attendance of the televised matches. Using attendance data of Aston Villa Football Club's home matches in the Premier League from the 1995/96 season to the 2000/01 season, this note estimates a semi-logarithmic function of attendance. The results highlight a significant negative impact on attendance of live satellite television coverage of 7.75%, ceteris paribus, and also suggest that the England national team's performances are important in affecting attendance at Premier League games. Despite concentrating on only one club, this investigation brings into question what effect the new television rights just announced for the next three seasons may have on attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:123-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The effectiveness of protection through a fixed cost Abstract: This paper identifies to which extent a discriminatory protection through a fixed cost can protect inefficient firms. The effectiveness of a discriminatory device is measured by a critical market size at which a marginal firm can survive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Han Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Is the forward premium puzzle universal? Abstract: The forward premium puzzle, or violation of the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), has been documented by many. Studies, using methodologies more sophisticated than regression analysis, tend to suggest that the rejection of UIP may be false, due to cointegration, biased parameter estimates, time-varying risk premium, etc. In this study, from data for the two decades (1979-1998) and nine major currencies of the developed world, it is shown that the forward premium puzzle is not always present for any arbitrary time period, or for any pair of countries, even using the regression analysis that established the puzzle in earlier works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000200259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000200259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Hichri Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hichri Title: Interior collective optimum in a voluntary contribution to a public-goods game Abstract: This study shows a public good experiment with four different treatments. The payoff function is chosen so that the Nash equilibrium (NE) and the collective optimum (CO) are both in the interior of the strategy space. This study tries to test the effect of varying the level of the collective optimum, which changes the 'social dilemma', involved in the decision as to how much to contribute to the public good. The results show that contributions increase with the level of the interior CO. There is overcontribution in comparison to the NE and undercontribution in comparison to the CO. But contributions are as far from the CO as the level of the former increases. An overcontribution index that takes into account the effective contribution relative to both the NE and the CO, shows that subjects adopt a constant behaviour while passing from one treatment to another: they contribute a constant share of the CO. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-140 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:135-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert-Paul Berben Author-X-Name-First: Robert-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Berben Title: Exchange rate pass-through in the Netherlands: has it changed? Abstract: This study assesses whether the degree of exchange rate pass-through in the Netherlands has changed during the run-up to Economic and Monetary Union. VAR models are estimated on rolling sample periods to show that the pass-through of changes in the guilder-mark exchange rate has increased, while the pass-through of changes in the guilder-pound and guilder-dollar have remained more or less stable. This supports the view that the Netherlands and Germany have become increasingly integrated. This is in contrast to Taylor's (Economic Review 44, 1384-408, 2000) claim that the decline in inflation has been associated with a significant decline in the degree to which firms pass-through changes in costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-143 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:141-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Arrazola Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola Author-Name: Jose de Hevia Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: de Hevia Title: More on the estimation of the human capital depreciation rate Abstract: This study formulates an alternative empirical model to that of Groot (Applied Economics Letters, 5, 535-8, 1998) to estimate the rate of depreciation of human capital, in which the post-schooling investment and the difference between the potential and the observed earnings of the individuals are taken into account. As an illustration, the model has been estimated for a sample of Spanish men and women. The results show depreciation rates of human capital of around 1-1.5% per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-148 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203742 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203742&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:145-148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Wenxiong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: The predictive power of an experimental transportation output index Abstract: A monthly output index for the US Transportation sector over January 1979-June 2003 is reported covering air, rail, water, truck, transit and pipeline activities. Separate indexes for freight and passenger are also constructed. The strong cyclical movements observed in the transportation output appear to be well synchronized with the NBER-defined recessions and growth slowdowns of the US economy. The series reflects the profound impact of 9/11 on the transportation sector, especially on the airlines. By December 2002 it has reached its historical peak. Given the observed relationship of the transportation output with the economy, the recent upward trend in the freight transportation strongly suggests that both the sector and the overall economy have recovered from their latest slump. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-152 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203751 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203751&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:149-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: J. Seaton Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Explaining the decision to export: evidence from UK firms Abstract: In this study the determinants of export probability are investigated for a panel of 2134 UK firms between 1988 and 2001. Firm size, product diversification, innovation and human-capital are all found to increase the probability of exporting. It is also found that the variance of the sterling-dollar rate has a positive effect on export probability in a majority of industries, lending support to stock option theories of export behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-158 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203760 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203760&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:153-158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Schank Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schank Author-Name: Claus Schnabel Author-X-Name-First: Claus Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabel Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Works councils - sand or grease in the operation of German firms? Abstract: Using a large panel data set it is investigated whether works councils act as sand or grease in the operation of German firms. Stochastic production frontier analysis indicates that establishments with and without a works council do not exhibit significant differences in efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203779 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203779&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:159-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Abul Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Mohammed Mohsin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Mohsin Title: PPP tests in cointegrated panels: evidence from Asian developing countries Abstract: This study tests the relative version of purchasing power parity (PPP) for a set of ten Asian developing countries using a panel cointegration framework. A 'between-dimension' dynamic OLS estimator as proposed by Pedroni is employed. The test results overwhelmingly reject the PPP hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203788 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203788&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Kohers Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: N. Kohers Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: V. Pandey Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Pandey Author-Name: T. Kohers Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Title: The disappearing day-of-the-week effect in the world's largest equity markets Abstract: The well-documented day-of-the-week effect has shown that stock returns on some days of the week are often significantly higher than on other days. To investigate whether improvements in market efficiency may have caused this anomaly to disappear over time, this study examines the day-of-the-week effect in the world's largest developed equity markets over the last 22 years. The results indicate that, during the 1980s, this anomaly was clearly evident in the vast majority of developed markets, but it appears to have faded away in the 1990s. The implications of these findings are that long-run improvements in market efficiency may have diminished the effects of certain anomalies in recent periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-171 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203797 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203797&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:167-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Li Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: R. P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: R. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Author-Name: A. K. Bohara Author-X-Name-First: A. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: H. C. Jenkins-Smith Author-X-Name-First: H. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins-Smith Author-Name: C. L. Silva Author-X-Name-First: C. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: L. Weimer Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weimer Title: Telephone versus Internet samples for a national advisory referendum: are the underlying stated preferences the same? Abstract: Using telephone and Internet (web-based) survey samples for a national advisory referendum, this study investigates whether the underlying preferences across two survey modes are equivalent. Results from a structural test support the conclusion of common preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203805 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203805&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:173-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. OğunC Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: OğunC Author-Name: D. Ece Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ece Title: Estimating the output gap for Turkey: an unobserved components approach Abstract: This study specifies a basic univariate and a bivariate unobserved components model to estimate potential output using information from observable aggregates and presents results for the Turkish economy. The first specification used in the study, i.e. univariate approach, decomposes actual output into potential output that follows a random walk with a time-varying potential growth rate and a stationary output gap. The univariate specifications commonly ignore some economic content, which might be relevant for the measurement of the output gap. In this respect, the univariate model is extended by utilizing the relationship between inflation and the output gap, namely the Phillips curve. Whereas both models give similar output gap estimates, signal extraction statistics suggest that incorporating the supply side to the system reduces the parameter uncertainty and the total standard error and improves the gap estimate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:177-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: A note on efficiency and solvency in banking Abstract: Banking competition induces an efficient outcome but may also induce risk-taking behaviour that reduces solvency. This study examines the relationship between efficiency and solvency in banking at the empirical level. The empirical findings support that greater efficiency with respect to a risk-return frontier leads to a greater solvency level, but solvency is not related to efficiency. So, an increase in banking competition generates both more efficiency and solvency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:183-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Di Author-X-Name-Last: Pietro Title: The determinants of university dropout in Italy: a bivariate probability model with sample selection Abstract: This study analyses the determinants of university dropouts in Italy using a bivariate probit model with sample selection. The empirical findings provide some support for the appropriateness of this technique and hence suggest that the estimates obtained from a univariate decision framework are likely to be inefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:187-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoine Bommier Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Bommier Author-Name: Sylvie Lambert Author-X-Name-First: Sylvie Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert Title: Human capital investments and family composition Abstract: This study explores how human capital investment of a child is affected by the number and the gender of his/her siblings. Two alternative explanations are tested for: competition for scarce resources versus direct interactions between siblings. An empirical application is provided using Brazilian data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-196 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:193-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hahn Shik Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hahn Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: International transmission of stock market movements: a wavelet analysis Abstract: This study investigates the international transmission mechanism of stock market movements via wavelet analysis. While GARCH-type models have mainly been used in most recent research in this area, the discrete wavelet decomposition is used in this study to propose a new methodology for investigating the dynamics and the potential interaction in international stock markets. Using the data on daily stock indices from the USA and Korea, strong evidence is found for price as well as volatility spillover effects from the developed stock market to the emerging market, but not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000203850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000203850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:3:p:197-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giles Atkinson Author-X-Name-First: Giles Author-X-Name-Last: Atkinson Author-Name: Brett Day Author-X-Name-First: Brett Author-X-Name-Last: Day Author-Name: Susana Mourato Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Mourato Author-Name: Charles Palmer Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Palmer Title: 'Amenity' or 'eyesore'? Negative willingness to pay for options to replace electricity transmission towers Abstract: A frequent scenario in public decision-making is that of choosing between a number of proposed changes from the status quo. In such a case, stated preference surveys, such as the contingent valuation method, are often undertaken to assess the size of the benefits associated with each proposed change. For certain undesirable options, respondents may prefer the status quo; however, it may not be credible to directly elicit negative willingness to pay or willingness to accept to endure the change. This study, using contingent valuation, outlines an indirect means of measuring negative willingness to pay - for the problem of visual disamenity arising from alternative electricity transmission tower designs - based on the elicitation of indicators of how inconvenienced respondents would feel if a less preferred option were to replace the status quo; that is, the time and cost respondents were prepared to commit to opposing the change. The results show that taking account of negative willingness to pay matters and this significantly changes value estimates for some of the least liked options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-208 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674803 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674803&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:203-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Benedict Clements Author-X-Name-First: Benedict Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Emanuele Baldacci Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Baldacci Author-Name: Carlos Mulas-Granados Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mulas-Granados Title: The persistence of fiscal adjustments in developing countries Abstract: This study assesses effects of expenditure composition and other variables on the duration of fiscal adjustment episodes in a sample of 29 developing countries. Using survival analysis, the study finds that expenditure composition, size of the fiscal consolidation, and past performance on fiscal consolidation affect the persistence of adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-212 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674812 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674812&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:209-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Killing four unit root birds in the US economy with three panel unit root test stones Abstract: This study tests for the presence of unit roots in four US macroeconomic time series using panel unit root tests. The Im, Pesaran and Shin (Journal of Econometrics, 115, pp. 53-74, 2003) test, the Multivariate Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (Taylor and Sarno, Journal of International Economics, 46, pp. 281-312, 1998) and the Johansen (Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, pp. 231-54, 1988) likelihood ratio test are applied to unemployment, the real exchange rate, the nominal interest rate and inflation. The three tests all have ways of controlling the obvious cross-sectional dependence in the panel. Using monthly data from 1960 to 2002 there is evidence that all time series are generated by stationary processes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674821 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674821&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helen Higgs Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Higgs Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: Transmission of returns and volatility in art markets: a multivariate GARCH analysis Abstract: This study examines the transmission of returns and volatility among eight major art markets. The art indices included in the analysis are Contemporary Masters (CM), 20th Century English (TE), 19th Century European (NE), French Impressionist (FI), Modern European (ME), Modern US Paintings (US), Old Masters (OM) and Surrealists (SR). A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model is used to identify the source and magnitude of spillovers. The results indicate the presence of large and predominantly positive mean return and volatility spillovers, though the spillovers between art markets are not homogeneous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-222 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:217-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Shelley Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Shelley Author-Name: Frederick Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Inflation, money, and real GDP in Mexico: a causality analysis Abstract: The relation between inflation, M1 money, and real GDP in Mexico is examined using annual data from 1944 to 1991. When investigating the relation between changes in inflation and real GDP growth it is found that it is important to separate the changes in inflation into predictable and unpredictable components. Predictable increases in differenced inflation are found to have a significant, negative effect on real GDP growth. Unpredictable increases in differenced inflation are found to have a significant, positive effect on real GDP growth. In contrast, changes in M1 growth fail to Granger-cause real GDP growth even when the changes in money growth are divided into predictable and unpredictable components. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-225 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000193834 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000193834&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:223-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kemper Moreland Author-X-Name-First: Kemper Author-X-Name-Last: Moreland Title: The rise or fall of graduated income tax rates Abstract: This study constructs a wage distribution for the US from CPS data and then uses simulations to determine the optimal piecewise-linear-income tax. Previous optimal tax studies have generally found optimal marginal tax rates decline as income rises. This study argues this result arises because these previous studies assume that society will be willing to fund substantial guarantees. This study assumes that such a guarantee will not be politically acceptable, but that an exemption will be. In these circumstances it is found that optimal marginal tax rates rise as income rises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-229 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:227-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Mahmud Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmud Author-Name: Aman Ullah Author-X-Name-First: Aman Author-X-Name-Last: Ullah Author-Name: Eray Yucel Author-X-Name-First: Eray Author-X-Name-Last: Yucel Title: Testing Marshall-Lerner condition: a non-parametric approach Abstract: In this study, non-parametric kernel estimation technique has been employed to estimate import and export price elasticities for six developed countries. Based on the estimates of these elasticities Marshall-Lerner condition has been examined. In general the condition is only partially satisfied in the sub-sample periods. The results also suggest that the condition is more likely to be satisfied under fixed exchange rate regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-236 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:231-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Lee-Hong Seah Author-X-Name-First: Lee-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Seah Author-Name: Diane Hite Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Hite Author-Name: Tim Haab Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Haab Title: Telephone presurveys, self-selection, and non-response bias to mail and Internet surveys in economic research Abstract: A telephone presurvey is used in conjunction with mail and Internet follow-up surveys to assess self-selection and item nonresponse bias. Findings suggest that self-selection is present, but item nonresponse bias is limited. The Internet version exhibited no item nonresponse bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-240 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:237-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: The compensating wage differentials for a career at sea - an empirical study of Taiwan Abstract: Using a unique Taiwan JCEE data set, this study finds that the compensating wage differential for marine engineers is about one third of their received wage, and for nuclear engineers is about one fifth of their received wage. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-244 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674885 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674885&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:241-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corinna Czujack Author-X-Name-First: Corinna Author-X-Name-Last: Czujack Author-Name: Maria Fraga Martins Author-X-Name-First: Maria Fraga Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Do art specialists form unbiased pre-sale estimates? An application for Picasso paintings Abstract: This work investigates whether art specialists provide good predictors of realized prices for Picasso paintings. A sample selection model is proposed to represent the decision of the seller and the price equation. The model is applied to data on 675 Picasso paintings for the period 1975-1994. It is found that the two auction houses, Sotheby's and Christie's, have given good predictions for the works that have been sold. However, for the unsold works, it would have been possible to give estimates better than those given by the salerooms. As a consequence they could perhaps have sold more paintings than they actually did. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674894 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674894&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Two maps for the world's trade integration Abstract: This study aims to identify the position of Asia in the world's trade integration by the hierarchical cluster analysis. The world's 30 largest exporters in 2002 are the object of the investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674902 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674902&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:251-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Jose Araujo Lima Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Jose Araujo Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Tests of the random walk hypothesis for equity markets: evidence from China, Hong Kong and Singapore Abstract: This study tests the random walk hypothesis for China, Hong Kong and Singapore. Using variance ratio tests, robust to heteroskedasticity and employing a recently developed bootstrap technique to customize percentiles for inference purposes it is found that Class A shares for Chinese stock exchanges and the Hong Kong equity markets are weak form efficient. However, Singapore and Class B shares for Chinese stock exchanges do not follow the random walk hypothesis, which suggests that liquidity and market capitalization may play a role in explaining results of weak form efficiency tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-258 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674911 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674911&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:255-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Strobl Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Strobl Title: Do employers use education as a signal for ability in developing countries? Evidence from Ghana Abstract: This study investigates whether employers in developing countries use education as a signal for employees' productivity using data for Ghana manufacturing. Evidence is found supportive of this for individuals who were not hired through direct contacts in the firm, and thus for individuals for whom employers are likely to have relatively less information about their productive abilities. This result seems to rest on adequately controlling for on-the-job-training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 259-261 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674920 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674920&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:259-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. -F. Gau Author-X-Name-First: Y. -F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gau Author-Name: M. Hau Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Hau Title: Public information, private information, inventory control, and volatility of intraday NTD/USD exchange rates Abstract: This study uses the periodic GARCH (P-GARCH) model of Bollerslev and Ghysels (1996) to capture the irregularly repetitive seasonal variation in the volatility of 15-minute NTD/USD exchange rate changes. The specification of state variables enables us to test the microstructure hypotheses in the FX market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674939 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674939&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masasaki Fuse Author-X-Name-First: Masasaki Author-X-Name-Last: Fuse Title: Estimating intertemporal substitution in Japan Abstract: In this study, the intertemporal elastisity of substitution (IES) by consumers in Japan is estimated using the two-step estimating method used by Ogaki and Reinhart (Journal of Political Economy, 106, pp. 1079-98, 1998). This method is estimating the IES in consideration of intratemporal substitution between durables and nondurables. Consequently, the acquired estimated values are larger than the US values used by Ogaki and Reinhart. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001674948 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001674948&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:4:p:267-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Modelling firm heterogeneity with spatial 'trends' Abstract: The hypothesis underlying this article is that firm heterogeneity can be captured by spatial characteristics of the firm (similar to the inclusion of a time trend in time series models). The hypothesis is examined in the context of modelling electric generation by coal powered plants in the presence of firm heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-274 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221517 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221517&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:271-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: A cautionary note on cointegration testing Abstract: Inferences from the Johansen procedure regarding cointegration, and the magnitude, significance and even the sign of the estimated parameters of a familiar macroeconomic relation, are shown to be extremely sensitive to the treatment of its deterministic components and to the assumed lag structure. An unrestricted error-correction model yields unambiguous inferences and performs better in a range of tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 275-278 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000191728 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000191728&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:275-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Dejuan Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Dejuan Author-Name: Simon Gurr Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Gurr Title: On the link between volatility and growth: evidence from Canadian Provinces Abstract: This study examines the relationship between business-cycle volatility and economic growth using data from 10 Canadian provinces over the 1961-2000 period. Test results based on cross-section and panel data estimation indicate, at best, a weak positive volatility-growth relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-282 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:279-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Title: Input and output biased technological change in US agriculture Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) techniques are applied to a state-level data set to measure the total factor productivity in US agriculture over 1960-1996. Total factor productivity is decomposed into input and output biased technological change, efficiency change, and scale change, under both constant return to scale (CRS) and variable return to scale (VRS). Assumption of Hick neutral technological change is discussed. Technological change is found to be the result of efficient use of inputs much more than the effects of output capability increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221526 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221526&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:283-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The relationship between the real exchange rate and balance of payments: empirical evidence for China from cointegration and causality testing Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the renminbi real exchange rate and China's foreign exchange reserves using cointegration and Granger causality testing. The main findings are that in the long run foreign exchange reserves Granger cause the real exchange rate. Meanwhile, in the short run there is unidirectional Granger causality running from foreign exchange reserves to the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-291 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221535 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221535&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:287-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marie Cardebat Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Cardebat Author-Name: Jean-Marc Figuet Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Figuet Title: What explains Bordeaux wine prices? Abstract: The aim of this article is to explain Bordeaux wine prices for the 1996-1999 vintages. The hedonic price method is applied to determine the main explanatory factors of price differences. It shows that reputation remains an important determinant of the price. However sensory characteristics have greater explanatory power compared to previous studies. Increasing competition and reductions in information asymmetries on the wine market are two important factors explaining this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Empirical estimation of production risk using a cost function with panel data Abstract: The purposes of this study are twofold. First, it extends production risk from a production function to a more general cost function. The theoretical model is able to account for the effects of risk on a firm's minimum cost and optimal input demands. Second, the present paper provides an estimable framework for an analysis of the impacts of the risk on firm behaviour. Employing the model to Taiwan's electronics and information industry, it is found that production risk appears to play an important role in production cost. Evidence is found that the vast majority of sample firms belong to risk-averters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221553 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221553&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:297-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ata Assaf Author-X-Name-First: Ata Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf Title: Rescaled variance analysis of real exchange rates Abstract: The characterization of real exchange rate series as random in nature has been questioned in recent times by the application of new statistical tools. This study uses a new test proposed by Giraitis et al. (Journal of Econometrics, 112, pp. 265-9, 2003) and based on KPSS (Journal of Econometrics, 54, pp. 159-78, 1992) test. The rescaled variance (V/S) statistic is shown to have a simpler asymptotic distribution and achieve a better balance of size and power than Lo's (1991) and KPSS (1992) test. Application of the new test suggests that real exchange rate movements do not show evidence of long memory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221562 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221562&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Dodonova Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Dodonova Author-Name: Yuri Khoroshilov Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Khoroshilov Title: Anchoring and transaction utility: evidence from on-line auctions Abstract: This article presents empirical evidence that people use anchoring to form their valuation of an object. Using data from the on-line auction Bidz.com, we found that people bid more for an item with a higher posted 'buy now' price than for an identical item with the lower posted 'buy now' price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Galera Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Galera Author-Name: Gema Carrera-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Gema Author-X-Name-Last: Carrera-Gomez Author-Name: Pablo Coto-Millan Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Coto-Millan Title: Free to choose. A different answer to a known puzzle Abstract: Nalebuff (Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1(2), 157-63, 1987) proposes a puzzle and a standard solution to the mentioned puzzle based on Bayes theorem. After giving the standard solution to this problem, Professor Nalebuff asked: 'Since many if not most individuals choose to stay with their original choice, does this suggest we should look for alternatives to Bayes rule?' In this paper a right answer to that question is proportionated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221580 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221580&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:311-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaoshin Chiao Author-X-Name-First: Chaoshin Author-X-Name-Last: Chiao Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Suresh Srivastava Author-X-Name-First: Suresh Author-X-Name-Last: Srivastava Title: Testing lead-lag relations between portfolio returns under price-limits Abstract: A methodology is proposed to test the lead-lag relation between portfolio returns under price-limit restriction. The price-limit restriction is an important microstructure of the Taiwan stock market. Prior research on US stock return found that the lagged return of large-cap portfolios are correlated with the current return of small-cap portfolios. The results provide no evidence to indicate that the price adjustments of small capitalization portfolios are slower than that of large capitalization portfolios. Further, there is no evidence to imply a positive leading role of large capitalization portfolio returns over small capitalization portfolio returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-317 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221599 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221599&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:313-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-Novell Title: Behavioural biases among interest rate forecasters? Abstract: Several studies have found evidence that views expressed by other forecasters in the previous period influence individuals' current forecasts, while other analyses have stressed that occasionally forecasters may have other objectives in addition to minimizing forecast errors. This paper presents evidence, using data from Livingston Survey, that these strategic behaviours are less likely to occur when the accuracy of the economic forecasts can be easily and quickly assessed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-321 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:319-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cosme Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Market equilibrium with FSS search Abstract: It is acknowledged that in the trading of homogeneous goods there is persistent price dispersion. However, it is theoretically derived that if buyers are optimizers there is no price dispersion. This negative result motivates the emergence of alternative paths in the literature that studies price dispersion. In Burdett and Judd's seminal work, buyers follow the sub-optimal fixed sample size search strategy, FSS. These authors claim that under this sub-optimal strategy there are, ex ante, three points of Nash equilibrium, two of them associated with price dispersion and search. This article shows that these two points of equilibrium with price dispersion are not empirically relevant because they will not be ex post enforced, being unproductive for explaining equilibrium price dispersion using the FSS sub-optimal search strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221616 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221616&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:323-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Mora Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Title: Role of mobility in evolution of disparities: European regions evidence Abstract: A decomposition of an inequality measure is proposed in order to compute the role of mobility in the evolution of disparities between European regions. Our results confirm that economic growth when integration process succeeds in the European Union have decreased inequality, narrowing gaps rather than moving low-income regions ahead of higher-income ones. Also, results have revealed the importance of studies about intradistributional movements when we pretend to analyse a regional growth process comparison, although it is not the more relevant factor in the evolution of inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Katsimi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Katsimi Title: Inflation divergence in the euro area: the Balassa-Samuelson effect Abstract: This study estimates the Balassa-Samuelson effect for 7 EU countries. According to this effect, inflation differential between the tradable and the non-tradable sector can be attributed to unbalanced productivity growth between the two sectors. For the euro area this implies that countries with higher relative productivity growth in the tradable sector will suffer from higher inflation. We test the Balassa-Samuelson effect by using cointegration techniques. The empirical analysis supports the existence of a Balassa-Samuelson effect for 6 of the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221634 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221634&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Telatar Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: N. Bolatoglu Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Bolatoglu Author-Name: F. Telatar Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Title: A new approach on testing the behaviour of the governments towards sustainability of fiscal policy in a small-open and politically instable economy Abstract: This study extends Bohn's (1998) model to the context of a small-open economy suffering from political and economic instabilities. A Markov-switching model is developed by incorporating a Bayesian Gibbs sampling simulation. The model is estimated for Turkish economy over the period of 1980-2001 to analyse the relationship between primary surpluses and government total liabilities. The main result of the study is that the relationship might be unstable due to the changes in intentions of the governments towards sustainability of fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 5 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000221643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000221643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:5:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Differences in earnings, skills and labour market experience among young black and white men Abstract: This study examines the role of racial differences in skills and labour market experience on recent earnings differences between young black and white men. Our analysis of the 2000 sample of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, 1979 Cohort (NLSY79), indicates that nearly all of the earnings gap between black and white men can be accounted for with a relatively parsimonious empirical model. In particular, it finds that approximately 44% of the racial earnings gap results from higher average skill and work experience levels of white men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228150 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228150&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Author-Name: Ramin Maysami Author-X-Name-First: Ramin Author-X-Name-Last: Maysami Title: Lucas type external effects of human capital: strong evidence using microdata Abstract: Past evidence on the existence Lucas type external effects of education has been, at best, mixed. This study re-visits a two-stage microeconometric approach which allows for the estimation of the external effects of human capital on wages (and therefore productivity). Strong evidence is found of external effects to education - and in particular, years of schooling and job-related training - using microdata from Venezuela. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-346 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:343-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cobham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cobham Author-Name: Peter Macmillan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Macmillan Author-Name: David Mcmillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Mcmillan Title: The inflation/output variability trade-off: further evidence Abstract: The trade-off between the variability of inflation and that of output is estimated for the UK, using several different approaches to obtain the output gap, and then for a range of other countries; in all cases the trade-off retains the 'sharp turning point' found for the UK and US by other authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: New Zealand's trade balance: evidence of the J-curve and granger causality Abstract: This article tests for the existence of any cointegration relationship between trade balance and real effective exchange rate (REER), foreign income and domestic income for New Zealand during the period 1970-2000. It also examines the direction of the casual relationship between the above variables, and applies the impulse response analysis to determine whether shocks to the REER induce the trade balance to follow a J-curve pattern. The results indicate that there is no cointegration relationship between the above variables; there is a casual connection in both directions between trade balance and foreign income; and New Zealand's trade balance exhibits a J-curve pattern when there is a depreciation of the New Zealand dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Tzouramani Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouramani Author-Name: K. Mattas Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Title: Employing real options methodology in agricultural investments: the case of greenhouse construction Abstract: The latest developments in investment analysis offer a number of valuable insights into how to evaluate investment opportunities encountering the weaknesses of net present value criterion. More specifically, irreversibility, uncertainty and the choice of timing are conditions that net present value does not include but they alter the investment decision in a determinant way. By employing contingent claims analysis in tangible investments better assessment results can be derived. In this work, an attempt is made to modify the NPV criterion by incorporating the real options approach, and its application is demonstrated in a greenhouse construction investment plan. A discounted cash flow approach indicates that the adoption of a new technology project under uncertainty is feasible while the real options approach differentiates the results. The corollary is that the real options approach can be proved useful when assessing projects with uncertainty and irreversibility and it can provide a new way of examining agricultural investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-359 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189550 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189550&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:355-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Luisa Abras Author-X-Name-First: Ana Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Abras Author-Name: Braulio Borges Author-X-Name-First: Braulio Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Rodrigo Sekkel Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Sekkel Title: Breaking trend, Lagrange multiplier test statistic and the presence of a unit root in the Brazilian gross domestic product Abstract: Standard unit root tests provided mixed evidence on the stochastic behaviour of the Brazilian gross domestic product series. This study uses the minimum Lagrange multiplier statistic suggested by Lee and Strazicich to test for the presence of a unit root with two endogenously determined structural changes. Contrary to previous works utilizing endogenous break points, the authors were not able to reject the null of unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chang Shu Author-X-Name-First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Title: Consumption and stock markets in Greater China Abstract: This study investigates the causal links between stock market performance and consumption for Greater China using a VECM framework. Bi-directional causality between stock prices and consumption is found for Hong Kong and Taiwan. This indicates that the previous studies may have overestimated the wealth effect of stock markets without taking account of the reverse causation from consumption to the stock markets. Only one-way causality running from consumption to stock prices has been established for Mainland China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Burton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: Christine Helliar Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Helliar Author-Name: David Power Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: The benefits and costs of deeply-discounted rights issues - practitioners viewpoints Abstract: Deeply-discounted rights issues (DDRIs) remain rare on the world's largest stock markets, but the costs and benefits of such issues have attracted renewed attention in recent years as market regulators search for ways of driving down the cost of external fund raising. The relative scarcity of DDRIs presents a puzzle to researchers because the rationale normally suggested - concern about the diluting effect of a heavily discounted rights issue on earnings per share - is easily shown to be irrelevant in theory (Patterson and Ursel, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 20, 115-24, 1993). The present study therefore reports the results of a series of discussions with firms, investors and advisers in the UK regarding DDRIs and the extent to which concerns about the impact on earnings continue to hamper growth in their use. The results suggest that firms are fully aware of the potential cost savings associated with DDRIs, but concerns about investor reaction to any offer-induced earnings dilution continue to mitigate against any significant increase in their popularity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariacristina Piva Author-X-Name-First: Mariacristina Author-X-Name-Last: Piva Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Technological change and employment: some micro evidence from Italy Abstract: Consistently with previous evidence of the microeconomic literature on the subject and applying GMM-SYS on a unique Italian panel dataset, this study finds a significant - although small in size - positive relationship between innovation and employment at the firm's level in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Long Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ching-Chun Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Economies of scale, gender discrimination, and cost of children Abstract: New empirical evidence is provided on the measurement of the cost of a child with emphasis on the issue of household economies of scale and gender bias. Most empirical results suggest the plausible conclusion that there are household economies of scale in rearing children. By using the utility-based approach with considering the gender discrimination, the present results show that there are diseconomies of scale in rearing a male child after having any female child within the household. This indicates a significant gender bias issue in intra-household allocation in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:377-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kohei Daido Author-X-Name-First: Kohei Author-X-Name-Last: Daido Title: Risk-averse agents with peer pressure Abstract: This article studies the effects of peer pressure on the incentives of risk-averse agents. It defines the peer pressure function and then assumes that each agent feels peer pressure not only when his effort level is below the standard level, but also when it is above that level. It also supposes that agents are heterogeneous in terms of their productivity and the degree to which they respond to peer pressure. It shows that a principal provides incentives that depend on the effects of peer pressure and risk-sharing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Alexiadis Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexiadis Author-Name: J. Tomkins Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomkins Title: Convergence clubs in the regions of Greece Abstract: Although there have been numerous studies on economic convergence, at both national and regional levels, the concept of club convergence has received far less attention. A convergence club implies the existence of a set of economies that in the long run are driven to a common steady-state position. This study contributes to the empirical literature on Greek regions by testing for the existence of a convergence club over the period 1970-2000. Time series techniques and two empirical approaches to the common convergence point are employed. Results suggest that, while there is no uniform pattern across all regions, four central regions follow a common convergence path. One important conclusion also to emerge from the study is that, in the case of Greece, a measure of average economic performance as a proxy for the steady-state convergence point would appear to be more appropriate when seeking to identify the members of a convergence club. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bassam Abual-Foul Author-X-Name-First: Bassam Author-X-Name-Last: Abual-Foul Title: Testing the export-led growth hypothesis: evidence from Jordan Abstract: The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the export-led growth hypothesis in Jordan over the period 1976-1997. The empirical results from three bivariate models of VAR-L, VAR-D and ECM indicate a unidirectional causation from exports to output. These findings lend support to the export-oriented growth strategy pursued by Jordan. In promoting faster economic growth, such government institutions as Free Zones Corporations, Jordan Investment Board and Jordan Export Development Corporation should continue pursuing their mission in attracting foreign investments and boosting exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-396 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:393-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zajac Jaroslav Author-X-Name-First: Zajac Author-X-Name-Last: Jaroslav Title: Uncertainty fluctuations and multi-agent economies with equilibrium Abstract: This article discusses some issues involved in economies composed of dynamically interacting agents, who makes decisions about consumption, transformation and exchange of information, and other resources, expand their facilities, formulate their strategies in order to achieve specific aims, and their strategies are taken in an asynchronous and distributed manner. Agents may combine different roles within an economic system undergoing rapid technological and structural change in order to find adequate approaches to treating non-stationarity and uncertainty, bounded rationality of agents, rich variety, and complexity of dynamic interrelations between different agents. Internal uncertainty is due to the fact that each agent takes decisions without full knowledge about states and actions of other agents, and all agents have the flexibility to choose different behavioural patterns. Complexity leads to the multitude of positive and negative feedbacks in the system. Under different values of system parameters, these feedbacks can lead to different equilibria, and even to chaotic behaviour. In certain points the system abruptly switches between different equilibria with arbitrarily small change of itself. The bounded rationality of agents implies that their decisions on their actions result from the set of heuristics, which vary according to changing of informational patterns, environment and goals. When the agents inject money through an open market operation, only those agents that are currently trading absorb these injections, and agents must pay a fixed cost to transfer money between the asset market and the goods market. Money injections are absorbed by active agents, the injections increase active agent's current consumption. Open markets operations have been thought to have liquidity effects: money injections lead initially to a decline in short-term nominal interest rates, in the case of segmented asset markets they can produce both two different features, whereas persistent injections increase expected inflation, but have no effects on real interest rates. However, in dynamic setting and in the case of the expected utility maximizing approach, one has to distinguish between individual's utility smoothing motive and his risk aversion. The effect of tax rate uncertainty on labour supply and savings when the agent both works and saves during fluctuations is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-400 Issue: 6 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:6:p:397-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Hamid Beladi Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Beladi Title: On the tradeoff between cultural sensitivity and aggregate size in population control policy Abstract: Recently, Batabyal proposed an unconventional population control policy that is sensitive to the cultural desire for male progeny in many Asian nations. Although the proposed policy is culturally sensitive, a potential problem with this policy is that the aggregate size of the national population that is sought to be controlled may be quite high. Consequently, this note addresses the tradeoff between cultural sensitivity and aggregate population size. Specifically, the study analyses the properties of a modified policy that is desirable not only because it is culturally sensitive but also because it caps the aggregate size of individual families and thereby the size of the national population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000204697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000204697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Bredin Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Bredin Author-Name: Caroline Gavin Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Gavin Author-Name: Gerard O'Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: O'Reilly Title: International monetary policy shocks and Irish market rates Abstract: The influence of international interest rate changes on the Dublin interbank money market rates (Dibor) is investigated. Specifically, the impact of (un)expected changes in German(Euro) area and US policy rates on various Dibor rates between 1991 to 2002 is analysed in an event type study. Decomposition of (un)expected changes of policy rates are based on future markets and is akin to the method of Kuttner. Overall, results suggest that Dibor rates respond positively and significantly to unanticipated Euro and US policy rate changes while expected changes have an insignificant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-414 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000204697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000204697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:409-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. M. Gross Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gross Title: Impact of immigrant workers on a regional labour market Abstract: This article analyses the ability of a regional labour market to absorb growing flows of immigrant workers with declining levels of skills in relatively high unemployment times. In the short-run, unemployment increases with larger immigration flows, however, in the longer run, unemployment is permanently lowered. The level as well as the composition of skills of immigrant workers matter. Increasing the discrepancy between the skill distribution of immigrants and that of the existing workforce is desirable to mitigate some of the adverse effects on unemployment in the short run as both types of labour appear to be complement. Strengthening the existing screening system for immigrant candidates is then a possibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000248950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000248950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Author-Name: Ilham Haouas Author-X-Name-First: Ilham Author-X-Name-Last: Haouas Title: The effects of union wage-settings on firms' production factor decisions Abstract: This study is concerned with the development of a theoretical model of the interaction between firms and trade union in determining wages and employment. In a two-step process the union and firm determine wages and capital stock, conditional on which the firm decides on production factors of employment, working hours and capital operating time. This paper suggests the use of a panel data approach applied to manufacturing data. A dynamic model is specified in which the optimal levels of the variables of interest and the speed of their adjustments are modelled in terms of observable policy variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-420 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:415-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: F. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: L. J. TreviNO Author-X-Name-First: L. J. Author-X-Name-Last: TreviNO Author-Name: T. C. Minto Author-X-Name-First: T. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Minto Title: Touchdowns and test scores: exploring the relationship between athletics and academics Abstract: This article examines the relationship between college football success and SAT scores using an updated data series on football winning percentages. The finding here of a positive and significant relationship supports the idea that collegiate athletics, namely football, serves the institution's admissions process. Selective institutions are able to enhance the quality of their student populations. The spinoff benefit of winning teams is such a well-known phenomenon among university administrators that they even have a name for it - 'the Flutie factor,' for the 33 percent increase in applications that Doug Flutie helped bring Boston College when he was a football star there in the early 1980s. (Allen, 1999: 2) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-424 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000201906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000201906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:421-424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongmin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Wage curve for urban China: a panel data approach Abstract: The panel data evidence in this article shows that the wage curve does not exist in China when utilizing the provincial unemployment rate. However, the wage curve exists when utilizing the provincial youth unemployment rate. Youth unemployment data are more reliable in China, as they are not distorted by the exclusion of significant numbers of adult laid off workers from the more familiar unemployment statistics. It is also found that the semi-log function is a good approximation for urban wage curve of China. The wage unemployment relationship becomes more negative when utilizing fixed effects and random effects models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The dynamics of the real exchange rates in Europe: a comparative study across countries using fractional integration Abstract: The annual structure of the real exchange rates in sixteen European countries is examined in this article by means of fractional integration techniques. The results show that the highest degree of dependence between the observations is obtained for countries Finland or Spain whereas Switzerland and the UK present the smallest orders of integration. Thus, stronger policy actions are required in the former countries to bring the variables back to their original levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-432 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000248969 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000248969&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:429-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-steeley Author-Name: Antonios Siganos Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Siganos Title: Momentum profits and macroeconomic factors Abstract: This article tests whether macroeconomic variables and market sentiment influence the size of momentum profits. It finds that although returns to the winner and loser portfolios are influenced by a range of macroeconomic and market wide variables; momentum profits are influenced only by the scale of portfolio outflows. Thus, when investors are sending their capital elsewhere, reduced funds at home, dampen the profitability of the momentum trading strategy. It also finds that when the market closes, below its opening level in the previous six months, momentum profits are higher, which might be a reflection of mean reversion in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-436 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000191719 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000191719&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:433-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Wang Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: B. M. Burton Author-X-Name-First: B. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: D. M. Power Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: Analysis of the overreaction effect in the Chinese stock market Abstract: Several recent studies have examined whether the main Chinese stock markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen are weak-form efficient. A consistent feature of the findings is that the pricing of foreign-owned B shares is more predictable than domestically-owned A shares. However, none of the earlier investigations examine the overreaction effect, one of the most commonly-employed tests of weak-form efficiency in developed stock markets. The present study therefore reports the results of such an analysis for a sample of more than 300 Chinese shares over a six-year period beginning in August 1994. In contrast to earlier evidence, the article finds that the overreaction effect is most pronounced in the market for A shares, suggesting that the normal impression of greater efficiency in the pricing of Chinese-owned equities may be open to further challenge and debate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-442 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000248978 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000248978&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:437-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: The elevated status of the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption Abstract: The latest UK Treasury guidance on appraisal and evaluation in central government raises the status of the elasticity of marginal utility of consumption (e). While estimates of e are sensitive to a measurement approach, a case is made for placing some emphasis on a method based on consumer demand analysis. Alternative demand models are estimated for the UK and from the best results an e value of 1.6 emerges. For EU countries both this and other methods can be used to measure e. This, for example, permits a cross-country comparison of alternative measures of the social discount rate on a methodologically consistent basis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189541 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189541&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Sobhee Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Sobhee Title: The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC): a logistic curve? Abstract: This study argues that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) can be shaped as a logistic curve rather than a mere quadratic equation. Instead of being modelled as a polynomial of degree two, the EKC can be characterized by a polynomial of degree three. The inverted-U shape remains. However, in the proposed specification, what matters, is the rate at which total environmental degradation (TED) occurs, that is, marginal environmental degradation (MED). When TED is quadratic, MED is linearly represented with respect to per capita output. This is considered to be inconsistent with real-life situations, and instead a quadratic MED is postulated, from which a logistic EKC is derived. Prior to a given income threshold, MED rises, attains a maximum at the threshold, and falls ultimately beyond it. This formulation of the EKC conforms to the probabilistic econometric models usually applied in environmental studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207216 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207216&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Maris Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Maris Author-Name: G. Pantou Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Pantou Author-Name: K. Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Author-Name: E. PagourtzI Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: PagourtzI Author-Name: V. Assimakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Assimakopoulos Title: A study of financial volatility forecasting techniques in the FTSE/ASE 20 index Abstract: Forecasting financial market volatility is an important task that has absorbed the interest of many academics in the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries. This strong interest of the academic world reflects the importance of volatility in several financial and business activities. Volatility forecast, crucially affects investment choice and is the most important parameter affecting prices of market listed options, of which trading volume has proliferated in the last years. The purpose of this article is to compare various volatility forecasting approaches using data on the Greek FTSE/ASE 20 stock index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000189532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000189532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Author-Name: Carsten Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Martin Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Manipulation in political stock markets - preconditions and evidence Abstract: Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioural model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during the Berlin 1999 state elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-463 Issue: 7 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000191700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000191700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:7:p:459-463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Gruben Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Gruben Author-Name: Darryl Mcleod Author-X-Name-First: Darryl Author-X-Name-Last: Mcleod Title: The openness-inflation puzzle revisited Abstract: Dynamic panel estimates show the negative relation between trade openness and inflation found by Romer (Quarterly Journal of Economics, (VIII, 869-903, 1993) but questioned by Terra (Quarterly Journal of Economics, (XIII, 641-48, 1998) became more robust in the 1990s, both among high income OECD and developing countries. Trade openness was also associated with less variable inflation during the 1990s and had a stronger disinflation effect in economies with floating exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Mills Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Sourushe Zandvakili Author-X-Name-First: Sourushe Author-X-Name-Last: Zandvakili Title: Analysis of gender-based family income inequality in Canada Abstract: Using decomposable measures of inequality and applying bootstrapping methods in order to draw statistical inference, gender-based earnings inequality in conjunction with education and immigration status in Canada is investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-472 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:469-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: Meetings and exposure before an arranged marriage: a probabilistic analysis Abstract: It is now common for parents and relatives of an individual seeking to have an arranged marriage to set up one or more meetings between this individual and prospective spouses. As a result of these meetings, prospective spouses get exposed to this marrying individual. Even though this exposure level has a significant bearing on the eventual likelihood of marriage, as best as can be told, the economics literature has paid no attention to the probabilistic attributes of meetings and the resultant level of exposure. As such, this note has three objectives. First, a simple stochastic model is analysed that focuses on the links between the trinity of meetings, exposure levels, and an arranged marriage. Next, the conditional density function of the exposure level random variable is derived under two assumptions about the eventual likelihood of marriage. Finally, an interesting property of a specific ratio of densities that is related to the above mentioned trinity is commented on. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Title: Market structure and ad valorem taxes: cross-country evidence from the magazine industry Abstract: Using data describing the magazine industries of 23 countries it is shown that specific ad valorem taxes on magazines reduce the number of magazines published in a country. This result is consistent with previously developed theories about the impact of ad valorem taxes on market structure. However, limitations on magazine ownership seem to have little impact on the number of magazines published, perhaps indicating that reduced limitations on cross-media ownership may not have the deleterious effects many predict. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Zubeyir Kilinc Author-X-Name-First: Zubeyir Author-X-Name-Last: Kilinc Title: The effect of foreign income on economic performance of a small-open economy: evidence from Turkey Abstract: The effect of a shock in the foreign economic performance on the domestic economy is an attractive research area. It has consistently been found that this effect is non-negligible. However, the countries examined are mostly developed countries. In this study, the effects of a shock in foreign economy on the economic performance of Turkey are examined. The estimates suggest that a positive shock in the foreign economy positively affects Turkish output, increases the inflation rate, and appreciates the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-488 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:483-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Title: Unilateral delegation and reimbursement systems in an environmental conflict Abstract: How unilateral delegation by a citizens' group with lower ability than a firm affects individual and total effort and the contest favourite under the two reimbursement systems are examined. A citizens' group that unilaterally hires a delegate to represent them causes the firm to increase its effort level so that it always exceeds the group's delegate - irrespective of the relative strength of the two parties. In contrast to earlier work without either delegation or reimbursement, a citizens' group that hires a delegate could now be the contest favourite; although it is more likely to occur under the asymmetric reimbursement rule. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-493 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207252 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207252&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:489-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Hsien Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Cheng-Hsiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Intradaily relationship between information revelation and trading duration under market trends: the evidence of MSCI Taiwan stock index futures Abstract: This paper investigates the duration dynamics and relationship between price volatility and durations under different market trends for the Morgan Stanley Taiwan stock index futures traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). It is found that conditional durations are related to durations and conditional expected durations as found in previous studies. The price volatility is related to duration related variables. Moreover, the intradaily price dynamics will vary according to the size of the observation interval, the size of price changes, and the market trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-501 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244521 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244521&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:495-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Title: The bidimensional decomposition of the Gini ratio. A case study: Italy Abstract: This research is based on the decompositions of the Gini index. The two existing procedures of decomposition are connected: subgroup decomposition and income source decomposition. This bidimensional decomposition enables the computation of some new determinants of inequalities. It is possible to reckon the contribution of each source to the within-group and the between-group components of the overall inequality. This bidimensional decomposition is applied to the Italian consumption in 1989 and 2000. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-505 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:503-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Mantzouneas Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mantzouneas Author-Name: George Mergos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Mergos Author-Name: Chrysostomos Stoforos Author-X-Name-First: Chrysostomos Author-X-Name-Last: Stoforos Title: Modelling food consumption patterns in Greece Abstract: Modelling consumption patterns is of interest for both theoretical and policy reasons. This paper presents a methodology for modelling consumption patterns combining a theory-based with a data-based approach and it continues with an application to Greek data. The adopted AIDS-ECM quantitative methodology aims to estimate the expected trends in consumption patterns in Greece following an increase in available income over the 2001-2010 period. Three scenarios are examined: the first scenario considers the EU projections for private consumption expenditure, 3% per annum, the second scenario assumes a higher growth of 5% per annum and the third scenario a 1% increase. The results of the first stage expenditure aggregation show a decrease in the budget share for the food group in all scenarios under consideration while the opposite is true for 'transportation and communication' and 'others'. Finally, the second stage expenditure aggregation estimates show an increase in the budget share for meat, fruits and vegetables and oils and fats, while the opposite is true for bread and cereals and other food. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-512 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:507-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Title: Skill intensity and export growth in West German manufacturing Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the skill-structure and the export performance of 26 West German manufacturing sectors in the second half of the 1980s. Using several sets of controls it is found that export growth is inversely linked to the high-skill intensity of labour. Implications of and possible explanations for this finding are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-515 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000244558 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000244558&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:513-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Author-Name: Jose Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Villaverde Title: Regional disparities in the EU: mobility and polarization Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse some relevant aspects of regional disparities in the EU. The paper departs from standard analysis of convergence by tracking the evolution of the entire distribution, both by using nonparametric techniques and spatial econometric techniques. The main results confirm that: (a) regional disparities across the EU are large and persistent; (b) the ranking among the European regions is very stable; (c) there is a noticeable regional income polarization in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-522 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207225 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207225&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:517-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiotis Lazaridis Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Lazaridis Title: Demand elasticities derived from consistent estimation of Heckman-type models Abstract: As proved lately, the use of the Inverse Mill's Ratio as a correction factor in the second step of Heckman-type models leads to inconsistent estimates. One area where this type of model has been extensively used is the applied food demand analysis. As a consequence the derived demand elasticities are no longer valid. In this paper the appropriate expressions for demand elasticities are derived and are applied to 23 food items using family budget survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-527 Issue: 8 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207234 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207234&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:8:p:523-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Grant Coble-Neal Author-X-Name-First: Grant Author-X-Name-Last: Coble-Neal Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Title: United States internet penetration Abstract: United States (US) Department of Commerce data suggests a necessary precursor to the success of electronic commerce (e-commerce) is active engagement in Internet activities by the population at large. However, without empirical assessment it is difficult to determine the relative importance of the drivers of Internet access, and ultimately e-commerce development. This study provides empirical estimates of the factors that impact on Internet access. A statistical model relates US Internet host penetration to information processing costs (a proxy for the price of Internet access), income, technology change, and the size of the network. Model estimates suggest that affordable access to information technology and telecommunications, technology change, and the network externality are driving rapid Internet take-up. Endogenous Internet growth, generated by the network externality, becomes important to e-commerce retailers (e-tailers) as their potential market size increases with each additional subscriber to the Internet. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-532 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000218016 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000218016&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:529-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: Mark Gehlhar Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gehlhar Title: Locating seasonal cycles in demand models Abstract: An approach is offered that lets data determine the exact location of seasonal cycles. Rather than use deterministic variables that define the season, it allows seasonal cycles to be identified and modelled as dictated by the data in demand modelling framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-535 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000230724 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000230724&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:533-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Cigarette demand in Canada and the US-Canadian cigarette smuggling Abstract: Using annual data from Canadian provinces, this paper studies the effects of a drastic reduction in Canadian cigarette taxes in 1994 on cross-border smuggling. The results show that the policy was successful in that the border prices seem to not have had a statistically significant impact on cigarette sales. The own price elasticity of cigarette demand in Canada is estimated to be around -0.7. The elasticity is slightly lower when the border-price effects are taken into account and is larger than the corresponding estimates for the USA, implying that dollar-for-dollar there might be greater opportunities for reducing smoking in Canada through higher taxes than the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-540 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263043 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263043&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:537-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece: reply to Ozmen Abstract: Ozmen (Applied Economics Letters, 10, 971-4, 2003) re-examines money exogeneity in Greece using data from Karfakis (Applied Economics, 34, 583-7, 2002) and claims, contrary to Karfakis, that money exogeneity is rejected. This reply demonstrates that money exogeneity is sensitive to lag length specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-543 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:541-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ataullah Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ataullah Author-Name: Hang Le Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Financial repression and liability of foreignness in developing countries Abstract: Using non-parametric Data Envelopment Analysis, this paper suggests that the era of financial repression in developing countries, by providing policy-induced competitive advantages to domestic banks, may create liability of foreignness for foreign banks that impeded their resource utilization. Implementation of financial liberalization programme, which endeavours to create a more market-oriented financial sector, may enable foreign banks to overcome the liability of foreignness and enhance their resource utilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-549 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263034 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263034&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:545-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasri Harb Author-X-Name-First: Nasri Author-X-Name-Last: Harb Title: Money demand function: a heterogeneous panel application Abstract: An aggregate data panel is constructed for the GCC's six countries and the cointegration hypothesis among the variables of the money demand function is verified using Pedroni's heterogeneous panel cointegration tests. The idiosyncratic, panel and group-mean cointegrating vectors are then estimated using FMOLS and a modified version of FMOLS developed by Pedroni. The idiosyncratic elasticities have the expected signs in general but are significant only in the case of the scale variable. However, when the power of the test is increased, and allowance made for heterogeneous cointegrating vectors, the group-mean estimator shows a significant negative semi-elasticity of money demand with respect to interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-555 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000225739 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000225739&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:551-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: Haluk Sezer Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Sezer Title: Social discount rates for six major countries Abstract: Social discount rates are estimated for six major economies: Australia, France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA. A common methodology based on social time preference is employed and the information required is taken from the same OECD database. The main policy implications of applying consistently measured discount rates in the context of social project appraisal are then discussed. This is an important matter because, up to now, these countries have set their official discount rates using strikingly different methods and such disparities may have resulted in inconsistent decision-making in relation to the allocation of funds to long-term social projects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-560 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/135048504200028007 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135048504200028007&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:557-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ling Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Lu Han Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Daivd Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Daivd Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Theories of target zones and realignment of RMB (currency of China) exchange rate Abstract: On the basis of introducing the theory of Target Zones and Exchange Rate, this paper tests for the significant to reform Chinese currency Renmingbi (RMB) exchange regime, and the possibility to build a target zone. It is pointed out that, under the tendency of economic globalization and entered WTO, it is necessary and urgent for China to realign and innovate its present exchange arrangement; target zones and its exchange rate mechanism is feasible for the reality of contemporary global economy and the situation of China. The authors analysis how to determine equilibrium of exchange rate and border of RMB target zones, and what kind of actions the Chinese government should do in such procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-568 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:561-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: Hung-Gay Fung Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Gay Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Title: The informational role of open interest in futures markets Abstract: This study examines the long-run information role of open interest in futures markets. It is found that open interest of the futures markets for storable commodities shares the same long-run information as the futures prices, but not for the nonstorable futures markets. Furthermore, the futures prices tend to drive open interest for storable commodities in the long run, but not the other way around. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-573 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850410001692795 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850410001692795&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:569-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: An econometric estimation of the aggregate import demand function for Bangladesh: some further results Abstract: This study empirically estimates some critical parameters of the aggregate import demand function for Bangladesh for Bangladesh using quarterly time series data and by applying the Johansen-Juselius multivariate cointegration technique. Cointegration results indicate that the import demand function is dominated by income and relative prices. The income elasticity is significantly positive and exceeds unity indicating that aggregate imports are to be considered as 'luxury' goods. The effect of the relative price variable is significantly negative but its elasticity coefficient is less than unity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000217990 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000217990&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wipon Aiew Author-X-Name-First: Wipon Author-X-Name-Last: Aiew Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Author-Name: Richard Woodward Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Woodward Title: The treatment of income variable in willingness to pay studies Abstract: This paper evaluates income variable specification and functional form issues in contingent-valuation studies using the utility-theoretic approach. Applying data from a study of willingness to pay for irradiated beef, results suggest that functional form does affect the estimates, but variable specification does not introduce statistically significant differences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sambit Bhattacharyya Author-X-Name-First: Sambit Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharyya Title: Deep determinants of economic growth Abstract: A survey of the recent literature on cross country development reveals that there is an agreement on the key role played by institutions in explaining variation in the level of income per capita. Rodrik et al. (NBER Working Paper No. w8119, February, 2002) goes further to argue the primacy of institutions over integration and geography in a level accounting framework. The robustness of this result is checked by changing the dependent variable from level to growth and find that the same holds true. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-590 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000228826 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000228826&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:587-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leila Nouira Author-X-Name-First: Leila Author-X-Name-Last: Nouira Author-Name: Ibrahim Ahamada Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahamada Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Author-Name: Alain Nurbel Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Nurbel Title: Long-memory and shifts in the unconditional variance in the exchange rate euro/US dollar returns Abstract: In this paper two characteristics a priori contradictory and yet coexistent in the daily returns of exchange rate euro/US dollar are drawn. The non-stationarity of the covariance structure of the series is shown and, after the extraction of the unstable variance using the algorithm based on the cumulative sums of squares of Inclan and Tiao (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1994, 89(427), 913-23), the existence of long-memory in the filtered series. Does the non-stationarity of the unconditional variance explain the phenomenon of long-memory? Thus a classic debate is found of which the exit does not again elucidate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 9 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000230733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000230733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:9:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Wenxiong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: A dynamic factor model of the coincident indicators for the US transportation sector Abstract: This paper studies the business cycle features of the transportation sector using dynamic factor models. The transportation reference cycles peak ahead of the economic cycles, but lag by a few months at troughs. The asymmetric relationship between these two suggests the usefulness of transportation in monitoring business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-600 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000271125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000271125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:595-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: I. Paya Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: I. Venetis Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Venetis Title: Estimates of US monetary policy rules with allowance for changes in the output gap Abstract: This article estimates a reduced form Taylor rule for the Pre-Volcker and Volcker-Greenspan periods. A novelty is that it follows a suggestion of Walsh and includes changes in the output gap as an explanatory variable. Either this variable or an interaction term between inflation and changes in the output gap are highly significant in both periods. The response to inflation and the interaction term are higher in the Volcker-Greenspan period of office. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000227287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000227287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dilip Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Nasiruddin Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Nasiruddin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: An aggregate import demand function for India: a cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the behaviour of Indian aggregate imports during the period 1971-1995. In the empirical analysis of the aggregate import demand function for India, cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been used. In the aggregate import demand function for India, import volume is found to be cointegrated with relative import price and real GDP. The econometric estimates of the import-demand function for India suggest that import-demand is largely explained by real GDP, and is generally less sensitive to import price changes. Import liberalization is found to have had little impact on import demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-613 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350455042000271134 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350455042000271134&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:607-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Gascoigne Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Gascoigne Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Asymmetries in Bank of England monetary policy Abstract: This article estimates limited dependent variable models for Bank of England monetary policy using monthly data over the period June 1997-March 2003. During this period the Bank had operational independence to set the interest rate in order to meet the inflation target set by the government. The study finds evidence that the Bank has responded to current output growth rather than inflation, which is consistent with targeting future inflation when there is a lag in the response of inflation to the output gap. It also finds evidence of an asymmetry in the sense that the link between the interest rate and output growth is stronger when an increase in the interest rate is required than when circumstances dictate it should be cut. On the other hand there is considerably more inertia for interest rate cuts, in the sense that a cut in the rate in one month significantly increases the probability of a cut in the next month which is not the case for increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-618 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000227296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000227296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:615-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Huber Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Huber Title: Inter-regional mobility in Europe: a note on the cross-country evidence Abstract: This paper uses data on 11 EU countries to explain cross-national differences in internal migration rates. It is found that 89% of the variance in gross migration in current member states can be explained by variations in employment protection, international migration, the share of ownership occupied housing and the average region size of a country. Results concerning net migration rates suggest that although disparities in unemployment are important determinants of net migration, so are employment protection, long-term unemployment and the share of owner occupied housing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-624 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000235684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000235684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:619-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Parker Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Emmanuel Skoufias Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Skoufias Title: The added worker effect over the business cycle: evidence from urban Mexico Abstract: This paper investigates whether the added worker effect is an important determinant of the increased labour force participation by women and whether the magnitude of the added worker effect differs between the peak and trough of the business cycle. Use is made of repeated observations from spouses in urban Mexico, collected during the Peso crisis (1994:4-1995:4) and during the period of economic prosperity (1998:4-1999:4). Significant added worker effects are found in both periods. The magnitude of the added worker effect during the crisis period is found to be twice as large as that observed during the period of economic prosperity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-630 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000235693 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000235693&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:625-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngjun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Youngjun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Market structure and technology licensing: evidence from US manufacturing Abstract: This paper empirically investigates how market structure, including firm- and industry-level variables, influences the incentives of companies to license out their technology. Empirical analysis is provided with the help of a panel data set of observed licensing transactions worldwide involving manufacturing companies publicly traded in the USA. The findings show that dominant firms with bigger market shares are actively involved in granting technology licenses. It was also found that company's prior involvement in licensing, the concentration and the market size of its primary industry, and the propensity to receive patents (i.e. strength of the intellectual property protection) in that industry are important determinants of the propensity to transfer technology through licensing agreements. Results suggest that transaction costs, strategic considerations, and knowledge appropriability weigh in heavily in explaining firms' licensing behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-637 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000235675 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000235675&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:631-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Maddison Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Maddison Title: Increasing returns to information and the survival of broadway theatre productions Abstract: Many similarities exist between films and live theatre. Examination of the relationship between the log rank of a Broadway show and the number of performances reveals a significant departure from the Pareto distribution. This matches findings made for the corresponding relationship between log rank and film revenues. Using models of duration it is shown that a variety of characteristics, including genre, determine the number of performances on Broadway and whether the show is in receipt of prestigious awards. These findings are also similar to those for films except for the fact that as the duration of a run increases, the hazard rate declines. This is consistent with a situation when individuals base decisions on which show to attend partially on the observed length of a theatrical run. Over time theatrical productions are tending to survive longer in the market place and original shows tend to outlast revivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-643 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000227304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000227304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:639-643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haluk Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Unit roots or nonlinear stationarity in Turkish real exchange rates Abstract: The objective of this paper is to test if Turkish real exchange rates have a linear unit root or are generated by an Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model for the post-1980 period. Using two real exchange rates, one with the USA and the other with Germany, strong evidence of nonlinear stationarity was found for the US CPI-based series but no such evidence for the DM CPI-based series. When compared with earlier results in a previous paper where the alternative of the linear unit root test was stationarity with multiple shifts in the deterministic terms, it was found that similar results were obtained for the US CPI-based series but not for the DM CPI-based one, possibly implying that the multiple shifts approach may be more appropriate for the Turkish series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-650 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000238870 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000238870&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:645-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Jurajda Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Jurajda Title: Recalls and unemployment insurance taxes Abstract: The US unemployment insurance (UI) system draws its funds from a payroll tax on employers. The tax rate varies directly with an employer's layoff history. There exists extensive evidence on the effect of this so-called experience rated tax on layoff decisions. However, since firms are typically liable for each dollar of regular UI benefits paid to laid off former employees, experience rating may also affect recall behaviour. This note therefore measures the effect of the UI financing system on the duration of unemployment. This article finds some evidence that higher layoff tax costs shorten the duration of recall unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 651-656 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000238861 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000238861&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:651-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Aggregation bias and its bounds in measuring technical efficiency Abstract: The discussion about the bias due to input (or output) aggregation in efficiency measurement based on data envelopment analysis, recently revisited by Tauer (2001) and Fare and Zelenyuk (2002) is continued. Attention is focused on the direction and the bounds of the aggregation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 10 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000207243 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000207243&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:10:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Darren Frechette Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Frechette Title: A new t-test for the R/S analysis and long memory in agricultural commodity prices Abstract: This article tests for long memory in daily and weekly agricultural cash price returns, using the modified rescaled range (R/S) test. A new corrected t-test is constructed for the R/S test to measure statistical significance properly. Empirical results indicate evidence of long memory in more than half of the agricultural commodities analysed. However, the values of estimated H statistics are less than 0.6, indicating relatively weak memory. The corrected t-test reduces type-I error for H statistics on the persistent long memory side and increases the power of the test for H statistics on the anti-persistent side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-667 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000240093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000240093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:661-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Manez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Manez Author-Name: Maria Rochina Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Rochina Author-Name: Juan Sanchis Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Title: The decision to export: a panel data analysis for Spanish manufacturing Abstract: This paper aims to empirically analyse the determinants of the decision to export using a sample of Spanish manufacturing firms during the 1990s. The data are drawn from the Encuesta sobre Estrategias Empresariales. A panel data probit model is used that is estimated using maximum-likelihood techniques. The results show that regional and local spillovers and firm characteristics such as age, size, productivity, corporation, foreign ownership, R&D and advertising intensity, have a positive and significant influence on the probability of exporting. Furthermore, public sector oriented sales have a significant and negative impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-673 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:669-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Author-Name: Jung-Duk Lichtenberger Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Duk Author-X-Name-Last: Lichtenberger Title: Empirical estimates of the impact of the euro on the corporate bond market in the euro area Abstract: Empirical estimates of an error-correction model, nested in a partial adjustment framework, show that the euro had a temporary impact, via mergers and acquisitions activity, on corporate bond issuance in the euro area. In addition, a permanent effect is found for corporate bonds issued by non-monetary financial corporations. For the first five years of the single currency, these effects are estimated to have been up to 2½ and around 5½ percentage points, respectively, of the annual bond market growth. Other significant determinants of corporate bond issuance are economic activity, the cost of bond issuance relative to other sources of external finance and mergers and acquisitions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-678 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:675-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hsiou-wei William Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsiou-wei William Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Estimating value-at-risk via Markov switching ARCH models - an empirical study on stock index returns Abstract: This paper estimates the Value-at-Risk (VaR) on returns of stock market indexes including Dow Jones, Nikkei, Frankfurt Commerzbank index, and FTSE via Markov Switching ARCH (SWARCH) models. It is conjectured that structural changes contribute to non-normality in stock return distributions. SWARCH models, which admit parameters based on various states to control structural changes in the estimating periods, may thus help mitigate kurtosis, tail-fatness and skewness problems in estimating VaR. Significant kurtosis and skewness in return distributions of Dow Jones, Nikkei, FCI and FTSE and significant tail-fatness (tail-thinness) in the 1% (5%) region critical probability are documented. Moreover, it is shown that the more generalized SWARCH outshines both ARCH and GARCH in capturing non-normalities with respect to both in- and out-sample VaR violation rate tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-691 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236539 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236539&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:679-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Alvarez-Albelo Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Albelo Title: Endogenous versus exogenous efficiency units of labour for the quantitative study of social security: two examples Abstract: This paper explores the role of endogenous versus exogenous efficiency units of labour for the quantitative evaluation of the impact of pay-as-you-go Social Security on labour supply. Pension response to a population growth rate change is also studied. Two dynamic general equilibrium models are used: one with human capital accumulation through learning-by-doing, and a second with exogenous efficiency units of labour. The main differences in the results are the following: (a) the shift in the working time-age profile induced by the elimination of Social Security considerably differs in both models. The increase in average hours worked is 4% higher under human capital accumulation than in the alternative model; and (b) the pension falls by a similar percentage in both models when the population growth rate is set to zero. This occurs because the capital-labour ratio changes less under learning-by-doing than with exogenous efficiency units of labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236548 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236548&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Hsun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Fiscal decentralization, collusion and government size in China's transitional economy Abstract: This paper examines the public sector in China's transitional economy, with the aim of testing the validity of a variety of hypotheses, namely the Brennan and Buchanan (1980, The Power to Tax: Analytical Foundations of a Fiscal Constitution, CUP, Cambridge); Oates-Wallis (1985, American Economic Review, 75(4) 748-57) version of the decentralization hypothesis and the Brennan and Buchanan collusion hypothesis, on the impact of fiscal decentralization at the provincial level. Pooled cross-section (province) and time-series data are employed with the period under consideration being 1986-1998. An error components technique is also used for the empirical testing. The empirical results provide evidence to support both the Oates-Wallis hypothesis and the collusion hypothesis that an increase in fiscal decentralization leads to a higher level of provincial government expenditure. The study also finds that the central and provincial governments are provided with an incentive to form collusive agreements through extra-budgetary funds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-705 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236557 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236557&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:699-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Is South Korea's stock market efficient? Abstract: This letter applies the Zivot and Andrews (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10, 251-70, 1992) one break and the Lumsdaine and Papell (Review of Economic and Statistics, 79, 212-8, 1997) two break unit root tests to examine the random walk hypothesis for stock prices in South Korea. The results provide strong evidence that stock prices in South Korea are characterized by a unit root, which is consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Public R&D expenditure and private R&D expenditure: a causality analysis Abstract: This paper examines the long-run and short-run causality issues between public R&D expenditure and private R&D expenditure in Korea by using the cointegration and error-correction models. The overall results show that there exists bidirectional causality between public R&D expenditure and private R&D expenditure. This means that increasing public R&D expenditure has a direct effect on private R&D expenditure and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236575 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236575&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agustin Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Agustin Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Julian Ramajo Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Ramajo Title: Budget deficit and interest rates: empirical evidence for Spain Abstract: Evidence, whether international or national, of the significance of the links between budget deficits and interest rates, is in general terms inconclusive. The aim of the present work is to contribute new findings for the Spanish economy using annual data for the period 1964-2000. It is found that budget deficits did not appear to raise long-run nominal interest rates during our sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hildegart Ahumada Author-X-Name-First: Hildegart Author-X-Name-Last: Ahumada Author-Name: Maria Lorena Garegnani Author-X-Name-First: Maria Lorena Author-X-Name-Last: Garegnani Title: An estimation of deep parameters describing Argentine consumer behaviour Abstract: This paper investigates the microfoundation of consumer decisions in Argentina (1980:1-2001:3). Structural parameters are estimated following the Euler Equation-GMM approach. Attention is focused on parameter instability, an empirical difficulty for applying this method often pointed out in the literature. The rates of return on assets are approximated by the real interest rate and the rate of growth of real exchange rate as they have been considered as the main variables explaining variations of Argentine 'wealth'. The results show that parameter estimates have the expected values and the correct signs. Overidentifying restrictions are tested and the null hypothesis of validity of instruments is not rejected. Estimates are also robust for different specifications of the weighting matrix. However, parameter constancy is jointly rejected. Recursive estimates show that the risk aversion coefficient appears as more unstable than the impatience parameter, which is also the less uncertain within sample. Observed changes in estimates seem to be an expected response to different macroeconomic frameworks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 11 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000240084 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000240084&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:11:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Jared Loftus Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Loftus Author-Name: Windy Keenel Author-X-Name-First: Windy Author-X-Name-Last: Keenel Title: The decay of norms and the production of social order: conceptual and empirical models Abstract: This note explores the decay of social norms using a model of the production of social order in the context of 'rules' employed by cities/municipalities to 'govern' activities during Halloween. The empirical results suggest that population homogeneity, the upper class' scope for 'purchasing' norm conformity from middle and lower classes, the abundance of social capital and the cohesiveness of family units are all important determinants of the likelihood that a city or locale will employ formal order-producing mechanisms during the Halloween period. The results are supportive of the seminal work on norms by Becker (1996) and others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-730 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000249797 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000249797&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:725-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Idson Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Idson Author-Name: Leo Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Title: Teammate effects on pay Abstract: This paper explores the question of whether a worker's pay is affected by the attributes of co-workers. Using data from the NBA on players who have switched teams, it is found that teammate attributes do influence an individual's pay. Comparisons to the NHL suggest that differential co-worker effects reflect the nature of complementarity in different production environments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-733 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:731-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vijay Gondhalekar Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Gondhalekar Author-Name: R. Raymond Sant Author-X-Name-First: R. Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Sant Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Title: The price of corporate acquisition: determinants of cash takeover premia Abstract: A sample of cash-only acquisitions of Nasdaq targets during 1973-1999 is examined. It is found that the mean (median) percentage premia declines from 74% (65%) during the 1970s to 47% (42%) in the 1990s. Consistent with recent research on the value reduction associated with diversification, it is observed that acquirers generally will not pay higher prices to acquire firms operating in different industries. It is found that over-invested firms pursue acquisitions more aggressively by paying higher premia while under-invested firms pay less, on average. Finally, the evidence suggests that agency rather than synergistic or hubris effects influence the level of merger premia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-739 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:735-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Author-Name: Jan Willem Van Den End Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Van Den Author-X-Name-Last: End Title: Do stock prices affect house prices? Evidence for the Netherlands Abstract: The relationship between stock prices and house prices is investigated by comparing different segments of the Dutch housing market. This connection is strongest for the most expensive segment, and is also related to homeowners' stock market exposure. These findings support the idea that equity is a determinant of house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254863 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254863&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petri Bockerman Author-X-Name-First: Petri Author-X-Name-Last: Bockerman Title: Does labour market reorganization reduce unemployment? Abstract: This study addresses the connection between reorganization and unemployment in the labour market. Reorganization of regional labour markets measured by simultaneous gross migration flows lowers the unemployment rate, based on evidence from a panel of Finnish regions. However, reorganization is shown to be unrelated to long-term unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Veraros Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Veraros Author-Name: Evangelia Kasimati Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Kasimati Author-Name: Peter Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: The 2004 Olympic Games announcement and its effect on the Athens and Milan stock exchanges Abstract: Through an event study methodology, the effect of the nomination of Athens as the hosting city for the Olympics of 2004 on the stock exchanges of Greece (winner) and Italy (loser), the two primary candidates for the Games is examined. Academic literature suggests that sporting mega events have a positive contribution to the host area economy. This implies that the stock exchange should react positively to the announcement of such events. Berman et al. (2000), in a similar study on the announcement of the Sydney 2000 Olympics, found no significant effect on the overall market and only limited effect on infrastructure-related companies based in the specific area hosting the Games. This study reveals a significantly positive effect on the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) as a whole, as well as on infrastructure-related industries. No significant effect was identified on the Milan Stock Exchange (MSE). The differences in the impact of the announcement to economy size differences between the two countries and to the assessment is attributed to the fact that due to the highly competitive nature of the bidding process the financial markets assign higher probability to losing instead of winning. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sheng-Yung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Foreign exchange risk, world diversification and Taiwanese ADRs Abstract: This study tries to answer the following question: Should the US investors purchase American depository receipts (ADRs) issued by Taiwanese multinationals? The conditional international asset pricing model of Dumas and Solnik (Journal of Finance, 50, 445-79, 1995) is applied to price these Taiwanese American depository receipts (ADRs). Empirical results show that foreign exchange risk is priced in Taiwanese ADRs. Moreover, Taiwanese ADRs are shown to help US investors diversify their portfolios globally. These findings suggest that Taiwanese ADRs are valid investment tools for US investors who seek international diversifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254629 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254629&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elmer Sterken Author-X-Name-First: Elmer Author-X-Name-Last: Sterken Title: Demand for money and shortages in Ethiopia Abstract: The paper discusses the long-run monetary conditions in Ethiopia in the last three decades. These decades can be characterized by large political changes, leading to shocks on income and population growth, and two serious periods of drought. Both affected inflation and real demand for M1 through shortages of food. Shortage due to drops in rainfall might have long-run monetary consequences. Despite regime shifts we find support for stability of Ethiopian narrow money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-769 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000245511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000245511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:759-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheolbeom Park Author-X-Name-First: Cheolbeom Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Pei Fang Lim Author-X-Name-First: Pei Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Excess sensitivity of consumption, liquidity constraints, and mandatory saving Abstract: Using Singapore mandatory saving system, it is examined whether liquidity constraint is a major reason for the excess-sensitivity of consumption to predictable income growth. Although the mandatory saving rate for employees could be a good measure for the financial condition of a liquidity-constrained consumer, it is found, through the nonlinear instrumental variable estimation, that consumption growth is not sensitive to changes in the mandatory saving rate for employees. This finding suggests that liquidity constraints would not be a major reason for the excess-sensitivity puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-774 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000240101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000240101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:771-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Does financial variable(s) explain the Japanese aggregate import demand? A cointegration analysis Abstract: This study is an extension of the study by Tang (Japan and the World Economy, 15, 419-36, 2003b), which has documented no long-run equilibrium relationship among the Japanese aggregate imports, real income and relative price of imports. This finding, however, is probably due to the bias of variable(s) omission. To fill this gap, financial variable(s) has been empirically incorporated into the Japan's import demand analysis. Using a cointegration approach, this study has provided empirical support for the inclusion of financial variable(s) into the Japanese aggregate import demand function. This is an important finding from the viewpoint of policymakers upon the implications of momentary policies on the Japanese trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-780 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000236584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000236584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:775-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Smallwood Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smallwood Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Title: Estimating cointegrating vectors using near unit root variables Abstract: This paper argues that the predominant method of estimating equilibrium relationships in macroeconometric models, namely the VECM system of Johansen, is severely flawed if the underlying variables are distributed as near unit root processes. Researchers may apply cointegration techniques to these processes, as the power of rejecting near unit roots using standard unit root tests is extremely low. Using Monte Carlo analysis, problematic behaviour of cointegration analysis is found in detecting the true underlying form of the connection between the near unit root processes. Furthermore the connecting vector is imprecisely estimated, resulting in problematic inference for error correction models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000245520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000245520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Jorge Andraz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Andraz Title: Public highway spending and state spillovers in the USA Abstract: The empirical results reported in this paper suggest that only about 20% of the aggregate effects of public investment in highways in the US are captured by the direct effects on each state output of public investment in the state itself. The remaining 80% correspond to the spillover effects from public investment in highways in other states. This result may provide an answer to the paradox in the literature that the findings of large effects at the aggregate level have not been matched at the regional level. This is because regional analysis has typically ignored the possible existence of spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 12 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:12:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuhide Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Yasuhide Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: On the equity aspect of the 'quasi-market' in educational services: the case of the North-West region in England Abstract: This paper considers the equity aspect of the educational reform in English secondary education. By using data from the School Performance Tables in the North West region of England, two indices of equity measurement, the 'dissimilarity index' and the Gini coefficient, are calculated. From the results, it is found out that the disparity between schools in the region has not been a serious problem so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-791 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000258292 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000258292&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:789-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Neumayer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Neumayer Title: The super-rich in global perspective: a quantitative analysis of the Forbes list of billionaires Abstract: Why are there more super-rich people in some countries than in others? Extra-ordinary wealth is often regarded with envy and might raise the suspicion that it can only be accumulated with the help of a minimalist state that does not concern itself with the plight of the many. This raises the issue whether a high number of billionaires can co-exist with a high-taxing, interventionist, social and welfare spending government? These two questions are at the heart of this paper's analysis. To answer them a quantitative analysis of the global Forbes list of billionaires is undertaken. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 793-796 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000258283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000258283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:793-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan Paya Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: Kent Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Title: Term spread and real economic activity in Korea: was the crisis predictable? Abstract: This paper has three objectives. First, it examines the link between the term spread (difference between long-term and short-term rate of interest) and GDP growth in the Korean economy for the period 1980-1999. Second, it tests for the independent information content of the term spread by including current and expected monetary policy indicators. Third, it explores the usefulness of the spread as a leading indicator of recessions and poses the question, was the crisis of 1997-1998 predictable? Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-801 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:797-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: A social discount rate for France Abstract: Each of the member countries of the European Union should, ideally, employ the same approach to measuring a discount rate for application in the appraisal of social projects. This, however, is far from the case! The German rate is based on financial market data, the British measure reflects social time preference and the French rate is usually based on the marginal product of capital. While the German and British rates are similar in value, the French rate of 8% is over twice as high! In this paper, a discount rate based on social time preference is estimated for France and the policy implications of the result are then considered. The main finding is that the real rate of discount would fall to less than half its current level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-808 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254638 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254638&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:803-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Christopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Christopoulos Title: Currency devaluation and output growth: new evidence from panel data analysis Abstract: Using panel data unit root tests and panel cointegration tests including Johansen maximum likelihood cointegration tests, as well as estimation techniques appropriate for heterogeneous panels such as fully modified OLS, this study examines the effect of currency devaluation on output expansion in a sample of eleven Asian countries over the period 1968-1999. The results suggest that, in the long run, output growth is affected by currency devaluation in the majority of countries under examination and in the panel as a whole. This finding stands at variance with other recent studies, which concluded that devaluation does not exert any important influence on aggregate output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-813 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254647 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254647&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:809-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunday Osaretin Iyare Author-X-Name-First: Sunday Osaretin Author-X-Name-Last: Iyare Author-Name: Troy Lorde Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Lorde Title: Co-integration, causality and Wagner's law: tests for selected Caribbean countries Abstract: In this paper, six versions of Wagner's Law were empirically tested employing aggregate annual time-series data on nine Caribbean countries. The results indicate that a long-run equilibrium relationship between income and government expenditure does not exist for the countries studied, with the exceptions of Grenada, Guyana and Jamaica for a particular formulation of Wagner's Law. However, the direction of causality runs from income to government expenditure only for Guyana, while for the other two, the causality runs in the other direction. Results for short-run causality are mixed, but the predominant causal relationship appears to run from income to government expenditure. In light of the empirical results in this paper, one may tentatively conclude that Wagner's Law finds broad support in these islands. These results run counter to what has been previously reported for a subset of the islands studied in this paper. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-825 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:815-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Guillaume Sahuc Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Sahuc Title: Partial indexation and inflation dynamics: what do the data say? Abstract: New evidence is provided on the fit of the hybrid Phillips curve based on indexation of prices to lagged inflation and trend inflation for the Euro area and the USA over the period 1970-2002. The GMM-West estimates suggest that (i) a full indexation scheme is not data consistent whereas a partial indexation scheme allows a good fit and (ii) forgetting trend inflation induces overestimating by approximately 3-4% of the probability to not change the price, for reasonable values of trend inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-832 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:827-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Fernandez De Guevara Author-X-Name-First: Juan Fernandez Author-X-Name-Last: De Guevara Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Title: Measuring welfare loss of market power: an application to European banks Abstract: From a model of imperfect competition among banking firms, this study derives an analytical expression that allows empirical quantification of the welfare loss associated with imperfect competition. Its application to the specific case of the European banking system shows that in spite of the process of deregulation, market power increased during the 1990s in 10 out of the 15 countries of the EU. The welfare loss associated with market power represents close to 2.5% of EU GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-836 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:833-836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Frequency domain principal components estimation of fractionally cointegrated processes Abstract: This study introduces a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the loading matrix for the common factors for fractionally cointegrated long memory processes. A Monte Carlo simulation exercise reveals that the proposed estimator has already good properties with relatively small sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 837-842 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261298 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261298&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:837-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Llop Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Llop Author-Name: Antonio Manresa Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Manresa Title: The general equilibrium effects of social security contributions under alternative incidence assumptions Abstract: This study deals with the economic effects of a firm's social security taxes in the Catalan economy, using an applied general equilibrium model. A novel aspect of the analysis is that it hypothesizes about the incidence of firm's contributions on both employers and employees. The results of a reduction in firm's social security taxation are sensitive to the incidence assumption. In particular, the study shows that the effects on regional unemployment, income distribution and relative prices of factors depend considerably on the incidence hypothesis assumed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-850 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000258265 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000258265&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:847-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Merino Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Merino Title: Firms' productivity and internationalization: a statistical dominance test Abstract: The literature on firm's internationalization establishes a direct relationship between productivity and foreign activities. This paper extends the usual tests on this relationship in two areas: first, it distinguishes the main stages in the internationalization process (multinationals and exporters); second, as tests of difference of means may be insufficient, statistical dominance tests of the productivity distribution have been formulated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-854 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000254890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:851-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Irvin Tucker Author-X-Name-First: Irvin Author-X-Name-Last: Tucker Title: Pigskins and publications revisited Abstract: Using a sample of US universities, Shugart et al. (Atlantic Economic Journal, 14, pp. 45-50, 1986) reported a regression model estimation that the winning percentage of a football team was inversely related to the average number of pages published in top economics journals by an economics department faculty. To re-examine this finding, a similar empirical model was applied to more recent data and this investigation found that the football winning percentage has no statistically significant impact on the per capita number of pages published in top economics journals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-845 Issue: 13 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:843-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact distribution and critical values of a unit root test in the presence of change in variance Abstract: This paper, using the Imhof (1961) method, shows the method of evaluating numerically the exact distribution of a unit root test statistic when the error variance changes. Based on the method, the effect of the change in variance on the exact distribution is examined, and we tabulate numerically exact critical values when the sample size is small and moderate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-860 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:855-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreea Andronescu Author-X-Name-First: Andreea Author-X-Name-Last: Andronescu Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Long-run estimates of money demand in Romania Abstract: This paper estimates the long-run demand for money in Romania using monthly data from January 1994 to August 2003. The Johansen-Juselius cointegration procedure provides evidence of one cointegrating vector for both narrowly and broadly defined money demand functions. Real money balances are not only sensitive to real income, but also the domestic interest rate and the depreciation of the domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 861-864 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:861-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Title: Does more time improve test scores in micro principles? Abstract: This note reports on an empirical exercise designed to examine the connection between a student's decision on test-taking time and resulting test scores. Based on a small sample of microeconomics principles students observed over several tests, evidence is found supporting a positive impact of added time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-867 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:865-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gi Choon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Gi Choon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Sonya Kostova Huffman Author-X-Name-First: Sonya Kostova Author-X-Name-Last: Huffman Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: An empirical analysis of joint decisions on labour supply and welfare participation Abstract: Economic and welfare programme factors affect the wellbeing of low-income families and their labour supply decisions. This study uses recent data from the US Survey of Income and Programme Participation. A nested logit model is estimated to explain the joint decisions to participate in Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) and the labour market for the population of families potentially eligible for TANF. The empirical findings indicate that higher wages increase labour and decrease welfare programme participation; an increase in non-labour income decreases both labour market and welfare participation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-872 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000269885 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000269885&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:869-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sotiris Staikouras Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Staikouras Title: A chronicle of the banking and currency crises Abstract: The research undertaken in the area of banking and currency crises is surveyed. The causes and implications of the twin crises are discussed, along with the theoretical and empirical framework for investigating them. The overview has highlighted a number of interesting aspects. A consistent set of economic indicators is identified as being able to predict possible financial jitters. Non-quantified factors such as expectations, herding behaviour and contagion are also crucial beyond and above economic fundamentals. The direction of the twin crises' causality is not clearly established yet. It is usually a banking crisis that precedes a currency downfall, with the latter creating a vicious spiral. Finally, a few other points are identified as issues of future concern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-878 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282240 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282240&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:873-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Spurious rejection by cointegration tests incorporating structural change in the cointegrating relationship Abstract: In recent research, Leybourne and Newbold have shown commonly employed tests of cointegration to exhibit spurious rejection when applied to independent unit root processes subject to breaks in either level or trend. In the present paper, this research is extended to consider the finite-sample properties of cointegration tests which explicitly incorporate structural change. It is shown that when applied to independent unit root processes subject to regime shifts, cointegration tests permitting structural change in the cointegrating relationship can spuriously reject the null of no cointegration more frequently than the standard tests considered by Leybourne and Newbold. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-884 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485040000267012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485040000267012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:879-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: International production sharing and economic development: moving up the value-chain for a small-open economy Abstract: This study theoretically examines the factors required by a small-open economy to move up the value-chain. To carry out the study, a framework of production sharing involving a large developed country and a less developed small-open economy is used. Service bundles are modelled as inputs for coordinating the manufacturing activities located across the countries. It is found that the small-open economy can move up the value-chain when the size of its skilled labour force increases and the production cost of its service bundles decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-889 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:885-889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Some frequency domain properties of fractionally cointegrated processes Abstract: The paper shows that the multiple squared coherence at the zero frequency for fractionally differenced (fractionally) cointegrated processes is equal to one, while the simple squared coherences assume a value greater than zero but lower than one. In the bivariate case the multiple and simple squared coherence coincide and, therefore, the simple squared coherence at the zero frequency assumes a unitary value. It is also found that processes that are not fractionally cointegrated show, in general, positive, but lower than one, multiple and simple squared coherences at the zero frequency. In the case the dependent and independent variables are driven by different long memory factors, i.e. in the case when the dependent variable is orthogonal at the zero frequency to any of the regressors, the squared multiple coherence will assume a zero value, as any of the squared simple coherences. It is finally shown that all the above results also hold for the series in levels, as the frequency tends to zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-894 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000261289 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000261289&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:891-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Title: Information processing and the UK weekend effect: do investors cut their losses on Mondays? Abstract: This paper complements earlier work by the author that shows that the pattern of information arrivals into the UK stock market may explain the behaviour of returns. It is argued that delays or other systematic behaviour in the processing of this information could compound the impact of information arrival patterns. It is found, however, that this does not happen, and so it is the arrival and not the processing of news that is most important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-899 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000263890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:895-899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Pindado Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Pindado Author-Name: Chabela De La Torre Author-X-Name-First: Chabela Author-X-Name-Last: De La Torre Title: Why is ownership endogenous? Abstract: A recently published paper by Gugler and Weigand (2003) addresses the problem of the endogeneity of ownership, but an unresolved question remains. Where does this endogeneity come from? It is shown that the main source of endogeneity is the simultaneity between ownership and value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-904 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000267003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000267003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:901-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Estelle Binet Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Estelle Author-X-Name-Last: Binet Author-Name: Jean-Sebastien Pentecote Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Sebastien Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecote Title: Tax degression and the political budget cycle in French municipalities Abstract: This paper explores local incumbent behaviour during office. First, empirical evidence is given about the fiscal policy instruments by which French municipalities try to influence election outcome. Special care is taken about the econometric issues raised by the dynamic panel data setting. Secondly, a theoretical framework is built to investigate the political budget cycle when local taxation is degressive as in France. Its main results help understanding of the empirical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000268642 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000268642&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Short run real exchange rate dynamics: a SUR approach Abstract: This paper examines the convergence question by contrasting the half-lives of deviations across the producer price index (PPI) and consumer price index (CPI) in a bivariate error correction model. To improve efficiency, the models are estimated jointly using a seemingly unrelated regressions approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-913 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000269876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000269876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:909-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ya-Ming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: An application of adverse selection: rural agricultural production in China since the 1950s Abstract: Asymmetric information problems in collective rural agricultural production in China after 1955 is examined by applying the theory of adverse selection. This application shows the movement of equilibrium stages from a pooling contract to a separating one can explain the process of rural reform in China from the collective institution arrangement to the household responsibility system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-917 Issue: 14 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:14:p:915-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Size properties of cointegration tests in misspecified systems Abstract: The small sample size properties of three frequently used cointegration tests when a system has been misspecified are investigated. Specifically, the misspecification consists of one relevant variable being omitted from a system with one cointegrating vector. A Monte Carlo study shows that the Johansen (1991) trace test, adjusted by a simple finite sample correction, has the most robust behaviour when lag length in the test equations is chosen according to traditional information criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-924 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282286 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282286&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:919-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sami Jarvinen Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Jarvinen Author-Name: Harri Toivonen Author-X-Name-First: Harri Author-X-Name-Last: Toivonen Title: Pricing European commodity swaptions Abstract: In this paper, formulas for commodity swaptions are presented. By utilizing the forward price based approach a simple closed form solution for European swaptions is derived based on the assumption of deterministic volatility for lognormal variables. The formulas result from applying the Margrabe (1978) exchange option concept to the present problem. A special case of constant volatility yields the Black (1976) formula that has been the market standard in the interest rate swaption markets for many years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-929 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:925-929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Determinants of subscription time for portable internet service Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants of the subscription time for portable Internet service (PIS). To this end, a two-equation model, which incorporates a two-level decision structure: a decision on whether to subscribe for the PIS and a decision on the subscription time conditional on deciding to subscribe for it, is proposed. The two-equation model is appropriate for analysing the determinants of the subscription time for PIS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 931-934 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282268 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282268&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:931-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Title: Productivity transitions in the US manufacturing sector Abstract: This note investigates productivity dynamics of US manufacturing industries during the period 1958-1996. Nonparametric methods are used to calculate total factor productivity relative to a frontier production function and to estimate the transition density. The shape of the transition density leads to the conclusion that persistence relative to the frontier function plays a substantial role in sectoral productivity development, thereby contradicting the existence of strong intertemporal spillover effects between sectors as supposed in recent growth models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-937 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:935-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Walkenhorst Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Walkenhorst Title: EU exporter-concerns about non-tariff measures Abstract: As customs tariffs have been reduced in subsequent rounds of trade negotiations, increasing attention has focused on the impacts of domestic policies on international trade and the use of non-tariff measures (NTMs). According to evidence from an inventory of business complaints, natural resource based industries, such as agriculture and food, mining, and textiles, are most strongly affected by NTMs relative to their export volumes. Certification procedures, quantity control measures, and technical regulations are the types of NTM most frequently complained about. Concerns about domestic governance practices, such as impediments related to government procurement, investment restrictions, or insufficient intellectual property rights protection account for almost a third of all NTM observations and are in most cases not sector-specific, but of a general nature. These complaints are frequently associated with discriminatory practices or inappropriate regulations, while delays and obstructions are repeatedly mentioned in relation to customs and certification procedures and technical regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285805 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285805&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cosme Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Statistical variability of top ranking economics journals impact Abstract: Four issues concerning the quality of scientific economics papers are addressed. First, the ex-ante procedure of computing the average impact of economic papers are validated by comparing its results with the ex post values. Second, an estimator of papers normalized impact is calibrated. Third, the ranking variability of journals is computed using a bootstrap procedure. Fourth, the statistical hypothesis that journals' ranking did not change over the time interval between 1980 and 2000 is tested. It is concluded that this hypothesis is rejected only for the Quarterly Journal of Economics and Econometrica, which saw their citation impact improved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Wada Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Wada Title: Informational content of stock exchanges versus over-the-counter markets: the behaviour of stock indices around the Asian financial crisis in Japan and Korea Abstract: The daily returns of the stock exchange index and the over-the counter (OTC) index in Japan and Korea around the Asian financial crisis are investigated. The stock exchange index contains information on relatively old technology sectors, while the OTC index contains information on relatively new technology sectors. Although previous studies focused only on the performance of the former, the behaviour of these two indices around the crisis is shown to be different. Thus, additional insight is obtained by considering these two market indices at the same time Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-955 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291358 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291358&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:949-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Measuring market power of the US cigarette industry Abstract: The US cigarette industry is attributed to have been involved in cartel practices from time to time. Such practice undermines the actual purpose of deregulation. So far, there have been sparse studies on measuring their market power. The studies done so far have mostly found that the US cigarette industry has not been perfectly competitive. Most of the studies were done a long time ago and the industry has undergone substantial structural changes since then (in the late 1980s and 1990s). Therefore, this study attempts to measure their market power in recent years. Evidence that the US cigarette industry is competitive is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-959 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000282222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000282222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:957-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Aquino Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Aquino Title: A multifactor model of Philippine stock returns using latent macro risk factors Abstract: This study addresses the measurement problem inherent in using published macroeconomic data to proxy for unobservable macro risk factors. Using a structural equation modelling framework, four latent risk factors are identified in addition to the exchange rate and market timing risk factors. The latter two are proxied one-for-one by fluctuations in the nominal peso-dollar exchange rate and the excess return on the portfolio represented by the Phisix. Using transformations of published macroeconomic data as indicator variables, the measurement part of the model appears to capture the essence of the unobservable risk factors they are supposed to measure. The betas or factor loadings generated by the structural model indicate that fluctuations in the risk factors have significant effects on the time variation of stock returns. However, the effects are more pronounced after the onset of the Asian financial crisis than before. Tests of model fit do not reject the hypothesis that the returns are consistent with the six-factor model for the entire period covered by the study, although individual factors are priced only during the 1997-2001 sub-period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-968 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:961-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Weaver Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Weaver Author-Name: Justus Wessler Author-X-Name-First: Justus Author-X-Name-Last: Wessler Title: Monopolistic pricing power for transgenic crops when technology adopters face irreversible benefits and costs Abstract: Pricing of biotechnology innovation under a patent grant is reconsidered in a model with uncertain returns and irreversible costs and benefits. Past results on restricted monopoly pricing in the presence of competing technologies showed that pricing power is reduced. The timing of adoption of an innovation is delayed and the pricing power of the restricted monopolist is further reduced when uncertainty and irreversibility is considered. The presence of irreversible benefits results in increased willingness-to-pay for the innovation, accelerating adoption, and increasing the innovator's restricted monopolist pricing power. Using Monte-Carlo simulation, the quantitative effects were approximated by a linear function through the hyper-plane. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-973 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000285814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000285814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:969-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Lynn Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Lynn Title: Restaurant tips and service quality: a commentary of Bodvarsson, Luksetich and McDermott (2003) Abstract: Bodvarsson et al. (2003) argue that a non-recursive relationship between service and tipping has led researchers to underestimate the strength of the causal impact of service on tipping. In this paper, their arguments, analyses, and conclusions are criticized. Then, their data is re-analysed to draw more appropriate conclusions as to what the data say concerning the effects of service on tipping. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-978 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:975-978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. -Y. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Y. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Gresham's law in the late Chosun Korea Abstract: The issue of Gresham's law in the late Chosun Korea is addressed. Available historical records are interpreted to provide evidence that undervalued money was taken out of circulation because of both the legal tender law and Rolnick and Weber's law. Later, however, undervalued money replaced overvalued money because of the inflationary effect of the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 979-984 Issue: 15 Volume: 11 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:15:p:979-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Jared Loftus Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Loftus Author-Name: Windy Keene Author-X-Name-First: Windy Author-X-Name-Last: Keene Title: The decay of norms and the production of social order: conceptual and empirical models Abstract: This note explores the decay of social norms using a model of the production of social order in the context of 'rules' employed by cities/municipalities to 'govern' activities during Halloween. The empirical results suggest that population homogeneity, the upper class' scope for 'purchasing' norm conformity from middle and lower classes, the abundance of social capital and the cohesiveness of family units are all important determinants of the likelihood that a city or locale will employ formal order-producing mechanisms during the Halloween period. The results are supportive of the seminal work on norms by Becker (1996) and others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000249797 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000249797&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Mossialos Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mossialos Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Konstantina Davaki Author-X-Name-First: Konstantina Author-X-Name-Last: Davaki Author-Name: Konstantinos Karras Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Karras Title: Is there 'patient selection' in the demand for private maternity care in Greece? Abstract: The influence of private health insurance (PHI) and gynaecologists' demand for leisure in determining a caesarean section (CS) delivery is examined. A database collected in January 2002 is exploited which contains records on women who attended the second largest private hospital in Greece. A joint maximum-likelihood probit estimation for the PHI subscription and the decision to undertake CS is employed. Results suggest that the obstetrician's decision to undertake CS is not independent of the women having PHI coverage. The probability of a CS taking place increases by about 20% if mothers have PHI. Furthermore, CS deliveries were more likely to take place between 12.00 and 16.00 pm and on working week days and Saturdays. The results support the hypothesis of patient selection on the basis of holding PHI and exhibit evidence of gynaecologists' 'demand for leisure'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-12 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850420007099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850420007099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:7-12 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Belman Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Belman Author-Name: Kristen Monaco Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Monaco Title: Are truck drivers underpaid? Abstract: There is an emerging debate over whether truck drivers are 'underpaid' given their human capital and working conditions. Using data from the 2000 Current Population Survey, the pay differentials between truck drivers and other blue collar occupations are investigated. While truck drivers appear to receive a small premium in their hourly wage compared to workers with similar skill requirements, they receive substantial premium in their weekly wage. This weekly wage differential is primarily the result of a substantially longer work week. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:13-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Terregrossa Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Terregrossa Title: On the efficacy of constraints on the linear combination forecast model Abstract: Combination forecasting has been demonstrated to be a successful technique for enhanced forecast accuracy of economic and financial variables. An established method to generate the component-forecast weights is the ordinary-least-squares (OLS) regression technique: Actual values of a variable are regressed on within-sample values of forecasts generated by alternative forecast sources. The estimated regression coefficients then serve as weights for out-of-sample combination forecasts. The present study addresses the controversy regarding the efficacy of placing restrictions on the combining model when generating weights for out-of-sample forecasts. Combinations are formed of component earnings-growth forecasts generated separately by financial analysts and a statistical model. Both restricted and unrestricted OLS are used in turn to generate the component-forecast weights. The findings suggest that combinations formed with weights generated by OLS with the constant suppressed and the sum-of-the-coefficients constrained to equal one, lead to enhanced forecast-accuracy and generally perform best. This study differs from a previous related study appearing in Applied Financial Economics1 in at least three main ways: (1) Combination forecasts are formed using actual regression-coefficients as forecast weights; (2) Forecast weights are generated using unrestricted OLS, as well as restricted OLS; (3) All combination forecasts are strictly ex-ante simulated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:19-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tung Liang Liao Author-X-Name-First: Tung Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Mei-Chu Ke Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Ke Author-Name: Hsiang-Tai Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiang-Tai Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Anomalous price behaviour around stock repurchases on the Taiwan stock exchange Abstract: This study examines the impact of stock repurchases on a repurchasing firm's stock returns on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). It is clear that significant negative abnormal returns are observed most days prior to the announcement day and that significant positive abnormal returns are detected on the announcement day and during the first few days of the post-announcement period. The total sample is further divided into various sub samples on the basis of the purpose of repurchasing, the industrial sector, firm size and the size of the repurchase. On account of the feature of industrial development in the last ten years in Taiwan, the peculiar finding is that the book-to-market ratio, which has been used to partition the repurchasing sample in the USA and Canada in previous studies, may be more appropriately substituted by the industrial sector. This finding indicates that the stock repurchase announcements of financial firms or conventional firms generate a greater impact on stock returns than do electronics firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000291402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000291402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:29-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Cross-country disparities in welfare, 1970-1998 Abstract: In this study we explore the evolution and origin of international welfare inequality in a sample of 39 countries between 1970 and 1998. To achieve this aim, different theoretical results taken from the literature on personal income distribution have been applied to an additive decomposition of Sen's welfare index. In relation to the evolution of international disparities in welfare, the conclusions obtained vary depending on the inclusion in the analysis of population shares. In addition, cross-country productivity differences emerge as playing the major role in accounting for observed patterns of welfare inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000293112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000293112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manh Vu Le Author-X-Name-First: Manh Vu Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Terukazu Suruga Author-X-Name-First: Terukazu Author-X-Name-Last: Suruga Title: Foreign direct investment, public expenditure and economic growth: the empirical evidence for the period 1970-2001 Abstract: The simultaneous impact of public expenditures and foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth is studied. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study that takes into account the interaction between FDI and public expenditures in determining the economic growth rate. Using a sample of 105 developing and developed countries for the period 1970-2001, the main findings are (i) FDI, public capital, and private investment play important roles in promoting economic growth, (ii) public non-capital expenditure has a negative impact on economic growth, and (iii) excessive spending in public capital expenditure can hinder the beneficial effects of FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000293130 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000293130&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:45-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Amin Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Amin Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Modelling entrepreneurship in small-scale enterprises Abstract: In the small-scale enterprises, the entrepreneurs and managers are often one and the same. This paper attempts to estimate the entrepreneurial competence in small-scale enterprises decomposing into entrepreneurial ability and managerial efficiency using the frontier production function. The empirical results show that most of the sample enterprises fail to realize their full entrepreneurial potential. The important implication of these results is that small enterprises should generate a different set of rules than large enterprises in the decision-making process that best conduces them to move toward their potential frontier. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307071 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307071&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:51-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lanier Nalley Author-X-Name-First: Lanier Author-X-Name-Last: Nalley Author-Name: Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Gregory Parkhurst Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Parkhurst Title: The initial endowment effect in experimental auctions revisited: further evidence Abstract: This analysis employs a uniform 4th price sealed-bid auction to test the impact of endowment heterogeneity on participant bids. A mechanism to legitimize the wealth of participants consistent with prior research on endowments is employed. Second, unlike some previous literature, a mechanism to endogenously induce endowment heterogeneity is employed. Results from a Tobit analysis of participant bids indicate that endowment heterogeneity has no significant impact on bidding behaviour. Therefore, it is concluded that when wealth is legitimized within an experiment, bidding behaviour is more likely rational leading to more robust experimental results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307080 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307080&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:1:p:59-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Siegler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Siegler Title: International growth and volatility in historical perspective Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between the volatility and growth of real GDP using a newly constructed panel data set from twelve countries over the 1870 to 1929 period. In addition, many other variables are examined that are related to economic growth. The goal has been to uncover robust empirical regularities on this issue for the period prior to the Great Depression - a period which has been relatively neglected in previous empirical work. The main finding is that there is a robust negative partial correlation between volatility and growth, after controlling for other factors. This result is consistent with recent empirical evidence on the post-World War II period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaughan Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Title: Price-cost margins, prices and concentration in US manufacturing: a panel study Abstract: This study tries to separate the efficiency and market power effects of higher concentration for a panel of 253 US manufacturing industries covering the years 1963 to 1992. To do so, two fixed effects estimations of price equations are introduced. The first includes, among the independent variables, average variable cost and a mark-up term dependent on the four firm concentration ratio and isolates the partial effect of concentration on price holding cost constant (the market power effect). The second omits average cost and uses the bias induced to make inferences about the efficiency effect. The results suggest both market power and efficiency effects exist, with the latter dominating. Specifically, for given average cost, higher concentration leads to higher prices, but when average cost are relegated to the error term, higher concentration leads to lower prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:79-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Wavelet-based beta estimation and Japanese industrial stock prices Abstract: This paper applies the multi-scale beta estimation approach based on wavelet analysis proposed in Gencay et al. (2002) to Japanese industrial stock prices. Betas are calculated based on the wavelet rough and smooth from the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and it is argued that the conventional beta estimate is an 'average' of the wavelet-based beta estimates. Some empirical evidence is shown that implies that the multi-scale beta estimation approach is useful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:85-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saurabh Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saurabh Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: The post-offering performance of IPOs in the Indian banking industry Abstract: In the literature, the underperformance of IPOs is a well-documented empirical anomaly. This study concentrates on IPOs from the banking sector of an emerging economy, India. In a developing country, the role of the banking sector for economic development is undisputed. In view of its importance in economic resource allocation and its distinction from other industries in general, this paper analyses the post offering performance of banking sector IPOs in detail. The performance evaluation on the basis of stock returns did not find significant evidences of underperformance for the IPOs from the banking sector. Moreover, the study, based on key accounting parameters, found improvement in the performance of the banks in the post-listing period. There were no significant differences across ownership groups (public sector banks vis-a-vis their private counterpart) in the IPO performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307143 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307143&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:89-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Millimet Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Millimet Title: Job search skills, employer size and wages Abstract: Many theories concerning the underlying cause of the observed positive correlation between employer size and wages have been evaluated empirically, with a sizeable residual remaining unexplained. This study presents and tests a new theory: successful applicants for vacancies in larger employers possess greater job search skills and therefore are able to obtain a wage closer to their maximum potential wage. Empirical results confirm that differential job search abilities can account for approximately 20% of the difference in average observed wages across large and small employers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314316 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314316&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:95-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ossama Mikhail Author-X-Name-First: Ossama Author-X-Name-Last: Mikhail Author-Name: Curtis Eberwein Author-X-Name-First: Curtis Author-X-Name-Last: Eberwein Author-Name: Jagdish Handa Author-X-Name-First: Jagdish Author-X-Name-Last: Handa Title: On the evidence of non-linear structure in Canadian unemployment Abstract: This study focuses on and examines the empirical evidence of non-linearity in aggregate Canadian unemployment. Contrary to the conclusion reached in many studies, and using a corrected for bias simple non-parametric test (SNT), the null hypothesis of a linear structure for Canadian unemployment is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Export expansion, economic growth and causality in China Abstract: This paper examines the causality between export expansion and economic growth in China using data covering the period from 1979 to 2001. A model allowing for different orders of integration reveals that they are cointegrated. The results of the error correction model show a bi-directional causality between them, supporting previous findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-107 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314343 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314343&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:105-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: Paloma Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Paloma Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Francisco Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Title: The BDS test and delay time Abstract: One of the most popular tests for detecting non-linear structure is the BDS test. This test is based on the correlation integral, and some studies have proved the sensitivity of this concept in relation to the choice of one particular parameter: delay time. However, the BDS test considers fixed delay time equal to one. In this paper it is investigated whether a flexible choice of delay time might improve the capacity of the BDS test. It is shown that the BDS-G test (generalized BDS test, including delay time choice) can capture non-linearities that are undetected by the classical BDS test. Finally, the robustness of the BDS-G test in the presence of noise is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:109-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: Overeducation, undereducation, and the theory of career mobility: a comment and a note on underemployment Abstract: Overeducated workers are commonly defined as having more schooling than required and more schooling than others in their occupations. Accordingly, the concept of overeducation compares the educational levels of workers within occupational categories. In subtle contrast, underemployed workers are employed in occupations requiring less education than the individuals have, comparing the occupational levels of workers with similar educational attainment. This subtle difference potentially leads to interpretation flaws. For example, Buchel and Mertens (2004) claim 'overeducated workers in Germany have markedly lower relative wage growth rates than adequately educated workers.' Since Buchel and Mertens control for educational attainment and not occupational levels, this statement and others are shown to be potentially flawed and subject to misinterpretation. Such statements need to clearly indicate that similarly educated individuals are being compared across occupational levels. This is because the common definition of overeducation suggests the opposite - that individuals with similar occupation levels are being compared across levels of schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337770 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337770&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:115-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ujo Goto Author-X-Name-First: Ujo Author-X-Name-Last: Goto Title: A test of the credibility of temporary protection: evidence from the Japanese oil industry Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the temporary protection policy for the Japanese oil industry provided by the Provisional Law on Importation of Specific Petroleum Products (Tokusekiho) between 1986 and 1996 was a credible policy. This policy plays a role as an incentive device forcing competition, but whether it functions effectively depends on whether the oil industry regarded the 'Temporariness' of the policy as being credible. The effectiveness of the law is analysed by measuring changes in the cost structure of four oil firms in the oil industry before, during and after the period of protection. It is found that the cost function of each firm shifted upwards during the period of protection, suggesting that the incentives did not work effectively. This implies that the temporary protection policy lacked credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:119-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panayotis Kapopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis Author-X-Name-Last: Kapopoulos Author-Name: Fotios Siokis Author-X-Name-First: Fotios Author-X-Name-Last: Siokis Title: Stock and real estate prices in Greece: wealth versus 'credit-price' effect Abstract: An attempt is made to clarify the relationship between price fluctuations of two major assets in Greece, real estate and stocks. Two mechanisms have been proposed to interpret this relationship. The first one is well known as 'wealth effect', which claims that households with unanticipated gains in share prices tend to increase the amount of housing. The second one is the credit price effect, which claims that a rise in real estate prices can stimulate economic activity, future profitability of firms and, as a consequence, stock market prices by raising the value of collateral and reducing the cost of borrowing for both firms and households. To test the above transmission, channel tests of Granger causality are employed. Empirical findings are in favour of the wealth effect hypothesis for Athens real estate prices but not for other urban real estate prices. Since real estate at the Athens Metropolitan area could be considered as an investment vehicle, it is reasonable to argue that higher stock prices increase the share of households' portfolios in the stock market and cause a rebalancing of their portfolios by selling stocks and purchasing other assets like houses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darren Filson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Filson Author-Name: Bunchon Songsamphant Author-X-Name-First: Bunchon Author-X-Name-Last: Songsamphant Title: Horizontal mergers and exit in declining industries Abstract: Previous work on exit in declining industries has neglected mergers. This paper examines a simple model that illustrates how mergers can affect the order of exit. The model also predicts which declining industries experience horizontal mergers. Mergers are more likely if (1) the inverse demand curve is steep at high levels of output and flat at low levels of output; (2) the industry declines slowly early on and rapidly later on; and (3) market concentration is high. The conditions that make mergers privately profitable also tend to make them socially optimal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314334 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314334&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andy Kwan Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Author-Name: Yangru Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yangru Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: On the use of the sample partial autocorrelation for order determination in a pure autoregressive process: a Monte Carlo study and empirical example Abstract: Sample partial autocorrelations are one of the main statistical tools of time series analysis. They are especially useful in identifying the order of an AR(p) process. In this note, we show via a simulation experiment that normalizing each sample partial autocorrelation with Anderson's (1993a) means and variances, instead of the large-sample moments, can yield asymptotic distributions that are better approximated by the N(0,1) distribution. The important implication of this result is that the true order of a pure autoregressive process can be incorrectly identified due to use of the large-sample mean and variance of sample partial autocorrelations. An empirical example given in Box and Jenkins (1976) is used to highlight this problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-139 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000319195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000319195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:133-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: Should we really care about building business cycle coincident indexes! Abstract: Quite often, the goal of the game when developing new coincident indexes of the economic activity is the comparison with NBER turning points. Using Monte Carlo simulations, this note illustrates that for the USA, any random linear combination of the four coincident variables would do the job as good as other more complicated methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-144 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338608 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338608&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:141-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Predicting the equity premium with dividend ratios: a matter of balance Abstract: Goyal and Welch (2003) used recursive residuals and plots of cumulative sum-squared errors to examine the predictive accuracy of dividend ratios in forecasting the equity premium. After a thorough specification search, Goyal and Welch were unable to find evidence in favour of dividend ratios as predictors of the equity premium. This note extends their analysis, further demonstrating the empirical fallacy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318439 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318439&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Title: A SVAR model for estimating core inflation in the Euro zone Abstract: A traditional role of central banks has been to protect the purchasing power of money by keeping a roof on inflation. Recently, several central banks have explicitly assumed an inflation control target. This is the case, among others, of the European Central Bank (ECB) whose monetary policy goal is to keep an annual inflation rate below 2% over a medium-term horizon (ECB, 2001). In practice, inflation is often measured in terms of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, the headline inflation rate is not totally under the control of the ECB. In this study core inflation is measured by means of the structural VAR approach, in particular it is based on long-run restrictions over crucial macroeconomic variables: inflation, money and output. Core inflation is estimated and compared with the standard measured inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-154 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000307125 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000307125&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:149-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Prazmowski Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Prazmowski Title: A recursive cointegration test using the Kalman filter and its application to fiscal equilibrium in the Dominican Republic Abstract: This letter puts forward a recursive version of the Engle and Granger cointegration test, using the Kalman filter, for the analysis of fiscal equilibrium in the Dominican Republic. The method employs a time-varying-coefficient augmented Dickey and Fuller test and finds that government income and spending display movements both toward and away from equilibrium that can be associated to various policy reforms and shocks to the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-160 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:155-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: Service liberalization, endogenous industrial composition and modernization Abstract: This paper presents a simple two-sector two-factor model with endogenously determined industrial composition. It is shown that by shrinking the cone of diversification, service liberalization may enable the economy to switch from equilibrium where both traditional and modern goods are produced to another where specialization in the modern good takes place. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-163 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323677 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323677&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:161-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Author-Name: Kazem Yavari Author-X-Name-First: Kazem Author-X-Name-Last: Yavari Title: The welfare cost of inflation in Italy Abstract: This paper follows Lucas (2000), and Serletis and Yavari (2004) and estimates the welfare cost of inflation in Italy. It uses recent advances in the field of applied econometrics to estimate the interest elasticity of money demand in Italy and reports welfare cost estimates close to those reported by Serletis and Yavari for Canada and the USA, but an order of magnitude smaller than those reported by Bullard and Russell (2004) for the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-168 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:165-168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Title: Do consumers have imperfect recollection about airline safety? Abstract: The inquiry examines whether consumers exhibit imperfect recollection about airline accidents. The state of the world is modelled with a Poisson distribution that updates over time. It is found that passengers of small carriers forget about accidents over time, thus leading to a 539% cumulative increase in enplanement while passengers of large carriers do not exhibit such a behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-176 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323631 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323631&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:169-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. C. Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: E. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Title: The dynamic responses of growth to tax structure for Greece Abstract: This paper estimates how output growth responds to shocks in the tax mix and tax burden over a long period of time. In particular, the underlying dynamic interactions between output growth, tax mix and tax burden are considered. To this purpose, Impulse Response Function analysis is applied. The chosen specification suggests that an appropriate tax-mix is one that would give weight to indirect taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-180 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318420 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318420&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:177-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: Douglas Owens Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Owens Title: Determinants of betting market efficiency Abstract: Previous studies of efficient markets in parimutuel betting isolated only one race characteristic, determining efficiency by comparing subjective to objective probabilities of different groupings. By incorporating regression analysis and looking at a wide range of race specific variables, this study is able to isolate various factors which influence efficiency. Using a data set of 5020 races at 18 US racetracks, a standard favourite-longshot bias was found, which diminishes for races with larger pools and more horses in a field, and increases for races with higher quality fields and maiden races. When track-specific characteristics are factored out, similar results occur and it is also found that races on grass reduce the bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000314352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000314352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:181-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Yongsheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Single housing starts and macroeconomic activity: an application of generalized impulse response analysis Abstract: Most studies that have examined the relationship between the housing market and the macroeconomy have focused on how changes in housing supply affect real activity and the like. In this paper, the possibility that housing starts respond to sudden changes or shocks to macroeconomic factors is explicitly accounted for. The empirical methodology employs the recently developed technique of generalized impulse response analysis Pesaran and Shin (1998). The results highlight the endogeneity that exists among the housing market and macroeconomic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: How to assess happiness? A tale of three measures Abstract: A growing literature in economics points to the importance of targeting policy towards making people happy rather than towards making them well-off. Empirical work in this area relies, however, on a simple direct question to survey respondents on how happy they feel. This study shows, using three different measures of happiness/unhappiness, that while there was a commonality in the factors making for happiness (or unhappiness), the quantitative strength of the factors, in terms of their effects on the various outcomes, differed according to the definition used. Moreover, some factors influenced particular measures of happiness but did not influence others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-194 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323686 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323686&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:191-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Kwon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Jin Kwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Author-Name: Byung-In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung-In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Redistributive effect of Korea's income tax: equity decomposition Abstract: The redistributive effect of Korea's income tax is relatively low as it has too low an average tax rate irrespective of high progressivity. The most serious problem is the excessively high level of horizontal inequity with unequal tax treatment of equal income groups. By examining changes over three research periods (1991, 1996, 2000), it was discovered that horizontal inequity with classical notion was the most serious in 1996 as it allowed extremely generous deductions and exemptions at that time. It is illustrated that Korea's income tax system can have a greater redistributive effect while increasing the level of horizontal equity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323703 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323703&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:3:p:195-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Forecasting inflation using the term structure and MARS Abstract: This study revisits the issue of forecasting changes in inflation using non-linear non-parametric methods. The results indicate the presence of threshold effects in the relationship between the information in the term structure and changes in the rate of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000318448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000318448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Estimating the autoregressive parameter: recursive mean adjustment and the initial condition Abstract: The simulation results of Shin and So (2001) are revisited. It is shown that the properties of the initial condition of a time series have a substantial impact on the ability of recursive mean adjustment to reduce the negative bias associated with estimation of the autoregressive parameter. Interestingly, it is found that recursive mean adjustment can generate positive bias for a range of values of the initial condition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-206 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337761 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337761&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:203-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Pfeiffer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeiffer Author-Name: Louis Velthuis Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Velthuis Title: On the optimality of linear contracts to induce goal-congruent investment behaviour Abstract: It has become increasingly popular in practice to implement incentive systems that create goal-congruent investment behaviour between central and divisional management. In the following paper, it is shown that only linear contracts enable goal-congruent investment decisions if central management does not have information about the investment project. This might cast a new light on why linear compensation schemes are often used in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-211 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000329095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000329095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:207-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: On the rationality of professional forecasts of corporate bond yield spreads Abstract: In evaluating the multiperiod forecasts of the corporate bond yield spread from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), it is shown that the consensus forecasts are generally unbiased and consistently outperform the comparable ARIMA forecasts and are thus, at least, weakly rational. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Niaz Asadullah Author-X-Name-First: M. Niaz Author-X-Name-Last: Asadullah Title: The effect of class size on student achievement: evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: This study examines the effect of class size on student achievement in Bangladesh using national secondary school survey data. A Ministry of Education rule regarding allocation of teachers to secondary grades is exploited to construct an instrument for class size. This rule causes a discontinuity between grade enrolment and class size thereby generating exogenous variation in the latter. It is found that OLS and IV estimates of class size effects have perverse signs: both yield a positive coefficient on the class size variable. The results suggest that reduction in class size in secondary grades is not efficient in a developing country like Bangladesh. Last, as by-product, some evidence is found suggesting that greater competition among schools improve student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323608 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323608&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Title: Optimal fares under uncertainty about airline safety Abstract: This paper models consumers as expected utility maximizers in order to provide a theoretical assessment of the optimal fares that consumers are willing to pay when faced with uncertainty about airline safety. It is found that under an unsafe state of the world, consumers are willing to pay higher fares and under a safe state of the world, they are willing to pay lower fares. In addition, it is also found that consumers are willing to pay higher fares to maximize the compensation received from airlines in reaction to accidents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Clement Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Clement Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Author-Name: Fabien Serres Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Serres Title: Downgrading in the first job: who and why? Abstract: The study estimates the probability of being downgraded at the time of the first employment according to individual socio-demographic, professional and education characteristics. This study, based on a very large French database, reveals the influence of the subjective or objective definitions of over-education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000323659 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000323659&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:227-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Title: A note on cointegrated relationships estimated with genetic algorithms Abstract: Estimation techniques based on Genetic Algorithms (GA) have been studied in the presence of cointegrated variables. Several applications of GA to time-series have ignored the fact that the equation estimated by GA might be spurious. In this line, in this study it is shown that: (1) GA robustly detects this kind of relationship when the process contains a linear cointegrated relationship, (2) estimated models provide real fitness instead of spurious fitness. The well known cointegrated relation between income and consumption is estimated using GA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-238 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000329112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000329112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:235-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dimitropoulos Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitropoulos Author-Name: Lester Hunt Author-X-Name-First: Lester Author-X-Name-Last: Hunt Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Estimating underlying energy demand trends using UK annual data Abstract: Employing the Structural Time Series Model (STSM) approach suggested by Harvey (1997), and based on annual data for the UK from 1967-2002, this paper reiterates the importance of using a stochastic rather than a linear deterministic trend formulation when estimating energy demand models, a practice originally established by Hunt et al. (2003a, 2003b) using quarterly UK data. The findings confirm that important non-linear and stochastic trends are present as a result of technical change and other exogenous factors driving demand, and that a failure to account for these trends will lead to biased estimates of the long-run price and income elasticities. The study also establishes that, provided these effects are allowed for, the estimated long-run elasticities are robust to the different data frequencies used in the modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-244 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337789 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337789&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:239-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Testing Hall's permanent income hypothesis for a developing country: the case of Fiji Abstract: Hall (1978) has stimulated considerable controversy and empirical work on testing the validity of the permanent income hypothesis (PIH). Much of this work is on the developed countries. In the developing countries per capita incomes show larger fluctuations and for the majority, opportunities for intertemporal substitution are limited. This paper uses the extended framework of Campbell and Mankiw (1989) and finds that current consumption is determined by current income for more than two thirds of the consumers in Fiji. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-248 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000337798 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000337798&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:245-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Altunbas Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Altunbas Author-Name: Blaise Gadanecz Author-X-Name-First: Blaise Author-X-Name-Last: Gadanecz Author-Name: Alper Kara Author-X-Name-First: Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Kara Title: Key factors affecting internationally active banks' decisions to participate in loan syndications Abstract: The impact of banks' financial characteristics on their decisions to participate in loan syndications is assessed. From the analysis, it appears that poorly performing banks tend, on average, to be more involved in syndications. Policymakers should perhaps monitor more closely the concentration of credit risk associated with syndicated loans held on the books of under-performing banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 249-253 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338617 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338617&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:249-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haitham A. Al Zoubi Author-X-Name-First: Haitham A. Al Author-X-Name-Last: Zoubi Author-Name: Aktham Maghyereh Author-X-Name-First: Aktham Author-X-Name-Last: Maghyereh Title: Examining complex unit roots in the MENA countries industrial production indices Abstract: An estimation of complex unit roots is presented based on the standardized periodogram of the Jordanian and Israeli Industrial Production indices over the period 1982-2003. Both indices are found to have six complex cyclical unit roots contents. In contrast, the propagation mechanism rather than impulse tends to drive the business cycles in those economies. Propagation consists of those forces which carry the influences of the shock forward over time and cause deviation from the steady state to be persistent. The periodogram-based cycle duration analysis reveals that both Kitchin and Juglar cycles exist in the Israeli economy. However, no investment cycles are found in the Jordanian economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lennart Flood Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Flood Author-Name: Nizamul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nizamul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: A Monte Carlo evaluation of discrete choice labour supply models Abstract: This paper is based on a Monte Carlo simulation in order to evaluate the properties of the discrete labour supply model. The data is generated by a continuous model and a discrete choice model is estimated assuming a translog utility function. The robustness of the results for different number of points in the discrete choice set, as well as for measurement errors in income and hours are compared. The discrete model produces similar results as the 'true' continuous model and apart from large measurement errors in hours these results are robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042488 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042488&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Forecasting real exchange rate trends using age structure data - the case of Sweden Abstract: Theory predicts that life cycle saving and consumption behaviour could cause real exchange rate variations as the age structure varies. Time series regressions show that the Swedish demographic structure has significant explanatory power on the real exchange rate during 1960 to 2002. A model using age shares as regressors is used for medium-term out-of-sample forecasts, which perform well both compared to naive forecasts and forecasts based on an autoregressive model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-272 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:267-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volodymyr Bilotkach Author-X-Name-First: Volodymyr Author-X-Name-Last: Bilotkach Title: Two results for asymmetric multiproduct duopoly Abstract: A case of multiproduct duopoly is considered with a different number of products produced by each firm. Given logit and nested logit substitutability patterns, it is shown that a firm offering more products charges higher price in equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-276 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042561 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042561&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:273-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Maloney Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Maloney Author-Name: Gabriel V. Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel V. Montes Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: How elastic are sea, sand and sun? Dynamic panel estimates of the demand for tourism Abstract: This paper employs recent advances in dynamic panel data analysis to study the determinants of tourist flows to the Caribbean. Consistent with the theoretical literature, the results are found to be highly sensitive to estimation technique. The preferred GMM system suggests income and price elasticities substantially above those found in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-280 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:277-280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Shelton Brown Author-X-Name-First: H. Shelton Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Luke Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Luke Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Title: Market failure in long-term private health insurance markets: a proposed solution Abstract: Recently, private health insurance rates have declined in many countries. In places requiring community rating in their health insurance premiums, a major cause is age-based adverse selection. However, even in countries without community rating, a de facto type of partial community rating tends to occur. In this note, a modified version of Pauly et al.'s guaranteed renewability model, which addresses the problem of age-based adverse selection (Pauly et al., 1995) is presented. Their model is extended from three to 35 periods. Also, probabilities are allowed to increase by age for low-risk types using actual age-based probabilities. This extension of their work shows that private health insurance contracts available stray far from optimal contracts that deal with age-based adverse selection. This suggests that government actions to affect private insurance options are warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 281-284 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500041944 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500041944&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:281-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Malcolm Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Malcolm Author-Name: Joshua Duke Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Duke Author-Name: John Mackenzie Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mackenzie Title: Valuing rights of first refusal for farmland preservation policy Abstract: The economic literature has failed to derive an explanation for the current value of rights of first refusal (ROFR) that may or may not manifest at some future time. A model explains this ex ante value in the context of agricultural land that may be converted to developed uses in the future. The results should help governments decide what prices should be paid to farmers for ROFR in urbanizing areas. ROFR ensure that governments have the opportunity to match a land developer's price for important agricultural parcels. Governments can then impose a conservation easement and market the land to farmers. Compared to traditional conservation easement policy, the ROFR variant should be cost effective because only parcels truly threatened with conversion are preserved. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stuart Hyde Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Hyde Author-Name: Mohamed Sherif Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Sherif Title: Don't break the habit: structural stability tests of consumption asset pricing models in the UK Abstract: This paper investigates the structural stability of four alternative consumption based asset pricing models, the traditional power utility consumption based capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM), the recursive preferences model proposed by Epstein and Zin (1989, 1991), and two habit formation specifications, the form proposed by Abel (1990) and the model of Campbell and Cochrane (1999), using the tests of Hall and Sen (1999). The ability of the models to price stocks and stocks and a short-term interest rate (i.e., the equity premium) is assessed. Evidence is found supportive of both the habit formation specifications and the traditional C-CAPM. The preferred specification based on parameter estimates and structural stability is that of Campbell and Cochrane. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-296 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338662 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338662&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:289-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Analysing household bottled water and water purifier expenditures: simultaneous equation bivariate Tobit model Abstract: Household bottled water and water purifier expenditures are examined by taking into account three important characteristics: expenditures may be censored at zero, may be interdependent across expenditure type, and may be endogenously and jointly determined. Censoring, interdependence, and endogeneity of the two expenditures are examined through simultaneous equation bivariate Tobit model using household survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-301 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000293121 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000293121&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:297-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: Carlos Arguello Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arguello Title: A hybrid approach based on neural networks and genetic algorithms to the study of profitability in the Spanish Stock Market Abstract: This paper studies predictability and profitability of using neural networks (NN) in the Spanish security market. This is carried out through a hybrid approximation which entails evolving a genetic algorithm in order to obtain an optimal NN's architecture. To that end, (NNs) forecasts are transformed into a simple trading strategy, whose profitability is evaluated against a simple buy-and-hold strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-308 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000329103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000329103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:303-308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Jimmy Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Jimmy Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Pierre-Alexandre Noual Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Noual Title: Investment in ICTs: an empirical analysis Abstract: This paper addresses the question of whether differences in the price elasticity of demand for Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) could explain why Europe lags behind the USA in terms of ICT diffusion. Annual macroeconomic data covering the period 1975-2001 is used and five countries considered: France, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK and the USA. Europe's lag in ICT diffusion does not appear to be linked to cross-country differences in the price elasticity of demand for ICT products. The results suggest that at least part of the gap in ICT diffusion should be ascribed to more structural cross-country differences. The estimated value of the price-elasticity of computer hardware and software is generally lower than -1 which, given the decline in the relative price of these products, explains the increase in their share of investment expenditure and GDP. This situation is characteristic of a diffusion stage and is necessarily temporary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-312 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:309-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Author-Name: Chihwa Kao Author-X-Name-First: Chihwa Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Bootstrapping and hypothesis testing in non-stationary panel data Abstract: This paper uses the wild bootstrap to compute empirically relevant critical values for the test statistics proposed by Emerson and Kao (2001). Monte Carlo simulations were then performed to evaluate the size and power properties of the bootstrapped tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500043965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500043965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:313-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Bautista Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Bautista Title: How volatile are East Asian stocks during high volatility periods? Abstract: This study reports estimates of the magnitude of volatility during abnormal times relative to normal periods for seven East Asian economies using a rudimentary univariate Markov-switching ARCH method. The results show that global and regional events such as the 1990 Gulf War and the 1997 Asian currency crisis led to high volatility episodes whose magnitude relative to normal times differ from country to country. Country-specific events such as the opening up of country borders in the mid-1990s are also observed to lead to high volatility periods. Additional insights are obtained when volatility is assumed to evolve according to a three-state Markov regime switching process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-326 Issue: 5 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:5:p:319-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Petropoulos Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Petropoulos Author-Name: K. Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Author-Name: A. Patelis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Patelis Author-Name: V. Assimakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Assimakopoulos Title: A technical analysis approach to tourism demand forecasting Abstract: Tourism demand forecasts are of great economic value both for the public and private sector. Any information concerning the future evolution of tourism flows, is of great importance to hoteliers, tour operators and other industries concerned with tourism or transportation, in order to adjust their policy and corporate finance. In the last few decades, numerous researchers have studied international tourism demand and a wide range of the available forecasting techniques have been tested. Major focus has been given to econometric studies that involve the use of least squares regression to estimate the quantitative relationship between tourism demand and its determinants. However, econometric models usually fail to outperform simple time series extrapolative models. This article introduces a new approach to tourism demand forecasting via incorporating technical analysis techniques. The proposed model is evaluated versus a range of classic univariate time series methods in terms of forecasting and directional accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-333 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500065745 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500065745&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:327-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Connor Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Connor Title: Collusion and price dispersion Abstract: While there are suggestions in applied cartel studies that price dispersion changes when cartelization of a market occurs, there are few theoretical or empirical analyses of this effect. This article surveys the thin economic literature on the link between overt collusion and price dispersion. Formal theories and observation of cartel behaviour suggest that during successfully collusive periods prices become less variable and more negatively skewed compared to relatively competitive periods. Four empirical studies of cartels verify these predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-338 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500068061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500068061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:335-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: The determinants of solvency in the United Kingdom life insurance market Abstract: This paper examines the solvency determinants, including economic and firm-specific factors, in the United Kingdom life insurance market. Using panel data for 1986-1999, it is found that solvency was positively related to bonds-to-total assets, equities-to-total assets, and level of new business, but negatively related to unexpected inflation, market competition, assets held to cover linked liabilities-to-total assets, life and general annuity reserves-to-total reserves, pension reserves-to-total reserves, permanent health reserves-to-total reserves, other reserves-to-total reserves, firm size, and insurance leverage. Based on panel data for the three subperiods, 1986-1990, 1990-1994, and 1994-1999, it was further found that solvency determinants changed from one epoch to another. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 339-344 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:339-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Őrn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Őrn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Title: Restaurant tips and service quality: a reply to Lynn Abstract: In his 'Comment' in this journal on a recent article in Applied Economics by myself and two coauthors (Bodvarsson, Ő. B., Luksetich, W. A. and McDermott, S. (2003), Lynn (forthcoming) makes three criticisms of the study on the relationship between service quality and tips. In one of these criticisms, he reanalyses the data and concludes that the two stage least squares estimate of the marginal effect of service quality on tips is invalid and should be replaced with his own ordinary least squares estimate. The purpose of this 'Reply' is to address each criticism and, in particular, to explain why Lynn's ordinary least squares estimate is not valid. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-346 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500076981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500076981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:345-346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Proposed modified probit model incorporating non-parametric density estimation: how to measure asymmetric information in the health insurance market? Abstract: On the basis of the theory of Chiappori and Salanie (2000), this paper proposes a simple modified bivariate Probit model incorporating non-parametric kernel density estimation. The model is applied to test asymmetric information in a health insurance market, using MEPS96 data.1 Results show that asymmetric information (whether moral hazard or adverse selection) exists between the contract of insurance coverage, and some non-emergency visits services, which appear to support the conclusions of Cardon and Hendel (2001). It is also shown how this non-parametric approach plays an important role in the delicate task of correctly testing, by computing generalized residuals, the existence of asymmetric information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-350 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:347-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Lawford Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Lawford Title: Finite-sample quantiles of the Jarque-Bera test Abstract: The finite-sample null distribution of the Jarque-Bera Lagrange multiplier test for normality differs considerably from the asymptotic χ2(2). However, asymptotic critical values are commonly used in applied work, even for relatively small sample sizes. Here, very accurate response surface approximations are developed for the 10% and 5% critical values of the test, which enable correct practical implementation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338653 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338653&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: A mean squared error estimator of market size in hedonic price analysis Abstract: This paper presents a spatial kernel estimator that allows coefficients and market size to be estimated at the observation of interest. In economic terms, the bandwidth length of the spatial kernel estimator captures the size of the market incorporated in estimation at the location of interest, and this optimal size of the market included in regression minimizes mean square error (MSE). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-359 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:355-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. A. Al Mamun Author-X-Name-First: K. A. Al Author-X-Name-Last: Mamun Author-Name: H. K. Nath Author-X-Name-First: H. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Title: Export-led growth in Bangladesh: a time series analysis Abstract: This article examines time series evidence to investigate the link between exports and economic growth in Bangladesh. Using quarterly data for a period from 1976 to 2003 the article finds that industrial production and exports are cointegrated. The results of an error correction model (ECM) suggest that there is a long-run unidirectional causality from exports to growth in Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500068194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500068194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:361-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: The number of working hours a salary earner is willing to reduce for leisure activities Abstract: This paper analyses the number of working hours a salary earner is willing to reduce for more time for leisure activities (henceforth, WH) based on data collected from a nationwide survey conducted on 1259 salary earners in Korea. To deal with zero WH responses given by a considerable number of respondents in the survey, the author uses a mixture model of WH distributions. The mean of the WH for the respondents who gave a positive value of WH was estimated as 3.04 hours per week, and that for all the respondents as 0.67 hour per week. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000338680 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485042000338680&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Did the bubble burst cause structural breaks in the Japanese economy? Evidence from 84 manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper examines the existence of structural breaks in the output time series of 84 Japanese manufacturing industries. The main result is that the effect of the bubble burst in the early 1990s was so limited that on the basis of value added, only 28% of production had structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-373 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500044278 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500044278&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:369-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are exports and imports cointegrated? Evidence from 22 least developed countries Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate whether there is a long-run relationship (cointegration) between exports and imports for 22 least developed countries (LDCs). This is an important issue, for evidence of cointegration will ensure that trade imbalances are sustainable. The article explores this issue using the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The results indicate that exports and imports are cointegrated only for six out of the 22 countries, and the coefficient on exports is less than one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-378 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500067774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500067774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:375-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan-Ramon Borrell Author-X-Name-First: Joan-Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Borrell Title: Patents and the faster introduction of new drugs in developing countries Abstract: This paper finds that product patent regimes spur faster introduction of new HIV/AIDS drugs only in those developing countries with relatively equally distributed incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-382 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500042744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500042744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:379-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Bridging the gap between the measurement of poverty and of deprivation Abstract: One way of measuring the deprivation or poverty of persons is to use monetary-based measures: a person is regarded as 'poor' if his/her income (or expenditure) falls below a poverty line value. Such an approach - usually termed poverty analysis - has spawned a large literature embodying several sophisticated measures of poverty. The downside to this is that low income or expenditure may not be very good indicators of deprivation. Another way, usually termed deprivation analysis, is to define an index whose value, for each person, is the number (or proportion) of items, from a prescribed list, that he/she possesses: persons are then regarded as 'deprived' if their index value is below some threshold value. This offers an alternative method of identifying deprived persons. The downside of deprivation analysis is that it measures deprivation exclusively in terms of the proportion of deprived persons in the total number of persons. The purpose of this article is to bridge the gap between poverty and deprivation analysis by constructing a wider set of deprivation measures and showing, with data for Northern Ireland, how they might be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-389 Issue: 6 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500068095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500068095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:6:p:383-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Anderson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Orn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Orn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Title: Do higher tipped minimum wages boost server pay? Abstract: Do tipped servers in states with higher tipped minimum wages earn more, ceteris paribus, than servers elsewhere? Using 1999 data on waitpersons and bartenders, little evidence is found of a premium to servers in states with more generous minimum wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-393 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:391-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Ilmakunnas Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Ilmakunnas Author-Name: Mika Maliranta Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Maliranta Author-Name: Jari Vainiomaki Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Vainiomaki Title: Worker turnover and productivity growth Abstract: Total factor productivity growth is positively related to the worker inflow rate and negatively related to the worker outflow rate in Finnish manufacturing. The churning rate, which measures separations that lead to replacement hiring, speeds up productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moritz Cruz Author-X-Name-First: Moritz Author-X-Name-Last: Cruz Title: A three-regime business cycle model for an emerging economy Abstract: A three-regime business cycle model is proposed based on Minsky financial instability hypothesis. Using this framework and a Markov switching autoregressive model Mexico's business cycle turning points are identified published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-402 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500118775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500118775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:399-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radha Shiwakoti Author-X-Name-First: Radha Author-X-Name-Last: Shiwakoti Author-Name: Robert Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Helen Short Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Short Title: A study of the initial returns and the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings of demutualized building societies in the UK Abstract: This article examines the initial returns and the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) of demutualized building societies in the UK. The size of the IPOs and the unusual features of the process involved allow for the testing of a number of hypotheses developed from established theories regarding IPOs and mutual to stock conversions. In broad terms, the findings of the study are in accordance with the previous literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-409 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:403-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Scott Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hacker Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: A test for multivariate ARCH effects Abstract: This paper extends Engle's LM test for ARCH affects to multivariate cases. The size and power properties of this multivariate test for ARCH effects in VAR models are investigated based on asymptotic and bootstrap distributions. Using the asymptotic distribution, deviations of actual size from nominal size do not appear to be very excessive. Nevertheless, there is a tendency for the actual size to overreject the null hypothesis when the nominal size is 1% and underreject the null when the nominal size is 5% or 10%. It is found that using a bootstrap distribution for the multivariate LM test is generally superior in achieving the appropriate size to using the asymptotic distribution when (1) the nominal size is 5%; (2) the sample size is small (40 observations) and/or the VAR system is stable. With a small sample, the power of the test using the bootstrap distribution also appears better at the 5% nominal size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-417 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:411-417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: Christopher Fogelstrom Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Fogelstrom Title: Monetary policy implications of electronic currency: an empirical analysis Abstract: Using the 2001 Survey of Consumer Finances, evidence is found that electronic currency is not a substitute for demand deposits: electronic currency ownership is associated with holding higher balances in checking accounts. These findings allay concerns that private sector issuance of electronic currency will inhibit the ability of central banks to conduct monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092509 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092509&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monzur Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Monzur Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Can Japan avert any future banking crisis? Abstract: This paper suggests that the weaknesses of corporate governance are enough to explain the Japanese banking crisis in the 1990s. Bank size and lack of operating and management efficiency contributes to low return, thereby lead to the failure of the banks. Emergence and burst of the bubble in the late 1980s just accelerated the situation to an early crisis in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Convergence hypothesis of regional income in Korea Abstract: Using data on per capita income among 13 regions in Korea over the period 1985-2002, regional convergence is evaluated. This study uses panel cointegration tests and a random coefficient model that allows both regional differences and similarities to estimate the Solow growth model. The model also corrects for heteroscedasticity and serial correlation. Evidence is found in favour of regional convergence in Korea, with a rate of convergence of around 8% a year. The results also indicate that the investment rate in physical capital has a significantly positive effect and the population growth has a significantly negative effect on the growth rate of per capita income, holding its initial level constant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Marika Zola Author-X-Name-First: Marika Author-X-Name-Last: Zola Title: Economies of scale and cost efficiency in the postal services: empirical evidence from Switzerland Abstract: This paper investigates the scale and cost efficiency of the Swiss Post using an econometric approach. Our empirical analysis considers a sample of postal offices operating in the Italian-speaking part of Switzerland. The paper considers estimation of a log-log cost function employing a data set for the year 2001 with information on 47 small local post offices. The empirical evidence indicates the existence of economies of scale. Further, the outcome of this analysis shows that approximately 50% of the postal offices operate close to the regional standard for efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-441 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:437-441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Agricultural productivity convergence across Europe and the United States of America Abstract: This paper applies time series techniques to test for convergence in agricultural total factor productivity among the USA and a sample of nine European countries for the period 1973-1993. The data set used in this paper obtained from Ball et al. (2001). The wide spectrum of unit root test results obtained in the present study support the presence of convergence among the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-446 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:443-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Parkhurst Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Parkhurst Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Title: Does complexity reduce coordination? Abstract: Herein it is shown that increased complexity does not necessarily imply more coordination failure. Experienced people playing a 4-player spatial grid game with over 68 000 strategy choices and (68 000)4 potential outcomes were as likely to find the Pareto dominant Nash equilibrium as in a corresponding normal form game. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 447-452 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500092400 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500092400&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:447-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsuyoshi Toshimitsu Author-X-Name-First: Tsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Toshimitsu Title: Quality choice, the Coase problem, and a fixed cost function of quality: a note Abstract: Chi (1999) shows that the durable-good monopolist facing the Coase problem not only over-supplies, but decreases the price per unit of quality, so that the high-demanded consumers do not postpone their purchase. The results derived by Chi are re-examined in the case of a fixed cost function of quality and it is shown that his results are sensitive to the cost function of quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-455 Issue: 7 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:7:p:453-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Author-Name: Oliver Gurtler Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Gurtler Title: An empirical study on risk-taking in tournaments Abstract: Individuals faced by a tournament can often not only choose their effort level, but also the risk level of their strategy. There are some theoretical contributions on risk-taking in tournaments, which mainly point out disadvantages with respect to exerted effort. Empirical evidence is rare. This letter analyses the risk-taking behaviour of professional soccer coaches. It is found that risk-taking concerning the kind of observed substitutions is, indeed, relevant. However, risk-taking does not pay off. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geoffrey Booth Author-X-Name-First: G. Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Booth Author-Name: Cetin Ciner Author-X-Name-First: Cetin Author-X-Name-Last: Ciner Title: German dominance in the European Monetary System: a reprise using robust Wald tests Abstract: This study re-examines the German dominance hypothesis in the EMS. A VAR in levels approach is adopted and modified Wald tests, which are robust to cointegration properties of the variables, are used. The findings indicate that, although Germany played a measurable role, the extent of monetary cooperation in the system was greater than previously detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120359 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120359&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Impacts of macroeconomic policies on the Latvian output and policy implications Abstract: The author applies the IS-MP-IA model (Romer, 2000) to examine short run economic fluctuations for Latvia. The results show that equilibrium GDP is negatively associated with the expected inflation rate and the US federal funds rate and positively influenced by real depreciation and stock prices due to the wealth effect, Tobin's q theory, and the balance-sheet effect. The impact of the government deficit/GDP ratio on output is positive but insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-471 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120136 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120136&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:467-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Partridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Partridge Author-Name: Dan Rickman Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Rickman Title: Why some US nonmetropolitan counties moved out of persistent high-poverty status in the 1990s Abstract: Nearly one-third of US nonmetropolitan counties that began the 1990s with persistent high poverty were not high-poverty counties by the end of the decade. Aside from the poverty rate at the beginning of the decade, it is found that employment growth, along with indicators of the initial quality of the labour force and level of human-capital, increased the probability of counties moving out of persistent high-poverty status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-478 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120250 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120250&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:473-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Bengoa Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Bengoa Author-Name: Blanca Sanchez-Robles Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Robles Title: Does equality reduce growth? Some empirical evidence Abstract: This study intends to provide some empirical evidence on the connection between equality and growth. Accordingly, two different samples of countries have been explored over the last three decades using panel data. In the first subsample, encompassed by medium income nations, the relationship between equality (proxied by the Gini index) and growth seems to be hump shaped. In the second subsample, made up by high-income countries, the connection is unambiguously negative - more equality is detrimental for growth. These results suggest that the impact of equality on growth may be different at the various stages of development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-483 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:479-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: Applications of a more for less result to labour markets and to auctions Abstract: A general more for less result is established. A labour-market application then shows, how, by connecting previously unconnected labour markets, costs of skilling or reskilling labour may be reduced. Another application shows how auction proceeds may increase if certain bidders are removed from the bidding process. An example relating to auctions of categories of access to airport ramps illustrates this case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-488 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:485-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cotter Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cotter Title: Extreme risk in futures contracts Abstract: This article uses Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to measure extreme risk in futures contracts with diverging underlying assets. The approach provides a framework for analysing the distributional properties of extreme returns. EVT is statistically robust at estimating Value at Risk (VaR) for different asset classes and at very low probabilities. By way of contrast, the estimation bias by relying on the thin-tailed normal distribution for measuring extreme price movements is illustrated. Back-tests confirm the relative accuracy of the approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: Why explore for oil when it is cheaper to buy? Abstract: This article uses results of independent US oil companies to examine their decisions in a high-risk environment. When these companies seek to replace oil production, the available choices fall into two broad classifications, each with its own distribution of expected costs and returns: explore for oil; or buy proven oil reserves. Firms prove risk-sensitive in their decisions as the balance struck between building reserves by acquisition and by exploration responds to firm characteristics. The crossover from risk embrace (exploration) to risk aversion (acquisition) occurs when the probability of success from the more risky strategy drops below about 15%. This matches the behaviour of decision makers when facing risks as diverse as acquisitions and racetrack betting. Shareholders, however, do not support risk-taking for its own sake, although they bid up the price of successful risk-takers. This reveals a divergence in goals between principals and agents; and an inverse relationship between risk-taking and return as measured by shareholder value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-497 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:493-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lokman Gunduz Author-X-Name-First: Lokman Author-X-Name-Last: Gunduz Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey? Abstract: Like many developing countries, Turkey has also given priority to the development of tourism industry as a part of its economic growth strategy. This study intends to investigate whether tourism has really contributed to the economic growth in Turkey. The interaction between tourism and economic growth is investigated by making use of leveraged bootstrap causality tests. This method is robust to the existence of non-normality and ARCH effects. Special attention is given to the choice of the optimal lag order of the empirical model. It is found that the tourism-led growth hypothesis is supported empirically in the case of Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-504 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:499-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cabral Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Jose Cabral Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Author-Name: Antonio Menezes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Menezes Author-Name: Patricia Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Low pay, higher pay and job quality: empirical evidence for Portugal Abstract: This paper examines to what extent low pay jobs can be considered of low quality. For this purpose, we use three waves (1997-1999) of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) for Portugal. The results indicate that low pay workers report a lower level of job satisfaction when compared with their higher paid counterparts. Moreover, some of the determinants of job satisfaction differ between these two types of workers. This supports the idea that low wage employment mainly comprises low quality jobs and is consistent with the segmented labour market theory, which claims the existence of good and bad jobs. This is, however, at odds with some empirical evidence recently reported for the British labour market where low pay individuals report a higher level of satisfaction, which is more in line with the notion that these workers obtain compensating differences in the form of non-pecuniary benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-511 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500109907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500109907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:505-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hsiou-Wei William Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsiou-Wei William Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Rau Hsiu-hua Author-X-Name-First: Rau Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiu-hua Title: The performance of the Markov-switching model on business cycle identification revisited Abstract: This study examines the performance of Markov-switching model on business cycle by applying the model to various economies. Specifically, three comparison groups are used: (1) the USA and Japan serving as the representatives for the industrialized economies (or IEs hereafter); (2) Taiwan and South Korea serving as the representatives for newly industrialized economies (or NIEs hereafter); and (3) Malaysia and Indonesia serving as the representatives for the developing economies (or DEs hereafter). The empirical results are consistent with the following notions. First, the Markov-switching model serves well to depict the business cycles for IEs and DEs. Nevertheless, the model is ineffective for the two NIEs, which underwent structural economic shifts to slower growth during our sample period of 1970-1998. Second, the two-period Markov-switching by dividing the sample periods into two sub-periods thus more effectively measures the two NIEs' business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-520 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119963 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119963&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:513-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: The effects of income and children on marital happiness — evidence from middle- and old-aged couples Abstract: This study finds that marital happiness initially increases with income and then remains more or less constant. It is likely that there exists an optimal number of children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-524 Issue: 8 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120045 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120045&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:8:p:521-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Augusto Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Lourenco Senne Paz Author-X-Name-First: Lourenco Senne Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Can real exchange rate devaluation improve the trade balance? The 1990-1998 Brazilian case Abstract: The Brazilian Trade Balance deficit in the 1990s was blamed on the adopted crawling-peg exchange rate regime in which the real exchange rate was supposedly appreciated. The purpose in this letter is to assess this relationship by using VEC-M model to check if Marshall-Lerner condition and J-curve phenomenon hold. The results indicate that the Marshall-Lerner condition holds and the J-curve would be present in the aftermath of a real exchange rate devaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-528 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500076908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500076908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:525-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Forster Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Forster Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Bank efficiency ratios in Latin America Abstract: Previous literature has shown a strong association between the financial sector and economic growth, but theory predicts ambiguous associations between banking efficiency and size or market share. The relationships among efficiency ratios, absolute scale, and rank category are explored for a relevant subset of banks in each of four Latin American countries. The results indicate a robust association between efficiency and absolute scale but not between efficiency and relative scale, which suggests that the observed efficiency of larger banks is not an artefact of market power among dominant banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-532 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120623 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120623&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:529-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Le Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Julie Le Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Author-Name: Catherine Baumont Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Baumont Author-Name: Sandy Dall'erba Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Dall'erba Author-Name: Cem Ertur Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Ertur Title: On the property of diffusion in the spatial error model Abstract: The aim of this paper is to illustrate the property of global spillover effects in the first-order spatial autoregressive error model and the associated diffusion process of spatial shocks. An application is provided on a sample of 145 regions over 1989-1999 and highlights the most influential regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-536 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120722 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120722&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:533-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Jarrett Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jarrett Author-Name: Eric Kyper Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Kyper Title: Evidence on the seasonality of stock market prices of firms traded on organized markets Abstract: Studies of capital market efficiency are important because they infer that there are predictable properties of the time series of prices of traded securities on organized markets. The weak form of the efficient markets hypothesis is put in dispute by the results of this study. Furthermore, this study of individual securities prices of US traded securities corroborates previous findings of studies of stock market indexes both in the USA and for foreign stock exchanges that seasonality is present in the times of securities prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-543 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500123288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500123288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:537-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Fritsch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsch Author-Name: Pamela Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Pamela Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Author-Name: Antje Weyh Author-X-Name-First: Antje Author-X-Name-Last: Weyh Title: Direct and indirect effects of new business formation on regional employment Abstract: The impact of new business formation on regional employment has been investigated. The main effects occur after a considerable time lag. Obviously, a large part of the effect is not due to job creation by the newcomers but rather is of indirect nature. This implies that a large part of the debate about job creation by new business so far has been misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lambert Schoonbeek Author-X-Name-First: Lambert Author-X-Name-Last: Schoonbeek Author-Name: Peter Kooreman Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Kooreman Title: No cure, be paid: super-contingent fee contracts Abstract: A general principal-agent problem with two possible outputs, high or low is considered. The agent's utility function is additively separable in wealth and effort. It is shown that under the optimal contract, the agent should pay a penalty fee to the principal if the low output occurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-551 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:549-551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Agudo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-Last: Agudo Author-Name: Luis A. Vicente Gimeno Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Gimeno Title: Effects of multicollinearity on the definition of mutual funds' strategic style: the Spanish case Abstract: This study is an approach to the strategic styles followed by Spanish mutual funds investing in domestic equities. The methodology applied is based on Sharpe's suggested Style Analysis. The study highlights the distortion of results caused by the phenomenon of multicollinearity in the benchmarks proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 553-556 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120698 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120698&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:553-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Macroeconomic and institutional determinants of current account deficits Abstract: This study empirically investigates the effects of institutional and macroeconomic policy variables on current account deficits (CAD). Based on cross-section data for a broad number of countries, the results suggest that better governance increases whilst 'original sin' decreases the ability of an economy to sustain CAD. Exchange rate flexibility and openness appear to put a discipline on CAD. Consistent with the equity home bias and Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, CAD decrease with country size. The net impacts of the financial deepening and monetary credibility on CAD are found to be insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-560 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120714 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120714&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:557-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Garcia-Feijoo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Feijoo Author-Name: John Howe Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Howe Author-Name: Tie Su Author-X-Name-First: Tie Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Completely predictable and fully anticipated? Step ups in warrant exercise prices Abstract: Some warrants are issued with a scheduled increase in their exercise price. This increase, referred to as a 'step up' in exercise price, occurs after the warrant is issued but prior to its expiration. The price behaviour of warrants and common stock at the scheduled step up date is examined. The evidence suggests that the market correctly anticipates this event, and that warrant holders exercise (actually, refrain from exercising) rationally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-565 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:561-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Requena Silvente Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-Last: Silvente Title: Changing export status and firm performance: evidence from UK small firms Abstract: The export premium is measured for a sample of 1940 small-sized UK manufacturing firms over the period 1994-2000 by evaluating the performance of entrants versus exiters in the foreign markets. It is found that new exporters witnessed a substantial increase in their employment, wages, sales and productivity growth rates compared to non-exporters. On average the estimated export premium coefficient varied from 5% in productivity to 1% in wages. Companies that interrupt the exporting activity suffered significant losses in employment, employees' wages, director's wages, sales and productivity. The negative estimated impact on the growth rates vary from -7% for director's wage to -3% in employment and productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120649 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120649&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Jamal Ouenniche Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Ouenniche Author-Name: Danae Politou Author-X-Name-First: Danae Author-X-Name-Last: Politou Title: A note on return distribution of UK stock indices Abstract: The aim of this paper is to provide empirical evidence on the statistical distributions of returns on 32 UK sector indices as well as the FTSE-All and the FTSE-100 indices. These data are modelled for several holding periods, ranging from one day to one quarter, using symmetric stable Paretian distributions and their characteristic exponents are estimated. Numerical results suggest that both short and long horizon returns are non-normal and that deviation from normality is stronger for short horizon returns, with the exception of few sectors. In sum, these results suggest that asset pricing and risk management models, among others, should be modified to take into account departures form normality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120383 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120383&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Capital mobility: evidence from four South Asian economies Abstract: This paper examines the degree of capital mobility in four South Asian economies, namely, India, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Bangladesh. The paper extends the Shibata and Shintani (1988) model to incorporate the interest rate differential. While the empirical results appear to be country specific, in general, capital does not appear to be mobile in South Asia. The results suggest that the interest rate differential is not related to changes in consumption in South Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Title: The role of human capital in economic growth Abstract: This study presents stylized facts for economic growth for the second half of the 20th century, and evaluates the explanatory capacity of these facts by two of the main theoretical approaches that deal with the relation between human capital and growth: the Lucas (1988) model, and the Nelson and Phelps (1966) model. The results obtained indicate that the Lucas (1988) model satisfactorily explains the growth of 'rich' countries, but does not explain the poverty traps in which poor countries found themselves during the period under study. Conversely, the simulations conducted according to the Nelson-Phelps approach (1966) adequately replicate the poverty traps, but the approach is unable to do so for rich country dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-587 Issue: 9 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500077013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500077013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:9:p:583-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bernard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Author-Name: William Schulze Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Schulze Author-Name: Timothy Mount Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Mount Title: Bidding behaviour in the multi-unit Vickrey and uniform price auctions Abstract: Theory provides limited understanding of auctions in complex, multi-unit settings. This absence became apparent when performance concerns were raised over wholesale electric power auctions in England and California. This research used experiments involving 234 subjects to partially bridge the gap in knowledge with regard to bidding behaviour. Using a complex procurement setting motivated by power markets, bidding in the last accepted and first rejected uniform price auctions and the multi-unit Vickrey were examined across group sizes of 2, 4, and 6. To allow opportunity for tacit collusion, constant cost and demand conditions were maintained for 75 periods. Group size and experience were found to be most significant in explaining the differences between bids and costs. For groups of 2, this difference was significantly higher than with the other sizes, suggesting market power. Across sizes, after experience there was no significant difference in bidding behaviour between the uniform price auctions, with subjects in both bidding well above costs. Differences in the multi-unit Vickrey decreased after experience but, unexpectedly, bids were often below costs. Under no combinations did bids equal costs as would be desired by market designers. Results should give concern to policy analysts, and research suggestions to theorists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 589-595 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500181807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:589-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Okmyung Bin Author-X-Name-First: Okmyung Author-X-Name-Last: Bin Title: A semiparametric hedonic model for valuing wetlands Abstract: A semiparametric hedonic price function is estimated to examine the effects of proximity to wetlands on property values using extensive wetland inventory and housing market data from Portland-Oregon, USA. The semiparametric method used in this study allows for estimation of the hedonic price function with flexible functional form and is computationally easier than most non-parametric models. Four general categories of wetlands - open water, emergent vegetation, forested and scrub shrub wetlands - are differentiated. The results indicate that proximity to open water wetlands has a positive association with property values, while the other types of wetlands have either a negative or insignificant relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-601 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188505 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188505&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:597-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ercan Balaban Author-X-Name-First: Ercan Author-X-Name-Last: Balaban Author-Name: Aslı Bayar Author-X-Name-First: Aslı Author-X-Name-Last: Bayar Title: Stock returns and volatility: empirical evidence from fourteen countries Abstract: This is a pioneering effort to test in 14 countries the relationship between stock market returns and their forecast volatility derived from the symmetric and asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity models. Both weekly and monthly returns and their volatility are investigated. An out-of-sample testing methodology is employed using volatility forecasts instead of investigating the relation between stock returns and their in-sample volatility estimates. Expected volatility is derived from the ARCH(p), GARCH(1,1), GJR-GARCH(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) forecast models. Expected volatility is found to have a significant negative or positive effect on country returns in a few cases. Unexpected volatility has a negative effect on weekly stock returns in six to seven countries and on monthly returns in nine to eleven countries depending on the volatility forecasting model. However, it has a positive effect on weekly and monthly returns in none of the countries investigated. It is concluded that the return variance may not be an appropriate measure of risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-611 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:603-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samiran Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Samiran Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: James Murphy Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: The scope test revisited Abstract: Sensitivity to scope has become an acid test for the validity of responses to non-market valuation scenarios. The theoretical relationship between whether a subject's responses exhibit sensitivity to scope and whether consistent preferences underlie those responses is examined. It is found that sensitivity to scope is neither necessary nor sufficient for preference consistency. Moreover, while continuous, strongly monotonic and total preferences yield scope, the converse fails to hold. The results suggest caution in scope's application as a survey validation tool. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-617 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166253 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166253&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:613-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. D. Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Demand stochastics, supply adaptation, and the distribution of film earnings Abstract: A market is analysed in which demand is a stochastic process and supply is contingent on the expected level of demand - a model that provides a realistic depiction of the motion picture market where consumer demand is a process of discovery and information sharing, and the supply of theatre screens expands through contingent contracts to accommodate demand. This model predicts that motion picture earnings will deviate from a power law and instead be distributed according to an exponential of a power law due to finite-size effects in demand. Empirical analysis on a large sample of motion pictures finds significant deviation from the power law distribution and a remarkably good fit for the stretched exponential distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-623 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166246 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166246&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:619-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Author-Name: Paola Cardamone Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Cardamone Title: R&D spillovers and productivity growth: evidence from Italian manufacturing microdata Abstract: Recently the focus of R&D impact on productivity moves from internal to external innovation. This paper assesses the link between R&D spillovers and productivity of 1017 Italian manufacturing firms over 1995-2000. Different proxies of R&D spillovers and several specification tests are used to select a well-behaved fixed effect model. As predicted by various new growth theory models, external R&D exerts a positive and highly significant effect on firms' productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-631 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:625-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kalyan Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Kalyan Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Consumers' attitude towards hormone-free milk: what have we learned? Abstract: Consumers' negative attitude and perception about bST-treated milk has not changed much since its first introduction in 1994 in the USA. The objectives of this study are to measure consumers' willing to pay for bST-free milk and to explore the factors influencing their willingness-to-pay. The empirical application uses consumers' survey data from the state of Kansas and applied to a probit model for willingness-to-pay. The results show consumers prefer mandatory labeling for bST-treated milk and milk products, and are willing to pay a premium for bST-free milk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-637 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119914 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119914&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:633-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwangsuck Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kwangsuck Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: In-Moo Kim Author-X-Name-First: In-Moo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimating the value of leisure time in Korea Abstract: To estimate the value of leisure time, this paper suggests the enodogenous switching model which incorporates individual's willingness to take more leisure time. The empirical results show that the value of leisure time in terms of willingly give-up shadow wage is greater than the market wage by 9% in Korea. The Korea economic crisis in 1997 seems to reduce the value of leisure time nearly 14%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-641 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:639-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Joon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Persistent wage differential and its implications on the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis Abstract: The objective of the study is to empirically examine the wage equalization assumption in the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis. The wage equalization between the traded and the non-traded sectors is tested primarily based on resampling methods, permutation tests. The results show that the assumption does not hold uniformly. This study argues that a more general condition, which allows for wage differential between the sectors, can be used in the BS hypothesis as long as the wage differential is persistent. The persistent wage differential condition is empirically supported in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-648 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500166204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500166204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:643-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hon-Kwong Lui Author-X-Name-First: Hon-Kwong Author-X-Name-Last: Lui Author-Name: Yui-Tim Wong Author-X-Name-First: Yui-Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Do loyal subordinates get higher wages? Experience from China Abstract: This paper classifies loyalty to supervisor into five dimensions, namely identification, internalization, dedication, effort and following supervisor. The results show that the 'effort' dimension has a positive effect on wage whereas the 'following supervisor' dimension has a negative effect on wage. Contrary to common perception, loyal subordinates may not get higher wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 10 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500183639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500183639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:10:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongbin Li Author-X-Name-First: Hongbin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Partial privatization and screening Abstract: It is shown that the government, in privatizing state owned enterprises, can use partial privatization as a screening mechanism to elicit private information from the manager about the firm's value. Although some new owners do not have maximum incentives, this screening contract allows the government to maximize its privatization revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-655 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500184215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500184215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:653-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joocheol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Joocheol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An investigation of the relationship between bond market volatility and trading activities: Korea treasury bond futures market Abstract: This study proposes a new proxy variable for the speculative trading activities in the analysis of relationship between volatility and trading activities. With the new variable, the dynamic interaction among underlying bond market volatility, futures trading volume, open interest and speculation ratio in Korea treasury bond and futures markets is examined under the vector autoregressive analysis (VAR) framework. A positive relationship is found between the bond market volatility and the speculation ratio. The result implies that the new variable could be a good candidate, reflecting the speculative trading activities in derivative markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-661 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:657-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Gour Gobinda Goswami Author-X-Name-First: Gour Gobinda Author-X-Name-Last: Goswami Title: Military spending as another cause of the failure of the PPP Abstract: In a recent article, with a strong theoretical argument but poor empirical support, military spending was identified to be a determinant of real exchange rate or a factor causing the PPP to deviate from equilibrium exchange rate. The poor empirical results were mostly due to a small number of observations (21 cross-sectional). This article employs pooled data from across 37 developing countries over the 1985-1998 period and provides very strong empirical support for the notion that indeed increased military spending could cause the PPP to deviate from equilibrium exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188380 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188380&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Fournier Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Fournier Title: Exploiting information from path dependency in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition procedures Abstract: This article addressed the issue of path dependency in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition procedures. It shows that obtaining different results from decompositions computed on different base models and population structures should not be considered as a limitation but as valuable information about the underlying discrimination processes. Illustration is provided for the evaluation of racial discrimination in health in South Africa for 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-672 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500191152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500191152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:669-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Chun-Da Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wan-Wei Tang Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Political elections and foreign investor trading in South Korea's financial markets Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between foreign investors' trading behaviour and political election events in South Korea and the effect of the relationship on the financial markets via a bivariate GARCH (1,1) model analysis. The empirical results show that the KOSPI 200 index return (total trading volumes of spot) and the derivatives volume have a negative (positive) relationship for foreign investors. South Korea shifted to a free floating exchange rate system, however, it did not have an effect on foreign investors' trading behaviour. In particular, foreign investors showed significant decrease in trading options contracts during the parliamentary election periods and the parliamentary elections stabilized derivatives trading volatility. It is evident from the results that the presidential elections create far more financial uncertainty in comparison to parliamentary elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-677 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500190097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500190097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:673-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: The Taylor rule and real-time data - a critical appraisal Abstract: In a number of recent papers, it has been argued that the use of ex post data can distort the picture when trying to analyse monetary policy reaction functions. This paper aims to establish whether the Taylor rule has been a reasonable representation of US monetary policy using both ex post and real-time output gap data. Results show that real-time data generate only minor differences to ex post data and, more interestingly, that the Taylor rule appears to be a questionable tool for evaluation of the Federal Reserve during the investigated samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-685 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500181849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:679-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bernard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bernard Title: Evidence of affiliation of values in a repeated trial auction experiment Abstract: Most auction experiments designed to determine subjects' values use repeated trials. This is primarily to give subjects a chance to understand the auction and to learn from market feedback. However, concerns exist that repetition could lead to affiliation of values with subjects following final prices over trials. This could be especially true for items consumers are unfamiliar with. To test these hypotheses, the current research employed repeated auction trials for conventional, organic, and non-GM chocolate bars, with each respectively considered less familiar to subjects. The auction results were first analysed to determine whether the premiums, calculated as the differences in bids between bar types, were statistically significant over each trial. A tobit regression analysis was then conducted to determine which factors statistically influenced premiums over each trial. Analysis showed that the premium for the non-GM bar over the conventional and most of the factors explaining the premiums in the first trial became insignificant after repetition. This suggested strong evidence of affiliation and demonstrated how it can lead to loss of information about subjects' initial formulation of values. It is recommended that, depending on the focus of the study, single trials should be used to avoid these problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500181823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500181823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Exports, economic growth and causality in Korea Abstract: Using recent developments in econometric techniques, this article re-examines the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis for Korea over 1963-2001. The Granger-causality tests was based on two testing approaches: vector error correction modelling (VECM) approach outlined in Toda and Philips; and the augmented levels VAR modelling with integrated and cointegrated processes (of arbitrary orders) separately introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutkepohl (1996). Empirical evidence from causality tests based on the two alternative approaches indicates that the causal link between real exports and real GDP growth is bi-directional. Additional determinants of growth are also found to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-696 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188265 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188265&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:693-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Villaverde Title: Provincial convergence in Spain: a spatial econometric approach Abstract: This article examines the process of provincial convergence in labour productivity that has taken place in Spain between 1985 and 2002. In order to quantify the influence of space on the convergence process, it applies a spatial econometric approach, concluding that although spatial effects do indeed exist, they do not seem to be too relevant for the aforementioned process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500190030 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500190030&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Alba Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Author-Name: Donghyun Park Author-X-Name-First: Donghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Non-linear mean reversion of real exchange rates and purchasing power parity: some evidence from Turkey Abstract: Evidence was found of non-linear mean reversion in Turkey's real exchange rates. This suggests that a more complete examination of the empirical validity of PPP requires a joint examination of the non-linearity and non-stationarity of the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-704 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188133 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188133&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:701-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Author-Name: Jacqueline Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Jacqueline Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Title: Sources of gender difference in rural to urban migration in Kenya: does human capital matter? Abstract: Using data from Kenya this article estimates the urban to rural gender gap in the rate of migration and then decomposes the gap into the explained portion and the portion due to gender differences in coefficients. The former is further decomposed to unveil the relative influence of each explanatory variable on the explained portion of the gender gap in the rate of migration. A non-trivial finding suggests that human capital variables may exert the strongest influence on gender differences in migration, partially explaining the higher incidence of male migration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188000 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188000&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: The information content of M0 in the United Kingdom Abstract: This paper examines the empirical characteristics of target-goal relationships between M0 on the one hand, and output, prices, interest rates and the current account balance on the other hand, in terms of a good intermediate target and informational variable. The results of a five-variate vector error correction model are indicative of feedback relationships between M0 and output, prices and output, and prices and M0, which is consistent with the Keynesian 'monetary accommodation' hypothesis. The finding of a reverse causality from output, prices and interest rates to M0 suggests that M0 may not serve well as a good intermediate target and informational variable of British monetary policy. The evidence therefore suggests the reduced effectiveness of monetary targeting strategy as a stabilization tool. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-717 Issue: 11 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500243904 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500243904&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:11:p:711-717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Mialon Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Mialon Author-Name: Sue Mialon Author-X-Name-First: Sue Author-X-Name-Last: Mialon Title: Sinful indulgences, soft substitutes, and self-control Abstract: For several harmful goods (e.g., junk food and cigarettes), less-harmful substitutes are available (e.g., light cigarettes and reduced-fat junk food). A simple individual-decision model is developed to analyse the effects of less-harmful substitutes on consumption and health outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-722 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193034 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193034&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:719-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Gerasimou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Gerasimou Title: Price substitutes: the case of entrance to Greek universities Abstract: This note provides evidence that the equilibrium between supply and demand in higher education in Greece is determined by what is argued to be the substitute for the non-existing market prices: the academic departments' entrance grades. This leads to the investigation of some implications of a policy change in Greek higher education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-728 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500191723 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500191723&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:723-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: Incorporating decision makers' risk preferences into real options models Abstract: This study develops a framework to link the expected utility analysis to real options models in order to capture the joint effects of risk aversion and irreversibility. It aims at modifying the theory of investment under uncertainty by incorporating decision makers' risk preferences and allows explicitly analysing the impacts of risk aversion, uncertainty and irreversibility on decisions such as investment and resource allocations. It addresses the shortcomings of the commonly used expected utility and investment under uncertainty models by generalizing the theory of irreversible investment to allow for risk-averse investors. It was found that uncertainty, irreversibility and risk aversion are important determinants of the optimal timing of irreversible decisions. Ignoring risk preferences in real options models would lead to overestimation or underestimation of the magnitude of investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-734 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:729-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jared Cahan Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Cahan Author-Name: Christopher Malone Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malone Author-Name: John Powell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Udomsak Wong Choti Author-X-Name-First: Udomsak Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Choti Title: Stock market political cycles in a small, two-party democracy Abstract: Real stock market returns in New Zealand are lower when the left-leaning Labour party is in power than under National party governments, in contrast to the USA where returns are higher under Democratic presidents than under right-leaning Republicans. The difference in real stock market returns between National and Labour is not reversed even when account is taken of the effect of the US political cycle and returns on New Zealand. The results of the study therefore suggest that the presidential puzzle does not transfer directly to other countries with two similar party democracies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-740 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192895 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192895&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:735-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Logit models: smallest versus largest extreme value error distributions Abstract: The general term 'type I extreme value distribution' underlying the logit model is not fully precise. Through a case study, this study compares two models based on the distribution - one with the smallest specification and one with the largest. Results show these two models are different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-744 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:741-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Martin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Vikram Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Vikram Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Detecting outliers and influential observations with heteroscedasticity-corrected models Abstract: Heteroscedasticity-correction masks signals from standardized residuals, so analysts should examine the residuals to identify outliers and should use likelihood dispersion to identify influential observations. These points are demonstrated with a model that examines the effect of exchange rate volatility on intra-industry trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192994 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192994&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken-ichi Ishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Ken-ichi Author-X-Name-Last: Ishiyama Author-Name: Yoshitaka Saiki Author-X-Name-First: Yoshitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Saiki Title: Unstable periodic orbits embedded in a chaotic economic dynamics model Abstract: We numerically find unstable periodic solutions embedded in a chaotic attractor in a generalized Goodwin model with an interaction between two countries and focus on a class of simple periodic orbits extracted from them. We confirm that chaotic behaviour represented by the model is qualitatively and quantitatively related to the unstable periodic solutions. The viewpoint in this article is based on recent work in physics. The result implies significance and usefulness of unstable periodic solutions embedded in chaotic economic dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500120318 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500120318&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Morteza Haghiri Author-X-Name-First: Morteza Author-X-Name-Last: Haghiri Author-Name: Alireza Simchi Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Simchi Title: An application of the residual deviance analysis in testing input separability restrictions Abstract: Using the analysis of residual deviance, the separability of input in the Quebec dairy industry between 1990 and 1998 is examined. A nonparametric production regression function based on the theory of generalized additive models is estimated by using the spline smoothing approach. Results support that all additive inputs are separable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500192424 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500192424&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Duro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Duro Title: International income polarization: a note Abstract: International income polarization is mainly analysed through the use of EGR (Esteban et al., 1999). The main empirical results can be summarized as follows: first, polarization followed a curvilinear trajectory over time, with a slight increase up until the mid-1970s followed by a significant decrease; secondly, the evidence indicates that distributive inequality followed a similar pattern; and finally, the data suggest that the best simplified description of international income distribution, based on this approach, would be one structured around three income groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500184298 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500184298&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Is there convergence in income inequality levels among the European regions? Abstract: The regional distribution of income inequality in the European Union between 1993 and 1998 is examined. The results obtained reveal the existence of a process of convergence in regional inequality levels over the period analysed. This was due basically to the reduction in income dispersion that took place in regions registering relatively high levels of inequality in 1993. Polarization in the distribution under study is also found to decrease, irrespective of the number of groups considered. Nevertheless, since the observed level of intradistributional mobility is low, the European regions tend, over time, to maintain their relative positions in terms of inequality. Finally, the analysis carried out highlights the relevance of the national component in explaining the dynamics of regional inequality distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-767 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500245669 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500245669&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:763-767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R.Andrew Luccasen Author-X-Name-First: R.Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Luccasen Author-Name: R. Morris Coats Author-X-Name-First: R. Morris Author-X-Name-Last: Coats Author-Name: G. Karahan Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Karahan Title: Cigarette smuggling mitigates the public health benefits of cigarette taxes Abstract: Merriman (2002) argues that cigarette smuggling does not reduce the health benefits of cigarette taxation, because, in addition to the purchase price of smuggled cigarettes, those purchasing smuggled cigarettes have to pay a higher inconvenience price for their cigarettes, so that smuggled cigarettes no more than replace legal cigarettes. Here, it is argued that Merriman is incorrect, that while smuggled cigarettes have the same full cost as legal cigarettes at the margin, they have a lower inframarginal full price, which has the effect of increasing smoking behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500278264 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500278264&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Title: A cautionary note on the detection of multifractal scaling in finance and economics Abstract: The scaling properties of the multifractional Brownian motion (mBm), a generally not multifractal process is investigated, and it is argued that, when calibrated on actual financial time series, its partition function as well as its spectrum behave as those of genuine multifractal processes. The examples here provided, based on the analysis of two major stock indexes, are intended to solicit a prudent evaluation of the recent findings about the multifractal behaviour in finance and economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-780 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500142494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500142494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:775-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Title: Changes in occupational segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA Abstract: This paper analyses changes in segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA across 13 broad occupational groups over the period 1983-2002. It is found that overall segregation between Blacks and Non-Blacks modestly declined while overall segregation between Hispanics and Non-Hispancis significantly increased during this period. It is also found that Blacks and Hispanics remained underrepresented in higher-paying occupations and overrepresented in lower-paying occupations. However, Blacks tended to be less underrepresented in the former occupations and less overrepresented in the latter occupations than Hispanics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 12 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000345384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000345384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:12:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Technical efficiency bias caused by intra-input aggregation in data envelopment analysis Abstract: The study shows that technical efficiency scores in Data Envelopment Analysis are biased by linear aggregation of the quantities of the same type of input that are used by all outputs (intra-input aggregation). Fare et al. 's (2004) models are expanded to account for this additional bias, and the extent of its impact on reported technical efficiency scores is commented on. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365624 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365624&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Joan Rovira Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Rovira Title: When do smokers 'underestimate' smoking related mortality risks? Abstract: This article examines the role of relative mortality risk perceptions in explaining smoking decision making. Some studies have provided evidence that perceptions of risks of smoking are overestimated. However, estimates tend to be sensitive to the estimate it is compared to. Using the same representative survey for Spain, as in other studies, this article finds that though relative mortality risk perceptions explain the decision to smoke and perceived life expectancy loss associated with smoking in Spain was not underestimated, smokers' mortality risk perceptions seem to underestimate the risks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-794 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500190279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500190279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:789-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdi Aarts Author-X-Name-First: Ferdi Author-X-Name-Last: Aarts Author-Name: Thorsten Lehnert Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Lehnert Title: On style momentum strategies Abstract: Barberis and Shleifer (2003) suggest that US investors classify assets into different styles based on, for example, market capitalization or B/M ratios. They find that prices can deviate substantially from fundamental values as a style's popularity changes over time. In this paper, we discuss implications of this prediction and empirically investigate the profitability of style momentum strategies for the UK stock market. Results suggest that a simple trading rule can generate significant positive returns, but for our sample of FTSE 350 stocks those strategies are less profitable and more risky compared to regular momentum strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-799 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500373602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500373602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:795-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gulnur Muradoglu Author-X-Name-First: Gulnur Author-X-Name-Last: Muradoglu Author-Name: Morten Bakke Author-X-Name-First: Morten Author-X-Name-Last: Bakke Author-Name: Gyrid Kvernes Author-X-Name-First: Gyrid Author-X-Name-Last: Kvernes Title: An investment strategy based on gearing ratio Abstract: This study investigates the predictive ability of gearing in the long term for UK firms. Robustness tests are carried out to examine the returns in excess of that attainable using book to market, price earnings and size as risk factors. It is shown that by pursuing an investment strategy based on gearing ratios and a holding period of three years, returns of 9.9% in excess of market return are attainable. Excess returns, up to 21% are attainable when portfolios are constructed based on price earnings ratio and gearing ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-804 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:801-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisa Alvarez Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Elisa Alvarez Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Rafael Myro Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Myro Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Specialization and openness to foreign trade in the European Union Abstract: This study explores the relations between inter-industry specialization and openness to foreign competition in the European countries. By controlling for other variables influencing specialization, the study found a negative relationship between openness and inter-industry specialization, meaning that the closer the countries become in their degree of openness to trade, the closer are their industrial structures, as is expected from the Hecksher-Olhin-Vanek framework with equalization of factor prices. Nevertheless, control variables powerful influence specialization, claiming for a more complete theoretical framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-810 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500363579 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500363579&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:805-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawn Ulrick Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ulrick Title: A nonparametric analysis of the black/white wage gap Abstract: This article estimates a nonparametric model of earnings to examine the black/white wage gap. This article extends the Oaxaca decomposition and adjusted wage ratios to a nonlinear form, to allow the use of this nonparametric approach. It finds that the results obtained nonparametrically are very similar to those obtained with variants of the (misspecified) Mincer model, suggesting that the parametric models may be appropriate in situations where the nonparametric estimator could not be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-815 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193166 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193166&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:811-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Rousu Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Rousu Author-Name: Katherine Kosa Author-X-Name-First: Katherine Author-X-Name-Last: Kosa Title: Allowing options in experimental auctions Abstract: Experimental auctions are a popular method to examine economic issues. However, given a fixed budget, a concern among experimental economists is maximizing the number of usable bids. A new experimental auction method has the potential to increase the number of usable responses. The options in auctions method allows the winning participant(s) to choose the product they most prefer to purchase from multiple products in the auction. The results of the experimental auction show that allowing options in auctions can increase the number of usable bids, especially when products are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-821 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:817-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasser Al-Mawali Author-X-Name-First: Nasser Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Mawali Title: Bilateral intra-industry trade flows and intellectual property rights protection: first empirical evidence Abstract: This study provides the first empirical evidence on the effects of intellectual property rights (IPRs) protection on bilateral intra-industry trade (IIT) flows. The empirical investigation is based on pooled South African data and takes advantage of the theoretical distinction between horizontal and vertical IIT. A gravity equation of international trade is estimated in the context of fixed and random effects models. The principal findings suggest that IPRs and imitation abilities separately are not important factors in determining IIT flows. However, the interaction between them is important. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-828 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358751 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358751&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:823-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping-Huang Chou Author-X-Name-First: Ping-Huang Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Huimin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Huimin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Erh-Yin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Erh-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Detecting mutual fund timing ability using the threshold model Abstract: This paper proposes a new method based on threshold regression to test mutual fund market-timing abilities. The traditional Henriksson and Merton model is shown to represent only a special case within the proposed model. The potential bias of using the traditional model is demonstrated and it is argued that the proposed model provides more accurate inferences on the market-timing effects of mutual funds. The empirical results for a set of randomly-selected US mutual funds indicate the superior performance of the proposed method in detecting the market-timing ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian-Shyr Dai Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Shyr Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Yuh-Yuan Fang Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Yuh-Dauh Lyuu Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Dauh Author-X-Name-Last: Lyuu Title: Analytics for geometric average trigger reset options Abstract: The geometric average trigger reset option resets the strike price based on the geometric average of the underlying asset's prices over a monitoring window. Similar contracts have been traded on exchanges in Asia. This paper derives an analytic formula for pricing this option with multiple monitoring windows. The analytic formula in fact is a corollary of a general formula that holds for a large class of path-dependent options: It prices any option whose value can be written as a linear combination of  [image omitted], where X is a multinormal random vector and b is some constant vector. Numerical experiments suggest that the pricing formula approximates the values of arithmetic average trigger reset options accurately. Thus pricing the arithmetic average trigger reset option can benefit from using this formula as the control variate in Monte Carlo simulation. Numerical results also suggest that the geometric average trigger reset option does not have significant delta jump as the standard reset option, and this useful property reduces the hedging risk dramatically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-840 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000345500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000345500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:835-840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thierno Balde Author-X-Name-First: Thierno Author-X-Name-Last: Balde Author-Name: Gabriel Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: Finite sample effects of additive outliers on the Granger-causality test with an application to money growth and inflation in Peru Abstract: We established, via finite sample simulations, that additive outliers have important effects on the exact size of the statistic for testing for Granger causality. An empirical application illustrates the effects of neglecting for additive outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-844 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500372992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500372992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:841-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng-Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The approximate slopes and the power of the GMM overidentifying restrictions test Abstract: The concept of approximate slopes is employed to study the power properties of the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) overidentifying restrictions test. Two versions of the overidentifying restrictions test are compared globally by means of the approximate slopes approach. With no autocorrelation in the moment functions, it is found that the GMM overidentifying test with the mean deviation covariance matrix is more powerful than the test using the conventional non-mean deviation one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-848 Issue: 13 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500282324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500282324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:13:p:845-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikos Vafeas Author-X-Name-First: Nikos Author-X-Name-Last: Vafeas Author-Name: Catherine Shenoy Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Shenoy Title: An empirical investigation of capital expenditure announcements Abstract: The market reaction to capital expenditure announcements is studied in the backdrop of Jensen's (1986) free cash flow hypothesis. Initial results confirm McConnell and Muscarella's (1985) original findings suggesting that announcement-period returns follow in sign announced changes in capital spending. Moreover, estimating regressions similar to Lang et al. (1991) provides evidence that is somewhat weak, supportive of the free cash flow hypothesis in explaining announcement-period returns. Finally, an alternative information-signalling explanation for the market reaction cannot be ruled out entirely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-911 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485052000345564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/1350485052000345564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:907-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ossama Mikhail Author-X-Name-First: Ossama Author-X-Name-Last: Mikhail Author-Name: Curtis Eberwein Author-X-Name-First: Curtis Author-X-Name-Last: Eberwein Author-Name: Jagdish Handa Author-X-Name-First: Jagdish Author-X-Name-Last: Handa Title: Testing for persistence in aggregate and sectoral Canadian unemployment Abstract: Persistence in aggregate and sectoral Canadian unemployment is tested for. Using the corrected for short-range dependency modified rescaled-range test, it is concluded that the fluctuations in aggregate and sectoral Canadian unemployment exhibit persistence. Policies aimed at reducing inflation should embody and account for the extra cost of sustained unemployment due to its persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-898 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500282407 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500282407&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:893-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Export-led growth and the Japanese economy: evidence from VAR and directed acyclic graphs Abstract: This paper explores the causal relationship between real exports and GDP growth in Japan using two recently developed causal modelling approaches. Using Japanese time series, the paper employed the augmented VAR methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto to test for Granger non-causality. Then, a more recently developed technique of directed acyclic graphs (DAG) was also used in providing over-identifying restrictions on the innovations from a vector autoregression (VAR). In contrast to prior analyses, the application of DAG techniques allows for the examination of both contemporaneous and dynamic causal structure of the exports-productivity nexus. The empirical results reveal that the causal path between exports and GDP growth in Japan is bi-directional. Furthermore, other variables such as capital and foreign output are also significant determinants of productivity growth in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-858 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:849-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Cross-country analysis of high employment-generating industries Abstract: The objective of this paper is to identify high employment industries in Australia, Japan and the USA using input-output (IO) analysis. It is found that (1) the high and low employment-generating industries in 1980 and/or 1990 are almost the same as those in 1997. Thus on a relative basis, there is no evidence that high employment-generating industries have changed since 1980; and (2) the high and low employment-generating industries are very similar across these three countries. Four of the consistently high employment-generating industries in these countries are Food, Beverage and Tobacco; Chemicals, Petroleum, Coal, Rubber & Non-Metallic Minerals; Basic Metals/Fabricated Products; and Electricity, Gas and Water, with the first three industries being part of manufacturing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-869 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:865-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Suicide and business cycles: new empirical evidence Abstract: This paper provides an empirical test for the hypothesis that suicides are related to economic determinants. More precisely a hypothesis is tested that changes in the suicide rate are determined by changes in the expected growth rate of income. This hypothesis is tested with an error-correction model which also takes into account various demographic and socioeconomic variables. Empirical results with Finnish data covering the period 1878-1999 provide strong support for this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500359411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500359411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristian Jonsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristian Author-X-Name-Last: Jonsson Title: Cross-sectional and serial correlation in a small-sample homogeneous panel data unit root test Abstract: In this paper, response surface parameters are provided that can be used to obtain critical values for an augmentation of an existing homogeneous panel data unit root test. The augmentation is performed to account for serial correlation in the disturbances. As the existing panel data unit root test is robust against cross-sectional correlation, the augmented test is robust against both cross-sectional and serial correlation. By running a Monte Carlo simulation study, the small-sample properties of the augmented test are shown to be good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-905 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500359510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500359510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:899-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samer Al-Rjoub Author-X-Name-First: Samer Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Rjoub Title: The adjustments of stock prices to information about inflation: evidence from MENA countries Abstract: This study extends the empirical evidence by analysing the reaction of monthly stock returns to the unexpected portion of CPI inflation rate and by capturing the asymmetric shocks to volatility of unexpected inflation in five MENA countries. Both Threshold GARCH and Exponential GARCH are used to catch the news affect that unexpected inflation may have on stock returns. Results document a negative and strongly significant relationship between unexpected inflation and stock returns in MENA countries. Results also indicate that the stock markets of the listed MENA countries do not feel the high up and down movements in the markets and as such the volatilities. The asymmetric news effect is absent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-879 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:871-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Elias Mossialos Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mossialos Title: Is dread of Genetically Modified food associated with the consumers' demand for information? Abstract: We argue that the dread of Genetically Modified (GM) food is an expression of the individual's demand for information as a self-protective action. This study empirically examines the determinants of the demand for information on Genetically Modified Food and tests whether this demand is jointly determined with the individual's dread of GM food. A UK representative sample of the 1999 Eurobarometer Survey is employed and the study undertakes multivariate analysis of information-related survey responses. The results provide some evidence for the hypothesis that demand for information stands as a self-protective attitude that occurs in the absence of information. Furthermore, knowledge of science and information channels are both associated with a larger demand for information and lower dread of GM food. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-863 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:859-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Ching-Chun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: An empirical note on testing hysteresis in unemployment for ten European countries: panel SURADF approach Abstract: The hysteresis hypothesis in unemployment for ten European countries are tested using newly developed Panel SURADF tests of Breuer et al. (2001) for the 1961-1999 period. While the other Panel-based unit root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of the panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in the panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests a separate unit-root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and, therefore identifies how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The hysteresis hypothesis is confirmed for all the European countries except Belgium and the Netherlands when Breuer et al.'s Panel SURADF tests are conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-886 Issue: 14 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:14:p:881-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Does leverage influence banks' non-performing loans? Evidence from India Abstract: The study examines the association between corporate leverage and banks' non-performing loans. Using data on Indian manufacturing sector in India for 1993-2004, the findings indicate lagged leverage to be an important determinant of bad loans of banks. In terms of magnitudes, a 10 percentage point rise in the corporate leverage is, on average, associated with 1.3 percentage point rise in sticky loans relative to loans, after a one period lag. In terms of policy implications, the analysis suggests that the leverage ratio can serve as a useful signpost of asset quality and second, the analysis points to the need to improve the collection of data from the corporate sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-918 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:913-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Title: Exchange rate variability, pressures and optimum currency area criteria: some empirical evidence from the 1990s Abstract: This paper estimates the medium-term determinants of the bilateral exchange rate variability and exchange rate pressures for 20 developed countries in the 1990s. The results suggest that optimum currency area criteria explain the dynamics of bilateral exchange rate variability and pressures, to a large extent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-922 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:919-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Forecasting economic time series with measurement error Abstract: Many variables used in economic forecasting are recorded with measurement error (ME). It is therefore found that an autoregressive model without exclusion of ME from observed time series may fail to correctly detect any periodicity contained and this results in poor forecasting performances. The purpose of this paper is to propose a model-selection method for forecasting economic time series with ME. In this method the existence or nonexistence of ME is determined by evaluating the values of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) of a battery of alternative models with and without ME. The results of forecasting 26 business cycle indicators in Japan are shown in order to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 923-927 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:923-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Heaney Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Heaney Author-Name: Kerry Pattenden Author-X-Name-First: Kerry Author-X-Name-Last: Pattenden Title: Change in unconditional foreign exchange rate volatility: an analysis of the GBP and USD price of the Euro from 2002 to 2003 Abstract: Unconditional foreign exchange rate variance is generally assumed to be constant in analysis of foreign exchange rates. It is noted that there is evidence of a change in unconditional foreign exchange rate variance during the two-year period surrounding the Iraq war, January 2002 to December 2003, for the GBP price of the Euro, although not for the USD price of the Euro. This has implications for the indiscriminate use of models that assume constant unconditional variance, such as the GARCH family of models, in the analysis of foreign exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Michael Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Title: Monetary policy rules and the information content of the term structure of interest rates Abstract: The study incorporates information on the term structure of interest rates into empirical reaction functions for the Bundesbank and the European Central Bank. The results suggest that the term structure played a statistically significant role for the monetary policy of both central banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-936 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:933-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toni Mora Author-X-Name-First: Toni Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Title: Evidencing European regional convergence clubs with optimal grouping criteria Abstract: Growth literature has considered the existence of groups of economies that have been termed convergence clubs. This paper groups European regions in order to detect whether the existence of convergence clubs can be defended in this context. To this end, we define optimum criteria using an inequality measure. Our classification shows stability for extreme groups based on a stratification index. Results show evidence in favour of the presence of convergence clubs for the backward European regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-940 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:937-940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: A three components subgroup decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index and household's income inequalities in Cameroon Abstract: This research proposes a new subgroup decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index (or half the square of the coefficient of variation) into three components: the within group, the net between group and the transvariational (or overlapping) between group. The approach here is similar to the one used by Dagum (1997a, b) when decomposing the Gini index. This method is applied to analyse the incomes inequalities in the distribution of income among Cameroonian households according to their matrimonial status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 941-947 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:941-947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben-David Nissim Author-X-Name-First: Ben-David Author-X-Name-Last: Nissim Title: The separation rate cannot be exogenous Abstract: Many articles that used the matching frame model considered the separation rate as an exogenous variable and concentrated on the matching process. This assumption is inconsistent with the findings of many empirical studies, which indicate that business cycles are driven primarily by changes in the separation rate. This study demonstrates that, within the matching frame model, given uncertain productivity of newly employed workers the separation rate cannot be constant. Any change in the asset value of occupied jobs will lead to a change of the separation rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-951 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377918 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377918&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:949-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Videras Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Videras Title: Luck and giving Abstract: This study finds that individuals who consider themselves lucky in finances donate more than individuals who do not consider themselves lucky even after controlling for income, wealth and relevant socio-demographic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-956 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500366267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500366267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:953-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: Fiscal policy sustainability: test of intertemporal borrowing constraints Abstract: This paper examines sustainability of the fiscal stances of South Korea, Mexico, the Philippines, South Africa and Turkey. Using the usual intertemporal borrowing constraint, we have tested for a long-run relationship between revenue and expenditure plus interest payments. In our empirical analysis of the sustainability of fiscal stances, cointegration approaches have been used. Empirical results suggest that there exists a unique long-run or equilibrium relationship among variables for South Korea and Turkey. The cointegration results suggest that the Turkish and South Korean fiscal stances satisfy the weak sustainability condition. In the case of Mexico, the Philippines and South Africa cointegration results suggest that in these countries the fiscal stance is not sustainable (and violates their intertemporal budget constraints) in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-962 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:957-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Title: Decentralization and health care expenditure: the Spanish case Abstract: This study analyses the evolution of health care expenditure in Spain. A panel data model is used to explain the main factors which affect health care expenditure in the period 1993-1999. The empirical results show that the most important determinant in the explanation of the regional health care expenditure is ageing population while other factors such as income differences and structural characteristics of the supply variables have less importance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-966 Issue: 15 Volume: 12 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:12:y:2005:i:15:p:963-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Mauleon Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Mauleon Author-Name: Vincent Vannetelbosch Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vannetelbosch Title: Strategic union delegation and incentives for merger Abstract: A unionized duopoly model to analyse how unions affect the incentives for merger is considered. It is found that both firms will merge if and only if unions are weak. However, once surplus-maximizing unions have the option to delegate the wage bargaining to wage-maximizing delegates (such as senior union members), both firms may have incentives to merge even if the union bargaining power is strong. Moreover, the option of strategic delegation may harm both the unions and the firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392206 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392206&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The influences of economic openness on Japan's balancing item: an empirical note Abstract: Exploring the factors influencing the balancing item of balance of payments accounts has seldom been a subject of research in international economics. Following Brooks and Fausten (1998), and using Japan's data, this study has empirically examined the influences of economic openness on balancing item. The results of subset VAR (Vector Autoregression) approach, Granger causality test, impulse responses function, and variance decomposition have showed that, to a certain extent, economic openness does influence the behaviour of Japan's balancing item. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Do governments lead or lag in fighting crime? Abstract: We examine the Granger causal relationship between police strength and a variety of different types of crime for South Australia. We find that with the exception of assault and homicide in the long run, the crime rate and police strength are neutral. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:11-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Fritsch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsch Author-Name: Andreas Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Title: Measuring performance heterogeneity within groups - a two-dimensional approach Abstract: We introduce a two-dimensional measure for the heterogeneity of performance within groups. It leads to a much more differentiated description of heterogeneity than alternative measures and it is relatively robust with regard to extreme values of small units ('outliers'). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500119187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500119187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: Implications of alternative stochastic processes for investment in agricultural technologies Abstract: Considerable research and analyses exist concerning applying the option value to investment decisions. A model has been developed to examine the extent to which two alternative stochastic processes, geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and mean reversion, have impacts on investment decisions. The results show that the impacts of uncertainty and irreversibility on investment decisions differ under GBM and mean reversion. Studies that assume the returns evolve as GBM without drift would overestimate the value of the investment opportunity, while they would underestimate it if they assume the returns follow GBM with drift. The magnitude of error one could make by using GBM when the returns follow mean reversion is high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378205 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378205&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:21-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Title: Earnings convergence in UK counties: a distribution dynamics approach Abstract: This study applies a distribution dynamics approach to examining the evolution of average earnings of UK counties. An analysis of both transition probability matrices and stochastic kernels suggests considerable persistence in the overall distribution rather than economic convergence. However, there is evidence of a large number of counties congregating at the lower end of the distribution reflecting some downward mobility from the middle. Spatial effects are also important with counties in the South East appearing to gravitate towards the upper end of the distribution. The analysis reveals a more complex pattern of dynamics than is typically apparent from β regression approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500188588 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500188588&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheila Amin Gutierrez de Pineres Author-X-Name-First: Sheila Amin Gutierrez Author-X-Name-Last: de Pineres Title: What a difference a source makes! An analysis of export data Abstract: This study examines real export data from two common sources: IMF and UN Commodity Trade Statistics to determine the comparability of these data in level and percentage change form, and if the export-led growth models are robust to the data source. Additionally, the comparability of the data deflated at a disaggregated level data or by a single export unit price index is examined. The results reveal that the data are neither comparable nor in a number of cases, correlated, suggesting that much of the debate regarding export led growth is fuelled by data choice and methodology of deflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun-Huan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Huan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Tsai-Hung Fan Author-X-Name-First: Tsai-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Title: Bootstrapping prediction intervals on stochastic volatility models Abstract: The parametric bootstrap method is applied to derive the prediction intervals for stochastic volatility models. The study adopts the parameters estimation developed by So et al. (1997) and proves the validity of the proposed bootstrap procedure for this process. The basic stochastic volatility model specifies the mean equation with standard normal error. It is found, via simulation study, that the same algorithm can be employed to the model with heavy-tailed innovations, which demonstrates the potential of the bootstrap techniques. This methodology is also applied to a real data example to predict the daily observations on the S&P 500 index and the results confirm that our interval predictions are satisfactory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500377967 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500377967&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:41-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Granero Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Granero Author-Name: Juan Carlos Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: Competition and R&D in retail banking under expense preference behaviour Abstract: Cost-reducing R&D activities are examined in the context of a retail banking sector where some entities exhibit an expense preference. The results reveal that the effects from R&D interact with the effects in the previous literature in shaping the equilibrium configuration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:47-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng-Shiuh Chang Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Shiuh Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Teng-Yuan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Teng-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Scale of variance, unit of data and the power of unit root tests under structural changes - a strategy for analysing Nelson-Plosser data Abstract: Lee and Strazicich (LS) designed a state-of-the-art statistic for testing for a unit root under structural changes. Using Monte Carlo experiments on the Nelson and Plosser data, this present study analyses the effects of scale of variance and data unit on the size-adjusted power of the LS unit root test. It is found that under the null and the alternative hypotheses of unit root shifts from right to left, the goodness of fit of the statistic worsens, and the power increases systematically when the scale of variance increases from 0.01 w to w and from w to 100 w (w being a weighting factor). The power increases when the data unit is reduced to one tenth and per cent (i.e. one hundredth) except for the Industrial Production Index, Total Unemployment Rate and Nominal Wages. To achieve the goal of higher power and better goodness of fit in the LS test, results suggest using the original variance rather than the best goodness-of-fit variance, changing the data unit to per cent, or using a mixed strategy selecting the data unit corresponding to a higher power for each data series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:51-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georg Muller Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Muller Author-Name: Mark Bergen Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bergen Author-Name: Shantanu Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Shantanu Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Daniel Levy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Title: Private label price rigidity during holiday periods Abstract: Using weekly retail transaction scanner price data from a large US supermarket chain, significantly higher retail price rigidity is found for private label products than for nationally branded products during the Christmas and Thanksgiving holiday periods relative to the rest of the year. The finding cannot be explained by changes in holiday period promotional practices because it is found that private label promotions appear to diminish at least as much as national brands. The increased rigidity of private label products relative to national brands is only partially accounted for by increased rigidity of wholesale prices. After ruling out other potential explanations, it is suggested that the higher private label price rigidity might be due to the increased emphasis on social consumption during holiday periods, raising the customers' value of nationally branded products relative to the private labels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:57-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Badri Narayanan Author-X-Name-First: G. Badri Author-X-Name-Last: Narayanan Title: Effects of trade liberalization on firm profits and social welfare: the role of technology Abstract: The objective of this study is to analyse the effects of trade liberalization on profits of a capital-intensive exporting country and a labour-intensive one with different cost functions and the welfare of the importing country under an oligopolistic competition framework. The results show that output is increasing in the degree of trade liberalization and price falls with it. However, the effects of freer trade on profits of the exporting countries are ambiguous and depend on the net gains in profit from free trade. Given the same level of output for both countries, a suffciently high output would bring more profits to the capital-intensive country than to the labour-intensive country. Welfare of the importing country, at least within this framework, is increasing in the degree of trade liberalization, provided that the initial level of restrictions in trade are not too high. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:1:p:63-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: An experimental analysis of impacts of uncertainty and irreversibility on willingness-to-pay Abstract: Several empirical studies demonstrated large discrepancies between willingness-to-accept and willingness-to-pay measures. This paper uses an experimental method to determine the extent to which uncertainty about the value of the environmental improvement and the irreversibility of the decision affects the willingness-to-pay to preserve an endangered species. The results show that risk preferences, uncertainty about environmental improvements, and irreversibility significantly influence the willingness-to-pay measure. These results have implications for design and implementation of contingent valuation surveys. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-72 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/135054850500119203 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/135054850500119203&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:67-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: ITC decisions on antidumping duties under the WTO Abstract: This study reveals the determinants of injury decisions on antidumping duties under the WTO system using US data. The empirical evidence reveals that all commissioners consider the changes in profits of concerned industries seriously. Changes in profits/sales ratio influence the behaviour of a few commissioners. Changes in other factors illustrated in the Antidumping Code, the macroeconomic situation and the President's term do not influence commissioners' voting behaviour; nor are country effects found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-76 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:73-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Verlinda Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Verlinda Title: A comparison of two common approaches for estimating marginal effects in binary choice models Abstract: Two approaches for estimating marginal effects are examined: conditioning on sample means and averaging across observations. The difference between the two quantities are signed and it is found that the magnitude increases with both the slope parameters and the covariates' variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 77-80 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:77-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Japan's balancing item: do timing errors matter? Abstract: This study aims to answer the question of whether Japan's balancing item patterns are a matter of timing errors or not. Using time series econometrics techniques, and the components of balance of payments accounts, this study provides an empirical answer that Japan's balancing item pattern is essentially due to timing errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-87 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:81-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Samuelson's multiplier-accelerator model revisited Abstract: As demonstrated by Samuelson, the interplay between the multiplier analysis and the principle of acceleration may generate temporary business cycles. We extend Samuelson's seminal framework in the sense that investors now apply a nonlinear mix of extrapolative and regressive expectation formation rules to predict changes in national income. As it turns out, the emergence of booms and slumps may depend on the sentiment of the investors. If they are optimistic (pessimistic), the economy performs well (badly). Moreover, the model produces sustained and intricate fluctuations in economic activity for realistic values of the marginal propensity to consume and the capital to output ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 89-92 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:89-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zouhaier M'Chirgui Author-X-Name-First: Zouhaier Author-X-Name-Last: M'Chirgui Author-Name: Walid Hichri Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Hichri Title: Horizontal merger in bilaterally duopolistic industries with differentiated products Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to focus on the strategic decision as to whether or not merger is profitable according to the degree of final product differentiation in bilaterally duopolistic industries. We find that, under some conditions on the factor of substitution, a horizontal merger is profitable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-95 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390747 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390747&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:93-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florine Livat Author-X-Name-First: Florine Author-X-Name-Last: Livat Author-Name: Nicolas Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Title: Expert opinion and brand reputation: an analysis from a French Cuban cigars guidebook Abstract: The role of expert opinion and its ability to reflect true quality are discussed. If the expert is theoretically expected to make objective decisions, the empirical evidence does not enable clear answers to be established. Using data from the 32 Cuban brands commercialized in France in the years 2000 to 2003, we estimate experts' rating hedonic equations. Our results show that the quality of the cigar, measured with a note coded on a scale of 1 to 5, is independent of its price but is linked to its physical attributes. Moreover, these 'objective' characteristics play an increasing role over time. Finally, it appears that some brands are favourably considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 97-100 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:97-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Rodriguez Andres Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Rodriguez Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Title: Software piracy and income inequality Abstract: We investigate the extent to which income inequality influences national piracy rates across a sample of 34 countries. Economic inequality seems to have a negative significant effect on national rates of piracy. Consistent with previous studies, we also find that judicial efficiency affects piracy rates. Additionally, research results show that income and education are not important determinants of piracy rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390374 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390374&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:101-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Anna Montini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Montini Title: The determinants of residential water demand: empirical evidence for a panel of Italian municipalities Abstract: We present empirical evidence on the determinants of residential water demand for one Italian region, Emilia-Romagna, by using municipal panel data. The estimated water demand price elasticity is negative, showing values between -0.99 and -1.33, never significantly different from one, if we consider different specifications without and with additional socio-economic factors. Income results associated to a positive elasticity, though lower than one. The role of other socio-economic territory-specific determinants is less relevant, with the exception of altitude. The relative high value of price elasticity is deemed consistent with the higher level of regional water prices compared to the national average. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390788 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390788&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:107-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Title: On multi-decomposition of the aggregate Luenberger productivity index Abstract: The purpose of this note is twofold. First, it proposes a multi-decomposition of the Luenberger productivity index, that is, a combined decomposition both by attribute, which is characterized by technical change or efficiency change, and by firm. Second, it applies this technique to the European Union to measure the most important contributions to European productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jin Kwon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Jin Kwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Title: Comparative analysis of the effective income tax function: empirical evidence using LIS data Abstract: The effective income tax function is a useful and practical method to analyse the relationship between income and tax amounts. It includes measures of tax progressivity, the maximum effective tax rate, and the horizontal inequity. The effective income tax function was estimated statistically using the seven countries of LIS datasets and Korean data. The estimated maximum effective tax rate is less than or very close to its maximum statutory marginal tax rate, except for Norway and Korea. This implies that estimation of the effective tax function is of great use and significance in evaluating the charateristics of income tax law. The mean squared error from the effective income tax function can be used to represent the degree of horizontal inequity as a 'quick' measure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378262 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378262&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Title: Are trading rules based on genetic algorithms profitable? Abstract: In this letter the profitability of a simple trading rule based upon genetic algorithms has been investigated. The referred technical trading rule has been contrasted in four different sample periods of the Spanish stock market index known as IBEX-35. Results suggest that in general the profitability of the simple trading rule is superior to the buy-and-hold strategy. This conclusion is clearer in 'bull', 'bear' and 'volatile' market episodes. These results can be compared with those that apply artificial neural networks as simple trading strategies to the general index of Madrid. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:123-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Geisler Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Geisler Author-Name: Harald Wiese Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Wiese Title: Entry deterrence in the Schmalensee-Salop model Abstract: The question of entry deterrence in a Schmalensee type product differentiation market, that is in a market that can be depicted by a circle with circumference of 1, is investigated. It is normally assumed that incumbent firms or brands locate equidistantly whereas an entrant settles exactly in the middle between two firms. For questions of entry deterrence it has become customary to treat the n + 1 model with n incumbents and one entrant as if there were 2n firms located equidistantly. For this to hold, strong assumptions are needed. Using the Salop specification of the Schmalensee model, but without these strong assumptions, the number of entry deterring firms is calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Cajueiro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Cajueiro Author-Name: Benjamin Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: The long-range dependence phenomena in asset returns: the Chinese case Abstract: This paper studies the segmented structure of the Chinese stock market, which is a unique opportunity to investigate the possible sources of the long-range dependence phenomena in asset returns. Using the Hurst's exponent evaluated by the Local Whittle method as the measure of long-range dependence, evidence is found supporting that while type B shares present strong evidence of the long-range dependence phenomena, type A shares present only weak evidence of such dependence. This result suggests that liquidity and information transmission play a role in explaining results of market efficiency tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392214 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392214&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:2:p:131-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Furceri Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Title: Does labour respond to cyclical fluctuations? The case of Italy Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse whether labour mobility is likely to act as a sufficient adjustment mechanism in the face of asymmetric shocks in Italy. In particular, the paper examines if the interregional migration responds, among other factors, also to the GDP's regional cyclical component. The results show that interregional labour mobility appears to respond adequately to current and past cyclical fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: John Byrne Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Title: A citation analysis of ARC Discovery and Linkage grant investigators in economics and finance Abstract: This study has explored whether recipients of 2004 ARC grants have different citation track records across Discovery and Linkage grants. Consistent with track record having a higher weighting in the Discovery grants the results indicate that Discovery grant recipients have statistically significantly higher citation counts than Linkage grant recipients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-146 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394244 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394244&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:141-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Connie Bayudan Author-X-Name-First: Connie Author-X-Name-Last: Bayudan Title: Portfolio decomposition and intrahousehold environments: evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: Using a survey data from Bangladesh, this paper employs a simple decomposition method to investigate the possible role of inequality in husband and wife's portfolio holdings to various intrahousehold issues. Results indicate that wives' intrahousehold environments are affected more by their portfolio than by their husband's asset and income holdings. Wives who have inherited plots from their parents-in-law appear to belong to the better off group as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-152 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:147-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: On the ratio of gamma and levy random variable Abstract: The exact distribution of the ratio X/Y is derived when X and Y are gamma and Levy random variables distributed independently of each other. Extensive tabulations of the associated percentage points are also given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392297 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392297&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariam Camarero Author-X-Name-First: Mariam Author-X-Name-Last: Camarero Author-Name: Josep Lluis Carrion-i-Silvestre Author-X-Name-First: Josep Lluis Author-X-Name-Last: Carrion-i-Silvestre Author-Name: Cecilio Tamarit Author-X-Name-First: Cecilio Author-X-Name-Last: Tamarit Title: Short-term modified Phillips curves for the accession countries Abstract: This study uses NAIRU short-term measures obtained using univariate methods as a basis to analyse inflation developments in the eight Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) that joined the European Union in 2004 during the transition process. The results point to the role of short-term NAIRU as an attractor and support a shifting natural rate hypothesis for unemployment in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-162 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:159-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Title: Demand systems for agricultural products in OECD countries Abstract: This study concerned with the estimation of demand systems for agricultural products in OECD countries. Three representatives demand systems with their extensions, namely the Rotterdam Model, An Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), and CBS model are used. These models are estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) method. The procedures to estimate demand systems suggest significant empirical regularities for agricultural products in OECD countries. The study also applies a procedure for model selection. This procedure implies the superiority of AIDS and CBS models over the Rotterdam model. The main contribution of this study is to model demand for agricultural products over a wide array of items and across large number of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:163-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Halloran Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Halloran Title: The 2002 Farm Bill commodity programs: a tool for improving rotation crop profitability and reducing risk in potato cropping systems Abstract: The Farm Security and Rural Investment Act ('Farm Bill') of 2002 has modified the provisions under Title 1 (Commodity Programs) regarding commodity eligibility. Concurrently, potato producers in Maine have expanded their use of program crops as rotations in potato cropping systems. These changes could affect the economic viability of the potato cropping system. An economic simulation model using budgeting techniques that incorporate stochastic elements to measure risk was developed to evaluate profitability and income risk of four cropping systems with and without participation in the 2002 Farm Bill. The four systems modeled were barley-potato, canola-potato, corn-potato, and soybean-potato. Participation in the 2002 Farm Act's commodity support programs increases the profitability of each cropping system, ranging from $26.00/acre for canola-potato to $122.00/acre for corn-potato. The use of stochastic dominance criteria shows that participation is more risk-efficient than non-participation. Furthermore, two measures of income risk - coefficient of variation and probability of loss - are also reduced with participation. For those growers using program crops in rotation with potatoes, participation in the commodity programs is a valuable tool to improve economic viability and reduce risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-175 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:171-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: A forecast based NAIRU measure of the US Abstract: This paper proposes a method to estimate the NAIRU for the U.S. It shares the notion of Estrella and Mishkin (1999) that defines the NAIRU as a leading indicator of inflation changes over the policy horizon. Our alternative construction offers a more theoretically sound and practically useful estimate of the NAIRU. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392941 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392941&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:177-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jerome Creel Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Creel Title: The 'price puzzle', once more Abstract: The VAR monetary literature has long exhibited a 'price puzzle': after a positive innovation on the policy interest rate, the price level tends to increase rather than to decrease. This paper shows that introducing fiscal data (primary surplus and net debt) proves fruitful in a VAR model also featuring the output gap, the inflation rate and the nominal short-term interest rate: the 'price puzzle' vanishes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-187 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392867 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392867&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:183-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kam-Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The wealth effect of housing on aggregate consumption Abstract: This study measures the effect of changes in net housing and financial wealth on household consumption using Australian data over the period Q2:1988-Q1:2003. It is found a permanent one dollar rise in housing wealth leads to a six cent increase in consumption, three times the effect of financial wealth. The result speaks strongly against the notion of assets fungibility, and suggests that a sharp movement in house prices is potentially more disruptive than a corresponding movement in financial asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500391075 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500391075&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:189-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: Episodic nonlinearity in Latin American stock market indices Abstract: This letter applies the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test jointly with the windowed testing procedure to detect nonlinear behaviour in the rate of returns series for seven Latin American stock market indices. Our results suggest that the nonlinear serial dependencies are episodic in nature. All the stock returns series are characterized by few brief periods of highly significant nonlinearity, followed by long time periods in which the returns follow a pure noise process. Our findings help explain why there are difficulties in forecasting asset returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 195-199 Issue: 3 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392750 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392750&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Is it really the Fisher effect? Abstract: Many researchers have used a cointegration approach to test for the Fisher effect. This note argues that the cointegration of the nominal interest rate and the inflation rate is consistent with any theory implying a stationary ex post real interest rate and so is not a sufficient condition for the Fisher effect to hold. The sufficient condition is the unpredictability of the inflation forecast error implied by the nominal interest rate and this condition may be tested using the signal extraction framework of Durlauf and Hall (1988, 1989). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-203 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396264 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396264&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:201-203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Papapetrou Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Papapetrou Title: The unequal distribution of the public-private sector wage gap in Greece: evidence from quantile regression Abstract: Quantile regression analysis is used to estimate the public-private sector wage differential in Greece. The results suggest that wage differences between sectors are mainly attributed to the employee's endowment. The decomposition of the wage differential shows that the endowment component (characteristics differential) increases as we move up to the upper quantiles and the unobserved components decrease at higher quantiles. (The views expressed in this paper are those of the author and not those of the Bank of Greece.) Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-210 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393063 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393063&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:205-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Blot Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Blot Author-Name: Francisco Serranito Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Serranito Title: Convergence of fiscal policies in EMU: a unit-root tests analysis with structural break Abstract: The aim of this study is first to determine whether the fiscal policy among EMU countries have converged and then to identify the source of the convergence process. The convergence of fiscal policies was at the core of the fiscal criteria imposed by the Maastricht treaty but it may also have resulted from the economic and financial integration that preceded the Treaty. Some unit-root tests are implemented on the cross-country variance for various fiscal policy indicators where a break in the intercept and the trend is allowed to catch whether the convergence is due to institutional arrangements or to economic integration. We conclude that the fiscal position has converged but the break date, selected before 1992, indicates that the convergence process preceded the Maastricht treaty. Considering the fiscal receipts, the hypothesis of convergence is accepted only when they are adjusted from the cyclical component. The convergence of fiscal expenditures is finally clearly rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-216 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396009 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396009&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:211-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: A game theoretic analysis of tariffs, dynamic inconsistency, resource conservation, and trade Abstract: Batabyal and Beladi (2004) have used a game model to study trade in a renewable resource between a single buyer and a single seller. The buyer uses a unit tariff to obliquely encourage conservation of the renewable resource and the entire harvest from the resource is exported to the importing nation. In this setting, it is shown that the efficacy of the unit tariff in promoting conservation depends crucially on whether harvesting costs are stock dependent or independent. When harvesting costs are stock independent (dependent), the optimal open loop unit tariff is time consistent (inconsistent). Does this result hold when the buyer and the seller consume a portion of the harvest from this resource? It is shown that the Batabyal and Beladi result holds even when there is domestic consumption of a portion of the harvest in the exporting country. The study concludes by discussing the implications of this finding for renewable resource conservation in general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-222 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395969 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395969&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:217-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nezir Kose Author-X-Name-First: Nezir Author-X-Name-Last: Kose Author-Name: Nuri Ucar Author-X-Name-First: Nuri Author-X-Name-Last: Ucar Title: Effect of cross correlations in error terms on the model selection criteria for the stationary VAR process Abstract: In this paper we investigate the finite sample properties of several model selection criteria in case of bivariate Vector AutoRegressions (VARs) of order one and two by a simulation study, particularly focusing on the effects of the degree of cross correlation in the error terms in combination with the values of more or less extreme values of the characteristic roots of the VAR-process. The Monte Carlo experiments show that the degree of cross correlation has an influence on the model selection criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-228 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500392974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500392974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:223-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiko Tsukuda Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Tsukuda Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: Practical illustrations of the two recent contributions to stochastic frontier models Abstract: In a recent year, the conditional expectation for technical inefficiency (i.e., the predictor) in stochastic frontier production models and its confidence interval are proved to be increasing in the individual firm's inefficiency effect, which is defined as the mean of the normal distribution that is truncated at zero. This paper illustrates how the two recent contributions work in practice and how these findings are significant, by using the Battese and Coelli (1995) type specification and giving an empirical study on the Japanese pharmaceutical industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imed Drine Author-X-Name-First: Imed Author-X-Name-Last: Drine Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Title: Testing for inflation convergence between the Euro Zone and its CEE partners Abstract: Inflation convergence between the Euro Zone and its CEE partners is investigated using panel data methods that incorporate structural shifts. Strong rejections of the unit root hypothesis are found, and therefore evidence of PPP, in the East-European countries for the 1995:1 to 2000:4 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-240 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396322 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396322&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:235-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Quality bias in price elasticity Abstract: This article examines the potential quality bias in price elasticities in cross-sectional demand analysis and develops a framework that can be used to avoid this problem. Both analytical and empirical results indicate that ignoring quality adjustment in either prices or quantities can cause biased price elasticities, which may lead to erroneous marketing decisions and policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395316 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395316&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsungwu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsungwu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The smooth-saving-retention-coefficient with country-size Abstract: The study uses data on 14 countries (Taylor, 1994) to investigate if the saving-retention coefficient varies with country size. A novel semiparametric smooth-coefficient approach of Koop and Tobias (2005) is employed to make posterior inference via the Gibbs sampler algorithm. Empirical results show an overwhelming evidence in support of a positive (nonlinear) relationship between the saving-retention coefficient and country size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Haan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Haan Title: Much ado about nothing: conditional logit vs. random coefficient models for estimating labour supply elasticities Abstract: This study compares several specifications of discrete choice labour supply estimations on basis of the German Socio Economic Panel. The results suggest that despite the restrictive assumptions of the error terms the conditional logit model provides an adequate model choice for the analysis of labour supply functions. Significance tests, which are based on bootstrapped confidence intervals, show that labour supply elasticities derived within the conditional logit model do not significantly differ from elasticities derived in flexible random coefficient models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-256 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:251-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. -L. Chian Author-X-Name-First: A. C. -L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chian Author-Name: E. L. Rempel Author-X-Name-First: E. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rempel Author-Name: F. A. Borotto Author-X-Name-First: F. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Borotto Author-Name: C. Rogers Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Title: An example of intermittency in nonlinear economic cycles Abstract: Intermittent behaviour of economic dynamics is studied by a nonlinear model of business cycles. Numerical simulations show that after an economic system evolves from order to chaos, the system keeps its memory before the transition and its time series alternates episodically between periods of low-level (quiescent) and high-level (bursting) activities. This model of economic intermittency exhibits power-law spectrum similar to the nonlinear time series observed in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-263 Issue: 4 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:4:p:257-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: The power of single equation tests for cointegration Abstract: In recent research, Kanioura and Turner (2005) have proposed an F-test for cointegration based upon the joint significance of the level terms in an error correction model. In the present study, the analysis of this test is extended via comparison with the GLS-based cointegration test of Perron and Rodriguez (mimeo, 2001). The simulation evidence presented indicates that for the data generation process considered by Kanioura and Turner, the F-test possesses greater power than both the Engle-Granger and the GLS-based cointegration tests. An empirical examination of the relationship between UK non-durable consumers' expenditure and disposable income illustrates the findings of the simulation analysis, with the F-test alone able to reject the null of no cointegration between the series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-267 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398534 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398534&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:265-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Borrmann Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Borrmann Author-Name: Jorg Finsinger Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Finsinger Title: An alternative way of determining the range of Averch and Johnson's Lagrange multiplier: a note Abstract: In this note, an alternative method is developed for determining the range of values assumed by the Lagrange multiplier of Averch and Johnson's constrained maximization problem. By assuming that the regulated firm's profit function is single-peaked, the approach is rather general. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-271 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:269-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mari Kan Author-X-Name-First: Mari Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Author-Name: Wataru Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Wataru Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: The demand for medical care in Japan: initial findings from a Japanese natural experiment Abstract: This study examines the effect of the 1997 increase in the coinsurance rate for household heads on the demand for medical care and estimates the price elasticity of demand using the change as a natural experiment. It analyses both outpatient and inpatient utilization by using health insurance claim data from 111 insurance associations. A differences-in-differences type estimator is employed with household heads as the treatment group and dependents as the control group. This represents the first comprehensive analysis of medical care demand in Japan using a natural experiment. The results indicate a price elasticity of outpatient care ranging from -0.05 to -0.06 but no significant effects on inpatient care of the increase in cost sharing. The price elasticity for outpatient care is lower than those from previous studies that have used observational comparisons of individuals in Japan and also smaller than those derived from a randomized experiment in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-277 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Title: The evolution of the Swedish wage structure: new evidence for 1992-2001 Abstract: Changes in the Swedish wage structure from 1992 to 2001 are investigated and placed in a longer-term perspective. The results show that the increase in overall wage dispersion that began in the early 1980s have continued during the 1990s, and that the increase during the 1990s is driven by increased wage differentials in both the lower and upper half of the wage distribution. The results also show that the university wage premium in Sweden has exhibited a clearly positive trend since the early 1980s whilst the returns to lower levels of education have been constant since the mid 1970s. Unlike the 1980s, relative supply changes do not appear to have been responsible for the rise in the university wage premium over the most recent decade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-286 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600581906 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600581906&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:279-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: A new approach to examining the sustainability of external imbalances: the case of Japan Abstract: This study aims to solve the puzzle of the conventional practice of examining the sustainability of external accounts by initially looking for cointegration between imports and exports. This study proposes a new approach to examine this thesis using unit root tests (with unknown break date) on trade balance series rather than testing the cointegration relationships between imports and exports. In contrast to previous findings, this study has shown empirically that Japan's trade balances are unsustainable. This finding has important policy implications for Japan's external accounts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-292 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:287-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Calculating the optimal hedge ratio: constant, time varying and the Kalman Filter approach Abstract: A crucial input in the hedging of risk is the optimal hedge ratio - defined by the relationship between the price of the spot instrument and that of the hedging instrument. Since it has been shown that the expected relationship between economic or financial variables may be better captured by a time varying parameter model rather than a fixed coefficient model, the optimal hedge ratio, therefore, can be one that is time varying rather than constant. This study suggests and demonstrates the use of the Kalman Filter approach for estimating time varying hedge ratio - a procedure that is statistically more efficient and with better forecasting properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-299 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500365848 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500365848&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:293-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samir Saadi Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Saadi Author-Name: Devinder Gandhi Author-X-Name-First: Devinder Author-X-Name-Last: Gandhi Author-Name: Khaled Elmawazini Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Elmawazini Title: On the validity of conventional statistical tests given evidence of non-synchronous trading and non-linear dynamics in returns generating process Abstract: Based on the recent developments in market microstructure and applications of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory to financial time series, the subsequent article questions the validity of traditional methods used to test the efficient market hypothesis. In particular, it emphasizes the invalidity of unit roots tests since they are not predictability tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-305 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:301-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wong Hock Tsen Author-X-Name-First: Wong Hock Author-X-Name-Last: Tsen Title: Is there a long-run relationship between trade balance and terms of trade? The case of Malaysia Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between trade balance and terms of trade in Malaysia. It employs commodity terms of trade and income terms of trade. The results show that there is a long-run relationship between trade balance and commodity terms of trade. However, there is no long-run relationship between trade balance and income terms of trade. Commodity terms of trade and income terms of trade are found respectively to Granger cause trade balance and not vice versa. Thus, a change in terms of trade will have an impact on trade balance in Malaysia. In the long run, the impact of terms of trade on trade balance is depending on the measure of terms of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-311 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393428 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393428&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:307-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Cheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chun-Yao Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: Valuation of patent - a real options perspective Abstract: Both the theoretical model and the empirical analysis methods are examined for valuing patents from the real options perspective. This study not only sets up a real options approach for evaluating patent to conform to the main sensitivity analysis of patent activities, but also establishes an empirical method about valuing patents by a panel data. Cross-sectional and time-series data from 101 Taiwanese electronic firms between 1993 and 2002 are employed for the fixed effects analysis in the panel data model. This study concludes the consist results from the theoretical model and empirical analysis. That is, the patent value increases with increasing the underlying asset, time to maturity and risk-free rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-318 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:313-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Export-led growth hypothesis: evidence for Chile Abstract: This study examines the export-led growth hypothesis using annual time series data from Chile. It addresses the problem of specification bias under which previous studies have suffered and focuses on the impact of manufactured and primary exports on the economic growth. In order to investigate if and how manufactured and primary exports affect economic growth via increases in productivity, the study uses the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) procedure for testing for Granger non-causality in Vector Autoregressive models that involve variables that are integrated in an arbitrary order and that are possibly cointegrated. The estimation results support the export-led growth hypothesis for Chile and at the same time point out to the differentiated impact of manufactured and primary exports on the economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-324 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:319-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: A flexible nonlinear inference to Okun's relationship Abstract: The study implements the flexible nonlinear inference approach of Hamilton (2001) to assess the validity of Okun's law. Using US quarterly data from 1948:1 to 2004:2, overwhelming evidence is found of nonlinearity between cyclical components of unemployment and output. However, the relationship is still negative and provides strong support of (nonlinear) Okun's law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:5:p:325-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Measuring efficiency in allocating inputs among outputs with DEA Abstract: Building on Data Envelopment Analysis technical efficiency models developed by Fare et al. (2004) and Barnum and Gleason (2005), a procedure is illustrated for estimating a firm's efficiency in allocating inputs among the production technologies producing its outputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395340 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395340&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some notes on informational coalition in a vertical market structure Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-340 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:337-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michelle Trawick Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Trawick Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Title: Crime and community heterogeneity: race, ethnicity, and religion Abstract: Prior studies have explored the relationship between race and religion and their effect on various crimes. In the USA race is typically defined as the proportion of a community that is African-American or nonwhite. Likewise, religion is defined as the proportion of a community that adheres to any religious denomination. This study extends earlier work by employing Herfindahl indices as measures of community homogeneity with respect to race and ethnicity as well as religious denominations. It also measures religiosity based on four different denominational groups, rather than religiosity as an aggregate. Results indicate that as a community's degree of homogeneity increases, in terms of both race/ethnicity and religion, crime decreases; and that the effects of religion on crime may vary by denomination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-345 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:341-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Exports, foreign direct investment, and productivity: evidence from German firm level data Abstract: This study presents the first empirical test with German establishment level data of a hypothesis derived by Helpman et al. (2004) in a model that explains the decision of heterogeneous firms to serve foreign markets either through exports or foreign direct investment: only the more productive firms choose to serve the foreign markets, and the most productive among this group will further choose to serve these markets via foreign direct investments. Using a non-parametric test for first order stochastic dominance it is shown that, in line with this hypothesis, the productivity distribution of foreign direct investors dominates that of exporters, which in turn dominates that of national market suppliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 347-349 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:347-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Brunner Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Brunner Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Title: Estimates of learning by watching and endogenous technical progress in six OECD countries Abstract: A testable model of 'learning by watching', where the rate of technical progress is related to the investment rate, is formulated and estimated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-354 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500393584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500393584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:351-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Adapting a nonparametric pooling test for use in panel cointegration models Abstract: Baltagi and Kao (2000) chronicle the emergence of panel applications of the cointegration approach. This study builds on this literature by proposing a reformulation of the pooling statistic proposed by Baltagi et al. (1996) that can be used to test for the appropriateness of this panel specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-357 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:355-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wasseem Mina Author-X-Name-First: Wasseem Author-X-Name-Last: Mina Title: Does contract enforcement matter for international lending? Abstract: Contract enforcement plays an important role in international lending. The hypotheses that better contract enforcement increases the level and lengthens the maturity of international debt are examined. Panel data are used for 83 developing and emerging market economies for the period 1982-1997 to examine these hypotheses. The empirical evidence supports these hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-364 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500394350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500394350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Author-Name: Richard Just Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Just Title: A note on commodity price aggregation bias without separability Abstract: This study identifies sources of price aggregation bias when separability restrictions do not apply. It shows that even though the assumption of the generalized composite commodity theorem guarantees aggregate integrability, it does not guarantee consistent price aggregation except in the homothetic translog model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500395290 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500395290&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Zietz Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Zietz Title: Detecting neglected parameter heterogeneity with Chow tests Abstract: The paper demonstrates through a number of Monte Carlo experiments that, for the type of cross-section data sets typically encountered in applied economics, Chow tests on sorted variations of the data matrix can detect neglected parameter heterogeneity. The paper focuses on heterogeneity in the behavioural responses of economic actors that belong to different economically meaningful groups, such as the young, middle-aged, and old. Since the suggested methodology is easy to implement yet powerful, its routine use by applied economists would be desirable given the very significant estimation bias that can result from neglecting parameter heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-374 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500378759 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500378759&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:369-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Author-Name: J. Andres Faina Author-X-Name-First: J. Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Faina Title: Does distance matter for determining regional income in the European Union? An approach through the market potential concept Abstract: This paper focuses on the relationship between market potential and income for the European Union (EU) regions over the period 1982-1999. It is proved that closeness to large consumer markets or in other words, market potential, is an important explanatory variable for regional income in the early 1980s, but it has decreased its significance in determining EU regions income in the 1990s. Thus dynamic income regions have also emerged in the EU periphery, and need not necessarily be close to rich regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600650073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600650073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moawia Alghalith Author-X-Name-First: Moawia Author-X-Name-Last: Alghalith Title: Price and output risk: empirical analysis Abstract: Without relying on duality theory and the indirect utility function, an estimation method is devised that accommodates both price and output uncertainty. This method enables easy testing for risk neutrality. Moreover, it enables empirical comparative statics results to be derived that can be compared to the theoretical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-393 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600685079 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600685079&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:391-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Barker Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Barker Author-Name: Sebastian de-Ramon Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: de-Ramon Title: Testing the representative agent assumption: the distribution of parameters in a large-scale model of the EU 1972-1998 Abstract: This study considers the validity of an assumption of the representative agent often made in economic models, that the behaviour of an economic group is adequately represented by each member of the group having the identical characteristics of the average. It can be tested whenever sufficient data are available to estimate sets of parameters of a model with and without the assumption that they are equal to some average. The specific test of the assumption is done for a set of 720 estimated parameters associated with the effects of technological change on industrial employment for 18 regions of Europe. The main finding is that the parameters are significantly different across industries and across regions and that an assumption that all responses to technological change are the same is not justified. Similar results are found for other parameters studied. This finding implies that the assumption that each industry has the same responses as an average, chosen from a literature review, is likely to be misleading. The data strongly suggest that behaviour is differentiated by industry and region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 6 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600650115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600650115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:6:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: David Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Does consumer debt cause economic recession? Evidence using directed acyclic graphs Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between consumer debt and aggregate economic activity based on time series methods and directed acyclic graphs (DAG). Quarterly US data, measured over the period 1980 to 2003, on consumer debt, gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, housing starts, and domestic auto sales, are analysed in an Error Correction Model (ECM). Contemporaneous innovations from this ECM are given a structural representation, using recent developments in DAG modelling. The ECM and DAG components are summarized using innovation accounting techniques (impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition). The DAG causal pattern reveals a causal flow from GDP to consumer debt; the subsequent innovation accounting results also show that consumer debt is not exogenous in contrast to GDP and other indicators. This result concurs with a previous study based on Granger causality, but contradicts other works that claim consumer debt is a root cause of aggregate economic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-407 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398658 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398658&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:401-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masako Oyama Author-X-Name-First: Masako Author-X-Name-Last: Oyama Title: Measuring cost of children using equivalence scale on Japanese panel data Abstract: In this study, the cost of child rearing is estimated in order to examine the hypothesis that the recent fertility decline in Japan has been caused by increases in the cost of child rearing. Although there are various ways to estimate the cost of children, the research uses an equivalence scale. The results of the traditional Rothbarth estimation showed that the cost of child raising in Japan is not very high. However, the results of the equivalence scale estimation using 'satisfaction for the income' as the utility measure showed that the cost of child raising is much higher than calculated in the Rothbarth model. The latter subjective scale approach is now said to have more advantages. Thus, the cost of child raising in Japan is much higher than was believed to be the case, and this could be one of the reasons for the decline in the fertility rate in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-415 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500193042 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500193042&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:409-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin Kholodilin Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilin Author-Name: Vincent Wenxiong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Modelling the structural break in volatility Abstract: Recent studies suggest that US and other developed economies have become considerably stabilized in terms of volatility since the mid-1980s (Stock and Watson, 2002). This study models the structural break in volatility using a dynamic factor model with two state variables: one capturing cyclical fluctuations and another reflecting volatility decline. The new model confirms a one-time volatility reduction in the US economy in February 1984. Four-regime models appear to outperform two-regime models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-422 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398542 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398542&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:417-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: The impact of local taxes on public school performance: the case of Pennsylvania Abstract: This study investigates how education inputs impact school performance. The focus is on local taxes since local tax revenues are the primary source of financing public schools. Using both OLS and 2SLS and examining 507 school districts in Pennsylvania during 1996 to 1999, results reveal that local taxes are strongly related to school performance implying that they have a direct effect on education inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Macas Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Macas Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Title: The Coase problem: a transformation of the usual utility function Abstract: Given that demand for durable goods is not constant over time, this article proposes a transformation of the utility function which accounts for discontinuous time and for the effect of different levels of income on the utility of buying. As a result, the original Coase paradox will collapse. The smaller the difference between the disposition of consumers with high level income and those with low level income to pay, the greater the probability of marginal cost pricing in the present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-429 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500396363 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500396363&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:427-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: The distribution of income over life: an empirical approach Abstract: The aim of the present work is to provide new findings looking at the direct link between age and the distribution of earnings. In particular, it studies the general movement of earnings of individuals with their age using different econometric models and panel techniques which explain the relationship between age and earnings. Inequality measures based only on cross-sectional income do not adequately reflect lifetime income inequality. Cohort data for different age groups in Spain over the years 1993 to 2000 are considered using data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). The evidence obtained suggests that there exists a strong influence between earnings and age. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398591 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398591&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Do board characteristics affect corporate performance? Firm-level evidence for India Abstract: The study examines the association between financial performance and boards of non-financial firms. Using data on 127 listed manufacturing firms in India for 2003 the findings indicate that, after controlling for various firm-specific factors, larger boards tend to have a dampening influence on firm performance, judged in terms of either accounting or market-based measures of performance. In terms of policy implications, the analysis suggests that compensation of the CEO has a significant effect on the performance of the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-443 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398617 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398617&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:435-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: P. Perez Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: B. Sanz Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Title: Testing for parameter stability: the Spanish consumption function Abstract: This study tests for parameter instability in the Spanish consumption function. To that end, a new test for time dependence of parameters is used and compared with other relevant tests. As opposed to other tests this new one is concerned with detecting parameter variation in frequency domain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-448 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:445-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evren Erdoğan Cosar Author-X-Name-First: Evren Erdoğan Author-X-Name-Last: Cosar Title: Seasonal behaviour of the consumer price index of Turkey Abstract: In this study, the seasonal properties of the consumer price index (CPI) of Turkey are investigated with the use of Hylleberg et al. (HEGY) and Canova-Hansen (CH) seasonal unit root tests. According to the test results, there is evidence of nonstationary stochastic seasonality as well as deterministic seasonality in the Turkish consumer prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-455 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:449-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Title: Long-run validity of Purchasing Power Parity and cointegration analysis for Central Asian countries Abstract: This study investigates the long-run validity of Purchasing Power Parity for three transition Asian countries, namely Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. The results show that the nominal exchange rates, domestic and foreign price series are not cointegrated when four different types of cointegration techniques were applied. Time series properties of the real exchange rates for these countries also show that they are non-stationary. All these results confirm that validity of the Purchasing Power Parity in the long-run can be rejected for these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Aquino Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Aquino Title: Efficiency of the Philippine stock market Abstract: The study examines the efficiency of the Philippine stock market using stock price movements during the period July 1987 to May 2004. Characterizing stock price movements as an AR(1) process with Laplace residuals, the statistical evidence supports the hypothesis that the Philippine stock market is weak-form efficient. An examination of major events that could plausibly affect share prices and large price movements from an event study perspective indicates fairly rapid absorption by the market of information, except in cases of extreme stress caused by political and economic shocks. Furthermore, factors other than information about fundamentals appear able to cause major share price movements. Given these, the support for the semistrong-form efficiency of the stock market is mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-470 Issue: 7 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:7:p:463-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Time deformation in UK consumers' expenditure: an empirical analysis of highly disaggregated data Abstract: The literature on testing for the presence of cyclical asymmetry in consumers' expenditure is extended via the application of tests for time deformation to UK data subject to a high degree of disaggregation. The initial empirical findings provide evidence of significant time deformation in total, durables and semi-durables expenditures. Closer examination of highly disaggregated expenditure further reveals that time deformation is an intrinsic property of a particular set of expenditure categories including household fittings and furnishings, communication and information technology, vehicles and utilities. These results suggest that such consumers' expenditures 'speed up' during expansions, most likely being driven by the relaxation of credit rationing constraints due to transient income windfalls or the easing of credit conditions, and possibly associated with housing market conditions subsequent to financial market liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-478 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:471-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Response surfaces for an F-test for cointegration Abstract: This study builds on earlier work by Kanioura and Turner (2005) in generating response surfaces for critical values for an F-test for cointegration based on an error-correction relationship between a set of variables of interest. It also builds on work by Pesaran et al. (2001) in generating response surfaces for the critical bounds of this test generated by the possibility that there are cointegrating relationships between the variables on the right hand side of the error-correction equation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-482 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:479-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: How much happiness is there in the world? A cross-country study Abstract: This paper complements the burgeoning literature on country-specific studies of happiness by taking a global look at happiness and its determinants. In so doing, it makes two contributions. First, it presents indicators of happiness that are 'equity adjusted' and compares their values to those of unadjusted indicators. This comparison shows that countries with the lowest mean happiness scores have their unhappiness compounded when these means are adjusted to take account of the glaring inequality in their inter-personal distribution of happiness. Second, using data on nearly 113 000 respondents, drawn from 80 countries, it shows that people everywhere want broadly the same things in order to be happy: faith in a deity; a decent standard of living; a job; a good family and social life; a good neighbourhood in which to live; and, above all, good health. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-488 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400652 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400652&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:483-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Is capital really mobile across the border? Abstract: The existing theories on capital mobility use either the saving-investment parity condition or the interest parity condition. The assumptions of balanced budget or purchasing power parity condition underlying these theories, however, are rarely met. This study, therefore develops a different approach called 'current account surplus saving surplus parity condition' to measure the degree of capital mobility and apply the model on US time series data. It is found that US capital is mobile internationally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymund Abara Author-X-Name-First: Raymund Author-X-Name-Last: Abara Title: Estimation and evaluation of asset pricing models with habit formation using Philippine data Abstract: This study tests the habit-formation model, an extension of the consumption-based capital asset pricing model (C-CAPM). Using Philippine stock market data, seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted consumption datasets, the study tracks the performance of these resulting models in terms of forecast performance both in-sample and out-of-sample. Several statistical measures such as the Diebold-Mariano test and the success ratio test are used to compare these habit models against the standard power utility/C-CAPM, the random walk with drift model, and the traditional static CAPM. Based on the criteria set by this study, only the external habit model performs better than all the other models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-497 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400611 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400611&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:493-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Nildag Basak Ceylan Author-X-Name-First: Nildag Basak Author-X-Name-Last: Ceylan Author-Name: Bengisu Vural Author-X-Name-First: Bengisu Author-X-Name-Last: Vural Title: The effects of Japanese economic performance on Indonesia Abstract: This paper assesses how Japanese economic performance affects the Indonesian economy for the 1988 to 2004 period. The empirical evidence provided here suggests that Japanese growth appreciates the local currency in real terms, decreases the inflation and increases growth. As a side issue, we also documented that real exchange rate depreciation accelerates inflation and decreases growth in Indonesia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-502 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400582 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840500400582&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:499-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Howie Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Howie Author-Name: John Wicks Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Wicks Author-Name: John Fitzgerald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Fitzgerald Author-Name: Douglas Dalenberg Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Dalenberg Author-Name: Rachel Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Rachel Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Title: Mothers' time spent in care of their children and market work: a simultaneous model with attitudes as instruments Abstract: Using a model that addresses the potential endogeneity of employment hours on mothers' child care time and vice versa, by including instruments based on parental attitudes, we find a significant negative (but inelastic) relation between the two time uses. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-506 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:503-506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Examining the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate: the case of China's trade with the USA Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the nexus between China's trade balance and the real exchange rate vis-a-vis the USA. Using the bounds testing approach to cointegration, we find evidence that China's trade balance and real exchange rate vis-a-vis the USA are cointegrated, and using the autoregressive distributed lag model we find that in both the short run and the long run a real devaluation of the Chinese RMB improves the trade balance; as a result, there is no evidence of a J-curve type adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 507-510 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400488 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400488&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:507-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Manuel Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Title: The efficacy of university training programmes: a semi-parametric Bayesian approach Abstract: A semi-parametric Bayesian methodology based on Cox's proportional hazards model is proposed in order to evaluate the efficacy of training programmes offered by the University of Zaragoza (Spain) in the labour market insertion process. To this end, a matched comparison group has been designed in which university students completing vocational training courses are compared with eligible non-participants especially chosen for their similarity to the former group in terms of the factors affecting future employment prospects. The study shows that training courses were generally effective for job market insertion of university leavers, increasing their chances of avoiding unemployment by around 6.56% for a standard course. Effectiveness depends, however, on the university leaver's professional career choice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-518 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400470 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400470&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:511-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Udaya Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Udaya Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: S. Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: On measuring group-differentials displayed by socioeconomic indicators Abstract: This is a very short and elementary note which points (in a continuation of a recent tradition in the literature) to the importance of taking account of the level of a socioeconomic indicator in comparing group-differentials displayed by it. The requirement of 'level sensitivity' is captured in a couple of axioms, and a measure of differential, which satisfies both these axioms, is advanced. An empirical illustration of the note's concerns is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-521 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400413 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400413&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:519-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Bassanini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bassanini Title: Training, wages and employment security: an empirical analysis on European data Abstract: Data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) are used to assess the effects of employee training on the average wage and employment security of different labour market groups in EU countries. Significant training wage premia are found only in the case of young or highly educated employees. By contrast training appears to have a strong impact on employment security, measured through subjective measures, in the case of both older and low-educated workers. To reconcile this apparent contradiction, one needs to take into account that, as standard in the literature, wage premia are estimated on a truncated sample including only employed workers. Due to downward wage rigidity, those workers who are unable to maintain their productivity are more frequently laid-off - rather than experiencing a wage fall and be retained in employment - and thereby excluded from the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-527 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400447 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400447&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:523-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Zixiong Xie Author-X-Name-First: Zixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Nonlinear relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Taiwan Abstract: Using Taiwan data, the study employs Hamilton's (2001) flexible regression model to investigate the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty. The results convincingly support Friedman's hypothesis that a rise in the inflation rate increases inflation uncertainty. This result, however, holds only in a positive inflation regime. When the inflation rate is in a negative inflation regime, one clearly notes that a drop in the inflation rate also increases inflation uncertainty. Thus Friedman's argument is complemented by advocating that a rise in the absolute inflation rate increases inflation uncertainty. Turning to Cukierman-Meltzer's hypothesis, both linear and nonlinear inflation uncertainties affect the inflation rate, where the former has positive but the latter has negative effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-533 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400405 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400405&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:529-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramaprasad Bhar Author-X-Name-First: Ramaprasad Author-X-Name-Last: Bhar Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Linkages among agricultural commodity futures prices: some further evidence from Tokyo Abstract: Booth and Ciner (2001) find that the prices of commodity futures traded on the Tokyo Grain Exchange (TGE) do not move together in the long run. This study analyses whether their empirical results remain true for a more recent period. The empirical results suggest that the cointegrating relation exists among commodity futures contracts from 2000 to 2003, but not earlier during the 1990s. This indicates that the price mechanism works better and the long-run relationships among prices become more apparent as a market develops. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 535-539 Issue: 8 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400421 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400421&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:8:p:535-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Krause Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Krause Title: Optimal monetary policy and the equivalency between the one-period AD-AS model and the forward-looking New Keynesian model Abstract: It is shown how a one-period aggregate demand-aggregate supply (AD-AS) model yields equivalent expressions for inflation and output under optimal monetary policy as a forward-looking New Keynesian model. Furthermore the advantage that the AD-AS model has over the New Keynesian specification when evaluating policy efficiency is evaluated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-544 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600691093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600691093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:541-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Hysteresis and non-linearities in unemployment rates Abstract: This study tests whether there is evidence of mean reversion in unemployment rates using the recently developed unit root test of Kapetanios et al. (2003). In this framework, the null hypothesis of a unit root process is tested against the alternative of a globally stationary exponential smooth transition autoregressive process. Applying the test to monthly data for Australia, Canada, Finland, Sweden and the USA, it is concluded that unemployment hysteresis finds less support when non-linearities are allowed for compared to the benchmark of using a standard Augmented Dickey-Fuller test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryoko Morozumi Author-X-Name-First: Ryoko Author-X-Name-Last: Morozumi Title: The impact of smoke-free workplace policies on smoking behaviour in Japan Abstract: The aim of this study is to quantify the effect of a smoke-free workplace policy on smoking decision, smokers' cigarette consumption, and smoking cessation. The data used in the analysis were gathered from the original Japanese household surveys of 2001. A two-part model was estimated for all workers during the survey period and probit model and difference-in-differences for smokers at workplaces without the smoke-free policy at the time of hiring. The results suggest that total smoking prohibition or a separation of smoking areas reduces smoking prevalence and smokers' cigarette consumption and causes smokers to quit smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-555 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500399201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500399201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:549-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Siriopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Siriopoulos Author-Name: Antonios Georgopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Georgopoulos Author-Name: Athanasios Tsagkanos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsagkanos Title: Does the 'Market for Corporate Control' hypothesis explain takeover targets? Abstract: This study tests the 'Market for Corporate Control' hypothesis in a small open economy. The results appear to favour rejection of this hypothesis indicating that acquisitions have not been driven by managerial-disciplinary motives. Moreover, it is found that a logit model outperforms other statistical tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600731329 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600731329&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Andres Faina Author-X-Name-First: J. Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Faina Author-Name: J. Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Title: Market access and human capital accumulation: the European Union case Abstract: This study evaluates the role that market access plays in determining the spatial distribution of educational attainment levels among EU regions. Evidence is provided showing that in the EU educational attainment levels are higher in those regions with greater market access. This finding proves that remoteness is a penalty for the economic development and convergence of the European Union regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-567 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:563-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rita De Siano Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: De Siano Author-Name: Marcella D'Uva Author-X-Name-First: Marcella Author-X-Name-Last: D'Uva Title: Club convergence in European regions Abstract: This study investigates the 'club convergence' hypothesis applying the stochastic notion of convergence to groups of European regions. In order to avoid the group selection bias problem, the innovative regression tree technique was applied to select endogenously the most important variables in achieving the best identification of groups on the base of per capita income and productive specialization. Tests on stochastic convergence in each group evidences a strong convergence among the wealthiest regions of the European Union and a trend of weak convergence among the remaining groups, confirming Baumol's hypothesis of convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-574 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600733473 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600733473&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:569-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Author-Name: Hermann Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Hermann Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Luis Felipe Lagos Author-X-Name-First: Luis Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Lagos Title: Is fiscal policy effective? Evidence for an emerging economy: Chile 1833-2000 Abstract: This paper studies the impact of fiscal policy on economic activity by using Chilean annual data from 1833 to 2000. The data allows us to disentangle the impacts on economic activity -- due to the large variation in fiscal policy in the period under study -- by using a SVAR methodology. The study finds evidence of non Keynesian impacts of fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400686 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400686&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maxime Fougere Author-X-Name-First: Maxime Author-X-Name-Last: Fougere Author-Name: Simon Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Title: The regional impact of population ageing in Canada: a general equilibrium analysis Abstract: This study explores the long-term economic effects of population ageing by region in Canada using a dynamic regional computable overlapping generations model. The model has six regions, six goods and 15 overlapping generations of heterogeneous workers by skill level and immigration status. The analysis indicates that regional differences in retirement decisions, fertility rates and location of skilled immigrants will cause a substantial increase in regional income disparity in Canada between faster-ageing and slower-ageing regions of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-585 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Author-Name: Chung Mo Koo Author-X-Name-First: Chung Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Title: A method to allocate GDP statistical discrepancy Abstract: There is a considerable discrepancy between GDP estimates which should be equal to one another. A method of allocating this discrepancy is proposed to derive an accurate measure of GDP with applications to the US and Korean economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500397601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500397601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Osama Sweidan Author-X-Name-First: Osama Author-X-Name-Last: Sweidan Author-Name: Aktham Maghyereh Author-X-Name-First: Aktham Author-X-Name-Last: Maghyereh Title: Monetary policy and the central bank's securities Abstract: Open market operation (OMO) is one of the major instruments of conducting the monetary policy in both developing and developed countries. Using this instrument requires a well-developed secondary financial market. OMO can be implemented by using either government or central bank (CB) securities. Developing countries are using the second which raises a question about CB profits and the effect on the economy. This study, through evidence from a small developing country, Jordan, shows that issuing CB securities causes losses which affect the monetary policy continuity. Moreover, the paper extends a model introduced by Walsh (1998) to study the impact of the CB losses on some macroeconomic variables. The model shows that if the CB profits are part of the objective function then inflation, output and growth of the money supply tend to have a positive bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-598 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:593-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Author-Name: Gloria Rubert Author-X-Name-First: Gloria Author-X-Name-Last: Rubert Title: The effect of outsourcing on the demand for skills in the Spanish manufacturing industry Abstract: This study analyses the effect of outsourcing on the demand for skills in the Spanish manufacturing industries. For the first time in the literature the origin of outsourcing is taken into account, distinguishing imports coming from developing countries and imports produced in developed countries. As theoretically expected, a positive link is found between outsourcing to developing countries and a higher demand for skills in the Spanish manufacturing sectors. However, it is found that outsourcing to developed countries also has a positive effect on the demand for skills. This later result may cast some doubts on previous studies' conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-604 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:599-604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Hong Yan Author-X-Name-First: Yong Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Bruce Felmingham Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Felmingham Title: First and second order instability of the Shanghai and Shenzhen share price indices Abstract: First and second order instability tests are applied to China's two major share market price indices (SPIs), Shanghai share market price index (SES) and Shenzhen share market price index (SZS) using daily data from 2 January 1992 to 16 July 2004. First order instability is synonymous with non stationarity and second order instability with structural breaks. Applying procedures developed by Perron (1997) and Zivot and Andrews (1992), it is found that both share price indices are unstable in the first and second order. The Shanghai series breaks in December 1999 and Shenzhen in May 1999. Existence of the share A (domestic listing) and share B (foreign listing) seem to buffer both markets against the worst effects of the Asian Crisis and September 11 attack. These shocks were apparently absorbed by the foreign listings of shares. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 9 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424918 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424918&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:9:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Title: Capital mobility and savings-investment correlations: panel data evidence from transition economies Abstract: This study examines the relationship between savings and investment for 26 transition economies using a panel data set covering the 1991 to 2002 period. Estimates of the saving coefficient based on cross-sectional, fixed-effect, random-effect and mean-group estimators range from 0.263 to 0.315, which are significantly less than one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-613 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401957 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401957&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:611-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Susanne Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Susanne Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: The impact of gender differences in occupational attainment on the relative earnings of young workers Abstract: This study investigates the potential influence that gender differences in occupational structures have upon the relative earnings of young women in the US labour market. The empirical methodology integrates a multinomial logit model of occupational attainment with estimated human capital wage equations across occupations. Empirical analysis of data from the 1979 cohort of the NLSY suggests that nearly two-thirds of the gender gap in hourly earnings results from men having more favourable earnings structures within occupations, relative to their female colleagues. Gender differences in occupational distributions apparently have a minor impact on the relative earnings of women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-619 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401742 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401742&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:615-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Perry Sadorsky Author-X-Name-First: Perry Author-X-Name-Last: Sadorsky Title: Day-of-the-week effects in emerging stock markets Abstract: This study uses both unconditional and conditional risk analysis to investigate the day-of-the-week effect in 21 emerging stock markets. In addition, risk is allowed to vary across the days of the week. Different models produce different results but overall day-of-the-week effects are present for the Philippines, Pakistan and Taiwan even after adjusting for market risk. The results in this study show that while the day-of-the-week effect is not present in the majority of emerging stock markets studied, some emerging stock markets do exhibit strong day-of-the-week effects even after accounting for conditional market risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-628 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600825238 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600825238&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:621-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: The effects of bandwidth changes on model validity: an empirical study Abstract: This simple study uses a variant of the Hsiao et al. (2006) test to analyse the impact of bandwidth changes on model validity using actual labour force data on workers in the Philippines. The test framework is used to verify the validity of several wage specifications. Results indicate that the tests are quite sensitive to chosen bandwidths for discrete regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-633 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600825188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600825188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:629-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Muge Karacal Author-X-Name-First: Muge Author-X-Name-Last: Karacal Title: The demand for money in Turkey and currency substitution Abstract: Over the last three decades, the Turkish economy has experienced severe macro-shocks, among which depreciation of the Turkish lira is the most noticeable one. The Turkish lira (TL) has depreciated from 13 TL per US dollar in 1973 to more than 1.5 million TL per dollar today. It is expected that because of these shocks, some of the macro-relationships could suffer from structural instability which makes policy formulation and predictions difficult. This paper considers the demand for money in Turkey. To take account of currency substitution, the demand for money that includes the exchange rate in addition to income, interest rate and inflation rate is estimated. After incorporating the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests in bounds testing approach for cointegration, it is shown that in Turkey for a successful and effective monetary policy, the monetary authorities would rather concentrate on M1 because not only is it cointegrated with its determinants and it is stable, all four determinants belong to the cointegrating space. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-642 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500358819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500358819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:635-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nabanita Datta Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Nabanita Datta Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Ronald Oaxaca Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Oaxaca Author-Name: Nina Smith Author-X-Name-First: Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Analysing trends in US and Danish gender wage gaps in the 1980s and 1990s Abstract: Trends in US and Danish gender wage gaps in the 1980s and 1990s are analysed within the framework of simple auto-regressive time-series models. Results show a saturation effect in the wage progress of women in Denmark at a level of 85% but no similar signs of stabilization in the USA. Also, no evidence is found that business cycle variables can explain the development of the gender wage gap in either country during this time period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-647 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600684825 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600684825&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:643-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Kakamu Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kakamu Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: Productivity convergence of manufacturing industries in Japanese MEA Abstract: The study presents (1) the convergence of labour productivity in manufacturing industries in Japanese MEAs during 1985 to 2000, using Markov chain transition matrix and (2) the speed of convergence to an ergodic distribution. The results indicate that (1) the labour productivities of all MEAs converge to different levels in the long-run and (2) its speed is as slow as the Solow's growth model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-653 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400371 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400371&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:649-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chien-Hua Lai Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Substitute effects between Lotto and Big Lotto in Taiwan Abstract: Lotto was inaugurated in January 2002 and immediately became a popular activity in Taiwan. The purpose of this investigation is to examine the effective price elasticity of Big Lotto and the substitute effects between Lotto (6/42) and Big Lotto (6/49). The analytical results can provide suggestions to the Taipei Bank on ways to improve lottery sales. The empirical findings of investigation include: (1) no significant substitutive or complementary relationships exist between Big Lotto and Lotto in Taiwan (2) the effective price elasticity of Big Lotto is -0.145, Taipei Bank can increase the revenue gained from Big Lotto by increasing the effective price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-658 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:655-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: James Opaluch Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Opaluch Author-Name: Di Jin Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Thomas Grigalunas Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Grigalunas Title: Alternative technology indexes in the offshore oil and gas industry Abstract: R&D policies play an important role for developing technologies. Alternative technology indexes are tested to provide an improved understanding of technology index in the offshore oil and gas industry. The analysis compares ten alternative technology indexes including technology diffusion counts, importance-weighted diffusion, innovation counts, importance-weighted innovation, patent counts, importance-weighted patent counts, and a simple measure of time. It is found that utilizing weighted diffusion count as an index of technology is clearly superior to all other indexes. The results also show the time as an index of technology is clearly inferior to most other indexes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-663 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401866 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401866&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:659-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Nikolaou Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaou Author-Name: I. Theodossiou Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Theodossiou Title: Returns to qualifications and occupation for males and females: evidence from the British Workplace Employee Relations Survey (WERS) 1998 Abstract: This study explores the returns to qualifications by occupation for males and females by utilizing a matched employer-employee dataset. It shows that educational qualifications are of a major and significant importance in explaining earnings variation but the effect progressively disappears as one examines their impact at lower ranks of occupational status. Thus, it appears that precisely where workers are located in terms of occupation will determine the pay that they are likely to receive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-673 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:665-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chul-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chul-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Donggeun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Donggeun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does Korea have twin deficits? Abstract: Using the modified Wald test suggested by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), the study examines whether higher budget deficits lead to greater current account deficits in Korea. This test allows one not only to examine the general validity of twin deficits hypotheses, but also to predict future Korean external balance positions. The empirical results indicate that a unidirectional causal relation running from the current account deficit to the budget deficit is present in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 675-680 Issue: 10 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404910 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404910&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:10:p:675-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: On the finite sampling properties of the Zheng test for omitted and irrelevant variable problems Abstract: The paper conducts simple Monte Carlo simulation investigations to ascertain the finite sample properties of the Zheng test when applied to familiar specification errors in the form of omitted and irrelevant variable problems. Results indicate that the respective estimated sizes underestimate the nominal sizes. In an omitted variable setting, the Zheng test performs rather well with estimated powers being sensitive to increasing bandwidth parameters. However, the test exhibited contrasting results in examining power performance for testing irrelevant regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-684 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600829651 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600829651&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:681-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Vandenberge Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenberge Title: Achievement effectiveness and equity: the role of tracking, grade repetition and inter-school segregation Abstract: Grouping students together according to their ability - in vocational versus academic tracks, in different grades or schools - is frequently denounced as being ineffective and/or a source of additional inequality. Yet very few international studies have evaluated the effects of these practices on educational performance. This study attempts to fill this gap using standardized scores in maths, science and reading literacy at the age of 15 published by the OECD in 2000. Results are that ability grouping has no impact on effectiveness (country mean scores). And the intensity of inequality (within country dispersion of scores) is also hard to predict. It is only for maths that higher inter-school segregation, but not tracking or grade repetition, leads to higher inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-693 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404944 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404944&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:685-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Troy Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: A more flexible decomposition of productivity growth Abstract: Conventional productivity growth decompositions, such as those of Baily, Bartelsman and Haltiwanger (2001) and Grilliches and Regev (1995), first aggregate each firm's productivity level into an aggregate productivity index, and then allocate aggregate growth back to the firms forming the aggregate. It is shown that this can produce misleading results, and two more flexible decompositions are proposed that are consistent with the superlative Tornqvist productivity growth index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600903837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600903837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Author-Name: Kunal Sen Author-X-Name-First: Kunal Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Probit with heteroscedasticity: an application to Indian poverty analysis Abstract: This study argues that in limited dependent variable models, when there is heteroscedasticity, a probit model with a heteroscedastic structure should be estimated. The problem is illustrated using unit record data from the Indian National Sample Survey to analyse the determinants of poverty at household level. It is found that these biases are large even with large number of observations because in the limited dependent variable case, the bias does not vanish asymptotically when the assumption of homoscedasticity breaks down. Both regression coefficients and marginal effects differ widely between probit and hetprobit models in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-707 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500402096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500402096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:699-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Buonanno Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Buonanno Author-Name: Leone Leonida Author-X-Name-First: Leone Author-X-Name-Last: Leonida Title: Education and crime: evidence from Italian regions Abstract: This study examines the impact of education on criminal activity in Italy. A number of hypotheses are tested regarding the effects of education and past incidence of crime on criminal activity, using annual data for the 20 Italian regions over the period 1980 to 1995. Empirical results show that education is negatively correlated with delinquency and that crime rates display persistence over time. The results are robust to model specifications and endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 709-713 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:709-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. K. Randolph Tan Author-X-Name-First: G. K. Randolph Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Efficiency estimates for Singapore manufacturing: new evidence from the Malmquist Index Abstract: A nonparametric technique is employed, data envelopment analysis, to derive estimates of technical efficiency change in Singapore manufacturing industries for 1975 to 1998 using the Malmquist index. The results show that on average, there have been improvements in technical efficiency over the sample period for overall manufacturing. This broadly corroborates the results from an earlier stochastic frontier analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-721 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:715-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinyoung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Jinyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Kun-Oh Jung Author-X-Name-First: Kun-Oh Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: A cross-country study on income distribution and school enrolment Abstract: This study examines whether income distribution affects school enrolment at primary, secondary and tertiary levels. Using cross-national evidence, it is found that a country's income inequality is positively and significantly associated with primary school enrolments. However, there is a negative association between income inequality and enrolment at both secondary and tertiary levels, even after controlling for some explanatory variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500402013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500402013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Christian von Hirschhausen Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: von Hirschhausen Title: Convergence of European spot market prices for natural gas? A real-time analysis of market integration using the Kalman Filter Abstract: This letter provides a textbook example of an econometric analysis of the integration between two commodity markets and the subsequent price convergence or absence thereof. Price relations between spot markets are analysed for natural gas in Europe. The European market for natural gas is currently undergoing a liberalization process with the aim of creating a single, unified market. Time-varying coefficient estimation models are used, applying the Kalman filter to test whether price convergence between different locations is really taking place. The results reveal that the construction of a pipeline between the UK and Zeebrugge (Belgium) has led to almost perfect price convergence between these locations in the time period under consideration; on the other hand, liberalization on the European continent does not seem to be working so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-732 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:727-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Title: Wage flexibility and the EMU: a nonparametric and semiparametric analysis for the Spanish case Abstract: According to OCA theory, the creation of the EMU reinforces the role of wage flexibility as an adjustment instrument alternative to the exchange rate in order to mitigate the negative effects of asymmetric shocks. This paper uses the case of Spain as the frame of reference within the EMU - in order to ensure data homogeneity - and examines wage flexibility in the Spanish provinces using both nonparametric and semiparametric techniques. The main result of the paper is that the labour market appears to be quite rigid and, therefore, adverse shocks could have serious consequences in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-736 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407624 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407624&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:733-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerald Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: Ninon Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Ninon Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Author-Name: Theodor Kohers Author-X-Name-First: Theodor Author-X-Name-Last: Kohers Title: The risk and return characteristics of developed and emerging stock markets: the recent evidence Abstract: Finance theory suggests that the higher volatility typically associated with emerging stock market returns translates into higher expected returns in those markets. This study compares the risk and return profile of emerging and developed stock markets over the period from 1988 through April 2003. Specifically, this study investigates whether a difference in risk characteristics exists between the two markets and whether the realized rates of return in these two types of markets reflect these risk characteristics. The results show that the risk associated with emerging markets, as measured by the standard deviation of returns, is higher than the risk in developed markets in most periods. Also, the returns in emerging markets have been higher than those in developed markets for most of the time frames examined. The findings suggest that risk-averse investors seeking higher returns in emerging markets have been compensated for assuming the higher risk associated with these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-743 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:737-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yir-Hueih Luh Author-X-Name-First: Yir-Hueih Author-X-Name-Last: Luh Author-Name: Kuo-Chen Shih Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Shih Title: International spillovers and East Asian growth: the experience of Japan, Korea and Taiwan Abstract: This study analyses the sources of economic growth for three East Asian economies - Japan, Korea and Taiwan - with special emphasis on international spillovers as an explanation of the differential patterns of growth. Three different proxy measures of international spillovers are constructed in the empirical analysis. Explicitly accounting for country-specific differences, both fixed effect and random effect regressions are applied to obtain coefficient estimates. It is found that technology spillovers going beyond geographic boundaries is a significant determinant of GDP growth for the three East Asian economies. Nevertheless, the direction of the spillover effect differs. For Japan and Korea, the empirical findings support the view that international spillovers contribute to GDP growth. International spillovers, however, are found to have dampened Taiwan's GDP growth during the period 1978 to 1992. These results suggest, for economies whose research effort is relatively low, a negative relationship between productivity and international spillovers might be revealed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-750 Issue: 11 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:11:p:745-750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Empirical causality between bigger banknotes and inflation Abstract: Monetary theory predicts that high inflation rates may imply the need for bigger banknotes. At the same time, monetary authorities may fear that introducing higher-valued banknotes leads to inflation. This paper concerns an analysis of 40 years of data on inflation and denominations for 59 countries, and it reports that causality runs from inflation to banknotes and not the other way around. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 751-752 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:751-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ethan Cohen-Cole Author-X-Name-First: Ethan Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen-Cole Title: Housing quality, neurotoxins and human capital acquisition Abstract: Much existing literature on age-earnings variation has focused on identifying the connection between ability and wage and salary income. This is often done through the careful selection of an instrument, believed to be correlated with ability but not with earnings, and typically for data on individuals older than 18. Recent efforts have discussed the path of human capital acquisition from younger ages, including discussions of the relevance of early childhood education on the long-term path of human capital. This paper approaches the issue by selecting a more plausibly exogenous factor in human capital acquisition - infant exposure to household neurotoxins (e.g. lead, mercury, PCBs, etc.). I capitalize on the time varying usage of paint and PCBs in household constructions to use housing vintage (year of construction) as a proxy for exposure. I measure this exposure at the state level. State level variation in the age of housing stock is found to explain a large portion of the individual level age-earnings profile. Living in an old vintage house with a high probability of neurotoxin exposure translates to loss of earnings equivalent to about six years of schooling. This supports the medical literature's view that neurotoxins affect both mental capacity as well as the ability to learn. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-758 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:753-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Seung Jick Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung Jick Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: A complete characterization of mean wait times for citizens in the non-preemptive corruption regime Abstract: Recently, Batabyal and Yoo (2004) have used a queuing model with two types of citizens (high and low opportunity cost of time) to compute mean wait times in queue for the so called non-preemptive corruption regime. The purpose of this note is to extend the Batabyal and Yoo (2004) analysis. Specifically, a queuing model with  [image omitted] types of citizens is first studied. Next, mean wait times in queue are calculated for all n types of citizens. Finally, the implications of the findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424983 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424983&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gairuzazmi Ghani Author-X-Name-First: Gairuzazmi Author-X-Name-Last: Ghani Title: Balance of payments constrained growth model: an examination of Thirlwall's Hypothesis using McCombie's Individual Country Method Abstract: The balance of payments constrained growth (BOP) model is tested using the McCombie's cross-country and individual country test for 90 developed and developing countries for the period 1980 to 2000, and the McCombie's test is extended using export elasticity. If in the long run, the growth of exports is equal to the growth of imports and the affect of prices are not statistically significant, the estimated import elasticity from time series regression should not be statistically different from the BOP implied import elasticity, this also implied that the estimated export elasticity, also should not be statistically different from the BOP implied export elasticity. However, the finding shows that for only about 45% of the countries under study the individual country test is accepted even though cross-country analysis support the BOP model. Furthermore, for some countries where its estimated and implied import elasticity are not statistically different, its estimated and implied export elasticity are statistically different and vice-versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-768 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500404886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500404886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:763-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Gallardo-Sejas Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Gallardo-Sejas Author-Name: Salvador-Gil Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador-Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Pareja Author-Name: Rafael Llorca-Vivero Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Llorca-Vivero Author-Name: Jose Martinez-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Serrano Title: Determinants of European immigration: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants of international immigration in 13 European destination countries using a data set on 139 origin countries in 2000. The results indicate that gravity variables (population and distance), the macroeconomic conditions, cultural proximity, and the existence of narrow trade relationships are important explanatory factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424975 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424975&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Author-Name: Giuseppe Arbia Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Arbia Title: Testing the stochastic convergence of Italian regions using panel data Abstract: This paper examines stochastic convergence in real per capita GDP for Italian regions using recent non-stationary panel data methodologies over the period 1951 to 2002. Economies stochastically converge when regional differences across economies are not persistent, and long-run movements in a region's real per capita GDP are driven by technological shocks. Four panel unit root tests are used to evaluate stochastic convergence and Monte Carlo simulation is performed to obtain critical values. The results indicate that there is no stochastic convergence among Italian regions. They also provide some evidence in favour of stochastic convergence of regions in the Northern part of Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-783 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:775-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sacit Hadi Akdede Author-X-Name-First: Sacit Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Akdede Author-Name: Ayla Ogus Author-X-Name-First: Ayla Author-X-Name-Last: Ogus Title: Increasing returns to information and the survival of Turkish public theatre plays Abstract: This paper investigates increasing returns to information and the survival of Turkish public theatre productions. Log size and rank relationship is found to display autocorrelated growth in a sample of 556 plays put on stage in the Turkish public theatre system in 12 different cities between 1998 and 2003. The lifetime of plays is also investigated and the features of plays are found not to matter for duration which can be explained by the non-profit nature of public theatre. However, the lifetimes of plays in more developed cities are longer than in less developed cities. In contrast to Broadway shows, the hazard function for Turkish public theatre plays is increasing in the number of performances. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407533 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407533&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Ilias Kevork Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Kevork Title: Forecasting the stationary AR(1) with an almost unit root Abstract: Although unit root tests have made a great contribution in time series econometrics, their major disadvantage is the low powers they attain on certain occasions, as for the case of the stationary AR(1), when φis close to one. In this study, considering the random walk as the true model, we derive the probability of the prediction interval to include any future value yT+s of AR(1). Using certain estimates from Monte Carlo simulations, we proceed to numerical computations, resulting in the main finding that the values for the specific probability depend upon the location the most recent available observation in the sample possesses in its marginal distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-793 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407491 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407491&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:789-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yuri Park Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jongsu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jongsu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Using stated-preference data to measure the inconvenience cost of spam among Korean E-mail users Abstract: E-mail is an efficient communication tool, but at the same time it is an efficient vehicle for Internet pollution in the form of spam—unsolicited, bulk e-mailings. Spam is a global phenomenon, and debate about possible means of controlling it is lively. Spammers impose a negative externality on users. The volume of spam-type e-mail sent is above the social optimum and thus produces dead-weight. To solve the spam problem and evaluate spam-control measures, one needs to measure the disutility experienced by e-mail users who receive spam. The current study employs conjoint analysis of stated-preference data to estimate e-mail users' overall inconvenience cost attributable to spam. The results show the inconvenience cost of spam to be about 3.067 won (US$ 0.0026) per spam message. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-800 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:795-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: New evidence on export expansion, economic growth and causality in China Abstract: This paper extends the work by Mah (2005) on the causality between export expansion and economic growth in China by adding imports as additional variable in a trivariate framework. Interestingly, this paper has empirically found no long-run relationships among exports, real Gross Domestic Product, and imports. This paper further shows no long- and short-run causality, at least in Granger's sense, between export expansion and economic growth in China, but economic growth does Granger-cause imports in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-803 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:801-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Stephen Holoviak Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Holoviak Title: Unemployment and crime: an empirical investigation Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between labour market conditions and various crime series in three Asia-Pacific countries: Australia, Japan and South Korea. Johansen's maximum likelihood cointegration tests are applied to annual, aggregate data to see whether there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between unemployment and crime variables. In a society with a high unemployment rate, especially among young males, the opportunity cost of crime is relatively low so that criminal activities tend to increase. Although theoretically well-formulated, previous empirical studies of this hypothesis have yielded mixed evidence. The results of this study, however, appear to provide strong support for a long-run equilibrium relationship between unemployment and several crime series. This may be due to the use of cointegration method in the study, which is quite common in the area of economics and finance, but has not been applied extensively to the study of crime. Empirical support seems to be even stronger for the relationship between unemployment among young males and crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-810 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425105 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425105&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:805-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Does foreign direct investment affect domestic income inequality? Abstract: Using pooled Gini coefficient 1993 to 2002 data for 119 countries from World Development Indicators 2004, World Bank, we find that income inequality, defined as the Gini coefficient, increases as FDI stocks as a percentage of GDP increase. Increases in per capita GDP and real per capita GDP growth rate reduce income inequality in a country, whereas an increase in GDP deteriorates income distribution. Furthermore, Latin American and Caribbean countries proved to have a less equal income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 811-814 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500400637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500400637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:811-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Author-Name: J. Andres Faina Author-X-Name-First: J. Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Faina Title: Objective 1 regions versus non-objective 1 regions. What does the Theil Index tell us? Abstract: The evolution of regional income disparities between two blocks of regions, objective 1 regions and non-objective 1 regions is analysed for the period 1982 to 1997, by using a Generalized entropy index such as the Theil index. The results show that between 1982 and 1987 the income disparities between objective 1 regions and non-objective 1 regions have increased, while from 1987 onwards objective 1 regions catch up with the non-objective 1 regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-820 Issue: 12 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:12:p:815-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Chanel Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Chanel Author-Name: Susan Cleary Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Cleary Author-Name: Stephane Luchini Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Luchini Title: Does public opinion influence willingness-to-pay? Evidence from the field Abstract: Contingent valuation (CV) surveys have been criticized for assuming that respondents have well-defined preferences. Using an innovative field experiment dealing with a privatized public good, it is shown that respondents are not influenced by public opinion but are positively responsive to scientific information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-824 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424769 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424769&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:821-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teit Luthje Author-X-Name-First: Teit Author-X-Name-Last: Luthje Title: Does intra-industry trade exist in the real world? Abstract: If foreign trade is related to that part of a product category which includes foreign trade in quality varieties between countries with identical factor endowments, intra-industry trade makes up a far smaller share of total foreign trade than normally assumed. Thereby, the Heckscher Ohlin model is the essential incentive explaining foreign trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 825-827 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500424991 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500424991&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:825-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Uncertain innovation with uncertain product durability Abstract: This paper adds to two strands of the economics literature, the literature on product durability and on technical change, in a small way by introducing the possibility that an uncertain invention may be exogenously durable. Durability makes otherwise fully appropriable innovation porous. We consider a duopoly where firms maximize the present discounted rewards from innovation that might turn out to be a durable good or a non-durable good. Comparative-static results show that greater appropriability of rewards from the durable good innovation induces the firm to increase its profit-maximizing research spending. The effect of a change in the probability of the durable innovation is shown to depend on the degree of appropriability. The consideration of the effect of changes in the probability of durable innovation is unique to the literature. The effects of change in R&D competition are ambiguous and in line with earlier findings. Two special cases are considered and policy implications discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425154 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425154&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anil Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Anil Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Nonparametric conditional density estimation of labour force participation Abstract: Labour force participation decision has been studied primarily in a parametric framework. The weaknesses of the parametric estimators to misspecification of the error distribution and to functional form assumptions are well known. This paper compares the predictive performance of widely used parametric and semiparametric estimators with results obtained from nonparametric kernel conditional density estimation with likelihood cross-validated bandwidth selection and mixed data type. The results are striking. The predictive performance of the nonparametric estimator is 95% against 71% to 77% of the parametric and semiparametric estimators. The nonparametric estimator is able to correctly predict the outcome for 83% of non-participants in the labour force as against 15% by probit and logit models. This underscores the need to use nonparametric estimators in studying labour market behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-841 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425204 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425204&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:835-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Willingness to pay for a cyber ecological park Abstract: We attempt to value a cyber ecological park on the Internet by applying willingness to pay (WTP) survey techniques. The respondents' judgements required in the survey were within their abilities and the household's mean WTP for visiting the Woopo wetland cyber ecological park was estimated as 1203 Korean won (GBP 0.653) per connection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-846 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425253 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425253&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:843-846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-Name: Jorge Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: An empirical examination of exchange-rate credibility determinants in the EMS Abstract: This study provides empirical evidence on the determinants of exchange rate credibility under the European Monetary System (EMS). To that end, it considers both economic variables and political factors using data of eight currencies participating in the Exchange Rate Mechanism, covering the complete EMS history (1979 to 1998). The results suggest that the level of international reserves, the real interest rate and right-wing governments would have positively affected the credibility of a given central parity, while the unemployment rate and the inflation rate would have negatively influenced such credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-850 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:847-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does globalization matter to income distribution in Asia? Abstract: This study attempts to examine the impact of globalization on the income inequality in Asia. The pooled regression results covering eight Asian countries over the period 1970 to 2002, show the regular-U shape with globalization variables. It gives a policy implication for growth, equity, and globalization in Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-855 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:851-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Jong-Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chia-Ling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Granger causality test on R&D spatial spillovers and productivity growth Abstract: This paper uses panel data of Taiwanese electronics firms to investigate the Granger causality relationship between R&D and productivity growth, while taking into account the effect of R&D spatial spillovers. Unlike previous studies, the R&D spatial spillover effect is calculated by a geographic formula of longitude and latitude. Before determining the direction of causality between the TFP growth and R&D effort, we execute the panel unit root test to examine the stationarity of the data. Results indicate that all variables in the model are stationary, and that R&D stock and R&D spatial spillovers Granger cause productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Troy Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: A semiparametric estimator of the Zellner production function for corn: fitting the univariate primal Abstract: Recent developments in production agriculture have resurrected interest in the primal production approach. This study develops a semi-parametric procedure for estimation of the Zellner production function for a single input. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-867 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:863-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Guy Cox Author-X-Name-First: Richard Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Cox Title: A perverse effect of lowering the threshold blood alcohol content Abstract: Recent legislation in the USA encourages states to lower the legal threshold for drunk driving blood alcohol content. The intention of such legislation is to reduce the number of accidents and fatalities associated with drunk driving. This note shows that lowering the threshold blood alcohol content has an ambiguous impact on the incidence of drunk driving accidents and will not reduce the number of drunk drivers with blood alcohol content above a previous threshold. The formal analysis serves to encourage further empirical research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-871 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425428 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425428&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:869-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Title: A note on uncertainty and investment across the spectrum of irreversibility Abstract: There is a lack of consensus regarding the sign of the uncertainty-investment relationship, with a strand of the literature suggesting a positive sign, and the Real Options Theory (ROT) advocating a negative relationship. As a way of testing the ROT, this paper empirically investigates its main prediction that the negative effect of uncertainty on investment is an increasing function of the degree of irreversibility. Empirical results provide support for the ROT since uncertainty is found to exert a higher impact on investment spending across the irreversibility spectrum. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-876 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425451 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425451&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:873-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Contests with interdependent preferences Abstract: Relaxing the common assumption of purely self-interested preferences in contests, it is shown that altruism (bilateral or unilateral) reduces equilibrium rent-seeking effort. The effects on net payoffs are more complex. Strategic interdependence is possible, but the symmetric equilibrium is pure self-interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-880 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425477 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425477&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:877-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Hyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Hyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Business corruption, public sector corruption, and growth rate: time series analysis using Korean data Abstract: With annual data for 1986 to 2001 from South Korea (hereafter Korea), the regression results are consistent with the hypothesis that business corruption and public sector corruption have detrimental effects on real per capita growth rate. It is also evident that two causal relationships between each pair of corruptions exist; reducing one is likely to result in reductions in the other, implying that business and public sector corruptions may be one package in policy formulation. The elasticity of real per capita growth rate with respect to two indicators of public sector corruptions indicate that corruption in terms of number is more sensitive to real per capita growth rate than corruption in the amount of money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Caleiro Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Caleiro Title: How is confidence related to unemployment in Portugal? Abstract: By the use of fuzzy logic, this paper shows how confidence is related to unemployment in Portugal. The results indicate it to be a worthwhile exercise, as the apparent importance of unemployment upon confidence is only revealed by the fuzzy logic approximation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-890 Issue: 13 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425139 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425139&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:13:p:887-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: 'Turn-of the-month' return effects for small cap Hong Kong stocks Abstract: Intra-month returns for a liquid pool of small-cap stocks in Hong Kong are analysed over the period January 2000 to June 2005. A strong and persistent 'turn-of-the-month' effect is apparent where returns, measured between the close of trading on the penultimate day of business in a calendar month and the subsequent close five business days later, are recorded at levels averaging almost 1.5%. This compares to returns over the preceding five-day period-capturing the 'end of month' effect-of almost -0.3% on average. Further analysis also points to differential 'day-of-the-week' effects with Tuesday and Friday returns in particular at noticeably lower levels during the final week of a month as compared to earlier weeks. The Tuesday effect may well be an analogue of the US Monday effect given Wang et al.'s evidence of notably lower Monday returns toward month-ends, and the suggestion of a 'delayed Monday effect' in Asian time zones due to the opening of US Monday trading hours after Hong Kong trading hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-898 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426046 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426046&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:891-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Author-Name: Claudio Lupi Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Lupi Title: Divergence and long-run equilibria in Italian regional unemployment Abstract: The Italian labour market is characterized by large and persistent regional unemployment differentials. This study uses recent panel unit root and cointegration tests to derive the long-run properties of the Italian regional unemployment disparities. The empirical evidence suggests that the stochastic convergence hypothesis can be rejected. However, the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship among regional unemployment rates cannot be excluded. Some possible implications of this finding are sketched. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-904 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:899-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Acosta Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta Author-Name: Enlinson de Mattos Author-X-Name-First: Enlinson Author-X-Name-Last: de Mattos Author-Name: Ana Fava Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Fava Title: Monte Carlo properties of spatial dependence LM tests Abstract: This paper compares the power and size of both spatial one-directional and robust to local misspecification LM test using Monte Carlo techniques under different set ups. Confirming the results found in Anselin et al. (1996), under local misspecification the robust LM test improves its size and power of tests. However, under no misspecification, the robust LM test is severely penalized and the usual one-directional LM test has a much better performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-910 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426111 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426111&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:905-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Martins Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: External recruitments and firm performance Abstract: In the context of tournament theory, and drawing on a panel data set of several firms and their employees, evidence is presented of a negative relationship between the share of external recruitments for top management positions and firm productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-915 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:911-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Montes Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: Skill premia in Mexico: demand and supply factors Abstract: Skill premia trends for the Mexican urban labour market are analysed, decomposing into demand and supply factors. Moreover, among the former both between and within effects are studied, in line with the Katz and Murphy decomposition. It is shown that demand factors are more important for explaining the initial increment in skill premia, but supply factors are responsible for driving them down. It is concluded that the North American Trade Agreement (NAFTA) favours unskilled labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 917-924 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:917-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: Conditional and unconditional inequality and growth relationships Abstract: This study tests the conditional and unconditional relationship between income inequality and growth in the post-Second World War period using WIDER inequality database. Regression results suggest that income inequality is declining over time. Inequality is also declining in growth of income. There is a significant regional heterogeneity in the levels and development of inequality over time. The Kuznets hypothesis represents a global U-shape relationship between inequality and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-931 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:925-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Chul-Oh Shin Author-X-Name-First: Chul-Oh Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Inconvenience cost of spam mail: a contingent valuation study Abstract: Controlling unsolicited commercial spam mail has become an increasingly critical issue. This study applies a contingent valuation method to measuring the inconvenience cost of spam mail. The mean willingness to pay for controlling the commercial spam mail per individual is estimated as 1836 Korean won (approximately GBP 1.0) per year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-936 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425725 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425725&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:933-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsui-Fang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tsui-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jennjou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jennjou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Cumulative class attendance and exam performance Abstract: This study considers the effect of cumulative class attendance while estimating the relationship between class attendance and students' exam performance, using an individual-level data. We find that, cumulative attendance has produced a positive and significant impact on students' exam performance. Attending lectures corresponds to a 4% improvement in exam performance, and the marginal impact of cumulative attendance on exam performance is also close to 4%. It is of note that the impact of attendance on exam performance is reduced about 0.4% after one controls for the cumulative attendance effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 937-942 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:937-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ter Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ter Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Product differentiation and the export subsidy dispute Abstract: In a Cournot duopoly market, this paper studies the role of product differentiation in the resolution of the export subsidy dispute. It is shown that the optimal export subsidy decreases with the degree of product differentiation and the export subsidy will be eliminated completely when the competitive goods are made perfectly different. Furthermore, increasing the degree of product differentiation will also increase the profits of the firms and the welfare of the exporting countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-945 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:943-945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sawkut Rojid Author-X-Name-First: Sawkut Author-X-Name-Last: Rojid Title: COMESA trade potential: a gravity approach Abstract: The aim of this study is twofold: first, to find out whether COMESA is a building or stumbling bloc; and second, to estimate trade potentials within the COMESA region for COMESA members. In addressing the issue of regionalism, the gravity model can be used to simulate trade potentials corresponding to any regional integration scheme. This study uses a panel data analysis to estimate export flows from 147 exporting countries for a period of 21 years (1980-2001). The equation is estimated using a Tobit model. The coefficients on the observable effects determining bilateral trade, except real effective exchange rate, are as expected and highly significant. COMESA seems to be a building bloc; that is, the bloc liberalized trade more internally than it diverted trade from the rest of the world. These results suggest that COMESA's trade potential within the region is limited. In fact, the results suggest that members of COMESA trading bloc are overtrading within the region. Potentials for more trade exist for Angola and Uganda. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 947-951 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:947-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodore Papadogonas Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Papadogonas Author-Name: Yannis Stournaras Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Stournaras Title: Financial integration, national savings and national investment in the EU member-states Abstract: Financial integration in the EU is reflected in a lower correlation coefficient between national savings and national investment with different implications for “European South” and “European North” member-states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-956 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:953-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhangkai Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhangkai Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Non-credible privatization Abstract: This paper analyzes government incentives in privatization and shows that governments' cheap talk results in non-credible policy. Ex-post, only bad firms will take a sequential strategy in privatization, which will reveal its type and lead to a price drop. These results are used to analyse China's share issue privatization plan and market reaction to it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-959 Issue: 14 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:14:p:957-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourenco Senne Paz Author-X-Name-First: Lourenco Senne Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Consumption in Brazil: myopia or liquidity constraints? A simple test using quarterly data Abstract: Several papers have put serious doubt on the validity of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis. However, a few of them have focused on the reasons behind the failure. In this study, quarterly data from Brazil is used to check whether the rejection of the life cycle hypothesis could be attributed to the presence of either liquidity constraints or Keynesian-type consumers. The findings indicate that neither liquidity constraints nor myopic consumers could generate the finding that consumption is sensitive only to expected income declines. A possible explanation would be that consumers have some kind of loss aversion preference. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-964 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:961-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Long memory at the long-run and the seasonal monthly frequencies in the US money stock Abstract: This study shows that the monthly structure of the US money stock can be specified in terms of a long-memory process, with roots at both the zero and the seasonal monthly frequencies. It uses a procedure that enables one to test simultaneously for the roots at all these frequencies. The results show that the root at the long-run or zero frequency plays a much more important role than the seasonal one, though the latter should also be taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-968 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:965-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walid Hichri Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Hichri Title: Individual strategies and aggregate behavior in a public-goods experiment Abstract: Our aim is to see whether the general result of a decreasing over contribution over time in a public goods game is still available at the group and at the individual levels. We find that individuals are heterogeneous and that they interact differently. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-973 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425329 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425329&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:969-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Cheng Fang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Jaime Malaga Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Malaga Title: Alcoholic beverage consumption in China: a censored demand system approach Abstract: China's admission in the WTO and commitment to cut tariffs on alcohol related goods provide a considerable opportunity for the USA, Europe and other countries. The present study examines Chinese consumer behaviour with regard to alcoholic beverages (wine, wine cooler and beer) using a Chinese household survey data. The results show that beer and wine cooler are normal goods while wine is still a luxury good in China. The price elasticities of wine and wine cooler are larger than that of beer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425964 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425964&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Nowak-Lehmann Felicitas Author-X-Name-First: Nowak-Lehmann Author-X-Name-Last: Felicitas Title: Is there a long-run relationship between exports and imports in Chile? Abstract: This study examines the long-run relationship between Chilean exports and imports during the 1975 to 2004 period using unit root tests and cointegration techniques that allow for endogenously determined structural breaks. The results indicate that there exists a long-run equilibrium between exports and imports in Chile, despite the balance-of-payments crisis of 1982/83. This finding implies that Chile's macroeconomic policies have been effective in the long-run and suggests that Chile is not in violation of its international budget constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-986 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:981-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Demand for money for Fiji with PcGets Abstract: Methodological controversies on the relative merits of estimating time-series models with alternative approaches exist. However, applied researchers may eventually opt for an easy to use and computationally less demanding approach. This article shows that the LSE/Hendry approach, known as GETS, is promising when it is implemented with PcGets. To illustrate we report the GETS and the Johansen co-integration-based ECM equations, with PcGets, of the demand for money for Fiji. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-991 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:987-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Corporate liquidity: evidence from the United Kingdom life insurance industry Abstract: This study analyses the extent and effects of macroeconomic and firm-specific factors on insurer liquidity in the context of UK life companies with panel data for the period 1985 to 2002. Ordinary least squares regressions, static and dynamic panel data models are estimated. Econometric tests indicate a preference for the random effects estimation procedure over other alternatives. The results indicate that the life office liquidity is an increasing function of equity returns, free asset ratio, termination rate, and claims ratio and a decreasing function of pension reserves-to-total reserves. Also, it is found that mutual companies tend to hold more liquid assets than do stock companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-998 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:993-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Author-Name: Lee Chew Ging Author-X-Name-First: Lee Chew Author-X-Name-Last: Ging Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Author-Name: Bala Ramasamy Author-X-Name-First: Bala Author-X-Name-Last: Ramasamy Title: International women's football and gender inequality Abstract: A number of authors have identified the determinants of international sporting performance differentials in men's sporting events. This study compares the determinants of men's international soccer team performance with that of their female counterparts and find that a partially different set of variables are important in the two contexts. While economic and demographic influences hold for both, their particular political and cultural factors diverge. These findings highlight different degrees of gender inequality among the countries in the sample in terms of the greatly different economic, political and social significance of the sport depending whether it is played by men or women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1001 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:999-1001 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Is per capita real GDP stationary in African countries? Evidence from panel SURADF test Abstract: This note uses the newly developed panel SURADF tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) to investigate the time-series properties of real GDP for 47 African countries for the period 1980 to 2004. While the other Panel-based unit root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of the panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in the panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests a separate unit-root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and, therefore identifies how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that the per capita real GDP for all the countries studied are non-stationary, however, when Breuer et al.'s Panel SURADF tests are conducted, one finds unit root in per capita real GDP only exist in two-third of countries studied. These results have important policy implications for African countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1003-1008 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1003-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viviana Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Viviana Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Title: Specification tests for a parsimonious random-effects model Abstract: A random-effect model is devised with individual- and time-specific components for uncensored data, based on a specification for censored data developed by Anderson (1985) and extended by Kim and Maddala (1992). In addition, specification tests are devised that allow one to choose between the model and a conventional random-effects model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1009-1012 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425766 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425766&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1009-1012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jahyeong Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jahyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Yune Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yune Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do historical events matter in geographic agglomeration? The case of South Korea Abstract: This study examines whether historical events are as important as Krugman (1991a) had suggested they are in determining geographic agglomeration. Using the time series of Korean manufacturing (1955-2003), which is longer than other country studies, the study also examines how the mean reversion factor and dispersion factor have evolved during substantial economic development. The results confirm that industry mobility in Korea is high and the historical events may not be so important in geographic agglomeration of industries. The analysis of the mean reversion factor and dispersion factor supports the argument that transport costs are a major source of change in geographic agglomeration in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1016 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1013-1016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Responses of output in Poland to shocks to the exchange rate, the stock price, and other macroeconomic variables: a VAR model Abstract: A general equilibrium model is specified to examine possible impacts of real or nominal depreciation, stock market movements, and changes in other macroeconomic variables on real output for Poland. The VAR model is applied in empirical work. Real depreciation is contractionary in the first quarter, expansionary in the second quarter, and neutral thereafter, and nominal depreciation is contractionary in the first quarter and neutral thereafter. Real output does not respond significantly to stock market movements or the government deficit spending/GDP ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1022 Issue: 15 Volume: 13 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:13:y:2006:i:15:p:1017-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgia Kosmopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Kosmopoulou Author-Name: Nicholas Buttry Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Buttry Author-Name: Jeremiah Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Jeremiah Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Adam Kallsnick Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Kallsnick Title: Suburbanization and the rank-size rule Abstract: In this article, we revisit Zipf's law and test the rank-size rule on US cities for different periods of time and city limits. We show that Zipf 's law holds more closely for urban places in 1900 and recently, in 1990 and 2000, for metropolitan areas. With the evolution of the modern city, the changes in infrastructure and the cost of commuting that have contributed to an urban spread, the metropolitan area is perhaps representing today's communities better, as urban places did 100 years ago. In that sense, the rank-size rule continues to hold with the appropriate redefinition of a city. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425675 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425675&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Author-Name: E. Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Title: Do government sponsored vocational training programmes help the unemployed find jobs? Evidence from Russia Abstract: The study estimates the employment effect of vocational training programmes for the unemployed in urban Russia. The results of propensity score matching indicate that training programmes had a non-negative overall effect on the programme participants relative to non-participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:5-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: J. George Wang Author-X-Name-First: J. George Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The value of probability forecasts as predictors of cyclical downturns Abstract: The joint subjective probabilities for negative GDP growth during two consecutive quarters obtained from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) are evaluated as predictors of cyclical downturns in the economy using the prequential approach of Dawid (1984) and the skill score decomposition of Murphy (1988). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoungsoo Zang Author-X-Name-First: Hyoungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Zang Author-Name: Young Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does financial development precede growth? Robinson and Lucas might be right Abstract: This paper studies whether there is any causal link between financial development indicators and economic growth, using Sims-Geweke causality tests performed in the large panel data set provided by Levine, Loayza and Beck. In sharp contrast to their findings, no evidence was found of any positive unidirectional causal link from financial development indicators to economic growth. On the contrary, a substantial indication that economic growth precedes subsequent financial development was found. As argued by Robinson, financial development might primarily follow economic growth, as a result of increased demand for financial services. Although the present result does not quite imply that the role of financial development in the development process is not important, the bottom line is that a more balanced approach to studying the relationship between growth and finance needs to be adopted. As termed by Lucas, the importance of financial development in economic growth might be very badly 'over-stressed'. Robinson and Lucas might be right. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:15-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: On advertising durability and product durability Abstract: This paper uses a simple two-period model to examine the behaviour of a monopolist who produces a durable good and engages in advertising that is also somewhat durable. It is found that changes in product durability and advertising durability have opposite effects on profit-maximizing output and advertising. Policy implications for antitrust and health regulation are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-25 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425550 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425550&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:21-25 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: The multi-decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index: measuring household inequality in Cameroon, 1996-2001 Abstract: This research proposes a new decomposition of the Hirschman-Herfindahl index (which is equal to half the square of the coefficient of variation) into subgroup and income source. The method for decomposing into subgroups is similar to that used by Dagum when decomposing Gini's index. This bidimensional decomposition helps measure the contributions of income sources taken independently and the contributions arising from links between pairs of these income sources within and between subgroups. This approach gives rise to new components of the total inequality. The method is used here to break down and analyse the evolution of household expenditure inequality in Cameroon during the period 1996 to 2001. The analysis reveals that the inequality has substantially increased in the urban areas, a situation blamed to a large extent on expenditures on equipment-furniture-goods and services; while inequality declined in the rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425568 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425568&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:27-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: The effect of war and other factors on Sri Lankan tourism Abstract: A number of articles have appeared in the literature analysing the factors that influence international tourism. This paper identifies the factors that affect tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka and the impact of the various disturbances due to the Tamils independence war (which commenced in 1983) and the introduction of the free-trade policy (in 1977) in Sri Lanka. It is found that the disturbances related to the war have led to a significant (about 21%) decline in international tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka. It was also found that the free-trade policy introduced in 1977 by the Sri Lankan government has had a significantly positive impact on increasing its international tourist arrivals. The results also show that the weaker the value of the Sri Lankan local currency with respect to the US dollar, the more attractive it is for international tourists. Furthermore, it was also found that the Sri Lankan consumer prices and world consumer income level have no significant impact on the number of international tourist arrivals to Sri Lanka. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425576 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425576&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Menegatti Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Menegatti Title: Consumption and uncertainty: a panel analysis in Italian Regions Abstract: This work tests precautionary saving theory in Italian regions, examining the relationship between consumption growth and income uncertainty in a panel of five-year averages in the period 1981 to 2000. The analysis used two different measures for income uncertainty. The first is a naive measure given by the variance of GDP growth rates while the second is a more sophisticated one obtained by computing the conditional variance by means of the expectation of GDP growth. This expectation is obtained by using the best ARMA process for each region. The results obtained confirm the importance of the precautionary saving motive in consumption decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425600 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425600&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:39-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiing Jia Loke Author-X-Name-First: Yiing Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Loke Author-Name: Wei Yoong Chan Author-X-Name-First: Wei Yoong Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Seasoned and potential internet shoppers: a multinomial logit analysis Abstract: This paper extends the existing literature on the characteristics of Internet shoppers in two ways. First, the paper looks at the potential of Internet shopping by consumers in the future. Second, the paper divides consumers into four different categories of shoppers based on their past Internet shopping experience and enthusiasm towards Internet shopping. Based on a survey of Malaysian consumers and using a multinomial logit model, this paper explores the factors that determine the likelihood of consumers who will conduct Internet shopping in the next five years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:43-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuemei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xuemei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Optimal dynamic path of effort on marriage: differences between arranged and love marriages Abstract: People benefit from good marriages. Thus, everyone is willing to put effort into marriage to improve the quality of marriage. However, effort is costly. Then everyone faces the same question: how much effort should I put into marriage? A dynamic optimal control model is used in trying to answer this question. The study shows that for arranged marriages that start with little love, an agent should devote a great deal of effort to marriage in the very beginning, and then reduce the effort until a steady state level. However, for love marriages that start with deep love, there is no need for an agent to devote as much effort as in the steady state. The agent should start to put low effort on marriage, high effort on other activities, and continuously increase the effort on marriage up to the steady state level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Bekiros Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Bekiros Title: A neurofuzzy model for stock market trading Abstract: This study investigates the forecasting ability of trading strategies based on neurofuzzy models, recurrent neural networks and linear regression models. The performance of the trading strategies was considered upon the prediction of the direction-of-change of the market in case of Nikkei 255 Index returns. The results demonstrate that the profitability of the trading rule based on the neurofuzzy model is consistently higher to that of the other models as well as of a buy and hold strategy during bear market periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:53-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Recent publishing trends at the AER, JPE and QJE Abstract: This note summarizes recent trends in institutional affiliation of authors who publish in three leading general interest journals, American Economic Review (AER), Journal of Political Economy (JPE), and Quarterly Journal of Economics (QJE). The statistics show that well over 40% of the pages published in the QJE between 2000 and 2003 are by authors affiliated with one of four institutions. This represents a significant increase from analogous figures during the 1980s and earlier periods. The concentrations of affiliations are not as high at the AER or JPE, but they still show a reversal of the declining trend in concentration that occurred from 1950 to 1989. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:59-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalampos Botsaris Author-X-Name-First: Charalampos Author-X-Name-Last: Botsaris Author-Name: Athanasios Tsagkanos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsagkanos Title: Growth and volatility in the European Union: a linear or a non-parametric approach? Abstract: The paper reports an investigation of the relationship between business-cycle volatility and economic growth in the European Union before (EU-15) and after broadening (EU-25) using cross-sectional models. Results based on the superiority of the pseudo-likelihood ratio test as a more reliable tool for testing the robustness of the model used, indicate that the above relationship is linear only in the case of EU-15. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:65-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Samir Saadi Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Saadi Title: Is South Korea's stock market efficient? A note Abstract: In an attempt to examine efficiency of South Korea's stock market (SKM), Narayan and Smyth (2004) used a battery of unit root tests to investigate the random walk hypothesis and on the basis of the reported evidence for unit root, they concluded that the SKM is efficient. The authors have unfortunately confused random walk with unit root hypothesis. The present note stresses the fact that it is insufficient to test for stationarity when examining efficiency, casting serious doubt on Narayan and Smyth's conclusions. Furthermore, we provide comments on the shortfalls of the unit roots tests employed and not accounted for in Narayan and Smyth's study which may lead to spurious results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425659 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425659&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruey Yau Author-X-Name-First: Ruey Author-X-Name-Last: Yau Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Title: Output convergence revisited: new time series results on industrialized countries Abstract: Cross-country output convergence is re-examined using a flexible concept of unit roots. While the presence of a constant unit root in output-differences implies nonconvergence, the presence of a stochastic unit root on the contrary implies convergence. Using the output-differences between the USA and the other 14 OECD countries, we find output divergence only for the USA/UK and USA/Sweden country-pairs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425543 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425543&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:1:p:75-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Gambling and nonexpected utility: the perils of the power function Abstract: The use of the power utility function is problematic in expected utility theory. We show that, this is also the case in cumulative prospect theory, where the power function violates the assumption of loss-aversion at small stake levels, so that an optimal model of gambling is precluded. In the case of rank-dependent expected utility it has the counterfactual implication that agents will gamble all of their wealth at actuarially unfair odds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Accounting and the potency of open market operations Abstract: Through a mathematical programming setup, reserve accounting is shown to be auxiliary to accomplishing monetary policy operating objectives. This article outlines a theoretical way of comparing the potency of open market operations under different reserve accounting procedures. It is shown that if the interest sensitivity of reservable liabilities is greater than the interest sensitivity of reserves, then lagged reserve accounting makes Federal Reserve open market purchases and 'sells' of securities more powerful in affecting the federal funds rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-86 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisa Giuliani Author-X-Name-First: Elisa Author-X-Name-Last: Giuliani Title: Towards an understanding of knowledge spillovers in industrial clusters Abstract: Since Marshall's contribution on the localization of economic activities, increased consideration has been given to geography in economics. This study focuses on the relationships between industrial clustering and knowledge spillovers. It illustrates empirically that, even in the condition of serendipitous business interactions among nearby firms, knowledge spillovers are diffused unevenly and within restricted subgroups of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:87-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Brixner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Brixner Author-Name: Andreas Walter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Walter Title: Stock prices and the dissemination of second-hand information-new evidence from Germany Abstract: We analyse a large sample of second-hand information published in the Tendenzen & Tips column of the prominent German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ), which is free of any contamination from first-hand information. We find strong evidence for the price-pressure hypothesis because we observe a highly significant abnormal return of 0.19% for buy recommendations on the publication day. Additionally, our data supports the attention hypothesis, since the market reaction is more pronounced when relatively few stocks are recommended in the column. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540600959887 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540600959887&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustapha Baghli Author-X-Name-First: Mustapha Author-X-Name-Last: Baghli Title: NAWRU and potential output in France Abstract: This article presents theory-consistent estimates of nonaccelerating wage rate of unemployment (NAWRU) and potential output in France. These estimates are obtained from an unobserved-components system approach combining a wage-Phillips curve and an Okun law's relationship. By applying the Apel and Jansson (1999) specification, the potential output and the NAWRU are both treated as unobserved stochastic processes and estimated simultaneously. In order to control the effect on wage setting of reductions in employers' social security contributions (SSC), we construct and add in the wage-Phillips curve an index of SSC exemptions. According to the results, from the mid-1990s, and especially over the years 2000-2004, the estimated NAWRU is consistent with this period of labour cost moderation and reductions in employer social security contributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-98 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:95-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Beltratti Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Beltratti Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Does the stock market affect income distribution? Some empirical evidence for the US Abstract: What is the relation between the stock market and income distribution? There are many potential links between the two, some of which are associated with the relations of each of these with the rate of economic growth. An empirical analysis set in the framework of the neoclassical growth model shows that the key mechanisms explaining income distribution in the US operate through the labour market rather than through the stock market, even though stock market shocks appear to have some short time relevance for the dynamics of income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:99-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: A nonparametric test of the conditional normality of housing demand Abstract: This study provides a nonparametric test for the parametric conditional distribution in the sample selection model. The nonparametric test statistic proposed by Fan et al. (2006) is applied to the Korean housing demand model. Test results indicate that the conditional normality in the housing expenditure equation is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500406956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500406956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Author-Name: Kazem Yavari Author-X-Name-First: Kazem Author-X-Name-Last: Yavari Title: On the welfare cost of inflation in Europe Abstract: This article follows Lucas (2000) and Serletis and Yavari (2005) and estimates the welfare cost of inflation in the Euro zone. It uses recent advances in the field of applied econometrics to estimate the interest elasticity of money demand and reports that the welfare cost of inflation is lower in big countries than it is in small countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425949 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425949&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Title: Point and interval nowcasts of the Euro area IPI Abstract: Opinion surveys are an important element in the analysis of the short-term economic situation because of the timeliness and nature of the information they convey. The aim of this article is to propose a procedure to nowcast in real-time the fluctuations of the industrial production indices (IPI) for the aggregated euro area, by incorporating the information contained in the industrial opinion surveys. We present a pooling procedure, each nowcasted value stemming from a calibration model. The confidence intervals for IPI nowcasts are computed by bootstrap. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:115-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hon-Kwong Lui Author-X-Name-First: Hon-Kwong Author-X-Name-Last: Lui Title: The returns to language ability in Hong Kong: before and after the handover Abstract: This article examines the economic returns to language ability of natives and Chinese immigrants in Hong Kong. Upon learning that the People's Republic of China would resume the exercise of sovereignty over Hong Kong in 1997, local residents flocked to learn Putonghua. Until now, the general belief was that Putonghua would gain importance in the labour market and the ability to speak Putonghua would substantially raise their productivity and earnings. The empirical results in this article prove ironically otherwise. Speaking Putonghua has little very impact on native and immigrant workers' earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425741 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425741&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shieh-Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shieh-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shian-Chang Huang Author-X-Name-First: Shian-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yi-Mien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Mien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Using multivariate stochastic volatility models to investigate the interactions among NASDAQ and major Asian stock indices Abstract: In this article, we employ a multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) model to investigate the return and volatility interactions among three major Asian stock indices and the NASDAQ index. Using Laplace approximation to simplify the calculation of the likelihood function of the MSV model, we estimate the complex dynamics among these indices relatively quickly. A interesting phenomenon of our empirical results is that all the market indices examined exhibit significant leverage effects, especially the TWSI (Taiwan) index. Moreover, the return correlations are large in links between these Asian markets, but small in links between every Asian index and the NASDAQ index. However, the volatility correlations display a totally different pattern that is large in links of NASDAQ-TWSI, NASDAQ-KOSPI (South Korea), but small among links between these Asian indices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:127-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Promoting market discipline through interest rates: does financial liberalization matter? Abstract: This article explores whether financial liberalization promotes market discipline in Indian banking in the form of lower deposit interest rates. Using annual data on banks from 1993 to 2004, the findings reveal that, after controlling for a myriad of factors, financial liberalization is influential in promoting market discipline by lowering deposit rates, particularly for state-owned and old private bank groups. More importantly, under financial liberalization, banks that are well-capitalized and have low levels of sticky loans pay lower deposit rates. The policy implication of the analysis is that promoting greater financial liberalization can have important ramifications in promoting market discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-143 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:135-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Further results on the detection of changes in persistence in linear time series Abstract: Recent research concerning the properties of 'change in persistence' tests in the presence of structural change is extended. It is found that the recently proposed tests of Leybourne, Kim and Taylor (2004) are subject to severe size distortion in the presence of both breaks in level and drift under the unit root null hypothesis. The present analysis suggests that any results obtained from these tests should be treated with caution to avoid drawing a spurious inference of a change in persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:145-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pål Schøne Author-X-Name-First: Pål Author-X-Name-Last: Schøne Title: Does increased international competition increase the need for training? Abstract: Both politicians and parties in the labour market have in recent years stressed the importance of work-related training. Globalization, an increased international competition, is often said to be one important factor determining the need for more work-related training. The relationship between increased international competition and more training has almost become a stylized fact. However, we argue that this relationship is not empirically well enough founded. Therefore, in this note we test this relationship by answering the following question: Is it true that firms operating in an international competitive arena invest more in training for their workers compared to firms not operating in an international competitive arena? Evidence from representative firm-level data suggests that the answer is yes. Manufacturing firms operating in an international competitive arena do invest more in training for their workers compared to firms not operating in an international competitive arena. A natural interpretation of this result is that these firms respond to demands from fierce international competition by skilling their workforce through training at work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425493 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425493&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:2:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Benford's law and naturally occurring prices in certain ebaY auctions Abstract: We show that certain winning bids for certain ebaY auctions obey Benford's Law. One implication of this is that it is unlikely that these bids are subjected to collusion among bidders, or 'shilling' on the part of sellers. Parenthetically, we also show that numbers from the naturally occurring Fibonacci and Lucas sequences also obey Benford's Law. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: A structural common factor approach to core inflation estimation and forecasting Abstract: In the article we propose a new methodological approach to core inflation estimation, based on a frequency domain principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally co-integrated processes. The proposed core inflation measure is the common persistent feature in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterized by all the properties that an 'ideal' core inflation process should show, providing also a superior forecasting performance relative to other available measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:163-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esmeralda Ramalho Author-X-Name-First: Esmeralda Author-X-Name-Last: Ramalho Author-Name: Joaquim Ramalho Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Ramalho Title: On the weighted maximum likelihood estimator for endogenous stratified samples when the population strata probabilities are unknown Abstract: The popular weighted maximum likelihood estimator for endogenous stratified samples requires knowledge on the population proportions of each stratum. In this paper we extend their estimator for cases where such information is not available. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:171-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Happich Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Happich Author-Name: T. von Lengerke Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: von Lengerke Title: Convergence of life expectancy in the European Union: a Markov approach Abstract: Given efforts of integration within the European Union (EU), convergence of life expectancies in member-states should be observed. A Markov approach classifying 15 EU member-states is applied to OECD data covering 1980 to 1989 and 1989 to 1998. The dynamics of cross-sectional distributions and the pace of their transitional processes are analyzed. In the 1980s slow convergence can be observed, whereas in the 1990s convergence is close to non-existent. Markov modelling shows that EU member states did not continue to converge in life expectancy following 1989, suggesting that efforts of socio-economic integration do not affect this public health indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-178 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425261 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425261&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:175-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some remarks on purchasing power parity and exchange rate determination mechanism Abstract: This article shows how larger, under a Cournot oligopoly model with international linkage, a long-run equilibrium exchange rate deviates from the purchasing power parity (PPP) in factor prices than the PPP in product prices does, with the asymmetry in the degree of competitiveness, consumer's preference and market volume between countries, or with the asymmetry in the marginal costs between firms, although into the same direction. Our result may well explain the phenomenon of so-called 'overshooting' from a different angle from the existing related literatures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Author-Name: Udo Bonn Author-X-Name-First: Udo Author-X-Name-Last: Bonn Title: Cross-national income distribution in the European Union: divergence or convergence? Abstract: Income inequality in general can be understood in an absolute or a relative sense. Income inequality across nations can be viewed from the perspective of countries or of persons. The choice of an inequality concept and associated measure along these dimensions dramatically influences conclusions concerning cross-national income convergence in the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-186 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:183-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eralp Bektas Author-X-Name-First: Eralp Author-X-Name-Last: Bektas Title: The persistence of profits in the Turkish banking system Abstract: Most of the studies on persistency of profits investigate profit persistency in non-financial sectors. This study uses the panel data method to test for unit roots of profitability data and their persistency in the banking sector of an emerging country. Unit root hypothesis of data is rejected and concluded that in the long run persistency of profits does not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Ilias Kevork Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Kevork Title: Critical values for testing a unit root in finite samples from the MA(1) Abstract: This study, using a certain simulation strategy, for the exact maximum likelihood estimator of θ from the MA(1), estimates appropriate percentiles, together with their standard errors, offering a new set of critical values for testing in finite samples H0: θ = -1, against H1: θ>-1. In this way, appropriate regions for rejecting the null or being in uncertainty are defined, regardless of the values of MA(1) parameters. The new set of critical values produce both actual level of significance close to the nominal one and, when θ is not very close to -1, comparable power with the up to now suggested asymptotic values. These asymptotic values, unfortunately, lead to actual level of significance considerably greater than the nominal one, especially in large samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leila Ali Author-X-Name-First: Leila Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Marie Lebreton Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Lebreton Title: The ERM breakdown: a spatial econometric approach Abstract: This study proposes a spatial autoregressive model to investigate whether pure contagion effects occurred during the European exchange market turmoil in 1992. It defines pure contagion as spatial autocorrelation between countries in excess to that which can be explained by economic fundamentals. By doing so, it is possible to predict the effectiveness of rescue packages and foreign supports for each country of the dataset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-201 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426228 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426228&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:197-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: On wage density comparisons: bandwidth selectors and test outcomes Abstract: This study compares wage densities for female workers in the Philippines during the 1990s. Using a non-parametric consistent test developed by Li (1996), the study finds that test outcomes from various optimal bandwidth selectors are fairly comparable. On the other hand, the use of standard deviation as a bandwidth parameter appears to introduce misleading inferences concerning equality of densities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-208 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:203-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Diaz-Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Moreno Title: Growth regressions in business cycle models Abstract: We derive a convergence regression using all the restrictions implied by the stochastic growth model. Therefore, the stochastic structure is built into the model as a productivity shock and not just added as an error term. In this way, we take the view that growth and fluctuation are not distinct phenomena, and show that the deviations from the growth regression are compatible with the size of the technological shocks in business cycle theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-210 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425246 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425246&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:209-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. -L. Chian Author-X-Name-First: A. C. -L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chian Author-Name: E. L. Rempel Author-X-Name-First: E. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rempel Author-Name: C. Rogers Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Title: Crisis-induced intermittency in non-linear economic cycles Abstract: A new type of economic intermittency is found in non-linear business cycles. Following a merging crisis, a complex economic system has the ability to retain memory of its weakly chaotic dynamics prior to crisis. The resulting time series exhibits episodic regime switching between periods of weakly and strongly chaotic fluctuations of economic variables. The characteristic intermittency time, useful for forecasting the average duration of contractionary phases and the turning point to the expansionary phase of business cycles, is computed from the simulated time series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-218 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425436 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425436&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:211-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming Yu Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Ming Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: R. Ghulam Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghulam Title: Knowledge gap and earnings differential in the knowledge-based economy Abstract: This article examines the effect of the 'quantity' and 'quality' of education on earnings. The 'quantity' of education is measured by the level of the highest education attained while the 'quality' of education is determined by degree of the knowledge gap between knowledge acquired in school and skills required in the work place. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 219-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:219-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pu-yan Nie Author-X-Name-First: Pu-yan Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Title: Selection games in Economics Abstract: A model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics, based on selection in finite populations, is recently proposed by Taylor et al. (2004) and it is successful to explain some phenomena in biology. We now extend this model to the economic field. Some corresponding results are also obtained and some economic phenomena are rationally explained. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:223-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangjun Su Author-X-Name-First: Liangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Business output and business experience — Evidence from China's nongovernmental businesses Abstract: We study the application of the Solow growth model in China's non-governmental businesses and propose a reasonable modification for it. Our analysis indicates that business experience is closely tied to the output of China's non-governmental businesses. Our major findings include: (1) the business experience has little overall impact on the elasticity of output with respect to labour; (2) the business experience has a large impact on the elasticity of output with respect to capital and the elasticity increases as the business experience increases; (3) the adjusted Solow residual that reflects technological progress exhibits a negative relationship with the business experience, indicating that a newly established business tends to have higher technology content than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-231 Issue: 3 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:3:p:227-231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Safouane Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Aissa Author-Name: Olivier Musy Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Musy Title: Persistence with staggered price setting in nominal and real terms Abstract: We analyse the behaviour of an economy characterized by staggered pricing, with price contracts either specified in nominal terms (Taylor, 1980), or in real terms (Fuhrer and Moore, 1995). We focus on the response of these models to a permanent and unexpected disinflation policy. It is advanced that this policy implies very different responses from the two models, with the former being unable to reproduce any inflation persistence or output depression, while the latter is able to generate it. We argue that this result builds on the unjustified neglect of a structural error term present in both models. Taking into account this term partly erases the differences between the models, who display comparable inflation persistence and output costs in response to a disinflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500398930 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500398930&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Nicolas Dromel Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Dromel Author-Name: Dominique Meda Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Meda Title: Opportunity costs of having a child, financial constraints and fertility Abstract: Economic theory often assumes that the opportunity costs of having a child and financial constraints have a simultaneous but opposite influence on fertility. This empirical study aims to test the concomitance of these effects using the answers to an original survey carried out in 2003 amongst nearly 1000 French employees, giving information about the impact of their working schedule on the number of children they intend to have. The statistical analysis, based on a 'ceteris paribus' approach using Logit estimates, strongly confirms the simultaneous presence of these two explanatory dimensions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-244 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425535 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425535&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:239-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Bruggemann Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Bruggemann Author-Name: Carsten Trenkler Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Trenkler Title: Are Eastern European Countries Catching Up? Time Series Evidence for Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland Abstract: The catching up process in Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland is analysed by investigating the integration properties of log-differences in per-capita GDP vs. the EU15 and a Mediterranean country group. We account for structural changes by using unit root tests that allow for two endogenous breaks in the level and the trend. We find that Czech Republic and Hungary are stochastically converging towards the Mediterranean group, while only Czech Republic is stochastically converging towards EU15. Remaining per capita GDP differences are only reduced by deterministic trends. Extrapolating these trends we find that catching up will take about 20 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425782 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425782&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Sustainability of balancing item of balance of payments accounts: fresh empirical evidence for G7 countries Abstract: Using a simple balance of payments accounts framework and unit root tests (with level shift), this study provides empirical evidence that, balancing items of balance of payments accounts in the G7 countries are sustainable. The findings of this article may have relevant implications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-254 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:251-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Valuing drinking water quality improvement using a Bayesian analysis of the multinomial probit model Abstract: This article estimates a multinomial probit model structured according to the defensive expenditures for drinking water (DW) choice, using a Bayesian analysis with Gibbs sampling. We also approximate the nonmarginal benefit from discrete improvement in DW quality by calculating the willingness to pay for safe DW. The result shows that the average household of the Seoul Metropolitan Area in Korea is willing to pay 6048 Korean won (GBP 2.91) per month to obtain improved DW similar to boiled water in quality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:255-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harrison Hartman Author-X-Name-First: Harrison Author-X-Name-Last: Hartman Title: Deficit-related explanations for the US interest rate conundrum Abstract: This study offers two potential explanations related to the United States federal budget deficit for the recent interest-rate puzzle in the USA where long-term rates have fallen while short-term rates have risen. A VAR quantifies the relationships between real deficits, real GDP growth rates and ex ante real long-term rates. Impulse-response functions show the assumed time-invariant responses of real GDP and long-term real interest rates to a one-standard-deviation increase in the real deficit, providing some support for the crowding out theory but possibly also the crowding in theory in the short term. Findings include that expectations of future deficits could impact real interest rates today. This study notes that the interest-rate impact of expected changes in deficits is unclear because the changes in rates due to changes in (1) federal borrowing and (2) forecasted GDP growth would be in opposite directions, assuming that crowding out occurs at some point. Thus, it is not clear whether reductions in long-term rates imply that people expect larger or smaller budget deficits in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-265 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447422 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447422&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:261-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Raffinot Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Raffinot Title: A monthly indicator of GDP for Euro-Area based on business surveys Abstract: Policy-makers and analysts are continually assessing the state of the economy. But, gross domestic product (GDP) is only available on quarterly basis with a time span of 1-3 months, and sometimes with significant revisions. The aim of this article is to develop a monthly indicator of GDP for Euro-Area based on business surveys and to give the outlook of the economy activity induced by the indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-270 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447406 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447406&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:267-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Jose Martinez-Zahonero Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Zahonero Title: Testing the long-run relationship between health expenditures and GDP in the presence of structural change: the case of Spain Abstract: This article examines the long-run relationship between per capita US$ PPP health expenditures (HE) and per capita US$ PPP national income (GDP), using Spanish data over the period 1960 to 2001. We extend previous analyses by addressing the question of whether this relationship is stable over time, allowing for structural changes at an unknown date. Our empirical results are consistent with the existence of a long-run relationship between both variables, with two structural changes in 1971 and 1991. On the other hand, health would have been characterized as a luxury commodity, even though increasingly less over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-276 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:271-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Hope Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Hope Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Daily seasonality in 19th century stocks -- some evidence from the Dublin stock exchange Abstract: We document, for a new data set, the existence of daily seasonality. The data set consists of the trades in four equities and two bonds on the Dublin stock exchange for the mid nineteenth century. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-282 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601137609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601137609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:277-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derick Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Derick Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Author-Name: Ron Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Institutions and inflation persistence in the Caribbean Abstract: The study examines how institutional framework provided varying degrees of constraints on monetary policy and economic performance in 12 Caribbean economies. A univariate analysis is used on the price variables to conduct a comparative analysis on the persistence of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-286 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601056593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601056593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:283-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magali Jaoul-Grammare Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Jaoul-Grammare Title: Social attributes, equity and higher educative path. Microeconometric study of a discrete choice model with logistic regression Abstract: Developed countries are subjected to many social inequalities of which access at various stages of schooling is one of the most important. Regarded as more equitable in this context, is one education system which will less make dependent the results on individuals of their social origin. While taking Boudon's model as a starting point, the study seeks to determine, using logistic modelling, factors determining the university path. The analysis shows that if the continuation of studies depends on multiple factors, the role of the social origin is not negligible. The results join those of Peraita and Sanchez (1998) concerning Spain and Sawkins (2002) concerning Scotland. However, the various estimates show that it is primarily at the university end of the course that the role of the social factors takes place. Thus, the results would be more in favour of Boudon's model at the beginning of the course, against Bourdieu's, after. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-291 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:287-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Dual-class stocks and the benefits of control Abstract: Using the hand-collected data of dual-class listed firms in the USA, I find that industry, age and stock-return volatility affect the likelihood that a firm will issue dual-class shares. I explore the implications of these results for our understanding of ownership and control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-297 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:293-297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yohane Khamfula Author-X-Name-First: Yohane Author-X-Name-Last: Khamfula Author-Name: Montfort Mlachila Author-X-Name-First: Montfort Author-X-Name-Last: Mlachila Author-Name: Ephraim Chirwa Author-X-Name-First: Ephraim Author-X-Name-Last: Chirwa Title: Donor herding and domestic debt crisis Abstract: This article presents a new model based on the loan-pushing model by Basu (1991) to show how a domestic debt crisis can occur in a low-income country following donor herding. The model focuses on the rational herding behaviour of donors due to payoff and information externalities. Although there are many theoretical models on herding behaviour, these models have not formally considered the relationship between donor herding and domestic debt crisis in a low-income country. This article is an attempt to fill this gap. The article shows that due to donor herding behaviour a domestic debt crisis can occur once the actual debt level is above the desirable one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 299-302 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:299-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuyuki Sawada Author-X-Name-First: Yasuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Sawada Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Title: Consumption insurance against natural disasters: evidence from the Great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) earthquake Abstract: We investigated whether people were insured against unexpected losses caused by the Great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) earthquake in 1995 and found that the full consumption insurance hypothesis was rejected overwhelmingly, suggesting the ineffectiveness of the formal/informal insurance mechanisms against the earthquake. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 303-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447364 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447364&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:303-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Grote Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Grote Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: Examining the 'Halo Effect' in lotto games Abstract: The 'Halo Effect' occurs when lotto ticket sales are unexpectedly high following a large jackpot. An examination of the Powerball lottery finds evidence that the halo effect exists and that it is the result of bettors exchanging prize winnings for new tickets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-310 Issue: 4 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447372 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447372&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:4:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Author-Name: Christiana Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Christiana Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Title: Dissertation advisors and initial job placements for economics PhD recipients Abstract: Using a unique data set that matches economics PhD recipients with their advisors, we find that after controlling for programme quality, the relative standing of a student's dissertation advisor has a significant impact on his or her initial job placement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-314 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:311-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Lucke Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Lucke Author-Name: Jacopo Zotti Author-X-Name-First: Jacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Zotti Title: The economic costs of a well-placed bomb. Lebanon and the assassination of Mr Hariri Abstract: Destabilizing political incidents may have dramatic effects on economic conditions. Foreign creditors and investors, in particular, may be reluctant to lend resources to a country whose internal stability seems shaky. We use a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to quantify the effect of a single bomb-the bomb which killed Lebanon's former Prime Minister Rafiq al Hariri in February 2005. We show that the economic loss caused by this bomb was larger than the expected gains from even the most optimistic scenarios of Lebanon's recently implemented trade liberalization strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-320 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:315-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Reece Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Reece Title: Household mobility and cellular telephone demand Abstract: Cellular telephones are mobile, and this mobility is one of the key factors influencing the demand for cellular service. This article examines the household demand for cellular telephone and finds that the numbers of vehicles and drivers in the household strongly influence the demand for cellular telephones. Income has the strongest effect. We find some evidence that telephone landlines and cellular telephone service are substitutes. The results are based on data from the 2001 National Household Travel Survey conducted the US Department of Transportation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 321-326 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:321-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Increasing returns to information in the US popular music industry Abstract: Using data relating to 'number one' hits on the Billboard Hot 100 chart, we find clear evidence of increasing returns to information in the US market for popular music. This evidence supports related findings for the motion picture industry in various countries, and for Broadway productions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-331 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461407 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461407&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:327-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Lima Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Convergence of per capita GDP in Brazil: an empirical note Abstract: The article investigated the convergence of real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita at the state level in Brazil during the 1985-1999 period. Departures across states were evaluated in terms of panel data unit root tests advanced by Im et al. (2003). The evidence indicated that one cannot reject the null hypothesis of unit root for the (log) of the ratio of GDP of each state relative to a reference unit. The results, therefore, favour a very strong form of persistence for regional inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461381 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461381&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:333-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magali Jaoul-Grammare Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Jaoul-Grammare Title: The labour market segmentation: empirical analysis of Cain's theory (1976) Abstract: Criticisms addressed to the theory of the human capital take mainly into account the specificity of the labour market. Doeringer and Piore (1971) and Cain (1976) highlight the influence of the situation on the labour market on the individual wage determination. This influence has been studied for various countries (Theodossiou and Yannopoulos, 1998; Yuhong and Johnes, 2003). Sloane et al. (1993), Orr (1997) and Roig (1999) shed light especially the existence of labour market segmentation. On the contrary, for Van Ophem (1987), the theory of the segmentation of the labour market has been to be rejected. Following this, the aim of this article is to test the existence of the labour market segmentation described by Cain (1976) for the case of France on the last twenty years. The use of various statistical techniques allows us to check on the one hand, the connection between the qualifications and the place occupied on the labour market and on the other hand to identify the existence of several labour markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koichi Yoshimine Author-X-Name-First: Koichi Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshimine Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Title: The effect of the corporate tax rate on the trade balance Abstract: Past research indicates that MNCs may be engaging in income shifting practices. Such practices could bias the trade balance, if the intrafirm trade is substantial. This article examines the effect of the tax differential on the trade balances of OECD countries. The results indicate that the trade balance is adversely affected when the tax differential is positive, for a number of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426301 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426301&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Title: The world distribution of carbon dioxide emissions Abstract: This article examines the spatial distribution of per capita carbon dioxide emissions in 140 countries during the period 1960 to 1999. To overcome the methodological limitations of conventional convergence analysis, we have applied a nonparametric approach, which allows to study the dynamics of the entire cross section distribution. The results show that the probability mass concentrated around the average has increased over time, which helps to explain the observed reduction in cross-country disparities. In any event, the intra-distribution mobility level is relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: An empirical investigation on derivatives usage: evidence from the United Kingdom general insurance industry Abstract: This article reports the holdings of derivatives contracts in the UK general insurance industry and investigates the relationship between the usage and insurer organizational characteristics with panel data for the period 1994 to 2002. Overall it seems that the use of derivatives instruments in this industry is limited and shows a downward trend. The empirical results indicate, among other things, that a general insurer's size, liquidity, interest rate risk exposure, line of business concentration and organizational form are important factors associated with the decision to employ derivatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-360 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:353-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Feehan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Feehan Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Title: Distribution of UK National Lottery grants across local authority areas Abstract: Much of the high taxation on UK national lottery products is hypothecated to 'Good Causes' distribution funds which make grants for projects in fields such as sport, the arts and heritage. We examine the distribution of grants across 376 local authority areas in England and Wales. The proportion of highly educated people and social class composition are shown to be determinants of an area's grant receipts. The results indicate regressivity in the spending of lottery taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-365 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:361-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Virmantas Kvedaras Author-X-Name-First: Virmantas Author-X-Name-Last: Kvedaras Title: Testing the demand-led and BOP-constrained growth model: a system approach Abstract: In a series of articles of the journal Applied Economics there was an extensive debate on the Balance-of-Payments (BOP)-constrained growth model and its testing. This led to a single-equation-based test for the necessary condition of the BOP-constrained growth model that the BOP constraint binds. Since then many extensions and applications of the basic BOP-constrained growth model have appeared in the related literature, but the empirical model evaluation methodology has not been developed to further test the sufficient condition that causality runs from foreign demand or exports determined by it to GDP rather than the other way round. This study utilizes the standard vector error correction model (VECM) to formalize a system approach to empirical testing of both the necessary and sufficient conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-370 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426251 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426251&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:367-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Shik Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Shik Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Title: A comparison of MA and RSI returns with exchange rate intervention Abstract: This study compares the efficacy of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) vis-a-vis the Moving Average (MA) trading rules on the daily exchange rates of six currencies. The results indicate that the trading rules can yield positive risk-adjusted returns, and the profitability of these trading rules is positively related to central bank interventions. It is also found that the impact of interest rate differentials on the trading rule return is immaterial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-383 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426269 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426269&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:371-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong-Kyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Kyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Home production function and the productivity effect of air pollution Abstract: This article examines whether there is an indirect productivity effect of pollution on preference. In doing so, an indirect productivity effect is introduced into the home production function. The estimates show that there is a strong positive indirect productivity effect on preference. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-387 Issue: 5 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:5:p:385-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Travis Lybbert Author-X-Name-First: Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Lybbert Title: Polarization & pricing to the rich Abstract: Income polarization directly affects monopoly pricing and profits when a monopolist cannot segment markets. When income and price elasticity of demand are negatively correlated, increasing income disparity ultimately leads the monopolist to target the rich at the exclusion of the poor. This paper uses a simple model to demonstrate how income polarization, as distinct from income inequality, affects monopoly price and profit in such a situation. Without income polarization, price increases and profit decreases with income disparity when the monopolist targets the rich. With income polarization, price increases sharply and profit increases with income disparity when the monopolist targets the rich. Preliminary evidence suggests that pharmaceutical prices may indeed increase with polarization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-394 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:389-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Search theory and subsidized housing demand in New Zealand Abstract: A search-theoretic model of housing demand is presented and evidence is found in its support based upon the 1995 records of 260 000 New Zealand (NZ) tenants eligible to have received an unrestricted housing subsidy. In the model, a unit increase in search costs is predicted to increase the optimal rent according to a factor proportion less than one while a unit increase in moving cost is predicted to decrease the rent. The factor-proportion increase in the rent, also a marginal propensity to rent, is around 21 NZ cents for every NZ dollar increase in search costs. The moving-cost decrease is supported by the rent effects of some indicative characteristics. The empirical findings are found to be stable across a range of applicable estimators including those that may have been needed to correct for censoring and reverse-causality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-399 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461621 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461621&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:395-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Baltzer Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Baltzer Author-Name: Gerhard Kling Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Kling Title: Predictability of future economic growth and the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany, 1870-2003 Abstract: Our study tries to quantify the predictability of economic growth and links it to the capability of regimes to fight against inflation. A regime with a high persistence of inflation and, hence, low credibility exhibits a high level of predictability of economic growth using the yield curve as indicator. Based on structural VAR models, we evaluate the credibility of monetary regimes in Germany from 1870 to 2003. The period of the Classical Gold Standard exhibited the highest credibility compared to the interwar period, the Bretton Woods and free float era. The reliability of the Bretton Woods agreement deteriorated years before the official breakdown in 1971. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 401-404 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:401-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Title: The incidence of long-term unemployment: evidence from Greece Abstract: In this article, I use the 2000-2004 data from the Greek Labour Force Survey in order to estimate a logit model for the incidence of long-term unemployment. The model computed is similar to the one estimated by Obben et al. (2002). It is found that attributes of the individual such as gender, age category, marital status and region of residence affect the odds of being long-term unemployed. On the other hand, the level of someone's qualification does not affect the odds of whether someone will be short or long-term unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-408 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:405-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarbani Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Sarbani Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Rama Parai Author-X-Name-First: Rama Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Author-Name: Amar Parai Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Parai Title: Computer use and wage differentials: US and foreign born male and female workers Abstract: The dual issues of nationality and on-the-job computer use are introduced into the analysis of gender wage gap in the United States, and some new results are reported. It is shown that, all other things remaining the same, (i) inter-gender wage differentials across different groups based on computer use and/or nationality vary from 23% to 35%; (ii) among computer nonusers, the inter-gender wage differentials are quite high and invariant of the country of birth; and (iii) intra-gender wage gap based on computer use at work is high for both native and foreign born workers, but the intra-gender wage gap based on nationality is low for both users and nonusers of computer at work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 409-413 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447307 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447307&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:409-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunhua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A dynamic stochastic frontier production model with time-varying efficiency: comment Abstract: Based on Desli et al. (2003), this comment defines a stochastic frontier production model in a panel data framework. The firms can learn from their past errors to improve technical efficiency. This is done by introducing the inefficiency error term as an AR(p) process. The ways to estimate the production function and technical inefficiency are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 415-417 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447455 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447455&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:415-417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dipanwita Sarkar Author-X-Name-First: Dipanwita Author-X-Name-Last: Sarkar Title: The role of human capital in economic growth revisited Abstract: Benhabib and Spiegel (1994) examine the role of human capital in the development process empirically using a theory-driven specification rather than the standard production function approach. While they find evidence of a positive impact of human capital on income growth, their result is not robust to the inclusion of inequality as an additional covariate. Using an alternate dataset and different measures of inequality, we find robust support for the hypothesis that human capital matters even when we account for the adverse effect of income inequality on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 419-423 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447323 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447323&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Aggregate concentration and the cost of systemic risk Abstract: Aggregate concentration may exacerbate systemic risk if the social cost of business failure is a superlinear function of the fraction of industry capacity lost to failure. This result suggests new empirical tests to inform policy debates, as well as supporting an efficiency rationale for restricting aggregate concentration under certain conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-428 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438751 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438751&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:425-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barıs Yoruk Author-X-Name-First: Barıs Author-X-Name-Last: Yoruk Title: Negative externalities, productivity growth and the catching-up hypothesis Abstract: This article investigates the catching-up hypothesis for OECD countries. Unlike the previous studies, the results show that countries with low initial per capita income levels catch-up at a faster rate only when the presence of negative externalities is ignored in growth analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 429-434 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438710 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438710&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:429-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucie Samson Author-X-Name-First: Lucie Author-X-Name-Last: Samson Author-Name: Maxim Armstrong Author-X-Name-First: Maxim Author-X-Name-Last: Armstrong Title: Preferences and observed risk premia: an empirical analysis Abstract: The fundamental prediction of the Consumption-based Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) relates asset returns to their covariance with the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution (IMRS). With utility subjected to constant relative risk aversion, the IMRS is characterized by only one economic variable namely, consumption growth. One explanation for the disappointing empirical performance of the CCAPM model may be that the constant relative risk aversion specification is too restrictive. In this article we consider alternative specifications and compare their empirical performance with the reference model using Canadian data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-439 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601057823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601057823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:435-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Author-Name: Mario Nosvelli Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Nosvelli Title: Dynamics of residential water consumption in a panel of Italian municipalities Abstract: The purpose of this study is to estimate a residential water demand function in a dynamic framework for a panel of Italian municipalities and to calculate both short-run and long-run price elasticities. The Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) provides a suitable framework for obtaining asymptotically efficient estimators in this context. Specifically, the system GMM estimator is applied, which improves the properties of the standard first-difference estimator. The most relevant result shows that persistence of habits is coupled with high long-term price elasticity which is higher, in absolute value, that the instantaneous (one-year) price elasticity. Under an economic policy perspective, the effects of policy interventions can be suitably evaluated only in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 441-444 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425642 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425642&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:441-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Manjon Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Manjon Title: Does the proxy for shareholders' control make a difference in firm-performance regressions? Evidence from a blockholder system of corporate governance Abstract: One of the critical determinants of firm performance in corporate governance investigations is the degree of control exercised by large shareholders. This article empirically assesses the use of ultimate-owner ship shares and solutions of voting games (i.e. power indices) as alternative proxies for this control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-449 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:445-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Title: Population weighted growth, convergence clubs and objective 1 regions performance: delors I and II packages Abstract: This article analyses population weighted growth for the periods 1989-1993 and 1995-1999 in EU15 covering the period of time in which Delors I and II packages were operational. Two important results were found, first, the existence of a polarized growth either at the lowest or highest income levels that proves the existence of a twin-peak structure in the growth process and second a better performance of objective 1 regions than non-objective 1 regions during both periods of time, showing a tendency of objective 1 regions to catch up with the average EU15 income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-455 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:451-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Romero-Avila Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Avila Author-Name: Carlos Usabiaga Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Usabiaga Title: Unit root tests and persistence of unemployment: Spain vs. the United States Abstract: In this article, we investigate the existence of infrequent shocks and the degree of persistence of unemployment in the US and Spain over the period 1976-2004. We first apply the minimum Lagrange Multiplier unit root test with up to two endogenous changes in level. The evidence gives support to the hysteresis hypothesis for Spain and to regime-wise stationarity for the US. The computation of median unbiased estimates of half-lives directly from the impulse-response function indicates a much higher degree of persistence of unemployment in Spain than in the US. Our results thus give an indication that aggregate demand policies may have different effects in these two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Title: The single market and geographic concentration in the regions of the European Union Abstract: This note examines industrial concentration in the regions of the European Union during the period following the implementation of the Single Market. To achieve this objective, we have applied a new methodology in this literature based on the second degree inverse stochastic dominance concept. The results obtained reveal an increase in geographical concentration in most industrial activities between 1992 and 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 6 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461449 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461449&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:6:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Laxmi Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Laxmi Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Modelling swine supply response using a structural time series approach Abstract: Swine supply response was analyzed using a structural time series model (STSM) with both seasonal and yearly effects introduced stochastically. Swine production is divided into four production phases. Parameters of each phase were then estimated using a structural time series model. Out-of-sample forecasting robustness of the STSM was compared against a commonly used deterministic trend and deterministic seasonally (DTDS) using root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error criteria. The STSM model produced lower RMSE and MPE values than those obtained using a DTDS modeling approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-472 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:467-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: The convergence of electricity prices in Europe Abstract: The ambition to create a single European market for electricity has been explicit since the Single European Act of 1988. This article investigates the degree to which this goal has been achieved in terms of the convergence of electricity prices. Two commonly used tests of convergence are applied, β-convergence and a cointegration test using annual electricity price data for nine European Union member states from 1978 to 2003. The results suggest that convergence did occur for most of the countries in the sample over this period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461597 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461597&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minkyu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Minkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Youngsang Cho Author-X-Name-First: Youngsang Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: The diffusion of mobile telecommunications services in Korea Abstract: This study investigates the diffusion of mobile telecommunications in Korea. The aim is to compare the performance of logistic model of diffusion with that of a time series autoregressive moving average model and to identify factors that determine the diffusion adoption process. Empirical results are based on annual data on cellular mobile subscribers covering 1984 to 2002. Results suggest that, the diffusion speed increases with per capita GDP, but it decreases with the number of main telephone lines in operation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461431 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461431&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Author-Name: Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires Author-X-Name-First: Manoel Carlos de Castro Author-X-Name-Last: Pires Title: Capital account liberalization and inflation: evidence from Brazil Abstract: The argument that capital account liberalization attenuates the time inconsistence problem in the conduction of monetary policy and thus, could improve the control of inflation, was tested for Brazil, in the short run, for different exchange rate regimes. The findings denote that a decrease in the capital account liberalization is capable of attenuating inflationary pressure and that the duration of this effect depends on the exchange regime used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-487 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:483-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Lopez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Rodriguez Title: Is market potential robust in explaining regional educational levels in Europe? Abstract: This article analyses the robustness of market potential as an explanatory variable of regional educational levels in the European Union. When included by its own, market potential is shown to be statistically significant and quantitatively important in explaining cross-region variation in educational levels. This finding is robust in controlling for a wide range of considerations, including other geographic and economic characteristics, showing that economic geography matters in determining educational attainment levels in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-492 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:489-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Title: R&D and productivity in 16 OECD countries: some heterogeneous panel estimations Abstract: This study further investigates the long-run impact of various sources of technological progress on productivity for a panel of 16 OECD countries during the period 1981 to 1998. Given the length of the series, the application of an heterogeneous estimator could be suitable from an econometric point of view. Our results, based on the Mean Group and the Pooled Mean Group estimators, show that technology spills over across countries through the channel of trade flows and that academic research significantly contributes to productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-496 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:493-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manami Ogura Author-X-Name-First: Manami Author-X-Name-Last: Ogura Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Testing demand homogeneity when error terms have an elliptically symmetric distribution Abstract: In this article, we show that the exact test for the homogeneity restriction developed by Laitinen (1978) is robust when the error terms have an elliptically symmetric distribution. The power performance of the test is also examined, assuming that the error terms have a multivariate t distribution. Our empirical example shows that the homogeneity restriction is not rejected at the 5% level by the exact test though it is rejected by the asymptotic Wald test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-502 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447430 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447430&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:497-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Hung Hsu Ku Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hung Hsu Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Author-Name: Ho-Chyuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kuang-Hua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: On the application of the dynamic conditional correlation model in estimating optimal time-varying hedge ratios Abstract: This article applies the dynamic conditional correlation model of Engle (2002) with error correction terms in order to investigate the optimal hedge ratios of British and Japanese currency futures markets. For a comparison, the estimates of three other models -- traditional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), ordinary least square (OLS) and error correction model (ECM) -- are also reported. Results show that the dynamic conditional correlation model yields the best hedging performance in both futures markets. Nonetheless, the traditional multivariate GARCH model (which exhibits constant conditional correlations and time-varying hedge ratios) performs the worst hedging effectiveness, even inferior to the time-invariant hedging methods (OLS and ECM). The inclusion of dynamic conditional correlations in the GARCH model can therefore better capture the frequent fluctuations in futures markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-509 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:503-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilaria Mosca Author-X-Name-First: Ilaria Author-X-Name-Last: Mosca Title: Decentralization as a determinant of health care expenditure: empirical analysis for OECD countries Abstract: Territorial decentralization involves the transfer of responsibilities from a central government to lower levels of government. A common trend in different developed countries has been to decentralize some health functions (managerial and/or financial) to local governments. The set-up of the health care system and its degree of decentralization are here utilized in a panel data analysis as a determinant of health care expenditure in a sample of 20 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for the period 1990 to 2000. These findings lend support that demographic, supply-related and socio-economic factors impact on overall health care costs and a decentralized health care setting implies higher health expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438736 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438736&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Chen Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Title: Rational bubbles in the US stock market? Further evidence from a nonparametric cointegration test Abstract: In this study, we revisit the issue as to the presence of rational bubbles in the US stock market during the 1871 to 2002 period using both the Johansen cointegration and the Bierens 1997 nonparametric cointegration tests. The results from the conventional Johansen cointegration test fully support the existence of rational bubbles, whereas those from the Bierens nonparametric cointegration test attest to the absence of rational bubbles. On account of the superiority of the nonparametric method to detect cointegration when the error-correction mechanism is nonlinear, we firmly believe that the results from the nonparametric cointegration test are considerably more reliable than those derived from the conventional Johansen approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-521 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601103221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601103221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:517-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Spyros Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Author-Name: Georgia Siougle Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Siougle Title: Mergers and acquisitions of non-financial firms in Europe: the case of the Athens Stock Exchange Abstract: This study examines whether mergers and acquisitions create value for shareholders in the Athens Stock Exchange, during an extremely volatile period. The results indicate, on average, statistically insignificant investor reaction around merger announcements. However, further analysis suggests that investors react negatively to announcements by bidder firms in the food and fish farm sectors, and positively to announcements in the commercial/advertising and technology sectors. There is also evidence that information arrives at the market a few days before the official announcement. Contrary to earlier empirical evidence, insignificant returns are reported for target firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-527 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500406972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500406972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:523-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miyoung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Miyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: An iterative method for flattering the ridge in the Ridge regression Abstract: In many cases of multiple regression in an undefined system, some independent variables may not be orthogonal to each other. In such cases, the systems either are not solvable or induce incorrect results which could vary with the data used. Such problems are often overcome by using the Ridge regression method. This article proposes an alternative way of getting an exact least square estimator by using an iterative method. We prove the solvability of the proposed algorithm and demonstrate that our method outperforms traditional approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 529-531 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:529-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Jayaraj Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Jayaraj Author-Name: S. Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: Comparing the age structures of populations Abstract: This is an analytically simple note, motivated by the modest objective of presenting a visual aid to the scanning and comparison of the age structures of alternative populations. The means to the end are achieved by a graphical devise which is called a binary age comparison (or BAC) curve, which is obtained by plotting the cumulative age density function of one population against that of another within the unit square. The BAC curve allows a quick ascertainment of the unambiguous dominance of one population over another in terms of 'agedness', where such dominance obtains; and where thoroughgoing dominance does not obtain, it permits an assessment of the differentiated age structures, over different age segments, of a pair of populations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-537 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:533-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangheon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangheon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: A more accurate measurement of tax effort Abstract: Even though it is commonplace in many countries for federal governments to give fiscal support to local governments, this may work as a deterrent in providing incentives to local governments to increase their own revenue. To address this problem of moral hazard, various techniques of measuring the local governments' tax effort have been suggested in the literature. However, all of these techniques share a drawback: 'biasedness'. To solve this problem, this article presents an unbiased estimator, which is the Kalman filter estimator. A Monte Carlo simulation shows evidence that the Kalman filter estimator is more accurate than other methods suggested in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 7 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425345 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425345&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:7:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Samarendu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Samarendu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Mohamadou Fadiga Author-X-Name-First: Mohamadou Author-X-Name-Last: Fadiga Title: Price asymmetry in the US fibre markets Abstract: In this article, price linkages between cotton and polyester markets are investigated. After determining that the causality is present in both the directions, the nature of the price linkages was studied. The results suggest that polyester price responds asymmetrically to cotton price changes, whereas asymmetric response from cotton price to changes in polyester price is found to be weak. The results also did not support the hypothesis of contemporaneous effects between the polyester and cotton prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Villaverde Author-Name: Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Juan F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio-Ramirez Title: On the solution of the growth model with investment-specific technological change Abstract: Recent work by Greenwood et al. (1997, 2000) and Fisher (2003) has emphasized the importance of investment-specific technological change as a main driving force behind long-run growth and the business cycle. This article shows how the growth model with investment-specific technological change has a closed-form solution if capital fully depreciates. This solution furthers our understanding of the model and it constitutes a useful benchmark to check the accuracy of numerical procedures to solve dynamic macroeconomic models in cases with several state variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: William Shambora Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Shambora Author-Name: Kyongwook Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: The relationship between stock returns and inflation in four European markets Abstract: We study the effects of expected and unexpected inflation on real stock returns for France, Germany, Italy and the UK. We find evidence that unexpected inflation affects stock returns in France, Italy and the UK, but that expected inflation does not. Unexpected interest rates also affect real stock returns in the three countries. However, we find no evidence of these variables affecting real stock returns in Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-557 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600580452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600580452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:555-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuntawan Thiratanapong Author-X-Name-First: Nuntawan Author-X-Name-Last: Thiratanapong Title: Market discipline in banking: evidence from Thailand during the 1997 crisis Abstract: This article investigates the impact of banking crisis on deposit market discipline using evidence from Thailand. The empirical evidence suggests that depositors' responsiveness to bank risk taking increases in the aftermath of the crisis. However, an explicit blanket guarantee provided by the government since the 1997 crisis weakens the extent of an increase in market discipline during the post-crisis period. The results have relevant implications on the implementation of an explicit deposit insurance scheme for Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-563 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592424 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592424&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:559-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Neelesh Gounder Author-X-Name-First: Neelesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gounder Title: Investment ratio in growth equations Abstract: In the cross-country and time series studies on the determinants of the growth rate, capital stock is often proxied with the investment ratio due to lack of reliable data. While investment ratio may give good results with OLS, their robustness is doubtful. In addition there are other problems: (a) investment ratio may be a good proxy for the change in capital stock, but combining it with the level of employment to estimate a production function leads to misspecification bias; (b) it is not possible to impose any valid constraints on the coefficients of these variables and (c) if instrument variables are used to minimize any endogenous variable bias, the equation with the investment ratio seems to be fragile. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-568 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461365 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461365&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:565-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hayes Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Hayes Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Estimates of quarterly GDP for the interwar UK economy Abstract: This article uses the Chow--Lin (1971) procedure to generate estimates of quarterly gross domestic product for the UK economy over the period January 1920 to April 1938. This series is then used to estimate a cointegrating relationship between employment, real wages and aggregate output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-572 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Title: Empirical evidence from fourteen countries with explicit inflation targeting Abstract: This article attempts to contribute to the empirical research on inflation targeting (IT) making an inquiry of the relation between macroeconomic variables for 14 countries with explicit IT. The main results denote that the adoption of IT is a good framework for reducing inflation, and thus contributes to diminish interest rate without apparent costs on economic growth, although unemployment increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461464 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461464&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: Returns to education and wage equations: a dynamic approach Abstract: We study the impact of education on within-groups wage inequality using quantile-regression techniques and US data for the period 1980 to 1987. Our contribution consists of comparing estimates based on a standard Mincer equation with estimates based on a modified Mincer equation in which past earnings play the role of additional explanatory variable. We find that a dynamic model does not give the same answer as a static model regarding the impact of schooling on earnings dispersion, and provide an explanation for this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-579 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461555 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461555&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Purchasing power parity under high and low volatility regimes Abstract: This article adopts Markov switching models to establish and examine several types of nonlinear dynamics in exchange rate returns and provide a new test to analyse presence of purchasing power parity (PPP) after controlling for various market states. In contrast with Engle and Hamilton (1990) focusing on discussing the dual state setting on the first moment of quarterly data for major industrial countries' currencies, we concentrate more on the second moment for monthly data and add an analysis of developing countries' currencies. Our empirical findings are consistent with the following notions. First, volatility-switching behaviours are more (less) remarkable for developing (industrialized) countries' currencies. Second, we denote the high volatility state of exchange markets of developing (industrialized) countries as a crisis (an unusual) condition. Moreover, PPP would be valid at the low (high) volatility state for developing (industrialized) countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-589 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461548 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461548&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:581-589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Chong Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Virgilio Galdo Author-X-Name-First: Virgilio Author-X-Name-Last: Galdo Title: Should state-owned firms change CEOs before privatization? Some evidence from the telecommunications industry Abstract: Should state-owned enterprises change chief executive officer (CEO) before privatizing? We test competing views on this question by complementing a recently released database with newly collected data. We are able to cover 77 telecommunications privatizations, which account for nearly 80% of the sector in terms of value. We find that CEO replacement will improve performance in the telecommunications industry before privatization as measured by penetration, operating efficiency and profitability. Chief executive officer change before privatization does appear to have real consequences in firm performance before privatization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-595 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:591-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: Saving-investment correlations and capital mobility in OECD countries: an error correction analysis Abstract: This article studies the time series properties of saving and investment rates for 23 OECD countries using error correction model (ECM) developed by Jansen and Schulze (1996) and Jansen (1996). Applying the ECM to the OECD countries, we find that Denmark, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United Kingdom indicate low capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-601 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592390 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592390&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:597-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bellak Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bellak Author-Name: Markus Leibrecht Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Leibrecht Author-Name: Roman Romisch Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Romisch Title: On the appropriate measure of tax burden on foreign direct investment to the CEECs Abstract: We argue from a conceptual and empirical point of view that tax-rate elasticities of foreign direct investment (FDI) to Central and East European Countries (CEECs) derived from statutory tax rates (STRs) are likely to be flawed. STRs are problematic measures of tax burden as they capture neither tax base effects, nor effects of the home country or international and supranational tax laws. From an empirical point of view STRs are questionable as their behavior over time and between country-pairs may differ from that of the conceptually superior bilateral corporate effective average tax rates (BCEATRs) of the Devereux-Griffith type. The variability of host-country STRs and BCEATRs of seven major home countries of FDI in eight major CEEC host countries is compared via Levene-tests for 1995--2005. Results indicate that using STRs instead of BCEATRs in empirical investigations of FDI is likely to result in tax-rate elasticities which are too low in absolute value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-606 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:603-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Badri Narayanan Author-X-Name-First: G. Badri Author-X-Name-Last: Narayanan Title: Effect of mergers on firm profits with trade liberalization: the role of technology Abstract: The objective of this study is to analyse the effects of trade liberalization on the firm-level profit-enhancing effects of mergers and its dependence on whether the technology is labour intensive or capital-intensive, under an oligopolistic competition framework. Mergers, as considered in this article, cause an increase in the firm-level profits. The extent to which they enhance the profits is inversely proportional to the number of firms in the country. With a freer trade, the profit effect of mergers depends on the extent to which the fall in profit due to fall in price outweighs the gain in profit due to increased output. A firm in the capital-intensive country can gain more from a merger than one in the labour-intensive country, if the aggregate output is at sufficiently large scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan Sahin Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Sahin Author-Name: A. Burca Kizilirmak Author-X-Name-First: A. Burca Author-X-Name-Last: Kizilirmak Title: Determinants of duration of unemployment insurance benefits in Turkey Abstract: This article is the first empirical study on the duration of unemployment insurance benefits in Turkey. Turkey has adopted an unemployment insurance programme in 2000, and the first payment of the benefit was made in 2002. Thus, it is new and the first programme to partially compensate the income of workers when they are unemployed. The unemployment insurance programme has been criticized for low benefits and strict eligibility requirements. However, the number of people claiming unemployment benefit has been increasing steadily since 2002. This study provides an empirical evaluation on the determinants of duration of unemployment insurance benefits by a hazard modelling approach. We find that age, sex, marital status, significantly affect insurance duration after controlling effects of types of workplace, job types and regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-615 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592473 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592473&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:611-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Examining the interactions of high reserves and weak fundamentals in currency crises Abstract: This article tackles the issue of reserve adequacy measure by examining the interaction of high reserves and weak fundamentals in crises. The author extends the analysis of Sachs et al. (1996) by adopting on two-step regressions. The first helps find the significant weak fundamental variables. The second determines the appropriate adequate reserve level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-621 Issue: 8 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500474186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500474186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:8:p:617-621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold T. Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold T. Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John M. Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Technical efficiency bias in data envelopment analysis caused by intra-output aggregation Abstract: We show that an organization's technical efficiency scores are biased downward by linear aggregation of the quantities of the same type of output that are produced by multiple subunits (intra-output aggregation). We expand the models of Fare et al. (2002, 2004) and Barnum and Gleason (2005) to account for intra-output aggregation bias, yielding an expanded model in which technical efficiency is unbiased by any type of input or output aggregation. We illustrate intra-output aggregation bias with data envelopment analysis results from Canadian paratransit operations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461647 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461647&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomokazu Nomura Author-X-Name-First: Tomokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Nomura Title: Contribution of education and educational equality to economic growth Abstract: In this article we examine how the contribution of investment in education to economic growth varies if the initial level of education and the improvement of educational equality are different. Our main finding is that the contribution of education to economic growth is larger and statistically more significant in the countries with relatively low level of initial education and in the countries with relatively high improvement of educational equality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-630 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425857 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425857&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:627-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piero Conforti Author-X-Name-First: Piero Author-X-Name-Last: Conforti Author-Name: Ugo Pica-Ciamarra Author-X-Name-First: Ugo Author-X-Name-Last: Pica-Ciamarra Title: Scaling-up community-driven development. Evidence from the Philippines Abstract: Community-driven development programmes are an increasingly common component of poverty reduction strategies. Most have been on a small-scale so far, but efforts are being made to scale successful experiences up to the country level. This article quantifies the impact of the community-driven 'farming system development' (FSD) adopted by the Philippine government in selected rice-producing agrarian communities and simulates the potential effects of scaling FSD up to the country level using a general equilibrium framework. Results show that the FSD approach could be an effective poverty reduction strategy, instigating poor farmers to diversify towards nontraditional crops and the rice processing industry to benefit from lower prices; however, existing rice import quotas severely constraint the size of such potential benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-636 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461373 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461373&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:631-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Title: Evaluating forecasting accuracy of the temporally aggregated space-time autoregressive model Abstract: This article aims at analysing the effect of temporal aggregation in space-time autoregressive models. By means of a simulation experiment, it is shown that, the greater the spatial dependence in time series, the lower the bias due to temporal aggregation. However, the ratio between the average mean squared forecasting errors for daily data and that for yearly data seems to decrease for high parameter values. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-641 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461654 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461654&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:637-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tam Bang Vu Author-X-Name-First: Tam Bang Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Title: An alternative approximation to consumer durables expenditures Abstract: Consumer durables expenditures are normally assumed to be of linear form with additive error term. Hansen and Singleton (1983) derive the log linear form for consumption, but they do not employ a depreciation rate. In this article, we use a multiplicative error term to obtain a log linear AR(1) with a unit root as an approximate process that drives durables expenditure. The Box-Cox test rejects the linear form in favour of the log linear one. The Box-Jenkins model selection procedure and the augmented Dickey-Fuller test support an AR(1) in log linear form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-646 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461589 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461589&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:643-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Miles Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Do inflation targeting handcuffs restrain leviathan? Hard pegs vs. inflation targets for fiscal discipline in emerging markets Abstract: Inflation targeting has been increasingly adopted in emerging markets as fixed exchange rates have fallen in popularity. An important question is whether inflation targeting provides the same level of fiscal discipline as a hard peg. Using the methodology of Fatas and Rose (2001), results here indicate that multilateral currency unions and currency boards lead to tighter fiscal policy than inflation targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-651 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:647-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Vindelyn Smith-Hillman Author-X-Name-First: A. Vindelyn Author-X-Name-Last: Smith-Hillman Title: Competition policy, inflation and corruption: evidence from African economies Abstract: Using regression analysis, the study examines the relationship between competition policy, inflation and corruption within 23 African economies. The inclusion of a group of 20 industrial countries acts as a benchmark enabling the evaluation of the significance of competition policy within countries with good governance records. The results reveal the absence of a statistically significant relationship when the two groups are independently assessed however, when all 43 countries are combined the results prove to be statistically significant. Whilst the results do not provide the unambiguous support of a relationship, this does not negate a role for competition policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461415 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461415&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Denny Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Denny Author-Name: Vincent O'sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: O'sullivan Title: Can education compensate for low ability? Evidence from British data Abstract: This article investigates whether the returns to education vary with the level of cognitive ability. Unlike much of the literature, this article finds that the return to schooling is lower for those with higher cognitive ability indicating that education can act as a substitute for observed ability. Using quantile regressions we also find that, again unlike most of the literature, returns are higher at lower quintiles of the conditional earnings distribution. This suggests that education is also a substitute for unobserved ability. The policy implications are that increasing education in general and particularly for those with lower ability should reduce income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noriko Ishikawa Author-X-Name-First: Noriko Author-X-Name-Last: Ishikawa Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: Impacts of tourism and fiscal expenditure to remote islands: the case of the Amami islands in Japan Abstract: The Amami islands are located 380 km southwest of Japan proper. These islands have two economic features: they are islands that many tourists visit because of their natural resources and they are an undeveloped area where the central government of Japan provides large fiscal subsidies. We investigate the impacts of tourism and fiscal expenditure simultaneously. The results show that one tourist and about 52 000 yen (about US$480) fiscal expenditure are substitutable in the end. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-666 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461423 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461423&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:661-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep-Maria Arauzo-Carod Author-X-Name-First: Josep-Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arauzo-Carod Title: A note on spatial autocorrelation at a local level Abstract: In this article, we analyse the existence of spatial autocorrelation at a local level in Catalonia using variables such as urbanisation economies, population density, human capital and firm entries. From a static approach, our results show that spatial autocorrelation is weak and diminishes as the distance between municipalities increases. From a dynamic approach, however, spatial autocorrelation increased over the period we analysed. These results are important from a policy point of view, since it is essential to know how economic activities are spatially concentrated or disseminated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-671 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461472 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461472&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:667-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: Inverse Gaussian random variables with application to price indices Abstract: Inverse Gaussian distributions have proved to fit economic indices remarkably well in empirical investigations (Aase, 2000). In this note, the exact distribution of the ratio W = X/(X + Y) is derived when X and Y are independent inverse Gaussian random variables. This distribution arises when one is interested in comparing the performances of two economic entities. Several computer programs are given for computing the associated pdf, cdf, percentile points and the random numbers. A detailed application is illustrated for consumer price indices from the six major economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-677 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447398 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447398&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:673-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Musy Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Musy Author-Name: Sebastien Pommier Author-X-Name-First: Sebastien Author-X-Name-Last: Pommier Title: Inflation expectations and the structure of the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve Abstract: We extend the analysis of Ball (2000) on near-rational expectations. We show that near-rational expectations imply nontrivial additional forecast errors and the degree of error depends on the monetary regime. Moreover, this scheme of expectations does not by itself give support to the New Keynesian Phillips Curve but only to the version built on the staggered prices model of Taylor 1980). The standard model of Calvo 1983 is rejected both under rational expectations and under near-rational expectations in the sense of Ball (2000). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-683 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:679-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: On the study of confidence intervals of Taiwan's banking sector efficiency Abstract: This article applies a distribution-free approach to estimate the economic efficiencies of Taiwan's multioutput banking industry, under the framework of the cost frontier. The joint confidence interval estimates for economic efficiencies are constructed using multiple comparisons with the best (MCB) procedure. A salient characteristic of MCB procedure is that it is able to identify multiple efficient firms lying on the minimum cost frontier. The MCB intervals reveal at the 95 and 75% confidence levels that four out of 22 banks in the sample may be statistically efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-689 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438744 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438744&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:685-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-In Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-In Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: An investigation of preference uncertainty in the contingent valuation study Abstract: This study investigates the respondents' preference uncertainty in the dichotomous choice (DC) contingent valuation study for gathering information on willingness to pay (WTP). To this end, we use polychotomous choice (PC) question and DC question with certainty level for two split samples. We find that incorporating preference uncertainty has a significant effect on the WTP estimates and, more importantly, the DC question with certainty level produces more efficient WTP estimate than the PC question. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 691-695 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:691-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuhin K. Das Author-X-Name-First: Tuhin K. Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Dipanwita S. D. Choudhury Author-X-Name-First: Dipanwita S. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhury Title: Are 'complementary and alternative medicines' alternative to conventional medical system? An economic evaluation Abstract: The availability of conventional medical services (i.e., allopathy) is the basic need for a modern day living. Though this clause is easily met in the developed countries, but in the developing countries it is very difficult to accomplish. Hence in the developing countries a dearth is often created, which is filled to some extent by complementary and alternative medicines (CAM). In India this phenomenon is acutely noticied. In this regard, a study is highly needed to understand why do people go for complementary and alternative medicines? Is it for the very concept that the alternative medicines involve low cost, and/or are they equally or more effective than the familiar allopathic tretment? So, this study is an approach to (i) the determination of the socio-economic factors that influence the choice of complementary and alternative medical services by health purchasers, and also (ii) the estimation of the cost-effectiveness of these medical services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 9 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592580 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592580&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:9:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dijkgraaf Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dijkgraaf Author-Name: R. H. J. M. Gradus Author-X-Name-First: R. H. J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gradus Title: Fair competition in the refuse collection market? Abstract: We estimate whether fair competition exists for tendering refuse collection in the Netherlands. The results indicate that concentration increases prices and offsets the advantage of contracting out. The presence of competing public firms might be essential to ensure fair competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-704 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:701-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pallab Mozumder Author-X-Name-First: Pallab Author-X-Name-Last: Mozumder Author-Name: Robert P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Investigating hypothetical bias: induced-value tests of the referendum voting mechanism with uncertainty Abstract: Following Taylor et al. (2001), we design an induced-value experiment to test for hypothetical bias in a referendum voting mechanism. In our experiment, the level of benefit from the public good increases with the number of Yes votes (conditional on the referendum passing by majority rule). This is intended to introduce uncertainty. In contrast to Taylor et al. (2001), we find evidence of significant hypothetical bias in a referendum voting mechanism, when the level of benefits is uncertain. A cheap-talk treatment is shown to eliminate this bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592408 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592408&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Examining the robustness of cointegration analysis under weighted symmetric estimation Abstract: The research of Leybourne and Newbold (2003) is extended to examine the finite-sample size of the weighted symmetric cointegration test when applied to independent unit root processes subject to structural change. The results obtained show the weighted symmetric cointegration test to be more robust to structural change than previously examined cointegration tests. Combined with its previously noted higher power, the findings of the present analysis suggest the recently proposed weighted symmetric cointegration test to be of use to the practitioner. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-714 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:711-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Author-Name: Subal C. Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal C. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Author-Name: Ragnar Tveterås Author-X-Name-First: Ragnar Author-X-Name-Last: Tveterås Title: Testing cost vs. profit function Abstract: The empirical literature on estimation of production technology mostly focuses on estimation of dual cost functions. Estimation of a profit function is not that common. Here, we formally test whether the production technology should be represented by a cost or profit function. We also derive elasticities associated with the long-run profit function from the estimated cost function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong Seok Lim Author-X-Name-First: Jong Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Paul Missios Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Missios Title: Does size really matter? Landfill scale impacts on property values Abstract: The economic advantage of constructing and operating large-scale landfills over small-scale landfills has been used to justify regional landfills as a solution to the municipal waste disposal problem. In addition to the dampening effects on social efforts to divert waste away from landfills, higher external costs of larger landfills may in fact offset the private cost advantages. In this study, the negative effects of a landfill that are capitalized in property values of houses located in the proximity of two landfill sites of significantly different sizes in Toronto, Canada, are examined. The results suggest that larger landfills have greater adverse impacts on property values than smaller landfills, implying consumers perceive (and markets reflect) differences in external costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doh-Khul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Doh-Khul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: William D. Lastrapes Author-X-Name-First: William D. Author-X-Name-Last: Lastrapes Title: The cost channel of monetary transmission-revisited Abstract: This article empirically re-examines the importance of the cost channel of monetary transmission-the effect of money supply shocks on the costs of production and supply, as opposed to the traditional effect on demand. Unlike Barth and Ramey (2002), this article identifies the response of industry-level wages to money supply shocks by assuming long-run monetary neutrality. The pervasive findings of a positive response of real wages to money supply shocks in this study provide even stronger support for the cost channel than Barth and Ramey (2002). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-730 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592465 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592465&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:725-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Stephanie Leach Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Leach Title: Technical efficiency in the English Football Association Premier League with a stochastic cost frontier Abstract: This article uses an econometric frontier model to evaluate the technical efficiency of English Premier League clubs from 1998/99 to 2002/03 combining sport and financial variables. A Cobb-Douglas cost specification of the technical efficiency effects model is used to generate football club efficiency scores, allowing for contextual variables which affect inefficiency. We conclude that the efficiency scores are mixed. A policy is devised for the management of this sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-741 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592440 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592440&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:731-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Aren't small stock markets the same? Abstract: In a recent interesting article, Minier (2003) uses results from regression tree techniques to conclude that, for countries with high stock market capitalization, there exists a significantly positive relationship between the level of financial development and economic growth. However, the relationship becomes significantly negative for low-capitalization subsample. Using same data set, this short article re-examines Minier's results by the threshold regression approach of Hansen (2000), but finds no evidence supporting that the full sample can be classified into two distinct regimes as in Minier (2003). Our formal test result suggests that one should be more cautious regarding the conclusions made by Minier (2003). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-748 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592432 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592432&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:743-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai S. Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Economic growth, exports and export composition in China Abstract: This article examines the causality among economic growth, export expansion and export composition in China since economic reform. The cointegration tests show that cointegrating vectors do not exist either between economic growth and export composition or between export expansion and export composition. Meanwhile, the null hypothesis that economic growth and export expansion are not cointegrated is rejected. The error correction model shows that there is a bi-directional causality between export expansion and economic growth. Meanwhile, there appears no causal relationship between export composition and the other variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-752 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:749-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azmat Gani Author-X-Name-First: Azmat Author-X-Name-Last: Gani Title: Governance and foreign direct investment links: evidence from panel data estimations Abstract: This article presents panel data estimates of the relationship between indicators of governance and foreign direct investment (FDI) using a sample of countries from Asia and Latin America. While controlling for standard FDI variables, the results provide strong confirmation that the rule of law; control of corruption; regulatory quality; government effectiveness and political stability are positively correlated with FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-756 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592598 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592598&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:753-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Kassinis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Kassinis Author-Name: Nikos Vafeas Author-X-Name-First: Nikos Author-X-Name-Last: Vafeas Title: Interest group pressures and US county-level toxic emissions Abstract: We address the relation between interest group characteristics and industry environmental performance. Using data on industrial activities from 2097 US counties, we show that there is an inverse relationship between variables proxying for pressures associated with varying levels of county income, population densities and environmental preferences and toxic emissions at the county level. Our results are broadly consistent with the notion that administrators are receptive to interest group pressures in shaping firm policies towards the natural environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 757-760 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:757-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Internet access charge and economic activity Abstract: This article investigates empirically the impacts of the internet access charge on economic activity using a cross-country analysis based on data from 76 countries for the year 1998-2001. The results show that the level of the Internet access charge has a significantly negative effect on the level of economic activity. In other words, a low Internet access charge of a country increases its economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-764 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592614 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592614&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:761-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland K. Cheo Author-X-Name-First: Roland K. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheo Title: Adopting Shapley values to address embedding biases in contingent valuation studies Abstract: A variation of the contingent valuation model is used to determine the value of a special education school in Singapore. Shapley values have long been used in game theory in determining value in n-tuple games. An extension of the Shapley value is used in this exercise to show how it may be effective in removing the embedding effect in survey responses with respondents well-acquainted with the service under evaluation in order to determine option and use values for a specialist audience. A case study using a special school in Singapore is used for illustrative purpose in the following sections, but should not detract from the main thrust of the article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592622 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592622&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Reexamination of the effects of monetary policy using spectral decomposition Abstract: International evidence on the effects of monetary policy presented by Sims (1992) is reexamined by spectral decompositions as well as by impulse response functions. The results obtained using spectral decompositions suggest that money stock innovations can be regarded as monetary policy shocks, while the results obtained using impulse response functions show little clear evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-774 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592606 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592606&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:769-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo A. Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Title: Market power and primary commodity prices: the case of copper Abstract: This study identifies the economic fundamentals of the evolution of copper price. Its main hypothesis is that copper price is mainly determined by the evolution of demand of countries with large market power on that market. The novelty is that nominal exchange rates are one of the fundamentals of market power. Monthly data are used ranging from 1994 to 2003 and by means of a cointegration analysis; it is found that the Asian bloc significantly affects the price of this tradable good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 10 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601058508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601058508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:10:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tauhidur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Tauhidur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Measuring the well-being across countries Abstract: Dissatisfied with any measure of income as a sufficient indicator of well-being, emphasis has shifted to identification of alternative measures. However, identifying robust Quality of Life (QOL) indicators, or providing a coherent and robust definition of the concept, remains problematic. Over the years, alternative measures of well-being have been suggested. Probably the best-known composite indices of well-being are the Human Development Index and Physical Quality of Life Index (PQLI). These alternative measures are recognized as improvements in terms of representing various dimensions of QOL, but they still suffer from various limitations. Using information on eight indicators of QOL for 43 developing countries of the world, in this article I show that various measures of well-being are highly sensitive to the domains of QOL that are considered in the construction of comparative indices, and also sensitive to how measurable inputs into the well-being are aggregated and weighted to arrive at composite measures of QOL. I find results that support the result obtained by Dasgupta and Weale (1992) that measures of health are closest to overall measure of QOL. Thus, if we had to choose a single domain of aggregate well-being, the domain of health would seem to be the most appropriate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605952 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605952&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Exchange rate fluctuations in Croatia: test of uncovered interest rate parity and the open economy model Abstract: This study finds that the US dollar/kuna exchange rate for Croatia is positively influenced by the expected exchange rate and negatively associated with real M1, the US T-bond rate, the euro interest rate, the expected inflation rate, and the relative price. Deficit spending does not affect the exchange rate. Most of the variation in exchange rates can be explained by the open economy model and uncovered interest-rate parity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Keen Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Keen Author-Name: Yongsheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: What is a realistic value for price adjustment costs in New Keynesian models? Abstract: Rotemberg's (1982) price adjustment costs framework is a popular sticky price specification; yet, the data provides little information on the magnitude of those costs. This article finds a plausible range of parameterizations for those price adjustment costs. Our results show that the specific size of the price adjustment costs depends on the average markup of price over real marginal cost and the average time firms wait to reoptimize their price. In particular, the price adjustment costs are higher when the average markup is lower and the mean time between price reoptimizations is longer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-793 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592739 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592739&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:789-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo A. Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Title: Inflation of tradable goods Abstract: This article explores which large economy blocks determine foreign inflation around the world. In the analysis, we focus on importable goods of 15 countries ranging from 1992 to 2003 at monthly basis. Using a SUR estimation, we find the US driving the inflation of importable goods around the world. However, decomposing the variation of importable good price indexes by frequency, by means of the Baxter-King approximate band pass filter, we find that the Asian area might be a source of considerable inflation on the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705885 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705885&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Estimating export equations Abstract: Accurate estimates of the price and income elasticities of exports are valuable for growth policies based on trade promotion. However, not sufficient attention seems to have been paid to the specification of the relative price variable in some influential empirical works. This article estimates the export equation for Fiji, to show that inappropriate specification of the relative price variable may give underestimates of the price elasticity and overestimates of the income elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-802 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:799-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martha Misas Author-X-Name-First: Martha Author-X-Name-Last: Misas Author-Name: Maria Teresa Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Depressions in the Colombian economic growth during the twentieth century: a Markov switching regime model Abstract: In this article, we modelled the Colombian long run economic growth (1925-2003) using a two-regime first order Markov switching model. We found evidence of nonlinearity in the annual rate of economic growth. The results show that changes between regimes are sudden and sporadic. The Colombian economy remains in the sustainable growth regime most of the time. The turning points from the Markov switching model capture very well the behaviour of real output through time. In fact, they identify the four main depressions of the century. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-808 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:803-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Song Zan Chiou Wei Author-X-Name-First: Song Zan Chiou Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: A revisit to the outward FDI determinants: further evidence from count panel data models with fixed effects Abstract: Given the discrete nature of the outward foreign direct investment (FDI) data, the count data regression models are set up as vehicles for our empirical work. We propose and test various econometric specifications that address the main problems inherent in the traditional Poisson regression. Empirical estimates derived from these models are found quite similar. We find that exchange rate and openness are not as significant factors in attracting FDI as previous studies had portrayed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Swaby Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Swaby Author-Name: A. O. Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: A. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Title: Should husband and wife really pool their incomes? Abstract: This article addresses the problem of optimal provision of household public goods in family decision-making. In particular, we attempt to answer the question of whether or not the family is better off as an entity when spouses pool their incomes. Our findings suggest that the equilibrium attained when incomes are pooled is Pareto superior to the Cournot-Nash equilibrium outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-816 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675476 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675476&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:813-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weixing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: A new measure of liquidity Abstract: We propose a new measure of market liquidity based on the investors' optimal searching behaviour. Thus, we add a wealth filter on Pagano (1989)'s measure of liquidity to build the strong tie between endogenous market participation and investor wealth, as has been documented by empirical works. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-820 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606075 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606075&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:817-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hsing Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: George J. Y. Hsu Author-X-Name-First: George J. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Ching-Kai Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Title: Measuring efficiency of domestic banks in Taiwan: application of data envelopment analysis and Malmquist index Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate relative efficiency of management and variation of managerial efficiency among 37 domestic banks in Taiwan. The relative efficiency of management is analysed through Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to estimate the competitiveness of each bank and managerial efficiency is to show the efficiency variation of each bank through Malmquist index. This article also links those two types of efficiency by constructing a matrix of relative efficiency and managerial efficiency defining of eight different categories of banks. The empirical results show that all 37 banks possess an average relative efficiency value of 0.591, with a SD of 0.228. And there are 6 banks with an efficiency value of 1. From the results estimated by Malmquist model, it indicates there are 20 banks with an efficiency variation greater than 1. This means that managerial efficiency of those 20 banks has been improving. However, there are 17 banks with an efficiency variation less than 1. This means that managerial efficiency of those 17 banks has been declining. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-827 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605960 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605960&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:821-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicola Lamedica Author-X-Name-First: Nicola Author-X-Name-Last: Lamedica Author-Name: Roberto Reno Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Reno Title: Integration of international bond markets: did anything change with EMU? Abstract: In a recent article, Barr and Priestley (2004) show that using a conditional asset pricing model that allows variation in the price of, and exposure to, risk, there is strong evidence that national markets are partially integrated into world markets. This letter extends their analysis to the European monetary union period. We show that the level of integration raised in all countries except in Japan, which experienced a deflation period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-832 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:829-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takashi Matsuki Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuki Title: Over-rejections by the weighted symmetric unit root test in multiple structural breaks Abstract: This study investigates the behaviour of the weighted symmetric unit root test (Pantula et al., 1994) when the data generating process has a unit root and multiple structural breaks in the level of its trend function. The results obtained from this study reveal that the test can be biased towards over-rejections of the unit root null hypothesis in large samples as well as small samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-837 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:833-837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Ming Lee Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A simple specification test for conditional moment restrictions Abstract: In this article we extend the martingale difference test of Kuan and Lee (2004) to tests of conditional moment restrictions involving unknown parameters. The proposed test is asymptotically pivotal, easy to implement and capable of diagnostic checking misspecifications of quantile regressions. The simulation results show that the proposed test performs quite well in finite samples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 839-843 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:839-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jose Presno Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Presno Author-Name: Carmen Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Title: Misspecification of the breaking date in series with a change in the growth rate. Effect on the LBI test for stationarity Abstract: We study the asymptotic behaviour of the LBI statistic for testing stationarity around a trend with a change in the growth rate when the breaking date is erroneously positioned, showing its divergence. The analysis is completed with Monte Carlo simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-850 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:845-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Carmen Lima Author-X-Name-First: M. Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: M. Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: M. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Title: The effects of European funds on a regional economy: an applied general equilibrium analysis Abstract: In this work we conduct an impact analysis of European Structural Funds to assess their effect on output, prices and consumers' income on the European region of Andalusia, in the south of Spain. For this purpose we present an Applied General Equilibrium Model for Andalusia (AGEM_A) and proceed to compare the reception of regional funds scenario to a hypothetical situation where this financial support has been removed. The AGEM_A has been numerically implemented by supplementing the statistical information provided by the Social Accounting Matrices for Andalusia corresponding to 1990, 1995 and 1999, with data included in the three Community Support Frameworks approved by the European Commission. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-855 Issue: 11 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:11:p:851-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Augustin de Coulon Author-X-Name-First: Augustin Author-X-Name-Last: de Coulon Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Language proficiency of immigrants and misclassification Abstract: We study the determinants of language proficiency, reading and speaking, for a sample of immigrants living in France and allow for misclassification errors since language proficiency is based on subjective self-reported evaluations. Using a parametric maximum likelihood method, we find that the probabilities of misclassification are large. Misclassification is mainly due to immigrants experiencing actual language problems, but who do not report them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-861 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701295802 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701295802&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:857-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Jui-Cheng Hung Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Normal and abnormal information transmissions: evidence from China's stock markets Abstract: This article investigates normal and abnormal information transmissions by examining diffusion volatility and jump intensity spillovers in China's stock markets. We analyse the impact of releasing investing restriction to information transmission mechanism, and also the interactions between 'A' and 'B' share markets of Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges during the pre- and post-event periods. A CBP-GARCH model is employed in our empirical analysis. The empirical results exhibit the evidence of bidirectional normal information transmissions between 'A' and 'B' share markets of both exchanges. However, abnormal information transmissions are unidirectional, flowing from 'B' share market to 'A' share market only. Our results are consistent with the information transfer hypothesis (Chiu and Kwok, 1998). Moreover, information transmissions mechanism is affected by the removal of investing restriction, thus the two markets are more integrated gradually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-870 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425444 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425444&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:863-870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Parker Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Eric Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Addressing the revenue impact of smoking ordinances Abstract: The need for accurate assessment of the revenue impact of smoking ordinances is rising as more state and local governments consider their implementation. This article provides a concise model demonstrating the effect of smoking ordinances on taxable restaurant and bar revenues in the State of California. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-875 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592382 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592382&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:871-875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cansino Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cansino Author-Name: M. Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: M. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Author-Name: Rocio Roman Author-X-Name-First: Rocio Author-X-Name-Last: Roman Title: Regional evaluation of a tax on the retail sales of certain fuels through a social accounting matrix Abstract: The goal of this article is to calculate the cumulative impact of the tax on the retail sales of certain fuels (IVMH, in Spanish initials) and its effects on some fundamental economic variables, on the price indices and on remaining tax collections. The novel aspect of this work is to use as methodology a very simple price model applied to a regional Social Accounting Matrix (SAM)-instead of a input-output table-done for Andalusia where we introduce a new tax. The main results of this article show that the introduction of the IVMH in the regional economy may be provoke marginal variations on economy prices. There is also a global increase of tax collections of 0.057%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-880 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600660692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600660692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:877-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Title: Cointegration analysis and the choice of lag length Abstract: This article investigates the effects of the choice of lag length on the estimation of long run cointegration relationships using the Johansen estimation procedure. This issue is of particular interest to applied researchers using time series data, see for example Awokuse (2005), Bacchiocchi et al. (2005), Gallegati (2005), Gomes and Paz (2005), Hasan (2005) and Pieroni and Ricciarelli (2005), among many others. An empirical example is used to demonstrate some of the issues that applied researchers face when they wish to use cointegration analysis. First, the number of lags to include in the model must be determined. However, different lag length selection criteria often lead to a different conclusion regarding the optimal lag order that should be used. Second, as demonstrated in this article, the choice of lag length can drastically affect the results of the cointegration analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Jack Houstan Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houstan Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Dairy supply response under stochastic trend and seasonality Abstract: Developing a dairy supply model assuming deterministic trend and seasonality a priori could lead to model misspecification. A structural time series methodology was used to examine the role of stochastic trend and seasonality in a dairy supply response model using quarterly time series data. Four versions of a time-linked model of dairy supply response were compared. A dairy supply model with stochastic seasonality and deterministic trend performed the best, as evidenced by diagnostic tests, goodness-of-fit measures, and forecasting accuracy. Our analysis suggested against the classic approach of incorporating the deterministic seasonality component in dairy supply models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunmi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Eunmi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Determinants of US antidumping decisions: four perspectives of international trade policymaking Abstract: There are four theoretical perspectives that can be used to explain foreign trade policy tendencies: the international political view, the international economic view, the domestic statist view and the domestic societal view. By reflecting these four theoretical perspectives the determinants of US antidumping decisions are analysed. The findings indicate that the international political and domestic societal perspectives dominate the analysis. Specifically, international tension and the level of organization of interest group since 1980 appear to be highly relevant for understanding US antidumping decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706313 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706313&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blanca Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Ana Jesus Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Combining economic forecasts through information measures Abstract: The increasing number of prospective sources and methods provides a wide variety of forecasts for a given economic variable. Therefore, the theory suggests the convenience of combining the individual results to obtain a single aggregated prediction. The traditional methods for combining forecasts are based on the relative past performance of the forecasts to be combined. However, the number of forecasters is increasing considerably in the last years so it is not possible to have enough information about their past forecast task. This article focuses on the information theory as a framework to combine experts' forecasts when information is limited. More specifically, we use the principle of entropy maximization to obtain a combined forecast from Shannon's measure (1948) and we also propose its extension to the quadratic uncertainty measure (Perez, 1985). The empirical behaviour of both procedures is tested over a pool of forecasts referring to Spanish economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-903 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689964 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689964&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:899-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Understanding asymmetries in macroeconomic aggregates: the case of Singapore Abstract: For robust policymaking and econometric modelling, it is essential to know whether macroeconomic aggregates contain asymmetric behaviour. The aim of this note is to investigate asymmetries in Singapore's macroeconomic aggregates using the Randles et al. (1980) Triples test. We examine both deepness and steepness asymmetries, and find that for Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment rate there is evidence for deepness asymmetry. On the basis of this finding, we caution policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: How does trade composition affect productivity? Evidence for Chile Abstract: This article examines the long-run impact of capital goods imports, intermediate goods imports, and exports of manufactured and primary goods on total factor productivity in Chile. Using cointegration techniques, we find productivity-enhancing effects of capital and intermediate goods imports as well as manufactured exports, and productivity-limiting effects of primary exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-912 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:909-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Modification of the LM unit root test Abstract: This article proposes a modified version of the Langrange Multiplier (LM) test for a unit root, which is efficient and avoids arbitrary estimation of the levels regression intercept. If required, this intercept can be estimated indirectly in the second-step autoregression. In addition to simple-hypothesis LM unit root tests, a new F-type version of the test is proposed, which is based on a joint hypothesis. Parametric augmentation is discussed in detail, and simulated new critical values are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-917 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690038 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690038&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:913-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Falck Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Falck Title: Mayflies and long-distance runners: the effects of new business formation on industry growth Abstract: This note analyses the effects of new business formation on industry growth. Dynamic panel techniques are used to test two hypotheses. First, does hit-and-run competition secure efficiency in an industry? Second, do innovative startups lead to amplified innovations by diminishing the knowledge filter? The results illustrate how new businesses can be viewed as either mayflies or long-distance runners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-922 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705877 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705877&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:919-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Are trend and cycle innovations uncorrelated? International evidence Abstract: The zero-correlation restriction for trend and cycle innovations is empirically examined using an international data set. Unlike the result obtained by Morley et al. (2003), a model with zero-correlation restriction is selected for all nine countries. Since the adequacy of zero-correlation restriction depends on the autoregressive (AR) order assumed, an information-criterion-based model-selection method is applied. In this method, first, possible alternative models are considered by changing the AR order and by including or excluding the zero-correlation restriction, and then the best model is selected from among them. Consequently, it is determined on the basis of the selected model whether the zero-correlation restriction should be imposed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 923-926 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705893 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705893&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:923-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vangelis Tzouvelekas Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouvelekas Title: Accounting for pairwise heterogeneity in bilateral trade flows: a stochastic varying coefficient gravity model Abstract: This paper suggests an alternative way for estimating the gravity equation that takes into consideration country-pair heterogeneity in bilateral trade flows. Specifically, a stochastic varying coefficient gravity model based on Hildreth and Houck's (1968) random coefficient regression is proposed, that eliminates heterogeneity bias inherent in standard econometric methods. The results indicate that the standard gravity estimates can differ substantially from what is obtained when heterogeneity is accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 927-930 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705919 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705919&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:927-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norashidah Mohamed Nor Author-X-Name-First: Norashidah Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Author-Name: Nor Ghani Md. Nor Author-X-Name-First: Nor Ghani Md. Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Author-Name: Ahmad Zainuddin Abdullah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zainuddin Author-X-Name-Last: Abdullah Author-Name: Suhaila Abd. Jalil Author-X-Name-First: Suhaila Abd. Author-X-Name-Last: Jalil Title: Flexibility and small firms' survival: further evidence from Malaysian manufacturing Abstract: This study investigates the role played by production flexibility in explaining the lasting presence of small firms alongside their larger counterparts in the market. The production flexibility hypothesis postulates that the market place provides room for both large and small firms because large firms benefit from low minimum average costs and static production efficiency, while small firms, with higher minimum average costs, are more flexible. Unlike previous studies that used data from developed economies, this study tests the hypothesis using industry data from a developing country, Malaysia. Results show that there exist a negative relationship between firm size and sales variability suggesting that large and small firms each have their own efficiency niches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 931-934 Issue: 12 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:12:p:931-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Mark Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Asymmetric mean reversion in corporate profits Abstract: This article applies the Enders and Granger (1998) unit root test against the stationary alternative with asymmetric adjustment to after-tax corporate profits. Both the standard Dickey-Fuller (1981) model and the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model reject the null hypothesis of a unit root; however, asymmetric mean reversion is found with the MTAR model. The findings are consistent with economic theories of entry and exit and traditional competitive macroeconomic models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706271 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706271&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Laxmi Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Laxmi Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Jack Houston Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Impact of low carbohydrate information on vegetable demands in the United States Abstract: An almost ideal demand system was estimated to examine the impacts of low carbohydrate information on the demand of vegetables in the United States. Analysis was extended to examine the performance of alternative carbohydrate information indices. Results show significant impacts of low carbohydrate information across all included vegetables. Results indicated the superiority of the general and weighted carbohydrate information index specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuttawat Visaltanachoti Author-X-Name-First: Nuttawat Author-X-Name-Last: Visaltanachoti Author-Name: Hang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Dongqiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Dongqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Performance of market order execution strategy: the Australian evidence Abstract: This study examines the performance of market order execution strategy in a pure limit order driven environment based on three bid-ask spread forecasting models. While a naive spread forecasting model based on previous day's spread and average 10 trading days' spread could deliver a cost saving of 3.94% and 14.87%, this benefit increases to 22.14% for a seasonal autoregressive moving average spread forecasting model. The empirical results are evident that the intraday spread forecasting benefits follow a downward-sloping pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705927 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705927&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Foley Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Author-Name: Fred Smith Author-X-Name-First: Fred Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Consumer discrimination in professional sports: new evidence from major league baseball Abstract: Previous research in sports economics has looked for the presence of consumer discrimination among sports fans of professional teams and it has produced mixed results. Scully (1974a, b) found evidence to suggest that fans of Major League Baseball (MLB) clubs did engage in consumer discrimination in the 1970s, but more recent work by Sommers and Quinton (1982) found no such evidence. In this article, we present evidence that suggests that consumer discrimination persisted in MLB into the early 1990s. Specifically, our empirical work suggests that consumers in Boston, Cleveland, Houston, San Diego and Saint Louis chose to attend fewer baseball games-ceteris paribus-when the home team in these cities added Hispanic players to the roster. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-955 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705935 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705935&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:951-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: A skewed truncated Cauchy distribution with applications in economics Abstract: Skewed symmetric distributions have attracted a great deal of attention in the last few years. One of them, the skewed Cauchy distribution suffers from limited applicability because of the lack of finite moments. This article proposes an alternative to the skewed Cauchy distribution, which we refer to as skewed truncated Cauchy distribution. It is defined by the pdf f(x) = 2g(x)G(γx), where g(·) and G(·) are taken, respectively, to be the pdf and the cdf of a truncated Cauchy distribution. This distribution possesses finite moments of all orders and could therefore be a better model for certain practical situations. One such situation in economics is discussed. This article also derives various properties of this distribution, including its moments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 957-961 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:957-961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carluccio Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Carluccio Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Author-Name: Mario Menegatti Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Menegatti Title: On the potential pitfalls in estimating β-convergence by means of pooled and panel data Abstract: We show that the use of pooled and panel data in estimating β-convergence across countries (or other territorial areas) may involve some pitfalls, since these techniques cannot properly distinguish between actual convergence and the possibility of decreasing growth rates over time within each country (or territorial unit). We also show how the possible bias in the estimates can be eliminated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-967 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705968 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705968&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:963-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Ashiya Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ashiya Title: Consensus and accuracy of Japanese GDP forecasts Abstract: This article investigates the real gross domestic product forecasts of Japanese institutional forecasters for 25 years. It finds that a consensus forecast does not exist in 9/8 years for the current-year/year-ahead forecasts. The variance of the forecast distribution is positively correlated with the absolute forecast error of its mean forecast, but the correlation is significant for the current-year forecasts only. The economy tends to hit the peak or the bottom when forecast dispersion is large, but nonparametric analysis shows that the correlation is statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-974 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705976 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705976&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:969-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Ida Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Ida Author-Name: Eiichi Ito Author-X-Name-First: Eiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Shin Kinoshita Author-X-Name-First: Shin Author-X-Name-Last: Kinoshita Title: Post-regulatory reform productivity gains in Japan's electricity industry Abstract: Following two periods of regulatory reforms in 1996 and in 2000, there has been rapid progress in restructuring Japan's electricity industry. The purpose of this study is to analyse the effect of the regulatory reforms on the technical efficiencies of electric power companies. Our findings show that first-period reforms implemented in 1996-1999 were able to decrease costs by 7.5%, while second-period reforms, during the period of 2000 to 2002, effectively cut costs by 11.8% with respect to the base costs before regulatory reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706008 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706008&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Olbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Olbrecht Title: The economic return to college attendance for major league baseball players Abstract: Using recently collected Major League Baseball free agent data, this study identifies a contract value premium for nonpitchers who attended college. Simultaneous equations and the more traditional earnings regressions are used to report results which support the implications of the human capital model and the schooling-earnings theory. The results also suggest that the labour market for baseball players may not be purely talent driven and that choosing college may slow down a player's accession to the majors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-985 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706016 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706016&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:981-985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: Nonlinear event detection in the Chilean stock market Abstract: This study searches for economic and political events that may explain the episodic nonlinearities detected in the returns series of the Chilean stock market index. This methodology is a reverse form of event study. After applying the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to detect episodes of nonlinear behaviour of the index, we investigate what might be the explanation of this behaviour. Our findings may help to explain the difficulty to forecast asset returns. We also shed some light into the major political and economic events that contribute to the numerous short bursts of nonlinear dependence in the Chilean stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-991 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:987-991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Chin Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Author-Name: Zulkornain Yusop Author-X-Name-First: Zulkornain Author-X-Name-Last: Yusop Author-Name: Mohammed Yusoff Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Yusoff Title: The monetary model of exchange rate: evidence from The Philippines Abstract: This note examines the empirical validity of the monetary model of exchange rate determination for The Philippines via cointegration and vector error-correction model. It is found that the monetary model is a valid framework for the long-run exchange rate between Philippines peso-US Dollar exchange rate. However, the typical linear restrictions of flexible-price monetary model and proportionality between the exchange rate and relative money are rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-997 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:993-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Mei-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A test for the export-led growth hypothesis in possibly integrated vector autoregressions Abstract: This article re-examines the direction of causation between exports and output by testing for Granger noncausality under the framework of four-variable vector autoregression. Both the methodologies developed in Toda and Phillips (1993, 1994) and Toda and Yamamoto (1995) are applied. A country is recommended to enforce export promotion policies as its appropriate development strategy, if its manufacturing sector takes up a relatively large share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1003 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:999-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawn Ulrick Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Ulrick Title: Measuring the returns to education nonparametrically Abstract: This article uses a nonparametric model of earnings to measure the returns to education. Under very general smoothness conditions, a nonparametric estimator reveals the true shape of the earnings profiles up to random sampling error. Thus, the nonparametric model should provide better predictions than its parametric counterpart. We find that the nonparametric model predicts very different estimated returns than standard Mincer formulations. Depending on the experience and education level, returns measured in log earnings estimated from nonparametric model can be nearly twice those obtained from the Mincer model. Finally, this article examines what structural features parametric models should include. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1011 Issue: 13 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:13:p:1005-1011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabien Rondeau Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Rondeau Title: Pattern of trade and European economic integration Abstract: In this article, the degree of integration between European countries is linked to the evolution of the pattern of trade. Evolution of the long-run sensitivity between European outputs is estimated by recursive Fully-Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) and compared to a recursive index of intra-industry trade. Significant correlations are found between integration and intra-industry trade share: positive for most countries but negative for others. The explanatory variable seems to be the initial intra-industry trade share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1018 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706578 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706578&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1013-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shosh Shahrabani Author-X-Name-First: Shosh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrabani Title: Sources of gender wage gap in different economic sectors: the Israeli case Abstract: The purpose of the article is to examine the importance of personal characteristics vs. the importance of human capital returns in explaining the existing gender wage gap in different economic sectors in Israel. Using simulations on Israeli census data for 1983 and 1995, the analysis predicts women's wages in two cases. The first case predicts a woman's wages if she had the same personal characteristics as a man, and the second case predicts a woman's wages if she had the same human capital returns. By comparing the two predicted gender wage gaps to the existing gender wage gap, we can learn about the dominant explanation for the existing gender wage gap. The results show that the gender wage gap in all economic sectors stems mainly from differences in gender returns rather than differences in gender characteristics. Moreover, in the products sector and the low-services sector, the gender wage gap would have been larger if women had the same characteristics as men. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Author-Name: Michelle Trawick Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Trawick Title: Teachers, race and student achievement revisited Abstract: Within the education literature, a controversy exists with respect to the issue of matching student and teacher race in an effort to improve student performance. Ehrenberg et al. (1995) finds very little support for this issue, while more recently Dee (2004) finds that there are significant educational gains when students are assigned to an own-race teacher. Dee's result is found after confirming that there was no association between assignment of an own-race teacher and student characteristics, i.e., sorting of students did not transpire. We extend Dee's work by including the effects of student innate ability and teacher gender on student achievement. Our findings indicate that once these two variables are taken into consideration, sorting of students does transpire, and matching students and teachers of similar race has no statistically significant affect on student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1027 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706453 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706453&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1023-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Sim Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: Are married women's jobs career or secondary source of household income? Evidence from a simultaneous probit approach Abstract: This article examines whether married women in the US treat their jobs as careers or as secondary source of household income. A simultaneous probit model is applied to cross-section data obtained from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. I show that married women are more likely to work when the household is less financially constrained, suggesting that their jobs appear more like careers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1033 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706255 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706255&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1029-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Margolis Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Margolis Title: Are economists human? Abstract: A controversy among economists and others interested in the limits of rational choice analysis, still running after an onset at least two decades ago, concerns whether intelligent people and especially experts, can be subject to cognitive illusions. This note provides a striking illustration supporting that disconcerting conjecture. It analyses the apparent inability of professional economists to give a better than chance response to a very elementary question about consumer surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1037 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1035-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Title: The oil cycle and the tax-spend hypothesis: the case of Angola Abstract: The intertemporal relationship between oil revenues, real government spending and real output over the oil cycle is investigated for the case of Angola, the second largest oil producer in Sub-Saharan Africa. The results of a trivariate VAR, impulse response functions and variance decomposition analysis provide empirical support for the tax-spend hypothesis. In addition, the Angolan economy is found victim of the resource curse, as real output does not respond to aggregate demand shocks such as changes in real government spending. The policy implications for Angola are 2-fold. First, to alleviate the constraints associated with the resource curse, Angola needs to find ways to diversify its economy. Second, given the direction of causality found between government expenditures and oil revenues, in order to avoid fiscal disequilibria, efficient management of oil revenues is as important as controlling public spending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1045 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706594 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706594&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1039-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Castellani Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Castellani Author-Name: Antonello Zanfei Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Zanfei Title: Multinational companies and productivity spillovers: is there a specification error? Abstract: Recent empirical works on the within-sector impact of inward investments on domestic firms' productivity have found rather robust evidence of no (or even negative) effects. We suggest that, among other reasons, a specification error might explain some of these results. A more general specification, which includes the usual one as a special case, is proposed. Using data on Italian manufacturing firms in 1992-2000, we find positive externalities only once we allow for the more flexible specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1051 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706503 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706503&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1047-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evrim Imer Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Imer Title: Contagion and surprises of the stock market returns Abstract: This article provides an empirical analysis for the existence and direction of Granger causality between Turkey and Russian Federation by using structural breaks of seven developing stock market returns as a measure of contagion. Empirical results also reveal that there is an increase in the number of causalities in turmoil periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1058 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706347 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706347&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1053-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Will Carrington Heath Author-X-Name-First: Will Carrington Author-X-Name-Last: Heath Author-Name: Sarah Skinner Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Skinner Author-Name: John Keith Watson Author-X-Name-First: John Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: An international assessment of the relative contribution of economic freedom and mathematical test scores to labour productivity Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1063 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706461 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706461&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1059-1063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Dieter Schumacher Author-X-Name-First: Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Schumacher Title: Using the gravity equation to differentiate among alternative theories of trade: another look Abstract: This study compares two alternative approaches-the traditional ordinary least square (OLS) and the Poisson Quasi Maximum Likelihood (PQML) procedures-to estimation of the home market effects for the heterogeneous, the reference priced and the homogeneous goods in the gravity model derived in Feenstra et al. (2001). Despite our findings that the PQML estimation results oftentimes (significantly) differ from those obtained by the OLS procedure, both estimation procedures largely lead to the qualitatively similar conclusions on the existence of the home market effect for the different types of goods with several exceptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1073 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706446 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706446&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1065-1073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin-Chen Chien Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chien Author-Name: Tsung-Cheng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The impact of Lunar New Year on the January anomaly in Taiwan's stock market Abstract: This study empirically investigates the impact of Lunar New Year on the January anomaly in Taiwan's stock market. The Lunar New Year is the most significant festival for ethnic Chinese around the world, wherever they come from. It is a very jubilant occasion mainly because it is the time when people take a break from work to get together with family and friends. We hypothesize that the withdrawal of capital from the stock market to meet financial needs during this festival would compromise the anomaly when the Lunar New Year is in January. Empirical results support our hypothesis that the anomaly exists only when the Lunar New Year is in February. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1075-1077 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706263 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706263&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1075-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Estimation of household tap water demand function with correction for sample selection bias Abstract: This article attempts to estimate household tap water demand function using the data from a survey conducted on households in the Korean metropolitan cities by employing a sample selection model. The results show that there exists sample selection bias in the sample and that failure to correct for sample selection bias distorts the mean estimate of water demand upward by 13.8%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1082 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1079-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Title: Ready for Euro? Evidence on EU new member states Abstract: This article estimates optimum currency area (OCA) index for the EU New Member States (NMSs). We find that, as compared to the current Euro area countries, the NMSs meet OCA conditions largely and in this respect, are likely good candidates for Euro adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1086 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706206 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706206&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1083-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ter Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ter Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The number of firms, international product differentiation and an import tariff Abstract: By using an n-firm Cournot model, this article examines the relationships among the number of domestic and foreign firms, the product differentiation between the domestic and foreign firms and an import tariff. It is shown that the relative number of domestic and foreign firms as well as the degree of product differentiation between the domestic and foreign firms indeed affects the level of the tariff on imports. Furthermore, whether or not an increase in product differentiation between the domestic and foreign firms reduces the level of the import tariff is dependent on the relative number of domestic and foreign firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1087-1089 Issue: 14 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:14:p:1087-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Delaney Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Delaney Author-Name: Francis O'Toole Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: O'Toole Title: Decomposing demand for public expenditure in Ireland Abstract: This article, via the analysis of stated preferences from a nationwide representative survey of 1149 adults, examines the determinants of preferences for overall government expenditure and estimates a Seemingly Unrelated Regression model of demand for the three major categories of public expenditures in Ireland, namely, social welfare, education and health. Those on higher incomes are less in favour of government expenditure overall. However and consistent with the available evidence on the utilization and financing of the three main categories of government expenditures, decomposing the preferences demonstrates that those on higher incomes are particularly less in favour of social welfare expenditure but more in favour of spending on health and education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1091-1095 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600567632 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600567632&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1091-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: W. Charles Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: W. Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Title: US Treasury primacy in monetary policy signalling: a public choice perspective Abstract: This note reviews the signalling models presented in the monetary economics literature, and offers a supplementary interpretation regarding the observed US Treasury primacy in signalling. It is argued here that the legal authority given to the US Treasury, under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, for managing the exchange value of the dollar in international markets provides an avenue for the Treasury, and thus the Administration (i.e., the Executive Branch), to use foreign exchange intervention policy to reduce the credibility of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. This legal relationship is likely the source of much tension between the two institutions, especially during periods for which the Administration and the Federal Reserve are at odds regarding the proper direction for monetary policy. Given that the Federal Reserve is aware of this implicit power of the Treasury, it should not be surprising that monetary policy signals from that quarter have been found to have a dominant influence on monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1102 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601043229 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601043229&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1097-1102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Wing-Shing Lam Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Wing-Shing Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Profitability of intraday and interday momentum strategies Abstract: In this article, we examine whether a day's surge or plummet in stock price serve as a market entry or exit signal. Returns of five trading rules based on 1-day and intraday momentum are estimated for major world stock indices. It is found that the trading rules perform well in the Asian indices but not in those of Europe and the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1103-1108 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1103-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Cornelia Luchsinger Author-X-Name-First: Cornelia Author-X-Name-Last: Luchsinger Title: Economies of scale in the Swiss hydropower sector Abstract: The study considers the estimation of a translog cost function employing panel data for a sample of 43 Swiss hydropower companies, over the period of 1995 to 2002. The results of this analysis indicate the existence of economies of scale and density for most output levels. The basic novelty in this study is the estimation of a cost function for a sample of hydropower companies. In the economic literature, no study on the cost structure of the hydropower plants using an econometric approach has been published so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1109-1113 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500438728 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500438728&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1109-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: R. Scott Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hacker Title: Capital mobility in Sweden: a time-varying parameter approach Abstract: This article investigates the degree of capital mobility in Sweden during 1993 to 2004 using quarterly data. A time varying parameter model is estimated by the Kalman filter, and it shows that the relationship between investment as share in gross domestic product (GDP) and saving as share in GDP is much less than one (within the interval of 0.25-0.35), indicating substantial capital mobility. However, since the coefficient in each period is statistically different from zero, capital is still not perfectly mobile. Nevertheless, capital mobility seems to have increased until 1995 when Sweden became a member of EU and after membership there seems to be no significant increase in capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1115-1118 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606018 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606018&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1115-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arranz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Arranz Author-Name: Juan Muro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Muro Title: Duration data models, unemployment benefits and bias Abstract: Traditional approaches to measurement conditional probabilities of leaving welfare do not deal with unemployment benefits data in a proper way leading thus to biased estimates of unemployment-employment transition probabilities. In fact, these approaches overestimate hazard rates and hence underestimate the expected welfare duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1119-1122 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606000 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606000&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1119-1122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: The impact of flood hazards on local employment Abstract: In a spatial model of aggregate municipal employment, this article shows statistically that floods disrupt employment in municipalities. Flood events decrease local employment on average by 3.4%. Employment levels, however, recover after one year. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1126 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606026 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606026&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1123-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Chen Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Optimal prepayment behaviour Abstract: Commercial loan borrowers meet random cash needs via multi-period loans from the bank, but fluctuations in interest rates may justify paying off some outstanding loans before they mature. The objective is to minimize the expected present value of the interest and prepayment penalties paid to the bank subject to a liquidity constraint. From Chiang (2005), it is shown that a firm should not inventory cash if contingent opportunities are ignored. By extending her article, it is also found that if a borrower is not risk neutral, a more risk-averse borrower prepays a larger amount. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1129 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606034 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606034&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1127-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ned Corron Author-X-Name-First: Ned Author-X-Name-Last: Corron Author-Name: Xue-Zhong He Author-X-Name-First: Xue-Zhong Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Butter mountains, milk lakes and optimal price limiters Abstract: It is known that simple price limiters may have unexpected consequences in irregular commodity price fluctuations between bull and bear markets and complicated impacts on the size of buffer stocks. In particular, imposing a lower price boundary may lead to a huge buffer stock, e.g. to a 'butter mountain' or a 'milk lake' and this is a real problem for regulators since storage costs may become impossible to finance over time. The relation between price limiters and the size of buffer stocks is nontrivial and there may exist some optimal price limiters which require only weak market interventions and thus provide a rather inexpensive option to regulate commodity markets. In this article, we use a simple commodity market model to explore the relation between price limiters and the average growth rate of the buffer stocks. It is found that these optimal price limiter levels are simply the minimum values of unstable periodic orbits of the underlying deterministic system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1131-1136 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1131-1136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sacit Hadi Akdede Author-X-Name-First: Sacit Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Akdede Author-Name: Ayla Ogus Author-X-Name-First: Ayla Author-X-Name-Last: Ogus Title: Increasing returns to information and survival of Istanbul public theatre plays Abstract: In this article, we analyse the size and rank relationship for two administratively different public theatres, city and state, in Istanbul along with survival probabilities. We find returns to information for Istanbul public theatre plays. We present a comparison of our findings with related literature on Turkish state plays and Broadway shows. We find that the number of performances exhibits a lot less variation in centralized systems. Duration analysis reveals that run length of state theatres is larger than city theatres. This is an indication of greater accountability of city theatres as compared to state theatres. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1137-1140 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606083 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606083&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1137-1140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Hayakawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hayakawa Title: Consistent OLS estimation of AR(1) dynamic panel data models with short time series Abstract: In this article, we examine the usefulness of the bias-corrected first-difference (BCFD) estimator by Chowdhury (1987) from two angles: inference and testing. First, we compare the BCFD estimator with Bun and Carree's (2005) estimator and the GMM estimator in terms of accuracy of inference. Second, we propose to use the Hausman test based on these three estimators to test the null of no individual effects. Simulation results show that the BCFD estimator and the Hausman test based on the BCFD estimator perform better than the other two estimators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1145 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1141-1145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Growth by trade-induced adjustments Abstract: This article measures the impact of trade adjustment on the growth in the Korean economy. Using principal components trade adjustments are found to significantly explain the rate of growth over the period of 1989-2004. We also focused on the case of bilateral trade with China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1147-1150 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1147-1150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Khadaroo Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Khadaroo Author-Name: B. Seetanah Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Seetanah Title: Assessing the contribution of land, sea and air transport capital to the economic performance of the small island state of Mauritius Abstract: Research on the contribution of transport capital to economic growth has so far focused on the concept of 'overall' transport capital. The present article innovates by modelling explicitly the contribution of 'disaggregated' transport capital in the form of road, port and airport capital to economic performance. A uniquely constructed time series data set dating back to the year 1950 for the small island state of Mauritius is investigated within a dynamic framework which allows for feedback effects. Essentially, road capital and port capital are found to have a more important contribution to Mauritian economic growth than airport capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1151-1155 Issue: 15 Volume: 14 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600639852 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600639852&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:14:y:2007:i:15:p:1151-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Robust nonnested hypothesis testing Abstract: This article presents robust J and encompassing tests for testing nonnested hypotheses in the presence of outliers in the data. The proposed tests are based on least absolute deviations (LAD) and M-estimators unlike the conventional J and encompassing tests, which are based on least squares or maximum likelihood estimators. These tests can lead to more reliable inference in the presence of outliers than tests based on nonrobust estimators. The tests are illustrated with applications to two economic data sets and an artificially generated data set and compared with their nonrobust counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605994 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605994&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Yueh Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Yueh Title: Do social networks increase labour supply elasticity? Abstract: Using an original data set including measures of social networks of migrants in China, we find that social networks increase the elasticities of labour supplies for migrant workers. The effects differ for men and women and can help explain part of the importance of developing social networks to improve labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:5-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolin Xing Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Title: Does price converge on the internet? Evidence from the online DVD market Abstract: We compare pricing behaviours and market dynamics between online branches of traditional retailers and pure Internet retailers. Our results suggest that the two types of retailers not only will charge similar average prices in the long run, but also will have similar price dispersions. But we find no evidence of price convergence in the market. Brand names make significant differences in both price levels and price dispersions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606042 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606042&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Lokshin Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Lokshin Title: A Monte Carlo comparison of alternative estimators for dynamic panel data models Abstract: This article compares the performance of three recently proposed estimators for dynamic panel data models (LSDV bias-corrected, MLE and MDE) along with GMM. Using Monte Carlo, we find that MLE and bias-corrected estimators have the smallest bias and are good alternatives for the GMM. System-GMM outperforms the rest in 'difficult' designs. Unfortunately, bias-corrected estimator is not reliable in these designs which may limit its applicability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706545 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706545&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: War and regional economic growth: winners and losers Abstract: Using an AK-type model this article argues that joining the Armed Forces may have two opposing effects on the growth rates of economically depressed areas depending upon whether the country goes to war or not. On the one hand when individuals from relatively economically depressed areas join the Armed Forces, they gain access to education and build human capital which may translate into economic growth. On the other hand, however, if the country goes to war, these regions may end up losing their labour force, leading to a decline in the growth rate. We also argue that regions providing equipment may experience increased income and employment levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:19-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Okano Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Okano Title: Has inflation targeting improved social welfare in practice? Abstract: This article verifies empirically the proposition that inflation targeting can improve social welfare. To analyse this, we construct a cashless small open-economy model conforming to the New Keynesian Open-Economy Macroeconomics and use data in the United Kingdom. We estimate the feedback rule, before estimating the deep parameters using GMM. Using the estimated structural model and identified shock processes, we simulate the imaginary paths of the nominal interest rate, producer price index inflation rate and output if the central bank has not adopted an inflation targeting policy. This simulation shows that the variances of output and the inflation rate under a noninflation targeting regime are larger than those under the actual inflation targeting regime. We also calculate social loss, as defined by the second-order approximated utility function under each regime. The results indicate that social loss brought about by an inflation targeting regime is less than that associated with a noninflation targeting regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:23-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Finite-sample power properties of threshold cointegration tests Abstract: The empirical powers of recently proposed threshold cointegration tests are examined. Using an empirically realistic data generation process two crucial results are derived. First, relative to the implicitly symmetric Engle-Granger test, threshold cointegration tests lack power even in the presence of substantial asymmetry. Second, the use of consistent-threshold estimation to endogenise or optimize threshold selection is found to reduce the power of both threshold autoregressive and momentum threshold autoregressive cointegration tests. The implications of these findings are noted in light of the increased use of threshold cointegration tests in recent empirical research in economics and finance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 27-30 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706354 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706354&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:27-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Egelkraut Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Egelkraut Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Predicting S&P 500 volatility for intermediate time horizons using implied forward volatility Abstract: This paper finds that the implied forward volatility of S&P 500 futures options contains significant explanatory power regarding sunsequent realized volatility during intermediate future time intervals. It provides rational, unbiased, and informationally efficient predictions and dominates all alternative volatility forecasts considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:31-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Impacts of the exchange rate and the foreign interest rate on the Argentine money demand function Abstract: This article finds that the demand for real M1 in Argentina has a positive relationship with real income and peso depreciation and a negative relationship with the domestic deposit rate, the foreign interest rate, and the expected inflation rate. Real stock prices do not affect the demand for real M1. The nonlinearity test shows that the double-log form cannot be rejected at the 1% level while the linear form can be rejected at the 1% level. The CUSUMSQ test shows that the money demand function is relatively stable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706685 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706685&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Virginia Sanchez Marcos Author-X-Name-First: Virginia Sanchez Author-X-Name-Last: Marcos Title: What accounts for the increase in college attainment of women? Abstract: The objective of this article is to explain the reduction in the US sex college attainment ratio (SCAR) from 1.57 to 1.19. over the last decades. We use a model where altruistic parents make decisions on daughters and sons' education taking into account the effect of education on earnings, marriage opportunities, fertility and home production. The main finding is that observed changes in earnings and fertility explain part of the decrease in the SCAR, while observed changes in marital status and marital sorting imply a decrease in college attainment of women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600606091 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600606091&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:41-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Beaumont Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Beaumont Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Author-Name: F. Pinar Yigit Author-X-Name-First: F. Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Yigit Title: Time series evidence on the linkage between the volatility and growth of output Abstract: Prior research on the relationship between volatility and growth has produced mixed results. However, the times series research has only been done for a few countries, namely the United States, United Kingdom and Japan. We extend the prior research by performing a systematic search over several GARCH in mean model specifications, including nonGaussian and asymmetric GARCH models, for 20 OECD countries. The results indicate very little evidence of any connection between volatility and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600607446 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600607446&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:45-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun-Yen Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Application of the three-stage DEA in measuring efficiency - an empirical evidence Abstract: This article investigates the effects of the environmental factors and statistical noise on the efficiency of 89 global forest and paper companies in 2001 using the three-stage DEA method. Empirical evidences indicate the existence of environmental effects on the variation in the efficiency scores measurement. Furthermore, the final adjusted efficiency scores are lower than those scores measured in the traditional first-stage DEA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675435 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675435&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:49-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Cleomar Gomes da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Cleomar Gomes Author-X-Name-Last: da Silva Title: Hysteresis vs. natural rate of unemployment in Brazil and Chile Abstract: This article examines the hysteresis hypothesis in the unemployment rates of Brazil and Chile using an LM unit root test with two endogenous breaks. The phenomenon is confirmed for both countries. However, the hysteresis hypothesis is able to account for only a small part of the unemployment evolution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675450 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675450&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:53-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Regional convergence and efficiency in Korea Abstract: This study evaluates regional convergence and efficiency among 13 regions in Korea over the period 1985-2002 using stochastic frontier production model which allows for regional inefficiency and heterogeneity. Evidence is found in favour of regional convergence in Korea, with a lower rate of convergence of around 2% a year, because we find that inefficiency in production does exist in regional economy. The results also indicate that the improvement of education and reforms of local government policies have contributed to an increased level of efficiency. Since the average estimates of technical efficiency have increased over time, the results show that regional economy has brought the significant improvement in efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675468 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675468&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:57-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Ragacs Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Ragacs Title: On the empirics of minimum wages and employment: evidence for the Austrian industry Abstract: We investigate the empirical evidence of the 'textbook theory' of minimum wages for Austrian industry. In Austria, minimum wages are the result of wage bargaining which may be best described using a 'right to manage' model. In contrast to the predictions of the 'textbook analysis', no significant negative effects of minimum wages on employment have been found. This could be the result of the nature of the typical Austrian wage-bargaining situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-64 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:61-64 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosario Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Rivero Author-Name: Rodrigo Vergara Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Vergara Title: Do large retailers affect employment? Evidence from an emerging economy Abstract: This article studies the effect of the emergence of large retailers (hypermarkets and department stores) on employment in the commerce sector in the regions of Chile. We use a panel with quarterly data from 11 Chilean regions for the period 1996 to 2004. Our results indicate that the entry of large retailers produces a discrete increase in employment in the commerce sector in the quarter that the entry occurs. We also find that there is an additional positive effect on employment throughout the year entry occurs, suggesting that suppliers or other parts of the chain of production follow the large retailer into the local market. However, after the first year of the entry there is a partial reversion, suggesting that smaller retailers exit or contract in response to the entry of the large retailer. The net effect on employment of the entry of a large retailer is an increase of 300 jobs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 65-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:65-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuhin Das Author-X-Name-First: Tuhin Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Ishita Datta Ray Author-X-Name-First: Ishita Datta Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Monopolistic competitive market in religion: a case study of Hindu temples Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine, based on field survey, the market behaviour of the Hindu temples in India. The cost and revenue functions have been estimated for the Hindu temples, and it has been found that the market of Hindu temples does not strictly follow the monopoly models. The estimated average revenue curve has been observed to be slightly negatively sloped. Moreover, like perfect competition here exist a large number of small temples with easy entry and exit. The actions of any single temple do not have significant impact on the other temples in the market. Thus is resembles the monopolistic competition model rather than the pure monopoly model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-72 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706214 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706214&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:69-72 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Title: A social discount rate for Italy Abstract: Because of the budgetary constraints imposed by the Stability and Growth Pact, the need for cost and benefit evaluation of public investment has become increasingly relevant. In a cost-benefit analysis framework, the definition of the social discount rate is key to the selection of projects and programmes on the basis of their socio-economic return. To this extent, the Italian Ministry of the Economy has passively adopted the 5% rate proposed by the European Commission to evaluate projects financed by Structural Funds. In this article, we estimate a social discount rate for Italy, finding that a 3.7-3.8 rate would be appropriate, thus 1.2-1.3% lower than the official one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706537 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706537&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:1:p:73-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Rusco Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Rusco Author-Name: W. David Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Per-unit bidding rules and buyer under-performance in natural resource sales Abstract: In this article, we examine the role of per-unit bidding rules on firm-level contractual performance. In particular, we test the hypothesis that buyers will act on incentives to under-perform when bids are accepted in per-unit form. The empirical application uses data from per-unit auction sales of US Forest Service timber. The statistical analysis indicates that buyers systematically undercut when per-unit bids exceed the value of individual units of timber. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-83 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705901 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705901&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:79-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: The total impact of schooling on within-groups wage inequality in Portugal Abstract: Using Portuguese data from the 2001 wave of the European Community Household Panel, we analyse to what extent the endogeneity of schooling affects the estimation of the total impact of schooling on within-groups wage inequality by means of quantile-regression techniques. We conclude that the standard techniques assuming schooling-exogeneity may underestimate the total impact of schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 85-90 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706677 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706677&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:85-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Boucher Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Boucher Author-Name: Sofiane Aboura Author-X-Name-First: Sofiane Author-X-Name-Last: Aboura Title: Testing the fed and the Graham & Dodd models: asymmetric vs. symmetric adjustment Abstract: We examine the empirical validity of the Fed model and the Graham & Dodd model for five countries and over a time period spanning three decades by applying the Enders and Granger (1998) and Enders and Siklos (2001) threshold unit-root and cointegration tests. Our results support the hypothesis that the adjustment back to equilibrium is asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 91-94 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706693 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706693&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:91-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masakatsu Okubo Author-X-Name-First: Masakatsu Author-X-Name-Last: Okubo Title: Public capital and productivity: a nonstationary panel analysis Abstract: This article applies a method of Mark and Sul (2003) to deal with one of potential endogeneity issues that accompany estimation of a log-linear Cobb-Douglas production function with public capital. We show that if nonstationarity in data is admitted, the panel cointegration approach is useful for obtaining more precise estimates of the output elasticity of public capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-99 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706701 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706701&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:95-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Francois Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Author-Name: Ibrahim Ahamada Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahamada Author-Name: Alain Nurbel Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Nurbel Title: Multiple structural regimes in real exchange rate misalignment: the case of Australian dollar Abstract: We apply the Bai and Perron method (Econometrica, 1998, 66, 47-78) to search for several structural changes in the real exchange rate misalignment data of the Australian dollar over January 1976 to February 2000. Then, the estimated structural breaks dates are compared with Australian monetary and exchange rate regimes from 1976. This brings us to conclude that a good monetary management is needed to face real exchange rate distortions. Besides, implementing a policy-mix by combining an inflation targeting policy and a dirty flexible exchange rate policy turns out to be really effective to struggle real misalignments as far as Australia is concerned. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-104 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721908 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721908&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:101-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: FDI and growth: a varying relationship across regions and over time Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and economic growth for a panel of 110 countries over the period 1973 to 2002. The results show that the growth effect of FDI varies by region and over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-108 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749081 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749081&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:105-108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Author-Name: Marta Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Analysing the impact of fiscal decentralization on health outcomes: empirical evidence from Spain Abstract: The aim of this article is to explore the impact of decentralization on health care outcomes in Spain. We develop a model and use it to investigate empirically the hypothesis that shifts towards greater decentralization would be accompanied by improvements in population health in Spain between 1992 and 2003 by using infant mortality and life expectancy as dependent variables. The empirical analysis suggests that income, decentralization and health care resources in Spain did have an important influence on infant mortality and life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770913 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770913&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:109-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: Bing Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Regional differences in wage inequality across industries in China Abstract: Using a panel of 29 provinces over the years 1995-2001, we explore the large regional variation in industry wage differentials in China and examine the provincial characteristics that are consistent with greater inequality. We find that the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) varies by province. One of the reasons that FDI can have differential effects is that the type of FDI (export vs. import-oriented) varies substantially across the provinces. Export-oriented FDI raises the wages of workers in industries that rely more on unskilled workers and lowers the wages of workers in industries that rely more on skilled workers, lowering the industry differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770921 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770921&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Evan Poh Hock Lau Author-X-Name-First: Evan Poh Hock Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Title: An empirical investigation on sustainability of balancing item in Asian countries Abstract: This study explores the sustainability of the balancing item in Asian economies. The conventional unit root tests (includes panel tests) illustrate that the results are rather inconclusive. However, the results from the series-specific panel unit root test consistently illustrate that five of the countries (Singapore, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Korea and Malaysia) balancing item is on the sustainable path. For other remaining eight countries (Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand), there is evidence that her balancing item of balance of payments accounts is unsustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-123 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:117-123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keun Yeong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Keun Yeong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Causal relationships between stock returns and inflation Abstract: This article studies correlations and dynamic interactions between real stock returns and inflation in the UK for 1830-2000. The BLS test suggests that an endogenous break point exists in 1970, and therefore the pre- and post-break periods are required to be analysed separately. According to the empirical results, for the post-break period, unpredictable stock returns present little correlation to unpredictable inflation, and an increase in stock returns has an insignificant effect on inflation. Impulse response analyses also demonstrate that a positive shock to inflation does not have a negative impact on stock returns. These results are in contrast to the well-known empirical results for the pre-break period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-129 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:125-129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brenda Gannon Author-X-Name-First: Brenda Author-X-Name-Last: Gannon Title: Total factor productivity growth of hospitals in Ireland: a nonparametric approach Abstract: This article analyses the development of productivity growth and efficiency in the production of hospital care in Ireland from 1995 to 1998. Using output measures of treated cases adjusted for casemix, we apply Malmquist Productivity Indices to analyse changes in efficiency over time. This approach provides information on the types of hospitals that have increased or decreased efficiency during each time frame and the type of inefficiency involved - pure technical, scale or technological. Our results show that on average between 1995 and 1998, both technological and efficiency changes contribute to higher levels of productivity in larger hospitals, but lead to lower levels of productivity in smaller hospitals. However, the contribution of these components of productivity varies over time and technological improvements play a more important role in increasing the productivity of larger hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-135 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:131-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Peter Sher Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sher Author-Name: Ming-Liang Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Revisiting Gibrat's law using panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the newly-developed Panel SURADF tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to investigate whether the growth rate of electronics firms is independent of their size, as postulated by Gibrat's (1931) Law of Proportionate Effects. Time-series data for the total assets of 48 electronic firms in Taiwan during the 1995-2004 period are used. Whereas other panel-based unit root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of a panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in a panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests investigate a separate unit root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and are, therefore, able to identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that the total assets of all firms studied here are nonstationary, implying that Gibrat's Law holds for all 48 firms; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) Panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that Gibrat's Law is only valid for 27 of those firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-143 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:137-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: How biased are the estimated wage impacts of overeducation? A propensity score matching approach Abstract: This article uses Propensity Score Matching (PSM) techniques to assess the extent to which the costs of overeducation are likely to have been over-estimated as a result of unobserved skill heterogeneity in studies adopting the standard ordinary least squares (OLS) wage equation framework. It was found that the PSM estimates were very much in line with those generated by OLS, suggesting that the overeducation phenomenon is likely to be imposing real and significant wage and productivity costs on individuals and the economy more generally and therefore cannot be dismissed as merely arising as a result of an omitted variables problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-149 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:145-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Barcenilla Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Barcenilla Author-Name: Carmen Lopez-Pueyo Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Pueyo Author-Name: Jaime Sanau Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Sanau Title: Just openness or technological spillovers? A note Abstract: The paper shows that the indexation bias may condition the results of empirical studies on international technological spillovers. It suggests a solution to this bias and shows how trade openness favours economic growth through its effects on the international diffusion of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748984 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:151-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A revisit to the nonlinear stationarity of real exchange rates Abstract: This article applies the test by Kapetanios et al. (2003) to re-examine the nonlinear stationarity of real exchange rates in which we emphasize both the real bilateral exchange rates and the real effective exchange rates. Our empirical findings provide weak evidence on the nonlinear mean-reverting adjustment of real exchange rates in both fixed and floating regimes, which is in sharp contrast to that in the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:2:p:155-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Author-Name: Joakim Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Title: Is there really a unit root in the inflation rate? More evidence from panel data models Abstract: Time series unit root evidence suggests that inflation is nonstationary. By contrast, when using more powerful panel unit root tests, Culver and Papell (1997) find that inflation is stationary. In this article, we test the robustness of this result by applying a battery of recent panel unit root tests. The results suggest that the stationarity of inflation holds even after controlling for cross-sectional dependence and structural change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-164 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706305 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706305&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:161-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Ericson Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ericson Title: The effects of wage compression on general and firm-specific training Abstract: The issue of who finances on-the-job training has important implications for labour markets. It is persistently difficult to test empirically whether it is the employer or the employee who carries the costs of general training. This article presents a simple method that compares the effect of wage inequality on duration of general training and firm-specific training. The result is consistent with the proposition that it is the worker who bears a greater part of the costs associated with general training than in the case of firm-specific training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-169 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722054 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722054&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:165-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Malaric Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Malaric Author-Name: Tomislav Katic Author-X-Name-First: Tomislav Author-X-Name-Last: Katic Author-Name: Dubravko Sabolic Author-X-Name-First: Dubravko Author-X-Name-Last: Sabolic Title: The market efficiency of the soccer fixed odds internet betting market Abstract: The strong form of market efficiency requirement states that expected returns are equal across wagering prospects, and weak form efficiency requirement states that there is an absence of profit opportunities, meaning that all historical information relevant to the assessment of the match outcome probabilities are reflected in the odds quoted. This article empirically tests the market efficiency of the European soccer fixed odds Internet-betting market, and also presents simple betting strategy that appear to be profitable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 171-174 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722021 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722021&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:171-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Requena Silvente Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Requena Author-X-Name-Last: Silvente Author-Name: Juana Castillo Author-X-Name-First: Juana Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo Author-Name: Andres Artal Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Artal Title: Is Spain a lumpy country? A dynamic analysis of the 'lens condition' Abstract: We implement the 'lens condition' of Deardoff (1994) to investigate whether lumpiness, an excessively uneven geographic distribution of production factors, is large enough to allow for regional specialization of production at different factor prices. Using data from 50 Spanish provinces over the period 1964 to 2001, we show that Spain evolved from being a lumpy economy to a state where lumpiness no longer mattered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-180 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600735288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600735288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:175-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ulyses Balderas Author-X-Name-First: J. Ulyses Author-X-Name-Last: Balderas Author-Name: Hiranya Nath Author-X-Name-First: Hiranya Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Title: Inflation and relative price variability in Mexico: the role of remittances Abstract: This article derives generalized impulse responses from the estimation of a vector autoregression (VAR) model using monthly data between 1995 and 2005 for Mexico, to examine the inflation-relative price variability (RPV) relationship, and to investigate if remittances could account for the observed relationship. While the positive relationship between inflation and RPV is a robust result, remittances are found to have significant positive effects on both inflation and RPV. These results are interpreted as providing evidence in support of our intuition that remittances could be responsible for generating a positive relationship between inflation and RPV. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-185 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722070 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722070&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:181-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Czaika Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Czaika Title: Cheap talk in the UN arenas? Some evidence on the impact of UN speeches on aid allocation decisions Abstract: This study examines the relationship between bilateral and multilateral aid giving patterns and the number of speeches country representatives delivered in the two core bodies of the United Nations (UN)-the UN Security Council and the UN General Assembly, respectively. For the 1990s, empirical evidence indicates a financial return on voice solely for appeals addressed in the Security Council whereas the General Assembly plenary seems to be an ineffective floor for attracting international development assistance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-191 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749008 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749008&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:187-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu Author-X-Name-First: Furkan Author-X-Name-Last: Emirmahmutoglu Author-Name: Nezir Kose Author-X-Name-First: Nezir Author-X-Name-Last: Kose Author-Name: Yeliz Yalcin Author-X-Name-First: Yeliz Author-X-Name-Last: Yalcin Title: The Kalman filter method for break point estimation in unit root tests Abstract: In this study, in addition to Zivot-Andrews (1992), Perron (1997) and Schwarz Bayesian Criteria (SBC) approaches of the true break point estimation performances of the Kalman filter method is examined using Monte Carlo simulation experiments. Our simulation results show that the SBC and Kalman filter methods both exhibit a good performance in estimating true break point. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-198 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721866 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721866&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:193-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emiliya Lazarova Author-X-Name-First: Emiliya Author-X-Name-Last: Lazarova Author-Name: Ilaria Mosca Author-X-Name-First: Ilaria Author-X-Name-Last: Mosca Title: Does governance matter for aggregate health capital? Abstract: The point of departure of our analysis is the seminal work of Rodgers (1979) on the absolute and relative income hypotheses. We find that substituting the governance index for the Gini index is statistically the preferred regression model. Our findings lend support to the argument that governance matters. Further investigation provides evidence for two types of threshold effects: in terms of both absolute income and governance. For those countries below a threshold, absolute income is the most significant determinant of health, while for those above it, governance matters the most. The regression analyses are conducted on a sample of 112 states, which is representative of a wide range of absolute income and governance levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721916 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721916&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Darne Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Darne Author-Name: Jean-Francois Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Title: The purchasing power parity in Australia: evidence from unit root test with structural break Abstract: The unit root test with structural break developed by Perron and Rodriguez are used to study the purchasing power parity (PPP) in the spirit of Balassa-Samuelson in Australia for the period January 1977 to April 2004. The results indicate that there is a break in February 1985 which coincides with the exchange rate crisis in 1985, occurring after the establishment of the dirty flexible exchange rate system. We also show that there is no tendency to the PPP in Australia to hold in the long-run during this period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-206 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721957 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721957&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:203-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cumhur Erdem Author-X-Name-First: Cumhur Author-X-Name-Last: Erdem Author-Name: Meziyet Sema Erdem Author-X-Name-First: Meziyet Sema Author-X-Name-Last: Erdem Title: Turkish banking efficiency and its relation to stock performance Abstract: In this study, technical, allocative and economic efficiency scores of the banks whose stocks traded in Istanbul Stock Exchange are measured using data envelopment analysis (DEA) for the time period 1998 to 2004. Economic efficiency scores of banks obtained from DEA model was related to their stock prices to determine whether there is an explanatory power of efficiency scores on stock price returns. The average banks' efficiency decreased from 0.781 in 1999 to 0.504 in 2001 and started to increase after this year except the year of 2003 indicating that financial crises affected the efficiency scores of the banks. During the time period 1998 to 2004, six banks appeared to be technically efficient at least once. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-211 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:207-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Garcia Prieto Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Garcia Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto Author-Name: Julio Lopez Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Julio Lopez Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz Title: How much do socio-economic conditions influence people's schooling duration? Abstract: A wide sample of countries has been used to contrast the effective influence on the population's schooling duration of some variables usually considered in theoretical models. But we have also found that socio-economic conditions have a special influence because they reduce the chance that people have to access the educational system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770939 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770939&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Silles Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Silles Title: Sheepskin effects in the returns to education Abstract: This article, using a data set for the United Kingdom, re-examines the sheepskin hypothesis at the secondary school level using test scores and public examinations for men and women who left school at the minimum school leaving age. Net of learning outcomes, there are no additional returns to the possession of formal credential at the secondary school level. The finding refutes the sheepskin effect hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-219 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:217-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seonyoung Park Author-X-Name-First: Seonyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Donggyun Shin Author-X-Name-First: Donggyun Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: New evidence on the Korean wage curve Abstract: Our new empirical evidence suggests that wages are substantially flexible in South Korea. In particular, our longitudinal evidence on the wage curve follows the minus-point-one rule, set up by Blanchflower and Oswald (1994) and is consistent with evidence from other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-224 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:221-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Lieh Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: An alternative estimation algorithm for innovation regime-switching models Abstract: In this article, we derive an alternative estimation algorithm for the innovation regime-switching model, which avoids the potential divergence problem that may arise from the algorithm proposed by Kuan et al. (2005, JBES). Our simulation demonstrates that the proposed algorithm compares favourably with that of Kuan et al. (2005), in terms of both numerical accuracy and computing time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-229 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706297 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706297&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:225-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Omar Azfar Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Azfar Title: Corruption and trade regulations: an instrumental variable approach Abstract: We find that tariff rates decreased less rapidly in more corrupt countries in instrumental variables (IV) estimation, using mortality rates of European settlers at the time of colonization as IV. Our finding implies that tariff rates are endogenous to corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 231-234 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706180 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706180&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:231-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jihn-Yih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jihn-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Are stock returns on the US used as an exogenous predictor to the Asian emerging equity markets Abstract: By using a block recursive vector autoregression model and two new out-of-sample tests, this study has found that the US stock returns have predictive ability for the four Asian emerging equity markets. The estimates from weekly data suggest that returns on S&P500 positively predict stock returns of Asian emerging markets up to three weeks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706289 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706289&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:3:p:235-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Forecasting properties of a new method to determine optimal lag order in stable and unstable VAR models Abstract: This simulation study investigates the forecasting performance of a new information criterion suggested by Hatemi-J (2003) to pick the optimal lag length in the stable and unstable vector autregression (VAR) models. The conducted Monte Carlo experiments reveal that this information criterion is successful in selecting the optimal lag order in the VAR model when the main aim is to draw ex-ante (forecasting) inference regardless if the VAR model is stable or not. In addition, the simulations indicate that this information criterion is robust to autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-243 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461613 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461613&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georg Duernecker Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Duernecker Title: To begrudge or not to begrudge: consumption and leisure externalities revisited Abstract: This article employs a dynamic general equilibrium model to study the implications of a nonstandard preference structure for the short-run dynamics of the economy. Preferences in this model are assumed to contain comparison elements for consumption and leisure, i.e. agents care about how their own consumption and leisure compares to a certain reference stock that is determined by the economy's average level of consumption and leisure. This specification inevitably creates externalities. We then estimate the model and find that these externalities are both positive and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-252 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592481 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592481&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:4:p:245-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: On the product of generalized Pareto random variables Abstract: The distribution of products of random variables arises explicitly in many areas of the sciences, engineering and medicine. This has increased the need to have available the widest possible range of statistical results on products of random variables. In this note, the distribution of the product XY is derived when X and Y are independent generalized Pareto random variables. Extensive tabulations of the associated percentage points are also given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 253-259 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:4:p:253-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Author-Name: Andreas Ortmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Ortmann Title: A first experimental test of multilevel game theory: the PD case Abstract: The prisoner's dilemma (PD) is played by two players in each of two groups. The two groups compete for an external prize whose allocation is determined by the degree of within-group coordination. The experimental evidence supports the predictions of multilevel game theory well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-264 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592457 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592457&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:261-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John O'Connell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: O'Connell Title: Asymmetry and probit models: the case of labour unions Abstract: Binary choice models fail to capture the strength of one's preferences. An attempt is made to measure the context and environment which influence choice. Union elections provide some insight into the process because the electorate may vote either for or against a particular union. The roles that general sentiments as well as specific preferences play in an election can be examined. Negative sentiment dominates the positive and apathy in affecting the election outcome. In the case of union elections the administrative process does not appear to have an impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 265-269 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600567640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600567640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:265-269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ismael Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Ismael Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Ferran Martinez Coma Author-X-Name-First: Ferran Martinez Author-X-Name-Last: Coma Title: Skill and support to globalization in the EU Abstract: Are individuals' attitudes towards globalization consistent with the predictions of the Heckscher-Ohlin (HO) theory? Using newly available data from the Flash Eurobarometer 151b of the European Commission, we find that globalization preferences are significantly and robustly correlated with an individual's relative level of human capital, consistent with the HO theory. The impact of skill on globalization preferences is positive in skill-abundant EU countries and strongly negative in EU countries that are well-endowed with low-skill labour. This study is the first to find a robust and significant negative association between skill and support to globalization in low-skill-abundant countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 271-275 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592416 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592416&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:271-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilham Haouas Author-X-Name-First: Ilham Author-X-Name-Last: Haouas Author-Name: Mahmoud Yagoubib Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Yagoubib Title: The effect of international trade on labour-demand elasticities: empirical evidence from Tunisia Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of trade liberalization on labour demand elasticities. The employment demand equation is estimated by using data for manufacturing industries in Tunisia covering the period from 1971 to 1996. The empirical results suggest a weak support for the idea assuming that trade liberalization will lead to an increase in labour demand elasticities: in the vast majority of industries considered, we cannot reject the hypothesis of no relationship between trade openness and labour-demand elasticities. This weakness of labour demand elasticity in practice is perhaps explained by the tight labour market regulations in place during the 1987-1996. However, these results are robust to the type of labour considered (contract labour and permanent labour). This supports the conclusion that under liberalization labour markets have become more flexible, and that employers prefer recruiting contract workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-286 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500390325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500390325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:277-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Title: Is waste generation de-linking from economic growth? Empirical evidence for Europe Abstract: The article provides empirical evidence on the de-linking of waste generation from economic growth. The data used refer to the European countries. An investigation carried out into packaging and municipal waste indicators shows that any de-coupling which has eventually taken place has been of a relative nature. Estimated waste elasticities with respect to income highlight that a hypothetical turning point, that would eventually characterize a Kuznets curve for waste, is far from being reached. Europe thus appears to be lagging behind in the effort to invert the relationship between waste and income/consumption indicators. The lack of policy targets in reference to waste prevention at source, in addition to recovery/recycling goals, may be considered as a primary policy-related reason behind the absence of a stronger de-linking process for waste in Europe. The applied panel investigation, though informative since it refers to a homogenous regional area, reveals the need for further work, exploring de-linking processes that focus on specific materials and/or countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 287-291 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500407640 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500407640&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:287-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Chung Chan Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Firm-specific stock return variation and capital structure decisions Abstract: We evaluate the association between the pace of the adjustment toward target capital structure and the extent to which equity prices reflect firm-specific information. The evidence indicates that firm-specific stock return variation explains significantly the pace of the adjustment toward target capital structure. We also show that the financing decisions of most Taiwanese firms support trade off theory. Only the samples of high (low) firm-specific stock return variation support pecking order (market timing) theory. Our findings suggest that firm-specific stock return variation provides considerable insight to capital structure decisions. In other words, corporate financing decisions cannot divorce from the efficiency of capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-299 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426244 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426244&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:293-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca De Benedictis Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: De Benedictis Author-Name: Marco Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Author-Name: Massimo Tamberi Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Tamberi Title: Semiparametric analysis of the specialization-income relationship Abstract: In this article we investigate the empirical relationship between overall specialization and per capita income. The metric we use to measure overall specialization is the median of the sectoral distribution of the Balassa Index of Revealed Comparative Advantages applied to four-digit (SITC rev.2) sectoral export manufactured data for 39 countries over the period 1985 to 2001. Once we take into account countries' specificities using fixed effects GAM, the results of the semiparametric analysis indicate that sectoral diversification of manufactured exports increases monotonically with development, and thus the reconcentration observed at high levels of income in the recent literature may not be linked to trade-induced specialization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-306 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500428299 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500428299&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:301-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Title: The purchasing power parity hypothesis in Turkey: evidence from nonlinear STAR error correction models Abstract: This study re-examines the validity of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis for Turkey using nonlinear cointegration technique. The finding of this article provides the evidence that the long run PPP hypothesis is valid by using nonlinear cointegration technique. This finding argues the validity of the long-run PPP hypothesis in bilateral Turkish real exchange rates with the USA, which is also supported by Sarno (2000) and Erlat (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447315 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447315&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:307-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vishal Jaunky Author-X-Name-First: Vishal Author-X-Name-Last: Jaunky Title: The real exchange rate and productivity differentials: a panel cointegration approach Abstract: Balassa (1964) and Samuelson (1964) have expressed the view that economic development is normally accompanied by a real exchange rate appreciation. The aim of the study is twofold: first, we investigate whether the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis holds, and second we appraise the performance of the commonly used productivity differentials proxy. Results from the Prais and Winsten (1954), Im, Pesaran and Shin (2003) and McCoskey and Kao (2001) panel data techniques suggest that it is legitimate to consider the BS hypothesis at different stages of economic development. Additionally, the proxy works quite well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-318 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461670 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461670&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:313-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cem Baslevent Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Baslevent Title: Equalizing and disequalizing income components: how to decide which is which Abstract: The purpose of this note is to clarify what is meant by the 'proportionate contribution' of an income source to total inequality when the contributions of income sources are examined contemporaneously as opposed to simply measuring the impact of the addition (or exclusion) of an income source. It is shown that the proportionate contribution figures that come out of decomposition by factor components analyses need to be interpreted with caution. They may be misleading if one ignores the fact that those figures depend on the shares of the factors in total income. Another problem could be that the equalizing effect of a relatively more equally distributed factor is overlooked in the interest of treating the factors simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-321 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:319-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Show-Ling Jang Author-X-Name-First: Show-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Yen-Ting Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Jennifer Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Persistent innovation: a cross-country study of output and diversity over time Abstract: This article analyses firms' dynamic behaviours of patent persistence and technology proximity in innovation activities for United States, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan during 1990-2003. We find that on average, the persistency of Japanese firms in sustaining their innovative activities is stronger than US firms, while South Korean firms are more tenacious than their Taiwanese counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 323-326 Issue: 4 Volume: 15 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2007:i:4:p:323-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Chris Bilson Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Bilson Author-Name: John Powell Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: Valuation uncertainty risk compensation and IPO prospectus earnings forecasts Abstract: Younger, riskier, less credible firms do not voluntarily supply initial public offering prospectus earnings forecasts. Nondisclosure increases valuation uncertainty risk, thus necessitating higher first-day underpricing and long-run performance as compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-335 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:331-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Senhui He Author-X-Name-First: Senhui Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Jeffrey Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jordan Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Economic evaluation of bottled water consumption as an averting means: evidence from a hedonic price analysis Abstract: This study alerts researchers and policy makers to the importance of the price effect of bottle size in an economic evaluation of using bottled water as a means to avoid health risks from drinking home tap water. It derived a proxy for the economic value of smaller bottle size by analysing a hedonic price model. The results show that, by not accounting for the economic value of smaller bottle size, we can overstate consumer willingness-to-pay for safer drinking water by more than 100%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-342 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:337-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: Demand for money in Sri Lanka, 1952-2002 Abstract: The key issue in the analysis of demand for money in Sri Lanka is shown to be the specification of opportunity cost. A coherent definition yields stable long-run estimates of the demand function consistent with economic theory for all measures of money. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705943 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705943&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matz Dahlberg Author-X-Name-First: Matz Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlberg Author-Name: Eva Mork Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Mork Author-Name: Per Tovmo Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Tovmo Title: Power properties of the Sargan test in the presence of measurement errors in dynamic panels Abstract: This article investigates the power properties of the Sargan test in the presence of measurement errors in dynamic panel data models. The conclusion from Monte Carlo (MC) simulations and an application on the data used by Arellano and Bond (1991), is that in the very likely case of measurement errors in either the dependent or any of the independent variables, we will, if we rely on the Sargan test, quite likely accept a misspecified model and end up with biased results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-353 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500447414 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500447414&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:349-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Dopke Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Dopke Author-Name: Ulrich Fritsche Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsche Title: Shocking! Do forecasters share a common belief? Abstract: We evaluate the interaction of inflation and growth forecast errors based on 17 distinct forecasts for the German economy for the period from 1970 to 2004. The forecasts were produced by 14 institutions. Our findings show that, in general, the forecasters did not share a common belief about the shocks driving the economy at the time at which they made their forecasts. We use a standard textbook aggregate-demand/aggregate-supply curve to identify the nature of the shocks expected by the forecasters. This exercise reveals that the forecasters have very divergent expectations regarding the nature of the shocks predicted to hit the economy in the coming year. Moreover, the lion's share of forecast errors can be attributed to unexpected demand shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 355-358 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600605978 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600605978&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:355-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Lillywhite Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Lillywhite Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Author-Name: James Eales Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Eales Title: Maintaining parameter invariance in seemingly unrelated regressions estimation Abstract: Seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) is an important estimation methodology in demand analysis. While possessing qualities that make it attractive to applied demand analysts, the SUR estimation technique poses several difficulties, including the lack of parameter invariance in some instances e.g. estimation of consumer demand systems with micro-level data. When data includes zero consumption, corrections used to account for censoring may result in different parameter estimates when different share equations are dropped for estimation. This article proposes an alternative estimation objective which results in invariant parameter estimates when imposing adding-up by dropping equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junya Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Junya Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Author-Name: Kazuhiro Ohtani Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ohtani Title: Exact distribution and critical values of a unit root test when error terms are serially correlated Abstract: In this article we consider the unit root test based on the ordinary least squares (OLSs) estimator for a coefficient of a lagged dependent variable when the error terms are serially correlated. Using Imhof's (1961) method, we show how we numerically evaluate the exact distribution function of the unit root test when the error terms are serially correlated. Our numerical results show that when the error terms are serially correlated, the size distortion is not small even if the sample size is considerably large. Also, based on the distribution function, we evaluate numerically exact critical values when the sample size is small and moderate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-362 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:359-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anastasios Koukoumelis Author-X-Name-First: Anastasios Author-X-Name-Last: Koukoumelis Title: On the measurement of convergence as an ongoing process Abstract: Time-varying parameter techniques are commonly used to examine whether convergence in income has been a stable process. This article incorporates additional local features to a model studying 14 EU countries, thereby providing better estimates of the current state of the system when the relative income series are highly nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-365 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706222 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706222&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:363-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: The validity of trend-cycle decomposition using unobserved component model: Monte Carlo evidence Abstract: The validity of trend-cycle decomposition using the unobserved component model is examined via Monte Carlo simulations. It is shown that the nearer to the unit-root process the assumed cycle component and/or the larger the assumed innovation covariance, the more frequent the occurrence of the boundary estimate for the innovation covariance, that the nearer to the unit-root process the assumed cycle component in the case of applying the model with zero restriction on the innovation covariance, the more frequent the occurrence of a linear time trend in the trend estimation, and that a linear time trend cannot be obtained from the model without zero restriction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-369 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706164 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706164&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:367-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Langnan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Langnan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xun Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The effectiveness of joint intervention on the yen/US dollar exchange rate Abstract: This paper assesses the effectiveness and its duration of joint intervention on the yen/US dollar exchange rate by utilizing the intervention analysis model and employing the data for the period from 15 August 1996 to 6 January 1999 that are released from Reuters. The results suggest that there should be no significant difference between the effectiveness of joint intervention and independent intervention. In addition, joint intervention has significant impact on the exchange rate, but only lasts for short periods of time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-378 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675484 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675484&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:375-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Simon Fan Author-X-Name-First: C. Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Yifan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yifan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Imports of capital goods and enterprise performance: a firm-level analysis in China Abstract: Much recent research on openness and productivity has shifted attention away from regions and countries to firms. Most of those studies have focused on exports and productivity. However, empirical study on the relationship between imports and productivity with firm-level data is scarce. This note attempts to help fill this gap using firm-level data in China. Controlling firms' other characteristics, we find that firms with imports of capital goods have higher productivity. It implies that, in a developing country, firms utilizing foreign products, which embody foreign technologies, have better performance than those only using domestic technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-394 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600690004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600690004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:391-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Ferto Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Ferto Title: Dynamics of intra-industry trade and adjustment costs. The case of Hungarian food industry Abstract: The structure of Hungary's food trade expansion over the transition period 1992 to 2002 and its implications for labour-market adjustment is examined. An econometric analysis of trade and employment data suggests that changes in domestic consumption and productivity have significant influence on employment changes. But our results do not provide support for the smooth-adjustment hypothesis of intra-industry trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-384 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600689949 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600689949&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:379-384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oxana Babetskaia-Kukharchuk Author-X-Name-First: Oxana Author-X-Name-Last: Babetskaia-Kukharchuk Author-Name: Ian Babetskii Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Babetskii Author-Name: Jiri Podpiera Author-X-Name-First: Jiri Author-X-Name-Last: Podpiera Title: Convergence in exchange rates: market's view on CE-4 joining EMU Abstract: We empirically analyse currency fluctuations in four central European states (CE-4) against the USD and Euro, employing daily data over 1 January 1994 to 10 October 2005 and constructing a dynamic correlation coefficient based on the estimates of a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model. We find evidence of convergence in exchange rate volatilities between CE-4 currencies and the Euro. In other words, from the US market's point of view, currencies of the CE-4 region and the Euro tend to behave quite similarly. This degree of synchronicity is in line with the composition of currency baskets and the share of the Euro as a trade-invoicing currency in the CE-4 economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 385-390 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600705984 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600705984&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:385-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cho Joonmo Author-X-Name-First: Cho Author-X-Name-Last: Joonmo Author-Name: Cheon Byung You Author-X-Name-First: Cheon Byung Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Exploring reasons why cross-section analysis underestimates the union premium in Korea Abstract: This study evaluates the cartel effects of Korean labour unions from the perspectives of job separation and loss of wage premium. Unlike the previous cross-sectional analysis showing that the wage premium of Korean labour unions is small, a high level of wage premium was observed in unionized companies. This was more prominent among long tenured union workers and among union workers in monopoly firms than it was amongst workers in other comparable groups. This demonstrates that those who work in unionized companies and enjoy a high level of employment security concentrate on building up firm-specific skills, and not on building-up alternative skills as preparation for potential job turnover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Pena Lopez Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Pena Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: J. M. Sanchez Santos Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Sanchez Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Effects of competition on religious markets: some empirical evidence Abstract: The aim of this article is to assess, from an empirical point of view, the relative explanatory capacities of two hypotheses that address the link between economics and religion: the religious markets and the secularization hypothesis. First, we estimate a baseline model that takes into account both hypotheses jointly. Secondly, we study in a separate way the influence of socioeconomic development and market structure. Finally, we investigate the relationship between group size and religious commitment. Overall, the results suggest some supporting evidence for the predictions derived from the hypothesis of religious markets that emphasize the over-riding importance of the degree of competition as a determinant factor of religious behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-374 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:371-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Jong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Jong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: An analysis of lifestyles and health in Taiwan Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between lifestyles and health in Taiwan, and also examines the determinants of health outcomes. The analysis is based on data obtained from the 2001 National Health Interview Survey in Taiwan using ordered probit models. The results indicate that those who have healthier lifestyles tend to have better self-assessed health. In addition, gender, age, income, education and social support are also important factors affecting health outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-404 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706081 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706081&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:399-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: A. Bailey Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: A. Chalak Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Chalak Author-Name: I. Fraser Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Title: Modifying willingness to pay estimates where respondents mis-report their preferences Abstract: The likelihood for the Logit model is modified, so as to take account of uncertainty associated with mis-reporting in stated preference experiments estimating willingness to pay (WTP). Monte Carlo results demonstrate the bias imparted to estimates where there is mis-reporting. The approach is applied to a data set examining consumer preferences for food produced employing a nonpesticide technology. Our modified approach leads to WTP that are substantially downwardly revised. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 327-330 Issue: 5 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:5:p:327-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Market shares and rivalry in the U.S. cigarette industry Abstract: In a recent article Gallet and List (2001) examined whether relative market shares in the U.S. cigarette market were mean-reverting using traditional univariate unit root tests and a test that allows for a breaking trend. Their results indicated most of the series were nonstationary, suggesting rivalry remained strong throughout most of the 20th century, a result confirmed recently by Adhikari (2004) using a different methodology. The purpose of this note is to apply univariate and panel tests of stationarity to determine whether relative market shares can be assumed to be individually trend-stationary. If the relative shares are characterized by a unit root, the stationarity tests should confirm the results of the unit root tests. Additionally, panel unit root tests have been shown to have greater power than univariate tests. Results based on several different panel tests for stationarity and for unit roots, some of which allow for a structural break, are presented. These results suggest the U.S. cigarette industry was not as competitive as one might expect on the basis of univariate tests and the estimates reported by Adhikari (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-422 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:417-422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Macha Kemperman Author-X-Name-First: Macha Author-X-Name-Last: Kemperman Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Title: State capture, income and institutional quality Abstract: This article argues that the impact of income on institutional quality depends on state capture, and that a rise in income contributes to institutional development only if the degree of state capture is low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706172 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706172&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Goh Soo Khoon Author-X-Name-First: Goh Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Khoon Title: Consumption correlation and international capital market integration: evidence from Malaysia Abstract: By evaluating the Malaysian consumption patterns, this article measures capital mobility in Malaysia with three main trading countries, namely the United States, Japan and Singapore. The results indicate that Malaysia's national consumption was fully integrated with the United States over the period 1960-2000. Since the consumption models are based on a high degree of capital mobility, there is some evidence that this condition is met in the Malaysian data. This indicates that Malaysia exhibited a substantial amount of financial openness despite periodic exchange controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600675443 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600675443&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Gyaneshwar Rao Author-X-Name-First: Gyaneshwar Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Are US gasoline price adjustments asymmetric? Abstract: We use the LSE-Hendry general to specific approach to analyse if US gasoline price adjustments are asymmetric with respect to changes in crude oil prices. Furthermore, we modify some weaknesses in the earlier works by Borenstein et al. (1997) and Bachmeier and Griffin (2003) and shows that if the price adjustment equations are properly specified and estimated, alternative specifications and temporal aggregation of data do not affect the results. Monthly US data are used to show that alternative specifications give equally good results and there is no asymmetry in the US gasoline price adjustments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706412 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706412&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Ono Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ono Title: Searching for nonlinear effects and fiscal sustainability in G-7 countries Abstract: This article investigates the possibility of nonlinearities and sustainability in the fiscal policy of G-7 countries. A large number of studies using unit root tests have been conducted on fiscal sustainability and the effects of nonlinearities. However, a majority of these have given scant attention to the combination of structural change and the effect of the threshold. We improve Sollis's (2004) test and investigate nonlinear effects and fiscal sustainability. Empirical evidence supports the fact that G-7 countries excluding Japan have nonlinear effects and fiscal sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-460 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706248 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706248&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:457-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Real GDP growth rates across countries: long memory and mean shifts Abstract: This article deals with the analysis of the long memory property in the growth rates of the real GDP series across various countries, allowing for a mean break at an unknown period of time. We use a procedure suggested by Hsu and Kuan (1998, 2000) and the results show that the mean break takes place at 1933 for the UK, at 1944 for the US and at 1946 for Germany and Japan. The order of integration seems to be around zero for Germany and Japan; it is slightly positive for the UK, and negative for the US. Thus, we only obtain some evidence of mean reversion in the real GDP series for the case of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-455 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500401460 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500401460&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:449-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Smart Saensuk Author-X-Name-First: Smart Author-X-Name-Last: Saensuk Title: The corporate effects of equity block creation and elimination Abstract: This study examines how changes in block ownership effects firm value and performance for a sample of US firms over the period 1993-2001. We find that the creation of a new block has a significant impact on shareholder wealth while block elimination does not. The wealth effect is most pronounced when the new block-holder is a corporation. We also determine that announcement period returns are larger when purchasers are classified as permanent rather than temporary block-holders. We find that the creation of a permanent block-holder improves industry-adjusted operating performance more than that of a temporary block-holder. Block elimination, however, does not impact the firm's subsequent operating performance. Our analysis of the sequencing of changes in the number of block-holders shows that firm value increases only when a block purchase produces an initial block-holder. We find that the superior long-term market performance of firms with new block-holders is due to the presence of permanent block-holders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-436 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706362 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706362&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:431-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mayssun El-Attar Author-X-Name-First: Mayssun Author-X-Name-Last: El-Attar Author-Name: Enrique Lopez-Bazo Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Bazo Title: Firm size and the entire distribution of wages: a semiparametric approach Abstract: In this article we argue that parametric regression analysis might well provide only partial evidence on the firm size-wage effect and propose a methodology that focuses on the entire distribution of wages. Results for a sample of Spanish workers show that the size premium is almost completely concentrated in the middle of the distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706230 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706230&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Newton Da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Newton Author-X-Name-Last: Da Costa Author-Name: Carlos Mineto Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mineto Author-Name: Sergio Da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Da Silva Title: Disposition effect and gender Abstract: Investors seem to hold on to their losing stocks to a greater extent than they hold on to their winning stocks. This well-documented behavioural regularity is termed disposition effect (Shefrin and Statman, 1985). We set an experiment to replicate results from a previous study of the disposition effect (Weber and Camerer, 1998) and further show that a subject's gender may interfere with the effect's detection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-416 Issue: 6 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706560 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706560&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:6:p:411-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christiana Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Christiana Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Author-Name: Michael Hilmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hilmer Title: How does a 48-hour test-taking window affect performance? Results from a testing centre Abstract: This note examines the effect that different self-selected test-taking strategies have on a student's performance in an introductory economics course. Due to the policies of a centralized testing centre, students are allowed to choose when in a 48-hour period they take each exam as well as how long they work on the exam. The results suggest that the relationship between completion time and exam score follows an inverted U-shape while the relationship between relative order and exam score follows a U-shape. In other words, students who turn in their exams in a relatively short or a relatively long time tend to perform worse while students who choose to take their exams relatively early or relatively late tend to perform better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-498 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:495-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Warr Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Warr Title: The transmission of import prices to domestic prices: an application to Indonesia Abstract: The manner in which the landed price of imports affects domestic prices is central to trade policy analysis. This study clarifies the relationship between two methods of modelling this relationship. These are the pass-through elasticity and the 'Armington' elasticity of substitution in demand between imported and domestically produced goods. The latter treatment is commonly used within applied general equilibrium models. The properties of the models are sensitive to the assumed values of these elasticities, but empirical estimates of Armington elasticities are rare. The theoretical relationship between the pass-through elasticity and the Armington elasticity is derived from a simple supply and demand model which incorporates Armingtion assumptions. The relationship is then illustrated empirically in the context of rice imports into Indonesia. Even though imported and domestically produced rice are considered relatively close substitutes in demand within Indonesia, time series econometric estimates of the pass-through elasticity imply Armington elasticities no greater than about 5. The Armington elasticities implied by the estimates of the pass-through elasticity presented here are well within the range of parameter estimates normally assumed within applied general equilibrium models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500425410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500425410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Peter Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Title: Does the linkage between stock market performance and economic growth vary across Greater China? Abstract: Despite the phenomenal development in stock markets in China, there is little research on the linkage between stock prices and economic growth in Greater China: mainland China, Hong Kong and Taiwan. This article represents a step towards systematically investigating the relationship between stock market performance and economic growth in Greater China by conducting causality tests within the VECM framework. We find one-way causality running from growth to stock prices in the long run and also running from stock prices to economic growth in the short run. These findings suggest that economic fundamentals are the main determinants of movements in stock prices in the long run and stock markets act as a leading economic indictor of future economic growth in Greater China in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Power comparison of invariant unit root tests Abstract: In the context of a model with linear trend plus AR(1) error, this paper studies power of various unit root tests, under proper stationarity alternatives. A large number of invariant tests is examined to compare their power properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-512 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:509-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Bardong Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Bardong Author-Name: Thorsten Lehnert Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Lehnert Title: TIPS and inflation expectations Abstract: Previous research suggests that the market for index-linked bonds is not entirely efficient and that these inefficiencies can be exploited by including inflation forecasts in trades on break-even inflation. Inspired by those results, we test the informational content of inflation expectations using survey data generated by the Survey of Professional Forecasters. We develop trading strategies speculating on the movement of break-even inflation. The results indicate that the market for US inflation-indexed government bonds offers the possibility to obtain excess returns. These results are fairly consistent regardless of market frictions introduced in the return calculation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Hoshikawa Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Hoshikawa Title: The causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate Abstract: This article examines the causal relationships between foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate. We find evidence of instantaneous causal relationships in mean and variance and feedback causal relationships in mean. It suggests that the expectation for exchange rate and volatility is influenced by information on foreign exchange intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721890 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721890&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoo Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoo Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: High-technology exports and economic output: an empirical investigation Abstract: This article explores the impacts of high-technology exports on economic output using a cross-country analysis based on data from 91 countries over the period 1988 to 2000. The results show that high-technology exports significantly contribute to economic output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-525 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721882 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721882&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:523-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Title: Interaction between formal and informal sector credit: new evidence from India Abstract: Using a new pan-Indian data set, we examine the factors that potentially influence joint access to formal and informal credit markets. Our results are consistent with the literature and bring some new factors influencing access to credit to the fore. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-531 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:527-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Hung Hsu Ku Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Ku Author-Name: Jai Jen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jai Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Estimating portfolio value-at-risk via dynamic conditional correlation MGARCH model - an empirical study on foreign exchange rates Abstract: This study compares efficiencies of five Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models in terms of value at risk (VaR) backtesting on the number of prediction failures and the average deviation between VaR and realized return series. Unlike the previous literature which presumes constant correlation coefficients, a new model proposed by Engle (2002, the DCC model) is applied to highlight time-varying conditional correlations amongst positions, which is essential for portfolio risk management. From the empirical studies of exchange rates data including the US Dollar to British Pound, Japanese Yen and Euro Dollar, we find that the DCC model produces least prediction failures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-538 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706958 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706958&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:533-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlo Altavilla Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Altavilla Title: The (UN-) stable relationship between the exchange rate and its fundamentals Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between the euro--dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals by adopting nonlinear time series modelling. We found that this relationship is episodically unstable. We also found that an equilibrium-distorting shock is likely to have a greater effect on the exchange rate during periods when the deviation between exchange rate and fundamentals is large; as a consequence, when the exchange rate is close to its equilibrium value it tends to be less sensitive to any shocks in the fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-544 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:539-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Empirical analysis of political uncertainty on TAIEX stock market Abstract: This article examines the relationship of between political activity and TAIEX stock market behaviour by the asymmetric GARCH. The results found that the congressional effect is negative on stock returns but volatility is not significant. The congressional effect on stock market returns following financial reform significantly dropped before financial reform, and significantly exceed for the volatility in the same circumstances. These results provide evidences that investors would hold a conservative position during the congressional sessions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-550 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600592507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600592507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:545-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Pei-Fen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Do CO2 emission levels converge among 21 OECD countries? New evidence from unit root structural break tests Abstract: This study empirically re-investigated whether carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions series were stationary in 21 OECD countries during the 1960-2000 period. A suite of test statistics were employed, proposed by Sen (2003), with a model that simultaneously allows for a break within the context of Perron's (1989) mixed intercept and slope (Model C). The distinction between this study and previous ones lies in its control for breaks. Compared with the results from traditional unit root tests, the empirical findings provide further evidence that relative per capita CO2 emissions were stationary and were stochastically converging. In addition, structural breaks are identified in each country, and some important policy implications emerge from the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-556 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500426236 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500426236&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:551-556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Technology- and investment-led growth effects of economic integration: a panel cointegration analysis for the EU-15 (1960-2000) Abstract: Using a panel cointegration approach we test for technology- and investment-led growth effects of economic integration for the EU-15 Member States over the period 1960 to 2000. Integration is measured by an index that is mainly based on tariff reductions and accounts for both GATT-liberalization and European integration. We find that integration has induced sizeable level effects on GDP per capita of some 44%, with both technology-led and investment-led effects playing an important role. While integration-induced efficiency increases materialize within a few years, integration-induced effects on the equilibrium stock of capital require a long time to work themselves out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600711669 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600711669&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Augustin Kwasi Fosu Author-X-Name-First: Augustin Kwasi Author-X-Name-Last: Fosu Title: Inequality and the growth-poverty nexus: specification empirics using African data Abstract: Applying analysis-of-covariance to 1990s African data, the study finds the impact of growth as a decreasing function of inequality and a poverty-growth elasticity range of 0.02-0.68 across the sample of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706669 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706669&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Li Xindan Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Xindan Title: A variance ratio test of the behaviour of Chinese stock indices Abstract: This study utilizes tests based on ranks and signs suggested by Wright (2000) together with the traditional variance ratio test to examine the behaviour of some Chinese stock indices. The results have shown that the null hypothesis of martingale difference behaviour of the Chinese index returns series examined is rejected for the whole samples. However, when the heteroskedastic stochastic disturbance term is used, the finding supports the random walk hypothesis for B shares by end of 1996, the Chinese stock market has become more efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706941 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706941&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Agudo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-Last: Agudo Author-Name: J. L. Sarto Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Sarto Author-Name: L. Vicente Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: Herding behaviour in Spanish equity funds Abstract: We analyse the herding phenomenon in the management style of Spanish equity funds. Using the methodology of Lakonishok et al. (1992) and Sharpe's style analysis (1992), we find interesting conclusions in the investment behaviour of fund managers, a barely-explored aspect, especially in the Spanish market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-576 Issue: 7 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706974 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706974&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:7:p:573-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Author-Name: Marie Diron Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Diron Title: Investment, financing constraints and profit expectations: new macro evidence Abstract: Regression results show that the external financing costs, the financing gap and profit expectations significantly matter for US and euro area aggregate (nonconstruction) investment. This finding supports the view that external and internal financing constraints hamper investment also at the macro level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 577-581 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722088 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722088&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:577-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Neil Garston Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Garston Title: Impact of the introduction of index-linked bonds on a nonindexed bond Abstract: In 1982 the British government began to issue bonds indexed to the inflation rate. This article investigates the impact of the introduction of this asset on the market for a nonindexed security. The impact is estimated in the context of a model derived from the literature on interest rate determination and, implicitly, from the consumption technology model. As expected, the introduction of the new asset is found to reduce the price of a pre-existing nonindexed asset, as the introduction of a substitute good should do. Further, changes in the prices of indexed bonds are positively related to the price of the nonindexed security. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 583-586 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722013 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722013&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:583-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Cigarette smuggling: price vs.nonprice incentives Abstract: This article uses recent US state level data to estimate the demand for cigarettes. The main contribution of this work is that, unlike previous studies, it takes into account both price and nonprice incentives behind the smuggling of cigarettes. The results show the demand for cigarettes to be elastic and greater than that found in the previous literature. The effects of greater literacy and income on smoking are insignificant. Also, the magnitude of own price elasticity seems affected by whether a correction is made for border prices. Comparing the price and nonprice influences on cigarette smuggling, it seems that price inducements remain the main force behind smuggling. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-592 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721981 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721981&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:587-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Svetlana Poukliakova Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Author-X-Name-Last: Poukliakova Title: Bayesian estimates of FDI flows: the governance problem Abstract: This study uses Bayesian methods to estimate the impact of various governance measures on cross-country Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows. The governance measures are highly correlated such that estimation by standard methods does not provide reliable estimates of their individual impact. The results suggest that FDI inflows are influenced by a country's governance structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722005 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722005&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Santin Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santin Title: On the approximation of production functions: a comparison of artificial neural networks frontiers and efficiency techniques Abstract: The aim of this article is to show how Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) is a valid semi-parametric alternative for fitting empirical production functions and measuring technical efficiency. To do this a Monte-Carlo experiment is carried out on a simulated smooth production technology for assessing efficiency results of ANN compared with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA). As ANNs provides average production function estimations this article proposes a so-called thick frontier strategy for transform average estimations into a productive frontier. Main advantages of ANN are in contexts where the production function is smooth, completely unknown, contains nonlinear relationships among variables and the quantity of noise and efficiency in data is moderate. Under this scenario, the results display that an ANNs algorithm can detect, better than traditional tools, the underlying shape of the production function from observed data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-600 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721973 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721973&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:597-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Author-Name: Manisha Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Manisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Title: Does move to market have an impact on earnings gap across gender? Some evidence from India Abstract: We use Indian National Sample Survey employment-unemployment data for the urban sector for the years 1987 and 1999. Our results indicate that the gender wage gap had narrowed considerably between these two years, for all earnings deciles and for all education cohorts. The narrowing of the earnings gap can be attributed largely to a sharp increase in the returns to the labour market experience of women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706651 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706651&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Leverage, foreign borrowing and corporate performance: firm-level evidence for India Abstract: This article examines the association between corporate leverage and profitability. Using firm-level data on manufacturing sector in India for 1995-2004, the findings indicate that corporate profitability and cash flows declines as leverage rises. More importantly, the marginal effect of an increase in leverage on earnings is larger for firms that participate in international debt markets than other firms. The results are robust after controlling for the economic environment and various firm-specific controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-616 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722047 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722047&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:607-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioannis Kaskarelis Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Kaskarelis Title: The determinants of investment in Greek manufacturing: a reply Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 617-617 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802128837 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802128837&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:617-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Manuchehr Irandoust Author-X-Name-First: Manuchehr Author-X-Name-Last: Irandoust Title: The Fisher effect: a Kalman filter approach to detecting structural change Abstract: This article uses quarterly data on short-run nominal interest rates and inflation rates over the last four or three decades collected from Australia, Japan, Malaysia and Singapore to test whether the Fisher relation has empirical support. Since meaningful Fisher effect tests critically depend on the integration and cointegration properties of the variables, we present some empirical evidence on these issues and we also apply the Kalman filter to estimate the time-varying parameters. The results show that the data are generally rejecting a full Fisher effect. This implies that nominal interest rates do not respond point-for-point to changes in the expected inflation rates. The possible reasons for the inability to detect a full Fisher effect are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-624 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:619-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ash Morgan Author-X-Name-First: Ash Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Title: Loss aversion and a kinked demand curve: evidence from contingent behaviour analysis of seafood consumers Abstract: Several laboratory experiments and market-based research in the fields of psychology, economics and marketing have provided increasing evidence of individuals exhibiting loss aversion tendencies, with decision-making based on a pre-existing reference point. This creates an S-shaped value function and associated kink in the demand curve. This research provides contingent behaviour analysis of 1790 seafood consumers across the Mid-Atlantic region. A survey is specifically designed to elicit respondents' change in consumption from their reference point when faced with price variations in the seafood market. Results from a Tobit model with random effects provide empirical support of consumers behaving in a manner consistent with loss aversion theory, revealing a kinked demand curve for seafood meals at the respondents' reference point. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-628 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721940 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721940&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:625-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dillon Alleyne Author-X-Name-First: Dillon Author-X-Name-Last: Alleyne Author-Name: Claremont Kirton Author-X-Name-First: Claremont Author-X-Name-Last: Kirton Author-Name: Georgia McLeod Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: McLeod Author-Name: Mark Figueroa Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Figueroa Title: Short-run macroeconomic determinants of remittances to Jamaica: a time varying parameter approach Abstract: This article uses a time varying parameter model (TVP) to examine the macroeconomic determinants of cash remittances to Jamaica over the period January 1983 to April 2001. We anticipated a positive relationship between changes in remittances and foreign income. We find an investment component in the relationship between changes in remittances and domestic income. In addition, the relationship between changes in remittances, the unofficial exchange rate premium and the exchange rate differential are in line with our expectations. In terms of the policy dimension of the results, it is clear that domestic policy has a significant impact on the responses of remitters. These responses do not merely reflect altruistic concerns for relatives but also investment related considerations. This means that policy makers might be able, through deliberate policy, to influence the flow of remittances over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-634 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721965 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721965&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:629-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Duration dependence test for rational bubbles in Chinese stock market Abstract: This article applies duration dependence tests to analyse the rational speculative bubbles in Chinese stock market. The results show that the probability of ending a run of positive excess returns decreases with the length of the run. Together with the evidence of autocorrelation and leptokurtosis, we confirm the existences of speculative bubbles. This can be explained by Chinese stock market's institutional characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600706966 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600706966&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Environmental performance in China's agricultural sector: a case study in corn production Abstract: This article reviews environmental performance in China's corn production. It proposes that the improvement in environmental and technical efficiency of agricultural production is indispensable for the increased demand for green food and the increasing awareness of environmental protection. This article measures the environmental and technical efficiency of China's corn production. According to the result of estimate, the improvement of environmental performance in China's corn production is feasible, but it may encounter some difficulties with respect to the fragment of farming land blocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-645 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721874 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721874&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:641-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Miin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Miin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Measuring the efficiency and return to scale status of multi-mode bus transit - evidence from Taiwan's bus system Abstract: In this article not only the multi-activity DEA model is applied to determine the efficiency of individual services within different but highly homogeneous multi-mode transit firms, but the relationship between size and local returns to scale status of each transit service is also investigated. The empirical findings indicate that it does not necessarily imply that the transit firm will be as efficient as a single-activity model when the multi-activity model is estimated, and there are different optimal scale sizes for highway bus and urban bus service in the Taipei metropolitan area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-653 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:647-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. G. R. Chandran Author-X-Name-First: V. G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chandran Author-Name: Veera Pandiyan Author-X-Name-First: Veera Author-X-Name-Last: Pandiyan Title: Technical efficiency and technological change in Malaysian service industries Abstract: This article examines the total factor productivity (TFP) growth by decomposing it into technical efficiency and technological change for the 20 service industries in a developing country - Malaysia from 1987 to 1992. On average, the TFP growth of the service industries experienced positive TFP growth of 1.8%. The contributing factors for TFP growth was technical efficiency while technological regress was found to dampen the TFP progress. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-657 Issue: 8 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600721932 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600721932&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:8:p:655-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Estimating labour supply and time allocation by married Japanese men and unmarried Japanese women Abstract: In this article, I estimate the uncompensated and compensated wage elasticities and the income elasticity of time, for married men and unmarried women in Japan. For the purpose of the estimation, I control for the potential endogeneity of the wage and income variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-666 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749016 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749016&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:659-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: More uncertainty: on the trending nature of real GDP in the US and UK Abstract: While there is disagreement concerning the integrated nature of US Gross domestic product (GDP) over the long-run, there is a consensus that it is best characterized as I(1) over the post-World War II period. In this article the existing literature is extended via the use of an exponential smooth transition autoregressive (ESTAR)-based unit root test. It is shown that in contrast to the conventionally applied ADF test and the more powerful GLS-based ADF test, introduction of an alternative hypothesis of ESTAR adjustment results in the overwhelming rejection of the presence of a unit root. Similar results are presented for UK GDP over the same period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-670 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722039 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722039&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:667-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Cross-country evidence on the productivity effects of trade: the role of competition and country size Abstract: Using aggregate manufacturing data and a cross-section of 40 countries, we estimate the effects of trade, competition and country size on productivity. Endogeneity of trade and competition is accounted for using instruments that are based on entry barriers and geographical characteristics of the countries. We establish several empirical regularities: (i) Both trade and competition are statistically and economically significant determinants of productivity. (ii) The pro-competitive effect of trade accounts for a quarter of trade's total productivity effects. (iii) Country size appears to play no role, once trade and competition are controlled for. (iv) There is no evidence for a nonlinear relation between competition and productivity or for the hypothesis that larger countries gain less from trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-675 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:671-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: A. Gelan Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Title: Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis revisited: a time-series approach using US data Abstract: Kuznets' inverted-U hypothesis implies that economic growth worsens income inequality first and improves it later at a higher stage of economic development. In addition to economic growth, other factors such as population growth, resource endowment, price instability, openness, currency devaluation, etc. have been identified as determinants of income inequality. Previous research used cross-sectional data to test not only the Kuznets' hypothesis, but also empirical validity of other factors and provided mixed conclusions. In this article we use time-series data from the US and recent advances in time-series modelling to show that economic growth worsens income inequality in the short-run and improves it in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Olave Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Olave Author-Name: Eva Maria Andres Author-X-Name-First: Eva Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Author-Name: Jose Tomas Alcala Author-X-Name-First: Jose Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Alcala Title: Studying the relationship between unemployment periods in Spain: a nonparametric approach Abstract: The effect of successive periods of unemployment according to household type has not been analysed in any depth with respect to the Spanish labour market. In this article, we propose a nonparametric methodology based on a data-driven likelihood ratio function to describe the dependence between the duration of successive periods of unemployment according to different household typologies. This study, which uses a very large data set, specifically, the Spanish sample of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP), first reveals a weak dependence between the consecutive unemployment durations in the case of the most frequent household typology. In addition, we find that the first months of the previous spells of unemployment have a significant impact on subsequent expected unemployment duration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Title: Benford, Zipf and the blogosphere Abstract: The blogosphere is a relatively recent development on the Internet and, for this reason, has received limited empirical investigation. This short note investigates whether the popularity of the 500 most popular blogs during August and September of 2005, as measured by in-coming links, followed the first-digit distribution attributed to Benford (1938) and the rank-size distribution attributed to Zipf (1949). The evidence suggests that the blogs investigated were not characterized by either empirical regularity, consistent with blog popularity being caused by network externalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-692 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600735270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600735270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:689-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroaki Chigira Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Chigira Title: A test of cointegration rank based on principal component analysis Abstract: Using principal component methods, we construct a cointegration rank test that is less restrictive than Johansen's tests, easy to calculate, and independent of the dimension of the process. Monte Carlo simulations indicate that the proposed test outperforms Johansen's tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-696 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:693-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rob Euwals Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Euwals Title: Evaluation of a tax reform: a model with measurement error Abstract: Parts of the Dutch tax reform 2001 are directed towards fiscal partners in a household and aim at lowering the marginal tax burden of the partner with the lowest (potential) labour income. An important goal of the reform is to increase the employment rate of these partners, which are in majority women. The Dutch Labour Force Survey 1992-2003 shows that the growth of the employment rate of married women after 2001 was larger for a comparable group of single women. A statistical analysis using a model that accounts for measurement error shows that the growth of the employment rates of women without young children is in line with the predicted effect of the tax reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-700 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:697-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Size performance of the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root test in the presence of a neglected break under the null Abstract: Via simulation, the size of the lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root test is examined, when there is a neglected level or trend break under the null hypothesis. It is found that unlike other more popular unit root tests in the literature, the size of the LM is not distorted/inflated. Thus, rejections of the LM tests must not be viewed as spurious with respect to this issue of neglected breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 701-705 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600722120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600722120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:701-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cademartori Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cademartori Author-Name: Rodrigo Navia Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Navia Author-Name: Manuel Galea Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Galea Author-Name: Felipe Osorio Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Osorio Title: Prediction of the economic activity from the short and long-term interest rate differential: new evidences in Chile and the United States of America cases Abstract: The purpose of this work is to verify the stability of the relationship between real activity and interest rate spread. The test is based on Chen (1988) and Osorio and Galea (2006). The analysis is applied to Chile and the United States, from 1980 to 1999. In general, in both cases the relationship was statistically significant in early 80s, but a break point is found in both countries during that decades, suggesting that the relationship depends on the monetary rule follow by the Central Bank. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-712 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748950 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748950&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:707-712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Virginie Terraza Author-X-Name-First: Virginie Author-X-Name-Last: Terraza Title: The Shapley decomposition for portfolio risk Abstract: The aim of this article is to provide an application of the Shapley value to decompose financial portfolio risk. Decomposing the sample covariance risk measure, gives us relative measures, which can be, classified securities of a portfolio according to risk scales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 713-715 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748968 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748968&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:713-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weide Mao Author-X-Name-First: Weide Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Author-Name: Chien-Ting Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chia-Cheng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Ching-Chang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A fuzzy approach to water pricing: the case of Shanghai Abstract: In this article, we device a methodology to value water using Fuzzy theory that incorporates not only the physical cost of delivery but also the social and sustainable resource costs that water regulators often ignore. Specifically, we include the cost of water quality, cost of water resource, gross domestic product per capita and the household's willingness to pay into our estimation. We demonstrate the approach using the household sector in Shanghai where the residents face potential water shortage and poor water quality. We estimate a theoretical price of 1.82 Chinese Yuan per cubic meter for the average household. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748976 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748976&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junning Cai Author-X-Name-First: Junning Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: PingSun Leung Author-X-Name-First: PingSun Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Towards a more general measure of revealed comparative advantage variation Abstract: The change of Balassa's 'revealed comparative advantage' index is often directly used to measure comparative advantage variation over time, yet the theoretical foundation of this traditional measure has not been clarified. In this article we derive a 'revealed comparative advantage variation' index, which turns out to be a more general measure of comparative advantage variation than the traditional one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600748992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600748992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: German works councils and productivity: first evidence from a nonparametric test Abstract: This article presents the first nonparametric test whether German works councils go hand-in-hand with higher labour productivity or not. It distinguishes between establishments that are covered by collective bargaining or not. Results from a Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for first-order stochastic dominance tend to indicate that pro-productive effects are found in firms with collective bargaining only. However, the significance level of the test statistic is higher than a usually applied critical level. This somewhat weak evidence casts doubts on the validity of results from recent parametric approaches using a regression framework that point to high positive effects of works councils on productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Long-run aggregate import demand function in Taiwan: an ARDL bounds testing approach Abstract: This article adopts the bounds test, developed by Pesaran et al. (2001), to determine whether there is a level long-run relationship exists between Taiwan's real import demand function and it determinants, namely real domestic income and relative prices. It is found that aggregate import quantities and their determinants do indeed exhibit a level long-run relationship. In addition, the empirical results show that estimated short-run elasticity and long-run income elasticity are both elastic but that short-run income elasticity is considerably greater than that of its long-run counterpart. This indicates that economic growth should have a relatively greater negative impact on trade balance in the short-run than in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-735 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:731-735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minxian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minxian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Normal log-normal mixture, leptokurtosis and skewness Abstract: The normal log-normal mixture (NLNM) is considered for modelling leptokurtosis and skewness. The moment of the mixture is shown to be finite for any positive order. The expectations of exponential functions of the NLNM variable are also investigated. The kurtosis and skewness of the NLNM are explicitly shown to be determined by the variance of the log normal and the correlation between the normal and log normal. A set of cross-sectional data is fitted to the NLNM to illustrate that idiosyncratic variances may be modelled by the mixture. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-742 Issue: 9 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:9:p:737-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramin Cooper Maysami Author-X-Name-First: Ramin Cooper Author-X-Name-Last: Maysami Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Financial liberalization, deposit insurance and bank stability Abstract: This article investigates the impact of implementing an explicit deposit insurance scheme on the likelihood of banking crisis in countries with well-liberalized financial systems. We estimate the probability of a systemic banking crisis using a multivariate logit model in which alternative variables capturing the nature of the deposit protection arrangement enter as explanatory variables along with a set of control variables. We conclude that deposit insurance will be successful in alleviating moral hazard and increase the stability of the financial system only if a sufficient degree of financial liberalization exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 743-747 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:743-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Vargas-Silva Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas-Silva Title: The effect of monetary policy on housing: a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) approach Abstract: This study examines the link between monetary policy and the housing market. The analysis is conducted using impulse response functions derived from a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) model. The FAVAR methodology as developed by Bernanke et al. (2005) avoids the degrees of freedom problem present in standard vector autoregression (VARs) models. The estimations are conducted using 120 macroeconomic time series in monthly frequency for the period January 1959 to August 2001. Results indicate that housing starts respond negatively to monetary policy shocks. This result is consistent across regions in the United States. In the case of housing permits and mobile home shipments, the response to a monetary policy shock is positive at first, but becomes negative after a few periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-752 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770947 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770947&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:749-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozge Senay Author-X-Name-First: Ozge Author-X-Name-Last: Senay Author-Name: Alan Sutherland Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Sutherland Title: A quantitative analysis of cost-push shocks and optimal inflation volatility Abstract: This article presents a quantitative analysis of optimal inflation volatility in a simple sticky-price general equilibrium model subject to both supply and cost-push shocks. It is found that optimal policy implies a relatively small degree of inflation volatility even when cost-push shocks are the dominant source of economic disturbance. In addition, it is found that optimal policy generates only a very small welfare gain when compared to strict inflation targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-757 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770954 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770954&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:753-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Maria Noel Pi Alperin Author-X-Name-First: Maria Noel Author-X-Name-Last: Pi Alperin Title: Inequalities in multidimensional poverty: evidence from Argentina Abstract: This article presents a new synthetic methodology that gauges simultaneously the inequalities in multidimensional poverty within and between groups of population and the dimensions that tend to increase inequality in poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-765 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:759-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Author-Name: A. Jamal Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jamal Title: Does inflation affect stock prices? Abstract: Incorporating demand and supply factors, this article investigates the relationship between inflation and stock prices, in a capital gains tax regime in USA. Based on annual data, the results show that inflation has a negative impact on stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-769 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:767-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amaechi Nkemakolem Nwaokoro Author-X-Name-First: Amaechi Nkemakolem Author-X-Name-Last: Nwaokoro Title: Trade-restriction policies ineffectiveness in the US steel industry Abstract: This study examines the impact of the trade restrictions on steel imports in order to protect the US steel industry. During the period of 1963 to 1988, the industry experienced a tremendous decline in its output. Trade restrictions are implemented to limit steel imports. The overall goal of this study is to estimate the impact of the steel trade restriction regimes on the output of the industry. Beside foreign competition, the study addresses the impact of other factors - other shipments (nonsteel shipments) and the prices of steel substitutes - aluminum, and plastic and rubber that may have also caused variation in steel production. The study makes two major contributions. First, the study constructs the trade restriction regimes and other high-frequency monthly data set on steel output and factor prices. Second, output is modelled as a function of the trade restriction regimes, other shipments and factor prices. Regression results show that the protection regimes are not statistically significant to enhance output expansion. This implies policies ineffectiveness and invalidates the call for the trade restrictions. The other shipments variable enhances output demand while the prices of the steel substitutes do not. Given the results here and for the fact that the mini-mills were competitive during the regime periods, a competition, not protective trade may be warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 771-776 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770863 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770863&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:771-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: On the size of the DF-GLS test Abstract: Using Monte Carlo simulation, the size of the DF-GLS test is examined when there is a neglected level or trend break under the null hypothesis. Unlike the original DF test, the DF-GLS test has size which is not distorted/inflated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Bruneau Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bruneau Author-Name: O. de Bandt Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: de Bandt Author-Name: A. Flageollet Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Flageollet Title: Measuring co-movements in the Euro area using a nonstationary factor model Abstract: This article investigates to what extent business cycles co-move in the four largest euro area economies, using a large-scale database of nonstationary series for the euro area over the 1980:Q1 to 2003:Q4 period. We apply the methodology proposed by Bai (2004) and Bai and Ng (2004) to construct a coincident indicator of the euro area business cycle, based on the first common factor estimated from a dynamic factor analysis on the level of the variables. The indicator appears to be significantly close, from a statistical point of view, to the level of the euro area GDP in the most recent period. We also show that national developments are increasingly correlated to the indicator at the business cycle frequencies. We finally suggest a decomposition of GDP growth along the different stationary and nonstationary factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oskar Nordstrom Skans Author-X-Name-First: Oskar Nordstrom Author-X-Name-Last: Skans Title: How does the age structure affect regional productivity? Abstract: The article studies the effects of a changing age structure on regional productivity using lagged population structure to purge estimates of the influence of endogenous migration. It is shown that workers aged 50-60 years have a positive effect on regional productivity. Together with evidence from previous research showing that the effect of the same age group on unemployment is positive, the results support the notion that well-matched workers gives rise to both high productivity and high unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathalie Colombier Author-X-Name-First: Nathalie Author-X-Name-Last: Colombier Author-Name: Laurent Denant Boemont Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Denant Author-X-Name-Last: Boemont Author-Name: Youenn Loheac Author-X-Name-First: Youenn Author-X-Name-Last: Loheac Author-Name: David Masclet Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Masclet Title: Risk aversion: an experiment with self-employed workers and salaried workers Abstract: In this article we present the results of a lottery-choice experiment to address the following questions: Do risk vary across individuals? What is the impact of context on risk aversion? The originality of this research lies in introducing variability in socio-demographic characteristics by recruiting not only students but also 'real people' among salaried workers and self-employed workers. Our results indicate that risk attitude strongly varies across individuals. In particular, individuals who are self employed tend to be significantly less risk averse than others. In addition, we replicated Holt and Laury (2002, 2005) and Harrison et al. (2005)'s findings that individuals tend to be more risk averse with higher payoffs. Finally, our results concerning a potential experience effect indicate the existence of a significant order effect for both treatments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Ehrhart Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Ehrhart Author-Name: Matthieu Llorca Author-X-Name-First: Matthieu Author-X-Name-Last: Llorca Title: The sustainability of fiscal policy: evidence from a panel of six South-Mediterranean countries Abstract: This article aims at assessing the sustainability of fiscal policies in a panel of six South-Mediterranean countries, namely Egypt, Israel, Lebanon, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey. First, using panel data unit-root tests proposed by Im et al. (2003), Maddala and Wu (1999), and Choi (2001), econometric findings reveal that the variables of public expenditure, revenue and domestic debt in level are not stationary. However, employing panel cointegration tests designed by Pedroni (1999), it is found that government spending and revenue are cointegrated. This implies that fiscal policies in these countries are sustainable in the long run, i.e. they are consistent with inter-temporal budget balance in accordance with the present-value approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-803 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:797-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Han Mo Oh Author-X-Name-First: Han Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Ronald McNiel Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: McNiel Title: Determinants of online shoppers' satisfaction in Korea Abstract: The purpose of this article is to identify the factors that might lead to the customer satisfaction in the online shopping malls across Korea. It is hypothesized that customer's positive perception of usefulness of internet shopping, security, technical competence, customer support and the interface of shopping mall positively affects the customer satisfaction. It is also hypothesized that satisfied customer becomes loyal customer. The survey results confirm that customer satisfaction has a significantly positive impact on the customer loyalty, which reveals that internet shoppers show high loyalty when they are satisfied with the service. We also find that online customers' risk perception about the security of the transactions, customer support to the online shopping and interface of the shopping mall are positively related to the customer satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600749164 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600749164&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boopen Seetanah Author-X-Name-First: Boopen Author-X-Name-Last: Seetanah Title: Financial development and economic growth: an ARDL approach for the case of the small island state of Mauritius Abstract: The article investigates the dynamic empirical link between financial development and economic performance for the case of the developing small island state of Mauritius using a unique time-series data set over the period 1952 to 2004. The analysis was performed using two different proxies for financial development in an ARDL framework. The results suggest that financial development have been contributing to the output level of the economy in both short and long run. It thus highlights the economic importance of financial development and provides new evidence for the case of island economies using recent cointegration approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-813 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:809-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guadalupe Fugarolas Alvarez-Ude Author-X-Name-First: Guadalupe Author-X-Name-Last: Fugarolas Alvarez-Ude Author-Name: David Matesanz Gomez Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Matesanz Gomez Title: Long- and short-run balance of payments adjustment: Argentine economic growth constrained Abstract: This article addresses insights on Argentina's slowness growth performance throughout the period 1968 to 2003 and, especially, on its recent crisis in 2002. Using time series unit roots tests, vector auto-regresive models and cointegration tests, this study deals with the effect of the external sector constraint on Argentinean output expansion and, in particular, with the empirical validation of a variant of Thirlwall's Law. The results suggest that, in the long-run, there exists a stable relationship between economic growth, exports and even terms of trade. These findings allow us to conclude that Argentina's international payments position constraints its economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-820 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770897 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770897&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:815-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Author-Name: Dilek Cetin Author-X-Name-First: Dilek Author-X-Name-Last: Cetin Author-Name: Derya Findik Author-X-Name-First: Derya Author-X-Name-Last: Findik Title: Effect of technology on gender wage differential: a panel analysis Abstract: There is a vast amount of literature focusing on the relationship between wage and technology. A panel of 13 countries from 1980 to 1998 period is used in attempt to find an answer whether technology has any effect on gender wage differential in manufacturing industry. The results indicate that as technological change accelerates approximated by the number of patents, wage difference between man and woman will diminish. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-825 Issue: 10 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:10:p:821-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan-Ramon Borrell Author-X-Name-First: Joan-Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Borrell Author-Name: Mara Tolosa Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Tolosa Title: Endogenous antitrust: cross-country evidence on the impact of competition-enhancing policies on productivity Abstract: This article presents empirical evidence regarding the effect of simultaneous antitrust and trade policy on productivity. We find that treating antitrust across countries as an exogenous policy overestimates the impact of competition on productivity by as much as 18%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-831 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949137 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949137&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:827-831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: On the finite sample size and power of the generalized KPSS test in the presence of level breaks Abstract: The KPSS stationarity test is oversized when it is applied to a series containing a strong autoregressive process. Hobijn et al. (2004) demonstrated that the test appears to be better-sized when an automatic-data dependent bandwidth selection procedure is used to estimate the long-run variance of the series. This article examines the impact of level breaks under the null on the finite sample size and power of their generalized KPSS test. It demonstrates that empirical sizes depend critically on the location and the magnitude of the break and that the generalized test is not as robust to variance estimation as was previously thought. The results are shown to be similar to those based on the traditional approach to calculating the KPSS test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 833-843 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:833-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Aggregation of Nerlovian profit indicator Abstract: This note shows that the Nerlovian profit indicator may be aggregated over firms into an industry measure of profit efficiency. The note also provides conditions under which the technical component of the indicator may also be aggregated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-847 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600825584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600825584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:845-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Borrmann Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Borrmann Author-Name: Michaela Schaffhauser-Linzatti Author-X-Name-First: Michaela Author-X-Name-Last: Schaffhauser-Linzatti Title: Franchise bidding with differences in demand Abstract: With a given static market demand and given static cost functions of all potential suppliers as well as sufficient competition, Demsetz' (1968) concept of franchise bidding leads to the selection of the welfare-maximizing supplier. However, with differences in demand among bidders, franchise bidding may lead to an inefficient choice of supplier. If the bidder with the lowest bid were barred from the auction, total surplus might rise, even under economies of scale. This result does not hold, if demand is noncrossing and if bidders' cost functions are identical and exhibit economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-852 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600829123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600829123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:849-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tauhidur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Tauhidur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Determinants of public health expenditure: some evidence from Indian states Abstract: This study examines the evolution of public health expenditure in India. A panel data model is used to explain the main factors which affect public health expenditure in the period 1971 to 1991. The empirical results show that the key determinants in the explanation of the regional health expenditure are real state per capita income and literacy rate, while other structural demand variables such as the proportion of the state population over age 60, population per primary health care center and population per doctor are statistically insignificant factors. An income elasticity of 0.47 implies that health care is not a luxury good. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-857 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600770970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600770970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:853-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Augusto Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Afonso Henriques Borges Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Afonso Henriques Borges Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Jaime de Jesus Filho Author-X-Name-First: Jaime de Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Filho Title: The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in South American countries:a time-varying approach Abstract: Inasmuch as the investment-savings correlation is related to capital immobility and each country has specific and time-varying capital account liberalization and financial deregulation processes, we might not expect a constant and identical correlation for a group of countries. We performed both a constant (OLS) and a time-varying (Kalman filter) estimation of the investment-savings coefficient for Argentina, Brazil and Chile. As expected, the time-varying model presented a better fit, but our findings suggested that the investment-savings correlation is a misleading measure of capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-863 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:859-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Medcalfe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Medcalfe Title: English league transfer prices: is there a racial dimension? A re-examination with new data Abstract: Reilly and Witt (1995) examined the role of race in determining English football transfer prices. The aim of this article is to update their work with new and later data on productivity of football players. Using data from the 2001-2002 English league season, a transfer price equation is estimated to establish if equally productive black players command lower transfer prices. The evidence suggests they do not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-867 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:865-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoon-Jun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yoon-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Strategy of start-ups for IPO timing across high technology industries Abstract: The technology-based start-ups have emerged as important drivers of innovative activity across many industries. For these start-ups, the initial public offering (IPO) has been used as a measure for performance and leads to an influx of capital that enables these firms to implement their ideas. In this study, we focus on the timing of IPO between two industries. Empirically, we investigated corporate disclosure data and patent application data from 36 biotechnology (BT) firms and 166 information technology (IT) firms that are registered in KOSDAQ between 2000 and 2004. The results show that IT start-ups had better wait until the stock market becomes bullish, while BT start-ups had better go public quickly if possible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-877 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600820650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600820650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:869-877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karim Eslamloueyan Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Eslamloueyan Title: The effect of an interest-free banking system on level and volatility of inflation: a GARCH model Abstract: Some Muslim researchers argue that a no-interest financial system better achieves the goal of price stability. Using a GARCH model, this article examines the effect of an interest-free banking system on level and volatility of inflation in a country with a full-fledged no-interest financial system. Iran is chosen for our case study because it has initiated the most far-reaching experiments with interest-free banking in the Muslim world. The results indicate that the new financial setting in Iran has reduced inflation uncertainty but has failed to lower the level of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 879-882 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600892840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600892840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:879-882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gee San Author-X-Name-First: Gee Author-X-Name-Last: San Author-Name: Wen-Jhan Jane Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jhan Author-X-Name-Last: Jane Title: Wage dispersion and team performance: evidence from the small size professional baseball league in Taiwan Abstract: By using professional baseball teams in Taiwan as an example, these articles address the issue of how wage disparities affect organizational performance. Salary and performance data on 364 players on seven teams for the years 1990 through 2000 in Taiwan are collected and both fixed and random effect models together with an index to measure the intra- and inter-salary dispersion are used to investigate the effects of player's wage dispersion on the team's winning percentage, i.e. the team performance. Our empirical results show that teams with less total salary expenditures or greater wage disparity reduce the team's winning percentage and thus hinder the organizational performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-886 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905014 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905014&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:883-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Kailei Wei Author-X-Name-First: Kailei Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Genfu Feng Author-X-Name-First: Genfu Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Lin Song Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Economic growth in the presence of FDI: the perspective of newly industrializing economies Abstract: This article presents two propositions on the role of FDI in economic growth: (1) FDI is a mover of production efficiency and (2) FDI is a shifter of the host country's production frontier. It then employs a production function with a large panel data set from the Chinese regions over 1979-2003 to test the propositions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905022 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905022&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Identifying US turning points revisited: the panel model with the regime switching approach Abstract: This article proposes a panel model with a regime switching mechanism to analyse the feature of US business cycles. This Markov Switching Panel model is simple and can easily be estimated using Hamilton's (1989) method. We test the ability of the Markov Switching Panel model to identify US turning points using the US coincident indicator data. The empirical evidence shows that this model is highly capable of identifying US recessionary dates. It also has a better forecast performance than the Markov Switching vector autoregressive model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-897 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905030 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905030&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:893-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: John Smithin Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Smithin Title: Canadian monetary policy and the US federal funds rate Abstract: This article examines the empirical relation between the Canadian overnight rate and the US federal funds rate over the period 1975 to 2005. There is evidence of cointegration in the earlier part of the period from 1975 to 1988, but not in the post-1988 period to date. The inference is that the Bank of Canada has been pursuing monetary policy independently of the USA at least during the 1988 to 2005 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 899-904 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600905048 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600905048&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:899-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng-Hsun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Nai-Fong Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Nai-Fong Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Author-Name: Cheng-Da Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Nonlinear vs. nonstationary of hysteresis in unemployment: evidence from OECD economies Abstract: This study examines the lower and higher boundaries for the threshold value to be considered an indicator of unemployment in a specific country. Specially, the objective is to conduct the critical moment of hysteresis effects happening in unemployment rate using a group of 16 OECD countries. The methodological strategy applies a developed tool of threshold tests involving unit root against stationary but nonlinear alternative by Caner and Hansen (2001). A significant contribution of this study is identifying a trigger point from the nonstationary of time series process for the first time in the literature. Our empirical results finds strong evidence of the existence of nonlinear stationary in Australia, Canada, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Japan, Netherlands and the USA when the threshold effect holds. The hysteresis hypothesis is further confirmed by the fact that the unemployment rate exceeds the boundaries of the band, for Australia, Finland, France, Germany, Japan and the USA when the threshold unit root test of Caner and Hansen is rigorously implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-909 Issue: 11 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:11:p:905-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Feige Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Feige Author-Name: Jeffrey Miron Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Miron Title: The opium wars, opium legalization and opium consumption in China Abstract: The effect of drug prohibition on drug consumption is a critical issue in debates over drug policy. One episode that provides information on the consumption-reducing efffect of drug prohibition is the Chinese legalization of opium in 1858. In this paper we examine the impact of China's opium legalization on the quantity and price of British opium exports from India to China during the nineteenth century. We find little evidence that legalization increased exports or decreased price. Thus, the evidence suggests China's opium prohibition had a minimal impact on opium consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 911-913 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:911-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: Antoine Parent Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Parent Title: 1861 Abstract: We apply the outlier methodology to the issue of the regulation of Bimetallism. Did French and British central banks use their discount rates as a policy tool for currency stabilization over the period 1850-1870? The common view identifies Bimetallism as a pure automatic system constrained by specie points. Using outliers methodology we give evidence that the influence of the discount rate differential between France and England on the Sterling-Franc spot exchange rate was taken in default only on one occasion, on February 1861. The assessment of the historical context helps to understand this peculiar event which was only transitory. This article is an illustration of the importance of the outlier methodology in cliometrics as a mean to test conventional wisdom in economic history. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-919 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972253 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972253&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:915-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Furceri Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Title: Zipf's law and world income distribution Abstract: The aim of this article is to demonstrate regularity in the world income distribution. In particular, using GDP per capita data for the period 1980 to 2004, the article shows that the world income distribution follows the well know 'rank-size rule'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-923 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972261 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972261&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:921-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Maximization of nonresidential property tax revenue by a local government Abstract: The article presents a model of the market for commercial or industrial real estate at the local level that is used to derive an equation for the property tax rate that maximizes tax revenue - given that demand for real estate at the local level is highly elastic and capital is mobile in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972329 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972329&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: An alternative perspective on the stochastic convergence of incomes in the United States Abstract: In recent years a number of studies has examined the potential stochastic convergence of incomes in the United States. This research has been based upon examination of the order of integration of the ratios of regional levels of per-capita income relative to US aggregate per-capita income, with stationary of the ratios taken as evidence of stochastic convergence. In the present article this research and its implicit assumption that the individual regional and aggregate per-capita series are I(1), are revisited. In a departure from previous research, application of a more robust testing procedure incorporating two structural breaks to the individual aggregate and regional per-capita series, rather than their ratios, is seen to result in overwhelming rejection of the unit root hypothesis for all of the series examined. The unit root hypothesis is rejected also for more disaggregated State level data. The evidence of stationarity presented for the component per-capita income series suggests that care should be exercised when both interpreting results presented previously in the literature and conducting further research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-934 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:929-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srijit Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Srijit Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: On measuring group-differentials displayed by socio-economic indicators: an extension Abstract: In a recent paper, Mishra and Subramanian (2006) propose a measure to explain group-differential which is sensitive to levels in the sense that a given hiatus at lower levels of failure (or higher levels of attainment) is considered worse off. This article critically evaluates their method - refines their two axioms, adds an additional axiom of normalization and proposes an alternative which is more general. It proposes to reduce subjectivity when there is lower hiatus at lower levels of failure and also addresses scenarios when rank ordering of sub-groups will be reversed. Empirical illustration with infant mortality rate data for selected Indian states is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972238 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972238&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Okmyung Bin Author-X-Name-First: Okmyung Author-X-Name-Last: Bin Author-Name: Carlos Martins-Filho Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Martins-Filho Title: Vehicle price and hydrocarbon emissions: evidence from the used-vehicle markets Abstract: This study examines how used-vehicle markets responded to the automobile hydrocarbon emissions by linking used-vehicle price to the large scale emission test data that contain 74 vehicle models manufactured over 18 years. An additive semiparametric hedonic model is estimated to analyse the relationship between vehicle price and hydrocarbon emissions. The estimation procedure is novel and involves a local polynomial estimator nested in a backfitting algorithm with the bandwidths chosen by a data-driven plug-in method. The results indicate that hydrocarbon emissions have a significant negative impact on vehicle price, but the negative association is evident only at low emission levels. The price discount appears to be unrelated to the increased costs from recent emission regulations that mainly target high-polluting vehicles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-943 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:939-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. James Hueng Author-X-Name-First: C. James Author-X-Name-Last: Hueng Author-Name: Ruey Yau Author-X-Name-First: Ruey Author-X-Name-Last: Yau Title: A dual-target monetary policy rule for open economies: an application to France Abstract: This article proposes a dual targets monetary policy rule for small open economies. In addition to a domestic monetary target, this rule targets the nominal exchange rate at a fixed level. The policy rule is derived from a dynamic programming problem and evaluated in the context of an open-economy model. Using French quarterly data from April 1977 to March 1998, counterfactual simulations show that the dual targets rule performs better than both the historical discretionary policy and the single money-targeting rule in reducing the inflation rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-948 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972220 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972220&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:945-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Proposed separability restriction tests using nonparametric regression methods Abstract: This article proposes some tests for separability restriction incorporating nonparametric regression methods, as well as offering their general statistic characteristics. An effective separability restriction test is essential for appropriate model specification or appropriate implementation of semi-parametric estimation. In this article, I describe two procedures to yield the estimated residuals, which is very sensitive to separability restriction, upon which one test statistics is proposed. In some benchmark models of sine/cosine functions, I simulate out the probability density function of test statistics in a small sample. These presented results and analysis show that the proposed estimator is robust and effective to variable functional form of regression curves and to variable scale factors, broader than the 'optimal' level, and can be put conveniently and widely into a practical use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-954 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:949-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Nor Aishah Hamzah Author-X-Name-First: Nor Aishah Author-X-Name-Last: Hamzah Title: Real interest rate parity in the ASEAN-5 countries: a nonlinear perspective Abstract: This article aims at testing real interest parity (RIP) by using nonlinear unit root tests. The results from Kapetanios et al. (2003) demonstrated that the adjustment of ASEAN-5 real interest rates towards real interest rates in Japan and the US follows a nonlinear (stationary) process. Overall, the evidence is in favour of RIP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-958 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600949152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600949152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:955-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The asymmetric behaviour of stock returns and volatilities: evidence from Chinese stock market Abstract: This article investigates the partial adjustment process with asymmetries on Chinese stock index returns and volatilities. Rolling sample windows method is proper to capture evolving asymmetric behaviours of Chinese emerging stock market. The empirical evidence shows that index returns do have asymmetric adjustment behaviours in most of periods and the market tends to overreact to information contained in negative returns. No asymmetry volatility effect was present at the initial stages of the stock market. Along with the development of the market, the leverage effect are present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-962 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600970042 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600970042&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:959-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: The 'natural' bidimensional decomposition of inequality indices: evaluating factor contributions to households welfare inequality in Cameroon, 1996-2001 Abstract: This article proposes a simultaneous (income source and population subgroup) decomposition of inequality indices. The starting point is the Shorrocks' natural income source decomposition. The approach adopted leads to a factor contributions formula, which is independent of the inequality measure chosen. This method is applied to decompose and analyse Cameroonian households' inequality during the 1996-2001 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-970 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972311 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972311&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:963-970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujin Oh Author-X-Name-First: Yujin Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Beong Soo So Author-X-Name-First: Beong Soo Author-X-Name-Last: So Title: A new robust sign test for cointegration Abstract: We propose new tests for cointegration based on signs of the residuals of the conventional t-test. Our tests have the limiting normal distribution under the null hypothesis and are robust to heavy tailed disturbances. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows the new tests have a stable size property and are locally more powerful than that of Engle and Granger (1987) for heavy tailed error distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-974 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:971-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hosung Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hosung Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: New results for nonstationary panel regression Abstract: This article derives the limiting distributions of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Least Square Dummy Variable (LSDV) estimators in both spurious and cointegrated panel regressions. The limit theories employed in this article are different from those of Kao (1999) and Phillips and Moon (1999), in which the time dimension of the panel is fixed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972279 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972279&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: The impact of cross-border mergers on investment Abstract: This article examines the empirical link between mergers and investment using a panel of 61 developed and developing countries between 1987 and 2001. The results indicate that, on average, a rise in cross-border merger and acquisition activity tends to reduce investment. However, in high-income countries, the number of mergers had a positive impact on investment. This finding could be due to stock market inefficiencies in these low- to middle-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-984 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:981-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Delaney Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Delaney Author-Name: Francis O'Toole Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: O'Toole Title: Preferences for specific social welfare expenditures in Ireland Abstract: Many articles examine general level preferences for redistribution. However, few articles examine preferences for specific forms of redistribution. This article examines the decomposition of demand for three major categories of social welfare expenditure in Ireland: unemployment payments, old age pensions and child benefit. The determinants of preferences are found to be fairly consistent with a self-interested economics perspective with respect to the utilization and financing of these three specific schemes. In addition, the split sampling procedure used in the nationwide survey indicated that the provision of information on the schemes' costs did not have a significant effect on preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 985-989 Issue: 12 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972246 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972246&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:12:p:985-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Author-Name: Venkata Puduri Author-X-Name-First: Venkata Author-X-Name-Last: Puduri Title: The influence of Agro-terrorism on consumers' preference for locally grown products: a case-study from New Jersey Abstract: The economics of agro-terrorism has not been fully developed within the economics literature, yet with increasing concerns about agro-terrorism it is important to understand how consumers will generally respond. This article presents an overview of food safety issues, and develops an economic model that can be used to illustrate and establish hypotheses regarding consumer behaviour and agro-terrorism. We then present sample and econometric results from a survey of 304 New Jersey consumers and explain the characteristics of the 33% that confirmed that they have increased purchases of locally grown produce due to terrorism fears. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-995 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972337 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972337&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:991-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Marvao Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Marvao Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Rui Manuel Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Rui Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: Controlling the public wage bill in Portugal: the case of university professors Abstract: Public wages are a large share of the public budget in Portugal and, therefore, hiring freezes are a central feature of the efforts to control the public deficit. The system of public career advancement, however, may lead to increases in the wage bill even in the presence of hiring freezes. We estimate this wage drift effect in the case of university professors. We use a logit analysis with 1999 census data to identify the determinants of career advancement, to estimate the employment distribution in previous years and to obtain the corresponding wage bill. We estimate that the annual wage drift is 2.6%, a figure well above the gross domestic product growth rate and, therefore, we conclude that hiring freezes may be far from enough to stop the expansion of the public wage bill. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1000 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972386 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972386&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:997-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junya Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Junya Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Title: Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with multi-breaks Abstract: In this article, we propose residual-based tests for cointegration in models with multi-breaks. Cointegration can be tested regardless of whether there exist structural breaks. For a one-point break, we usually use the test proposed by Gregory and Hansen (1996). However, this test has not been considered in the case of multistructural breaks. Therefore, we extend this test by considering multi-point breaks. We derive the asymptotic distribution and critical values of the test statistics. Since the critical values of the test statistics are not exact values, we derive these using the Monte Carlo simulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1006 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972378 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972378&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1001-1006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Final modification of the LM unit root test Abstract: This article proposes a modified version of the LM unit root test, which is efficient and independent from the levels regression intercept, under both null and alternative hypotheses. Simulated critical values are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1009 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972345 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972345&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1007-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yewfoong Lam Author-X-Name-First: Yewfoong Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Title: Resource booms and economic development: the time series dynamics for 17 oil-rich countries Abstract: This article examines the time series properties of oil prices and economic development for 17 oil-rich developing countries. Cointegration and error-correction estimation results indicate that in the majority of cases oil booms are followed by increases in both GDP per capita and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1014 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972402 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972402&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1011-1014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Rosalia Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosalia Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Ana Jesus Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Some empirical evidence on Internet diffusion in the New Member States and Candidate Countries of the European Union Abstract: This article contributes to the line of research devoted to the diffusion of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT). In particular, we analyse Internet adoption in the New Member States (NMS) and Candidate Countries (CC) of the European Union, for which empirical evidence is quite scarce. Results confirm that income, educational attainment and age are the main determinants of Internet use. Nonetheless, there are substantial differences in the impacts of such variables in the nine analysed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1015-1018 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1015-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiichi Tomiura Author-X-Name-First: Eiichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tomiura Title: Foreign outsourcing and the product cycle: evidence from micro data Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on the product cycle and the firm's make-or-buy decision by using a firm-level data set with a direct measure of foreign outsourcing. Across industries, foreign outsourcing tends to be inactive in R&D-intensive industries. Within each industry, products exported from the home country are on average significantly more R&D intensive than those outsourced to independent foreign firms. Products manufactured within subsidiaries at South tend to have medium R&D intensity. This ordering in R&D intensity is consistent with the theoretical prediction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wataru Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Wataru Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: What determines the spatial distribution of homeless people in Japan? Abstract: The number of homeless people has been increasing dramatically in Japan since the collapse of the bubble economy in the early of 1990s. This article is the first economic analysis using Geographic Information System (GIS) data to study the spatial distribution of Japan's homeless population. Results suggest that the availability of employment, public medical care and food significantly affect the spatial distribution of Japan's homeless. New supportive facilities and shelters for the homeless should be located in areas with a high availability of employment, inexpensive or free medical care and food. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1026 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972394 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972394&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1023-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Measuring inflation targeting's impact on the macroeconomy Abstract: This article analyses inflation targeting's (IT) impact on key macroeconomic variables in Australia, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Israel, Korea, Mexico, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom in the spirit of Mishkin and Posen (1997). Across this sample, inflation and interest rates predicted from parsimonious, automatically reduced VARs consistently overestimate those observed following IT adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1027-1035 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600972410 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600972410&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1027-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaliappa Kalirajan Author-X-Name-First: Kaliappa Author-X-Name-Last: Kalirajan Title: Gravity model specification and estimation: revisited Abstract: The gravity model is one of the most frequently estimated empirical relationships in economics. However, the most commonly used form of the relationship is not correctly specified. This article discusses the specific sources of imprecision in modelling and estimation of gravity equations and suggests a method to correct the specification bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1039 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993499 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993499&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1037-1039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Duro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Duro Title: Cross-country inequalities in welfare and its decomposition by Sen factors: the virtues of the Theil index Abstract: In this study a new decomposition of the Theil index is proposed using multiplicative factors, which improves on that suggested in Duro (2001), and that, in particular, makes it possible to obtain, in isolation, the role attributable to the elements of factorial correlation. The Theil index, as a referential index in analysis, seems more attractive to us than log variance (Ezcurra and Pascual, 2005) for a variety of reasons. The application of the said decomposition for the analysis of international inequalities in terms of welfare levels, taking the Sen's factors (Sen, 1974, 1976), demonstrates that the bulk of these are determined by disparities in income per capita as well as their recent decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1041-1045 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993507 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993507&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1041-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Title: Fiscal policy, profits and investment: some additional evidence Abstract: This article provides time series evidence on the effects of fiscal policy on profits and investment in the US. In addition to neoclassical models of investment and profits we also consider Keynesian models. Our findings provide some support for the neoclassical views. However, Keynesian explanations, which allow for the effects of the real interest rate, receive strong support from the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1047-1051 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1047-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jui-Kou Shang Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Kou Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Author-Name: Wei-Ting Hung Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Fei-Ching Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fei-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Service outsourcing and hotel performance: three-stage DEA analysis Abstract: This article is the first to apply the three-stage DEA procedure to analyze the impact of service outsourcing on the performance of hotels. In the first stage of analysis, outsourcing hotels are more efficient than nonoutsourcing hotels. However, after purging the effects of exogenous factors, this study found that the average managerial efficiency score computed in the three-stage DEA procedure was 0.917 or alternatively that hotels on average are 8.3% resources waste. Furthermore, service outsourcing is not the main determinant of the efficiency of international tourist hotels in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1057 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993523 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993523&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1053-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Competitive structure of Canadian wheat exports in the world market Abstract: This article re-examines competitive structure of Canadian wheat exporters for evidence of pricing-to-market by the Canadian Wheat Board (CWB), and extends the extant literature by utilizing a broader range of data over importing countries, which better facilitates the detection of pricing behaviour. Our analysis yields interesting empirical results that contrast with other recent arguments. In particular, we find that the CWB exercises mixed practices having market power in a limited extent, getting premiums with better quality of its wheat in some markets and providing wheat at discounted prices in some other destination countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1064 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1059-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sacit Hadi Akdede Author-X-Name-First: Sacit Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Akdede Author-Name: Jinyoung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Jinyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Empirical investigation of disintegrations and nationalism Abstract: This article empirically investigates the relationship between government size and country size for the new countries that gained independence between 1990 and 1993. The relationship between democracy and country size is also investigated. It is found that new independent states have higher public expenditures in gross domestic product and this may be a sign of inefficient use of public resources. However, political disintegrations do not necessarily deliver more civil liberties and political rights. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1071 Issue: 13 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993549 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993549&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:13:p:1065-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Interregional productivity variations in Chinese manufacturing and mining industry Abstract: A shift-share model is employed to analyse the interregional productivity variations in Chinese manufacturing and mining industry. Our empirical results show that sector productivity difference is huge; surprisingly, the most productive coastal regions are found to be specialized in low-productive sectors; the inland provinces suffer a uniform productivity lag, which suggests policies geared to increase regional productivity, such as infrastructures and human capital, are crucial to close the productivity gap between the inland and the costal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993580 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993580&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taufiq Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Taufiq Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: Myles Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Myles Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Interest rate convergence in the Baltic countries of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia Abstract: For the three Baltic countries we find foreign interest rates a more important determinant of domestic interest rates than domestic inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1083 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993622 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993622&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1079-1083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Author-Name: John Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: 'D' is for dilly-dally? Abstract: Evidence from online assignments in an intermediate microeconomics course suggests that nonprocrastinators (both early-starters and front-loaders) score higher than their dilly-dallying counterparts. Students who are busier in school tend to start their assignments earlier. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1085-1088 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1085-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haruko Noguchi Author-X-Name-First: Haruko Author-X-Name-Last: Noguchi Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Author-Name: Wataru Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Wataru Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Nonprofit wage premium in the Japanese child care market: evidence from employer-employee matched data Abstract: Using unique employer-employee matched data, this study reveals the existence of a nonprofit wage premium in Japan's child care industry. Nonprofits reward experienced workers with higher education, associated with the quality of care, more than their for-profit counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1092 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1089-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Further evidence on purchasing power parity over two centuries with multiple changes in persistence Abstract: By allowing for multiple changes in persistence, this note shows that the US/UK real exchange rate spanning two centuries is stationary. This result is consistent with the previous one in Lothian and Taylor (1996, 2000) and purchasing power parity is a useful approximation in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1093-1096 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993556 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993556&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1093-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang-Young Rhyu Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Rhyu Title: Determining the existence of Amakudari in publicly-traded Japanese companies: a Poisson regression approach Abstract: Amakudari is a political-economic phenomenon frequently observed in the Japanese economy and other modern societies. Retired high-ranking bureaucrats are appointed as top executives in lucrative private firms that are controlled by the government ministry or main banks that Amakudari once regulated. These high-ranking ex-government officials use their influence for favourable legislation and treatment to help their companies. Due to the fact that Japanese publicly traded companies hire mostly a smaller portion of directors through Amakudari and sometimes none of them are hired, the most commonly used classical linear regression framework cannot be applied due to violating an assumption on the continuous dependent variable. Instead, this study adopts a counting-process regression approach in order to explain the existence of Amakudari using 2003 data of all publicly traded companies in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1103 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1097-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Title: Diversity and employment growth in sub-regions of Great Britain Abstract: This article presents evidence from an empirical study of employment growth across 203 sub-regions of Great Britain using OLS and maximum likelihood spatial econometric techniques. The results suggest a positive relationship between diversity and local employment growth implying that cross-sector externalities may be of considerable importance to the local growth process. The presence of spatial autocorrelation in the data suggests the existence of substantive interactions across contiguous sub-regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1105-1109 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993572 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993572&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1105-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Wing-Kam Ng Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Kam Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Title: Technical analysis and the London stock exchange: testing the MACD and RSI rules using the FT30 Abstract: This article examines two oscillators - the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) - to see if these rules are profitable. Using 60-year data of the London Stock Exchange FT30 Index, it is found that the RSI as well as the MACD rules can generate returns higher than the buy-and-hold strategy in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1114 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993598 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993598&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1111-1114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarcisio da Graca Author-X-Name-First: Tarcisio Author-X-Name-Last: da Graca Title: Leaving money on the table: evidence of underpricing in the Brazilian privatization auctions Abstract: The Brazilian privatization program raised about US$100 billion as a result of the sale of state-owned firms and assets over the period 1990 to 2001. Despite official claims that the privatization auctions were successful in revenue raising, statistical evidence suggests that the buyers, not the government, profited from the auctions. Using an event-study methodology and financial market data, I estimated the abnormal returns realized by the winning bidders on the days of the Brazilan privatization auctions. Statistically significant evidence suggests that the acquirers accrued, on average, positive 0.70% abnormal returns on those days. In other words, if the privatization auctions had been able to extract the entire surplus from the buyers, the Brazilian government could have raised another US$ 13 billion. This finding contrasts with two branches of literature related to mergers and acquisitions in the private sector and to the privatization programs in other countries Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1115-1121 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993606 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993606&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1115-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandru Todea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Todea Author-Name: Adrian Zoicas-Ienciu Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Zoicas-Ienciu Title: Episodic dependencies in Central and Eastern Europe stock markets Abstract: This article introduces a modified version of the Hinich and Patterson (1995) windowed-test procedure and uses it to detect linear and nonlinear dependencies in the case of six Central and East European stock markets. Testing the original methodology leads us to the same conclusions as those found on other emerging markets: relatively long random walk periods are interrupted by short and intense linear and/or nonlinear correlations. But, our findings diverge when we run the modified test procedure, additional windows rejecting the random walk hypothesis (RWH) being isolated. This divergence, heavily weighing the task of correctly evaluating the informational efficiency degree (the weak form), is significant for the Czech, Hungarian and Romanian markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1126 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993614 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993614&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1123-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Fielding Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Author-Name: Anja Shortland Author-X-Name-First: Anja Author-X-Name-Last: Shortland Title: What drives national attitudes towards the threat of violence? Cross-sectional evidence from foreign tourism in Israel Abstract: We explore the factors explaining cross-sectional variation in changes in international tourist arrivals into Israel during the Intifada. Much of the variation is attributable to identifiable socio-economic characteristics, providing evidence on what drives public sensitivity to violence around the world. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1127-1130 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993630 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993630&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1127-1130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Varoutas Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Varoutas Author-Name: K. Deligiorgi Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Deligiorgi Author-Name: C. Michalakelis Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Michalakelis Author-Name: T. Sphicopoulos Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Sphicopoulos Title: A hedonic approach to estimate price evolution of telecommunication services: evidence from Greece Abstract: Following a description of the leased lines telecommunication market, a single index (based on hedonic approach) for this market is introduced based on data across Europe. This article aims to provide a framework for analysing telecommunication prices over time and study how the prices will fluctuate during coming years, especially as new technologies are commercially provided. The behaviour of the Greek market is analysed from 1997 to 2002. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1131-1134 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993648 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993648&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1131-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei-Yin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jue-Shyan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jue-Shyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Capital outflow and unemployment: evidence from panel data Abstract: The effect of moving capital abroad on the domestic labour market is ambiguous. We examine the relation between capital outflow and unemployment with the use of panel data techniques. The result shows that in developing countries, the outward direct investment is beneficial to employment and the effect of portfolio investment abroad on domestic employment is negative. However, the association between outward investment and employment is insignificant in industrial countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1139 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1135-1139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: On the dynamic relationship of exchange rates and monetary fundamentals: an impulse-response analysis by local projections Abstract: Meese and Rogoff (1983) first examined the dynamic relationship between exchange rates and monetary fundamentals and indicated that monetary fundamentals do not contain predictive component of exchange rates changes at short horizon. This note re-examines this relationship by estimating the local projections (Jorda, 2005) to calculate the responses of the exchange rate to monetary fundamental impulse. As a result, we confirm the dynamic relationship: Evidence from both cubic and linear projections show that monetary fundamentals contain information of future exchange rate changes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1141-1145 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1141-1145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengsi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chengsi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Structural instability of US inflation persistence Abstract: The article employs recently developed unknown break tests to characterize the nature of structural instability in inflation persistence and find multiple structural breaks in the persistence of six major US inflation series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1147-1151 Issue: 14 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:14:p:1147-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valerie Cerra Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Cerra Author-Name: Sweta Saxena Author-X-Name-First: Sweta Author-X-Name-Last: Saxena Title: Business cycle dynamics in a small open economy Abstract: This article combines common factor extraction techniques with permanent and temporary regime switching to analyse Chile's business cycle fluctuations. We find asymmetries across business cycle episodes as well as within the cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1157 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1153-1157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: A note on reverse competition and the Martha Stewart sentencing Abstract: This study notes that the light sentence for insider trading that resulted in a nearly 37% gain for Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia, Inc. also may have been responsible for a small but significant average loss for industry rivals on the sentencing date. The sentence that was 'good' news for Martha was also 'bad' news for her competitors on the sentencing date. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1159-1161 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1159-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gail Shields Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Title: Four themes to explain the rise in hours worked in the United States Abstract: This article examines why hours worked in the United States have risen for the last thirty years. This increase has been contrasted by Prescott and Blanchard to the European experience of falling hours worked. Four basic explanations of this divergence are combined in a reduced form model of hours worked in the United States from 1965 to 2001. The explanation that seems to fit the data best is that rising health care costs in the United States is a key explanation. Other explanations for the increase in United States average hours worked per week include a decline in marginal tax rates, a rise in income inequality coupled with a decline in real wage rates, and productivity growth. A reduced form model is estimated using four explanatory variables representing each of these four themes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1163-1166 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1163-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuo Nishiyama Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nishiyama Title: German leadership: evidence from retail mortgage rates Abstract: The article finds evidence that the converging trend of euro-zone countries' retail mortgage rates, observed before and shortly after the introduction of the euro, is dictated by the German mortgage rate, hence supporting the German leadership role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1170 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1167-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saumik Paul Author-X-Name-First: Saumik Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Ronita Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Ronita Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: How predictable are the FIFA worldcup football outcomes? An empirical analysis Abstract: Since 1993 the Federation of International Football Association's (FIFA) monthly world ranking system for senior national football teams has become a reliable source to judge a team's potentiality in football. In the past four FIFA worldcup football tournaments from 1994 to 2006, the top seeded team never won the FIFA worldcup except in 1994 when Brazil won as the number one team. This article examines the strength of this element of uncertainty in FIFA worldcup using two empirical models. We find empirical evidence of the fact that in spite of the number of cases of surprise upsets from the lower ranked teams or poor performance by the top seeded teams; overall the results are strongly in favour of the higher ranked teams. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1176 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1171-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kong Weng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Kong Weng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Randy Tan Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Nonmonotonic relationship between human capital and unemployment: an exploratory study with empirical evidence on Singapore Abstract: We examine empirically the role of human capital, together with global and domestic technologies, in the evolution of unemployment in Singapore. Our results show a threshold level of human capital, below (above) which increases (decreases) in human capital will reduce (raise) unemployment. This nonmonotonic relationship is caused by a greater substitution from labour toward technology feasible at higher levels of human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1185 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500461399 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850500461399&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1177-1185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minchoul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minchoul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Ronald McNiel Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: McNiel Title: Predicting survival prospect of corporate restructuring in Korea Abstract: The purpose of this article is to identify the success factors of corporate restructuring by studying the firms that have survived from the financial distress in South Korea. The logit analysis is used with the two qualitative variables of success and failure. Selected independent variables are firm risk, free asset, audit opinion, liquidity, firm size and period of existence. The results show that audit opinion, risk of the firm and firm size are the important variables in predicting the survival prospect of financially distressed firms. The percentage of correct prediction is 81.4% for the estimation sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1190 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018080 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018080&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1187-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young-Yong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Some reasons for the existence of real bills Abstract: It is profitable to accept a bill as long as dishonouring probability of the bill is less than the ratio of operating income to sales, which is supported by empirical observations. Also accepting bills tends to establish high quality customer relationships, thereby increasing the long-run profits and decreasing their variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1191-1195 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1191-1195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Author-Name: Eleftherios Goulas Author-X-Name-First: Eleftherios Author-X-Name-Last: Goulas Title: The relative importance of sector and country factors for leasing penetration rates across European industries Abstract: We investigate the relative importance of sector and country factors in explaining the variation of leasing penetration rates across industries in Europe. According to our results, country effects represent the dominant driving factor for leasing when compared to sector effects. An explanation might be that the country factors overshadow the corresponding sector ones for they capture the depth and development of the leasing sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1197-1200 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007083 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007083&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1197-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Westerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westerhoff Title: Consumer sentiment and business cycles: a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation scenario Abstract: We seek to demonstrate that consumer sentiment may create fluctuations in economic activity. Our nonlinear discrete-time model possesses, for instance, a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation, after which a stable steady state is replaced by (quasi-)periodic motion. Countercyclical interventions to stabilize the economy may even produce complex (chaotic) business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1205 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600993705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850600993705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1201-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Huang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Huang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yun-Wu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jer-Shiou Chiou Author-X-Name-First: Jer-Shiou Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou Title: The impacts of sociopolitical instability on construction dimension Abstract: Most existing studies focus on establishing models of interdependence between the construction sector and performance of the national economy, this issue was initiated from financial markets in this study. By adopting an autoregressive conditional jump intensity model, this study examined how various unpredictable events impact the construction sector. Dependence on the arrival process governing jump events in a discrete-time setting was explored, in addition to the behaviour of the fundamental properties of structure index during periods of distinct events. Although the market efficiency hypothesis still holds, results of this study demonstrate that acquisition announcements are perceived as discrete sudden shocks by the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601007091 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601007091&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Kumar Bundoo Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bundoo Title: An augmented Fama and French three-factor model: new evidence from an emerging stock market Abstract: There were forty equity stocks listed on the stock exchange of Mauritius as at end of December 2004. Fama and French (1993) posit that a possible explanation for the size and book-to-market equity effects could be due to other risk factors not captured in a standard capital asset pricing model. This paper therefore investigates whether on the stock exchange of Mauritius, when taking into account the time variation in risk (as measured by time-varying betas), the two additional factors are still priced. The paper presents an augmented model, which takes into account the time variation in beta, in addition to the size and book-to-market equity factors. It is found that the coefficients for the size effect and the book-to-market equity effect are all significant at the one percent level and with the expected signs. These effects do not disappear. This shows that the Fama and French three factor model is robust to taking into account time-varying betas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1218 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1213-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Chih Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do foreign trading patterns cause abnormal information from Taiwanese stock markets? Abstract: This study investigates whether foreign investors cause abnormal information by jump process in the Taiwanese stock market during before and after relaxation of the restrictions on QFII investors on 2 October 2003 (pre- and post-QFII). By conducting further analysis, this study conducts detailed analysis and explores how abnormal information and QFII behaviour are related by performing correlation and Granger causality analyses. This study concludes that the release of restrictions on QFII has been extremely helpful in improving the domestic investment environment and stabilizing the Taiwanese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1224 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018056 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018056&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1219-1224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: A note on spurious regressions between stationary series Abstract: This article examines if the convergent t-test suggested by Sun (2004) is able to solve spurious regressions with stationary series. In brief, we find that the convergent t-test does provide better control over size compared to the usual t-test and its Newey-West modification and, in most cases implementing a pre-whitening procedure size is further controlled. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1225-1230 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018106 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018106&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1225-1230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Diffusion of home computers and social networks: a study using Japanese panel data Abstract: In this article, I explore the interaction effects of social networks and local spillovers in the diffusion of computers using the panel data from 47 Japanese prefectures for the years 1988-2000. Controlling for unobserved prefecture-specific fixed effects and an endogeneity bias of the lagged dependent variable (the computer possession rate), I find that people are more likely to own computers in areas where the possession rate of computers is higher and where social networks are more strongly connected. Further results suggest a robust complementarity between existing computer owners and the social network. Overall, the empirical study provides evidence that the people learn from neighbours who own computers via a social network enhancing spillovers and reducing transaction costs. That is, the social network reduces the cost of being acquainted with experienced computer owners and so being able to learn from them, thereby attracting new adopters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1231-1235 Issue: 15 Volume: 15 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:15:y:2008:i:15:p:1231-1235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Editorial: Long-run purchasing power parity and real exchange rates: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of 18 empirical studies that make up this special issue on long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) and real exchange rates. The motivation for the special issue was to bring together a set of studies as diverse as possible in terms of countries, real exchange rates and methodology, as a means of testing the robustness of long-run PPP. Overall, the results of the various studies provide robust support for long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-4 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802704280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802704280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:1-4 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Arti Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Arti Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Title: Evidence on PPP from a cointegration test with multiple structural breaks Abstract: Despite a plethora of studies on purchasing power parity (PPP), those that take a cointegration approach have found mixed evidence on PPP. The goal of this article is to obviate existing tensions in the PPP literature by using a simple test for cointegration between nominal exchange rate and relative prices that accounts for multiple structural breaks. We find that for 14 out of 15 OECD countries, there is evidence of a cointegration relationship between nominal exchange rate and relative prices at the 5% level. Only for Japan, we find evidence for cointegration at the 2.5% level. These results suggest overwhelming evidence of support for PPP for the OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 5-8 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222160 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222160&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:5-8 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Christoph Hanck Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Hanck Title: Cointegration tests of PPP: do they also exhibit erratic behaviour? Abstract: We analyse whether tests of PPP exhibit erratic behaviour (as previously reported by Caporale et al., 2003) even when (possibly unwarranted) homogeneity and proportionality restrictions are not imposed, and trivariate cointegration (stage-three) tests between the nominal exchange rate, domestic and foreign price levels are carried out (instead of stationarity tests on the real exchange rate, as in stage-two tests). We examine the US dollar real exchange rate vis-a-vis 21 other currencies over a period of more than a century, and find that stage-three test statistics are also somewhat erratic, though less than stage-two ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 9-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802092198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802092198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:9-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Are real exchange rates more likely to be stationary during the fixed nominal exchange rate regimes? Abstract: By testing for the presence of multiple changes in persistence at a priori unknown dates in the real exchange rates spanning more than 100 years over different nominal exchange rate regimes, this note shows that the real exchange rates are more likely to be stationary during the fixed nominal exchange rate regimes than during the floating ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:17-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozgur Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: Levent Korap Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Korap Title: Are real exchange rates mean reverting? Evidence from a panel of OECD countries Abstract: In our article we employ some contemporaneous panel unit root tests (Maddala and Wu, 1999; Im et al., 2003) to examine whether the real exchange rates are mean reverting. Considering a panel of 26 OECD countries from 1987 to 2006 both using monthly and quarterly observations, we find that assuming a panel framework significantly increases the power of unit root tests. As a result, we find that the nonstationarity of the real exchange rate has strongly been rejected in favour of giving support to the purchasing power parity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735773 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735773&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:23-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Financial integration and parity reversion in real exchange rates of emerging markets Abstract: Johansen's cointegration technique was utilized with annual data on exchange rates and GDP deflators to investigate the validity of long-run PPP (power purchasing parity) in emerging markets during the 1955-2005 period. We found support for PPP. Given the globalization of financial markets and their impacts on the macroeconomy, PPP is a useful guide for exchange rate policy reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. V. Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: J. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Author-Name: F. Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-Name: S. Torra-Porras Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Torra-Porras Title: Purchasing power parity and nonlinear adjustment Abstract: In this article we study the out-of-sample real exchange rate forecasts of an Artificial Neural Network model, an AR model and a random walk model. The results confirm the relevance of nonlinear adjustment in the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-38 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719645 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719645&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:35-38 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minoas Koukouritakis Author-X-Name-First: Minoas Author-X-Name-Last: Koukouritakis Title: Testing the purchasing power parity: evidence from the new EU countries Abstract: This article examines the validity of the purchasing power parity (PPP) between each of the 12 new EU countries vis-a-vis the Eurozone. Using the Johansen cointegration methodology for a period that begins from the mid-1990s and allowing for a structural break for the countries that joined the EU on May 2004, it is found that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship among the nominal exchange rate, the domestic prices and the foreign prices, for all the new EU countries. The evidence also suggests that the PPP vector enters the cointegration space for Bulgaria, Cyprus, Romania and Slovenia, which means that only for these countries the long-run PPP vis-a-vis the Eurozone is verified. For the rest of the new EU countries the long-run PPP is violated, may due to the fact that the currencies of these countries have been pegged to the euro and cannot reflect the inflation differences vis-a-vis the Eurozone. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:39-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Oh Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: K. Han Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Purchasing power parity in Korean city panels with disaggregate price indices Abstract: We examine whether the purchasing power parity holds between Korean major cities. We use the disaggregated consumer price index data for Korean cities including 13 tradable or nontradable goods. We apply panel unit root tests of Maddala and Wu (1999), Choi (2001) and Im et al. (2003). From the empirical result, we are able to reject the nonstationary null hypothesis for six of eight tradable goods and for two of five nontradable goods at the 10% level. Thus we could conclude that the theory holds between Korean major cities. Also, it holds more for tradable goods than nontradable goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964323 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964323&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:45-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Hock-Ann Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hock-Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Purchasing power parity in Asian economies: further evidence from rank tests for cointegration Abstract: The finding of nonlinear cointegration between Asian exchange rates with the corresponding relative prices and aggregate price levels based on Breitung's (2001) nonparametric rank tests reinforces previous validations of purchasing power parity (PPP) by the parametric testing procedures. Hence, the long-run Asian exchange rates are in equilibrium with the relevant fundamentals as suggested by the PPP hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Purchasing power parity and long memory Abstract: This article examines the validity of purchasing power parity by estimating long memory parameters with recently suggested exact local Whittle estimators of Shimotsu and Phillips (2005). Little evidence is found for stationarity in the real exchange rates spanning more than 100 years from 16 advanced countries. However, most of the estimates of long memory parameters are less than 1, so that they indicate mean-reversion to parity. Hence, purchasing power parity holds for most real exchange rates studied here. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601044961 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601044961&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:55-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: New evidence of the validity of purchasing power parity from Turkey Abstract: The validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) is examined between Turkey and trading partners, namely USA, Germany, Japan, France, Netherlands and UK. Different unit root test and different base countries are used to determine if the validity of PPP is influenced by the type of test and/or the base country. According to estimation results PPP in Turkey is sensitive to the choice of the base country and can be influenced by the type of test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701351902 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701351902&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Financial globalization and purchasing power parity in the G7 countries Abstract: Financial globalization has huge opportunities and risks as it transforms supply and demand conditions in various countries. Competent macroeconomic management is needed to address the growing links between national economies and global financial markets. Johansen's cointegration technique was utilized with annual data on exchange rates and four price deflators (e.g. consumer price index, Wholesale Price Index (WPI), food price index and producer price index for manufacturing) to investigate the validity of long-run purchasing power parity in the G7 countries during the 1951 to 2006 period. We found support for purchasing power parity, thereby making it a useful guide for exchange rate policy reforms. Depending on the price index used, adjustment to exchange rate and price shocks take 0.35-8.20 years to return to equilibrium levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802360058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802360058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:69-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi Keung Marco Lau Author-X-Name-First: Chi Keung Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Title: A more powerful panel unit root test with an application to PPP Abstract: Applying the new panel unit root test developed in this article, we can overcome the pitfalls of old-fashioned panel unit root tests making it possible for researchers testing individual series for a unit root while taking contemporaneous cross- sectional dependence into account. The proposed test is indeed more powerful than univariate Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test in rejecting false I(1) time series. The long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis on four OECD countries was tested between year 1950 and 1995. Evidence in favor of long-run PPP was absent when using single ADF and traditional panel data unit root test, however, when using the new test developed in this article we find strong evidence in favour of long-run purchasing power parity for three out of four OECD countries. The finite sample performance of the new test is examined though Monte Carlo Simulation, and was superior as compared to that of single ADF unit root test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-80 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735815 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735815&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:75-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasip Bolatoglu Author-X-Name-First: Nasip Author-X-Name-Last: Bolatoglu Author-Name: Funda Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Funda Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Title: Stochastic behaviour of the real exchange rate for Jordan: a re-examination Abstract: The purpose of this article is to re-examine the validity of the long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis for Jordan. Using a Markov-switching model, we provide some evidence that the real exchange rate of Jordan is stationary during periods of low real exchange rate volatility and nonstationary during periods of high real exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719504 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719504&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:81-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Title: Purchasing power parity in Central and Eastern European countries: an analysis of unit roots and nonlinearities Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the empirical fulfilment of purchasing power parity (PPP) in a number of Central and Eastern European countries. For this purpose we apply two different unit root tests in order to control for two sources of nonlinearities, i.e. Bierens (1997) and Kapetanios et al. (2003). We find that PPP holds in most of these countries once account has been taken of nonlinear deterministic trends and smooth transitions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-94 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112252 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112252&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:87-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Functional forms and PPP: new evidence for eight Asian countries Abstract: This article applies the extended Box-Cox model to test functional forms of purchasing power parity (PPP) for eight selected Asian countries. Both the CPI and the PPI are considered. The relative price is the major determinant of the nominal exchange rate except for Malaysia when the CPI is used. The widely used double-log form for PPP can be rejected in seven of the eight countries when the CPI is used and in six of the eight countries when the PPI is used. The unitary elasticity cannot be rejected for Korea when the CPI is used and can be rejected for other cases. Hence, most countries have a nonlinear functional form of PPP and exhibit a nonunitary elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-98 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701720064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:95-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yilmaz Akdi Author-X-Name-First: Yilmaz Author-X-Name-Last: Akdi Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Hasan Olgun Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Olgun Title: Testing the PPP hypothesis for G-7 countries Abstract: This article applies the model free, seasonality robust periodogram test, and the conventional augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test to the real exchange rates (RER) of the G-7 countries. The empirical results show that the periodogram test rejects the null of unit root for a larger number of countries compared to the ADF test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-101 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018551 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018551&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:99-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Kamrul Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Kamrul Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: Does the relative population growth affect purchasing power parity? Abstract: Relative population growth affects price levels through its effect on money demand and that in turn impacts Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Standard time series econometrics is used to investigate this issue using data from 30 selected countries. The empirical results show that there is stable relationship between PPP exchange rate and relative population growth in selected countries in the long run. These findings demonstrate that population growth influences exchange rate determination through PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-107 Issue: 1 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802616484 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802616484&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:1:p:103-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Acosta Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta Author-Name: Gabriel Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Montes Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Title: A simple IM test for exponential distributions Abstract: We construct a simple information matrix misspecification test for exponential distributions that can be applied in duration models. We evaluate the test performance using Monte Carlo simulation experiments. We found good empirical size properties and good power against Weibull and Gamma distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 109-112 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:109-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Peter DaDalt Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: DaDalt Title: Does founding family control affect earnings management? Abstract: Because of concentrated ownership stakes, board composition and longer-investment horizons, founding-family controlled firms provide an interesting setting for examining issues relating to governance and control. Anderson and Reeb (2003a, b, 2004), find that the founding-family controlled structure results in superior stock market and accounting performance and lower cost of debt compared to their nonfamily controlled counterparts. We add to their findings by examining the relationships between founding family control and earnings management. The unique characteristics of family controlled firms could insulate these firms from pressures to manage earnings. Our results support this notion, and find that family firms are significantly less likely to manage earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-119 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540701720592 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540701720592&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:113-119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Ryeol Author-X-Name-Last: Kurz-Kim Title: A comparison of forecasting performance between ECM and the difference ARX model Abstract: Using Monte Carlo simulations, we compare the forecasting performance of the single equation error correction model (SEECM) with that of the (misspecified) difference autoregressive model with exogenous variables (ARX). The main result of the article is that the SEECM produces superior forecasts for short horizons, but not for long horizons, as shown analytically by Christoffersen and Diebold (1999). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haibin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Haibin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Entry barriers and markup ratios: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This article examines the effects of industrial natural entry barrier and country entry regulation on industrial markups for 13 OECD countries. We find that markup ratios are high in industries with high natural entry barrier and in countries with high-entry regulation. In addition, markups are high in high natural entry barrier industries in high-entry regulation countries. However, all these effects are not significant, thus implying that entry barrier may not have a strong effect on the market power or profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018122 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018122&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:125-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruth Williams Author-X-Name-First: Ruth Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: D. P. Doessel Author-X-Name-First: D. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Doessel Title: Improving mental health inequality? Some initial evidence from Australia Abstract: This study statistically analyses the location and distribution of some aspects of mental health in Queensland. The health status measured here is not the conventional 'count' approach, i.e. counting people diagnosed with/without illness, but rather an approach that was developed in the context of mortality, by Silber and subsequently Le Grand. The present context is morbidity. We measure the years lived free of serious mental illness, for people who subsequently contract these illnesses. A complete enumeration dataset (i.e. not a sample), namely, the Queensland hospital admissions dataset commencing in 1964, is available. Specific illness codings are for conditions so consistently serious that hospital admission invariably occurred throughout the 40-year period. The present study is partial, but has two major advantages. First, the measure incorporates the notion that the later in life is the onset of serious mental illness, the better. Second, although age distribution measurement is not possible with 'count' data, it is possible with this approach. Inequality measures, such as the Gini coefficient, are applied to measure the inequality in the distribution. Time series on mental health and mental health inequality, for males and females, are thus generated and statistically analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018130 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018130&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:131-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Is there a natural suicide rate? Abstract: In order to explore whether societies have a natural (nonzero) suicide rate, regression equations were derived predicting the suicide rate over the regions of 11 nations and over time in 13 nations from the divorce and unemployment rates. All of the regression equations had positive constant terms, indicating a nonzero, positive natural suicide when socio-economic conditions were set to minimize the suicide rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:137-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bayer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bayer Author-Name: Carsten Burhop Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Burhop Title: If only I could sack you! Management turnover and performance in Great German Banks between 1874 and 1913 Abstract: We analyse the relation of firm performance and managerial turnover in 19th century German banking by probit estimation. This period covers a major reform of corporate governance. Before the reform performance and turnover were unrelated, whereas after the reform more successful managers left firms more seldom. However, only short-run performance matters in this turnover-success relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018205 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018205&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:141-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Wayne Everson Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Everson Author-Name: Lynn Gray Author-X-Name-First: Lynn Author-X-Name-Last: Gray Title: Effect of unemployment insurance tax on wages and reallocation of labour Abstract: We develop a labour market equilibrium model and show how the federally collected Unemployment Insurance (UI) Tax affects labour force allocation between regular labour and contract labour. We also analyse the effect of UI tax on wages of the two types of labour. Our model suggests that the effect of a UI tax will be to increase the employment and wages of contract labour and to reduce the employment and wages of regular labour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:147-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: On the relevance of t-ratios in empirical modelling: two special cases Abstract: It is a common practice to rescale data to assist model estimation. Rescaling in general does not affect the model fit or the statistical inference from the estimation results. This article however, describes two cases where care is called upon when interpreting the t-ratio associated with the constant terms. One case is a linear model with a continuous dependent variable and the other case is a nonlinear model with a discrete dependent variable. It is proved in this article that in these two cases, one can arbitrarily manipulate the t-ratio associated with the constant term by rescaling the data. Implications from these results on empirical modelling are also given. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 151-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:151-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guneratne Wickremasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Guneratne Author-X-Name-Last: Wickremasinghe Title: Are real exchange rates of Papua New Guinea mean-reverting? Evidence from panel unit root tests Abstract: This article examines mean-reversion of real exchange rates of Papua New Guinea (PNG), which is the crucial condition for purchasing power parity (PPP) to hold. Taking a departure from the most previous studies, we used six panel unit root tests to investigate the empirical validity of the PPP hypothesis to PNG. Both the preliminary analysis performed by examining time series plots of real exchange rates and the results of the panel unit root tests indicate that the PPP does not hold for PNG. These results may be attributed to frictions, such as transportations costs, prevailing in international trade that lead PPP to follow a nonlinear stochastic process. This issue will be investigated in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: Is South Korea's stock market efficient? Evidence from a nonlinear unit root test Abstract: In this article we re-examine efficiency of the South Korea's stock market, extending recent work of Narayan and Smyth (2004). For this purpose we apply the nonlinear unit root test procedure recently developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003). The nonlinear unit root test rejects the null hypothesis of unit root, suggesting that the South Korea's stock market is not weak form efficient, contrary to the findings of Narayan and Smyth (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:163-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Yuksel Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Yuksel Author-Name: Y. Akdi Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Akdi Title: The effect of different inflation risks on interest rates of the US Abstract: This article examines the effect of different inflation uncertainty measures on interest rates of the US in a Fisher hypothesis framework. Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) specification with a time-dependent parameter model is used to obtain three types of inflation uncertainties, namely, impulse uncertainty, structural uncertainty and steady-state uncertainty. It has been observed that the impulse uncertainty has negative but the structural uncertainty has positive impact on both short-term and long-term interest rates. Both of these effects are statistically significant. The influence of steady-state uncertainty on interest rates is positive, but the level of significance depends on the inclusion of output gap. Without the inclusion of output gap, the effect is insignificant, whereas the effect becomes significant when output gap is introduced. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018072 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018072&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:169-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. -Y. Chen Author-X-Name-First: M. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: F. -L. Lin Author-X-Name-First: F. -L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: C. -K. Chang Author-X-Name-First: C. -K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Relations between health care expenditure and income: an application of local quantile regressions Abstract: In this article, local relationship between per capita health care expenditure (HCE hereafter) and GDP is investigated with local quantile regressions. Logarithmic per capita GDP and HCE of 154 countries in 2001 and 25, 50 and 75% quantile regressions are considered. Three main findings are obtained from our empirical study. First, conditional distribution of per capita HCE on GDP is asymmetric. For lower GDP countries, the conditional distribution is skewed to the right which means less health care tends to be consumed. On the contrary, the conditional distribution is skewed to the left which implies more health care is apt to be consumed for high GDP countries. Second, variance of the conditional distribution is larger when per capita GDP is low and smaller when per capita GDP is high. This confirms the necessity of restricting the sample observations to OECD countries for holding the homogeneity of HCE when the conditional mean is considered. Third, whether health care is 'necessary' or 'luxury' depends on the level of per capita GDP. For 50% quantile, the income elasticity is significant >1 when per capita GDP is greater than US$ 1882 (ln(1882) = 7.56), which indicates that health care becomes luxury for countries with per capita GDP higher than US$ 1882. For 75% quantile, the elasticity is significantly >1 and health care becomes luxury for countries with per capita GDP higher than US$ 1737 (ln(1737) = 7.46). As to 25% quantile, the elasticity is significantly >1 and health care becomes luxury for countries with per capita GDP higher than US$ 1920 (ln(1920) = 7.56). These results indicate that health care is a necessity for 37 countries with per capita income lower than $ 1920 and is luxury for other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 177-181 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018114 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018114&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:177-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Multiple asymmetries in index stock returns from boom/bust and stable/volatile markets states- an empirical study of US and UK stock markets Abstract: This article tries to answer the question: is the response of current returns to past returns asymmetric when the returns follow an autoregressive, spillover GARCH model? Our empirical findings are consistent with the following notions. First, both US and UK markets appear to overreact to the drastic events in the 1990s. Second, the impacts of the 1-week-ahead foreign market returns were marked during the 1980s, especially when the home market returns were both volatile and negative. In contrast, the impacts were insignificant during the 1990s. Third, in the 1990s, the UK (US) investors' behaviour during the bust appears to be consistent (inconsistent) with the leverage effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-191 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018148 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018148&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:183-191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziano Razzolini Author-X-Name-First: Tiziano Author-X-Name-Last: Razzolini Title: A note on the estimation of the PD-GEV models Abstract: This note provides a formula to compute the value of the mean utilities as a function of market shares in Bresnahan et al.'s (1997) production differentiation models (PD-GEV) (1997). Such a formula avoids the time consuming contraction mapping procedure suggested by Berry et al. (1995). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hironobu Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Hironobu Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: An analysis of the relation between R&D and M&A in high-tech industries Abstract: This article discusses the relation between research and development (R&D) investment and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in Japanese high-tech industries. Using a count data model, it is found that there exists a positive correlation (complementarity) between R&D investment and M&A. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018163 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018163&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:199-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belen Rey Author-X-Name-First: Belen Author-X-Name-Last: Rey Author-Name: Vicente Inglada Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Inglada Author-Name: Cipriano Quiros Author-X-Name-First: Cipriano Author-X-Name-Last: Quiros Author-Name: Ana Rodriguez-Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Alvarez Author-Name: Pablo Coto-Millan Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Coto-Millan Title: From European to Asian leadership in the economic efficiency of the world air industry Abstract: This article sets out to compare the economic efficiency (EE) and decomposing of the changes in productivity of international air transport companies, during the period of 1996-2000. In these years, competition has been increased with the low-cost carriers and changes in Asian markets. Our purpose is to prove if these kinds of changes have damaged the EE of European and American companies compared with Asian carriers, and if Asian carriers are the new leaders in the air transport market. A stochastic frontier is estimated for cost function. From these estimations, we obtain indices for EE. For measuring productivity change, we use Malmquist indexes. They are computed using nonparametric programming techniques and we decompose them into technical and efficiency change. Our evidence suggests that the benefits of increasing competition in terms of EE and productivity are large for the Asian companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-209 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:203-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeti Nisha Madhoo Author-X-Name-First: Yeti Nisha Author-X-Name-Last: Madhoo Title: Policy and nonpolicy determinants of progressivity of block residential water rates - a case study of Mauritius Abstract: This article presents empirical results on increasing block water rates that contradict conventional wisdom in developing countries and many developed countries. Unlike in other countries, family size in Mauritius increases with income. Due to this unusual demographic dimension, increasing block tariffs coupled with lifeline rates that are below long-run marginal cost applicable to low-volume users produce a different result. Regional variations in water demand and extensive metering both in rural and urban areas reinforce the redistributing nature of water charges. Traditional incidence analysis with adjustment for family size, linear expenditure systems approach and interactive demand models empirically support this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 211-215 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:211-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilberto Paula Author-X-Name-First: Gilberto Author-X-Name-Last: Paula Author-Name: Francisco Jose Cysneiros Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cysneiros Title: Systematic risk estimation in symmetric models Abstract: The aim of this article is to discuss the estimation of the systematic risk in capital asset pricing models with heavy-tailed error distributions to explain the asset returns. Diagnostic methods for assessing departures from the model assumptions as well as the influence of observations on the parameter estimates are also presented. It may be shown that outlying observations are down weighted in the maximum likelihood equations of linear models with heavy-tailed error distributions, such as Student-t, power exponential, logistic II, so on. This robustness aspect may also be extended to influential observations. An application in which the systematic risk estimate of Microsoft is compared under normal and heavy-tailed errors is presented for illustration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 2 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018239 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018239&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Andros Gregoriou Author-X-Name-First: Andros Author-X-Name-Last: Gregoriou Title: Non-normality, heteroscedasticity and recursive unit root tests of PPP: solving the PPP puzzle? Abstract: In this article, we carry out unit root tests on real exchange rates recursively as in Caporale et al. (2003), but, following Arghyrou and Gregoriou (2007), we adjust the residuals for non-normality and heteroscedasticity using a wild bootstrap method. The results are striking: this correction sharply increases the rejection percentages of the unit root null and attenuates the erratic behaviour of the t-statistic, providing evidence in favour of purchasing power parity (PPP) and suggesting that such a correction might at least go some way towards solving the 'PPP puzzle'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-226 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802167321 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802167321&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:223-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Title: What determines self-employment? A comparative study Abstract: This article consists of a comparative study of the incidence of self-employment (SE) between Greece, which has the highest rate of SE in the European Union and the United Kingdom, which has amongst the lowest. Data from the Greek and the UK Labour Force Surveys are used in order to assess how personal attributes of an individual have an impact on the incidence of SE. It is found that common patterns exist between these two countries. In particular, it is found that for both countries, males have greater odds of being self-employed than females, older people have greater odds than younger, individuals employed in the primary and tertiary sectors have greater odds than the ones employed in the secondary, and that individuals with primary or secondary education have greater odds of being self-employed than individuals holding higher degrees. The incidence of SE is also found to differ according to the occupation of the individual. On the other hand, the findings indicate that individuals, residing in London, have greater odds of being self-employed than individuals working outside UK's capital, whereas in Greece the pattern is reversed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:227-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Inflation targeting and the inflation-inflation uncertainty relationship: evidence from Thailand Abstract: This study extends the literature on the relationships between inflation and inflation volatility by examining the impact of inflation targeting on inflation volatility in Thailand. The ARIMA-GARCH model reveals that inflation targeting marginally reduced the degree of volatility persistence in response to inflationary shocks (i.e. inflation uncertainty). Granger-causality tests show that an increase in inflation causes an increase in inflation uncertainty. However, an increase in inflation uncertainty causes a decrease in inflation. Thus, the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Thailand support Holland's (1995) stabilization hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-238 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802078007 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802078007&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:233-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Ma Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Jeffrey Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: A variance decomposition in the evaluation of the effects of educational policies in economic education Abstract: A student's grade is decomposed into a part due to ability plus a part due to random guessing. Holding the variance of the ability distribution constant, we show that the introduction of a positive educational policy will increase the mean but decrease the variance of the grade distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-242 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018460 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018460&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:239-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Garrett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Garrett Title: Evaluating state tax revenue variability: a portfolio approach Abstract: This article develops a volatility model based on portfolio theory to examine state tax revenue variability. Unlike traditional parametric methods used to analyse state tax revenue variability, the portfolio approach allows the computation of a tax's share of total tax revenue that minimizes the overall variability in total state tax revenue given a state's portfolio of tax revenue sources. The model can thus be used to evaluate how closely a state's revenue portfolio is constructed to minimize variability in total state tax revenue. An empirical application of the model is conducted on a sample of US states. The volatility model presented here serves as a useful complement to parametric techniques that have been used to estimate tax revenue variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-246 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018403 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018403&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:243-246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Lynn Gray Author-X-Name-First: Lynn Author-X-Name-Last: Gray Author-Name: Jackie Burns Author-X-Name-First: Jackie Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: Effect of unemployment insurance tax on wages and employment: a partial equilibrium analysis Abstract: We develop a partial equilibrium model under a cost minimization problem to derive the effect of an unemployment insurance tax. The model suggests that a portion of the tax is passed on to employees by means of reduced wages and employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018254 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018254&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Myers Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Author-Name: Inhyuck “Steve” Ha Author-X-Name-First: Inhyuck “Steve” Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Title: Estimation of race-neutral goals in public procurement and contracting Abstract: Federal guidelines require that public entities receiving federal transit authority (FTA) funds take affirmative steps to allocate funds to disadvantaged business enterprises (DBEs). Business firms owned and operated by women and/or racial minority group members are presumptively classified as disadvantaged. To assure that the affirmative efforts to allocate contract dollars to DBEs don't discriminate against nonDBEs and white male-owned firms, the guidelines require that maximum use of race-neutral means be adopted to assure the inclusion of women and minority-owned firms in public contracting. The guidelines do not provide specific guidance on how to determine the size of the race-neutral portion of contracts awarded to DBEs. This article provides an empirically valid and easy to implement method for achieving race-neutral goals when a public agency or authority collects information on contracts with and without targeted goals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-256 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018338 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018338&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:251-256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Neugart Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Neugart Title: Pensions with early retirement and without commitment Abstract: In this article it is shown that more generous early retirement provisions as well as lower employment lead to lower steady state pension rates if governments weigh the welfare of the older persons relatively strongly. A relatively stronger weight on the welfare of the young reverses the results. The driving force behind those findings are governments that cannot commit to pension policies and consequently take into account future governments' policies when maximizing electoral support from the currently young and old constituencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-260 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018353 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018353&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:257-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Technology transfer and convergence of performance: an economic study of FIFA football ranking Abstract: The seminal work of Gerschenkron (1962) stated that latecomers borrow advanced technology from their predecessors, resulting in convergence of productivity among nations. Additionally, the diffusion of technology among developing nations has been fulfilled not only directly from developed nations but also from surrounding nations through local spillovers such as learning from others. Recently, the disparity in national football performance among the nations appears to have improved, and it is evident that talented players are mobilized from developing nations to developed ones. The present article attempts to apply the framework of development economics, as introduced earlier, to the case of international football. An empirical examination of FIFA's world ranking points considered as reflecting nations' performances was conducted, applying panel data to control for unobserved nations' specific effects (Baltagi 2005). The results indicate that both technology transfer and the local information spillover play a crucial role in improving the performance of developing nations, but not of developed nations. The presented results are interpreted as implying that developing nations are able to catch up with developed ones due to the effects of technology transfer and local information spillover. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:261-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Albertson Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Albertson Author-Name: Jonathan Aylen Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Aylen Title: Long lags or seasonal mis-specification? A note on co-integration testing and the consumption function Abstract: Writing in this journal, Sumner (2004) advocates use of long lag lengths when conducting co-integration tests. Replication of Sumner's consumption model suggests long lag lengths are a mis-specification: the true underlying model is periodic. We test for periodically distributed unit roots - unit roots that differ with the season and vary with past behaviour. Co-integration between income and consumption, based on a periodic error correction model, is rejected. A PADL specification is preferred for modelling the income-consumption relationship, using seasonally unadjusted data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018387 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018387&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:267-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Title: Another view of the social costs from rent seeking Abstract: No matter whether the Posner or the game theory approach for measuring rent-seeking losses is utilized, the trapezoidal social costs of monopoly are significantly greater than the Harberger deadweight triangle allocative efficiency losses. This means public policy can improve social welfare in any country by reducing nonnatural monopolies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:273-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glauco de Vita Author-X-Name-First: Glauco Author-X-Name-Last: de Vita Author-Name: Khine Kyaw Author-X-Name-First: Khine Author-X-Name-Last: Kyaw Title: Growth effects of FDI and portfolio investment flows to developing countries: a disaggregated analysis by income levels Abstract: What is the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio investment flows on the economic growth of low-, lower middle- and upper middle-income countries? In this article we address this question using a dynamic panel model and a large data set of 126 developing countries for the period 1985 to 2002. Employing the system-generalized methods of moments (GMM) estimation approach, our findings suggest that only developing countries that have reached a minimum level of economic development and absorptive capacity are capturing the growth-enhancing effects of both forms of investment inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-283 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:277-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Terje Skjerpen Author-X-Name-First: Terje Author-X-Name-Last: Skjerpen Author-Name: Kjetil Telle Author-X-Name-First: Kjetil Author-X-Name-Last: Telle Title: Unit roots, polynomial transformations and the environmental Kuznets curve Abstract: Properties of estimators of long-run parameters in a polynomial regression with nonstationary, strongly exogenous regressors are considered in the context of the Environmental Kuznets Curve using Monte Carlo simulations. Standard inferential procedures seem to work well in this context. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariacristina Piva Author-X-Name-First: Mariacristina Author-X-Name-Last: Piva Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: Demand-pulled innovation under liquidity constraints Abstract: Using a panel of 211 Italian manufacturing firms for 1995-2001 and the Least Squares Dummy Variable Corrected (LSDVC) estimator recently discussed in the econometric literature, it is shown that demand-pull innovation is particularly significant in liquidity-constrained companies in both the short run and long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-293 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:289-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Mak Arvin Author-Name: Byron Lew Author-X-Name-First: Byron Author-X-Name-Last: Lew Title: Foreign aid and ecological outcomes in poorer countries: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article examines the relationship between foreign aid and ecological harm in developing countries. The study covers three types of ecological injury: carbon dioxide damage, water pollution and net deforestation. Results based on an empirical model where aid and injury are jointly determined, suggest that aid flows affect ecological conditions in poorer countries as well as being the result of these conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-299 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:295-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Author-Name: Helen Higgs Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Higgs Title: Efficiency in the Australian stock market, 1875-2006: a note on extreme long-run random walk behaviour Abstract: This article examines the weak-form market efficiency of the Australian stock market. Daily returns from 6 January 1958 to 12 April 2006 and monthly returns from February 1875 to December 2005 are examined for random walks using serial correlation coefficient and runs tests, augmented Dickey-Fuller, Phillips-Perron and Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin unit root tests and multiple variance ratio tests. The serial correlation tests indicate inefficiency in daily returns and borderline efficiency in monthly returns, while the runs tests conclude that both series are weak form inefficient. The unit root tests suggest weak-form inefficiency in both return series. The results of the more stringent and least restrictive variance ratio tests indicate that the monthly returns series is characterized by a homoscedastic random walk, but the daily series violates weak-form efficiency because of the short-term autocorrelation in returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-306 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:301-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: On the return-risk link in education Abstract: In a contribution to Economics Letters, Pereira and Martins (2002) point out that there exists a positive link between risk and return in education. We perform a sensitivity analysis and argue that the evidence on this link is not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 307-314 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018395 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018395&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:307-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hefa Gui Author-X-Name-First: Hefa Author-X-Name-Last: Gui Author-Name: Mingchao Cai Author-X-Name-First: Mingchao Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yongxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The overconfident, or the more informed? Abstract: We discuss some problems with the modelling methods in the overconfidence literature. We argue that overconfidence models should be well constructed such that overconfident investors in the behavioural model could be distinguished clearly from the more informed investors in the rational asset-pricing model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Title: Scale economies of lotto once more Abstract: Under the assumption of random number selection, higher moments of a lotto ticket payoff seem to exhibit a peculiar behaviour; variance (and probably skewness) rises up to some number of bets before approaching its limit from above. A close inspection of the 'simplest' expression obtained by means of a hypergeometric summation algorithm suggests that the payoff variance (and probably skewness) is unimodal and attains its highest at a realistic scale. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018445 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018445&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manoj Raj Author-X-Name-First: Manoj Author-X-Name-Last: Raj Title: Financial dependence and growth: further evidence Abstract: This article empirically shows that in developing countries, financial development facilitates firms to grow disproportionately in industries with higher external finance dependence or better growth opportunities. This effect is absent in developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-330 Issue: 3 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:3:p:325-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Author-Name: Craig Maher Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Maher Title: Is the treatment of intergovernmental aid symmetric? Abstract: In this note we use a variable parameter model to test for asymmetries in the treatment of intergovernmental aid. The central question is whether local government officials treat intergovernmental aid differently during periods of aid certainty and uncertainty. We find evidence of fiscal replacement for 94% of Wisconsin municipalities and fiscal inducement for only a small handful of municipalities. The lower the dependency on shared revenues, the higher the odds that the municipality will replace lost shared revenues with own source revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 331-335 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:331-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Author-Name: Peter Nijkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nijkamp Title: Two aspects of waste management from the viewpoints of a waste generator and a recipient Abstract: Regulations specify the maximum amount of waste that can be stored on site by a waste generating firm. When this regulatory threshold is reached, a polluting firm must move its on site waste to an off site recipient. In this setting, we analyse two questions in a stochastic framework from the viewpoints of a waste generator and a recipient that have received scant theoretical attention in the literature. First, given that off site storage is costlier than on site storage, we derive the long-run average cost incurred by a waste generating firm that stores waste both on and off site. Second, we compute the expected amount of time until the off site recipient's waste storage facility is full. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Ball Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Ball Author-Name: Javier Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: International reserve holdings: interest rates matter! Abstract: We argue that the literature on optimal international reserve holdings in an era of high-capital mobility fails to find interest rates is a strongly significant factor because of the endogeneity of interest rates and reserves under fixed exchange rate regimes. Using two-stage least squares we control this and regain statistical significance for interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Modification of the point optimal unit root test Abstract: A modification of the existing point optimal unit root test is proposed. The new test has very good finite sample power and is easily correctable via semi-parametric methods. Critical values are provided along with power simulation and empirical examples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deergha Raj Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Deergha Raj Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Title: Evaluating NAFTA - an impulse function approach Abstract: Models developed under ex ante approach are mostly based on some utility function. The assumptions underlying these models are hard to meet. These models also have stringent data requirements. The models developed under ex post approach, on the other hand, are simple to use, avoid the need of using a utility function and require less information. However, these models only offer two points in time: one before a trade reform and the other after the reform. As such, they do not provide a region of acceptance or rejection, which enables us to test the models empirically. Our study overcomes those problems, develops an intervention model, estimates the impulse response function and estimates the short-term and the long-run impacts of NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement) on the variable representing Canada's welfare. Our results show that both the short-term and the long-term impacts are negative. Therefore, we conclude that Canada's welfare has, in fact, deteriorated, or at least not improved due to NAFTA. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018262 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018262&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cynthia Bansak Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Bansak Author-Name: Christopher McLaren Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: McLaren Title: Parental eligibility for public health insurance: a study of the State Children's Health Insurance Program and child coverage rates Abstract: This article investigates whether offering parental coverage for public health insurance increases coverage rates among children. Using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS), we examine the effect of parental benefits on participation rates of children in the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). Our findings indicate a significant difference in take-up rates for children in states offering parental coverage compared to neighbouring states that did not in the period surrounding the introduction of the SCHIP program (1997-2002). Specifically, states offering parental coverage have greater program participation (on the order of 10% points) among children even after controlling for observable demographic characteristics and the household's position in the income distribution. Thus, extending coverage to the parents of SCHIP-eligible children appears to be an effective strategy to reduce uninsurance rates among children. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-363 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018536 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018536&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:359-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lloyd Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Lloyd Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Author-Name: Danhua Wu Author-X-Name-First: Danhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Long-term interest rates and expected future budget deficits: evidence from the term structure Abstract: This article examines the relationship between current and expected future real Treasury bond yields, forecasts of budget deficits and market risk. Both expected future deficits and risk strongly influenced expected future real Treasury bond yields in the United States in the 1983-2005 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 365-368 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:365-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: C. Nicholas McKinney Author-X-Name-First: C. Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: McKinney Title: The effect of late money on betting market efficiency Abstract: This article is an analysis of the price movements in a speculative market at closing. Specifically, we look at 1644 US horse races and analyse the change in betting pool totals and their suggested probabilities to confirm that late wagers on average come from more informed bettors. Almost 40% of all wagering dollars enter betting pools in the last minute of wagering. This 'late' money is found to increase efficiency and itself is the best prediction of the true win, place and show probability of a horse. A clustered tobit regression shows that late increases in the betting share on a specific horse increase net returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 369-372 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018577 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018577&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:369-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brad Trenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Brad Author-X-Name-Last: Trenkamp Title: Does the advertising effect of athletics impact academic rankings? Abstract: The study presented here examines the relationship between athletic success and academic quality among Division 1 universities. The analysis begins by revisiting models that have seen previously examined by other researchers. The current literature is then extended using a new model incorporating academic rankings. The previously used models incorporate objective measures of academic quality. The new model presented here uses rankings which have a subjective input. It is then examined to see whether the subjective opinions present in the academic rankings are influenced by athletic success. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-378 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:373-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Rauterkus Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Rauterkus Title: Do bank lending relationships always enhance financial distress resolution? The case of Germany Abstract: This article examines the financial distress resolution benefit of bank lending relationships in a system where because of the lack of access to public debt and equity markets, banks do not face competition as providers of capital. For a sample of German firms, this article finds that companies in financial distress are more likely to be liquidated if they have high amounts of bank debt. Furthermore, companies that are saved show higher potential for financial distress a year prior to bankruptcy. This suggests that certain aspects of value of bank lending relationships are dependent on the financial system in which they occur. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802129784 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802129784&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:379-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Dealing with the willingness to pay data with preference intensity: a semiparametric estimation Abstract: This article considers the Type 3 Tobit models to deal with the willingness to pay data with preference intensity by employing both parametric and semiparametric estimation methods. The overall results show that the semiparametric estimation significantly outperforms the parametric estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-390 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:387-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Schank Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schank Author-Name: Claus Schnabel Author-X-Name-First: Claus Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabel Author-Name: Hans-Dieter Gerner Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Gerner Title: Stimulating part-time work by legal entitlements? Evidence from a German policy experiment Abstract: Difference-in-difference estimates indicate that the new law on part-time work in Germany has raised the share of part-time workers in those plants that already used part-time employment whereas it has not stimulated the introduction of part-time work in other plants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-394 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:391-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Moore Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: The nonpecuniary effects of smoking cessation: happier smokers smoke less Abstract: The objective of this article is to describe the relationship between past changes in daily cigarette consumption and happiness using a national longitudinal panel survey. Data from 724 smokers who participated in the first 11 waves of the British Household Panel Survey were analysed using a fixed effects regression model. An increase in daily smoking frequency corresponded with a decrease in happiness (β = -0.004, 95% confidence interval -0.006 to -0.001). Independent of this relationship, happiness decreased as health deteriorated with a transition to the poorest health group associated with greatest unhappiness (β = -0.190, 95% confidence interval -0.258 to -0.123) followed by those in the next poorest health group (β = 0.114, 95% confidence interval -0.176 to -0.051) and as health improved further, the effect on happiness diminished (β = -0.077, 95% confidence interval -0.127 to -0.027) indicating a dose-repose relationship between health and happiness. Smokers who reduce cigarette consumption can expect greater happiness in a relationship that is not mediated by changes in health. This relationship is interpreted as cigarettes showing reference dependence Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Casquel Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Casquel Author-Name: Ezequiel Uriel Author-X-Name-First: Ezequiel Author-X-Name-Last: Uriel Title: The determinants of post-compulsory education in Spain Abstract: In this article we explain why Spain is at the bottom of the developed countries in secondary education. We have made use of extensive information contained in the ECHP supplemented with labour market data. We find that higher rates of unemployment diminish the probability of investing in post-compulsory education and this effect differs across the population. Our results suggest that a 'poverty effect' makes access more difficult to secondary education in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-404 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:399-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Ochsen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Ochsen Title: On the measurement of mismatch Abstract: We use a definition of an equilibrium rate of unemployment as a mismatch indicator. An application of the indicator to nine Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries leads to diverging results. Most of the considered countries have experienced increasing mismatch in the 1970s and decreasing mismatch in the 1990s. The latter result is somewhat surprising, since mismatch was expected to be increasing in the 1990s. However, the estimates for Germany are against this international trend. Mismatch is not in general lower in countries with a more flexible labour market, but is decreasing in some of the countries which have chosen more flexibility on the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masayoshi Maruyama Author-X-Name-First: Masayoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Maruyama Author-Name: Le Viet Trung Author-X-Name-First: Le Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Trung Title: High shopping frequency of Vietnamese consumers: theory and measurement Abstract: Almost all Vietnamese consumers shop at least five or six times a week or everyday or more. We formulated a basic model of the optimal level of shopping frequency. Hanoi consumer survey data has been analysed using the binary choice Probit model to measure factors that influence the major characteristics related to the high-shopping frequency patterns of Vietnamese consumers. The results consolidate the validity of the basic model and show that freshness, convenience (distance), gender and the presence of children in the household had a significant effect on the frequency of shopping. In contrast, factors such as owning a refrigerator as well as income did not have a significant effect in shaping consumer shopping behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Estimation of a regional wage curve and policy implications Abstract: Based on all the metropolitan statistical areas in the state of Texas during 2002-2004, this study finds that the real wage rate and the unemployment rate have a significant negative relationship. However, the value of R2 is relatively low. Policy implications are that the efficiency wage model may be used to explain the outcome and that there are other factors explaining the behaviour of wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-419 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:417-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Hatcher Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Hatcher Title: A note on relative violation arguments in expected penalty functions for permit noncompliance Abstract: Models of firm noncompliance under imperfectly enforced standards and permit regimes normally include a level violation argument in the firm's expected penalty function, analogous to the constraint term in a Lagrangian function. This article suggests that a relative violation argument may be more appropriate in many cases and demonstrates how this can change our predictions about firm behaviour under permit regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-423 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:421-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Mangeloja Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Mangeloja Author-Name: J. Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Title: Availability and consumption of alcoholic beverages: evidence from Finland Abstract: The study examines the consumption of alcoholic beverages in Finland over the period 1960 to 2004. Consumption is explained by its own real price, relative prices, expenditure and variables measuring the availability of alcohol. The empirical analysis utilizes information on linkages across different beverages and uses co-integration techniques. The study finds that changes in the availability of alcohol, typically related to institutional changes, have played an important role in determining consumption, especially of beer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Author-Name: Martin Siegel Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Siegel Title: Development and determinants of systemic risk in European banking - an empirical note Abstract: Compared with the broad supply of theoretical approaches towards systemic risk in (international) banking systems empirical contributions measuring its degree or potential triggering factors are rather scarce. Kwast and de Nicolo (2002) put systemic risk and (conditional) stock price correlations into a unique relation. Adopting this perspective, we provide a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC, Engle, 2002) analysis for the European banking sector. Our sample period covers establishment and advent of the Euro. Apart from time variation of correlation measures we investigate the content of exogenous factor variables to explain correlation patterns. Overall, we find a moderate and stable average level of systemic risk in European banking. The advent of the Euro came along with a 1-year period of short-run transition dynamics. Systemic risk is found to increase over states of high uncertainty in national stock markets and states of small-to-medium variation in European interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-438 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100802047027 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/09603100802047027&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:431-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivar Kolstad Author-X-Name-First: Ivar Author-X-Name-Last: Kolstad Title: The resource curse: which institutions matter? Abstract: Two types of models are dominant in the current resource curse literature. One type of model studies the selection of entrepreneurs into rent-seeking versus productive activities. The other type analyses the use of patronage by politicians seeking re-election. The policy implications of the two models are quite different. The first model suggests that institutions governing the private sector ought to be improved. The second model suggests that institutions governing the public sector should be emphasized. This article empirically tests the impact of the private versus public sector institutions on the resource curse, using cross-country data from Sachs and Warner (1997a) and Polity IV. The main result is that only improved private sector institutions ameliorate the resource curse. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-442 Issue: 4 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802167339 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802167339&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:4:p:439-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some notes on statistic robustness of nonparametric bivariate probit model in a finite sample Abstract: This article describes qualitatively some interesting statistic aspects of the nonparametric bivariate Probit model, which was examined in Aoki (2005) as a nonparametrically modified version of the estimator to test asymmetric information, originally proposed in Chiappori and Salanie (2000). My computation results and analysis show that even in a finite sample case the nonparametric version is very robust to the variable bandwidth, which is relatively smaller than the optimal bandwidth policy. This statistic characteristics enables the proposed nonparametric estimator to be put widely and conveniently into practical use, without applied researcher's necessity to pay too much attention to the precise value of optimal bandwidth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 443-447 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032115 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032115&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:443-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: L. Upton Hatch Author-X-Name-First: L. Upton Author-X-Name-Last: Hatch Title: Impact of nostalgia and past experience on recreational demand for wilderness Abstract: This primary objective of this study was to examine whether nostalgia plays any role in determining the demand for wilderness recreation using onsite survey data from Cheaha Wilderness in Alabama. In addition, an attempt was made to determine the impact of past wilderness experience and current residential setting on recreational demand. Since experience is a latent construct, a number of indicators, measuring the visitor's experience use history, were used to measure it. The results based on a truncated count data model show that trip cost and other visitor characteristics such as age, income, residential setting, and past wilderness experience were significant determinants for the visitation frequency. Moreover, the rural to urban migrants, who were expected to be more sensitive to nostalgic feelings, were making seven more trips than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-453 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:449-453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshihiko Mukoyama Author-X-Name-First: Toshihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Mukoyama Title: A simple model of productivity slowdown Abstract: This article demonstrates a simple mechanism of productivity slowdown. There are two types of technological change: exogenous and endogenous. After news arrives that there will be an acceleration of exogenous technological progress in the future, endogenous technological progress may slow down. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-458 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018734 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018734&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:455-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Is self-reported disability status endogenous to labour force status? Abstract: By estimating a simultaneous equation model on panel data, this study examines whether self-reported disability status is endogenous to labour force status. While for males the exogeneity of disability status cannot be rejected, it is rejected for females. However, for both males and females the results reject the justification hypothesis on self-reported disability status. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-464 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:459-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Tenn Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Tenn Title: Demand estimation under limited product availability Abstract: Consumer purchases are determined, in part, by the assortment of products available at retailers. Despite this, commonly employed aggregate demand models fail to control for the fraction of stores that carry a given item. We detail the conditions under which aggregate demand is consistently estimated when heterogeneity in product assortment is ignored. The required assumptions are quite strict and likely violated in many empirical applications. Even when they hold, however, a problem of inference arises. One cannot tell whether a lack of interaction between two products is due to limited substitution in those stores where both are available or because many stores do not carry both products. This is a significant shortcoming since in many situations it is important to distinguish between these two possibilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 465-468 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:465-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Estimating the time-varying NAIRU for Germany and policy implications Abstract: This article extends Ball and Mankiw (2002) and applies the Hodrick-Prescott filter (1997) to estimate the time-varying NAIRU for Germany. The slope estimate of the Phillips curve is insignificant when the widely used lagged inflation rate πt-1 is selected as a proxy for the expected inflation rate. The average inflation rate in past 4 years is a better proxy for the expected inflation rate. Estimated NAIRUs with λ = 1000 show a steady rising trend. The estimated NAIRU of 9.84% with λ = 1000 in 2005 is slightly higher than the actual unemployment rate of 9.70% in 2005, suggesting that monetary easing or large deficit spending may cause the inflation rate to accelerate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 469-473 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018742 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018742&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:469-473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monzur Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Monzur Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Divergence from de jure exchange rate regime: a stochastic process of learning Abstract: This article provides a model framework to characterize the process of stochastic learning during the period of divergence from a de jure currency regime. The model outcome shows that divergence from a de jure regime is a process of slow learning in small steps, which indicates that the learning completes over time. Therefore, divergence does not have a long-term effect on the distribution of exchange rate regime. Empirical illustration indicates that countries work toward the development of their financial sector during the period of divergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 475-479 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:475-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinpeng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Consumption and aggregate constraints: new evidence from Chinese provinces Abstract: Using a newly created panel dataset at the provincial level in China, this article revisits the hypothesis that state-specific consumption exhibits less sensitivity to lagged state-specific disposable income once aggregate income and consumption fluctuations are controlled for, as proposed by Ostergaard et al. (2002). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 481-484 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:481-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wiston Adrian Risso Author-X-Name-First: Wiston Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Risso Title: The informational efficiency: the emerging markets versus the developed markets Abstract: The purpose of the article is to study the difference between the informational efficiency levels between the emerging and developed markets. We applied the symbolic time series analysis approach and the Shannon entropy in order to measure and rank the informational efficiency of 20 stock markets from 1 July 1997 to 14 December 2007. Three Asian markets take the first positions as the most efficient (Taiwan, Japan and Singapore). The last positions are taken by the ex-socialist countries as the most inefficient markets. The latter could be due to the lack of experience of these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-487 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802216219 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802216219&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:485-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquim Ramalho Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Ramalho Title: A test statistic equation for obtaining alternative Wald and score statistics in the generalized method of moments framework Abstract: In this article we derive a test statistic generating equation (TSGE) from which several statistics suitable for testing parametric restrictions in models estimated by the generalized method of moments (GMM) may be obtained. This statistic presents three main features: it is valid for producing statistics appropriate for testing constraints expressed in very general forms, which may involve not only the parameters of interest but also a vector of nuisance parameters; some of the tests proposed in the GMM literature are special cases of the TSGE; it can be evaluated at any consistent and asymptotically normal estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018676 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018676&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Buonanno Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Buonanno Author-Name: Daniel Montolio Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Montolio Title: Juvenile crime in Spain Abstract: This article studies the role of age structure and gender on crime rates across Spanish regions. Using a regional dataset for the period 1993 to 2003, and after controlling for social and economic factors such as unemployment, urbanization, migration, regional welfare and economic development, results support the existence of an age-crime profile: Spanish youngsters are more prone to commit crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-500 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:495-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Jin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Volatility spillover effects amongsix Asian countries Abstract: This article examines the volatility spillover effects among six Asian country stock markets using bivariate vector autoregression-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity [VAR(p)-GARCH(1,1)] model. The six Asian countries are India, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore and Taiwan. This study found that there are statistically significant volatility spillover effects within the stock markets of these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-508 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018700 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018700&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:501-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz Title: Linkages among Latin American foreign exchange markets: a long-run perspective in the presence of structural breaks Abstract: This article examines stationarity properties, linkages and market efficiency of the Latin American foreign exchange markets over the 1994 to 2005 period. By using daily data for 14 countries we apply bivariate and multivariate cointegration estimations and we further account for the presence of structural breaks or changes in regime. Bivariate cointegration tests revealed that most currencies have a long-run equilibrium relationship with the Brazilian real. Moreover, approximately between 1999 and 2001, there was a shift to a new 'long-run' equilibrium relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-514 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018718 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018718&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:509-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Author-Name: Ignacio Moral-Arce Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Arce Title: A semiparametric approach to examine wage flexibility Abstract: This article analyses wage flexibility within the framework of a semiparametric panel data model by using a bi-dimensional nonparametric term in the wage regression. The results point to a high degree of wage rigidity in Spain. However, semiparametric estimation allows us to find an interaction effect involving regional unemployment and productivity when explaining regional wages and, as a result of that, some signs of flexibility in the Spanish labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-518 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018726 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018726&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:515-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Weak-form market efficiency and nonlinearity: evidence from Middle East and African stock indices Abstract: This study examines the existence of nonlinear serial dependence in five stock markets in the Middle East and Africa. The results from the application of a battery of nonlinearity tests reveal that after removing all short-term linear dependence, the stock returns still contain predictable nonlinearities that contradict the unpredictable criterion of weak-form efficient markets hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathieu Audet Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Audet Author-Name: Paul Makdissi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Makdissi Title: Assessing the impact of historical changes in social protection on poverty in Canada Abstract: In this article, we analyse how various historical modifications to welfare and old age pensions programmes have affected poverty in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-526 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032073 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032073&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:523-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: The 'Resource Curse' and regional US development Abstract: The 'Resource Curse' is a stylized fact that has been observed consistently in a number of development studies: countries that are relatively well-endowed with natural resources tend to grow more slowly than resource-poor economies. This article documents evidence that the Resource Curse extends to the individual states of the US Using a variety of specifications, regression of state GSP growth on resource intensity consistently shows a negative and significant relationship. There is evidence that crowding out of the manufacturing sector may contribute to the slower growth of resource-based economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-530 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032107 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032107&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:527-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephanos Papadamou Author-X-Name-First: Stephanos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadamou Title: Yield spreads and real economic activity in East European transition economies Abstract: Recent research in developed countries provides evidence for the significant role of the yield spread on real economic activity. Using k-months industrial production growth rate model, this article attempts to ascertain whether similar results are obtained for countries from East Europe (Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary and Slovakia). The results suggest that the interest rate spread does indeed have some predictive power over the 24-months across the countries. These results remain qualitative robust to the inclusion of additional variables and to the change of unemployment rate as a different measure of economic activity. Cyclical movements of volatility appear to be unable to account for the usefulness of the spread for forecasting industrial production growth. Finally, it is found that the term spread is a better indicator of future real growth in countries with low and stable inflation (Czech Republic) and not in countries characterized by high and volatile inflation (Hungary). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-537 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:531-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell James Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: James Title: An econometric analysis of household political giving in the USA Abstract: Advocates of political contribution limitations contend that such contributions can transform economic and social inequalities into political inequalities. This article examines the extent to which traditional markers of social and economic power are associated with political giving. A Tobit analysis of 56 663 households participating in the Consumer Expenditure Survey from 1995 to 2005 indicates that political giving is positively associated with income, wealth, education and White racial status and is negatively associated with single female (but not single male) status. A double-hurdle analysis indicates that nonWhite or single female status affects expected giving most clearly through diminished participation in political giving, rather than simply through lower amounts given by such contributors. Descriptive statistics and a multinomial logistic regression suggest that the importance of traditional markers of social and economic status is greater for political giving than for charitable giving or religious giving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-543 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:539-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subadar Agathee Ushad Author-X-Name-First: Subadar Agathee Author-X-Name-Last: Ushad Title: Seasonality, returns and volatility on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius Abstract: This article investigates the effects of any seasonality on stock market returns and volatility on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius. A standard GARCH model was used on daily SEMDEX returns from 1998 to 2006. The results obtained indicate that the return series are leptokurtic, indicating a higher peak and a thicker tail than a normal distribution. Also, the mean returns on Fridays seem to be the highest while average returns on Mondays turn out to be insignificant. Finally, significant effects of weekdays were found on the conditional variance on the stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 5 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277153 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277153&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:5:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Industrial structure and economic stability Abstract: Motivated by prior results predicting contrasting linkages between industrial structure and economic stability, we present exploratory empirical evidence on this important issue. Consistent with the turnover hypothesis, we find that employment grew more steadily where business establishments in all sectors were larger, suggesting an offsetting benefit to the first-moment costs of establishment size identified by previous research. Consistent with the job-matching hypothesis, we find that employment grew more steadily where more establishments per capita operated in all sectors. Similar but less consistent results were also found regarding the stability of income growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-555 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206536 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206536&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:549-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junyi Shen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: A choice experiment approachin evaluating publictransportation projects Abstract: The necessity of applying cost benefit analysis in evaluating the validity of a public transportation project is well recognized by policy makers in recent days. Originating in this fact, we implement CBA in a new project called Osaka Monorail Saito Line Extension by applying a choice experiment approach. It is estimated that the benefit-cost ratio is 1.87 under a basic scenario. In addition, with a consideration on different kinds of uncertainty in the future, a number of sensitivity analyses are implemented. The results of sensitivity analyses indicate that the possibility of generating net benefit is extremely high for the project studied in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-561 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206502 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206502&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:557-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Note rate modifications and subprime default rates Abstract: An important instrument to mitigate credit losses is modification of note rates of distressed borrowers. From a logistic model of early default, this article inferred the note rate impact on loan default probabilities, while controlling for loan characteristics (credit quality) and borrower location. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 563-566 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260878 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260878&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:563-566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Firat Demir Author-X-Name-First: Firat Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Title: Macroeconomic uncertainty and private investment in Argentina, Mexico and Turkey Abstract: This article by using micro-level data analyses the impacts of macroeconomic uncertainty and country risk on real investment under financial liberalization. The results suggest that increasing macroeconomic volatility and country risk hurt fixed investment spending of real sector firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-571 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:567-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Miguel Benavente Author-X-Name-First: Jose Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Benavente Author-Name: Sabien Dobbelaere Author-X-Name-First: Sabien Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbelaere Author-Name: Jacques Mairesse Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Mairesse Title: Interaction between product market and labour market power: evidence from France, Belgium and Chile Abstract: This article jointly estimates price-cost mark-ups and union bargaining power of manufacturing firms in France, Belgium and Chile. Our GMM results provide strong evidence of price-cost mark-ups being underestimated when labour market imperfections are ignored, corresponding to the omission of the part of product rents captured by the workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 573-577 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206478 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206478&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:573-577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alain Hecq Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Hecq Title: Asymmetric business cycle co-movements Abstract: We investigate the presence of common cyclical features at different data points separated by a threshold variable. Our two-step procedure consists of first estimating the unknown threshold in a VAR or a VECM (Tsay, 1998). Next, cofeature test-statistics are carried out on the parts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-584 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206486 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206486&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:579-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Flores-Fillol Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Flores-Fillol Title: Airline alliances: parallel or complementary? Abstract: This article provides a rationale for the present trend towards complementary airline alliance formation, by studying the strategic behaviour of carriers that may decide whether to form an alliance (that may be either parallel or complementary) or stay alone. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-590 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206460 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206460&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: On the evolution of wage inequality in Acemoglu's model of directed technical change Abstract: In Acemoglu's model of directed technical change, the skill-premium increases in consequence of an increase in the relative supply of skilled labour. In this article, I argue that other measures of wage inequality such as the Gini-coefficient do not necessarily rise as well. The Gini-coefficient depends positively on the skill-premium, but the effect of an increase in the relative supply of skilled labour is ambiguous. A simulation of Acemoglu's model shows that the growth in the relative supply of skilled labour has led to increased wage inequality in the past, but will lead to decreasing wage inequality in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-595 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:591-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolay Zubanov Author-X-Name-First: Nikolay Author-X-Name-Last: Zubanov Title: Too many, too fast? Dynamics of net migration in OECD, 1984-2001 Abstract: A dynamic model of migration developed by Hatton (1995) has been applied to the panel of 23 OECD countries observed during 1984-2001. Migration flows have been found to have a tendency to overreact to changes in economic conditions. Thus, simulations have shown that in the Anglo-American group of countries (Australia, Canada, Ireland, UK and USA) a given relative improvement in economic circumstances which brings an extra 0.840 immigrants per 1000 population per year (334 800 in total) in the short run, brings somewhat fewer (288 700 in total) in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-602 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:597-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: On the relation between central and sub-national government fiscal balances Abstract: Unbalanced panel least squares regression results (with fixed cross-section and period effects) suggest that changes in the fiscal balances of central and sub-national tiers of government in OECD countries tend to be highly positively correlated and that this partly reflects the existence of administrative controls and fiscal rules that govern central- and sub-national government fiscal relations. In contrast, cooperative institutional frameworks and reliance on market forces do not appear to have secured complementary fiscal adjustment at the sub-national tier of government. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-608 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601118260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601118260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:603-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Author-Name: Jeff Richardson Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Richardson Title: A conceptual model of the economic impact of international movements in the health labour force Abstract: Many developed countries are net recipients of skilled health professionals from developing countries. Potentially these movements provide major economic benefits to developed countries. The distribution of any benefits and any associated health and social costs, however, need investigation that is more systematic and thorough than has been documented thus far, especially the consequences to net donor countries. This article proposes a model that could be adopted to examine systematically the impact of the international movement of health workers upon the health of populations (and health related institutions) affected by these movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-613 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206494 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206494&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:609-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Heer Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Heer Author-Name: Bernd Sussmuth Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Sussmuth Title: The savings-inflation puzzle Abstract: We find that inflation does not unanimously decrease savings in the US during the postwar period. This result is puzzling as it contradicts the implications of most monetary general equilibrium models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:615-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fotios Pasiouras Author-X-Name-First: Fotios Author-X-Name-Last: Pasiouras Author-Name: Chrysovalantis Gaganis Author-X-Name-First: Chrysovalantis Author-X-Name-Last: Gaganis Title: Are the financial characteristics of acquired banks similar across the EU? Evidence from the principal markets Abstract: We use a sample of acquired and non-acquired commercial banks from the principal EU markets and logistic regression analysis to investigate the relationship between bank characteristics and the likelihood to be acquired. The results indicate the existence of differences across countries either in terms of the significance of the variables or the sign of their coefficients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-623 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701206544 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701206544&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:619-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hossein Asgharian Author-X-Name-First: Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Asgharian Author-Name: Bjorn Hansson Author-X-Name-First: Bjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Hansson Title: An analysis of momentum and contrarian anomalies using an orthogonal portfolio approach Abstract: We use a latent factor approach to investigate if the momentum and contrarian profits, observed in the US stock market, should be considered as risk premiums or have nonrisk-based explanations. The model is also employed as a benchmark to assess the explanatory power of the traditional asset-pricing models in this context. Our findings show that the profits of the long-run contrarian strategy are related to some other background risk factors, whereas the momentum and the short-run contrarian profits are mostly nonrisk based. The latter finding mainly supports investors' behavioural irrationality as an explanation of these anomalies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 625-628 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:625-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manapon Limkriangkrai Author-X-Name-First: Manapon Author-X-Name-Last: Limkriangkrai Author-Name: Robert Durand Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Durand Author-Name: Iain Watson Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: A robustness test of asset-pricing models using individual security returns Abstract: Tests of asset-pricing models typically form portfolios of stocks (based on criteria such as market capitalization and book-to-market values). The validity of this approach has been debated (see, for example, Berk, 2000). We consider a simple method of testing asset-pricing models using the returns of individual securities and illustrate the approach in a test of the robustness of analyses reported by Durand et al. (2006) and Limkriangkrai et al. (2008). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-637 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:629-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saibal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Saibal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Bank risk, charter value and depositor discipline: a simultaneous equations approach Abstract: Using data on listed Indian banks for 1996-2006, the article finds that charter value, depositor discipline and bank risk-taking are intertwined, with each tending to reinforce the other. Whereas charter value is found to be a nonlinear determinant of market discipline, the latter is found to positively impact charter value. Additionally, higher risk-taking is found to exert a weakening effect on market discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-644 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802243775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802243775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:639-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: On the negative relationship between the wage rate and the unemployment rate: application of efficiency wage models Abstract: Applying efficiency wage models, this article finds that there is a strong evidence of a negative wage curve for the state of Alabama. The elasticity of the wage curve is estimated to be -0.28, suggesting that the wage rate in Alabama is much more sensitive to a change in the unemployment rate than the USA and there exist segmented labour markets. The log-linear function performs slightly better than the semi-log function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-647 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032081 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032081&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:645-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: On the validity of conventional statistical tests given evidence of nonsynchronous trading and nonlinear dynamics in returns generating process: a further note Abstract: Given the growing empirical evidence that returns predictability follows an evolutionary path, it calls into question not only the usefulness of conventional statistical tests of market efficiency as highlighted by Saadi et al. (2006), but also the adequacy of the efficient markets hypothesis to explain observed market dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 6 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601032040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601032040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:6:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Toma Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Toma Author-Name: Richard McGrath Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: McGrath Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Hotel tax receipts and the 'Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil': a time series intervention seasonal ARIMA model with time-varying variance Abstract: This study examines the influence of the release of a best-selling book and movie, Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil, set in Savannah, Georgia on local tourism demand. Tourism demand is proxied by revenue collected from an ad valorem hotel room tax in Savannah. The hotel tax revenue series is first modelled as a seasonal ARIMA model with three intervention variables: an index variable to capture the influence of the best-selling book and two dummy variables to represent the impact of the 9/11 terrorist attacks and hurricane Floyd. The presence of time-varying variance in the residuals is captured through an ARCH model. The results indicate that the book index had a positive and significant impact on hotel tax receipts, while the dummy variables for the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and hurricane Floyd were each negative with only the dummy variable for hurricane Floyd marginally significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221808 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221808&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Author-Name: Marshall Garland Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Garland Title: An evaluation of the effects of major trading partner growth using a GMM system Abstract: While the models used in evaluating the effect of a country's trading partners' growth rate on their own are fairly consistent across studies, the results are not. We propose using a GMM system instead of the standard instrumental variables method. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-661 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:657-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Sephton Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Prostate cancer: a New Brunswick tale Abstract: This note provides a descriptive view of prostate cancer mortality in the Canadian province of New Brunswick over a ten year period spanning the 1980s and 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-667 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:663-667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wentworth Boynton Author-X-Name-First: Wentworth Author-X-Name-Last: Boynton Author-Name: Henry Oppenheimer Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Oppenheimer Author-Name: Sean Reid Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Reid Title: The day-of-the-week anomaly: the role of institutional investors in Japan Abstract: A large 'day-of-the-week' literature shows abnormal losses on Mondays. Recent articles for US stocks focus on the role of the type of investor. The central idea in these articles is that the marginal-price setting changes on Monday. To identify the type of investor, these articles look at the proportion of stock ownership held by individuals and institutions. For an out-of-sample test to the US market studies, we study the Japanese stock market. Consistent with the US results, Japanese day-of-the-week patterns show Monday losses and strong Monday losses predicted by Friday losses. However, we find no evidence that the type of investor influences the Monday loss or Friday-to-Monday autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260894 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260894&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:669-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Dodonova Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Dodonova Title: An experimental test of anchoring effect Abstract: This article presents an experimental evidence of the anchoring effect for people's valuations of different items. We show that people who were given both retail and wholesale prices of the item bid less aggressively than people who were given the retail price only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-678 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221766 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221766&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:677-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven-Olov Daunfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Sven-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Daunfeldt Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Title: Revenues as a proxy for profits: a cautionary note Abstract: In the entry literature, researchers sometimes use revenues as a proxy for profits because this is the only data available. Doing so could seriously bias the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-681 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:679-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung-In Lim Author-X-Name-First: Byung-In Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jin Kwon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Jin Kwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Title: What makes the income tax system so progressive? - the case of Korea Abstract: We analyse the impact of each component of Korea's income tax system, which includes tax rates, allowance, deduction and tax credit, on overall level of progressivity, using micro-level data in 1991, 1996 and 2000. We find that Korea's income tax system has a surprisingly high level of gap between economic income and taxable income, due to remarkably generous levels of allowance and deduction. These have made nearly half of total taxpayers, specifically 47% in 2000, to pay no taxes effectively. Having analysed the impact of each component of Korea's income tax system on overall progressivity, we find that deduction policy has more impact on progressivity than tax rates and allowance. We highlight that tax credit has played an opposite role in determining the level of progressivity, which is regressive. Our recommendation is that decision makers in Korea should pay more attention to tax credit to increase the progressivity of the income tax system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601131644 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601131644&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fuhmei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fuhmei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The inflation rate and financial premium Abstract: The conventional wisdom recognizes that depreciating the official exchange rate reduces the spread between official and financial exchange rates and hence financial premium decreases in the financial market. This article aims to investigate whether a trade-off between the inflation rate and financial premium does exist. Both theoretical examinations and numerical simulations indicate that the support for this property is extremely fragile. We also find that the less patient the government, the more stability of domestic price and financial premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-692 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221741 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221741&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:689-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Rethinking rational addictive behaviour and demand for cinema: a study using Japanese panel data Abstract: In this article, I explore the extent to which the rational addiction model developed by Becker and Murphy (1988) can account for cinema attendance, using panel data from 47 Japanese prefectures for the years 1994-1998. Controlling for unobserved prefecture-specific fixed effects and an endogeneity bias of the lagged and lead-dependent variables (the volume of cinema attendance), by using a fixed effect two-stage least squares estimation, I find that people in Japan are likely to be addictive. This finding is contrary to that found in the United Kingdom (Cameron, 1999). Further results suggest that the younger the people are, the more video is a favoured substitute for the cinema. If other factors are equal, the past accumulated consumption of young people is, of course, smaller than that of older people. Hence, the addictive behaviour is more attenuated for younger people because of their lesser past consumption. The complementary effect of past consumption is more likely to outweigh the substitution effect of preferring video as people become older. These findings are in accord with the Becker and Murphy (1988) model of rational addiction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-697 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221782 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221782&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: Models for over reported income Abstract: Over reported income is commonly expressed as Z = X/Y, where X denotes the true income and Y a multiplicative error taking values in (0, 1). If Y has the power function distribution then it is well known that X is Pareto distributed if and only if Z is also. Often, the gamma distribution is preferred as a model for income. In this note, we derive the exact distribution of Z as well as the associated percentage points assuming X is gamma distributed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-703 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221790 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221790&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:699-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Kiuila Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Kiuila Author-Name: Anil Markandya Author-X-Name-First: Anil Author-X-Name-Last: Markandya Title: Can transition economies implement a carbon tax and hope for a double dividend? The case of Estonia Abstract: This article presents a simulation of the impact of the carbon tax reform on the Estonian economy using a computable general equilibrium model. Nine different scenarios have been considered. The long-term results of the proposed tax reform should not hamper the country's economic development, provided that the appropriate tax option is used. The reform has to be implemented as a package of changes in the entire tax system. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221816 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221816&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Lai Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Tsung-Chyan Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Chyan Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Analysing the c-minus-age strategy for life-cycle investing Abstract: The c-minus-age strategy is a popular strategy for life-cycle investing. When applying the c-minus-age strategy, an investor first chooses an indirect preference parameter c and at age t will hold a percentage of c minus t in equity assets. In this article, we use a linear and a multiplicative mean-variance utility function to quantitatively analyse the term structure of the mean-variance tradeoffs implied by the c-minus-age strategy. We also provide an optimal procedure to determine c, based on the two direct preference parameters, elicited from an investor, of a multiplicative mean-variance utility function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-718 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221758 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221758&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:711-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Anna Montini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Montini Author-Name: Roberto Zoboli Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zoboli Title: Municipal waste generation and the EKC hypothesis new evidence exploiting province-based panel data Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on delinking and Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for municipal waste generation in Italy. A disaggregated panel data-set on Italian Provinces is exploited. The empirical analysis of different specifications shows a first evidence in favour of an EKC relationship with regard to waste generation. Nevertheless, the turning point (TP) is at very high levels of added value per capita (around 23 000-26 000€), which concern a very limited number of wealthy Northern Italian provinces. Finally, the test on some waste management instruments proxies, leads to the conclusion that they are not yet impacting waste generation. To lower the TPs and to avoid an increasing gap between geographical areas, market based and more effective policy instruments should be implemented. In particular, the weight of waste policies should be rebalanced towards waste prevention targets according to the European waste hierarchy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-725 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221824 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221824&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:719-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Author-Name: Bazoumana Ouattara Author-X-Name-First: Bazoumana Author-X-Name-Last: Ouattara Title: What type of economic growth does foreign aid support? Abstract: This article contributes to the aid effectiveness literature by investigating the type of economic growth that foreign aid spurs. The impact of foreign on agricultural growth and industrial growth is examined. Results provide strong evidence to suggest that foreign aid is effective at increasing the former in recipient countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-730 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221832 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221832&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:727-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dario Maimone Ansaldo Patti Author-X-Name-First: Dario Maimone Ansaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Patti Author-Name: Pietro Navarra Author-X-Name-First: Pietro Author-X-Name-Last: Navarra Title: Globalization, democratization and economic growth Abstract: Using a two-equations model we estimate whether and to what extent the interplay between FDI and democratization affects economic growth. Two results emerge. First, endogenous FDI impact significantly on economic growth. Second democracy is a substantive predictor of both FDI and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 731-734 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:731-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Matha Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Matha Author-Name: Ladislav Wintr Author-X-Name-First: Ladislav Author-X-Name-Last: Wintr Title: Commuting flows across bordering regions: a note Abstract: This article analyses the bilateral commuting flows across bordering regions of four European Union countries. The results suggest that aggregate cross-border commuting increases as the asymmetries in income per capita and the unemployment rate increase. Commuting time or distance and language differences between the bordering regions impede cross-border commuting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-738 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221857 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221857&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:735-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: I-Ting Chen Author-X-Name-First: I-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The level of technology employed and the internal hierarchical wage structure Abstract: This study demonstrates that the level of firm-specific technology significantly enlarges the wage gaps of managers. Firm-specific technology is found to be more powerful than industrial risk or the promotion rate in explaining the wage gaps of managers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-744 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:739-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mats Hammarstedt Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Hammarstedt Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: Testing the home-country self-employment hypothesis on immigrants in Sweden Abstract: This article tests the home-country self-employment hypothesis on immigrants in Sweden. The results show that the self-employment rates vary between different immigrant groups but we find no support for the home-country self-employment hypothesis using traditional estimation methods. However, when applying quantile regression method we find such evidence when testing results from the 90th quantile. This indicates that home-country self-employment traditions are important for the self-employment decision among immigrant groups with high self-employment rates in Sweden. Furthermore, the result underlines the importance of utilizing robust estimation methods when the home-country self-employment hypothesis is tested. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camillo Lento Author-X-Name-First: Camillo Author-X-Name-Last: Lento Title: Combined signal approach: evidence from the Asian-Pacific equity markets Abstract: This article tests the profitability of the Combined Signal Approach (CSA) (Lento and Gradojevic, 2007) in the Asian-Pacific equity markets. The CSA is based on the premise that the consensus agreement of profitable trading signals should outperform any single signal. The results present further evidence that the CSA improves the profitability of individual trading rules and consistently earns profits in excess of the buy-and-hold trading strategy. The significance of the results is tested through a bootstrap simulation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260886 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260886&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amelia Correa Author-X-Name-First: Amelia Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: Romar Correa Author-X-Name-First: Romar Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: D. Tripati Rao Author-X-Name-First: D. Tripati Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Graciella Tavares Author-X-Name-First: Graciella Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Title: The dynamic inefficiency of financial capitalism Abstract: We show that the interest rate cannot both coordinate the savings plans of borrowers and lenders and equal the marginal product of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-757 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802260902 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802260902&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:755-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adnan Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Title: The impact of sudden changes on the persistence of volatility: evidence from the BRIC countries Abstract: This article analyses sudden changes of volatility in the stock markets of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) using the iterated cumulative sums of squares algorithm for the period 1990 to 2007 and examines their impacts on the persistence of volatility. The results show that when endogenously determined sudden shifts in variance are taken into account in the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, the estimated persistence in return volatility is reduced significantly in every return series. These results suggest that the findings of previous studies could have overestimated the degree of the persistence of volatility existing in the financial time series. These results have important policy implications for the financial market participants and policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-764 Issue: 7 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:7:p:759-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaines Liner Author-X-Name-First: Gaines Author-X-Name-Last: Liner Author-Name: Ellen Sewell Author-X-Name-First: Ellen Author-X-Name-Last: Sewell Title: Research requirements for promotion and tenure at PhD granting departments of economics Abstract: We surveyed 125 chairs of PhD granting departments of economics for their valuation of articles in top-tier journals relative to less prestigious journals, for co-author contribution relative to single author contribution and for the worth of books and grants relative to journal articles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 765-768 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221998 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221998&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:765-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Pedro Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Philipp Rother Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Rother Title: Ordered response models for sovereign debt ratings Abstract: Using ordered logit and probit plus random effects ordered probit approaches, we study the determinants of sovereign debt ratings. We found that the last procedure is the best for panel data as it takes into account the additional cross-section error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Twm Evans Author-X-Name-First: Twm Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Asymmetric return patterns: evidence from 33 international stock market indices Abstract: Recent evidence has suggested an asymmetric effect in US equity return dynamics on the basis of positive and negative consecutive return or holding days. This note extends that analysis by considering 33 international stock indices and longer consecutive day and holding periods. The results of this analysis may be of interest to those engaged in both technical trading and portfolio management. Our results support asymmetric return patterns for all stock markets and on the two definitions of return continuations. Further, we also identify that consecutive positive return days exhibit greater persistence than consecutive negative return days. Finally, using the holding-period definition we also identify whether longer holding periods are always associated with increased returns. Evidence whilst generally supportive is not ubiquitous, furthermore, the majority of the increase in returns occurs over a holding period of 7-10 days, with more limited increases over the remainder of the 45-day holding-period considered. This latter result may be of particular importance to those engaged in portfolio building. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-779 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:775-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glynn Tonsor Author-X-Name-First: Glynn Author-X-Name-Last: Tonsor Author-Name: Terry Kastens Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Kastens Title: Do starting values really matter? Development of a genetic algorithm approach Abstract: Evaluating the impact of using different starting conditions in econometric models is increasingly critical. This study demonstrates implications of using alternative starting value conditions and how these implications vary with econometric model complexity. This piece also proposes a universal approach in developing appropriate starting values for use in subsequent model estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-784 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222046 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222046&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:781-784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Title: A note on democratization: does history still matter? Abstract: This article examines associations between historical factors and whether or not autocratic regimes in 1972 later democratized after controlling for current characteristics. Many historical factors are not relevant, although European influence as measured by the fraction of the population speaking a western European language is an exception and is positively associated with democratization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-789 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221980 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221980&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:785-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayse Evrensel Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Evrensel Title: Determinants of bank supervisory agencies' power and accountability: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article empirically investigates the recent hypothesis advanced by Demirguc-Kunt et al. (2004) and Barth et al. (2006) that countries' choices regarding bank regulations reflect their historical and political characteristics. Based on a dataset with 151 developed and developing countries, the empirical results verify that banking freedom, constraints on the political power, longer history of institutional evolution and the presence of common law are associated with less powerful and more accountable bank supervisory agencies. Therefore, policy efforts that are directed toward a change in banking regulations should be mindful of countries' historical and political characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222012 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222012&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Karafiath Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Karafiath Title: Detecting cumulative abnormal volume: a comparison of event study methods Abstract: A growing body of research in accounting and finance examines the reaction of trading volume to new information. The typical 'volume event study' employs a single-index market model borrowed mutatis mutandis from abnormal returns event studies. In this article, several alternative event study test statistics are compared using Brown and Warner (1985) style simulations, i.e. random samples of securities are drawn from the data set provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and the empirical distributions of alternative test statistics are compared. In contrast to the extant literature, these simulations show that estimated generalized least squares with first- and second-order autoregressive structures do not offer material improvement over ordinary least squares (OLS) regression. A first-order moving average structure also does not offer material improvement. These simulations also show that test statistics that are robust with regard to cross-sectional heteroskedasticity are essential for testing the hypothesis that the cross-sectional mean cumulative abnormal log turnover is zero. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-802 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:797-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Author-Name: Fang Xu Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Panel data model comparison for empirical saving-investment relations Abstract: The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle has triggered a broad range of econometric specifications to investigate saving-investment (SI) relations. In this article, we attempt to determine a family of econometric models that is most suitable in explaining actual ratios of domestic investment to GDP via cross-validation techniques. Comparing between, pooled, time and country dependent specifications of the SI relation, the country dependent model is best performing. Moreover, error correction models formalizing adjustment dynamics of domestic investment ratios are markedly outperformed by static panel models. Supporting evidence for a cointegration relation between domestic saving and investment ratios is not found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 803-807 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221949 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221949&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:803-807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Busse Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Busse Author-Name: Carsten Hefeker Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hefeker Title: Trade, labour market regulations and growth Abstract: We empirically analyse the role of labour market regulations for the impact of trade on growth. The results indicate that countries with flexible labour markets are more likely to harness the gains from trade. This outcome may help to explain the diverse impact of trade on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221956 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221956&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Argentino Pessoa Author-X-Name-First: Argentino Author-X-Name-Last: Pessoa Title: Kuznets's hypothesis and the data constraint Abstract: Five decades ago, Simon Kuznets expressed an important hypothesis about the relationship between the degree of income inequality within a country and its level of economic development: the Kuznets's inverted-U hypothesis. The lack of longitudinal data has forced the use of cross-section or pooled datasets in order to draw conclusions about that relationship. In the present note we highlight the lack of international comparability of surveys where the measures of inequality are based, and we show two main findings: (1) data comparability goes on constituting a problem, particularly in what respects to the different welfare indicators used in national surveys, and (2) the procedure usually used to minimize the problem of noncomparability is likely to enforce the bias rather than to solve it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-818 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:813-818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monish Chhabra Author-X-Name-First: Monish Author-X-Name-Last: Chhabra Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Nilanjan Sen Author-X-Name-First: Nilanjan Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Investor protection effects on corporate liquidity and the cost of capital Abstract: Studies by LaPorta et al. (2000, 2002) show that the strong protection of investor rights encourage the development of capital markets and are associated with higher levels of firm valuation as measured by Tobin's Q. Related research finds that well-developed capital markets produce higher rates of economic growth and allocate capital more efficiently. These studies fail, however, to explain how the investor protection environment produces higher firm values or facilitates the more efficient allocation of investment capital. Using a sample of 158 ADRs representing 26 different countries, this study provides such a linkage by examining the effect of investor protection levels on share liquidity and the firm's cost of capital. We find that lower levels of investor protection reduce share liquidity while simultaneously resulting in a higher cost of equity capital. The combination of less liquidity with a higher cost of capital suggests an explanation for the lower values observed for firms incorporated in countries with fewer investor protections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 819-826 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:819-826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weixing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yongxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does overconfidence always matter for asset prices? Abstract: Research in behaviour finance has provided seemingly persuasive evidences that overconfidence affects asset prices. We provide a model with model uncertainty and overconfidence in which overconfidence could have no effect on asset prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 827-830 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:827-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Arti Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Arti Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Title: Modelling Fiji-US exchange rate volatility Abstract: In this article, we examine the Fiji-US exchange rate volatility using daily data for the period 2000 to 2006. Our modelling framework is based on the EGARCH model. We find robust evidence of conditional shocks having a positive effect on exchange rate volatility, shocks having asymmetric effects on exchange rate volatility and shocks having a transitory effect on exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 831-834 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222004 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222004&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:831-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Aleksanyan Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Aleksanyan Title: Does the information environment affect the value relevance of financial statement data? Abstract: Recent studies demonstrate that the usefulness of financial statement data for valuation of stocks varies depending on specific economy- and firm-level conditions. This empirical study identifies a novel firm-level influential condition. It hypothesizes and finds that for firms that trade at a premium to book value the value-relevance of two fundamental financial statement value drivers (i.e. earnings and book value), is negatively related to the level of sophistication of the firm's information environment. However, for firms that trade at a discount to book value, the level of sophistication of information environment does not affect the value-relevance of these financial statement value drivers. The level of complexity of the firm's information environment is proxied by the firm's capitalized value. The empirical analysis is based on a sample of nonfinancial firms listed on the London Stock Exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221972 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221972&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wann-Yih Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wann-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Cheng-Feng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: The optimal internal marketing strategy in services under open economy Abstract: This article attempts to develop a conceptual model to evaluate the optimal internal marketing strategy in services under open economy, and then verifies the effect of this marketing strategy on the satisfaction of marketing channel members. For its conceptual model, this study employs the concept of natural logarithm and Lagrange function to optimize an internal marketing strategy for international service that can maximize satisfaction of marketing channel members. The results suggest that service providers should increase the proportion of their portfolio's standardization strategy in their overall international marketing strategy if the positive association between their standardization strategy and strategic performance is relatively strong. We also provide optimal guideline for determining the allocation of resources. Furthermore, the results of structural equation modelling also ascertain the fitness of structure of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-845 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701221964 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701221964&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:841-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Growitsch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Growitsch Author-Name: Borge Hess Author-X-Name-First: Borge Author-X-Name-Last: Hess Title: On the sensitivity of US electric utilities' efficiency estimates - a distance function approach Abstract: Previous applications of different benchmarking techniques, both in academia and regulation practice, have shown substantial differences among the models' results. To analyse the sensitivity of efficiency estimates of a sample of US electricity distribution utilities, we compare the results of the generalized least squares frontier model proposed by Schmidt and Sickles (1984) and the maximum likelihood estimation frontier model of Pitt and Lee (1981) with the true random effects frontier model introduced by Greene (2004, 2005). We find substantially higher efficiency scores for the Greene model, indicating that the other formulations underestimate firms' efficiency due to an insufficient consideration of firm specific heterogeneity. In contrast to other studies, the efficiency estimates in this article do not differ considerably. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 847-851 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:847-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Author-Name: Wen-Jen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Currency appreciation, rising financial asset values, and output fluctuations in China Abstract: Applying a general equilibrium model and the Newey-West method, this article finds that real output in China has a positive relationship with real M2, the government deficit/GDP ratio, and the real stock price and a negative relationship with real appreciation. The expected inflation rate is insignificant. It is estimated that when the real effective exchange rate rises 1%, real GDP in China is expected to decrease by 0.938% and that a 1% increase in real stock prices would raise output by 0.126%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 853-857 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:853-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amelia Correa Author-X-Name-First: Amelia Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: Romar Correa Author-X-Name-First: Romar Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Title: Microfinance: equity and debt contracts Abstract: We offer an explanation, drawn from first principles, of the belief that the consumption needs of the asset-poor are best met by debt contracts, whereas equity arrangements are tailored to the financing requirements of poor entrepreneurs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-862 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314501 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314501&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:859-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongchern Su Author-X-Name-First: Yongchern Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Weiling Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Weiling Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Peiwen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Peiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Intraday return and order imbalance relation in NASDAQ speculative new highs Abstract: According to previous studies, speculative trades generate positively autocorrelated returns. Therefore, we focus on speculative stocks that reach to 52-week new high records. They might be possibly with more information inside because they have kept good performance in earnings or revenues. Order imbalance (OI) is employed as a proxy of information asymmetry in this article. Relation between intraday return and OI is investigated under a time-varying framework. A contemporaneous significant positive relation exists in all kinds of interval tests, especially for 90-second and 3-minute intervals. The coefficients of lagged OIs are negative but not significant. It can be explained as asymmetric information effect. After controlling for contemporaneous OI, it shows continuation in lag-one relations in 90-second interval. In 3-minute and 15-minute interval tests, the results are mixed. Finally, the relation of contemporaneous coefficients and market capitalization is significantly negative. It implies that there is more information asymmetry in smaller firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-869 Issue: 8 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802277195 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802277195&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:8:p:863-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Zapf Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Zapf Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Asymmetric modelling of the revenue-expenditure nexus: evidence from aggregate state and local government in the US Abstract: This study examines the time series dynamics between US aggregate state and local government receipts and expenditures in differentiating between four hypotheses related to the revenue-expenditure nexus: tax-spend, spend-tax, fiscal synchronization and institutional separation hypotheses. Unlike previous research at the state and local level, the possibility of asymmetries in the budgetary process is explored using the threshold autoregressive (TAR) and momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) cointegration framework of Enders and Siklos (2001). The results indicate the absence of any asymmetries (TAR or MTAR) in the adjustment towards budgetary equilibrium. The symmetric error correction model provides support for the spend-tax hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 871-876 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:871-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Caliendo Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Caliendo Author-Name: Ludovica Gambaro Author-X-Name-First: Ludovica Author-X-Name-Last: Gambaro Author-Name: Peter Haan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Haan Title: The impact of income taxation on the ratio between reservation and market wages and the incentives for labour supply Abstract: This article extends previous research about the determinants of reservation wages by analysing the effect of progressive income taxation on the ratio between reservation and net market wages. Based on micro data for Germany Socio-Economic-Panel (SOEP) we show that joint income taxation in Germany which discriminates by marital status, has a strong and highly significant impact on the reservation/market wage ratio. Relative to single filers, this leads to strong negative labour supply incentives for secondary earners and to positive incentives for first earners in married couples. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-883 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:877-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rene Fahr Author-X-Name-First: Rene Author-X-Name-Last: Fahr Author-Name: Uwe Sunde Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Sunde Title: Gender differentials in skill use and skill formation in the aftermath of vocational training Abstract: This article investigates gender differentials in skill-use and training participation in the aftermath of vocational training in Germany. We find that women use less of their apprenticeship skills than men once they have left their apprenticeship occupation. Moreover, women are significantly less likely to obtain further formal training upon completing apprenticeship than men, whether staying within the same occupation or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 885-889 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222137 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222137&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:885-889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maximo Mejia Author-X-Name-First: Maximo Author-X-Name-Last: Mejia Author-Name: Pierre Cariou Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Cariou Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Is maritime piracy random? Abstract: Far from being an extinct phenomenon, piracy still exists in the modern world and is a growing menace to the security and safety of shipping. Using the data on attacks against vessels reported between 1996 and 2005 merged with the data on the total world merchant fleet, this article inquires whether acts of piracy are a truly random occurrence. Results show that both flag of registry and type of vessel are significant factors in explaining maritime piracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-895 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:891-895 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Title: Polarization trends across the US states Abstract: This note examines the level of polarization in the US state per capita income distribution during the period 1929 to 2005, using, for the first time in this context, the set of measures proposed by Esteban and Ray (1994) and Esteban et al. (2007). Our results show that income polarization has decreased over the sample period, regardless of the number of groups considered in the study or the value assigned to the polarization sensitivity parameter. In addition, the analysis carried out reveals the existence of a statistically significant relationship between the evolution of spatial autocorrelation and income polarization, which highlights the relevance of physical-geography spillover effects in explaining the observed changes in the distribution under consideration between 1929 and 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-902 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222194 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222194&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:897-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Rodney Paul Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Andrew Weinbach Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Weinbach Title: Market frictions and overpriced favourites: evidence from arena football Abstract: Prior academic studies find that bets on underdogs persistently win more often than expected in National Football League (NFL) and National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) football gambling markets. We extend this stream of literature by examining this 'underdog bias' in the market for Arena Football League (AFL) bets, a setting in which both betting limits and bettor sophistication are comparatively low. Results show that the underdog bias is significantly stronger in the AFL, suggesting that smaller and less liquid markets are more heavily influenced by these, and perhaps other, behavioural biases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 903-906 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314519 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314519&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:903-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Da Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Return autocorrelations in the stock markets Abstract: This article investigates the return autocorrelation in four stock markets around the Asia-Pacific rim: the USA, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea. The results indicate that there are conditional return autocorrelation in Taiwan's and South Korea's stock markets for daily data. Moreover, there are negative relationships between autocorrelation and two factors (trading volume and return volatility) significantly in Taiwan and South Korea, implying that the stock markets in Taiwan and South Korea are not as efficient as those in developed countries (the USA and Japan). For weekly data, however, none of the above four markets has significant return autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-911 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314535 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314535&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:907-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gyu-Hyen Moon Author-X-Name-First: Gyu-Hyen Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: Wei-Choun Yu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Choun Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Chung-Hyo Hong Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hyo Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Dynamic hedging performance with the evaluation of multivariate GARCH models: evidence from KOSTAR index futures Abstract: This article examines the hedging performance of the conventional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) model and a variety of dynamic hedging models for the in-sample and out-of-sample periods of Korean daily Korea Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (KOSDAQ) STAR (KOSTAR) index futures. We employ the rolling OLS and various popular multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models to estimate and forecast the conditional covariances and variances of KOSTAR spot and futures returns. This article finds that dynamic hedging methods outperform the conventional method for the out-of-sample period. However, the simple rolling OLS is superior to all the other popular multivariate GARCH models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-919 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802314527 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802314527&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:913-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marie Cardebat Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Cardebat Author-Name: Jean-Marc Figuet Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Figuet Title: Estimation of a hedonic price equation for Alsace, Beaujolais and Provence wines Abstract: The aim of this article is to explain Alsace, Beaujolais and Provence wine prices. The hedonic price method is applied to determine the main explanatory variables factors of price differences. This method indicates that the relationship between quality and price of the Alsace, Beaujolais and Provence wine areas is poor. This result explains, at least partially, the fall from favour of French wines in the eyes of foreign consumers and the resulting crisis in the French wine industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-927 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222145 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222145&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:921-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eelke de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Eelke Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Author-Name: Willem Verschoor Author-X-Name-First: Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Verschoor Author-Name: Remco Zwinkels Author-X-Name-First: Remco Author-X-Name-Last: Zwinkels Title: A heterogeneous route to the European monetary system crisis Abstract: We estimate a dynamic heterogeneous agents model for the British pound during the European monetary system crisis. We illustrate the chain of events leading to the suspension of the pound from the exchange rate mechanism in terms of switching beliefs, from fundamentalist to chartist. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-932 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222152 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222152&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:929-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Decomposing the characteristics of undergraduate student attrition Abstract: The authors use the techniques of decomposition analysis to explain differences in survival rates between different groups of 1st year undergraduate students at the University of Ulster in Northern Ireland and explain how much of the overall inequality in survival rates can be explained by inequality within groups and how much can be explained by inequality between groups. They find that 45.1% of the observed difference of 8.2 points in survival rates between female and male students can be explained by gender whereas only 1.4% of the observed difference of 7.4 points in survival rates between Protestant and Catholic students only 1.4% can be explained by religion. Therefore, attribute differences are important in explaining differences in survival rates between males and females, but not between Protestants and Catholics. When looking at how much of the overall inequality in survival rates could be explained by inequality within groups and how much by inequality between groups; they find that the best explanation for the observed inequality in the distribution of survival probabilities was given by the type of course studied accounting for nearly 2/3 of the inequality between students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222111 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222111&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Sonora Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Sonora Title: City relative price convergence in the USA with structural break(s) Abstract: As in international tests of purchasing power parity, new more powerful univariate unit root tests have been successful in rejecting a unit root process in US city relative prices over the period 1918-1997. However, convergence rates calculated with these tests are at odds with theories of price convergence. This article addresses structural breaks that may be misinterpreted as nonstationary permanent stochastic process. Using unit root tests with structural breaks, we are able to reject a unit root process in the majority of US city relative prices over the entire sample period. Moreover, convergence rates fall to those more in line with theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802298035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802298035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Foldvari Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Foldvari Author-Name: Bas van Leeuwen Author-X-Name-First: Bas Author-X-Name-Last: van Leeuwen Title: An alternative interpretation of 'average years of education' in growth regressions Abstract: The majority of the empirical literature uses average years of education as a proxy of the human capital stock. Based on Lucas (1988) we argue that the level of average years of education can also be seen as a proxy for the growth rate of the per capita human capital stock. This has fundamental impact on the interpretation of the coefficient and may explain some of the contradictory empirical results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222178 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222178&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Author-Name: Ralitza Dimova Author-X-Name-First: Ralitza Author-X-Name-Last: Dimova Title: Economic reforms as a tool to attract foreign direct investment: is it a chimera? Abstract: The policy implication of the existing literature on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows is that countries that require FDI can attract it by adopting policy measures that facilitate the emergence of appropriate regulatory and institutional environment, greater integration with the global economy and the development of resources like human capital. We test the plausible hypothesis that, on the contrary, FDI flows are largely path dependent, and our empirical exercise finds prima facie support in favour of this hypothesis. This has obvious implications for FDI flows to poor countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-957 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222087 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222087&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:951-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Jen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Tests of currency substitution, capital mobility and nonlinearity of Hungary's money demand function Abstract: The demand for M2 in Hungary is positively associated with real output and the nominal effective exchange rate and negatively influenced by the deposit rate, the euro interest rate, and expected inflation rate. The coefficient of the euro interest rate for the demand for M1 is insignificant. Hence, depreciation of the forint or a higher euro interest rate would help raise Hungary's real output. The Box-Cox transformation shows that the log-linear form for M1 or M2 demand cannot be rejected at the 5% level while the linear form for M1 or M2 demand can be rejected at the 5% level. However, the log-linear form for M2 demand can be rejected at the 10% level. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests show that M2 demand based on the Box-Cox model and M1 demand are relatively stable. Based on the mean absolute percent error and the Theil inequality coefficient, M2 demand based on the Box-Cox model yields better forecasting outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-964 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222079 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222079&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:959-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Landeras Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Landeras Title: Student effort: standards vs. tournaments Abstract: In this article we compare a competency system based on an absolute standard vs. a competitive grading system (tournament) in terms of the student effort level they are able to motivate. We prove, unlike other previous work, that more risk does not always discourage effort under a competency grading system. Furthermore, relative advantage depends crucially on the nature of the noise distorting academic achievement. If systematic factors prevail then a tournament is preferred to a competency system based on absolute standards, while if idiosyncratic factors predominate the last is more efficient. Comparisons are effective only and only if the passing standard is fixed at the efficient level that promotes in the student the highest optimal effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-969 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222129 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222129&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:965-969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tonghua Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tonghua Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Re-estimation of capital flights from China: 1982-2005 Abstract: Cuddington and World Bank-method are modified with trade credits and trade misinvoicing to estimate the short-term and total capital flight (CF) from China. Trade Misinvoicing are adjusted with the transit trade through Hong Kong. It is shown that the short-term is the main component of the CFs from China. Export under-invoicing is the main channel of CFs since 1994, and illegal capital inflow and CF exist simultaneously in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 971-976 Issue: 9 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222038 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222038&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:9:p:971-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pornsit Jiraporn Author-X-Name-First: Pornsit Author-X-Name-Last: Jiraporn Author-Name: Wallace Davidson Author-X-Name-First: Wallace Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Title: Regulation, shareholder rights and corporate governance: an empirical note Abstract: We investigate the impact of regulation on shareholder rights and corporate governance. We gauge the strength of shareholder rights by measuring the number of restrictive governance provisions that suppress shareholder rights - the more restrictive the governance, the weaker the shareholder rights. We find that financial firms have less restrictive corporate governance, suggesting that financial regulations promote shareholder rights. On the other hand, regulation does not seem to impact shareholder rights in the utility industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 977-982 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345430 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345430&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:977-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dejan Krusec Author-X-Name-First: Dejan Author-X-Name-Last: Krusec Title: The monetary transmission in the euro area: post-1999 data assessment Abstract: This article investigates the transmission of monetary policy shocks in the euro area after 1999. To examine this we use empirical structural vector error correction models, built on the data for the period from 1999 to mid-2005. We identify a monetary shock by restricting it to have only temporary effects on output and inflation. We obtain negative responses of inflation and output to a restrictive monetary shock in the period under investigation. These results are obtained with the HICP based as well as the core inflation measure included in the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-988 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850601018346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850601018346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:983-988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Mark Shackleton Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Shackleton Author-Name: Stephen Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Xinzhong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Empirical pricing kernels obtained from the UK index options market Abstract: Empirical pricing kernels for the UK equity market are derived as the ratio between risk-neutral densities, inferred from FTSE 100 index options, and historical real-world densities, estimated from time series of the index. The kernels thus obtained are almost compatible with a risk averse representative agent, unlike similar estimates for the US market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-993 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222210 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222210&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:989-993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Azetsu Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Azetsu Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: The estimation of asymmetric adjustment costs for the number of workers and working hours - empirical evidence from Japanese industry data Abstract: Using monthly data on Japanese industries, we estimate a model of dynamic labour demand that incorporates adjustment costs for hiring and firing workers, and for changing working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-998 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701320147 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701320147&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:995-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: Olga Pavlova Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlova Title: The impact of 9/11 on hours of work and labour force participation in the US Abstract: The purpose of this article is to use observed changes in hours of work and labour force participation to draw inferences regarding behavioural responses to the 9/11 terrorist attacks in the US. Using the Current Population Survey and controlling for differences in demographics, labour market conditions and a time-invariant unobserved individual fixed effect, we determine that for most sub-samples there was no change in labour force participation or in hours of work after 9/11 relative to before. Exceptions were women, who increased their labour force participation, and workers living in the proximity of one of the 9/11 events, who increased their hours of work. These results are consistent with a precautionary increase in labour supply during an uncertain time, and with others' documentation of women responding more dramatically to external stressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1003 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701250252 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701250252&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:999-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Soderlind Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Soderlind Title: An extended Stein's lemma for asset pricing Abstract: Stein's lemma is extended to the case where asset returns have skewed and leptokurtic distributions. The risk premium is still the negative of the covariance of the excess return with the log stochastic discount factor. The risk-neutral distribution has a simple form but is a nontrivial transformation of the physical distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1008 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345422 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345422&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1005-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adel Boubaker Author-X-Name-First: Adel Author-X-Name-Last: Boubaker Author-Name: Saber Sebai Author-X-Name-First: Saber Author-X-Name-Last: Sebai Title: Inter-market information flow: a nonlinear approach Abstract: This article attempts to characterize the pattern of information flows between the stock markets by determining mean and variance causal relationships. A two-step procedure proposed by Cheung and Ng (1996) is used. Stock market returns are specified as Autoregressive-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (AR-GARCH) models with Monday and Friday effects. Stock markets of our sample are chosen to analyse the main causes of information flows documented in the literature: linkage between economic fundamentals and the time lag between the stock markets' opening hours. Results provide evidence of nonlinear causality between stock markets, even when linear Granger causality is rejected. Causality seems to be attributed to both economic linkage and time lag between market openings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1009-1015 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345414 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345414&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1009-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dave Lane Author-X-Name-First: Dave Author-X-Name-Last: Lane Title: The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment: a refinement Abstract: The proof of Proposition I in the work of Modigliani and Miller (MM) (1958) is based on the mechanism of arbitrage. Two cases are considered: first, the case where the value of the levered firm is larger than that of the unlevered one; second, the case where the value of the levered firm is smaller than that of the unlevered one. The first case involves the investor engaging in personal borrowing. This article shows that the amount borrowed is greater than the amount envisaged by MM, and that the proof of Proposition I is slightly altered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1019 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802345448 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802345448&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1017-1019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Udaya Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Udaya Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Rudra Narayan Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Rudra Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: On comparison of nutritional deprivation: an illustration using Foster Greer Thorbecke criterion Abstract: This is an illustrative note on application of Foster Greer Thorbecke (FGT) criterion to measurement and comparison of undernourishment among children. Given the semblance between head-count measure of poverty and measuring undernourishment among children, there arises a need for application of FGT criterion in assessment of undernourishment as well. This not only helps in assessing intensity and inequality aspect but also can adjust the head count accounting for both to make a valid comparison on levels of undernourishment across situations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1021-1024 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222202 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222202&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1021-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Title: High-tech exports and economic growth in industrialized countries Abstract: The present article provides new evidence on the impact of the change in the high-tech export share on economic growth in OECD countries. We estimate a dynamic growth model on panel data for 22 OECD countries for 1980-2004, in which the data is measured as 5-year averages. Using the system GMM panel estimator, which corrects for simultaneity, we find that both business R&D intensity and the share of high-tech exports are significantly positively related to the GDP per working age population. The estimated elasticities are rather sizable but the magnitude suggests that business R&D intensity is more important than the share of high-tech exports in explaining GDP per working age population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1025-1028 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701222228 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701222228&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1025-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: David Law Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: On skewness of return and buying more than one ticket in a lottery Abstract: The purpose in this article is to demonstrate that buying more than one ticket in a lottery is readily explicable in models of utility that permit gambling at actuarially unfair odds. However, contrary to popular view, we show this choice cannot be explained in terms of a variance-skew trade-off. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1032 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701320154 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701320154&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1029-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Economic factors, firm characteristics and performance: a panel data analysis for United Kingdom life offices Abstract: This article examines panel data evidence to investigate the linkage between insurer performance proxied by investment yield and several economic and firm-specific factors in the United Kingdom life insurance industry. The empirical results indicate that investment yield is positively related interest rate level, but negatively related to interest rate changes, reinsurance dependence, assets held to cover linked liabilities and instability of asset structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1037 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335269 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335269&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1033-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natividad Blasco Author-X-Name-First: Natividad Author-X-Name-Last: Blasco Author-Name: Pilar Corredor Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Corredor Author-Name: Rafael Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: Information spillovers between derivative markets with differences in transaction costs and liquidity Abstract: In line with the transactions cost theory, this article shows that the futures market with its higher liquidity and lower transactions costs, leads the options market in the price discovery process. Liquidity and transaction costs are also shown to play a key role in market sensitivity to information, since the futures market s response to shocks is quicker, which means that it receives higher volatility spillovers than does the options market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1047 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335277 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335277&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1039-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Jirjahn Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Jirjahn Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Author-Name: Georgi Tsertsvadze Author-X-Name-First: Georgi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsertsvadze Title: Class size, student performance and Tiebout bias Abstract: If students tend to choose instructors with high teaching ability, a negative link between class size and student performance may remain obscured until this kind of sorting has been taken into account. Using data from student evaluation surveys, we confirm that it is crucial to control for instructor fixed effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1052 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335285 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335285&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1049-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bicket Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bicket Author-Name: Aparna Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Demographics and living arrangements of the minority elderly in the United States Abstract: Using data from the U.S. Census Bureau, this study assesses the demographics and living arrangements of the minority elderly population of the United States. Rapid growth in both the number and the proportion of all elderly minority populations are expected. By 2050, one-third of the elderly population will be other than a non-Hispanic White. While existing literature primarily focuses on the demographics and living arrangements of the White elderly population, this study attempts to show the diversity and differences in economic and cultural patterns among the minority elderly population and the implications of such diversity on the living arrangements of the elderly. The data show variations in elderly living arrangements in minority population groups by gender, and across and within the groups themselves. Such differences in living arrangements have important policy implications on both macro and micro level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1057 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335293 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335293&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1053-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Knezevic Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Knezevic Title: Estimating the long-term costs of diabetic kidney disease: an economic approach Abstract: Healthcare spending in Australia has increased rapidly in recent decades, partly due to the prevalence of lifestyle related illness, as physical inactivity and ageing have become common. Diabetes is a chronic and costly illness resulting from poor lifestyle choice and ageing. In this study, we estimate the long-run cumulative costs of a complication of diabetes, diabetic kidney disease, using well-known techniques from health economics. We find that spending on treatment for diabetic kidney disease will amount to $9.2 billion over the next 30 years. Most of the cost from this complication comes from the clinical stage of diabetic kidney disease. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1059-1064 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335301 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335301&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1059-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Author-Name: Thomas Leoni Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Leoni Title: Characteristics of self-employment among university graduates Abstract: In this article, we investigate the characteristics of nonagricultural self-employment (SE) among university graduates in Austria. Probit regressions based on 380 000 observations from the country's 2001 population census indicate that the probability of choosing SE rises significantly with age. We find that men are more likely to be entrepreneurs than women. There are also strong sectoral and regional effects, such as higher probabilities in rural areas. Furthermore, we observe a significant link between the propensity to be self-employed and the type of university degree. Our findings concerning the relationship between citizenship and SE indicate that highly-skilled immigrants from low-wage countries are less likely to be entrepreneurs than native-born citizens and graduates from high-wage countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1071 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1065-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell James Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: James Title: Tenant time preference as a barrier to homeownership Abstract: Many US government programs focus on reducing the financial barriers to homeownership. This paper uncovers evidence of an additional barrier - high time discounting by renters. Results from cumulative logistic and ordinary least squares models of 4228 households participating in the 2004 Survey of Consumer Finances indicate that renters self-report a significantly shorter financial planning time-horizon than owners do. Additionally, a tobit analysis reveals that renters tend to choose short-term, low-return investments when they save. A probit analysis of 14 743 household observations in the 2003-2004 Consumer Expenditure Survey reveals a significantly higher probability for consumption of tobacco by renters-a choice frequently associated with high time discounting due to negative long-term health effects. Each of these results is consistent with high time discounting by renters. Such discounting of future consequences can impede the transition to homeownership, which often requires delaying current consumption in exchange for future benefit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: Alternative methods of calculating optimal timber rotations: a critique of the Stokey/Lucas/Prescott tree-cutting problem Abstract: The traditional question of optimally deciding when to cut down a tree is among the most commonly posed questions asked of students learning the technique of dynamic programming. This paper shows that the traditional tree-cutting example is improperly formulated when the question of replanting is addressed, derives the proper method of finding optimal harvest length, and applies this method to an empirical forest growth function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1081 Issue: 10 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:10:p:1079-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourenco Senne Paz Author-X-Name-First: Lourenco Senne Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Corporate foreign currency debt in Brazil: will dollar indebted firms invest more after real exchange rate depreciations? Abstract: In this article the effect of real exchange rate movements over the investment of Brazilian firms with foreign currency debt is assessed. Moreover, the hypothesis of currency matching between firm s revenues and expenditures will be tested. To do so, a new theoretical model is provided. Contrary to previous results of a positive effect of exchange rate devaluations over investment, our results show that the effect is decreasing on the share of the foreign currency liabilities. For small shares of foreign debt, the effect is positive, but by increasing the share it turns negative. We didn t find evidence of currency matching in our data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1088 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1083-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Gail Shields Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Title: Estimating external returns to education in the US: a production function approach Abstract: Individual US data are merged with aggregate data by state for the US and used to estimate the external benefits of education. Aggregate state-wide variables used are the average level of education and per capita physical capital for each state. Individual variables used are each working adult's labour force experience, years of completed schooling, gender and immigration status. One difference from previous studies that estimate external benefits to education is that data on physical capital for each region (state) are available and used. Hence, the study is based on an explicit production function of the form suggested by Lucas. Strong evidence of the presence of external benefits to education for the US is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1092 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335343 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335343&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1089-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Occupation and the labour market participation of women: why do some people trade down jobs when careers are interrupted? Abstract: A dynamic structural discrete choice model of labour market participation, schooling and occupational choice is applied to data for women drawn from the British Cohort Study. It is established that, for relatively highly educated workers, the return attached to childrearing is higher in the part-time non-managerial work regime than in the part-time managerial work regime. As a consequence, following childbirth, many female managers switch to occupations that underutilise their skills. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1093-1096 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367155 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367155&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1093-1096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Title: A note on Taylor rules and the term structure Abstract: This article augments the well-known dynamic macro-economic model of Svensson (1997) to include the term structure of interest rates, in order to support the empirical findings of Fendel and Frenkel (2005) on the information content of the term structure of interest rates for monetary policy published in Applied Economics Letters. The derived Taylor-type rule is an implicit rule that cannot be used mechanically, because it contains an additional forward-looking argument. Only under special conditions of a stable and flat yield curve and/or an aggregate demand specification that only depends on the short-term interest rate this augmented rule collapses to the class of well-known Taylor-type rules. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1097-1101 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1097-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Fractional integration of inflation rates: a note Abstract: This note studies the persistence of CPI inflation for 12 OECD countries. The fraction order of integration is estimated through the wavelet-OLS estimator of Jensen (1999). The results show that CPI inflation is characterized by mean reversion in the long run with finite variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1103-1105 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1103-1105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: Estimation of simultaneous equation models with latent dependent variables: a Monte Carlo evaluation Abstract: Three methods can be used to estimate simultaneous equation models with latent dependent variables: two-stage, minimum distance (MD) and full-information maximum likelihood. Theoretically all the three methods provide asymptotically consistent estimates, but the performance of these estimators in finite samples cannot be determined in theory. This letter evaluates the performance of these estimators in finite samples using Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that the MD estimator performs very poorly; overall the full information maximum likelihood estimator performs better than the other two estimators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1112 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1107-1112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Naoko Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: International term structure of interest rates in the Euro area Abstract: This article empirically analyses the international term structure of interest rates in the Euro area over the period from 1999 to 2006. To address the small sample problem, we apply the nonstationary panel data analysis to two data sets: (1) seven countries (Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain) from 1999 to 2006 and (2) eight countries (Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain) from 2001 to 2006. Our results support the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1113-1116 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389040 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389040&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1113-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Estrada Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Estrada Title: Black swans, market timing and the Dow Abstract: Do investors in the US stock market obtain their long-term returns smoothly and steadily over time or is their long-term performance largely determined by the return of just a few outliers? How likely are investors to successfully predict the best days to be in and out of the market? The evidence from the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the 1900-2006 period shows that a few outliers have a massive impact on long-term performance. Missing the best 10 days resulted in portfolios 65% less valuable than a passive investment and avoiding the worst 10 days resulted in portfolios 206% more valuable than a passive investment. Given that 10 days represent 0.03% of the days in the sample, the odds against successful market timing are staggering. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1117-1121 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802360074 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802360074&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1117-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Title: Does the United Kingdom have regional banking markets? An assessment of UK deposit provision 1992-2006 Abstract: This study examines whether geographical differences in deposit interest rate setting persists in a bank market with national bank branching. As most UK retail banks have located their branch networks in different combinations within the regions and nations of the United Kingdom, the availability of banking services across the United Kingdom differs. This study examines whether this uneven dispersion of bank branching is associated with deposit account interest rate setting by UK banks over the sample period 1992 to 2006. While banks with branch networks predominately located in certain regions set deposit interest rates at different levels, the degree of overlap between bank branch networks is not a significant factor in deposit interest rate setting. These findings have importance for the definition of banking markets in competition assessments and future assessments of interest rate setting within international banking markets where bank branching restrictions have been lifted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1128 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1123-1128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Efficiency tests of the UK financial futures markets and the impact of electronic trading systems: a note on relative market efficiency Abstract: The literature on weak-form efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has experienced a phenomenal growth over the past few decades, with the empirical framework mostly directed towards testing the absolute version of market efficiency. Evans (2006) represents a small amount of studies that addressed the relative efficiency of financial markets. The present paper discusses the limitations of absolute market efficiency and surveys some measures proposed for assessing relative efficiency in extant literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1132 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1129-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan O'Donnell Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: O'Donnell Author-Name: Dirk Baur Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Baur Title: Momentum in the Irish stock market Abstract: This article is the first to study momentum trading strategies in the Irish stock market. The findings can be summarized as follows: (i) unconditional momentum trading strategies do not outperform the market, (ii) winner and loser trading strategies do outperform the market and (iii) controlling for heteroscedasticity significantly changes the results and yields positive and significant excess returns for most of the 16 momentum trading strategies analysed. These findings illustrate that investors can persistently earn excess returns in the Irish stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1138 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389032 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389032&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1133-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Pontines Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Pontines Title: Optimal common currency basket in East Asia Abstract: This article employs the currency invariant index due to Hovanov et al. (2004) to construct an optimal or stable common G-3 currency basket across different groups of countries in East Asia. Calculated optimal weights show a larger weight for the US dollar but a nonnegligible role for the Japanese yen. The volatility of the optimal common G-3 currency basket is several times smaller than that of a similarly proposed common G-3 currency basket in East Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1141 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701335392 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701335392&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1139-1141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsinan Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsinan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Yaw-Bin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yaw-Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Feasibility of riskless hedged portfolios in imperfect markets Abstract: The Black-Scholes model (1973) is developed under the concept of the riskless hedged portfolio by hedging the call option against the underlying stock. If the riskless hedged portfolio is feasible, investors' preference is independent of option pricing and the implied growth rate of stock price will be the riskless interest rate. Noticeably, the feasibility of this concept is based on the perfect market assumptions and no riskless arbitrage opportunity. However, none of the conditions of perfect capital markets is true in real capital markets. Therefore, whether the growth rate of the hedged portfolio is the riskless interest rate is an interesting and challenging topic. The purpose of this article is to provide a theoretical relationship between the return of the hedged portfolio and risk in imperfect markets. This theoretical foundation can be viewed as a supplementary work to Hsu and Wang (2004) and Wang and Hsu (2006). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1153 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701349161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701349161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1149-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vince Daly Author-X-Name-First: Vince Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Author-Name: Jalal Siddiki Author-X-Name-First: Jalal Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiki Title: The twin deficits in OECD countries: cointegration analysis with regime shifts Abstract: We investigate the question of whether or not government budget deficits and real interest rates have a long-run relationship with the current account of the balance of payments in 23 Organization for Economic cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. Such an investigation is important, since large and persistent budget deficits may impose strains on the foreign exchange markets and are considered by some to be one of the main causes of crises in international financial markets. We permit regime shifts in the cointegration analysis, which extends empirical modelling relative to existing studies. We find that the admission of regime shifts substantially influences the empirical conclusions: we find a long-run relationship between budget deficits, real interest rate and current account deficit in 13 out of 23 countries, whereas the number of countries with apparent long-run relationships is dramatically reduced when regime shifts are not permitted. We argue that, when structural breaks are taken into account, it seems to be the countries with a more extensive financial infrastructure in which the twin deficits are less likely to be conjoined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1155-1164 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701349179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701349179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1155-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanas Christev Author-X-Name-First: Atanas Author-X-Name-Last: Christev Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: A note on Allen-Uzawa partial elasticities of substitution: the case of the translog cost function Abstract: This note provides a useful property of the Allen-Uzawa partials for the translog cost function. It also suggests how the main results extend to any functional form with certain properties. The curvature of the Allen-Uzawa matrix is the same as the curvature of the Hessian matrix. Intuitively and empirically, the Allen-Uzawa partials allow for the verification of curvature properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1165-1169 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367130 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367130&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1165-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Francois Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Author-Name: Stephane Blancard Author-X-Name-First: Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Blancard Author-Name: Philippe Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-First: Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Jean-Pierre Title: Testing for nominal convergence in the Central American area: evidence from panel data unit-root tests Abstract: Inflation convergence between the Central American Area and the United States is investigated using both recent homogeneous and heterogeneous panel data unit-root methods. Strong rejections of unit-root hypothesis are found, and therefore evidence of Purchasing Power Parity, in the Central American countries for the 1981:1-2005:4 period. Then by considering the nominal convergence criterion, the dollarization system seems to be suited to this region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1174 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367148 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367148&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1171-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zsolt Darvas Author-X-Name-First: Zsolt Author-X-Name-Last: Darvas Author-Name: Zoltan Schepp Author-X-Name-First: Zoltan Author-X-Name-Last: Schepp Title: Long maturity forward rates of major currencies are stationary Abstract: Using eight unit root tests and a stationarity test and three decades of monthly data for the currencies between the US, Germany, UK and Switzerland, we find that, while spot exchange rates are nonstationary, long maturity forward rates are stationary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1181 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367163 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367163&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1175-1181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Lien Lu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Lien Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Comparing the reliability of a discrete-time and a continuous-time Markov chain model in determining credit risk Abstract: This article compares the reliability of a discrete-time and a continuous-time Markov chain model for estimating credit risk and for investigating loans of Chiao Tung Bank in Taiwan. The continuous-time Markov chain model can capture the migration of rare events. The time-varying risk premium was also extracted from the loan value and corresponding risk-free price and the transition matrix was transferred to risk-neutral transition matrix by the time-varying risk premium. Finally, the empirical results indicate that the discrete-time Markov chain model may be underestimating the default probability in both the lowest risk and speculative rating class. Comparing the loss given default and the NPL ratio, the continuous-time Markov chain model is more reliable and effective for gauging the credit risk of bank loans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1143-1148 Issue: 11 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701349153 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701349153&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:11:p:1143-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venkata Puduri Author-X-Name-First: Venkata Author-X-Name-Last: Puduri Author-Name: Ramu Govindasamy Author-X-Name-First: Ramu Author-X-Name-Last: Govindasamy Author-Name: Benjamin Onyango Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Onyango Title: Country of origin labelling of fresh produce: a consumer preference analysis Abstract: This article investigates the relationships between country of origin labelling issues and consumers concern about safety and health towards use of foreign produce. A consumer survey showed that about 84% of respondents overall, and more specifically, about 84% of female and 83% of male respondents would like markets to provide information about country of origin of fresh produce. The result also shows that about 73% of respondents regularly read food advertisements in newspapers and grocery brochures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1185 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367213 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367213&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1183-1185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaddour Hadri Author-X-Name-First: Kaddour Author-X-Name-Last: Hadri Author-Name: Yao Rao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: KPSS test and model misspecifications Abstract: The KPSS test is very popular and used extensively by practitioners. The test considers two models under the null: stationarity around a deterministic level or around a deterministic trend. There is no study, as far as we know, on the statistical properties of the test when the wrong model is used. This article endeavour to fill this gap. We found, using simulation, that choosing a deterministic trend when a deterministic level is true does not affect significantly the properties of the test. But, choosing a deterministic level when a deterministic trend is true leads to extreme over-rejection of the null. These results are obtained for i.i.d. and autocorrelated errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1187-1190 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367239 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367239&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1187-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Owyang Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Owyang Author-Name: Howard Wall Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Wall Title: Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy Abstract: We find that the magnitudes of the regional effects of monetary policy were considerably dampened during the Volcker-Greenspan era. For this era, regional differences in the depths and total costs of monetary-policy-induced recessions were related to the concentration of the banking sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1191-1194 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367247 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367247&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1191-1194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Official dollarization in El Salvador and the inflation-inflation uncertainty nexus Abstract: This study extends the literature on the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty by examining the impact of official dollarization on inflation uncertainty in El Salvador. The ARIMA-GARCH model reveals that official dollarization significantly reduces the degree of volatility persistence in response to inflationary shocks. However, based on Granger causality tests, if inflation should increase there would be an increase in inflation uncertainty as suggested by the Friedman-Ball hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1195-1199 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1195-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: Why do financially distressed firms pay dividends? Abstract: In this study we use a sample of 334 S&P500 companies to examine the extent to which financially distressed firms pay dividends in order to attract investors. We find a higher dividend yield and a higher pay-out ratio for financially distressed firms than for financially stable firms. We also find that financially distressed firms tend to change the dividend per share more rapidly than stable firms. Furthermore, these firms' dividends depend more on earnings than do the dividends of stable companies. This finding is consistent with the frequent dividend changes observed in distressed firms. Stable firms, in contrast, prefer paying dividends that are less dependent upon earnings. These results may stem from the relatively high level of importance that financially distressed firms ascribe to dividend payments or to the aggressive dividend policy that eroded the firms' financial stability and forced them to reduce the dividend per share rapidly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1204 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802389057 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802389057&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1201-1204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Choun Yu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Choun Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Markov switching and long memory: a Monte Carlo analysis Abstract: This article finds the close relationship between long memory and some forms of Markov-switching models. The simulation results suggest: (1) when the transition probabilities are closer to unity, it is more likely to generate long memory process; (2) magnitude of regime-switching plays an important role in generating long memory; and (3) process with switching in variance (disturbance) is much less likely to explain long-memory process than switching in mean (intercept) and autoregressive coefficient. Therefore, given the observed high persistence in financial volatility data, volatility modelling by switching in mean and AR coefficient is preferred to that by switching in variance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1205-1210 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367296 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367296&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1205-1210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amy Moore Author-X-Name-First: Amy Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Michael Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Why buy when you can rent? A brief investigation of differences in acquisition mode based on duration Abstract: This article highlights an intriguing finding that the duration of use significantly affects consumers' choice of acquisition mode. When the duration is short, renting is preferred, while buying is preferred for longer durations, even when the economic consequences of both choices are exactly the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1211-1213 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367304 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367304&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1211-1213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hafedh Bouakez Author-X-Name-First: Hafedh Author-X-Name-Last: Bouakez Author-Name: Takashi Kano Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Kano Title: Tests of the present-value model of the current account: a note Abstract: Using a Monte Carlo approach, we evaluate the small-sample properties of four different tests of the present-value model (PVM) of the current account: the nonlinear Wald, linear Wald, Lagrange multiplier and likelihood ratio tests. We find that the nonlinear Wald test is biased towards over-rejecting the cross-equation restrictions implied by the PVM, and that the test statistic is uncorrelated with the goodness of fit of the PVM. The three alternative tests are essentially equivalent and are more reliable in evaluating the PVM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1215-1219 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367288 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367288&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1215-1219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pasquale Scandizzo Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Scandizzo Author-Name: Raghav Gaiha Author-X-Name-First: Raghav Author-X-Name-Last: Gaiha Author-Name: Katsushi Imai Author-X-Name-First: Katsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Imai Title: Does the employment guarantee scheme stabilize household incomes in rural India? Abstract: Our analysis, based on the ICRISAT panel survey of villages in the semi-arid region of south India, confirms the income stabilizing effect of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in India. Variability of household income is measured by an unconditional variance of residuals of an income equation. A (variant) of Heckman's sample selection model is employed to allow for the endogeneity of EGS participation and to assess its income stabilizing role. The (instrumented) EGS participation reduces the residual variance of household income, implying consequent income stabilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1221-1225 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367262 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367262&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1221-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Lokshin Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Lokshin Title: Further results on bias in dynamic unbalanced panel data models with an application to firm R&D investment Abstract: This article extends the LSDV bias-corrected estimator in (Bun and Carree, 2005) to unbalanced panels and discusses the analytic method of obtaining the solution. Using a Monte Carlo approach the article compares the performance of this estimator with three other available techniques for dynamic panel data models. Simulation reveals that LSDV-bc estimator is a good choice except for samples with small T, where it may be unpractical. The methodology is applied to examine the impact of internal and external R&D on labour productivity in an unbalanced panel of innovating firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1227-1233 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367270 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367270&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1227-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Author-Name: Peter Nijkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nijkamp Title: Estimating individual rates of discount: a meta-analysis Abstract: In this article, we present the results from a meta-analysis conducted over 44 experimental and field studies, which report individual discount rate estimates. We find in our research that the experimental design of a study has a decisive impact on these estimates, and conclude that meta-analysis, in the case of individual discount rates, has a low transfer value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1235-1239 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1235-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Fouquau Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Fouquau Author-Name: Ghislaine Destais Author-X-Name-First: Ghislaine Author-X-Name-Last: Destais Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Title: Energy demand models: a threshold panel specification of the 'Kuznets curve' Abstract: This article proposes an original panel specification of the energy demand model. Based on panel threshold regression models, we derive country-specific and time-specific energy elasticity. We find a fall of the elasticity when the income level increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1241-1244 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1241-1244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Yusuf Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Yusuf Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Title: Income convergence: fresh evidence from the Nordic countries Abstract: Using the recently developed linearity test and nonlinear unit root test, this study shows that the income gaps of Finland, Norway and Sweden with respect to Denmark are nonlinear but stationary with no significant trend effect, implying the Nordic countries have already attained steady state of income equality, a state beyond catching up as identified earlier in Oxley and Gresley (1999). This fresh evidence strengthens the finding of Nordic Convergence Club by these authors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1245-1248 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367205 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367205&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1245-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Kinstantin Kholodilim Author-X-Name-First: Kinstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilim Title: On selection of components for a diffusion index model: it's not the size, it's how you use it Abstract: This article suggests a novel approach to pre-selection of the component series of the diffusion index based on their individual forecasting performance. It is shown that this targeted selection allows substantially improving the forecasting ability compared to the diffusion index models that are based on the largest available data set. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1249-1254 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367221 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367221&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1249-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tzu-Pu Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tzu-Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Jin-Li Hu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Incorporating a leading indicator into the trading rule through the Markov-switching vector autoregression model Abstract: This article examines the profitability of trading rules based on the smoothed probability of Markov-switching models and executes two models in Taiwan's case. The results present that both proposed models can earn excess returns over the buy-and-hold strategy and support that both can be used to trade. However, the univariate Markov-switching model, which only uses daily returns series does not successfully capture the trend in the stock market, especially during a bull market. This implies that high-frequency returns series contain lots of noises. In order to overcome this problem, the Markov-switching vector autoregression model that combines a leading indicator and returns is performed in this study. The results indicate a better trading pattern. We conclude that the leading indicator chosen from open interest in the future market increases useful information and reduces noises to improve model estimation, which can well identify the position of bull and bear markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1255-1259 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367254 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367254&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1255-1259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina Murat Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Murat Author-Name: Barbara Pistoresi Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Pistoresi Title: Emigrant and immigrant networks in FDI Abstract: This article studies the relationship between emigration, immigration and the bilateral foreign direct investments (FDI), inward and outward, between Italy and 51 foreign countries. The results suggest that the networks of Italian emigrants abroad significantly promote both inward and outward bilateral FDI. The overall influence of immigrants is weaker. Their role is positively dependent on distance for FDI inward, only. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1261-1264 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367312 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367312&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1261-1264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Black Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Black Author-Name: Michael Dowd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowd Title: The changing composition of output and the great moderation Abstract: An additional explanation is provided for the decline in output variability that began in the mid-1980s. Using state, regional and aggregate data for the US, we examine the shifting influence from manufacturing to services on this variability. At all levels, we find support for this output composition change contributing to the reduced variability of output growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1270 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367320 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367320&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1265-1270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Lunnemann Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Lunnemann Author-Name: Thomas Matha Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Matha Title: Mean reversion and sales Abstract: This article analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15 using disaggregate HICP price indices. The results, based on a nonparametric measure proposed by Marques (2004) suggest a very moderate degree of median and mean inflation persistence. The modified treatment of sales in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices tends to reduce the measured degree of inflation persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1271-1275 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1271-1275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Haas Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Haas Title: Modelling skewness and kurtosis with the skewed Gauss-Laplace sum distribution Abstract: An asymmetric extension of the recently proposed (symmetric) Gauss-Laplace sum distribution for stock returns is developed, motivated by the fact that many stock return distributions display significant asymmetries. The properties of the new distribution, insofar as relevant for estimation, testing, and the modelling of skewness and kurtosis, are derived. An application to three major US stock return indices shows an excellent fit of the model, which outperforms many popular alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1277-1283 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802400441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802400441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1277-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khaled Hussainey Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Hussainey Title: Do dividends signal information about future earnings? Abstract: This article aims to examine the extent to which dividends signal information about future earnings. It examines the effects of dividend payment status and the change in dividend payment on the relation between current stock returns and future earnings. The results show that dividends contain value relevant information about future earnings and that this information is incorporated into current stock returns. In particular, we find that firms that pay dividends at the current year exhibit higher levels of share price anticipation of earnings than nondividend-paying firms. We also find that the change in dividends is positively related to changes in the importance of future earnings news for current stock returns. Finally, we find that the relevance of dividends for forecasting future earnings is greater for loss-making firms than for profitable firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 12 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802403635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802403635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:12:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Title: Predictive content of the stock market for output revisited Abstract: In-sample and out-of-sample evidence for major countries shows that stock price determinants (earnings, risk-free interest rate and equity risk premium) accurately predict real Gross Domestic Product beyond 1 year compared to the stock price index, dividend yield, price/earnings ratio and the Fed model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1294 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481821 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481821&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1289-1294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Ryeol Author-X-Name-Last: Kurz-Kim Title: Further evidence for the negative relationship between stock returns and volatility Abstract: Using a simple autoregression with exogenous variables (and its transformed error-correction model), we investigate relationships between realized return and risk measured by realized volatility. The empirical results obtained from analysing the German Stock Index (DAX) and the Dow Jones Index (DJ) show a negative relationship between the realized return and risk and also between changes of the realized return and risk for both monthly and quarterly frequencies. There is also some weak evidence of a negative impact of large volatility on changes of the return that can be detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1295-1300 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481854 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481854&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1295-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Montserrat Font Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Font Title: Does 'early purchase' improve the willingness to pay for long-term care insurance? Abstract: Coverage for long-term care insurance (LTCI) is scant. One common reason analysts refer to is individual's myopia in planning insurance well ahead of need. We attempt to test this by empirically eliciting the willingness to pay for a hypothetical long-term care insurance policy at two different periods of time namely: (a) current respondent time and (b) assuming the respondent is 40. We draw upon data from Spain where no insurance was available at the time of the study. We find that on average only one-fifth of the respondents find LTCI a suitable alternative and that interestingly, the willingness to pay does not seem to change significantly when individuals are at an 'optimal' purchasing age. The willingness to pay for LTCI is driven by individual's perceptions of risks conditional on survival instead. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1301-1305 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701720171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1301-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Author-Name: James McConnon Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: McConnon Title: Microenterprises and economic growth: a panel study of the US states 1977-1997 Abstract: In this study, we examine the role of microenterprises in US economic growth. Using a panel of the 48 lower US states from 1977 to 1997, we estimate an expanded Carlino-Mills type model of growth. Microenterprises are defined as having between one and four employees. Results suggest that a higher share of goods producing firms that are microenterprises tend to be associated with lower levels of population, employment and income growth, while a higher share of service producing firms classified as micro are associated with higher levels of growth. These results suggest that care must be taken when promoting microenterprises as a major engine of economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1307-1312 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1307-1312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Pricing delinquent mortgages Abstract: One of the most challenging tasks facing financial institutions is how much to mark down mortgage loans with delinquency events in the book of business. Since delinquent loans are not actively traded in the market, a modelling approach is needed for re-pricing these loans. Here, we show a two-step methodology for re-pricing delinquent loans. The first step uses the history of mortgage delinquencies to mark down the Fair Isaac Corporation Credit (FICO) score. The second step applies the mark down FICO score to a risk price model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1313-1317 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802534306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802534306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1313-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Diane Hite Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Hite Title: A note on combining on-site samples and supplemental samples in a logit model of recreation demand Abstract: In recreation demand studies much of the data is collected via on-site samples. Thus, no data is collected for those not visiting the recreation site. The fact that no information is available for those not visiting the recreation area complicates statistical analyses because the result is an endogenously stratified sample. A supplemental sample contains information on the exogenous variables but no information on the response variable. A supplemental sample can be used, along with an on-site sample, to estimate a probability model for site visitation. In this article, we develop and apply the logit formulation of the model of Lancaster and Imbens (1996). We use an on-site sample from the Sipsey wilderness area in northwest Alabama. For our supplemental sample, we use the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series for corresponding counties in Alabama. Together, these samples are used to estimate factors influencing the probability of visiting the site. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1322 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701426563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701426563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1319-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Higgins Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Higgins Author-Name: Shohreh Majin Author-X-Name-First: Shohreh Author-X-Name-Last: Majin Title: Inflation uncertainty and money demand Abstract: We enter inflation uncertainty into error-correction models (EC) of US M1 and M2 money demand. We estimate the models using an instrumental variables procedure that is robust to mis-specification of inflation uncertainty. We find inflation uncertainty has a negative effect on M1 demand and a positive effect on M2 demand. Our results suggest that when confronted with increased inflation uncertainty, agents substitute away from M1 and to the interest bearing components of M2. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1323-1328 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701452023 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701452023&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1323-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Terrence Hallahan Author-X-Name-First: Terrence Author-X-Name-Last: Hallahan Author-Name: Michael McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Nonlinear linkages between financial risk tolerance and demographic characteristics Abstract: We explore the nonlinear linkage between financial risk tolerance and demographic characteristics. Our tests support the nonlinear role of age, income and number of dependents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1329-1332 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701381123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701381123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1329-1332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joe Akira Yoshino Author-X-Name-First: Joe Akira Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshino Author-Name: Edson Bastos e Santos Author-X-Name-First: Edson Bastos Author-X-Name-Last: e Santos Title: Revisiting the interest rate puzzle Abstract: This article makes a connection between Lucas' (1978) asset pricing model and the macroeconomic dynamics for some selected countries. Both the relative risk aversion and the impatience for postponing consumption by synthesizing the investor behaviour can help to understand some key macroeconomic issues across countries, such as the savings decision and the real interest rate. I find that the government consumption makes worse the so-called 'equity premium-interest rate puzzle'. The first root of the quadratic function for explaining the real interest rate can produce this puzzle, but not the second root. Thus, Mehra and Prescott (1985) identified only one possible solution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1340 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802403643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802403643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1333-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shamim Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Shamim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Brian Cozzarin Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Cozzarin Title: Start-up funding sources and biotechnology firm growth Abstract: Biotechnology is one of the world's fastest growing industries, expanding almost four times faster than the G-7 average for all sectors with global demand of US$50 billion in 2005. Biotechnology offers significant economic benefits, particularly in exports and job creation, as well as important health, safety and environmental benefits. Although it has the potential to be an important engine of economic development in the twenty-first century, its research-intensity and the associated long lead times have intensified the equity gap faced by all rapidly growing firms. As a result, there are concerns about start-up financing on growth and performance. Our results show that angel, venture and conventional capital have contributed significantly to R&D capital formation and sales growth. Conversely, the contribution of funding from government, IPO and alliance capital sources are unimportant for our sample of biotechnology firms. These are counter intuitive results for conventional capital's importance for firm growth rates. It was expected that venture capital would be most important; however, it may be that older firms with more mature products or products ready for market are chosen as bank customers. In that case, perhaps it makes sense that bank capital is correlated with higher growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1341-1345 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367338 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367338&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1341-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Title: Trends in occupational segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA: evidence from detailed data Abstract: This article analyses trends in occupational segregation by race and ethnicity in the USA over the period 1983 to 2002. During this period, racial segregation markedly declined, while there was a fairly sizable increase in ethnic segregation. Almost all the changes in racial and ethnic segregation were due to the racial or ethnic composition effect. This finding is important since the composition effect truly measures the change in racial or ethnic segregation by eliminating the effect of changes in the size of occupations. During the period 1983-2002, the service, managerial, sales, operators and professional specialty occupations contributed the most to the decline in segregation between Blacks and NonBlacks, while the service, production and farming occupations contributed the most to the increase in segregation between Hispanics and NonHispanics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1350 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367346 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367346&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1347-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guido Heineck Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Heineck Title: Sexual orientation and earnings: evidence from the ISSP Abstract: There is a small literature suggesting for earnings differentials of nonheterosexual individuals. This study adds to this research using 1994 International Social Survey Programme data. While earnings of lesbian women and bisexual individuals are unaffected, results from selection corrected Mincer-type regressions indicate earnings penalties of about 17-20% for gay men. Oaxaca decomposition suggests that two-thirds of this differential arise from discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1354 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367353 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367353&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1351-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Einat Neuman Author-X-Name-First: Einat Author-X-Name-Last: Neuman Author-Name: Shoshana Neuman Author-X-Name-First: Shoshana Author-X-Name-Last: Neuman Title: Agency in health-care: are medical care-givers perfect agents? Abstract: It has been suggested in the literature that a source of incompleteness in the agency relationship between the doctor and the patient is that the provider may respond to an incomplete or biased perception of the patient's interests. However, this has not been shown empirically. This article is novel in presenting an empirical test of the fundamental assumption of the agency model that health-care professionals understand what their patients want. Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are conducted simultaneously within samples of patients (women who gave birth) and care-givers (doctors and nurses), to elicit and contrast patients' authentic preferences (for five maternity ward attributes) with what care-givers believe them to be. Conclusion: agents have a biased perception of principals' preferences, and therefore a complete agency relationship does not exist. Our findings add a novel empirical contribution to the agency relationship literature. Moreover, parallel preference patterns of patients and care-givers are certainly of much interest to the field of health economics: Informing the unaware medical care-givers about the patients' preferences, will improve treatment and patients' satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1360 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701367379 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701367379&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1355-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Edwyna Harris Author-X-Name-First: Edwyna Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Yovina Joymungul Author-X-Name-First: Yovina Author-X-Name-Last: Joymungul Title: Market depth in an illiquid market: applying the VNET concept to Victorian water markets Abstract: In the context of highly liquid markets and intra-day data, Engle and Lange (2001) successfully develop a measure of market depth they call VNET. This article explores the applicability of a modified version of this measure in the case of the weekly market for seasonal water in rural Victoria. The modified VNET measure is found to be successful in this much more illiquid market, and interestingly our results on determinants are qualitatively similar to those obtained in Engle and Lange (2001). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1361-1364 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701426571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701426571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1361-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Convergence in income inequality in the United States: a nonparametric analysis Abstract: This note investigates the spatial distribution of income inequality in the US over the period 1969 to 1999. Taking into account the methodological limitations of traditional convergence analysis, a non parametric approach is applied to examine the dynamics of the entire cross-sectional distribution. The study reveals the presence of a process of convergence in income inequality across the US states throughout the sample period, as a result of the evolution experienced by those sates located at both ends of the distribution in 1969. Nevertheless, the estimates performed suggest that this process will not continue indefinitely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1365-1368 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701439319 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701439319&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1365-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Young Lim Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: The effect of communication between doctor and patient on patient's medical care use Abstract: Although rapidly developing information technologies, like the Internet, can improve the patient's access to health information, a patient still doesn't have enough ability to appropriately use health information. Hence doctors' efforts to help patient understand and interpret medical information by efficiently communicating with patient might enhance the patient's ability to utilize relevant medical information by which the patient's use of medical care would be affected. Furthermore, by manipulating doctor's payment method, doctor's effort of effectively communicating with patient would be affected and in turn patient's medical care use would be affected. This research seeks to determine whether a doctor's effort mentioned above can affect the patient's use of medical care, and in the policy perspective, whether the doctor's payment method can affect effort level provided to patients. The empirical results suggest the doctor's rate of supply-side cost sharing, representing a doctor's financial constraint, has a statistically significant positive effect on doctor's effort level and the doctor's effort level in turn has a statistically significant negative effect on medical care use of those patients who are prone to overuse it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1369-1374 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701439335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701439335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1369-1374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Who stopped flying around September 11? Abstract: This article presents the first set of empirical results on the effects of the events of 11 September 2001, on individual flying demand using data collected before and after these atrocities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1375-1381 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701452031 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701452031&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1375-1381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christer Thrane Author-X-Name-First: Christer Author-X-Name-Last: Thrane Title: Explaining variation in wine prices: the battle between objective and sensory attributes revisited Abstract: The relative influence of objective and sensory attributes' effects on wine prices have intrigued scholars recently. In this regard, a study by Lecocq and Visser (2006) concluded that the objective attributes were of primary importance. Against this background the purpose of this article is two-fold: (i) to establish that Lecocq and Visser's (2006) conclusion might be premature and (ii) to demonstrate how any study aiming at comparing the relative strengths of different sets of explanatory variables might be carried out more effectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1386 Issue: 13 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701466056 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701466056&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:13:p:1383-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enlinson Mattos Author-X-Name-First: Enlinson Author-X-Name-Last: Mattos Title: Median-voter, size of the government and budget spillover: evidence for US states Abstract: The article tests an extended version of Meltzer and Richard's model where the redistributive policy of the government is made through in kind transfer. The median-voter of one region decides the size of the government of her region taking into account the expenditures made by neighbours' location. The theoretical model predicts that the poorer the median-voter, the higher the size of government must be. Also, the effect of neighbour's region expenditures on own location's decision of government size is undetermined. Estimations for the American states for 1999-2000 year data suggest that there is no spatial interaction among states' expenditures. However, there is evidence in favour of the positive relation between the size of the government and inequality which supports Meltzer and Richard's theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1387-1392 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701493704 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701493704&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1387-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophie Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Usha Sambamoorthi Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Sambamoorthi Title: Wage differential by disability status in an agrarian labour market in India Abstract: This article is the first to estimate the magnitude and determinants of a wage differential by disability status in the context of an agrarian labour market through a wage decomposition method. In rural Uttar Pradesh, India, we find evidence of an unexplained wage gap in favour of nondisabled men of 8% after controlling for selection bias into employment and using different reference groups for wage decomposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1398 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802047011 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802047011&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1393-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. H. Berry Author-X-Name-First: R. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Berry Author-Name: X. Zuo Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Title: Calculating implied volatility using the bisection algorithm: a note Abstract: In a recent article in this journal Jiang (2002) argues that the bisection method is unable to cope with the task of calculating implied volatility from either the Black Scholes or Merton's jump diffusion option pricing models. A re-examination of the bisection method fails to support Jiang's contention. The bisection method proves capable of correctly calculating the implied volatility in a wide range of circumstances. The circumstances in which the bisection and other root finding methods struggle are highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1399-1402 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1399-1402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Title: Relationship between stock returns and inflation Abstract: The question of whether common stocks can act as a hedge against inflation has received tremendous attention in the economics and finance literature, but with little or no evidence for African countries. This letter examines the Fisher hypothesis for 6 African countries. Using OLS estimates we find positive relationship between inflation and stock returns in Kenya and Nigeria. However, instrumental variable estimates provide consistent results and confirms the validity of a generalised Fisher hypothesis in 3 markets: Kenya and Nigeria at the 12 month horizon, and Tunisia at 60 month horizon. This suggests that investors should expect stocks to be a good hedge against inflation over long horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1403-1408 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701537682 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701537682&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1403-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Chikhi Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Chikhi Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Title: The Reichsbank: a nonparametric modelling of historical time series Abstract: This article applies nonparametric methods to the monthly monetary stock time series of the Reichsbank, constructed in weekly data, with 2160 observations, covering the time period January 1876 to December 1920. Our analysis begins with a historical description followed by a cliometric application. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1409-1414 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1409-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Vance Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Vance Title: Marginal effects and significance testing with Heckman's sample selection model: a methodological note Abstract: This article illustrates two techniques for calculating the statistical significance of the marginal effects derived from Heckman's sample selection model, an increasingly common econometric specification in economics and political science. The discussion draws on an analysis by Sweeney (2003) of the incidence and intensity of interstate disputes. After replicating his results, the article presents the delta method and the nonparametric bootstrap as alternative techniques for obtaining SEs of the marginal effects, which themselves are calculated from a transformation of the model parameters. The analysis reveals two variables for which misleading inferences are drawn with respect to the precision of the estimated coefficients in the original study, suggesting that significance testing of the derived marginal effects is warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1415-1419 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701466049 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701466049&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1415-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jannett Highfill Author-X-Name-First: Jannett Author-X-Name-Last: Highfill Author-Name: Kevin O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: The determinants of sales on eBay: the case of baseball cards Abstract: The popularity of online auctions has grown immensely with the eBay site being the largest auction site. One issue that has not received sufficient attention in the eBay auction literature is the effect of reserve-prices (or minimum prices) on the probability of a sale. Studies that have included this variable in their empirical specifications include Lucking-Reiley et al. (2000), Eaton (2002) and Jin and Kato (2002). However, all these studies used the book-price itself to determine its effect on auction outcomes. This study used alternative specifications of the reserve-price to determine if there were different effects of this variable on the probability of sale of baseball cards. These alternative specifications combined the reserve-price with the published book-prices for the baseball cards being sold. None of the three specifications of the reserve-price affected the probability of a sale including a binary variable representing reserve to book-price ratios >2.00. The rationale offered for these results is that there is a geographic mismatch when baseball cards are distributed and eBay extends the reach of the card market, which allows collectors to buy desirable cards at a premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1424 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701493712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701493712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1421-1424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Author-Name: Yi-Chen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shih-Kuo Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Ren-Raw Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ren-Raw Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: An empirical analysis of the CDX index and its tranches Abstract: The desire of market participants to go long or short a portfolio of corporate credits led to the introduction of various types of indices of credit default swaps. In this article, we empirically investigate the relationships between the spreads of the North America CDX index and its tranches and their theoretical determinants. We find (1) support for a number of results predicted by the structural models used in credit risk modelling, such as the Merton model and (2) that CDX spreads are highly responsive to microstructure variables but not to macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1425-1431 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802584889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802584889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1425-1431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chien-Wen Mo Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: International equity diversification between Japan and its major trading partners Abstract: This study attempts to re-investigate whether there exist long-run benefits from international equity diversification between Japan and its major trading partners, Asian countries (Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan) and the USA, using a more powerful nonparametric cointegration test developed by Bierens (1997), over the period 1 July 1999 to 31 December 2004. The results from this test suggest that the Japanese stock market is pairwise cointegrated with the Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and the US stock market but not with the market of South Korea. These findings should prove valuable to individual investors and financial institutions holding long-run investment portfolios in these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1433-1437 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802597212 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802597212&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1433-1437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Shosh Shahrabani Author-X-Name-First: Shosh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrabani Author-Name: Uri Benzion Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Title: The impact of preferences on the WTP premium and the WTA premium Abstract: The study examined the impact of preferences for an item on the Willingness to Pay (WTP) and Willingness to Accept (WTA). The results show that the differences between biddings for preferred and less preferred items are smaller in the selling position than in the buying position. This result can be explained by the existence of the ownership effect in the selling position for both preferred and less preferred items. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1439-1442 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599739 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599739&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1439-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Doğanlar Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Doğanlar Author-Name: Harun Bal Author-X-Name-First: Harun Author-X-Name-Last: Bal Author-Name: Mehmet Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Testing long-run validity of purchasing power parity for selected emerging market economies Abstract: This study presents an empirical analysis of purchasing power parity for 10emerging market economies, namely Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, South Africa and Turkey. This is done by using cointegration technique. Time series properties of nominal exchange rate and price series show that they are nonstationary. The exchange rate and price series do not appear to be cointegrated for most of the countries. We reject the validity of purchasing power parity for Brazil, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines, South Africa, South Korea and Turkey, but we can accept it for Mexico and Peru. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1448 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701522817 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701522817&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1443-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Snuff the puff: international evidence on the determinants of anti-smoking laws Abstract: Using data from a cross-section of countries, we find to varying degrees of significance that the probability governments adopt smoking bans and youth access restrictions depends upon per capita income, per capita cigarette consumption, life expectancy, government health care expenditures, economic freedom and population density. Because some results differ from studies of US anti-smoking policy, this highlights a limitation of using US results to draw inferences about other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1453 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701537690 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701537690&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1449-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Neves Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Neves Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Author-Name: Margarida Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Margarida Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Social or human infrastructure? Re-examining essential determinants of output per worker among countries Abstract: Hall and Jones (1999) presented Social Infrastructure as an essential determinant of differences in Output per Worker among countries. We show that other types of infrastructure may influence Production per Worker even more. We call this type of infrastructure Human Infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1459 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564280 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564280&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1455-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The (non)impact of revenue decentralization on fiscal deficits: some evidence from OECD countries Abstract: Recent studies examining the relation between fiscal decentralization and consolidated government fiscal balances generally have not taken proper account of the extent of the independent taxing powers available to sub-national governments and thus have overstated the degree of effective revenue decentralization. Results from a panel regression study of 19 OECD member countries suggest that when the measure of fiscal decentralization is limited to the revenues over which sub-national governments have full autonomy, its impact on fiscal balances is not statistically significant. Accordingly, when accurately measured revenue decentralization appears to have had no negative impact on fiscal discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1461-1466 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564298 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564298&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1461-1466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Gans Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Gans Author-Name: Andrew Leigh Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Title: The millennium bub Abstract: How much do nonmedical factors affect the timing of conceptions, births and deaths? To test this, we estimate the effect of the millennium on conceptions, births and deaths. With a highly flexible empirical specification, we find large and significant increases in conceptions and births, and suggestive evidence of an effect on deaths. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1467-1470 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564306 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564306&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1467-1470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Desiderio Romero-Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Desiderio Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Jordan Author-Name: Jose Felix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Author-Name: Inmaculada Alvarez-Ayuso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Ayuso Title: Further considerations on the link between adjustment costs and the productivity of R&D investment: evidence for Spain Abstract: This article constructs a dynamic model to estimate the impact of adjustment costs on the productivity of investment in R&D. In order to take into account the possible endogeneity of adjustment costs, the model is estimated by means of instrumental variables (IV), using a panel of Spanish companies. The results show that the elasticity of the productivity of R&D investment with regard to adjustment costs is high, with a value close to -1 (-0.96). This confirms that it is essential to include adjustment costs in the empirical analysis of R&D productivity, as suggested by Jones and Williams (1998) and Comin (2002, 2004). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1471-1476 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564322 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564322&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1471-1476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Lieh Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Identifying turbulent and calm regimes in stock prices: evidence from the Taiwan stock market Abstract: In this article, we apply the innovation regime-switching model, recently proposed by Kuan et al. (2005, JBES), to identify turbulent and calm regimes in stock prices. Based on the predictions of both regimes, we construct simple trading rules and investigate their profitability. Our results suggest that the proposed trading rules outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1477-1481 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578793 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578793&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1477-1481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Borra Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Borra Author-Name: Francisco Gomez-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Garcia Author-Name: Manuel Salas-Velasco Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Salas-Velasco Title: Entry of young economists into working life: analysis of the determinants of first unemployment duration Abstract: This article studies the determinants of the unemployment duration for a cohort of young graduates: those who obtained their university degree in Business, Economics, Management and Marketing in the academic year 2001/2002 at the University of Seville, Spain. After estimating an ordered logit model for duration data, we conclude that graduates' final marks effect a positive impact on their labour insertion. Working while studying and the educational level of the mothers of the graduates also decrease the duration of this first unemployment. No significant effect is found for gender or type of degree dummies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1483-1488 Issue: 14 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591333 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591333&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:14:p:1483-1488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Andrews Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Andrews Author-Name: Andrew Leigh Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Leigh Title: More inequality, less social mobility Abstract: We investigate the relationship between inequality and intergenerational mobility. Proxying fathers' earnings with using detailed occupational data, we find that sons who grew up in countries that were more unequal in the 1970s were less likely to have experienced social mobility by the late-1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1489-1492 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701720197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1489-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentin Zelenyuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Zelenyuk Title: Power of significance test of dummy variables in two-stage efficiency analysis model Abstract: In this note we investigate the power of significance test for dummy variables in the context of Simar and Wilson (2007) two-stage efficiency analysis model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1495 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578884 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578884&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1493-1495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Puller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Puller Title: Estimation of competitive conduct when firms are efficiently colluding: addressing the Corts critique Abstract: I address a recent critique by Corts (1999) who finds that traditional approaches in New Empirical Industrial Organization to estimate the competitive conduct in an oligopoly market can yield inconsistent estimates of the conduct parameter if firms are engaged in efficient collusion. This article derives a general empirical model that allows consistent estimation of the conduct parameter that is robust to efficient collusion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1500 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578900 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578900&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1497-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The labour scarcity paradox reconsidered: a simple growth theoretic explanation Abstract: By calibrating a Solow model augmented by natural resources, this paper offers a simple explanation of the labor scarcity paradox during the process of America's catching up with Britain, which static models have difficulties in accounting for so far. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1501-1504 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1501-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Kerr Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Kerr Author-Name: Bruce Domazlicky Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Domazlicky Title: Tipping and service quality: results from a large database Abstract: Tipping is a big business in the United States economy. We use a large data base from a restaurant delivery service to determine if the quality of service, as measured by the delivery time, is a significant determinant of the percentage tip by the customer. After controlling for the demographic characteristics, the location and income of the customer as well as the payment method, we find that the percentage tip decreases by 0.12% for every minute of delivery time. Similar to other studies we find that minorities and the elderly tend to tip smaller amounts than do other groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1510 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578827 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578827&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1505-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Carree Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Carree Author-Name: Ingrid Verheul Author-X-Name-First: Ingrid Author-X-Name-Last: Verheul Title: Time allocation by the self-employed: the determinants of the number of working hours in start-ups Abstract: This article examines determinants of working hours by self-employed, explicitly discriminating between preference and productivity effects. A simple model of working hours is derived, not requiring expected profit data. The model is estimated using data from a Dutch survey of 1350 start-ups. Outsourcing and number of employees appear related to both preference and productivity. The model has out-of-sample predictive power for the number of working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1515 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701580542 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701580542&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1511-1515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Grigorios Livanis Author-X-Name-First: Grigorios Author-X-Name-Last: Livanis Title: Implementation of stochastic dominance: a nonparametric kernel approach Abstract: The empirical application of stochastic dominance in the selection of crop alternatives under risk has typically been based on a step function specification of the empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf). This specification has questionable consequences for the analysis, particularly with regards to the tails of the distribution. This article proposes an alternative nonparametric approach based on a nonparametric regression of the cdf. The effect of this alternative specification is then demonstrated using data from Northern Florida. Results are more realistic. The first-degree stochastic dominance results are less discriminating under the new specification while the second-degree results are more discriminating. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1522 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1517-1522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Leightner Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Leightner Author-Name: Tomoo Inoue Author-X-Name-First: Tomoo Author-X-Name-Last: Inoue Title: Negative fiscal multipliers exceed positive multipliers during Japanese deflation Abstract: Bi-Directional Reiterative Truncated Projected Least Squares is used with quarterly Japanese data for 1955 to 2001 to find that the multiplier effect from increases in public and private investment was less than the multiplier effect from decreases in public and private investment between 1989 and 2001. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1523-1527 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1523-1527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Altruism and externalities Abstract: The Coase theorem and the Rotten-Kid theorem are compared against each other in a simplified model of altruism and externalities. The efficiency predictions of the Coase theorem are found to be unaltered by the altruism, whereas those of the Rotten-Kid theorem are found to be applicable only to a more specialized type of social-welfare function. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1529-1531 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1529-1531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabell Koske Author-X-Name-First: Isabell Author-X-Name-Last: Koske Title: International R&D spillovers: the role of financial markets Abstract: This article examines the role of financial markets as a catalyst for international technology diffusion using a panel data set on 72 countries over the period 1981 to 2005. The results suggest that countries with better developed financial markets benefit more from foreign R&D stocks to promote domestic productivity growth. This finding is robust to the inclusion of proxies for human capital and domestic R&D stocks as alternative measures of absorptive capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1533-1536 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748917 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748917&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1533-1536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Author-Name: Yasuyuki Todo Author-X-Name-First: Yasuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Todo Title: Are immigrants more likely to commit crimes? Evidence from France Abstract: Using French data, we find that the share of immigrants in the population has no significant impact on crime rates once immigrants' economic circumstances are controlled for, while finding that unemployed immigrants tend to commit more crimes than unemployed nonimmigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1541 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1537-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naveen Srinivasan Author-X-Name-First: Naveen Author-X-Name-Last: Srinivasan Author-Name: Vidya Mahambare Author-X-Name-First: Vidya Author-X-Name-Last: Mahambare Author-Name: M. Ramachandran Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramachandran Title: Preference asymmetry and international reserve accretion in India Abstract: Reduced-form estimates of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) first-order condition indicate that its preferences have been asymmetric with respect to exchange-rate management, with the response to the rate of rupee appreciation being relatively larger than to the rate of rupee depreciation of the same magnitude. This behaviour is shown to account for a sizable fraction of reserve accretion in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1543-1546 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578942 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578942&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1543-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Author-Name: Robert Sova Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Sova Author-Name: Ana Maria Sova Author-X-Name-First: Ana Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Sova Title: Modelling international trade flows between CEEC and OECD countries Abstract: This article deals with econometric developments for the estimation of gravity model, which allow to get convergent parameter estimates even when a correlation exists between the explanatory variables and the specific unobservable characteristics of each individual. We implement panel data econometric techniques to characterize bilateral trade flows between heterogeneous economies. Our econometric results based on a sample of 4 Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC-4) and 19 OECD countries over a 18-year period highlight the importance by taking into account the unobservable heterogeneity to obtain a robust empirical specification and unbiased coefficients. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1547-1554 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701564330 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701564330&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1547-1554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Price discovery for copper futures in informationally linked markets Abstract: The purpose of this article is to contribute to the research on informationally linked markets by investigating the relationships between the Chinese copper futures market and its London counterparts. There is a long run relationship between the Shanghai Futures Exchanges (SFE) with London Metals Exchange (LME) copper futures prices. Furthermore, we find that three regime Markov switching model with changing intercept and variance turns out to be good description of the data. The influence of LME on SFE is bigger than that of SFE on LME. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1555-1558 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578801 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578801&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1555-1558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The determinants of foreign direct investment in MENA countries: an extreme bounds analysis Abstract: The determinants of foreign direct investment inflows are examined by applying extreme bounds analysis to a cross-sectional sample encompassing data on 18 Middle Eastern and North African countries. With the gross domestic product growth rate serving as the free variable, eight potential explanatory variables are tried as the variables of interest in combination with three other variables. The results reveal that only one variable is robust when traditional EBA is used. However, when restricted EBA is used, the results based on the 60% of the regressions with the highest R2 reveal three more robust variables. Some explanations for the results are put forward. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1559-1563 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1559-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Mohamed Soliman Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Soliman Title: Federal Reserve vs. consumer forecasts of inflation: 1979-1983 Abstract: This article tests the asymmetric information hypothesis using the CPI inflation forecasts of the Federal Reserve and consumers for the volatile inflationary period of 1979-1983. The Fed generally over-predicted inflation, but consumers produced unbiased forecasts with superior predictive content. In fighting inflation, the Fed was, perhaps, cautious by assigning much cost to under-predictions, but little or no cost to over-predictions. Under such an asymmetric loss function, the bias in the Federal Reserve forecast of inflation appears to be rational. However, this explanation, while plausible, cannot be substantiated from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) transcripts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1565-1568 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1565-1568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Turan Katırcıoglu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Turan Author-X-Name-Last: Katırcıoglu Author-Name: Sami Fethı Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Fethı Author-Name: Meryem Duygun Fethı Author-X-Name-First: Meryem Duygun Author-X-Name-Last: Fethı Title: Twin deficits phenomenon in small islands: an empirical investigation by panel data analysis Abstract: This article empirically investigates the direction of causality between current account balance and the overall budget balance of a selected 24 small island state economies by conducting panel data econometric techniques. The results of both bivariate and pairwise Granger causality tests suggest that there is unidirectional causation which runs from current account balance to the overall budget balance. On the other hand, no evidence has been obtained on the causation which runs from budget balance to current account balance in small island states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1569-1573 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1569-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Stock market returns and terrorist violence: evidence from the Basque Country Abstract: We analyse the extent of the negative effects of violence in the Basque Country on the financial and economic activity of the region. We use daily data of the Basque stock market index and employ long memory regression models, with the Spanish stock market index and an index for violence employed as weakly exogenous regressors. The results show that violence significantly reduces the stock market returns in the area. On the other hand, the volatility processes are positively correlated with violence, though not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1575-1579 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578918 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578918&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1575-1579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Holger Bonin Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Bonin Author-Name: Amelie Constant Author-X-Name-First: Amelie Author-X-Name-Last: Constant Author-Name: Konstantinos Tatsiramos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Tatsiramos Author-Name: Klaus Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Native-migrant differences in risk attitudes Abstract: This article questions the perceived wisdom that migrants are more risk-loving than the native population. We employ a new large German survey of direct individual risk measures to find that first-generation migrants have lower risk attitudes than natives, which only equalize in the second generation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1581-1586 Issue: 15 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578926 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578926&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:15:p:1581-1586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Smoking restrictions and spillovers across jurisdictions Abstract: We use state-level data to estimate the demand for cigarettes and the determinants of smoking prevalence in the United States. The main contribution lies in considering spillovers from geographic smoking restrictions. Results show that price affects cigarette demand, but not smoking prevalence. Cigarette demand turns out be unit elastic and similar in magnitude to the border-price elasticity. Home-based smoking restrictions lower both cigarette demand and participation, while work restrictions only lower participation. Border home restrictions seem inconsequential, whereas border work restrictions have a marginally positive effect, especially on cigarette demand. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1587-1592 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1587-1592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reidar Hagtvedt Author-X-Name-First: Reidar Author-X-Name-Last: Hagtvedt Title: Stock return dynamics and the CAPM anomalies Abstract: In this study the chaotic properties of stocks were calculated at the firm level rather than focusing on the properties of indices. The dominant Lyapunov exponent and the Correlation Dimension were estimated for weekly returns to individual stocks, and the relationships between these and the firm characteristics size (market value) and book-to-market-equity (BME) ratio were examined. Size was found to have an effect on the dynamic characteristics of the stocks, but BME had no statistically significant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1593-1596 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701582159 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701582159&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1593-1596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Yong Tan Author-X-Name-First: Kang Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: A pooled mean group analysis on aid and growth Abstract: This article uses the pooled mean group estimator and an extended annual dataset to examine the effectiveness of aid on growth. The results indicate a significant long-run impact of aid and 'good' policy on growth, but conditioning aid on 'good' policy reduces the long-run growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1597-1601 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604128 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604128&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1597-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Fratianni Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Fratianni Author-Name: Chang Hoon Oh Author-X-Name-First: Chang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Size of regional trade agreements and regional trade bias Abstract: We test the relationship between size of regional trade agreement (RTA) and regional trade bias using a gravity equation on a large sample of 143 countries for the period 1980-2003. We find that regional trade bias declines with the size of the club and that three of the four expanding RTAs have already surpassed their 'optimal' sizes. There is no evidence that RTAs have set protection levels against outsiders noncooperatively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1603-1606 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1603-1606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilias Livanos Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Livanos Title: Modelling the incidence of unemployment: the case of Greece Abstract: In this article, micro-data from the 2004 Labour Force Survey are used to model the incidence of unemployment in Greece and assess whether personal attributes of the individual, such as educational level, affect the probability of being unemployed. For that purpose, a logit regression model was constructed. It is found that the type of qualification (PhD, Masters, University degree, etc.) that an individual holds does not affect the probability of being unemployed. However, the incidence of unemployment is found to be affected by the subject studied. Other attributes of the individuals that were found to affect the probability of unemployment are: gender, marital status and region of residence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1607-1611 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578959 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578959&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1607-1611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Davis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Environmental regulations and the increasing seasonality of gasoline prices Abstract: We analyse gasoline prices over the past 27 years and find that there has been an increase in the seasonal variation since 2000. This finding is attributed to an increase in the environmental regulations on gasoline during the summer months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1613-1616 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1613-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Andresen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Andresen Title: The border puzzle is solved Abstract: This article solves the border puzzle that asks why countries have such a strong preference for consuming their own goods. After replicating the negative impact of the border on Canada-United States international trade using the methods of previous research, it is shown that past estimates that find the border to be a significant barrier to international trade are the result of statistical misspecification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1617-1620 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591317 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591317&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1617-1620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: Over education among older workers: impact on wages and early retirement decisions Abstract: As baby boomers approach the later years of their careers and potentially face early retirement decisions, it is worth remembering that their average level of schooling exceeds that of all previous generations. Accordingly, this paper examines the effects of overeducation on wages and early retirement decisions. The impact of overeducation on the wages of older workers is remarkably similar to that found in younger cohorts. With regards to the retirement decision, the literature suggests a link between overeducation and job dissatisfaction and a separate link between job dissatisfaction and early retirement. However, overeducation late in one's career may not be reflective of genuine skill mismatches or job dissatisfaction if skill mismatches occur. If overeducation has any impact on the likelihood of early retirement it is small as the empirical analysis finds no such evidence Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1621-1626 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604052 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604052&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1621-1626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Galagedera Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Galagedera Title: Economic significance of downside risk in developed and emerging markets Abstract: This study examines in the cross-section the association between excess return and systematic risk measured in the downside framework. Two measures of risk in the downside; downside beta and downside co-skewness are investigated. Both downside risk measures perform poorly compared to the CAPM beta in developed markets. In emerging markets there is evidence to suggest that downside co-skewness may be a better measure of risk compared to the CAPM beta and downside beta. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1627-1632 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604060 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604060&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1627-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rebeca Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Rebeca Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Marcelo Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Oil shocks and the macro-economy: a comparison across high oil price periods Abstract: Oil prices are found to exert nonlinear effects on major advanced economies. Real output's reaction is much more visible during the periods of high oil prices of the mid-1970s and early 1980s. Oil prices have had inflationary consequences in several economies not only in those two periods, but also during the spike of 1990. There is also evidence that inflation has picked up in some economies as a result of the oil price hikes of 1999-2000, and even more recently in the case of the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1633-1638 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604086 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604086&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1633-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Bastos Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bastos Author-Name: G. Leao Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: G. Leao Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Author-Name: J. Passos Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Passos Title: Analysis of school failure based on Portuguese micro data Abstract: In this article we investigate the main causes of school failure in the primary public schools in Lisbon. Poisson count-data models are used to analyse the relationship between the number of failures and a wide set of explanatory variables. However heterogeneity due to unobserved differences in intellectual abilities of the students is of primary concern. Neglecting it causes biased estimates and therefore a proper method is required to accommodate it. In this article we suggest a finite mixture of Poisson's. We found that variables associated to gender, ethnicity, family dimension, parent's level of education and income poverty are the most important observable determinants of school failure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1639-1643 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604094 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604094&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1639-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo Martin-Oliver Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Martin-Oliver Author-Name: Vicente Salas-Fumas Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Salas-Fumas Author-Name: Jesus Saurina Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Saurina Title: Informational differentiation, interest rate dispersion and market power Abstract: This article investigates the existence and determinants of interest rate dispersion in loans and deposits of Spanish banks under the lens of informational differentiation. We find that interest rate dispersion and market power co-vary in the same direction across bank products under differences in variables that affect customers' incentives to search. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1645-1649 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604144 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604144&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1645-1649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zafer Caliskan Author-X-Name-First: Zafer Author-X-Name-Last: Caliskan Title: The relationship between pharmaceutical expenditure and life expectancy: evidence from 21 OECD countries Abstract: The purpose of this article is to examine the effect of pharmaceutical expenditures on life expectancy for 21 OECD countries. An unbalanced panel data model is used to investigate the role of socio-economic, lifestyle and demographic factors as well as public and private pharmaceutical expenditures in determining life expectancy for six age-gender strata over the period 1985 to 2002. The empirical results show that pharmaceutical expenditure has a positive, but different effect on life expectancy for females and males with various ages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1651-1655 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604136 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604136&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1651-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian-Shyr Dai Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Shyr Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Yuh-Dauh Lyuu Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Dauh Author-X-Name-Last: Lyuu Title: Accurate approximation formulas for stock options with discrete dividends Abstract: Pricing options on a stock that pays discrete dividends has not been satisfactorily settled in the literature. Frishling (2002) shows that there are three different models to model stock price with discrete dividends, but only one of these models is close to reality and generates consistent option prices. We follow Frishling (2002) by calling this model Model 3. Unfortunately, there is no analytical option pricing formula for Model 3, and many popular numerical methods such as trees are inefficient when used to implement Model 3. A new stock price model is proposed in this article. To guarantee that the option prices generated by this new model are close to those generated by Model 3, the distributions of the new model at exdividend dates and maturity approximate the distributions of Model 3 at those dates. To achieve this, a discrete dividend in Model 3 is replaced by a continuous dividend yield that can be represented as a function of discrete dividends and stock returns in the new model. Thus, the new model follows a lognormal diffusion process and the analytical option pricing formulas can be easily derived. Numerical experiments show that our analytical pricing formulas provide accurate pricing results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1657-1663 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604078 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604078&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1657-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Einat Neuman Author-X-Name-First: Einat Author-X-Name-Last: Neuman Title: What is important in a fight for life? - preferences of women diagnosed with breast cancer for attributes of an oncological institute Abstract: A Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) is used to establish preference patterns for attributes of a medical institute that are exhibited by Israeli women who were diagnosed with breast cancer. It contributes and adds to the growing body of studies in Health Economics that use DCEs: (i) the domain of experimentation is extended to a country other than the UK or the US, where most experiments took place; (ii) a life-threatening disease has been chosen for the DCE, to test whether in this case too individuals relate to trade-offs between attributes, or alternatively focus only on quality of treatment; (iii) substitution or complementarities between attributes have been investigated; and (iv) differences in preference patterns within diverse socio-economic groups have been explored. The findings are followed by suggestions for possible extensions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1665-1670 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701578967 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701578967&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1665-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maritta Paloviita Author-X-Name-First: Maritta Author-X-Name-Last: Paloviita Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: The role of inflation expectations in the EMU Abstract: This article analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On the one hand, the question is how inflation expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these variables. The analysis makes use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and output, which allows for scrutinizing the dynamic interrelationships between these variables. Empirical results strongly suggest that inflation expectations are the key ingredient of the inflationary process for the euro area and they have a significant negative effect on output. Inflation expectations are found to be relatively persistent - almost as persistent as output - albeit they do adapt to developments in both output and (actual) inflation, especially in the medium term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1671-1675 Issue: 16 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701591309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701591309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:16:p:1671-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Yu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The nexus of income and size distribution of Chinese cities, 1984-2003 Abstract: We estimate the distribution dynamics of city income and size in China during 1984-2003 using stochastic kernel. Our results show that intra-distribution mobility are significant in both income and size and provide evidences on China experienced internal brain drain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1677-1682 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1677-1682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Title: Characteristics of female managers in the US labour market Abstract: We use 1% Public Use Micro Data Samples 1990 and 1% Public Use Micro Data Samples 2000 data to investigate characteristics of female managers in the US labour market. The results of this study indicate that the presence of husbands affected the probability of female presence in management-type occupations negatively during the 1980s. However, during the 1990s, the results show a reversed pattern. Also, having higher education positively affected this probability both during the 1980s as well as the 1990s. However, the premium for a higher education was not as high during the 1990s as it was during the 1980s. '… highly qualified women have an importance beyond their numbers. This is partly due to the fact that women in senior positions are better placed to look after the work interests of other women in their organization.' Dolton et al. (1996, p. 551). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1683-1686 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701663249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701663249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1683-1686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effect of gun ownership rates on homicide rates: a state-level analysis Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to examine the link between gun ownership rates and homicide rates. Using a very large cross-sectional survey dataset in order to obtain estimates for household-level gun ownership rates, and state-level data on homicides, the results indicate that gun ownership rates have a statistically significant and positive effect on the homicide rates at the 10% significance level. This result suggests that efforts to restrict access to firearms may reduce murders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1687-1690 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1687-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: The sustainability of trade accounts of the G-7 countries Abstract: This article has examined the sustainability of the trade accounts of the G-7 countries by analysing the long-run equilibrium between exports and imports. We applied the techniques of the recently developed nonstationary panel data analysis and found that the trade accounts of the G-7 countries are very likely to be nonstationary variables. This implies that trade accounts are not sustainable for the G-7 countries. Therefore, some appropriate policies must be implemented to prevent trade imbalances from increasing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1694 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675490 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675490&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1691-1694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amitrajeet Batabyal Author-X-Name-First: Amitrajeet Author-X-Name-Last: Batabyal Title: The optimal reservation utility in models of decision making in arranged marriages Abstract: The notion of a reservation quality or utility is a key feature of Batabyal's (2003a) recent analysis of decision making in arranged marriages. In this model, the magnitude of the reservation utility has a nontrivial impact on the decision to accept or decline a marriage proposal. Even so, Batabyal (2003a) treats the marrying agent's reservation utility as an exogenous variable. Consequently, the purpose of this article is to endogenize the reservation utility variable in the context of a dynamic and stochastic model of decision making in arranged marriages. Our analysis leads to two results. First, we demonstrate that the optimal reservation utility is the solution to a particular maximization problem. Second, we show that theoretical circumstances exist in which the optimal reservation utility is unique. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1695-1698 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701625800 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701625800&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1695-1698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tran Viet Ha Author-X-Name-First: Tran Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Title: A discussion on power of ADF F-test with unexpected initial value Abstract: This article attempts to show when the series is a stationary autoregressive process, of which, the initial value is far from the deterministic trend, power of Augmented Dickey-Fuller(ADF) F-test is not only superior to the tests, which are most powerful for small and moderate initial value, such as GLS-DF test (Elliott et al., 1996) but also to ADF t-test, given small and moderate sample sizes; and especially, when the autoregressive coefficient is close to unity. The procedure proposed by Holden and Perman (1994), which takes advantage of both t- and F-type ADF tests is recommended. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1699-1703 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1699-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Bird Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Author-Name: Dane Rowlands Author-X-Name-First: Dane Author-X-Name-Last: Rowlands Title: The IMF's role in mobilizing private capital flows: are there grounds for catalytic conversion? Abstract: Recent theoretical and empirical research suggests that under certain conditions IMF agreements induce additional inflows of finance from private international capital markets. This article provides new empirical evidence on this catalytic effect using a treatment effects model to correct for selectivity. It concludes that catalysis remains weak or negative overall, with nuances that support recent theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1705-1708 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1705-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Cloninger Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Cloninger Author-Name: Roberto Marchesini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Marchesini Title: Reflections on a critique Abstract: Critiques of scholarly research contain their own flaws; sometimes even more so than the work they are critiquing. Such is the case of the critique of our research authored by John Donohue and Jason Wolfers. Published in the Stanford Law Review their paper avoided the blind peer review process and consequently contains elements that undoubtedly would not have survived peer review. That possibility aside, we show that their alternative measures of criminal activity have no theoretical basis nor any empirical precedent within the modified portfolio approach employed in our research. Putting even that aside, we show that their empirical results are not inconsistent with ours. Thus, upon reflection, we see no justification to amend, modify or otherwise alter our methods or results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1711 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604177 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604177&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1709-1711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul-Antoine Beretti Author-X-Name-First: Paul-Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Beretti Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Title: Indirect ICT investment Abstract: Numerous economic studies have highlighted that information and communication technology (ICT) investment expenditure appears to be greater in the field of services, and above all in certain activities such as financial services and wholesale trade, than in industry. This analysis examines whether the investment data compiled by national accountants underestimate productive ICT expenditure, and whether this is more pronounced in the case of industry than for services. For that purpose, we propose an assessment of the size of ICT inputs (termed 'indirect ICT investment') in non-ICT investment expenditure for France in 2000. The main result of our analysis is that the amount of 'indirect ICT investment' appears to be small, compared with 'direct ICT investment', suggesting that the biggest investors in ICT remain services, regardless of whether we consider 'direct' or 'direct' plus 'indirect investment'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1713-1716 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675524 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675524&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1713-1716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Bao Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Bao Author-Name: Thomas Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Borderplex menu evidence for the law of one price: a convergence approach Abstract: A convergence approach is utilized to examine deviations from the law of one price. Sample data are menu prices for eight identical products sold by international restaurant franchises in Mexico and the United States. The results suggest mean reverting behaviour in real exchange rate movements in response to recent information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1717-1720 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1717-1720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bisakha Sen Author-X-Name-First: Bisakha Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Author-Name: Susan Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: Laura Argys Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Argys Author-Name: Daniel Rees Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Rees Title: The effect of substance use on the delinquent behaviour of adolescents Abstract: Adolescents who drink or smoke marijuana are more likely to engage in delinquent activities than their peers who do not use substances, but it is not clear whether this association is causal or driven by other difficult-to-measure underlying factors such as an individual's discount rate. Using several empirical strategies that are designed to control for the influence of unobservables, we explore the relationship between substance use and four outcomes: fighting, property-destruction, theft, and running away. Our results suggest that, for males, the positive association between substance-use and these outcomes is probably spurious. In contrast, there is some evidence that female substance use may be causally related to destroying property, theft, and running away. These results are of importance to parents and policymakers who wish to reduce the incidence of delinquent behaviour of adolescents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1721-1729 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1721-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matias Fontenla Author-X-Name-First: Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenla Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Juan Carlos Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Title: Determinants of housing expenditure in Mexico Abstract: Few studies estimate housing demand for developing countries. We contribute to the literature by estimating housing demand in Mexico, and analysing its main determinants. An advantage of this study is the use of market-based data of actual housing transactions. Our results show a strong positive influence of permanent and temporary income on housing demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1731-1734 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1731-1734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Lieh Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jun-Yen Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Decomposition of the cost growth for the US forest product industries Abstract: This article investigates sources that lead to the cost growth of eight U.S. forest products industries during the period 1997 to 2005. The cost growth rate decomposes into two components: the cost efficiency change and the cost technical change. Empirical evidences indicate that the cost growth in wood product industries is predominantly from cost technical change. In contrast, cost inefficiency primarily drives the cost growth in the pulp and paper industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1741 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604193 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604193&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1735-1741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of the real median price of single-family homes on US internal net migration: an exploratory empirical note Abstract: This exploratory study investigates the impact of the real median price of single-family homes on US net internal migration flows over the 2000 to 2004 period. After allowing for factors such as the growth rate of GSP, the presence of hazardous waste sites, climate, the presence of state income taxes, and other factors, it is found that the rate of net state in-migration over the 2000 to 2004 period was negatively and significantly affected by higher real median prices on single-family homes, a finding consistent with the absence of 'money illusion'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1743-1746 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604151 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604151&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1743-1746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manish Pandey Author-X-Name-First: Manish Author-X-Name-Last: Pandey Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Title: Social networks and trade liberalization Abstract: We consider a representative family in which there are location specific network effects from interactions with other family members, such as joint consumption, joint emotional support and coinsurance. The benefits an individual receives from the network they participate in are nonlinearly related to the number of family members located in urban and rural areas. Family members choose whether to locate in urban or rural areas and average and marginal network benefits differ. In a model with internationally traded urban and rural produced goods, with differential network effects in urban and rural areas free trade will no longer be the best policy. We show this through a numerical example, and suggest that the case for free trade may need to be more nuanced once social considerations of this type are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1747-1749 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701642003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701642003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1747-1749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluca Lagana Author-X-Name-First: Gianluca Author-X-Name-Last: Lagana Title: A structural factor-augmented vector error correction (SFAVEC) model approach: an application to the UK Abstract: This note presents a new structural factor-augmented vector error correction model approach to solve the limited information problem present in traditional vector error correction models. We apply this approach to the UK and obtain a reasonable characterization of the long-run equilibrium concerning real activity, taxation, inflation and the rate of interest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1751-1756 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604185 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604185&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1751-1756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ten-Der Jane Author-X-Name-First: Ten-Der Author-X-Name-Last: Jane Author-Name: Cherng Ding Author-X-Name-First: Cherng Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Title: On the multivariate EGARCH model Abstract: In this aticle, the extension of Nelson's (1991) univariate EGARCH model to the multivariate version has been reexamined and compared with the existing one given by Koutmos and Booth (1995). The magnitude and sign of standardized innovations have been constrained in Koutmos and Booth's multivariate EGARCH model, but not in the actual multivariate EGARCH model. The constraints imposed on Koutmos and Booth's EGARCH model may lead to inaccurate parameter estimates. Since the actual multivariate EGARCH model obtained is more general, and can produce more accurate inferential results, we suggest that the actual multivariate EGARCH model be used in future financial empirical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1757-1761 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701604383 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701604383&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1757-1761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saadet Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Saadet Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Author-Name: Evrim Turgutlu Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Turgutlu Author-Name: A. Duygu Ayhan Author-X-Name-First: A. Duygu Author-X-Name-Last: Ayhan Title: Long memory in stock returns: evidence from the major emerging Central European stock markets Abstract: This article analyses the long-memory properties of the daily stock market returns of four major emerging Central European countries, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and the Slovak Republic. We use the semi-parametric method of Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983) and parametric method of Sowell (1992). The results indicate a significant long memory in the return series of the Slovak Republic. The evidence of long memory in Hungary and the Czech Republic is, however weak. Poland is the only market exhibiting short memory. Since long-memory property is inconsistent with the market efficiency, there is still room for the investors to receive unexploited profits in the stock market of the Slovak Republic. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1763-1768 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701663231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701663231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1763-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Marrett Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Marrett Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: An empirical note on the holiday effect in the Australian stock market, 1996-2006 Abstract: This note examines the holiday effect in Australian daily stock returns at the market and industry level and for small capitalization stocks from Monday 9 September 1996 to Friday 10 November 2006. The eight annual holidays specified are New Years Day, Australia Day (26 January), Easter Friday and Easter Monday, ANZAC Day (25 April), the Queen's Birthday (second Monday in June), Christmas Day and Boxing Day. A regression-based approach is employed. The results indicate that the Australian market overall provides evidence of a pre-holiday effect in common with small cap stocks. However, the market level effect appears to be solely the result of a strong pre-holiday effect in the retail industry. No evidence is found of a post-holiday effect in any market or industry. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1769-1772 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1769-1772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Title: Measuring the safety elasticity of advertising Abstract: This article presents theoretical evidence of an inverse relationship between the advertising elasticity of demand and the safety elasticity of advertising. It also finds that under a lower level of safety, advertising expenditure is driven directly by the responsiveness of demand to advertising. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1773-1776 Issue: 17 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675482 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675482&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:17:p:1773-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwagyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hwagyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Chetan Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: Chetan Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: Velocity of money and inflation dynamics Abstract: There have been large changes in the velocity of money which could be a potential source of inflation variability. This article investigates how the velocity of money affects inflation dynamics by estimating the Phillips curve derived from a New Keynesian model in which money is introduced via transactions technology. The resultant Phillips curve becomes a function of velocity as well as an output gap and a forward looking inflation terms, a feature for which we provide empirical support. Specifically, we adopt the GMM methodology to estimate the velocity-augmented forward looking Phillips curve using the US data between 1951 and 2005. We observe that historical inflation dynamics is consistent with the view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1781 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719652 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719652&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1777-1781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sami Vahamaa Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Vahamaa Title: A note on the impact of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements on implied volatility Abstract: This note demonstrates that different methodological approaches may lead to somewhat different conclusions about the impact of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements on implied volatility. While there is no doubt that implied volatilities are significantly affected by macroeconomic releases, the analysis presented in this note shows that different approaches provide inconsistent results regarding the direction of the effect and also about the relative importance of different types of macroeconomic announcements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1783-1789 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719520 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719520&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1783-1789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fassil Fanta Author-X-Name-First: Fassil Author-X-Name-Last: Fanta Author-Name: Mukti Upadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Mukti Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyay Title: Poverty reduction, economic growth and inequality in Africa Abstract: We study the relationships among economic growth, inequality and poverty. Economists agree that growth is fundamental to reducing poverty. But the links among growth, distribution and poverty is still a subject of debate because the growth elasticity of poverty seems to differ from one country to another. Using a data set for 16 African countries, based on household budget surveys, we find strong support that poverty decreases in response to economic growth, with the estimated elasticity ranging between -0.5 and -1.10. Other variables, albeit important in varying degrees, are much less significant as determinants of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1791-1794 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719587 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719587&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1791-1794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Conte Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Conte Title: Mapping innovative activity using microdata Abstract: I discuss the determinants of three alternative measures of innovative output among firms of different size. Moreover, I provide an econometric procedure for testing a Tobit model (Tobin, 1958) against a two-part model. This procedure is alternative to Cragg's (1971) test and feasible for weighted survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1795-1799 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719553 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719553&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1795-1799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Melzer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Melzer Author-Name: Thorsten Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: Monetary policy in the euro area - has it become more powerful on the road to EMU? Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the effects of monetary policy in the euro area. With the help of a time-varying coefficient vector autoregressive model we find that monetary policy shocks have had a greater impact on real output since the mid-1980s and that their transmission has become faster. Our findings indicate a change in the monetary transmission mechanism that can be explained by the changes in the European financial system over the last 20 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1801-1804 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719538 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719538&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1801-1804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Friedrich Eckey Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Eckey Author-Name: Christian Dreger Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Dreger Author-Name: Matthias Turck Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Turck Title: Regional convergence in the enlarged European Union Abstract: There are only a few studies which examine regional convergence in the enlarged European Union. None of these approaches uses a conditional convergence model, which considers different initial conditions of regions. We refer to the Mankiw et al. (1992) model to examine convergence including the New Member States. Note that most researchers use equal values of depreciation rate and rate of technological progress for all regions. Our analysis is based on country specific values of both variables, which vary markedly. We give empirical evidence for a convergence process which exceeds the often measured value of 2%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1805-1808 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719546 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719546&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1805-1808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Åsa Lofgren Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Author-X-Name-Last: Lofgren Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: Puzzling tax attitudes and labels Abstract: We find that through labelling one can significantly affect attitudes towards a tax. The gasoline tax meets a stronger reluctance than virtually the same tax when it is called the CO2 tax on gasoline. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1809-1812 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719660 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719660&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1809-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reginaldo Pinto Nogueira Author-X-Name-First: Reginaldo Pinto Author-X-Name-Last: Nogueira Title: Testing credibility with time-varying coefficients Abstract: The article presents evidence on credibility gains from the adoption of Inflation Targeting (IT), for a set of developed and emerging markets. We carry out our analysis for Brazil, Mexico, Sweden and the UK, and ask whether the adoption of this monetary framework strengths monetary policy credibility. To answer this question we apply a time-varying coefficients methodology to estimate the time path of the trade-off between inflation and output. Following the literature a more favourable trade-off is believed to be linked to improvements in monetary policy credibility. The results show a clear picture of credibility gains from the adoption of IT. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1817 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719611 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719611&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1813-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanna-Mari Hynninen Author-X-Name-First: Sanna-Mari Author-X-Name-Last: Hynninen Title: Heterogeneity of job seekers in labour market matching Abstract: This study examines the matching of heterogeneous job seekers and vacant jobs. Job seekers are divided into four employability groups according to their labour market status. The dataset consists of highly disaggregated monthly data from 146 Local Labour Offices in Finland over 14 years. The results indicate that the employability of job seekers differs. Therefore, the composition of the pool of job seekers in a local labour market affects the ability of that market to form successful matches. The long-term unemployed have a negative effect on matches while job seekers out of the labour force notably improve the production of matches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1819-1823 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719561 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719561&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1819-1823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Paul White Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: An alternative test to check the validity of convergence results Abstract: This article presents a simple method for identifying distributional dynamic properties of economies using the ideas of concordance and discordance. It can be employed to examine the strength and validity of the results of other methods. The method has the advantage of comparing distributions at two points without relying on intermediary data between the two time points. We present results that suggest there is more 'strong-divergence' than 'strong-convergence' in GDP between countries over the time period 1960 to 2000 although the distribution exhibits both convergent and divergent characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1825-1829 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719579 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719579&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1825-1829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfred Greiner Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Greiner Title: Estimating penalized spline regressions: theory and application to economics Abstract: This article gives a brief survey of penalized spline smoothing. Penalized spline smoothing is a general nonparametric estimation technique which allows to fit smooth but else unspecified functions to empirical data. We depict the theory behind this estimation technique and we present an example demonstrating how this nonparametric estimation technique can help to gain insight into economics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1831-1835 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719629 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719629&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1831-1835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Fozia Nisha Author-X-Name-First: Fozia Author-X-Name-Last: Nisha Title: An extension to the neoclassical growth model to estimate growth effects Abstract: The neoclassical growth model was extended by Mankiw et al. (1992) to estimate the level-effects of human capital. We suggest a further extension to capture their permanent growth-effects. Time-series data from Fiji are used to show that the growth-effects of human capital, although small, are significant and specifications with growth-effects perform better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1837-1841 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701675557 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701675557&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1837-1841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Yu-Chuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yu Han Hung Author-X-Name-First: Yu Han Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Basel II and bank bankruptcy analysis Abstract: Due to keen competition, banks may increase their market share and profits by imposing price policies, such as raising deposit rates, lowering loan rates, or even worse by loaning to those with high risks, which all could increase the probability of bankruptcy. Under these circumstances, the literature has paid great attention to the topics of bankruptcy and risk management. We adopt a two-stage approach, the Super-SBM and logistic regression, to investigate a bank efficiency index and the bank bankruptcy effect from incorporating capital adequacy regulations and a supervisory review process. This study uses data on 36 Taiwanese commercial banks for the 3-year period from 2002 to 2004. This article's empirical results from the Super-SBM and logistic regression approach are summarized as follows: (1) The efficiency factor is proven to be influential in evaluating bank bankruptcy. (2) If certain prerequisites on capital adequacy are imposed on each bank, then it results in a lower risk to the bank and this reduces bank bankruptcy. (3) Corporate governance plays an important role in bank bankruptcy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1843-1847 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701704241 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701704241&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1843-1847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Long Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Hong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: En-Hua Hu Author-X-Name-First: En-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Meng-Xi Yue Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: The relationship between size and growth: the case of Chinese listed companies Abstract: To extend the research on Gibrat's law in transformational countries, this article uses quantile regression to test whether the Law holds for Chinese listed companies in six industries from 1997 to 2003. Results indicate that Gibrat's law demonstrated a behaviour dependent on the length examined. Although it was rejected in four out of six industries for the 6-year period, it received strong support in five industries year by year, which implied that size convergence was a slow process in China. Results also show that Gibrat's law is conditional on industrial characters. It received unbalanced support from different industries, suggesting that the industries examined had distinct growth trajectories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1849-1853 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719488 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719488&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1849-1853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Fryges Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Fryges Title: The export-growth relationship: estimating a dose-response function Abstract: The relationship between individual firms' export behaviour and firm performance has been studied extensively in the economic literature. However, most studies from the field of economics only distinguish between exporting and nonexporting companies, using the firms' export status as a binary treatment variable and comparing the performance of exporting and nonexporting firms. This article introduces the newly developed generalized propensity score (GPS) methodology to the literature of individual firms' export behaviour. Instead of a binary treatment variable, the GPS method allows for continuous treatment, that is, different levels of the firms' export activities. Based on the GPS methodology, a dose-response function is estimated, depicting the relationship between the firms' export-sales ratio and their subsequent sales growth rate as a measure of firm performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1855-1859 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719496 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719496&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1855-1859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Author-Name: Attila Karoly Soos Author-X-Name-First: Attila Karoly Author-X-Name-Last: Soos Title: Treating trade statistics inaccuracies: the case of intra-industry trade Abstract: We investigate the accuracy of trade statistics employing intra-industry trade analysis for 29 countries. We exploit the fact that country A's exports to country B are country B's imports from country A. The data published by the two sides can be compared with each other. Are A's or B's data more accurate? Our analysis is based on the average degree of 'similarity' between country A's and country B's data and the 'mirror' data of all the other countries in the sample. The ranking of the countries by the accuracy of their data yielded by our calculations mainly confirm our a priori expectations. We also investigate whether the data of 'good' reporting countries can be more trusted than some averages of the latter and the data reported by the 'bad' reporters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1861-1866 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1861-1866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Nonlinear interrelations between ADRs and their underlying stocks revisited: application of threshold VECM Abstract: This study examines the dynamic interrelations between American depository receipts (ADRs) and their underlying stocks (UNDs) by using the threshold vector error correction model. In contrast to prior studies focusing on examining the effects of arbitrage threshold on stock return means, this study not only analyse the dynamics of return means but also return volatilities. Moreover, this article adopts two representative ADR issuers: UK VOD and Brazil CVDO and compares the differences between them. The empirical findings of this study are consistent with the following notions. First, for both of the case of UK VOD and Brazil CVDO, once the price relationship of ADRs and UNDs deviates away from the long-run cointegrated equilibrium, the re-establishing equilibrium process is more/less remarkable when the price deviations do (do not) exceed a critical threshold. However, for the case of UK VOD (Brazil CVDO), the tendency to adjust to correct a disequilibrium situation mostly depends on the UND (ADR) markets. Furthermore, this article denotes the threshold estimate in the case of UK VOD (Brazil CVDO) as an unusual (extreme) condition. Last, the arbitrage behaviours between the ADR and UND markets will increase the volatility in these two markets and reduce the correlation between them. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1867-1873 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719595 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719595&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1867-1873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Simon Ville Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Ville Title: Discipline-specific forecasting of research output in Australian universities Abstract: This article presents a cross-sectional model for forecasting research output across the Australian university system. It builds upon an existing literature that focuses either on institutional comparisons or studies of specific subjects, by providing discipline-specific results across all of the 10 major disciplinary areas as defined by Australia's Department of Education, Science and Training. The model draws upon four (highly significant) discipline-specific explanatory variables; staff size, research expenditure, PhD completions and student-staff ratios to predict the output of refereed articles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1875-1880 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1875-1880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorah Ramlan Author-X-Name-First: Jorah Author-X-Name-Last: Ramlan Author-Name: Elsadig Musa Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Elsadig Musa Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and human capital management trend in Malaysia's economic development Abstract: Testing for stationarity, cointegration and structural break for the ICT data are significant to determine Malaysia's economic growth. This article finds that the ICT follows similar trend as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), capital and employment data. The cointegration test suggests that ICT follows a long-run equilibrium in relation to GDP, capital and employment variables. The test for parameter instability for ICT indicates 1986 as the breakpoint, which is indicative of the structural transformation in Malaysia's economy. This is crucial finding as it provides more conclusive evidence on structural breakpoint in Malaysia's economic data, as opposed to noneconometric method. Human capital is synonymous to knowledge accumulation, thus significant in the development of the ICT and long-run economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1881-1886 Issue: 18 Volume: 16 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719637 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701719637&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:16:y:2009:i:18:p:1881-1886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdinand D. Vinuya Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand D. Author-X-Name-Last: Vinuya Title: Technical efficiency of shrimp fishery in South Carolina, USA Abstract: The increased inflow of imported shrimp into the US has lowered shrimp prices in the marketplace and with it, ex-vessel prices received by shrimp fishermen. Proposed remedies are aimed at strategies to increase the prices received by domestic producers. This study looks into issues related to the production side by estimating the technical efficiency of South Carolina shrimp boat operators. Estimates using a stochastic production frontier method show that average efficiency is 46%. This finding has strong implications on the long-term survival and viability of the local shrimp industry as it continues to face competition from low-priced imports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiujian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiujian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: W. Robert Reed Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Title: A Monte Carlo evaluation of the efficiency of the PCSE estimator Abstract: Panel data characterized by groupwise heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional correlation, and AR(1) serial correlation pose problems for econometric analyses. It is well known that the asymptotically efficient, Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) estimator (Parks) sometimes performs poorly in finite samples. In a widely cited paper, Beck and Katz (1995) claim that their estimator panel-corrected SE (PCSE) is able to produce more accurate coefficient SE without any loss in efficiency in 'practical research situations'. This study disputes that claim. We find that the PCSE estimator is usually less efficient than Parks - and substantially so - except when the number of time periods is close to the number of cross sections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andre V. Mollick Author-X-Name-First: Andre V. Author-X-Name-Last: Mollick Author-Name: Joao R. Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao R. Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Capital and labor in thelong-run: evidence fromTobin's q for the US Abstract: This paper assesses different measures of Tobin's q on the US labor market over 1948--2002. We find a negative long-run relationship between the unemployment rate and Tobin's q, which is consistent with capital and labor being complements in production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:11-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc-Andr� Gosselin Author-X-Name-First: Marc-Andr� Author-X-Name-Last: Gosselin Author-Name: Greg Tkacz Author-X-Name-First: Greg Author-X-Name-Last: Tkacz Title: Using dynamic factor models to forecast Canadian inflation: the role of US variables-super-1 Abstract: This article evaluates the forecasting performance of dynamic factor models for Canadian inflation. We find that factor models are as good as more conventional forecasting models, while a model estimated using only US data, is at least as useful as a model that incorporates Canadian data. This suggests that the United States is a source of data that could be beneficial to its trading partners for forecasting purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 15-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:15-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dany Jaimovich Author-X-Name-First: Dany Author-X-Name-Last: Jaimovich Author-Name: Ugo Panizza Author-X-Name-First: Ugo Author-X-Name-Last: Panizza Title: Public debt around the world: a new data set of central government debt Abstract: Commonly used data sets on the level of public debt provide incomplete country and period coverage. This article presents a new data set that includes complete series of central government debt for 89 countries over the period 1991 to 2005 and for 7 other countries for the period 1993 to 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:19-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hening Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hening Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Le Wang Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Time series analysis of income convergence in China Abstract: In this article, we examine both pre- and post-reform economic convergence behaviour in China using the time-series procedures developed in the Hobijn and Franses (2000). Our results are striking: First, we find a number of extremely small convergence clubs for both the pre- and post-reform periods, and these clubs cannot be characterized by geography or the extent of policy preference level. Second, our results show that economic reform led to more divergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:25-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Wijeweera Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Wijeweera Author-Name: John A. Deskins Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Deskins Title: Do recent data provide evidence that the US trade deficit will correct itself? Abstract: We use monthly data from the 23 largest US trading partners for the years 1985-2005 to examine the long-run relationship between imports and exports. Results indicate that a long-run equilibrium relationship is identifiable in most of the countries we analyse. However, the country with which the US has the largest trade deficits do not exhibit any long-run relationship, indicating that any self-correcting mechanism on the trade account is either nonexistent or slow in these cases. Further, the presence of a long-run relationship is most apparent in the countries with which the US has a trade surplus. Taken together, these results provide evidence that continued growth in the US trade deficit is likely. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Reza Arabsheibani Author-X-Name-First: G. Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Arabsheibani Author-Name: Jie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Asian-white male wage differentials in the United States Abstract: The analysis of the wage differential between Asian Americans and whites indicates that discrimination against Asians (except Japanese) is still substantial in the U.S. labour market. However, the second-generation Asians have, by large, achieved income parity with comparable whites. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 37-43 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:37-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arif Sultan Author-X-Name-First: Arif Author-X-Name-Last: Sultan Title: Lemons and certified pre-owned cars in the used car market Abstract: I use a modified version of Bond (1982) lemon model to test the quality of certified pre-owned (CPO) and noncertified pre-owned (nonCPO) cars. I use a Tobit model to deal with the censoring problem in the data and apply sensitivity analysis to check the robustness of the coefficients. The data is collected from 'The Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID)' from the University of Michigan for this study. The results show that nonCPO cars required more maintenance expenditures than CPO cars of a similar age, which means that the CPO cars are of better quality. The study also implies that the institutions of leasing and certification have substantially improved, which in turn, have contributed to reducing adverse selection and improved the average quality of traded cars in the used car market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 45-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:45-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar�a Rosal�a Vicente Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a Rosal�a Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Ana Jesús L�pez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: L�pez Title: What drives broadband diffusion? Evidence from Eastern Europe Abstract: Recent studies stress the crucial role of broadband diffusion to enhance economic growth and performance. Therefore, the analysis of the factors shaping its diffusion becomes a matter of special importance. In this context, this article examines the impact of several socio-economic factors on the likelihood of broadband subscription, using a bivariate probit model, and making use of a unique data survey among Eastern European households. This is an area where broadband diffusion is just starting to take off and there is a lack of empirical evidence. In this context, a first interesting point is the fact that certain demographic variables (income and education) appear to be more correlated with Internet access as such than with the type of access. Moreover, the substantial differences in cross-country penetration rates are mainly explained by investments in information and communication technologies together with the level of competition in telecommunications markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 51-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:51-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Hwan Noh Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Title: To be or not to be: an economic shock, stress and suicidal ideation Abstract: The probit estimation using a large individual data set associated with the Korean economic crisis in 1997 shows that the suicidal ideation demonstrates strong response to economic crisis, depression and stress. The elasticity of income on suicide risk is greater for males than females and greater for youths and adults than olds. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:55-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Resource curse: the role of institutions versus policies Abstract: Recent work suggests that countries with good institutions can escape the resource curse. This article shows that in the developing countries where the curse is of primary concern, institutional quality does not seem to have much influence; instead, it appears that it is a country's policies which play a significant role in neutralizing the negative impact of resource abundance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:61-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hubert Ooghe Author-X-Name-First: Hubert Author-X-Name-Last: Ooghe Author-Name: Christophe Spaenjers Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Spaenjers Title: A note on performance measures for business failure prediction models Abstract: This note briefly describes three performance measures that can be used in business failure prediction models: the unweighted error rate (UER), D-max and the Gini-coefficient. The use of these measures (and the mathematical relationship between them) is illustrated with numerical examples. We hope that this note may help the reader to better understand (and possibly use) these classification criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:67-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zaixia Hu Author-X-Name-First: Zaixia Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Shaohua Tan Author-X-Name-First: Shaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Cross-sectional stock return analysis using support vector regression Abstract: We adopt ε-Support Vector Regression, a nonlinear regression method, to analyse the relationship between stock return and explanatory factors. Computational results show ε-SVR outperforms significantly the Ordinary Least Squares linear regression with a much higher R -super-2 and a lower standard error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 71-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:71-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Dragos Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Dragos Title: ROC curve for discrete choice models an application to the Romanian car market Abstract: In this article we define the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve for discrete choice models, both for an alternative of choice and globally, for the whole set of alternatives. One application depicts the differences that may occur between two models based on this criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Stav�rek Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Stav�rek Title: Exchange rate volatility and the asymmetric fluctuation band on the way to the Eurozone Abstract: It is highly probable that the fulfillment of the exchange rate stability convergence criterion (ERSC) in the European Union (EU) New Member States (NMS) will be evaluated within the asymmetric fluctuation bank around the central parity. Obviously, there is a necessity for analysis of the asymmetric effects in the NMS and candidate countries exchange rate volatility. In this article, the TARCH model extended by the concept of implicit target exchange rate is applied on daily data from seven NMS and candidate countries. The results suggest that symptoms of asymmetry were found in volatility of almost all exchange rates while some pose a potential threat to fulfillment of the criterion. By contrast, the most positive results were revealed in Slovakia where the increase in the exchange rate volatility is driven by the appreciation of the national currency and the appreciation-side deviation from the target exchange rate. Such a finding is consistent with the asymmetric fluctuation band which allows substantially larger deviations on the appreciation side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-86 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:81-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. J�rges Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: J�rges Title: Health inequalities by education, income and wealth: a comparison of 11 European countries and the US Abstract: I compare education-, income- and wealth-related health inequality using data from 11 European countries and the US. The health distributions in the US, England and France are relatively unequal independent of the stratifying variable, while Switzerland or Austria always have relatively equal distributions. Some countries such as Italy dramatically change ranks depending on the stratifying variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:87-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen L. Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Stephen L. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Title: A test of employer learning in the labour market for young Australians Abstract: This paper reports a test of employer learning for a panel of young Australian men. The information contained in a test score is found to already be observed by employers at the time a worker enters the labour market. However the return to parental education is found to increase with experience, indicating that the attributes reflected in this variable are initially harder for employers to observe, and that learning occurs with respect to them. When the sample is partitioned by hiring channel, these effects are confined to workers who were recruited through less informative channels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-98 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:93-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin Gluschenko Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin Author-X-Name-Last: Gluschenko Title: Price mobility of locations Abstract: This article applies the concept of mobility to cross-location price dynamics. Exploiting data on prices across Russian regions over 1994-2000, a contribution of relative and absolute mobility of regions to price convergence among them is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-103 Issue: 1 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:1:p:99-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant�nio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant�nio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe: new evidence Abstract: Using alternative approaches to determine fiscal episodes, I assess expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe, via panel models for private consumption. There is some concurring evidence for several budgetary spending items while the asymmetric effects of fiscal episodes do not seem to be corroborated by the results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-109 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:105-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph P. Byrne Author-X-Name-First: Joseph P. Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Author-Name: Michela Vecchi Author-X-Name-First: Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Vecchi Title: Does labour productivity flow across industries? Estimation robust to panel heterogeneity and cross sectional correlation Abstract: We consider labour productivity convergence between the United States and the United Kingdom and France, using industry level data. We find evidence of panel heterogeneity, cross sectional correlation and weak evidence of productivity convergence at the industry level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-115 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:111-115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: Modelling product and foreign market diversification decisions for UK firms Abstract: This article contributes to the firm market diversification literature by using a bivariate probit model analogous to SURE vs. OLS for probit estimation to examine the market diversification decisions for a panel of UK firms. We extend the current literature to include director remuneration and firm-specific exchange rates. We find that firm size, wages, R&D, directors remuneration and the level and variability of exchange rates all have a significant impact on the probability of a firm diversifying into foreign markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:117-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Bond Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Bond Author-Name: Michael J. Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Michael J. Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Edward J. O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward J. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Exploring nonlinearity with random field regression Abstract: Random field regression models provide an extremely flexible way to investigate nonlinearity in economic data. This article introduces a new approach to interpreting such models, which may allow for improved inference about the possible parametric specification of nonlinearity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:121-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timo Baas Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Baas Author-Name: Herbert Br�cker Author-X-Name-First: Herbert Author-X-Name-Last: Br�cker Title: Macroeconomic impact of Eastern enlargement on Germany and UK: evidence from a CGE model Abstract: The Eastern enlargement of the EU is accompanied by a substantial increase in trade, capital movements and migration between the incumbent and the new member states. This article examines the effects of these trade and factor flows on Germany and United Kingdom using a CGE model which considers wage rigidities. We find that Eastern enlargement positively impact real GDP, wages and employment in both economies. The effects are substantially larger than those found in previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 125-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:125-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junya Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Junya Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Title: Residual-based tests forcointegration with gradual switching Abstract: In this article, we propose residual-based tests for cointegration in models with gradual switching. The cointegration test proposed by Gregory and Hansen (1996) is employed to consider the structural break. However, this test has not been considered in the case of gradual switching. Therefore, we extend this test by considering gradual switching. We derive the asymptotic distribution and critical values of the test statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:129-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hagen Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hagen Title: Effects of parliamentary elections on primary budget deficits in OECD countries - robustness of the results with regard to alternative econometric estimators Abstract: Using an unbalanced panel of OECD countries for the period 1989 to 2005, the study tests the political budget cycle hypothesis empirically. The econometric approach is based on the equation proposed by Bohn (1998) for testing the sustainability of fiscal policy and various panel estimators. The empirical results strongly support the hypothesis of smaller primary surpluses (only) in election years. Brender and Drazen's (2005) result - an election effect exists only in new democracies - cannot be verified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-139 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:135-139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herv� Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herv� Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Author-Name: Amit Sen Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: On the persistence of the gender unemployment gap: evidence from eight OECD countries Abstract: We examine the extent of persistence in the gender unemployment gap of eight OECD countries: Australia, Canada, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States using data over the period 1965 to 2002. Although we are unable to reject the unit root null hypothesis for all countries with the exception of Finland and Italy, the half-life measure suggests that the extent of persistence is relatively low for all countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 141-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:141-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bedassa Tadesse Author-X-Name-First: Bedassa Author-X-Name-Last: Tadesse Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Cultural distance as a determinant of bilateral trade flows: do immigrants counter the effect of cultural differences? Abstract: We introduce 'cultural distance' as a measure of the degree to which shared norms and values in one country differ from those in another country, and employ a modified gravity specification to examine whether such cultural differences affect the volume of trade flows. Employing data for US state-level exports to the 75 trading partners for which measures of cultural distance can be constructed, we find that greater cultural differences between the United States and a trading partner reduces state-level exports to that country. This result holds for aggregate exports, cultural and noncultural products exports as well, but with significantly different magnitudes. Immigrants are found to exert a pro-export effect that partially offsets the trade-inhibiting effects of cultural distance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:147-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Michael Toma Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Toma Title: Determinants of interstate differentials in the cost of housing, 2006 Abstract: This empirical study investigates determinants of interstate differentials in the cost of housing for the year 2006. While the literature on geographic cost-of-living differentials is well developed, the literature on geographic cost-of-housing (as opposed to housing-price) differentials is much less so. Housing costs consist of the price of housing per se for owners or rental payments per se for renters plus utility costs. The significance of this research is elevated by the fact that the cost of housing is the main driver of cost-of-living differences between states. The OLS results imply that the cost of housing in a state is positively a function of the state's median family income, its heating degree days, and its mean January temperature, and negatively a function of toxic waste releases in the state, the state's property crime rate, and the presence of right-to-work laws in the state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-157 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:153-157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Is the arms race between the PRC and Taiwan simply a myth? The long-run and causal relationship between their defence spending ratios Abstract: This article investigates the long-run and causal relationship between the defence spending-GDP ratios of the People's Republic of China and Taiwan. The results clearly indicate that there is a long-run level equilibrium relationship between the ratio of defence spending of mainland China and that of Taiwan. The estimated long-run relationship shows that this level relationship is negative, indicative of a convergence phenomenon for the defence spending ratios of the two rivals. Moreover, causality test results substantiate that there is neutrality between the defence spending ratios of the PRC and of Taiwan in the short run but long-run causality running from Taiwan to the PRC. Based on the causality results, it is concluded that there is no arms race between the PRC and Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 159-164 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:159-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Weinbach Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Weinbach Author-Name: R. Paul Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: Transfer payment distribution and increases in gambling activity Abstract: Attendance and wagering volume is examined at a greyhound racing track to determine if the distribution of transfer checks resulted in significant increases in these variables. Specifically, the impact of United States Social Security and federal assistance checks, which were released on the third of the month during the time frame studied, are investigated. Significant increases on check day were found for both attendance at the track and for betting volume in dollars. Lump-sum transfers from the government appear to lead to increases in gambling activity for liquidity-constrained consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 165-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:165-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Author-Name: J. Timmins Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Timmins Title: Education and labour productivity in New Zealand Abstract: We estimate the effect of four types of education qualifications, as a proxy for human capital and skill levels, on GDP per capita, and compute the average percentage returns. We also test the effect of the product of each proxy of human capital with R&D on GDP per capita. We find that only university qualification and its product with R&D to have a positive effect on the average economy-wide productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 169-173 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:169-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. X. Aguilar Author-X-Name-First: F. X. Author-X-Name-Last: Aguilar Author-Name: R. P. Vlosky Author-X-Name-First: R. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Vlosky Title: Gender differences in determinants of job satisfaction among cooperative extension workers in the United States Abstract: This study compares levels of job satisfaction among male and female cooperative extension workers in the United States. There is a high level of job satisfaction among cooperative extension workers and no statistically significant differences between males and females. However, when modelling job satisfaction as a function of (1) Control/Autonomy/Influence, (2) Challenge, (3) Performance Measures, (4) Feedback, (5)Instrumentality and (6) Stability/Security, we detect gender differences. Women place a higher importance on job Stability/Security as a factor influencing job satisfaction. However, the levels of Feedback and Instrumentality are less important determinants of job satisfaction to females than to males. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdinand Mager Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand Author-X-Name-Last: Mager Author-Name: Tobias Jesswein Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Jesswein Title: The fundamental performance of newly privatized firms: evidence from continental Europe Abstract: We examine the fundamental performance of 32 companies from 10 Continental European countries that were privatized through public share offerings since 1992. We document strong performance improvements. Specifically, after being privatized, firms significantly increase real sales, become more profitable and improve their operating efficiency. The results remain robust when we split our data into subsamples of companies in regulated and nonregulated industries. Although employment does not change significantly, it decreases in regulated industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-186 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:181-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Andrew Batten Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Volatility in the gold futures market Abstract: We investigate the volatility structure of gold, trading as a futures contract on the Chicago Board of Trade using intraday (high frequency) data from January 1999 to December 2005. Apart from investigating the now familiar GARCH properties we also utilize a rarely used measure of volatility - the Garman Klass estimator - to provide new insights in intraday and interday volatility. This nonparametric measure incorporates the open, close, high and low price within a particular time interval. Both sets of results suggest significant variation across the trading day and week consistent with microstructure theories, although volatility is only slightly positively correlated with volume when measured by tick-count. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 187-190 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:187-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Teacher quality and student performance: the case of Pennsylvania Abstract: In this article, alternative proxies for teacher quality and student performance were developed for an empirical analysis. Both education-level elasticity of teacher-quality and teaching-years elasticity of teacher-quality were estimated. The analysis showed a positive and significant relationship between teacher quality and student performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 191-195 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701719975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701719975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:191-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Gutierrez Title: Simple tests for cointegration in panels with structural breaks Abstract: In the article we propose new panel cointegration tests which allow for structural breaks. We show that the panel tests have good size and power. We apply the test statistics to the analysis of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle for a sample of 16 OCDE countries. After allowing for breaks, we find strong evidence that investment and saving rates are cointegrated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-200 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:197-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Tomberlin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Tomberlin Author-Name: Garth Holloway Author-X-Name-First: Garth Author-X-Name-Last: Holloway Title: Bayesian hierarchical estimationof technical efficiency in a fishery Abstract: This article presents a Bayesian hierarchical approach to estimating stochastic production frontiers in fisheries. Based on our application of this approach to the US West Coast hake fishery, we conclude that (1) panel models with hierarchical structure to allow for boat- and year-specific efficiency measures are preferable to simpler specifications, and (2) there appears to have been a progressive outward shift in the efficient frontier in the shore-based hake fishery during 1987-2003. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 201-204 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:201-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip L. Hersch Author-X-Name-First: Philip L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hersch Title: Customer discrimination against black major league baseball pitchers reconsidered Abstract: The proposition that customer prejudices reduce attendance at major league baseball games with black starting pitchers is re-examined. In contrast to earlier studies, no such effect is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 205-208 Issue: 2 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:2:p:205-208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: The effects of currency crises on the long-run growth Abstract: We attempt to analyse the effects of the currency crises on the long-run growth by using a cross-sectional country dataset. After controlling for the post-crisis period, we find that the effects of the currency crises on the long-run growth are strictly negative and significant. We also find that the negative effects of the currency crises on the long-run growth increase as the number of the currency crises increases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 209-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:209-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: The impact of capital gains tax exemption on housing sales Abstract: The Taxpayer Relief Act (TRA), enacted in 1997, allows tax exemption of capital gains up to $500 000 for married couples filing jointly and $250 000 for singles, on the sale of primary residence. By making it easier to sell a house that has appreciated in price, this tax exemption provides an additional incentive for purchasing a house. The study utilizes a simple regression model to demonstrate that TRA has had a statistically significant positive impact on housing sales. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung Yong Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Sang Young Jei Author-X-Name-First: Sang Young Author-X-Name-Last: Jei Title: Determinants of volatility on international tourism demand for South Korea: an empirical note Abstract: This article examines volatility and its determinants of international tourism demand for Korea. Based on the exponential generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity model, some evidences are found such that the leverage effects are presented in the tourism demand, and the determinants of volatility are country specific. The finding illustrates that the specific characteristics of a particular origin country should be taken into account to develop policies or plans for tourism industries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-223 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:217-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Hertz Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Hertz Title: Heteroskedasticity-robust elasticities in logarithmic and two-part models Abstract: Logarithmic models are widely used to study highly skewed positive outcomes, either alone or in combination with an equation that first distinguishes between zero and nonzero values (the two-part model). A well-known drawback of such models is that to obtain marginal effects that pertain to the arithmetic mean, rather than the mean of logs, we must exponentiate, and this retransformation is complicated in the presence of heteroskedasticity. This article presents a simple method for correcting estimated elasticities for the effects of heteroskedasticity, in both log-linear and log-log (constant elasticity) equations. An example, drawing on Bulgarian farm survey data, demonstrates that this correction leads to significantly different estimates of the elasticity of expenditures on agricultural inputs with respect to land area and the age of the household head. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 225-228 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:225-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark J. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Brian Silverstone Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Silverstone Title: Business confidence and cyclical turning points: a Markov-switching approach Abstract: Markov regime-switching analysis is used to consider the relationship between business confidence and the probability of turning points in cyclical GDP. We find, in an application to New Zealand, that confidence is related to both the deepness and duration of the business cycle and is asymmetric regarding the probability of the economy remaining in a given regime. Overall, the New Zealand business confidence series is a useful indicator of cyclical turning points. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720247 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yihua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yihua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Determinants of variations in state per capita personal income: a panel data approach Abstract: This article employs a panel data analysis to examine factors that affect variations in state real per capita personal income (PCPI) by using a panel of 48 contiguous US states over the period 1950-2000. The preferred Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSE) approach reveals that the important explanatory variables are, respectively, the percentage of the population with a college education (COLLEGE), the percentage of the population with a high school education (HIGHSCHOOL), the percentage of the population employed in the manufacturing sector (MANUFACTURING), the percentage of population employed in the service sector (SERVICE) and the percentage of the population that was African American (BLACK). The results are found to be sensitive to estimation technique, suggesting formal model misspecification tests are required in order to choose an approach with better statistical properties. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-239 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:235-239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Tillmann Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tillmann Title: A note on the stability of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Europe Abstract: This note investigates how the explanatory power of the forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips Curve evolves over time. We exploit the present-value implications of the model and use VAR forecasts to assess whether the model matches the behaviour of actual inflation in the Euro area. A set of rolling regressions shows that the model's explanatory power varies substantially over the sample. Regime changes in the underlying monetary framework, i.e. realignment crises in the European Monetary System, the Maastricht treaty and, eventually, the introduction of European Monetary Union, are reflected in a deterioration of the model's explanatory power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 241-245 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:241-245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin S�derstr�m Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: S�derstr�m Title: Wage scales and centralized bargaining - a binding constraint on the wage-setting? Abstract: The wage-setting for Swedish teachers was up and until 1996 characterized by centralized bargaining and wage scales. According to the scales, wages were exclusively determined by teacher type and years in the profession. In 1996, the scale system was replaced by individual wage bargaining. This study uses this change in bargaining structure to examine whether the scale system was a binding constraint on the wage-setting. The results suggest that the scales did impose such a constraint, since the earnings structure changed after the reform. More precisely, entry-wages and earnings dispersion increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 247-250 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:247-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ajay Singh Behl Author-X-Name-First: Ajay Singh Author-X-Name-Last: Behl Title: Children and labour supply Abstract: This article analyses the role of parents' expected payoffs of children and their labour supply. It uses the current education and income status of the parent and the educational expectations, health and behaviour problems of the child in order to form the expectations regarding the payoffs. We use a three stage (child, adult and old) model for individuals in order to capture the trade-off between supply of labour in the adult stage and consumption (from savings, investments and transfers from government and child) in the old age. The labour supply increases with the educational expectations, hopefulness and expected future income of the parent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-255 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:251-255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Am�lie Charles Author-X-Name-First: Am�lie Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Title: Does the day-of-the-week effect on volatility improve the volatility forecasts? Abstract: This study tests the presence of the day-of-the-week effect on stock market volatility of six European stock markets. Using a GARCH or GARCH-GJR specifications for the variance equation, we find that the day of week effect is present in volatility equation. Finally, we test whether the statistically significant in-sample findings regarding seasonality in volatility lead to better out-of-sample forecasts of volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-262 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:257-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Globalization, Taylor rulesand inflation Abstract: This article provides evidence that globalization has contributed to global disinflation by making policy makers more aggressive towards fighting inflation. We estimate Taylor rules for 83 countries over the period 1985 to 2004 and find that the relative weight attached to the output gap is negatively related to trade and financial openness in a simple cross-section model. This result does not hold up for the OECD subsample, suggesting that this group of countries has successfully solved the time inconsistency problem and uncoupled central bank behaviour from otherwise relevant determinants of the inflation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-267 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:263-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Franck Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Franck Title: What do macroeconomic and political-economy data tell us about economic freedom? Abstract: We use OLS cross-country regressions and a competitive neural network approach to evaluate the performance of macroeconomic and political-economy data in assessing economic freedom. Our results point to a reasonable performance of the cross-sectional approach in explaining economic freedom scores but to a poor performance of the neural network approach in replicating country rankings provided by the Index of Economic Freedom. Our results thus justify the use of qualitative elements but at the same time call in question the relevance of macroeconomic data in the construction of economic freedom rankings Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-272 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:269-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Title: The relationship between the price of oil and macroeconomic performance: empirical evidence for the UK Abstract: This study adopts a vector autoregressive (VAR) approach towards investigating the relationship between the price of oil and UK macroeconomic performance over the period of floating exchange rates. Its distinctive feature is the allowance for a systematic variation in the macroeconomic effects of a change in the price of oil, in recognition of fundamental developments which have occurred with respect to the structure of the UK economy. Empirical analysis indicates that the accommodation of this characteristic within a VAR model increases both the prominence and the pervasiveness of the impact of an oil price shock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-278 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:273-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicky Bamiatzi Author-X-Name-First: Vicky Author-X-Name-Last: Bamiatzi Author-Name: Konstantinos Bozos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Bozos Author-Name: Konstantinos Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Title: On the predictability of firm performance via simple time-series and econometric models: evidence from UK SMEs Abstract: This article examines the predictive accuracy of simple time-series and econometric models on forecasting firm performance in terms of sales turnover. Evidence from Small and Medium sized Enterprises (SMEs) in the United Kingdom are presented. The study identifies operational rules under which the class of simple econometric regression models is more accurate than simple time-series forecasting alternatives, thus more appropriate to back-up multiple investment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-282 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:279-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Batten Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: P. G. Szilagyi Author-X-Name-First: P. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Szilagyi Title: Is covered interest parity arbitrage extinct? Evidence from the spot USD/Yen Abstract: We investigate the long-term covered interest parity (CIP) relationship between the US dollar and the Japanese yen. We find that the CIP relation tends to be one way and favours those with the ability to borrow US dollars. Regression analysis reveals that negative changes in spot exchange rates, positive changes in US interest rates and negative changes in yen interest rates generally affect the deviation from parity. Evidence of declining deviations from equilibrium over the sample period is consistent with a more efficient trading environment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 283-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:283-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Government size and unemployment in developing countries Abstract: Using data from 52 developing countries, this article analyses how the size of government affects unemployment. It tackles the reverse causality issue by instrumenting for the government size variable. According to the regression results, a large government sector is likely to increase the unemployment rate. The magnitude of the effect appears to be substantial, both among the total labour force as well as among women and young people. Furthermore, the estimates indicate that a large government sector is likely to substantially increase the share of long-term unemployed in the total number of unemployed. The results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-292 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:289-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew J. Higgins Author-X-Name-First: Matthew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Higgins Author-Name: Andrew T. Young Author-X-Name-First: Andrew T. Author-X-Name-Last: Young Author-Name: Daniel Levy Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Title: Robust correlates of county-level growth in the United States Abstract: Higgins et al. (2006), report several statistically significant partial correlates with US per capita income growth. However, Levine and Renelt (1992) demonstrate that such correlations are hardly ever robust to changing the combination of conditioning variables included. We ask, whether the same is true for the variables identified as important by Higgins et al. Using the extreme bounds analysis of Levine and Renelt, we find that the majority of the partial correlations can be accepted as robust. The variables associated with those partial correlations stand solidly as variables of interest for future studies of US growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 293-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:293-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazumine Kondo Author-X-Name-First: Kazumine Author-X-Name-Last: Kondo Title: Do ATMs influence bankprofitability in Japan? Abstract: Holden and El-Bannany (2004) showed that Automated Teller Machines (ATMs) play an important role in increasing Return On Asset (ROA) in their analysis of banks in the United Kingdom. The present article investigates whether this conclusion also applies to Japanese banks. We found that ATMs do not have any influence on the ROA of Japanese banks; however, it was revealed that ATMs had positive effects on fees and commissions (income) from 2000 to 2003, and positive effects of ATMs on interest income were also seen recently. We conclude that in Japan, ATMs do not influence ROA, which includes the overall profits of bank transactions, but do contribute to particular businesses in that they can make the most of their abilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701720379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701720379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:297-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myoung Shik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Myoung Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Currency risks hedging for major and minor currencies: constant hedging versus speculative hedging Abstract: Focusing on the recent experience of major and minor currencies, this study examines the effectiveness of constant hedge and speculative hedge respectively with the objective of identifying whether there are any significant differences between both hedges. Our finding is that the speculative hedge is very slightly more effective than the constant hedge in reducing the currency risk. This supports that the speculative hedge about major currencies can be a relevant hedging tool. The analysis also shows that our multiple currency futures hedge can be a good hedging instrument for some minor currencies such as Cyprus pound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-311 Issue: 3 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504850701735757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:3:p:305-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nam Anh Tran Author-X-Name-First: Nam Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Gerald Shively Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Shively Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Title: A new method for detecting outliers in Data Envelopment Analysis Abstract: We introduce a simple method for detecting outliers in Data Envelopment Analysis. The method is based on two scalar measures. The first is the relative frequency with which an observation appears in the construction of the frontier when testing the efficiency of other observations, and the second is the cumulative weight of an observation in the construction of the frontier. We provide a link to computer programming code for implementing the procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-316 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765119 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765119&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:313-316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pasquale Scandizzo Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Scandizzo Author-Name: Marco Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: Estimating the value of natural resources under legal constraints: an application to marine resources in Sicily Abstract: In this article, we use the Contingent Evaluation methodology to develop an economic evaluation of natural resources in a protected marine area of Sicily. Assuming a nonnormal distribution for the ML estimation, the article shows that a variant of the stochastic utility model appears to capture well the dependence of the willingness to pay (WTP) on the socioeconomic characteristics of a sample of stakeholders of the natural resources in question. The estimates obtained are consistent and robust across different policy measures, no embedding or sequencing effects emerge and option values also appear to have been elicited in a consistent way. Once these values are added to the basic WTP, the income elasticities estimated fall in the range reported by other studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 317-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:317-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lennart Flood Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Flood Author-Name: Nizamul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nizamul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Thomas Sterner Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sterner Title: Are demand elasticities affected by politically determined tax levels? Simultaneous estimates of gasoline demand and price Abstract: Raising the price of fossil fuels is a key component of any effective policy to deal with climate change. Just how effective such policies are is decided by the price elasticities of demand. Many papers have studied this without recognising that not only is there a demand side response: quantities are decided by the price but also there is a reverse causality: the level of consumption affects the political acceptability of the taxes which are the main component of the final price. Thus prices affect consumption and consumption levels, in turn, have an affect on taxes and thus consumer prices. This article estimates these functions simultaneously to show that there is indeed an effect on the demand elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735864 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735864&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suryadipta Roy Author-X-Name-First: Suryadipta Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Is corruption anti-labour? Abstract: This article investigates the effect of corruption on trade openness in low-income and high-income countries. The results suggest corruption is anti-labour, since it reduces trade in low-income countries and increases trade in high-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-333 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735856 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735856&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:329-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Author-Name: Douglas Jackson-Smith Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson-Smith Author-Name: Sandy Marquart-Pyatt Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Marquart-Pyatt Title: Does 'free-sampling' enhance the value of public goods? Abstract: This study investigates whether 'free sampling' enhances the value of public goods. Using data from a unique field experiment, we find that the WTP premium effect associated with a brief opportunity to consume a local public good for free is relatively small and temporary. It therefore may not be cost effective to offer free-participation incentives for public goods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 335-339 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735872 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735872&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:335-339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amy Moore Author-X-Name-First: Amy Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Michael Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Waste not, even if it's free: an experimental explanation for apparently unprofitable promotions Abstract: This article highlights an intriguing finding that consumers are averse to wasting even items gotten for free, and provides waste-aversion as an explanation for the prevalence of store promotions that at first glance appear to be unprofitable to a store. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 341-343 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748891 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748891&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:341-343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Long memory in return volatility Abstract: This article reports, confirming evidence for long memory in the return volatility from equity, and foreign exchange markets with the newly proposed increment ratio statistic by Surgailis et al. (2007). The test is robust to changing means, slowly varying trends and other nonstationarities. In contrast to the widely held belief, we also find that the absolute returns have the most memory for all the markets examined here and that the so-called Taylor effect holds for the foreign exchange rate markets as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-349 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748909 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748909&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:345-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuka Takeda Author-X-Name-First: Yuka Author-X-Name-Last: Takeda Title: Equivalence scales for measuring poverty in transitional Russia: Engel's food share method and the subjective economic well-being method Abstract: This study estimates the equivalence scales for measuring poverty in transitional Russia using the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey data of 1994 and 2002, i.e. before and after the 1998 economic crisis. To examine the robustness and plausibility of the two estimates, we compared the estimate results in both the periods. For constructing the equivalence scales, the costs of children and additional adults are estimated. Further, in order to investigate the most plausible equivalence scales for measuring poverty, the following two methods are employed for the estimations: Engel's food share method (Engel method) and the subjective economic well-being method (SW method). The estimation results show that the equivalence scales for a child, obtained from the Engel and SW methods, could be similar; however, the results for an additional adult are very different. It reveals that poverty evaluation is highly underestimated when the SW method is used. In conclusion, although the Engel method has a theoretical flaw, it might be more plausible than the SW method in the context of poverty evaluation for transitional Russia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 351-355 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748925 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748925&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:351-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Tin Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Tin Title: The buffer stock model of money demand: evidence from panel data Abstract: One of the tenets of the buffer stock model of money demand is that transactions money balances are shock absorbers and transitory money balances would dissipate in the long run as actual money demand adjusts to its desired level following an unanticipated income shock. However, poor performance of the standard partial dynamic aggregate money demand model since the middle 1973s has seriously challenged the validity of the buffer stock model. Utilizing panel data, this study empirically shows that the speed of adjustment is fast at the microeconomic level, and the long-run parametric estimates are not as implausible as those suggested in past aggregate studies on money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 357-360 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735765 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735765&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:357-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozgur Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: H. Levent Korap Author-X-Name-First: H. Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Korap Title: Does the uncovered interest parity hold in short horizons? Abstract: In this article, one of the contemporaneous monetary theories of exchange rate determination, namely uncovered interest parity (UIP), is examined. The UIP hypothesis assumes that if capital is perfectly mobile, then investors around the world will be indifferent between holding their portfolios in domestic or foreign securities because they obtain the same return from these assets. Based on a theoretical formulation, our ex post estimation results employing four developed countries exchange rates vis-a-vis US dollar indicate the failure of the UIP hypothesis using short-horizon interest differential and future spot exchange rate data in line with most empirical papers in the economics literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 361-365 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:361-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jer-Yuh Wan Author-X-Name-First: Jer-Yuh Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Chung-Wei Kao Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Effects of Japanese intervention on yen/dollar exchange rate volatility: a conditional jump dynamics approach Abstract: This article investigates the effects of foreign exchange interventions by the Japanese authorities on the level as well as the volatility of yen/dollar exchange rate. The empirical results show interventions in the last decade were effective not only in altering the exchange rate level, but also in volatility reduction. Jump events that tended to drive yen's appreciations and volatility increases have been effectively reduced by the 'large-in-size' interventions during the last decade. Our findings are in compliance with the coordination channel that explains the effectiveness in intervention proposed by Taylor (2004) and Reitz and Taylor (2006). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-373 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735799 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735799&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:367-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Hayakawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hayakawa Author-Name: Minoru Nogimori Author-X-Name-First: Minoru Author-X-Name-Last: Nogimori Title: New transformation methods in dynamic panel data models with heterogeneous time trends Abstract: In this paper, we introduce new type of within groups transformations so called the double within groups (DWG) and the long within groups (LWG) transformations. Both transformations eliminate individual effects and heterogeneous deterministic time trends jointly. Asymptotic analysis shows that both the DWG and LWG estimators are consistent when T is large. Simulation results show that both estimators have smaller root mean squared errors than the modified within groups estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 375-379 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735831 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735831&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:375-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bulent Guloglu Author-X-Name-First: Bulent Author-X-Name-Last: Guloglu Author-Name: Mehmet Ivrendi Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ivrendi Title: Output fluctuations: transitory or permanent? the case of Latin America Abstract: This article investigates the time series properties of per capita real output for 19 Latin American Countries over the period 1965 to 2004. This empirical study examines the significance of contemporaneous correlations among cross sectional residuals using two newly developed tests. The tests find evidence of cross sectional dependence and induce us to use the SURADF and the CADF panel unit root tests, which allow for cross sectional dependence. The tests indicate that the real output in Latin American countries are characterized by a difference stationary process and output fluctuations seem to be permanent. These findings have important policy implications for these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 381-386 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735880 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735880&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:381-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Alberta Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alberta Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: Carlos Santos Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Looking for a change point in French monetary policy in the early eighties Abstract: We investigate where, in the early eighties, did a change occur in French monetary policy. The novelty in our treatment of this subject is the use of the impulse saturation break test. The results clearly identify the adoption of the Franc Fort policy as the key change in the period. The resulting econometric model is congruent and reveals no signs of persistence in inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-392 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701735898 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701735898&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:387-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. N. W. Azman-Saini Author-X-Name-First: W. N. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Azman-Saini Author-Name: Evan Lau Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Zulkefly Abdul Karim Author-X-Name-First: Zulkefly Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Karim Title: Hedge funds, exchange rates and causality: evidence from Thailand and Malaysia Abstract: This article contributes to the debate on hedge funds and exchange rates in Thailand and Malaysia. It provides the first empirical evidence on causal relation between hedge funds and exchange rates. Using a new Granger noncausality procedure proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and monthly data for the January 1994 to April 2002 period, two important findings emerge. First, hedge funds lead Thai baht during the 1997 crisis. Second, there is a bidirectional causality between hedge funds and Malaysian ringgit for the pre-crisis period. In all other cases, no causal relation can be established. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748883 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748883&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:393-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo-Yeon Hyun Author-X-Name-First: Joo-Yeon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyun Author-Name: Hyeong Ho Mun Author-X-Name-First: Hyeong Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Mun Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jinook Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Jinook Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Title: The effect of a variance shift on the Breusch-Godfrey's LM test Abstract: In this article, we study the impact of an abrupt change in variance on the Breusch-Godfrey's LM test for autocorrelation. It is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations that a break in variance can generate spurious rejections of the null hypothesis of no serial correlation. Hence, a researcher might conclude that the error terms are serially correlated when in fact the contrary is true. It has been found that the likelihood of making this mistake depends on three factors: (i) break size, (ii) break location and (iii) the number of lagged terms included in the LM test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-404 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701748933 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701748933&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:399-404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Maria Prats Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Prats Title: Threshold cointegration and nonlinear adjustment between stock prices and dividends Abstract: According to several empirical studies, the linear present-value model fails to explain the behaviour of stock prices in the long run. We analyse the possible presence of threshold cointegration between real stock prices and dividends for the US market during the period from 1871:1 to 2004:6. According to our results, the null hypothesis of linear cointegration between stock prices and dividends is rejected in favour of a two-regime threshold cointegration model. We find also that stock prices do not respond to equilibrium error, and dividends respond to the past divergence only if the deviation from the equilibrium error does not exceed the estimated threshold parameter. This in turn would support theoretical models assuming that the stock price-dividend relation is nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-410 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765085 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765085&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:405-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laxmi Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Laxmi Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Jack Houston Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Low carbohydrate information, consumer health preferences and market demand of fruits in the United States Abstract: We assessed the impacts of low carbohydrate information on the market demand of US fruits using almost ideal demand system, Rotterdam and double-log models. Results indicated significant positive impacts of low carbohydrate information on the market demand of grape and lemon. However, a significant negative effect exists on market demand of apples and bananas. Majority of the estimated elasticities are consistent in terms of expected sign and magnitude across all models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:4:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iza Lejarraga Author-X-Name-First: Iza Author-X-Name-Last: Lejarraga Author-Name: Peter Walkenhorst Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Walkenhorst Title: On linkages and leakages: measuring the secondary effects of tourism Abstract: Tourism multipliers are widely used tools of services trade analysis. Yet, their derivation and interpretation has often been inconsistent and confusing. This article presents a unifying approach for calculating indicators of tourism linkages and leakages, derives these multipliers for a large sample of more than 150 countries and statistically assesses the relationship among the multipliers, along with several other economic indicators. Contrary to widely held views, the multipliers for tourism linkages and leakages are noncomplementary, as they are based on different economic concepts, so that no particular correlation is to be expected. This independence is confirmed in the empirical cross-country analysis. Moreover, the analysis finds a positive association between the degree of linkages and per-capita income, trade openness and the friendliness of the business climate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-421 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765127 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765127&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:417-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Income inequality and cigarette consumption: evidence from the United States Abstract: There is enormous literature on the determinants of consumption of cigarettes and other tobacco products, and on the magnitude of the impact of a wide variety of economic and noneconomic factors. Also, a huge amount of research has been done on the association between income inequality and health for which numerous proxies have been used. We seek to link these two strands of scholarship by treating smoking as a major health hazard and considering the association between income inequality and smoking. Using US state-level data for the year 2004, we estimate an augmented model of cigarette consumption in which income inequality is added to a fairly standard specification. Subject to the caveats appropriate for such studies, there is little indication of a significant association between income inequality and the health-retarding behaviour in the form of cigarette smoking. Estimates for other variables are broadly consistent with similar studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 423-426 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765135 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765135&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:423-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: J. Lye Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: A reinterpretation of interactions in regressions Abstract: Regression specifications in applied econometrics frequently employ regressors, which are defined as the product of two other regressors to form an interaction. Unfortunately, the interpretation of the results of these models is not as straight forward as in the linear case. In this article, we present a method for drawing inferences for interaction models by defining the partial influence (PI) function. We present an example that demonstrates how one may draw new inferences by constructing the confidence intervals for the PI functions based on the traditional published findings for regressions with interaction terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-430 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701842843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701842843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:427-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: A note on the performance of Chinese American Depository Receipts Abstract: In this note, New York Stock Exchange-listed American Depository Receipts (ADRs) from China are examined to determine overall investment performance for the first 3 years of trading. The segmented results show that while Chinese ADRs perform roughly the same as the S&P 500 Index, those trading during the bull market under-performed the market index by over 26% while those trading through the bear market (listed after 1 January 1998) outperformed the S&P 500 by nearly 40%. Furthermore, issues from Hong Kong under-performed the S&P Index by nearly 73% while those issued from other areas of China exceeded the index by over 29%. These results provide evidence that market timing and regional issues affect portfolio returns from Chinese ADRs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-435 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701842850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701842850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:431-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enchuan Shao Author-X-Name-First: Enchuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Title: Credit rationing and endogenous monetary policy Abstract: The implication of credit rationing models states that the effect of monetary policy on output may be stronger when credit conditions are tight than when they are loose. Therefore, there may be a threshold effect on the relation between real money supply and output. Existing empirical studies on testing threshold effects ignore the fact that the monetary policy which follows optimal rules is endogenous. This article provides a test of threshold effects when monetary policy is endogenous and finds that the US aggregate data cannot provide substantial evidence of a threshold effect on the relation between money and output. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 437-443 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701857858 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701857858&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:437-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Woojin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Woojin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Kwangwoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Kwangwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: The informational quality of implied volatility and the volatility risk premium Abstract: This article examines the informational quality of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility using daily S&P 500 and S&P 100 index option prices from 2000 to 2006. In contrast to many previous studies, we find that implied volatility is an unbiased and efficient estimator of future realized volatility. Unlike implied volatility estimates; both historical and conditional volatility estimates using GARCH and EGARCH models possess limited explanatory power. A delta-hedged trading strategy with long positions in calls, however, generates significantly negative profits that imply a misspecification of constant volatility models. These results suggest that implied volatility estimates from constant volatility models contain valuable information, even though the model might be misspecified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-450 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801935356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801935356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:445-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. A. Park Author-X-Name-First: T. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: L. Lohr Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lohr Title: A Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition for count data models Abstract: Little research has examined the factors influencing differential adoption of organic farming practices by women and men farmers, a sector where women account for a significant and rapidly growing proportion of farmers. Female organic farmers adopt more crop disease management practices than male organic farmers and use a different portfolio of techniques. Results from a count data model are used to decompose observed differences in the adoption of management practices into an endowment effect and a coefficients effect. The analysis indicates that 50% of the adoption differential is due to differences in characteristics of male vs. female farmers with percentage of vegetable acreage a key factor influencing the gap in adoption practices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 451-455 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964307 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964307&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:451-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Nihat Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Nihat Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Title: Exchange rate exposure and real exports Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between real exports and exchange rate risk for Turkish firms between 2001 and 2003. Different from earlier studies, the analysis is conducted at the firm level with an exchange rate risk specific to the individual firm. Results show that real exports are negatively impacted by an increase in exchange rate risk. In addition, size of the trade volume and the dependence on domestic market for revenue generation are found to be important for the aforementioned relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-462 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801935331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801935331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:457-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Mirman Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Mirman Author-Name: Rajneesh Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Rajneesh Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Stock market reaction to Olympic Games announcement Abstract: This article analyses stock market reactions in countries competing to hold the Olympic Games around the time of the winning bid announcements, using both regular and abnormal returns. We analyse the announcement effects of winning and losing for both Summer and Winter games, beginning with 1996 games announced in 1990, up until the announcement of the 2012 games in 2006. We find significantly negative stock market reaction for winners of the bid to host Winter Games and insignificant positive reaction for winners of the Summer Games. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 463-466 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:463-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Bird Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Author-Name: Alex Mandilaras Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Mandilaras Title: Revisiting Mrs. Machlup's wardrobe: the accumulation of international reserves, 1992-2001 Abstract: A fature of the late 1990s was the accumulation of International reserves in many countries. Against the background of this phenomenon, in what follows we investigate the following questions: how widely has the tendency to accumulate reserves been seen? Does the incidence of a currency crisis increase the subsequent demand for reserves? Do countries make choices between different combinations of exchange rate regime and reserve holding? Does an arrangement with the IMF encourage countries subsequently to build up reserves more than they otherwise would have done? Do different patterns emerge depending upon the measure of reserves used? In addressing the above questions, we find significant support for the 'Mrs. Machlup's Wardrobe Theory' of international reserves, which purports that irrespective of the amount of reserves countries have accumulated, they continue to add to their stock. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-471 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765143 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765143&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:467-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Laurenceson Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Laurenceson Author-Name: Kam Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Measuring long-run equilibrium exchange rates using standardized products with different specifications Abstract: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is an appealing theory of the determination of long-run equilibrium exchange rates as it is founded on the intuitive proposition that opportunities for arbitrage will not go unexploited. However, in practice, measuring PPP exchange rates is hindered by difficulties in isolating the cost of tradeable inputs in the price of a reference product basket. This article proposes a method that can extract this component using price information embodied in slightly different specifications of otherwise identical, standardized products. The method is illustrated using two well-known information and telecommunication (ICT) products, and could readily be applied to a broader, more representative product basket. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964315 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964315&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:473-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ari Van Assche Author-X-Name-First: Ari Van Author-X-Name-Last: Assche Author-Name: Byron Gangnes Author-X-Name-First: Byron Author-X-Name-Last: Gangnes Title: Electronics production upgrading: is China exceptional? Abstract: In this article, we make use of a unique world electronics production dataset to assess China's upgrading trajectory in the global electronics industry. Contrary to existing trade studies, we find no evidence that China's electronics production activities are more sophisticated than one would expect from its level of development. We also find little evidence that China is rapidly upgrading into more sophisticated production activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-482 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701765101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701765101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:477-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paola Cardamone Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Cardamone Title: The role of R&D spillovers in product and process innovation Abstract: The goal of this article is to assess the effectiveness of innovation activities and technological diffusion in Italy. In particular, we provide an econometric evaluation of the impact of technological efforts on the innovative output. Using a panel of 1203 firms over the period 1998 to 2003, we estimate a bivariate probit, which models the probability of introducing product and process innovations. Results show that the probability of implementing a product or a process innovation is positively correlated with innovative activities and negatively correlated with technological spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-493 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801935349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801935349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:483-493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Ming Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kuan-Min Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Finance, investment and growth: nonlinear time series evidence from 10 Asian economies Abstract: This article employs financial development as the threshold variable to construct a threshold model and to re-examine the findings in Rousseau and Vuthipadadorn (2005) for 10 Asian economies. Our results show that in the high financial development regime, financial development could fuel economic growth, which is consistent with the conclusion in Rousseau and Vuthipadadorn (2005); however, there is no evidence shows that financial development could affect investment. In the low financial development regime, financial development has negative influence on investment growth, which is contradictory to the findings in Rousseau and Vuthipadadorn (2005); as to the relation between financial development and economic growth, the causality could not be supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-501 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701857841 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850701857841&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:495-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Ormerod Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Ormerod Title: Resilience after localeconomic shocks Abstract: The rapid closure of pits during the 1980s in the UK is an example of an economic shock which is not only specific to a particular industry but also to local economic areas. In 1983, only 29 of the 459 local authority areas in the UK was coal mining more than 10% of total employment. Over the 20-year period 1983-2002, average percentage employment growth in these areas was less than the UK as a whole. But the key feature is the huge diversity across areas, with three showing employment falls of nearly 20% and three exhibiting employment gains of more than 30%. Some areas showed great resilience in the face of a serious shock. Two general factors account for over half the variability of this experience. First, the greater the percentage in coal mining in 1983, the lower was 20-year employment growth. Second, the more militant an area was during the miners' strike of 1984/85, the lower also was employment growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 503-507 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801964331 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801964331&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:503-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Alvarez-Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Diaz Author-Name: Alberto Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez Title: Forecasting exchange rates using local regression Abstract: In this article we use a generalization of the standard nearest neighbours, called local regression (LR), to study the predictability of the yen/US$ and pound sterling/US$ exchange rates. We also compare our results with those previously obtained with global methods such as neural networks, genetic programming, data fusion and evolutionary neural networks. We want to verify if we can generalize to the exchange rate forecasting problem the belief that local methods beat global ones. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-514 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850801987217 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850801987217&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:509-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Sisto Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sisto Author-Name: R. Zanola Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Zanola Title: Cinema attendance in Europe Abstract: Although there exists a large body of literature which has empirically investigated the impact of various determinants on cinema attendance, studies that analyse the addictive component of cinema consumption seem to be relatively rare. The aim of this article is to empirically investigate the addictive component of cinema consumption by adopting a cross-country focus. To this aim, the Becker and Murphy's rational addiction model has been tested using a pooled cross-section and time-series data on 12 European countries over the period 1989 to 2004. Results provide evidence that cinema consumption seems to conform to a rational addiction hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-517 Issue: 5 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802046997 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802046997&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:5:p:515-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sapra Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sapra Title: Robust vs. classical principalcomponent analysis in the presence of outliers Abstract: Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very versatile technique for dimension reduction in multivariate data. Classical PCA is very sensitive to outliers and can lead to misleading conclusions in the presence of outliers. This article studies the merits of robust PCA relative to classical PCA when outliers are present. An algorithm due to Filzmoser et al. (2006) based on a modification of the projection pursuit algorithm of Croux and Ruiz-Gazen (2005) is used for robust PCA computations for a financial data set as well as simulated data sets. Our simulation results indicate that robust PCA generally leads to greater reduction in model dimension than classical PCA in data sets with outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-523 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802046989 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802046989&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:519-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Massomeh Hajilee Author-X-Name-First: Massomeh Author-X-Name-Last: Hajilee Title: On the relation between currency depreciation and wages Abstract: Devaluation is said to redistribute income from the poor, who have a high Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) to the rich, who have a low MPC. Assuming the high MPC group to be unskilled labour and the low MPC group to be skilled labour, we investigate the impact of currency depreciation on skilled and unskilled wage rates by drawing data from 18 countries. While in most countries we found short-run effects, the long-run effects of devaluation on both wage rates were limited to a few countries. Indeed in these countries, devaluation raised the skilled labour wages and reduced unskilled labour wages in the long run as theory dictates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-530 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112278 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112278&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:525-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: M. Melinda Pitts Author-X-Name-First: M. Melinda Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Title: The demand side of the penalty for intermittent labour market behaviour Abstract: The purpose of this article is to determine whether there is any empirical evidence for the contribution of employer, or demand-side, determinants of the labour market intermittency penalty. The documented negative relationship between the size of the penalty and the labour market strength is interpreted as evidence that labour market intermittency is viewed as an undesirable characteristic that employers penalize more severely when the labour market is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-535 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167181 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167181&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:531-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jose Castillo Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo Author-Name: Pilar Useche Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Useche Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Missing agricultural price data: an application of mixed estimation Abstract: This article shows the convenience of combining the Country-Product- Dummy (CPD) model and the Theil-Goldberger (TG) mixed estimator to obtain better estimates of missing prices than those obtained by marginal mean imputation. We use the TG estimator to combine aggregate price data for regions of Ecuador with producer-level data (the sample data) to fill-in the missing price observations. Our results show better price estimates for predicting missing data than estimates obtained from using the CPD model on the sample data only. Through this approach, missing data can be replaced with economically meaningful data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-541 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:537-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niclas Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Niclas Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Author-Name: Mikael Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Good times are drinking times: empirical evidence on business cycles and alcohol sales in Sweden 1861-2000 Abstract: This article studies the relationship between the business cycle and alcohol sales in Sweden using a data set for the years 1861-2000. Using wavelet-based band-pass filtering, it is found that there is a pro-cyclical relationship, i.e. alcohol sales increases in short-term economic upturns. Using moving window techniques, we see that the pro-cyclical relationship holds over the entire time period. We also find that alcohol sales are a long-memory process with nonstationary behaviour, i.e. a shock in alcohol sales has persistent effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 543-546 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:543-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Teacher salaries and student achievement: the case of Pennsylvania Abstract: In this article, we developed an empirical model and tested the hypothesis that teacher salaries and student achievement are positively and significantly related. A total of 500 school districts in the state of Pennsylvania for 3 school years (1999-2000, 2000-2001 and 2001-2002) were selected for a case study. Consequently, the empirical evidence revealed that the hypothesis was accepted, implying that higher teacher salaries attract better qualified teachers and thus benefits student learning and improves student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 547-550 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167223 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167223&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:547-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayse Evrensel Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Evrensel Title: Institutional and economic determinants of corruption: a cross-section analysis Abstract: In recent years, corruption and possible anti-corruption measures have been extensively discussed at the national, international and multilateral levels. This article provides an empirical analysis of corruption by viewing corruption as an evolutionary process. It assumes that the institutional set-up of the country such as the characteristics of the political and judicial system determines the extent of corruption. The empirical results confirm that countries with totalitarian political regimes, ineffective judicial systems and lower levels of education as well as slower economic growth and higher inflation rates tend to have higher levels of corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Edith Bissey Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Edith Author-X-Name-Last: Bissey Author-Name: John Hey Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Stefania Ottone Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Ottone Title: Jekyll and Hyde Abstract: Jekyll and Hyde were in fact two people inside the same person - an obviously dynamically-inconsistent person. In the book and in the movie, the dynamic inconsistency was resolved in a rather dramatic way. We investigate its resolution in the laboratory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-559 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802260853 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802260853&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:555-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silke Anger Author-X-Name-First: Silke Author-X-Name-Last: Anger Author-Name: Michael Kvasnicka Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kvasnicka Title: Does smoking really harm your earnings so much? Biases in current estimates of the smoking wage penalty Abstract: Empirical studies on the earnings effects of tobacco use have found significant wage penalties attached to smoking. This article produces evidence that suggests that these estimates are significantly upward biased. The bias arises from a general failure in the literature to control for past smoking behaviour of individuals. Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) regressions show that the smoking wage penalty is reduced by as much as a third, if past smoking of individuals is controlled for. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-564 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802260846 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802260846&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:561-564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razvan Pascalau Author-X-Name-First: Razvan Author-X-Name-Last: Pascalau Title: Unit root tests with smooth breaks: an application to the Nelson-Plosser data set Abstract: This article reconsiders the nature of the trends (i.e. deterministic or stochastic) of the Nelson-Plosser macroeconomic time series. For this purpose, the article employs two new tests that display robustness to structural breaks of unknown forms, irrespective of the date and/or location of the breaks. These tests approximate structural changes as smooth processes via flexible Fourier transforms. In general, it appears that real variables are stationary while nominal ones have a unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 565-570 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112245 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112245&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:565-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Naude Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Naude Title: Does sexual strategies theory help explain high violent crime in South Africa? Abstract: In sexual strategies theory (SST), risky behaviour such as crime is the outcome of males' sexual reproduction strategies. Using panel data from South Africa, one of the countries with the highest crime rates in the world, a random-effects GLS regression finds support for the SST as an explanation for violent crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 571-574 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802064586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802064586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:571-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: Analysis of movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate: comparison of four major models Abstract: Four different models are considered in examining the movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate. Based on the value of R2, the uncovered interest parity model performs best, followed by the purchasing power parity model, the monetary model, and the Mundell-Fleming model. The opposite signs of the relative interest rate in the uncovered interest parity model and the monetary model and the insignificant coefficient of the domestic interest rate in the Mundell-Fleming model suggest that more study is needed to examine the behaviour of exchange rate fluctuations for the Australian dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-580 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802047003 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802047003&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:575-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dustin Chambers Author-X-Name-First: Dustin Author-X-Name-Last: Chambers Title: Does a rising tide raise all ships? The impact of growth on inequality Abstract: Using semiparametric methods and an up-to-date panel dataset on income inequality, the impact of past economic growth on current inequality is examined in a group of nations with widely differing initial incomes. Regardless of a nation's initial development, past economic growth stimulates inequality over short and medium-run periods. However, in the long-run, inequality in developed and developing nations reacts differently to comparable rates of economic growth. Specifically, inequality declines with growth in developing nations, while rising with growth in developed nations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-586 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802046971 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802046971&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:581-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Marital status and unobserved heterogeneity: Do twins suggest a genetic inheritance? Abstract: The purpose of this study is to measure the importance of the background for marital status. The role of unobserved circumstances, including the genes, is of particular interest. Unobserved heterogeneity is, as expected, found to be important for marital status. The results for monozygotic (identical) and dizygotic (fraternal) twins indicate an important genetic component in marital status. The genetic inheritance of marital status is found to be particularly strong for females. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802077992 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802077992&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Binner Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Author-Name: Thomas Elger Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Elger Author-Name: Barry Jones Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Birger Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: Birger Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Inflation forecasting, relative price variability and skewness Abstract: This article presents out-of-sample inflation forecasting results based on relative price variability and skewness. It is demonstrated that forecasts on long horizons of 1.5-2 years are significantly improved if the forecast equation is augmented with skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 593-596 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802112260 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802112260&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:593-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Nonlinear adjustment of short-term deviations impacts on the US real estate market Abstract: This study examines whether nonlinear adjustment of short-term deviations impacts US real estate market returns by applying an exponential smooth transition threshold error-correction model with Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (ESTECM-GARCH). Empirical results demonstrate that the ESTECM-GARCH captures the dynamics of returns more effectively than the Error-Correction Model (ECM) and Exponential Smooth Transition Error-Correction Model (ESTECM). Consequently, the nonlinear behaviour of returns is driven by momentum noise traders and heterogeneous arbitrageurs in Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 597-603 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:597-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: Samuel Mulenga Bwalya Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Mulenga Author-X-Name-Last: Bwalya Title: Foreign direct investment and technology spillovers in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an effective conduit for technology transfer through technology spillovers to domestically owned firms in the host country. This study analyses the significance of productivity externalities of FDI to local firms, in terms of both intra-industry and inter-industry spillovers, using firm-level data from Kenya, Tanzania and Zimbabwe. The results show evidences in support of intra- and inter-industry productivity spillovers from FDI for Kenya and Zimbabwe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 605-608 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167173 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167173&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:605-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: How homogeneous are balance of payments movements? Abstract: The article conducts panel data Granger causality tests for current and financial accounts in 53 countries over the period of 1970Q1 to 2007Q3. We found that there is no homogeneity within the same income groups of economies unlike the previous studies. It implies that push and pull factors of capital mobility are independent of income levels of economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-611 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802167199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802167199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:609-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Assaf  Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf  Author-Name: K. M. Matawie Author-X-Name-First: K. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Matawie Title: A bootstrapped metafrontier model Abstract: The major aim of this article is to apply the bootstrapping methodology to the estimation of the metafrotnier model. The article has two parts. The first part deals with the technical details of the metafrontier model, and the second presents the application of the model using cross-sectional input/output data on health care foodservice operations. The results obtained by bootstrapping the metafrontier model are presented and discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 613-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802232613 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802232613&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:613-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo-Suk Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joo-Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Public's willingness to pay for preventing climate change Abstract: In order to develop the proper policies for preventing climate change, it is necessary to know the public preference for preventing climate change. This study attempts to analyse public Willingness To Pay (WTP) for preventing climate change by applying a Contingent Valuation (CV) method. The estimated mean WTP per household per month in Seoul, Korea, is about 3326 Korean won (approximately GBP 1.60). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-622 Issue: 6 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802277113 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802277113&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:6:p:619-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roisin O'Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Roisin Author-X-Name-Last: O'Sullivan Author-Name: Ayse Ozsoz Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Ozsoz Title: Foreign bank presence in emerging markets: help or hindrance to banking system stability? Abstract: With financial liberalization during the 1990s, there was a marked increase in the involvement of foreign banks in emerging market economies. This study uses data from 32 emerging markets for the period 1999 to 2005 to investigate whether the presence of foreign banks promotes or hurts the stability of the banking systems in these economies. We find consistently that a greater presence of foreign banks does not harm banking system stability and, under some definitions, is associated with a statistically significant fall in the probability of a banking crisis. This result is robust across different ways of distinguishing foreign from domestic banks, thus providing useful information to policy makers and banking regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-626 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297939 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297939&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:623-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: DEA efficiency analysis involving multiple production processes Abstract: This article addresses Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) efficiency analysis in organizations with multiple production processes. It shows how to measure the impact on an organization's overall efficiency of (a) inefficient and superefficient subunits and (b) the efficiency with which input resources are allocated to the subunits. It introduces a simple model for efficiently allocating inputs among subunits and applies the entire analytical process to a large urban transit agency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-632 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297905 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297905&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:627-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Church Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Church Author-Name: Han Donker Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Donker Title: Profit warnings: will openness be rewarded? Abstract: We investigate the information content of profit warnings released by firms on the abnormal returns for a sample of 149 firms listed on the Euronext Amsterdam in 2000-2002. We propose that firms can diminish the negative influence of profit warnings on shareholder's returns by releasing detailed information, thereby reducing the information asymmetry between shareholders and management. We find empirical evidence that a greater degree of disclosure has a significantly positive impact on the abnormal returns of firms with multiple successive profit warnings. We argue that negative abnormal returns will occur with firms which provide external reasons in their press releases indicating that the causes of the current situation are a market-wide phenomenon and beyond their scope. We report a negative - but not significant - impact of information regarding external reasons on the abnormal returns to shareholders of firms with profit warnings. Our research findings offer valuable insights into the practical implications of the information content of profit warnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-637 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802298043 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802298043&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:633-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Title: The determinants of health care expenditure in Australia Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine the long-run relationship and short-run dynamics of the health care expenditure in Australia during the period 1960-2003. Consistent with the conventional findings, the income elasticity for health care is found to be greater than one, suggesting that health care is a luxury good in Australia. Demographic structure is found to exert a significant positive impact on health care expenditure. An increase in the accessibility to health care services is associated with higher per capita real health care expenditure. Finally, public funding of health care appears to have a contributory effect on the formation of health care expenditure in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 639-644 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802297868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840802297868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:639-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Judith Stallmann Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Stallmann Author-Name: Steven Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Title: Impacts of local and state tax and expenditure limits on economic growth Abstract: We focus on the impact of statutory and constitutional Tax and Expenditure Limits (TELs) on growth levels and rates of convergence. Using a panel of US state data from 1987 to 2004, we report a family of neoclassical growth models. Using simple dummy variables to identify states with and without strict TELs, we find that local property tax levy limits do not significantly influence income growth and convergence rates. Results for state revenue and expenditure limits suggest that more recent limits may have negatively affected income growth and slowed convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297954 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297954&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: US rural land value bubbles Abstract: Real estate bubbles have attracted much attention in the research literature following substantial growth in prices. Given the recent subprime mortgage crisis, this article is concerned with the related problem of possible bubbles in rural land values, given that at the margin urban real estate exerts pressure on rural land markets. Land is the most important financial asset for the agricultural economy, and income risk caused by farmland price volatility creates economic hardship for rural communities. Farmland valuation remains to a large extent a puzzle as it is only partially explained by fundamentals including inflation. This article tests the hypothesis of a price bubble in the real option value to future land development using land value data for all 48 contiguous US states and finds strong evidence that a short-run bubble has been active in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:649-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: In search of a critical value for the real crude oil price for the United States Abstract: Applying the GARCH(1,1) model, this article finds that a higher real oil price may have a positive or negative impact on the US real output and that the critical value of the real oil price for output maximization is estimated to be $50.09 per barrel. Hence, real crude oil prices of $54.90 in 2006 and $59.07 in 2007 are expected to affect real output negatively. In addition, more deficit spending, real depreciation, a higher real stock price and a lower expected inflation rate would cause real output to rise. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-661 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:657-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaughan Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Title: Cost pass-through elasticities, concentration and productivity growth Abstract: Cost pass-through elasticities measure the percentage decrease in prices from a percentage cost reduction. For given cost reductions, lower elasticities harm consumers through a lower pass-through to prices. But these same lower elasticities may increase cost-reducing innovation by firms and thereby help consumers by leading to lower prices. To explore this trade-off, pass-through elasticities are first estimated for 253 US manufacturing industries. After this, two second-stage regressions that use the estimated elasticities are introduced. The first regression finds that higher seller concentration leads to lower pass-through elasticities, whereas the second finds that the lower pass-through elasticities, which accompany higher concentration, lead to higher average annual productivity growth. This means there is a trade-off, and lower elasticities can benefit consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 663-666 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:663-666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linus Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Linus Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Fixed cost efficiency with infinitesimal competitors Abstract: Suppose that infinitesimal firms have identical variable costs, but there is heterogeneity in their fixed costs. Regardless of the ordering of entry and exit, fixed costs will be minimized for a given industry size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 667-671 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297921 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297921&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:667-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Author-Name: Kazuta Sakamoto Author-X-Name-First: Kazuta Author-X-Name-Last: Sakamoto Title: Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example Abstract: Forecasts for the current year that are made sometime during the current year are not true annual forecasts because they include already known information for the early part of the year. The current methodology that evaluates these 'forecasts' does not take into account the known information. This article presents a methodology for calculating an implicit forecast for the latter part of a year conditional on the known information. We then apply the procedure to Japanese forecasts for 1988-2003 and analyse some of the characteristics of those predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297848 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297848&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:673-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bjorn Thor Arnarson Author-X-Name-First: Bjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Thor Arnarson Author-Name: Aparna Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: The Paternity Leave Act in Iceland: implications for gender equality in the labour market Abstract: The Icelandic Act on Maternity/Paternity and Parental Leave (2000) introduced some major changes. The leave was extended from 6 to 9 months, and parents who were active in the labour market were paid 80% of their average salaries during the leave. The 9 months' leave was distributed so that mothers could take 3 months' leave, fathers could take 3 months' leave and the remaining 3 months could be shared by the mother or father in any manner that the parents saw fit. Using information and data from the Althingi and Statice, this article discusses the new legislation and the implications of such a policy in reducing gender inequality in the Icelandic labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-680 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:677-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoa Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hoa Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Does the type of derivative instrument used by companies impact firm value? Abstract: We explore the relationship between the type of derivative instrument used and firm value, in a sample of Australian firms. Specifically, we examine the impact of the corporate use of swaps, futures, forwards and options, and the extent of such usage, on firm value. Our findings suggest that a 'discount' is most severely imposed on users of swaps. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 681-683 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:681-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Lartey Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Lartey Title: A note on the effect of financial development on economic growth Abstract: A common result from the literature has been a positive monotonic effect of financial development on growth. This article presents an empirical investigation of the financial development-economic growth relationship by estimating a variant model to those in Levine et al. (2000) while allowing for the coefficient on the financial development index to vary by the level of financial development. Using dynamic panel techniques, coefficient estimates suggest that the exogenous component of financial development has a positive effect on economic growth and does not vary with the level of financial development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 685-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297897 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297897&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:685-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randy Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Author-Name: Patrick Rutherford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Rutherford Title: The impact of early DVD release on box office revenues Abstract: In recent years, film studios have accelerated the release of films on DVDs, prompting theatre owners to express concerns about the possible negative impact of the early release of DVDs on a film's box office revenues. This study examines the impact of releasing a film on DVD before the film ends its theatrical run. Based on a sample of the top 50 grossing films in the USA over the period 2001 to 2005, our results indicate that roughly a quarter of the films appear on DVD before exiting the theatres, and that studios release these films on DVD after they have been in the theatres for an average of 20 weeks. By delaying the DVD release until the twentieth week, studios minimize the impact on box office revenues, as the average films take in 95% of its total box office growth by the seventh week in distribution. Regression results indicate that an early DVD release reduces box office revenues by 46%, or $303 989, which represents an average of 0.21% of a film's total box office revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-693 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297913 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297913&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:689-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaskara Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Do we need time series econometrics? Abstract: It is argued that whether the need for unit roots and cointegration-based econometric methods is a methodological issue. An alternative is the econometrics of the London School of Economics (LSE) and Hendry approach based on the simpler classical methods of estimation. This is known as the general to specific method (GETS). Like all other methodological issues this is also difficult to resolve, but we think that GETS is very useful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-697 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297889 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297889&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:695-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silke Anger Author-X-Name-First: Silke Author-X-Name-Last: Anger Author-Name: Guido Heineck Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Heineck Title: Cognitive abilities and earnings - first evidence for Germany Abstract: We provide first evidence on the relationship between cognitive abilities and earnings in Germany using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) Study. The estimates suggest that mechanics abilities are positively related to wages of West German workers, even when educational attainment is controlled for. Pragmatics of cognition are not related to earnings. In line with studies for other countries, we find that ability and education are inseparable determinants of earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-702 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297855 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297855&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:699-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Paul Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Gius Title: An analysis of the 2006 congressional elections: does campaign spending matter? Abstract: The results of research on the effects of political campaign expenditures on congressional elections are somewhat mixed although most suggest that incumbent campaign spending has a minimal to no statistically significant effect on election outcomes, whereas challenger spending has a rather significant effect. This study differs from the prior research by including as an explanatory variable the percentage of registered voters who have the same party affiliation as the candidate. Results suggest that spending by both the incumbent and the challenger have significant effects on the percentage of votes obtained, while the percentage of own party affiliation has a positive, but minimal, effect. Finally, it was found that incumbents possess a 24-point advantage over their challengers; this result may partially explain why incumbents are re-elected over 90% of the time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 703-706 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802298002 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802298002&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:703-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Gibrat's law for counties in medieval England: an empirical study Abstract: The article investigates a distributional implication of Gibrat's Law (GL) in the context of English counties in the eleventh century, taking as reference population data from the Domesday Book. Tests for the log-normality of the size distribution (including specific assessments of the skewness and kurtosis) provided evidence that favours the prevalence of GL. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 707-710 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:707-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olumuyiwa Adedeji Author-X-Name-First: Olumuyiwa Author-X-Name-Last: Adedeji Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Fiscal sustainability in a panel of Asian countries Abstract: Panel cointegration techniques indicate that government revenue (REV) and expenditure (EXP) in a panel of five Asian economies for the period 1974 to 2001 were nonstationary and cointegrated series. However, the cointegration coefficient was significantly less than unity, indicating 'weak' fiscal sustainability and the likelihood that policy measures would be needed to put the public finances on a more sustainable basis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-715 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros Stamatopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Stamatopoulos Author-Name: Harilaos Harissis Author-X-Name-First: Harilaos Author-X-Name-Last: Harissis Title: Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate disconnect and exchange rate regimes Abstract: This article investigates the degree of Exchange Rate Pass-Through (ERPT) into import prices for the Hellenic economy, during its post-Bretton Woods and pre-European Monetary Union (pre-EMU) era 1975-1998. Using multivariate cointegration techniques, we provide empirical evidence for complete long-run and incomplete short-run ERPT coefficients. The pattern of trade, which reflects the production pattern as well as intervention policies, appearing from the country's course towards EMU, justifies these estimations. Complete ERPT and estimated disconnection of the exchange rate of the Hellenic Drachmae from the real industrial production may be accepted as an argument in favour of joining the euro, within a single criterion of Optimum Currency Areas' theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-722 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802298050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802298050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Author-Name: Santiago Lago-Penas Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Lago-Penas Title: The determinants of health care expenditure: a reexamination Abstract: In this article, the determinants of health care expenditure per capita in Spanish regions are analysed. The coexistence of several models concerning the degree of spending power decentralization and financing systems makes Spain a singular case and allows us to draw conclusions relevant for other countries decentralizing their health care systems. Analysing the Spanish case also serves to show a number of pitfalls affecting econometric estimation of the effects of income and demographic structure on health expenditure. Because the reliability of parameter estimates is a key issue in the literature on the determinants of health expenditure, these potential problems should be taken into account when estimating and interpreting results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 723-726 Issue: 7 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314437 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314437&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:7:p:723-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Craig Dunphey Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Dunphey Title: On the Athey-Levin model of skewed bidding Abstract: Using data from 39 first-price, sealed-bid auctions from three Wisconsin State forests, we examine the fragility of the sealed-bid auction portion of Athey and Levin's (2001) study of skewed bidding behaviour in US forest service auctions. The results of our analysis compare favourably with their results, suggesting that their model is robust across data sets similar to, but distinct from, the data used in their study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 727-732 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802375487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802375487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:727-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Government size and the stability of output: evidence from emerging market economies Abstract: Fatas and Mihov (2001a, b) reported a negative and statistically significant relation between government size and output variability in a cross-section of 20 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries and concluded that large governments stabilize output. This conclusion does not appear to be valid for Emerging Market Economies (EMEs). Results from cross-section and combined cross-section and time series regressions for a sample of 21 EMEs for the period 1970 to 2001 indicate that the relation between government size and output volatility is statistically significant and positive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 733-736 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802464117 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802464117&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:733-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Who chooses to adopt fiscal responsibility laws? Evidence from emerging market economies Abstract: In recent years, at least 10 emerging market economies have sought to anchor their fiscal frameworks in fiscal responsibility laws. Key factors in the decision appear to include a prior improvement in fiscal discipline, particularly in the context of a federal fiscal system, substantial ethnic fractionalization and vulnerability to adverse shocks, such as real exchange rate volatility and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-740 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297947 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802297947&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:737-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Financial development and economic growth: a panel approach Abstract: This article examines the finance-growth nexus for a panel of less developed countries using panel cointegration methods. The financial development elasticity of gross domestic product is 0.46, and this varies little between broad income groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 741-745 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314411 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314411&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:741-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Alison Davis Author-X-Name-First: Alison Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Desert recreation: economic values of management and service strategies Abstract: This study focuses on the management of a desert area. It utilizes survey data to assess visitors' preferences and values for several management strategies designed to alleviate conflicts in this region. The implications may help to understand management issues in other similar environments. The results show distinctive differences between how these management strategies may be valued by the resource users, depending on the intended goals of the strategies. A key conclusion is that the best management strategy is interrelated with the characteristics of the resource users. A heterogeneous analysis and diversified policy may achieve better management goals and social welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 747-751 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802359911 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802359911&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:747-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Karen Wong Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: A note on the intraday and intraweek patterns in premiums of exchange-traded funds: evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, the first launched exchange-traded fund in Asia except Japan, aims to track the performance of the Hang Seng Index. This article examines the fund's characteristic via investigating the intraday and intraweek patterns of the fund's premiums. Empirical results suggest that no such patterns exist on the mean premium. However, a weak intraweek pattern is found for the volatility of premium and the number of transactions. Furthermore, for all measures except the mean premium, we find that a significant intraday pattern with a double-U shape or a W-shape exists. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 753-760 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314429 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314429&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:753-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Andraz Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Andraz Author-Name: Paulo Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Events that marked tourism in Portugal Abstract: This article uses outlier detection procedures to investigate events that may have had a pronounced effect on tourism in Portugal. Interestingly, we confirm the evidence that the effects on tourism are lagged in time. As a result, expected business volumes are only attained later than originally anticipated and arising difficulties affect tourism leading to possible destination rerouting. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 761-766 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314445 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314445&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:761-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seong-Hoon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Dayton Lambert Author-X-Name-First: Dayton Author-X-Name-Last: Lambert Author-Name: Zhuo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Geographically weighted regression bandwidth selection and spatial autocorrelation: an empirical example using Chinese agriculture data Abstract: This research note examined the performance of Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) using two calibration methods. The first method, Cross Validation (CV), has been commonly used in the applied literature using GWR. A second criterion selected an optimal bandwidth that corresponded with the smallest spatial error Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test statistic. We find that there is a tradeoff between addressing spatial autocorrelation and reducing degree of extreme coefficients in GWR. Although spatial autocorrelation can be controlled for by using the LM criterion, a substantial degree of extreme coefficients may remain. However, while the CV approach appears to be less prone to producing extreme coefficients, it may not always attend to the problems that arise in the presence of spatial error autocorrelation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-772 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802314452 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802314452&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:767-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: De-Chih Liu Author-X-Name-First: De-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Monetary policy and the asymmetric job creation and destruction behaviour Abstract: This article explores whether monetary policy can account for the asymmetric job creation and job destruction behaviour in the Taiwanese manufacturing and service sectors during the period 1987 to 2003. This article finds evidence for positive steepness in the job destruction rate in the manufacturing sector and negative steepness in the job creation rate in the service sector. This article also finds that the monetary policy (discount rate) can help to explain the asymmetric job creation and job destruction behaviour. Importantly, this article finds that monetary policy stimulated job flow behaviour to a better regime. This evidence suggests that monetary policy may be an efficient instrument in stimulating the labour market in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-780 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802359903 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802359903&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:773-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Author-Name: Ilhan Ozturk Author-X-Name-First: Ilhan Author-X-Name-Last: Ozturk Title: Sustainability of current account for Latin America and Caribbean countries Abstract: This article examines sustainability of current account for Colombia, Peru, Venezuela, Mexico, Brazil and Argentina. Using the usual intertemporal borrowing constraint, we have tested for a long-run relationship between exports and imports plus net transfer payments and net interest payments. In our empirical analysis of the sustainability of current account, cointegration approaches have been used. Empirical results suggest that in the case of Peru, there exists a unique long run or equilibrium relationship among real exports and imports. In the case of Colombia, Venezuela, Mexico, Brazil and Argentina, cointegration results suggest that these countries' current accounts are not sustainable in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802359937 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802359937&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Mancuso Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Mancuso Author-Name: Cassandra Dirienzo Author-X-Name-First: Cassandra Author-X-Name-Last: Dirienzo Author-Name: Jayoti Das Author-X-Name-First: Jayoti Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Assessing terrorist risk and FDI using relative information measures Abstract: Recent research has explored the determinants of terrorism and the impact that terrorist activity has on a country. However, to date, no research has examined what specific aspect of terrorist risk most significantly impacts a country's ability to operate in the global market. Using the five sub-indices of the World Market Research Center's Global Terrorism Index, this study explores how the different dimensions of terrorist risk impact the inflow of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) using a Shannon information measure of relationship. The results of this research suggest that a country's proven ability to prevent terrorist activity has the most significant impact on investment decisions in regard to FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 787-790 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802375479 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802375479&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:787-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadullah Celik Author-X-Name-First: Sadullah Author-X-Name-Last: Celik Author-Name: Huseyin Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: Real exchange rates and bilateral trade dynamics of Turkey: panel cointegration approach Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse Turkey's bilateral trade dynamics with respect to a panel of seven countries. Employing several panel cointegration techniques, we show that the effect of a devaluation of Turkish currency on trade balance is country specific and there is no J-curve effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 791-795 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802388993 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802388993&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:791-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinear mean reversion in real exchange rates: threshold autoregressive models and stochastic unit root processes Abstract: Threshold-type nonlinear relations are pretty popular in modelling the deviations from purchasing power parity. This article shows that there is a close relation between the nonlinear band Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) models studied by Obstfeld and Taylor (1997) and Stochastic Unit Root (STUR) processes discussed by Granger and Swanson (1997) and McCabe and Tremayne (1995). Employing the real exchange rates from four major countries against the US dollar, this article finds little evidence for TAR but some support for STUR during the post-Bretton Woods sample periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 797-804 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802403610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802403610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:797-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Leeds Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Leeds Title: Is bad news always bad? The impact of Floyd Landis's rise and fall on Phonak Abstract: In the space of one week, cyclist Floyd Landis went from hero to villain when his remarkable comeback to win the 2006 Tour de France was nullified by a positive drug test. I use event study techniques to analyse the impact of Landis's rise and fall on the profitability of Phonak, his team's sponsor. I find that neither his spectacular win nor his rapid fall had an immediate impact on Phonak but that there was a significant cumulative abnormal return to Phonak stock in the wake of these events. I conclude that Phonak benefited from both the good and bad news about Landis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802464109 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802464109&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hart Hodges Author-X-Name-First: Hart Author-X-Name-Last: Hodges Author-Name: Stein Østbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Østbye Title: Is small firm gardening good for local economic growth? Abstract: Based on panel data for the manufacturing and retail industries in a sample of 2645 US counties spanning the last two decades of the twentieth century, we find that firm size matters for industry growth. Contrary to previous research, our results suggest that there is a positive linkage between the average size of manufacturing and retail firms on the one hand and industry growth on the other. Our results are consistent with a Schumpeterian growth model, where bigger firms are needed to carry out effective Research and Development, leading to higher growth. The results, therefore, do not support the idea of small firm gardening as a local development strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-813 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802481780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802481780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:809-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Mei-Lan Lo Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Hsiao-Yuan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: On the currency effect to home bias puzzle Abstract: We propose an international asset allocation model to investigate whether home currency concern has impacts on home bias puzzle. Domestic investors choosing their international portfolios depend on home currency premium and thus will behave in home bias scenarios. Besides, the optimal portfolio suggests that it is isolated with nontradable and tradable consumptions. After employing the market-clearing condition, we price the equilibrium exchange rate and it tells that Interest Rate Parity (IRP) has more potential influence than Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) on exchange rate pricing in our model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 815-822 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481839 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481839&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:815-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Does nonlinearity help resolve the Fisher effect puzzle? Abstract: Even though there is little evidence for linear cointegration, Christopoulos and Leon-Ledesma (2007) recently have found nonlinear cointegrating relations between the US quarterly nominal interest rate and CPI inflation rate. Through Monte Carlo simulations, they also show that the nonlinear relations are responsible for the 'Fisher effect puzzle' of less than a proportional coefficient of inflation in the linear Fisher relation. We provide, in this study, an explanation of their simulation results on the Fisher effect puzzle and further examine if nonlinear relations really help resolving the puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-828 Issue: 8 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802481772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802481772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:8:p:823-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Nonparallel demand increases in an asymmetric Cournot oligopoly Abstract: We examine equilibrium responses of a Cournot oligopoly to two typical types of nonparallel demand increases. The results based on a linear demand curve show that in terms of profits, increases in demand that result in a more elastic demand curve are beneficial to every firm, with large firms benefiting disproportionately. In sharp contrast, only certain small firms benefit from demand increases that result in a more inelastic demand. Our results have implications in marketing and government policy making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-833 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552317 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552317&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:829-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Title: Lunar seasonality in precious metal returns? Abstract: We demonstrate for the first time the existence of a lunar cycle on precious metal returns. This appears to be more pronounced in silver than gold, with very little evidence for an effect in platinum. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-838 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802516188 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802516188&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:835-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Miguel St. Aubyn Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: St. Aubyn Title: Public and private investment rates of return: evidence for industrialized countries Abstract: We compute the macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment implicit in a VAR for 14 European Union countries, Canada, Japan and the United States. Results point mostly to positive effects of public and private investment on output, whereas public investment crowds out private investment in a significant number of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 839-843 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599425 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599425&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:839-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Åsa Lofgren Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Author-X-Name-Last: Lofgren Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: Attitudes towards CO2 taxation - is there an Al Gore effect? Abstract: Fuel taxes are one of the most powerful climate policies. Yet, these taxes have not been given very much attention in the global debate regarding climate policy, compared with other instruments, such as tradable emission permits. This article shows, however, that the immense media coverage during fall 2006 significantly affected people's attitudes towards the CO2 tax on gasoline. We conducted a survey where we asked for people's opinions about the CO2 tax in September and in December 2006, i.e. before and after the release of Al Gore's 'An Inconvenient Truth' and the Stern Review. We found that the attitude towards the level of the CO2 tax was significantly changed after these events; people became much more positive towards the tax. This signals that using the CO2 tax as an important climate policy becomes more politically feasible and legitimate when more attention is drawn to climate change problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-848 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584849 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584849&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:845-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alice Melkumian Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Melkumian Title: The cost of a short-selling constraint - welfare implications for investors under uncertainty Abstract: In this article, I analyse investors' welfare losses from being restricted from short-selling. To measure those losses, I use the concept of the proportionate opportunity cost along with various Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) utility functions. Two sets of asset returns are used with a Vector Autoregressive process for generating joint returns distributions: the original historical asset returns data set and the historical asset returns with extreme values exaggerated. In each case, 1000 alternative sets of assets, including one with a risk-free nominal return, are randomly made available for investment. I show that the optimal portfolio strategy with the short-selling constraint performs almost as well as the unconstrained portfolio strategy for investors with medium and high levels of risk aversion. The results, derived from the original historical asset returns data set, show that investors' welfare losses reach 12.8% of initial wealth when risk aversion is low and reach 13.5% of initial wealth with extreme returns exaggerated. The results in both cases indicate that less risk-averse investors experience greater welfare losses and that the short-selling constraint reduces the cost of sub-optimal diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-860 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802481847 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802481847&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:849-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian David Dick Author-X-Name-First: Christian David Author-X-Name-Last: Dick Author-Name: Qingwei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qingwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The economic impact of the Olympic Games: evidence from stock markets Abstract: By means of an event study of stock market reactions to the announcement of the Olympic Games host cities, we find a significant and positive announcement effect of hosting the Summer Games, with a cumulative abnormal return of about 2% within a few days. Yet, we find no significant results for the Winter Games and for losers. Our results differ from those of Mirman and Sharma (2008), who found that the Winter Games have a significantly negative announcement impact, whereas there is no effect for the Summer Games. Our results rely on a larger sample of 15 Olympic events and are obtained by assessing the abnormal returns after the announcement against a 'business-as-usual' situation (instead of testing the difference between winners and losers). Our findings are in line with economic intuition: the Summer Games represent a larger event and are thus more likely to make a significant impact. We also find that among the winners, small economies tend to exhibit greater cumulative abnormal returns than their larger peers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 861-864 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:861-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: The sources of volatility transmission in the Euro area money market: from longer maturities to the overnight? Abstract: This article investigates the transmission of volatility from longer maturities to the overnight segment of the Euro area money market. I use nonparametric estimates of the daily variance of swap rates to test for block exogeneity with respect to the overnight. The results suggest that there exists transmission of volatility shocks from the 1-year swap rate to the overnight market. The reform of the operational framework of March 2004 has improved the segmentation of the market, as it has insulated the overnight segment from volatility spillovers stemming from swap rates of up to 6 months of maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-868 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802498809 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802498809&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:865-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Soderlind Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Soderlind Title: Predicting stock price movements: regressions versus economists Abstract: The forecasting performance of the Livingston survey and traditional prediction models of stock prices is analysed. The survey forecasts look similar to those from a 'too large' prediction model: poor out-of-sample performance and too sensitive to recent and irrelevant information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-874 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802584871 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802584871&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:869-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: Syuichi Nagata Author-X-Name-First: Syuichi Author-X-Name-Last: Nagata Author-Name: Yuzo Honda Author-X-Name-First: Yuzo Author-X-Name-Last: Honda Title: A comparison of two alternative composite leading indicators for detecting Japanese business cycle turning points Abstract: The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has developed a system of Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs) for its member countries. On the other hand, the Japanese government has released another CLI for detecting the Japanese business cycle turning points. Both CLIs are widely used alternatives. These two CLIs may provide different business forecasts. When different forecasts occur, how can we interpret the discrepancies? This article tries to answer this question by clarifying their relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 875-879 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802570384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802570384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:875-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Fei Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Fei Title: A note on applying option pricing theory to emerging mortgage and mortgage-backed securities markets Abstract: Option-based models have been the dominant paradigm for researches on the risks and pricing of mortgages and Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) in the USA. However, the adaptability and flexibility of option-based models in the emerging mortgage markets has been obviously neglected. This study provides the first analysis of the potential strengths and weaknesses of application of the option pricing theory to emerging markets with referring to both theoretical and empirical literatures. This study finds that the mortgage type, the attitude of mortgagees to risk and the institutional features are the key determinants of success of application of the option pricing theory to emerging mortgage and MBS markets. The option pricing literature in finance has been extended to study the risks and pricing of mortgages and MBS in the USA over the last three decades. However, given the robust and rapid growth of emerging mortgage and mortgage-related capital markets, there is surprisingly little known about to what extent the option pricing theory can be applied to the emerging mortgage and MBS markets in the global arena. The purpose of this study is to fill this gap by analysing the potential strengths and weaknesses of application of the option pricing models to emerging markets with specifically referring to both theoretical and empirical literatures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-885 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802552332 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802552332&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:881-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Iniguez-Montiel Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Iniguez-Montiel Title: Government expenditure and national income in Mexico: Keynes versus Wagner Abstract: This article examines the relationship between government expenditure and national income in Mexico by testing the validity of Wagner's law and Keynes's hypothesis for the period between 1950 and 1999. More specifically, by applying time-series analysis, government-spending and national-income variables were found to be nonstationary and cointegrated, thus satisfying a long-run equilibrium condition. In addition, through the application of Granger causality tests to error-correction models, unidirectional causality, running from Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to government-expenditure variables, could be established between the variables and, therefore, only Wagner's law was found to be valid in Mexico's case for the period of study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-893 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599433 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599433&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:887-893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Spencer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Spencer Title: Loyalty, protocol, bargainer characteristics, and rationality in an experimental investigation of bilateral bargaining in dyads Abstract: This article analyses data from a bargaining experiment where dyads (i.e. two players) bargain over the chances (in terms of lottery tickets) to win a shrinking monetary reward. The analysis models both time-independent and time-dependent measures of rationality, which are derived from the negotiated distribution of lottery tickets, as a function of bargainers' stated loyalty, individual characteristics, and bargaining protocol. Statistical results suggest that constrained self-interest dominates both measures of rationality, which are significantly affected by pre-bargain cheap talk, first-offer restrictions, loyalty, gender, and academic major. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 895-900 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:895-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Lange Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: Culture and life satisfaction in developed and less developed nations Abstract: Defining culture by reference to deeply engrained societal values and beliefs, this article makes two contributions to the growing field of satisfaction research: first, it explores whether and to what extent a range of cultural values serve as important moderators of individuals' life satisfaction; and second, it also tries to uncover if the economic development status of countries in which individuals live mitigates the impact of these cultural values. Based on sub-samples of the fourth wave of the World Value Survey, the empirical results show that several cultural values are indeed very significant influences on individuals' assessment of their life satisfaction. The importance of work, family, religion and interpersonal trust play a particularly prominent role. However, contrary to previous assertions, cultural values also appear to have a rather different effect on life satisfaction when examined in the context of developed versus less developed economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-906 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802552309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802552309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:901-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Periodically collapsing bubbles in the German stock market, 1876-1913 Abstract: The present-discounted value model of stock price determination implies that, rational bubbles being absent, stock prices and dividends should be cointegrated. The results of tests for noncointegration indicate that the possibility of periodically collapsing rational bubbles in the German stock market before World War I cannot be ruled out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 907-908 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802552324 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802552324&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:907-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dawson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: Mark Strazicich Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Strazicich Title: Time-series tests of income convergence with two structural breaks: evidence from 29 countries Abstract: This article uses data on real per capita incomes from 1900 to 2001 to test for stochastic convergence in a diverse group of 29 countries. We utilize LM unit root tests to endogenously determine the number and location of structural breaks for each country. These tests avoid spurious rejections that can occur in Dickey-Fuller-type endogenous break tests used in many previous studies. We find significant evidence that incomes are stochastically converging in 23 of the countries, with World War II most often identified as the time period of structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-912 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584807 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584807&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:909-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Pilar Socorro Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pilar Socorro Author-Name: Gines de Rus Author-X-Name-First: Gines Author-X-Name-Last: de Rus Title: The effectiveness of the Spanish urban transport contracts in terms of incentives Abstract: We consider a principal-agent model in which the regulator faces a moral hazard problem as he cannot observe the effort exerted by public transit operators. In this context, we analyse the effectiveness of the different urban transport contracts signed by the Spanish Central Government since 1990 in terms of incentives. The main result is that none of these contracts provides the appropriate incentives to public transit operators. Thus, we propose a fixed-quantity contract as an alternative financing mechanism. The fixed-quantity contract is a high-powered incentive contract that allows the regulator to perfectly forecast the amount of public funds to be used in the urban transport system. Moreover, the fixed-quantity contract can be adjusted to attain the equilibrium between incentives and optimal allocation of risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 913-916 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584815 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584815&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:913-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Malik Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Malik Title: The importance of output for the monetary policy rules Abstract: We examine the importance of variable output (Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate) on the preferences of the policy makers. We do so by examining the effect of output regimes on the form of monetary policy implemented by the central banks. We use simple monetary policy rules to characterize the monetary policy of the central bank. Regime switching models are utilized to model output and monetary policy regimes separately. The importance of output is then examined for the UK and the USA by corresponding the output and monetary regimes together. We find some evidence supportive of the fact that the phase of output existent can change the preferences of the policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 917-923 Issue: 9 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802584823 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802584823&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:9:p:917-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdinand Vinuya Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand Author-X-Name-Last: Vinuya Author-Name: Ferdinand DiFurio Author-X-Name-First: Ferdinand Author-X-Name-Last: DiFurio Author-Name: Erica Sandoval Author-X-Name-First: Erica Author-X-Name-Last: Sandoval Title: A decomposition analysis of CO2 emissions in the United States Abstract: This article decomposes the growth in US CO2 emissions by state. Using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method, we account for CO2 emissions change in each state between 1990 and 2004. The change is decomposed into five effects: (a) emissions per unit of fossil fuel; (b) share of fossil fuel in total energy consumption; (c) energy intensity; (d) gross state product per capita and (e) population. Results show that for the past 15 years gains in the efficiency of energy use in the economy, the lowering share of fossil fuels in total energy consumption and lowering of emissions intensity of fuels all contributed to offsetting the effect of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and the population growth in carbon emission across the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-931 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762688 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762688&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:925-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Ali Marouani Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Marouani Title: More jobs for university graduates: some policy options for Tunisia Abstract: The combination of demographic factors and an increase in education has caused a significant rise of university graduates' unemployment in the Middle-East and North Africa regions. This article provides a prospective cost-effectiveness analysis of the impact of alternative labour market policies using a dynamic general equilibrium model. The model allows for an endogenous determination of unemployment through a multisectoral efficiency wage setting mechanism. The main finding is that a wage subsidy targeted at highly skilled intensive sectors is more effective than tax reductions or investment subsidies. However, wage subsidies are not enough to reduce unemployment significantly. Other policy options need to be considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 933-937 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:933-937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Serial correlation, drift and range unit root testing Abstract: The finite-sample properties of recently proposed range unit root tests are examined in the presence of serial correlation and drift. The results obtained show that both tests suffer from severe size distortion when applied to unit root process which either possess serially correlated disturbances or exhibit drift. Consequently, the noted robustness of the tests and the appropriateness of the previously provided critical values are both questioned. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-944 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802660367 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802660367&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:939-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Author-Name: Carol Boyer Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Boyer Title: Knightian uncertainty: evidence of uncertainty premium in the capital market Abstract: We empirically verify two predictions of asset pricing with a role for uncertainty: return premium to increase with uncertainty, and to decrease with the resolution of uncertainty over time and experience. These properties are found among Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) of new industries where uncertainty is created by innovations of new products and services, and resolution of uncertainty from early IPOs is to decline with later IPOs. Return premium for uncertainty is shown to be separate from all known measurable risks. Evidence that uncertainty is priced also lends support to the notion that investors are in general, averse to uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-949 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:945-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuk Ying Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yuk Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Chuan-Yang Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Chuan-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Testing seasonality in the liquidity-return relation: Japanese evidence Abstract: We study liquidity (share turnover) effects of stock returns and their seasonality using Japanese data. We find a significant and negative turnover/return relation. Moreover, we find that the liquidity effect is not impacted by either January or June seasonality. There is weak evidence that stocks with higher liquidity risk have on average higher rates of return for non-June months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 951-954 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:951-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Jen Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Ching-Hsiang Chao Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chao Author-Name: Tsai-Ling Liao Author-X-Name-First: Tsai-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: The joint decision to signal through IPO underpricing and lockup Abstract: Before Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), the decisions on the offering price and lockup are made simultaneously. This study examines the endogenous relation between underpricing and lockup duration. We adopt the three-stage least square method to estimate a set of the simultaneous equations model, including the inverse Mill's ratio to correct the self-selective bias into the use of lockup. The results indicate a negative association between underpricing and the length of lockup, supporting our signalling hypothesis that IPO firms and underwriters employ underpricing and lockup duration in a substituted way to signal the firm quality. The bivariate analysis provides further support for this view. Our findings offer new insights into how pre-IPO shareholders and underwriters might combine both the underpricing and lockup strategies to signal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-961 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802616476 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802616476&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:955-961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Idil Uz Author-X-Name-First: Idil Author-X-Name-Last: Uz Author-Name: Natalya Ketenci Author-X-Name-First: Natalya Author-X-Name-Last: Ketenci Title: Exchange rate determination: monetary approach in the new EU members and Turkey Abstract: This study is based on the evaluation of the long-run performance of the monetary model approach of exchange rate determination for the newly entered EU members and Turkey. First, we tested the cointegration relationship between exchange rates and monetary variables. Then, the forecast estimates of the monetary approach were used for comparing the performances with the random walk model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 963-967 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:963-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guan-Ru Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guan-Ru Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Miao-Ling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Miao-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Substitution effect of advertising on resale price maintenance: using a real options approach Abstract: This article investigates the incentives to impose Resale Price Maintenance (RPM) from the real options perspective, how manufacturers use national advertising as a substitute for RPM when RPM is made illegal. Purchase delay caused by frequent markdowns among retailers encourages the manufacturers to impose RPM. But advertising mitigates the impacts of frequent markdowns by decreasing the demand price elasticity. When RPM is prohibited, we find that manufacturers increase national advertising expenditures to reduce the negative externality of frequent markdowns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-972 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:969-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannis Panagopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Panagopoulos Title: Basel II and the money supply process: some empirical evidence from the Greek banking system Abstract: The purpose of this article is to examine the Basel II influence on the money endogeneity process in the Greek banking system. The importance of equity, through Basel II directives, is initially discussed by creating and applying a 'new credit (equity) multiplier'. Then a new multivariate loan model, which contains bank's equity as explanatory variable, is briefly presented and next tested. From the econometrics, it is obvious that although the equity multiplier is not operative, the loan model favours Structuralism regarding the Greek monetary system and its money supply process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-976 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802599482 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802599482&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:973-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cho-Min Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cho-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Friends or enemies? Foreign investors in Taiwan Abstract: This study investigates how foreign investors impact the Taiwanese stock market using the AutoRegressive Jump Intensity (ARJI) model proposed by Chan and Maheu (2002), in which stock volatility in Taiwan is classified as either normal or abnormal and the net purchases of foreign investors, together with the classified volatilities, are included in the bivariate Vector Autoregression (VAR) model for further analyses. The sample period comprises of two parts, namely before and after relaxation of the restrictions on Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) investors on 2 October 2003 (pre- and post-QFII). The forecast error variance decompositions and impulse-response functions are obtained via simulating the VAR model. Our results indicate why previous studies, in which abnormal volatilities were not taken into account, confronted biased and inconsistent results. Biased results from previous studies tend to be caused by not differentiating between normal and abnormal volatilities, and the results of this study provide a valuable reference for efforts to end conflicting arguments for whether destabilizing or stabilizing stock markets of foreign investor transactions. Furthermore, the study results also indicate why Taiwan was less affected during the Asian financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 977-982 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:977-982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pravish Kumar Nunkoo Author-X-Name-First: Pravish Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Nunkoo Author-Name: Agyenim Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Agyenim Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Title: The empirical determinants of target capital structure and adjustment to long-run target: evidence from Canadian firms Abstract: The main objective of this article is to provide more insight into the empirical determinants of target capital structure of Canadian firms. Panel data covering the period 1996 to 2004 was analysed using a much stronger estimation technique, that is, a dynamic regression model. The results show that profitability and tangibility have a positive and significant impact on the firm leverage, whereas growth opportunities and size have a negative influence on the leverage of Canadian firms. The study also suggests that firms have long-term target leverage ratios, but the speed of adjustment to the target leverage ratios is relatively slow in the context of Canadian firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-990 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599671 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599671&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:983-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hanke Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hanke Author-Name: Klaus Schredelseker Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Schredelseker Title: Index funds should be expected to underperform the index Abstract: A widespread belief is that index funds should earn the index return. We argue that this would lead to a serious paradox. In our model, we analyse the effects of an increasing number of investors switching from active to passive investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 991-994 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:991-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karim Ben Khediri Author-X-Name-First: Karim Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Khediri Author-Name: Didier Folus Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Folus Title: Does hedging increase firm value? Evidence from French firms Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between corporate hedging and firm value for a large sample of French firms. The aim is to extend the existing literature on corporate hedging by empirically investigating the effect of hedging with derivatives on the market value of firm. We find, from the univariate analysis, that the derivative users have lower firm value (as proxied by Tobin's Q) than the nonusers. However, multivariate tests have not reported significant results that are consistent with the documented US sample examinations that the use of derivatives increases the firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 995-998 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540802599697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540802599697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:995-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Badillo Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Carmelo Reverte Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Reverte Title: Residual-based block bootstrap for cointegration testing Abstract: We propose a new testing procedure to determine the rank of cointegration. This new method is based on the nonparametric resampling procedure, so-called Residual-Based Block Bootstrap (RBB), which is developed by Paparoditis and Politis (2003) in the context of unit root testing. Through Monte Carlo experiments we show that, in small samples, the RBB cointegration test has good power properties in relation to the other two well-known tests for cointegration, such as the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), applied to the residual of a cointegrating regression, and the Johansen's maximum eigenvalue tests. Likewise, this article looks at the influence played by the correlation of the 'X' variables with the errors of the cointegrating regression on the size and power properties of the above cointegration tests. In particular, we show that, when this correlation decreases, the RBB test for cointegration is the most powerful one. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 999-1003 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802616468 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802616468&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:999-1003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ocean Fan Lu Author-X-Name-First: Ocean Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Lu Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Benford's Law and psychological barriers in certain eBay auctions Abstract: Using generalizations of Benford's Law we test for the absence of psychological barriers at various price levels in eBay auctions for professional football tickets. Our empirical results indicate that this hypothesis cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1008 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802631814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802631814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1005-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: The different impacts of socio-economic factors on suicide between males and females Abstract: I used the national panel data of Japan to investigate the determinants of suicide. The major findings are twofold. First, the social capital that enhances community integration had a greater effect on the suicide of females than that of males. This is probably because females are less likely to have full-time jobs and thus have more spare time, leading them to seek social involvement in their neighbourhoods and participate in community activities. Second, divorce causes the propensity to commit suicide among males to become about two times higher than that among females because of the compensation costs that males are more likely to pay to females. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1009-1012 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802676199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802676199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1009-1012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Roberto Arvate Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Arvate Author-Name: Andrea Zaitune Curi Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Zaitune Author-X-Name-Last: Curi Author-Name: Fabiana Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Fabio Miessi Sanches Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Miessi Sanches Title: Corruption and the size of government: causality tests for OECD and Latin American countries Abstract: The purpose of this article is to examine the causality between government size and corruption, and to verify if there is a different pattern of causality between developed Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries (excluding Mexico) and developing countries (Latin American countries) during the period 1996 to 2003. Applying Granger and Huang's (1997) methodology we find evidence that size of government Granger causes corruption in both samples. Since a larger government involvement in private markets today will be followed in future by a higher level of corruption a policy advice would be to enhance governance. The promotion of good governance helps to combat corruption given that it complements efforts to reduce corruption more directly, and it is strongly recommended by the International Monetary Fund, other multilateral institutions, and all worried with the negative impacts of corruption on economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1013-1017 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802676207 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802676207&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1013-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Title: Financial crises, bank losses, risk management and audit: what happened? Abstract: This article discusses some of the highly topical issues linked to financial crises, bank losses and audit. In addition to a theoretical discussion of the recent bank losses and financial turmoil, our analysis of a 10-question questionnaire indicates, as in the work of Stonham (1996), strong evidence of auditing weaknesses and erroneous management decisions that explain such bank losses. Our analysis also highlights the fact that trading and arbitrage are riskier and more hazardous during periods of crises. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1019-1022 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850802676215 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850802676215&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1019-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Mylonidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Mylonidis Author-Name: Maria Semertzidou Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Semertzidou Title: Uncovered interest parity puzzle: does it really exist? Abstract: Most studies indicate the violation of the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) restrictions, and indeed, there are many who find a statistically significant and negative interest rate differential slope. This finding has now become known in international economics as the UIP puzzle. Using recent data on four major currencies vis-a-vis the US dollar and employing the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique, our estimation results indicate the absence of any relationship between the interest rate differential and the expected change in the exchange rate, rather than the presence of the UIP puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1026 Issue: 10 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762696 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762696&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:10:p:1023-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Nilanjan Sen Author-X-Name-First: Nilanjan Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Author-Name: Nguyen Thi Anh Thu Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Thi Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Thu Title: Firm value and the diversification choice: international evidence from global and industrial diversification Abstract: Our study examines the nature of industrial and global diversification for a sample of more than 12 000 firms across 35 emerging and developed countries during the period 1991-2006. Consistent with previous studies, we find that industrial diversification, either alone or combined with global diversification, results in a reduction of firm excess value. Global diversification alone, however, does not exert a significant impact on excess value. In an analysis of the decision to diversify, we find that firms in civil law countries or less developed nations are more likely to diversify, suggesting the greater utility of internal capital markets in economies where it is difficult to raise external capital. We observe that high leverage, larger size, lower levels of growth, R&D, free cash flow, profitability and Tobin's q encourage firms to diversify industrially. Higher values of q, firm size, R&D expenditures, free cash flow and liquidity, but reduced growth rates and profitability are associated with global diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1027-1031 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817433 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817433&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1027-1031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Author-Name: Dominik Maltritz Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Maltritz Title: On the look-out for a white knight: options-based calculation of probability and expected value of increased bids in hostile takeover battles Abstract: Takeover bids provide an option right to the target's shareholders; they guarantee the offered price but maintain the chance of higher offers. Using Option Pricing Theory (OPT) we estimate the probability and expected value of higher bids from target stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1033-1036 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817466 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817466&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1033-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang-Chul Jung Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does the star power matter? Abstract: This study investigates the role of superstars in the Korean movie industry. We apply a two-step approach: the first step is to test the significance of the star power during 1988-1999 in Korea; the second step is to estimate the magnitude of star power. The appearance of a star actor increases the probability of a hit or success by 15-19% and star power is higher than a director power. A domestic award is associated with positive performance. We find that the top 15 players among 68 actors and actresses significantly impacts on the success of movies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1037-1041 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817490 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817490&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1037-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Olumuyiwa Adedeji Author-X-Name-First: Olumuyiwa Author-X-Name-Last: Adedeji Title: Fiscal decentralization and fiscal consolidations in emerging market economies Abstract: Results using event study analysis based on a data panel of expenditure and revenue developments in emerging market economies during 1972-2001 indicate that subnational governments supported fiscal consolidation efforts by cutting their capital expenditure and increasing their revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1043-1047 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817441 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817441&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1043-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Power properties of the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests for parameter instability Abstract: This article investigates the power of CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests for parameter stability and demonstrates that this depends on the nature of the structural change taking place. If the break is in the intercept of the regression equation then the CUSUM test has higher power. However, if the structural change involves a slope coefficient or the variance of the error term, then the CUSUMSQ test has higher power. This may help to explain why the two tests often produce contradictory findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1053 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1049-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angela Cipollone Author-X-Name-First: Angela Author-X-Name-Last: Cipollone Author-Name: Carlo D'Ippoliti Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: D'Ippoliti Title: Discriminating factors of women's employment Abstract: Italy exhibits a dramatic level of territorial heterogeneity in terms of socio-economic dynamics and in the economic position of women. We employ this territorial variance to assess the impact of selected policies and institutions on men's and women's employment using microeconomic data. Such an analysis provides results partly different from what was expected on the basis of cross-country aggregate evidence on industrialized countries. Aggregate growth and tertiarization of the economy are surprisingly found beneficial only to men's employment, while culture and discrimination are relevant for women's. Social Assistance is found highly significant too, with the provision of services being more beneficial to women's employment than monetary transfers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1055-1062 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1055-1062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Berck Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Berck Author-Name: Jonathan Lipow Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lipow Author-Name: Yakir Plessner Author-X-Name-First: Yakir Author-X-Name-Last: Plessner Title: Defense planning and fiscal strategy Abstract: In this article, we consider the optimal fiscal strategy of a government interested in maximizing expected social welfare in the face of a potential future security threat. While the common wisdom is that countries facing security threats should seek to bolster their fiscal position in order to 'save for a rainy day', we find that the optimization of expected social welfare may require governments to run 'precautionary' fiscal deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1063-1065 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817557 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817557&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1063-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: The micro-firm health insurance hypothesis Abstract: The objective of this study is to investigate the 'micro-firm health insurance hypothesis', a hypothesis that the greater the percentage of domestic firms that are 'very small', i.e. have four or fewer employees, the greater the percentage of the US population that will be without health insurance. The focus of this study is based on the premise that very small firms (as defined), 'micro-firms', which constitute 58.6% of all private sector firms in the US, face bargaining-power, financial, and competitive constraints that tend to limit their ability to provide group health insurance benefits to their employees, with the result being that employees at very small firms are relatively more likely than employees at larger firms to be without a health insurance fringe benefit. Weighted Least Squares (WLS) estimates provide strong empirical support for the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1067-1072 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1067-1072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Ricky Chee-Jiun Chia Author-X-Name-First: Ricky Chee-Jiun Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Author-Name: Tai-Hu Ling Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hu Author-X-Name-Last: Ling Title: Long-run validity of purchasing power parity and rank tests for cointegration for Central Asian countries Abstract: This study finds that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds in the long-run for Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, based on Breitung's (2001) rank tests for cointegration. Results from further analysis indicates that nominal exchange rates and relative prices are nonlinearly interrelated. Trade barriers, transportation costs and government intervention in the pricing system in these countries may have resulted in the establishment of the above-mentioned nonlinear relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1073-1077 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762704 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902762704&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1073-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Multiple cyclical fractional structures in financial time series Abstract: This article analyses multiple cyclical structures in financial time series. In particular, we focus on the monthly structure of the Nasdaq, the Dow-Jones and the S&P stock market indices. The three series are modelled as long-memory processes with poles in the spectrum at multiple frequencies, including the long-run or zero frequency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1079-1081 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817425 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817425&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1079-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Pei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Long-run purchasing power parity and asymmetric adjustment in BRICs Abstract: The primary aim of this study is an attempt to determine whether the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis holds for those countries that have collectively come to be known as 'BRICs', namely, Brazil, Russia, India and China. We use the momentum threshold cointegration tests (advanced by Enders and Siklos, 2001) to investigate whether any asymmetric adjustment is discernible for BRICs, and show that whilst the Engle-Granger test (which assumes only symmetric adjustment) fails to reveal any cointegrational relationship for BRICs, the threshold cointegration test (with asymmetric adjustment) provides clear evidence of long-run PPP for BRICs, with the notable exception of China. We conclude that asymmetric adjustment of nominal exchange rates plays an important role in eliminating deviations from long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1087 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817458 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817458&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1083-1087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Vaona Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Vaona Title: A survival analysis approach to the duration of union membership in Italy Abstract: Thanks to direct access to union databases, this article applies survival analysis to a sample of 47 637 Italian workers trying to explain the determinants of the duration of union membership. The results show that union membership duration is a positive, though declining, function of age. Furthermore, women, flexible workers, foreign ones and those working in cities tend to show less attachment to union membership than other workers. The estimated median duration is about 6 years. Positive hazard duration dependence is also found. Unobserved heterogeneity is detected but it does not significantly affect model estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1093 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817482 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817482&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1089-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephanie Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Author-Name: Brid Gleeson Hanna Author-X-Name-First: Brid Gleeson Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Title: Willingness to pay for a clear night sky: use of the contingent valuation method Abstract: This article applies the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) to the issue of night sky pollution. Light pollution decreases the ability to view a clear, unobstructed night sky. We administered a survey to the students of the Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) to obtain estimates of Willingness To Pay (WTP) to improve night sky visibility and to prevent deterioration in visibility. This is the first CVM study that attempts to distinguish between these different WTPs. We find that students are willing to pay significantly more for a larger improvement in night sky conditions. We also find significant differences in WTP to improve versus prevent deterioration in night sky conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1095-1103 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1095-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Lee Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: G. Stewart Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Implicit amenity prices and the location of retirees in England and Wales Abstract: General equilibrium models in which compensation for local amenities occurs in both housing and labour markets have been widely used to generate implicit amenity prices and regional quality of life indices. An implication and prospective test of such models is that individuals who are outside the labour market have an incentive to locate in regions where amenities are capitalized into wages. In this article we construct a measure of the extent of amenity capitalization into wages for each county in England and Wales. We then test the multimarket amenity model by applying this measure to county-level data on the location of retirees. Our results provide strong support for the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1105-1109 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1105-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Winters Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Winters Title: Teacher moonlighting: evidence from the US Current Population Survey Abstract: This article reports new evidence on teacher moonlighting from the US Current Population Survey. I investigate the determinants of teacher moonlighting and examine the effect that the teacher moonlighting has on the number of hours teachers spend on their primary job. I find that male teachers and teachers with advanced degrees are more likely to moonlight, but teacher pay appears to have little or no effect on the propensity to moonlight. I also find that holding a second job reduces the amount of time teachers spend on their primary jobs by about 1 h per week. Thus, teacher moonlighting may have harmful effects on education, though the effect on hours worked is neither trivial nor especially large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1114 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817524 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817524&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1111-1114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: On the accuracy of Federal Reserve forecasts of the budget deficit-output ratio Abstract: Monetary authorities, while unable to resolve fiscal imbalances, have to deal with their consequences in formulating monetary policy. This article asks whether the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is provided with accurate forecasts of the federal budget deficit-output ratio. We show that the forecasts made in the period 1982 to 2002 are unbiased with useful predictive information above that contained in time-series forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1115-1118 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817540 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817540&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1115-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for major OPEC countries: evidence based on nonlinear panel unit-root tests Abstract: In this study, we apply nonlinear panel unit-root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for seven major Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). We find that nonlinear panel unit-root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Breuer et al. (2001) if the true data generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We re-examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the panel nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence clearly indicating that PPP holds true for four countries, namely Angola, Indonesia, Iran and Saudi Arabia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1119-1123 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817565 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817565&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1119-1123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinearity in real exchange rates: an approach with disaggregated data and a new linearity test Abstract: Employing disaggregated real exchange rates from nine European counties in 16 goods categories, we assess in this study the nonlinearity in the real exchange rates. Surprisingly, we find evidence for nonlinearity in only four (10) out of 143 series with the linearity test proposed by Harvey et al. (2008) at the 5% (10%) significance level. This result differs greatly from those of Juvenal and Taylor (2008), Imbs et al. (2003), Sarno et al. (2004) and Berka (2009), who report ample evidence for nonlinearity for the same or similarly disaggregated real exchange rate datasets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1132 Issue: 11 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817573 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817573&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:11:p:1125-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Realdon Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Realdon Author-Name: Cheng Qin Shi Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: 'Extended black' sovereign credit default swap pricing model Abstract: This article presents and tests an 'Extended Black' sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) pricing model, whereby the default intensity is driven by truncated Gaussian latent factors. CDS pricing requires numerical solutions through finite differences, yet maximum likelihood estimation is still feasible. Empirical evidence from sovereign CDS rates supports the Extended Black model. The addition of a second truncated Gaussian latent factor driving the default intensity significantly improves performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1137 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1133-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Beckworth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Beckworth Author-Name: Kenneth Moon Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: J. Holland Toles Author-X-Name-First: J. Holland Author-X-Name-Last: Toles Title: Monetary policy and corporate bond yield spreads Abstract: Firm characteristics, economic conditions and policy regimes are the key determinants that most researchers have used to explain corporate bond yield spreads. In this article, we examine whether monetary policy shocks are also important determinants given their ability to affect default risk, risk aversion and liquidity premiums. Using a Vector Autoregression (VAR) with long-run monetary neutrality, we find that monetary policy shocks do, in fact, account for a large portion of the variation in corporate bond yield spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1144 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1139-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Kwaku Opong Author-X-Name-First: Kwaku Author-X-Name-Last: Opong Title: Testing for random walk in euro exchange rates using the subsampling approach Abstract: This study utilizes variance ratio tests based on the subsampling approach to test the behaviour of euro-based exchange rates markets. Results are mixed, although the random walk behaviour is dominant among the three major currencies namely the Japanese yen, the US dollar and the British pound. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1151 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817581 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902817581&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1145-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: John Jackson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Sarah Skinner Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Skinner Title: HAC standard errors and the event study methodology: a cautionary note Abstract: In support of Fomby and Murfin's (2005) article published in this journal, we demonstrate empirically, rather than theoretically, the severe consequences of using Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent (HAC) SEs in regression-based financial event studies. Applying an event study to a recent merger, we show that the use of HAC SEs render misleading conclusions. Critical values for t-tests on the event dummy variables are about 15 times larger than the nominal values using only a year of daily return data. Even with samples of only 100 returns, critical values exceed nominal critical values by a factor of 10. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Title: A note on model selection in (time series) regression models - general-to-specific or specific-to-general? Abstract: This article provides Monte Carlo evidence on the performance of general-to-specific and specific-to-general selection of explanatory variables in linear (auto)regressions. In small samples the former is markedly inefficient in terms of ex-ante forecasting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1160 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845418 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845418&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1157-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Burger Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Burger Author-Name: John Lynham Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lynham Title: Betting on weight loss … and losing: personal gambles as commitment mechanisms Abstract: Professional bookmakers rarely accept bets from individuals who directly control the outcome of the bet. We analyse a unique exception to this rule and a potential policy innovation in the battle against obesity: a weight loss betting market. If obese individuals have time-inconsistent preferences then commitment mechanisms, such as personal gambles, should help them restrain their short-term impulses and lose weight. Correspondence with the bettors confirms that this is their primary motivation. However, it appears that the bettors in our sample are not particularly skilled at choosing effective commitment mechanisms. Despite payoffs of as high as $7350, approximately 80% of people who spend money to bet on their own behaviour end up losing their bets. Empirical analysis of the betting market yields further insights. Males are treated very differently compared to females: being male is considered equivalent to having an extra 6 months to lose the same amount of weight. Movements in the market price also confirm the belief that rigidity is preferred to flexibility in setting successful weight loss targets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1166 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845442 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845442&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1161-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Etienne Farvaque Author-X-Name-First: Etienne Author-X-Name-Last: Farvaque Author-Name: Jerome Hericourt Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Hericourt Author-Name: Gaël Lagadec Author-X-Name-First: Gaël Author-X-Name-Last: Lagadec Title: Central bank independence and ageing Abstract: We contrast the influence of demography and Central Bank Independence (CBI) on inflation. The recent demographic trends in developed countries are shown to weight more on inflation than CBI, while the contrary stands for the period from 1960 to 1979. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1171 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1167-1171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Kin Keung Luk Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Luk Title: Does the 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy work better in blue chips? Abstract: The 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy is a dividend-yield trading strategy, which invests in stocks that give the highest dividend. This article examines whether the 'Dogs of the Dow' strategy is profitable in the Hong Kong stock market. Using the data from 1992 to 2007, we show that a portfolio consisting of the top dividend-yielding stocks generates a negative return for investors, whereas a portfolio with top dividend-yielding Hang Seng Index constituent stocks can fetch a positive return of about 8% per year. The result is in agreement with that of McQueen et al. (1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1173-1175 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902845495 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902845495&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1173-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronny Freier Author-X-Name-First: Ronny Author-X-Name-Last: Freier Author-Name: Viktor Steiner Author-X-Name-First: Viktor Author-X-Name-Last: Steiner Title: 'Marginal employment' and the demand for heterogeneous labour - elasticity estimates from a multi-factor labour demand model for Germany Abstract: We develop a structural multi-factor labour demand model which distinguishes between eight labour categories including marginal employment, i.e. low-paying jobs with only a few working hours and partially exempted from employee's social security contributions. Using a new panel data set for Germany, the model is estimated both for the number of workers and total working hours. For unskilled and skilled workers in full-time employment, we find labour demand elasticities similar to previous estimates. Our new estimates of own-wage elasticities for marginal employment range between -0.13 (number of male workers in West Germany) to -1 (working hours for women). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1182 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902862140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902862140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1177-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Fernando Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Munoz Author-Name: Maria Vargas Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas Title: Correcting the Merton and Henriksson timing model Abstract: This article provides evidence of a common bias found in traditional timing models, which is related with a negative correlation between timing and stock-picking abilities resulting in spurious coefficients. We consider as a possible cause for this bias the failure to include in the timing models the cost of the option implied in timing activities, and on this basis we opt for a corrected version of the Merton and Henriksson's model (1981). As far as we know, this correction has not previously been applied. Our results confirm both the existence of this bias and the correction of the problem when the cost of the option is included in timing models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1187 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1183-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linus Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Linus Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: The weight of bad governance in foreign mutual funds Abstract: Empirical studies show that mutual funds are less likely to hold poorly governed foreign stocks. This theoretical model shows that foreign mutual fund managers will optimally lower their weight of badly governed stocks because they have higher costs of actively managing these holdings than their domestic rivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1192 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1189-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Lonnbark Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Lonnbark Title: A corrected Value-at-Risk predictor Abstract: In this article, it is argued that the estimation error in Value-at-Risk (VaR) predictors gives rise to underestimation of portfolio risk. We propose a simple correction and find in an empirical illustration that it is economically relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1196 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902817619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902817619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1193-1196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung-Hoon Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Asymmetric reimbursement system in an environmental conflict Abstract: This article explores how a fair-minded regulator has to set policy through an asymmetric reimbursement. The lawyer for a citizen group works on a contingent-fee basis, whereas a polluting firm has either in-house legal advice or lawyers on retainer. Under an asymmetric reimbursement rule we show: (i) the case goes to settlement if the objective merits of the case favour the citizen group; (ii) whereas it goes to trial, the probability winning the citizen group has is less than 50%, and the reimbursement policy incurs the total effort in trial to increase if the merits of the case favour the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1197-1199 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1197-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrica Carbone Author-X-Name-First: Enrica Author-X-Name-Last: Carbone Title: Ownership herding and informational herding Abstract: This article takes as its point of departure the herding model of Bikhchandani et al. (1992). We extend earlier experimental evidence to distinguish between informational herding, as in the model, and ownership herding, an alternative explanation for observed behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1204 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845392 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845392&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1201-1204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Artur Tamazian Author-X-Name-First: Artur Author-X-Name-Last: Tamazian Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: What is the long run growth rate of the East Asian Tigers? Abstract: New panel data estimates for the four East Asian Tigers show that the contribution of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) to growth is much higher than past estimates. An extended production function with learning by doing implies that TFP is about 3.5% and these countries will grow at this rate in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1205-1208 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845400 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845400&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1205-1208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: A reassessment of the twin deficits relationship Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the relationship between the United States budget and current account deficits. Using a testing procedure advocated by Bierens, both deficits are found to be stationary around a nonlinear deterministic trend and are co-trended insofar as they share a common nonlinear deterministic trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1209-1212 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845434 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845434&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1209-1212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masanori Ohkuma Author-X-Name-First: Masanori Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkuma Title: Between Mao and markets: new evidence on segmentation of the bank loan market in China Abstract: This article examines the local bank lending's dependency upon local deposits within China in the Feldstein-Horioka vein. In the case of a transition economy like China, it would be appropriate to assume the presence of a significant level of disparity in the cost of funds between State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) and non-SOEs. For this purpose, a dataset of the provincial deposit rates and the provincial loan rates for the state and the nonstate sectors is built. Even after controlling the national- and province-specific shocks, the correlation between the local deposit rates and the local loan rates for the nonstate sector, in contrast with that for the state sector, is even higher than for the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries. The findings suggest that serious asymmetric information problems between banks and non-SOEs might impede cross-regional lending and prevent the development of the nonstate sector within China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1218 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845426 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845426&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1213-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Shosh Shahrabani Author-X-Name-First: Shosh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrabani Author-Name: Uri Benzion Author-X-Name-First: Uri Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Title: Effect of price quoting on financial asset prices: an experimental analysis Abstract: Stock options are usually sold in bundles of 100 units, and their price can be quoted either per unit or per bundle. In this article, the effect of different methods of quoting financial asset prices on the subjective value of a contract was examined experimentally. In particular, we examined differences in participants' Willingness-To-Pay and Willingness-To-Accept for financial assets depending upon whether prices are quoted per unit or per bundle. We found that participants bid (ask) a higher price when prices are quoted per unit than when they are quoted per bundle. The results indicated that different quoting methods affect the bidding price for risky assets. These results can have important implications for trading on financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1222 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/17446540902845487 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/17446540902845487&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1219-1222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Author-Name: Chin-Ping Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Purchasing power parity for G-7 countries: panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the period 1980M1 to 2008M5. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for G-7 countries under study; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that PPP is valid for half of the G-7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1223-1228 Issue: 12 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845467 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902845467&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:12:p:1223-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chu Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Asymmetries in the Thai lending-deposit rate spread: an econometric analysis Abstract: This study examines the asymmetric behaviour of lending-deposit rate spread in the emerging Thai economy over the period 1991:1 to 2007:1. Although both the threshold autoregressive model and the Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (MTAR) model detect asymmetries, the MTAR model is a better fit for the sample data. The finding that Thai banks exhibit faster adjustment in lending rates when the spread is widening (i.e. falling deposit rates) than when the spread is narrowing (i.e. rising deposit rates) supports the consumer reaction hypothesis of Stiglitz and Weiss. This phenomenon is the result of the 'oligopsonistic' relationship between the banks and their powerful corporate customers, and the attendant practice of the 'name'-based lending. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1229-1236 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902902201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902902201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1229-1236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Bond Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Bond Author-Name: Michael Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Niall Hession Author-X-Name-First: Niall Author-X-Name-Last: Hession Author-Name: Edward O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Nonlinearity as an explanation of the forward exchange rate anomaly Abstract: This article shows that nonlinearity can provide an explanation for the forward exchange rate anomaly (Fama, 1984). Using sterling-Canadian dollar data and modelling nonlinearity of unspecified form by means of a random field, we find strong evidence of time-wise nonlinearity and, significantly, obtain parameter estimates that conform with theory to a high degree of precision. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1239 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902950564 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902950564&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1237-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng Li Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Misao Endo Author-X-Name-First: Misao Author-X-Name-Last: Endo Author-Name: Shiwei Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Shiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Author-Name: Kazuo Kishimoto Author-X-Name-First: Kazuo Author-X-Name-Last: Kishimoto Title: Order imbalances explain 90% of returns of Nikkei 225 futures Abstract: This article introduces a new kind of order imbalance - limit order imbalance - in addition to the conventional order imbalance to explain the intraday stock returns. The conventional order imbalance together with our new order imbalance are shown to explain more than 90% of intraday returns of the Nikkei 225 Futures in the Osaka Stock Exchange in Japan. It is also found that a scaling by spreads substantially increases the explanatory power in thinner markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1241-1245 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881819 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881819&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1241-1245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiao-Peng Fu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Andrew Wood Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: Momentum in Taiwan: seasonality matters! Abstract: Previous studies suggest that momentum exists in international stock markets with the exception of Asia. Using a large data set of Taiwanese stocks, we show that momentum does exist, but it is restricted to the months following the deadline for annual statements. During the remaining months, a reverse momentum, or contrarian, strategy produces significant returns. These contrarian returns are particularly high during the national holidays linked to the Lunar New Year and the Lunar Moon Festival. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1253 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902917589 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902917589&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1247-1253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thouraya Boujelbene Author-X-Name-First: Thouraya Author-X-Name-Last: Boujelbene Author-Name: Younes Boujelbene Author-X-Name-First: Younes Author-X-Name-Last: Boujelbene Title: Long run determinants and short run dynamics of inflation in Tunisia Abstract: The essential idea of this study is to analyse the origins of inflation at short and long runs in Tunisia relying on annual data during the period 1962 to 2003. We also suggest a model that has a structure determined by monetary and structural factors, and estimated by Johansen's cointegration technique. The empirical results show that inflation is explained by mixed factors: monetary ones such as money supply, the interest rate and the real effective exchange rate; and structural ones like the nominal average annual wage rate, the import prices and the real output. The analysis aims at pointing out the long run determinants of inflation and studying its short run dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1255-1263 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902862157 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902862157&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1255-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donglin Pei Author-X-Name-First: Donglin Author-X-Name-Last: Pei Author-Name: Philip Anthony Hamill Author-X-Name-First: Philip Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Hamill Author-Name: Kwaku Kyekyeku Opong Author-X-Name-First: Kwaku Kyekyeku Author-X-Name-Last: Opong Title: An analysis of quasi-qualification, modified auditor opinions and special treatment status on China's Shenzhen market Abstract: The development of accounting, auditing and capital markets in China were an integral component of China's economic reforms; auditing was regarded as being critically important to achieving the desired policy objective of delivering a market economy (Yang and Yang, 1998). This article examines the quasi-qualification hypothesis and tests whether investors valued the introduction of Special Treatment (ST) status for firms in 1998. Our empirical analysis fails to find significant support for the quasi-qualification hypothesis. In contrast, it appears that the issuance of ST status was valued by investors; the issuance of ST status led investors to discriminate between firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1271 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881827 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881827&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1265-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kunihiro Hanabusa Author-X-Name-First: Kunihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hanabusa Title: The effects of zero interest rate commitment in Japan Abstract: This article examines the effectiveness of the Bank of Japan's Zero Interest Rate Commitment Policy (ZIRCP). Using the Exponential Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model, we present an empirical analysis of the volatility of return on Japanese interest rates for the short-, medium-, long- and super long-term. We find that each interest rate is affected by the ZIRCP. However, the ZIRCP stabilizes the daily change for only the super long-term interest rate. This suggests that the ZIRCP effect includes the decrease in interest rate and the reduction in super long-term variability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1277 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881835 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881835&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1273-1277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: The relationship between the Vietnam stock market and its major trading partners - TECM with bivariate asymmetric GARCH model Abstract: This study employs threshold error-correction model with bivariate Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model to examine the relationship between the Vietnam stock market and its major trading partners, the United States, Japan, Singapore and China. The results indicate that the Vietnam stock market and return risks are influenced by Japan and Singapore stock markets. We also find that the volatility of stock market in Vietnam and its trading countries have an asymmetrical effect. These findings could be valuable to individual investors and financial institutions holding long-run investment portfolios in the Vietnam stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1283 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881892 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881892&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1279-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Price clustering of IPOs in the secondary market Abstract: This article studies the integer price clustering of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in the secondary market trading during the first 240 trading days after their IPO dates. The results indicate the huge difference between the integer price frequency of IPOs in the primary market and that of matched stocks in the secondary market almost disappears on the first trading day after IPO. The integer price frequency of IPOs is still significantly higher than that of matched stocks during the first 240 trading days. However, after controlling for price level, trading characteristics and IPO price support, the integer price frequency of IPOs conforms to that of matched stocks and that those IPOs with integer offer prices have the same integer price frequency as IPOs without. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1292 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881843 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881843&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1285-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guoma Alrgibi Author-X-Name-First: Guoma Author-X-Name-Last: Alrgibi Author-Name: Mohamed Ariff Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Ariff Author-Name: Louis Murray Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Title: What factors discriminate developed and emerging capital markets? Abstract: This article identifies variables that might help an analyst to classify a stock market as either a developed or an emerging market. Although these terms are used widely, the basis for the application of the two descriptors has not been examined, using quantitative method(s) to verify the characteristics associated with each. The aim of this article is to do that, through identification of those variables associated with developed and with emerging markets. Discriminant analysis is applied, to identify a number of characteristics that do successfully differentiate between each group of markets, and helps to provide authenticity to the terms - developed and emerging. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1298 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881850 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881850&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1293-1298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Rakotomavo Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Rakotomavo Title: Payout and asymmetric information Abstract: This article investigates the effects of payout policy on the level of asymmetric information in the market for common equity shares. The results suggest that higher dividend levels are associated with lower price impact, both as a percentage of economic value and as a percentage of the spread. And greater share repurchase ratios are associated with lower price impacts as a percentage of the spread. Overall, the results suggest that managers may have more than the choice of market settings as a means to improve the quality of the market for their stock and the efficiency of price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1299-1304 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881868 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881868&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1299-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolai Dokuchaev Author-X-Name-First: Nikolai Author-X-Name-Last: Dokuchaev Title: Optimal gradual liquidation of equity from a risky asset Abstract: We consider a problem of optimal gradual liquidation of equity from a risky asset for continuous time stochastic market model. The owner of the risky asset uses this equity as a source of steady cash flow by borrowing money permanently against this equity. At the terminal time, there is no equity for him in this asset, and the bank gains ownership of this asset. Optimal strategy is obtained explicitly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1308 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881876 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881876&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1305-1308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiu-Yun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yen-Ching Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: The impact of subprime mortgage on correlation between stock and FX markets Abstract: Our researching period contains the American subprime mortgage crisis, an insignificant financial crisis and the Asian financial crisis periods. We analyse and compare the interrelations between the stock and Foreign Exchange (FX) markets in Taiwan by the daily data of stock prices and NTD/US exchange rates. The empirical results found that there is no effect on the long-term equilibrium between the stock and FX markets during the American subprime mortgage crisis. It also shows that, whether financial crisis occurs or not, there is no cointegration between the stock and FX markets. Furthermore, the results find that there exists bidirectional causality between the stock and FX markets among the American subprime mortgage crisis and the Asian financial crisis period. However, there is only unidirectional relationship from stock prices to exchange rates during insignificant financial crisis period. Such results imply that two financial crises do significantly affect the short-term interrelationships between the stock and FX markets and lead to more importance for the connection between two markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1309-1312 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902917563 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902917563&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1309-1312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Determinants of bank failures in the US revisited Abstract: This study investigates factors influencing the bank failure rate in the United States over the period 1970 to 2007. The bank failure rate was found to be an increasing function of the unemployment rate, the average cost of funds, volatility of the S&P 500 Stock Index, and charge-offs as a percentage of outstanding loans and a decreasing function of the mortgage rate on new 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. The evidence implies also that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act acted to reduce bank failures whereas the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking Act of 1994 may inadvertently have (by increasing competition and/or increasing costs through branch bank expansion) induced increased bank failures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1313-1317 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902881884 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902881884&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1313-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Title: Do short sellers outperformthe market? Abstract: During the current financial crisis, short sellers have been blamed for causing or at least accelerating the crash of the financial market. They have been accused of manipulating stock prices so that they would fall and getting rich at the 'naive' investors' expense. This study investigates the validity of these accusations by following the TA100 Index and four designed portfolios during the period 2006 to 2008. The designed portfolios were constructed in accordance with the weekly report on short selling activity issued by the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. The results show that short sellers did not succeed in outperforming the market during that 3-year period. Moreover, the portfolios that did not include the stocks picked by the short sellers performed more poorly (they should have been sold short) than the portfolios that included stocks chosen by the short sellers. These results contradict the hypothesis that short selling disrupts market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1322 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902917571 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036840902917571&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1319-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed El Hedi Arouri Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: El Hedi Arouri Author-Name: Mondher Bellalah Author-X-Name-First: Mondher Author-X-Name-Last: Bellalah Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: The comovements in international stock markets: new evidence from Latin American emerging countries Abstract: We analyse the time variations in the comovements of Latin American stock markets. Conditional correlations are estimated from the dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model. Then, Bai and Perron's (2003) structural break technique is employed to test for changing nature of market comovements. Main findings are as follows. First, the degree of cross-market comovements changed over time and has significantly increased since 1994. However, room for international diversification still remains largely possible. Second, the comovements are subjected to various regime shifts, essentially due to major economic events. Finally, stock markets move much more together in times of crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1323-1328 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967449 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967449&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1323-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries: panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regression Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of East Asian countries over the 1985M3 to 2008M5. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for East Asian countries under study; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests indicate that PPP is valid for most of the East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1329-1334 Issue: 13 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902958356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902958356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:13:p:1329-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: Bounds testing cointegration methods and PPP: evidence from 123 Countries Abstract: Cointegration analysis is often used in empirical studies of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to test whether there is a long-run relationship among countries' bilateral exchange rates and price levels. But the presence of a cointegrated relationship is not enough to support PPP, as other restrictions must be met as well. Nevertheless, even simple cointegration has been rejected for many countries in previous studies. We apply the 'bounds testing' approach of Pesaran et al. (2001), which has only seen limited use thus far, to analyse 123 countries' bilateral rates with the United States. Besides testing for cointegration, we also assess whether our long-run coefficients support the PPP hypothesis. We find that while most rates are indeed cointegrated, only a few have coefficients that meet even one of the necessary restrictions for PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1335-1340 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1335-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Lee Van Scyoc Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Van Scyoc Title: Adverse selection, seller reputation and buyer insurance in online auctions for 1960s-era collectible baseball cards Abstract: We investigate the differences between Beckett book values and eBay auction prices using an original data set of 876 auctions for 30 baseball cards from the 1960s era. We find that cards of lower quality generally sell (on eBay) above book price, whereas cards of higher quality generally sell below book price. We find that both the presence of buyer insurance and the number of bids increase eBay prices relative to book values and that the seller's reputation and the number of bids increase the probability that the eBay price will be greater than the corresponding book value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1341-1345 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902984303 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902984303&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1341-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yuan-Hong Ho Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Is per capita real GDP stationary in China? More powerful nonlinear (logistic) unit root tests Abstract: In this study, we use a more powerful nonlinear (logistic) unit root test advanced by Leybourne et al. (1998) to investigate the time-series properties of real gross domestic product for 25 Chinese provinces for the period 1952 to 1998. We strongly reject the null of unit root process for over half the provinces. These empirical results have important policy implications for China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1347-1349 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903007567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903007567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1347-1349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: Short-term wealth effects from debt buyback announcements Abstract: This study provides evidence that, as with stock buyback announcements, investors believe that debt buyback announcements signal good news about the future cash flows of the announcing firm. This information is contained in the stock price reaction on the announcement date. On average, the firms sampled experienced an average 5.51% increase in their stock price on the day their plans to repurchase debt were announced in the financial media. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1351-1354 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967506 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967506&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1351-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Mulhern Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Mulhern Author-Name: John Watson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Spanish inter-regional migration: an enigma resolved Abstract: This article demonstrates that Spanish inter-regional migration, for many years unresponsive to traditional explanatory variables, is now explicable in terms of such variables. These include gaps in real wages, unemployment and distance. In the middle of the 1990s, there arose an increased responsiveness of regional migration to such explanatory variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1359 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967464 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967464&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1355-1359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Boulatoff Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Boulatoff Author-Name: Carol Boyer Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Boyer Title: Using contingent valuation with undergraduate students to elicit a community's preferences for wind farm development Abstract: This article presents the results of a survey that elicited the value of the perceived net benefits associated with the implementation of a wind farm in a rural community in upstate New York. The survey was designed and administered by upper level undergraduate students enrolled in an environmental economics course at Saint Lawrence University. Results may give instructors interested in introducing more applied research in the classroom an idea of what to expect. The analysis of this project may also suggest policy implications for the implementation of wind farms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1361-1366 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967480 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967480&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1361-1366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nico Dewaelheyns Author-X-Name-First: Nico Author-X-Name-Last: Dewaelheyns Author-Name: Cynthia Van Hulle Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Van Hulle Title: Bankruptcy reform: evidence from a survey among judges and receivers Abstract: Because of low success rates, several European countries have recently reformed their US Chapter 11-type bankruptcy procedures or are planning future reforms. Using unique data from a survey among judges and insolvency practitioners (receivers), we explore the ex ante expectations of the impact of the 2009 adjustments to the Belgian reorganization procedure, including cost reductions, improvement of the procedure's reputation, encouraging informal reorganizations and appointing a mediator. The general assessment is moderately positive, although judges are significantly more optimistic than receivers. In addition, we find that the respondents' expectations are related to their views on the current system, perceived causes of failure and regional characteristics. We conclude by formulating policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1367-1371 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967498 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967498&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1367-1371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Pontines Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Pontines Title: Fat-tails and house prices in OECD countries Abstract: It is a well-known stylized fact that the distributions of financial asset returns are non-normal and fat-tailed. In this study, we explore whether this stylized fact also applies to the log changes in house prices. Using house price indices data for 16 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries, we find that there is an apparent tail-fatness in the empirical distribution of log changes in house prices. Furthermore, the Student's t provides an adequate fit for almost all the house price indices under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1373-1377 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1373-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alper Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Alper Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Author-Name: Ferit Kula Author-X-Name-First: Ferit Author-X-Name-Last: Kula Author-Name: Huseyin Kalyoncu Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalyoncu Title: Additional evidence of long-run purchasing power parity with black and official exchange rates Abstract: In this study, the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis is investigated by using unit root test on official and black market exchange rates for Turkey. When we used the classical unit root test, we found poor evidence for the validity of PPP in classical PP test but no evidence for PPP in the augmented Dickey-Fuller test. However, by using Zivot-Andrews test allowing for one structural break in the series of PPP, we find stronger evidence for both official and black market exchange rates. Our findings illustrate that the unit root test with structural break is powerful than classical ones for long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1379-1382 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967522 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967522&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1379-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chin-Ping Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for G7 countries: further evidence based on panel SURKSS tests Abstract: This study applies panel SURKSS tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in G7 countries over the period January 1980 to September 2008. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for G7 countries under study; however, panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for more than half of the G7 countries. Further, our results point out that the real exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. These results have important policy implications for G7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1387 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1383-1387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: On the performance of a nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity in the presence of linearity Abstract: In this study, we have assessed the performance of the nonparametric measure of convergence towards purchasing power parity, as previously suggested by Shintani (2006). While the measure, which is also applicable to nonlinear processes, should correspond to the exact half-life of a linear process when the true data-generating process is linear, we find, in practice, that it is too far off the mark and thus should not be employed. We recommend testing linearity first, before applying the measure of convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1389-1396 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967548 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967548&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1389-1396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susana Iglesias Antelo Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Antelo Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Levy Mangin Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Mangin Title: An analysis of the risk-return relationship in the Spanish capital market using a structural equation model Abstract: This work is a contribution to an incipient third line of empirical analysis within the context of the use of multifactor models to explain the covariation among asset returns. Such a line of research establishes a bridgehead between the one based on the selection of economic variables and that based on the extraction of factors by means of factor analysis. Specifically, this study focuses on macroeconomic magnitudes as potential sources of risk and uses a structural equation model to analyse data relative to the Spanish market. The market return is the only factor that is found to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1397-1403 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902984287 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902984287&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1397-1403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Song-Zan Chiou-Wei Author-X-Name-First: Song-Zan Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou-Wei Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yung-Hsing Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Government size and economic growth: an application of the smooth transition regression model Abstract: This article employs a smooth transition autoregressive model to investigate the effects of government size (measured as the share of government consumption expenditure in gross domestic product) on economic growth using South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand as sample countries during the period 1961 to 2004. The empirical results reveal that there is a nonlinear relationship among variables for each country except Malaysia and confirm the view of Barro (1990) that the government size over a certain threshold will have an adverse impact on economic growth rate for Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. Through the smooth transition autoregressive framework, we find that the estimated threshold of government size is 11% for most countries while the threshold government size of Taiwan is 16% and further conclude that the bigger government size is not really the better. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1415 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902984295 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902984295&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1405-1415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aitor Ciarreta Author-X-Name-First: Aitor Author-X-Name-Last: Ciarreta Author-Name: Ainhoa Zarraga Author-X-Name-First: Ainhoa Author-X-Name-Last: Zarraga Title: Electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain Abstract: This article investigates linear and nonlinear causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain for the period 1971 to 2005. We use the methodology of Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutkepohl (1996). We also apply the standard Granger causality test in a vector autoregression for the series in first differences. We find unidirectional linear causality running from real GDP to electricity consumption. By contrast, we find no evidence of nonlinear Granger causality between the series in either direction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1417-1421 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1417-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jasim Al-Ajmi Author-X-Name-First: Jasim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Ajmi Title: Modelling the dividend policy of banks in Gulf Cooperation Council countries Abstract: This article presents the results of an investigation on the determinants of banks' dividend decisions among banks listed on seven stock exchanges in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries. The results show that dividend decisions are determined by current earnings and lagged dividends and that only banks in Abu Dhabi resist curtailing/skipping dividend payments. The results are mixed as to the role of dividend decisions in reducing agency problems and as a signalling device, but the results offer strong support for the transaction cost hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1423-1428 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018697 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018697&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1423-1428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andrikopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andrikopoulos Title: On the valuation of American exchange options: an analytical approximation Abstract: We adopt a quadratic approach to the valuation of the option to exchange one asset for another, when the option owner has the right to exercise before option expiration. Accurate pricing results are obtained and tested against competitive models in the literature, building on the hypothesis that option value is the product of two functions, one being a function of time and the other one being a function of the stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1429-1435 Issue: 14 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018705 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018705&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:14:p:1429-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Long-term government bond yields and economic forecasts: evidence for the EU Abstract: I use a panel of semi-annual vintages of growth and fiscal forecasts of the European Commission, covering the period 1998:II-2008:II, to assess its effects on 10-year government yields for 14 EU countries. Results show that yields increase with better growth forecasts and with decreases in budget balance-to-GDP rations, signaling that sovereigns may need to pay more to finance higher budget deficits in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1441 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1437-1441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rabah Arezki Author-X-Name-First: Rabah Author-X-Name-Last: Arezki Author-Name: Frederick van der Ploeg Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: van der Ploeg Title: Trade policies, institutions and the natural resource curse Abstract: We offer new cross-country evidence on the natural resource curse. We investigate the impact of the interaction of natural resource abundance and policies on growth. We find that the resource curse is less severe in countries with less restrictive trade policies and good institutions. However, we show that empirical evidence on the resource curse is not robust to correcting for the endogenous nature of some regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1451 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035881 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035881&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1443-1451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ali Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Su Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Su Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Black and official market exchange rates and purchasing power parity: evidence from Latin America Abstract: A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory is supported more often when black market exchange rates rather than official rates are used in the testing procedure. They have all relied upon linear Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test applied either to the residuals of a cointegrating vector or to real exchange rates. In this article, we use a nonlinear ADF test and show that when nonlinearity is incorporated in the testing procedure, the nonlinear tests support PPP more often than the linear test regardless of whether we use official or black market exchange rate. Besides, for the post-Bretton Woods period, PPP is almost equally supported using either the black market exchange rates or the official rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1453-1459 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850902967472 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850902967472&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1453-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uriel Spiegel Author-X-Name-First: Uriel Author-X-Name-Last: Spiegel Author-Name: Tchai Tavor Author-X-Name-First: Tchai Author-X-Name-Last: Tavor Author-Name: Joseph Templeman Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Templeman Title: The effects of rumours on financial market efficiency Abstract: During the last decade the world has faced a tremendous development of information technology and telecommunication. This study investigates the impact of rumours (released on the web) on common stock returns. The findings indicate that the market responds positively to rumours. During the event day and the five preceding days, the abnormal stock return is positive and statistically significant. In particular, the impact is stronger for single than for multi-rumours, for initial rather than subsequent rumours and for realized rumours than for nonrealized rumours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1461-1464 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035873 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035873&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1461-1464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Wahlberg Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Wahlberg Title: The gender wage gap across the wage distribution in the private and public sectors in Sweden Abstract: This study examines gender wage differentials across the wage distribution in the Swedish private and public sectors using quantile regression. There is a glass ceiling effect for women in both the private and the public sectors in Sweden. Although this is true for both sectors, it is especially pronounced in the public sector. The gender wage differentials across the whole distribution in the private sector are lower in Sweden than in the USA and in 11 European countries, whereas the opposite can be said about the public sector; here the gap is higher across the entire distribution in Sweden. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1465-1468 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035915 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035915&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1465-1468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Adam Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Mark Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Petersen Author-Name: Mmboniseni Phanuel Mulaudzi Author-X-Name-First: Mmboniseni Phanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Mulaudzi Author-Name: Janine Mukuddem-Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Janine Author-X-Name-Last: Mukuddem-Petersen Author-Name: Ilse Schoeman Author-X-Name-First: Ilse Author-X-Name-Last: Schoeman Title: A note on the subprime mortgage crisis: dynamic modelling of bank leverage profit under loan securitization Abstract: In this brief research article, we consider the financial modelling of the process of mortgage loan securitization that has been a root cause of the ongoing Subprime Mortgage Crisis (SMC). In particular, we suggest a Levy process-driven model of bank leverage profit that arises from the securitization of a pool of subprime mortgage loans. To achieve this, we develop stochastic models for mortgage loans, mortgage loan losses, credit ratings and mortgage loan guarantees in a subprime context. These models incorporate some of the most important issues related to the SMC and its causes. Finally, we provide a brief analysis of the models developed earlier in our contribution and its relationship with the SMC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1469-1474 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035907 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035907&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1469-1474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: Should the US Congress appropriate funds for the repurchase of older vehicles? Abstract: Proponents of vehicle buyback programmes maintain that the earlier retirement of older vehicles will reduce pollution, increase income for lower income households and stimulate the automobile industry. This article provides a brief assessment of costs and benefits of vehicle buyback programmes. There are environmental benefits from the early retirement of automobiles and light trucks; however, some pollutants are not closely related to vehicle age. Moreover, vehicle buyback programmes are unlikely to reduce consumption of gasoline by a substantial amount and may even increase gasoline consumption in the short run because vehicle age is associated with an increase in miles travelled. Vehicle buyback programmes are not unambiguously progressive because they will increase the price of older vehicles, the only source of transportation for lower income groups. This analysis does not justify the creation of a national large-scale vehicle buyback programme. However, vehicle buyback programme targeting the highest emission vehicles and vehicles likely to fail emission inspections creates support for more stringent vehicle emission standards and systems, a proven method to reduce mobile source air pollution. It may be useful to expand subsidies for existing local vehicle buyback programmes and create incentives for the creation of these programmes by additional municipalities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1475-1478 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1475-1478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirofumi Shimizu Author-X-Name-First: Hirofumi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizu Author-Name: Todd Sandler Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Sandler Title: Recent peacekeeping burden sharing Abstract: This article investigates peacekeeping burden sharing during the period 2001 to 2006 for NATO allies and a more inclusive sample, which contains the main peacekeeping contributors. A Kendall rank correlation test for peacekeeping burdens and gross domestic product is applied to ascertain whether rich countries assume disproportionately large burdens. With recent increases in peacekeeping expenditures, burdens are being disproportionately shouldered by the rich countries for UN-financed operations. For non-UN-financed peacekeeping missions, disproportionality of burden sharing holds for NATO allies but not for the large sample. Unequal burden sharing is most prevalent in the years where peacekeeping spending is the greatest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1479-1484 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1479-1484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Humala Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Humala Author-Name: Gabriel Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: Foreign exchange intervention and exchange rate volatility in Peru Abstract: Flexible exchange rate experience in Peru has been accompanied by frequent official interventions in the form of foreign exchange purchases or sales. Monetary authority pursues reducing excess volatility in the exchange rate through its direct intervention. However, in recent years, this intervention has concentrated on US dollar purchases, apparently signalling a bias towards defending a given exchange rate level (not necessarily fixed). For the period 1994 to 2007, this document assesses consistency of the empirical evidence with the goal of reducing exchange rate volatility. Thus, it uses univariate and multivariate time series models subject to stochastic shifts to study currency pressures. Results suggest consistency with the reduced-volatility goal. Nonetheless, in line with other studies, factors such as the foreign exchange gap with respect to its trend also induce foreign exchange intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1491 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1485-1491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Paul Gentle Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gentle Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Examining the CRB index as a leading indicator for US inflation Abstract: This article analyses historical movements in the commodity futures market and its relationship to inflation. Specifically, the relationship between the Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) index and US inflation is investigated. The results show that the CRB index continues to be an effective early indicator of inflation. However, as the composition of the US economy changes, the CRB should continue to realign the index to maintain its long-term viability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1496 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1493-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: SBTC versus trade: testing skill-premia evidence across 25 OECD countries Abstract: The recent widening of intra-country wage inequality in favour of high-skilled labour has been attributed by some authors to Skill-Biased Technological Change (SBTC) and by others to International Trade (IT) liberalization. As few empirical studies have tried to assess both explanations across a comprehensive sample of countries, we analyse the impact of both explanations within a unified framework and across 25 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. Results suggest that the SBTC (IT) explanation dominates in developed (developing) countries and when intra-country wage inequality is measured by the wage ratio of college-to-lower (upper)-secondary graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1501 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1497-1501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Mohamed El Hedi Arouri Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed El Hedi Author-X-Name-Last: Arouri Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Stock market integration in Mexico and Argentina: are short- and long-term considerations different? Abstract: This article aims to study the issue of short- and long-term stock market integration in two of Latin America's biggest emerging economies - Mexico and Argentina - with the US stock market using multivariate cointegration tools. Our study covers a period of two decades and shows strong evidence of Argentina and Mexico's short-term financial dependence on the US market. However, our results show no long-term linkages between the markets studied, indicating that Mexican and Argentinean stock markets are governed more by their fundamentals in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1503-1507 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035899 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035899&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1503-1507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Betty Agnani Author-X-Name-First: Betty Author-X-Name-Last: Agnani Author-Name: Henry Aray Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Aray Title: Subsidies and awards in movie production Abstract: This article analyses the effect of subsidies and awards on the Spanish motion picture industry. We estimate a Cobb-Douglas production function using regional data and show that Spanish motion picture industry exhibits constant returns to scale and that awards positively affect movie production whereas subsidies have no effect. In fact, awards affect the productivity of the sector as they allow for an increase in the output, which is not explained by an increase in inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1509-1511 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035865 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035865&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1509-1511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sehoon Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Sehoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Author-Name: Sang Buhm Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sang Buhm Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Title: Duration analysis of corporate bankruptcy in the presence of competing risks Abstract: The bankruptcy duration of reorganized firms should be different from that of failed firms. Adopting a competing risk model and using the Korean corporate bankruptcy data, we confirm the differences in reorganized and failed cases. We find that the failure decision of bigger firms seems delayed (the too-big-to-fail-too-early hypothesis). In systemic bankruptcy, the bankruptcy period is shortened and the reorganization bias is increased (Super Chapter 11 principle). Also, if bankruptcy is filed in a poor business environment, reorganization may occur faster and failure slower for that company (handicapped signal theory). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1513-1516 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035840 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035840&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1513-1516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: YiChun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: YiChun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Purchasing power parity for ASEAN-8 countries: panel SURKSS tests Abstract: This study applies panel SURKSS tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations)-8 countries over the period January 1999 to June 2008. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for the ASEAN-8 countries under study; however, panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for two (four) of these ASEAN-8 countries when the US dollar (the Japanese yen) is used as a base country. These results have important policy implications for these ASEAN-8 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1523 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018721 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018721&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1517-1523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ming Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Author-Name: Sheng-Chieh Pan Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Po-Chin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Po-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Can intervention indices detect central bank's actual intervention behaviour? Abstract: This article employs the Weymark (1997) and Baig et al. (2003) models to evaluate the central bank's intervention behaviour and utilizes ex post intervention news to check the models' estimation results. Empirical results show that the Baig et al. model's evaluation performance in intervention behaviour is inferior to the Weymark model. The scale of intervention index is not an excellent indicator to detect intervention behaviour. Intervention indices and intervention news all support that the intervention frequency in expansion period is higher than in recession period and in face of fatal events the intervention exhibits cluster phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1525-1530 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903018713 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903018713&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1525-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Hsi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Rern-Jay Hung Author-X-Name-First: Rern-Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Ching-Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yuan-Pei Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Pei Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Does fund manager herding vary over the business cycle? Abstract: This article aims to explore whether business cycle has any bearing on herding by fund mangers. Using the sample of open-end mutual funds in Taiwan from January 2003 to February 2007, the main results are as follows. First, excluding the impact of business indicator, herd behaviours for balanced and growth fund managers are more significant than growth-income and aggressive-growth ones. Next, the business indicator has significantly negative influence on the herding for balanced and growth fund managers. Finally, without considering the impact of business indicator, there are no significant differences of the herding among various types of fund managers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1535 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035857 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035857&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1531-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rebeca Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Rebeca Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Marcelo Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Oil-induced stagflation: a comparison across major G7 economies and shock episodes Abstract: This article finds strong evidence of oil-induced stagflation in major G7 economies. Oil shocks provoked output losses and higher inflation on a widespread basis from the mid-1970s to the early 1980s, as well as - to a lesser extent - in the new millennium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1541 Issue: 15 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903035923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903035923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:15:p:1537-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugene Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Author-Name: Anton Nivorozhkin Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkin Author-Name: Ludmila Nivorozhkina Author-X-Name-First: Ludmila Author-X-Name-Last: Nivorozhkina Author-Name: Lilia Ovcharova Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Ovcharova Title: The urban-rural divide in the perception of the poverty line: the case of Russia Abstract: In this article, we analyse the differences in the perception of the poverty line between rural and urban settlements in the Russian Federation. We show that although the level of absolute poverty increases as the size of the settlement decreases, the level of subjective poverty moves in the opposite direction. These results have potential implications for targeting poverty in urban and rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1543-1546 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1543-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Rogers Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Author-Name: Christian Helmers Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Helmers Author-Name: Christoffer Koch Author-X-Name-First: Christoffer Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Firm growth and firm size Abstract: This article analyses the growth rates of the complete population of UK-registered firms for the period 2001 to 2005. We estimate Gibrat's law - that growth rates are independent of firm size - by deciles of the firm size distribution. Whether we are able to reject Gibrat's law varies across deciles. We also show how estimates vary according to the measure of firm size, time period and sample selection. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1547-1550 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085043 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085043&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1547-1550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Author-Name: Josh Davis Author-X-Name-First: Josh Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Robust value-at-risk: an information-theoretic approach Abstract: We present a robust value-at-risk model that takes into account the possibility of model misspecification. In place of a single prior distribution, we utilize multiple priors in the form of an 'uncertainty set' around the estimated expected returns and covariance matrix, constructed using the information-theoretic notion of Kullback-Leibler divergence. An extension to conditional value-at-risk is also specified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1551-1553 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085019 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085019&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1551-1553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Title: More on the energy/nonenergy price link Abstract: This note re-examines the energy/nonenergy price link. Using annual data from the period 1960 to 2008, it finds that the pass-through of energy price changes to the overall nonenergy commodity index is 0.28. At a more disaggregated level, the fertilizer index exhibited the largest pass-through (0.55), followed by agriculture (0.26) and metals (0.25). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1555-1558 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120683 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120683&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1555-1558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Do 'African American' films perform better or worse at the box office? An empirical analysis of motion picture revenues and profits Abstract: This article investigates the box office performance of films defined as being 'African American', with respect to their cast and content material, against those which are not. Using a large sample of films released in the North American market from 1997 to 2007, the analysis shows that, in general, African American films earn higher revenues yet are typically produced on lower budgets. Regression results of revenues show that this difference is highly statistically significant. Further, the profit functions are also statistically different, leading to the conclusion that, ceteris paribus, African American films perform better at the box office. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1559-1564 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903103689 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903103689&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1559-1564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Rainer Klump Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Klump Title: Poverty and government transfers in the United States Abstract: This article examines the long-term impact of government transfers on poverty in the United States using cointegration techniques. In contrast to most existing studies, we find that government transfers play an important poverty-reducing role. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1565-1569 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903051516 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903051516&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1565-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: Managerial entrenchment and corporate bond financing: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article investigates whether managerial entrenchment of controlling shareholders affects corporate bond financing. Using data on Japanese manufacturing firms, we find that firms with large corporate shareholders as controlling shareholders issue less straight corporate bonds than other firms. The results show that managerial entrenchment of controlling shareholders has an influential impact on corporate bond financing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1574 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903051508 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903051508&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1571-1574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chin-Ping Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Shuchen Kang Author-X-Name-First: Shuchen Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Purchasing power parity for 10 Latin American integration association countries: panel SURKSS tests Abstract: This empirical study applies panel SURKSS tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of 10 Latin American Integration Association (LAIA) countries over the period January 1980 to September 2008. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for the LAIA-10 countries under study; however, panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for half of these LAIA-10 countries. These results have important policy implications for these LAIA-10 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1575-1580 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903049668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903049668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1575-1580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Reschreiter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Reschreiter Title: The inflation protection from indexed bonds Abstract: Indexed bonds provide protection against inflation if they are (i) insensitive to revisions of inflation expectations but (ii) adjust one-for-one to unexpected inflation. The sensitivity of British index-linked gilts to unexpected inflation is statistically significant and consistent with a unit response. This protection of British index-linked gilts against a loss of contemporaneous purchasing power is consistent with the view that indexed bonds avoid the inflation risk compensation of conventional bonds. This suggests that issuing indexed instead of conventional government bonds reduces the long-run funding costs of the public sector borrowing requirement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1581-1585 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903066639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903066639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1581-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Marzo Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Marzo Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Volatility forecasting for crude oil futures Abstract: This article studies the forecasting properties of linear GARCH models for closing-day futures prices on crude oil, first position, traded in the New York Mercantile Exchange from January 1995 to November 2005. To account for fat tails in the empirical distribution of the series, we compare models based on the normal, Student's t and generalized exponential distribution. We focus on out-of-sample predictability by ranking the models according to a large array of statistical loss functions. The results from the tests for predictive ability show that the GARCH-G model fares best for short horizons from 1 to 3 days ahead. For horizons from 1 week ahead, no superior model can be identified. We also consider out-of-sample loss functions based on value-at-risk that mimic portfolio managers and regulators' preferences. Exponential GARCH models display the best performance in this case. The swings in oil prices that gave investors and traders whiplash in 2004 are not preventing new investors from rushing into oil and other energy-related commodities this year. (…) Ultimately, the rising number of speculator could lead to even more price volatility in 2005, pushing the highs higher and the lows lower. (…) After a generation in the wilderness, the oil futures that are used to make a bet on oil prices have become a bona fide investment, said Charles O'Donnell, who manages Lake Asset Management, a small energy fund based in London. Heather Timmons, The New York Times1 Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1587-1599 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903084996 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903084996&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1587-1599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinearity in US macroeconomic time series Abstract: In this study, we evaluate the linearity of 170 major monthly US macroeconomic time series spanning the years 1959-2002. Employing the linearity test recently proposed by Harvey et al. (2008), which is applicable when the order of integration is uncertain, we determined that more than half of the macroeconomic time series were nonlinear. In particular, approximately 75% of the time series in nominal prices, wages and money category were determined to be nonlinear, whereas the least abundant evidence, corresponding to approximately 43% of the series, was detected in the category of construction, inventories and order. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1601-1609 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085001 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085001&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1601-1609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Lally Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Lally Title: The risk-adjusted costs of financial distress: a comment Abstract: Almeida and Philippon (2007) argue that the present value of the costs of financial distress is considerably larger than previously estimated through failure to recognize that the relevant probabilities to use in this assessment are the risk-adjusted probabilities rather than the historical probabilities. However, Almeida and Philippon have still underestimated the present value of the costs of financial distress through failure to recognize that the costs are expected to grow over time, and correction for this more than doubles their present value. Accordingly, the present value of the tax benefits of debt net of the financial distress costs is now clearly negative rather than marginally positive. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1611-1613 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085027 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085027&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1611-1613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Wong Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Wai Cheong Shum Author-X-Name-First: Wai Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Shum Title: Exchange-traded funds in bullish and bearish markets Abstract: An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) aims to track the performance of market indices. This article examines the performances of 15 worldwide ETFs across bearish and bullish markets over the period 1999 to 2007. The results indicate that ETFs always provide higher returns in a bullish market than in a bearish market by the Sharpe ratio test that shows that ETF returns are not positive, proportional to the market volatility. Additionally, ETFs with the same underlying index do not perform exactly the same. It is believed that active portfolio management plays an important role in ETFs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1615-1624 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085035 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085035&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1615-1624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Burren Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Burren Author-Name: Klaus Neusser Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Neusser Title: The decline in volatility of US GDP growth Abstract: The decline in volatility of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a well-known stylized fact of post WWII macroeconomic data. Economists call this observation the Great Moderation. This article contributes to the discussion whether the drop in GDP volatility was a one-time break or a trend decrease (Blanchard and Simon, 2001; Fang and Miller, 2007). We provide evidence for a nonlinear time trend in the volatility of GDP growth and give support for the hypothesis that the 1970s were special in the sense of Blanchard and Simon (2001). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1625-1631 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903085050 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903085050&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1625-1631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Banghan Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Banghan Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Ming-Te Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Te Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ming-Long Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kevin Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Time-varying real estate sensitivities of mortgage REITs Abstract: This study examines the linkage between mortgage Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) returns and the private real estate factor. The results show that real estate sensitivities of mortgage REITs are time varying and have been significant since 2000. Furthermore, home-financing mortgage REITs appear to be more sensitive to real estate market fluctuations than commercial-financing mortgage REITs are. This differential sensitivity is consistent with the notion that the default risk and the prepayment risk associated with residential mortgage loans are more closely related to real estate market conditions than are commercial mortgage loans. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1633-1640 Issue: 16 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:16:p:1633-1640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: Munisamy Gopinath Author-X-Name-First: Munisamy Author-X-Name-Last: Gopinath Title: Demand estimation when some prices are unobserved: an application to fresh lettuce Abstract: This study proposes a linear two-stage approach to derive prices of observations when reported consumption is zero. In the first stage, demand equations are estimated using an ad hoc filling of unobserved prices. Then, each estimated demand equation is solved for price and a numerical estimate of the price, which drives consumption to zero, referred to as the choke price, is calculated. The demand equations are re-estimated with the choke-price series replacing the initial ad hoc prices. Although differing claims can be made on the appropriateness of the chosen method for filling prices, we demonstrate significant differences in statistical fit of the demand model and own-price demand elasticities among alternative approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1641-1646 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903166165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903166165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1641-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Charles Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Link Author-Name: Bryan Townsend Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Townsend Title: Who receives statins? Variations in physician prescribing patterns for patients with coronary heart disease Abstract: Using a nationally representative data set including patients most likely to benefit from statins, we find racial/ethnic and insurance-related disparities in physician prescribing patterns. Whites and patients who have private insurance are more likely to be prescribed a statin than nonwhites and those with public insurance. Because coronary heart disease is the leading cause of death in the USA and currently is estimated to cost over $150 billion annually, observed differences in prescribing patterns along these dimensions should be part of discussions dealing with health care reform. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1647-1652 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903266783 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903266783&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1647-1652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Currency, credit, confidence and bubbles Abstract: The popular media suggest that the Federal Reserve is 'all powerful' in determining things like interest rates and inflation, but this is not true. The Fed controls currency and reserves - imperfectly - but the money supply is determined by the numerous decisions of borrowers and lenders to expand credit. Thus, the Fed can try to pump reserves into the financial system, but it will not result in an expansion of any monetary aggregates. Monetary policy can also lead to price bubbles. When people think of money and inflation, they usually think about inflation in goods prices. This stems from the quantity theory of money that treated the number of transactions taking place as being proportional to goods and services produced. That may have been appropriate for a society in which most transactions were indeed for goods and services, but today, the transactions for real estate and securities dwarf the transactions for goods and services. This means that the quantity theory of money needs to be rethought, and this rethinking illuminates how excess money supply growth can cause price bubbles in securities, real estate and commodities as well as traditional inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1653-1655 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120733 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120733&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1653-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Movie producers and the statistical distribution of achievement Abstract: This article investigates De Vany's (2004) application of the Pareto distribution to the careers of actors and directors by considering a sample of movie producers. The results support the Pareto distribution for describing the 'number of films produced' and the 'sum of box office revenue' earned by a producer. The results suggest that a producer is more likely to produce another film as the number of films which they have already produced increases. Also, although an early career producer faces more chance of securing a further film by pure luck, an established producer greatly benefits from his/her previous success. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1657-1661 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903194183 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903194183&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1657-1661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arthur Caplan Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Caplan Author-Name: John Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Title: Can fighting grade inflation help the bottom line? Abstract: This article uses a rich set of student transcript data to estimate the economic cost incurred by a university when it does not adopt a 'mean-shift grading policy' to fight grade inflation. We show that even in the face of moral hazard constraints a university can enhance its profitability by fighting grade inflation with a distribution-shifting policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1663-1667 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903251231 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903251231&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1663-1667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Smith Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Bond portfolio duration, cash flow dispersion and convexity Abstract: Immunization is a well-known fixed-income strategy to lock in a target rate of return over a known investment horizon. This is accomplished by structuring the bonds so that the duration of the portfolio matches the time horizon and then rebalancing the portfolio to maintain the match as time passes and yields change. The structural risk to the strategy can be measured by the cash flow dispersion or by the convexity of the immunizing portfolio. The general relationship between the duration, cash flow dispersion and convexity statistics for any date in the current period is derived in the article. Although both statistics measure the risk, convexity is significantly easier to implement in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1669-1672 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903251249 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903251249&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1669-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: David Stifel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stifel Title: Race and gender differences in the cognitive effects of childhood overweight Abstract: The increase in the prevalence of overweight children (ages 6-13 years) in the United States over the past two decades is likely to result in adverse public health consequences. We use data from the children of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 cohort to investigate an additional consequence of childhood overweight - its effect on relative cognitive development. To control for unobserved heterogeneity, we estimate individual (child) fixed effect (FE) models and instrumental variable (IV) models. Although recent research suggests that there is a negligible effect of childhood overweight on cognitive ability, our results demonstrate that the effects are uncovered when examining the relationship separately by race. In particular, we find that overweight white boys have math and reading scores approximately an SD lower than the mean. Overweight white girls have lower math scores whereas overweight black boys and girls have lower reading scores. Our results suggest that in addition to well-documented health consequences, overweight children may also be at risk in terms of experiencing adverse education outcomes, which could lead to lower future wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1673-1679 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903251256 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903251256&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1673-1679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyle Hyndman Author-X-Name-First: Kyle Author-X-Name-Last: Hyndman Author-Name: Antoine Terracol Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Terracol Author-Name: Jonathan Vaksmann Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Vaksmann Title: Strategic interactions and belief formation: an experiment Abstract: Traditional models of belief formation in repeated games assume adaptive players who do not take strategic interactions into account. We find that these approaches are limited in the sense that people think more strategically and realize that, in contrast with the classical view, their own actions are likely to influence their opponents' behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1681-1685 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120691 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120691&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1681-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Impact of trade freedom on per capita real GDP growth among OECD nations: recent panel data evidence Abstract: Motivated by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)'s call to nations to resist protectionism and keep markets open to competition in the midst of the current world economic crisis, this study empirically investigates the impact of trade freedom (TF) on recent per capita real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth among OECD nations. In addition to TF, the study controls for the impacts of Business Freedom (BF), Monetary Freedom (MF) and Property Rights (PR), along with various economic factors. The study period runs from 2005 to 2007. Panel Least-Squares (PLS) estimation finds that the natural log of per capita real Purchasing-Power-Parity (PPP)-adjusted GDP in OECD nations is in fact an increasing function of TF, as well as BF, MF and PR security. The OECD appears correct in its position on behalf of maintaining TF. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1687-1690 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120709 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120709&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1687-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Author-Name: Reinhard Madlener Author-X-Name-First: Reinhard Author-X-Name-Last: Madlener Title: Impact of disaggregated ICT capital on electricity intensity in European manufacturing Abstract: In this article we empirically analyse the impact of disaggregated ICT capital on the electricity intensity in five major European manufacturing industries (chemical, food, metal, pulp and paper, textile). The analysis of each industrial sector is based on an unbalanced panel including data for eight EU member countries (Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, Sweden and the UK) for the period 1991 to 2005. The panel-econometric approach, in which we account for country-specific fixed effects, is based on a factor demand model similar to the one derived in Collard et al. (2005) for the French service sector. On the one hand, our analysis provides some evidence for an electricity-saving effect on production, induced by communication technologies in all sectors considered. On the other hand, the effect of computers and software on the electricity intensity of industrial production is not that clear-cut, but it does seem to be strongly dependent on the sector-specific production processes involved. Overall, the net effect of ICT diffusion on electricity intensity of production appears to be in favour of an enhancement of electricity efficiency in production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1695 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120717 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120717&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1691-1695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shi Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Shi Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sanghack Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sanghack Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sung Hee Jun Author-X-Name-First: Sung Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Jun Title: Author and article characteristics, journal quality and citation in economic research Abstract: Citation count serves as an indicator of quality of research in economics as well as in many other disciplines. The purpose of this article is to examine the effects of author and article characteristics on the citations in economics research. We investigate empirically the relationship between citations and author and article characteristics for different journal quality. We found that the same institution (affiliation) and the location of authors may affect the citation positively. Moreover, journal quality affects some of these variables differently. This article also provides rationales for these results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1697-1701 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120725 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120725&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1697-1701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Luiz Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Alex Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: The determinants of default risk in Brazil Abstract: We formulated a general unrestricted model of the Brazilian Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) spreads, a proxy for the country's default risk. Employing algorithms that perform automated model selection, we found that macroeconomic fundamentals, such as current account deficit ratio to gross domestic product, public deficit ratio to gross domestic product and imports over foreign exchange reserves, can explain a great part of the variation in EMBI+ spreads. There is also robust evidence of systematic contagion from Argentina and Mexico and that the variance of the spread also affects its mean. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1703-1708 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903120741 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903120741&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1703-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Senay Asma Author-X-Name-First: Senay Author-X-Name-Last: Asma Title: Conditional entropy distribution of Istanbul stock market value Abstract: In this study, the conditional distributions of Istanbul stock market value are obtained by using entropy optimization. The aim is to observe how the fluctuation of the conditional distributions changes according to different correlation values between the value of the firm and its stock price fluctuation. The entropy optimization problem, which is taken into account, is bivariate, so a geometric programming approach is used to convert it to a univariate problem. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1713 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903136655 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903136655&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1709-1713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Miriam Marcen Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Author-X-Name-Last: Marcen Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: How do children affect parents' allocation of time? Abstract: There is an extensive literature examining the relationship between elder care, child care and labour market activities, although these studies have largely overlooked their simultaneity. This article explores the relationship between these three activities, accounting for the influence that children have on parental allocation of time, using the 2002-2003 Spanish Time Use Survey (STUS). We find that the presence of children has quantitatively significant positive effects on the extent of dependent care-giving activities, with this increase in care-giving being compensated for by a decrease in the time devoted to the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1715-1719 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903153767 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903153767&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1715-1719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: De-Piao Tang Author-X-Name-First: De-Piao Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity for 15 COMESA and SADC countries: evidence based on panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for 15 countries belonging to the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) over the period of December 1994 to July 2008. The empirical results from the univariate unit root and panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for these 15 countries; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that PPP is valid for three of these 15 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1721-1727 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903153775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903153775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1721-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariasole Banno Author-X-Name-First: Mariasole Author-X-Name-Last: Banno Author-Name: Lucia Piscitello Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Piscitello Title: The effectiveness of incentives to firms' outward internationalization Abstract: This article provides an empirical analysis on the effects of incentives to firms' outward internationalization on the firm's growth. Specifically, the analysis is conducted on 237 Italian firms that received an incentive in the period 1991 to 2007 versus a counterfactual sample of 307 firms that internationalized their activity in the same period without any incentive. The econometric results, stemming from a two-step treatment effect model, reveal that selection for getting the incentive tended not to be a random event and that incentives to firms' internationalization are highly effective especially when targeted towards smaller companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1729-1733 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903183459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903183459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1729-1733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Raquel Ortega-Lapiedra Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega-Lapiedra Title: Self-employment and time stress: the effect of leisure quality Abstract: Levels of time stress have increased markedly over the last 30 years, affecting well-being. Self-employment is viewed as allowing the individual greater autonomy and more flexible hours, which may reduce time stress. This article analyses time stress of the self-employed, compared to the employed, using the Spanish Time Use Survey (2002/03) finding that, when objective indicators of time allocation are included, being self-employed increases the time stress perceived by men, with our interpretation being based on the notion that not only the quantity but also the quality of leisure matters. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1738 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903266791 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903266791&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1735-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rada Dakovic Author-X-Name-First: Rada Author-X-Name-Last: Dakovic Author-Name: Claudia Czado Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Czado Author-Name: Daniel Berg Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: Bankruptcy prediction in Norway: a comparison study Abstract: In this article we develop statistical models for bankruptcy prediction of Norwegian firms in the limited liability sector using annual balance sheet information. We fit generalized linear, generalized linear mixed and Generalized Additive Models (GAM) in a discrete hazard setting. It is demonstrated that careful examination of the functional relationship between the explanatory variables and the probability of bankruptcy enhances the models' forecasting performance. Using information on the industry sector we model the unobserved heterogeneity between different sectors through an industry-specific random factor in the generalized linear mixed model. The models developed are shown to outperform the model with Altman's variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1739-1746 Issue: 17 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299594 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299594&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:17:p:1739-1746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hillard Huntington Author-X-Name-First: Hillard Author-X-Name-Last: Huntington Title: Oil demand and technical progress Abstract: This analysis provides an empirical perspective on the role of technical progress in OECD oil demand since 1971. It differentiates the role of price-induced and exogenous technical progress from other time-related factors that may influence oil demand growth. Results confirm that both sources of technical progress operate but that price-induced improvements appear to be substantially larger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1747-1751 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299636 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299636&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1747-1751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allen Dennis Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Dennis Title: Global economic crisis and trade: the role of trade facilitation Abstract: The onset of the global economic crisis has led to a slump in global demand. However, the extent to which major trading powers have reduced their imports has differed by trading partner. Like financial contagion, could it be the case that countries that are better integrated in the global trading system via efficient trade facilitation environment suffered the most because of their interconnectedness? Using recent data from the US census bureau, this study finds that the efficiency of the trade facilitation environment actually helped to mitigate the effects of the global slump in demand. Other countries with a better trade facilitation environment suffered less of a drop in their exports to the United States compared to those with a weaker trade facilitation environment. Specifically, an extra day's delay in the exporting country accounted for about a 0.5% more fall in import demand from the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1753-1757 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903409771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903409771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1753-1757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manfred Gartner Author-X-Name-First: Manfred Author-X-Name-Last: Gartner Title: Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices: guinea pigs versus the pros Abstract: The notion that US stock prices follow a pattern that is synchronized with presidential elections has been discussed among financial investors for a long time. Academic work exists that supports this idea, quantifies the pattern and has demonstrated its robustness over several decades and across parties in power. This article takes the existence and robustness of this presidential election cycle for granted and asks whether individuals exploit it when they predict stock prices. It considers and contrasts two types of such forecasts: Those made by professionals included in the Livingston survey and those made by students in a laboratory experiment. A key result is that neither group fares particularly well, though participants in the experiment outperformed the professionals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1765 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299602 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299602&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1759-1765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: The most simple methodology to create a valid correlation matrix for risk management and option pricing purposes Abstract: We present a methodology for obtaining a valid correlation matrix from an invalid one for financial applications. In contrast to other approaches, the methodology described only requires the use of elementary matrix algebra and a simple randomization procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1767-1768 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1767-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lakshmi Balasubramanyan Author-X-Name-First: Lakshmi Author-X-Name-Last: Balasubramanyan Author-Name: Spiro Stefanou Author-X-Name-First: Spiro Author-X-Name-Last: Stefanou Author-Name: Jeffrey Stokes Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Stokes Title: Declining cost efficiency as a signal of increasing bank vulnerability: an entropy-based approach Abstract: The mortgage crisis of 2007/08 has impacted the health of both small and large commercial banks in the financial services industry. The pressing question is how do regulators and bank monitors identify the warning signals of bank vulnerability and bank risk because of weakening credit and asset markets. Linking poor bank performance and efficiency, we employ an information theoretic approach to derive the cost efficiency scores and evaluate the effects of crisis signalling factors such as different types of loans on cost efficiency of the smallest and largest commercial banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1769-1781 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357368 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357368&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1769-1781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Did the turmoil affect money-market segmentation in the Euro area? Abstract: Yes. For the preturmoil period, exogeneity tests from vector autoregression (VAR) models suggest the presence of a transmission channel from longer maturities to the overnight. This disappears in the subsample starting in 9 August, 2007. The results of the semiparametric tests of Cappiello et al. (2005a) report evidence of an increase in volatility contagion within the longer end of the money-market curve, which takes place in the lower tail of the empirical distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1783-1788 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357384 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357384&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1783-1788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: Seigniorage revenue or consumer revenue? Theoretical and empirical evidences Abstract: The purpose of this article is to propose a seigniorage model including the contributions of Bailey (1956) and Marty (1976), using an alternative framework from Mankiw (1987), to test how much degree their results are supported and to estimate the seigniorage model. The government decides the money growth rate to maximize the social welfare function for each of seigniorage revenue aversion, loving and neutrality. The Japanese data shows that the social welfare function supports seigniorage revenue aversion, supporting the results of Bailey and Marty, and that the degree of seigniorage revenue aversion is stronger in the 2000s than in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1789-1795 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357376 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357376&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1789-1795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiale Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiale Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The impact of a diagnosis-related group-based prospective payment experiment: the experience of Shanghai Abstract: The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the 2004 and 2005 Diagnosis-Related Group (DRG)-based Prospective Payment Experiments (whereby a ceiling was set on per case payments for 15 DRGs) of the health insurance system in Shanghai using Differences-In-Differences (DID) and Differences-in-Differences-in-Differences (DDD) empirical strategies. The results show that the Length Of Stay (LOS) of all inpatients suffering from the target diseases during the two test periods responded quickly to the experiment (even though only insured inpatients living in Shanghai were eligible for the DRG-based experiments), thus implying that the DRG-based prospective payment system does not induce physicians to significantly reduce inpatient expenditures but does induce them to reduce the LOS of those suffering from the target diseases. Moreover, costs were shifted to uninsured inpatients suffering from the target diseases: their overall inpatient expenditures increased by 33.6 percentage points more than that of uninsured inpatients during the nontest period in 2005. Thus, the experiments were of limited effectiveness, and cost-shifting to uninsured inpatients was observed during at least the latter test period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1797-1803 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903317347 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903317347&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1797-1803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aikaterini Andronikidi Author-X-Name-First: Aikaterini Author-X-Name-Last: Andronikidi Author-Name: Vasileios Kallinterakis Author-X-Name-First: Vasileios Author-X-Name-Last: Kallinterakis Title: Thin trading and its impact upon herding: the case of Israel Abstract: Emerging markets have been found to accommodate higher herding levels compared to their developed counterparts, yet very little attention has been drawn to the possible impact of thin trading over herding estimations, even though these markets are often typified by thin trading. We address this issue by testing for herding in the Israeli market using the methodology proposed by Hwang and Salmon (2004). Results indicate that correcting for thin trading renders herding more persistent and smoother in its evolution, thus indicating that thin trading leads to an underestimated picture of herding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1805-1810 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357327 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357327&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1805-1810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paola Gritti Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Gritti Author-Name: Nicolai Foss Author-X-Name-First: Nicolai Author-X-Name-Last: Foss Title: Customer satisfaction and competencies: an econometric study of an Italian bank Abstract: We empirically address how Customer Satisfaction (CS) and loyalty in the banking industry may affect profitability. This helps in identifying the strategy and competencies necessary to benefit from customer relationships, which are important sources for improved performance in the banking. We do this by analysing data collected on 2105 customers of 118 branches of one of the biggest banks of an Italian banking group. We find that CS impacts loyalty, which in turn has a direct effect on financial and nonfinancial customer value/total customer value/complex customer value. Moreover, loyalty is a mediator between financial and nonfinancial customer value and two sources of CS, namely, relationships with the front office and the branch, on the one hand, and the products offered, on the other. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1811-1817 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357335 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357335&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1811-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasco Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Vasco Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Pataaree Sangduan Author-X-Name-First: Pataaree Author-X-Name-Last: Sangduan Title: An efficient test of fiscal sustainability Abstract: We suggest using the efficient test with prespecified cointegration vectors of Horvath and Watson (1995) for the 'strong' fiscal sustainability hypothesis. Unlike this procedure, conventional methodologies tend to penalize the sustainability hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1819-1822 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903299610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903299610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1819-1822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theologos Dergiades Author-X-Name-First: Theologos Author-X-Name-Last: Dergiades Author-Name: Apostolos Dasilas Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Dasilas Title: Modelling and forecasting mobile telecommunication services: the case of Greece Abstract: In this article we try to model the adoption pattern of mobile telecommunication services into the Greek market for the period 1993 to 2005. Two separate sigmoid curves, the Gompertz and the Logistic, are fitted to the observed number of subscribers by means of nonlinear least squares. Our empirical results reached three conclusions. First, the introduction of the pre-paid mobile telephony in 1997 along with the entry of the third mobile operator in 1998 has boosted the diffusion process in Greece; second, the levelling-off process in the diffusion of mobile phones has already begun; third, the average expected growth rate in new subscribers is less than half percent for the period between 2006 and 2015. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1823-1828 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903373258 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903373258&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1823-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaoquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The model-free measures and the volatility spread Abstract: In this article, we empirically investigate the relationship between realized and risk-neutral volatilities by applying the model-free measures to FTSE-100 index and index options from April 1992 to March 2005. Based on the deviation between the risk-neutral and the physical volatilities, we estimate the volatility spread through the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and reveal the volatility risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1829-1833 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903357350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903357350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1829-1833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicky Yeong Author-X-Name-First: Nicky Author-X-Name-Last: Yeong Author-Name: Chong Mun Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chong Author-X-Name-Last: Mun Ho Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Author-Name: Mori Kogid Author-X-Name-First: Mori Author-X-Name-Last: Kogid Title: A test of the present value model of stock prices under rational and adaptive expectations using Bursa Malaysia data from 1983 to 2003 Abstract: The rational expectations model has been the central expectations hypothesis used by economists while the adaptive expectations hypothesis has been considered by many as inefficient because expectations cannot fully exploit all available information. The aim of this study is to determine which of these two expectations formation hypotheses best explains the behaviour of investors in the Malaysian stock market. We employ the Chow (1988) methodology in which the two expectations hypotheses are applied to the present value model of stock prices for Malaysian stock market data consisting of stock prices and dividends for 13 companies over 21 years. Our results provide strong statistical support for the adaptive expectations hypothesis. This finding is in line with the empirical findings of Chow and his collaborators. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1835-1839 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903317354 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903317354&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1835-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Irene Daskalopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Daskalopoulou Author-Name: Panagiotis Liargovas Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Liargovas Title: Regional determinants of manufacturing start-ups in Greece: evidence on the effect of agglomeration economies Abstract: This article analyses the regional determinants of manufacturing start-up ratios in Greece. Emphasis is placed on the effect of agglomeration economies, which are distinguished between urbanization and localization economies. The data refer to the establishments realized in the 51 Greek prefectures (NUTS III level) in 2005. Results indicate that negative urbanization economies prevail. Localization economies in the form of positive Marshallian and negative Jacobian externalities are observed and constitute important determinants of start-up ratios. Results regarding the effect of other factors such as expected demand and profit, cost and human resources factors are as anticipated. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1841-1844 Issue: 18 Volume: 17 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903388272 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903388272&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:17:y:2010:i:18:p:1841-1844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ricardo Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Assessing long-term fiscal developments: evidence from Portugal Abstract: We use a Three-Stage Least Square (TSLS) method and a system of equations to recursively estimate two components of fiscal policy - responsiveness and persistence - and to infer about the sources of fiscal deterioration (improvement). The results suggest that (i) government spending exhibits higher persistence than government revenue and (ii) government revenue is more responsive to the business cycle than government spending, pointing to fiscal deterioration issues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425090 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425090&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. S. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Who cut the cheese? Abstract: In this article I examine whether retail and producer prices for American processed cheese follow a long-run linear relationship. The results suggest that wholesale and retail prices are not cointegrated, even when allowance is made for nonlinear and threshold effects, suggesting little evidence of pass-through of costs to the retail level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425082 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425082&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivo Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Ivo Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Author-Name: Michiel Glasbeek Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Glasbeek Title: The ECB's survey of professional forecasters and financial market volatility in the euro area Abstract: Since 1999, the European Central Bank (ECB) conducts a quarterly survey of the economic outlook in the euro area among professional forecasters. This article investigates the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty, measured as the dispersion in economic forecasts across survey participants, and financial market volatility. We find a significant positive short-run relationship between stock market volatility and uncertainty about the future level of economic activity. In contrast, bond market volatility is mainly affected by inflation uncertainty. In addition, we find long-run cointegration relationships between asset market volatilities and macroeconomic uncertainties. We also investigate the sensitivity of our results to the inclusion of the extremely volatile post-Lehman period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 11-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427179 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427179&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:11-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annette Bergemann Author-X-Name-First: Annette Author-X-Name-Last: Bergemann Author-Name: Regina Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Title: Female labour supply and parental leave benefits - the causal effect of paying higher transfers for a shorter period of time Abstract: We study the labour supply effects of a major change in child-subsidy policy in Germany in 2007 designed to increase both fertility and shorten birth-related employment interruptions. The reform involved a move from a means-tested maternity leave benefit system that paid a maximum of 300 Euro for up to 2 years to a benefit system that replaced two-thirds of pre-birth earnings for at most 1 year. As the reform took place very recently, we estimate the labour supply effect by using data drawn from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) on the intention of women to return to the labour market. Our results show that the reform yields most of the intended effects: the fraction of mothers who plan to return to the labour market within a year after the interview increased by 14 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 17-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425173 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425173&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:17-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Title: Measuring performance in the Portuguese banking industry with a Fourier regression model Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of banks' profitability in the Portuguese banking sector during the period 1990 to 2005. The study extends the established literature on modelling the banks'k performance by applying a Fourier approximation in order to detect for possible nonlinearities between the profitability variables and the explanatory variables. In so doing, we verify that the introduction of the Fourier coefficients in the analysis quite improved the quality of the adjustments, the need to accept the existence of nonlinear relationships among the variables involved in the study thus becoming evident. The results of this article suggest that the best performing banks in the Portuguese banking sector are those which have endeavoured to improve their capital and labour productivity, those which have maintained a high dimension and, finally, those which have been able to reinforce their capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 21-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903409755 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903409755&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:21-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Cunha Marques Author-X-Name-First: Rui Cunha Author-X-Name-Last: Marques Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Performance of European airports: regulation, ownership and managerial efficiency Abstract: This article analyses regulation, ownership and unobserved managerial ability as factors affecting the performance of a representative sample of European airports by means of frontier models. The Alvarez et al. (2004) frontier model is used. These airports are ranked according to their technical efficiency during the period 2001 to 2004 and homogenous and heterogeneous variables are disentangled in the cost function, which leads us to advise the implementation of common policies as well as policies by segments. Economic implications arising from the study are also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903409763 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903409763&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:29-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clifford Lipscomb Author-X-Name-First: Clifford Author-X-Name-Last: Lipscomb Author-Name: Brandon Koford Author-X-Name-First: Brandon Author-X-Name-Last: Koford Title: Conservative dichotomous choice responses in the active policy setting: the case of University Parking Abstract: This study presents evidence of strategic behaviour in faculty/staff members' reports of willingness-to-pay at a public university. The results suggest that (1) students have a higher mean willingness-to-pay than faculty/staff and that (2) faculty/staff reject clear gains because they expect a revision to the parking permit fee structure in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 39-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:39-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Estelle Binet Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Estelle Author-X-Name-Last: Binet Author-Name: Lionel Richefort Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Richefort Title: Diffusion of irrigation technologies: the role of mimicking behaviour and public incentives Abstract: We develop a conceptual framework designed to assess the impact of public incentives on the diffusion process of modern, water-saving irrigation technologies. Diffusion patterns of the integral sprinkler cover system in the sugarcane sector of Reunion Island (France) are estimated using a sample of 110 farmers aggregated over the period 1990 to 2006. We show that imitation is the main explanatory factor of the adoption dynamics. We also show that the characteristic diffusion path is not perfectly symmetric and is significantly affected by equipment subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 43-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425025 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425025&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:43-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Castillo-Manzano Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Manzano Author-Name: Manuel Marchena-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Marchena-Gomez Title: Analysis of determinants of airline choice: profiling the LCC passenger Abstract: This article analyses the socioeconomic characteristics and trip attributes that influence or correlate with airline choice using a database of 20 000 passengers. One of the conclusions that should be highlighted is the lack of significance of socioeconomic variables except when the passenger is non-Spanish and the frequency with which one travels. And yet there are many trip attributes that condition the choice. Of these the following can be highlighted: the destination, the purpose, the need to transfer to another flight, the duration of the trip, the passenger's choice of accommodation or whether the trip is made on a weekend or not. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 49-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425108 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425108&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:49-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wade Pfau Author-X-Name-First: Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Pfau Title: An optimizing framework for the glide paths of life cycle asset allocation funds Abstract: In choosing a glide path strategy for asset allocation over their working lives, retirement savers face a trade-off between the higher expected wealth provided by strategies that maintain or increase equity holdings over time and the greater potential security offered from shifting into more conservative assets. We quantify this trade-off with an expected utility framework for our simulated distribution of target-date wealth accumulations under a variety of life cycle, fixed and contrarian glide path strategies. We find justification for the life cycle strategy for savers with very reasonable amounts of risk aversion, and we also provide guidance about utility-maximizing glide paths. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 55-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425124 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425124&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:55-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Krishna Chaitanya Vadlamannati Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Chaitanya Author-X-Name-Last: Vadlamannati Title: The level and growth effects of human capital in India Abstract: In the extended Solow growth model of Mankiw et al. (1992), human capital has only permanent level and no growth effects. In the endogenous growth models human capital is a growth-improving variable. Human capital may have both a permanent level and a permanent growth effect, we show how both can be estimated with an extension to the Solow model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shu-Chen Kang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for major oil-exporting countries using panel SURADF tests Abstract: The panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests advanced by Breuer et al. (2001) are used to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for eight major oil-exporting countries over the 1992:06 to 2008:02. Empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for eight major oil-exporting countries under study; however, Breuer et al.'s (2001) panel SURADF tests unequivocally indicate that PPP is valid for five countries with the exception of three countries, Kuwait, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. These results have important policy implications for these eight oil-exporting countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 63-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425041 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425041&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:63-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Changing volatility of long-term UK interest rates during Pax Britannica Abstract: It is generally believed that the political and economic stability pertaining during the heyday of Britain's imperial power contributed to reduced uncertainty in the UK financial markets at that time. Employing quite a unique data set for the sample period spanning 1850-1914, we examine in this study the stability of four long-term UK interest rates, including the yield on Consols. Although we find some evidence for changing volatility in three interest rates, it appears that overall the interest rates did indeed exhibit remarkable stability over the long sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 69-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425116 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425116&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:69-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pao-Peng Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Pao-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Chen-Hui Yen Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Author-Name: Ya-Hui Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Li-Ling Chou Author-X-Name-First: Li-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Cycle and performance of mutual funds - an application of spectral analysis Abstract: This study investigates the daily and monthly data of nine major categories of funds from 1997 to 2008. It hopes to verify if lead-lag relations exist amid different categories of funds. The study has come up with two major conclusions: (1) the funds in respective categories mostly have a regular cyclical phenomenon; (2) three kinds of lead-lag relations in return exist amid various categories of funds, in which the first kind of relations is bond funds leading equity funds and equity funds leading energy funds, the second kind of relations is bond funds leading technology funds and technology funds leading energy funds and the third kind of relations is currency funds leading real estate funds. Thus, the investors can not only optimize their investment portfolios but also know the timing that they should buy or sell the funds' position. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 75-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425132 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425132&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:75-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Hand Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Hand Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: How stable is the seasonal pattern in cinema admissions? Evidence from the UK Abstract: Conventionally, the seasonal pattern in a time series is taken as exogenous. However, two recent studies from the US have suggested, the seasonal component in box office revenue may in part be endogenously determined. Films that are expected to do well tend to be released at times of peak demand. Hence, the seasonal pattern may reflect both the underlying seasonal pattern and the market expansion effect of the films; evidence from the US suggests the former dominates the latter. This article investigates the same issue for the UK using a structural time series model. We find that, although the seasonal pattern varies over time, we are unable to reject the hypothesis that the seasonal factors are constant. This is consistent with findings from the US. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 81-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425140 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425140&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:81-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Pei-Chien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Price level convergence across cities? Evidence from panel unit root tests Abstract: This article empirically tests for convergence in Consumer Price Indices (CPIs) across 17 major cities in the United States over the period 1918 to 2008. Although the conventional panel unit root tests generally fail to reject the null hypothesis of nonstationarity, the panel LM tests of Im et al. (2005), by taking the presence of structural breaks into account, find overwhelming evidence in support of the hypothesis of price convergence The main finding is confirmed even when we consider both the structural changes and the cross-sectional dependence by using the recent advanced panel unit root approach of Bai and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2009). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-93 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425157 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425157&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:87-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Tarzijan Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tarzijan Author-Name: C. Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Firm, industry and corporation effects revisited: a mixed multilevel analysis for Chilean companies Abstract: The relative importance of the corporate, industry and firm effects on business performance has been studied profusely in the literature. Until now, little has been said about the nested structure of the problem. The multilevel analysis appears as a good alternative over the approaches used so far to better understand this phenomenon. This article analyses the significance of the aforesaid effects on Chilean firms and assesses the impact of various regressors on residual variances. The export intensity of firms and industries proved to have a significant impact on the estimated industry effect, making the industry-related variance statistically not different from zero. However, the industry's influence did not totally disappear, because the effect of export intensity on firms' profitability depends on the industry to which the firm belongs. Moreover, firm size turns out to be significant and positively associated with firm's return, which can be evidence of economies of scale or more efficient processes as a company grows in size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 95-100 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903425165 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903425165&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:95-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Author-Name: Galina Schwartz Author-X-Name-First: Galina Author-X-Name-Last: Schwartz Title: Transaction costs and iceberg costs Abstract: Iceberg costs are modelled as a transaction cost function, which increases exponentially in an action chosen by each player. The model estimates how much the players' joint ex post shares shrink in terms of their transaction constants and production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 101-102 Issue: 1 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427153 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427153&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:1:p:101-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Labonne Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Labonne Author-Name: Robert Chase Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Chase Title: So you want to quit smoking: have you tried a mobile phone? Abstract: Using spatially coded data on mobile phone coverage and panel data from 2100 households in 135 communities of the Philippines, we estimate the impact of mobile phone ownership on tobacco consumption. Purchasing a mobile phone leads to a 17.1% decrease in tobacco consumption per adult over the age of 15. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508309 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508309&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prakash Kannan Author-X-Name-First: Prakash Author-X-Name-Last: Kannan Author-Name: Pau Rabanal Author-X-Name-First: Pau Author-X-Name-Last: Rabanal Author-Name: Alasdair Scott Author-X-Name-First: Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Title: Recurring patterns in the run-up to house price busts Abstract: We present evidence that shows that large increases in credit and residential investment shares, along with deteriorating current account balances, provide useful leading indicators of house price busts. These variables also explain cross-sectional patterns in the build-up to the 2007 crisis. Interestingly, movements in output and inflation have little ability to predict house price busts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903427161 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903427161&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:107-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Israel Waichman Author-X-Name-First: Israel Author-X-Name-Last: Waichman Author-Name: Till Requate Author-X-Name-First: Till Author-X-Name-Last: Requate Author-Name: Ch'ng Kean Siang Author-X-Name-First: Ch'ng Kean Author-X-Name-Last: Siang Title: Managers and students playing Cournot - evidence from duopoly and triopoly experiments Abstract: This article reports results from Cournot duopoly and triopoly experiments with different subject pools: German students, Malaysian students and Malaysian managers. We find that Malaysian managers perform significantly more collusively than Malaysian students. We also find that country matters insofar as German students perform significantly more collusively than their Malaysian counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 115-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442988 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442988&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:115-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Beckworth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Beckworth Title: The stance of US monetary policy: an alternative measure Abstract: Knowing the stance of monetary policy is important for its successful implementation. Typically, observers look to the changes in the money supply and short-term interest rates to determine the stance of monetary policy. Sometimes, however, discerning the stance of monetary policy through these measures can be misleading. In this article, an alternative measure of the stance of US monetary policy is proposed and empirically examined, which appears to be a promising improvement over the standard metrics currently used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 121-125 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903459727 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903459727&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:121-125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Volpe Martincus Author-X-Name-First: Christian Volpe Author-X-Name-Last: Martincus Author-Name: Jeronimo Carballo Author-X-Name-First: Jeronimo Author-X-Name-Last: Carballo Author-Name: Andres Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Title: The impact of export promotion institutions on trade: is it the intensive or the extensive margin? Abstract: This article provides evidence on the channels through which export promotion institutions affect bilateral trade using a sample of Latin American and Caribbean countries over the period 1995 to 2004. We find that these institutions have a larger impact on the extensive margin of exports, especially in the case of trade promotion organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508283 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508283&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:127-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Finlay Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Finlay Author-Name: Callum Jones Author-X-Name-First: Callum Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Time-varying term premia and the expectations hypothesis in Australia Abstract: This article investigates whether the (rational) expectations hypothesis holds for Australian yield data (it does not), whether the hypothesis holds after adjusting for term premia estimated from an affine term structure model (it appears to) and whether the yield process implied by the term structure model can match the failure of the hypothesis on unadjusted yields (it can). These results suggest that the term structure model used in Finlay and Chambers (2009) does a reasonable job in capturing the risk-neutral and real-world dynamics of Australian interest rates, at least as measured through the prism of the expectations hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:133-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Farmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Farmer Author-Name: Eric Belasco Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Belasco Title: A finite mixture model of heterogeneous anchoring with distinct anchoring patterns Abstract: Bayesian models of starting price effects in contingent valuation studies have been used to track and to correct for starting price effects for more than two decades. Since then, the single parameter form that has been used to estimate the starting price effect has been adapted to distinguish among strategically induced, Bayesian or yea-saying responses (Whitehead, 2002). Recent works, however, show that these diagnostics can be inaccurate if heterogeneity exists in the value of the updating parameter. This work allows a more flexible functional form, beyond the single updating parameter, to capture a potentially richer set of starting price effects that may operate in a single dataset. First we employ a finite mixture model to sort respondents into latent classes. The finite mixture model locates three distinct types (latent classes) of respondents, and each exhibits a discretely different starting price-affected behaviour in a subsequent regression. Heterogeneity does not follow a continuous distribution across one starting price effect, such as a Bayesian updating parameter, that might be captured by a random parameter estimator. Rather effects fall into discrete classes. Researchers will need to better match theory to the diverse array of starting price effects detected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 137-141 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508275 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:137-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Makdissi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Makdissi Author-Name: Myra Yazbeck Author-X-Name-First: Myra Author-X-Name-Last: Yazbeck Title: Assessing the redistributive impact of higher education tuition fees reforms: the case of Quebec Abstract: In this article, we analyse the redistributive impact of a recent reform of tuition fees in Quebec. We adapt Duclos et al.'s (2005) methodology to a generalized Lorenz framework. Many policy analysts argued that maintaining low higher education tuition fees is regressive. We take a look at the empirical validity of this argument using data from Statistics Canada's Survey of Labor and Income Dynamics. We show the importance of using data to validate this argument. The results obtained allow for the conclusion that this redistributive argument is empirically not verified for the province of Quebec. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 143-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508325 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508325&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:143-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Busse Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Busse Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Author-Name: Mariana Spatareanu Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Spatareanu Title: Foreign direct investment and labour rights: a panel analysis of bilateral FDI flows Abstract: The article analyses the impact of fundamental labour rights on bilateral Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows to 82 developing countries. The results indicate that investments by multinationals are significantly higher in countries that adhere to labour rights, thereby refuting the hypothesis that repression of these rights fosters FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559500 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559500&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:149-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pieter de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Pieter Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Title: Are revenue forecasts rational? Evidence surrounding Reg FD Abstract: I test the rationality of analysts' revenue forecasts for a sample of value and growth stocks, which have been shown to have different valuation properties in previous research. Using one-quarter-ahead revenue forecasts and actual sales figures in a firm-by-firm and panel setting in the period 1997 to 2007, I find that all revenue forecasts are rational and actually improved after the introduction of regulation fair disclosure, albeit in larger proportion for value stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 153-160 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508317 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508317&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:153-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Boudreau Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Boudreau Title: All-pay auctions with discrete action spaces Abstract: This article describes all-pay auctions with discrete action spaces and shows that pure-strategy Nash equilibria may exist. Such equilibria are shown to be potentially more favourable to both buyers and sellers than the more standard mixed-strategy equilibria, thus suggesting that it can be in the interest of both sides to limit bidders' action spaces. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-162 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442954 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442954&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:161-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: FDI and human capital in the USA: is FDI in different industries created equal? Abstract: We use data in the USA to study the effect of inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in different sectors/industries on the state-level human capital, measured by the average years of tertiary schooling. We find that inward manufacturing FDI tends to lower the tertiary schooling in a host state while information FDI increases the tertiary schooling in a host state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 163-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442962 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442962&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:163-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hua Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Eric Lin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Does purchasing power parity hold following the launch of the euro? Evidence from the panel unit root test Abstract: Using a richer panel data set with more representative price indexes, this article adopts Pesaran's (2007) panel unit root test to study the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) across the eurozone countries both before and after the launch of the euro in 1999. We find that PPP holds before the introduction of the single currency, whereas it fails to hold after 1999. Our result is consistent with the finding in Engel and Rogers (2004) and Rogers (2007) that there is no longer a tendency to support the law of one price following the birth of the euro. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903442970 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903442970&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:167-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Ramprasath Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramprasath Title: Simpler proofs in finance and shout options Abstract: In the discrete binomial model for option pricing, the price of an American option is obtained using a backward recursion algorithm. However, the currently available justification for this algorithm is long and circuitous. Similarly, the key result used in the justification for antithetic sampling is not proved in standard financial texts. The proof is relegated to an older article, where the required result is masked by general details about association of random variables. This article gives self-contained, considerably simpler, proofs for both these basic results and extends these results to more general applications. In particular, it settles the question of optimality of early shouting for the buyer of Shout call options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903493189 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903493189&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:173-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niclas Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Niclas Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Title: The impact of economic fluctuations on crime: a multiscale analysis Abstract: In this article we use a wavelet-based approach in order to analyse the periodicity in the relationship between economic fluctuations and different types of crime. All examined types of crime share seasonal behaviour with variations of real economic activity. Removing the intrayear dynamics, we find that the effect of real economic activity is different between different types of crime. We conclude that property crimes, violence crimes and sex crimes are countercyclical. The reverse is true for both alcohol/drug-related crimes and economic crimes, because there is a highly significant increase of these types of crime during economic expansions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 179-182 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:179-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefania Mojon-Azzi Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Mojon-Azzi Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Hypertension and life satisfaction: an analysis using data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe Abstract: This study examines the relationship between hypertension and life satisfaction using more objective measures of hypertension from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. Our results confirm the analysis in Blanchflower and Oswald (2008): there is a significant negative correlation between high blood pressure problems and life satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 183-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508291 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508291&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:183-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Gabas Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Gabas Author-Name: Maria-Dolores Gadea Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Gadea Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Title: Change in the persistence of the real exchange rates Abstract: We investigate the existence of multiple structural changes in the persistence of a broad sample of Real Exchange Rate (RER) using a new methodology proposed by Kejriwal et al. (2009). The application of this procedure shows that RER persistence has been unstable during the twentieth century. Yoon (2009) reaches the noteworthy conclusion that stationary RERs are more likely to be found in fixed nominal exchange rate regimes than in floating ones. Nevertheless, we find no support for this conclusion when the deterministic trend is withdrawn from the equation specification and the sample is extended by a decade with data belonging to the current float. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-192 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508333 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508333&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:189-192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodney Paul Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Andrew Weinbach Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Weinbach Title: NFL bettor biases and price setting: further tests of the Levitt hypothesis of sportsbook behaviour Abstract: Empirical support for the Levitt hypothesis of sportsbook behaviour, where sportsbooks set prices to maximize profits, not to clear the market, is shown using data from actual sportsbooks. Betting percentages on favourites and underdogs (pointspread market) and overs and unders (totals market) were obtained using actual dollars bet (www.sportsbook.com) and percentage of bets made (www.sportsinsights.com). Both data sets reinforce the idea that sportsbooks are not setting prices to attract even betting dollars on both sides of the proposition. Big favourites, road favourites and overs on high totals are all shown to attract a significantly higher percentage of bets in both samples. Betting against public sentiment is shown to be statistically profitable for the National Football League pointspread market, but not in the market for totals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 193-197 Issue: 2 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903508242 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903508242&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:2:p:193-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajen Mookerjee Author-X-Name-First: Rajen Author-X-Name-Last: Mookerjee Author-Name: Jellina Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jellina Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Banking services, transaction costs and international remittance flows Abstract: Using a unique data set on the financial sector, this article assesses the impact that financial sector development has on international remittance flows for a sample of 64 countries. The results show that greater financial sector development - as measured by bank branches per 1000 km2 - results in greater remittance flows to a country. However, this study also documents that transaction costs have no impact on remittance flows. This latter finding has important policy implications as reductions in transaction costs are often cited as an important approach to increase remittance flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-205 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614146 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614146&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:199-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matias Fontenla Author-X-Name-First: Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenla Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Troy Quast Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Quast Title: Are recessions good for everyone's health? The association between mortality and the business cycle by race/ethnicity in the US Abstract: This article studies the effect of the business cycle on the mortality rates of the major racial/ethnic groups in the USA. We use county-level data from 1999 to 2005 and employ a panel econometric approach that includes county- and year-fixed effects. We found that the mortality rates for whites and latinos are procyclical, i.e, that economic expansions (contractions) are associated with increases (decreases) in mortality. Moreover, the magnitude of this relationship is larger for latinos than for whites. However, we generally do not find a statistically significant relationship for blacks. Finally, the procyclical relationship for whites and latinos increases in magnitude as the county becomes less racially/ethnically diverse. Taken together, these findings suggest that the procyclical association identified in previous studies of the overall US population may vary by race and ethnicity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614120 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614120&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:207-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Feenstra Schultz Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Feenstra Author-X-Name-Last: Schultz Author-Name: David John Doorn Author-X-Name-First: David John Author-X-Name-Last: Doorn Title: Employer health benefit costs and demand for part-time labour Abstract: The current healthcare policy debate in the USA has stressed the fact that a growing number of Americans are going without health insurance coverage. Much of this decline in coverage is due to rising costs affecting employer's provision of health insurance benefits to their employees. One potential avenue for this is through employers changing their employment mix and decreasing the number of employees eligible for such benefits in an effort to reduce costs. In this study we investigate the link between rising employer costs for health insurance benefits and the demand for part-time workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-216 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614112 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614112&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:213-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Shi Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Time-varying X-efficiency: evidence from US property casualty insurers Abstract: The existing efficiency studies for the insurance industry rely on the time-invariant efficiency assumption, presumably because of the short duration of observation. However, temporal variation in firm efficiency could be substantial even for a short period of time. We demonstrate this point by examining the X-efficiency for the US property casualty insurers utilizing stochastic panel frontier models. Efficiencies are estimated under both time-invariant and time-varying efficiency assumptions using a large panel dataset from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) of years 2001-2006. It is shown that the two assumptions result in significantly different estimates. To test whether the estimated efficiencies correspond well to the properties that the true efficiencies should have, we investigate the relationship between the efficiency measures and other indicators of firm performance. The results suggest that the stochastic panel frontier model with time-varying efficiency provides more reasonable estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 217-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559559 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559559&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:217-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Claeys Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Claeys Author-Name: Fabio Manca Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Manca Title: A missing spatial link in institutional quality Abstract: History tells that institutions evolve gradually over time, pushing new ideas across borders and cultures. Globalization is argued to accelerate this process. We examine the spatial links of different political institutions across borders. Applying various tests for spatial proximity, we do not find evidence of contemporaneous spatial links. This result is robust to various measures of distance and of cultural proximity across countries. Instead, when we analyse long-run dynamics, diffusion of institutions seems to occur only gradually. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 223-227 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559542 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559542&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:223-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Alessandro Girardi Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Girardi Title: Price formation on the EuroMTS platform Abstract: This article examines the process of price discovery in the Mercato Telematico dei Titoli di Stato (MTS) system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro-denominated government securities on a number of (relatively large) domestic markets and on a (relatively small) European marketplace (EuroMTS). Using 27 months of daily data for 107 pairs of bonds, we present unambiguous evidence that trades on EuroMTS have a sizeable informational content. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 229-233 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:229-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Kozyra Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kozyra Author-Name: Camillo Lento Author-X-Name-First: Camillo Author-X-Name-Last: Lento Title: Filter rules: follow the trend or take the contrarian approach? Abstract: This article compares a trending approach to the filter trading rule against a contrarian approach. It is found that, after adjusting for transaction costs, the contrarian approach consistently outperforms the trending approach and is able to earn returns in excess of the buy-and-hold trading strategy. The significance and the robustness of the results are supported by a bootstrap simulation and sub-period analysis, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 235-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636164 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636164&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:235-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francois Delcourt Author-X-Name-First: Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Delcourt Author-Name: Mikael Petitjean Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Petitjean Title: To what extent is resampling useful in portfolio management? Abstract: We take a new look at the resampled efficiencyTM technique developed by Michaud (1998) and compare it with the Markowitz mean-variance portfolio construction technique by assessing the performance of three representative portfolios, i.e. the Global Minimum Variance (GMV) portfolio, the Intermediate Return (I) portfolio and the Maximum Return (M) portfolio. We show that resampling leads to more stable and more diversified portfolios. However, the out-of-sample analysis shows that resampling does not systematically increase (decrease) the risk adjusted performance (turnover) of the portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 239-244 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636123 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636123&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:239-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Inyeob Ji Author-X-Name-First: Philip Inyeob Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: The impact of Asian crisis on market integration: evidence from East Asian real interest rates Abstract: This article examines the linkage of real interest rates for a group of East Asian countries. Monthly real interest rates data are considered for the USA, Japan, Korea, Singapore and Thailand from 1980 to 2005. It is found that the degree of capital market integration has increased after the Asian financial crisis in 1997. Before the crisis, both the US and Japanese capital markets dominated the region. After the crisis, the dominance of the Japanese market has completely disappeared while the US market remains the sole dominant player. Also it appears that Korea was insulated from the regional market influence before the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 245-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003596038 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003596038&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:245-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ralph Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Chen Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for 16 Latin American countries: panel SURADF tests Abstract: In this study, we apply the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests developed by Breuer et al. (2001) to revisit the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for 16 Latin American countries. The empirical results from several panel-based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for these 16 countries under study. However, panel SURADF tests indicate that PPP is valid for 3 of these 16 countries. These results have important policy implications for these 16 Latin American countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-255 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559518 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559518&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:251-255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Buhm Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sang Buhm Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Seungyeon Won Author-X-Name-First: Seungyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Won Title: The behaviour of individual traders and the persistence of arbitrage trading Abstract: This article analyses the influence of individual traders on the persistence of arbitrage opportunities, using futures market data from the Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200. The empirical results show that individual traders traded towards increasing arbitrage opportunities unlike other types of traders. This study helps explain the reason why arbitrage opportunities persist even when arbitrage trading is executed in the real world. According to our empirical results, arbitrage opportunities can persist if the behaviour of individual traders regarding arbitrage opportunities overwhelms other traders who are against arbitrage opportunities. This is not fully explained by previous studies that attributed the persistence of arbitrage opportunities to the limit to arbitrage. In this context, this study suggests that two separate arguments need to be combined for explaining arbitrage trading in the real world, namely studies of arbitrage trading and the behavioural approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 257-261 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559526 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559526&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:257-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Author-Name: Stephen Lile Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Lile Title: The role of politics and economics in the allocation of federal stimulus spending Abstract: This study identifies the political and economic variables that explain differences among US states in per capita funding resulting from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. We find a marginal statistically significant negative relationship between states that have been traditionally Democratic (Blue states) versus those that have traditionally been Republican (Red states). Additionally, we find a highly statistically significant negative relationship between states that were traditionally Republican but voted for President Obama in the 2008 election (Blue states) and traditionally Red states. Furthermore, our findings suggest that there is a statistically significant positive relationship between union representation for a state and per capita funding and between per capita electoral votes and per capita funding. With regard to economic variables, we find that a state's unemployment rate has a positive and statistically significant influence with regard to funding, but a state's poverty rate has no statistically significant impact on funding. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 263-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559534 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559534&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:263-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Fountain Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Fountain Author-Name: Glenn Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Title: What do prediction markets predict? Abstract: We show that prediction markets cannot be relied on to always elicit any interesting statistic of aggregate beliefs. Formal derivations of the bets placed in prediction markets can be viewed as demands for state-contingent commodities. We provide derivations for two popular cases, log utility and Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) utility, connecting these derivations to familiar scoring rules. We then use these results to demonstrate how the properties of prediction markets depend critically on the assumed homogeneity of participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-272 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850903559575 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504850903559575&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:267-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russ Ray Author-X-Name-First: Russ Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Econophysics: finance, economics and physics Abstract: This article examines the new science of 'econophysics' that utilizes physics models to explain economic and financial behaviour. First neologized in 1995, this innovative research methodology combines non-linear models, scaling laws, statistical mechanics and the Cauchy and Levy distributions to explain economic and financial behaviour more robustly than traditional economic and financial tools, which predominantly utilize linear models and Gaussian distributions. The conclusion of this article is that economics and finance will eventually absorb the powerful tools of econophysics as they continue to evolve as dominant social sciences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 273-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003596020 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003596020&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Mohamed Hedi Arouri Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Hedi Author-X-Name-Last: Arouri Title: The current international financial crisis in 10 questions: some lessons Abstract: This article aims to explore the most important sources and implications of the current international financial downturn, while analyzing and discussing a recently published book on finance by Professor Michel Aglietta, written in 2008, in which the author expands on the sources of the current international financial crisis and suggests several possible solutions. In particular, while analyzing Aglietta's answers to 10 questions, we examine, firstly, the most important microeconomic sources (i.e. governance problems, market imperfections, audit and new international financial reporting standard limitations) and macroeconomic explanations (i.e. the impact of the Asian crisis and the development of emerging models) for the current financial downturn. We then investigate the most notable features and characteristics of the current crisis. Finally, we identify the most widely expected economic, social, political and geopolitical outcomes of the present market turmoil and explain what we expect the financial world to look like once the crisis is over. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 279-283 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:279-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Osman Suliman Author-X-Name-First: Osman Author-X-Name-Last: Suliman Title: The large country effect, contagion and spillover effects in the GCC Abstract: This article examines contagion and crisis propagation (spillovers) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies over the period 1960 to 2002. It also examines whether contagion occurred in Saudi Arabia (large country) after the 1987 US stock market crash and the 1997 Thai exchange rate devaluation and whether these contagion shocks spillover to smaller countries of the region. Spillovers are likely to occur among interdependent countries within the same geographical region. Tests based on correlation coefficients, ARCH/GARCH estimates and direct change (generalized least squares regression) propagation effects indicate that contagion from the US stock market crash and the Thai devaluation occurred in Saudi Arabia, and these external shocks were propagated to smaller GCC countries. This suggests that GCC countries are likely to mitigate such propagations through economic integration. Thus, the idea of GCC formation may help insulate Gulf economies against crisis propagation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-294 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003614138 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003614138&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:285-294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Turan Katircioglu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Turan Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioglu Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Do macroeconomic fundamentals affect exchange market pressure? Evidence from bounds testing approach for Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) and macroeconomic fundamentals in Turkey using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) within the framework of the canonical currency crisis models. The results of the bounds tests suggest the existence of a level relationship between EMP and the selected macroeconomic fundamentals. The results of the VECM also suggest that there exists a unidirectional causation that runs from those macroeconomic fundamentals to EMP in the case of the Turkish Economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 295-300 Issue: 3 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636110 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/00036841003636110&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:3:p:295-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: On the arbitrariness of consumption Abstract: We discuss a simple model of choices of joint consumption by a working couple who place maintenance of their marriage (relationship) above all else. Any proposal made by one partner seeking to provide maximal utility to the other so as to preserve the marriage, in the case where preferences of partners are unknown, will be accepted. In this sense consumption is arbitrary. In the concluding section, we suggest that while overly simple, this structure may characterize to some degree significant amounts of observed consumption, emphasizing how social arrangements and the value placed on them by individuals can impact on observed economic behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 301-304 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003655024 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003655024&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:301-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ciaran Driver Author-X-Name-First: Ciaran Author-X-Name-Last: Driver Author-Name: Katsushi Imai Author-X-Name-First: Katsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Imai Title: Testing the uncertainty-investment relationship using survey data on capital stock disequilibrium Abstract: This article uses unique survey-based data that record the extent of positive and negative disequilibrium in capital stock at industry level. Change in these disequilibria are hypothesized to take account of planned and revised targets, and the influence of uncertainty on adjustment. We find that increased uncertainty slows the adjustment of fixed capital towards equilibrium levels. That is consistent with the predictions of real options theory and partial irreversibility models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-310 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:305-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. P. Gius Author-X-Name-First: M. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effects of curfews on juvenile criminal activity: an individual-level analysis Abstract: The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of juvenile curfews on the criminal activities of young adults. Using individual-level data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth - Geocode (NLSY) data set and estimating an economic model of crime for young adults, this study finds that although curfews have no statistically significant effect on the criminal behaviour of young adults, they do have a negative effect on the arrests of young adults. These results differ somewhat from the results of prior studies but lend support to community officials who believe that curfews are an effective tool in combating juvenile crime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 311-313 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:311-313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: Public debt financing, ownership structures and bankers on boards: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article provides new insights on determinants that affect the allocation of bankers to firm boards by focusing on the benefits and costs they bring to the boards. Using data on Japanese firms during the period 2003-2007, we find that firms with lower credit ratings have higher proportions of bankers on their boards to gain easier access to bank credit. In contrast, firms with large shareholders face potential costs arising from conflicts of interest between large shareholders and banks, and accept fewer bankers on their boards. The results indicate that availability of public debt financing and ownership structures are important factors affecting the allocation of bankers to firm boards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 315-318 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:315-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Auer Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Author-Name: Martin Schuster Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schuster Title: Does the financial crisis influence the random walk behaviour of international stock markets? Abstract: In this note, we use several modern multiple variance ratio tests (VR tests) to investigate whether the financial crisis has an impact on the random walk behaviour of international stock markets. Grouping a pre-crisis- and a crisis-panel in developed, emerging and frontier markets, respectively, and using daily returns of selected Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) International Equity Indices we find that markets classified as developed or emerging mostly follow a random walk whereas we find the opposite for frontier markets. Frontier markets show a higher proportion of countries that experience changes in the random walk behaviour and changes from random walk to nonrandom walk are more frequent. We also find that the choice of multiple VR test does not matter for this kind of analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670676 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670676&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:319-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Dahlbom Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlbom Author-Name: A. Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Author-Name: N. Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Author-Name: A. Kotsadam Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kotsadam Title: Gender and overconfidence: are girls really overconfident? Abstract: Previous research finds that people are overconfident and that men are more overconfident than women. Using a very precise confidence measure, this article shows, however, that whereas boys are overconfident, girls are actually underconfident regarding their mathematics performance. We conducted a survey where 14-year-old high school students were asked what grade they thought they would get in a mathematics test a week later. These results were then compared with their actual grade. Boys were overconfident about their grades, whereas girls were underconfident. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-327 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:325-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olugbenga Ajilore Author-X-Name-First: Olugbenga Author-X-Name-Last: Ajilore Author-Name: John Smith Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Ethnic fragmentation and police spending Abstract: Using a two-stage least-squares procedure, we estimate the relationship between ethnic fragmentation and police spending using a cross-section of the US counties. Our results show that, when controlling for community characteristics and accounting for simultaneity bias, ethnic fragmentation is positively related to police spending. This article contributes to the understanding of the stylized fact that public spending on police increased over a period in which the incidence of crime decreased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-332 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670650 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670650&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:329-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Mazeda Gil Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Mazeda Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Technological-knowledge dynamics in lab-equipment models of quality ladders Abstract: The Perpetual Inventory Model (PIM) assumes that, in each period, an arbitrary constant fraction of technological-knowledge stock is lost. We give a theoretical background to the PIM by showing that the technological-knowledge accumulation follows a dynamic process with an endogenous depreciation rate, which remains stable in steady state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 333-336 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:333-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullah Mamun Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Mamun Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Ihsan Isik Author-X-Name-First: Ihsan Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Title: Cross-border impact of the Financial Services Modernization Act: evidence from large foreign banks Abstract: This article investigates the impact of the Financial Services Modernization Act (FSMA) on foreign banks. We find that the banking sectors of most developed countries experience significant negative spillover effect. However, the impacts on any two countries' banking sectors are not identical. Most importantly, we show that exposure to systematic risk with respect to the world equity index can explain the cross-sectional variation of the wealth effects. We also find that larger banks are more adversely affected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-341 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:337-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuyoshi Yamori Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamori Author-Name: Kei Tomimura Author-X-Name-First: Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Tomimura Author-Name: Kozo Harimaya Author-X-Name-First: Kozo Author-X-Name-Last: Harimaya Title: What kinds of credit associations favour introducing new financial technology? Abstract: Since 2003, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) has set relationship banking enhancement program as an important strategic task to improve the functions of regional financial institutions. In this enhancement program, the FSA recommended that regional financial institutions introduce new financial products such as collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and collateralized bond obligations (CBOs). However, this was left up to each institution's discretion rather than being mandatory. This resulted in a large difference in the introduction of new products. Therefore, this article has analysed what kinds of credit associations favourably increased the use of new financial products. As a result, it has been confirmed that the larger their lending shares and management scale and the better their business conditions are, the more positively they work on the introduction of new products. Considering the fact that relationships between financial institutions and enterprises tend to be fixed in Japan, this means that medium and small enterprises will have restrictions on the financial products they can use depending on the situation of their main banks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-347 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636131 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636131&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:343-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Purchasing power parity in Mexico: a historical note Abstract: Purchasing power parity has been the subject of many empirical studies. Much of this work has focused on recent history in developed countries. This article reports results of tests for nonlinear, mean reversion of the real exchange rate for a less-developed country, Mexico, using a previously unexploited data set of monthly observations for 1930-1960. The test results provide limited support for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenshu Gao Author-X-Name-First: Wenshu Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Firm size and wages in China Abstract: We find that larger firms in China actually pay lower wages. The most plausible explanation for this result is that larger firms in China employ a higher ratio of blue-collar workers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636156 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636156&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Nunez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Nunez Author-Name: Andrea Tartakowsky Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Tartakowsky Title: The relationship between income inequality and inequality of opportunities in a high-inequality country: the case of Chile Abstract: Based on Bourguignon et al. (2005, 2007), we explore the extent to which income inequality in Chile is associated with inequality of 'opportunities', proxied by inequality in observed socioeconomic circumstances of origin. We found that equalizing a diverse set of observed circumstances across individuals reduces the Gini and the Theil coefficients by about 15 and 25%, respectively. Almost half of the effect of observed circumstances on incomes is transmitted directly to earnings, whereas the rest is indirectly transmitted through the accumulation of schooling. Further results suggest that the influence of unobserved circumstances on income inequality may be limited; hence aspects such as preferences, choices, transitory income shocks and income measurement errors may be important factors behind observed income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 359-369 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003636172 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003636172&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:359-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joëlle Noailly Author-X-Name-First: Joëlle Author-X-Name-Last: Noailly Author-Name: Dinand Webbink Author-X-Name-First: Dinand Author-X-Name-Last: Webbink Author-Name: Bas Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Bas Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Title: Should the government stimulate enrolment in science and engineering studies? Abstract: In many countries there is a deep concern about shortages of Science and Engineering workers (S&E). This article focuses on the effectiveness of policies aimed at stimulating the supply of S&E workers in the Netherlands. Despite the 'common wisdom' of severe and increasing shortages, we do not find evidence for a tight labour market of S&E workers. Instead, the data suggest that S&E workers have become less scarce since 1996. Stimulating enrolment in S&E studies may not be an effective policy for increasing R&D activity in the Netherlands because the majority of Dutch S&E freshmen do not end up working in R&D. They drop out during their S&E study or choose other jobs. In addition, the internationalization of the market for S&E workers tends to counter the effects of supply-side policies because the growing supply of foreign S&E graduates puts downward pressure on wages. As a result, demand-side policies may be more effective because they are directly targeted at fostering R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 371-375 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003652385 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003652385&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:371-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. -W. Kim Author-X-Name-First: B. -W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: S. -H. Seol Author-X-Name-First: S. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Seol Author-Name: D. -H. Lee Author-X-Name-First: D. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Indirect access to mobile networks: economic effects and policy implications Abstract: This study investigates the economic effects that may be expected from the introduction of an indirect access (IA) scheme, a potentially effective tool for stimulating competition, into Korea's mobile market. We estimate the changes in consumer surplus and operator's net revenues attributable to the IA system, using actual or estimated market data such as the price elasticity, call traffics, prices and interconnection charges, combined with some competition scenarios. Our results suggest that the increase of consumer surplus by the introduction of an IA scheme would be sizeable, regardless of its type and that is largest under the scheme access charge is regulated on cost-plus basis and mandated for Significant Market Power (SMP) only to provide interconnection service if IA providers (IAP) request. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-381 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670593 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670593&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:377-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Geronikolaou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Geronikolaou Author-Name: George Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Title: Is there an adverse effect of uncertainty on Venture Capital? The European evidence Abstract: Early-stage and, to a lesser degree, expansion Venture Capital (VC) investment exhibits evident irreversibility characteristics and, according to the irreversibility-delay theory of investment, should thus be sensitive to real and financial uncertainty. The objective of this article is to examine to what extent VC investment is adversely affected by macroeconomic uncertainty on the basis of a European dataset from 1995 to 2005. Our results indicate that price uncertainty and interest rate volatility do not significantly affect European VC finance and that only growth and cost of capital considerations seem to matter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-388 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670601 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670601&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:383-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Haupt Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Haupt Author-Name: Verena Petring Author-X-Name-First: Verena Author-X-Name-Last: Petring Title: Assessing parametric misspecification and heterogeneity in growth regression Abstract: A fully nonparametric analysis is applied to address the problems of nonlinearity and heterogeneity in classical growth regression models using original data from seminal contributions in this field. Nonparametric specification tests and in-sample goodness-of-fit measures, as well as cross-validation based out-of-sample measures provide considerable evidence for parametric misspecification and a superior performance of a nonparametric model, despite the small sample size. In contrast to recent contributions identifying heterogeneity as the primal source of misspecification, a formal and graphical analysis does not reveal evidence for heterogeneity in a parametric and nonparametric quantile regression framework. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 389-394 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003670643 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003670643&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:389-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziana La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Title: Debt-maturity, corporate diversification and relatedness Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the financing choices of multibusiness firms, in terms of debt-maturity. The results suggest that the degree of product diversification and the direction of diversification (related or unrelated) translate into different corporate financial behaviours. In particular, diversification related or unrelated had opposite effects on debt-maturity; the former strategy has a negative effect whereas the latter has a positive influence on debt-maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 395-398 Issue: 4 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689635 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689635&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:4:p:395-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudiger Ahrend Author-X-Name-First: Rudiger Author-X-Name-Last: Ahrend Author-Name: Jens Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Author-Name: Fabrice Murtin Author-X-Name-First: Fabrice Author-X-Name-Last: Murtin Title: Have more strictly regulated banking systems fared better during the recent financial crisis? Abstract: We assess whether during the recent financial crisis banking systems in countries with more stringent prudential banking regulation have proved more stable. We find indicators of regulatory strength to be relatively well correlated with the extent to which countries have escaped damage during the recent crisis, as measured either by the degree of equity value destruction in the banking sector or by the fiscal cost of financial sector rescue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-403 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689684 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689684&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:399-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Hammond Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hammond Title: Auctioning to buyers with correlated values Abstract: In a laboratory setting, a monopolistic auctioneer sells to buyers as the level and nature of demand changes. I ask whether sellers correctly recognize the role played by correlation among buyers' values. The prices set by subjects closely match the risk-neutral benchmark predictions when demand follows the independent-private-values framework. In contrast, subjects fail to correctly account for correlation among buyers' values once the independence assumption is dropped. I offer two new models of pricing in a correlated-values environment. The model that suggests sellers ignore correlation outperforms both the benchmark and the model that suggests sellers incorrectly account for correlation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 405-409 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724275 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724275&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:405-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Pei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Pei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Re-examining long-run purchasing power parity for Central and Eastern European countries: nonlinear panel unit root tests Abstract: This study applies nonlinear panel unit root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for seven Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC). We find that nonlinear panel unit root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Breuer et al. (2001) if the true data-generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We re-examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the panel nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for five countries, namely, Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Russia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724218 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724218&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bruner Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bruner Title: Multiple switching behaviour in multiple price lists Abstract: A common mechanism to elicit risk preferences requires a respondent to make a series of dichotomous choices. A recurring problem with this mechanism is a frequently observed tendency to switch from the less to the more risky choice multiple times, multiple switching behaviour. We introduce an instructional variation which our evidence suggests practically eliminates such behaviour. We read a script emphasizing only one decision will determine earnings before providing written instructions. Emphasizing the incentive compatibility of the payment rule reduces observed multiple switching behaviour from 13.3% to 2.3% in one format and from 25.8% to 6.7% in another. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-420 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724242 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724242&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:417-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Pasten Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Pasten Author-Name: J. P. Cover Author-X-Name-First: J. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cover Title: Does the Chilean government smooth taxes? A tax-smoothing model with revenue collection from a natural resource Abstract: This article uses a present value test to examine whether the Chilean government has smoothed taxes optimally since 1973. An important portion of the Chilean government's revenue is the result of royalties it earns from the extraction of copper. An appropriate test for tax-smoothing therefore must recognize that this part of the government's revenue is not completely under its control. The results provide strong evidence for tax smoothing when royalties from copper are treated as not being under government control, but only weak evidence if they are treated as if they are under government control. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 421-425 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705274 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705274&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:421-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Heck Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Heck Author-Name: Rajneesh Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Rajneesh Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Leading contributing institutions to the elite finance journals: affiliation on publication versus current institutional affiliation Abstract: This study examines the ranking by institutional affiliation of authors appearing in the six leading finance journals (Financial Management, Journal of Banking and Finance, Journal of Finance, Journal of Financial Economics, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis and Review of Financial Studies) over the past 25 years (1984-2008). Unlike previous studies that rank schools' appearances in finance journals, this study compares the rankings of schools that appear on the articles at the time of publication versus the ranking of schools based on authors' current institutional affiliation. In a mobile academic marketplace, the schools with faculty appearing most frequently in the leading journals may change over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 427-432 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689676 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689676&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:427-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. R. Hughes Author-X-Name-First: D. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Author-Name: D. T. Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: D. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: D. P. Molinari Author-X-Name-First: D. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Molinari Title: Heeding the call: seminary enrollment and the business cycle Abstract: We examine a panel of divinity school enrollments to explore the motivations of prospective clergy considering post-graduate training in preparation for the ministry. Employing the fixed-effects within estimator allows us to see pecuniary motivations while controlling for the differences between types of divinity school and denomination. We find decisions by prospective clergy to enroll in seminary are responsive to changes in the business cycle as well as salaries. Our results reinforce the view that variation in opportunity costs associated with business cycles plays a significant role in the timing of human capital formation even for those with mostly nonmonetary motivations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 433-437 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:433-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Berg Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: An application of kernel-based versus one-to-one propensity score matching for a nonexperimental causal study: example from a disease management program evaluation Abstract: Objective: To discuss and compare kernel-based matching with one-to-one propensity score matching applied to disease management. Data sources: Administrative claims data from a US Medicaid fee for service plan. Study design: Matched two group analyses using both kernel-based matching and one-to-one propensity score matching. This comparison is applied to the estimation of diabetes disease management treatment effects. Principle findings: Kernel-based matching is found to be better than one-to-one propensity score matching when there is no sufficient number of potential controls from which to draw a matched cohort but similar when there is a sufficient number of potential controls. Matching was applied in the context of a diabetes disease management program that showed an increase in management of each person's medical care through the disease management program. Conclusions: The approach provides a methodology for researchers to evaluate healthcare service innovations without a randomized trial design and delineates the requirements for a matched analysis. Matching was applied in the context of a disease management program showing better patient management through the disease management program. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-447 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003689692 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003689692&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:439-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: William Wilson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: The impact of emergence of Chinese international corn markets on Chinese and US corn prices Abstract: Because of reduced stockholding, Chinese domestic corn markets are becoming much more interdependent with the rest of the world. As China's economy continues to transition from centrally planned to market oriented, internal pressure for increased use of market mechanisms in trading corn and other commodities is continuous. Moreover, there is also external pressure for increased use of market mechanisms because of the accession of China to the World Trade Organization (WTO). The objective of this article is to evaluate the dynamic interrelationships between Chinese corn prices in producing, consuming and export/import locations and the US Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) price. A novel dataset including daily prices from dominant cash markets at producing regions, at export/import ports and at major consuming regions within China, as well as prices at Chicago is used in the analysis. Based on results of Vector Error Correction (VEC) model, prices in these markets are correlated in short run while error correction terms indicate long-run relationship among Chinese prices only. Causality relationships suggest that Dalian export price in China precedes the US price in the short run. However, shocks to any of Chinese prices have no long-term impact on the behaviour of US corn prices and the vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 449-454 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724192 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724192&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:449-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianfranco Giulioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianfranco Author-X-Name-Last: Giulioni Author-Name: Edgardo Bucciarelli Author-X-Name-First: Edgardo Author-X-Name-Last: Bucciarelli Title: Agent's behaviour in a sequential Dutch auction: evidence from the Pescara wholesale fish market Abstract: In this article we perform an empirical investigation to detect whether and to what extent agents' behaviour departs from those foreseen by the orthodox economic theory in the Pescara wholesale fish market, which has a centralized structure. Using non-parametric techniques and tools from statistical physics, we tackle the issue investigating features such as the dynamics of the structure of attendance in auctions, the varieties of fish presentation during the seller's turn and the presence of long-term relationships between buyers and sellers. We follow this way instead of focusing on the price dispersion and dynamics to avoid risking that the unobserved quality differences of the traded products might bias the results of the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 455-460 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705266 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705266&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:455-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Bojesteanu Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bojesteanu Author-Name: Gabriel Bobeică Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Bobeică Title: The propagation of European monetary policy shocks into Romania's economy Abstract: This article analyses the role of monetary shocks in transmitting macroeconomic fluctuations across countries within a two-country framework, with a special emphasis on the case of Romania. Based on the estimation results for various specifications of the European Central Bank reaction function, we argue that the proper framework for isolating the European monetary policy shocks includes survey data. To determine the magnitude of the effects of European monetary fluctuations on the Romanian economy, we employ a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model identified using long-term restrictions that comprises key Romanian macro-indicators and the variables considered suitable for isolating the European monetary policy shocks. Our findings are important to establish the degree of vulnerability of the Romanian economy to external disturbances and the degree of fulfilment of the prerequisites for becoming a full member of the Economic and Monetary Union. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 461-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705282 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705282&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:461-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ankita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ankita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Is the Indian stock market efficient? Evidence from a TAR model with an autoregressive unit root Abstract: This study uses a two-regime threshold autoregressive (TAR) model with an autoregressive unit root to examine the efficiency of the Indian stock market. Using 11 years' weekly data for two indices and 10 common stocks from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, this study applies the Caner and Hensen (2001) methodology to simultaneously test for the presence of nonlinearities and unit root in the stock prices data. The main finding of this study is that Indian stock prices follow a random walk albeit the presence of nonlinearities in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-472 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003705290 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003705290&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:467-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joon Chae Author-X-Name-First: Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Chae Author-Name: Eun Jung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eun Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: An analysis of split orders in an index options market Abstract: This study presents the empirical evidence of Kyle (1985) that informed traders spread their orders over time to camouflage their information. Our proprietary data, which contain account numbers in the Korean options market, identify whether traders break up his or her order (split orders) or not. We show that split orders are associated with a larger proportion of cumulative price change than nonsplit orders are. Furthermore, nonsplit orders, even small- or medium-size ones, cause much smaller cumulative price changes. These results improve upon the tests of Barclay and Warner (1993). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 473-477 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zoya Nissanov Author-X-Name-First: Zoya Author-X-Name-Last: Nissanov Author-Name: Jacques Gabriel Silber Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Silber Title: On some extensions of the concept of growth incidence curves Abstract: This article proposes a decomposition of what Grimm (2007) called individual growth incidence curve into two components measuring the impact of structural mobility (measured through the traditional growth incidence curve) and of exchange mobility, respectively. It also suggests introducing a growth incidence curve that checks whether pure mobility was pro-poor. An illustration based on Israeli census data for the years 1983 and 1995 seems to confirm the usefulness of the proposed breakdown. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 479-483 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724226 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724226&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:479-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Author-Name: Delio Jose Cordeiro Galvao Author-X-Name-First: Delio Jose Cordeiro Author-X-Name-Last: Galvao Author-Name: Renato Falci Villela Loures Author-X-Name-First: Renato Falci Villela Author-X-Name-Last: Loures Title: Estimation of economic capital for operational risk in banking industry: a Brazilian case Abstract: This article presents an analysis for the estimation of economic capital concerning operational risk in a Brazilian banking industry case making use of Markov chains, Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and Peaks Over Threshold (POT) modelling. The findings denote that some existent methods present consistent results among institutions with similar characteristics of loss data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-491 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724234 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724234&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:485-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hooi Hooi Lean Author-X-Name-First: Hooi Hooi Author-X-Name-Last: Lean Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Will Obama's economic stimulus package be effective? Evidence from the misery index Abstract: We apply Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root tests with one and two structural breaks to the US misery index. The results indicate that aggregate demand shocks, such as the economic stimulus package passed by the Congress in 2009, will only have a temporary effect on the long-run growth path of the misery index. The implication is that the benefits of the Obama package in terms of initiating recovery from the Global Financial Crisis will only be transitory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-495 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724259 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724259&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:493-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chul-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chul-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Donggeun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Donggeun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Do capital inflows cause current account deficits? Abstract: This article examines the causal relationship between the Current Account (CA) and the Capital Account (KA) for Korea in a multivariate framework. The estimation results indicate the existence of bidirectional causality between the KA and the CA. The findings imply that an inflow of capital causes an appreciation of the Exchange Rate (ER), which in turn worsens the CA balance and may even trigger a currency crisis in the absence of adequately supervised banking systems and ER flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 497-500 Issue: 5 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724267 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724267&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:5:p:497-500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Prince Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Prince Author-Name: Daniel Shawhan Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Shawhan Title: Is time inconsistency primarily a male problem? Abstract: We conduct a simple experiment, using real money, that tests whether men and woman differ in time consistency. The experiment provides strong evidence of time inconsistency among males, but no evidence of such behaviour among females. Furthermore, the difference between males and females is statistically significant. This result could have important implications in marketing and in efforts to improve intertemporal decision-marking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 501-504 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761806 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761806&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:501-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Moon Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: James LeSage Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: LeSage Title: Revisiting the question - Does corporate headquarters location matter for stock returns? Abstract: We show that the ordinary least squares applied to right-hand-side variables consisting of averages of neighbouring observations such as stock returns representing a portfolio of firms in the same location or industry result in biased and inconsistent estimates. A maximum likelihood estimation procedure that will produce consistent estimates for this type of model is set forth. In addition, we show how to correctly interpret the maximum likelihood parameter estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-508 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:505-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Holl Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Holl Author-Name: Robert Kunst Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Kunst Title: Unit root in unemployment - new evidence from nonparametric tests Abstract: We apply Range Unit Root (RUR) tests to Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) unemployment rates and compare the results to conventional tests. By simulations, we find that unemployment is represented adequately by a new nonlinear transformation of a serially correlated I(1) process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 509-512 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003725934 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003725934&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:509-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Author-Name: Gunther Schnabl Author-X-Name-First: Gunther Author-X-Name-Last: Schnabl Title: The theory of optimum currency areas and growth in emerging markets Abstract: We test for the impact of exchange rate volatility on growth in emerging market economies based on the theory of optimum currency areas. Our findings provide evidence for a positive impact of exchange rate stability on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 513-517 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742434 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742434&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:513-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Yamaguchi Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Yamaguchi Author-Name: K. Ueta Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ueta Title: Capital depreciation and waste accumulation in capital-resource economies Abstract: In this article, we investigate how the depreciation of a manufactured stock and the related accumulation of a waste stock can alter the optimal path of the capital-resource economy. It is shown that the optimal consumption path is affected by how the disuse pattern of the manufactured stock in question is distributed, specifically with forward-looking terms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 519-522 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761814 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761814&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:519-522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Grossman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Grossman Author-Name: Matthew Parrett Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Parrett Title: Religion and prosocial behaviour: a field test Abstract: Religious people are thought to be more prosocial than nonreligious people. Laboratory studies of this using ultimatum, dictator, public goods and trust games have produced mixed results, which could be due to lack of context. This article examines the relationship between religion and prosocial behaviour using data from a context-rich, naturally occurring field experiment that closely resembles the dictator game - tipping in restaurants. Customers were surveyed as they left a set of restaurants in Richmond, Virginia, in the summers of 2002 and 2003. Our findings reveal no evidence of religious prosociality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 523-526 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761798 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761798&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:523-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Holian Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Holian Author-Name: Ali Reza Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Reza Title: Firm and industry effects in accounting versus economic profit data Abstract: This article presents estimates of firm and industry fixed effects on profit rates for large US corporations, using Economic Value Added (EVA), the popular measure of profits produced by Stern Stewart & Co., and simple (unadjusted) accounting measures as the dependent variables. We find that the improvement in explanatory power of the fixed-effect model is substantially greater when using EVA than has been documented with alternative measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 527-529 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761756 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761756&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:527-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Serbera Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Serbera Title: Partial horizontal and vertical ownership Abstract: Others have shown that in vertically related Cournot oligopolies, partial ownership could have no real effects on total output or price choice, and in a separate way that increasing cross-ownership among rivals leads to more collusive outcome. In a complementary manner we study the interactions between vertical and horizontal partial ownership giving no control over target. This article shows that when the choice of optimal cross-ownership profile is simultaneous, a mixed equilibrium with upward vertical and horizontal participations can be achieved, vertical and horizontal ones being strategic substitutes. We finally exhibit the significant influence of vertical shareholdings on output price as on profits and on consumer surplus, which in our model is harmful at optimum from a consumer and a social point of view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 531-537 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:531-537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Leightner Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Leightner Title: Fiscal stimulus for the USA in the current financial crisis: what does 1930-2008 tell us? Abstract: This article uses Bi-directional Reiterative Truncated Projected Least Squares (BD-RTPLS) to estimate annual dGDP/dG (GDP, Gross Domestic Product and G, government spending) multipliers for the USA between 1930 and 2008. The analysis is redone with quarterly data from 1947 to 2008. To account for the influence of omitted variables, BD-RTPLS produces a separate dGPP/dG estimate for every observation in the data set. I find that whenever the US government increases government spending by an unusually large amount in a given year or quarter, the resulting government spending multiplier plummets. This is not good news for the current US government which is hoping that a huge fiscal stimulus package will rescue the USA from the current crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 539-549 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003724374 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003724374&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:539-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Howe Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Howe Author-Name: David Maslar Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Maslar Title: The intra-industry effects of the acquisition of Dow Jones Abstract: We examine the intra-industry effects associated with the acquisition of Dow Jones and Company by News Corporation. We test the significance of the market's reaction to news releases throughout 2007 using event study methods. We find evidence of a direct relation between the stock price reaction of Dow Jones and the stock price reaction of its competitors, indicating that the market viewed the acquisition as beneficial to Dow Jones's industry rivals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-554 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742475 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742475&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:551-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Micaela Ciarrapico Author-X-Name-First: Anna Micaela Author-X-Name-Last: Ciarrapico Author-Name: Stefania Cosci Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Cosci Title: European banks and cross-selling Abstract: According to a part of economic literature, the growing competition among financial intermediaries, together with the consequent interest margin shrink, induced many banks to enter new markets and adopt cross-selling strategies. Our results show that two kinds of banks coexist in Europe: cross-selling banks, more interested in 'depositors' than in loans, and traditional banks, interested in granting loans to good borrowers. The awareness of the deep difference existing between these two types of banks now operating in Europe is very important for the implementation of an effective economic policy in the face of the financial crisis. We find evidence that cross-selling banks tend to be localized in countries where the banking system is less concentrated but they are not characterized by lower interest margins. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 555-559 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761749 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761749&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:555-559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Ozyigit Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ozyigit Author-Name: Fehiman Eminer Author-X-Name-First: Fehiman Author-X-Name-Last: Eminer Title: Bounds test approach to the relationship between human capital and foreign direct investment as regressors of economic growth in Turkey Abstract: Although the linkages between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Human Capital Investment (HC) and economic growth have been of special interest in many lines of research for quite some time, there is no clear-cut evidence as to suggest a concrete arrow of causality between these variables. This article employs a bounds test analysis for co-integration and Granger causality test to investigate a long-term relationship between FDI, HC and economic growth in Turkey after 1970. Our results indicate that although there is no evidence for the FDI-led growth hypothesis in Turkey, there is evidence for causality in the backwards direction. There is also a strong arrow of causality running from HC to FDI and economic growth. Our findings are in line with the existing literature on the linkages between HC and economic growth; however, the fact that FDI does not cause economic growth contradicts a vast range of work in the literature. To this end, we employ a trivariate framework to analyse whether FDI and HC jointly Granger-cause per capita economic growth. Although FDI alone does not exhibit a causal relationship with per capita income growth, it is the case where FDI and HC jointly produce this result. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 561-565 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742426 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742426&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:561-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pratap Chandra Pati Author-X-Name-First: Pratap Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Pati Author-Name: Prabina Rajib Author-X-Name-First: Prabina Author-X-Name-Last: Rajib Title: Intraday return dynamics and volatility spillovers between NSE S&P CNX Nifty stock index and stock index futures Abstract: Using 5-min intraday transaction prices, this study investigates the relationship between the National Stock Exchange (NSE) S&P CNX Nifty futures and its underlying spot index in terms of both return and volatility. By applying Johansen-Juselius (J-J) cointegration analysis, we find evidence of single common stochastic trend, to which spot and futures prices move together in a long-run equilibrium path. The vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality test find that there is unidirectional causality running from futures to spot market. To examine the volatility spillovers between the markets, this study has used bivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) (1, 1) model with Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner (BEKK) parameterization and finds evidence of bidirectional volatility spillovers between spot and futures markets. However, there is pronounced spillover effect of a previous shock and volatility from the futures market to spot market. Hence, we conclude that Nifty futures prices lead spot prices and futures market largely contributes to price discovery. These findings have significant implications for traders in implementing hedging and arbitrage trading strategies, for portfolio managers in managing risk and also for policymakers in assessing market stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 567-574 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742442 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742442&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:567-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Konstantinos Bloutsos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Bloutsos Title: Comparing estimates of risk between markets and telecommunications institutions in Europe Abstract: We examine and evaluate the concept of risk for the financial market of telecommunications in Europe using the Value-at-Risk (VaR) method. In particular, we compare the estimates of risk between stock market indices and stock prices of telecommunications institutions in Europe. The estimates of risk are obtained as a one-step-ahead forecast using AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) analysis with Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) errors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-579 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: value-at- risk method, ARIMA analysis, GARCH models, telecommunications market, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742459 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742459&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:575-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Loureiro Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Loureiro Author-Name: Melina Barrio Author-X-Name-First: Melina Author-X-Name-Last: Barrio Title: Do entreaties reduce the WTA-WTP disparity when valuing public goods? Abstract: In this work we investigate the effects of entreaties to reduce the disparity between willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to accept (WTA) estimates in the valuation of a public program. We find that entreaties are very effective on reducing the hypothetical bias inherent to the WTA estimates, as well as the gap between both WTP and WTA welfare estimates. The success of such entreaties warrants future research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-584 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742467 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742467&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:581-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. H. Hung Author-X-Name-First: S. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: M. J. Weng Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: Panel unit root tests of purchasing power parity for Central Asian countries Abstract: Is the real price of commodities among the Central Asian countries similar? Prior research suggests that for Central Asian countries the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) doctrine does not hold. This article employs alternative cross-section correlations of panel unit root tests to examine the validity of the PPP hypothesis for three Central Asian countries vis-a-vis the Russian Federation. The empirical results show significant support for the PPP doctrine in these Central Asian countries when the testing takes into account the cross-sectional dependence on panel unit root tests. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-590 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003742483 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003742483&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingxi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mingxi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shulin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shulin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The simple economics of bid criteria Abstract: Bid criteria are of prime importance to bidders because they are the basis for the bidders to select bid price or bid mark-up. This article presents the alternative expressions of the bid criteria of the conditional negative and positive profit ratios proposed by Seydel and Olson (1990) and Lai et al. (2002), respectively, and interprets them in the traditional demand and supply theory. It is found that there is a 'frontier' bid mark-up if the bidders adopt the conditional profit ratio as their sole bid criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-594 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761731 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761731&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:591-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uğur Soytas Author-X-Name-First: Uğur Author-X-Name-Last: Soytas Author-Name: Engin Kucukkaya Author-X-Name-First: Engin Author-X-Name-Last: Kucukkaya Title: Economic growth and financial development in Turkey: new evidence Abstract: We examine the link between financial development and economic growth in Turkey for the period 1991 to 2005 using quarterly data. We use relatively new time series techniques that are less prone to bias to examine this relationship. We also construct a comprehensive financial development index using principal component analysis. When we control for the possible effects of inflation and monetary and fiscal policies on monetary aggregates and the economic growth rate, we fail to find any long-run causality in either direction. The result is also confirmed by generalized impulse response analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 595-600 Issue: 6 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761764 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761764&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:6:p:595-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabe de Bondt Author-X-Name-First: Gabe Author-X-Name-Last: de Bondt Title: Equity wealth effects: fundamental or bubble-driven? Abstract: This article estimates equity wealth effects on euro area consumption, splitting equity returns into fundamental- and bubble-related components. The equity wealth effect is fundamental-driven, particularly strong since 1994, and operates comparatively quickly during negative bubble returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Habermalz Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Habermalz Title: The speed of employer learning and job market signalling revisited Abstract: This article discusses the claim made by Altonji and Pierret (AP) (1997) and Lange (2007) that a high Speed of Employer Learning (SEL) indicates a low value of Job Market Signalling (JMS). It is first discussed intuitively in the light of Spence's original model and then evaluated in a simple extension of a model developed by AP (1997). The analysis provided indicates that, if Employer Learning (EL) is incomplete, a high SEL is not necessarily indicative of a low value of JMS. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 607-610 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.482514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.482514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:607-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Persistence of cigarette advertising across media and smoking rates Abstract: This article uses state-level US panel data to examine the effects of cigarette advertising on smoking. We disaggregate cigarette advertising into (1) print, (2) outdoor, (3) entertainment and (4) store. How does advertising persist over time across advertising media? Are there differences in effectiveness of advertising across different smoking rates? Results show that the price elasticity of cigarette demand is negative and within the range of recent estimates, whereas border price elasticities and income elasticities are positive. All elasticities, however, are uniquely sensitive to smoking rates, as is the effectiveness of the Master Settlement Agreement. Current aggregate advertising increases cigarette demand, whereas accompanying negative advertising takes hold in the third year. Upon disaggregation, current store advertising increases smoking in most cases. However, store advertising has a negative effect by the third year, especially in states with smoking rates at or above the median. Other advertising media have weak or no effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-619 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.487822 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.487822&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:611-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: Revealing the impact of index traders on commodity futures markets Abstract: Commodity futures prices and volatility increased dramatically from 2006 to 2008, following a period during which index traders, a class of large investment funds, took on massive commodity futures positions. This article presents a method to reveal the extent to which index trader trading activity (volume) might have caused increases in futures price volatility. This approach is useful when position-level data are incomplete or confidential, as with index trader position data. The method is applied to leading agricultural commodity futures data. The impact of index traders is identified during their period of greatest activity, that is, 2005 to 2006, using aggregated volume data that are filtered using wavelet transforms. The filtering decision rule is guided by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) finding that index traders do not engage in short-run trades. A joint model of futures (filtered) volume and (unfiltered) price volatility is estimated by 2SLS to account for the endogeneity of prices and volume. As a robustness check, both log-range and GARCH measures of volatility are used. The evidence provides no support for the claim that index traders have increased price volatility for storable commodities (grains/oilseeds) and only weak support in the case of nonstorable commodities (meats). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-626 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761848 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761848&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:621-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Author-Name: M. Finke Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Finke Author-Name: N. Harness Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Harness Title: The impact of self-efficacy on wealth accumulation and portfolio choice Abstract: Self-efficacy is a psychological construct based on the evaluations of one's ability to accomplish certain behaviours or achieve certain outcomes (Bandura, 1977). Although self-efficacy has been linked to health, task accomplishment, greater socio-economic status and income (Seeman and Seeman, 1983; Stretcher et al., 1986; Gecas and Seff, 1990; Judge et al., 2002; Zagorsky, 2007), there has been no study that investigates whether self-efficacy is also a predictor of greater wealth creation over a specific period of time. Applying a theoretical framework based on self-efficacy, this article investigates household financial behaviours using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79) data-set. For the purpose of this study, change in wealth across time and financial market participation is modelled as a function of socio-economic and demographic variables drawn from prior literature. Findings from this research reveal that self-efficacy is indeed a predictor of investment for financial assets and is also a predictor of wealth creation across time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 627-631 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761830 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761830&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:627-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Author-Name: Sarinda Taengnoi Author-X-Name-First: Sarinda Author-X-Name-Last: Taengnoi Title: The skill transferability of high-skilled US immigrants Abstract: Using the 2000 US Census data, we explored the effect of international transferability of skills on the earnings of high-skilled US immigrants. We confirmed that education and labour market experience received by immigrants from Japan and English-speaking developed countries before migrating have the greatest transferability; immigrants from non-English-speaking and Less Developed Countries (LDCs) make a greater investment in US-specific skills after arrival and earn a salary commensurate with the acquired skill level. Nevertheless, high-skilled workers from English-speaking developed countries still receive higher earnings, other things equal. We explore factors that influence this earnings differential. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 633-636 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.491438 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.491438&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:633-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Mossfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Mossfeldt Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: The persistent labour-market effects of the financial crisis Abstract: This article estimates the effects of the financial crisis on the Swedish labour market. Using an unobserved components model and an external forecast, we estimate a future path for the Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU). Judging by this analysis, the labour market will be in equilibrium again in 2013. Linking the NAIRU to other labour-market variables through an estimated vector error correction model and population projections, it is found that this new equilibrium is associated with a smaller equilibrium labour force and lower equilibrium employment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 637-642 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003781424 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003781424&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:637-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: Mean reversion in the US unemployment rate - evidence from bootstrapped out-of-sample forecasts Abstract: This article investigates whether the US unemployment rate is best described as a unit-root or mean-reverting process. An out-of-sample forecast exercise is conducted in which the performance of an autoregressive (AR) model with an imposed unit root is compared with that of a mean-reverting AR model. A bootstrap distribution for the relative root mean square forecast error is generated and provides strong support for mean reversion in the US unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 643-646 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003761855 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003761855&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:643-646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmood Yahyazadehfar Author-X-Name-First: Mahmood Author-X-Name-Last: Yahyazadehfar Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Zali Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Zali Author-Name: Hooman Shababi Author-X-Name-First: Hooman Author-X-Name-Last: Shababi Title: Determinants of investors' financial behaviour in Tehran Stock Exchange Abstract: Decision-making and investors' behaviours are affected by various factors in Tehran Stock Exchange. Based on theoretical perspective, investors collect the key information of decision-making by the study of macro- and micro-levels of investment environments. To analyse the research data, path analysis and Linear Structural Relationships (LISREL) software are used. The results indicate that political factors with 62%, psychological factors with 53%, economic factors with 47% and internal factors with 31% are the most important factors that affect the stocks trading in Tehran Stock Exchange. Political and psychological factors not only have direct effect but also affect the investors' financial decision-making indirectly (through intended interest rate) 16 and 11%, respectively. The total effect of political and psychological factors on investors' financial decision-making is 79 and 64%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 647-654 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003781416 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003781416&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:647-654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Gazi Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: Determinants of the long-run growth rate of Bangladesh Abstract: This article estimates Total Factor Productivity (TFP) for Bangladesh and analyses its key determinants. According to the Solow (1956) growth model, long-run growth rate equals TFP. Estimated β-coefficients show that trade openness, foreign direct investment and development of financial sector increase TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 655-658 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003800760 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003800760&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:655-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Logan Kelly Author-X-Name-First: Logan Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: The current stock of money: an aggregation theoretic measure of narrowly defined money Abstract: While the usual definition of narrowly defined money is in terms of grouping of assets to be included in the aggregate, the Current Stock of Money (CSM) focuses on the function of those assets. By isolating the portion of each monetary asset that functions as currency, the CSM measures the amount of currency needed to provide an equal level of monetary service to that of the current monetary portfolio. This makes the CSM suitable for use in any model that contains currency, that is, narrowly defined money. Thus, the main contributions of this research are to derive the CSM and to show that the Currency Equivalent (CE) index is an unbiased measure of the CSM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 659-664 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003800778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003800778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:659-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Garcia-Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Jimenez Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Role of ethnicity in consumption of meat products Abstract: Previous studies on the demand for meat products have not received much attention on the role of ethnicity on consumption. Using data from the US Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) and LinQuad demand systems, this study investigates the impact of ethnicity on the demand for meat products in the United States. Results indicate that ethnicity plays a significant role in the consumption of meat products. Specifically, results show that, compared to Hispanics, African American households consume significantly more bacon, pork chops and chicken meats. In general, White households consume lower quantities of meat products, compared to Hispanics, specifically chicken and seafood products. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851003800786 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851003800786&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horacio Sobarzo Author-X-Name-First: Horacio Author-X-Name-Last: Sobarzo Title: Tax reform in Mexico: a general equilibrium assessment Abstract: This article reports the results of an Applied General Equilibrium Model (AGEM) built to simulate a recent fiscal reform initiative of the Mexican government. Treating public revenues as endogenous and tax rates as exogenous variables, the model explicitly incorporates both the tax structure and the oil-exporting sector as important sources of government revenues. The results confirm that the fiscal problem in Mexico lies in the low degree of tax compliance. By simulating the reform starting in the year 2008, the results suggest that consumption taxes are not necessarily the unique solution to the tax collection process in a developing country like Mexico. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-678 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.483999 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.483999&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:671-678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Pistoresi Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Pistoresi Author-Name: F. Salsano Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Salsano Author-Name: D. Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Title: Political institutions and central bank independence revisited Abstract: We build on earlier studies regarding Central Bank Independence (CBI) by relating it to political, institutional and economic variables. The data suggest that CBI is positively related to the presence of federalism, the features of the electoral system and parties, the correlation between the shocks to the level of economic activity in the countries included in the sample and, for a sub-sample of economies, the convergence criteria to join the European Monetary Union (EMU). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 679-682 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.485923 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.485923&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:679-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dominguez Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dominguez Author-Name: M. Ullibarri Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ullibarri Author-Name: I. Zabaleta Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Zabaleta Title: Reduction of working hours as a policy of work sharing in the face of an economic crisis Abstract: In times of economic crisis, with a high unemployment rate expected to continue rising, governments such as those of the European countries which establish the number of hours to be worked can share out work by reducing the length of the working week. This article constructs a general equilibrium model in which the effects of reduction in working hours on the main macroeconomic variables are studied. To do so, the model includes two important new features with regard to the production function: a parameter measuring the productivity of working hours and another parameter of adjustment costs measuring the unproductive time in the course of the working day. Results show that the employment level always improves as the length of the working week is reduced but also reveal an inflection point in terms of the productivity of working hours, below which a reduction in the number of working hours improves the results of macroeconomic variables and above which this policy aggravates the economic situation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-686 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.485924 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.485924&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:683-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. M. Doncel Author-X-Name-First: L. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Doncel Author-Name: P. Grau Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Grau Author-Name: J. Otamendi Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Otamendi Author-Name: J. Sainz Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sainz Title: The truth about mutual funds across Europe Abstract: Traditional measures of mutual funds persistence are based on measures like Jensen's alpha, factor models and so on. As expected, their results on a broad data-set of European mutual funds show a small, but relevant, amount of persistent funds, depending on the method of estimation used. We go further in our analysis and, by using a multiple hypothesis testing methodology, find that those measures overstate the performance on the sample across countries, signalling persistence in situations where the positive results are due to luck. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-692 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.487820 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.487820&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:687-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes-Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes-Castro Title: Leverage and bubbles: a note on the Spanish property market between 1998 and 2006 Abstract: Financial leverage means the debt taken to make a property investment is revalued in the same proportion as the speculative asset acquired. When the expected price rises above a certain threshold, it becomes rational to take on long-term debt to finance a short-term investment. This causes bubbles, which can have disastrous consequences for the economy as a whole. We model here the economics of speculative leverage and calculate the speculative threshold for the Spanish property market over the last decade, showing how far prices were above the mark. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 693-695 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.487821 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.487821&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:693-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boitumelo Dudu Moffat Author-X-Name-First: Boitumelo Dudu Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Efficiency of Botswana's financial institutions: a data envelopment analysis Abstract: This article examines technical and pure technical efficiencies of 10 major financial institutions in Botswana during the period 2001 to 2006 using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). To obtain more robust and reliable results, the sensitivity of our efficiency indices were put to test by choosing three alternative approaches in specifying the mix of inputs and outputs. The empirical results indicate that (a) no matter which approach and year are taken into consideration, Bank of Baroda (BoB) and First National Bank (FNB) (which are both foreign banks) and Botswana Savings Bank (BSB) (which is a publicly owned institution) are consistently among the most efficient institutions and Botswana Development Corporation, African Bank Corporation and National Development Bank (NDB) are the least efficient ones; and (b) the most efficient banks are either small or large institutions in terms of their asset sizes. One can conclude that financial institutions can further enhance efficiency by adopting Self-Service Technologies (SSTs) such as telephone and Internet banking, which can substantially reduce their service delivery costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-702 Issue: 7 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.491456 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.491456&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:7:p:697-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Treme Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Author-Name: R. Burrus Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Burrus Author-Name: B. Sherrick Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Sherrick Title: The impact of recruiting on NCAA basketball success Abstract: This study examines whether highly ranked recruiting classes significantly impact the number of games won by an NCAA men's basketball team the following year. The results suggest that highly regarded freshman guards increase the number of wins whereas freshman players at other positions do not have a significant impact. Although both experience and incoming talent significantly affect regular season wins, the results imply that experience trumps freshman talent in post-season play in the NCAA tournament. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507171 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507171&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: Alejandro Dellachiesa Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Dellachiesa Title: Cross-country pollution patterns Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between pollution emissions and levels of economic activity as countries move up the per capita income scale. Previous studies examine the relationships between pollution and per capita income. Pollution emissions are found to be highly concentrated among the lower income countries. Poorer countries account for much more pollution than would be expected from their levels of economic activity. Findings suggest that the proposed US legislation to curb carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will have a minor effect on global warming. The United States should not attempt costly emission reductions until there is a global agreement on CO2 emissions that includes lower- and middle-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-804 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507169 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507169&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:799-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Merkl Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Merkl Author-Name: Dennis Wesselbaum Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wesselbaum Title: Extensive versus intensive margin in Germany and the United States: any differences? Abstract: This article analyses the role of the extensive vis-a-vis the intensive margin of labour adjustment in Germany and in the United States. The contribution is twofold. First, we provide an update of older US studies and confirm the view that the extensive margin (i.e. the adjustment in the number of workers) explains the largest part in the overall variability in aggregate hours. Second, although the German labour market structure is very different from its US counterpart, the quantitative importance of the extensive margin is of similar magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 805-808 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507170 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507170&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:805-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Author-Name: Thi Thu Tra Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thu Tra Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: On the signalling property of debt maturity: empirical evidence from a private bank in Vietnam Abstract: This article provides new empirical evidence for the relevance of the signalling view on debt maturity, using data from a private bank in Vietnam. More specifically, we test the empirical predictions of the two main signalling models on debt maturity, that is, the models by Flannery (1986) and Diamond (1991), and compare this with the debt covenant view. The results of our regressions provide strong evidence for a downward-sloping effect of firm quality on maturity, which is in line with the signalling model of Flannery (1986), and contradict the debt covenant view. Our empirical analysis does not support the model by Diamond (1991). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-816 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507167 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507167&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:809-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Berman Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Berman Author-Name: Jerome Hericourt Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Hericourt Title: Debt denomination, exchange-rate variations and the margins of trade Abstract: Using firm-level data, we find that a currency depreciation has two opposite effects on exports when firms are indebted in foreign currency: (i) a pro-competitive effect that increases both the amount of exports by firm (the intensive margin) and the number of firms (the extensive margin); and (ii) a balance-sheet effect that forces some firms to exit the export market and decreases the extensive margin. These results both provide an explanation for the negative reactions of trade after recent emerging market crises and document a finance-based empirical microfoundation to the 'exchange-rate disconnect puzzle'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 817-822 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.510462 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.510462&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:817-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. G. Menezes Author-X-Name-First: A. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Menezes Author-Name: D. Sciulli Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Sciulli Author-Name: J. C. Vieira Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Wage persistence and labour market institutions: an analysis of young European workers Abstract: This article investigates the effects of Labour Market Institutions (LMIs) on wage persistence among young European workers at the beginning of their careers. We use European Community Household Panel (ECHP) data from 1995 to 2001 for 13 EU countries and estimate a three-level random intercept probit model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity both at the individual and country level. Overall, we find that LMIs explain wage persistence. In particular, we find a high level of Employment Protection Legislation (EPL) and a high level of Bargaining Centralization (BC) increase wage persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-828 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.505554 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.505554&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:823-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Bang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Aniruddha Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Gender bias and the female brain drain Abstract: This article contributes to the emerging literature on gender differences in the causes and consequences of brain drain. Differentiating between gender bias in the access to economic opportunities and gender differentials in economic outcomes, we find that differences in access have a significant impact on the emigration of highly skilled women relative to that of men. However, differentials in outcomes do not have a significant impact. Additionally, the structure of political institutions in the source countries does not have a significant impact on the difference in emigration rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-833 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503928 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503928&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:829-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arne Bigsten Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Bigsten Author-Name: Abebe Shimeles Author-X-Name-First: Abebe Author-X-Name-Last: Shimeles Title: The persistence of urban poverty in Ethiopia: a tale of two measurements Abstract: This article investigates dynamics of poverty in urban Ethiopia using both subjective and objective definitions of poverty. The two sets of estimates of persistence and recurrence of poverty are similar, suggesting that consumption-based mobility or poverty persistence estimates are not seriously distorted by measurement error. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-839 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503930 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503930&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:835-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Ebersberger Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Ebersberger Author-Name: Christine Pirhofer Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Pirhofer Title: Gender, management education and the willingness for academic entrepreneurship Abstract: This article explores the determinants of academic entrepreneurship. In particular, it investigates the effects of gender and supplementary management education on academics' willingness to start up a company. The analysis is based on a survey of academics. Controlling for academic achievement, field of science and perceived hampering factors, we find that female academics show a significantly lower propensity to have a high willingness to start up. Our results indicate that supplementary management education does not in general have a significant effect on the willingness to start up. Yet, for female academics supplementary management education exerts a significantly positive effect almost offsetting the gender effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 841-844 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503931 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503931&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:841-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Stock markets and unemployment in industrial countries Abstract: Using data on 20 industrial countries for the period 1982 to 2003, this article finds that more active stock markets are likely to lower the unemployment rate. The magnitude of the effect appears to be modest but noticeable. We control for both endogeneity of stock market activity and all major determinants of unemployment. Our results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 845-849 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503929 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503929&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:845-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Kasimati Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Kasimati Title: Did the climb on the Greek sovereign spreads cause the devaluation of euro? Abstract: Despite the minimal size of the Greek economy within eurozone, our Error-Correction Model (ECM) identified that the deterioration in the public finances of the Greek government caused the euro depreciation over the last weeks of 2009 and first weeks of 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 851-854 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.503927 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.503927&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:851-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: A re-examination of the Fisher effect using an alternative approach Abstract: The Fisher Effect (FE) is of fundamental importance in financial markets. The majority of previous studies have not managed to obtain the expected one-for-one reaction of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate. The aim of this article is to reinvestigate the FE for the USA and the UK using a case-wise bootstrap approach developed by Hatemi-J and Hacker (2005). This method is robust to nonnormality or heteroscedasticity and it is used to calculate and test the statistical significance of the coefficients. The results support a tax-adjusted FE in the presence of a structural break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 855-858 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.505551 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.505551&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:855-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeti Nisha Madhoo Author-X-Name-First: Yeti Nisha Author-X-Name-Last: Madhoo Title: Fish imports as an environmental policy Abstract: Although Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system has not been successful in management of fisheries, fish imports have shown features of an environmental-friendly policy. Imports emerge as a significant tool to improve fish productivity through biodiversity conservation and induce the use of less capital intensive technology. Conversely, TAC system harms biodiversity leading to increased capital effort and reduced catch levels. Another interesting finding is the existence of an Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC)-type relationship between per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and fish catch. As development proceeds, propensity to import increases, having favourable impact on biodiversity through reduced fish production. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 859-864 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.508712 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.508712&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:859-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cedric Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Cedric Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Title: How important are noncorporate patents? A comparative analysis using patent citations data Abstract: This article analyses the innovative performances of noncorporate inventors using patent citations data from the European Patent Office. The results show that inventions patented outside an established corporate framework are on average less 'important' than corporate patents, but with large variations across technology classes. Patents applied for by independent inventors, start-ups and corporate firms are of comparable 'quality' in emerging technologies. The results also highlight that in these fields noncorporate patents are more 'radical' than corporate patents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 865-871 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.507168 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.507168&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:865-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Smolny Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Smolny Author-Name: M. Kirbach Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kirbach Title: Wage differentials between East and West Germany: are they related to the location or to the people? Abstract: Despite rapid economic integration and massive help from the Federal Government, large wage differences between East and West Germany still persist. We ask whether those differences are related to disadvantageous locational conditions in East Germany or could be found in the characteristics of the people living there. This article analyses income adjustment of East-West migrants based on the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP), 1990-2008. Because migrants earned their income in both East and West Germany, the effect of the location can be identified. The results indicate that the wage differences cannot be attributed to the people. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-879 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.511990 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.511990&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:873-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment: further evidence from China Abstract: This study applies threshold cointegration test advanced by Enders and Siklos (2001) to investigate the properties of asymmetric adjustment in long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for China during the period of March 1985 to September 2008. Although there is evidence of long-run PPP for China, when both the United States and Japan are served as the base country, the adjustment mechanism is asymmetric only when the United States is served as the base country. These results have particularly important policy implications for China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 881-886 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.513673 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.513673&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:881-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meijui Sun Author-X-Name-First: Meijui Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Pei-Gi Shu Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Gi Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Title: The valuation effects of equity carve-outs Abstract: In an examination of 136 equity carve-outs in Taiwan in 1994-2007 we first find significantly positive stock price reactions associated with the announcements, consistent with the global findings. We further examine the sources of wealth gains on the basis of the asymmetric information hypothesis (Nanda, 1991) and the divestiture gains hypothesis (Schipper and Smith, 1986) and find that the results lend more support to the latter than the former. Specifically, two ramifications of the divestiture gains hypothesis are supported: firms that divest unrelated business (refocusing strategy hypothesis) and use the proceeds to undertake new investments (the investment strategy hypothesis) draw favourable market appraisals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-891 Issue: 9 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515196 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515196&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:9:p:887-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Abrantes-Metz Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Abrantes-Metz Author-Name: Sofia Villas-Boas Author-X-Name-First: Sofia Author-X-Name-Last: Villas-Boas Author-Name: George Judge Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Tracking the Libor rate Abstract: With an eye to providing a methodology for tracking the dynamic integrity of prices for important market indicators, in this article we use Benford second digit (SD) reference distribution to track the daily London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) over the period 2005 to 2008. This reference, known as Benford's law, is present in many naturally occurring numerical data sets as well as in several financial data sets. We find that in two recent periods, Libor rates depart significantly from the expected Benford reference distribution. This raises potential concerns relative to the unbiased nature of the signals coming from the 16 banks from which the Libor is computed and the usefulness of the Libor as a major economic indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 893-899 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515197 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515197&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:893-899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Erlinda Mutuc Author-X-Name-First: Maria Erlinda Author-X-Name-Last: Mutuc Author-Name: Samarendu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Samarendu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Don Ethridge Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Ethridge Author-Name: Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: The effects of the removal of US safeguards on imports from China Abstract: The expiration of temporary safeguard measures against Chinese exports of certain cotton apparel to the US beginning 2009 is estimated to result in lower apparel prices in the US by $0.02/kg, on average, whereas cotton prices in the US remain unaltered in the medium term (2009-2015). A price equilibrium simulation model (of both the cotton apparel and cotton sectors) was used to estimate the trade effects of China's increased access into the US import market on other Asian and Latin American exporters to the US, and ultimately in these exporters' demand for US cotton. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-913 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.517186 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.517186&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:901-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cuesta Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cuesta Title: Music to my ears: the (many) socioeconomic benefits of music training programmes Abstract: A simple cost-benefit analysis is used to estimate substantive social benefits associated with a universal music training programme in Venezuela (B/C ratio of 1.68). Those social benefits accrue from both reduced school dropouts and declining community victimization. Biases affecting these results (omission of other social benefits and selection bias) work in opposite directions, which reduce the potential error associated with the results. This evidence of important social benefits adds to the already existing evidence of individual gains reported by the developmental psychology literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-918 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.517187 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.517187&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:915-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Reback Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Reback Author-Name: Kristin Stowe Author-X-Name-First: Kristin Author-X-Name-Last: Stowe Title: Unnatural experiments: the case of television game shows Abstract: Economists often use television game shows as 'natural experiments' to test theories on risk aversion. This article demonstrates that some of these natural experiments may not be so natural after all. Using data from Jeopardy!, we show that contestants are chosen to maintain a gender balance, with the result that men outperform women across several dimensions. This selection bias suggests that caution should be exercised in generalizing findings based on these shows to the population as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 919-923 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515198 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515198&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:919-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadia Doytch Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Doytch Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Employment effects of mergers and acquisitions in the United States by sector Abstract: This article studies the employment effects of mergers and acquisitions in the manufacturing, financial and service sectors of the US economy using annual time series data from 1978 to 2008. An empirical model is developed in which average wages per hour and the total value of mergers and acquisitions are the explanatory variables, with the number of people employed as the dependent variable. Before estimating the model, the time series properties of the data are diagnosed. The estimated results suggest that mergers and acquisitions have helped to increase employment in both the short-run as well as in the long-run in all three sectors of the economy. To ensure the robustness of the finding, a panel data set is created and the model is re-estimated using the fixed effects estimator. The finding is consistent with the sectoral results. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 925-928 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515200 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515200&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:925-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Siklos Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Siklos Title: Central bank transparency: another look Abstract: This article extends the Dincer and Eichengreen (2007) index of central bank transparency. Improvements in transparency are notable in Central and Eastern Europe, whereas the index has shown much smaller rises in most other parts of the world. The pattern observed by Dincer and Eichengreen, consistent with a permanent increase in central bank transparency, is also evident in the updated results. The dramatic enhancements in central bank transparency reported earlier appear to be a feature of the late 1990s and the early 2000s. Whether the subsequent data reflect limits to central banks' transparency or, to some extent, transparency 'fatigue' is unclear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-933 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515199 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515199&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:929-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Driving under the influence: the breathalyser fallacy Abstract: The use of breathalysers to determine whether a person is 'Driving Under the Influence' (DUI) is an example of situations in which the outcome of a test - positive or negative - is used to determine whether a condition exists. As such, it is susceptible to a fallacy that is inherent in such situations: confusing the chances that a person would test positive if he/she was DUI with the chances that a person was DUI if he/she tested positive. This is referred to here as the breathalyser fallacy and this article provides quantitative estimates of the size of this fallacy. Almost all of the criticism of the conclusions of breathalyser tests (namely, a person over the limit is DUI, a person below the limit is not) concerns the likelihood of a person who is not DUI being incorrectly identified. This analysis questions this argument. We show that the likelihood of an innocent person testing positive depends on two further factors: (i) the a priori likelihood that a person selected for breath analysis is, in fact, DUI and (ii) the reliability of the test in terms of the likelihood of a DUI person being found to be over the limit. If these two likelihoods are high, then the probability of a person being guilty of DUI for a positive outcome on the breathalyser test would also be high, even though there is a significant chance that a person who is not DUI will be incorrectly identified as being over the limit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.515201 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.515201&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Biagetti Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Biagetti Author-Name: Sergio Scicchitano Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Scicchitano Title: A note on the gender wage gap among managerial positions using a counterfactual decomposition approach: sticky floor or glass ceiling? Abstract: In this article, we apply a counterfactual decomposition approach using Quantile Regression (QR) to the wage distribution of managerial workforce in Italy. We find evidence of both significant sticky floor and glass ceiling effects for the Gender Wage Gap (GWG). Furthermore, the U-shaped figure of the pay gap is mostly due to the difference in rewards that the two genders receive for their characteristics, whose relative incidence is also continuously increasing as we move to upper quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-943 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.518944 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.518944&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:939-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil Longley Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Longley Title: Congressional complicity in the baseball antitrust exemption: analysing senate voting patterns Abstract: This article examines a key congressional vote on preserving baseball's antitrust exemption. It finds that the most important factor influencing a legislator's vote was whether there was a Major League Baseball (MLB) team in the legislator's constituency. This supports the notion that the professional sports industry has been effective in 'capturing' their political overseers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 945-947 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.518945 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.518945&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:945-947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Thomas Pencek Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Pencek Title: The value of SmartMoney's stock recommendations Abstract: We examine the value of expert picks published by SmartMoney, a popular investment periodical. Most can be described as 'hot' stocks - those that have experienced run-ups in price before publication. However, these stocks subsequently underperform the market by 0.45% per month in the 6-month post-publication period. We also observe that market risk-adjusted abnormal returns (AR) are -1.18% per month over the same time period, which is significantly below expectations. Results suggest SmartMoney's recommendations have negative value to its subscribers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 949-953 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.518946 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.518946&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:949-953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwai-Chung Ho Author-X-Name-First: Hwai-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Chien-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Influence of heterogeneous beliefs on volatility when agents' degree of confidence differs Abstract: This study provides theoretical and empirical evidences of the effects of heterogeneous beliefs on asset volatility when agents' level of confidence differs. We derive a stock price formula that is applied to simulating stock volatility using Monte Carlo method. Through the simulation results, we observe that the influence of heterogeneous beliefs on volatility depends on the confident agents' level of optimism. Some empirical results are provided to confirm those observations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 955-959 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520659 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520659&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:955-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Bounie Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bounie Author-Name: A. Francois Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Francois Title: The economics of bill payments: an empirical analysis Abstract: The growing economic literature dedicated to payment instruments mainly focuses on the point of sale payments. Yet, credit transfers and direct debits used in bill payments are much more used in the euro area than cheques, payment cards and other payment instruments. The main objective of this article is, therefore, to verify whether the theoretical standard framework stated for studying the choice of payment instruments at the point of sale is relevant to study bill payments. Using an original data set, we show that the main predictions of the standard model do not hold. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 961-966 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: payment instruments, bill payments, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520660 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520660&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:961-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ameeta Jain Author-X-Name-First: Ameeta Author-X-Name-Last: Jain Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Dianne Thomson Author-X-Name-First: Dianne Author-X-Name-Last: Thomson Title: The relationship between exchange rates, interest rates and Australian bank returns Abstract: Although there has been significant research on US financial intermediaries' stock returns and sensitivity to interest yields, there has only been limited research on Australian bank stock returns and key macro variables, such as interest rates and exchange rates. The aim of this article is to examine this relationship for four major Australian banks, namely the Australia New Zealand bank (ANZ), the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the National Australia Bank (NAB) and the Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC). We use the EGARCH model and examine the relationship using monthly data covering the period 1992 to 2007. The results suggest that for all four banks: (1) there is a similar and statistically significant negative relationship between interest rates and stock returns; and (2) there is evidence of an increase in returns during the period of appreciation of the Australian dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 967-972 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520661 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520661&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:967-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robin Chou Author-X-Name-First: Robin Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Yi-Min Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Information trading around open market share repurchases: evidence from the Taiwan Stock Exchange Abstract: We examine the information trading around open market share repurchases on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE). Because of the distinctive regulations of share repurchases in Taiwan, our samples offer a unique opportunity to test changes in information trading during share repurchases. We show that the risk of information trading significantly increases during the repurchase execution period and reverts back in the post-expiration period. It is likely that some uninformed traders leave the market in the execution period, in anticipation of higher information uncertainties. Therefore, the remaining uninformed traders collectively face higher possibility of trading with informed traders. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 973-981 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520662 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520662&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:973-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jo-Hui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jo-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The spillover and leverage effects of ethical exchange traded fund Abstract: Using the Exponentially Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-AutoRegressive Moving Average (EGARCH-ARMA) model, there are no differences in terms of the spillover of returns from volatilities and leverage effects between ethical and non-ethical Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) against benchmark indexes after applying negative ethical screening on ETFs. The lagged ethical ETF returns unilaterally influence current stock index returns or the bilateral relationships between them. This article sheds new light on the selection process involved in ethical ETFs and may provide clues for fund managers as they reward investors who prefer ethical value investments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 983-987 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520663 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520663&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:983-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Nishimura Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Nishimura Author-Name: Satoshi Nakano Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Nakano Title: Measuring innovations in the Japanese LCD TVs using market data Abstract: Quality-adjusted price indexes based on a discrete choice model and a weighted hedonic function are estimated using market data for Liquid Crystal Display (LCD) TVs obtained from a large Internet price comparison service in Japan. Implicit values of attributes were used to unify marginal values of attributes into a scalar quality measure, and thus, we measure innovations by the price shift while controlling the levels of the attributes. We also report estimates on welfare gains through the discrete choice approach. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 989-995 Issue: 10 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: innovation, measurement, discrete choice, LCD TV, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520664 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520664&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:10:p:989-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johanna Åstrom Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Åstrom Author-Name: Robert Nakosteen Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Nakosteen Author-Name: Olle Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Olle Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Author-Name: Michael Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: See the future by looking at the past: predicting divorce with premarital earnings Abstract: The effect of spouse's premarital earnings capacity on the probability of divorce is examined. This study is based on longitudinal register data on married and cohabitating couples in Sweden. We use the residuals from estimated earnings equations of men and women based on observations before their marriage in estimation of a logit model of divorce. By using information on individuals as singles, we can identify the impact of relative earnings power on the probability of divorce, per se, without the confounding effect of the marital relationship. The results indicate that differences in spouse's conditional earnings capacities increase the probability of divorce. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 997-1000 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: divorce, earnings, marriage, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520665 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520665&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:997-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Garcia-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Rubio Author-Name: Andres Picazo-Tadeo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Picazo-Tadeo Author-Name: Francisco Gonzalez-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez-Gomez Title: Does a red shirt improve sporting performance? Evidence from Spanish football Abstract: Recent research has linked red shirts to sporting success. In this article, we analyse the relationship between the colour red and sporting performance in the Spanish Professional Football League. Our foremost conclusion is that once the effect of the different endowments of resources and the ability of managers have been discounted, teams with red shirts do not show greater performance than teams wearing shirts of other colours. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1004 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520666 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520666&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1001-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Aizaki Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Aizaki Author-Name: Yasuhiro Nakashima Author-X-Name-First: Yasuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Nakashima Author-Name: Kiyokazu Ujiie Author-X-Name-First: Kiyokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Ujiie Author-Name: Hironobu Takeshita Author-X-Name-First: Hironobu Author-X-Name-Last: Takeshita Author-Name: Kengo Tahara Author-X-Name-First: Kengo Author-X-Name-Last: Tahara Title: Intention to access food risk information through Internet-enabled mobile phones: the role of critical thinking Abstract: Although the development of an Internet-based communication system could decrease the cost of accessing food risk information, a strong intention to access information through the Web would also be required to activate consumer behaviour. We examined how consumers' critical thinking attitudes influence their intention to contract a hypothetical pay website that provides food risk information, through an Internet-enabled mobile phone. A payment card contingent valuation method was applied to capture a Japanese co-op members' intention to contract the website and the willingness to pay for it. A critical thinking attitude was found to have a statistically significant effect on the respondents' intention to access food risk information, suggesting that to strengthen consumer participation in food risk communication through the Internet, it is important to examine measures that promote critical thinking among consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1005-1009 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520667 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520667&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1005-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. J. Classen Author-X-Name-First: T. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Classen Author-Name: R. A. Dunn Author-X-Name-First: R. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dunn Title: Suicide, social integration and fertility rates Abstract: We measure the association between rates of suicide and fertility in the United States using a panel of states from 1981 to 2005. We find a positive relationship between suicide and fertility rates, in contrast to previous empirical work from other countries that has reported a strong negative relationship between fertility and suicide. This suggests that differences in the health-care system and social safety net between the United States and Europe may influence the relationship between childbirth and suicide. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1011-1014 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.520668 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.520668&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1011-1014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Marcano Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Marcano Author-Name: Inder Ruprah Author-X-Name-First: Inder Author-X-Name-Last: Ruprah Title: Incapacity to pay or moral hazard? Public mortgage delinquency rates in Chile Abstract: High delinquency rate of publicly provided mortgages in social housing programmes are often interpreted to be due to moral hazard. In this article we show that the typically used parametric approaches give misleading results because of overlooked confounding and selection biases. We show that using the more appropriate impact or treatment nonparametric approach the problem of high delinquency rate in publicly provided mortgages is due to the incapacity to pay and not due to moral hazard. The results caution against public policies to encourage private mortgage providers to move down market, and suggest eliminating mortgages and correspondingly increasing the grant component of the programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1015-1020 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522510 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522510&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1015-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Yin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Su-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Han Hou Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Chia-Cheng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Joakim Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Title: Financial systems and mechanisms of growth in different conditions of country risk Abstract: This article uses panel data from 1976 to 2003 to investigate the ways in which banking and stock markets influence economic growth in situations of high and low country risk. The mean and Standard Deviation (SD) of country risk are adopted to classify 28 countries into Low Risk Low Volatility (LRLV) and High Risk High Volatility (HRHV) subgroups. Through the technique of error correction-based panel co-integration developed by Westerlund (2007), several results are obtained. First, LRLV countries can expand the capitalization of stock market to enhance long-term economic growth. Second, HRHV countries, on the other hand, use two distinct strategies to promote long-term economic growth. Initially they develop their equity markets, which promote economic growth directly. Strengthened equity markets, in turn, aid in the development of credit markets, which subsequently brings an economic boom. Finally, regardless of selected subgroups, the contribution of stock market capitalization to economic growth appears to be substantially larger than that of bank credit, highlighting the importance of stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1021-1028 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522511 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522511&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1021-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Kenourgios Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Kenourgios Author-Name: Athanasios Katevatis Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Katevatis Title: Maturity effect on stock index futures in an emerging market Abstract: This article examines the maturity effect or Samuelson hypothesis on stock index futures in the emerging Greek market, using a range of methodologies such as linear models and conditional variance specifications. The results obtained show that the Greek index futures exhibit the phenomenon of maturity effect. Furthermore, we document a positive relationship between futures price volatility and volume and a negative one between volatility and open interest. However, including trading volume and open interest in a conditional variance framework, we provide evidence on the simultaneous diminution of maturity effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1033 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522512 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522512&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1029-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. F. Baklaci Author-X-Name-First: H. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Baklaci Author-Name: O. Olgun Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Olgun Author-Name: E. Can Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Can Title: Noise traders: a new approach to understand the phantom of stock markets Abstract: In microstructure literature, the ambiguity regarding the distinctive features of noise traders suggests that a further exploration of their behaviour is needed. In this study, we attempt to illuminate the intraday behavioural aspects of noise traders in the Turkish stock market using a novel approach. The diagnostic results in the initial phase of the analysis reveal that residual volume is a suitable proxy to identify noise traders' activities. The second phase of the analysis manifests that the noise traders significantly contribute to the volatility in spreads and that the duration of the volatility impact is short lived. These results are consistent with our prior conjectures and affirm the validity of our approach and propositions. The approach and findings, when generalized to other emerging markets, carry some implications for policy markers. In Turkey, revival of capital gain taxes abolished after the inception of global crisis might be a resolution to alleviate noise trader activities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1041 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522513 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522513&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1035-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Martinez-Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Sanchez Title: Collusion, competition and piracy Abstract: In this article we analyse firms' ability to tacitly collude on prices in an infinitely repeated duopoly game of vertical product differentiation. We show that firms collude if and only if their discount factor is high enough, that is, if they value future profits sufficiently. We also show that a lower cost of copying facilitates collusion but that a higher quality of the copy hinders collusion. Thus, the overall effect of these new characteristics of copies made by consumers is ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1043-1047 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522514 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522514&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1043-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boram Lee Author-X-Name-First: Boram Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yulia Veld-Merkoulova Author-X-Name-First: Yulia Author-X-Name-Last: Veld-Merkoulova Title: The persistence of memory of Marilyn: the diversification potential of individual artists Abstract: We investigate the investment performance of the art of Andy Warhol and Salvador Dali through constructing hedonic price indices from auction sales records. Although the arithmetic average returns are higher for the art than for equities, the geometric returns and the Sharpe ratios of the art indices underperform the market, because of their higher volatilities. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) regression results indicate that Dali artworks were negatively correlated with the stock market and achieved a positive and significant Jensen's alpha of 12.3%. Therefore, investment in selected artists' works can provide sufficient diversification benefits even for individual investors unable to diversify their art portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1049-1052 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.522515 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.522515&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1049-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naoko Akashi-Ronquest Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Akashi-Ronquest Author-Name: Paul Carrillo Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Carrillo Author-Name: Bruce Dembling Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Dembling Author-Name: Steven Stern Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Title: Measuring the biases in self-reported disability status: evidence from aggregate data Abstract: Self-reported health status measures are generally used to analyse Social Security Disability Insurance's (SSDI) application and award decisions as well as the relationship between its generosity and labour force participation. Due to endogeneity and measurement error, the use of self-reported health and disability indicators as explanatory variables in economic models is problematic. We employ county-level aggregate data, instrumental variables and spatial econometric techniques to analyse the determinants of variation in SSDI rates and explicitly account for the endogeneity and measurement error of the self-reported disability measure. Two surprising results are found. First, it is shown that measurement error is the dominating source of the bias and that the main source of measurement error is sampling error. Second, results suggest that there may be synergies for applying for SSDI when the disabled population is larger. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1053-1060 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524603 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524603&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1053-1060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Has split share structure reform improved the efficiency of the Chinese stock market? Abstract: Split share structure reform brings about fundamental changes to the Chinese stock market. This article compares the market efficiency before and after this reform. The generalized spectral derivative method is applied, which can capture linear and nonlinear serial dependence, and has stronger power against departures from market efficiency. The results show that although the markets were inefficient before the split share structure reform, they have reached the weak-form efficiency after that. This fundamental reform has improved the Chinese stock market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1061-1064 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524604 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524604&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1061-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xianbo Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xianbo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The impact of openness and domestic performance on growth using nonparametric estimation Abstract: This article distinguishes openness from domestic performance as different growth determinants and uses nonparametric estimation to reveal their direct effects on GDP. On average, openness promotes growth, but its effect on growth is negative when the levels of openness and domestic performance both are very low. The effect of domestic performance on growth is always positive averagely and locally, but its effect on growth is decreasing when the economy experiences the initial stage of globalization and domestic performance. Our result makes a useful contribution to the globalization debate because the distinction between openness and domestic performance shows how different economies can perform and improve in each aspect. Among the developing economies, openness is a necessary and prerequisite condition for growth, but the achievement of a high level in domestic performance is also important for growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1070 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524605 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524605&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1065-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Author-Name: Susana-Maria Paleologou Author-X-Name-First: Susana-Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Paleologou Title: Budgetary trade-offs between defence, education and social spending in Greece Abstract: We examine the presence of budgetary trade-offs between defence spending and welfare expenditure in the case of Greece, the country with the highest defence burden in the European Union. The findings reported herein point to a positive trade-off between education, social expenditure and defence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1075 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524606 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524606&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1071-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shah Danyal Author-X-Name-First: Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Danyal Author-Name: Pankaj Maskara Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj Author-X-Name-Last: Maskara Author-Name: Annaheeta Naqvi Author-X-Name-First: Annaheeta Author-X-Name-Last: Naqvi Title: Impact of computer skills on wages in USA Abstract: Using US NLSY panel data set, staggered every 2 years from 2000 to 2006 for a cross section of 12 686 individuals, we investigate the effect of computer skills on wages. We use the definition of computer skills as having a personal computer with Microsoft Windows at home. Unlike most previous studies in the United States, which used instrumental variables for controlling the unobserved factors, we use fixed-effects estimation methodology. Based on the unique data set and the robust fixed-effects estimation, we find that individuals possessing computer skills earn a wage premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1077-1081 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524607 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524607&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1077-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandeep Mazumder Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Mazumder Title: Inflation and marginal cost: on the importance of their covariance Abstract: Many researchers have found that estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) using the output gap to proxy for real marginal cost tends to produce a counter-intuitive coefficient sign in the model, whereas using the labour income share produces the expected coefficient sign. This article investigates the potential cause of this puzzle: What causes these differing signs for the coefficient for real marginal cost? We find that this coefficient sign crucially depends on the covariance between inflation and marginal cost. Moreover, this covariance in turn critically depends on the cyclicality of the marginal cost proxy that is used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1083-1089 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524608 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524608&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1083-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moul Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moul Author-Name: John Nye Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Nye Title: Money isn't everything: linking college choice to winning prizes and professorships Abstract: We expand upon the literature that considers how characteristics of undergraduate schools affect nonincome outcomes by considering Nobel Prize winners and full professors at top 25 universities. We introduce National Merit Scholars (NMS) as a percentage of 1960-1961 class as a time-appropriate measure of student quality and show how this measure largely matches up with prior expectations and observed outcomes. We conclude with the discussion of the convex relation between NMS and these professional outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1091-1098 Issue: 11 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524611 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524611&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:11:p:1091-1098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Women are not always less competitive than men: evidence from Come Dine with Me Abstract: Are women less competitive than men? Many experimental and nonexperimental studies have documented gender differences in competitiveness. This article presents the results from a study that examines gender differences in competitiveness in the television show Come Dine with Me. It is a cooking show in which amateur chefs compete against each other for a cash prize. The show provides an unusual opportunity to study gender differences in a high-stakes game environment. The results demonstrate that there are no gender differences in competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1099-1101 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524609 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524609&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1099-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Baumohl Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Baumohl Author-Name: S. Lyocsa Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Lyocsa Author-Name: T. Vyrost Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Vyrost Title: Shift contagion with endogenously detected volatility breaks: the case of CEE stock markets Abstract: Using data from three Central and Eastern European (CEE-3) and two developed stock markets, we present a methodology for validating the existence of shift contagion between these markets. The use of endogenously detected changes in the volatility of stock market returns allows us to define relatively high- and low-volatility regimes for particular stock markets. We verify whether volatility regimes are significantly associated with dynamic conditional correlations (DCCs), thus providing evidence for contagion between stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1103-1109 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.524610 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.524610&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1103-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Jui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Jui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Jwu-Rong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jwu-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Financial liberalization and banking performance: an analysis of Taiwan's former 'Top 10 Banks' Abstract: This article examines, from a unique sample of once-oligopolized 'Top 10 Banks' in Taiwan between 1981 and 2001, the dynamic effect of cost-side efficiency structure and revenue-side market structure on performance gauged by the Return on Asset (ROA) and the Return on Equity (ROE). Financial liberalization with market reopening by the Taiwanese government in 1991 reduces ROA. Cost Efficiency (CE) and Allocative Efficiency (AE) assessed with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) increase procyclical ROA but are unrelated to ROE, suggesting effectiveness of cost control over productivity innovation for the 'Top 10' to maintain performance. Operation expansion merely aggravates hierarchical complexity. Market Share (MS) and Market Concentration (CR) behave oppositely and profit is unaffected by their interaction term, substantiating the standard efficient structure hypothesis and confirming inappropriateness of using MS as a proxy for efficiency. Under the trend towards universal banking, longer-term revenue generated from geographical and operational diversification, on balance, is likely to overweigh the cost linked with greater asymmetry of information in loan making. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1120 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526566 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526566&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1111-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chich-Jen Shieh Author-X-Name-First: Chich-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Shieh Title: Management innovation, corporation core competence and corporate culture: the impact of relatedness Abstract: This study reports the results of a study of Management Innovation of Taiwanese businesses in China. Over 800 questionnaires were sent out to the Taiwanese owners/managers in Kun-Shan City, China, with 260 valid responses included in the study. Four relationships were examined in the study: the correlation between management innovation and corporation core competence, between management innovation and the corporate culture, between corporation core competence and the corporate culture and finally the effect of the corporate culture on the relationship between management innovation and corporation core competence. Findings and conclusions are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1121-1124 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526567 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526567&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1121-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michio Yuda Author-X-Name-First: Michio Author-X-Name-Last: Yuda Title: The effect of habitual smoking on labour productivity Abstract: This article investigates the effect of habitual smoking on full-time employees' hourly wages, which represent one of the social costs of smoking. Because the decision whether to smoke is affected by the cigarette tax level and by various socioeconomic factors, it is appropriate that we treat smoking indicators as endogenous in econometric analyses. To control this endogeneity, I use the levels of state and federal cigarette taxes per package and family attributes as instrumental variables for habitual smoking. According to the estimation results, there is no difference in wages between smokers and nonsmokers of both genders after appropriately controlling for the endogeneity of smoking. This result is different from the results of most previous studies, most of which suffer from several methodological problems. I also found that cigarette taxes have a strong impact on smoking participation for both genders. However, it is also found that cigarette taxes do not make smokers without rationality quit smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1125-1132 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526568 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526568&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1125-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javed Younas Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Younas Title: Role of foreign direct investment in estimating capital mobility: a reappraisal of Feldstein-Horioka puzzle Abstract: As investment by nonresidents is not subject to inter-temporal budget constraint of the recipient country, it may not belong to Feldstein-Horioka equation. This article finds that capital mobility is remarkably high in both developed and developing countries when Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is excluded from domestic investment. Moreover, economic openness and financial markets' liberalization are also found to have increased the degree of capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1133-1137 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526569 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526569&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1133-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Author-Name: Danielle Zanzalari Author-X-Name-First: Danielle Author-X-Name-Last: Zanzalari Author-Name: John Jasina Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jasina Title: What are the odds? A measure of the small sample problems Abstract: Decisions on whether to retain recent hires are often limited by small sample size. We empirically assess whether uncertainty in employee retention decisions could be significantly reduced by increasing sample size. Using a unique data set from professional tennis matches to measure small sample outcomes, we find little difference in giving three chances, relative to five chances, in determining innate ability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1143 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.526570 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.526570&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1139-1143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sun-Tien Wu Author-X-Name-First: Sun-Tien Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chieh-Hsuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chieh-Hsuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The relationships between rent multiplier and user cost - a case study of Taipei Abstract: The value of Rent Multiplier (RM) for the city of Taipei has been in extraordinary magnitudes and remains to be a myth to most housing economists. Why does the RM in Taipei exhibit such a peculiarity? Is it because the populace there are so peculiar in their housing behaviours that can be held to account for such an extraordinary phenomenon or because there are logically consistent economic factors behind the scene that might have led the people to make their housing choices rather differently from the way usually envisaged by the conventional wisdom in economics? In this article, we try to uncover the myth by examining whether the economic factors such as user cost, vacancy rate and people's disposable income can be held to account for the above-mentioned consequence through a vector error correction model. More specifically, we examine whether there are long-term relationships between those explanatory variables and the RMs in question. The results show that our argument that the extraordinary RM phenomenon can be explained with user cost is empirically verified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1145-1148 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528348 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528348&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1145-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Soderberg Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Soderberg Title: Firm-level inefficiency and its determinants in the Swedish water and wastewater sector Abstract: The Swedish Water and Wastewater (WW) utilities are subject to a cost-of-service regulation with no regulatory incentives to reduce costs. An estimation of firm-level inefficiency using stochastic frontier models on a cross-sectional sample of 148 utilities from 2006 suggests that overall the sector has at least a 15% cost reduction potential. Utilities can increase efficiency by reducing network losses. The cost frontier shifts to a higher level when (1) two or more municipalities merge their WW operations and when (2) utilities receive tax subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1153 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528349 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528349&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1149-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cipriano Quiros Author-X-Name-First: Cipriano Author-X-Name-Last: Quiros Title: Liberalization and efficiency in the European postal sector Abstract: Market competition has been widely considered as one of the main determinants of business efficiency. This study evaluates this hypothesis for European postal operators. In particular, it takes advantage of the coexistence of various degrees of competition in national postal markets and the differences in regulations established among countries. For this purpose, a stochastic production frontier model is estimated, using a database of 17 European national postal operators. The results show that the degree of competition in domestic markets and the independence of national regulatory authorities are the main factors to explain the increase in efficiency in the postal sector. This reinforces the need for transposing the European regulatory framework into all national postal markets and opening them up to competition with no further delay. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1155-1158 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528350 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528350&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1155-1158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julide Yildirim Author-X-Name-First: Julide Author-X-Name-Last: Yildirim Author-Name: Erdogan Yilmaz Author-X-Name-First: Erdogan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmaz Author-Name: Nebile Korucu Author-X-Name-First: Nebile Author-X-Name-Last: Korucu Title: The determinants of out-of-pocket payments: evidence from selected hospitals in Ankara, Turkey Abstract: The aim of this study is to explore the determinants of the out-of-pocket expenditures on health in selected hospitals of the capital city Ankara, Turkey. Maximum likelihood logistic analysis is used to estimate the relationship between the likelihood of incurring out-of-pocket payments and a set of individual- and facility-level covariates, such as income, education level and wealth of the patient. Empirical findings indicate that as the level of education, age and income increase the likelihood of making out-of-payment expenditures on health increases. Additionally, the attitudes of patients towards the health-care system and their possible impacts on the decision of out-of-pocket payments have also been considered. The distrust in the public health-care system is reflected in patients' choices regarding the first applied medical centre. It appears that patients with high levels of income prefer private health-care rather than the public health-care services. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1159-1162 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528351 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528351&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1159-1162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Guest Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Guest Title: Social time preference and the optimal carbon price Abstract: This article examines the implications of alternative social time preference assumptions for the optimal carbon price by numerical simulations of a simple Ramsey model. Three specifications of social time preferences are compared: a constant social time preference rate (stpr), decreasing social impatience or hyperbolic social preferences and increasing social impatience. The results show nontrivial effects on the optimal carbon price. The policy implication is that value judgements about intergenerational welfare, reflected in stpr, have implications for policies aimed at achieving a target carbon price. These value judgements therefore ought to be made explicit in setting target carbon prices over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1163-1166 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528352 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528352&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1163-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. van Groezen Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: van Groezen Author-Name: R. Jadoenandansing Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Jadoenandansing Author-Name: G. Pasini Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Pasini Title: Social capital and health across European countries Abstract: In this article we compare the effect of trust and civic participation on self-assessed health across 10 European countries. We find that, after controlling for a rich set of socio-economic characteristics, for actual health status and for health-related behaviours, trust has a significantly positive effect on perceived health in Sweden and Germany, but none in the other countries. Civic participation does have a positive and quite similar effect in all countries. Our conclusion is that they measure two different aspects of social capital that must be treated separately. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1167-1170 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528353 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528353&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1167-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Garrett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Garrett Author-Name: Lesli Ott Author-X-Name-First: Lesli Author-X-Name-Last: Ott Title: Crime and arrests: deterrence or resource reallocation? Abstract: We use monthly time-series data for 20 large US cities to test the deterrence hypothesis (arrests reduce crimes) and the resource reallocation hypothesis (arrests follow from an increase in crime). We find (1) weak support for the deterrence hypothesis, (2) much stronger support for the resource reallocation hypothesis and (3) differences in city-level estimates suggest much heterogeneity in the crime and arrest relationship across regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1175 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528354 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528354&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1171-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: Openness and capital flow volatility: comparisons between transition economies and Latin America Abstract: The transition economies of Eastern Europe, much like Latin America, have attracted a great deal of capital and thus become vulnerable to external crises. As a result, assessing the volatility of capital movements, and distinguishing between stable and transitory flows, is particularly important. This study looks at nine transition and six Latin American countries individually, modelling Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), portfolio and other inflows separately as functions of macroeconomic variables that include economic openness. Cointegration analysis shows that Latin American flows seem to experience more of a reduction in volatility due to increased openness, suggesting that this region enjoys more risk-sharing as a result of financial integration than do transition economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1177-1180 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528355 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528355&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1177-1180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago de. V. Cavalcanti Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Author-X-Name-Last: de. V. Cavalcanti Author-Name: Kamiar Mohaddes Author-X-Name-First: Kamiar Author-X-Name-Last: Mohaddes Author-Name: Mehdi Raissi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Raissi Title: Does oil abundance harm growth? Abstract: This article explores whether natural resource abundance is a curse. Our results reveal that oil abundance has a positive effect on both long-run income levels and short-run economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1181-1184 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528356 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528356&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1181-1184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd Gabe Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabe Author-Name: Bernardita Silva Author-X-Name-First: Bernardita Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Did George W. Bush increase the happiness of US Republicans? Abstract: Using information from the US General Social Survey (GSS) between 1972 and 2006, we examine the effects of political affiliation on happiness. Regression results show that Republicans are always happier than Democrats, but members of both parties tend to be happier during a Democratic presidential administration. We do not find compelling evidence that Americans are happier when their own political party is in power. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1185-1188 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.528357 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.528357&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1185-1188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bywaters Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bywaters Author-Name: David Thomas Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Real money demand and supply meets Federal debt Abstract: This article presents the empirical results of an econometric investigation of the demand and supply of real money (M2) with real Federal debt in the USA economy as a Vector Auto-Regressions (VARs) system. This allows the study to focus on the crucial variables of fiscal and monetary policies, specifically the debt (wealth-creating instruments), the real monetary base and the relevant rates of interest. The long- and short-run effects of these variables over the quarterly data, spanning from 1960 to 2007, are analysed. Clearly, this is a well-researched field, where others have published excellent work, although this investigation differs in its choice of variables. The idea is to explain the dynamics and mechanisms of adjustment, generally left unexplained by economic theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1193 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532089 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532089&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1189-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tin-Chun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Economic effects of grades on course evaluations Abstract: In this article, we develop econometric models to test the hypothesis that students rate their professors primarily based upon their midterm grades. Our findings reveal that students' midterm grades are positively and significantly related to professors' overall evaluations, indicating that the hypothesis is accepted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1195-1199 Issue: 12 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532090 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532090&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:12:p:1195-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep Maria Raya Author-X-Name-First: Josep Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Raya Title: The effect of time on hotel pricing strategy Abstract: Tourist product distribution over the Internet is encouraging companies to implement dynamic pricing policies. The aim of this article is to present an empirical model of the dynamics of room prices in tourist resorts on the Catalan coast. We estimate a discrete time duration model for the probability of a price change occurring at any particular time and a count model for the number of price changes occurring over the period. The results suggest that the largest marginal effects are caused by a change in the location, the hotel category and the market share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1201-1205 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532091 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532091&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1201-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Peri Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Peri Author-Name: Lucia Baldi Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Baldi Title: Nonlinear price dynamics between CO2 futures and Brent Abstract: The growing expansion of European Union Emission Trading futures market and the parallel increase in the tendency of using such products also as financial instruments in the capital market outline the interest in the analysis of European Union Allowances (EUA) futures prices drivers. We applied recent developments in the threshold cointegration approach to investigate the presence of asymmetric dynamic adjusting processes between CO2 futures and spot Brent prices. We found evidence of the existences of long-run nonlinear relationships, with Brent prices driving EUA futures prices to a long-run equilibrium up to a point where the gap between the two prices exceeds a critical threshold. Hence, EUA futures market currently do not act only as a tool for compliance within the environmental regulation (i.e. to contain CO2 emissions), but has become a financial instrument to support firms' profit-maximizing behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532092 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532092&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hey Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Carmen Pasca Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Pasca Title: On choosing a constitution (at least the part relating to the distribution of income) Abstract: A constitution is a collection of principles or axioms determining how society should be organized and a description of the ordering of the axioms in terms of their importance and invocation. We report on an exploratory experiment aimed at discovering preferred axioms relating to the distribution of income within society. Unlike most previous experiments, we inquired directly into preferred axioms, rather than indirectly (done by asking subjects to choose between distributions). In addition to learning that the experimental design was, in principle, appropriate, we discovered that preferences expressed in this direct way appear to differ from preferences expressed indirectly. Interestingly, we also get an insight into the order in which people prefer principles to be implemented, thus suggesting something about relative importance. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1217 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532093 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532093&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1213-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josef Loening Author-X-Name-First: Josef Author-X-Name-Last: Loening Author-Name: Masato Higashi Author-X-Name-First: Masato Author-X-Name-Last: Higashi Title: Decomposing terms of trade fluctuations in Ethiopia Abstract: This article proposes a technique to decompose short-run fluctuations in the terms of trade. Using Ethiopia as an example, we decompose the commodity terms of trade into various components to measure the impact of price and volume shifts as well as export diversification. We use monthly data from the past decade, including periods during the global food and financial crises. Our findings suggest that diversification out of traditional coffee exports to other export commodities successfully mitigated the terms of trade shock. Continued export diversification will be beneficial. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1219-1224 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532094 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532094&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1219-1224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Brenda Carron Author-X-Name-First: Brenda Author-X-Name-Last: Carron Title: The effect of gender on stock price reaction to the appointment of directors: the case of the FTSE 100 Abstract: We examine the effect of the appointment of directors on the share price of FTSE companies. We find that the share price reaction to the appointment of directors suggests that gender is not an issue in the appointment of nonexecutive directors, but it does have an effect on the market reaction to the appointment of executive directors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1225-1229 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: FTSE 100, gender, directors, event study, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532095 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532095&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1225-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens Matthias Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Jens Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Author-Name: Andreas Worgotter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Worgotter Title: Structural reforms and the benefits of the enlarged EU internal market: still much to be gained Abstract: In the light of recent calls for additional structural reforms in Europe, this article looks at the role that a reduction of remaining barriers for integration and competition in the EU internal market can play in this context. This article presents new estimates of the likely impact of product market reform on labour productivity in old and new EU member countries, with a particular focus on network industries, professional services and retail trade. These estimates reveal that labour productivity could be boosted by an average of 10% over a time horizon of 10 years, in reward for a reform agenda that would align the stringency of anti-competitive regulation in services sectors to European best practice across all countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1231-1235 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532096 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532096&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1231-1235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naomi Kodama Author-X-Name-First: Naomi Author-X-Name-Last: Kodama Author-Name: Kazuhiko Odaki Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Odaki Title: Gender difference in the probability of success in starting business turns negligible when controlling for the managerial experience Abstract: This study analyses the difference in the probability of success in starting a business between male and female entrepreneurs. The novel data set of the participants of business start-up seminars enables us to control for entrepreneurial drive, educational level and managerial experience. In contrast to the existing literature, the gender difference proves to be negligible after controlling for the managerial experience. Our finding implies that the training programmes for women to improve their management skill will reduce the gender gap in starting a business. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1241 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532097 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532097&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1237-1241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Harris Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Q. C. Li Author-X-Name-First: Q. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: J. Moffat Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Title: The impact of higher education institution-firm knowledge links on firm-level productivity in Britain Abstract: This article estimates whether knowledge links with universities impact on establishment-level Total Factor Productivity (TFP). Using propensity score matching, the results show a positive and statistically significant impact although there are differences across production and nonproduction industries and domestically and foreign-owned firms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1246 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532098 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532098&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1243-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Badillo Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Author-Name: Carmelo Reverte Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Reverte Author-Name: Elena Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio Title: The Fisher effect in the EU revisited: new evidence using panel cointegration estimation with global stochastic trends Abstract: This article is aimed at verifying the fulfilment of the Fisher hypothesis for a panel of 15 EU countries using the recent developments in the estimation of panel cointegration models with cross-sectional dependence generated by unobservable global stochastic trends (Bai et al., 2009). Bai et al. (2009) propose two iterative procedures that jointly estimate the slope parameters and the stochastic trends. The resulting estimators are referred to, respectively, as Continuously Updated and Bias Corrected (CupBC) and Continuously Updated and Fully Modified (CupFM) estimators. Our results show that, if we ignore the cross-sectional dependence generated by global stochastic trends when estimating the Fisher equation, we could erroneously infer that there is a full Fisher effect, as found by Westerlund (2008) for a panel of OECD countries. However, if we explicitly introduce the common factors in the Fisher equation, the CupBC and CupFM estimators of the slope parameter on inflation are significantly lower than unity, which implies the existence of a 'partial' Fisher effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1247-1251 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532099 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532099&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1247-1251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Forrest Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Author-Name: L. Perez Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Title: Football pools and lotteries: substitute roads to riches? Abstract: Football pools offer an older alternative to lotto games for gamblers seeking high prizes with low stakes. The article models football pools demand in Spain over nearly 40 years. The introduction of lotto games to the market led to substantial cannibalization of the pools but, subsequently, there is no evidence that the products were substitutes when the relative value for money fluctuated. Entry fee is shown to be a determinant of demand independent of the expected loss per euro, implying that long-odds games should not be analysed as if buyers were acquiring a purely financial asset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1253-1257 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532100 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532100&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1253-1257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana-Isabel Guerra Author-X-Name-First: Ana-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Guerra Author-Name: Ferran Sancho Author-X-Name-First: Ferran Author-X-Name-Last: Sancho Title: Budget-constrained expenditure multipliers Abstract: Standard expenditure multipliers capture economy-wide effects of new government projects only when financing constraints are not binding. In actual policy-making, however, new projects usually need financing. We show that under liquidity constraints, new projects are subject to two opposite effects: an income effect and a set of spending substitution effects. The former is the traditional, unrestricted, multiplier effect; the latter is the result of expenditure reallocation to uphold effective financing constraints. Unrestricted multipliers will therefore be, as a general rule, upward biased and policy designs based upon them should be reassessed in the light of the countervailing substitution effects. We also propose a novel decomposition of multiplier effects based on internal and external dependencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1259-1262 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532101 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532101&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1259-1262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Olaskoaga-Larrauri Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Olaskoaga-Larrauri Author-Name: Ricardo Alaez-Aller Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Alaez-Aller Author-Name: Eneko Arrospide-Zabala Author-X-Name-First: Eneko Author-X-Name-Last: Arrospide-Zabala Title: Determinant factors in the convergence of welfare effort in OECD countries: a decomposition of the Theil indices Abstract: This article uses Theil's index to confirm the convergence of welfare effort in 21 developed countries. Taking advantage of the properties of this index, this article decomposes the dispersion of effort into its immediate determinants and thus illustrates that it is possible for there to be convergence in welfare effort but not in the intensity with which national systems protect their citizens. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1263-1266 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.532102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.532102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1263-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Ben Khediri Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Khediri Author-Name: H. Ben-Khedhiri Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben-Khedhiri Title: Determinants of bank net interest margin in Tunisia: a panel data model Abstract: This article examines the determinants of Net Interest Margins (NIM) in Tunisia and tests some of the bank's characteristics that are derived mainly from the dealership model (Ho and Saunders, 1981). The research considers the heterogeneity of individual banks through the use of random-effect as well as fixed-effect models. It tests the robustness of the results by running the Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data and robust cluster estimation. Operating Costs (OC) and Bank Capital (BC) are found to be consistent to the theoretical model implying positive association to NIM. In addition, NIM is positively related to Opportunity Costs of Bank Reserves (OCBR), Implicit Interest Payments (IIP) and negatively related to Quality of Management (QM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1267-1271 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534052 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534052&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1267-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viktors Ajevskis Author-X-Name-First: Viktors Author-X-Name-Last: Ajevskis Title: A target zone model with the terminal condition of joining a currency area Abstract: This study aims to generalize the Krugman target zone model for the case of terminal condition of joining a currency area. Using the terminal condition and the 'smooth pasting conditions', both analytical and numerical solutions of the problem are obtained. The proposed model is more adequate than the Krugman one when the moment of joining currency area approaches. The properties of the model highlight that monetary authorities have some degree of monetary independence until the moment of entering a currency zone. The model's outcomes are consistent with dynamic properties of the exchange rate time series of the European countries that entered euro zone in January 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1273-1278 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534053 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534053&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1273-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ellen Sewell Author-X-Name-First: Ellen Author-X-Name-Last: Sewell Title: Competition and dealership agglomeration in new car markets Abstract: The theoretical literature addressing firm agglomeration is rich and varied. Yet few empirical studies have been published. This article investigates the impact of competition on dealership agglomeration in new car markets in the United States. The driving distance between Dodge and Ford dealerships is used as a proxy for the extent of market agglomeration. The number of new car dealers, used car dealers and automotive service facilities are included to measure the extent of competition in the market. Both the land area and the population of the county are used as measures of market size. The geographical dimension for the market is taken to be the county, with counties included in multi-county Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) excluded from the study. The empirical results provide no support for the expectation that competition drives agglomeration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1283 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534054 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534054&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1279-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Moersch Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Moersch Author-Name: Armin Pohl Author-X-Name-First: Armin Author-X-Name-Last: Pohl Title: Predicting recessions with the term spread - recent evidence from seven countries Abstract: Using data including the most recent recession and employing two different definitions of recessions, this article examines the ability of the term spread of interest rates to predict recessions for seven countries. The empirical results indicate that the predictive power of the term spread is best for Canada, Germany, the United States and the United Kingdom. It is not solely a result of the link with monetary policy but for the most part reflects information independent of monetary policy actions. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)/Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) chronology of recessions provides the best fit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1288 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534055 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534055&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1285-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rupert Rhodd Author-X-Name-First: Rupert Author-X-Name-Last: Rhodd Author-Name: Sandra Schrouder Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Schrouder Author-Name: Marcus Allen Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Title: Weekend business school degrees: Levelling the playing field? Abstract: Using a sample of 6001 students in the traditional Bachelor of Business Administration (BBA) programme and 228 students in the weekend BBA programme, this study considers whether undergraduate students who participate in a weekend bachelor degree programme at an Association to Advance Collegiate Schools of Business (AACSB)-accredited business school perform as well as students who attend the traditional programme at the same university as measured by their final Grade Point Averages (GPAs). The results of this study demonstrate that some demographic factors that are correlated with the level of overall academic performance in the weekend programme significantly differ from the demographic factors that are correlated with students' performances in the traditional programme. Although the mean performances of students in the traditional and weekend programmes differ only slightly (2.95 GPA and 3.00 GPA, respectively), gender and age were a factor only in the traditional programme as females and older students outperform males and younger students. Underperformance by minority students is consistent in both programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1289-1294 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534058 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534058&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1289-1294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jomana Amara Author-X-Name-First: Jomana Author-X-Name-Last: Amara Title: Testing for stationarity using covariates: an application to purchasing power parity Abstract: We examine the evidence for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using post-Bretton Woods exchange rate data for 20 industrialized countries. The two tests used are the covariate tests for stationarity where the null hypothesis of stationarity is tested against the unit root alternative. These tests are generalizations of existing univariate stationarity tests and improve the power of univariate tests by utilizing the information contained in related stationary covariates. We conclude that PPP holds for 17 out of the 20 countries tested. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1295-1301 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.534059 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.534059&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1295-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherif Khalifa Author-X-Name-First: Sherif Author-X-Name-Last: Khalifa Author-Name: Ousmane Seck Author-X-Name-First: Ousmane Author-X-Name-Last: Seck Author-Name: Elwin Tobing Author-X-Name-First: Elwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tobing Title: Financial wealth effect: evidence from threshold estimation Abstract: Using Hansen's (1999) threshold estimation technique and Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) data set for the waves of 2001, 2003 and 2005, we estimate the effects of the fluctuations in financial wealth on the consumption behaviour of households for different endogenously determined income groups. We found a threshold income level of almost $130 000, below which the financial wealth effect is insignificant, and above which the effect is 0.004. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1303-1305 Issue: 13 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.535777 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.535777&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:13:p:1303-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: John Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Income inequality dynamics in rural China from 1991 to 2006: the role of alternative income sources Abstract: This article decomposes income inequality in rural China into five income sources and studies the marginal effect of each income source on total income inequality. We find that rising wage income and declining agricultural income play important roles in the rapid increase of income inequality in rural China from 1991 to 2006. Only increases in agricultural income appear to reduce total income inequality. China has recently eliminated taxes on agricultural income. These findings suggest that such a policy will help reduce income inequality in rural China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1307-1310 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.535778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.535778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1307-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Bystrom Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Bystrom Title: An index to evaluate fund and fund manager performance Abstract: I propose a new index, the b-index, to measure the performance of funds and fund managers. A fund or fund manager has a b-index equal to b if b is the highest number for which it holds that the fund/fund manager has returned more than b% at least b years throughout the history of the fund/fund manager. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1311-1314 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.535779 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.535779&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1311-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Juan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A gravity analysis of international stock market linkages Abstract: The last decade has witnessed a marked improvement in information technology. Such an improvement has reduced the information cost for market participants. Thus, whether the influence of geographic factors on international financial linkage is still significant nowadays is an important question yet to be addressed. This article develops a gravity model of international financial linkages. Using the panel data of bilateral cross-country stock market correlations of 23 countries, it is found that the correlations are negatively associated with the Great Circular Distance (GCD) between the financial centres of these countries and positively associated with the duration of overlapping trading hours among stock exchanges and the colonial links between countries. However, whether the countries share a common border or language does not affect the stock market correlations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1315-1319 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537614 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537614&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1315-1319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Jean Sepulveda Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Sepulveda Title: Stock returns in emerging markets and the use of GARCH models Abstract: We use the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to detect for the adequacy of using GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) as the data-generating process to model conditional volatility of stock market index rates of return in 13 emerging economies. We find that a GARCH formulation or any of its variants fail to provide an adequate characterization for the underlying process of the 13 emerging stock market indices. We also study whether there exist evidence of ARCH effects, over windows of 200, 400 and 800 observations, using Engle's LM (Lagrange Multiplier) test, and find that there exist long periods of time with no evidence of ARCH effects. The results suggest that policymakers should use caution when using autoregressive models for policy analysis and forecast because the inadequacy of GARCH models has strong implications for the pricing of stock index options, portfolio selection and risk management. Specially, measures of spillover effects and output volatility may not be accurate when using GARCH models to evaluate economic policy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1321-1325 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537615 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537615&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1321-1325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vedat Yorucu Author-X-Name-First: Vedat Author-X-Name-Last: Yorucu Author-Name: Ozay Mehmet Author-X-Name-First: Ozay Author-X-Name-Last: Mehmet Title: The bounds-test approach for co-integration between international tourist arrivals, per capita income and cost of living: the case of All Cyprus Abstract: Tourism is a major income earner for Cyprus, but the market is a divided destination. Since 1974 the country has been divided into the North and the South, each competing with one another in the same tourism market. For the first time, this empirical study investigates an island-wide tourism demand. Extending earlier work (Yorucu, 2001), All Cyprus tourism time series data covering 1980-2006 has been used in this article to estimate demand applying standard bounds-test approach for co-integration within a disaggregated framework. The results confirm a special long-run equilibrium relationship between Turkey/North Cyprus and Greece/South Cyprus. Thus, per capita tourist arrivals from Greece to South Cyprus and those from Turkey to North Cyprus are statistically significant with cost of living and per capita income variables. So long as incomes per capita increase in Turkey and Greece, a reunited All Cyprus will gain as one destination as Turkish and Greek citizens will become mobile island-wide. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1327-1331 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537616 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537616&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1327-1331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Alagidede Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Alagidede Author-Name: Theodore Panagiotidis Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Panagiotidis Author-Name: Xu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Why a diversified portfolio should include African assets Abstract: We employ parametric and nonparametric cointegration approaches to investigate the extent of integration between African stock markets and the rest of the world. Long-run correlation estimates imply very low association between these two. The two distinct cointegration approaches confirm the latter through recursive estimation. The implication is that global markets have little impact on African stock markets. However, including African assets in a mean-variance portfolio would be beneficial to international investors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1333-1340 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537617 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537617&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1333-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matteo Barigozzi Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Barigozzi Author-Name: Biagio Speciale Author-X-Name-First: Biagio Author-X-Name-Last: Speciale Title: Immigrants' legal status, permanence in the destination country and the distribution of consumption expenditure Abstract: This article considers the distribution of consumption expenditures for a large sample of documented and undocumented immigrants in Italy. Using the one-sided and two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests, we show that the distribution of consumption of immigrants with higher permanence in the host country first-order stochastically dominates the one of immigrants with lower permanence. These distributions are first-order stochastically dominated by the ones of natives with similar characteristics. Apart from differences in the first years since migration, undocumented immigrants show similar consumption distributions to the ones of documented immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1341-1347 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537618 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537618&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1341-1347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Goncu Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Goncu Title: Pricing temperature-based weather contracts: an application to China Abstract: This article is the first study to price temperature-based weather derivatives based on the daily average temperatures of Chinese cities, namely Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen. A dynamic model with a piecewise constant volatility function, proposed by Alaton et al. (2002), is used for pricing Heating Degree Days (HDD) and Cooling Degree Days (CDD) options. Price estimates for these options are obtained using Monte Carlo simulation and analytical approximation methods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1349-1354 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537619 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537619&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1349-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: The long-run effect of outward FDI on domestic output in developing countries Abstract: This article examines the long-run effect of outward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on domestic output in developing countries. Using panel cointegration techniques, we find a significant positive long-run effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1355-1358 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537620 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537620&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1355-1358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Author-Name: Antonio Andres Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Title: International evidence on the determinants of alcohol advertising restrictions Abstract: Unlike previous studies, which address the impact of alcohol advertising restrictions on alcohol demand, this article turns the issue around by investigating the determinants of alcohol advertising restrictions. Estimating a series of Probit models, our results show that the probability of adopting advertising restrictions tends to be higher in countries with higher life expectancy, higher per capita income, having a majority of the population that is Muslim and having a higher share of the population that is young. Population density, alcohol consumption and economic freedom play largely insignificant roles in the determination of advertising restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1359-1362 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537621 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537621&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1359-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Nonlinearities in central and eastern European stock markets Abstract: In this article we use nonlinear tests to investigate the mean reverting properties of stock prices in a group of Central and East European (CEE) markets. We also test whether returns in our target group of countries demonstrate characteristics of persistence and cross-sectional dependence. Our results indicate that ignoring the nonlinearity in the stock prices of CEE countries could result in misleading inferences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1363-1366 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537622 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537622&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1363-1366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Kozyra Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kozyra Author-Name: Camillo Lento Author-X-Name-First: Camillo Author-X-Name-Last: Lento Title: Using VIX data to enhance technical trading signals Abstract: The purpose of this article is to provide new insights into the relationship between technical analysis and implied market volatility (VIX) by calculating technical trading rules with the VIX price data, as opposed to the stock prices. Three trending trading rule signals are calculated on the prices of three major US indices and the VIX prices. The results reveal that the trading signals calculated with the VIX level provide large, statistically significant profits that are in excess of the profits from the traditional computation. Sub-period analysis reveals that technical trading rules were most (least) profitable during the period with the highest (lowest) volatility levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1367-1370 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537623 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537623&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1367-1370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: WenShwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: WenShwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The lag in effect of inflation targeting and policy evaluation Abstract: The lag in effect of monetary policy contains vital information for the policy evaluation. Allowing for a time-varying treatment effect, we show that Inflation Targeting (IT) effectively lowers inflation for both developed and developing countries. Developed countries reach their targets rapidly with a 2-year lag in effect. Developing countries, however, reduce inflation gradually towards their targets and do not reach their ultimate goal by the end year of 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1371-1375 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537624 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537624&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1371-1375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. You Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Evaluating poverty duration and transition: a spell-approach to rural China Abstract: This article uses a discrete-time multivariate duration model to study poverty transition in rural China between 1989 and 2006. The analysis identifies nonlinear negative duration-dependence for both exit and re-entry rates of poverty. There is significant difference in hazard rates of exit and re-entry associated with geographic location and educational level of households, but less related to gender, occupation or ethnic background of household head. The factors facilitating households' ending a poverty spell are found to be education, land ownership, asset accumulation, health insurance and outmigration, whereas larger family size and dependence ratio may reduce the chance of exit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1377-1382 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537625 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537625&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1377-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Bentzen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Bentzen Title: Quantifying environmental sustainability using an aggregate index reflecting increasing marginal damage costs Abstract: In an environmental economics context increasing marginal damage costs are usually assumed, and a methodology for calculating a sustainability index in accordance with this assumption is presented. The aggregate index is constructed from an n-element vector including the values of the (n) subset indicators, and the length of this vector in Euclidian space is perceived as an alternative measurement scale. Increasing values for any of the elements in the vector will influence the total result more than proportionately and hence in accordance with an assumption of increasing marginal damage costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1383-1386 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537626 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537626&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1383-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: How stable is the demand for international reserves? Abstract: Previous research that has tested the stability of the reserve demand function uses panel data, without incorporating any adjustment process into the testing procedure when providing evidence of instability in reserve demand. In this article, we use time-series data, as well as a bounds testing approach to error-correction modelling that incorporates the adjustment process, to show that reserve demand function is stable in 20 of the 22 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries in our study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1387-1392 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537627 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537627&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1387-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Title: Health status and wage differences: measuring productivity penalty and discrimination patterns Abstract: In this study by utilizing the 2008 Athens Area Study (AAS) data set, I examine to what extent inequalities in the Greek labour market between health-impaired and healthy employees may be attributed to differences in productivity and/or discrimination. A group of health-impaired male and female employees who self-reported that their productivity is not affected by their impairment is used to measure the effects of discrimination separately from the effects of poor health on wages. A penalty for heath-impaired employees having work limitations exists. Evidence of wage discrimination against health-impaired employees having no work limitations is also observed. Both findings are statistically significant. Currently, health-impaired people do not appear to face a level playing field in the Greek labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1393-1396 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.537628 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.537628&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1393-1396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: A Bayesian approach to building robust structural credit default models Abstract: We present a methodology for constructing robust credit default estimates using Bayesian mixture models. Robust models explicitly take parameter uncertainty into account by allowing the modeller to formally express his degree of confidence in the model he is using and thus generate new model parameters that more accurately reflect his views on the soundness of his model. In the context of credit risk modelling, robust models are beneficial to practitioners because they provide a more structured way to err on the side of caution when estimating default probabilities. We conclude by briefly comparing the model presented with so-called credit risk models of incomplete information. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1397-1400 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539528 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539528&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1397-1400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giulio Bottazzi Author-X-Name-First: Giulio Author-X-Name-Last: Bottazzi Author-Name: Federico Tamagni Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Tamagni Title: Big and fragile: when size does not shield from default Abstract: Analysing a large sample of Italian firms we find that the probability of default increases with size. This contrasts with the common observation, based on measures of exit from business registry data, that firms' death rate is inversely related to the scale of their operation and suggests a rethinking of the economic role of larger companies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1401-1404 Issue: 14 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539529 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539529&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:14:p:1401-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: M. C. Sunny Wong Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Sunny Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Inward FDI, remittances and out-migration Abstract: In this study, we look at the relationship between remittances received at home, inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and out-migration of individuals with different levels of education. Using the bilateral international migration data in 1990 and 2000, we find that inward FDI tends to deter the out-migration of individuals with secondary and tertiary education, but has no significant impact on the out-migration of individuals with primary education. In addition, remittances received at home induce the out-migration of individuals with primary education, but not the out-migration of individuals with secondary and tertiary education. The stock of existing migrants in a foreign country encourage future out-migration regardless of migrants' levels of education. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1409 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539530 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539530&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1405-1409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Deng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Li Si-fei Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Si-fei Author-Name: Wu Wei-xing Author-X-Name-First: Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei-xing Title: Market discounts and announcement effects of private placements: evidence from China Abstract: This article examines the market discounts and announcement effects of private equity placements in China. We find that, on average, Chinese firms have about 30% market discounts for private placements, which is higher in number than those of US firms. Firms experience positive announcement effects for private placements and such effects are positively related with the market discounts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1414 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539531 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539531&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1411-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Baba Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Baba Author-Name: Y. Sakurai Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Sakurai Title: Predicting regime switches in the VIX index with macroeconomic variables Abstract: In this article, we investigate the role of US macroeconomic variables as leading indicators of regime shifts in the VIX index using a regime-switching approach. We find that there are three distinct regimes in the VIX index during the 1990 to 2010 period: tranquil regime with low volatility, turmoil regime with high volatility and crisis regime with extremely high volatility. We also show that the regime shift from the tranquil to the turmoil regime is significantly predicted by lower term spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1415-1419 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.539532 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.539532&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1415-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Hsiu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Len-Kuo Hu Author-X-Name-First: Len-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The role of ownership on control right allocation and compensation contract design Abstract: We propose a corporate control model that deals with control right allocation and compensation contract design. By drawing upon a special feature of human nature, that is the sense of gain and loss affiliated with initial ownership as described by the prospect theory in Kahneman and Tversky (1979), we find that it helps mitigate the inefficiency stemming from the agency problem. In particular, there exists a most desirable level of 'managerial irrationality' that completely offsets the social efficiency loss inflicted by the moral hazard problem. Moreover, less control right should be allocated to outside investors and more compensation should be granted to the manager as the latter reveals more serious concern about his ownership gain and loss. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1426 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.541148 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.541148&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1421-1426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Miguel St. Aubyn Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: St. Aubyn Title: Assessing health efficiency across countries with a two-step and bootstrap analysis Abstract: Regressing Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) output efficiency scores on nondiscretionary variables, with a two-stage DEA/Tobit and bootstrap procedures, we show that health inefficiency in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries is related to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per head, education level, obesity and smoking habits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1427-1430 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.541149 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.541149&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1427-1430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Dong Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Title: Optimal tariff calculations in tariff games with climate change considerations Abstract: We discuss whether the introduction of climate change considerations into Nash tariff games increases or reduces post-retaliation tariffs. We briefly discuss how climate change considerations can be introduced into computational trade models. We then calculate optimal tariffs in comparable conventional (no climate change considerations present) and with climate change trade models. Results show that compared with conventional trade models, adding climate change considerations reduces the level of optimal tariffs, but this only occurs when the damage effects involved are large. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1431-1435 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.541391 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.541391&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1431-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Chi Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Wei-Jen Wen Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Determinants of performing arts attendance in Taiwan: a multivariate probit analysis Abstract: This article uses data collected from a telephone survey of Taiwanese residents to investigate the live performance attendances at four types of performing arts: contemporary drama, traditional theatre, dance and music. We estimate a Multivariate Probit (MVP) model to characterize the audience for each type of performing arts and to find out the pairwise correlations across performing arts. The audience of traditional theatre appears to be quite different from that of the other three types of performing arts. We also show significant and positive correlations across attendances at all four performing arts, with the correlation coefficient between dance and music being the highest. This indicates that performing arts are complements and audiences tend to be 'omnivorous' rather than 'univorous'. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1442 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543060 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543060&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1437-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Further evidence on money and inflation in the long run Abstract: The long-run money-inflation relation is re-examined in the context of De Grauwe and Polan's (2005) recent claim that the monetary aggregates are of no use for monetary analysis at low rates of inflation, and Nelson's (2002) counterclaim that in cross-country analysis money should be defined as currency and allowance should be made for lags. I report cross-section results that support a role for the monetary aggregates at low inflation when currency is the monetary aggregate, and panel data results that find no such role, notwithstanding the use of currency and allowing for lags. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1443-1447 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543061 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543061&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1443-1447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huai-I. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Huai-I. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hsinan Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsinan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Len-Kuo Hu Author-X-Name-First: Len-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Ching-Chung Lin Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Portfolio insurance with ratcheted floor as a long-term asset management strategy: implications of loss aversion Abstract: The existing literature has revealed that the performance of current portfolio insurance strategies as long-term asset management is limited. Prospect theory implies that creation of ladder return distributions by portfolio insurance can improve long-term asset management with criteria of loss avoidance and gain protection. Based on this principle, we propose the Ratcheted Floor Variable Proportion Portfolio Insurance (RF-VPPI) as a competing strategy with the Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance (CPPI) and rolling-CPPI strategies. Simulations and empirical tests demonstrate that the RF-VPPI outperforms the CPPI and the rolling-CPPI in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1454 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543062 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543062&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1449-1454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: A. I. Sanjuan Author-X-Name-First: A. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanjuan Title: Calorie consumption and income: panel cointegration and causality evidence in developing countries Abstract: Two theories characterize the relationship between calorie consumption and income. The Engel curve hypothesizes that calories are determined by income whereas the efficiency wage hypothesis posits the converse. This article examines the validity of these hypotheses for 41 developing countries using panel cointegration methods. Results show bidirectional causality and both hypotheses are supported. The long-run income elasticity of calorie demand is 0.25, and the calorie elasticity of income generation is 1.78. Thus, increases in income can alleviate malnutrition to a limited extent, and increases in calorie consumption lead to greater work effort and income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1461 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543063 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543063&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1455-1461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: A note on subsidy-free prices and scope economies Abstract: The necessary admissible range of subsidy-free prices is bounded from above by the incremental scope economy measure for the service - the difference between total scope economies and the scope economies associated with the complement of the service. These incremental scope economy measures provide an alternative, though no less computationally burdensome, approach for deriving sufficient (necessary) conditions for subsidy-free prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1463-1468 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543064 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543064&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1463-1468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Tax-induced multiple equilibria Abstract: In this article, we present examples of tax-distorted general equilibrium economies in which equilibria are unique in the absence of taxes, but taxes generate multiplicity when introduced over a range of tax rates. We also provide converse examples of economies with multiple no-tax equilibria, but where taxes when introduced induce uniqueness. Both Foster and Sonnenschein (1970) and Kehoe (1985) discussed the possibility of tax-induced multiplicity. Here, we show how in 2-individual 2-good pure exchange economies with Constant Elasticity of Substitution/Linear Expenditure System (CES/LES) preferences such cases can occur. We also provide ranges of consumption tax rates over which these cases can occur for alternative parameterizations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1469-1477 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543065 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543065&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1469-1477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: How to offset the negative trend growth rate in the Italian economy? Abstract: The trend growth rate of the Italian economy has been declining since the 1980s. To examine how to offset this trend, we estimate a simple specification of an endogenous growth model. Cointegrating equations for the long-run output growth and its determinants are estimated with alternative time series methods. Our results imply that policies to double trade openness are necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1479-1483 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543066 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543066&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1479-1483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vahe Lskavyan Author-X-Name-First: Vahe Author-X-Name-Last: Lskavyan Title: Democracy levels and the income-military expenditure relationship Abstract: I explore whether the level of democracy has an impact on the income sensitivity of military expenditures. Such an impact can exist if military support is a substitute for popular support in nondemocracies but not in democracies. For a panel of developing and less developed countries, I find that the sensitivity of military expenditures to income changes decreases with the level of democracy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1485-1489 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543067 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543067&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1485-1489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Author-Name: Philipp Wichardt Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Wichardt Title: Why not sell lottery tickets in a pharmacy: on conflicting product features and consumer choice Abstract: This article reports data from a questionnaire study indicating that in a consumer choice problem, additional choice options can cause a tangible disutility that people prefer to avoid if the additional options exhibit features that conflict with those of the old ones, for example, lottery tickets (gambling) and health-care products (health and reliability). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1491-1495 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543068 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543068&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1491-1495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Mulligan Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Mulligan Title: Market size, service quality and competition in the US downhill ski industry Abstract: Using a two-sector model of congestion, I explain theoretically how lower travel costs and increased consumer income over time resulted in endogenous investment in quality and higher real prices at both national and local ski resorts despite limited market entry. I also provide empirical evidence for the US ski industry in support of the implications of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1497-1500 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543072 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543072&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1497-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinliang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinliang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Liang Lei Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Determinants and information of REIT pricing Abstract: Utilizing advanced asset pricing techniques, we investigate the long-term relation between the general economy, the broad equity market and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). Both monetary and real economy factors, along with the stock market factor, are found to be determinants in REIT pricing. On a quarterly basis, we provide evidence that the REIT market is efficient in terms of incorporating information from the economy and the stock market. Furthermore, we test and find that REITs provide significant forward-looking information regarding the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1501-1505 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543074 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543074&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1501-1505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Why real estate values decline with leverage: a Modigliani-Miller example Abstract: This article shows that, because real estate investors borrow at an interest rate that is greater than the rate at which they can lend, the reservation value of real estate investments declines with the amount borrowed. The proof is a modified version of the home-made leverage examples introduced by Modigliani and Miller (1958). Market value is established as the reservation value of the marginal investor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1507-1510 Issue: 15 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.544639 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.544639&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:15:p:1507-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinliang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinliang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunchi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chunchi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Stochastic volatility, liquidity and intraday information flow Abstract: This article examines the relationship among intradaily information flows, volatility and volume based on the Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH). We generalize the MDH model to accommodate both informed and uninformed trading effects on return volatility. Using a Fourier filtering technique, we uncover the salient long-run dependence of information flow from high-frequency data with a relative short time span. The positive relationship between volatility and volume is primarily driven by the informed component of trading. We find a negative correlation between uninformed volume and volatility. Uninformed trading seems to add depth and liquidity to the market and therefore reduces volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1515 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.543077 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.543077&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1511-1515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Zanforlin Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Zanforlin Title: Domestic lending when financial markets are integrated: Is it all for real? Abstract: Recent episodes of strong growth in banks' credit to the private sector have been accompanied by large appreciations of the real exchange rates. I conjecture that such appreciations have been associated with cross-country interest rate differentials, and integrated financial markets generated increases in domestic liquidity. I also conjecture that real exchange rates alter the relative values of domestic and foreign collateral goods and thus they affect total financing available to a country. I use panel data for 91 countries from 1970 to 2000 to investigate the association between cross-country interest rate differentials, real exchange rate levels and private sector credit growth, through dynamic panel data techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1517-1520 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: bank lending, exchange rate policy, emerging markets, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548769 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548769&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1517-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Snowball Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Snowball Author-Name: K. G. Willis Author-X-Name-First: K. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Willis Title: Interview versus self-completion questionnaires in discrete choice experiments Abstract: Since the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) panel (1993) on Contingent Valuation (CV), it has been accepted that Willingness to Pay (WTP) data should ideally be collected using only face-to-face interviews and not self-completion surveys. However, there has been little testing of the accuracy of Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) data collected using self-completion methods, which may actually produce more reliable results because of a reduction in interviewer bias and because respondents are given more time to think. This research, conducted at the South African National Arts Festival (NAF), compares the findings of face-to-face and self-completion surveys using a choice experiment eliciting the willingness of attenders to pay for various attributes of live theatre performances. Results show that attribute coefficients are consistently lower for the self-completion data than for the interview data and, for the model including interaction terms, have lower SEs for the majority of the coefficients. WTP estimates are also lower and, given ticket prices, more realistic, when using the self-completion data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1525 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: discrete choice, questionnaires, interview, self-completion, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548770 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548770&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1521-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bidisha Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Bidisha Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Author-Name: Rudra Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Finance-growth nexus revisited for some Asian countries Abstract: This article investigates the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth for Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, China, India and Singapore for the period between 1979 and 2009, using Johansen cointegration tests and vector error correction models. The results suggest that in the case of Indonesia, Singapore, the Philippines, China and India financial development leads to economic growth, whereas in the case of Thailand there exists a bidirectional causality between these variables. The results further suggest that in the case of Malaysia financial development does not seem to cause economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1527-1530 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: financial development, economic growth, multivariate VAR, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548771 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548771&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1527-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Andrew Perumal Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Perumal Title: Are Asian-Pacific real exchange rates (trend) stationary? Abstract: We apply the Range Unit-Root (RUR) test, a new nonparametric test advanced by Aparicio et al. (2006), to the exploration of stationarity for 19 Asian-Pacific currencies. The RUR test is exceptionally well suited to this analysis because it is robust against multiple structural breaks, parameter shifts and certain additive outliers, does not depend on the variance of any stationary alternative and thereby outperforms standard tests in terms of power on near-unit-root stationary time series. We find strikingly favourable results for trend-stationarity for most of the 19 Asian-Pacific currencies studied. Our results indicate that the long-run equilibrium Real Exchange Rate (RER) varies with changes in some real economic factors, hinting at some type of Balassa-Samuelson effects, which is particularly plausible for export-led, fast-growing economies such as many of the Asian-Pacific countries included in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1535 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: real exchange rates, trend-stationarity, RUR, FB-RUR, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548772 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548772&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1531-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Garcia-Quevedo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Quevedo Author-Name: Francisco Mas-Verdu Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Mas-Verdu Author-Name: Jose Polo-Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Polo-Otero Title: R&D human resources in firms: What determines the educational level required? Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of the demand for R&D employees with different educational levels. The results from the estimations of an ordered logit model show that the main characteristics of the firms that explain the level of education required are university-firm cooperation, R&D intensity and how internal R&D activities are organized. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1537-1540 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: R&D, skills, human resources, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548774 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548774&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1537-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Bank insolvency risk and different approaches to aggregate Z-score measures: a note Abstract: We discuss to what extent existing approaches to the construction of aggregate Z-score measures capture the notion of systemic soundness, propose some alternative ones that could be just as informative and have potential complementary value, and illustrate how these different approaches compare using a data set of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) commercial, cooperative and savings banks for the period 1994-2008. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1541-1543 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: insolvency risk, aggregate Z-score, systemic soundness, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548775 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548775&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1541-1543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharina Hauck Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Hauck Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: Health dynamics, adaptation to illness and resource allocation Abstract: The increased availability of panel data has made it possible to estimate and measure health dynamics for population subgroups who may have systematically different levels of dynamics. We use a straightforward hypothetical example to investigate the implications of different levels of health dynamics on health outcomes, considering in addition the effects of adaptation to illness over time. The results demonstrate implications for the assessment of health technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1545-1548 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: health dynamics, panel data, quality-adjusted life years, adaptation, response shift, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548776 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548776&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1545-1548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guo Li Author-X-Name-First: Guo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Lee Sanning Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Sanning Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Forecasting bank failures: timeliness versus number of failures Abstract: Motivated by the observation that very few banks fail in normal years, we explore the impact of that pattern on the precision of a standard statistical failure model and discuss implications for regulation and risk management. Out-of-sample forecasting is found to be worse for a model fitted to recent data with few failures than for a model fitted to much older data with more failures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1549-1552 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: bank failure, early warning, rare events, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548777 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548777&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1549-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhong Chunping Author-X-Name-First: Zhong Author-X-Name-Last: Chunping Author-Name: Calum Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: Can households form consistent/convergent and unbiased expectation of interest rate? Abstract: Expectation reliability remains a question. In this article, we test whether the households could form unbiased expectation of interest rate. From the Survey of Consumer Finance (SCF), we find that the majority of households hold higher interest rate expectation, and by simple t-test, the interest rate movement in 5 years does not support such expectation. Additional evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations (SEE) confirms that it is hard to accept that the households could form unbiased expectation of interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1553-1557 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: interest rate, expectation, survey, t-test, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548778 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548778&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1553-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Title: A note on sibling rivalry and good-kid, bad-kid equilibria Abstract: When parents with concave utility reward good behaviour on the part of their children with a share of the marginal utility they derive from good behaviour, a decrease in good behaviour by kid i causes kid j to increase the amount of good behaviour he/she supplies in equilibrium. This may explain why simultaneous good-kid behaviour is rare and also why children try to get their siblings into trouble. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1559-1563 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: sibling rivalry, kid behaviour, bribery, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548779 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548779&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1559-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Escobari Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Escobari Title: Frequent flyer programs premium and the role of airport dominance Abstract: This article estimates a Frequent Flyer Programs (FFP) price premium - higher fares associated with a larger proportion of travellers using FFP. The results show that FFP affect the entire price distribution, but the effect is larger on lower end fares. In addition, airport dominance increases the premium on less expensive fares but has no effect on the premium associated with the right tail of the price distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1565-1569 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: frequent flyer programs, pricing, airlines, panel data, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548780 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548780&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1565-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunbae Chun Author-X-Name-First: Hyunbae Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Jung-Wook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Capital allocation, stock return volatility and productivity growth in US industries Abstract: Using firm-level Compustat data from 1971 to 2000, we report a substantial cross-industry variation of allocative efficiency in capital expenditure in the US economy. Industries with higher allocative efficiency are the ones with higher firm-level value-added growth heterogeneity, higher information transparency captured by firm-specific stock return volatility and faster long-run productivity growth. This finding is consistent with the idea of creative destruction, where a well-functioning market mechanism sharply distinguishes winners from losers and thus enhances economic growth in the long run. Allocative efficiency has a substantial economic significance and explains as much as 24.5% of the difference in long-run industry productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1571-1576 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: allocative efficiency, capital expenditure, stock return volatility, productivity, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548781 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2010.548781&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1571-1576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Perdomo Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perdomo Title: A methodological proposal to estimate changes of residential property value: case study developed in Bogota Abstract: This article is an empirical study of residential land values in the vicinity of the TransMilenio system (Bus Rapid Transit, BRT) in Bogota (Colombia). The results have been established through impact evaluation by means of nonparameteric approaches (Propensity Score Matching, PSM) and econometric approaches (Spatial Hedonic Price, SHP) indicating that access to the BRT system generates benefits on the change of property value. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1577-1581 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: TransMilenio, Bogota, impact evaluation, propensity score matching, spatial hedonic price, change of property value, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554360 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554360&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1577-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Colombier Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Colombier Title: Does the composition of public expenditure affect economic growth? Evidence from the Swiss case Abstract: In the light of tightening budget constraints caused by the recent financial and economic crisis and population ageing, it has become increasingly important to explore which portfolio of public expenditure generates economic growth. This article, therefore, estimates the growth effects of the composition of public expenditure for the Swiss case. One main finding is that public expenditures on transport infrastructure, education and administration foster growth. As nonhigh-quality data, which can bias least square estimators, are pervasive in economics, statistically robust estimation methods are applied. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1583-1589 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: fiscal policy, economic growth, composition of public expenditure, robust estimator, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554361 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554361&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1583-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: Liquidity on the outside from the inside Abstract: We describe an extension to a Liquidity-Adjusted Value-at-Risk (LVaR) model originally developed by Bangia et al. (1999) that incorporates liquidity risk into the traditional VaR model using random bid-ask spreads. By applying the Hellinger distance measure, we show how the bid-ask spread can be partially endogenized by adjusting it to reflect the influence of trade size on prices and ultimately on the measurement of market risk. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1591-1593 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: VaR, liquidity, bid-ask spread, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554362 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554362&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1591-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Hearn Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hearn Author-Name: Shuk Yin Man Author-X-Name-First: Shuk Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Man Title: An examination of price integration between stock market and international crude oil indices: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the degree of price integration between aggregate equity market indices of Hong Kong, the Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A and B share markets, and the international Brent crude oil price. The application of Vector Autoregressive (VAR) methods reveals that the regions' markets are generally price-segmented, with the prominent exception of Shanghai B market which is price-integrated with the domestic A share markets in both Shanghai and Shenzhen. The evidence would suggest that Chinese markets are more heavily influenced by domestic events in the long term than external influences. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1595-1602 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: financial market integration, causality, oil, China, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554363 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554363&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1595-1602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cynthia Bansak Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Bansak Author-Name: Mary Graham Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: Allan Zebedee Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Zebedee Title: The effects of gender composition of senior management on the economic fallout Abstract: In this article, we test the proposition that the presence of women in management impacts decision-making outcomes. In particular, we hypothesize that the greater the proportion of women on the senior management team, the lower the degree of risks taken at the firm level. Using data from the US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC), the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and the US Treasury in this study, we create firm-level gender ratios and control for firm size to assess the impact on two separate risk outcome measures. We find some evidence that financial institutions with more women in the senior management team avoided having to accept Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funds, but that the proportion of women executives has no impact on stock return volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1603-1607 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: gender, risk management, financial crisis, senior management, Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) funding, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554364 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554364&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1603-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Julia Paxton Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Paxton Title: From debt crisis to tequila crisis: inflation stationarity through Mexico's turbulent decades Abstract: The volatility of Mexican inflation throughout the 1980s' debt crisis and the 1994 tequila crisis provides an interesting backdrop to test for structural breaks and inflation stationarity in a developing country context. By allowing for multiple breaks, four inflationary regimes are identified during the period 1980 to 2004. Initial unit root tests reject stationarity; however, by incorporating structural break analysis, inflation is found to be I(0). The structural break analysis and the stationarity analysis point to monetary and fiscal determinants of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1609-1612 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Mexico, inflation, structural breaks, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554365 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554365&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1609-1612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunhee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yunhee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jae Young Choi Author-X-Name-First: Jae Young Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Complementarity and contextuality in the adoption of information systems Abstract: To understand the impact of Information Systems (ISs) on actual performance, we employed 616 Korean firms to estimate the complementarities among such systems and to uncover the contextual factors influencing them. In particular, we introduced various contextual variables and analysed their effects on the complementarities of firms. Our results indicate that Information Technology (IT) stock serves as an important contextual factor for enhancing the complementarity between the adoption of Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) and Customer Relationship Management (CRM). Furthermore, although IT stock has a strong positive direct and indirect IS-mediated impact on the performance of firms, other IT-related variables such as IT organization and the use of firewalls generally have a positive influence only when they are combined with the adoption of ISs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1613-1618 Issue: 16 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: information systems, performance of firms, complementarity, contextuality, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556583 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556583&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:16:p:1613-1618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoine Belgodere Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Belgodere Author-Name: Charles Vellutini Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Vellutini Title: Identifying key elasticities in a CGE model: a Monte Carlo approach Abstract: This article presents a simple Monte Carlo (MC) procedure to improve sensitivity analysis in Computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling. MC experiments provide the modeller with a population of randomly drawn exogenous parameters and corresponding endogenous outcomes. Standard econometrics can then shed light on the relationship between them and help to identify key parameters, particularly key elasticities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1619-1622 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Monte Carlo, elasticities, CGE, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554366 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554366&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1619-1622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Feng Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Forecasting comparison between two nonlinear models: fuzzy regression versus SETAR Abstract: In this article, we compare the forecasting performances of the Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR) model and a fuzzy clustering regression model. The series used in this study are high-frequency financial data in the form of seven major stock prices in the US stock markets; the stock indices from seven world stock trading centres; the daily prices for two important commodities, gold and crude oil; and the daily exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the US dollar. We find that the two models are not too different from each other in terms of the within-sample fit, but in terms of the forecasting performance, the fuzzy model gives better and stable forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1623-1627 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: one-step-ahead forecast SETAR, fuzzy set, fuzzy regression, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.554369 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.554369&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1623-1627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Kuhl Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Kuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Author-Name: Renato Joiozo Author-X-Name-First: Renato Author-X-Name-Last: Joiozo Title: Human capital and innovation: evidence from panel cointegration tests Abstract: Panel cointegration techniques applied to pooled data for 27 countries for the period 1960 to 2000 indicate that (1) government spending in education and innovation indicators is cointegrated; (2) education hierarchy is relevant when explaining innovation; and (3) relationship between education and innovation can be obtained after an accommodation of a level structural break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1629-1632 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: human capital, innovation, panel cointegration, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556584 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556584&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1629-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yukio Fukumoto Author-X-Name-First: Yukio Author-X-Name-Last: Fukumoto Title: International price dispersions of the Big Mac and economic integration Abstract: McDonald's Big Mac hamburger is available all over the world, and its recipe and quality are almost identical around the world and have changed little over time. However, Big Mac prices are widely disparate even across countries with more similar per capita incomes. This fact would be amazing because world tariff levels have been falling steadily and world trade volumes have been increasing dramatically in recent decades. We pay attention to the situation of international goods markets' integration and attempt to clarify why the deviations from absolute Big Mac parity are common across countries. To summarize our main results, global price dispersion of the Big Mac did not decrease although per capita income dispersion reduced. On the other hand, price dispersions of the Big Mac decreased within countries where trade ties are strong. These results suggest that Big Mac prices of countries in the world converge to several levels and that existence of trading bloc accounts for deviations from absolute Big Mac parity to some extent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1633-1638 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Big Mac parity, dispersion, price convergence, economic integration, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556585 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556585&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1633-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun-Huan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Huan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ya-Li Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Do you have credit cards? The expansion of the credit card market in Taiwan Abstract: This article discusses the expansion of credit cards in Taiwan. The intention of the study is (1) to compare the performance of various diffusion models, such as logistic models, Fourier models and autoregressive models; (2) to identify the important explanatory factors regarding the expansion of the credit card market in Taiwan. The data set comprised annual data regarding the number of credit cards in circulation between 1991 and 2005. Empirical results show that the diffusion rate increased with per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but decreases with number of banks and net savings. The rate of market penetration for the number of credit cards in circulation will reach 204.3% of the population. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1639-1644 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: credit cards in circulation, diffusion model, market penetration rate, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.556586 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.556586&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1639-1644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koon Nam Henry Lee Author-X-Name-First: Koon Nam Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Estimating demand elasticities for intra-regional tourist arrivals to Hong Kong - the 'bounds' testing approach Abstract: The aim of this study is to develop econometric models for estimating tourism demand elasticities using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration analysis, and to explain the effects of economic determinants on inbound tourist flows to Hong Kong from four major short-haul markets. The cointegration test used is the 'bounds' test of Pesaran et al. (2001) that is based on the estimation of an Unrestricted Error-Correction Model (UECM). This article addresses one of the major problems of how to use a relatively small sample to estimate tourism demand elasticities using cointegration approaches, which is faced by many researchers in modelling tourism demand. The results show that permanent income is the most important explanatory variable for all origin countries, but there are substantial variations between countries with the long-run elasticity ranging between 1.74 for China and 3.05 for Australia. Price elasticity is the next most important variable with the long-run elasticities ranging from 0.35 (Australia) to 0.98 (Taiwan). The findings are consistent with economic theory and have implications for government policies and strategies on investment, marketing and promotion and pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1645-1654 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: tourism demand, demand elasticities, cointegration, bounds testing, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558469 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558469&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1645-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Chih Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tin-Chia Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chia Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: The nonlinear dynamic process of macroeconomic development by modelling dry bulk shipping market Abstract: The purpose of this research is to study the trough of the global economics crisis in 2007 by studying business cycle of dry bulk shipping market using an integrative model over the period from January 1999 to October 2008 with developing an integrative model. This market is comprised of three different vessel sizes (Capesize, Panamax and Handymax), which were affected to varying degrees by the global economic crisis. Empirical results indicate that there is one complete cycle during the research period, which was methodologically determined by X11 decomposition and the Phase Average Trend (PAT). The values of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for the predictive model are 4.0383% (Capesize), 0.8393% (Panamax) and 15.5012% (Handymax). The values of MAPE for the forecasting models are 19.4276%, 10.146% and 8.0399%, respectively. Results indicate that the troughs are September 2009 (Capesize and Panamax) and July 2009 (Handymax). This article concluded that the shipping and macroeconomic recession will persist until the end of 2009. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1655-1663 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: dynamic process, integrative model, dry bulk market, X11, MAPE, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558470 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558470&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1655-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. van Es Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: van Es Author-Name: D. J. van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: D. J. Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Title: A decomposition of the growth in self-employment Abstract: We decompose the rise of self-employment in the Netherlands in the period 1992 to 2006. Using Logit estimates we identify the most important determinants of the recent upturn, separately for women and for men. In contrast with findings for the United States, we find that changes in the industrial composition only play a small role. For women, we find that intra-sectoral developments have been important in spurring self-employment. In particular, it has become more common for women to be self-employed in the Trade and Culture sectors. The ageing of society (older people are more often self-employed) is an important cause of the observed increase. This effect is partly compensated by the negative effect of a higher educated labour force. The estimation results imply that both policies to foster self-employment and a socio-cultural trend have been important. We postulate that generic policy effects have been the most important cause of the increase in self-employment. The largest effects were seen just in the last few years of our sample (2004-2006), which appears to be inconsistent with the notion of a longer lasting socio-cultural trend. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1665-1669 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: self-employment, trend, decomposition, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558471 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558471&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1665-1669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Michael Naretta Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Naretta Title: Determinants of various aspects of smoking behaviour in the United States Abstract: Using state-level data for the United States, this study uniquely examines the effects of cigarette prices and income on seven dimensions of smoking behaviour. Results show that income-based policies are relatively more effective than price- or tax-based policies. Smokers considering quitting smoking respond in expected ways to changing cigarette prices and income. Strong habit effects in most cases stress the need for early intervention programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1671-1675 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: smoking, demand, intensity, smuggling, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558472 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558472&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1671-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Samuel Chang Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Maty Konte Author-X-Name-First: Maty Author-X-Name-Last: Konte Title: The decreasing returns on working time: an empirical analysis on panel country data Abstract: An empirical analysis is conducted on two panels of 18 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries to test whether the elasticity of hourly productivity to working time is negative and decreasing with working time itself. If so, the decreasing returns on working time could be indicative of a fatigue effect that increases with working time. We find that the elasticity of productivity per hour to working time is negative and decreases with working time, but its coefficient is not strongly significant. This study offers empirical support for the hypothesis of a fatigue effect that increases with working time, but with some reservations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1677-1682 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: productivity, working time, decreasing returns, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558473 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558473&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1677-1682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Bank insolvency risk and Z-score measures with unimodal returns Abstract: We specialize the established justification for using Z-scores as a risk measure reflecting a bank's probability of insolvency to the case where the bank's distribution of returns is unimodal, obtaining a refined upper bound of the probability of insolvency for this potentially useful special case. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1683-1685 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: insolvency risk, Z-score, unimodal, Vysochanskii-Petunin inequality, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558474 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558474&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1683-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hector Bellido Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Bellido Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Measuring satisfaction of the unemployed: a composite indicator and policy implications Abstract: Given that unemployment is one of the main economic problems, policymakers debate the possible solutions. We contribute to this debate by analysing the general satisfaction of the unemployed in Spain and comparing it with that of the employed. To this end, we create a composite indicator of general satisfaction using responses in the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) (1994-2001) relating to specific satisfaction in different areas, work, financial, home and leisure time. We find that being unemployed has a significant and negative association with the general satisfaction of individuals and, in consequence, we conclude that the Spanish unemployment problem cannot be attributed, at least not entirely, to a lack of incentives for seeking work. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1687-1690 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: unemployment, general satisfaction, Spain, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.558475 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.558475&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1687-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Title: An empirical test of the purchasing power parity for transition economies: Panel SURADF tests Abstract: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for transition economies is tested using Panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey-Fuller (SURADF) tests of Breuer et al. (2001) for the period of January 1995 to December 2008. Although the other panel-based unit-root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of the panel and are incapable of determining the mix of I(0) and I(1) series in the panel setting, the Panel SURADF tests test a separate unit-root null hypothesis for each individual panel member and therefore identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. The PPP hypothesis is not confirmed for all the nine transition countries except Estonia and Romania when Breuer et al.'s Panel SURADF tests are conducted. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1691-1696 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: purchasing power parity, transition economic, Panel SURADFtests, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560102 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560102&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1691-1696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumihide Takeuchi Author-X-Name-First: Fumihide Author-X-Name-Last: Takeuchi Title: The exact import price and its implications for the US external imbalance Abstract: This article calculates the Feenstra's (1994) 'exact price index' for each category of US-imported goods and aggregates them to analyse the US import demand equation for assessing the seriousness of the external imbalance. What distinguishes Feenstra's exact price index is that it incorporates new product varieties. The exact import price index thus calculated suggests that US conventional import prices are biased upwards. The consequent downward adjustment in import prices causes appreciation in the real exchange rate and lowers the excessive portion of imports (the difference between actual and theoretical amounts of imports obtained from the import demand equation). Since the early 2000s, however, the role that new product varieties play in lowering the excessive portion of imports has declined because the impact of new products on import prices has been outweighed by the impact of the spike in primary commodity prices, which has resulted in a substantial depreciation of the real exchange rate. It is possible that this depreciation combined with relatively large excessive imports has caused the subsequent US current account deficit to stop expansion from the late 2000s onwards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1697-1703 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: exact import price index, import demand equation, real exchange rate, US external imbalance, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560103 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560103&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1697-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Cavenaile Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Cavenaile Author-Name: David Dubois Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Dubois Title: An empirical analysis of income convergence in the European Union Abstract: In this article, we investigate the convergence process within the European Union. More particularly, we study the convergence process of the new entrants from Central and Eastern Europe and of the 15 Western countries between 1990 and 2007. Applying a panel approach to the convergence equation derived from the Solow model, we show that new entrants and former members of the European Union can be seen as belonging to different groups of convergence. The existence of heterogeneity in the European Union or the Eurozone might affect their stability as the recent Greece's sovereign debt crisis illustrates it. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1705-1708 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: income convergence, European Union, heterogeneity, panel approach, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560104 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560104&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1705-1708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Stanca Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Stanca Author-Name: Luigino Bruni Author-X-Name-First: Luigino Author-X-Name-Last: Bruni Author-Name: Marco Mantovani Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Mantovani Title: The effect of motivations on social indirect reciprocity: an experimental analysis Abstract: This article investigates the effect of motivations on the perceived kindness of an action within the context of social indirect reciprocity (if A helps B, then C helps A). We test experimentally the hypothesis that, for a given distributional outcome, an action is perceived by a third party to be less kind if it can be strategically motivated. As a consequence, intention-based reciprocity should be stronger in the absence of strategic motivations. The results do not support this hypothesis: social indirect reciprocity is found to be less strong when strategic motivations can be ruled out. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1709-1711 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: indirect reciprocity, motivations, laboratory experiments, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560105 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560105&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1709-1711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Silvestrini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Silvestrini Title: The revision policy of seasonally adjusted balance sheet data in Italy Abstract: This article illustrates the seasonal adjustment procedure for bank deposits and loans in Italy focusing on the revision policy of seasonally adjusted data. Seasonal adjustment is conducted in a semi-automatic way, employing TRAMO-SEATS, one of the software packages most often used for the production of seasonally adjusted series. Regarding the frequency of data revisions, three alternative methods (current adjustment, concurrent adjustment and partial concurrent adjustment) are tested according to a quantitative criterion. An empirical application allows us to measure the speed of convergence of the estimates obtained with the aforementioned updating methods towards a 'final' value that can be considered a benchmark. The results suggest using the method of partial concurrent adjustment, which is based on the identification of the ARIMA model and of the deterministic components once a year, whereas the updating of the corresponding coefficients is undertaken every month. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1713-1717 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: seasonal adjustment, revisions, partial concurrent adjustment, balance sheet data, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.560106 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.560106&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1713-1717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Author-Name: Josh Davis Author-X-Name-First: Josh Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Incorporating uncertainty into the Black-Litterman portfolio selection model Abstract: We present a robust Black-Litterman (BL) model that takes into account the possibility of model misspecification. In place of a single prior distribution, we utilize multiple priors around the estimated expected excess returns and covariance matrix. The model has two primary advantages over the original BL model: (1) it systematically incorporates model misspecification in the form of Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence and (2) by explicitly targeting robust allocations, it improves upon traditional bootstrap approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1719-1722 Issue: 17 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Keywords: Black-Litterman, robust optimization, Kullback-Leibler divergence, X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562151 File-URL: http://www.informaworld.com/openurl?genre=article&doi=10.1080/13504851.2011.562151&magic=repec&7C&7C8674ECAB8BB840C6AD35DC6213A474B5 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:17:p:1719-1722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Panas Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Author-Name: V. Ninni Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Ninni Title: Is there a software Kuznets curve? Abstract: This study investigates the effect of the per capita income, national culture, quality of governance, education, informal market and corruption on the level of software piracy across 61 countries over a 4-year period (1996, 1998, 2000, 2002). Cross-country regressions as well as panel data analysis show that there is an inverted U-shaped relation between the per capita income and software piracy, very similar to the one described by the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). We address this relation as the Software Kuznets Curve (SKC) and we find that our results are robust to the inclusion of the aforementioned variables. Moreover, the choice of a random or fixed effects model does not seem to affect these findings. We have also tried to relax the homogeneity assumption, by grouping the countries of our sample to classes, according to an indicator of well-being, namely the Human Development Index (HDI). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1723-1728 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1723-1728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henning Mühlen Author-X-Name-First: Henning Author-X-Name-Last: Mühlen Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Title: FDI by early movers, followers and latecomers: timing of entry by German firms during transition in the Czech Republic Abstract: We analyse Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) decisions by German firms with and without affiliates in the Czech Republic at different stages of transition. We find that FDI entry strongly depends on firm productivity immediately after the political and economic regime change, but less so with diminishing uncertainty. Likewise, distance-related transaction costs discourage FDI by latecomers considerably less than FDI by early movers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1729-1734 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1729-1734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Schaub Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Schaub Title: The performance of NASDAQ-listed UK ADRs: a note Abstract: The author examines NASDAQ-listed American Depository Receipts (ADRs) from the United Kingdom to determine overall investment performance for the first 21 days of trading and the first 3 years of trading. Long-term results also show the effects of market timing. In early trading, the 22 UK ADRs outperformed the NASDAQ by 8.81% for the first 21 days. Long-term results show the entire sample of UK ADRs outperformed the NASDAQ index by nearly 20% for the first 3 years of trading. Those ADRs trading during the bull market (listed before 1998) performed roughly equal to the NASDAQ index whereas those trading through the bear market (listed after 1 January 1998) outperformed the NASDAQ by nearly 39% during the first 36 months of trading. These results suggest that market timing affects long-term portfolio returns from UK ADRs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1735-1738 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1735-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Maxwell Maesepp Author-X-Name-First: Maxwell Author-X-Name-Last: Maesepp Title: A self-reflective inverse demand system Abstract: This article introduces an inverse differential demand system that has exactly the same form as the corresponding direct version. Its application is illustrated with the case of Australian fruit, whose prices were substantially affected by Severe Tropical Cyclone Larry in 2006. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1739-1743 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1739-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C�sar R. Sobrino Author-X-Name-First: C�sar R. Author-X-Name-Last: Sobrino Title: Current account, productivity and terms of trade shocks in Norway Abstract: Economic theory suggests that a permanent rise in terms of trade should result in a permanent rise in the standard of living. The increase comes from a permanent rise in productivity following an efficient reallocation of resources in a frictionless economy. This article presents Norway as a counterexample using three-variable Structural Vector Moving Average (SVMA) with long-run restrictions. The results show that permanent shocks to terms of trade improve the current account and have almost no effect on the output per capita growth. An over-identification test that restricts the permanent shocks to terms of trade to have only temporary effects on output per capita growth cannot be rejected as well. Overall, those shocks that have permanent effects on terms of trade or output per capita growth do not have permanent effects on each other. The empirical evidence suggests that strong intersectoral rigidities to reallocation of resources are present in Norway. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1745-1750 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1745-1750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Kenichi Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: The existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in the international public good model Abstract: The international public good model is an extension of the public good model, allowing for different productivities of producing the public good across countries. By extending the proofs of Bergstrom et al. (1986, 1992), which are the seminal studies in the public good literature, this article develops an international public good model with proofs of the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1751-1754 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1751-1754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Augusto Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Title: Testing the permanent income hypothesis using unit root quantile autoregression tests Abstract: In this article the covariate quantile autoregression approach was used to test whether consumption is a constant unit root process, as predicted by the Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH). The evidence suggests that at low quantiles of the conditional quantile function of consumption the persistence of shocks are lower than that predicted by the PIH. This asymmetry is consistent with credit constraints and/or buffer-stock savings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1755-1758 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1755-1758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar�a-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Author-Name: Antonio Aznar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar Title: A Monte Carlo study to compare two recent modifications of the KPSS test for near integration Abstract: The objective of this article is to compare the size and power properties of two modifications of the KPSS test of Kwiatkowski et al. (1992) proposed by Sul et al. (2005) and by Harris et al. (2007), using Monte Carlo simulations, in order to decide which version to use in applied research. The two modifications have been proposed to deal with those cases in which the null hypothesis specifies that the time series is near integrated, in the sense that it is very close to the alternative hypothesis of a unit root. It has been shown in the literature that in these cases the KPSS test tends to over-reject the null hypothesis. The modification by Sul et al. (2005) is based on an alternative long-run variance estimator. Harris et al. (2007) propose applying the KPSS test to the filtered series instead of to the original series. We conclude that the test based on the transformation proposed by Sul et al. outperforms the test based on the transformation proposed by Harris et al. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1764 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1759-1764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus Hogan Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: Hogan Author-Name: Laura Meriluoto Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Meriluoto Title: On the probability of winning a lottery with a random number of competitors Abstract: This article is concerned with models in which an agent faces a lottery with j other agents for a prize, so that the probability of winning the prize is 1/(j + 1), and where j is stochastic. After describing four different situations where such a lottery is present, we construct the expected value of the probability of winning such a lottery and prove a theorem that presents the expected value in a simpler form. We then give an example of the theorem being applied to gain new insights into auction theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1765-1768 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.562158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.562158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1765-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: Maria Fraga O. Martins Author-X-Name-First: Maria Fraga O. Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Understanding the determinant factors of Internet business solutions adoption: the case of Portuguese firms Abstract: The purpose of our article is to identify the determinants of Internet Business Solutions (IBS), using a representative sample of Portuguese business sector in 2006. This article is based on a theoretical framework in which the adoption of IBS is done in two stages. At the first stage, the firm decides to adopt or not a website; at the second stage, those who adopted a website decide on the level of IBS adoption. We considered that the determinants of the adoption decisions can be internal or external and that their effect may be different at the two adoption stages. Based on these assumptions, we develop and test an integrated model of IBS adoption allowing for sample selection. Our results show that the two adoption decisions are taken sequentially and that selectivity bias is not present in our sample. Our findings also suggest that the relevant drivers of website and the level of IBS adoption are not necessarily the same. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1769-1775 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1769-1775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catalin Angelo Ioan Author-X-Name-First: Catalin Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Ioan Author-Name: Gina Ioan Author-X-Name-First: Gina Author-X-Name-Last: Ioan Title: A generalization of a class of production functions Abstract: In this article we shall give a generalization of Cobb--Douglas, Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES), Lu--Fletcher, Liu--Hildebrand, Variable Elasticity of Substitution (VES) and Kadiyala production functions. We compute the principal indicators such as the marginal products, the marginal rate of substitution, the elasticities of factors and the elasticity of substitution. Finally, we formulate three theorems of characterization for the functions with a proportional marginal rate of substitution, with constant elasticity of labour and for those with constant elasticity of substitution (for n = 1). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1784 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1777-1784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junichi Nagami Author-X-Name-First: Junichi Author-X-Name-Last: Nagami Author-Name: Hikaru Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Hikaru Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: Partial coordination in local debt policies Abstract: This article compares several rules of coordinated debt policies to show that the central government intervention is not required to carry out an efficient local debt policy. The main argument is that a form of partial coordination results in the efficient outcome rather than a full coordination in local debt policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1785-1787 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1785-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theara Horn Author-X-Name-First: Theara Author-X-Name-Last: Horn Title: Incorporating water purification in efficiency evaluation: evidence from Japanese water utilities Abstract: This study attempts to show that the inclusion of water purification efforts should be another crucial dimension in the efficiency measurement. I use a Stochastic Cost Frontier (SCF) to estimate the technical efficiency of 392 Japanese water utilities in 2005. The results show that a water purification effort may increase cost, and that its inclusion in efficiency evaluation leads to some specific changes in efficiency score and the ranking of water utilities. Furthermore, this incorporation enables the impact of different qualities of source water on efficiency to be controlled. The result suggests that to encourage water purification efforts, it is crucial to incorporate purification in benchmarking. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1789-1794 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1789-1794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for G-7 countries using nonparametric rank test for cointegration Abstract: This study applies the nonparametric rank test for cointegration, proposed by Breitung (2001), to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the period of January 1980 to January 2009. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for all G-7 countries studied and that the nominal exchange rate and the domestic and US Consumer Price Index (CPI) are nonlinearly interrelated with the exception of France and Germany cases. Our results have important policy implications for the G-7 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1795-1800 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1795-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Purchasing power parity with threshold effects for Central and Eastern European countries Abstract: This study applies nonlinear threshold unit-root test to assess the nonstationarity properties of the Real Exchange Rate (RER) for seven Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC). We find that nonlinear threshold unit-root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Caner and Hansen (2001) if the true data-generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for three countries, namely Slovakia, Romania and Bulgaria. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment mean-reverts towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1801-1806 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1801-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Hsien Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yi-Chun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity in Mainland China and Taiwan: an empirical note based on threshold unit root test Abstract: This empirical note applies the threshold unit root test proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in Mainland China and Taiwan over the period of January 1986 to October 2009. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for the two areas under study, and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1807-1812 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1807-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Man Chiu Sunny Wong Author-X-Name-First: Man Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Sunny Wong Title: Leisure and happiness in the United States: evidence from survey data Abstract: We study the relationship between leisure and happiness, controlling for income and other determinants. Using survey data for the United States in 2007, our results show that certain aspects of leisure, such as leisure activity satisfaction, have a significant impact on individual well-being whereas the amount of leisure time may not play an important role in affecting happiness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1816 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1813-1816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bulent Guloglu Author-X-Name-First: Bulent Author-X-Name-Last: Guloglu Author-Name: Serdar Ispira Author-X-Name-First: Serdar Author-X-Name-Last: Ispira Author-Name: Deniz Okat Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: Okat Title: Testing the validity of quasi PPP hypothesis: evidence from a recent panel unit root test with structural breaks Abstract: In this article we test the validity of quasi Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for 18 Turkish real exchange rate series using a panel unit root test that allows for structural breaks in the level and the trend. Test results based on a long span of data find evidence of the validity of quasi PPP hypothesis for almost all the exchange rate series under study and for the whole of panel as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1817-1822 Issue: 18 Volume: 18 Year: 2011 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:18:y:2011:i:18:p:1817-1822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zerihun Gudeta Alemu Author-X-Name-First: Zerihun Gudeta Author-X-Name-Last: Alemu Title: Causality links between consumer and producer price inflation in South Africa Abstract: This study investigates causal relationships between consumer and producer inflation. In so doing, it makes the following contributions to the literature. First, the methodology allows causality testing within a bivariate system, with other important variables included in the system. Second, the analysis is based on a model chosen out of three other competing models. The models consider the possibility of both symmetric and asymmetric responses to demand and supply shock inflationary situations. This approach differs from the traditional Engle--Granger (EG) approach, which implicitly assumes symmetric adjustment towards equilibrium (Enders and Siklos, 2001). Third, causality testing is conducted within an error correction framework to handle possible inferential biases resulting from invalid asymptotic critical values. The chosen model was used to conduct short- and long-run causality tests within a framework that takes into account differentiated responses to changes in inflation regimes. The following are major findings of this study: There exists dynamic relationship between producer and consumer prices, characterized by unidirectional causality running from producer to consumer inflation. On the issue of asymmetric responses, it is found that consumer inflation reacts differently to positive and negative trends in producer inflation. In other words, consumer price rises faster than it falls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 13-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:13-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ragnar Bengtsson Author-X-Name-First: Ragnar Author-X-Name-Last: Bengtsson Author-Name: Ellis Iverman Author-X-Name-First: Ellis Author-X-Name-Last: Iverman Author-Name: Björn Tyrefors Hinnerich Author-X-Name-First: Björn Tyrefors Author-X-Name-Last: Hinnerich Title: Gender and ethnic discrimination in the rental housing market Abstract: We use a field experiment to measure discrimination in the housing market in Stockholm. Four fictitious persons, of different gender, with distinct-sounding Arabic or Swedish names, are randomly assigned to vacant apartments. We extend the study by Ahmed and Hammarstedt (2008). There are two new results. First, we provide evidence that there is no or little gender premium for the female with the Arabic name, which suggests that ethnic discrimination dominates the effects of gender. Second, discriminatory behaviour is only found in the suburbs or satellite cities/towns of Stockholm County not in the densely populated, affluent, city centre. Moreover, we can replicate that there is a gender premium for females with Swedish names. However, we are not able to confirm that males with Arabic names face discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-5 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:1-5 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Kuei-Chiu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kuei-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity in major OPEC countries: flexible Fourier stationary test Abstract: This study applies stationary test with a Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2004, 2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to assess the nonstationary properties of the Real Exchange Rates (RERs) for seven major countries of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). We find that our approximation has higher power to detect U-shaped breaks and smooth breaks than linear method if the true Data-Generating Process (DGP) of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of PPP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that PPP holds true for six countries, namely Algeria, Angola, Indonesia, Kuwait, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment mean-reverts towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 19-24 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:19-24 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Hoshikawa Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Hoshikawa Title: Regime shift of Japanese foreign exchange policy: some findings Abstract: This article examines the regime shift of Japanese foreign exchange policy using monthly data from 1973:1 to 2005:9. We employ the residual-based tests for cointegration with regime shifts proposed by Gregory and Hansen (1996) to detect the change of Japanese exchange rate policy. The result of cointegration test with break shows that exchange rate and Japanese international reserves have long-run relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 25-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:25-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nawshaba Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nawshaba Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Motiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Motiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: An assessment of crop diversification in Bangladesh: a spatial analysis Abstract: The main aim of this article is to assess the crop diversification in different districts of Bangladesh. As there are some variations in topology and rainfall across regions, crop diversification index is computed for 23 old districts. The trend in diversification between 1980/81 and 2002/03 is analysed to see changing pattern over the years. Spatial analysis is also made to examine variations in diversification across regions, using time series data on acreage under different crops. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 29-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:29-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Chu Ng Author-X-Name-First: Ying Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Li-Qun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Li-Qun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Efficiency of Chinese enterprises: Does human resource management matter? Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) was applied to Chinese enterprises with different forms of ownership to estimate their efficiency. The efficiency scores obtained were further regressed against scores rating the implementation of Strategic Human Resource Management (SHRM) and other explanatory data. State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) were the least efficient, whereas foreign-owned firms were the most efficient. Tentative evidence was found of a relationship between SHRM practices and enterprise efficiency, but only in foreign- and collectively owned enterprises, indicating that Chinese enterprises lack management skills or/and are still subject to tight institutional constraints than their foreign-invested counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Author-Name: Jürgen Wolters Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Wolters Title: The US term structure and central bank policy Abstract: The Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure (EHT) implies cointegration between interest rates of different maturities and predicts certain values for adjustment speed. We estimate reduced-form Vector Error Correction Models (VECMs) of the US term structure. These are derived from a structural model combining the EHT, autocorrelated risk premia, interest rate smoothing and monetary policy feedback, which is able to capture a wide range of empirical outcomes. We explicitly test the necessary preconditions for the validity of the theoretical model. Premia persistence rises with longer-rate maturity, whereas the influence of the according spreads in the central bank reaction function diminishes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:41-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan (River) Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan (River) Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yi-Chen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: An appropriate test of the Kuznets hypothesis Abstract: The Kuznets hypothesis, that is, inequality first rises and then falls as the economy advances, is often tested by regressing inequality on income and its squared term (along with other determinants). Findings of a significantly negative coefficient on income and a significantly positive estimate on the quadratic term are commonly taken as evidence supporting the inverted-U Kuznets curve. Although intuitive, Lind and Mehlum (2010) argued that the conventional approach is flawed and proposed an appropriate test for a U-shaped association. We revisit the validity of the Kuznets hypothesis by applying the novel testing strategy of Lind and Mehlum (2010) to annual US data over the period 1917 to 2007. Inconsistent with the Kuznets hypothesis, the test results overwhelmingly reject the combined null hypothesis of an inverted-U or monotone relationship in favour of a U-shaped linkage between income inequality and economic development. Moreover, the results are robust to changes in inequality measures and functional specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 47-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:47-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Credit securitization decisions Abstract: To balance capital requirements and manage credit risk, lenders slice and dice mortgages for securitization versus holding unsecured loans for investment in their portfolios. This article estimates factors that explain credit securitization decisions with Government Sponsor Enterprises (GSEs). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 53-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:53-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Title: An EBIT-based variant of the Duffie--Lando credit risk model Abstract: The Duffie--Lando (DL) credit risk model is based on the structural model developed by Leland and Toft, but modifies it by adding a noise term to the observation of firm value. This is done to reflect the fact that the asset process cannot be observed directly and thus that default times are basically unpredictable. Here we present a variant of the DL model that substitutes an earnings process for the asset value process used in the original version of the model. Using an earnings process as the state variable ties default to a piece of publicly available information widely considered to be a sign of a firm's financial well-being. It also allows for the precise specification of accounting noise, which is only sketched in the original DL model. In the last section, we specify a Bayesian methodology for applying the model in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 57-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:57-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon C. Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon C. Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Emilio Congregado Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Congregado Author-Name: Antonio A. Golpe Author-X-Name-First: Antonio A. Author-X-Name-Last: Golpe Title: Testing for hysteresis in entrepreneurship in 23 OECD countries Abstract: We explore the macrostructure of entrepreneurship rates in a panel of 23 OECD countries over 1972--2006. We find that rates of entrepreneurship in OECD countries exhibit persistence rather than hysteresis. Implications for the design of entrepreneurship policies are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 61-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.566175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.566175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:61-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian J. Jacobsen Author-X-Name-First: Brian J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobsen Title: Successive monopolies and product variety Abstract: If there is a shift of market power from manufacturers to retailers or from retailers to manufacturers, how are consumers affected? When the value chain has successive firms, each with market power, the shifting balance of power up or down the chain (away from the consumer or towards the consumer, respectively) can lead to a further fractionation of the consumer market, meaning greater product variety. If retailers have a minimum efficient scale greater than manufacturers, a shift in bargaining power from manufacturers to retailers will increase consumer welfare while market fractionation can enhance firms' abilities to price discriminate, capturing some of this consumer surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Antonakakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Antonakakis Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: The synchronization of GDP growth in the G7 during US recessions Abstract: Using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model due to Engle (2002), we estimate time-varying correlations of quarterly real GDP growth among the G7 countries. In general, we find that rather heterogeneous patterns of international synchronization exist during US recessions. During the 2007--2009 recession, however, international co-movement increased substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 7-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.564126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.564126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:7-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yukiko Hirao Author-X-Name-First: Yukiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hirao Title: Efficiency of the top 50 business schools in the United States Abstract: This article measures efficiency of the top 50 business schools in the United States in 2006, using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method. We use peer assessment (to represent school quality) and average Graduate Management Admission Test (GMAT) scores (to represent student ability) as inputs and average starting salary and the percent of graduates employed upon graduation as outputs. The 50 business schools consist of 27 private schools and 23 public schools, and their efficiency scores are compared. We find that although technical efficiencies of private and public schools are both high, scale and overall efficiencies of the public schools are lower than those of the private schools. And most public schools exhibit Increasing Returns To Scale (IRTS). The returns to scale in this article refers to increases in the output measures -- starting salary and the employment rates -- in response to increases in the quality of inputs -- peer assessment and the average GMAT scores. Hence, schools that exhibit IRTS will experience more than proportionate increases in starting salary and the employment rates by raising the quality of inputs. The policy implication is that for many public schools, efficiency will be improved if they could improve school and student quality levels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 73-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:73-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Masakure Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Masakure Title: An empirical test of Lazear's leadership theory using evidence from Ghana Abstract: This article tests Lazear's theory of leadership which suggests that leaders emerge by acquiring a wide range of publicly demonstrable skills. I use cross-sectional data from a labour force survey in Ghana covering small, medium and large firms and find that individuals with more roles in their previous jobs are more likely to hold a leadership role in their current occupation. This confirms Lazear's theory which he tested using data from Stanford MBA graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 79-82 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:79-82 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. S. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Breaking deterministics, test size and the efficient Wald test for fractional unit roots Abstract: Lobato and Velasco (2007) introduced a test for a unit root against fractional alternatives with good power and performance properties. The purpose of this article is to examine the size of the test in the presence of level and trend breaks under the null hypothesis. The results suggest that test size remains relatively unaffected by level breaks but that the test can be undersized when there are breaking trends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 83-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:83-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darja Boršič Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Boršič Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Title: Are we getting closer to purchasing power parity in Central and Eastern European economies? Abstract: In this article we examine the theory of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) on a sample of Central and Eastern European economies. This article makes two main advances with respect to previous PPP studies. First, it employs a monthly database on real exchange rates for a panel of 12 Central and Eastern European economies by testing the theory separately with respect to the US dollar and to the euro for the period January 1994 to December 2008. Second, we utilize, among other panel unit root tests, the panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Augmented Dickey--Fuller (SURADF) test proposed by Breuer et al. (2002), which allows us to identify how many and which members of the panel contain a unit root. As our study found support for the validity of PPP in some reforming European economies, special attention should be devoted to individual country-specific factors that cause PPP deviations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 87-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:87-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Wever Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Wever Author-Name: David Aadland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Aadland Title: Herd behaviour and underdogs in the NFL Abstract: Previous research has failed to draw any clear conclusions about the efficiency of the billion-dollar gambling industry for National Football League (NFL) games. We build on previous research and expose a new market inefficiency, which is consistent with the well-documented notion of herd behaviour in behavioural finance. A differential strategy of betting on home and visitor underdogs with large closing lines can produce statistically significant positive returns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 93-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:93-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Dai Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Title: The relationship between plan characteristics and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan bids Abstract: This article assesses the relationship between plan characteristics and Medicare Prescription Drug Plan (PDP) bids. Medicare PDP information data are used to link plan and geographic data for stand-alone prescription drug plans participating in the Part D programme from 2006 to 2008 (N = 5101). Firm fixed effects models are estimated to measure the relationship between plan characteristics including formularies, beneficiary cost sharing and utilization controls and PDP bids. Firm fixed effects models show a negative inelastic relationship between member cost sharing and plan bids. Among the utilization controls, only prior authorization is associated with lower bids. The use of quantity limits and step therapy is associated with higher bids, although this reflects their likely use for nonpreferred brand name medications. Bids are positively related to the number of preferred brand name medications and specialty medications covered, gap coverage of generics and brand name medications and the regional risk score. Lower bids are associated with higher deductibles and market size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 99-104 Issue: 1 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:1:p:99-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Sun Horng Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Horng Author-Name: Yung-Wang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ting-Yi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Does insurance demand or financial development promote economic growth? Evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This study examines the dynamic relationship among insurance demand, financial development and economic growth in Taiwan between 1961 and 2006. Using a three-variable Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the competing hypotheses of demand-following versus supply-leading are empirically tested. Extending the conceptual link among these variables proposed by Hussels et al. (2005), we find that there is an equilibrium relationship between demand, financial development and economic growth. In the short run, economic growth Granger causes insurance demand, and financial development Granger causes economic growth. In other words, financial development does promote real GDP growth, and a change in real GDP leads to deviation in real insurance demand in Taiwan. Managerial implications are proposed based on the empirical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 105-111 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:105-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samih Antoine Azar Author-X-Name-First: Samih Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: On the specification of the asset evolution equation in consumption models Abstract: Dynamic programming is often used by researchers to find the first-order Euler relation when the discounted utility of an infinite stream of consumption is maximized, subject to one or more constraints. Although the consumption model is the same in most studies, the specification of the constraint, that is, the asset evolution equation, differs from author to author. In fact there are two general formulations of this equation. The purpose of this article is to check whether these two different formulations alter the first-order conditions. The surprising but reassuring result is that they do not. This result holds for both discrete and continuous-time variables. This article also solves the Euler relations for two customary functional forms of the utility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 113-116 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:113-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John F. McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John F. Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Optimal leverage with a variable borrowing rate Abstract: This article is a theoretical examination of optimal leverage to maximize the value of an investment asset, assuming that the interest rate on loans increases with leverage. The expected rate of return to equity for the investing firm (that is subject to taxation at the entity level) and market equilibrium for the model are derived. The amount of risk that is assumed by investing firms that borrow is set by the competitive market. The article also includes a model of the capitalization rate for commercial real estate, defined as net operating income divided by property value (which depends upon leverage). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 117-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:117-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pei-I Chou Author-X-Name-First: Pei-I Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in G-7 countries Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in G-7 countries over the period January 1980 to September 2008. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for all G-7 countries, with the exception of Canada, and the adjustment towards PPP is nonlinear but in a symmetric way. These results have important policy implications for the G-7 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:123-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Sovereign credit default swaps and the macroeconomy Abstract: The aim of this study is to determine whether the domestic economy as represented by the interest rate, the international economic status as represented by the exchange rate or both determine sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads. Using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Granger noncausality tests, the results suggest that it is the exchange rate that has the most important effect on sovereign CDS spreads, with domestic interest rates having only a limited effect. There is also some evidence of causality running from the CDS spread to the exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 129-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.568390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.568390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:129-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Dotsis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Dotsis Author-Name: Vasiliki Makropoulou Author-X-Name-First: Vasiliki Author-X-Name-Last: Makropoulou Author-Name: Raphael Nicholas Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Title: Investment under uncertainty and volatility estimation risk Abstract: This article considers the implications of volatility estimation risk in real options theory. We construct confidence intervals for critical project values and options prices. An empirical example in lease investment evaluation for an offshore petroleum tract shows that confidence intervals can be substantial when a limited amount of data are used to estimate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 133-137 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:133-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pelin Öge Güney Author-X-Name-First: Pelin Author-X-Name-Last: Öge Güney Author-Name: Erdinç Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinç Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Mübariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mübariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: Re-examining purchasing power parity for selected emerging markets and African countries Abstract: The validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is re-examined using data for some emerging market economies and African countries, extending recent works of Doğanlar et al. (2009) and Chang et al. (2010), respectively. For this purpose, we apply new unit root tests that allow for nonlinearities and structural change in the data-generating process. The results of this study suggest that although linear unit root test provides evidence in favour of PPP only in a few cases, the new nonlinear unit root tests suggest that the PPP proposition holds in majority of the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 139-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:139-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Biswo Poudel Author-X-Name-First: Biswo Author-X-Name-Last: Poudel Author-Name: Krishna P. Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna P. Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Trust, institutions and development Abstract: This article suggests an explanation as to why relatively prosperous societies in the 1500s were unable to protect themselves from the colonialist powers. It reasons that while the prevalence of institutions fostering mutual trust among citizens allowed the earlier prosperous societies to achieve a degree of prosperity that same trust led to lower investments in defence and the eventual fall of the society. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 145-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:145-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Won-Cheol Yun Author-X-Name-First: Won-Cheol Author-X-Name-Last: Yun Title: Yuan revaluation and its implications Abstract: This study analyses the impacts of economic activity and exchange-rate movement and its volatility on exports and imports between Korea and China. Using monthly data from April 1994 to December 2007, Error-Correction Models (ECMs) are specified to estimate the cumulative effects of determinants for export and import demand. According to the empirical results, the depreciation of exchange rate would stimulate the export growth. In addition, it would be desirable to stabilize exchange rate in order to boost trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 149-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:149-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Jan Kakes Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Kakes Title: Investment strategies of institutional investors: evidence from Dutch flow-of-funds data Abstract: This article investigates investment strategies of Dutch pension funds, life insurers and nonlife insurers, using quarterly flow-of-funds data. The results suggest that all three investor types buy past losers and sell past winners, although they only partially rebalance their portfolios that way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 155-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:155-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshihiro Hashiguchi Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hashiguchi Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: The sustainability of trade balances in sub-Saharan Africa: panel cointegration tests with cross-section dependence Abstract: This article investigates the sustainability of trade balances in the sub-Saharan African regions, using both the panel unit root (Im--Pesaran--Shin (IPS)) test proposed by Im et al. (2003) and the cross-sectionally augmented version of the IPS (Pesaran Cross-sectional IPS (CIPS)) test suggested by Pesaran (2007), where the former test is based on the assumption of cross-section independence and the latter actually considers cross-section independence. Although the empirical results based on the IPS test indicate that the balance of trade in the sub-Saharan African regions is sustainable, the empirical results of the CIPS test reveal that it is not sustainable. Since Cross-section Dependence (CD) was recognized using the CD test developed by Pesaran (2004), there is a possibility that the empirical results based on the IPS test are spurious. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 161-165 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:161-165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Author-Name: Golaleh Moshrefi Author-X-Name-First: Golaleh Author-X-Name-Last: Moshrefi Title: Fiscal policy and the current account new evidence from four East Asian countries Abstract: The long-run relation and short-run dynamics of fiscal policy and current account is examined using time-series data on four East Asian economies -- South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. The purpose of the study is to test the validity of two alternative views on budget deficits -- the Ricardian and Keynesian theories. According to Ricardians, given the path government spending, a rise in budget deficits has no effect of national savings, investment and the current account. In contrast, Keynesian theory suggests that such tax cuts reduce national savings and result in current account deficits. Empirical results based on cointegration model and Error Correction Model (ECM) over 1975--2008 are broadly consistent with the Ricardian view. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-173 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:167-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Caporin Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Caporin Author-Name: Paolo Santucci de Magistris Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Santucci de Magistris Title: On the evaluation of marginal expected shortfall Abstract: In the analysis of systemic risk, Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES) may be considered to evaluate the marginal impact of a single stock on the market Expected Shortfall (ES). These quantities are generally computed using log-returns, in particular when there is also a focus on returns conditional distribution. In this case, the market log-return is only approximately equal to the weighed sum of equities log-returns. We show that the approximation error is large during turbulent market phases, with a subsequent impact on MES. We then suggest how to improve the evaluation of MES by means of a second-order approximation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 175-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:175-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akio Matsumoto Author-X-Name-First: Akio Author-X-Name-Last: Matsumoto Author-Name: Ugo Merlone Author-X-Name-First: Ugo Author-X-Name-Last: Merlone Author-Name: Ferenc Szidarovszky Author-X-Name-First: Ferenc Author-X-Name-Last: Szidarovszky Title: Some notes on applying the Herfindahl--Hirschman Index Abstract: The Herfindahl--Hirschman Index is one of the most commonly used indicators to detect anticompetitive behaviour in industries. In fact, an increase in the value of the index is usually interpreted as an indicator of actions which may lessen competition or even create a monopoly. In this article we show that this is not always the case, since in certain instances it is impossible to detect cooperation. We also show an example when competition even has a decreasing effect on the value of the index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 181-184 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:181-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Blankmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Blankmeyer Title: Estimating an inflation index by quantile regression Abstract: This article gives a methodology for estimating an inflation index using the quantile regression of Bassett and Koenker. The regression -- orthogonal in the logarithmic price changes -- is computed by linear programming for each percentile of inflation; and the results are bootstrapped to estimate standard errors. The procedure is applied to monthly data on seven metals. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 185-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:185-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Sun Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Corporate governance, stock options and earnings management Abstract: Firms often compensate executives with stock options when empirical studies find that these contracts lead to severe earnings management problem. In order to understand the use of stock options as a prevailing compensation strategy in practice, we derive the optimal contract between a firm's shareholders and its manager, the latter of whom exerts unobservable effort and is privately informed about economic earnings as well as his own expertise in managing earnings. The optimal contract is characterized analytically in different corporate governance systems. The model indicates that the inactive region below a threshold in the compensation should be more economically significant when the corporate governance is weaker. The model suggests that, while the use of options leads to earnings management incentives, it is an optimal contract in the presence of reporting latitude and uncertainty over an executives' ability to manage earnings. The model result is in accordance with the observed positive association between the level of earnings management and the use of stock options in both time series and cross section. Empirical evidence on the changes in the intensity of option grants in executive compensation in response to corporate governance legislations also lends support to the model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 189-196 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:189-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity for Germany's real exchange rate relative to its major trading partners Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit-root test proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for Germany's real exchange rate vis-à-vis its trading partner countries. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for Germany relative to its major trading partners, with the exception of Canada, and the adjustment towards PPP is nonlinear and asymmetric. This result provides support for PPP for Germany relative to its major trading partner countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 197-202 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:197-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew J. Salois Author-X-Name-First: Matthew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Salois Title: Biases in the distribution of bilateral aid: a regional decomposition analysis Abstract: This article investigates income and population biases in the distribution of aid and decomposes recipients by geographic region. Previous analyses aggregate recipients and assume biases have an equal impact. Results demonstrate that although while a bias towards middle-income and medium-sized countries persists in the full sample, the extent of such biases differs significantly by region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-206 Issue: 2 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.570709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.570709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:203-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angel Estrada Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Estrada Author-Name: Pablo Hernández de Cos Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández de Cos Title: Oil prices and their effect on potential output Abstract: This article describes some of the mechanisms by which oil price fluctuations produce changes in the long-run growth of the economy. The analysis suggests that a (permanent) increase in oil prices can significantly reduce potential output. From an economic policy point of view, this effect may be more marked when competition in the product markets is low or when wage indexation is high; thus, reforms aiming to increase competition and improve wage-setting mechanisms help to reduce the negative effects of higher oil prices on long-run economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 207-214 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:207-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joon-Mo Yang Author-X-Name-First: Joon-Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Note on estimating effectiveness of demand management Abstract: This article suggests a method for estimating the effectiveness of electricity demand management and improving the accuracy of future peak load forecasting. The measurement accuracy is essential for deciding the optimal size of power plants. The measurement issue has been very controversial because the real effectiveness of demand management policy is not observable. This article uses the state space modelling technique to capture the effectiveness of the demand management. From the application of this technique to the Korea's case, this article finds that the effectiveness of the policy relatively becomes smaller than before and that the peak load forecast should be adjusted. This enhanced measurement technique will help the Korean government to have the theoretical base for the national energy plan in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 215-220 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:215-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Mikami Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Mikami Title: Sunk costs of physical capital and the form of enterprise: investor-owned firms, consumer cooperatives and public enterprises Abstract: This article considers how the efficiency of organizational forms of enterprise can depend on the level of sunk costs of physical capital in relation to market size, informational asymmetry and the heterogeneity of firm owners. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 221-225 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:221-225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Flávio Lenz-Cesar Author-X-Name-First: Flávio Author-X-Name-Last: Lenz-Cesar Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: An econometric approach to identify determinants of cooperation for innovation among firms Abstract: R&D cooperation has received great attention among industrialists, decision-makers and researchers. This article introduces an econometric approach for identifying the factors that lead firms to cooperate in order to achieve innovation. The determining factors were defined according to empirical findings from the Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) 2005, captured in a multivariate probit regression model. The aim is to subsidize further research by applying agent-based modelling to simulate innovation networks in the Korean manufacturing sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-235 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:227-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Percoco Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Percoco Title: Are project appraisers chiromancers? Abstract: The accuracy of ex ante project appraisal has been subject to scrutiny by scholars in recent years. It has often been claimed that the inaccuracy of project evaluation leads to a waste of public spending. In this article I acknowledge that the appraisal of a project consists in long-run predictions of several variables, so that the accuracy of ex ante evaluations should be assessed on the basis of forecasting rationality. I test for the rationality of a sample of World Bank project appraisals and find no significant discrepancy between ex ante and realized rates of return. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 237-241 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:237-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hing Lin Chan Author-X-Name-First: Hing Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Kai-Yin Woo Author-X-Name-First: Kai-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Title: Day-of-the-week effect on the return and conditional variance of the H-shares index in Hong Kong Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the day-of-the-week effect on both the return and conditional variance (volatility) of the H-shares index in Hong Kong from 3 January 2000 to 1 August 2008. Using an Exponential General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) specification to model the conditional variance, we find that the day-of-the-week effect is present in both return and variance equations. In particular, higher risk-adjusted returns are found on Monday and Friday. However, after adjusting for market risks that vary across the days of the week, only the Monday effect remains. The conditional variance model also finds that the highest volatility of return also occurs on Monday. Thus, the Monday effects on risk-adjusted returns may be a reward for higher volatility on that day. However, after adjusting for transaction costs, the abnormal returns for Monday become negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 243-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:243-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rahmi Erdem Aktug Author-X-Name-First: Rahmi Erdem Author-X-Name-Last: Aktug Author-Name: Geraldo Vasconcellos Author-X-Name-First: Geraldo Author-X-Name-Last: Vasconcellos Author-Name: Youngsoo Bae Author-X-Name-First: Youngsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Title: The dynamics of sovereign credit default swap and bond markets: empirical evidence from the 2001 to 2007 period Abstract: This article evaluates the dynamic relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond markets over the period 2001 to 2007 across 30 emerging markets. Our results suggest that the bond markets play a significant role in the price discovery process, which is in contrast with the corporate studies. We also show that the CDS markets play a more dominant role in lead--lag relationships compared to earlier studies on the sovereign credit markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 251-259 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:251-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun-Jae Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Hyun-Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Title: Testing for the possibility of a monetary union in the ASEAN+3 countries: rationality and asymmetric loss functions Abstract: This study uses market variables, such as the rates of foreign exchange, interest and inflation, to determine if a market-led monetary integration in the ASEAN+3 countries is possible. Following Batchelor and Peel (1998), rationality is revealed in the presence of an asymmetric Linex loss function. In order to generate an expected value for a target variable, arithmetically weighted, pseudo-numeraire and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA(1,1,1)) process information matrices are generated. It is found that certain preconditions have to be fulfilled in the ASEAN+3 countries for monetary unification to take place and that this process must be gradual. In particular, an economic infrastructure has to be built to strengthen foreign exchange markets in this region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 261-268 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:261-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Jing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jane Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Tsz Leung Yip Author-X-Name-First: Tsz Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Yip Title: Ship investment at a standstill? An analysis of shipbuilding activities and policies Abstract: In the wake of the global financial crisis which started around mid-2008, the global shipbuilding industry is no longer in a state of euphoria as before. The volume of new ship orders dropped dramatically after August 2008. We are motivated to examine three issues in this article: First, in the context of shipping industry, which variable(s) play the most important role in a ship investment decision? Second, do government support and favourable investment conditions really help to save shipbuilding industry from the distressing situation? Third, if we separate Japan, South Korea and China as leading shipbuilding clusters, what will the cluster effect be? Our results indicate that the investment of ships can be decided by the freight level, the supply of the market (fleet size), the demand of the ships (trade volume) and the transport service share (location advantage). However, the state of the freight market is of major importance to the investment decision of ships. Shipbuilding price, second-hand ship price and foreign direct investment in transport are proved to have no linkage to ship investment. Besides, the rising role of Japan, South Korea and China in shipbuilding is also identified. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 269-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:269-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongliang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hongliang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Michael Pollitt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pollitt Title: Incorporating undesirable outputs into Malmquist TFP indices with an unbalanced data panel of Chinese power plants Abstract: In this article, we examine the effects of undesirable outputs on Malmquist Total Factor Productivity (TFP) indices. Our empirical work uses an unbalanced panel of 1626 real observations on coal-fired power plants in China during 1996--2002. In order to meet the requirement of a balanced panel for calculating the Malmquist indices, an innovative fake unit approach has been introduced. To the authors' knowledge, no other published papers on TFP change have used this method before. Our final results show that (1) the original growth path of the Chinese electricity till 2002 heavily depended upon an increase of resource input and (2) the environmental TFP change of Chinese coal-fired power plants was about 2--3% (at least with respect to SO2), which mainly comes from technical change rather than efficiency change during the report period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 277-283 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:277-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Michael McEvoy Author-X-Name-First: David Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McEvoy Title: Paying to punish on a free ride: member and nonmember punishments in voluntary coalitions Abstract: We explore public good experiments in which players have the opportunity to form cooperative coalitions. The decision to join a coalition is voluntary as is a member's decision to comply with the terms of the coalition. An informal enforcement mechanism is examined in which coalition members and nonmembers can impose costly punishments on one another. We find that when punishments are purely voluntary, coalition members and free-riding nonmembers are equally likely to punish noncompliant coalition members. Moreover, the extent to which nonmembers punish noncompliance does not change regardless of whether the members can credibly enforce compliance within their coalition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 285-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:285-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan (River) Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan (River) Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: A reassessment of inequality and growth in the United States Abstract: In a recent interesting paper, Frank (2009) investigated the long-run inequality--growth nexus with a large panel of annual data for the 48 states in the United States over the 1945 to 2004 post-war period. By implementing the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimators, Frank (2009) concluded that there is a significant and positive relationship between inequality and growth. However, we find that Frank (2009) was actually measuring the effect of inequality on economic development (proxied by the logarithm of the real state income per capita) rather than on economic growth (defined by the first difference of the logarithm of the real state income per capita). To this purpose, we suggest a more adequate specification to reassess the relationship using the same data set and estimation technique. The fresh empirical results indicate that the inequality--growth connection continues to hold in a positive and significant manner, and the findings are robust to alternative lag order structures and income inequality measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 289-295 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:289-295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gülistan Erdal Author-X-Name-First: Gülistan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdal Author-Name: Hilmi Erdal Author-X-Name-First: Hilmi Author-X-Name-Last: Erdal Author-Name: Kemal Esengün Author-X-Name-First: Kemal Author-X-Name-Last: Esengün Title: The effects of exchange rate volatility on trade: evidence from Turkish agricultural trade Abstract: In this article, an empirical study of the effect of Real Effective Exchange Rate Volatility (REERV) on Agricultural Export (AGX) and Agricultural Import (AGM) in Turkey was conducted. Studied period covers 1995 to 2007. In order to reach REERV, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) model was used. Long-term relationship between series was determined using Johansen cointegration test. The direction of this relationship, on the other hand, was determined using pairwise Granger causality. Our empirical results indicated that there was a positive long-term relationship between REERV and AGX series, while there was a negative long-term relationship between REERV and AGM. The relationship is unidirectional for both AGX and AGM series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:3:p:297-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiao-Yi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chiao-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Fu-Shuen Shie Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Shuen Author-X-Name-Last: Shie Title: The nonlinear relationship between autocorrelation and volatility: the case of the Asian financial crisis Abstract: In this article we explore how autocorrelation impacts volatility in stock markets. We use the Threshold Autoregressive-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (TAR-GARCH) model to obtain a better approximation of the volatility pattern with the threshold of a positive or negative prior return autocorrelation. In contrast to the general regime-switching model that focuses on the mean equation or on the variance equation with prior shocks as the threshold variable, we consider the asymmetric response of volatility to the autocorrelation of stock returns and apply a nonlinear relationship between autocorrelation and volatility to refine the volatility equation. The empirical results indicate that different levels of autocorrelation are related to stock return volatility. Regardless of whether there is positive or negative correlation, the volatility increases under larger absolute values of autocorrelation both during and after the Asian financial crisis. Stock returns are observed in 10 countries before, during and after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 305-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:305-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Chih Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chin-Yuan Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Yung-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: A predictive model of the freight rate of the international market in Capesize dry bulk carriers Abstract: This study examines the considerable fluctuations of the world's dry bulk shipping market from November 1995 to September 2008. The major objective is to provide a forecasting model for the freight rate in relation to the second-hand ship price. The results indicate an acceptable level of prediction according to Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), with a value no more than 20%. It is anticipated that this research will prove germane to major stakeholders, including owners, charters, investors and bankers, by forecasting the freight rate and thereby expediting the decision-making process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 313-317 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:313-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourdes Badillo Amador Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Amador Author-Name: Ángel López Nicolás Author-X-Name-First: Ángel Author-X-Name-Last: López Nicolás Author-Name: Luis E. Vila Author-X-Name-First: Luis E. Author-X-Name-Last: Vila Title: The consequences on job satisfaction of job--worker educational and skill mismatches in the Spanish labour market: a panel analysis Abstract: The effects of job--worker mismatches on job satisfaction are examined using the eight waves (1994--2001) of Spanish data in the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). The impacts of both educational and skill mismatches are estimated considering unobserved heterogeneity, state dependence and attrition bias. Dynamic analysis shows that skill mismatches emerge as a much better predictor of job satisfaction than educational mismatches as the effects of the latter are related to unobserved heterogeneity among workers. Moreover, the current level of job satisfaction appears to be influenced by workers' previous job perceptions, suggesting a dynamic structure for job satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 319-324 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:319-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Dolan Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dolan Author-Name: Nattavudh Powdthavee Author-X-Name-First: Nattavudh Author-X-Name-Last: Powdthavee Title: Thinking about it: a note on attention and well-being losses from unemployment Abstract: This article investigates Schkade and Kahneman's (1998) maxim that ‘Nothing in life is quite as important as you think it is while you are thinking about it.’ This article shows that whilst becoming unemployed hurts psychologically, unemployment has a greater impact on happiness if the person also regards it as an important event that took place in the last year. This finding, particularly if it is replicated for other domains, such as health and income, will have important implications for how we think about the impact of objective circumstances on well-being and about well-being more generally. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 325-328 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:325-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Chao-Hsiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yu-Sheng Kao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Who has more influence on Asian stock markets around the subprime mortgage crisis -- the US or China? Abstract: This article employed the Momentum Threshold Autoregressive (M-TAR) model to investigate the changes in the asymmetric co-integration relationship between the US and China's stock markets and Asian stock markets of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, Korea and India around the subprime mortgage crisis. The main empirical findings demonstrated that with the application of traditional symmetric co-integration tests, the subprime mortgage crisis did not reinforce the co-movement trends between the US and China's markets and Asian markets. However, with the application of the M-TAR model for the threshold co-integration test, there was significant increase in these asymmetric co-integration relationships between them during the period of the subprime mortgage crisis, and our empirical results show evidence that the linkage between the US and China's stock markets is low, and investors can somewhat diversify risks by investing in the United States and China simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 329-335 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:329-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rong-Her Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Rong-Her Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Yu-Chang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The inter-industrial linkage of maritime sector in Taiwan: an input--output analysis Abstract: The main purpose of this article is to investigate the role and influence of the maritime sector on the national economy of Taiwan by using Input--Output (I--O) analysis. Results show that the maritime industry has relatively high backward linkage and production-inducing effects, but has relatively low forward linkage, supply-shortage cost and price effects. This study reveals the difficulty in considering the maritime sector as a leading sector for the national economy based on the low values of both power and sensitivity of dispersion, no matter how many shipping companies who request government incentives for promoting the shipping industries and underscore the importance of maritime transport in conveying the national imports and exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 337-343 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:337-343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixu Chi Author-X-Name-First: Lixu Author-X-Name-Last: Chi Author-Name: Xintian Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Xintian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Author-Name: Dalei Song Author-X-Name-First: Dalei Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Investor sentiment in the Chinese stock market: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article focuses on investor sentiment and its relationships to stock returns and volatility in the Chinese stock market. By using mutual fund flows as a substitute for investor sentiment for different stocks, this study finds that investor sentiment has a tremendous impact on stock returns in the Chinese stock market. However, some of our results are inconsistent with previous research. Since the Chinese stock market is still an emerging capital market, one explanation for the inconsistency is that investor sentiment has comparatively stronger impact on stock returns in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 345-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:345-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Huber Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Huber Title: Do commuters suffer from job--education mismatch? Abstract: Cross-border commuters from EU15 countries have lower over- but higher undereducation rates than noncommuters. For cross-border commuters from the NMS12 countries the opposite applies. Within-country commuters have lower over- but higher undereducation rates than noncommuters in both regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.577004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.577004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao-Hsiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chi-Tai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Tai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yu-Sheng Kao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Exploring stationarity and structural breaks in commodity prices by the panel data model Abstract: This article applies the panel unit root test of Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005) to examine the relative prices of 24 nonfuel commodities over the period from 1900 to 2003. This test method allows for endogenous multiple structural breaks and the presence of cross-sectional dependence among commodities. The empirical results provided evidence of stationarity in relative prices of most commodities and supported the price theory in economics. In addition, the findings show that the locations of structural breaks coincided with the occurrences of some exogenous events over the past 100 years. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-361 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:353-361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmod Qadan Author-X-Name-First: Mahmod Author-X-Name-Last: Qadan Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: Fear sentiments and gold price: testing causality in-mean and in-variance Abstract: This study investigates the causal relationship between the Volatility Index (VIX), as an indicator of fear sentiment, and the price of gold futures. We apply tests of causality in-mean and in-variance to recent data about US gold futures and find bidirectional causality in-mean and in-variance patterns between both variables. We also observe a significant lagged causality in-mean, implying that changes in the VIX drive the returns of gold contracts but not vice versa. While prior studies explain gold price movements through macroeconomic variables and events, this study expands our understanding of how psychological sentiments (risk aversion) move the gold price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 363-366 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:363-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongjing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yongjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A Lotka--Volterra evolutionary model of China's incremental institutional reform Abstract: Integrating evolutionary game theory with modern political economics, this article develops a Lotka--Volterra evolutionary model to explain China's incremental institutional reform. In this model, growth-oriented central leaders are intelligent designers of institutional changes; provincial and local leaders are potential predators; and private firms are potential prey. This model finds that improvements in the rule of law and in the protection of private property rights are not essential for short-run growth in China. Instead, the primary institutional source of China's economic success is the incremental reductions of discrimination policy against the private sector. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 367-371 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:367-371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Examining the power of stochastic unit root tests without assuming independence in the error processes of the underlying time series Abstract: Many studies have examined the power of Stochastic Unit Root (STUR) tests. However, these studies assume that the two error processes of the underlying time series are independent. In this study, we undertake a Monte Carlo study on the power of STUR tests without the condition of independence among the error processes. The results show that the correlation between the two error processes may profoundly impact the power of STUR tests. Given the extensive use of STUR tests as both a diagnostic tool and a tool of analysis in economics and finance, this result therefore has very important implications for both theory and practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-377 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:373-377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Author-X-Name-Last: Maria Caporale Author-Name: Alessandro Girardi Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Girardi Author-Name: Marco Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: The euro changeover and price adjustments in Italy Abstract: By estimating a staggered price model over the period 1980Q1 to 2010Q2, this article documents that, after the euro changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate, with a detrimental effect on the competitiveness of the Italian economy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 379-382 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:379-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian-Fa Li Author-X-Name-First: Jian-Fa Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yih-Bey Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yih-Bey Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Cheng-Yih Hong Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Effects of unusual R&D expenditures on stock returns -- evidences from the listed companies in Taiwan Abstract: This study examines the Research and Development (R&D) effect on stock returns. By modifying Kyle's (1985) model, we construct an asset pricing model and propose a related hypothesis to investigate the information-related content of unusual increases in R&D expenditures. The empirical evidence shows that R&D increases might not be beneficial investments and the information-related value of R&D increases is gradually incorporated in the stock price system. Therefore, we document that the stock market is informationally efficient in the semi-strong form. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 383-386 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.579057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.579057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:383-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandeep Mazumder Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Mazumder Title: The Volcker--Greenspan--Bernanke Phillips Curve Abstract: This article addresses the issue of Phillips Curve stability between different Federal Reserve (Fed) chairmen, from the time Paul Volcker took office in the late 1970s all the way up until 2010 under the leadership of Ben Bernanke. Phillips Curves are estimated both across and within the regimes of Volcker, Greenspan and Bernanke, and thereafter we also check for the existence of potential structural breaks. The results suggest that the Phillips Curve is very much a robust macroeconomic relationship: not only across time, but across Fed chairmen as well. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 387-391 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:387-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szu-Hsien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Szu-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: You-Jie Chen Author-X-Name-First: You-Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tz-Li Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tz-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ya-Chiu Angela Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Chiu Author-X-Name-Last: Angela Liu Title: FDIs in life cycle stages: firm-level evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This study aims to examine how attainment discrepancy and financial slack affect risk-taking behaviour across a Firm's Life Cycle (FLC) stages. The empirical results show that the investment behaviour of the firms is deeply affected by the industry's investment behaviour in all FLC stages. Especially in the mature stage, slack search can appropriately explain Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) behaviour, and long-run resource is an essential factor. In the growth stage, financial soundness is a prerequisite for firms to launch FDIs. In the recession stage, firms seem to be insensitive to performance or slack resources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 393-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:393-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Lo Prete Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Prete Title: Current account imbalances, trade and finance Abstract: This article analyses how trade-related policy choices and financial development affect current account imbalances in OECD countries. Once the policy-related component of trade openness is estimated using exogenous-to-policy indicators of globalization pressures, legal origins and natural openness, financial development plays a significant role and is negatively associated with the current account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 399-402 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:399-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali M. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Lina Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Author-Name: Mats Hammarstedt Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Hammarstedt Title: Does age matter for employability? A field experiment on ageism in the Swedish labour market Abstract: This article presents the findings of the first field experiment on age discrimination in the Swedish labour market. Pairs of matched applications, one from a fictitious 31-year-old male applicant and one from a fictitious 46-year-old male applicant, were sent to employers with job openings for restaurant workers and sales assistants. Employers' responses to the applicants were then recorded. The experimental data provide clear and strong evidence of significant ageism in the Swedish labour market. On average, the younger applicant received over 3 times more responses from employers looking to hire a restaurant worker and over 4 times more responses from employers looking to hire a sales assistant than the older applicant. Therefore, the older applicant received significantly fewer invitations for interviews and job offers than the younger applicant in both occupations examined. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 403-406 Issue: 4 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:4:p:403-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Heer Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Heer Author-Name: Alfred Maußner Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Maußner Title: Log-normal approximation of the equity premium in the production model Abstract: The conditional equity premium in the model with production is often approximated by assuming a jointly log-normal distribution of the marginal rate of substitution in consumption and the marginal productivity of capital. We show that, for standard parameterization, this premium is about one-third less than that implied by a nonlinear approximation of the Euler equations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 407-412 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:407-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Time-varying expected returns: evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom Abstract: I assess the relative performance of several exmpirical proxies developed in the literature of asset pricing to capture time variation in expected future returns using data for the United States and the United Kingdom. I show that the wealth composition risk by Sousa (2010a) exhibits strong forecasting power and tracks risk premium better than many economically motivated variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 413-416 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:413-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mu Shun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mu Shun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Income convergence within ASEAN, ASEAN+3: a panel unit root approach Abstract: This article aims to test the income convergence hypothesis in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region using new panel unit root tests. As the newer member states of ASEAN are gradually developing in order to enter the economic zone, it was found that the great majority of original members showed income convergence over a long time period of 50 years. However, when a 22-year period was explored to encompass these newer member states, only three countries were found to support the existence of a ‘catch-up’ effect. This testing method as applied to the ASEAN economic zone results in outcomes that vary from other examples, which can be explained by the diverse political histories of the member countries and their relatively recent reform processes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 417-423 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:417-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Author-Name: Amit Sen Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: New evidence on the convergence of international income from a group of 29 countries Abstract: We evaluate the empirical evidence regarding stochastic convergence in income across a group of 29 countries. Our results are based on a new unit root test developed by Popp (2008) that estimates the break-date more accurately and does not suffer from size distortions in the presence of a break. Our results reveal considerably less evidence of stochastic convergence compared with previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 425-429 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:425-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Fractional cointegration in US term spreads Abstract: This article examines the stochastic properties of US term spreads with parametric and semi-parametric fractional integration techniques. Since the observed data (rather than the estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression) are used for the analysis, standard methods can be applied. The results indicate that US Treasury maturity rates are I(1) in most cases, although the order of integration decreases with maturity. Furthermore, mean reversion occurs for the 5-, 7- and 10-year rates as well as for several term spreads, suggesting that the expectation hypothesis of the term structure is supported empirically in these cases. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 431-434 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:431-434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Menno Broos Author-X-Name-First: Menno Author-X-Name-Last: Broos Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Title: Government bond yields and foreign ownership of debt Abstract: We analyse the government bond yield spread vis-à-vis Germany for 10 countries in the euro area for the period 1991 to 2009. Our results suggest a positive relationship between the marginal impact of government debt on the spread and foreign ownership of the government debt of the country concerned for countries currently facing difficulties to finance their deficits. This conditioning effect is absent in other countries in our sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 435-438 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:435-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideo Aizaki Author-X-Name-First: Hideo Author-X-Name-Last: Aizaki Author-Name: Manabu Sawada Author-X-Name-First: Manabu Author-X-Name-Last: Sawada Author-Name: Kazuo Sato Author-X-Name-First: Kazuo Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Author-Name: Toshiko Kikkawa Author-X-Name-First: Toshiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kikkawa Title: A noncompensatory choice experiment analysis of Japanese consumers' purchase preferences for beef Abstract: In this article, we consider the noncompensatory valuation of food safety among Japanese consumers with regard to the purchase of beef. Using a choice experiment with a wide range of choice rules, we examine the valuation of beef by Japanese consumers in terms of the country of origin and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE)-test status of beef. The results reveal that a Random Parameters Logit (RPL) model along with the noncompensatory choice rules is more suitable than a compensatory model for measuring the valuation of food safety with regard to beef by consumers who are conscious of food safety. Further, the Willingness to Pay (WTP) for each BSE-tested type of beef reveals that Japanese consumers regard the BSE test as rather important for ensuring the food safety of beef. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 439-444 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:439-444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Henr�quez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Henr�quez Author-Name: Bernardo Lara Author-X-Name-First: Bernardo Author-X-Name-Last: Lara Author-Name: Alejandra Mizala Author-X-Name-First: Alejandra Author-X-Name-Last: Mizala Author-Name: Andrea Repetto Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Repetto Title: Effective schools do exist: low-income children's academic performance in Chile Abstract: The aim of this article is twofold. First, we show that despite students' disadvantaged backgrounds and despite not having more financial resources than similar schools, there are schools in Chile that serve low-income students and that obtain superior academic outcomes. Second, we present qualitative evidence to identify school and classroom processes that might explain these good results. Specifically, we analyse a network of Chilean private voucher schools called Sociedad de Instrucción Primaria (SIP). In the econometric analysis we use a number of propensity score-based estimation methods to find that SIP students' achievement is not due to observables or selection on measured variables. We also perform a number of interviews in SIP schools and other neighbouring schools. Our qualitative analysis suggests that having children's learning as a central and permanent goal, an aim that is shared and that drives the community's efforts, seems to best summarize what makes SIP schools special. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 445-451 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:445-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pratompong Srinuan Author-X-Name-First: Pratompong Author-X-Name-Last: Srinuan Author-Name: Erik Bohlin Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Bohlin Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: The determinants of mobile subscriber retention in Sweden Abstract: A binomial logit model is estimated on individual telecommunications service use data. The model examines whether operator-specific switching costs and termination-based prices impact on retention. The results show that service attributes (brand image and on-net prices) are significant in retaining subscribers. As customers of larger networks face higher switching costs, only the largest operator can use termination-based pricing to retain mobile subscribers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 453-457 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:453-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Auteri Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Auteri Author-Name: Antonello Maruotti Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Maruotti Title: Modelling waiting times in the Italian National Health Service Abstract: Understanding health-care utilization is important to design efficient and effective health-care systems. Towards this end, we propose a relatively simple and intuitively appealing microeconometric framework based on a two-part model to investigate the determinants that increase the probability and the length of waiting for a health-care service provision. This article attempts to accommodate all data features in one model focusing on overdispersion in the data due to unobserved heterogeneity and zero-inflation, with an application to the Italian National Health System. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 459-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:459-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Gómez-Bezares Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Bezares Author-Name: Fernando R. Gómez-Bezares Author-X-Name-First: Fernando R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Bezares Title: Classic performance indexes revisited: axiomatic and applications Abstract: In this short article we revisit three classic performance indexes: Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen, adding a fourth index, the Penalized Internal Rate of Return (PIRR), which is perfectly coherent with those three. We propose some axioms that support the logic of these indexes, identifying one exception for the Treynor index and warning about the problems of quotients use. All these are empirically supported. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 467-470 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:467-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Title: How has the financial crisis affected the fiscal convergence of Central and Eastern Europe to the Eurozone? Abstract: This article reports empirical findings on the convergence of the government debt to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio of seven Central and Eastern European (CEE) member states of the European Union (EU) to the European Monetary Union (EMU) over the period 2000 to 2010. This study tests stochastic and β convergence in a time series framework allowing for two structural breaks identified endogenously. The results help to evaluate the distortions in the fiscal convergence process of the CEE countries after the 2008 global financial crisis and the future accession possibilities of each CEE state conditional on the current levels and trends of the debt/GDP ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:471-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary R. Skoog Author-X-Name-First: Gary R. Author-X-Name-Last: Skoog Author-Name: James E. Ciecka Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ciecka Title: Interchangeability of the median operator with the present value operator Abstract: It is well known that the expected present value of a life annuity is smaller than the present value of an annuity certain with term equal to life expectancy. This result can be viewed as a consequence of the lack of interchangeability between the present value operator and the mathematical expectation operation. However, we prove that the median and present value operators can be interchanged; that is, the median of the present value of a life annuity equals the present value of an annuity certain whose term is the median additional years of life. At young ages and through late middle age, median additional years of life exceed life expectancy. Therefore, the median value of a life annuity exceeds an annuity certain paid to life expectancy which exceeds the expected present value of a life annuity - the fair price of a life annuity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 477-481 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.583213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.583213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:477-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jangkoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Jangkoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Hwa-Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hwa-Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An interrelation of time preference and risk attitude: an application to the equity premium puzzle Abstract: In the fields of behavioural economics and finance, several researchers show that the time preference of an investor is related to his/her attitude towards risky assets. This article investigates whether the equity premium puzzle laid out in Mehra and Prescott (1985) can be accounted for when this relation is imposed on the representative agent model of asset pricing. Three primary features of our analysis allow us to investigate the relationship. First, we derive an equation satisfied by the rate of time preference. Second, our model can yield an equity premium that is consistent with the observed data even in the standard power utility setting. Third, to fit the observed equity premium, we show that it is required to assume a negative rate of time preference, which is consistent with Kocherlakota (1996) and Brennan and Xia (2001). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 483-486 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:483-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Purchasing power parity with nonlinear and asymmetric smooth adjustment for the Middle Eastern countries Abstract: This empirical note uses a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root test proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for Middle Eastern countries. Empirical test results indicate that PPP is valid for most of these Middle Eastern countries, with the exception of Bahrain. These results have important policy implications for the Middle Eastern countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 487-491 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:487-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrián Fernández-P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Adrián Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-P�rez Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Detecting trends in the foreign exchange markets Abstract: We test for the existence of trends in exchange-rate series for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we make use of Taylor's (1980) price trend model that, instead of focusing on the mean reverting behaviour of exchange rates measured over a long horizon, concentrates on the short-term pattern of the price trend. Employing a maximum likelihood method and a genetic algorithm to estimate the model parameters, in 39 of the 95 cases considered we find evidence in favour of the presence of trends, the trends being more frequent in intermediate exchange-rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 493-503 Issue: 5 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:5:p:493-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pfeifer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pfeifer Title: Physical attractiveness, employment and earnings Abstract: Survey data are used to estimate the impact of physical attractiveness rated by the interviewer as well as by the respondent on employment probability and labour income of men and women. In addition to mean linear and nonlinear effects on earnings, simultaneous quantile regressions are applied to analyse heterogeneity across the wage distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 505-510 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:505-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: Generalized safety first and the planting of crops Abstract: This article adapts a modern shortfall-based portfolio selection rule developed by Stutzer (2000) and Haley and Whiteman (2008) to the farm manager's land allocation problem. The approach provides a useful normative model of land allocation that obviates distributional assumptions and expected utility specifications, and one that selects an optimal allocation that weighs skewness and other higher order moments in addition to mean and variance. This is of particular interest because crop returns often exhibit skewness, which is not accounted for by traditional Mean-Variance (MV)-based approaches. The rule is demonstrated using the data from Lence and Hart (1997). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-515 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:511-515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Blumenfeld Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Blumenfeld Author-Name: Andres G. Victorio Author-X-Name-First: Andres G. Author-X-Name-Last: Victorio Title: Union wages, strikes and profits Abstract: A model is used to propose the countervailing effects of a strike upon wages. Wages may rise if unions succeed in obtaining concessions. They may fall if firms succeed in neutralizing the potential damage to their profits. Some US evidence suggests that wages fall whenever strikes increase in intensity, somewhat corroborating the view that unions have continued to become weaker over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 517-520 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:517-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphael Auer Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Author-Name: Philip Saur� Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Saur� Title: CHF strength and Swiss export performance -- evidence and outlook from a disaggregate analysis Abstract: Why has Swiss export performance been so strong during the past quarters despite the marked appreciation of the Swiss Franc (CHF)? What is the outlook for Swiss exports given the still elevated CHF? In this article, we shed light on these questions by analysing a panel of Swiss exports disaggregated along both the regional and the industry dimension. To explain the export performance of the recent past, we estimate how the exchange rate and demand growth in each export market affect trade flows and also, how this varies across different industries. The appreciation of the CHF has considerably dampened Swiss export performance. As a counterfactual, we ask how Swiss exports would have developed had the CHF stayed flat against other currencies during the 5 years leading up to October 2010. Compared to this scenario, the Swiss export industry has already lost a cumulative of CHF 35 billion in revenues due to the CHF appreciation. At the current juncture, monthly exports are reduced by CHF 2.7 billion (around 17%). We show that the key reason for the strong export performance despite the CHF strength was the rebound in global demand in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Moreover, we also document that the timing of global demand growth has completely masked the effect of the CHF strength: during the last quarters, periods of pronounced CHF appreciation always coincided with strong recovery of global demand. Failure to account for this coincidence could lead to the wrong assumption that the exchange rate matters very little for Swiss export performance. Last, to gauge the likely evolution of Swiss exports and their regional composition in the years to come, we combine our estimation results with the regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and exchange rate forecasts provided by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Following this approach, we predict that over the next 3 years, Swiss exports will rise a combined 16%, with little less than half of this increase going to Emerging Asia and 30% to the euro zone. We also document the key industries that will drive Swiss export growth in the near future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 521-531 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:521-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Mart�nez Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Mart�nez Title: Inequality and the new human development index Abstract: Taking as a reference the new human development index introduced by the UN in 2010, we study inequality in the world with respect to achievements in human development. We consider four of the most widely known measures of inequality: the Gini, Theil, Atkinson and Kolm indices. We analyse the evolution of each index over the whole history of UN human development reports (every 5 years, from 1980 to 2010). We find that according to the Gini, Theil and Atkinson measures, the world was significantly more equal in 2010 than in 1980. However, the Kolm index shows that the distribution of human development has worsened. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 533-535 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:533-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rakesh Bali Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Author-Name: Jack C. Francis Author-X-Name-First: Jack C. Author-X-Name-Last: Francis Title: Further evidence from ex-dividend days Abstract: We tested how dividend pricing is impacted by the reduction in capital gains tax rate to 20% (May 1997) and the move to trading in 6.25¢ (June 1997). Price behaviour does not support tax clienteles but is consistent with transaction costs-based explanation. Raw returns, for all groups, are within or close to weak no-arbitrage bounds and are unchanged around these events. We find that taxes may impact investor behaviour but they do not impact marginal dividend pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 537-540 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:537-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: The effectiveness of the order-splitting strategy: an analysis of unique data Abstract: This letter first examines the effectiveness of the order-splitting strategy by analysing the unique intraday dataset of the KOSPI200 futures market, which contains high-quality information on the classes and identification of investors. The empirical finding indicates that a significant number of traders fragment their trades, and these split trades are generally more informative than nonsplit trades. When trades are fragmented, the price impact of buy trades is significantly larger than the price impact of sell trades. By conducting an analysis of investor type, we also find that the order-splitting strategy of domestic individuals, banks and foreign institutions is quite successful in the futures market; on the other hand, the split orders submitted by domestic money managers typically incur a substantial loss. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 541-549 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:541-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Title: Foreign ownership, sales to multinationals and firm efficiency: the case of Brazil, Morocco, Pakistan, South Africa and Vietnam Abstract: Using a one-step stochastic frontier model for five developing countries, this article shows that foreign firms benefit from a better investment climate, which significantly explains why they are more efficient than local firms. This article uses the share of each firm's sales to multinationals located in the country to assess the importance of vertical spillovers, while controlling for the direct impact of the investment climate on efficiency. The results show that firms, particularly small local firms, selling more of their production to multinationals are more efficient, highlighting the presence of vertical spillovers through backward linkages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 551-555 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:551-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: MeiChi Huang Author-X-Name-First: MeiChi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Forecasts and implications of the current housing crisis: switching regimes in a threshold framework Abstract: This article aims to explore the implications of the recent housing crisis from a forward-looking perspective in the form of the two-regime switching phenomena under a Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. Three categories of thresholds, which are housing prices, housing volumes and price-to-income ratios, are adopted in an attempt to examine the US state-level housing market cycles in multiple dimensions. In general, while lagged differenced thresholds fail to capture the recent housing boom-and-bust regime switching, moving-average thresholds succeed in signalling a housing crisis in many states. The regime-switching autoregressive structures show that housing price cycle has remarkable series dependence, and the housing volume cycle tends to show a mean-reversion pattern. Most importantly, only four states, Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada, display the bust regime of housing price growth during 2006 to 2010. The price-over-income also indicates that less than five states have significant two switching regimes. Otherwise, most states exhibit low-growth regime of housing permits, implying a nationwide housing volume cycle during the current housing crisis. The forecasting system provides a helpful guideline for policy-making of the government as well as household decisions of consumption and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 557-568 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:557-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Siyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pei-I Chou Author-X-Name-First: Pei-I Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity: the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of East Asian countries from January 1986 to October 2009. Empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for all the countries studied, with the exception of Japan and Philippines, and the long-run PPP adjustment process towards its equilibrium is asymmetric. Our results have important policy implications for these East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 569-573 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:569-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Purchasing power parity with nonlinear and asymmetric smooth adjustment Abstract: This empirical note applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root proposed by Sollis (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for Japan's Real Exchange Rate (RER) vis-à-vis its eight trading partner countries. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for Japan relative to her major trading partners, with the exception of Hong Kong and Thailand, and the adjustment towards PPP is nonlinear and in an asymmetric way. This result provides support for PPP for Japan relative to its major trading partner countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 575-578 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:575-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dany Jaimovich Author-X-Name-First: Dany Author-X-Name-Last: Jaimovich Title: A Bayesian spatial probit estimation of Free Trade Agreement contagion Abstract: This article analyses the spatial interdependence of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) in a cross-section framework using the Contagion Index proposed by Baldwin and Jaimovich (2010). A Bayesian heteroskedastic probit model is estimated, where a spatial lag is built based on the Contagion Index, finding evidence of interdependence related with a domino-like effect. I compare the results with other spatial specifications previously used in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 579-583 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.587958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.587958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:579-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nabamita Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Nabamita Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Deepraj Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Deepraj Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: Is culture a determinant of financial development? Abstract: This article investigates the missing link in the literature -- whether informal institutions, or what is known as culture, can affect the level of financial development for a country? Our hypothesis stresses that the cultural dimensions of a country can have an impact on its financial set-up. We consider multiple dimensions of culture, identified in the literature by Tabellini (2008), to test our hypothesis. As culture evolves in the form of greater trust, control and other traits, individuals' attitudes towards financial market change, and they engage in greater financial transactions. This, in turn, leads to better financial development. Using quantile estimation technique for a cross section of 90 countries, we find that culture significantly influences the level of financial development. To ensure the robustness of our findings we use Hofstede's cultural dimension -- ‘Uncertainty Avoidance Index’ (UAI) -- as an alternative measure for culture. Our results hold for multiple measures of financial development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 585-590 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.589800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.589800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrián Fernández-P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Adrián Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-P�rez Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodr�guez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Exploiting trends in the foreign exchange markets Abstract: We offer further evidence on the relevance of technical trading in exchange-rate markets using daily data for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we investigate the profitability of a simple technical trading rule based on Taylor's (1980) price trend model, generating optimal one-step-ahead forecasts of returns using genetic algorithms. These trading rules, that bear similarity to the popular trading rules based on moving averages, overcome the buy-and-hold strategy in 25 of 39 cases where trends are detected, even in the presence of transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 591-597 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.589801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.589801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:591-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António S. Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: António S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ribeiro Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: Portuguese football league efficiency and players' wages Abstract: In this article, we use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to measure the efficiency of Portuguese football clubs in the First League for seasons 2002/03 to 2008/09. Clubs spend different amounts of money on their players and use different incentive devices to achieve their aims for each season. Our first aim is to find out whether clubs are spending more money than they need to. Evidence shows that this is the case for several clubs, suggesting that buying players solely with a view to selling them on for future financial gain can seriously damage clubs' accounts and efficiency. This is all the more remarkable as the competitive level is increasing and Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) is issuing more stringent financial stability conditions. Our second aim is to ascertain the relationship between the players' wage distribution and the clubs' efficiency. We demonstrate that a higher wage spread tends to be associated with an increase in efficiency. The implication is that clubs should structure wages so as to have the optimal pay ranking for inducing players' effort. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 599-602 Issue: 6 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:6:p:599-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Drehmann Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Drehmann Author-Name: Leonardo Gambacorta Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gambacorta Title: The effects of countercyclical capital buffers on bank lending Abstract: This article provides a simulation on how the countercyclical capital buffer designed in the Basel III package could impact on bank lending. It finds that the buffer could help to reduce credit growth during booms and attenuate the credit contraction once it is released. This would help to dampen procyclicality in addition to the beneficial effects of higher capital levels in terms of higher banking sector resilience to shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 603-608 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:603-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicki L. Bogan Author-X-Name-First: Vicki L. Author-X-Name-Last: Bogan Author-Name: Chad M. Sandler Author-X-Name-First: Chad M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sandler Title: Are firms on the right page with Chapter 11? An analysis of firm choices that contribute to post-bankruptcy survival Abstract: Historically, corporate bankruptcy reorganization has generated varying results with respect to subsequent firm performance. Some firms reorganize effectively and emerge as more efficient and productive enterprises. However, other inefficient companies strive to survive by utilizing the rehabilitative process of Chapter 11; though liquidation might be a more suitable course of action. This study investigates which characteristics of firm performance and Chapter 11 bankruptcy are linked to successful emergence upon reorganization. We find that the strongest contributor to post-bankruptcy survival is having new management in place. This suggests that Chapter 11 can be utilized as an effective rehabilitative tool in the ‘right hands’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 609-613 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:609-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Fabling Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Fabling Author-Name: Arthur Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Author-Name: Philip Stevens Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: The relatives are fine: use of qualitative firm data in economic analysis Abstract: We use qualitative and quantitative data for the same firms to examine the robustness of firms' qualitative responses regarding their performance. In contrast to some prior studies, firms accurately respond to qualitative questions regarding productivity and profitability relative to other firms. One reason for this accuracy is that the qualitative response options specifically include a don't know category that reduces misreporting and bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-618 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:615-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Wealth-to-income ratio and stock returns: evidence from the Euro Area Abstract: I find that when the ratio of asset wealth to human wealth falls, investors become more exposed to labour income shocks and demand a higher risk premium for stocks. I show that the residuals of the trend relationship among wealth and labour income, wy, predict future stock returns in the Euro Area. The results are robust to additional control variables and show the superiority of wy vis-a-vis other benchmark models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 619-622 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:619-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jyh-Jiuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Jiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ching-Hui Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: A note on selling distressed loans with bank bailouts: modelling of bank interest margins with default probabilities Abstract: This article extends the framework of Merton (1974) with Vassalou and Xing (2004) to value a troubled but solvent bank's equity by explicitly incorporating distressed assets purchased by the government in an imperfectly competitive loan market. We show that the bank may be willing to take this bailout when the purchased amount is relatively small and the margin is relatively low. However, the bank may be harder to entice even when the unit price of the bailed-out assets subsidized by the government is relatively high. As a consequence, most of the first half of the Troubled Asset Relief Program's money is not used to buy troubled assets (Wilson, 2010). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 623-627 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:623-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Ralph Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in transition countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of transition countries (i.e. Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Russia) over January 1995 to December 2008. The empirical results indicate that PPP only holds true for five of these transition countries under study. Our results have important policy implications for the transition countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 629-633 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:629-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Casadio Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Casadio Author-Name: Antonio Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: The dynamics of Italian public debt: alternative paths for fiscal consolidation Abstract: This article analyses possible targets for the Italian debt-to-GDP ratio with a small macroeconomic model. The role of international macroeconomic variables such as the US GDP growth, prices of raw materials, EUR/USD exchange rate and European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy stance and domestic policy instruments is analysed in the debt dynamics. We find that external conditions play a fundamental role for the Italian fiscal consolidation. To reach a target of 100% of debt-to-GDP ratio by 2020, a further growth-sustaining policy has to be implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 635-639 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:635-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiping Kostenko Author-X-Name-First: Weiping Author-X-Name-Last: Kostenko Title: Australian migration policy change: selecting winners and making losers Abstract: I investigate the effects of 1997 Australian migration policy changes on the skilled immigrants' labour market and social assimilation. I find that, after the changes, notwithstanding the overall success and stronger favourable self-selection of skilled immigrants, females, Asians and the ‘poorer’ are at risk of underemployment and mental disorder. The findings facilitate the debate on economic gains and social costs of policy reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 641-644 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.591727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.591727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:641-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: The effect of social trust on achievement test performance of students in Japan Abstract: Empirical results using Japanese data suggest that social trust improves student language and mathematics achievement test scores in primary and junior high school. After controlling for endogeneity bias, social trust had a greater effect on scores for primary school students than on scores for junior high school students. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 645-648 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:645-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elwin Tobing Author-X-Name-First: Elwin Author-X-Name-Last: Tobing Title: How do housing wealth effects vary with age? Abstract: This article investigates whether the housing wealth effect is constant across age. The data are drawn from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) for the waves of 2001, 2003 and 2005. Using threshold estimation to endogenously split the sample by age group, we find three threshold age groups of 49, 55 and 65. Housing wealth has a significant and positive effect on the consumption for individuals aged 49 and 55 years, but a negative effect for individuals aged 65 years and older. If age is below 49 or between 55 and 65 years, the housing wealth effect is insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Rhein Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhein Author-Name: Parvati Trübswetter Author-X-Name-First: Parvati Author-X-Name-Last: Trübswetter Title: Occupational mobility and the change in the occupational structure in Britain and Germany, 1993--2008 Abstract: We investigate the relationship between occupational mobility and the change in the occupational structure at the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) two-digit level in Britain and Germany between 1993 and 2008. We find that although gross mobility rates in Britain were almost 3 times as high as those in Germany, this did not translate into more structural change, as measured by the Lilien index. Furthermore, we find that net mobility flows are more closely correlated with structural change in Germany than Britain, leading to the conclusion that the more highly regulated occupational system in Germany does not hinder occupational change. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-656 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:653-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian M. Dobbs Author-X-Name-First: Ian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbs Author-Name: Anthony D. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Anthony D. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Inducing risk preferences in economics experiments Abstract: A common procedure in experiments is to use binary lotteries to induce in all subjects pre-specified risk preferences. The validity of this procedure has been established only for a subject performing a single task, yet the procedure is normally applied in multi-task settings. This article formally analyses the multi-task case and establishes necessary and sufficient conditions relating to experimental design. New guidance is provided for the design of experiments involving interdependent tasks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 657-660 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:657-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Veld Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Veld Author-Name: Yuriy Zabolotnyuk Author-X-Name-First: Yuriy Author-X-Name-Last: Zabolotnyuk Title: The optimal call policy for convertible bonds: Is there a market memory effect? Abstract: This article examines the market memory effect in convertible bond markets. We look at the pricing of convertible bonds issued after the original issuer redeemed previous issues without giving an opportunity for investors to benefit from bond value appreciation. We find evidence that the market underprices new convertible bond issues of firms that called their previous convertible bonds early compared with new convertibles bonds of firms that called their previous convertibles late. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 661-664 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:661-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Di Vita Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Di Vita Title: Endogenous discount rate and elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption Abstract: Using an endogenous growth model where the discount rate is a function of consumption, we show that the condition in which the elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption is greater than 1 ensures, at the same time, the existence of an unique saddle point equilibrium and the maximization of capital and consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 665-669 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:665-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Edmund Allen Author-X-Name-First: David Edmund Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Robert John Powell Author-X-Name-First: Robert John Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Abhay Kumar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Beyond reasonable doubt: multiple tail risk measures applied to European industries Abstract: Using a comprehensive range of metrics, this article determines how relative market and credit risk change among European sectors during extreme market fluctuations. Differences are found between conditional and nonconditional outcomes, and sectors which were most risky prior to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) are found to be different to the riskiest sectors during the GFC. These findings are consistent across the metrics used. The insights into extreme sectoral risk are important to investors in portfolio selection and to banks in setting sectoral concentration limits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 671-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.593496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.593496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:671-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erick Michael Elder Author-X-Name-First: Erick Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Elder Author-Name: Gary A. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Gary A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: A simple approach to balancing government budgets over the business cycle Abstract: Despite the renewed interest in fiscal rules to constrain government deficits and debt, most rules provide no guidelines for reaching fiscal objectives in practice. This note demonstrates how to construct simple and transparent savings-rate rules that could aid policymakers if balancing the budget over the business cycle is a goal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simeon Vosen Author-X-Name-First: Simeon Author-X-Name-Last: Vosen Author-Name: Torsten Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Torsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on Internet search query data Abstract: This study introduces a monthly coincident indicator for consumption in Germany based on Google Trends data on web search activity. In real-time nowcasting experiments the indicator outperforms common survey-based indicators in predicting consumption. Unlike those indicators, it provides predictive information beyond that already captured in other macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 683-687 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:683-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes-Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes-Castro Title: Labour productivity and compensation of employees in Europe Abstract: The current international crisis has highlighted the need to improve productivity. This article examines labour productivity and compensation of employees in the main European economics over the past 15 years. The decomposition of labour productivity suggests that, during the most recent phase of expansion, capital stock per hour worked hides a widespread decline in Multifactor Productivity (MFP). There was also a significant deterioration in the equity of primary income distribution. The crisis seems to be correcting this trend, with some exceptions, but at the expense of rising unemployment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 689-693 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:689-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Shiuan Lu Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Shiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: How significant is the role of reallocation to long-term growth? Abstract: This article investigates the contribution of labour and capital reallocation from the farm to the nonfarm sector to Total Factor Productivity (TFP) Growth (TFPG). We find that if labour reallocation is hypothetically suppressed in economies experiencing rapid structural transformation, that is, South Korea and Taiwan, the annualized long-term TFPG rate can be reduced by more than 0.8 percentage points. Such an effect is significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 695-698 Issue: 7 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.595675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.595675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:7:p:695-698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Youssef El-Khatib Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Author-X-Name-Last: El-Khatib Title: Stochastic optimal hedge ratio: theory and evidence Abstract: The minimum variance hedge ratio is widely used by investors to immunize against the price risk. This hedge ratio is usually assumed to be constant across time by practitioners, which might be a too restrictive assumption because the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) might vary across time. In this article we put forward a proposition that a stochastic OHR performs differently than an OHR with constant structure even in the situations in which the mean value of the stochastic OHR is equal to the constant OHR. A mathematical proof is provided for this proposition combined with some simulation results and an application to the US stock market during 1999--2009 using weekly data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 699-703 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.572841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.572841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:699-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melina Dritsaki Author-X-Name-First: Melina Author-X-Name-Last: Dritsaki Author-Name: Chaido Dritsaki Author-X-Name-First: Chaido Author-X-Name-Last: Dritsaki Title: A panel data approach to the demand for money in Bulgaria and Romania Abstract: This article aims to investigate the relationship between real money, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the nominal short-term rate of interest in the two new European Union (EU) member states. In pursuit of this objective, the tests of panel cointegration and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) are conducted by using panel data. The data used in this study consist of annual data during period 1990 to 2008. The panel cointegration results confirm a long-run relationship between real money, real GDP and the nominal short-term rate of interest. Our empirical results also show that real GDP elasticity is 0.739 and nominal short-term rate of interest elasticity is −0.013 for the panel of the two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 705-710 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:705-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St�phanie Peltier Author-X-Name-First: St�phanie Author-X-Name-Last: Peltier Author-Name: François Moreau Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Moreau Title: Internet and the ‘Long Tail versus superstar effect’ debate: evidence from the French book market Abstract: From a comprehensive database of monthly sales of comic books and literature books in France over the period 2003 to 2007, we show that (i) bestsellers got smaller market shares online than offline, contrary to medium- and low-sellers; (ii) both online and offline sales shift from the head of the distribution to the tail with increasing magnitude over the period; and (iii) the Long Tail appears to be more than just a short-lived phenomenon caused by the specific preferences of early adopters of e-commerce. These three results suggest that online information and distribution tools, whose use increased over the period 2003 to 2007, do have an impact on book distribution and on consumers' purchase decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 711-715 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Kevin McGee Author-X-Name-First: M. Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: McGee Author-Name: Lee Van Scyoc Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Van Scyoc Author-Name: Nancy J. Burnett Author-X-Name-First: Nancy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burnett Title: ‘The best defence…’ or optimal offence/defence spending ratios in the NFL Abstract: An original data set built from all 32 National Football League (NFL) teams, covering 2000--2009, is used to produce a production function for professional football. We use spending on salaries, divided between offensive and defensive players, as inputs to produce season wins. Our data suggest that the optimal strategy is simply to have a strategy, meaning teams with balanced spending tend to do worse than those with a more strategic allocation towards either offence or defence. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 717-720 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:717-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranjula Bali Swain Author-X-Name-First: Ranjula Bali Author-X-Name-Last: Swain Title: Differential impact of microfinance delivery mechanism on vulnerability Abstract: Microfinance reduces vulnerability. We investigate if this impact varies by the delivery mechanism used. Correcting for the membership selection bias using Propensity Score Matching (PSM), the household's vulnerability is estimated using the Self-Help Group (SHG) microfinance programme data in India. The results show that the reduction in vulnerability is greater for villages with better infrastructure and for SHGs that are formed by NGOs and linked by banks (linkage model 2). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 721-724 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:721-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Baomin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Baomin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: A simple model of two-country bargaining for financial integration Abstract: This article treats financial openness as a practical dimension on which two countries can negotiate for capital mobility benefit sharing. A capital-exporting country has some first-mover advantage in bargaining with its importing counterparts for their opening. Yet the former country's impatience can act against its own interests when faced with the latter's reluctance to fully liberalize financial systems. Hence it may be unwise to push them into prematurely opening up their capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 725-728 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:725-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mónica Meireles Author-X-Name-First: Mónica Author-X-Name-Last: Meireles Author-Name: Isabel Soares Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Dirty versus ecological technology in an endogenous growth model Abstract: An endogenous growth model with renewable and nonrenewable Intermediate Goods (IGs) is developed to study the exogenous environmental quality effects on technological-knowledge bias and on Final-Good (FG) sector bias. Solving the transitional dynamics numerically and removing the scale effects, FG sector bias is showed to be caused by both technological-knowledge bias, through the price channel, and technological-knowledge-absorption effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 729-733 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:729-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgiana Nicoleta Rosoi Author-X-Name-First: Georgiana Nicoleta Author-X-Name-Last: Rosoi Title: Financial integration and international transmission of business cycles: evidence from dynamic correlations Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 735-738 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.597719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.597719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:735-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Sabrina Khanniche Author-X-Name-First: Sabrina Author-X-Name-Last: Khanniche Title: Are hedge fund clones attractive financial products for investors? Abstract: The subprime crisis, which proved devastating for the hedge fund industry, induced significant losses for investors who ploughed into absolute return funds. In such a context, investigating the opacity surrounding the hedge fund industry and its prohibitive fee structure is of real interest as, within the context of the Madoff scandal, there is strong evidence of a reduction in investor confidence. On the other hand, investors are still looking for attractive returns. Hedge fund clones therefore appear to offer a promising solution as they seek to replicate hedge fund returns at lower fees and with more transparency and liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 739-743 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.599783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.599783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:739-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara E. Helms Author-X-Name-First: Sara E. Author-X-Name-Last: Helms Author-Name: Brian L. Scott Author-X-Name-First: Brian L. Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Jeremy P. Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy P. Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Choosing to give more: experimental evidence on restricted gifts and charitable behaviour Abstract: It is common for charitable organizations to allow donors to place material restrictions on their gifts. Nonprofit firms and fundraisers generally believe that allowing gift restrictions will increase donation revenue. Restricted gifts are costly to the nonprofit firms because of increased management expenses and an inability to reallocate gifts to higher valued uses. We report the results of an experiment which tests the influence of charitable gift restrictions on donor behaviour. We find that allowing restricted gifts significantly increases the amount given in a laboratory setting. However, we find no evidence that grant restrictions increase the probability of giving. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 745-748 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.599784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.599784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:745-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Nunnenkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nunnenkamp Author-Name: Megha Mukim Author-X-Name-First: Megha Author-X-Name-Last: Mukim Title: The clustering of FDI in India: the importance of peer effects Abstract: We assess the location choices of 6020 foreign investors at the level of Indian districts. Employing conditional logit models, we find that clustering of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is driven strongly by herding among investors from both, the same and other countries of origin. However, the behaviour of Nonresident Indians (NRIs) and German investors is strikingly different. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 749-753 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.602007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.602007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:749-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Matallin-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin-Saez Author-Name: Amparo Soler-Dominguez Author-X-Name-First: Amparo Author-X-Name-Last: Soler-Dominguez Author-Name: Emili Tortosa-Ausina Author-X-Name-First: Emili Author-X-Name-Last: Tortosa-Ausina Title: Mutual fund performance: banking versus independent managers Abstract: We examine the performance of mutual fund managers for a sample of Spanish mutual funds considering data on active management, loads, size and the number of funds managed per manager. We find evidence of differences in fund performance according to management: independent managers outperform their banking counterparts even when the lower associated fees are considered. Overall, our results suggest that superior active managers do exist and the slight discrepancies which arise between managers can be interpreted as agency problems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 755-758 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.602008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.602008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:755-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elina Lampi Author-X-Name-First: Elina Author-X-Name-Last: Lampi Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: Nature and nurture: the relation between number of siblings and earnings Abstract: In this study, we examine the relation between different kinds of siblings and earnings and find that both nature and nurture matter: full-siblings are equally negatively related to earnings regardless of whether one grew up with them or not. The number of step-siblings, on the other hand, also turns out significant if one grew up together. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 759-762 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:759-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd A. McFall Author-X-Name-First: Todd A. Author-X-Name-Last: McFall Author-Name: Julianne Treme Author-X-Name-First: Julianne Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Title: Pandora's groove: analysing the effect of the U-groove ban on PGA Tour golfers' performances and strategies Abstract: This study examines how PGA Tour golfers' playing strategies offset a ban on technologically superior golf club grooves and how the strategy changes translated into performance changes. The ban, which was implemented at the beginning of the 2010 season, effectively decreased golfers' abilities to spin the golf ball from all on-course environments and offers a unique opportunity to examine offsetting behaviour in the light of a ban on the type of technology. We compare 2009 and 2010 PGA Tour results in a manner consistent with previous studies of offsetting behaviour and golf club groove construction. Our results suggest that offsetting behaviour mitigated the effects of the technological regulations on golf clubs in an economically and statistically significant way, as golfers' performances improved following the technological ban. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-768 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:763-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farrukh Suvankulov Author-X-Name-First: Farrukh Author-X-Name-Last: Suvankulov Author-Name: Fatma Ogucu Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Ogucu Title: Have firms with better corporate governance fared better during the recent financial crisis in Russia? Abstract: We assess whether during the recent (2008--2009) financial crisis in Russia firms with better corporate governance have experienced a milder decline in stock prices and market value as well as lower stock price volatility. Using a structural break analysis, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Instrumental Variable (IV) techniques, we find that firms that had better corporate governance prior to the crisis suffered a smaller decline in both stock prices and market value. We report no evidence of statistically significant relationship between corporate governance and volatility of stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 769-773 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:769-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatih Cemil Ozbugday Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Cemil Author-X-Name-Last: Ozbugday Author-Name: Erik Brouwer Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwer Title: Competition law, networks and innovation Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of innovative activities at the industry level for the Dutch manufacturing industries during the period 1993 to 2007. The results indicate that the transition from the old Economic Competition Act to the new Competition Act is statistically insignificantly associated with decreased innovation intensity, while it is positively and statistically significantly linked to an increased share of firms with patent applications. Furthermore, we find that cooperation with their suppliers for innovative activities boosts both innovation intensity of the industry and the ratio of firms with patent applications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 775-778 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arup Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Arup Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Chandan Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Chandan Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Marie-Ange V�ganzonès-Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Ange Author-X-Name-Last: V�ganzonès-Varoudakis Title: Estimating impact of infrastructure on productivity and efficiency of Indian manufacturing Abstract: Drawing on a recent data set of the Indian manufacturing industry for the period 1994--2008, this article shows for eight sectors that core infrastructure matters in determining Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and Technical Efficiency (TE). Results suggest that the impact is rather strong on both measures (elasticity of 0.32 and 0.17, respectively). This finding is of particular importance in the Indian context characterized by infrastructure bottlenecks and strongly supports the view that a lack of infrastructure can hamper growth in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 779-783 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:779-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lajos Zoltán Bakucs Author-X-Name-First: Lajos Zoltán Author-X-Name-Last: Bakucs Author-Name: Bernhard Brümmer Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Brümmer Author-Name: Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: von Cramon-Taubadel Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Title: Wheat market integration between Hungary and Germany Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the price transmission between German and Hungarian wheat producer prices using weekly prices. Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Model (MS-VECM) with three regimes seems to appropriately capture the dynamics in the price relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 785-788 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.603688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.603688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:785-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Title: Health-impaired employees' job satisfaction: new evidence from Athens, Greece Abstract: This study by utilizing the 2008 Athens Area Study (AAS) data set investigates four aspects of job satisfaction -- total pay, promotion prospects, respect received from one's supervisor and total job satisfaction -- between healthy and heath-impaired employees. Health-impaired employees are found to be less satisfied according to all job satisfaction measures even when a large number of productivity features and job characteristics are controlled for. The outcomes also suggest that women are more satisfied with their jobs than men are, regardless of health status. Moreover, the estimations show that health-impaired employees' job satisfaction is affected more than healthy employees' job satisfaction by adverse mental health symptoms (life dissatisfaction). Finally, health-impaired employees are found to become more satisfied with their jobs with time after disability onset. This study concludes that health-impaired employees may have higher expectations about what they will obtain from their work, as well as they may have job satisfaction adjustments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 789-793 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:789-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William R. Hauk Author-X-Name-First: William R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hauk Title: Trade restriction indices and US trade policy Abstract: The proper way to measure differences in trade protection across countries and economic sectors has been a vexing problem for economists studying international trade. Based on research by Anderson and Neary (2005) and Kee et al. (KNO) (2009), this article proposes the use of Trade Restriction Indices (TRIs) when studying US trade policy. TRIs can potentially solve several problems related to measuring the restrictiveness of trade policy. To this end, this article creates a data set of TRIs for US imports by sector at several different levels of aggregation using the Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HS), the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and the Standard International Trade Classification industry coding systems. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-799 Issue: 8 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:8:p:795-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Yu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Wai-Yip Alex Ho Author-X-Name-First: Wai-Yip Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Dan Li Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Examining the role of risk aversion in calculating the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations Abstract: This note examines the role of risk aversion in computing the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations under different utility and consumption process specifications. We find that the welfare cost of consumption fluctuations under a Constant-Relative-Risk-Aversion (CRRA) utility specification does not necessarily increase with the degree of relative risk aversion unless it fulfils certain conditions. The case of China is used as an illustration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 801-806 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.548773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2010.548773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:801-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jun-Yen Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yi-Hua Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Measuring productivity in the biotechnology industry using the global Malmquist index Abstract: This study applies the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)-based Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) to measure productivity growth in Taiwanese biotechnology industry over time. The contemporaneous MPI and the global MPI are used to estimate and compare changes in productivity. In this study, we provide a single measurement of productivity change and its decompositions, that is, the global MPI. This index satisfies the circularity property and is free from the problem of base period dependency. Our results show that changes in productivity in the biotechnology industry are progressing. Under the assumption of Variable Returns to Scale (VRS), the sources of productivity change could be decomposed into Efficiency Change (EC), Best Practice Change (BPC) and Scale Change (SC). As result, the BPC and SC are progressing except for EC. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 807-812 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:807-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyungna Oh Author-X-Name-First: Hyungna Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Aggregation bias in stochastic frontier models employing region-level data: an empirical analysis with Korean manufacturing data Abstract: A stochastic frontier study often employs aggregate data to analyse the productivity and technical efficiency of regions. In this article, a stochastic frontier model is run on plant-level data and region-level aggregate data. Comparisons of estimated coefficients and characteristics of regional production based on estimation outcomes suggest that an empirical model employing regional-level data can provide misleading results concerning the production function faced by a representative plant in a region. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-821 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:813-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongseung Han Author-X-Name-First: Yongseung Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Modelling a stochastic profit system using gauge function Abstract: This article provides an analytical solution to the ‘Greene problem’; use of McFadden's gauge function successfully separates technical inefficiency from the profit function and its share equations, even though allocative inefficiency is incorporated into the profit system, and establishes an exact relationship between allocative inefficiency in the profit function and its share equations to make the system readily estimable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 823-827 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.605754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.605754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:823-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James T. Bang Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Bharati Basu Author-X-Name-First: Bharati Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Title: Marriage, fertility and the selection of women into high-skill industries Abstract: This article focuses on the selection of women into industries of different skill intensities as another dimension in the discussion of the differences in wages among similarly skilled women. Using the Current Population Survey (CPS) data and controlling for education and other factors, we find evidence that married women tend to work in industries that are less skill intensive and that pay lower wages. We also find that education and experience affect this selection process less favourably for married women compared with single women. Since less skill-intensive industries often pay lower wages for similar occupations, our results contribute to the broader debate over the gaps in wages between single and married women as well as men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 829-834 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:829-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manisha Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Manisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Title: Whither human capital? The woeful tale of transition to tertiary education in India Abstract: In this article, we examine the issue of high dropout rates in India which has adverse implications for human capital formation and hence for the country's long-term growth potential. Using the 2004--2005 National Sample Survey (NSS) employment--unemployment data, we estimate transition probabilities of moving from a number of different educational levels to higher educational levels using a sequential logit model. Our results suggest that the overall probability of reaching tertiary education is very low. Further, even by the woeful overall standards, women are significantly worse off, particularly in rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 835-838 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:835-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Purchasing power parity with nonlinear threshold unit root test Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear threshold unit root test proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of nine East Asian countries. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for more than half of these nine East Asian countries under study, and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 839-842 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:839-842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in China Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear unit root test proposed by Sollis (2009) to investigate the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for China's real exchange rate vis-à-vis her nine trading partner countries over the period January 1986 to October 2009. The empirical results indicate that China's real exchange is a nonlinear process and a unit root in real exchange rate was not found for most of the cases under study. These results provide strong support for PPP for China relative to her major trading partner countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 843-848 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:843-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Maças Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Maças Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Author-Name: Z�lia Serrasqueiro Author-X-Name-First: Z�lia Author-X-Name-Last: Serrasqueiro Title: Are young SMEs' survival determinants different? Empirical evidence using panel data Abstract: Based on two subsamples of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs), 495 young SMEs and 1350 old SMEs, using probit regressions, we investigate whether the survival determinants of young SMEs are different from those of old SMEs. The multiple empirical evidence obtained allows us to conclude that the survival determinants of young SMEs are considerably different from those of the old SMEs: (1) determinants related to scale effects, financial situation and macroeconomic situation are of greater relative importance in explaining young SMEs' survival; and (2) a determinant related to technological intensity is of greater relative importance in explaining old SMEs' survival. The results let us provide different guidelines for economic policy in general, and industrial policy in particular, in support of young and old SMEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 849-855 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:849-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: D.P. Tang Author-X-Name-First: D.P. Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity in Latin American countries: the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: This study applies a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of 15 Latin American countries from December 1994 to February 2010. Empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for most of the countries studied, with the exception of Brazil, Chile, Dominica, Haiti and Uruguay, and the long-run PPP adjustment process towards its equilibrium is asymmetric. Our results have important policy implications for these Latin American countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 857-862 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:857-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos� Mar�a Mart�n-Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Jos� Mar�a Author-X-Name-Last: Mart�n-Moreno Author-Name: Rafaela P�rez Author-X-Name-First: Rafaela Author-X-Name-Last: P�rez Author-Name: Jesús Ru�z Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Ru�z Title: Private consumption and sector price behaviour in the Spanish economy: a business cycle approach Abstract: In this article we examine the consequences of introducing tradable, nontradable and investment goods in a small open economy business cycle model in the case of Spain. The stochastic simulation of the model and its comparison to the Spanish economic data show that the model is able to mimic two prominent features of the Spanish cycle: (1) the dual inflation phenomenon, that is, the cyclical properties of the divergent behaviour between nontradable and tradable prices; and (2) the high volatility of private consumption relative to the volatility of output, a feature known as the Dolado et al. puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 863-868 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:863-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Phillip Reicher Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Reicher Title: A simple decomposition of the variance of output growth across countries Abstract: This article outlines a simple regression-based method to decompose the variance of an aggregate time series into the variance of its components, which is then applied to measure the relative contributions of productivity, hours per worker and employment to cyclical output growth across a panel of countries. Measured productivity contributes more to the cycle in Europe and Japan than in the United States. Employment contributes the largest proportion of the cycle in Europe and the United States (but not Japan), which is inconsistent with the idea that higher levels of employment protection in Europe dampen cyclical employment fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 869-872 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:869-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Declan Trott Author-X-Name-First: Declan Author-X-Name-Last: Trott Title: A capital mistake? The neglected effect of immigration on average wages Abstract: Much recent literature on the wage effects of immigration assumes that the return to capital, and therefore the average wage, is unaffected in the long run. If immigration is modelled as a continuous flow rather than a one-off shock, this result does not necessarily hold. A simple calibration with pre-crisis US immigration rates gives a reduction in average wages of 5%, larger than most estimates of the effect on relative wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 873-876 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:873-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guochen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guochen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for 18 African countries: sequential panel selection method Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) to test the validity of the long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of 18 African countries over the period January 1985 to September 2008. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary series and a group of nonstationary series. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results indicate that the PPP holds true for only four of these African countries studied. Our results have important policy implications for these African countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 877-881 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:877-881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Michael Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Experience, social pressure and performance: the case of soccer officials Abstract: This study examines the relationship between experience, social pressure and performance of match officials (referees) in professional soccer. Using data from European Cup competitions, it is found that officials with more experience are marginally less biased towards the home side in the issuing of disciplinary sanctions. However, it is also the case that officials with greater levels of experience are just as likely to be influenced by social pressure as their less experienced counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 883-886 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:883-886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Jude Salois Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Jude Author-X-Name-Last: Salois Title: The effect of quasi-hyperbolic discounting on rural land conversion timing Abstract: This article explores how the presence of a quasi-hyperbolic discount parameter in a land investment model can affect conversion times for undeveloped rural land. A simple model of land development is compared using both exponential discounting and quasi-hyperbolic discounting. The presence of quasi-hyperbolic discounting tends to increase the rate of land conversion and may lead to possible overdevelopment of rural lands. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 887-890 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:887-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Duc-Tho Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc-Tho Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: On maintaining the power of the Kapetanios--Snell--Shin (KSS) test under uncertain initial conditions Abstract: This article investigates the impact of initial condition (specifically, the deviation of the initial observation from the underlying deterministic component) on the power properties of the nonlinear Kapetanios-- Snell--Shin (KSS) unit root test. While the Generalized Least Squares (GLS)-detrended KSS test has significant power advantage over the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)-detrended KSS test if the initial deviation is small, the opposite occurs if the initial deviation is large. These results are similar to those found previously for the Dickey--Fuller (DF) test. To maintain good power properties across different initial conditions, a Union of Rejections (UR) strategy is adopted; the strategy is demonstrated to be useful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 891-896 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:891-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Stevens Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: A simple in-sample test of futures market efficiency based on rolling regressions Abstract: Given the tremendous volatility of commodity prices, models used to test the efficiency of futures markets often contain unstable parameter estimates. This instability may cause the results of hypothesis tests to become sensitive to the sample period. As a result, tests based on constant parameter specifications may be inconclusive. This article proposes an in-sample test of efficiency based on rolling regressions. Using data for crude oil futures contracts traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange between 1985 and 2010, no significant evidence of inefficiency is found. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 897-900 Issue: 9 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:9:p:897-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Li-Min Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Li-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Author-Name: Chien-Min Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: A study on the urban competitiveness of two-straits Abstract: This study attempts to help cities enhance their competitiveness, doing so primarily by demonstrating the competitiveness of individual cities through economic indicators. This study focuses primarily on 20 major cities in Taiwan and China. Using annual data for each city over the period 2001--2007, this study observes the relative efficiency of major cities on both sides of the Taiwan Strait with the authentication of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model and Bootstrap confidence interval model. This study measures the long-term competitiveness achieved through urban changes through the Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) and also measures the structural productivity changes to understand the strengths and weaknesses of individual cities as well as differences in their competitiveness, and to establish future development directions for each city. Finally, this study applies the Bootstrap to obtain an accurate confidence interval for evaluating the accuracy of various efficiency indicators through the MPI. Based on multi-input and multi-output data, this study examines whether the main cities in Taiwan and China use their resources effectively to enhance urban efficiency of competitiveness and provide inefficient cities with suggestions on improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1001-1005 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:1001-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pinar Derin-Güre Author-X-Name-First: Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Derin-Güre Title: Happiness and parental altruism in the United States Abstract: This article focuses on the relationship between happiness and standard of living compared with kids and parents in the United States. Using General Social Survey (GSS) data from 1993 to 2010, I find that people who are poorer than their parents or those whose kids are worse off than them are unhappier than the people who have the same standard of living compared with their parents or kids. On the other hand, people who are richer than their parents and people who have richer kids are not significantly happier. These results might suggest that people in the United States are altruistic towards their children only if they are poorer than them but not if their children are richer. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 901-904 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:901-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Weiwei Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: The weak-form efficiency of Asian stock markets: new evidence from generalized spectral martingale test Abstract: The most appropriate approach to test for weak-form market efficiency is to examine whether the stock returns are Martingale Difference Sequence (MDS). However, the MDS tests have been largely ignored by previous studies, as the empirical analysis is dominated by Variance Ratio (VR) tests and Independent and Identically Distributed (IID)-based nonlinearity tests. This article re-examines the weak-form efficiency of 14 Asian stock markets using the generalized spectral martingale test. The result shows that all the return series are not MDSs, indicating the presence of return predictability and hence market inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 905-908 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:905-908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alisher Akhmedjonov Author-X-Name-First: Alisher Author-X-Name-Last: Akhmedjonov Author-Name: Berna Izgi Author-X-Name-First: Berna Author-X-Name-Last: Izgi Title: Does it pay to work in the public sector in Turkey? Abstract: This article examines wage gap between the public and private sectors in Turkey. Relying on microdata from Turkey's Household Budget Survey (HBS) for the year 2009, we estimate separate earnings functions for public and private sectors by gender with appropriate correction for selectivity bias. The results suggest that while the observed pay advantage of public male employees can be explained entirely by differences in their observed characteristics, for female employees these differences only partly explain the observed public--private pay differential. Decomposition of male--female wage differentials by sector of work suggests that women are facing discrimination in both sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 909-913 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:909-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuno Alves Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: The impact of education on household income and expenditure inequality Abstract: This article uncovers the distribution of returns to education at the household level using quantile regression techniques applied to a representative household survey in Portugal. We conclude that education has a positive impact on within-level income inequality, but no significant impact on expenditure inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 915-919 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.607125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.607125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:915-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacek Wallusch Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Wallusch Title: How frequently do consumer prices change in transition countries? Abstract: A common feature of recent literature regarding inflation dynamics is the Calvo pricing mechanism. Using this model and aggregate series, I estimate the price change probability and the mean time between price changes in 13 transition countries. The average price change probability is much larger than suggested by the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) literature. The corresponding mean time between price changes is slightly longer than 6 months. Moreover, a forward-looking pricing has been found only for four countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 921-928 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:921-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junko Koeda Author-X-Name-First: Junko Author-X-Name-Last: Koeda Title: How does yield curve predict GDP growth? A macro-finance approach revisited Abstract: This article analyses the yield-curve predictability for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth by modifying the time-series property of the interest rate process in Ang et al. (2006). When interest rates have a unit root and term spreads are stationary, the short rate's forecasting role changes, and the relationship between the shift of yield curves and GDP growth is intuitively revealed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 929-933 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:929-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam John Anthony Lenten Author-X-Name-First: Liam John Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Lenten Title: The underdog should always fire the first salvo against Brazil Abstract: A popular myth in football (soccer) that it is unwise tactically to score early against Brazil is busted using data from 1993 to 2010. This result provides further evidence about the choice of timing of effort exertion by an underdog in a finite-length industry contest against a more favoured opponent. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 935-938 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:935-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Nagayasu Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Nagayasu Title: Regional deposits and demographic changes Abstract: This article empirically analyses the relationship between regional deposits and demographic changes. Using different types of deposit data from Japan which has experienced a sharp increase in the number of retirees, we provide clear evidence that an increase in the dependency ratio has led to a decline in overall deposits but an increase in most liquid deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 939-942 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:939-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael A. Kortt Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kortt Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Title: Religion and the rate of return to human capital: evidence from Australia Abstract: We estimated the relationship between religion and the rate of return to human capital for Australia. Data from the Household Income Labour Dynamics Survey were analysed for men aged between 25 and 54 years. Conventional human capital functions were estimated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). Our results suggest that Catholic men benefit from a wage premium of 6.7%, controlling for an extensive range of controls. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 943-946 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:943-946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wei-Ming Hung Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: A note on bank bailout: equity quality and direct equity injections Abstract: Previous research on market-based evaluation of bank equity with government bailout has modelled the bank as a corporate firm with risky assets and liabilities. No attempt was made to analyse explicitly equity quality expressed as a situation when the carrying value of the bank's equity book is above the market price, in particular, during the financial crisis. The purpose of this article is to model bank equity quality explicitly and examine the relationships between direct equity capital injections by the government and bank interest margin (and thus bank equity quality). Comparative static results with simulation exercises show that the bailout programme of direct equity injections may be efficient in terms of bank equity quality when the bailout amount is relatively small-size and the bank's interest margin is relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 947-951 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:947-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvo Dajcman Author-X-Name-First: Silvo Author-X-Name-Last: Dajcman Title: Time-varying long-range dependence in stock market returns and financial market disruptions -- a case of eight European countries Abstract: The long-range dependence (or long memory) in stock market returns has many implications for modern financial economics. The existent empirical studies on long-range dependence in stock market returns, however, do not examine it on a dynamical basis. In this article we applied a rolling window approach to prove that long-range dependence parameter for eight European stock market returns is time-varying. Our findings show that sharp, but temporary, increases of long-range dependence parameter for investigated stock market returns in the period October 1999 to April 2011 coincided with the major financial market disruptions in the world and Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 953-957 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608637 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:953-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Filippo Belloc Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: Belloc Author-Name: Antonio Nicita Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Nicita Title: Partisan privatizations: assessing the ideological bias Abstract: Previous empirical literature suggests that privatization choices are driven by ideology. However, available measures of this political bias are weakly grounded as they neglect crucial factors affecting privatizations, such as the liberalization levels and the public finance structure. To fill this gap, we perform an econometric analysis explicitly considering such neglected factors. Our findings conclude that privatization choices in OECD network industries are determined by right-wing ideology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 959-963 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:959-963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don P. Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don P. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Title: Scale economies and trade Abstract: While previous research has shown that industries with high-scale economies more frequently have low rather than high intra-industry trade shares, this study provides strong support for other predictions of modern trade models. Industries with high-scale economies more frequently have high rather than low export and import shares. A finding that high-scale economies is associated with low net export shares may be due to the role scale economies play in generating both high industry export and import shares. Theoretical and empirical studies should focus attention on relationships among scale economies, trade flows and net exports. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 965-968 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608639 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:965-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Bleich Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Bleich Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Title: Monetary policy and oil price expectations Abstract: This article provides robust estimates that the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Federal Reserve Bank and the European Central Bank (ECB) respond to a 1% increase in oil price expectations with an increase in the interest rate of on average about 11 basis points. To correctly assess the information set of a central bank we use private sector forecasts and disentangle oil price expectations from inflation expectations. We also find asymmetries in the central bank's behaviour and report that those central banks do not respond to the realized oil price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 969-973 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:969-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity nonlinear threshold unit root test for East-Asian countries Abstract: This study applies the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) of nine East-Asian countries over the period January 1986 to October 2009. The empirical results indicated that PPP holds true for more than half of these nine East-Asian countries under study, and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 975-979 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.608641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.608641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farrokh Nourzad Author-X-Name-First: Farrokh Author-X-Name-Last: Nourzad Title: Assessing the predictive power of labour-market indicators of inflation Abstract: This article examines two different measures of wages as predicators of prices in a Vector Error-Correction (VEC) framework using quarterly data for the United States for the period from 1947Q1 to 2008Q1. Based on cointegration and a series of exogeneity tests, it is found that (i) there is a stable, long-run relationship between the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Deflator (PCED) on the one hand and Unit Labour Cost (ULC) and Average Hourly Earnings per Unit of Output (AHE) on the other; (ii) ULC is weakly exogenous for both price indices while the two price indices are weakly exogenous for AHE; (iii) ULC is strongly exogenous for CPI but not for AHE; and (iv) ULC is super exogenous for CPI. Taken together, these findings lead to the conclusion that ULC is a reliable indicator of price inflation but productivity-adjusted hourly earnings is not. Thus, monetary policymakers are justified in using information about the behaviour of ULC in formulating policy actions for achieving the goal of price stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 981-985 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:981-985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Frondel Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Frondel Author-Name: Colin James Vance Author-X-Name-First: Colin James Author-X-Name-Last: Vance Title: Interpreting the outcomes of two-part models Abstract: Interaction effects capture the impact of one explanatory variable x 1 on the marginal effect of another explanatory variable x 2. To explore interaction effects, the so-called interaction terms x 1 x 2 are typically included in estimation specifications. While in linear models the effect of a marginal change in the interaction term is equal to the interaction effect, this equality generally does not hold in nonlinear specifications (Ai and Norton, 2003). This article provides for a general derivation of marginal and interaction effects in both linear and nonlinear models and calculates the formulae of the marginal and interaction effects resulting from the Two-Part Model (2PM), a commonly employed censored regression model. Drawing on a survey of automobile use from Germany, we illustrate several subtleties inherent to the substantive interpretation of interaction effects gleaned from nonlinear models, such as the 2PM. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 987-992 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:987-992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariusz Krzak Author-X-Name-First: Mariusz Author-X-Name-Last: Krzak Author-Name: Paweł Panajew Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Panajew Title: The possibility of mineral deposit exploitation control with Bellman's optimality principle use -- a Polkowice--Sieroszowice copper mine case study Abstract: Decision-making problems in mineral deposit management can be solved with mathematical techniques. Accomplishment of geological mining projects is usually long lasting and expensive as well as it proceeds in uncertainty conditions and is burdened with a considerable risk. The article presents possible applications of Bellman's optimality principle in exploitation control in the Polkowice--Sieroszowice copper mine. Exploitation blocks of a certain area in the mine differ mutually in ore quality and geological mining conditions. The blocks can be exploited in a certain sequence, which at optimal financial means allocation guarantees maximization of the incomes. In the first step of solving the decision-making problem the price of ore has been calculated. In the second the optimality equations have been constructed. These equations describe possible to achieve incomes related to allocated and consumed financial means. Mathematically solving the equations has allowed selecting the sequence of optimal decisions constituting the optimal strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 993-999 Issue: 10 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:10:p:993-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Santos Regan Author-X-Name-First: Colin Santos Author-X-Name-Last: Regan Title: The price of efficiency: examining the effects of payroll efficiency on Major League Baseball attendance Abstract: From 1998 to 2008, the Oakland Athletics were the most payroll efficient team in Major League Baseball (MLB), recording the 5th highest win percentage despite having the 7th lowest payroll to work with. Their remarkable success has been widely attributed to the innovative strategies employed by general manager Billy Beane designed to identify undervalued statistics and players. However, these strategies also had the unintended effect of diminishing fan interest. An estimated 1600 fans per game were lost as a result of these payroll efficiency strategies, which produce teams composed of young, relatively unknown players and game tactics perceived as less exciting than more traditional approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1007-1015 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1007-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bowon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Bowon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Fouad El Ouardighi Author-X-Name-First: Fouad Author-X-Name-Last: El Ouardighi Author-Name: Sangsun Park Author-X-Name-First: Sangsun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Optimal dynamics of technology and price in a duopoly market Abstract: This article examines a case where the demand of a new product follows an applied diffusion model influenced by innovation and price differential effects, and the potential market size expands as the technology level embodied in the product advances. For a duopoly, we set up a differential game model and derived open-loop Nash equilibrium solutions, showing that the optimal dynamics between the competitors' technology and price levels depend on the relative magnitude of innovation and price differential coefficients. If the price differential coefficients of the two competitors are symmetrical, the optimal prices become constant and in general the technology levels increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1017-1022 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.610737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.610737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1017-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manami Ogura Author-X-Name-First: Manami Author-X-Name-Last: Ogura Title: Estimation of a fractionally cointegrated demand system: evidence from the Japanese expenditure data Abstract: In this article, we investigate the exact integration of series and analyse the cointegration relationship in the Japanese demand system. We find that the series considered in this analysis follow a fractionally I(d) process, not an exact I(1) one. Further, the Japanese demand system comprises the fractional cointegration relationships. Therefore, the use of a standard cointegration analysis might have a possibility of misleading the demand system with a fractionally cointegrated I(d) process. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1023-1028 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1023-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias W. Uhl Author-X-Name-First: Matthias W. Author-X-Name-Last: Uhl Title: And action: TV sentiment and the US consumer Abstract: With a novel data set, we test whether sentiment in TV news can be used as a proxy for consumer sentiment in order to explain changes in private consumption growth in the United States. The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) is taken to compare its explanatory power with TV sentiment in classical consumer behaviour models. We find that TV sentiment can be used at least as good a proxy for consumer sentiment as the ICS, while TV sentiment can best explain private consumption behaviour with personal income and savings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1029-1034 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1029-1034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sachiko Kuroda Author-X-Name-First: Sachiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kuroda Author-Name: Isamu Yamamoto Author-X-Name-First: Isamu Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamoto Title: The era of the 24-hour society?: assessing changes in work timing using a Japanese time use survey Abstract: Using data from a Japanese time use survey, we show a noteworthy increase in the share of employees working at unusual hours (late night and early morning) over a period of a decade since the mid-1990s. When controlling for changes in hours worked, however, we find that the notable increase in the fraction of people at work at unusual hours was for low-income nonregular employees (part-time, temporary and contract workers) while relatively higher income regular employees' work timing remains stable. These observations imply that there is a trend of diversification of work timing in Japan between regular and nonregular employees. A possible explanation is that the increase in the average hours worked per weekday by regular employees, possibly because of the spread of the 5-day workweek since the 1990s, increased services and goods demand at unusual hours as they returned home. An Oaxaca--Blinder type decomposition suggests that such an increase in the average hours worked by regular employees explains partially the rise in the employment rate of nonregular employees at unusual times. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1035-1038 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1035-1038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makoto Kakinaka Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Kakinaka Author-Name: Hiroaki Miyamoto Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Miyamoto Title: Unemployment and labour force participation in Japan Abstract: This article studies a long-run relationship between the labour-force participation rate and the unemployment rate in Japan. By using cointegration analysis, we demonstrate that there exists a long-run relationship between the two variables for male workers but not for female workers. Furthermore, using labour-force data by age group, we find the added-worker effect for young males and the discouraged-worker effect for middle-aged and old male groups. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1039-1043 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1039-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kozo Otsuka Author-X-Name-First: Kozo Author-X-Name-Last: Otsuka Title: University patenting and knowledge spillover in Japan: panel-data analysis with citation data Abstract: University-based patents, by their nature, tend to embody scientific knowledge, which can contribute to technological innovation. University patents, therefore, can be an important catalyst between science and technology. This article examines the contribution of university patents to technological innovation. Using patent citation data, we investigate how the knowledge embodied in university patents influences technological innovation. We conclude that university-based patents convert scientific knowledge into generic knowledge and contribute to technological innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1045-1049 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1045-1049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Hand Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Hand Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Searching for the picture: forecasting UK cinema admissions using Google Trends data Abstract: This article investigates whether Google Trends search information can improve forecasts of cinema admissions. Using monthly data for the United Kingdom for the period 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2008, we examine various forecasting models that incorporate Google Trends search information. We find clear evidence that Google Trends data on searches relevant to cinema visits (as opposed to searches for specific films) do have the potential to increase the accuracy of cinema admissions forecasting models. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1051-1055 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1051-1055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niklas Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Title: Gender and confidence: are women underconfident? Abstract: Previous research finds that schoolgirls tend to be underconfident with respect to their mathematics performance, while schoolboys tend to be overconfident. We asked Swedish university students (aged 18--35) what grade they thought they would get in a macroeconomics exam 1 week later. These results were compared with their actual grade and we find no evidence of men being overconfident, but women are underconfident about their test performance. These results suggest that the findings that schoolgirls are underconfident about their math performance also carry over to grown-up women studying macroeconomics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1057-1059 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1057-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pui Sun Tam Author-X-Name-First: Pui Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Tam Title: Size properties of Lagrange Multiplier cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks Abstract: The size properties of the recently advanced Lagrange Multiplier (LM) cointegration tests in the presence of structural breaks in time series are investigated. It is shown that misspecification of the types of breaks is liable to spurious rejection. In contrast, severe undersizing may result when ignoring the presence of any break. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1061-1064 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1061-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wo-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Wo-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hui-Na Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Na Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Threshold effects in the relationships between USD and gold futures by panel smooth transition approach Abstract: Using a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model, this study sets crude oil as threshold variable, and Volatility Index (VIX) and Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) for Emerging Market Index (MSCI-E) as control variables to investigate the nonlinear dynamic relationship between USD/yen and gold futures in the Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX). Empirical results show that the transition function is a logistic type. In region 1, the price of crude oil is low. The sign of VIX is positive. USD/yen exerts negative impact on gold market due to the way that gold market functions as a factor of hedge against portfolio and geopolitical risk. In region 2, the price of crude oil is higher (the demand for crude oil may be stronger). The economy is prosperous; VIX turns low; USD/yen increases. Investors have more money from other financial markets to buy gold, thus, causing gold futures price to rise. Besides, gold is both a hedge and a safe haven for developing countries but not for emerging countries; therefore, the relationships between gold and MSCI-E are positive in both regions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1065-1070 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1065-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naotaka Sugawara Author-X-Name-First: Naotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Sugawara Title: Fiscal adjustment in Greece under the financial rescue programme: the distributional effects on Greek households Abstract: This article examines the distributional effects of the fiscal adjustment programme in Greece agreed with the European Commission (EC) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 2010. It deals with adjustment measures that are front loaded and directly related to the household welfare: an increase in Value-Added Tax (VAT) and excise rates and a reduction in wages and pensions. Analysing these two effects reveals that the programme decreases the welfare of all households in Greece but that the adverse effects of the adjustment are mitigated in favour of the poor. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1071-1074 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1071-1074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pasquale Cirillo Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Cirillo Author-Name: Gabriele Tedeschi Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Tedeschi Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Title: The Boulogne fish market: the social structure and the role of loyalty Abstract: We examine the Boulogne wholesale fish market, analysing the structure of the trading network between sellers and buyers. Differently from other works in the literature, our analysis indicates a significant amount of ‘bilateral loyalty’ seller--buyer. Loyalty is from buyers to a few sellers as well as from sellers to a few buyers. We also show that loyalty has an impact on prices, discriminating among agents. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1075-1079 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1075-1079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Cassia Marchon Author-X-Name-First: Cassia Author-X-Name-Last: Marchon Title: Testing rationality of foreign exchange forecasts under flexible loss: survey evidence from Brazil Abstract: This study asks whether the Brazilian exchange rate (R$/US$) survey forecasts are rational under flexible loss. For 2001--2011, the forecasts overpredict. The bias in shorter-horizon forecasts is due to an inefficient use of information, while the bias in longer-horizon forecasts seems to reflect asymmetric loss. Further evidence indicates that the shorter-horizon (longer-horizon) forecasts are significantly less accurate than (as accurate as) those of the random walk. These forecasts, however, are not directionally accurate and are thus of no value to a user. The backward-looking nature of the forecasts may be due to reliance on simple forecasting rules (heuristics) since experts have great difficulty understanding the complex market dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1081-1084 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1081-1084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Wealth-to-income ratio, government bond yields and financial stress in the Euro Area Abstract: I show that when the ratio of asset wealth to human wealth, wy, falls, investors become more exposed to idiosyncratic shocks and demand a higher government bond risk premium. Using data for the Euro Area as a whole and conditioning the forecasting ability of wy on the financial stress conditions, one is able to track better future time-variation in risk premium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1085-1088 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1085-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renatas Kizys Author-X-Name-First: Renatas Author-X-Name-Last: Kizys Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Why do speculative bubbles gather steam? Some international evidence Abstract: We combined tests for speculative bubbles in stock markets with a cross-country regression framework to analyse whether economic and institutional variables can be identified that make speculative bubbles in stock markets more likely to occur. The list of variables that we found to have a significant effect on the probability that a speculative bubble arises includes an index of shareholder rights (with a negative sign), the share of assets of foreign-owned banks in total banking assets (with a positive sign) and the ratio of gross private saving to gross private disposable income (with a positive sign). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1089-1093 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1089-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Grade surprise and the decision to stay on into post-compulsory education Abstract: This article argues that an important influence on boys' decisions to stay on into post-compulsory education is the attainment of maths grades that differ from expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1095-1099 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1095-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seo Bin Hong Author-X-Name-First: Seo Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: A comment on survival of the hippest: life at the top of the hot 100 Abstract: Giles (2007) analysed the survival characteristics of musical recordings that reached ‘number one hit’ spot in the US popular music charts over the period 1955 to 2003. From the empirical analyses of data from the Billboard Hot 100 chart, he concluded that a number one hit's ‘life at the top’ is enhanced significantly if it is recorded by a female solo artist, if it is an instrumental piece or if it is able to ‘bounce back’ for a second spell. We found that, however, the data set he used contains a number of errors in it. In this article, we have corrected such errors and obtained the more reliable results about the survival characteristics of number one hit songs. In addition to these corrections, we have asked five new different questions to the corrected data set to investigate if there are any other survival characteristics that Giles (2007) did not indicate in his article. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1101-1105 Issue: 11 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:11:p:1101-1105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann L. Owen Author-X-Name-First: Ann L. Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: Brent Palmer Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Palmer Title: Macroeconomic conditions and technical trading profitability in foreign exchange markets Abstract: We simulated portfolios for a momentum trading strategy in the foreign exchange market and investigated the determinants of its profitability. We found that the profits exhibited a downward trend in all nine countries that we examined, but that this trend may be somewhat explained by declining exchange rate volatility and to a greater extent by declining rates of inflation. We did not find similar evidence about the effects of fiscal policy or openness. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1107-1110 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1107-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Nonlinear adjustment to purchasing power parity with flexible Fourier function in G-7 countries Abstract: This study applied the nonlinear Kapetanios et al. (2003) test with a Fourier function (capturing the smooth breaks) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the period January 1994 to April 2010. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for all the G-7 countries studied. Our results have important policy implications for the G-7 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1111-1116 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1111-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Further examples of the impact of skewness on the expected utility of a risk-averse agent Abstract: Recent literature contains numerous examples where researchers continue to assert that a positive third derivative of the utility function of a risk-averse agent implies a preference for skewness, ceteris paribus. The purpose in this letter is to provide some examples pertinent to occupational choice, the gambling literature and experimental work where the assertion is incorrect and an example relevant to experimental work where it is correct. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1117-1121 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1117-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Can the PPP stand on the BRICS? The ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: We apply a newly developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of BRICS countries (i.e. Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) over January 1996 to July 2010. The empirical results indicate that PPP only holds true for most of these countries under study, with the exception of Brazil. Our results have important policy implications for the BRICS countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1123-1127 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1123-1127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentino Dardanoni Author-X-Name-First: Valentino Author-X-Name-Last: Dardanoni Author-Name: Paolo Li Donni Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Donni Title: Reporting heterogeneity in health: an extended latent class approach Abstract: This article explores how individual socio-economic characteristics affect unobserved heterogeneity in self-reporting behaviour and health production using a multivariate finite mixture model. Results show a positive relationship between objective and subjective observable health indicators and true health and support the existence of self-reporting bias related to socio-economic characteristics and individual life styles. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1129-1133 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1129-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kjell Hausken Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Hausken Title: The economics of terrorism against two targets Abstract: A terrorist without capacity constraints attacks two independent targets. As the target defence efficiency decreases, the target first increases its defence, and thereafter decreases and eventually does not defend because of the high cost. With terrorist capacity constraints, targets become interdependent. The attack gets gradually shifted towards the most vulnerable target. When only the most vulnerable target is attacked, only the nonattacked target benefits relatively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1135-1138 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1135-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland Cheo Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Cheo Title: Gamblers hate inequality: evidence from China Abstract: Two gambles are presented in this article along with two treatments which allow us to test for inequality aversion without having to consider risk aversion. This work complements existing studies by extending it to the gambling environment. In gambling decisions made from a ‘losses from an initial endowment’ approach, we find that regardless of whether out-of-pocket losses are an issue, both Chinese male and female students bet less when they know that losses will be distributed to the winners of gambles with excessive winnings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1139-1142 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.581200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.581200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1139-1142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Reinstaller Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Reinstaller Author-Name: Fabian Unterlass Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Unterlass Title: Comparing business R&D across countries over time: a decomposition exercise using data for the EU 27 Abstract: This article develops a simple decomposition of Business R&D Expenditures (BERD) panel data and applies it to analyse the development of R&D intensities in the business sector in the EU 27 countries and important non-EU countries over time. The results show that changes in aggregate BERD figures are driven by ‘within’ and ‘between’ effects that differ considerably across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1143-1148 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.615724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.615724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1143-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter J. DaDalt Author-X-Name-First: Peter J. Author-X-Name-Last: DaDalt Author-Name: Bing-Xuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chen-Miao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Do derivatives affect the use of external financing? Abstract: We examine whether derivatives use reduces the utilization of external financing for a large sample of nonfinancial firms over the period 2002 to 2004. Using the measures of net external finance as discussed in Bradshaw et al. (2006), we find a negative association between corporate derivative use and the use of external financing. Further, we find the relationship is driven by differences in the use of debt, as opposed to equity financing. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1149-1152 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1149-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig A. Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: A note on the determinants of substance abuse spending Abstract: Although many studies have addressed policies directed towards the use of licit drugs, namely, alcohol and tobacco, less attention has been paid on policies affecting the use of illicit drugs. Accordingly, similar to studies of tobacco control spending, this article addresses the determinants of US state-level spending on substance abuse. Substance abuse spending is found to be higher in states with higher illicit drug use, as well as more rural states with higher per capita income, whose legislatures are controlled by Democrats. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1153-1156 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1153-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wenfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Oliver M. Rui Author-X-Name-First: Oliver M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rui Title: What drives regional differences in the stock market wealth effect in China? Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of stock market wealth effect across regions. Using panel data from China, we find that the stock market wealth effect is more prevalent in regions with more stockholders, regions in which households have higher levels of stock ownership and regions in which households have lower incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1157-1160 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1157-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Garvey Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Garvey Author-Name: Fei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Who cancels in electronic markets? Abstract: We study differences in trading between US equity market participants with high and low cancellation activity. Traders with high (low) cancellation rates are significant net suppliers (takers) of liquidity and, overall, less (more) informed about future prices. The findings suggest that recent US government considerations to impose a fee on traders who cancel often could, if enacted, adversely impact market liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1161-1164 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1161-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenkai Sun Author-X-Name-First: Wenkai Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Xianghong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xianghong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yean Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yean Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: How free do people feel to express their opinions? A study in urban China Abstract: This article reports the freedom of expression in China using a unique survey to urban residents in the provincial capital cities. The degree of freedom is measured by the respondents' openness about expressing their opinions about the society, the government and public policies. More than half of the people do not feel they can express their views freely. We examine how such freedom is related to the observed government actions and trust of others. We find that perceived corruption significantly inhibits individuals' freedom of expression, while the government's information transparency has a significant positive impact. Trust of other people and the government is positively related to the tendency to express one's opinions freely. We also report the impact of individual characteristics and the freedom of expression across cities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1165-1169 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1165-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfredo G. Esposto Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo G. Author-X-Name-Last: Esposto Title: Tort reform and caesarean deliveries Abstract: This study examines the effects of state-level, tort law reforms on the rate of caesarean deliveries in the United States. The central thesis focuses on the rate of caesarean deliveries as an indicator of defensive medicine and the role, if any, of legal reform. Specifically, if physicians reduce their level of defensive medicine in the wake of liability reforms, this will show up as a reduction in the share of births in which a caesarean section was used. I discover after analysing panel data reflecting the rate of caesarean deliveries by states and for the years 1987, 1990 and 1993 that differences in rate of caesarean deliveries are partially the result of state-level liability reforms. The results provide further evidence of the existence of defensive medicine and of the impact of the legal environment on physician's choice of medical procedures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1171-1174 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1171-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael A. Kortt Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kortt Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Author-Name: Simon Pervan Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Pervan Title: Religion and education: recent evidence from the United States Abstract: While there is evidence to suggest that education is positively related to religious activity, it is possible that education may be endogenous. We re-examine this relationship using the cumulative US General Social Survey (GSS) data file. While we observe a positive correlation between education and attendance at religious services, we find no evidence to support a causal inference. Moreover, while we observe a positive association between education and religious contributions, the possibility of causal connection cannot be dismissed. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1175-1178 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1175-1178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Fuleky Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Fuleky Title: On the choice of the unit period in time series models Abstract: When estimating the parameters of a process, researchers can choose the reference unit of time (unit period) for their study. Frequently, they set the unit period equal to the observation interval. However, I show that decoupling the unit period from the observation interval facilitates the comparison of parameter estimates across studies with different data sampling frequencies. If the unit period is standardized across these studies, then the parameters will represent the same attributes of the underlying process, and their interpretation will be independent of the sampling frequency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1179-1182 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1179-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Buehn Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Buehn Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Title: Smuggling illegal goods across the US--Mexico border: a political-economy perspective Abstract: We analyse the impact that political business cycles and party preferences have on smuggling illegal goods across the US--Mexico border during the years 1980--2004. We find that smuggling is significantly reduced prior to Congressional elections -- but only if the incumbent President is Republican. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1183-1187 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1183-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cinthia Barbosa Author-X-Name-First: Cinthia Author-X-Name-Last: Barbosa Author-Name: Cristiano M. Costa Author-X-Name-First: Cristiano M. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Bruno Funchal Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Funchal Title: The effects of privatization on the capital structure of Brazilian firms Abstract: This article investigates the effects of privatization under Brazil's National Privatization Program (PND) during the 1990s on companies' capital structure. Our model suggests that privatized firms increased their market leverage by 10--14% on average relative to the level before privatization. The effect of privatization on book leverage level was 8--12% on average. These results indicate a positive effect of the privatization process on the levels of leverage of privatized firms, as predicted by signalling and agency theories. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1189-1192 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1189-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jahyun Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jahyun Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Ivan Paya Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: David A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: The Bank of Korea's nonlinear monetary policy rule Abstract: A new test for nonlinear causality and also nonparametric procedures suggest significant nonlinearity in the implementation of the Taylor rule by the Bank of Korea (BOK). In particular, the response to the output gap appears nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1193-1202 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1193-1202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatih Cemil Ozbugday Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Cemil Author-X-Name-Last: Ozbugday Author-Name: Erik Brouwer Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwer Title: Competition law and profits: a dynamic panel data analysis for Dutch manufacturing firms Abstract: This article tests whether the transition from the old Economic Competition Act, which was based on the so-called ‘abuse system’, to the new Competition Act, which was based on ‘prohibition system’, in the Netherlands had an impact on the Price-Cost Margins (PCM) of manufacturing firms during the period 1993 to 2006. The results indicate that the transition from the old system to the new system, which was aimed at fostering competition, did not result in lower profits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1203-1206 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1203-1206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bob J. Barnes Author-X-Name-First: Bob J. Author-X-Name-Last: Barnes Title: The change in the CD rate--target federal funds rate linkage during the financial crisis Abstract: This study examines the target federal funds rate-Certificate of Deposit (CD) rate link over two time periods. The first period is 16 May 2000 to 31 July 2007 and the second is 1 August 2007 to 31 July 2009. August 2007 begins the initial stages of the financial crisis. A time-series analysis compares the two time periods. The results reveal a breakdown in the typical target--CD rate linkage in August 2007. For the 2-year period after August 2007 banks remained resilient to lower CD rates. This resiliency confirms the noted tightening of credit and bank uncertainty. During the 2-year period banks maintained firm CD rates as a way to attract funds in a period of growing uncertainty even with the target and other short-term rates falling. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1207-1211 Issue: 12 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:12:p:1207-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evren Erdoğan Coşar Author-X-Name-First: Evren Author-X-Name-Last: Erdoğan Coşar Title: Analysis of cyclical behaviour of investment expenditures for the Turkish economy Abstract: This article aims to analyse the cyclical behaviour of fixed investments in Turkey and then construct a Composite Leading Indicators Index (CLI) to forecast the turning points of investment. The cycles of investment and selected leading indicators are identified following the growth cycle approach. The series are detrended using the Hodrick--Prescott (HP) detrending filter. After identification of the cycles and turning points of the selected leading indicators, they are combined into a single composite index. Then a probit model is estimated to evaluate the forecast performance of the composite index. The results show that the constructed CLI is considered to be helpful in monitoring and predicting investment expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1213-1221 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.576995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.576995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1213-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiuqing Ji Author-X-Name-First: Xiuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Momentum profitability: the pre-CRSP evidence Abstract: There is tremendous interest and research on the existence and sources of momentum profitability. This article is the first to examine momentum strategy in the pre-Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) era. The results show that momentum is profitable during the period of 1815 to 1925. Moreover, the profits are negative in January and positive in non-January months. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1223-1226 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.613741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.613741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1223-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew J. Cassey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassey Title: An application of the Ricardian trade model with trade costs Abstract: Deardorff's (2004) broad definition of technology in Ricardian trade models is useful for extending the explanatory power of comparative advantage to account for a fact on firm level exporter clustering unexplained under the standard definition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1227-1230 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.617871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.617871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1227-1230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renuka Mahadevan Author-X-Name-First: Renuka Author-X-Name-Last: Mahadevan Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: Impact of socio-economic factors and social affiliation on living standards: a quantile regression approach Abstract: The influence of socio-economic factors and social affiliation on living standards is shown to be contingent on the living standard status of the household. This new result casts doubt on studies that use conditional mean regression analysis and the Oaxaca--Blinder decomposition analysis to study the impact of ‘characteristics’ and ‘structural’ components in areas such as poverty, health and labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1231-1236 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1231-1236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdurrahman Nazif Çatik Author-X-Name-First: Abdurrahman Nazif Author-X-Name-Last: Çatik Author-Name: Mehmet Karaçuka Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Karaçuka Title: The bank lending channel in Turkey: has it changed after the low-inflation regime? Abstract: In this article we aim to analyse the role of credit channel in the monetary transmission mechanism under different inflationary environments in Turkey covering the period from January 1986 to October 2009. Our results suggest that traditional interest rate channel is only valid for the post-inflation targeting period. This variable is also a more effective monetary policy tool in terms of its impacts on economic activity in both the regimes. Credit shocks itself have significant power on economic activity and prices. However, the effect of monetary shocks on credit volume is very limited, especially in the low-inflation regime. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1237-1242 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1237-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean M. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Sean M. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: Dan L. Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Dan L. Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Title: Patients' perceptions and treatment effectiveness: a reassessment using generalized maximum entropy Abstract: Recent research using Prospect Theory (PT) suggests that treatment history contributes to a frame of reference that introduces heterogeneity in patients' perceptions of how further treatment will improve their health status and carries over into an assessment of how effective the recent treatment was. Analysis using the Monotone Rank Estimator (MRE), a semi-parametric classical statistical technique that allows for heterogeneity across individual responses, supported this idea. This article checks whether the MRE results are accurate using an alternative technique, Generalized Maximum Entropy (GME), which more effectively incorporates heterogeneity through the assignment of support points (based on prior information) for the error term. The results are compared to those obtained previously with the MRE. In the new results, prior treatment outcomes do not appear to significantly affect patients' perceived outcomes for subsequent treatments, which contradicts the earlier findings. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1243-1248 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1243-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvo Dajcman Author-X-Name-First: Silvo Author-X-Name-Last: Dajcman Author-Name: Mejra Festic Author-X-Name-First: Mejra Author-X-Name-Last: Festic Author-Name: Alenka Kavkler Author-X-Name-First: Alenka Author-X-Name-Last: Kavkler Title: European stock market comovement dynamics during some major financial market turmoils in the period 1997 to 2010 -- a comparative DCC-GARCH and wavelet correlation analysis Abstract: This article examines the comovement dynamics between the developed European stock markets of the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Austria. After applying a Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (DCC-GARCH) and wavelet multiscale analysis on a daily return series for the period 1997 to 2010, we found that (1) comovements between stock market returns are time varying and scale dependent; (2) financial crisis in the observed period did not uniformly increase comovement between stock market returns across all scales; (3) the global financial crisis of 2007--2008 only slightly and temporarily increased the already high level of comovement between the observed stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1249-1256 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1249-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Title: Are central bank projections rational? Abstract: Central bank projections have gained considerable attention for monetary policy modelling. However, less is known about the nature of central bank projections. This letter explores the unbiasedness and rationality of more than 2000 growth and inflation projections published by 15 major central banks. The results indicate that central bank projections are rational and unbiased in most cases. Interestingly, inflation projections are more biased than growth projections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1257-1263 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1257-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Michael D'Antoni Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Michael Author-X-Name-Last: D'Antoni Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Testing dependence using copulas: the case of dual employment Abstract: Copulas are functions that parameterize the dependence between univariate marginal distribution functions to form a joint distribution function. Copulas provide a consistent procedure for testing dependence and guiding the choice of empirical model. In this study we use copulas to measure the dependence in labour supply by married farm couples. Using individual data our research provides an easy method that researchers can use to address the issues of dependence. The method outlined here reduces computational time and provides a more efficient method of testing dependence early in the investigative process. Unlike previous studies findings from this study show with robustness that labour supply decision of married farm couples is best modelled jointly. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1265-1269 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1265-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adalbert Mayer Author-X-Name-First: Adalbert Author-X-Name-Last: Mayer Title: The structure of social networks and labour market success Abstract: I use data on the complete Facebook networks of university students to test Granovetter's weak-ties hypothesis. I am not able to detect a relationship between the structure of a student's Facebook network and the initial employment outcomes. At the same time, I cannot reject Granovetter's weak-ties hypothesis. This nonfinding is consistent with prior research based on surveys of job search methods. These studies present some evidence for a connection between the use of weak ties in the job search process and the employment outcomes, but the results are sometimes not robust. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1271-1274 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1271-1274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra J. Huston Author-X-Name-First: Sandra J. Author-X-Name-Last: Huston Author-Name: Michael S. Finke Author-X-Name-First: Michael S. Author-X-Name-Last: Finke Author-Name: Hyrum Smith Author-X-Name-First: Hyrum Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: A financial sophistication proxy for the Survey of Consumer Finances Abstract: The Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) contains detailed US household balance sheet information and is frequently used to study outcomes in household finance. There is no variable that explicitly measures financial sophistication in the SCF. We propose a factor score composed of four questions that can serve as a proxy of financial sophistication to correct a possible important omitted variable bias. The results using the sophistication factor show how controlling for financial sophistication provides a more precise estimate of the marginal effects of control variables such as education and race. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1275-1278 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1275-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Author-Name: Connie Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Connie Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: Decomposing temporal changes in covariate contributions to wage inequality Abstract: This article provides counterfactual extensions to the Fields inequality decomposition framework and at the same time uses the nonparametric methodology in estimating bootstrap SEs and constructing confidence intervals. For methodological illustration, we decompose changes in schooling's inequality contribution into changes in attributes and returns using a simple counterfactual measure that combines return to schooling in a given year with the distributional characteristics of schooling in another year. Using data from the Philippine Labour Force Surveys (LFSs) in 1988 and 1995 and replication methodologies from Racine (2010), the results show that schooling's contribution to inequality in the Philippines is robust but has declined in 1995 relative to 1988. The decline in the said measure is due to the reduced variability of schooling achievement in 1995 but is mitigated by the rise in schooling returns in 1995. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1279-1283 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1279-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cassandro Maria Mendes Author-X-Name-First: Cassandro Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Mendes Author-Name: Sabino Porto Junior Author-X-Name-First: Sabino Porto Author-X-Name-Last: Junior Title: Deforestation, economic growth and corruption: a nonparametric analysis on the case of Amazon forest Abstract: This article aims to analyse the relationship between deforestation, corruption and economic growth. We focused our analysis on the Brazilian municipalities situated in the Amazon region. We used the cross-sectional data from 538 municipalities in the Legal Amazon area for the year 2004. We constructed the municipal corruption index based on the objective data delivered by the reports from Controladoria-Geral da União (CGU). We performed a nonparametric analysis, that is, we applied the Generalized Additive Model (GAM). We found statistically significant effects of the economic growth rate on the level of deforestation. However, the corruption seems to have no significant impact. Given the first results, we divided our data and analysed just the data from 25 municipalities from the states Pará and Matogrosso. In the second approach, corruption was statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1285-1291 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1285-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Scicchitano Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Scicchitano Title: The male--female pay gap across the managerial workforce in the United Kingdom: a semi-parametric decomposition approach Abstract: Using the last wave of the Community Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) survey, this article employs a semi-parametric decomposition method to examine the male--female pay gap over the entire conditional wage distribution of the managerial workforce in the United Kingdom. The results make clear a U-shaped pattern for the pay gap, thus showing both significant sticky floor and glass ceiling effects. The counterfactual decomposition also displays that the gap is mostly due to the difference in rewards, whose relative effect grows as we move to the upper quantiles of the whole wage distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1293-1297 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1293-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Statistical evidence on the mean reversion of real interest rates: SPSM using the Panel KSS test with a Fourier function Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) to test the mean reversion properties in the real interest rates for the G-10 countries (i.e. Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States) over the period 1980M1 to 2010M12. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary countries and a group of nonstationary countries. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results from the SPSM using the Panel Kapetanios et al. (KSS; 2003) test with a Fourier function indicate that the mean reversion holds true for all the G-10 countries. Our results have important policy implications for the G-10 countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1299-1304 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.619489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.619489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1299-1304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: A monetary approach to the exchange market pressure index under capital control Abstract: The conventional Exchange Market Pressure Index (EMPI), originated from Girton and Roper (1977) and popularized by Eichengreen et al. (1994, 1995) and Weymark (1995), uses weighted average of loss of foreign reserves and depreciation of local currency to capture foreign exchange market pressure. However, it does not take into account the effect of capital control on foreign exchange market pressure. With effective capital control, the conventional EMPI tends to under- or overestimate the actual foreign exchange market pressure, depending on the magnitude of capital control. We adopt a monetary approach to derive a formula for new EMPI under capital control. Then we test the difference between the old and the new EMPI with China's data. The result shows that the conventional EMPI overestimates the actual foreign exchange market pressure by 91% in average. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1305-1309 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.624079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.624079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1305-1309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: On a class of bi-polarization variance-based measurement: evidence from Cameroonian data Abstract: This article revisits one of the bi-polarization indices of the large class of Duclos--Estebane--Ray polarization measures. The relationship between polarization, inequality and poverty is analysed via the index. The preceding results are applied to study the Cameroonian household's consumption distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1311-1317 Issue: 13 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.626395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.626395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:13:p:1311-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elsa Cristina Vaz Author-X-Name-First: Elsa Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Vaz Title: Sectoral leadership in international competitiveness: the Portuguese case Abstract: The purpose of this article is to identify the type of labour and the sectors where labour productivity should be improved to elevate the international competitiveness of Portugal. A static multisectoral general equilibrium model, with multinational and single-country versions, is used. This model permits the identification of sectors that are leaders in competitiveness improvement. In some countries, traditional export sectors are expected to assume this role, whereas the suppliers of intermediate goods possess the potential to fulfil this function in other countries. The results of this study show that the choice of sector and the type of labour are crucial for improving the international competitiveness of the Portuguese economy. The criterion used to measure competitiveness also has an important role. Whereas multifactor productivity is especially increased when the promotion of labour competencies occurs in import and export sectors, population welfare has a greater impact, with the generalized improvement of unskilled labour competencies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1319-1330 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.624270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.624270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1319-1330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Humala Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Humala Author-Name: Gabriel Rodr�guez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr�guez Title: A factorial decomposition of inflation in Peru: an alternative measure of core inflation Abstract: A dynamic factorial decomposition model of inflation is estimated using Peruvian monthly data for January 1995--July 2008. This model allows the identification of changes in three relevant inflation components: idiosyncratic relative prices, aggregate relative prices and absolute prices. Furthermore, following Reis and Watson (2007), the model allows measuring pure inflation as the common factor in the inflation rate that has a proportionate effect to all prices and that is not correlated with relative-price changes at any period of time. This pure inflation estimate relates closely to standard measures of core inflation. The results are robust to different lag structures and various stochastic assumptions on the estimated factors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1331-1334 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.627207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.627207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1331-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umut Oguzoglu Author-X-Name-First: Umut Author-X-Name-Last: Oguzoglu Title: Is there a better measure of self-assessed disability? Abstract: Activity limitations and work limitations are often used interchangeably to proxy work disability. The findings of this article show that both definitions produce very similar estimates of disability effect on labour force participation if a two-step model is used to address the endogeneity of these self-assessed measures. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1335-1338 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.627208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.627208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1335-1338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guzin Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Guzin Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Author-Name: Haluk Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Measuring the persistence in trade patterns: the case for Turkey Abstract: We investigate whether the pattern of Turkish trade has a persistent nature or is dynamic, by considering 5-digit Rev.3 trade data for the period 1969 to 2001 and investigating whether their distribution between sectors which are in surplus, in balance or in deficit, has shown persistence over time. The tools we use involve classifying the sectors as surplus, balance and deficit sectors and constructing a 3 × 3 contingency table, indicating whether sectors that, say, showed a surplus at the beginning of a period remained surplus sectors at the end of the period or moved into the balance and deficit categories, testing whether the beginning pattern is independent of the pattern at the end of a period and constructing histograms regarding the distribution of how long the sectors have been showing surpluses over the period. We used these tools on Turkish trade for the full 1969 to 2001 period and for two (1969 to 1979, 1980 to 2001) and three (1969 to 1979, 1980 to 1996, 1997 to 2001) subperiods. We conclude that when one considers long enough periods, the pattern of Turkish foreign trade has a very dynamic nature, and it appears safe to say that this dynamic nature shows itself in the post-1980 period. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1339-1348 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.628288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.628288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1339-1348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena D'Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: D'Agostino Author-Name: Emiliano Sironi Author-X-Name-First: Emiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Sironi Author-Name: Giuseppe Sobbrio Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Sobbrio Title: Lawyers and legal disputes. Evidence from Italy Abstract: We test the hypothesis that, being clients not fully informed on the expected benefit from fulfilling the disputes and being incentives of lawyers not aligned to those of their clients, the demand for legal disputes in Italy is induced. This hypothesis finds empirical support for a sample of Italian legal districts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1349-1352 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.628289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.628289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1349-1352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Steven T. Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven T. Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Alcohol consumption by individuals in the United States: a sample selection approach Abstract: We investigate the socio-economic determinants of alcohol consumption in the United States with a Sample Selection Model (SSM). The dependent variable is log-transformed that facilitates the estimation of the model. In addition, marginal effects of explanatory variables are calculated in both SSM and Two-Part Model (TPM). Our results suggest that the use of proper marginal effect formulae is important, and that the socio-economic variables play important roles in alcohol consumption. The probability of drinking decreases with age, income and education. Men are more likely to drink and drink more than women. Marriage decreases drinking, and drinking are more likely to occur on weekends. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1353-1358 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.628290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.628290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1353-1358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Buchholz Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Buchholz Author-Name: Cesar Cupertino Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Cupertino Author-Name: Roberto Meurer Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Meurer Author-Name: Andre Portela Santos Author-X-Name-First: Andre Portela Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Author-Name: Newton Da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Newton Author-X-Name-Last: Da Costa Title: The market reaction to changes in the Brazilian official interest rate Abstract: This study is aimed at investigating the effects of monetary policymaking on the short-term and long-term interest rates for the Brazilian economy for the period August 1999 to March 2011. It is shown that the reversal of the current account deficit and the alleviation of political uncertainties in 2003 affect the impact of monetary policy on market interest rates. In particular, it is observed that surprises in policymaking are substantially reduced after the macroeconomic and political stability. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1359-1364 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1359-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Chameni Nembua Author-X-Name-First: C. Chameni Author-X-Name-Last: Nembua Title: Inequality factor decomposition under uniform additions property with applications to Cameroonian rural data Abstract: In this article, we generalize and extend the Morduch and Sicular's (2002) Coefficient of Variation (CV)-squared decomposition approach. This leads to a class of decomposition methods which satisfy the uniform additions principle, especially in the case of the Gini index. The regression-based method using the new formulations of component contributions is carried out. An application using Cameroonian data is provided to support the appropriateness of the procedure and to contrast our results to those of Morduch and Sicular. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1365-1371 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1365-1371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Andrew Fenrick Author-X-Name-First: Steven Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Fenrick Author-Name: Lullit Getachew Author-X-Name-First: Lullit Author-X-Name-Last: Getachew Title: Estimation of the effects of price and billing frequency on household water demand using a panel of Wisconsin municipalities Abstract: A demand function of residential water consumption is developed from a 1997 to 2006 panel of 200 Wisconsin water utilities. A double-log functional form is assumed and parameters are estimated using a random effects model. The results suggest that the price is inelastic yet negative and statistically significant and this elasticity response grows stronger as the marginal price level is increased. Additionally, the model reveals water savings due to monthly billing and also the annual water savings from technology adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1373-1380 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1373-1380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinfeng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jinfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Shancun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shancun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A method to overcome the numerical difficulties in PIN estimation Abstract: The Probability of Information (PIN)-based trading introduced by Easley et al. (1996, 2002) has been adopted to address a variety of issues in empirical finance. To obtain PIN using numerical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) from transaction data, one may suffer from the numerical overflow or underflow problems which are more pronounced for active stocks than for inactive stocks. As buy and sell orders increase, more and more stocks fall into the category for which the PIN estimation simply falls. Based on the round-off error in digital computing, this article proposes a recipe to eradicate such numerical difficulties, which sheds light on heavily traded stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1381-1384 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.629978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.629978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1381-1384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean P. Sepúlveda Author-X-Name-First: Jean P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sepúlveda Title: On the relationship between concentration and competition: evidence from the Chilean private pension system Abstract: I use Panzar and Rosse (1987) methodology to estimate the degree of competition among Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) in the Chilean private pension system for the period 1996 to 2008. The results indicate that the industry can be described as a cartel (or monopoly) during this period. There is evidence that in this industry there is a negative, and statistically significant, correlation between concentration and competition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1385-1389 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1385-1389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali K. Malik Author-X-Name-First: Ali K. Author-X-Name-Last: Malik Title: A comparison of equilibrium under alternative monetary policy rules Abstract: We evaluate the Taylor rule and the nominal income-targeting rule at alternative horizons, along the dimension of determinacy and E-stability of the rational expectations equilibrium. We use the New Keynesian model frequently used as a benchmark model for the evaluation of alternative monetary policy rules in the recent literature, for this purpose. Evaluating the two policy rules along this dimension, our results clearly prefer the Taylor rule over the nominal income-targeting rule. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1391-1399 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1391-1399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathleen Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Kathleen Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Author-Name: Philip L. Hersch Author-X-Name-First: Philip L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hersch Title: Inter-board pay differentials for directors with multiple appointments Abstract: We analyse uniformity in the market's valuation of director human capital by comparing director compensation across firms with and without director overlaps. We find that although there is less variation in director compensation for connected boards, which share a common director, than for unrelated boards, there remains a high variation in director compensation for directors with multiple directorships. We also find that active Chief Executive Officers (CEOs), on average, command higher total director compensation in subsequent board appointments. This result holds for appointments where the individual already holds two or more directorships and is counter to the prediction of a busy director effect. Overall, our evidence suggests that active CEOs are high-quality directors or have a high disutility of additional board work and are able to command higher compensation when added to subsequent boards. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1401-1404 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1401-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman V. Loayza Author-X-Name-First: Norman V. Author-X-Name-Last: Loayza Author-Name: Naotaka Sugawara Author-X-Name-First: Naotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Sugawara Title: Would liberalization lead to epidemic cocaine consumption? Abstract: This article uses cross-country data to estimate the potential effect of drastic reductions in the price of cocaine on the share of the population that consumes this drug. In order to identify movements along the cocaine consumption/demand function, this article instruments for cocaine prices with variables that affect the supply of cocaine. Liberalization of drug policies would produce an increase in the prevalence of cocaine consumption. However, the quantitative evidence presented here suggests that, even if substantial, this increase would not amount to epidemic cocaine use. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1405-1409 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1405-1409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil Malhotra Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Malhotra Author-Name: Edmund Helmer Author-X-Name-First: Edmund Author-X-Name-Last: Helmer Title: Inflation in weekend box office estimates Abstract: Do movie studios inflate box office estimates that they report every Sunday? Is the pattern of this inflation consistent with the studios’ strategic incentives? Analysing actual and estimated box office returns of major movie releases between 2003 and 2010, we find that movie studios substantially overestimate weekend box office performance and that this overestimation is highly unlikely to be due to chance. Our findings also suggest that box office inflation is strategic because (1) inflation is substantially higher in the first weekend of release when the incentives are greatest to generate positive word of mouth and (2) inflation for the top two films in a weekend increases with the degree of competition between the films. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1411-1415 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1411-1415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moritz Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Moritz Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Edward J. O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward J. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Weak instruments in estimating business cycle effects on banks' interest income Abstract: This article explores the link between the real business cycle and core bank earnings. Using bank-level data and an estimation technique which corrects for weak instruments, evidence confirms that pre-provision Net Interest Income (NII) is determined by the term structure of interest rates rather than output fluctuations. Output growth is only found to be significant when Loan-Loss Provisions (LLP) are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1417-1420 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1417-1420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory A. Gilpin Author-X-Name-First: Gregory A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gilpin Author-Name: Anton Bekkerman Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Bekkerman Title: Cost-effective hiring in US high schools: estimating optimal teacher quantity and quality decisions Abstract: Extensive literature has shown that student attainment outcomes are affected by student-to-teacher ratios and overall teacher aptitude levels, but offers little information about which method offers the greatest student attainment return relative to associated costs. This study provides empirical evidence that staffing policies should consider the cost-effectiveness of teacher-hiring decisions when multiple education policies are effective. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1421-1424 Issue: 14 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:14:p:1421-1424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Agnello Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Agnello Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: How do banking crises impact on income inequality? Abstract: We show that banking crises have an important effect on income distribution: inequality increases before banking crisis episodes and sharply declines afterwards. We also find that, while a large government size does not per se seem to reduce inequality, a rise in financial depth (i.e. better access to credit provided by the banking sector) contributes to a more equal distribution of income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1425-1429 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1425-1429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroki Uematsu Author-X-Name-First: Hiroki Author-X-Name-Last: Uematsu Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Rebekah Rachel Powell Author-X-Name-First: Rebekah Rachel Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: An alternative method to estimate income variance in cross-sectional data Abstract: A popular approach to estimating income variance in cross-sectional data is to use an aggregate method by categorizing sample observations into arbitrarily formed groups, taking into account some socio-economic attributes. This study proposes an alternative technique that can be used to estimate income variance from cross-sectional data. Results indicate that this multiplicative heteroskedastic feasible least squares estimation procedure is consistent and efficient, consumes less time and requires less manipulation of data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1431-1436 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1431-1436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: Mark Fergusson Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Mark Fergusson Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Movies and holidays: the empirical relationship between movies and tourism Abstract: Governments around the world believe that tourism will increase if locations within their nations are featured in films. Money and other inducements are often offered to moviemakers to encourage them to shoot within a particular constituency. This article finds a positive and statistically significant relationship between successful films and tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1437-1440 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1437-1440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Title: Can L-moments beat central moments in modelling risk? An empirical analysis Abstract: This article applies a new statistical moment, Trimmed L-comoment, in modelling Expected Shortfall (ES) and exploits an empirical study on China's stock markets. In comparison with existing models, out-of-sample forecasts and backtests indicate superior accuracy and precision for the models based on Trimmed L-comoments, especially to those based on central moments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1441-1447 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.631889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.631889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1441-1447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Author-Name: Qijia Wei Author-X-Name-First: Qijia Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The Taylor rule and house price uncertainty Abstract: The aim of this article is to determine whether house price uncertainty has been an important determinant of the Taylor rule-based interest rate during the years leading up to the financial crisis. A Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-based specification has been used to produce a time-varying measure of volatility, and the results indicate that it has had a significant negative effect on the interest rate, but that its addition only produces a slightly better fit to the actual interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1449-1453 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1449-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce A. Rayton Author-X-Name-First: Bruce A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rayton Author-Name: Konstantinos Georgiadis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Georgiadis Title: Workplace self-selection into Investors in People Abstract: This article estimates the effect of the Investors in People Standard on training while controlling for self-selection. Our results show that high-training workplaces self-select into Investors in People and question the value of the Standard for promoting training. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1455-1458 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1455-1458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Paichou Huang Author-X-Name-First: Paichou Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The Gramm--Leach--Bliley Act: optimal interest margin effects of commercial bank expansion into insurance underwriting Abstract: We examine the optimal bank interest margin effects of the Gramm--Leach--Bliley Act (GLBA), particularly allowing commercial banks to engage in insurance underwriting. This article models bank equity explicitly integrating the Down-and-Out Call (DOC) option of insurance underwriting with the standard call option of commercial banking activities. We conclude that commercial banks may not appear to benefit from broader product mix when the expansion of insurance underwriting is relatively large scale or insurance asset quality is relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1459-1463 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1459-1463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Ryeol Author-X-Name-Last: Kurz-Kim Title: Early warning indicator for financial crashes using the log periodic power law Abstract: In this article, we apply the Log Periodic Power Law (LPPL), introduced by Johansen et al. (2000), for capturing the recent stock market crash in the German stock index (Deutscher Aktien Index, DAX). The contribution of this article consists not only in describing the historical crash by the LPPL, but also in demonstrating how the LPPL can be used as an early warning indicator for financial crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1465-1469 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1465-1469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Bárcena-Mart�n Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bárcena-Mart�n Author-Name: Santiago Budr�a Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Budr�a Author-Name: Ana I. Moro-Egido Author-X-Name-First: Ana I. Author-X-Name-Last: Moro-Egido Title: Skill mismatches and wages among European university graduates Abstract: This article uses comparable international data to examine the extent and wage effects of skill mismatches among European university graduates. The results show that the mismatched earn on average 11.7% less than their well-matched counterparts. This effect, however, cannot be regarded as constant across the conditional earnings distribution: workers with lower unobserved earnings capacity tend to be exposed to greater wage losses when they end up in mismatched jobs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1471-1475 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.633886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.633886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1471-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda S. Ghent Author-X-Name-First: Linda S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghent Author-Name: Alan P. Grant Author-X-Name-First: Alan P. Author-X-Name-Last: Grant Title: Estimating the extent of cross-border lottery shopping: evidence from South Carolina Abstract: The South Carolina Education Lottery (SCEL) began selling tickets in 2001. Early studies indicate significant cross-border shopping, especially in counties bordering North Carolina (NC), which created its own lottery in 2006. We examine the impact of the North Carolina Education Lottery (NCEL) on sales of lottery tickets in South Carolina (SC). We find that the introduction of the NCEL coincides with a significant drop in lottery sales in SC counties bordering NC. By creating its own lottery, NC successfully redirected the flow of lottery dollars to its own coffers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1477-1481 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1477-1481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuki Toyoshima Author-X-Name-First: Yuki Author-X-Name-Last: Toyoshima Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Panel cointegration analysis of co-movement between interest rate swap and treasury markets Abstract: Extending Ito's (2009) analysis, this article investigates the co-movement between interest rate swaps and treasury markets by using the panel cointegration tests developed by Maddala and Wu (1999). Empirical results show that there exists a single cointegration relationship between the swap rates and treasury rates for all maturities. The cointegration vector for the 2-, 3- and 4-year maturities is 1, showing that a 1% increase in the treasury rates will lead to a 1% increase in the swap rates. On the other hand, in the 5-, 7- and 10-year maturities, the cointegration vector is found to be more than 1, implying that a 1% increase in the treasury rates will lead to a more than 1% increase in the swap rates. Thus, a rise (decline) in the treasury rates is associated with a rise (decline) in the swap spread. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1483-1486 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1483-1486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Laura Lamb Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Lamb Title: Does the effectiveness of tax incentives on the decision to give charitable donations vary across donation sectors in Canada? Abstract: This article explores the effectiveness of tax incentives on the decision to make a charitable donation in Canada and extends the analysis to compare the effectiveness of tax incentives across different types of giving. The data set employed is the 2007 Canada Survey of Giving, Volunteering and Participating (CSGVP), which is analysed using probit and probit selection models. The results imply that public policy can be used to influence the likelihood of making a donation in general and that the degree of influence varies across different donation sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1487-1491 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1487-1491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: A. K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: A. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: R. Powell Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: A Gourmet's delight: CAViaR and the Australian stock market Abstract: Value at Risk (VaR) is the metric adopted by the Basel Accords for banking industry internal control and regulatory reporting. This has focused attention on the measuring, estimating and forecasting of lower tail risk. Engle and Manganelli (2004) developed the conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR) model using quantile regression to calculate VaR. In this article we apply their model to Australian stock market indices and a sample of stocks, and test the efficacy of four different specifications of the model in a set of in-sample and out-of-sample tests. We also contrast the results with those obtained from a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH(1,1)) model, the RiskMetrics™ model (Morgan, 1996) and an Asymmetric Power Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (APARCH) model. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1493-1498 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.636017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.636017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1493-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: US residential electricity consumption: the effect of states' pursuit of energy efficiency policies Abstract: This empirical note seeks to provide evidence identifying key factors that have influenced the per residential customer consumption of electricity in the United States during recent years, with particular emphasis on the degree to which each state has pursued energy efficiency policies. This preliminary empirical analysis takes the form of Panel Two-Stage Least Squares (P2SLS) estimations. State-level data are adopted for the 4-year period from 2002 through 2005. The P2SLS findings indicate that the consumption of electricity per residential customer is an increasing function of the annual number of cooling degree days, the real personal disposable income and the real price of natural gas, as well as the maximum electricity generation capacity, while being a decreasing function of the real unit price of electricity, the extent of usage of natural gas for residential heating and the degree to which each state has pursued energy efficiency policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1499-1503 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1499-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Berlemann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Berlemann Author-Name: Kai Hielscher Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Hielscher Title: Output sensitivity of monetary policy and macroeconomic performance Abstract: Employing dynamic panel estimation techniques we derive an empirical measure of central banks' degree of output sensitivity. When relating this measure to macroeconomic outcome variables, we find that a decrease in output sensitivity results in larger business-cycle movements and higher medium-term inflation uncertainty. However, the level of inflation is decreased and the output gap is increased. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1505-1509 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1505-1509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaus Bartzsch Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaus Author-X-Name-Last: Bartzsch Author-Name: Gerhard Rösl Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Rösl Author-Name: Franz Seitz Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Seitz Title: A simple way to capture currency abroad Abstract: In this article, we analyse the volume of euro banknotes issued by Germany that circulate abroad. Inferences are drawn from a coin model. Our approach suggests that foreign demand has increased since 2002. At the end of 2009 nearly 50%, the equivalent of €170 billion, is held outside the euro area. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1511-1514 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1511-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan Faruq Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Faruq Title: Multinational presence and the export participation of local firms in Ghana Abstract: This article examines whether the presence of multinationals affects the export participation of local firms in the same industry using data on manufacturing firms in Ghana. We find robust evidence consistent with the idea of spillovers from multinationals to Ghanaian exporters. We also observe that larger firms and firms that exported in the past are more likely to export. Our results remain unchanged after we control for potential spillovers from other exporters. These results have useful implications for both Ghana's trade and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1515-1519 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1515-1519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai S. Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Foreign direct investment, labour unionization and income inequality of Korea Abstract: The Korean economy has witnessed significant expansion of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows and decrease in labour unionization ratio. This article analyses their effect on income inequality during 1982--2008. The small sample cointegration test and the error correction model confirm the existence of cointegration among the concerned variables. The error correction model shows that the increasing values of FDI inflows and the decreasing labour unionization ratio have led to deterioration in income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1521-1524 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1521-1524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sriram Shankar Author-X-Name-First: Sriram Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Estimates of the long-run growth rate of Singapore with a CES production function Abstract: This article estimates using the Bayesian methods a Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) production function for Singapore for 1960--2009. It is found that the elasticity of substitution is 0.6, technical progress is labour augmenting and the Steady-State Growth Rate (SSGR) of Singapore is about 1.8%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1525-1530 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1525-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Pei-Long Shen Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Lin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Real interest rate parity in East Asian countries based on China with nonlinear threshold unit-root test Abstract: This study applies nonlinear threshold unit-root test to assess the nonstationary properties of the Real Interest Rate Parity (RIRP) for 10 East Asian countries relative to China. We find that nonlinear threshold unit-root test has higher power than linear method suggested by Caner and Hansen (2001) if the true Data-Generating Process (DGP) of real interest rate convergence is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of RIRP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence that clearly indicates that RIRP holds true for eight countries in this region. It implies that the choices and effectiveness of the monetary and fiscal policies in the East Asian economies will be highly influenced by external factors originating from China. Also, our findings point out their real interest rate convergence relative to China is mean reversion towards RIRP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1531-1536 Issue: 15 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:15:p:1531-1536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alenka Kavkler Author-X-Name-First: Alenka Author-X-Name-Last: Kavkler Author-Name: Darja Boršič Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Boršič Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Title: PPP in Central and Eastern European economies: further evidence from panel unit root tests Abstract: The question of the validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis in European transition countries remains relevant and empirically unsettled. This article aims to contribute to this debate by using an updated monthly database on real exchange rates for 12 Central and Eastern European economies. We implemented a range of panel unit root tests characterized by the rejection of the cross-sectional independence hypothesis and taking the US Dollar (USD) and the euro as numeraire currencies separately into account in the testing procedures. The results reported in this study provide additional evidence supporting the PPP proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1543-1548 Issue: 16 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.637891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.637891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:16:p:1543-1548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: Exchange-rate forecasts and asymmetric loss: empirical evidence for the yen/dollar exchange rate Abstract: We used the yen/dollar exchange-rate forecasts of the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) poll to analyse whether exchange-rate forecasters have an asymmetric loss function. To this end, we applied an approach recently developed by Elliott et al. (2005). We found that only few forecasters seem to form forecasts under an asymmetric loss function. For some forecasters, accounting for the asymmetry of their loss function makes their forecasts look rational. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1759-1763 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.659338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.659338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1759-1763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hajizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hajizadeh Author-Name: Luke Brian Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Luke Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Author-Name: James Robert Gerard Butler Author-X-Name-First: James Robert Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Butler Title: Health policy and horizontal inequities of health-care utilization in Australia: 1983--2005 Abstract: We used five National Health Surveys (NHSs) in order to measure horizontal inequity (equal health care for equal need) in health-care utilization in Australia over five time points from 1983 to 2005. The direct standardization method was used to estimate the horizontal inequity indices for six measures of health-care utilization. The results suggest that the distributions of General Practitioner (GP) services and any physician visits in Australia were generally pro-poor, whereas the distributions of specialist visits, dentist visits and any ambulatory visits were pro-rich. The computed indices demonstrate that the introduction of Medicare in 1984 had a pro-poor effect on the utilization of GPs, any physician visits and any ambulatory visits. In contrast, the implementation of Private Health Insurance (PHI) policies over the period 1997 to 2000 had a pro-rich effect on the distribution of health-care utilization in recent years, but this finding is based on the assumption that PHI policies affected health-care consumption in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1765-1775 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.659337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.659337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1765-1775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Ding Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does inflation targeting matter for PPP? An empirical investigation Abstract: This article examines whether Inflation Targeting (IT) matters for long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). For this purpose, we formally assess the evidence on PPP for a panel of 19 countries using two price indices and two panel unit root tests with cross-sectional dependence. The empirical results show that IT plays an important role in providing favourable evidence for long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1777-1780 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.659336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.659336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1777-1780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Siyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Siyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Dongxiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Purchasing power parity -- nonlinear threshold unit root test for transition countries Abstract: This study applies the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model proposed by Caner and Hansen (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) of eight transition countries over the period January 1995 to October 2011. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds true for only one country (i.e. Romanian) under study and the adjustment towards PPP is found to be nonlinear. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1781-1785 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.654905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.654905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1781-1785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco J. Callado-Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Francisco J. Author-X-Name-Last: Callado-Muñoz Author-Name: Jana Hromcová Author-X-Name-First: Jana Author-X-Name-Last: Hromcová Author-Name: Natalia Utrero-González Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Utrero-González Title: Transformation of payment systems: the case of European Union enlargement Abstract: In this article, we analyse how the accession to an economic and monetary union and the influence of new institutions may shape consumers' payment decisions in newly acceded countries. Our analysis focuses on the 2004 European Union (EU) enlargement process. Results confirm the prediction of theoretical models about the relevance of economic development, institutional environment and payment infrastructure in retail payment system decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1787-1791 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.654908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.654908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1787-1791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam J. Hoffer Author-X-Name-First: Adam J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffer Author-Name: Adam Pellillo Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Pellillo Title: The political economy of tobacco control spending Abstract: This article investigates why some US states spend so comparatively little on Tobacco Control Funding (TCF). We find that cross-state variation in spending on tobacco control is significantly driven by a tobacco special interest effect. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1793-1797 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1793-1797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura H. Atuesta Author-X-Name-First: Laura H. Author-X-Name-Last: Atuesta Author-Name: Dusan Paredes Araya Author-X-Name-First: Dusan Author-X-Name-Last: Paredes Araya Title: A spatial cost of living index for Colombia using a microeconomic approach and censored data Abstract: This article describes a methodology to calculate a Spatial Cost of Living (SCOL) index using the Colombian data for 2006 that considers the microeconomic behaviour of households. Estimating an Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) to recover the expenditure function of the 23 main Colombian cities, the index is compared to the fixed basket approach and to an alternative methodology proposed by Romero (2005). This comparison suggests that the index is biased when the substitution effects are not considered, and this bias increases when the difference in expenditure levels between cities increases. According to our calculations, Bogota is still the most expensive city in the country. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1799-1805 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1799-1805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradeepa Malkanthi Korale-Gedara Author-X-Name-First: Pradeepa Malkanthi Author-X-Name-Last: Korale-Gedara Author-Name: Shyama Ratnasiri Author-X-Name-First: Shyama Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnasiri Author-Name: Jayatilleke Bandara Author-X-Name-First: Jayatilleke Author-X-Name-Last: Bandara Title: Soaring food prices and food security: Does the income effect matter? Abstract: While the existing literature on rising food prices in recent years has mainly focused on the causes and calculating the number of people falling below the poverty line in developing countries, less attention has been paid to rising food prices and food security in terms of calorie intake. The main objective of this study is to fill this gap using a case study of a developing country, Sri Lanka. In this study, we estimate the change in individual calorie intake associated with food inflation using the Stone--Geary utility function. The impact at national level is assessed using a calorie intake distribution curve. The results demonstrate that the percentage of undernourished population in Sri Lanka is expected to rise rapidly with food inflation on the basis that there is no income increase during the period under consideration. However, the rise in undernourished population is remarkably low when the income effect is taken into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1807-1811 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1807-1811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Marius Eikseth Author-X-Name-First: Hans Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Eikseth Author-Name: Snorre Lindset Author-X-Name-First: Snorre Author-X-Name-Last: Lindset Title: Are taxes sufficient for CAPM rejection? Abstract: From simulated data, we infer that heterogeneous asset taxes may contribute towards rejection of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1813-1816 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1813-1816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Empirical evidence on the effectiveness of environmental taxes Abstract: The aim of this study is to determine whether environmental taxes affect levels of pollution and energy consumption. Using a panel of European Union (EU) members and Norway, there is a significant negative relationship between environmental taxes and pollution, but no relationship between environmental taxes and energy consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1817-1820 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.650324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.650324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1817-1820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth Abstract: We use a panel of developed and emerging countries for the period 1970 to 2008 to assess how fiscal policy volatility and financial crises affect growth. We find that economic growth is lower in the presence of more volatile fiscal policy. Moreover, with a financial crisis government spending is stickier than revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1821-1826 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1821-1826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Marzo Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Marzo Author-Name: Paolo Zagaglia Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zagaglia Title: Trading directions and the pricing of Euro interbank deposits in the long run Abstract: We investigate the relation between aggregate trading imbalances and interest rates in the Euro money market. We use data for OTC contracts as well as information from the major electronic trading platform in Europe to study the presence of cointegration between trading pressures and money market rates. We report strong evidence of a long-term linear relation between trading imbalances and liquidity prices for Euro interbank deposits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1827-1839 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.663467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.663467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1827-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Author-Name: Abu Jamal Author-X-Name-First: Abu Author-X-Name-Last: Jamal Author-Name: Tanweer Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: The impact of foreign participation on stock prices in the United States Abstract: Using a standard demand--supply model, this study investigates the relationship between foreign participation in the equity market and stock prices, incorporating the effects of inflation and the demographic structure. The results show that while foreign participation in the equity market and the proportion of population in their prime earning age have a positive impact, inflation has a negative impact on stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1841-1845 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1841-1845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Berck Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Berck Author-Name: Jonathan Lipow Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lipow Title: Trade, tariffs and terrorism Abstract: Insurgencies and terrorist activities are often dependent on foreign sources of funding. When this is the case, trade barriers such as import tariffs can prove to be an effective means of combating violence and enhancing social welfare. In this article, we identify the optimal tariff for a country facing an externally financed insurgency. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1847-1849 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1847-1849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Author-Name: Alenka Kavkler Author-X-Name-First: Alenka Author-X-Name-Last: Kavkler Author-Name: Darja Boršič Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Boršič Title: PPP and nonlinearity of real exchange rates: new evidence from transition economies Abstract: In this article, we investigate the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) concept by utilizing a database of monthly real exchange rates from 12 Central and Eastern European economies with respect to different numeraire currencies. Owing to the elaborated limitations of linear specifications by verifying this exchange rate theory, we apply a nonlinear unit root test based on the Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model proposed by Kapetanios et al. (KSS; 2003). Our analysis shows that after taking into account the nonlinear reversion of real exchange rates of European transition economies with respect to the euro, the validity of PPP is confirmed for the majority of countries in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1851-1855 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1851-1855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Lovaton Davila Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Lovaton Davila Author-Name: Inhyuck “Steve” Ha Author-X-Name-First: Inhyuck “Steve” Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Samuel L. Myers Author-X-Name-First: Samuel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Title: Affirmative action retrenchment in public procurement and contracting Abstract: This article provides estimates of the impacts of a race-neutral programme called an Emerging Small Business Enterprise (ESBE) Programme in New Jersey in 2003--2004 on women- and minority-owned contractors. We show that although women- and minority-owned firms conceptually benefit from ESBE set-asides, they do not benefit as much as non-Disadvantaged Business Enterprises (DBEs), resulting in a reduced share of total contract dollars awarded to DBEs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1857-1860 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.654906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.654906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1857-1860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: Dan-Olof Rooth Author-X-Name-First: Dan-Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Rooth Title: Revealing taste-based discrimination in hiring: a correspondence testing experiment with geographic variation Abstract: The standard Correspondence Testing Experiment (CTE) does not identify whether employer prejudice, as opposed to statistical discrimination, drives discriminatory behaviour when hiring. This article proposes a new methodology using geographic variation to explore the link between employer attitudes towards ethnic minorities and the ethnic difference in callbacks for a job interview. Using already existing Swedish data we find that a randomly selected employer is more likely to discriminate against a minority job applicant in regions where the average employer has more negative attitudes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1861-1864 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1861-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Author-Name: L. Kelly Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: Measuring economic conditions: an extension of the Stock/Watson methodology Abstract: This study develops an economic indicator tailored to measure economic conditions at the state level by recognizing that a state's economy is an integrated part of the region and responds to both regional and national economic outlooks. This article applies our methodology to the state of Rhode Island. In the case of Rhode Island, the addition of a regional economic indicator appears to make a significant improvement over the Federal Reserve Bank (FED) of Philadelphia coincident index. Therefore, this preliminary study indicates that it is worthwhile to expand this project to include all 50 states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1865-1869 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1865-1869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdoul G. Sam Author-X-Name-First: Abdoul G. Author-X-Name-Last: Sam Author-Name: Stanley R. Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Stanley R. Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Country of origin advertising and US demand of imported wine: an empirical analysis Abstract: We investigate the impact of media advertising on the US consumption of imported wine. Panel data from six countries over 15 years (1994--2008) are used to estimate an aggregate demand function for US wine imports. Our empirical analysis reveals evidence of important effects of advertising of domestic and imported wines on imported quantities; the advertising of imported wines significantly increases the quantity of imports for most countries while the advertising of domestic wines has a mixed effect on imported wine volumes. Other determinants such as price and real income are also found significant. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1871-1877 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1871-1877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shishu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shishu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Gregory J. Soukup Author-X-Name-First: Gregory J. Author-X-Name-Last: Soukup Title: Analysis of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey and the impact of family structure on children's well-being in the United States Abstract: Different family structures can significantly impact the well-being of children. From 1980 to 2008, reported births to unwed mothers in the United States rose from 18.4% to 40.6% and children in single-parent households in the United States increased from 19.5% to 29.5%. The Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) (2001--2005) collected data on 13 582 American children 5--19 years old. A multiple-regression analysis tested for differences regarding family structure and income and the MEPS results on physical health, mental health, Body Mass Index (BMI) and class attendance. Level of significance for the study was p > 0.05. Children from single-mother households had significantly higher absentee rates than children from single-father households. Children from single-father families had significantly better rates of well-being when compared to single-mother families in general by income level. Children from higher income households had significantly better rates of mental and physical health and lower BMI and absentee rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1879-1883 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1879-1883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandro Garcia Duarte Peixoto Author-X-Name-First: Sandro Garcia Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Peixoto Author-Name: Fabiana Fontes Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Fontes Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Marislei Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Marislei Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Author-Name: Fernando Antonio Slaibe Postali Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Antonio Slaibe Author-X-Name-Last: Postali Title: Decentralization and corruption: evidence from primary health-care programmes Abstract: The aim of this article is to evaluate whether there is an association between decentralization and corruption. In order to do so we analyse Brazilian health-care programmes that are run locally. To construct objective measures of corruption, we use the information from the reports of the auditing programme of the local governments of Brazil. Results point that there is no relationship between decentralization and corruption, whatever the measure of decentralization used. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1885-1888 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1885-1888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daehwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Daehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Taeyoon Sung Author-X-Name-First: Taeyoon Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Efficiency of internal capital market under a controlling-minority-shareholder structure Abstract: We examine the efficiency of the internal capital market under three alternative ownership structures -- the dispersed ownership, the concentrated ownership and the Controlling-Minority-Shareholder (CMS) structure. Although the highest efficiency is achieved under the concentrated ownership, our analysis shows that the efficiency is higher under the CMS structure than under the dispersed ownership. The efficiency gain is greater if the agency problem between shareholders and the Headquarter (HQ) manager is greater. The conclusion of the analysis is in line with the observed patterns of firm organization in developing economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1889-1892 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1889-1892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Saarela Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Saarela Author-Name: Dan-Olof Rooth Author-X-Name-First: Dan-Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Rooth Title: Uncertainty and international return migration: some evidence from linked register data Abstract: This article provides the first empirical evidence about the role of uncertainty in international return migration decisions using high-quality and detailed micro-data that cover migrants who were observed in both the source country before emigration and in the host country subsequent to immigration. We find that uncertainty in the initial migration decision might be an important driving mechanism behind the decision to return migrate, because migrants with a worse-than-expected outcome in the host country upon arrival and shortly thereafter have a notably higher probability of return migration than other migrants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1893-1897 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1893-1897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Perri Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Perri Title: Between the penthouse and the outhouse: the sorting of economics professors Abstract: Oyer (2007, 2008) considered the turnover of economics professors early in their careers. He found professors are more likely to move down from higher ranked schools than up from lower ranked schools. An asymmetric information model suggests this phenomenon is explained by imperfect screening at one's initial hiring. The smaller the fraction of more able individuals, and the more accurate the screening, the greater the chance downward movement exceeds upward movement. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1899-1902 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1899-1902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Cheng Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Michael Mendy Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Mendy Title: Economic growth and openness in Africa: What is the empirical relationship? Abstract: This study examines the effects of trade policies on economic growth in Africa. The econometric methodology follows the cross-country studies by Barro (1991) and Kandiero and Chitiga (2003) with empirical application to a panel of 36 African countries observed over the period 1980 to 2009. Panel regressions are carried out using the fixed-effects models. The aim is to provide an empirical evidence for the driving force of Africa's economic growth. The results illustrate that openness in trade and investment is positively related to economic growth significantly. However, foreign aid, gross national savings and investment have negative relationships to both Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and GDP. Using South Africa as benchmark, the regional performance indicates that North Africa is the best one in generating positive GDP growth from Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), followed by Middle Africa whilst East Africa and West Africa compete for the third and fourth positions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1903-1907 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1903-1907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Rachid Boumahdi Author-X-Name-First: Rachid Author-X-Name-Last: Boumahdi Author-Name: Pascal Favard Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Favard Title: Nonexpected discrimination: the case of social housing in France Abstract: This research is a study of the differences in duration of waiting time between European and non-European households to obtain social housing, drawing on the housing survey carried out by the French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE, Paris, 2006). The idea here is to bring to light eventual discrimination against non-European households. We show that these households, all else held constant, spend more time on the waiting lists. Appropriate decomposition techniques enable us to demonstrate that a nonnegligible portion of this gap could well be due to discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1909-1916 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1909-1916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Chih-Hsiang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yining Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yining Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A retrospective analysis of financial research by worldwide central banks and international monetary organizations Abstract: We examine the publications by Central Banks (CB) and International Monetary Organizations (IMO) in renowned finance journals over the past two decades. Unsurprisingly, the most productive CB in financial research are the Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Although the worldwide CB have, more or less, increased productivity over the years, more than a few CB in Europe have made noticeable progress and revealed sizeable upsurge in financial research productivity. Also noteworthy is that the most productive central bank researchers are affiliated with a few highly productive institutions whereas the majority of them have prior or concurrent academic experience. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1917-1922 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1917-1922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brahim Boudarbat Author-X-Name-First: Brahim Author-X-Name-Last: Boudarbat Author-Name: Victor Chernoff Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Chernoff Title: Education--job match among recent Canadian university graduates Abstract: This study uses data from the 2005 Follow-up of Canadian Graduates -- Class of 2000 -- to look at the determinants of education--job match among university graduates. The question of education--job match is relevant given the substantial investment society puts into its postsecondary institutions and the role devoted to human capital in economic development. We find that 35.1% of graduates are in a job that is not closely related to their education 5 years after graduation. The education--job match strongly depends upon education characteristics, with fields that focus on providing specific skills for the job market (such as ‘Health sciences’ and ‘Education’) being associated with the highest likelihood of obtaining an education--job match. In addition, the level of education, good grades and time devoted to studying strongly affect the match. Employment characteristics also affect the match, but to a mixed extent. One of our main findings is that predetermined characteristics (age, gender and family background) do not significantly affect the match. However, immigrants are significantly disadvantaged even if they hold Canadian degrees. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1923-1926 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.676730 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.676730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1923-1926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randy McFerrin Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: McFerrin Author-Name: Stephen Norman Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Author-Name: Douglas Wills Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Wills Title: Determinants of homestead claims and the expansion of Western settlement Abstract: This article examines the impact economic variables had on the rate of settlement, measured by original homestead claims, in the Western United States. Our results from the estimated panel regressions indicate that the underlying rationale for the Homestead Act, namely that economic factors were important for settlement, was justified. The two most important economic variables, output prices, measured by real wheat prices, and the cost of capital, measured by real interest rates, were statistically significant in explaining the change in the original homestead claims. Furthermore, contrary to previous studies, railroad mileage was not found to be significant. This study also reveals that the location of a homestead relative to the 100th meridian, the traditional boundary of humid and sub-humid areas, had little effect on the response of homesteaders to economic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1927-1932 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1927-1932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Alda Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Alda Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Title: Linear and nonlinear financial time series: evidence in a sample of pension funds in Spain and the United Kingdom Abstract: In this article, we examine whether traditional linear models are suitable to assess financial samples, because financial data usually present nonnormality or nonlinear patterns, therefore linear models do not always adequately capture them. For this reason, as returns series usually follow autoregressive patterns, nonlinear models such as Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR), Logistic STAR (LSTAR), Additive Autoregressive (AAR) or Neural Network (NNET) could provide a good fit. We study whether two samples of pension funds' returns in Spain and the United Kingdom present these features, and we find that the most appropriate model for the Spanish sample is an autoregressive model, but in the United Kingdom sample, we fit a neural network. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1933-1937 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1933-1937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marianne Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Denise Robson Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Author-Name: Sarinda Taengnoi Author-X-Name-First: Sarinda Author-X-Name-Last: Taengnoi Title: Study design's influence on empirical findings in economic education Abstract: We use Meta-Regression Analysis (MRA) to investigate how study design influences the finding of a gender gap in the economics education literature. We survey 65 studies published in the American Economics Review Papers and Proceedings and the Journal of Economic Education over the past 30 years, containing 279 distinct regressions. We find that studies with more explanatory variables, include statistics courses taught by economists, or sample preadolescent children are associated with a reduced likelihood of observing a gender gap; in contrast, studies that employ a stock model methodology or use course grade as the dependent variable are significantly more likely to find evidence of a gender gap. Estimation strategy seems to have little impact. We conclude that much of the conventional view of a gender gap in economics performance can be attributed to study design. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1939-1942 Issue: 18 Volume: 19 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:19:y:2012:i:18:p:1939-1942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Cook Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Susmita Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: Susmita Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Author-Name: Dipika Sur Author-X-Name-First: Dipika Author-X-Name-Last: Sur Author-Name: Dale Whittington Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Whittington Title: Measuring risk aversion among the urban poor in Kolkata, India Abstract: We examine risk preferences in an urban setting in a low-income developing country with nonstudent subjects by adapting the experimental approach of Holt and Laury (HL; 2002). We conducted 22 group experiments with 404 participants and used in-kind payoffs. The average respondent was ‘risk-averse’ (the midpoint of Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) intervals among participants was 0.53, roughly in line with most similar studies in poor countries). Like most other studies, we find weak correlations between risk aversion and most socio-economic characteristics. Importantly, a sizeable minority had difficulty understanding the experiment, and participants were influenced by the context in which the experiments occurred (these problems are not unique to our study). Our article adds to a growing literature that suggests that risk aversion elicitation approaches are sensitive to context and cognitive abilities of participants. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 1-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.644235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.644235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:1-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koki Arai Author-X-Name-First: Koki Author-X-Name-Last: Arai Title: Note on the need for rules on misleading representation based on experimental evidence Abstract: This article examines the rules for misleading representation with an experimental approach using Internet questionnaire data from a recent research article. The findings indicate that consumers who have been closely associated with the goods or who fully intend to purchase the goods are highly likely to understand any (alleged) deceptive advertising. Therefore, advertising regulations should protect marginal consumers from deceptive advertising rather than the actual or potential purchasers. The findings therefore corroborate the inducing requirement of the rules for misleading representation presently applied in Japan and other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 10-17 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.665591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.665591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:10-17 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Author-Name: Ricardo Cabral Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cabral Title: How do mobile-voice operators compete? IVQR estimates Abstract: This article proposes a novel procedure to test whether firms compete à la Cournot or perfectly collude when firms' conduct is allowed to be heterogeneous along the conditional distribution of price–cost margins. We apply the procedure to a panel of quarterly data for 177 mobile-voice operators in 45 countries from 1999:1 to 2004:2. Particularly, we find that the hypothesis of perfect collusion can be rejected even for very high-margin operators while the hypothesis that very low-margin operators compete à la Cournot cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 18-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:18-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. Li Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: A. H. Anis Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Anis Title: Cost sharing of prescription drugs and demand for health-care utilization among seniors with rheumatoid arthritis Abstract: We employed a pre-post study design with a control group - a Difference-In-Difference (DID) estimator - to evaluate the effect of prescription drug policy reform on the number of prescriptions filled, the number of physician visits, the likelihood of hospitalizations and the number of hospitalizations among seniors with Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) in British Columbia (BC), Canada. Our study demonstrates that when patients have to pay part of all of their drug costs, they often have more doctor visits and hospitalization events. Our results show that in a predominantly publicly funded health-care system, piecewise introduction of market-driven cost containment concepts such as patient cost sharing might have the unintended impact of increasing overall health utilization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 23-27 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.669456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.669456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:23-27 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Carnis Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Carnis Author-Name: Nicolas Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Author-Name: Benoît Dervaux Author-X-Name-First: Benoît Author-X-Name-Last: Dervaux Title: Is injury compensation inequitable? Evidence from road accidents victims in France Abstract: This article analyses the heterogeneous character of compensation amounts awarded by insurance companies and the courts. The information source – the Association for Insurance Risk Information (AGIRA) database – covers all surviving victims of injuries resulting from road accidents in France over the period 2002 to 2008. Three results emerge: first, compensation amounts awarded under different headings – Partial Permanent Incapacity (PPI), solatium (emotional harm), disfigurement and loss of amenity – are not determined independently of each other; second, victim characteristics, notably age and sex, play a major part; and third, inequalities of treatment across the country are strikingly low. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 28-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.671917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.671917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:28-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Do fiscal rules matter for growth? Abstract: We study the relevance of fiscal rules for growth in an European Union (EU) panel. Our results show that they foster growth, while stricter fiscal rules mitigate the adverse impact on growth from big governments. Moreover, more recent EU member states have gained from the implementation of fiscal rules. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 34-40 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:34-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriela Mundaca Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Mundaca Title: Oil prices and exchange rate volatility in Arab countries Abstract: I test the bipolar view hypothesis on the exchange rates of countries of the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) which are countries with relative free capital mobility. I find that oil price shocks seem to be the source of less flexible exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 41-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:41-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Mohl Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Mohl Author-Name: David Sondermann Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sondermann Title: Has political communication during the crisis impacted sovereign bond spreads in the euro area? Abstract: Using thousands of news agencies reports from May 2010 to June 2011, we find that statements about restructuring, bailout and the involvement of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) have impacted bond spreads of countries in the periphery vis-à-vis Germany. Our findings also indicate that the more different euro area governments issued statements at the same time, the more bond spreads have increased. Finally, statements from politicians from AAA-rated countries seemed to have a particularly strong impact on spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 48-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.674201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.674201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:48-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongxiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dongxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries: sequential panel selection method Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) procedure proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of East Asian countries over the period March 1985 to September 2011. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary series and a group of nonstationary series. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results from the SPSM using the Panel Kapetanios et al. (KSS) unit root test (Ucar and Omay, 2009) with a Fourier function indicate that PPP holds true for most of these East Asian countries studied, with the exception of Hong Kong. Our results have important policy implications for these East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 62-66 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:62-66 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Ayllón Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Ayllón Title: Unemployment persistence: not only stigma but discouragement too Abstract: This article shows how stigma effects and discouragement counterbalance as sources of state dependence in unemployment throughout the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 67-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:67-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Silva Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Maria Batista Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Batista Author-Name: Nelson Elias Author-X-Name-First: Nelson Author-X-Name-Last: Elias Title: Fuel price transmission mechanisms in Portugal Abstract: This study aims to analyse the behaviour of fuel prices at the pump (unleaded gasoline and diesel) in Portugal, relative to positive and negative variations in Brent crude oil price. Applying an Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model to weekly time series data for the period of January 2004 through May 2009, we detected some signs of asymmetry in the transmission price mechanism. However, these patterns are not statistically significant enough to reject hypotheses of symmetry in the price adjustment mechanisms of fuel in Portugal. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 72-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:72-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey A. Livingston Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Livingston Author-Name: David L. Ortmeyer Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ortmeyer Author-Name: Patrick A. Scholten Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Scholten Title: A hedonic approach to testing for indirect network effects in the LCD television market Abstract: Using data from CNet's Shopper's.com on prices and television characteristics, we use a quality-adjusted, hedonic price regression to test for the presence of indirect network effects in the television market. In 2009, broadcasters were mandated to cease programme transmission using analog signals, and convert to digital signal transmission, necessitating changes to the reception mechanisms themselves, televisions. Digital signal transmission permits broadcasters to offer greater programming variety, which makes televisions more valuable to consumers. Similarly, the presence of adapters on televisions enables compatibility with a multitude of complementary devices, also increasing consumers' values of televisions. Our results are consistent with the presence of indirect network effects arising from each of these sources. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 76-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:76-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig A. Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Tobacco control and obesity: evidence from a cross section of countries Abstract: Although several studies of highly developed countries find tobacco control efforts impact obesity rates, whether such results extend to less developed countries is unclear. Accordingly, this study re-examines this issue by using data from countries that lie across the development spectrum. Similar to the existing literature, evidence suggests higher cigarette prices increase the per cent of the population that is overweight or obese. Yet, other tobacco control efforts have less influence. A number of other factors, including health-care expenditure, urban concentration and undernourishment, are also found to influence population weight. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 80-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.683165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.683165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:80-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell S. Sobel Author-X-Name-First: Russell S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sobel Author-Name: Nabamita Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Nabamita Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Sanjukta Roy Author-X-Name-First: Sanjukta Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Does fiscal decentralization result in a better business climate? Abstract: Previous literature generally finds that greater fiscal decentralization is associated with faster economic growth, improved government performance and stronger constraints on the Leviathan behaviour of governments. Because economic growth critically depends on the presence of good government policies and institutions, the likely but untested link between these strands of literature is that greater decentralization probably improves growth because it results in government policies more conducive to entrepreneurship and business success. We test (and confirm) this hypothesis using several business climate measures for the US states. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 84-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.657344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.657344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:84-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Home production and the welfare cost of labour supply tax distortions Abstract: The traditional model of household labour supply incorporates leisure into preferences rather than focusing on how relative costs of production at home and via market activity determine market labour supply. In part, this reflects the lack of simple closed form solutions for the home production model. This article uses numerical techniques to compare the welfare costs of tax distortions of labour supply in models with and without home production. When observationally equivalent models of each type are calibrated to the same aggregate labour supply elasticity, the home production model of labour supply produces a much smaller welfare cost of tax distortions of labour supply than the standard model. Our results thus suggest that home production is important for understanding the welfare effects of labour tax policies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 92-95 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:92-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Rachid Boumahdi Author-X-Name-First: Rachid Author-X-Name-Last: Boumahdi Author-Name: Pascal Favard Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Favard Title: The easiest way to estimate the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition Abstract: This article studies the relation between the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition and the estimated coefficient of a dummy variable for a linear regression. We calculate the unexplained part of the decomposition from the estimated coefficient of the dummy variable. More precisely, if the exogenous variables are uncorrelated to the dummy variable, the estimated coefficient and its variance give directly the value and the variance of the unexplained part of the decomposition. If the independent variables are correlated a simple relation is obtained. Moreover, we show that the significance of the unexplained part can be deduced from the significance of the estimated coefficient of the dummy variable. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 96-101 Issue: 1 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.681021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.681021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:1:p:96-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Silvia H. Miranda Author-X-Name-First: Silvia H. Author-X-Name-Last: Miranda Author-Name: Saleem Shaik Author-X-Name-First: Saleem Author-X-Name-Last: Shaik Title: Trade openness and technical efficiency in Brazilian agriculture Abstract: This study is conducted (1) to examine the possible link between increased trade openness and technical efficiency in Brazilian agriculture and (2) to contribute to the scholarly debate in the literature by measuring the impact of trade openness on technical efficiency. The analysis is conducted by using the Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) method. Our results indicate large and significant impact of capital, and lesser but significant impact of labour on sectorial output, while expanding farmland would not increase the output. The estimates of trade openness are not statistically significant, indicating that it does not impact technical efficiency. Trade liberalization as an underlying motive for increasing technical efficiency does not exist based on our results. The primary markets for Brazilian agricultural commodities are still the domestic markets, which are still relatively well protected from foreign competition. This implies that domestic producers are not forced to use existing inputs more efficiently given the relative lack of competition domestically and enlarged foreign markets expanding primarily in the booming and large Asian economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 103-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:103-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Mar�a del Carmen Ramos-Herrera Author-X-Name-First: Mar�a del Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Herrera Title: On the forecast accuracy and consistency of exchange rate expectations: the Spanish PwC Survey Abstract: We examine the predictive ability and consistency properties of exchange rate expectations for the dollar/euro using a survey conducted in Spain by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) among a panel of experts and entrepreneurs. Our results suggest that the PwC panel have some forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9 months, although only for the 3-month ahead expectations we obtain marginal evidence of unbiasedness and efficiency in the forecasts. As for the consistency properties of the exchange rate expectation formation process, we find that survey participants form stabilizing expectations in the short run and destabilizing expectations in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 107-110 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Ventosa-Santaulària Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ventosa-Santaulària Author-Name: M. Gómez-Zald�var Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Zald�var Title: A comment on ‘Testing the validity of quasi-PPP hypothesis: evidence from a recent panel unit-root test with structural breaks’ Abstract: In a recent study, Guloglu et al. (2011) took 18 Turkish real exchange rate series and used a panel unit-root test, which allows for structural breaks in the level and the trend of the real exchange rate. When the practitioner allows for structural breaks, the rejection of the null hypothesis of unit root in the real exchange rate does not imply that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds. The authors claim that they found evidence of Quasi-PPP (Q-PPP). Yet, the latter does not include either linear trend or trend breaks. Their results cannot be considered evidence of either Trend-PPP (T-PPP) or Trend-Qualified PPP (TQ-PPP), since both exclude trend shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 111-113 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:111-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Determinants of per commercial and industrial customer electricity consumption in the United States for the period 2001 to 2005 Abstract: This empirical study focuses on identifying the key economic factors and other conditions that have influenced the per customer commercial and industrial consumption of electricity in the United States during recent years. Unlike most previous studies, this study uses a 5-year state-level panel data set for the period 2001 to 2005. The Panel Least Squares (PLS) estimation provided in this study implies that per commercial and industrial customer electricity consumption is an increasing function of the annual number of Cooling Degree Days (CDDs), per capita real disposable income (a de facto ‘control’ variable) and the peak summer electricity-generating capacity. Furthermore, per commercial and industrial customer electricity consumption is a decreasing function of the average real unit price of electricity to commercial and industrial enterprises and the degree of each state's commitment to energy efficiency programmes, as reflected in an ‘LEEP’ score, where the term ‘LEEP’ stands for Level of Energy Efficiency Programmes. The latter result provides evidence that public policies to promote energy efficiency have yielded at least some benefits in terms of reducing commercial and industrial electricity consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 114-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:114-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kun Ho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kun Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Inference of the environmental Kuznets curve Abstract: This article provides inference of the pollution and income relationship, typically known as the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). We construct the Uniform Confidence Band (UCB) of the nonparametric component in the semiparametric EKC and test the hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 119-122 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.683163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.683163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:119-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Koske Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Koske Author-Name: I. Wanner Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Wanner Title: The drivers of labour income inequality -- an analysis based on Bayesian Model Averaging Abstract: Many Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries have seen income inequality rising over the past decade, which has led to a renewed interest among researchers and policy makers in understanding the causes of income inequality. To shed light on this issue, this article investigates the determinants of labour income inequality for a sample of 22 OECD countries. As model uncertainty is likely to be a major issue in such an underpinning, the empirical analysis relies on a Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) technique. The results suggest that in particular labour, education and tax policies have an important influence on the distribution of labour income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 123-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.683164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.683164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:123-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tal Shavit Author-X-Name-First: Tal Author-X-Name-Last: Shavit Author-Name: Mosi Rosenboim Author-X-Name-First: Mosi Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenboim Author-Name: Yaniv Shani Author-X-Name-First: Yaniv Author-X-Name-Last: Shani Title: What is more important, the outcome or the probability? Abstract: According to basic economic theory, people wish to maximize their expected utility. In order to do so they should integrate the likelihood (i.e. probability) and the possible outcomes (good or bad). Nevertheless, research has shown that people do not always account for their decisions on the basis of a rational or a cold evaluation of utility. We suggest that when choosing between two risky alternatives people determine the relative perceived importance of the outcomes and probabilities before making their choice. If the outcome is more important, they will tend to choose the option with the best outcome. If the probability is more important, they will tend to choose the option with the higher probability for the desirable outcome, or the option with the lower probability for the undesirable outcome. This means that people maximize their utility based on their perceived importance of probabilities and outcomes. To test our argument, we conducted an experiment in which we asked the participants to decide between two uncertain outcomes. The results support our claim that the importance of the probability and the importance of the outcome affect the choice between two risky alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 127-130 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:127-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. E. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: J. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: US tax acts and their effects on average tax rates Abstract: Tax legislation since the early 1980s has significantly altered Average Tax Rates (ATRs) across the income distribution in the United States. Using a consistently defined ATR series for the years 1979--2003, this study finds that the 1980s reduced ATRs for all taxpayers except those in the bottom quintile whose ATRs rose. The reforms of the early 1990s generally had the effect of raising ATRs at the top of the income distribution and lowering those at the bottom, although the magnitude of the effects was smaller than the reforms of the 1980s. Reforms of the late 1990s and early 2000s significantly reduced ATRs virtually across the board. The only exception occurred in the bottom quintile where the effects of the various tax acts have been mixed. The tax acts of 2001 and 2003 reduced ATRs significantly in the top and middle quintiles, although the size of the ATR reduction in both cases was greater in the middle quintile than in the top quintile. Within the top percentile, the ATR reductions due to Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 (JGTRRA03) are larger than those due to Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 (EGTRRA01), but they are only modestly larger than the ATR reductions due to TRA86. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 131-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:131-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Sen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Author-Name: Jen-Tsai Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yi-Ching Liao Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: Do variable length moving average trading rules matter during a financial crisis period? Abstract: When analysing the data periods including the pre-financial and financial crisis periods, the results show that investors might make profits by using Variable Length Moving Average (VMA) trading rules as buying signals rather than as selling signals shown for the Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) stock markets. However, investors may find it difficult to make profits in a financial crisis period, suggesting that more detailed information should be investigated, since the significant results shown during the full period might not reveal the differences between the pre-financial and financial crisis periods. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 135-141 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:135-141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michał Brzoza-Brzezina Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Brzoza-Brzezina Author-Name: Jacek Kotłowski Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Kotłowski Author-Name: Agata Miśkowiec Author-X-Name-First: Agata Author-X-Name-Last: Miśkowiec Title: How forward-looking are central banks? Some evidence from their forecasts Abstract: We estimate forward-looking Taylor rules on data from macroeconomic forecasts of three central banks in order to determine the extent to which these banks are forward-looking. We find that all three banks are to some extent forward-looking, albeit to a varying degree. In general, the horizons for inflation seem to be longer than for output. We also find that central banks prefer to concentrate on one particular horizon rather than take into account the whole forecast. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 142-146 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:142-146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byeongchan Seong Author-X-Name-First: Byeongchan Author-X-Name-Last: Seong Title: Bootstrap test for seasonal cointegrating ranks Abstract: We consider a bootstrap algorithm for the Likelihood Ratio (LR) test of seasonal Cointegrating (CI) ranks as the extension of Swensen (2006). Through a small Monte Carlo simulation experiment, we find that the bootstrap algorithm can effectively improve size distortions of the LR test. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 147-151 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:147-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Maravalle Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Maravalle Title: Oil shocks and the US terms of trade: gauging the role of the trade channel Abstract: Recent theoretical literature claims that demand-driven transmission mechanisms are the key to understand how oil shocks affect the economy. Following this literature, we measure the economic strength of one of these demand-driven channels, the trade channel, in the transmission of oil shocks to the US economy. We use Kilian's (2009) decomposition of oil price shocks to identify three possible sources of oil shocks: oil supply, oil-market specific demand and global demand shocks. We then estimate the impact of each shock on the US terms of trade controlling for nonlinear effects in the sign and the size of the shocks. All oil shocks have persistent and statistically significant effects on the US terms of trade. However, we find that only oil supply shocks have an impact on the terms of trade that is nonlinear in the size of the shock. This last result is in accordance with the theoretical findings in Maravalle (forthcoming). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 152-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:152-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. Brixy Author-X-Name-First: U. Author-X-Name-Last: Brixy Author-Name: R. Sternberg Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Sternberg Author-Name: H. Stüber Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Stüber Title: Why some nascent entrepreneurs do not seek professional assistance Abstract: As the high share of failed new businesses shows, the marked success of new firms is still rather low. Hence, enhancing the quality of new firms is an important goal of entrepreneurship support policies. Schemes that give professional assistance to individuals who want to start up a business are a key feature of most developed countries' policies towards improving the performance of new firms. In our sample, only approximately half of nascent entrepreneurs seek professional assistance. Given that assistance is highly subsidized and available to everyone interested in starting up a firm, we ask why certain nascent entrepreneurs do not seek assistance. By using survey data consisting of an initial screening interview and a follow-up interview after 1 year, we are able to show that men and well-educated founders tend to refrain from professional assistance. Notably, those without any experience in the industry of the planned business are more apt not to seek assistance. This finding suggests that cognitive biases such as overconfidence might play a role in explaining the assistance-avoiding behaviour. Policy measures aiming at improving the knowledge of potential entrepreneurs are therefore well advised to target well-educated males in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 157-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:157-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Altunbaş Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Altunbaş Author-Name: Edward Jones Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Knowledge spillovers and the growth of British cities Abstract: The relative importance of intra-industry or inter-industry knowledge spillovers for the growth of cities remains an open question. Using a unique data set on the growth of 109 British cities during 1951--1991, we find evidence suggesting that the most important knowledge spillovers occur between rather than within industries, which is consistent with Jacobs (1969, 1985). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 162-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:162-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Larry Li Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The frequency and severity of operational losses: a cross-country comparison Abstract: We examine the proposition that cross-country differences in the factors determining the frequency and severity of operational losses lead to cross-country differences in the distribution and incidence of operational loss events in terms of frequency and severity. For this purpose, we consider 4388 operational loss events covering 11 countries or country groups. The results reveal differences with respect to the type of loss events prevailing in each country or country group as well as differences with respect to the dominance of events of certain type in a particular business line and corporate entity type. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 167-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:167-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. P. McCullough Author-X-Name-First: M. P. Author-X-Name-Last: McCullough Author-Name: T. L. Marsh Author-X-Name-First: T. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Author-Name: R. Huffaker Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Huffaker Title: Reconstructing market reactions to consumption harms Abstract: We investigate dynamic market reactions from harmful events using phase space reconstruction to analyse nonlinear dynamical systems. Phase space reconstruction analysis is applied to US beef consumption data, demonstrating market deviations and transitions from plausible, stable consumption patterns in response to product attributes (latent or nonlatent) coinciding with longer or shorter term human health harms (e.g. cholesterol) or food safety harms (e.g. Escherichia coli and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE)). The results support complex, nonlinear dynamic behavioural responses to perceived consumption harms. Consistent with previous research, the perceived negative long-run health effect from cholesterol caused consumers to transition their consumption behaviour from a higher to a lower level while retaining a persistent seasonal pattern. In contrast, responses to food safety information (i.e. E. coli or BSE) about beef derived from phase space reconstruction demonstrated temporary deviations from stable consumption patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 173-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.687091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.687091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:173-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott W. Fausti Author-X-Name-First: Scott W. Author-X-Name-Last: Fausti Author-Name: Matthew A. Diersen Author-X-Name-First: Matthew A. Author-X-Name-Last: Diersen Author-Name: Bashir A. Qasmi Author-X-Name-First: Bashir A. Author-X-Name-Last: Qasmi Author-Name: Jing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Brent Lange Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: The effect of animal gender on producer marketing behaviour Abstract: Weekly grid market share by volume for slaughter steers is compared with slaughter heifers. Summary statistics indicate average grid market share for steers (42%) is higher relative to heifers (33%). The literature indicates that pregnancy and increased dark cutter incidence associated with heifers relative to steers create additional financial risk when heifers are sold on a grid. Empirical evidence suggests that carcass quality risk is a plausible contributing factor to gender disparity with respect to grid market share. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 180-185 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.684774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.684774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:180-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tajul Ariffin Masron Author-X-Name-First: Tajul Ariffin Author-X-Name-Last: Masron Author-Name: Eliza Nor Author-X-Name-First: Eliza Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Title: FDI in ASEAN-8: Does institutional quality matter? Abstract: The importance of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as a driver of economic development is no longer a secret. As a result, the competition to attract FDI is getting stiffer as any economy in the world is currently eyeing for FDI, including the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). With the emergence of China as a new attractive location for FDI, and as part of the alternatives to further enhance the attractiveness of ASEAN, this study analyses the role of institutional quality on FDI inflows into ASEAN. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 186-189 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.687090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.687090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:186-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongjai Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Hongjai Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Title: An empirical relationship between price elasticity and price levels Abstract: This study examines price competition between Duty-Free Stores (DFSs). The primary research question is the relationship between the own- and cross-store price elasticities, on the one hand, and the average price levels of DFS products, on the other hand. Using a unique data set of DFS sales in Korea combined with a hierarchical Bayesian model, we show that the own- and cross-store price elasticities increase significantly with the average price level. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 190-193 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:190-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierpaolo Pattitoni Author-X-Name-First: Pierpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Pattitoni Author-Name: Barbara Petracci Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Petracci Author-Name: Massimo Spisni Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Spisni Title: NAV discount in REITs: the role of expert assessors Abstract: Using a unique hand-collected data set that comprises the 2009 balance sheets of all Italian listed Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), we test whether Net Asset Value (NAV) discount can be explained by expert assessor overestimations. Our results suggest that expert assessors make conservative assessments of NAV values; thus, they are not responsible for NAV discounts. Furthermore, using the balance sheet disaggregated data of each REIT, we cluster properties by region and intended use and find that certain regions and types of properties are more discount-prone than others. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 194-198 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:194-198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bidisha Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Bidisha Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Xi Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Structural break between small and large firms' behaviour in trade credit and bank credit: evidence from India's retail sector Abstract: This article recognizes the simultaneity of firms' decision in choosing between the various options of external financing. Additionally, the analysis allows the combination of bank finance and trade credit finance to vary with the firm's size even when all the firms are operating within the same financial infrastructure. We use cross-sectional data for the retail sector in India and apply structural break analysis common to time-series analysis to a system of simultaneous equations to split the sample into small and large firms. We find that the smaller firms depend more strongly on trade credit than the larger firms. Bank credit is found to be strongly related with the proxy for available collateral for the small firms but not for the large firms indicating that the large firms are unconstrained with respect to bank credit. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 199-202 Issue: 2 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:2:p:199-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Optimal size of currency swap between central banks: evidence from China Abstract: Currency swaps are used by central banks to provide short-term liquidity to help enhance financial stability for both counterparts. We apply the newsboy inventory optimization to interpret the factors related to the optimal size of a currency swap, and we find that the mean value of foreign exchange demand, its volatility and the distribution form are important for the optimal swap size. Empirical studies regarding swap arrangements between China and its trading partners show that total trade volume and its long-term SD are robust explanatory variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 203-207 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:203-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seonyeong Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seonyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Chung-Ki Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Beomsoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Beomsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The impacts of air pollution on low birth weight Abstract: This study examines the impacts of air pollution on low birth weight by considering overtime variation in Korea in early 2000, when some parts of Korea experienced huge drop in air pollution due to regulation. The mother's exposure to ozone level above 0.12 ppm per hour during the first trimester increased the probability of low birth weight by 0.4 percentage point (0.08% of the sample mean). Exposure to carbon monoxide or sulphur dioxide (SO2) during the third trimester also led to a significant but modest increase in the probability of low birth weight. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 208-212 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:208-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Mien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Mien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Woody M. Liao Author-X-Name-First: Woody M. Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Yen-Yu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Financing policy, executive stock options and cash flow forecasts Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between management voluntary disclosures of cash flow forecasts and external financing policy, earnings management, earnings forecasts and executive stock option compensation. We find that management is more likely to issue cash flow forecasts when a firm has external financing needs or when a firm has more executive stock option compensation. However, management is less likely to disclose cash flow forecasts when a firm has more earnings management. Consistent with the prior research, we document that a firm with high dividend payout, large asset value and high profitability tends to disclose cash flow information to convey good news. Further, if analysts have released earning forecasts, management is likely to issue cash flow forecasts to complement those analyst earnings forecasts. If analysts release cash flow forecasts, management is less likely to disclose cash flow forecasts to avoid issuing repeat forecasts. Our results, therefore, suggest that different incentives drive management disclosure decisions regarding cash flow forecasts in actual practice. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 213-226 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:213-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anichul Hoque Khan Author-X-Name-First: Anichul Hoque Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Hasnat Dewan Author-X-Name-First: Hasnat Author-X-Name-Last: Dewan Title: Factors correlating with long-lasting banking crises: a special focus on crisis resolution policy measures Abstract: The costs of a long-lasting banking crisis are high because both the depositors and the investors lose confidence in the banking system. For a rapid recovery from such a crisis, the government often undertakes Crisis Resolution Policy (CRP) measure(s). Existing studies have paid little attention to these CRP measures and their correlations with long-lasting banking crises. This study fills that literature void. The major finding is that the CRP measure that allows the regulation forbearance to keep the insolvent banks operative is strongly significant in increasing the duration of a banking crisis. Another CRP measure, which relieves bank borrowers from paying debt, is also significant but weakly significant in increasing the duration of a crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 227-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.688936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.688936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:227-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Author-Name: Cl�ment Marsilli Author-X-Name-First: Cl�ment Author-X-Name-Last: Marsilli Title: Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession Abstract: The global economic recession, referred to as the Great Recession, endured by the main industrialized countries during the period 2008--09, in the wake of the financial and banking crises, has pointed out the current importance of the financial sector in macroeconomics. In this article, we evaluate the predictive power of some major financial variables to anticipate GDP growth in euro area countries during this specific period of time. In this respect, we implement a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS)-based modelling approach, put forward by Ghysels et al. (2007), that enables to forecast quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates using exogenous variables sampled at higher frequencies. Empirical results show that, overall, stock prices help to improve the accuracy of GDP forecasts by comparison with a standard opinion survey variable, whereas oil prices and term spread appear to be less informative. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Banque de France. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 233-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:233-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Hoshikawa Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Hoshikawa Author-Name: Keiko Yamaguchi Author-X-Name-First: Keiko Author-X-Name-Last: Yamaguchi Title: A note on the yen/dollar rate without foreign exchange intervention Abstract: This article shows what the yen/dollar rate would be without foreign exchange interventions by the Japanese government for 61 086 billion yen. If there had been no interventions, then the yen/dollar rate in June 2011 may have been 54.30 instead of the actual rate of 80.52. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 238-243 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:238-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: Does health capital have differential effects on economic growth? Abstract: Investigating the impact of health capital disaggregated by gender on economic growth in a sample of 210 countries over the period 1990 to 2008, this study suggests that the influence of health capital across countries cannot be generalized. The results for the full sample indicate that health capital does not have a robust and significant effect on economic growth unless through their interactions with health expenditure and education. The results disaggregated by income group reveal that health capital has a positive robust influence on economic growth in high and upper middle income economies. In low and low middle income economies, health capital gains statistical significance only through their interaction with education and health expenditure. Increased fertility rates act to reduce the influence of health capital on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 244-249 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:244-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dewei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dewei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Foreign exchange reserves management in the presence of jump risk Abstract: This article investigates how the jump in the exchange rate and risky asset can affect the central bank's foreign management. We find that the jump in the exchange rate has a positive impact on the need for the risky asset, whereas the jump in the risky asset has a negative impact. However, the overall impact relies on how effective the central bank can intervene in the exchange market. Specifically, if the central bank can intervene in the market effectively, the safety of foreign reserves becomes a more important issue, which will decrease the need for risky asset. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 250-254 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:250-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: ’Til recession do us part: booms, busts and divorce in the United States Abstract: A general hypothesis regarding the impact of permanent income levels and business cycle fluctuations on divorce rate at the state level in the United States is analysed in this article. Based on the data for 45 states over the sample period of 1978--2009, it is shown that the higher the level of transitory income, the higher the incidence of divorce. In other words, divorce is pro-cyclical. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 255-261 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:255-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Go Tamakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Go Author-X-Name-Last: Tamakoshi Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Volatility and mean spillovers between sovereign and banking sector CDS markets: a note on the European sovereign debt crisis Abstract: This article empirically assesses causality-in-variance and causality-in-mean between the Eurozone banking sector Credit Default Swap (CDS) index and the Greek sovereign CDS spread. We employ the Cross-Correlation Function (CCF) approach developed by Hong (2001) to daily data from January 2008 to December 2011. Our key findings are twofold. First, before the European sovereign debt crisis, significant unidirectional causality-in-variance and causality-in-mean were found from the bank CDS to the Greek sovereign CDS spreads. Second, during the crisis period, we detected significant causality-in-variance from the Greek sovereign CDS spreads to the bank CDS, implying that the deteriorated Greek sovereign solvency might have triggered contagion effects on the banking sector in the area. Our results are relevant for policymakers who provide regulations for the CDS markets. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 262-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:262-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: The messenger of inflation -- how media change political competition Abstract: Voters do not like bad economic news, especially rising inflation rates. How voters learn about this news, not simply the news itself, can affect electoral behaviour. This article reports a study of media and electoral behaviour between 1960 and 2006 in 70 democratic states. It demonstrates that high inflation rates, combined with intense media coverage, resulted in more political competition and tight electoral races. Our detailed results show that European (EU-27) voters are more sensitive to television and radio coverage than they are to printed press coverage of negative economic news when compared with non-European electorates. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 267-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:267-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taggert J. Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Taggert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Kristen Monaco Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Monaco Title: Your cheatin’ heart: joint production, joint consumption and the likelihood of extramarital sex Abstract: Using data from the General Social Survey (GSS), we model the probability of engaging in Extramarital Sex (EMS) with a focus on variables that allow us to discern evidence of assortative mating. We find that couples with the same religion and both having high levels of education are less likely to engage in EMS. We also find that work status matters: those who are employed are more likely to cheat if their spouses are not working. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 272-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:272-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Marchand Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Marchand Author-Name: Sara Olfert Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Olfert Title: The US gender gap through the Great Recession using an alternative approach to cyclicality Abstract: Annual changes in the US gender gap are analysed before, during and after the Great Recession using a quasi-experimental approach, with treatment and comparison groups based on the industry composition within states. During this recession, the hourly wage gap was differentially reduced by seven to ten percentage points in states with a higher concentration of employment in male-dominant and cyclical industries, whereas the employment gap was differentially reduced by five to seven percentage points. Neither outcome was significantly altered in the years immediately before or after the recession. The evidence supports the pro-cyclicality of the gender gap movements. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 276-281 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.692868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.692868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:276-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Wen-Yi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Energy consumption and economic growth in 12 Asian countries: panel data analysis Abstract: This study examines ‘growth, conservation, neutrality or feedback’ hypotheses in 12 Asian countries for the period 1970 to 2010, using panel causality analysis, which accounts for dependency and heterogeneity across countries, supports evidence on the direction of causality and is consistent with the neutrality hypothesis in two-thirds of these 12 Asian countries. Growth hypothesis and conservation hypothesis hold for India and Philippines, respectively. However, a feedback was found for both Thailand and Vietnam. Thereby, the findings provide important policy implication for 12 Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 282-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.692869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.692869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:282-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. Lin Author-X-Name-First: J. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: M. J. Wang Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: X. H. Xia Author-X-Name-First: X. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: A Monte Carlo comparison of panel unit root tests under factor structure Abstract: This article investigates and compares, through Monte Carlo experiments, the finite sample sizes and powers of the proposed ‘second-generation’ Panel Unit Root Tests (PUTs) under the strict and approximate factor structures, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 288-291 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.695067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.695067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:288-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Show-Lin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Show-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ching-Chin Chou Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Nen-Jing Chen Author-X-Name-First: Nen-Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A wavelet transform analysis of the relationship between unexpected macroeconomic news and foreign exchange rates Abstract: This study applies the wavelet transform technique to analyse the relationship between exchange rates of major currencies and the unexpected macroeconomic news. Hourly closing exchange rates of major currencies from 2000 to 2009 are utilized for wavelet analysis and those of 2010 are used for ex ante test. It is found that JPY and CHF are the most affected exchange rates, which are followed by EUR and GBP. The least affected exchange rates are AUD and CAD. In general, the most influential news is NFP, which is followed by ISM_M. These two factors have an impact on at least four currency exchange rates in the short, intermediate and long terms. UR is a short-term factor and the effect of NFP lasts for all the three time horizons considered. Ex ante test is carried out and the accuracy rates for EUR, AUD, GBP, CAD, CHF and JPY are 0.75, 0.5, 0.67, 0.83, 0.83 and 0.58, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 292-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.692867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.692867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:292-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petre Caraiani Author-X-Name-First: Petre Author-X-Name-Last: Caraiani Title: The uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: a wavelet-based perspective Abstract: One of the controversial issues in macroeconomics consists in whether the macroeconomic time series are better characterized as being driven by permanent shocks or by temporary shocks. We provide here new evidence using a recent unit-root test based on the wavelets methodology. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 297-299 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:297-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Hasnat Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Hasnat Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Title: 3G spectrum auction aftermarket network deployment Abstract: This study empirically examines national 3G spectrum assignments for the years 2000--2007 to identify the sources and inhibitors of aftermarket network deployment. The analysis reveals that variables controlled by regulators have conflicting impacts on the deployment probability. In particular, placing more than one licence bid and stringent minimum prices enhance deployment. Conversely, encouraging entry and mandating infrastructure sharing discourage deployment. These findings should inform regulators' calculus in designing future 4G spectrum auctions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 300-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:300-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dinuk S. Jayasuriya Author-X-Name-First: Dinuk S. Author-X-Name-Last: Jayasuriya Author-Name: Paul J. Burke Author-X-Name-First: Paul J. Author-X-Name-Last: Burke Title: Female parliamentarians and economic growth: evidence from a large panel Abstract: This article investigates whether female political representation affects economic growth. Panel estimates for 119 democracies using fixed-effects specifications and a system generalized method of moments approach suggest that, over recent decades, countries with higher shares of women in parliament have had faster growing economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 304-307 Issue: 3 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:304-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michal Brzezinski Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Brzezinski Title: Top income shares and crime Abstract: This article estimates the relationship between income inequality approximated by the top 10% and 1% income shares derived from income tax return data and nine crime categories for the US states between 1979 and 2003. We fail to find a positive relationship between inequality and crime, except for the case of the top 10% share and motor vehicle theft. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 309-315 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:309-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Dungey Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dungey Author-Name: J. P. A. M. Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: J. P. A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: J. Tian Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: S. van Norden Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: van Norden Title: On the correspondence between data revision and trend-cycle decomposition Abstract: This article places the data revision model of Jacobs and van Norden (2011) within a class of trend-cycle decompositions relating directly to the Beveridge--Nelson decomposition. In both these approaches, identifying restrictions on the covariance matrix under simple and realistic conditions may produce a smoothed estimate of the underlying series, which is more volatile than the observed series. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 316-319 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.697118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.697118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:316-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Busse Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Busse Author-Name: Magdalene Silberberger Author-X-Name-First: Magdalene Author-X-Name-Last: Silberberger Title: Trade in pollutive industries and the stringency of environmental regulations Abstract: This article analyses the impact of trade in pollution-intensive industries on the stringency of environmental regulation. Using system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) regressions for a panel of 92 countries and the period 1998 to 2007, we find that an increase in net exports of pollution-intensive goods leads to a lowering of the stringency of environmental regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 320-323 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.695068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.695068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:320-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miki Malul Author-X-Name-First: Miki Author-X-Name-Last: Malul Author-Name: Daniel Shapira Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Shapira Author-Name: Amir Shoham Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Shoham Title: Practical modified Gini index Abstract: The Gini index is the most common method for estimating the level of income inequality in countries. In this article, we suggest a simple modification that takes into account the moderating effect of in-kind government benefits. Unlike other studies that use micro-level data that are rarely available for many countries or over a period of time, the proposed Modified Gini (MGINI) index could be calculated using just the regularly available data for each country. Such data include the original Gini coefficient, government consumption expenditures, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and total tax revenue as a percentage of GDP. This modified version of the Gini index allows us to calculate the level of inequality more precisely and make better comparisons between countries and over time. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 324-327 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.699182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.699182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:324-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Title: How to measure the progressivity of an income component Abstract: We argue that a general measure of progressivity should consider the ordering of the final incomes and not, as is usual, the ordering before the inclusion of the component being analysed. We also show that the general measure of progressivity is relevant in the decomposition of changes in the overall Gini index by components of income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 328-331 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.699181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.699181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:328-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Multiple Nash equilibria in tariff games Abstract: Unlike the case of competitive equilibria for which there is the index theorem, almost nothing is known about multiple equilibria in Nash games. Multiple Nash equilibria are hard to find computationally accounting for spare prior literature discussion. Existing numerical literature on tariff games either assumes uniqueness or uses restrictive functional forms that guarantees this is the case. Here, we show for pure exchange Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) two country models with tariffs both how the introduction of a tariff can generate multiple competitive equilibria and related examples of widely separated multiple Nash equilibria. These typically occur when substitution elasticities are low, although implied import demand elasticities can still be high if the shares of trade in consumption are small. The implication seems to be that as one moves away from the constant elasticity excess demands (offer curve) formulations used in the optimal tariff literature to explicit structural models of international trade, multiplicity of Nash equilibria may well be present. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 332-342 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.701003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.701003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:332-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid A. Alkhathlan Author-X-Name-First: Khalid A. Author-X-Name-Last: Alkhathlan Title: Contribution of oil in economic growth of Saudi Arabia Abstract: This article examines the relationship between oil production and economic growth based on time-series data of Saudi Arabia from 1971 to 2010, and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model approach for cointegration has been used. The innovative contribution of this study is to determine long-run relationship between oil production and economic growth by disaggregating oil production into domestic consumption of oil in industrial sector and revenues earned from export of oil. Results show that oil revenues have a strong positive impact on real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in both the short and the long runs, and this positive relationship holds for different specification of the model. Domestic consumption of oil in industrial sector has negative impact on GDP in both the short and the long runs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 343-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.703310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.703310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:343-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristiana Donati Author-X-Name-First: Cristiana Author-X-Name-Last: Donati Author-Name: Domenico Sarno Author-X-Name-First: Domenico Author-X-Name-Last: Sarno Title: The impact of ICT on productivity of Italian firms: evaluation of the micro-complementarity hypothesis Abstract: The seminal work of Milgrom and Roberts (1990) established that interactions between factors such as Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), organization and human capital entail a complementary relationship between these inputs; from such interactions, firms are able to exploit productivity gains arising from ICT investment. The empirical analysis is conducted on a panel of Italian manufacturing firms covering the period 2001--2006. The application of a suited System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) estimator shows that for firms engaging ICT there exists a more coherent relationship between pair inputs and also among all three inputs considered. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 349-352 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.703309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.703309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:349-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dean R. Lillard Author-X-Name-First: Dean R. Author-X-Name-Last: Lillard Author-Name: Andrew Sfekas Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Sfekas Title: Just passing through: the effect of the Master Settlement Agreement on estimated cigarette tax price pass-through Abstract: In 1998, cigarette manufacturers and state attorneys general in the United States settled a group of lawsuits in an agreement known as the Master Settlement Agreement (MSA). Among the provisions of this agreement were a set of mandated escrow payments to the states that would be based on cigarette sales. The result of these provisions is that the apparent relationship between taxes and prices changed substantially following implementation of the MSA. This article estimates whether the MSA escrow amounts are reflected in prices and compares the pass-through rate of state and federal cigarette taxes only and the rate when one adds escrow payments. We find much different pass-through rates for the two measures. State and federal taxes are not fully passed to smokers. In years that escrow payments were made, cigarette prices increased by more than the sum of the state and federal taxes and the escrow payments. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 353-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:353-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio Moral-Arce Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Arce Author-Name: Stefan Sperlich Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Sperlich Author-Name: Juan M. Rodriguez-Póo Author-X-Name-First: Juan M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Póo Title: Consumer behaviour analysis for luxury goods: a technical note for empirical studies Abstract: Today, many econometric tools are provided for studying consumer expenditures. Less attention has been paid to the fact that, when analysing expenditures for superior goods, these tools have to be adapted to some particularities that have a serious impact on the estimation outcome. First, the considered data, in our case household expenditures for jewellery in Spain, exhibit a strong censoring that must not be ignored. Second, our confidence bands show serious nonlinearities for basically all continuous covariates. Finally, it turns out that especially in the case of luxury goods, one has to control for endogeneity of the covariate ‘total expenditure’. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 358-363 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.703375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.703375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:358-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Çule Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Çule Author-Name: M. E. Fulton Author-X-Name-First: M. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Fulton Title: Corporate governance and subjective well-being Abstract: The results from a cross-country empirical analysis show that corporate governance and ethics are linked to national scores of subjective well-being. This impact is over and above the effect that corporate governance has on national income, suggesting that people value corporate governance for additional reasons besides its economic impact. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 364-367 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:364-367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Which economic freedoms influence per capita real income? Abstract: Several recent empirical studies find a strong, positive impact of economic freedom on economic growth. This finding is predicated upon the argument that increased economic freedom elevates the pace of economic activity through incentives and other means and hence generates higher economic growth. This study focuses on a similar, but not identical, potential impact of higher economic freedom levels. In particular, this study investigates the hypothesis that higher levels of economic freedom promote higher levels of economic activity and hence higher levels of per capita real income. The context of this empirical study is the 30 nations of the OECD over the study period 2003 to 2006. Panel Least Squares (PLS) estimations reveal that the level of per capita real income is an increasing function of business freedom, freedom from corruption, investment freedom, monetary freedom, government size freedom, trade freedom and property rights freedom, whereas fiscal freedom, labour freedom and financial freedom do not appear to influence per capita real income. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 368-372 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:368-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofia N. Andreou Author-X-Name-First: Sofia N. Author-X-Name-Last: Andreou Author-Name: Nicoletta Pashourtidou Author-X-Name-First: Nicoletta Author-X-Name-Last: Pashourtidou Title: A consumer demand approach to estimating the education quality component of housing cost Abstract: A consumer demand-based approach is proposed for estimating the shadow price of education relative to housing for households with children in state schools. This approach can be used together with or in place of a hedonic approach in countries in which the location of households is not disclosed in publicly available data. An empirical illustration is provided using UK data from the family expenditure surveys. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 373-376 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:373-376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Malamud Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Malamud Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: Slow growth and slow convergence in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: We expand on the sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)--Rest of World (ROW) growth difference literature and find a robust and consistently negative coefficient of an SSA dummy variable over the period 1965 to 2000. Most importantly, we find that SSA countries converge more slowly, if at all, than ROW countries. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 377-381 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:377-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Cassey Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassey Author-Name: K. Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Title: Six comparisons of firm-level and product-level data Abstract: We compare readily available product-level export data with hard-to-obtain firm-level export data along six dimensions such as value and the number of destination countries. We find the product data qualitatively match the firm-level data, but not quantitatively, particularly on dynamics. This is due to the categorization of products. However, product data can be used to establish a lower estimate on statistics compared with firm-level data that may be useful in monopolistic competition models of international trade. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 382-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:382-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Mussini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Mussini Title: A subgroup decomposition of the inequality change over time Abstract: This article proposes a subgroup decomposition of the determinants of the change in the Gini index over time. The decomposition allows one to explain the link between inequality change, reranking and income growth for the various subgroup components of the inequality index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 386-390 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:386-390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos S. Thomaidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos S. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomaidis Title: On the application of cointegration analysis in enhanced indexing Abstract: We investigate the application of cointegration techniques in designing trading portfolios that outperform a market benchmark. Of particular interest is the situation of enhanced indexation with incomplete portfolios, that is, by imposing a limit on the maximum number of assets included in the portfolio. We present a technique for solving cardinality-constrained portfolio selection problems using cointegration analysis. We investigate the empirical performance of cointegration-based trading strategies in the context of benchmarking portfolios relative to a common stock market index. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 391-396 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.705420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.705420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:391-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Peri Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Peri Author-Name: Lucia Baldi Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Baldi Author-Name: Daniela Vandone Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Vandone Title: Price discovery in commodity markets Abstract: This article investigates the long-run relationship between spot and futures prices for corn and soybean. We apply cointegration methodology, allowing for the presence of potentially unknown structural breaks and then study the causality relationships between spot and futures prices within each specific subperiod identified with the aim of analysing the price discovery. Empirical estimates highlight (i) multiple breaks exist in the cointegrating relationship between prices and (ii) subperiods consequently identified express different dynamics in the causal relationship between spot and futures prices and support the idea that fundamentals are important in explaining the 2007/08 food price increase. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 397-403 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:397-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Tamakoshi Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tamakoshi Author-Name: S. Hamori Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Dynamic linkages among cross-currency swap markets under stress Abstract: This article examines the impacts of the European sovereign debt crisis on the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) between three European currencies (EUR, CHF and GBP) and the US dollar for 1-year maturities. We found that the correlation between each pair of the swap prices significantly fluctuated over time and exhibited a higher co-movement during the crisis period, suggesting a higher degree of market integration. Importantly, applying a linear regression framework with a crisis dummy variable to the derived DCC, we find evidence of spillover effects of the sovereign debt turbulence to the cross-currency swap markets, as reflected in the increased co-movement between the EUR/USD and CHF/USD swap prices. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 404-409 Issue: 4 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:4:p:404-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Ilker Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Ilker Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Author-Name: Samer Kherfi Author-X-Name-First: Samer Author-X-Name-Last: Kherfi Title: Do changes in consumers' home buying attitudes predict directional change in home sales? Abstract: The Survey of Consumers probes consumer sentiment on personal finances, business conditions and buying conditions. We focus on the latter category by examining the surveys question ‘Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to buy a house?’ and the follow-up question ‘Why do you say so?’ The responses to these questions provide us with several measures of consumers' home buying attitudes. We show that changes in survey data on home buying attitudes (measured by consumers' assessments of current and future mortgage interest rates and house prices) accurately predict the direction of change in home sales 3 months later. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 411-415 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:411-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Mongeon Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Mongeon Author-Name: Neil Longley Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Longley Title: A methodology for identifying the impacted groups in referee discrimination studies Abstract: This article presents an empirical methodology that allows one to identify the group being discriminated against by sport referees. Reestimating Price and Wolfers (2010, PW) discrimination in foul-calling analysis with our methodology, we find evidence that only black players are discriminated against. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 416-419 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:416-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eleftherios Goulas Author-X-Name-First: Eleftherios Author-X-Name-Last: Goulas Author-Name: Athina Zervoyianni Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Zervoyianni Title: Economic growth and crime: does uncertainty matter? Abstract: This article contributes to the crime literature by exploring how the crime--uncertainty interaction impacts on economic growth. Using a panel of 25 countries over the period 1991 to 2007, we find evidence suggesting that increased crime has an asymmetric effect on growth depending on the future prospects of the economy as reflected in the degree of macroeconomic uncertainty. In particular, our results indicate that higher-than-average macroeconomic uncertainty enhances the adverse impact of crime on growth implying that a 10% increase in the crime rate can reduce annual per-capita GDP growth by between 0.49% and 0.62%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 420-427 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:420-427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basil Al-Najjar Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Najjar Author-Name: Mohammed M. Elgammal Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elgammal Title: Innovation and credit ratings, does it matter? UK evidence Abstract: This study investigates the under-researched topic of credit rating predictions in the United Kingdom, using a sample of credit rated firms from FTSE 350 nonfinancial firms for the period 1999 to 2008. We aim to provide further insights regarding the credit ratings--capital structure hypothesis and to test whether innovation impacts credit ratings. We employed logit model and ordered probit analysis. Our results show that credit ratings are improved by innovation, profitability, growth, size, and reduction of leverage and business risk. However, firms with more innovation activities than internal optimum level have lower ratings. These results provide evidence that credit ratings can be viewed within the context of capital structure theory. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 428-431 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:428-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Beccarini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Beccarini Title: Economic reforms and the indirect role of monetary policy Abstract: Due to pressure from some lobbies, the government is unwilling to perform structural reforms. The probability of its re-election depends, however, on a positive business cycle. The central bank may create surprise deflation even though it maximizes the public's utility function and even if it faces a rational market. This may explain why the European Central Bank (ECB), but not the US Federal Reserve (FED), is found to be unaffected by the inflation bias. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 432-435 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:432-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Serenis Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Serenis Title: Does exchange rate volatility hinder export flows for South American countries? Abstract: This article examines the influence of exchange rate volatility on exports for three South American countries (Bolivia, Colombia and Guyana) in the period January 1973 to February 2010. Using a new measure of volatility, a significant negative relationship is found between aggregate exports and volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 436-439 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:436-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julianne Treme Author-X-Name-First: Julianne Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Author-Name: Lee A. Craig Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Craig Title: Celebrity star power: Do age and gender effects influence box office performance? Abstract: Celebrity media exposure is an increasingly strong source of actor popularity and is a viable star power variable that focuses on the impact of celebrity, not acting talent. Using People to calculate an actor's popularity, we analyse how the gender and age of a movie's lead actors affect box office success using quantile regression. We find that male celebrity media exposure can positively impact the success of a movie, whereas female celebrity exposure tends to decrease box office revenues. The results also suggest that although it may be harder for older actresses to land a lead role, it is actually the older male actors who lack the ability to carry a movie. The results highlight that a linear regression may not be the optimal solution to assess the relationship between star power and box office revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 440-445 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:440-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Muhammad Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Muhammad Title: Estimating import demand in the presence of seasonal trade and unobserved prices Abstract: Estimating import demand is particularly difficult when trade is seasonal because prices do not exist for observations with no recorded transaction. Fresh apple imports in the United Kingdom provide a perfect case of this particular problem due to periodic trade. In this study, the differenced version of the almost ideal demand system is employed for estimating import demand by source and an iterative procedure is developed for deriving choke prices (prices at which imports are zero) and import demand estimates. The appeal of this procedure is that the final estimates and choke prices are not sensitive to the starting values used for the initial estimation. When comparing the results of the choke price procedure to a more traditional approach of eliminating zeros by aggregating across countries, significant differences emerge. Results clearly show that the aggregate estimates do not adequately reflect the pattern of UK imports from seasonal suppliers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 446-451 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.709595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.709595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:446-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Wijeweera Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Wijeweera Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Title: J-curve disparity between the goods sector and the services sector: evidence from Australia Abstract: The J-curve effect phenomenon suggests that the currency devaluation would worsen the trade balance in the short run, but improve it in the long run. This article uses quarterly Australian data over the period 1988 to 2011 to examine whether J-curve effects are different between the two main components of the trade account: the goods sector and the services sector. Using the bound testing approach to cointegration and error correction modelling, we find some evidence to support the J-curve phenomenon, but the impact of real exchange rate on the trade account seems complex. While the services sector displays a J-curve effect, the goods sector response is quite the opposite: it has a positive response in the short run, but a weak negative response in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 452-456 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.707765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.707765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:452-456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Lamotte Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Lamotte Author-Name: Thomas Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Author-Name: Christophe Schalck Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Schalck Author-Name: Stephan Silvestre Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Silvestre Title: Asymmetric gasoline price responses in France Abstract: This article examines the response of gasoline prices in France to shocks to crude oil prices in the international market. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach of cointegration, we investigate potential price asymmetries in the French diesel and premium gasoline markets using weekly data over the period from May 1990 to April 2011. We find that gasoline prices gradually adjust towards a long-term equilibrium after a shock to the crude oil price, but this adjustment is lower when the crude oil price decreases than when it increases. We also find that the estimates differ slightly depending on the chosen gasoline price. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 457-461 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Blankmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Blankmeyer Title: Exploring Theil's best linear indexes Abstract: Theil (1960) estimates price and quantity indexes jointly by orthogonal regression. This letter shows how to bootstrap Theil's indexes and how to detect outliers. Aggregation issues are discussed, and the methodology is applied to a cross section of nursing facilities. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 462-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:462-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Public sector unions and government size Abstract: Although various studies have concluded that public sector unions raise wages and employment for members, very little research has examined whether public sector unionism influences the overall size of state and local government. The relationship is examined within a pooled data set on all states over selected years during 2003--2010. Wide variation in union membership trends across states provides a rich data set to examine. Empirical results indicate that 10 percentage point increases in public union membership raise several measures of government size within a range of 2.25--4.25%. A similar increase in union membership is estimated to raise annual real wages by $1603 for the average government worker, which amounts to a rise of 3.48%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 466-470 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:466-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoping Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The role of heterogeneous expectations in forward exchange market Abstract: We build a Markov regime switching model to examine the role of heterogeneous expectations in the forward exchange market, where the regime could be fundamentalists or chartists. Our empirical analysis of EUR/USD and USD/JPY forward markets suggest that the fundamen-talists who follow negative feedback rule provide a mean-reverting dynamics into the market, while the chartists who follow positive feedback rule would reinforce the forward exchange rate movement. Finally, we find the chartists tend to switch to fundamentalists when the forward rate deviates away from its equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 471-475 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:471-475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Magonis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Magonis Author-Name: Andreas Tsopanakis Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Tsopanakis Title: Real interest rate parity in OECD countries: new evidence from time series and panel cointegration techniques Abstract: We examine the existence of Real Interest Rate Parity (RIRP) for a number of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Using time series techniques, we manage to identify cointegrating relationships. For a subset of countries our findings suggest the existence of a structural break. The panel results are also in favour of the RIRP. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 476-479 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.667540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.667540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:476-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Giles Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Constructing confidence bands for the Hodrick--Prescott filter Abstract: By noting that the Hodrick--Prescott (H--P) filter can be used as the solution to a particular regression problem, we are able to show how to construct confidence bands for the filtered time-series. This procedure requires that the data are stationary. The construction of such confidence bands is illustrated using annual US data for real value-added output and monthly US data for the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 480-484 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:480-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Benrud Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Benrud Title: Was there an option-listing effect for the IRX options? Abstract: Properties of the 3-month Treasury bill rate changed on and around the listing date of the IRX options for which the Treasury bill rate is the underlying. The level of return declined, the volatility declined and dummy variables for the day of listing and the 2 days after are negative and significant in an econometric model. The changes are consistent with the option-listing effect observed with the listing of options on stocks and American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 485-488 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:485-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Currency crises, uncertain fundamentals and private-sector forecasts Abstract: The cross-sectional dispersion of private-sector forecasts has been used in recent research on currency crises as a measure of uncertainty over expected fundamentals. We argue that the cross-sectional dispersion of private-sector forecasts need not only reflect uncertainty over expected fundamentals but may also arise due to a deliberate scattering of forecasts. Using data on foreign exchange (FX) reserve forecasts for 11 South-American and Eastern-European countries, we report evidence of such a forecast scattering that seems more pronounced during the economic crisis of 2008/09. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 489-494 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.716149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.716149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:489-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Estefania Santacreu-Vasut Author-X-Name-First: Estefania Author-X-Name-Last: Santacreu-Vasut Author-Name: Amir Shoham Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Shoham Author-Name: Victor Gay Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Gay Title: Do female/male distinctions in language matter? Evidence from gender political quotas Abstract: This article studies the determinants of gender political quota and enforcement sanctions, two key policy instruments for increasing female participation in politics. We find a novel empirical fact: language (the pervasiveness of gender distinctions in grammar) is the most significant related variable to quota adoption, more than traditional explanations such as economic development, political system and religion. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 495-498 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:495-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Waël Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Waël Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Author-Name: Hachmi Ben Ameur Author-X-Name-First: Hachmi Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Ameur Title: Do the US trends drive the UK--French market linkages?: empirical evidence from a threshold intraday analysis Abstract: This article investigates the impact of US stock market openings on linkages between the UK and French markets. Using intraday data over the period December 2004 to March 2009, we find significant time-varying dependence between the UK and French stock returns, which alter according to the state of the US market. Indeed, not only does the opening of the US market itself significantly affect the UK stock dependency, but such linkages also seem to be closely dependent on bearish or bullish US market trends. Interestingly, the estimation of a two-regime Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model indicates that the bearish US trends are a source of minor linkage (lower regime), whereas the bullish US trends involve higher interdependency (upper regime). This finding is particularly interesting as following the US trend expectations enables us to better forecast future European stock prices and to calculate the level of their potential contagion effects. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 499-503 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:499-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harold Creusen Author-X-Name-First: Harold Author-X-Name-Last: Creusen Author-Name: Arjan Lejour Author-X-Name-First: Arjan Author-X-Name-Last: Lejour Title: Market entry and economic diplomacy Abstract: This article analyses the role of economic diplomacy on the export market entry decisions of Dutch firms. We show that the presence of government support offices in middle-income countries and government trade missions stimulate Dutch firms to enter export markets in these countries. These conclusions follow from using detailed international trade data combined with firm and export market characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 504-507 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:504-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Edward W. McLaughlin Author-X-Name-First: Edward W. Author-X-Name-Last: McLaughlin Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Salience and taxation: salience effect versus information effect Abstract: Posting tax-inclusive price tags on grocery products can reduce demand through an information effect that corrects consumers who misperceive the actual tax status. We disentangle the information effect from the salience effect developed by Chetty, Looney and Kroft (2009, CLK for short). By utilizing CLK's survey finding that 20% of shoppers mistakenly think there is no sales tax on toothpaste, we show that the information effect actually explains 31% of the sales drop in CLK's field study. Therefore, ignoring the information effect may overestimate the salience effect by a large degree. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 508-510 Issue: 5 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:5:p:508-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos González-Aguado Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: González-Aguado Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Title: Determinants of corporate default: a BMA approach Abstract: In this article, we aim to identify the main determinants of corporate default by considering Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) techniques. Our empirical findings suggest that the most robust determinants of firm default are firm-specific variables such as the ratio of working capital to total assets and the SD of the firm stock return. In contrast, aggregate variables do not seem to play a relevant role once firm-specific characteristics (observable and unobservable) and model uncertainty are taken into consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 511-514 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:511-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-François Arvis Author-X-Name-First: Jean-François Author-X-Name-Last: Arvis Author-Name: Ben Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Title: The Poisson quasi-maximum likelihood estimator: a solution to the ‘adding up’ problem in gravity models Abstract: This article shows that the Poisson Quasi-Maximum Likelihood (QML) estimator applied to the gravity model produces estimates in which, summing across all partners, actual and estimated total trade flows are identical. Other methods such as OLS do not have this desirable property. Indeed, Poisson is the only QML estimator that preserves total trade flows. This result is an additional reason for preferring Poisson as a workhorse gravity model estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 515-519 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:515-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shao-Chi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shao-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ming-Tse Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Tse Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Long-run performance of mergers and acquisition of privately held targets: evidence in the USA Abstract: In this study, we examine the long-run performance of firms acquiring privately held targets. Past studies have documented a positive market reaction to the announcement of Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) of privately held targets. The M&As of privately held targets involve uncertain information, which investors are more likely to misestimate. In this study, we tested the long-run performances of acquiring firms and found negative results. We further found that the stock performance of acquiring firms was superior prior to the M&A. Our results suggest that investors may over-extrapolate prior good performance and that the long-run reversed return corrects the overestimation in response to announcements of M&A. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 520-524 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:520-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyung-Gun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyung-Gun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sang Young Jei Author-X-Name-First: Sang Young Author-X-Name-Last: Jei Title: Empirical test for purchasing power parity using a time-varying parameter model: Japan and Korea cases Abstract: This study examines the validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for Japan and Korea by using a smooth time-varying cointegrating regression model. When we use the usual approaches, including unit root and cointegration tests, we fail to find the existence of the PPP for Japan and Korea. However, we find there is a time-varying cointegrating relationship between the logarithm of nominal exchange rates and the logarithm of the Producer Price Indices (PPI) ratio for Japan and Korea. This relationship does support the PPP theory. Moreover, we also find that the exact PPP theory holds for some periods in Japan and Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 525-529 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.689109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.689109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:525-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarko Fidrmuc Author-X-Name-First: Jarko Author-X-Name-Last: Fidrmuc Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: Financial development and the magnitude of business cycle fluctuations in OECD countries Abstract: We study empirically how the development of financial systems influences the magnitude of output growth fluctuations in a sample of OECD countries between 1995 and 2005. While the development of banking sectors is not significantly related to the magnitude of macroeconomic fluctuations, countries characterized by developed stock markets experience less pronounced fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 530-533 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:530-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivo Ph. Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Ivo Ph. Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Author-Name: Lee W. Sanning Author-X-Name-First: Lee W. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanning Author-Name: Nathan V. Stuart Author-X-Name-First: Nathan V. Author-X-Name-Last: Stuart Title: On the relation between the relative size of acquisitions and the wealth of acquiring firms Abstract: There are dozens of studies in the mergers and acquisitions literature that include the relative size of an acquisition as an additive control variable in models explaining acquisition wealth effects. A majority of these studies document a positive coefficient estimate on relative size, but many document a negative coefficient estimate instead. Our study demonstrates that these seemingly contradictory findings stem from a misspecification of the functional form of the relation between Cumulative Abnormal Returns (CAR) and relative size. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 534-539 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:534-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David C. Broadstock Author-X-Name-First: David C. Author-X-Name-Last: Broadstock Author-Name: Xun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: A possible role for discriminatory fuel duty in reducing the emissions from road transport: some UK evidence Abstract: It is shown that the relative demands for gasoline and diesel fuels are price-responsive. Given the differing emissions-based externalities from these two fuel types, it is contended that discriminatory fuel duty might be a means to reduce these externalities. Results are derived from an Almost Ideal Demand System with time-varying technological progress, estimated using a bootstrap procedure given the nonnormalities and relative small sample sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 540-544 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.714059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.714059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:540-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Trezzi Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Trezzi Title: Perfect risk-sharing restrictions in the state space Abstract: I propose a state-space approach to test for international risk sharing at different horizons. Running the tests on US data vis-à-vis the rest of the world, I find that market incompleteness is pervasive: the null is rejected at all horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 545-548 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:545-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew T. Young Author-X-Name-First: Andrew T. Author-X-Name-Last: Young Author-Name: Hernando Zuleta Author-X-Name-First: Hernando Author-X-Name-Last: Zuleta Title: Remeasuring labour's share Abstract: Krueger (1999) provides a measure of ‘raw’ labour's share for the US post-war economy based on Mincerian regressions. He finds that raw labour's share fell by over 8 percentage points from 1959 to 1996. We provide an alternative estimate using direct observations on the wage rates of raw labour units, i.e. those with 8 years of education or less; aged 16--18 years. Our measure of raw labour's share is considerably higher on average than Krueger's. Furthermore, our measure rises during the later part of the sample and is over 22% by 1996. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 549-553 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Income elasticity of poverty in developing countries: updated estimates from new data Abstract: New data on poverty released by World Bank in March 2012 are used to provide estimates of income (growth) elasticity of poverty for 2005--2008 and to compare these with two earlier periods. Five points are noted. First, there is a big drop in the overall elasticity for developing countries for 2005--2008, indicating a considerably weaker response of poverty to increased income. Second, the drop is particularly sharp for $1.25 poverty rate but is fairly substantial for $2.00 line also. Third, the fall largely reflects a slowdown in poverty reduction in China from the extremely high declines in previous periods and the consequent drop in the elasticities for that country. Fourth, the elasticities, particularly that for $2.00 line, continue to be extremely low in poverty-dense India where $2.00 poverty rate is still higher than that even in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Fifth, the good progress towards the poverty goal of the Millennium Declaration is once again noted to be almost entirely due to the huge poverty declines that have occurred in China. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 554-558 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:554-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorenzo Corsini Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Corsini Title: Is there really no link between international trade and wage differentials? Abstract: This article investigates empirically the relationship between international trade (in particular with non-OECD countries) and wage differentials of workers with different skills. We examine years from 1996 to 2005 in several countries and, whereas past studies (using data from previous years) had not detected any relevant relationship, we find a clean-cut positive effect of imports from non-OECD countries on differentials. In addition, we find evidence that technological change is having a polarization effect on wages. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 559-565 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:559-565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Capital account liberalization and unemployment in industrial countries Abstract: Using data on 21 industrial countries over 1973 to 2005, this article finds that the liberalization of capital accounts implemented during this period has probably reduced unemployment. The magnitude of the estimated effect is substantial. We control for both endogeneity of capital account regulation and all major determinants of unemployment. The results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 566-571 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:566-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aberra Senbeta Author-X-Name-First: Aberra Author-X-Name-Last: Senbeta Title: Remittances and the sources of growth Abstract: This article studies the effects of remittances on economic growth and the sources of growth:capital accumulation and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth. This approach is different from previous studies, in that, it focuses on the transmission mechanism instead of the impact of remittances on economic growth. We find that remittances have conflicting effects on the two sources of growth: capital accumulation and productivity growth. Remittances have a significantly positive impact on capital accumulation while the impact on TFP growth is insignificant. These findings suggest that while remittances enhance investment and contribute to physical capital accumulation, the lack of efficiency enhancing effect or possible adverse impact on TFP growth would make the net effect on economic growth ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 572-580 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:572-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bobby Davis Author-X-Name-First: Bobby Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Author-Name: Louis Whitesides Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Whitesides Title: The intertemporal stability of the US money demand function: new evidence from switching regressions Abstract: The demand for money remains one of the topics most extensively studied in macroeconomics. This article contributes to the debate on the money demand stability and presents further evidence of a structural shift in the US money demand function. The switching regression technique developed by Goldfeld and Quandt (1972) shows that the US money demand function displays a gradual structural break during the 1994--1995 period. The traditional Goldfeld money demand model was estimated by the nonlinear optimization methods. Consumer and corporate interest rates were included in the model specifications. In all specifications, the results show a two-regime money demand model with a significant structural shift common to the 1994--1995 period. The study period from 1966:I to 2009:IV suggests that any identified shift is the most significant break in the series. Thus, this study demonstrates that the most significant transition from the first to the second regime is gradual rather than abrupt, as suggested by the previous studies. We believe that the cause of the gradual break may be associated with the US recession in the 1992--1993 period. This finding suggests that a two-regime demand model can be used in US money demand analysis and forecasting in future. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 581-586 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:581-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beldi Amira Author-X-Name-First: Beldi Author-X-Name-Last: Amira Author-Name: Djelassi Mouldi Author-X-Name-First: Djelassi Author-X-Name-Last: Mouldi Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Growth effects of inflation targeting revisited: empirical evidence from emerging markets Abstract: This study investigates the impact of Inflation Targeting (IT) on real economic growth and real economic growth volatility for a panel of 36 emerging economies from 1979 to 2009. The results suggest that although IT regime results in higher economic growth, it does not necessarily guarantee a more stable growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 587-591 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.718054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:587-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Bouvier Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Bouvier Author-Name: Tahir M. Nisar Author-X-Name-First: Tahir M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nisar Title: Managerial capital and firm types: findings from private bond contracts Abstract: Field experiments have variously discovered that modern management practices enhance productivity, but not all firms adopt such practices. In this study, we examine private bond contracts used by the public house operators to explore if such variations are due to the differences in the types of the firms. Bond covenants make management actions in areas such as acquisitions and disposals contingent on meeting specified performance targets. We find that managed firms that provide greater flexibility in managing their operations are more responsive to these constraints than tenanted firms. The significant variations in the propensity of the firms to respond to covenant restrictions suggest that firms vary in their capacity to take different management actions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 592-595 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:592-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elitza Mileva Author-X-Name-First: Elitza Author-X-Name-Last: Mileva Title: Voluntary private sector involvement and the financial crisis in emerging Europe Abstract: In 2009, as part of the European Bank Coordination Initiative (also known as the Vienna Initiative (VI)), foreign banks with significant interests in emerging Europe signed voluntary commitment letters to maintain exposure to five countries as long as their International Monetary Fund/European Union (IMF/EU) stabilization programmes remained on track. Using panel regressions based on international bank lending data for 19 emerging European states for 2000--2010, this article shows that countries with Stand-by Arrangements with the IMF attracted less foreign bank lending than justified by fundamentals. However, countries that obtained official financing and participated in the VI did not experience the decline in foreign private loans associated with IMF programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 596-600 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.724157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.724157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:596-600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: A Monte Carlo test for the identifying assumptions of the Blanchard and Quah (1989) model Abstract: In their VAR model, Blanchard and Quah (BQ, 1989) employed uncorrelatedness between Aggregate Supply (AS) and Aggregate Demand (AD) shocks and the long-run output neutrality condition as identifying assumptions. This article conducts a simple Monte Carlo experiment to gauge how well the BQ procedure can approximate the true structure if the underlying assumptions of uncorrelatedness and long-run output neutrality are not supported by data. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 601-605 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:601-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio del Rosal Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: del Rosal Title: Delivery terms in international trade: some evidence for Spain Abstract: Although there is abundant literature on the analysis of transportation costs in international trade, there are practically no studies concerning delivery terms defined in the International Commercial Terms (Incoterms). This article aims to take a first step using the information on Incoterms usage provided by the Spanish Foreign Trade Statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 606-610 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:606-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iwan Bos Author-X-Name-First: Iwan Author-X-Name-Last: Bos Author-Name: Ronald Peeters Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Peeters Author-Name: Erik Pot Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Pot Title: Do antitrust agencies facilitate meetings in smoke-filled rooms? Abstract: This article identifies a potential adverse effect of antitrust enforcement. We show that if tacit collusion is not sustainable, firms are able and willing to collude explicitly when demand is viscous, the expected antitrust penalty is limited and antitrust agencies are sufficiently effective in catching cartels. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 611-614 Issue: 6 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:611-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroaki Miyamoto Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Miyamoto Title: Ins and outs of the long-run unemployment dynamics Abstract: This article studies the contribution of inflow and outflow rates to the unemployment dynamics in the long-run. I find that both inflow and outflow rates contribute significantly to variation in the long-run trend in the unemployment rate in both the United States and Japan. In the United States, the inflow and outflow rates account for roughly similar proportions of overall unemployment variability in the long run. On the other hand, in Japan, the inflow rate accounts for much of unemployment variation in the long run, and the contribution of the inflow rate to overall unemployment fluctuation is around 62%. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 615-620 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:615-620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: Interpolating flow and stock variables in a continuous-time dynamic framework Abstract: A continuous-time dynamic interpolation method for deriving high-frequency data is illustrated by deriving monthly data from quarterly data on two US macroeconomic variables: industrial production as a flow variable and the money supply as a stock variable. Analysis of the actual and interpolated series shows that they do not differ significantly in terms of the basic statistics and that they are cointegrated with a cointegarting vector of (--1,0,1). Unlike other interpolation methods, this method distinguishes between stock and flow variables. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 621-625 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:621-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Ebersberger Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Ebersberger Author-Name: Sverre J. Herstad Author-X-Name-First: Sverre J. Author-X-Name-Last: Herstad Title: The relationship between international innovation collaboration, intramural R&D and SMEs’ innovation performance: a quantile regression approach Abstract: In the current global economic landscape, it is virtually impossible for any single firm to stay abreast of all relevant technological advances. Thus integration in global innovation networks is becoming more and more important for competitiveness and growth. However, the fact that international collaboration is organizationally demanding raises important questions concerning the relative importance of international collaboration and intramural R&D for innovation performance, and how they interact in determining it. These questions are particularly relevant in the context of SMEs due to the narrower internal knowledge bases of smaller organizations. In the following they are investigated using Norwegian innovation survey data and quantile regression. Firms in the upper quantile of the innovation performance distribution face a trade-off between engaging in global innovation collaboration and engaging in systematic R&D, where both individually have a positive effect. This is consistent with baseline OLS findings. By contrast, firms in the lower quantiles of the distribution are found to strengthen their performance by means of R&D only. Consequently, the baseline OLS regression results fail to capture the determinants of innovation performance for the population of SMEs that are not already strong innovation performers. This leads to a risk of excessive SME innovation policy emphasis on inducing international collaboration. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 626-630 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.724158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.724158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:626-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Leandro de Moura Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Leandro Author-X-Name-Last: de Moura Author-Name: Jaime de Jesus Filho Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: de Jesus Filho Author-Name: Paulo S�rgio Braga Tafner Author-X-Name-First: Paulo S�rgio Braga Author-X-Name-Last: Tafner Author-Name: Ligia Helena da Cruz Ourives Author-X-Name-First: Ligia Helena Author-X-Name-Last: da Cruz Ourives Title: Social security effects on income distribution: a counterfactual analysis for Brazil Abstract: One of the reasons for the existence of social security systems is that they function as an income redistribution mechanism (Diamond, 1977). Nevertheless, there is no obvious consensus about this social security property. We test it to the Brazilian case and try to answer an additional question: is the trend of social security systems increasingly progressive or regressive? We conclude that the changes in Brazilian Social Security legislation reduced inequality between 1987 and 1996, but only for the elderly. For the other age groups, there is a stable trend. Results for the period between 1996 and 2006 reveal that the Brazilian system is neutral for all cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 631-637 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.725922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.725922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:631-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan J. Ashby Author-X-Name-First: Nathan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ashby Author-Name: Avilia Bueno Author-X-Name-First: Avilia Author-X-Name-Last: Bueno Author-Name: Deborah Mart�nez Villarreal Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Mart�nez Author-X-Name-Last: Villarreal Title: The determinants of immigration from Mexico to the United States: a state-to-state analysis Abstract: The determinants of undocumented immigration flows from Mexican states to US states utilizing data recently released by the Mexican Consulate are analysed. The results generally support that immigrants tend towards states with higher Mexican immigrant populations, shorter distances, higher wages and smaller populations. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 638-641 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:638-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Homo certus in professional basketball? Empirical evidence from the 2011 NBA Playoffs Abstract: The current article builds on Berri and Eschker's (2005) research on the impact of crunch time, or pressure-packed performance, in professional basketball by searching for changes in individual player performance near the end of the game. In this way, our study is similar to the study of Savage and Torgler (2012), which examined World Cup soccer performances. Here, we focus solely on National Basketball Association (NBA) Playoff games (from 2011), which are the most stressful games to players. The empirical analyses presented in this study generally confirm earlier research contending that the existence of a prime time or clutch player in the NBA is a myth. On the contrary, our work supports the idea that professional basketball fans often exhibit confirmation bias, wherein they tend to overweight clutch performances that support their a priori beliefs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 642-648 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:642-648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Condliffe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Condliffe Author-Name: Charles R. Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Link Author-Name: Shreekant Parasuraman Author-X-Name-First: Shreekant Author-X-Name-Last: Parasuraman Author-Name: Michael F. Pollack Author-X-Name-First: Michael F. Author-X-Name-Last: Pollack Title: The effects of hypertension and obesity on total health-care expenditures of diabetes patients in the United States Abstract: We identify a representative sample of US diabetes patients with comorbid hypertension and obesity and then evaluate health-care expenditures in this population across comorbidity categories. The underlying hypothesis is that the presence of comorbid obesity and hypertension poses an additional burden on patients with diabetes, thus impacting their overall resource utilization. More than one-third of diabetes patients suffer from comorbid obesity and hypertension, which outnumbers diabetes patients with neither or only one of these comorbidities. The results of multivariate regressions clearly show the significant impact these comorbidities have on the health-care expenditures of the diabetes population. For example, a person with diabetes and obesity has health-care expenditures 14% greater than a diabetes patient without obesity. Adding hypertension to a diabetes patient raises health-care expenditures by 26%. Finally, diabetes patients with both comorbid obesity and hypertension -- the fastest growing group of diabetes patients -- have health-care expenditures 40% higher than those without these comorbidities. Our results indicate that diabetes patients are placing an increasing strain on health-care resources, and health-care providers should consider the management of comorbid hypertension and/or obesity, as these have significant effects on resource utilization and expenditures beyond the underlying diabetes condition. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 649-652 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:649-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Structural breaks and nonlinearity in US and UK public debts Abstract: This article investigates the short-term dynamics of public debts in the United States and the United Kingdom over more than four decades. We check for structural changes in the data and assess nonlinearity and switching-regime hypotheses using several linearity tests. Our findings point to multiple structural breaks due to economic downturns, oil shocks and financial and political instability. We also identify different regimes for which the adjustment is asymmetric and nonlinear, in particular, since 2003 and around the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 653-657 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Poschke Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Poschke Title: ‘Entrepreneurs out of necessity’: a snapshot Abstract: ‘Entrepreneurs out of necessity’ as identified by the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) survey are a sizeable group across countries. This article documents that they tend to have low education, run smaller firms, expect their firms to grow less, but are likely to stay in the market. This evidence matters for policy supporting small businesses. It is a challenge for existing theories of heterogeneous firms and points to the importance of heterogeneous outside options. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 658-663 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:658-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bilin Neyapti Author-X-Name-First: Bilin Author-X-Name-Last: Neyapti Title: Turkey's experience with disinflation: where did all the welfare gains go? Abstract: This article measures the welfare gains from disinflation in Turkey during the 2000s. Estimated welfare gains exceed the real output gains, which is likely to arise from persisting allocative inefficiencies, pointing at the need for further structural and institutional reforms for the benefits of price stability to be utilized towards achieving sustainable development. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 664-668 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.727970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:664-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending Abstract: We use a panel of developed and emerging countries for the period 1970 to 2008 to assess the cyclicality of education, health and social security government spending. We mostly find acyclical behaviour, but evidence also points to counter-cyclicality for social security spending, particularly in OECD countries, consistent with the operation of automatic stabilizers. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 669-672 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:669-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Gao Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Scott Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Title: The effect of assassinations on political institutions: Are the Jones--Olken findings robust? Abstract: Jones and Olken (JO; 2009) report that the outcome of an assassination attempt -- whether it is successful or not -- matters for political institutions. We question how these institutions are classified. Revisiting their methodology shows that their findings are generally robust to reasonable differences in classification, thereby strengthening their conclusions that leadership and luck matter for political outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 673-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:673-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Podlich Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Podlich Author-Name: M. Wedow Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wedow Title: Are insurers SIFIs? A MGARCH model to measure interconnectedness Abstract: We examine whether insurance companies should, like banks, be regulated as Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFIs). For this purpose, we empirically model the interconnectedness between different sectors of the financial system with a multivariate GARCH model using the information content of Credit Default Swap (CDS) prices. Our findings suggest that large insurers transmit risks to other parts of the financial system. The magnitude of these contagion effects is substantially lower than those of large banks that are currently treated as SIFIs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 677-681 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:677-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Xiliang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiliang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The relative importance of the Chinese stimulus package and tax stabilization during the 2008 financial crisis Abstract: The general presumption in the policy literature has been that China's sustained high growth since 2008 and the global financial crisis (with a dip in Q1 2009) have been heavily reflections of the November 2008 4-trillion Renminbi stimulus package. Less attention has been paid to the revenue side of the government account, even though immediately following the onset of the crisis, government revenues fell after growing at roughly 30% annually pre-crisis. The issue we address in this article is the relative importance of expenditure stimulus and tax stabilization after the onset of the 2008 crisis. We use a Keynesian macroeconomic model of China recast in changes form to quantitatively evaluate the relative importance of the stimulus and automatic tax stabilization components. Our simulation results indicate that without the stimulus package, the economic growth in 2009 would have been only 6.8%, and without slowed growth of government revenues, the growth rate in 2009 would have been only 6.0%. Our conclusion is that while increases in government spending and revenue reduction stimulus from automatic revenue responses both contributed to the speedy recovery of the Chinese economy from the crisis, the tax side may have contributed more than the expenditure side. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 682-686 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.730128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.730128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:682-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Author-Name: Marie-Helene Le Manchec Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Helene Author-X-Name-Last: Le Manchec Title: Heterogeneity in the allocation of external public financing: evidence from post-MDRI countries Abstract: This article revisits the evidence on the allocation of external public financing to post-MDRI countries while controlling for heterogeneity across recipient economies through quantile regressions. The results show that donors were more selective in terms of institutional quality when allocating aid to countries with the highest income per capita in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 687-691 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2011.652774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2011.652774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:687-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: International mobility of capital in the OECD countries: a robust evidence from panel data estimators Abstract: This study estimates the Feldstein and Horioka (FH, 1980) model and examines the International Mobility of Capital (IMC) for a balanced panel of 24 OECD countries. The results provide consistent support for moderate mobility of capital and for cointegrating relationship between domestic saving and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 692-696 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.732683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.732683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:692-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Levent Bulut Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Bulut Title: Current account dynamics and degree of capital mobility Abstract: By modelling the current account balances (as a percentage of GDP) in a dynamic AR(1) model, Taylor (2002) proposed to use speed of mean reversion of the dynamics of the current account as a tool for measurement of capital mobility and confirmed the stylized fact of U-Shape degree of capital mobility through the last two centuries with this new approach. With the assumption that countries obey their Long-Run Budget Constraint (LRBC), the OLS estimate of the degree of current account persistency in Taylor (2002) is downward bias due to small sample and high serial correlation of current account ratios with its lags. By correcting these biases with the Andrews (1993) exact median-unbiased estimation, we find that the confidence intervals for half-life estimates include 1 year (which was used as a benchmark) in 37 out of 75 country--period cases, which cast some doubt on the use of half-life estimate as a practical measure of capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 697-701 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.720008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.720008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:697-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Dijkgraaf Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dijkgraaf Author-Name: R. H. J. M. Gradus Author-X-Name-First: R. H. J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gradus Title: Cost advantage cooperations larger than private waste collectors Abstract: For refuse collection, we estimate the cost effects of different institutional modes using panel data for almost all Dutch municipalities between 1998 and 2010. The modes we consider are private enterprises, intermunicipal cooperation, municipality-owned enterprises and in-house collection. For private companies, the cost advantage becomes substantially smaller and nonsignificant if municipal fixed effects are included. The cost advantage of intermunicipal cooperation is larger in this case than that of privatization. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 702-705 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.732682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.732682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:702-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Celia Bilbao-Terol Author-X-Name-First: Celia Author-X-Name-Last: Bilbao-Terol Author-Name: Verónica Cañal-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Verónica Author-X-Name-Last: Cañal-Fernández Title: The price of secondary school quality: a hedonic approach Abstract: The aim of this article is to calculate the market valuation of quality characteristics and locational attributes of private secondary school in Spain. In order to achieve this, a hedonic price regression is estimated. The quality characteristics of a school appear to be important determinants of tuition in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 706-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.732684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.732684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:706-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Title: Red cards, referee home bias and social pressure: evidence from English Premiership Soccer Abstract: This article uses player/match-level data from five seasons of the English Premiership League (EPL) to test for home bias and referee susceptibility to social pressure in the application of the most stringent disciplinary sanction available to a referee. We find persuasive evidence for the former but none for the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 710-714 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.734591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.734591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:710-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christer Ljungwall Author-X-Name-First: Christer Author-X-Name-Last: Ljungwall Author-Name: Patrik Gustavsson Tingvall Author-X-Name-First: Patrik Gustavsson Author-X-Name-Last: Tingvall Title: Is China different? A meta-analysis of China's financial sector development Abstract: We examine whether China has benefited more from financial development than other countries. The results show that financial development has been less significant for growth in China than in other countries, even when China is compared with other transition economies. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 715-718 Issue: 7 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.734592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.734592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:715-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Lien Lu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Lien Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Measuring credit risk by using a parameterized model under risk-neutral measure Abstract: This article assesses credit risk by using a parameterized model under risk-neutral measure, elaborating the assumption of Byström and Kwon (2007) by using interpolation to estimate the risk-free yield curve. The required data are minimal; the proposed model only necessitates information regarding loans, such as loan rates, and risk-free rates that can avoid shortcomings of rating data. The default probabilities are estimated under risk-neutral measure though few studies have done so. The empirical results show that default probabilities of financial distress are higher compared to those of normal firms. Furthermore, the proposed model is also closely associated with the economic state. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 719-723 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.734593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.734593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena D'Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: D'Agostino Author-Name: Emiliano Sironi Author-X-Name-First: Emiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Sironi Author-Name: Giuseppe Sobbrio Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Sobbrio Title: The role of education in determining the attitudes towards crime in Europe Abstract: Using data from the European Social Survey (ESS), we investigate the relationship between education and attitudes towards offences and crime. The results suggest that in a European context years spent in education are positively associated with more permissive attitudes towards criminal behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 724-727 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.739280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.739280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:724-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Fábio Sanches Author-X-Name-First: Fábio Author-X-Name-Last: Sanches Author-Name: Igor Souza Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Author-Name: Jos� Carlos Domingos da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Jos� Author-X-Name-Last: Carlos Domingos da Silva Title: Does monitoring affect corruption? Career concerns and home bias in football refereeing Abstract: This article evaluates refereeing bias in football games. Using a data set for Brazilian Championship, we find that referees systematically favour home teams setting more extra time in close matches in which home teams are behind. Career concerns seem to be relevant, since monitoring inhibits this behaviour and the effect of the refereeing bias on the probability of scoring in the extra time is quantitatively negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 728-731 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.736938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.736938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:728-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Erik Bohlin Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Bohlin Author-Name: Hajime Oniki Author-X-Name-First: Hajime Author-X-Name-Last: Oniki Author-Name: Thien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Thien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Potential demand for m-government services in Japan Abstract: This article attempts to identify factors that influence the potential demand for m-government service adoption in Japan by analysing survey responses. This study identifies smartphone ownership, mobile application activity and e-government subscription as demand drivers. These results suggest government should encourage Juki cards and the e-tax payment system adoption and support programmes to encourage smartphone ownership and mobile application subscriptions. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 732-736 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.736939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.736939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:732-736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Charemza Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Charemza Author-Name: Imran Husssain Shah Author-X-Name-First: Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Husssain Shah Title: Stability price index, core inflation and output volatility Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the ‘exclusion’ type Core Inflation (CI) measures and the stability price index. Empirical results for Malaysia and Pakistan suggest that if targeting CI index is to stabilize output, weights of the export-oriented sectors (energy for Malaysia and foodstuffs for Pakistan) should be reduced, in relation to the CPI weights, and weights of the import-oriented sectors should be increased. It also indicates that, in order to maintain real sector stability, central bankers should include the fundamental component of the stock market prices in the price index they target. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 737-741 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.739279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.739279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:737-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasunori Yoshizaki Author-X-Name-First: Yasunori Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshizaki Author-Name: Yuki Toyoshima Author-X-Name-First: Yuki Author-X-Name-Last: Toyoshima Author-Name: Shigeyuki Haomori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Haomori Title: The causal relationships between sovereign CDS premiums for Japan and selected EU countries Abstract: In this article, we apply the cross-correlation function approach developed by Hong (2001) in order to investigate how the recent sovereign debt crisis has influenced interrelations between sovereign credit default swap (CDS) premiums for Japan and for Europe's major countries. We confirm the existence of a causal linkage between the mean of Japan and those of EU countries except Greece. In addition, this causal linkage has strengthened remarkably since the crisis. Further, we detect a causal linkage in terms of variance between Japan and certain EU countries including Greece. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 742-747 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:742-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Hernández de Cos Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández de Cos Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Title: What drives a successful fiscal consolidation? Abstract: Fiscal consolidations are currently in the agenda of fiscal authorities in many countries. Using Bayesian Model Averaging to overcome the problem of model uncertainty, we find that growth-enhancing policies and cuts in public wages are the most appropriate ingredients for successfully reducing debt levels and budget deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 748-753 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:748-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Fuentes Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Author-Name: Jorge Dresdner Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Dresdner Title: Survival of micro-enterprises: Does public seed financing work? Abstract: We estimated a hazard function for the duration of micro-enterprises after they had been subject to a public seed financing programme in southern Chile. The programme aims to encourage innovative new firms and uses sponsors to support and follow-up on the benefiting firms. Using an administrative database, specially recovered for this purpose, we were able to follow a sample of 76 firms throughout a period of 9 years. This article offers new evidence about how a firm promotion subsidy programme works in a medium developed country. The results indicate that the amount of funds granted increases survival time. In contrast, the type of support organization does not seem to affect the duration of the micro-enterprises, while the sponsors' individual characteristics do seem to have an impact on survival. Thus, the public institution should periodically assess the sponsors' performance as part of the programme evaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 754-757 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:754-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radu Vranceanu Author-X-Name-First: Radu Author-X-Name-Last: Vranceanu Author-Name: Damien Besancenot Author-X-Name-First: Damien Author-X-Name-Last: Besancenot Title: The spending multiplier in a time of massive public debt: The Euro-area case Abstract: This article argues that in Euro-area economies, where the European Central Bank (ECB) cannot bail out financially distressed governments, the spending multiplier is adversely affected by the amount of public debt. A regression model on a panel of 26 EU countries over the last 16 years shows that a 10 percentage point increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio is connected to a slowdown in annual growth rates of 0.28 percentage point. Furthermore, the effectiveness of fiscal spending is adversely affected by the amount of public debt; in particular, when the public debt exceeds 150% of GDP, the growth impact of the deficit might turn negative. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 758-762 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:758-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Simonian Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Simonian Author-Name: Gabriella Barschdorff Author-X-Name-First: Gabriella Author-X-Name-Last: Barschdorff Title: Liabilities -- a multi-objective approach Abstract: The majority of pension plans today are underfunded, uncertain about the market, the economic and regulatory environment and searching for a more stable approach to meeting their pension benefit obligations. For plan sponsors who want to adopt a more structured approach to asset--liability management, adopting a glide path framework that gradually de-risks their investment portfolio as funded status improves has become an attractive way to move towards their funding goal. To that end, this article describes a multi-objective optimization methodology known as the goal attainment method, an approach which can accommodate the simultaneous optimization of distinct objective functions, and shows how it can be used to construct glide path strategies for asset--liability applications. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 763-766 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.741675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.741675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:763-766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michail Kiriakidis Author-X-Name-First: Michail Author-X-Name-Last: Kiriakidis Author-Name: Antonios Kargas Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Kargas Title: Greek GDP forecast estimates Abstract: The papers scope is to use historical data in order to forecast Greek Gross Domestic Product (GDP). By using a range of forecasting models the Greek economy's performance is investigated and the main indicators are revealed. Main findings are the revealing of important economic indexes determining the Greek GDP as retail trade index, industrial production index, unemployment rate and touristic index, and the forecast of high recession for the year 2012. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 767-772 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:767-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Rua Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Rua Title: Worldwide synchronization since the nineteenth century: a wavelet-based view Abstract: Resorting to wavelet analysis, a novel measure is used to assess synchronization of economic activity across a large set of countries. As it has long been acknowledged in the literature that synchronization can vary over time and may depend on the type of fluctuation, the use of a wavelet-based measure of synchronization becomes particularly useful as it can capture both time and frequency varying features within a unified framework. Considering the period since 1870s up to 2011 for a set of 23 countries, it is found that worldwide synchronization has increased over the last decades and it has attained an unprecedented level during the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 773-776 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:773-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernadine De Waal Author-X-Name-First: Bernadine Author-X-Name-Last: De Waal Author-Name: Mark A. Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Mark A. Author-X-Name-Last: Petersen Author-Name: Lungile N. P. Hlatshwayo Author-X-Name-First: Lungile N. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Hlatshwayo Author-Name: Janine Mukuddem-Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Janine Author-X-Name-Last: Mukuddem-Petersen Title: A note on Basel III and liquidity Abstract: In this article, we obtain numerical results involving new Basel III liquidity regulation. More specifically, we compute the net stable funding ratio in accordance with the prescripts of the proposed banking rules. In this regard, we investigate the effects of shareholder cash flow rights on the aforementioned funding ratio and a non-Basel III liquidity coverage ratio for certain developing countries during the period 2005 Q1 to 2009 Q4. Our study finds that the funding ratio appears to have satisfied Basel III minimum liquidity standards during this period. Also, we conclude that more concentrated cash flow rights result in improved liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 777-780 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:777-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Hyuk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does competition affect evolutionary dynamics? Evidence from a collegiate university Abstract: This article shows that competition is inversely related to the strength of evolutionary dynamics using a collegiate university's admission statistics during the period 2004--2009. Specifically, estimated coefficients of the replicator dynamic equation is inversely related to the subject's applications-to-offers ratio. This suggests that competition favours a choice of strategies that is serially independent of the previous round's pay-offs. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 781-785 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:781-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Melser Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Melser Title: Multilateral index number theory and generalized repeat sales house price indexes Abstract: One of the most common approaches to constructing home price indexes is the repeat sales method. In this article, it is shown that this approach is part of a family of widely used multilateral index number methods known as weighted GEKS. Here, the price index is constructed in two stages. First, elementary indexes are constructed between each period. Second, these bilateral indexes are aggregated into a transitive set of multilateral indexes using weighted least squares regression. We show that the repeat sales index has precisely this form and identify the specific elementary index formula and weights used. This observation provides a basis upon which to consider generalized repeat sales indexes which use different elementary indexes and weights. We apply some of these methods to repeat sales data and show that these choices matter empirically. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 786-789 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.745924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.745924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:786-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Şaziye Gaziog̃lu Author-X-Name-First: Şaziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gaziog̃lu Author-Name: Azize Bastıyalı-Hafavi Author-X-Name-First: Azize Author-X-Name-Last: Bastıyalı-Hafavi Author-Name: Özge Sezgin Author-X-Name-First: Özge Author-X-Name-Last: Sezgin Title: Jumps in an stochastic optimization: self-financing portfolio for risk averse investors: does bequest matter? Abstract: We optimized consumer/investor behaviour, subject to self-financing constraint by using stochastic dynamics system with jumps. Our aim in this article was to compare a stochastic optimization model with and without jumps in a self-financing portfolio model, for the risk averse investors. In this article, our contribution to the literature was to introduce an analytical solution of the utility maximizing model and to investigate the consequences of jumps and bequest to the economic system. A previous model by Gazioglu and Bastiyali-Hafavi (2010) used optimization, only with a Brownian motion during optimization. In this article, we introduced jump difussion to Brownian motion during optimization. We compared the model with and without jumps for the risk averse investors. Furthermore, as a form of wealth, we compared the results with and without bequest. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 790-794 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.744158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.744158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:790-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshito Funashima Author-X-Name-First: Yoshito Author-X-Name-Last: Funashima Title: Reassessing the Fed's behaviour towards presidential elections Abstract: This article re-examines the existence of opportunistic political monetary cycle in the United States using frequency-domain analysis. We reveal the cyclical propensity that expansionary monetary policy emerges prior to the presidential elections. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 795-798 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.745925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.745925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:795-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andr� Betzer Author-X-Name-First: Andr� Author-X-Name-Last: Betzer Author-Name: Markus Doumet Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Doumet Author-Name: Ulf Rinne Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Rinne Title: How policy changes affect shareholder wealth: the case of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear disaster Abstract: This article analyses how policy changes affect shareholder wealth by exploiting the unexpected German reaction to the Japanese nuclear disaster. Event study results show that energy companies' shareholder wealth was affected by the policy reaction and not by the disaster. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 799-803 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:799-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Manjón Antolín Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Manjón Author-X-Name-Last: Antolín Author-Name: Juan A. Máñez Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Máñez Author-Name: María E. Rochina Barrachina Author-X-Name-First: María E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rochina Barrachina Author-Name: Juan A. Sanchis Llopis Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Llopis Title: Export intensity and the productivity gains of exporting Abstract: This article analyses whether the productivity gains associated with Learning-by-Exporting (LBE) (controlling for self-selection) depend on the intensity of the firm's exporting activity. The results from a representative sample of Spanish manufacturing firms indicate that the yearly average gains in productivity are larger for those firms that increase their export-to-sales ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 804-808 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:804-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St�phan Marette Author-X-Name-First: St�phan Author-X-Name-Last: Marette Author-Name: Sandrine Blanchemanche Author-X-Name-First: Sandrine Author-X-Name-Last: Blanchemanche Author-Name: Jutta Roosen Author-X-Name-First: Jutta Author-X-Name-Last: Roosen Title: Multiple equilibria with a multiple price list Abstract: A multiple price list is useful for eliciting a Willingness-to-Pay (WTP) and a possible Lower Limit (LL) under which the demand is zero. This multiple price list implies an aggregate demand determined by the number of participants whose WTP is greater than the market price and whose LL is below this market price. From a survey focusing on meat demand, we show that this aggregate demand leads to multiple price equilibria. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 809-812 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:809-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian M. Lucey Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lucey Author-Name: Charles Larkin Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Larkin Author-Name: Fergal A. O'Connor Author-X-Name-First: Fergal A. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Connor Title: London or New York: where and when does the gold price originate? Abstract: We investigate the Information Shares (ISs) of the two main centres of gold trading, over a 25-year period, using nonoverlapping 4-month windows. We find that neither London nor New York is dominant in terms of price IS, that the dominant market switches from time to time and that these switches do not appear to be very clearly linkable to macroeconomic or political events. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 813-817 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.748175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.748175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:813-817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Christensen Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Christensen Title: Danish mutual fund performance Abstract: This article provides the first independent performance analysis of Danish mutual funds. We analyse selectivity and market timing abilities for 71 mutual funds that have been in operation from 2001 to 2010. The results show great fund performance diversity. Half the funds have performed neutrally, whereas 42% of the funds have shown significantly negative performance and only 7% of the funds have over-performed their benchmark. Furthermore, 14% of the funds analysed possess market timing abilities, but for 8 out of 10 funds, their market timing ability has been unsuccessful. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 818-820 Issue: 8 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.750415 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.750415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:8:p:818-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Hutengs Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Hutengs Author-Name: G. Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: Age effects in Okun's law within the Eurozone Abstract: We estimate Okun's coefficients for five different age cohorts for several Eurozone countries. We find a stable pattern for all countries: the relationship between business cycle fluctuations and the unemployment rate is the strongest for the youngest cohort and gets smaller for the elderly cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Letters Pages: 821-825 Issue: 9 Volume: 20 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.750416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.750416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:9:p:821-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Devicienti Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Devicienti Author-Name: Mariacristina Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Mariacristina Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: Liquidity constraints, uncertain parental income and human capital accumulation Abstract: This note analyses the effect of parental income variability on investments in education when capital markets are imperfect. Our